poultry industry forward5

Upload: karth-arthur

Post on 05-Apr-2018

220 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    1/29

    Course: Economics for Business in a Global

    Environment

    Course Code: INBA 6085

    Lecturer: Mr. Henry Bailey

    Project: Describe the Industry Structure and

    Competitive Dynamics in the Poultry Industry of

    Trinidad and Tobago.Group Members:

    Karth Arthur 811006596

    Sonnia Alfred 03757156

    Keisha Deokiesingh 05744922

    Aaron Mohammed 02733603Nerrisa Mohammed 02734251

    Josanne Thomas 809006305

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    2/29

    )

    Contents

    ABSTRACT ...................................................................................................................................................... 3

    INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................. 3

    LITERATURE REVIEW ..................................................................................................................................... 8

    ANALYSIS / DISCUSSION .............................................................................................................................. 12

    CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................................................... 19

    BIBLIOGRAPHY ............................................................................................................................................ 21

    APPENDICES ................................................................................................................................................ 24

    Appendix 1 .......................................................................................................................................... 24

    Appendix 2 .......................................................................................................................................... 24

    Appendix 3 .......................................................................................................................................... 25

    Appendix 4 .......................................................................................................................................... 26

    Appendix 5 .......................................................................................................................................... 27

    Appendix 6 .......................................................................................................................................... 28

    Figure 1 Number of broilers farms in Trinidad and Tobago.......................................................................... 5

    Figure 2 Capacity of broilers farms in Trinidad and Tobago ......................................................................... 6

    Figure 3 Difference in the number of broilers farms from 2010 to 2011 ..................................................... 6

    Figure 4 Difference in the capacity of broilers farms from 2010 to 2011 .................................................... 7

    Figure 5 Average weekly chicken prices ....................................................................................................... 7

    Figure 6 Kinked demand curve (Economicshelp n.d.) ................................................................................. 20

    Figure 7 Demand curve for a collusive Oligopoly (Cartel) (Economicshelp n.d.) ........................................ 21

    Table 1 Market structure and concentration Ratio (AmosWEB 2000-2012) ................................................ 9

    Table 2 quick reference to basic market structures (WebFinance 2012) ................................................... 12

    Figure 6 Number of broilers sold during 2006 to 2010............................................................................... 15

    Figure 7 Live weight of broilers sold during 2006 to 2010 ......................................................................... 16Table 3 Poultry Industry compared to Oligopoly. ....................................................................................... 17

    Table 4 CR4 and HHI of Trinidad & Tobago Poultry Industry ...................................................................... 18

    Table 5 Numbers of broilers farms in Trinidad and Tobago ....................................................................... 24

    Table 6 Average weekly price of chicken .................................................................................................... 25

    Table 7 Numbers of broilers sold during 2006 to 2010 .............................................................................. 26

    Table 8 Live weights of broilers sold during 2006 to 2010 ......................................................................... 26

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    3/29

    ?

    Table 9 components of the poultry industry .............................................................................................. 27

    Table 10 Porters Five Forces Analysis of the Poultry Analysis of Trinidad & Tobago .................. .............. 29

    ABSTRACT

    The purpose of this study is to understand the operation and identify the market structure of the Poultry

    Industry of Trinidad and Tobago. This report considers the competiveness, the threat of substitutes and

    new entrants, supplier and buyer power within the industry. This study also considers the concentration

    of the industry and the types of products available. The results of this analysis show the industry

    confirms to the factors of an Oligopoly.

    INTRODUCTION

    Thefreedictionary.com defines poultry as domesticated birds kept by humans for the purpose of

    producing eggs, meat, and/or feathers. Birds that are killed for their meats are also referred to as

    poultry. Poultry meat is rich in proteins and is a good source of phosphorus and other minerals,

    and of B-complex vitamins. It is a healthier alternative to beef and pork because of a lower fat

    content and has a higher proportion of unsaturated fatty acids than saturated fatty acids. Poultry

    meat comprises of:

    Chickens (87%) Turkeys (6.7%) Ducks (4%) Geese, pigeons, quails, pheasants, ostriches and emus (2.7%)

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    4/29

    ?

    The top five poultry producers are:

    United States China Brasil Mexico India

    Poultry accounts for 30% of meat produced worldwide, second only to pork 38%. The 2011

    global forecast for poultry estimates a grow rate of 2% and output of 100 million tones. The

    increasing popularity of poultry can be attributed to:

    value/price compared with other foods; good nutritional profile/low in fat; convenience/ease of preparation; versatility; well suited for quick-service and casual dining menus.

    Source: Agribusiness Handbook, poultry, meat and eggs FAO, 2010

    The poultry industry in Trinidad and Tobago plays in important in the agriculture sector. The

    industry highlights are:

    60 % Agriculture GDP Sales TT$ 1.3 billion (2010) Export TT$ 10 million Value added products TT$ 250 million Employment approximately 50,000 persons Linked to

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    5/29

    ?

    agricultural sector via feed suppliers, garden shops service sector via restaurants, supermarkets the manufacturing sector via plastics, packaging, labelling

    Over 500 farmers 4 hatcheries 5 feed plants 4 primary processing plants 2 further processing plants Over 3000 entrepreneurs. 2 % increase in the number of poultry farms (2010 2011) but with a decrease in

    capacity of 11 %. (table 5 Appendix 1, figures 1 to 4)

    Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.Figure 1 Number of broilers farms in Trinidad and Tobago

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    Small - less

    than 10 000

    Medium - 10

    000 - 49 999

    Large - 50 000

    and over

    TOTAL

    239274

    43

    556

    233266

    47

    546

    NUMBER OF FARMS IN TRINIDAD & TOBAGO

    January 2011 Number

    January 2010 Number

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    6/29

    ?

    Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.

    Figure 2 Capacity of broilers farms in Trinidad and Tobago

    Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.

    Figure 3 Difference in the number of broilers farms from 2010 to 2011

    0

    2000,000

    4000,000

    6000,000

    8000,000

    10000,00012000,000

    Small - less

    than 10 000

    Medium - 10

    000 - 49 999

    Large - 50

    000 and over

    TOTAL

    1375,949

    5431,971

    3241,446

    10049,366

    1318,436

    5618,3974298,839

    11235,672

    CAPACITY OF BROILER FARMS IN TRINIDAD &

    TOBAGO

    January 2011 Capacity

    January 2010 Capacity

    6

    8

    (4)

    10

    (6)

    (4)

    (2)

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    Small - less than 10

    000

    Medium - 10 000 -

    49 999

    Large - 50 000 and

    over

    TOTAL

    Difference in Number of farms from 2010 to

    2011

    Difference Number

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    7/29

    ?

    Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.

    Figure 4 Difference in the capacity of broilers farms from 2010 to 2011

    The price of chicken at groceries and supermarkets has seen many fluctuations from May 2010

    to December 2011 and shows a 15.62 % increase over the period. However, the price of live

    chicken has decreased by 7.75 % over the same period (figure 5, table 6 Appendix 2).

    Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.

    Figure 5 Average weekly chicken prices

    57,513

    (186,426)

    (1057,393)(1186,306)

    (1400,000)

    (1200,000)

    (1000,000)

    (800,000)

    (600,000)

    (400,000)

    (200,000)

    0

    200,000

    Small - less than

    10 000

    Medium - 10 000

    - 49 999

    Large - 50 000

    and over

    TOTAL

    Difference in Capacity of farms from 2010 to

    2011

    Difference Capacity

    TT$6.84TT$5.24

    TT$13.18

    TT$11.79

    TT$13.40

    TT$0.00

    TT$2.00

    TT$4.00

    TT$6.00

    TT$8.00

    TT$10.00

    TT$12.00

    TT$14.00

    TT$16.00

    Jan-10

    May-10

    Aug-10

    Nov-10

    Feb-11

    Jun-11

    Sep-11

    Dec-11

    Apr-12

    TT$

    Month-Year

    AVERAGE WEEKLY CHICKEN PRICES

    PLUCK SHOP PRICES ($ / lb)

    LIVE WEIGHT

    GROCERIES AND

    SUPERMARKETS PRICES ($ / lb)

    Linear (PLUCK SHOP PRICES ($ /

    lb) LIVE WEIGHT)

    Linear (GROCERIES AND

    SUPERMARKETS PRICES ($ / lb))

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    8/29

    =

    LITERATURE REVIEW

    Industry Analysis

    Businessdictionary.com defines a market analysis as a market assessment tool designed

    to provide a business with an idea of the complexity of a particular industry. It analyses the

    effects of an industrys profitability, economic and market factors, the performance of

    competitors, and estimates the industrys future prospects.

    Porters Five Forces

    Porter's Five Forces is a simple but powerful tool used to analyse industry attractiveness. It

    provides insights into current market position and provides opportunities to identify and

    maximise situations of strength, correct weaknesses and minimises mistakes as well as identify

    potentially profitable products and services.

    Porters five forces suggest five factors that should be analysed to determine competitive power

    in an industry. These are:

    Supplier power Buyer power Competitive rivalry Threat of new entrants Threat of substitutes

    Competitive Rivalry

    Competition is integral to the success of many market structures and is determined by analysing:

    Concentration ratio Quickmba.com defines concentration ratio as the percentage of market

    share owned by the largest m firms in an industry, where m is a specified number of firms, often

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    9/29

    ?

    four. It illustrates the market control of an industrys four largest or eight largest firms. Its

    calculated by adding their market share, CR4 or CR8.

    CONCENTRATION % POSSIBLE MARKET STRUCTURE

    No concentration 0.00 % Perfect competition, Monopolistic competition

    Total concentration 100.00 % Monoploy

    Low concentration 0 50 % Perfect and Monopolistic competition, Oligopoly

    Medium concentration 50 80 % Oligopoly

    High concentration 80 100 % Oligopoly, MonopolyTable 1 Market structure and concentration Ratio (AmosWEB 2000-2012)

    Product differentiation involves differentiating from competitors' products as well as a firm's

    own product offerings (price, quality, service, benefits, etc.) for intended customers

    Exit barriers cost related obstacles that prevent a company from exiting a market.

    Growth rate - The amount of increase a particular variable has acquired within a specified

    period of time. Rivalry is higher in markets characterised by slow growth and weaker in markets

    with faster growth.

    Threats to new entrants

    Potential Threat of New Entrants is influenced by:

    Entry barriers circumstances particular to a given industry that create disadvantages for new

    competitors attempting to enter the market (government regulations, economic factors, marketing

    conditions, capital requirements, brand loyalty). Low entry barriers represent high attractive and

    high entry barriers low attractiveness

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    10/29

    2

    Pool of entry candidates The number of persons or firms that possesses the resources

    necessary to enter the industry

    Power of suppliers

    This considers the strength of supplier-seller relationships within the industry. Supplier

    bargaining power is determined by:

    Product Availability product is readily available from many suppliers at the going market

    price.

    Switching costs - Degree of ease associated with switching from one supplier to another or to

    switch to attractive substitute inputs. High switching costs signal strong supplier bargaining

    power. Low switching costs signal weak bargaining power.

    Degree of pricing power - Addresses suppliers of items considered to be in short supply.

    Supplier bargaining power decreases with high availability and increases with low availability.

    Backward integration - Focuses on whether it makes good economic sense for industry

    members to self-manufacture items they have been buying from suppliers. Suppliers

    specializing in the high volume production of a component at a lower cost, means industry

    members could achieve via self-manufacturing.

    Threat of substitutes

    This affects the competitive environment of industry firms and influences their ability to achieve

    profitability. The availability of substitutes threatens the profitability of an industry. Lack of

    close substitutes makes an industry less competitive and increases profit potential for the firms.

    Relative price performance of substitute - Greater relative value of the substitutes, limits the

    industry profit potential

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    11/29

    2

    Buyer switching costs - High switching costs deter switching to substitutes, whilst low

    switching costs make substitutes more attractive. Typical switching costs include the time and

    convenience, costs of additional equipment, time and cost in testing, quality and reliability of the

    substitute, psychological costs of severing old supplier relationships and establishing new ones.

    Perceived level of product differentiation - Availability of a variety of differentiated products

    increases the attractiveness of buyers and reduces the threat of substitutes.

    The availability of substitutes - When greater substitute products are available, the demand is

    more elastic

    Market structure

    The characteristics of a market, includes the number, relative strengths of buyers and sellers,

    degree of collusion, competition levels of firms, extent of product differentiation, and ease of

    entry into and exit out of the market

    The market structure refers to the different characteristics such as size, number of providers,

    market share, purchasing behaviour, and growth forecast.

    Several market structures exist: Perfect Competition, Monopolistic Competition, Oligopoly and

    Monopoly. Refer to the table below

    Market

    Structure

    Seller

    Entry

    Barriers

    Seller

    Number

    Buyer

    Entry

    Barriers

    Buyers

    Number

    Product CR4 HHI

    Perfect

    CompetitionNo Many No Many

    Homogeneous 0 50 % < 1000

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    12/29

    2

    Monopolistic

    competitionNo Many No Many

    Differentiated 0 50 % < 1000

    Oligopoly Yes Few No Many

    Homogeneous /

    Differentiated

    40 100

    %

    > 1000

    Oligopsony No Many Yes Few Homogeneous

    Monopoly Yes One No ManyUnique 80 100

    %

    10000

    Monopsony No Many Yes One Differentiated

    Table 2 quick reference to basic market structures (WebFinance 2012)

    Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) Economics.about.com defines HHI as a way of

    measuring the concentration of market share held by particular suppliers in a market. HHI is the

    sum of the square of the market share of the firms competing in the industry. Its value can be as

    low as 0 and as high as 10000. The HHI value for competitive markets is below 1000; between

    1000 1800 represents a moderately concentrated market and above 1800 represents a

    concentrated market.

    ANALYSIS / DISCUSSION

    The Poultry Association of Trinidad and Tobago valued the 2010 sales of broiler meat locally at

    TT$1,300m with exports totalling TT$10m. The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

    reported in November 2005, that poultry represented 60% of agricultures contribution to gross

    domestic product (GDP). This suggests that this is a highly profitable industry with newcomers

    expecting to earn attractive profits.

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    13/29

    2

    Arawak and Company Ltd and Warner Grain Mills Limited indicated that potential entrants

    require a high start-up capital of approximately TT$2b which reduces the threat of potential

    entrants into the industry. Government regulation is a barrier to entry in the poultry industry as

    Environmental Management Authority, clearance is required before the construction of broiler

    pens and Public Health approval is required before actual operations begin.

    Production processes and operations are not protected by regulations or patents, therefore no

    licences or permits are required to do business. The poultry industry is an open market and

    information on the production process is readily available, making it quite attractive for a new

    entrant.

    Inputs for the poultry industry are easily accessible. Two of larger firms have backward

    integrated in feed production. Corn and soya bean used in the production of feed are obtained on

    a commodity market at a fixed price set by the Chicago Board of Trade, while hatching eggs,

    medication, vitamins etc. are obtained from several suppliers. This makes it easy for new

    competitors to enter the industry.

    Whilst the Muslim community prefers halaal chicken, it would seem that the majority of

    customers in the industry do not portray a significant level of brand loyalty as products are not

    unique, resulting in little or no costs of switch to another brand. Therefore a potential competitor

    has to spend very little to overcome customer loyalties and build its own clientele, making it a

    favourable industry to enter.

    Whether the industrys entry barriers are considered high or low depends on the resources and

    competencies possessed by the potential entrant. That is, if the company has sizable financial

    resources and proven competitive capabilities they may be able to combat the industrys entry

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    14/29

    2

    barriers rather easily thus making their threat greater. However, if the company does not have

    access to sizable financial resources, their threat is greatly reduced to existing firms.

    The market has various firms and so the retailer is able to choose from many producers. All

    producers provide basically identical products and so the bargaining power of Buyers would be

    substantial given the presence of competitors.

    Four firms have the majority of the market share and the price is set by the demand and supply in

    the market.

    Arawak sells 40% of their product in Supermarkets and 30% in the Food Services sector. They

    consider their partnerships with their Prestige Buyers to be a competitive advantage. Similarly,

    WGM sells 30% of their produce to restaurants and supermarkets.

    Some large retailers have bargaining power based on being Prestige Buyers. WGM has buyers

    such as PriceSmart, Tru Valu, Movietowne and Foodbasket. Arawak has buyers such as Hi Lo,

    Mc. Donalds and Prestige Holdings. The substantial value of these buyers purchases contribute

    to a large share of income for these producers which increases their power and has negotiated

    product specifications, such as pre-ready chicken, special cuts, seasoned chicken, specified size

    and weight, as well as best by date.

    The companies in the local poultry industry spend less than 5% of their revenue on advertising

    and are less focused on innovation. The local industry consists of four major firms of different

    sizes. These firms are not aggressive in their pursuit of market share. The level of differentiation

    in the poultry industry is fairly low. The top four firms can easily interchange most of their

    products with very little consequences.

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    15/29

    2

    The industry has experienced slow steady growth from 2006 to 2010. The number of broilers

    sold has increased by an average of 2.93 % per year (shown in figure 6 and table 7 Appendix

    3) with a corresponding increase in price of 4.08 % per year (shown in table 8 Appendix 4 and

    figure 7) over the same period. This low growth rate can serve to increase competition within the

    industry.

    Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.

    Figure 6 Number of broilers sold during 2006 to 2010

    Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.

    3191832652

    33140

    35499

    35664

    y = 1033.9x - 2E+06

    R = 0.9173

    31000

    32000

    33000

    34000

    35000

    3600037000

    38000

    39000

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    Number/000Bir

    ds

    Year

    NUMBER OF BROILERS SOLD DURING 2006

    TO 2010

    SALES

    Linear (SALES)

    56106

    63261 63642

    69174

    65256

    y = 2421.3x - 5E+06

    R = 0.651250000

    55000

    60000

    65000

    70000

    75000

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    Weig

    ht/000Kg

    Year

    LIVEWEIGHT OF BROILERS SOLD DURING 2006 -

    2010

    SALES

    Linear (SALES)

    38000

    72000

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    16/29

    2

    Figure 7 Live weight of broilers sold during 2006 to 2010

    In the Poultry Industry two of the top four firms are fully integrated and are not directly

    influenced by suppliers. Inputs to the poultry production process demonstrate low levels of

    product differentiation allowing firms to easily switch amongst suppliers. Also, inputs are not in

    short supply which weakens suppliers pricing ability and bargaining leverage.

    It can be concluded that bargaining power of suppliers is weak because inputs are readily

    available, switching costs are low; industry members are a threat to integrate backwards into the

    business of suppliers and self-manufacture their own inputs.

    Locally produced poultry is the least expensive option in the animal protein market with the

    prices of pork, goat, lamb, beef, imported meats and seafood ranging from 1.5 to 4.5 times the

    price of chicken.

    Substitute products are readily available at supermarkets or pluck shops; therefore, consumers

    spend very little time and incur minimal inconvenience to switch to a substitute product.

    Restaurants and groceries include a range of meat options and dishes on their menus and shelves

    which provide consumers with a wide range of choice. The consumers tastes, habits,

    demographics and income determine which product is consumed.

    The diverse and multicultural background of Trinidad and Tobago, results in a seasonal demand

    for poultry. During seasons and religious festivals, such as Lent, Divali and Christmas, poultry in

    some instances is abstained from, with consumers preferences redirected to other meats or

    seafood.

    The overall threat of substitute products was assessed as low based on mainly the relative price-

    performance of poultry when compared to other substitute products, and the increasing level of

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    17/29

    2

    product differentiation since price was considered to be the main determinant of industry

    sustainability. The completed Porters Five Forces Analysis is shown in Apendix 5 and 6.

    Market Structure

    Market

    Structure

    Seller

    Entry

    Barriers

    Seller

    Number

    Buyer

    Entry

    Barriers

    Buyers

    Number

    Product CR4 HHI

    OLIGOPOLY YES FEW NO MANY

    Homogeneous /

    Differentiated

    40 100 % > 1000

    POULTRY YES FEW NO MANYHomogeneous /

    Differentiated

    85.00 % 2766.00

    Table 3 Poultry Industry compared to Oligopoly.

    Seller Entry Barrier, seller numbers, buyer entry barriers and buyer numbers are features of the

    Oligopolistic structure that will be analysed. In an oligopoly market structure barriers to entry

    exist where EMA (Environmental Management Authority) must grant a Certificate of

    Environmental Clearance (CEC) for establishment of all Poultry and Animal Husbandry

    Production. Start-up capital can be considered yet another barrier where the requirement is

    approximately TT$2 billion if one wants to compete with the four larger firms.

    The poultry industry has several sellers including pluck shops and small scale farmers; however

    Arawak, Warner Grains Mills (WGM), Nutrina and Mastermix account for approximately 85%

    of the overall market share. There are no barriers for entry into this industry by buyers as they

    are free to purchase from whom they deem more economical or by taste preference. The industry

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    18/29

    2

    has many buyers, some of which are; Pricesmart, True Value, Marios, Movietown, foodbasket,

    KFC, Mc Donalds, Japs, Pollo Tropical just to name a few.

    In analysing the four firm concentration (CR4) ratio (Table 4 ) it was clear that Trinidad and

    Tobagos Poultry Industry has an oligopoly market structure as the four largest poultry firms

    combined holds more than 50% of the market share, together they hold approximately 85%

    market share.

    Based on the analysis, Trinidad and Tobagos poultry industry can be classified as an Oligopoly

    market structure, as the market is dominated by four (4) companies that holds majority of the

    market share, being Arawak, WGM, Nutrina and Mastermix with Arawak holding majority share

    out of the four.

    TOP 4 FIRMS

    Market

    Share / %

    Market Share

    ^2

    Arawak & Company LTD 45.00 2025.00

    WGM 25.00 625.00

    Nutrina Farms 10.00 100.00

    Mastermix Farms 4.00 16.00

    Concentration Ratio, CR4 85.00

    HHI 2766.00

    Table 4 CR4 and HHI of Trinidad & Tobago Poultry Industry

    NOTE: The market share of

    Nutrina and Mastermix farms has

    been estimated based on their

    customer base.

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    19/29

    0

    Prices in an oligopoly are usually lower than in a monopoly, but higher than it would be in a

    competitive market and also tends to remain stable because if one company lowers the price too

    much, then the others will do the same. The result lowers the profit margin for all the companies,

    but is great for the consumer. On the downside however output in this type of industry would be

    less than in a competitive market and more than in a monopoly. Research and development (or

    innovation), location, packaging, marketing can be considered competing forces among

    companies in an oligopoly. Major barriers such as economies of scale, access to technology,

    patents, and actions of the businesses keep companies from joining oligopolies. Barriers can also

    be imposed by the government, such as limiting the number of licenses that are issued.

    CONCLUSION

    The poultry industry in Trinidad and Tobago plays an important role in the agriculture sector.

    The number of birds produced has grown at a rate of 2.93 % from 2006 to 2010 with a

    corresponding 4.08 % increase in the live weight of broilers resulting in over 65 million Kg of

    chicken sold in 2010.

    Firms trying to enter the industry have to overcome some entry barriers resulting in few sellers.

    Correspondingly, it is very easy for buyers to enter the market leading to a large number of

    buyers. The products in the industry are considered to be differentiated products. The

    concentration ratio of the top four firms is approximately 85 % with a Herfindahl-Hirschman

    Index of approximately 2500.

    These factors support our conclusion that the market structure is an Oligopoly.

    Firms in an Oligopoly can influence the price and quantity of a product in many ways. Two such

    ways are collusion (Cartel) or follow a kinked demand curve.

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    20/29

    0

    Figure 6 Kinked demand curve (Economicshelp n.d.)

    The Kinked Demand Curve (Figure 6) maximises profits at Q1, P1 where MR=MC. Thus a

    change in MC, may not change the market price.

    Assumptions:

    Firms are profit maximisers. Demand is price elastic for price increases. Demand is inelastic for price decreases

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    21/29

    Figure 7 Demand curve for a collusive Oligopoly (Cartel) (Economicshelp n.d.)

    Collusion in an Oligopoly leads to the formation of a Cartel. Once formed, firms will try to fix

    prices and determine quotas at the level that maximizes profits. The industry will set a quantity

    of QM (shown in figure 7) and a corresponding price of PM. The Quantity QM distributed

    between the firms in the industry.

    BIBLIOGRAPHY

    Abdolreza Abbassian, Paul Racionzer, Concepcin Calpe, Peter Thoenes, El Mamoun Amrouk, Nancy

    Morgan, Michael Griffin, Audun Lem,. Food Outlook, Global Market Analysis. June 2011.

    http://www.fao.org/docrep/014/al978e/al978e00.pdf (accessed 03 08, 2012).

    About.com, Economics. The H Index (The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index) . 2012. (accessed 03 18, 2012).

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    22/29

    AmosWEB. Concentration ratios. 2000-2012. http://www.amosweb.com/cgi-

    bin/awb_nav.pl?s=wpd&c=dsp&k=concentration+ratios (accessed 03 17, 2012).

    Arthur A. Thompson, Jr., A. J. Strickland 111, John N. Gramble. Crafting and Executing Strategy: The

    Quest for Competitive Advantage: Concepts and Cases, 17/e. McGraw-Hill Higher Education,

    2010.

    Barriers to exit. 2012. http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/barriers-to-exit.asp#axzz1oxKLyWfn

    (accessed 03 12, 2012).

    Co., M. Hamel-Smith &. Environmental approval. 2009.

    http://www.trinidadlaw.com/home/general/content.aspx?CategoryID=19&SubCategoryID=63

    (accessed 03 13, 2012).

    Division, Agricultural Planning. Average weekly prices of chicken. Poultry Bulletin, August 2011: 6.

    . Average weekly prices of chicken. Poultry Bulletin, July 2011: 6.

    . Average weekly prices of chicken. Poultry Bulletin, September 2011: 6.

    . Average weekly prices of chicken. Poultry Bulletin, October 2011: 6.

    . Average weekly prices of chicken. Poultry Bulletin, November 2011: 6.

    . Average weekly prices of chicken. Poultry Bulletin, December 2011: 6.

    Economicshelp. Oligopoly diagram. n.d. www.economicshelp.org/microessays/markets/oligopoly-

    diagram.html (accessed 03 19, 2012).

    Fintonin. Market structure, Monolopy, Oligopoly, Monopolistic and Perfect Competition. 2011.

    http://fintowin.com/2011/07/market-structure-monopoly-oligopoly-monopolistic-and-perfect-

    competition/ (accessed 03 18, 2012).

    inc, Farlex.poultry. 2012. http://encyclopedia2.thefreedictionary.com/poultry (accessed 03 12, 2012).

    inc, Webfinance. barriers to entry. 2012. http://www.investorwords.com/425/barriers_to_entry.html

    (accessed 03 17, 2012).

    Inc, Webfinance. Market structure. 2012. http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/market-

    structure.html#ixzz1pKFFlK3o (accessed 03 16, 2012).

    Industry analysis. 2012. http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/industry-analysis.html (accessed

    03 12, 2012).

    Inna Punda, Dmitry Prikhodko.Agribusiness Handbook, Poultry, Meats and Eggs. 2010.

    http://www.fao.org/docrep/012/al175e/al175e.pdf (accessed 03 08, 2012).

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    23/29

    Investpedia. Herfindahl-Hirschman Index - HHI. 2012.

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hhi.asp#axzz1pQseQY30 (accessed 03 18, 2112).

    Koopman, Philip. How to write an abstract. October 1997.

    http://www.ece.cmu.edu/~koopman/essays/abstract.html (accessed 03 18, 2012).

    Lovetoknow, Corp. Oligopoly Examples. 1996-2012. http://examples.yourdictionary.com/oligopoly-

    examples.html (accessed 03 16, 2012).

    Ltd, Bloombury Information. Market structure. 2011. http://www.qfinance.com/dictionary/market-

    structure (accessed 03 15, 2012).

    Ltd, Bloomsbury Information. Market structure. 2009-2011.

    http://www.qfinance.com/dictionary/market-structure (accessed 03 16, 2012).

    ltd, planning & controls solutions. Industry analysis, what is industry analysis. 2012.

    http://businesscoaching.typepad.com/the_business_coaching_blo/2008/04/industry-

    analys.html (accessed 03 12, 2012).

    Madison, The writing center @ the University of Wisconsin -.Abstracts examples. n.d.

    http://writing.wisc.edu/Handbook/presentations_abstracts_examples.html (accessed 03 18,

    2012).

    Office, Central Statistical. Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354. Poultry Bulletin, January 2011: 1-13.

    Philip K.Y Young, John J. McAuley. Industry Concentration. 2010.

    http://www.quickmba.com/econ/micro/indcon.shtml (accessed 03 12, 2012).

    Product differentiation. 2012. http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/product-

    differentiation.html (accessed 03 12, 2012).

    Tobago, Poultry Association of Trinidad and. The Poultry Industry, A national Asset Worth Defending.

    Port of Spain, 2011.

    tutor2U. Kinked demand curve under Oligopoly. n.d.

    http://tutor2u.net/economics/content/topics/monopoly/kinked_demand.htm (accessed 03 12,

    2012).

    Ulc, Investopedia. Oilgopoly. 2012.

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/oligopoly.asp#axzz1pND9KroW (accessed 03 13, 2012).

    WebFinance, Inc. Market structure. 2012. http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/market-

    structure.html#ixzz1pKFFlK3o (accessed 03 16, 2012).

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    24/29

    APPENDICES

    Appendix 1

    SIZE OF FARM (square

    feet)

    January 2011 January 2010

    Difference Difference

    Number Capacity Number Capacity Number Capacity

    Small - less than 10 000 239 1375,949 233 1318,436 6 57,513

    Medium - 10 000 - 49 999 274 5431,971 266 5618,397 8 (186,426)

    Large - 50 000 and over 43 3241,446 47 4298,839 (4) (1057,393)

    TOTAL 556 10049,366 546 11235,672 10 (1186,306)

    Change in the number of farms 2% Change in capacity -11%Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.

    Table 5 Numbers of broilers farms in Trinidad and Tobago

    Appendix 2

    MONTH

    PLUCK SHOP

    PRICES ($ / lb)

    LIVE WEIGHT

    GROCERIES AND

    SUPERMARKETS

    PRICES ($ / lb)

    May-10 TT$5.68 TT$11.59

    Jun-10 TT$6.84 TT$11.98

    Jul-10 TT$5.49 TT$12.61

    Aug-10 TT$5.82 TT$13.18

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    25/29

    Sep-10 TT$5.86 TT$12.72

    Oct-10 TT$5.92 TT$11.79

    Nov-10 TT$5.91 TT$12.70

    Dec-10 TT$6.00 TT$13.17

    Jan-11

    Feb-11

    Mar-11

    Apr-11

    May-11 TT$5.42 TT$11.81

    Jun-11 TT$5.49 TT$13.34

    Jul-11 TT$5.56 TT$11.79

    Aug-11 TT$5.46 TT$11.79

    Sep-11 TT$5.56 TT$13.15

    Oct-11 TT$5.56 TT$13.00

    Nov-11 TT$5.12 TT$12.68

    Dec-11 TT$5.24 TT$13.40

    CHANGE -7.75% 15.62%

    Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.

    Table 6 Average weekly price of chicken

    Appendix 3000 Birds

    PERIOD SALES

    WHOLESALE RETAIL

    TOTAL

    CONTRACTORS

    / PROCESSORS

    NONCONTRACTOR TOTAL LIVE

    KILLED

    AND

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    26/29

    DRESSED

    2006 31918 31888 29267 2621 30 16 14

    2007 32652 32566 29478 3090 86 45 41

    2008 33140 33061 27643 5418 79 25 54

    2009 35499 35462 28589 6873 37 7 30

    2010 35664 35647 26758 8890 17 4 13

    Growth Rate 2.93%

    Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.

    Table 7 Numbers of broilers sold during 2006 to 2010

    Appendix 4

    000 Kg

    PERIOD SALES

    WHOLESALE RETAIL

    TOTAL

    CONTRACTORS

    / PROCESSORS

    NONCONTRACTOR TOTAL LIVE

    KILLED

    AND

    DRESSED

    2006 56106 56016 51629 4387 90 54 36

    2007 63261 63134 56888 6246 127 55 72

    2008 63642 63449 61797 11652 193 40 153

    2009 69174 69104 54516 14588 70 8 62

    2010 65256 65214 47668 17547 42 7 35

    Growth Rate 4.08%Source: Central Statistical Office, Poultry Bulletin, Vol.13, No.354, January, 2011.

    Table 8 Live weights of broilers sold during 2006 to 2010

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    27/29

    ?

    Appendix 5

    Inputs Processing of Poultry Outputs

    Feed (wheat or corn) Equipment/Machinery Live poultry

    Baby Chicks (Hatcheries) Skill Packaged meats

    Vitamins Expertise

    Distribution to

    retailers/consumers

    Hormones Packaging Processed meats

    Labour Live Storage/Pens

    Vaccines Cold Storage

    Quality Assurance

    Inspection and Testing

    Table 9 components of the poultry industry

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    28/29

    Appendix 6

    Exit costs are relatively low

    Industry concentration is high

    Fixed costs are relatively high

    Industry growth is low

    Insignificant product

    differences

    Switching costs are low

    Low brand loyalty

    High capital investment

    Medium government regulations -

    EMA and Health certificates

    Relatively easy access to inputs.

    Low level of brand loyalty

    There is no significant protection via

    patents.

    Buyer switching cost is low

    Many buyers of various sizes

    Customers could grow their ow

    poultry for their own use.

    Product differentiation has mediu

    significance

    Many substitutes are available b

    are more costly

    Small number of suppliers

    Differentiation of inputs is

    insignificant

    Inputs are readily available

    Switching costs are low

    Possibility of backward

    integration is moderate

    Switching costs are low

    Substitutes are readily

    available

    Many substitutes are available

    but are more costly

    COMPETITIVERIVALRY

    THREAT OF

    NEW ENTRY

    SUPPLIER POWER

    MEDIUM

    LOW

    MODERATE

    LOW

    MODERATE

    THREAT OF

    SUBSTITUTION

    BUYER POWER

  • 8/2/2019 Poultry Industry Forward5

    29/29

    ?

    Table 10 Porters Five Forces Analysis of the Poultry Analysis of Trinidad & Tobago