poultry meat dashboard - european commission · poultry meat (tonnes carcase weight) jan-jun....

16
DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 05.09.2018 Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA. Last update: Period: 2017 2018 % Chg EU-28 793 222 853 541 + 7.6 % Ghana 72 150 84 778 + 17.5 % Ukraine 65 539 83 370 + 27.2 % Philippines 48 772 78 521 + 61.0 % Hong Kong 71 984 64 796 - 10.0 % Saudi Arabia 52 642 50 577 - 3.9 % Benin 58 384 45 746 - 21.6 % Vietnam 26 887 42 075 + 56.5 % Other 396 865 403 677 + 1.7 % POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun Prices World Quotations Production Trade EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2018/17 ) World Trade - 1.1% Overall Poultry Meat Placings Broiler - 0.6% + 3.6% Period: 2017 2018 % Chg EU-28 437 724 392 361 - 10.4% Thailand 141 156 151 449 + 7.3 % Brazil 231 609 135 606 - 41.5 % Ukraine 34 554 62 285 + 80.3 % Chile 11 697 21 911 + 87.3 % China 9 745 11 700 + 20.1 % Argentina 3 380 4 476 + 32.4 % Switzerland 1 165 1 559 + 33.9 % Other 4 419 3 375 - 23.6 % POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2018/17 ) 11 385 11 670 12 145 12 381 12 716 12 805 13 263 13 787 14 495 14 617 14 787 11 360 11 602 11 791 11 922 12 233 12 285 12 723 13 272 13 891 13 883 14 055 100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% 0 4 000 8 000 12 000 16 000 20 000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018f 1000 Tonnes EU Poultry meat production ( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations ) EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %) EU W E E K P R I C E S 35 last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR BROILER €/100 kg carcase weight Broiler 81% Turkey 14% Duck 3% Others 2% Production of poultry meat 188.57 170 175 180 185 190 195 / 100 kg BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION Avg. 2013-17 2017 2018 188.57 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 € / 100 kg E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S EU US BR 136.04 85.75 188.57 E V O L U T I O N S I N C E PL 2343.55 23% UK 1811.93 18% FR 1650 16% ES 1528.86 15% DE 1514 15% IT 1327.12 13% EU Main Producers ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2017 Total EU = 14 464 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 1% over 2016) 0 100 000 200 000 300 000 400 000 500 000 600 000 700 000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Placings of broiler chicks ( 1 000 pieces ) 2016 2017 2018 0 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 1 000 000 1 200 000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Production forecast of broiler ( Tonnes ) 2016 2017 2018 846 875 902 807 438 392 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 18 EU Imports evolution ( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight) Source: Eurostat 1 504 1 490 1 617 1 663 793 854 0 250 500 750 1 000 1 250 1 500 1 750 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 18 EU Exports evolution ( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight) Source: Eurostat 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul 2016 2017 2018 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul 2016 2017 2018 EUR / USD EUR / BRL Brazil Brazil United States United States EU EU China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Thailand Thailand Turkey Turkey Ukraine (up to May) Ukraine (up to May) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 2017 (up to June) 2018 (up to June) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to June) Source : GTA Excl. Live animals China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Japan Japan Mexico (up to May) Mexico (up to May) EU EU South Africa South Africa Taiwan (up to May) Taiwan (up to May) Philippines (up to May) Philippines (up to May) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2017 (up to June) 2018 (up to June) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to June) Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

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Page 1: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 05.09.2018

Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA.

Last update:

Period:2017 2018 % Chg

EU-28 793 222 853 541 + 7.6 %Ghana 72 150 84 778 + 17.5 %

Ukraine 65 539 83 370 + 27.2 %

Philippines 48 772 78 521 + 61.0 %

Hong Kong 71 984 64 796 - 10.0 %

Saudi Arabia 52 642 50 577 - 3.9 %

Benin 58 384 45 746 - 21.6 %

Vietnam 26 887 42 075 + 56.5 %

Other 396 865 403 677 + 1.7 %

POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Jun

Pri

ces

Wo

rld

Qu

ota

tio

ns

Pro

du

ctio

nTr

ade

EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2018/17 )

Wo

rld

Tra

de

- 1.1%

Ove

rall

Po

ult

ry M

eat

Pla

cin

gs B

roile

r

- 0.6% + 3.6%

Period: 2017 2018 % Chg

EU-28 437 724 392 361 - 10.4%

Thailand 141 156 151 449 + 7.3 %

Brazil 231 609 135 606 - 41.5 %

Ukraine 34 554 62 285 + 80.3 %

Chile 11 697 21 911 + 87.3 %

China 9 745 11 700 + 20.1 %

Argentina 3 380 4 476 + 32.4 %

Switzerland 1 165 1 559 + 33.9 %

Other 4 419 3 375 - 23.6 %

POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Jun

EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2018/17 )

11

38

5

11

67

0

12

14

5

12

38

1

12

71

6

12

80

5

13

26

3

13

78

7

14

49

5

14

61

7

14

78

7

11

36

0

11

60

2

11

79

1

11

92

2

12

23

3

12

28

5

12

72

3

13

27

2

13

89

1

13

88

3

14

05

5

100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

125%

0

4 000

8 000

12 000

16 000

20 000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018f

10

00

To

nn

es

EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )

EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)

EUW E E K P R I C E S 35

last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR

BROILER

€/100 kg carcase weight

Broiler81%

Turkey14%

Duck3%

Others2%

Production of poultry meat

188.57

170

175

180

185

190

195

€/ 100 k

g

BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION

Avg. 2013-17 2017 2018

188.57

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

€/

10

0 k

g

E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S

EU

US

BR

136.04

85.75

188.57

E V O L U T I O N S I N C E

PL2343.55

23% UK1811.93

18%

FR165016%

ES1528.86

15%

DE151415%

IT1327.12

13%

EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)

Year 2017Total EU = 14 464

6 MSs =

71% of total EU production (+ 1% over 2016)

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )

2016 2017 2018

0

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )

2016 2017 2018

84

6

87

5

90

2

80

7

43

8

39

2

0

200

400

600

800

1000

2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 18

EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)

Source: Eurostat

1 5

04

1 4

90

1 6

17

1 6

63

79

3

85

4

0

250

500

750

1 000

1 250

1 500

1 750

2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 18

EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)

Source: Eurostat

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

2016 2017 2018

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

2016 2017 2018

EUR / USD EUR / BRL

Bra

zil

Bra

zil

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Un

ited

Sta

tes

EU EU

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Tha

ila

nd

Tha

ila

nd

Turk

ey

Turk

ey

Ukr

ain

e (u

p t

o M

ay)

Ukr

ain

e (u

p t

o M

ay)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2017 (up to June) 2018 (up to June)

Qty

in

10

00

To

nn

es

Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to June)

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Jap

an

Jap

an

Mex

ico

(u

p t

o M

ay)

Mex

ico

(u

p t

o M

ay)

EU

EU

Sou

th A

fric

a

Sou

th A

fric

a

Taiw

an

(up

to

Ma

y)

Taiw

an

(up

to

Ma

y)

Ph

ilip

pin

es (u

p to

Ma

y)

Ph

ilip

pin

es (u

p to

Ma

y)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2017 (up to June) 2018 (up to June)

Qty

in

10

00

To

nn

es

Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to June)

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

Page 2: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

back to DashboardNext

Pric

es

- 1.1% - 0.6% + 3.6%

EUW E E K P R I C E S 35

last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR

BROILER

€/100 kg carcase weight

188.57

170

175

180

185

190

195

€/ 1

00 kg

E V O L U T I O N S I N C E

Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)

Page 3: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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PageNext

Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)

170

175

180

185

190

195

€/ 100 k

gBROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION

Avg. 2013-17 2017 2018

188.57

Page 4: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

back to Dashboard

Broiler81%

Turkey14%

Duck3%

Others2%

Production of poultry meat

Source: MSs notifications – Expert group

PreviousPage

Next

Page 5: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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PageNext

Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,Chicago BR = average of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br)

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

€/

100

kg

E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S

EU

US

BR

136.04

85.75

188.57

Page 6: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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PageNext

Source: ECB (European Central Bank)

EUR / USD EUR / BRL

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

2016 2017 2018

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

2016 2017 2018

Page 7: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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PageNext

Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )

2016 2017 2018

Page 8: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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PageNext

Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

800000

900000

1000000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )

2016 2017 2018

Page 9: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

PL2343.55

23% UK1834.49

18%

FR165016%

ES1542.2

15%

DE151415%

IT1327.12

13%

EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)

Year 2017Total EU = 14 46471% of total EU

production (+ 1% over 2016)

back to DashboardPrevious

PageNext

Source: Eurostat

Page 10: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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PageNext

11 3

85

11 6

70

12 1

45

12 3

81

12 7

16

12 8

05

13 2

63

13 7

87

14 4

95

14 6

17

14 7

87

11 3

60

11 6

02

11 7

91

11 9

22

12 2

33

12 2

85

12 7

23

13 2

72

13 8

91

13 8

83

14 0

55

100% 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

125%

0

4 000

8 000

12 000

16 000

20 000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018f

1000

Ton

nes

EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2017 and 2018 based on estimations )

EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)Source: DG AGRI Short-term outlook report

Page 11: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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PageNext

Braz

il

Braz

il

Unite

d St

ates

Unite

d St

ates

EU EU

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

Thai

land

Thai

land

Turk

ey

Turk

ey

Ukra

ine (

up to

May

)

Ukra

ine (

up to

May

)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2017 (up to June) 2018 (up to June)

Qty

in 1

000

Tonn

es

Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to June)

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

Page 12: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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PageNext

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

Chin

a +

H. K

ongJapa

n

Japa

n

Mex

ico

(up

to M

ay)

Mex

ico

(up

to M

ay)

EU

EU

Sout

h Af

rica

Sout

h Af

rica

Taiw

an (u

p to

May

)

Taiw

an (u

p to

May

)

Phili

ppin

es (u

p to

May

)

Phili

ppin

es (u

p to

May

)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2017 (up to June) 2018 (up to June)

Qty

in 1

000

Tonn

es

Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to June)

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

Page 13: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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1 5

04

1 4

90

1 6

17

1 66

3

79

3

85

4

0

250

500

750

1 000

1 250

1 500

1 750

2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 18

EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)

Source: Eurostat

Page 14: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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Source: Eurostat

EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2018 /17 )

Period:2017 2018 % Chg

EU-28 793 222 853 541 + 7.6 %Ghana 72 150 84 778 + 17.5 %

Ukraine 65 539 83 370 + 27.2 %

Philippines 48 772 78 521 + 61.0 %

Hong Kong 71 984 64 796 - 10.0 %

Saudi Arabia 52 642 50 577 - 3.9 %

Benin 58 384 45 746 - 21.6 %

Vietnam 26 887 42 075 + 56.5 %

Other 396 865 403 677 + 1.7 %

EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2018/17)POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)

Jan-Jun

Page 15: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

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846 87

5

902

807

438

39

2

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 18

EU Imports evolution

(In 1000 tonnes CW)

Source: Eurostat

Page 16: Poultry meat Dashboard - European Commission · POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Jun. Title: PowerPoint Presentation Author: FAGNINI Massimo (AGRI) Subject: European Commission

back to DashboardPrevious

Source: Eurostat

EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2016 /17 )

Period: 2017 2018 % Chg

EU-28 437 724 392 361 - 10.4%

Thailand 141 156 151 449 + 7.3 %

Brazil 231 609 135 606 - 41.5 %

Ukraine 34 554 62 285 + 80.3 %

Chile 11 697 21 911 + 87.3 %

China 9 745 11 700 + 20.1 %

Argentina 3 380 4 476 + 32.4 %

Switzerland 1 165 1 559 + 33.9 %

Other 4 419 3 375 - 23.6 %

EU-28 Imports (Main partners in 2018/17)POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)

Jan-Jun