powering today. empowering tomorrow. ® a developer’s perspective on new nuclear plant deployment...
TRANSCRIPT
POWERING TODAY.EMPOWERING TOMORROW.®
A Developer’s Perspective on New
Nuclear Plant Deployment
March 18, 2009
Steven D. ScroggsSenior Director, Project Development
Florida Power & Light Company
“ We believe meeting our customers’ need for reliable power must go hand in hand
with preserving the environment.”
-Lew Hay
FPL Group Chairman and CEO
Cautionary Statements and Risk Factors That May AffectFuture Results
Any statements made herein about future operating results or other future events are forward-looking statements under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements may include, for example, statements regarding anticipated future financial and operating performance and results, including estimates for growth. Actual results may differ materially from such forward-looking statements. A discussion of factors that could cause actual results or events to vary is contained in our SEC filings.
Topics Lessons from our History
A Developer’s perspective:
What decisions must be made?
What are the roles of government?
What are the roles of industry?
What is needed to succeed?
Nuclear Industry History Teaches Lessons
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1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Units Entering Service
afterTMI
• 116 units under construction at the time of Three Mile Island (TMI):
• 66 were cancelled • 50 completed
•average delay of 6.3 years
Cost Overruns Existed Before TMI
Cost overruns were the result of multiple issues: Regulatory uncertainty Design changes & ineffective management Economic pressures
o demand destruction, inflation
Construction Start
Estimated Construction
Cost Actual Cost to
CompleteAmount Over
Estimate
($/kw, 2002) ($/kw, 2002) (%)
1966-67 $560 $1,170 109%
1968-69 $679 $2,000 195%
1970-71 $760 $2,650 249%
1972-73 $1,117 $3,555 218%
1974-75 $1,156 $4,410 281%
1976-77 $1,493 $4,008 168%
What Decisions?
Key Decisions(Going to the Big Dance)
Who are you going to the dance with?
How will you manage the expectations of all stakeholders?
When do you step on the gas, when do you step on the brake?
How aggressive should you be?
Is everyone onboard when you are at the commitment point?
As Important is How you make Decisions
Decide what you can, when you can
Collect, analyze, discuss, collect more…
Manage risk in a way that creates alignment
Assess, act, repeat…
Learn from others, share with others
There can be no single successful project
The Role of Government
Allow us to do our job
Provide Regulatory Certainty
Predictability of Review Process
Finality of decisions
Uphold commitments
The Role of Industry
Deliver No Excuses
Timing has positioned our product with unprecedented advantages
No Special Treatment
The economics work
No Mistakes
Existing Operations and New Construction Execution
What is Needed?
Commitment Regulatory relationships that are allowed to:
Leverage expertise, respect and communication between agencies
Administer the existing statutes and rules
An industry that will: Acknowledge that we have to earn the support of the public
Challenge accepted business models and relationships to develop creative, flexible execution teams