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www.automotivecouncil.co.uk Dr. Graham Hoare Ford Motor Company Chair – Automotive Council Technology Group AESIN Conference – 20 th October 2016 The Automotive Council… Managing the Automotive Transformation

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  • www.automotivecouncil.co.uk

    Dr. Graham Hoare

    Ford Motor Company Chair – Automotive Council Technology Group

    AESIN Conference – 20th October 2016

    The Automotive Council… Managing the Automotive Transformation

  • Automotive Council UK

    A continuous value creation cycle enabled through co-operation and team work

    Approach: The Automotive Council was formed in 2009 :

    To strengthen and promote sustainable growth of the automotive sector in the UK through enhanced dialogue and co-operation between UK government and automotive industry

    • Define, enable & deliver the right technology technologies

    • Optimise business environment for the UK Automotive sector

    • Address skills challenges facing the sector

  • Automotive Council UK

    3 Complementary Workstreams to drive all facets of the Automotive Council Agenda

    Structure:

    Workstreams

    Main Aims

    • Develop technology roadmaps, future research challenges and identify where the UK can develop competitive advantage

    • Advise on automotive R&D investment opportunities to foster a stronger UK engineering, supply and manufacturing base

    • Prepare and own the UK Automotive Technology Strategy

    Supply Chain

    Business

    Environment & Skills

    Technology

  • Energy

    Storage

    Light

    weight Structures

    Intelligent

    Mobility

    Electric

    Machines

    IC

    Engines (Thermal

    Propulsion )

    5 ‘Sticky’

    Technologies

    Technology Strategy - Where to focus ?

    5 Sticky Technologies – providing direction for technology innovation & process focus

  • Great progress to date and significant achievements. Vital to keep evolving & fostering a collaborative / innovative ecosystem to keep a step ahead.

    Industrial Strategy - Technology Update

    Strategic Activity STATUS

    Invest £1 billion over 10 years in a new Advanced Propulsion Centre (APC)

    Improve coordination and collaboration with the academic research community

    Improve collaboration/access from EU R&D funding opportunities

    Construct additional roadmaps for future technology needs

    Identify required high value manufacturing technologies

    Create an energy storage roadmap which includes non-electric

    Create a UK intelligent mobility demonstration program to test technology and business effectiveness

    Enhance collaboration on innovation and technology between Motorsport and mainstream automotive

    Establish a Design workstream to build UK strength

  • Automotive technologies: the UK’s current capability

    Goal : Scan for

    Future R&D Focus

    Areas / Roadmaps

    Enhancing the Research through to Manufacture ‘Pipe-line’ - cohesive coordination of the Eco-system

    Goal : Improved co-ordination

    between Academic & Industrial

    Research

    “Academic Research Networks”

    – Academic automotive research

    – Funding bodies

    – Industry R&D leaders and

    teams

    Added focus on key challenges

    the industry needs to solve while

    maintaining academic

    independence APC “Spokes” add specific functional, technological and regional centres of excellence

    Power Electronics Spoke - University of Nottingham

    Electrical Energy Storage - University of Warwick

    Digital Engineering & Test - Loughborough University (London)

    Electric Machines Spoke – Newcastle University

    ICE Thermal Efficiency – University of Brighton

    ICE System Efficiency – University of Bath

    Opportunity to align APC “Spokes”

    with Academic “Challenge

    Networks”

    Co-ordination with

    APC to publish

    roadmaps and R&D

    agendas

    New roadmaps

    Future Fuels & Energy

    Virtual Product Dev’t

    Processes

    Next Gen Electrical /

    Electronic

    Architectures

    Advanced Propulsion Centre (APC)

    Future Technology R&D Co-ordination

  • • Re evaluation of priorities based on :

    • Achievements to date

    • Horizon scanning & outlook

    • Capability Study Insights

    • Priorities determined to enhance UK technical competitiveness & productivity

    • 6 core workstreams

    • Leveraged APC and Cross sectorial Connected & Autonomous Vehicle (IM-PACT UK ) activities to help momentum

    • Automotive Council to provide industry technical consensus critical topics i.e. Air Quality

    NEW STRATEGIC FOCUS identified to advance Insight, Strategy & Implementation on future automotive technology priorities

    Future Technology Focus – 2016+

  • Continuous pressure on improving Fuel Economy / CO2 in all regions. Traditional Powertrain improvements no longer cost effective Driving increasing P/T electrification

    Electrification opportunities at all voltage levels: 12V / 48V: mHEV’s. Higher voltages: HEV’s, PHEV’s, BEV’s

    Growth of Powertrain Electrification

    US

    CAN

    EU

    Brazil

    China

    4.7%

    4.7%

    5.1%

    3.4%

    5.5%

    Average Annual FE / CO2 Improvement Required by Regulation (2015-20)

  • Systems simulation, modelling & optimisation of Automotive Hardware & Software should unlock lower costs, more robust solutions, shorter validation times & competitive advantage.

    Objective : • To create a view for the future of digital

    engineering & virtual product development/ manufacture in the Automotive Sector for the UK.

    • To Define the areas of growth & seek to strengthen UK capability.

    Virtual DV / Digital Engineering Insight

    Digital Product Development Roadmap

  • Digital Engineering & Test Centre – APC Spoke, London

    Halving the time, Doubling the value

    • Bringing the value of next-generation Digital Engineering into automotive

    • Facilitating Cross sector activities • Supporting Core programs, Collaborative R&D and Research

    DETC Supports:

    • The four Automotive Council Strategic Technologies, and Manufacturing

    • Digital Engineering in Product and Manufacturing-process design

    • Cross sector links to the Gaming and Digital industry

    • Roadmap generation to prioritise the development of future digital technologies

    Supporting the ‘HOW’: APC’s Digital Engineering & Test Centre is open to all, open to new ideas and open for business.

    World Class Cross functional Initial partners led by University of Loughborough in London

  • Intelligent Mobility – Technology Road Mapping

    Intelligent Mobility & Autonomous Vehicle technology focus accelerating at an unprecedented rate. Major progress & clarity emerging supported by Government policy and stimulus.

    • 12 key challenges to improve mobility in UK

    • Developing solutions of these challenges will meet UK travelers needs and unlock potential revenue opportunities

    • Solutions will need to include a combination of Access, Automation, Demand & Supply and Integration

    Innovative Road mapping thought leadership process initiated based on TN key challenges…

  • “During the next decade, we see autonomous vehicles as having as significant an impact as Ford’s moving assembly line did 100 years ago” - Mark Fields, Ford Motor Company CEO

    will mass produce AV for

    ride sharing applications by 2021 w/ level 4

    autonomy.

    Autonomy

    2021

  • Today’s cars have roughly seven times more code than a Boeing 787 airliner!

    Module software complexity grew by factor between 3 & 7 from ‘08 to ‘11 Software increasingly provides the user experiences which differentiates car brands

    Growth of Vehicle Software TREND: FUNCTIONAL GROWTH IS GOING TO CONTINUE AND WILL EVEN ACCELERATE

    Today’s vehicle typically has 400+ features, ~2000 functions, 20k software components & 100m lines of code

  • Modules moving from one function / module to many functions within a single module. Very complex X-zone domain functions drive more powerful integration sites - connected car realised.

    Sensor fusion & powerful centralised computing sites deliver Autonomous functions. The estimated value of the global automotive electronics industry will be $275bn / year by 2020.

    Growth of Vehicle Electronics

    Distributed E/E Architecture

    Domain centralised E/E

    Architecture

    Vehicle centralised E/E Architecture

    To

    day

    Nea

    r Te

    rm

    New

    Daw

    n’

    - Each function has its own ECU

    - Functions are integrated within modules & powerful domain ECU’s provide X-zone functions - Connected car with on-board modem

    - Sensor fusion & very powerful, centralised computing sites, an enabler for Autonomous Vehicles

    - Cloud computing Some vehicle functions will move to the cloud

    Autonomous vehicle module 2kW power

    Source: IHS Forum :

    Berlin 12-14th May,

    2014

  • The future of the Automotive industry has a strong dependence upon success in the EE domain

    Summary

    Automotive Council : • Steering the UK Automotive landscape through the technology transformation. • Seeking solutions to unite Industry, Academia & Government to deliver a joined up ecosystem to promote

    innovation and industrialisation.

    1’s & 0’s take over the automotive world!: • The balance between traditional mechanical skills for body, chassis and P/T and EE skills are being turned on

    their head, we need to prepare for the new world: - The value of electronics & software will be the dominant cost of the vehicle within a smatter of years, for

    high series vehicles this is already happening. - The features which customers want and those which provide differentiation between brands are

    increasingly being driven by the EE domain • Power Train electrification at all voltage levels, becomes increasingly important to deliver CO2 roadmaps for all

    regions of the globe • As we move into Smart Mobility & Cloud Computing, software is now ‘Beyond The Car’ • There are major opportunities to ‘engage with the auto industry’:

    • ‘New Dawn’ for software to support autonomous ‘mega module’ functions • Skill sets transition . Growth within the normal automotive supply base