post occupation iraq the brittleness of political institutions
TRANSCRIPT
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8/2/2019 Post Occupation Iraq the Brittleness of Political Institutions
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IKDDCJ JG]T ^VHAVGIHMMG]KHLGC ^G^JV ]JVKJ] ]^VKLA 6>76
7
Tbj qkltj ho
Ggf dk}mhltjlt#
qbkmb fjagl qktb
hlj igmgfj gmt ho
}jco)}gmkokmj f{ g
Tzlk}kgl }tjjt vjl)
dh kl Djmjifj
6>7># qg} mbggmtj)
kpjd f{ ig}}kvj gld qkdj}~jgd djihl}tg)
tkhl}# ~htj}t}# gld kht} gagkl}t jltjlmbjd
Ggf gztbhktgkgl jakij}, F{ tbj }~kla
ho 6>76# tbj}j z~k}kla} bgd }zmmjjdjd klekmekla hzt ho hookmj tbj dkmtgth} ho Tzlk}kg#
Ja{~t# Ckf{g# gld [jijl# qbh fjtqjjl tbji
bgd gig}}jd lh cj}} tbgl 76? {jg} ho gzth)
mgtkm zcj, Glhtbj dkmtgth# tbgt ho ]{kg#
qbh gchla qktb bk} ogtbj bgd zcjd tbj mhzl)
t{ oh hvj 4> {jg}# k} ihzltkla g bhikmkdgc
g}}gzct hl bk} hql ~jh~cj kl g jcjltcj}} gld
fchhd{ mkvkc qg, Kl gcc ho tbj}j jz~tkhl}#
tbj ~jh~cj qjj ho hlj vhkmj# djigldkla gl
jld th tbj }jjiklac{ jldcj}} Ggf gztbhktg)
kgl igcgk}j gld tbj kl}tktztkhl ho djihmgtkm
}tzmtzj}# th fj }~jgbjgdjd f{ jcjmtkhl} tbgt
oh tbj ok}t tkij kl djmgdj} qhzcd fj ojj
gld ogk,
G} kl htbj Ggf mhzltkj}# ig}} djihl)
}tgtkhl} dkd igej gl g~~jgglmj kl Kgw# fzt
tbj}j qjj mhi~ggtkvjc{ }igcc gld cgmejd tbj
}tg{kla ~hqj ho tbj hlj} tbgt bgd th~~cjd
jakij} gld(h ~czlajd mhzltkj} klth fchhd)
}bjd, Qbgt dk}tklazk}bjd tbj ~htj}t} kl Kgw
qg} tbj lgtzj ho tbjk djmcgjd ahgc}# kl
qbkmb tbj djigld} oh ojj jcjmtkhl} gld oj}bogmj} tbgt bgd djokljd tbj z~k}kla} kl htbj
Ggf mhzltkj} qjj gcih}t gf}jlt, Gld tbk}
qg} bgdc{ }z~k}kla5 tbj Kgwk ahvjlijlt
ho ^kij Iklk}tj Lzk gc)Igckek bgd fjjl kl
~hqj oh cj}} tbgl }kr {jg}# bgvkla fjjl ~zt
tbjj f{ tbj Kgwk} tbji}jcvj} kl tqh ojj gld
ogk jcjmtkhl} kl Djmjifj 6>>: gld Igmb
6>7>, Ko tbj ~htj}th} qjj djihl}tgtkla
gfhzt gl{tbkla# kt qg} tbj gf{}igc ~joh)
iglmj ho tbj ojjc{ jcjmtjd Igckek ahvjlijlt
IKDDCJ JG]T
^VHAVGI
^h}t Hmmz~gtkhl Kvgw0Tbj Fvkttcjlj}} ho ^hcktkmgc Kl}tktztkhl}
]^VKLA6>76
HMMG]KHLGC ^G^JV ]JVKJ]
Gdjjd Dgqk}bg# ^zfckm ^hckm{]mbhcg# Qhhdhq Qkc}hl Mjltj gld
Dk}tklazk}bjd ^hoj}}h ho ^hcktkmgc
]mkjlmj# Ikgik Zlkvj}kt{# Hbkh
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IKDDCJ JG]T ^VHAVGIHMMG]KHLGC ^G^JV ]JVKJ] ]^VKLA 6>76
6
Tbj Ikddcj Jg}t ^vhavgi qg} cgzlmbjd kl Ojfvzgv{ 7;;2 kl ckabt hoklmvjg}jd Z,], jlagajijlt kl tbj vjakhl gld tbj ~vhohzld mbglaj}}qjj~kla gmvh}} igl{ Ikddcj Jg}tjvl }tgtj}, Kl gddktkhl th }~htckabtkla
dg{)th)dg{ k}}zj}# tbj ^vhavgi mhlmjltvgtj} hl chla)tjvi jmhlhikm# }hmkgc#gld ~hcktkmgc djjch~ijlt}# g} qjcc g} vjcgtkhl} qktb tbj Zlktjd ]tgtj},
Tbj Ikddcj Jg}t vhavgi dvgq} hl dhij}tkm gld ohvjkal vjakhlgc jr~jvt}ohv kt} ijjtkla}# mhlojvjlmj}# gld hmmg}khlgc ~g~jv}, Mhlojvjlmj} gldijjtkla} g}}j}} tbj ~hckm{ ki~ckmgtkhl} ho gcc g}~jmt} ho djjch~ijlt}qktbkl tbj vjakhl gld kldkkdzgc }tgtj}5 tbj Ikddcj Jg}t} vhcj kl tbj kltjvlg)tkhlgc gvjlg5 Gijvkmgl kltjvj}t} kl tbj vjakhl5 tbj tbvjgt ho tjvvhvk}i5 gvi}~vhckojvgtkhl5 gld }tvgtjakm tbvjgt} th gld ovhi tbj vjakhlgc }tgtj},
Tbj ^vhavgi ~g{} }~jmkgc gttjltkhl th tbj vhcj ho qhijl# {hztb# mkkc}hmkjt{ kl}tktztkhl}# K}cgi# gld djihmvgtkm gld gzthmvgtkm tjldjlmkj}, Klgddktkhl# tbj Ikddcj Jg}t ^vhavgi bh}t} ijjtkla} hl mzctzvgc k}}zj}# klmczd)kla mhltji~hvgv{ gvt gld cktjvgtzvj kl tbj vjakhl,
Mzjlt Googk}0 Tbj Ikddcj Jg}t ^vhavgi ji~bg}kpj} glgc{}k} ho mzv)vjlt k}}zj} gld tbjkv ki~ckmgtkhl} ohv chla)tjvi djjch~ijlt} kl tbj vjakhl#klmczdkla0 tbj jjlt} }zvvhzldkla tbj z~vk}kla} ho 6>77 kl tbj IkddcjJg}t gld kt} joojmt hl jmhlhikm# ~hcktkmgc gld }hmkgc ckoj kl mhzltvkj} kl tbjvjakhl# tbj klmvjg}jd z}j ho }hmkgc ijdkg# tbj vhcj ho {hztb# ^gcj}tklkgl)K}vgjck dk~chigm{# Kvgl} ~hcktkmgc gld lzmcjgv gifktkhl}# tbj dvgqdhqlho Gijvkmgl tvhh~} kl Goabglk}tgl gld Kvgw gld tbjkv joojmt hl tbj vjakhl#bzigl vkabt} khcgtkhl}# achfgckpgtkhl# jmhlhikm gld ~hcktkmgc ~gvtljv}bk~}#gld Z,], ohvjkal ~hckm{ kl tbj vjakhl,
Ajldj K}}zj}0 Tbj Ikddcj Jg}t ^vhavgi djhtj} mhl}kdjvgfcj gttjl)tkhl th tbj vhcj ho qhijl kl gdglmkla mkkc }hmkjt{ gld th tbj gttktzdj}ho ahjvlijlt} gld tbj mcjvkmgc mhiizlkt{ thqgvd qhijl} vkabt} kl tbjogikc{ gld }hmkjt{ gt cgvaj, Tbj ^vhavgi jrgiklj} ji~ch{ijlt ~gttjvl}#jdzmgtkhl# cjagc vkabt}# gld ~hcktkmgc ~gvtkmk~gtkhl ho qhijl kl tbj vjakhl,Tbj ^vhavgi gc}h bg} g ejjl kltjvj}t kl jr~chvkla qhijl} klmvjg}kla vhcj}kl mhlockmt ~vjjltkhl gld ~h}t)mhlockmt vjmhl}tvzmtkhl gmtkktkj},
K}cgi# Djihmgm{ gld Mkvkc ]hmkjt{0 Tbj Ikddcj Jg}t vhavgi ihlkthv}tbj avhqkla djigld ho ~jh~cj kl tbj vjakhl ohv tbj tvgl}ktkhl th djihm)vgtkpgtkhl# ~hcktkmgc ~gvtkmk~gtkhl# gmmhzltgfcj ahjvlijlt# tbj vzcj ho cgq#gld gdbjvjlmj f{ tbjkv ahjvlijlt} th kltjvlgtkhlgc mhljltkhl}# bzigl
vkabt}# gld qhijl} vkabt}, Kt mhltklzj} th jrgiklj tbj vhcj ho K}cgikmihjijlt} gld tbj vhcj ho K}cgikm ~gvtkj} kl }bg~kla ~hcktkmgc gld }hmkgcdjjch~ijlt} gld tbj gvkjt{ ho ogmthv} tbgt oghv hv hf}tvzmt tbj jr~gl}khlho mkkc }hmkjt{,
DkvjmthvDv, Bgcjb J}ogldkgvk
G}}k}tglt}Ejldvg Bjkdjigl
Ihlg [hz}}jo
]~jmkgc tbgle}]~jmkgc tbgle} th Ejldvg
Bjkdjigl gld Ihlg[hz}}jo ohv mhhvdklgtkla
gld jdktkla tbk} ~zfckmgtkhl5@hgllg Gfdgccgb ohv
jdktkla g}}k}tglmj5 Dkglg
Ikmbjck ohv dj}kalkla tbjHmmg}khlgc ^g~jv ]jvkj}5gld Dgkd Bgqrbzv}t ohv
tgekla tbj ~bhthavg~b,
Tbj ohcchqkla ~g~jv k} fg}jd hl tbj gztbhv} ~vj}jltgtkhl gt tbj
Qhhdvhq Qkc}hl Kltjvlgtkhlgc Mjltjv ohv ]mbhcgv} hl Ojfvzgv{ 7:#
6>76, Tbj h~klkhl} jr~vj}}jd bjvjkl gvj tbh}j ho tbj gztbhv gld dh
lht vjocjmt tbh}j ho tbj Qhhdvhq Qkc}hl Mjltjv,
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8/2/2019 Post Occupation Iraq the Brittleness of Political Institutions
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kl ~hvkdkla fg}km }jvkmj}# ~gtkmzcgc{ g jazcg }z~~c{ ho
jcjmtkmkt{, Kl gddktkhl# ~htj}tj} djmkjd tbj }jjikla ki~h)
tjlmj ho ~gckgijlt kl dk}mbgakla kt} djihmgtkm ozlmtkhl}#
th }g{ lhtbkla ho tbj ~jvg}kvj mhz~tkhl kl qbkmb ahvjl)
ijltgc gld jcjmtjd hookmkgc} }jjijd th fj ikjd,
Lht tbgt tbj Igckek ahvjlijlt qhzcd fj mbggmtj)kpjd g} tbj }tgldgd fjgj ho djihmgtkm ~gmtkmj} oh tbj
j}t ho tbj Ggf}# lh qg} Igckek bki}jco g ~ggahl ho
djihmgtkm vktzj, Fzt tbj ~hklt bjj k} tbgt ~htj}th} kl
Ja{~t# Tzlk}kg# gld jc}jqbjj qjj ~zttkla tbjk ckvj} hl tbj
cklj th ajt tbj vj{ kabt} tbgt Kgwk} bgd gcjgd{ hftgkljd
gotj tbj hz}tj ho ]gddgi Bz}}jkl gld bgd z}jd kl ojjc{
mbhh}kla tbjk ~hcktkmgc j~j}jltgtkvj}, Qbjl g}ejd gfhzt
tbj djihl}tgtkhl} kl Kgw# g ojigcj mhccjaj }tzdjlt ohi
tbj ]zllk ~hvklmj ho gc)Glfg# qbh qg} lht ~gtkmzcgc{
jlgihjd qktb tbj ]bkktj)dhiklgtjd Igckek ahvjlijlt#
azdaklac{ mhlmjdjd tbgt tbj ~htj}t} dkd ~hvj tbj jrk})
tjlmj ho g }igcc ~gt ho djihmgm{, Gotj gcc# }bj qhzcd
gdikt# qbjl ]gddgi qg} bjj# lht jvjl hlj Kgwk mhzcd ah
hzt kl ~htj}t fjmgz}j bj qhzcd fj ekccjd,7 ]tkcc# g }igcc
~gt ho djihmgm{ k} bgdc{ g klakla jldh}jijlt ho Kgw}
~hcktkmgc }{}tji,
Qbkcj tbj ~jh~cj ho Kgw bgd lh gazijlt qktb tbj mhl)
dzmt ho tbj jcjmthgc ~hmj}}# kt qg} mcjg tbgt f{ tbj }~kla
gld }ziij ho 6>77 tbj{ bgd fjmhij cj}} }glazklj gfhzt
tbjk cjgdj} jifgmj ho djihmgtkm vgczj} gld ~gmtkmj},
Qbgt Kgwk} dk}mhvjjd qg} tbgt ~zttkla }hijhlj kl hookmjdjihmgtkmgcc{ k} hlj tbkla5 ajttkla bki th fjbgvj djihmgtk)
mgcc{ qg} glhtbj tbkla gcthajtbj, Tbj okdjckt{ ho tbj ~kij
iklk}tj th djihmgm{# gld th tbj lhtkhl} ho mhi~hik}j gld
mhlmj}}khl tbgt gj j}}jltkgc jcjijlt} ho djihmgtkm ~gmtkmj}#
}jjijd okmecj gt fj}t, Tkij gld tkij gagkl# Igckek }jjijd th
mhl}kdj tbj }{}tji ho mbjme} gld fgcglmj} lht g} gl j}}jltkgc
jcjijlt ho djihmgm{# fzt g} gl kktglt ~hcktkmgc ki~h}ktkhl
tbgt bj qhzcd acgdc{ dk}mgd h mkmzivjlt, Gld tbk} gttktzdj
}bhzcd lht bgvj mhij g} g }z~k}j, Kgw} ~kij iklk}tj
mhzcd bgdc{ fj }gkd th bgvj fjjl kiij}jd kl tbj ekld ho
~hcktkmgc mzctzj tbgt qhzcd ~j~gj bki th fj g tzj djih)mgtkm cjgdj, Kldjjd bk} ~hcktkmgc ckoj ~hklt} th tbj mhltg{0
bj jgmbjd ~hcktkmgc igtzgtkhl zldj tbj }bgdhq ho ]gddgi
Bz}}jkl} ~hmz}tjgl gzthmgm{# fjmgij g ijifj ho g mcgl)
dj}tklj gld bkjgmbkmgc K}cgik}t ]bkktj ~gt{# gld tbjl }~jlt
g ckoj ho jrkcj qktb tbj izccgb} ho Kgl gld kl ]{kg zldj tbj
G}}gd t{gllkmgc d{lg}t{g eljj)`je djihmgt# Kgw} ~kij
iklk}tj qg} lht,
Tbj Kvgwk Jcjmtkhl}
Igckek} gtbj qg~jd vkjq ho djihmgm{ fjmgij jvkdjlt
kiijdkgtjc{ gotj tbj j}zct} ho tbj 6>7> ajljgc jcjmtkhl}
qjj gllhzlmjd, Tbj 6>7> jcjmtkhl} gld kt} j{j)h~jlkla
j}zct} mgllht fj zldj}thhd qktbhzt gl g~~jmkgtkhl hotbj ~hcktkmgc djvjch~ijlt} kl Kgw }klmj tbj ohmkfcj hz}tj
ho ]gddgi Bz}}jkl, Tbhzabhzt tbj mhzlt{} bk}th{# g
]zllk Ggf iklhkt{ "gfhzt 6> ~jmjlt ho tbj ~h~zcgtkhl+
bgd ihlh~hckpjd ~hcktkmgc ~hqj hvj g ]bkktj Ggf ig`hkt{
"ghzld ?> ~jmjlt+ gld g lhl)Ggf Ezdk}b mhiizlkt{
tbgt klbgfktjd tbj ihzltgklhz} lhtb gld mhl}tktztjd }hij
71 ~jmjlt ho tbj ~h~zcgtkhl, Tbj dhiklglmj ho tbj ]zllk}
gttgkljd gl ji~bgtkm gld vkhcjlt mbggmtj zldj ]gddgi
Bz}}jkl} jakij tbgt klmczdjd ajlhmkdgc g}}gzct} gagkl}t tbj
Ezd} gld ]bkktj}, G} g j}zct ho tbj h~jlkla ho tbj ~hcktk)
mgc }~gmj gotj ]gddgi} hz}tj gld tbj jz~tkhl ho jtblh)
}jmtgkgl tjl}khl} gld vkhcjlmj# tbj ok}t ajljgc jcjmtkhl tbgt
hmmzjd kl Djmjifj 6>>: ~hdzmjd g wzkltj}}jltkgcc{ }jm)
tgkgl vhtj, ]bkktj} vhtjd oh ]bkktj ~gtkj}# ]zllk} vhtjd oh
]zllk ~gtkj}# gld Ezd} vhtjd oh Ezdk}b ~gtkj}, Tbj hlc{
~gt{ tbgt j}~hz}jd lhl)}jmtgkgl gld lhl)jtblkm gttktzdj}#
gc)Kgwk{g zldj tbj cjgdj}bk~ ho tbj okjmjc{ }jmzcg G{gd
Gccgqk# qg} bgldjd g dzffkla kl tbj jcjmtkhl}# jmjkvkla lh
ihj tbgl jkabt ~jmjlt ho tbj Lgtkhlgc G}}jifc{ }jgt},
Igckek# qbh fjchlajd th tbj Dgqg ~gt{# g ijifj ho
tbj ]bkktj mhgcktkhl tbgt qhl gcih}t bgco ho tbj ~gckgijltg{}jgt}# fjmgij ~kij iklk}tj gld }~jlt tbj ok}t tqh {jg} ho
bk} tjlzj fjbhcdjl th tbj htbj ~hqjozc okazj} kl tbj ]bkktj
mhgcktkhl,6 Gotj g tjhk}t fhifkla ho hlj ho ]bkktj K}cgi}
bhckj}t ih}wzj} kl Ojfzg{ 6>>?# g mkvkc qg fjtqjjl ]zllk}
gld ]bkktj} jz~tjd# tzlkla tbj mhzlt{ klth g fchhd{ gld
cgqcj}} cgld qbjj tbj ahvjlijlt mhzcd dh ckttcj th ~htjmt
mktkpjl}, F{ tbj jld ho 6>>1# Igckek bgd fjmhij tbj fztt ho
mktkmk}i} dhij}tkmgcc{ gld ohi gfhgd, Bj qg} fjckttcjd oh
fjkla qjge gld kljoojmtzgc# gld oh fjkla thtgcc{ fjbhcdjl th
vgkhz} ]bkktj ahz~} gld tbjk agldjj}, Fzt tbkla} qhzcd
mbglaj }tgtkla kl tbj }~kla ho 6>>2,
Bgvkla qktlj}}jd tbj }zmmj}} ho tbj Gijkmgl} kl }zfdz)
kla tbj ]zllk kl}zajlm{ tbhzab hvjqbjcikla ohmj gld f{
mhgrkla tbj ]zllk tkfj} gqg{ ohi gc)Wgjdg# Igckek djmkdjd
th tgej hl tbj ]bkktj Igbdk Gi{ gld kt} cjgdj# tbj {hzla
okjfgld mcjkm# Ihwtgdg gc)]gd, Tbj Igbdk Gi{ bgd
j}tgfck}bjd ~hcktkmgc gld }jmzkt{ mhlthc hvj g cgaj }qgtb ho
]bkktj gjg}# klmczdkla tbj ~ht mkt{ ho Fg}g# Kgw} tbkd cga)
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IKDDCJ JG]T ^VHAVGIHMMG]KHLGC ^G^JV ]JVKJ] ]^VKLA 6>76
4
j}t mkt{# gld tbj Fgabdgd ljkabfhbhhd# ho ]gd Mkt{# bhij
th hvj tqh ikcckhl ]bkktj}, Kl Igmb# Kgwk }jmzkt{ ohmj}#
fgmejd f{ Gijkmgl gld Fktk}b gk ~hqj gld chak}tkmgc }z~)
~ht# cgzlmbjd g ig}}kvj gttgme hl tbj Igbdk Gi{ kl Fg}g#
gld f{ Ig{ tbj{ bgd tgejl mhlthc ho tbj mkt{ gld j}tgfck}bjd
g ijg}zj ho lhigcm{, Fjohj chla tbj ~gttjl qg} j~jgtkla
kt}jco kl htbj ]bkktj} thql} gld gjg} kl tbj }hztb, Fzt ~j)
bg~} Igckek} fkaaj}t }zmmj}} qg} djojgtkla tbj Igbdk Gi{
kl ]gd Mkt{# qbjl hvj 7>#>>> ahvjlijlt thh~} qhzcd
jltj tbj ]bkktj ljkabfhbhhd# fklakla g mgci lht }jjl oh
g lzifj ho {jg},
Tbj }tgtj} vkmth{ hvj cgqcj}} ~ggikcktg{ ahz~}
fhzabt Igckek izmb ezdh} gihla tbj ~h~zcgtkhl, Tgekla
bjgt ohi tbj qkdj}~jgd ~h~zcgkt{ tbgt mgij hl tbj bjjc}
ho tbj ljqc{)ohzld g}}jtkvjlj}} ho tbj }tgtj gld kt} kl}tktz)
tkhl}# Igckek ohijd bk} hql ~gt{# mgcckla kt tbj ]tgtj hotbj Cgq "]HC+, Bj djlhzlmjd }jmtgkglk}i gld gdvhmgtjd
g vkahhz} j}~hz}gc ho Kgwk lgtkhlgck}i, Igckek} dgigtkm
tgl}ohigtkhl ohi }jmtgkgl th lgtkhlgck}t# ohi qjge th
}thla# qhzcd fjg ozkt} kl tbj 6>>; chmgc jcjmtkhl}, ]jjl g}
tbj ~j}hl j}~hl}kfcj oh fklakla fgme tbj gztbhkt{ ho tbj
}tgtj# tbj vhtj} qhzcd vhtj bjgvkc{ oh tbj ]HC# ~gtkmzcgc{
kl ]bkktj gjg}, Tbj j}zct} }bhqjd tbgt tbj ]HC agljjd
ihj vhtj} tbgl gl{ htbj jcjmthgc jltkt{ kl lh ojqj tbgl
; ho tbj 74 ~hvklmj} tbgt bjcd jcjmtkhl} "tbj tbjj Ezdk}b
~hvklmj} ho Kfkc# ]zcg{iglk{gb# gld Dzbhe# g} qjcc g} tbj
dk}~ztjd ~hvklmj ho Ekeze# dkd lht bhcd chmgc jcjmtkhl}+,
Lh qhldj tbgt Igckek gld bk} ~gt{ qhzcd ah klth tbj
Igmb 1# 6>7> ajljgc jcjmtkhl} mhlokdjlt ho vkmth{, Bj
jr~jmtjd th ajt jlhzab vhtj} th fj gfcj th dkmtgtj mhgcktkhl
tji} h jvjl# qktb g fkt ho czme# th }wzjjpj tbhzab qktb
gl hztkabt ig`hkt{, Fzt th bk} }z~k}j "gld th tbj }z~k}j
ho htbj}+# kt }hhl fjmgij mcjg tbgt tbj oklgc hztmhij qg}
ajlzkljc{ kl dhzft, Kl igl{ qg{}# tbk} zlmjtgklt{ gookijd
tbj }tj~} Kgw bgd tgejl hl tbj ~gtb th djihmgm{, Gdgi
^pjqh}ek jikld} z}0 tbj ~hmj}} ho j}tgfck}bkla djihm)
gm{ k} g ~hmj}} ho kl}tktztkhlgckpkla zlmjtgklt{ kt k}
qktbkl tbj lgtzj ho djihmgm{ tbgt lh hlj} kltjj}t} mgl fj
azggltjjd,= Tbj zlmjtgkl j}zct mgkjd hl tbhzabhzt tbj
jcjmtkhl gld tbj vhtj mhzltkla# oklgcc{ ~hdzmkla gl hztmhij
tbgt qhzcd mhij th bgzlt Igckek gld g}thzld igl{ hf}jv)
j} "}jj tgfcj 7+,
Tbj qkllj tbk} tkij ghzld qg} tbj }jmzcg gc)Kgwk{g#
qbkmb bgd fjjl thzlmjd ohz {jg} jgckj# fzt qbkmb tbk}
tkij qg} gfcj th iz}tj 6: ~jmjlt ho tbj vhtj, Igckek gld
bk} ]tgtj ho Cgq ^gt{ oklk}bjd g mch}j }jmhld# gld tbj ljq
]bkktj ahz~kla# tbj Kgwk Lgtkhlgc Gcckglmj "KLG+# ~cgmjd
tbkd# agljkla cj}} tbgl bgco ho qbgt kt} jgckj klmglgtkhl
bgd jmjkvjd kl tbj 6>>: jcjmtkhl, Lht hlc{ tbj ~hcktkmgc cjgd)j}# fzt tbj ljg 2> ~jmjlt ho }kttkla ~gckgijltgkgl} qbhi
tbj vhtj} }jlt ~gmekla# bgd cjgljd tbjk ok}t bgd cj}}hl kl
qbgt djihmgm{ mgl jgcc{ ijgl, Tbj vhtj} qjj igekla g
~hklt tbgt tbj{ lh chlaj qhzcd fckldc{ ohcchq tbjk }jmtgkgl
kl}tklmt}# tbgt tbj{ qhzcd mbhh}j j~j}jltgtkvj} qbhi tbj{
tbhzabt qjj tbj fj}t wzgckokjd oh tbj `hf# gld tbgt tbj{
kltjldjd th bhcd tbjk cjgdj} gmmhzltgfcj, GLjq [hve Tkij}
bjgdcklj# Tbj Kgwk vhtj jqktj} tbj zcjfhhe#4 }ziijd
z~ tbj ljq }jltkijlt,
Qbkcj tbj Kgwk vhtj} }bhqjd g ~hcktkmgc igtzkt{ tbgt
gzazjd qjcc oh tbj mhzlt{} ~haj}} thqgd djihmgm{#
tbj gotjigtb qhzcd }bhq tbgt }jkhz} djokmkt} }tkcc jigkljd,
Kiijdkgtjc{ gotj tbj j}zct} qjj gllhzlmjd# kt fjmgij mcjg
tbgt tbj klmjg}klac{ dk}mkiklgtkla Kgwk vhtj} qhzcd fj
tbqgtjd f{ tbj }jco)kltjj}tjd igmbklgtkhl} ho ~hcktkmkgl},
Vjagdcj}} ho tbj j}zct}# ~hcktkmgc cjgdj} agvj tbj ki~j})
}khl tbgt tbjk mhiiktijlt th djihmgm{ qg} mhltklajlt
^gvt{(Mhgcktkhl- ho htj}
6>7>(6>>:
* ho thtgc
6>7>(6>>:
]jgt}
6>7>
Kvgwk{g 6#24;#?76(;11#=6: 64,16(2,> ;7
]HC 6#1;6#>2= 64,66 2;
]bkktj Gcckglmj} 6#>;6#>??(:#7??#7?: 72,7:(46,: 1>
]zllk gvtkj} ?>4#21=(6#=4>#6>; :,6:(7;,6 7>
Ezvdk}b gvtkj} 6#::4#446(6#1;;#2?> 66,7?(6=,> :1
Tgfcj 70 Vj}zct} ho tbj 6>7> ^gvckgijltgv{ Jcjmtkhl}
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8/2/2019 Post Occupation Iraq the Brittleness of Political Institutions
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hl djihmgm{ }jvkla tbjk hql kltjj}t}, Th igl{ ho tbj}j
cjgdj}# kt }jjijd tbgt tbj hlc{ gmmj~tgfcj hoo}~kla ho tbj
jcjmthgc ~hmj}} qg} tbj hookmj ho tbj ~kij iklk}tj# lht tbgt
ho tbj h~~h}ktkhl cjgdj,
Igckek} Gztbhvktgvkgl ^vhmckktkj}
Ohjih}t gihla tbh}j cjgdj} qbh tbhzabt ho h~~h}ktkhl
g} glhtbj tji oh ogkczj qg} tbj }kttkla ~kij iklk}tj
bki}jco, Qktb bk} gztbhktgkgl hht} mhikla th tbj ohj#
Igckek }ki~c{ qhzcd lht gmmj~t tbj oklgc j}zct ho tbj jcjmtkhl
tbgt ~cgmjd bki }jmhld th Gccgqk gld bk} }jmzcg gc)Kgwk{g,
Bj dk}ik}}jd tbj j}zct}# vhqkla th }zj gld gkkla bk} ~cgl}
th ohi g ljq ahvjlijlt g} tbj jgc qkllj, Kl j}~hl}j
th tbj}j b{}tjkm}# tbj jcjmthgc mhiikttjj gld kldj~jldjlt
hf}jvj} vhzmbjd oh tbj ogklj}} ho tbj ~hmj}}, Fzt Igckek
qhzcd lht cjt kt ah5 bj vj{ qjcc eljq tbgt gmmhdkla th tbj
mhl}tktztkhl# tbj ~j}kdjlt ho tbj Vj~zfckm qg} hfckajd th g}e
tbj qkllj ho tbj jcjmtkhl} th ohi g ahvjlijlt, ]h# bj fcg)
tgltc{ z}jd tbj ~hqj ho bk} hookmj th mg`hcj tbj mhzt} th mhij
z~ qktb g djmk}khl hdjkla g iglzgc jmhzlt, @z}t kl mg}j tbj
jmhzlt ~ch{ dkd lht qhe# Igckek z}jd tbj }gij }thla gi
tgmtkm} th ~j}}zj tbj }z~jij ojdjgc mhzt th mhij z~ qktb
g mhl}tktztkhlgc kltj~jtgtkhl ogvhgfcj th Igckek, Fg}kmgcc{#
tbj `zdaj} djmjjd tbgt jvjl tbhzab gc)Kgwk{g mgij hzt ok}t#
kt qhzcd ohojkt kt} kabt th ohi g ahvjlijlt ko htbj ~gtkj}ohijd tbji}jcvj} klth gl gcckglmj qktb g cgaj mhifkljd
thtgc ho }jgt},
Gc)Kgwk{g# ho mhz}j# mkjd ohzc# mbgccjlakla tbj kltj)
~jtgtkhl gld jvjl tbj `zk}dkmtkhl ho tbj mhzt, Fzt G{gd
Gccgqk# gc)Kgwk{g} cjgdj# bgd fjjl bhhdqklejd gld mhi)
~cjtjc{ hztigljzvjjd f{ tbj jcjltcj}} Igckek, Tbj ~kij
iklk}tj }mzkjd ghzld t{kla th okld ~gtlj}# igekla
gcc ekld} ho h~~htzlk}tkm ~hik}j} gld mhlmj}}khl}, Qbkcj
zih} ocjq ho ki~jldkla ijaj} qktb ]zllk} gld ]bkktj}#
gld qktb cgaj gld }igcc ahz~}# tbj ih}t hfvkhz} ~gtlj
jigkljd tbj KLG, Qktb gcc bk} tgce ho Kgwk lgtkhlgck}i#
Igckek jigkljd g mch}jt }jmtgkgl gt bjgt# ihtkvgtjd ok}t
gld ohjih}t f{ bk} ]bkktj kdjltkt{, Kldjjd# kt qg} Ihwtgdg
gc)]gd# qbh mhzcd lht ohajt Igckek} dk}igltckla ho tbj
Igbdk Gi{# qbh klktkgcc{ fchmejd tbj ijaj, Gotj ihj
tbgl tbjj ihltb} ho ljahtkgtkhl} gld mhlmj}}khl} f{ Igckek#
gc)]gd jcjltjd gld g ljq ]bkktj gcckglmj zldj Igckek}
cjgdj}bk~ qg} ohijd,
Lhq g} tbj bjgd ho tbj cgaj}t fchm# qbkmb qg} hlc{ g ojq
}jgt} }bht ho gl hvjgcc ig`hkt{# Igckek qg} }jt th ohi g
ahvjlijlt, Bhqjvj# kl hdj th ahvjl# Igckek eljq tbgt
bj ljjdjd g cgaj mhgcktkhl tbgt bgd th klmczdj tbj Ezd},
Tbj tqh ~kvhtgc Ezdk}b cjgdj}# @gcgc Tgcgfglk# Kgw} ~j}k)
djlt# gld Ig}hzd Fggpglk# tbj ~j}kdjlt ho tbj gzthlhihz}Kgwk jakhl ho Ezdk}tgl# kl}k}tjd hl g lgtkhlgc zlkt{ ahvjl)
ijlt ho gcc ~hcktkmgc ~cg{j}# klmczdkla gc)Kgwk{g gld kt} cjgdj
Gccgqk, Kl hdj th fjge tbj djgdchme# Igckek qhzcd jvjltz)
gcc{ gmmj~t g ~h~h}gc mjgtkla g ~ggccjc jrjmztkvj }tzmtzj th
fj bjgdjd f{ Gccgqk, Mgccjd tbj Mhzlmkc oh ]tgtjakm ^hckmkj}
"M]^+# tbj }tzmtzj bgd vgazj gld zldjtjikljd ~hqj}#
qbkmb k} ~hfgfc{ qb{ gotj chla ljahtkgtkhl} Igckek djmkdjd
th gmmjdj th kt, Kl cgtj Djmjifj 6>7># Igckek oklgcc{ ohijd
g ahvjlijlt# ihj tbgl lklj ihltb} gotj tbj jcjmtkhl}
ihltb} ho ~hcktkmgc gld ahvjlijltgc ~ggc{}k} tbgt ikabt
bgvj ~hvjd Igckek} }z~jkh kl}tklmt oh ~hcktkmgc dzdaj{#
fzt qhzcd cjgvj tbj Kgwk ~h~zcgtkhl qhldjkla gfhzt lht
`z}t tbj vgczj ho tbjk jcjmthgc vhtj# fzt tbj qhtb ho djih)
mgtkm ~gmtkmj} kl ajljgc,
Tbj Kgwk} klmjg}kla }ej~tkmk}i ho djihmgtkm ~gmtkmj}
gld ho Igckek} mhiiktijlt th djihmgtkm kdjgc} dkd lht
}jji th tji~j tbj ~kij iklk}tj} }jjiklac{ klagkljd
~jlmbglt oh mjltgckpkla ~hqj klth bk} hookmj, Kiijdkgtjc{
z~hl tgekla hookmj# bj qjlt th qhe hl tbj bg~cj}} }z~jij
ojdjgc mhzt# qbkmb# oh gcc kltjlt} gld ~z~h}j}# Igckek bgd
tzljd klth gl gi ho tbj ~kij iklk}tjkgc hookmj# th fklag lzifj ho kl}tktztkhl} zldj bk} mhlthc, Kl @glzg{ 6>77#
tbj mhzt zcjd tbgt tbj mjltgc fgle gld vgkhz} kldj~jldjlt
mhiikttjj} gld mhiik}}khl} tbgt qjj tg}ejd qktb hvj}jj)
kla jcjmtkhl}# ~htjmtkla bzigl kabt}# gld okabtkla mhz~)
tkhl fj fhzabt zldj tbj mhlthc ho tbj ~kij iklk}tj, Tbj
ih}t jajakhz} ho tbj mhzt} zckla} mhlmjljd tbj Bkabj
Kldj~jldjlt Jcjmthgc Mhiik}}khl "BKJM+# qbkmb bgd
ohzabt thhtb gld lgkc th ~j}jvj tbj kltjakt{ ho tbj jcjm)
tkhl}# gld th }gfhtgaj Igckek} vgkhz} }mbjij} th fj djmcgjd
tbj qkllj ho tbj jcjmtkhl}, Tbj dgotj} ho tbj mhl}tktztkhl
kl 6>>: qjj zlgifkazhz} kl ~cgmkla tbj BKJM zldj tbj
}z~jvk}khl ho ~gckgijlt# fzt tbk} tkij tbj gccjajdc{ kldj)
~jldjlt `zdaj}# og}t fjmhikla Igckek} iklkhl}# hztdkd
tbji}jcvj}, Vjvjtkla th qbgt mgl hlc{ fj dj}mkfjd g} cjagc
gmhfgtkm}# tbj{ mgij z~ qktb g mhlvhcztjd gazijlt tbgt
ohzld gttgmbkla tbj BKJM th tbj cjak}cgtkvj fglmb ho ahvjl)
ijlt th fj g vkhcgtkhl ho tbj }j~ggtkhl ho ~hqj}# gld tbz}
djmjjd tbgt bjlmjohtb# tbj BKJM qhzcd fj gttgmbjd th tbj
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IKDDCJ JG]T ^VHAVGIHMMG]KHLGC ^G^JV ]JVKJ] ]^VKLA 6>76
?
jrjmztkvj#: qbjj lh dhzft kt qhzcd fj jg}kj oh Igckek th
}tgoo tbj}j mktkmgc kl}tktztkhl}# ~gtkmzcgc{ tbj kldj~jldjlt
jcjmthgc mhiik}}khl qktb bk} hql mhlkj},
Igckek dkd lht mhloklj bk} pj}t oh gztbhktgkglk}i th
fjbkld tbj }mjlj} ~hcktkmgc kltkazj, Bj qg} kl lh qg{ gvj}j
th ahkla ~zfckm qktb bk} }jjiklac{ klagkljd gztbhktgkgl~hmckvktkj}, Qbjl kl @glzg{# g oz}tgtjd dj~zt{ ~kij
iklk}tj# tbj ]zllk ]gcjb Iztcgw# mgccjd Igckek g dkmtgth#
tbj ~kij iklk}tj }zhzldjd bk} dj~zt{} bhz}j qktb tgle}
gld djigldjd tbgt ~gckgijlt okj bki oh cgmekla ogktb kl
tbj ~hcktkmgc ~hmj}},? Oh Igckek th tgej qbgt j}}jltkgcc{
qg} lh ihj tbgl gl zlmhi~ckijltg{ mhiijlt gfhzt bk}
~hcktkmgc gttktzdj gld ~gmtkmj}# gld tzl kt klth }hij ekld
ho g tjg}hlhz} }cgldj gagkl}t tbj mhzlt{} ~hcktkmgc ~h)
mj}} tbgt ljmj}}ktgtjd tbj dk}~gtmb ho gihjd tgle}# qhzcd
fkla fgme zlmhiohtgfcj ijihkj} ho dg{} ahlj f{ qbjl
]gddgi Bz}}jkl qhzcd jwzgtj# g} g igttj ho mhz}j# tbj
Kgwk }tgtj qktb bk} hql ~j}hl, Iztcgw} hztfz}t bgd mhij
gotj ~j}k}tjlt mhi~cgklt} f{ gc)Kgwk{g tbgt bzldjd} ho kt}
}z~~htj} bgd fjjl gfktgkc{ gj}tjd f{ Igckek} }jmzkt{
ohmj}# djtgklkla tbji kl }jmjt chmgtkhl}# gld thtzkla tbji
th hftgkl mhloj}}khl} ijglt th ki~ckmgtj ~gt{ cjgdj} kl
tjhk}t gmtkvktkj} gld(h ~cgllkla ikcktg{ mhz~},1 Kldjjd#
hlj }zmb mhloj}}khl} j~k}hdj cjd th tbj k}}zkla ho gl gj}t
qgglt hl tjhk}i mbgaj} gagkl}t Kgw} ih}t }jlkh ]zllk
~hcktkmkgl# tbj mhzlt{} vkmj ~j}kdjlt# Tgjw gc)Bg}bjik,
Gc)Bg}bjik kiijdkgtjc{ ocjd th tbj Ezdk}b lhtb glddjmcgjd tbgt bj qg} qkcckla th ogmj `z}tkmj gl{qbjj fzt kl
Fgabdgd, Igckek qhzcd j}~hld qktb tbj ekld ho mhi~gk}hl
mgcmzcgtjd th ~j}zgdj Kgwk}# ~gtkmzcgc{ tbj ig`hkt{ ]bkktj}#
th ~jmjkvj ]zllk cjgdj} g} ~hcktkmgc ~gkgb}, Qj agvj
]gddgi g ogk tkgc# Igckek }gkd, Gld qjcc akvj Bg}bjik
g ogk tkgc thh,2 Tbj ogmt tbgt fhtb Iztcgw gld gc)Bg}bjik
qjj lht `z}t }mkhl} ho tbj ]zllk mhiizlkt{# fzt }jlkh
ijifj} ho gc)Kgwk{g dkd lht akvj Igckek ~gz}j th ~hldj5
hl tbj mhltg{# bj fjbgvjd g} tbhzab bj zlbj}ktgtklac{
fjckjvjd tbj{ qjj }ki~c{ ajttkla tbjk `z}t dj}}jt},
Ahjvlijlt} ho Lgtkhlgc Dk}zlkt{
Fj{hld bk} hql ~j}hlgc ~hmckvktkj}# Igckek} ~jlmbglt oh
~hcktkmgc mhlthc k} gc}h g ~hdzmt ho tbj mhzlt{} dkvkdjd
~hcktkmgc }tzmtzj gld dkvk}kvj ~hcktkmgc mzctzj, Ohi kt} vj{
fjakllkla# Kgw bgd fjjl gl zljg}{ ikrtzj ho ]bkktj}# ]zllk}#
gld Ezd}, Qbgtjvj }tj~} bgd fjjl tgejl th jg}j tbj}j mzc)
tzgc }mbk}i} kl tbj jgc{ dg{} ho tbj mhzlt{} }tgtjbhhd qjj
ljagtjd f{ ]gddgi} vkzcjltc{ jtblh)}jmtgkgl zcj# kl qbkmb
]zllk} qjj ogvhjd gld tbj j}t ih}tc{ h~~j}}jd, Tbj}j
jrk}tjltkgc }mbk}i} qjj jrgmjfgtjd f{ ~hcktkmgc djmk}khl}
tgejl dzkla tbj Gijkmgl hmmz~gtkhl# qbkmb tkjd th j}thjmhiizlgc fgcglmj# fzt jldjd z~ bjkabtjlkla jtblh)}jmtg)
kgl mhl}mkhz}lj}}, Gl ki~htglt ojgtzj ho tbk} gglajijlt
qg} tbj ~gmtkmj ho mjgtkla ahvjlijlt} ho lgtkhlgc zlkt{
tbgt kl jth}~jmt qhzcd bgvj fjjl fjttj mgccjd ahvjlijlt}
ho lgtkhlgc dk}zlkt{, Kl hdj th gmmhiihdgtj jvj{ ~hcktkmgc
~cg{j# qktb tbj bh~j tbgt jvj{hlj qhzcd bgvj g }tgej kl tbj
~hcktkmgc ~hmj}}# mgfkljt ~htohckh}# zldj gmtkvj Gijkmgl
jlmhzgajijlt# qjj dk}bjd hzt th vgkhz} ahz~} tbgt bgd
ckttcj kl mhiihl fj{hld g bzlaj oh ~hqj gld tbj cgaj}}
tbgt mhij} qktb kt, Iklk}tkj} fjmgij gzthlhihz} okjodhi}
dhkla tbj fkddkla ho jtblh)}jmtgkgl fh}}j} gld qgchd}#
qbkmb tbj{ dkd fgpjlc{ qktbhzt t{kla th mhvj tbjk tgme},
^jh~cj thhe th kdjltko{kla iklk}tkj} f{ tbjk jtblh)}jmtgkgl
gookckgtkhl}Ohjkal Googk} qg} Ezdk}b# Djojl}j qg} ]zllk#
Kltjkh qg} ]bkktj# gld }h hl, Qbjl g {hzla ]bkktj# qbh bgd
ckljd z~ kl ohlt ho tbj Iklk}t{ ho tbj Kltjkh th `hkl tbj
~hckmj ohmj fzt bgd jr~j}}jd g ~jojjlmj oh }hcdkjkla# qg}
g}ejd qb{ bj qg} lht g~~c{kla th tbj Iklk}t{ ho Djojl}j# bk}
kiijdkgtj gl}qj qg}0 kt dhj} lht fjchla th z},;
Ho mhz}j tbj bh~j qg} tbgt tbj 6>7> jcjmtkhl}# qbh}j
j}zct} }bhqjd tbj klmjg}kla dk}dgkl oh }jmtgkglk}i gihlavhtj}# qhzcd ~hdzmj g }thla gld mhbjjlt ahvjlijlt tbgt
qhzcd fj mbgccjlajd f{ gl jwzgcc{ g}}jtkvj h~~h}ktkhl, Fzt
tbgt qhzcd lht mhij th ~g}}, Tbj thtzhz} ~hmj}} ho ohikla
g ahvjlijlt# qbkmb klvhcvjd }zld{ ~hik}j} gld mhlmj})
}khl} f{ Igckek# ~hdzmjd g ahvjlijlt kl lh qg{ dk}}kikcg
ohi tbj dk}g}thz} hlj} tbgt ~jmjdjd kt, Tbk} tkij jgmb ~gt{
qg} gcchmgtjd g lzifj ho mgfkljt ~htohckh}# gld tbj ~gt{
cjgdj}bk~ lgijd tbj jvjltzgc hmmz~glt, Tbjj qjj }h igl{
mbk~} th fj mg}bjd tbgt Igckek jldjd z~ qktb g }~gqckla
4:)ijifj mgfkljt' Tbj izctk~cj ch{gctkj} tbgt ochqjd ohi
}zmb g }{}tji cjd th g ogmtkhz} mgfkljt tbgt qg} zlgfcj thjgmb djmk}khl} gld ohizcgtj ~hckm{, Kt k} klmhi~jbjl}kfcj
th igl{ Kgwk} "gld th htbj} hzt}kdj tbj mhzlt{+ tbgt jkabt
{jg} gotj tbj djik}j ho ]gddgi} zcj# kl g mhzlt{ qbh}j
lgtkhlgc gllzgc fzdajt} bgvj th~~jd $2> fkcckhl# zlji~ch{)
ijlt }tgld} gt ihj tbgl 6: ~jmjlt oh tbh}j zldj =>5 }jq)
gaj ochq} ojjc{ kl tbj }tjjt} gld klth kvj} gld cgej}# }h tbgt#
gmmhdkla th tbj Kltjlgtkhlgc Mhiikttjj ho tbj Vjd Mh}}#
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gmmj}} th qgtj ho }zookmkjlt wzgckt{ Uk}Y g ig`h mbgccjlaj oh
cgaj ~gt} ho tbj ~h~zcgtkhl57> gld jcjmtkm akd} gld ~cglt}
mhltklzj th }z~~c{ `z}t gfhzt bgco ho tbj djigld# gld jvjl
cj}} dzkla tbj bkab djigld }ziij }jg}hl,
]h qbgt tbj Kgwk} aht qg} g ogmtzjd ahvjlijlt tbgt
ihj hotjl tbgl lht mhzcd lht jgmb mhccjmtkvj djmk}khl} gt gtkij qbjl tbj mhzlt{# qktb kt} izctktzdj ho }jvjj jmhlhikm#
}jmzkt{# gld }hmkgc ~hfcji}# qg} kl dkj ljjd ho gl gmtkvk}t
gld g mgl)dh ahvjlijlt, Ahvjlijltgc djgdchme gld ~ggc)
{}k} ig{ bgvj fjjl fgd oh tbj mhzlt{ fzt lht ljmj}}gkc{ oh
Igckek5 kt h~jljd tbj dhh oh Igckek th tgej ~hcktkmgc ijg)
}zj} gld igej ~hckm{ kldj~jldjltc{ ho tbj mgfkljt# g ~gmtkmj
tbgt okt kl qjcc qktb bk} kllgtj ~gtkgckt{ th tbj mjltgckpkla ho
~hqj kl bk} hql bgld}, G {jg klth Igckek} ~jikj}bk~#
hlj jrg}~jgtjd }jlkh iklk}tj# tbj qjcc)ckejd gld bkabc{
j}~jmtjd ]zllk Iklk}tj ho Oklglmj# Vgok gc)K}}gqk# thcd tbj
Ljq [hve Tkij}tbgt Igckek} fjbgvkh kl ahvjlijlt }h og
}thlac{ ~hkltjd th bk} kltjltkhl th mhl}hckdgtj ~hqj ihj
gld ihj, Bj tbjl gddjd# ]hijhlj jc}j }bhzcd fj ~kij
iklk}tj,77 Gc)K}}gqk} gllh{glmj qg} kalktjd f{ Igckek}
}jjikla mgvgckj gttktzdj th mhl}tktztkhlgc k}}zj}# ~gtkmzcgc{
hlj} tbgt djokljd bk} jcgtkhl}bk~ qktb tbj mgfkljt,
Igckek ihj hotjl tbgl lht qhzcd ajt bk} qg{ fjmgz}j ho
tbj mgfkljt} cgme ho kl}tktztkhlgc mhbjjlmj# igekla kt jg}{
oh tbj ~kij iklk}tj th fchme h dk}jagd ~hckmkj} tbgt bj
djjijd th fj gagkl}t bk} hql kltjj}t}# h tbgt ikabt ~cgmj
}hij j}tgklt hl bk} zlkcgtjgck}i, Tbz}# oh jrgi~cj# jvjltbhzab gc)Kgwk{g gld tbj Ezd} gaktgtjd ohi cgtj 6>77
hlqgd oh g lgtkhlgc mhlojjlmj ho gcc ~gtkj} th dk}mz}} klk)
tkgtkvj} ijglt th mztgkc tbj ~hqj} ho tbj ~kij iklk}tj# gld
jvjl tbhzab fjtqjjl tbji tbj{ bgd lh cj}} tbgl 7; mgfkljt
}jgt}# ahvjlijltgc ogaijltgtkhl qg} }zmb tbgt Igckek qg}
}tkcc gfcj th iglk~zcgtj dkvk}khl} qktbkl tbj mgfkljt th }gfh)
tgaj tbj kdjg# djcg{kla kt qktb ~hmjdzgc lkt)~kmekla kl tbj
bh~j tbgt kt qhzcd ch}j kt} ~htjlm{ gld jld z~ ahkla lhqbjj,
Tbj k}}zj} th fj dk}mz}}jd kl tbj jlvk}gajd lgtkhlgc mhl)
ojjlmj qjj lht hlj} tbgt Igckek qhzcd qglt th jvjl ~zt
hl tbj tgfcj# cjt gchlj dk}mz}}, Tbj tbhlkj}t k}}zj qg} tbjmjgtkhl ho tbj M]^# qbkmb# g} qj bgvj }jjl# bgd fjjl gajjd
z~hl kl tbj }h)mgccjd Kfkc Gajjijlt tbgt jvjltzgcc{ fhej
tbj djgdchme hvj tbj ohigtkhl ho tbj mgfkljt kl Djmjifj
6>77, Th fj bjgdjd f{ Gccgqk# tbj M]^ qg} }z~~h}jd th bgvj
}hij zl}~jmkokjd hvj}kabt hvj mgfkljt djmk}khl}# bgdc{
gl k}}zj tbgt Igckek qhzcd okld ~gcgtgfcj, Glhtbj ktji th
fj dk}mz}}jd kl tbj lgtkhlgc mhlojjlmj qg} oh gcc ~gtkj} th
gajj hl g }jt ho f{)cgq} tbgt qhzcd jazcgtj mgfkljt djmk}khl)
igekla, Hlj qhzcd jr~jmt gl{ mgfkljt th ~z}b oh tbk}# gld
ig{fj iklk}tj} dkd5 Igckek# bhqjvj# qhzcd }jj tbk} hlc{ g}
gl kloklajijlt hl bk} hql ~hqj, Ihjhvj# gc)Kgwk{g gld
tbj Ezd} qgltjd th dk}mz}} tbj mhltklzjd gf}jlmj ho iklk})
tj} bjgdkla tbj iklk}tkj} ho Djojl}j# Kltjkh# gld Lgtkhlgc]jmzkt{ ihj tbgl 7= ihltb} gotj tbj ohigtkhl ho ahvjl)
ijlt kl Djmjifj 6>7>, Tbk} gf}zd }ktzgtkhl k} g ojgtzj ho
ahvjlijlt} ho lgtkhlgc zlkt{# qbjj mgfkljt ~htohckh} gj
dk}bjd hzt th vgkhz} ahz~}, Bgvkla gajjd th tbj}j }~jmkokm
g~~htkhlijlt}# klmczdkla agltkla tbj Djojl}j ~htohckh th
gc)Kgwk{g# g} g mhldktkhl oh tbj ohigtkhl ho bk} mgfkljt# bj
}~jlt tbj ohcchqkla ihltb} }gfhtgakla tbj kdjg# f{ joz}kla
gcc lgij} }zfikttjd th bki# qktb bgdc{ gl{ kl~zt ohi bk}
mgfkljt, Tbj j}zct bg} fjjl tbgt tbj iklk}tkj} gj bjgdjd f{
gmtkla iklk}tj}# hlj ho tbji fjkla Igckek bki}jco oh tbj
Kltjkh Iklk}t{, Tbj htbj tqh gmtkla iklk}tj} oh Djojl}j
gld Lgtkhlgc ]jmzkt{ gj ijl qbhi Igckek k} elhql th jg})
kc{ mhlthc, Igckek gld bk} mhlkj} tbz} bgvj z}jd jvj{ }klacj
tkme kl tbj fhhe th }gfhtgaj tbj kdjg ho g lgtkhlgc mhlojjlmj#
gld kl tbk} jooht# tbj mgfkljt g} g djmk}khl)igekla kl}tktztkhl
bg} fjjl gcih}t klvk}kfcj,
Hlj jg}hl oh tbj qjgelj}} ho tbj mgfkljt "gld f{
djoklktkhl tbj }tjlatb ho Igckek+ qg} kt} dk}~j}j gld cgaj
ijifj}bk~4: iklk}tj} kl gcc' Kt qg} lht tbgt Igckek
~cglljd tbk}5 kt qg} ihj g ozlmtkhl ho t{kla th ohi gl
gcc)klmcz}kvj lgtkhlgc zlkt{ ahvjlijlt, Fzt qktb }h igl{iklk}tj}# fjchlakla th fkmejkla ~gtkj} gld ahz~}# tbj
mgfkljt lgtzgcc{ qhzcd ohzld kt dkookmzct th gmt g} g mhbj}kvj
jltkt{# gld tbk} ~cg{jd klth tbj bgld} ho Igckek, Jvjl }h# tbj
zlqkjcd{ }kpj ho tbj mgfkljt ~hvjd }h zltjlgfcj tbgt# kl @zc{
6>77# Igckek djmkdjd th dk}~jl}j qktb gfhzt g dhpjl `zlkh
iklk}tj}, Fzt tbj bh~j tbgt tbk} ihvj qhzcd igej oh ihj
joojmtkvj ahvjlglmj dkd lht igtjkgckpj, Tbj lgtkhlgc zlkt{
ahvjlijlt qhzcd mhltklzj hl tbj }gij mhz}j ho dk}zlkt{#
~h~zcgtjd g} kt qg} f{ ogmtkhz} ~gtkj}# tbji}jcvj} }zoojkla
ohi kltjlgc tjl}khl} gld dk}mhd},
^hcktkmgc ^gvtkj} hv Klmhbjvjlt Avhz~kla8
Ko Igckek} ~jlmbglt oh gztbhktgkglk}i k} hlj kldkmgth ho
tbj fkttcjlj}} ho Kgw} djihmgtkm tgl}ktkhl# tbj qjgelj}}
ho tbj ~gt{ }{}tji k} glhtbj, G hfz}t tgl}ktkhl ljjd} g
}tgfcj ~gt{ }{}tji tbgt k} djckljgtjd f{ mhi~jtkla ~gtkj}#
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8/2/2019 Post Occupation Iraq the Brittleness of Political Institutions
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IKDDCJ JG]T ^VHAVGIHMMG]KHLGC ^G^JV ]JVKJ] ]^VKLA 6>76
2
qbh}j kdjltktkj} gj djokljd f{ mcjgc{ kdjltkokgfcj kdjhchakj}
h ~hcktkmgc ~cgtohi}, Qbkcj ~j}hlgcktkj} gj ki~htglt gld
~cg{ g hcj kl }hckdko{kla tbj ~gt{} kdjltkt{# tbjk kloczjlmj k}
mhl}tgkljd f{ tbj ~gt{} kdjhcha{# kt} }tzmtzj# gld kt} kl}tk)
tztkhlgc zcj}, Kgw} ~hfcji k} tbgt tbjj k} lht g }klacj ~gt{
h ~hcktkmgc ahz~ h mhgcktkhl kl ~h}t)hmmz~gtkhl Kgw tbgt okt}tbj fkcc, Th }tgt qktb# tbj zckla mhgcktkhl bjgdjd f{ Igckek k}
kt}jco bkabc{ ogmtzjd, Kt bg} bgd }hij }tglaj fjdojcchq}, Kl
gddktkhl th bk} hql Dgqg ^gt{# tbk} ]bkktj gcckglmj fhzabt
zldj kt} zifjccg tbj ohcchqj} ho tqh {hzla mcjkm}# qbh
lht hlc{ fjchlajd th kvgc mcjkmgc ogikckj}# fzt ~j}hlgcc{
bjcd jgmb htbj kl mhltji~t, Lh dkd jktbj ho tbji j}~jmt
Igckek} cjgdj}bk~ ho tbj mhgcktkhl, Ckej kl igkgaj} ho
mhlvjlkjlmj# tbj }tgkljd jcgtkhl}bk~ bg} fjjl ~jvgcjlt gld
~jkhdkmgcc{ bg} fz}t hzt kl tbj h~jl, Kt qg} lht zlmhiihl
oh hlj ho tbj mcjkm}# Giig gc)Bgeki# th ~zfckmc{ tgej tbj
}kdj ho gc)Kgwk{g cjgdj} kl }hij dk}~ztj qktb Igckek, Tbj
htbj mcjkm# tbj {hzla okjfgld Ihwtgdg gc)]gd# }jji} th
bgvj lh wzgci} gfhzt mhldzmtkla bk} hql ljahtkgtkhl} qktb
~gtkj} hzt}kdj tbj mhgcktkhl gld igekla ~hckm{ }tgtjijlt}
qktbhzt jvjl fhtbjkla th mhl}zct Igckek, Qbjl Igckek
}jjijd h~jl th g jljahtkgtjd gajjijlt qktb tbj Hfgig
gdiklk}tgtkhl gfhzt g ~hchlajd Gijkmgl ~j}jlmj kl Kgw#
kt qg} gc)]gd qbh ~zt ~gkd th gl{ }zmb ~h}}kfkckt{ f{ tbjgt)
jlkla th qgaj g azjkccg qg gagkl}t tbj hmmz~kj}, Gld
qbjl }jmtgkgl ekcckla klmjg}jd gld ahvjlijlt djgdchmejd
kl cgtj 6>77# gc)]gd ~zfckmc{ ihmejd tbj ahvjlijlt}"gld f{ ki~ckmgtkhl# Igckek}+ ~johiglmj, Ijifj} ho bk}
~gt{ }hhl ohcchqjd qktb mgcc} oh ljq jcjmtkhl}, Tbj}j qjj
kiijdkgtjc{ jfzejd lht hlc{ f{ Igckek# fzt gc}h f{ }z~)
~htj} ho tbj htbj mcjkm# Giig gc)Bgeki,76 ]zmb ~hcktkmgc
fkleigl}bk~ gld ~zfckm jmkiklgtkhl} tbgt bgvj hmmzjd#
gld mhltklzj th hmmz# qktbkl tbj zckla mhgcktkhl mgl bgdc{
kl}~kj mhlokdjlmj kl tbj gfkckt{ ho tbj ahvjlijlt th gmt g} g
~hfcji }hcvkla mh~hgtj jltkt{,
Lh k} tbj }jmzcg gc)Kgwk{g g ihj mhbj}kvj h mhbjjlt
jltkt{, Kt k} gtbj g mhgcktkhl ho dk}~ggtj ahz~} zlktjd f{
tbj hvjgmbkla ~z~h}j ho ckiktkla tbj ~hqj ho ~gtkj}fgldk}bkla g ]bkktj kdjltkt{, Tbk} k} qb{ ijifj} ho tbj
]zllk Kgwk K}cgikm ^gt{# g chh}j hoo}bhht ho tbj Iz}cki
Fhtbjbhhd# ohzld mhiihl mgz}j qktb G{gd Gccgqk} }jmz)
cg Qkogw Ihvjijlt# djmkdkla th okabt tbj 6>7> jcjmtkhl}
zldj gc)Kgwk{g fgllj, Ihjhvj# tbj vgkhz} ~gtkj} tbgt
mgij thajtbj th ohi gc)Kgwk{g zldj Gccgqk} cjgdj}bk~
tbji}jcvj} bgdc{ bgd mcjgc{ jlzlmkgtjd ~hcktkmgc ~hagi}
h kdjhchakj}, _j{ izmb ckej tbj ]bkktj ~gtkj}# qbgt djokljd
tbj mhl}tktzjlt ahz~} tbgt igdj z~ gc)Kgwk{g qjj tbj
cjgdj} ghzld qbhi tbj{ mhgcj}mjd, Gccgqk tbjjohj qg}
lht tbj gmelhqcjdajd bjgd ho g mhbjjlt ~hcktkmgc ~gt{5
gtbj# bj qg} ihj ckej tbj tktzcg mbkjo ho g chh}j mhlojd)
jgtkhl ho vgkhz} tkfj} jgmb qktb kt} hql cjgdj, Tbjjohj#kt dkd lht tgej chla gotj tbj jcjmtkhl} oh tbj fhld tbgt bgd
tkjd tbj}j ahz~} thajtbj dzkla tbj jcjmthgc mgi~gkal gld
tbj jl}zkla ljahtkgtkhl} hvj tbj ohigtkhl ho ahvjlijlt
th chh}jl, ]hij ahz~} jrtgmtjd tbji}jcvj} mhi~cjtjc{,
Igklc{ ]bkktj gc)Kgwk{g ijifj} ohi tbj }hztb ho Kgw cjot
tbj mhgcktkhl gld ohijd g ljq jltkt{ qktb tbj lgij Qbktj
Kgwk{g, Htbj} jigkljd qktbkl gc)Kgwk{g# fzt h~jgtjd
kl g ckifh cgld# mhltklzkla th }qjg okdjckt{ th tbj hag)
lkpgtkhl# fzt gmtkla kldj~jldjltc{# gld }hijtkij} gagkl}t
tbj dkmtgtj} ho tbj cjgdj}bk~, Tbk} fjmgij hfvkhz} kl cgtj
6>77 gld jgc{ 6>76 qbjl kl j}~hl}j th tbj ahvjlijlt}
gj}t qgglt gagkl}t Tgkw gc)Bg}bkik# tbj mhzlt{} vkmj
~j}kdjlt gld cjgdj ho tbj Tg`dkd "Vjljqgc+ ahz~ qktbkl
gc)Kgwk{g# tbj mhgcktkhl gllhzlmjd tbgt kt k} fh{mhttkla
~gckgijlt gld tbj mgfkljt, Klktkgcc{# gcc tbj mhl}tktzjlt
jcjijlt} ho tbj mhgcktkhl thhe bjjd ho tbj cjgdj}bk~ djmk)
}khl, Fzt }hhl gotj# tbk} zlkt{ ho ~z~h}j igdj qg{ oh gl
g}}jtkhl ho ~j}hlgc kltjj}t, ^gckgijltg{ ijifj} ho gc)
Kgwk{g fjchlakla th tbj ogmtkhl cjd f{ ~gckgijlt} }~jgej
Z}gig gc)Lz`gkok fjagl th fj }jjl kl tbj mhkdh} ho ~gckg)
ijlt, Htbj} qhzcd }hhl `hkl# ~gtkmzcgc{ tbh}j ohi tbjgc)Bgcc "]hcztkhl+ fchm, Lh qg} tbjj zlglkihz} }z~~ht
oh fh{mhttkla tbj mgfkljt, Hlj h tqh iklk}tj} dkd kldjjd
fjge tbj fh{mhtt gld gttjldjd mgfkljt ijjtkla},7= Kl tbj
ogmj ho g }~ckltjkla mhgcktkhl# gld bgvkla gmbkjvjd ljrt th
lhtbkla# gc)Kgwk{g oklgcc{ djmkdjd kl cgtj @glzg{ 6>76 th
mgcc hoo kt} fh{mhtt,
G Dh)Ckttcj ^gvckgijlt
Lht tbgt gc)Kgwk{g} fh{mhtt ki~gmtjd tbj ~johiglmj hojktbj tbj mgfkljt h tbj ~gckgijlt, G} ijltkhljd jgckj# tbj
mgfkljt ho lgtkhlgc zlkt{ z}zgcc{ ~johijd kl }jaijltjd ~gt)
tjl} qbjj tbjj qg} ckttcj qbhcj th tbj ~gt}, ]h tbj ogkczj
th gttjld mgfkljt ijjtkla} f{ g mhz~cj h }h iklk}tj} qhzcd
bgvj ckttcj ki~gmt hl tbj ~hmj}} ho ~hckm{ igekla# jrmj~t oh
gcchqkla Igckek th gvhkd mhccjmtkvj djmk}khl)igekla# gld th
akvj bki g fhgdj vk}tg oh tbj kldkvkdzgc jrjmk}j ho ~hcktkmgc
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8/2/2019 Post Occupation Iraq the Brittleness of Political Institutions
9/16;
~hqj, Ljktbj qg} ~gckgijlt g }bklkla jrgi~cj ho djih)
mgtkm gmtkvk}i,
Kl tbj Igmb 6>7> jcjmtkhl}# tbj ~jh~cj ho Kgw djckvjjd
qbgt djihmgt} kl Kgw gld gfhgd bgd bh~jd oh, Ljq ogmj}
mhl}tktztjd ihj tbgl 2> ~jmjlt ho tbj ijifj}bk~ ho tbj
ljq ~gckgijlt5 igl{ ho tbji jcjmtjd hl ijkt gtbj tbglhl fckld }jmtgkglk}i# gld gcih}t gcc ~hik}jd th }jvj tbj
Kgwk lgtkhl# j}mbjqkla tbj lghq ~gtkmzcgk}tkm kltjj}t}
tbgt bgd ~ggc{pjd tbj qhe ho tbjk ~jdjmj}}h}, Kt dkd
lht tgej chla oh tbj Kgwk ~jh~cj th jmhalkpj qbgt g ~k~j
djgi tbgt qg}, Hl tbj hlj bgld# ~gckgijltgkgl} ohi
Igckek} gc)Dgqg# fjbgvjd g} tbhzab tbjk hlc{ hcj qg} th
tbqgt gl{ ~gckgijltg{ klktkgtkvj zldjtgejl f{ gc)Kgwk{g,
Hl tbj htbj bgld# gc)Kgwk{g ijifj} }~jlt izmb ho tbjk
tkij mhi~cgklkla gld fh{mhttkla }j}}khl}5 tbjk igkl cgijlt
fjkla Igckek} zlqkccklalj}} th djckvj hl tbj Mhzlmkc oh
]tgtjakm ^hckmkj} "M]^+# tbj ~ggccjc kl}tktztkhl th tbj mgfkljt
tbgt bgd fjjl ~hik}jd th G{gd Gccgqk kl tbj ljahtkgtkhl}
hvj tbj ohigtkhl ho ahvjlijlt tbgt thhe ~cgmj kl tbj
Ezdk}b mkt{ ho Kfkc kl tbj ogcc ho 6>7>, Kt }jjijd tbgt th
gc)Kgwk{g# ~ggc{pkla tbj qhe ho ~gckgijlt qg} lht thh
bkab g ~kmj th ~g{ oh tbj bkabj ~z~h}j ho ajttkla tbj M]^
~h}ktkhl oh kt} cjgdj, Gld kl tbj ikd}t ho tbj}j gltgahlk}i}#
tbj Ezdk}b ~gtkj} jmjkvjd tbj g~~cgz}j ho tbj izctktzdj oh
g}}zikla tbj hcj ho ijdkgth t{kla th ~j}jvj Kgw# fzt# kl
ogmt# tbj{ dkd tbk} hlc{ th igkltgkl tbj }~jmkgc tjgtijlt gld
tbj qjgctb ho ~hcktkmgc gld jmhlhikm ~kvkcjaj} tbgt bgvj mhijtbjk qg{ }klmj 6>>=,
^gckgijlt dkd hl hmmg}khl} j}mbjq ~jtt{ dkoojjlmj}
gld g}}jt kt} mhl}tktztkhlgc ~hqj} vk}))vk} tbj jrjmztkvj,
Oh jrgi~cj# kt dkd lht mhi~c{ qktb Igckek} jwzj}t kl cgtj
6>77 th bgvj bk} dj~zt{ ~kij iklk}tj# ]gcjb gc)Iztcgw
okjd# lh dkd kt gmmjdj th Igckek} kltjl}j ~j}}zj th bgvj
tbj g~~hkltijlt ho tbj bjgd ho tbj kltjakt{ mhiik}}khl
ihvjd ohi ~gckgijlt th tbj ~kij iklk}tj} hookmj, Fzt
}zmb gmt} ho ~gckgijltg{ kldj~jldjlmj gld g}}jtkvjlj}}
qjj ojq gld og kl fjtqjjl, Ajljgcc{# tbj kl}tktztkhl
gmbkjvjd ckttcj ~kigkc{ fjmgz}j ~hcktkmgc djgdchme goockmtjdkt} kltjlgc qhekla}, Lh qhldj# tbjjohj# tbgt cjtb)
ga{ qhzcd jl}zj# gld g ~gckgijlt tbgt igl{ bgd bh~jd
qhzcd fj mbggmtjkpjd f{ vkahhz} djfgtj} gld g vkfglt
cjak}cgtkvj gajldg# jldjd z~# gotj tbj ~g}}kla ho lht igl{
ihltb}# qktb ckttcj th }bhq oh kt} jrjtkhl}# gljikm g} tbj{
qjj, Gotj gcc# tkij gotj tkij# tbj tqh)tbkd} wzhzi
qg} fgjc{ gttgkljd# gld }hijtkij} lht jgmbjd gt gcc# gld
ijifj} qjlt hl jrtjldjd fjge} qbkcj ki~htglt cjak}cg)
tkhl qg} }bjcvjd,
G Mzctzvj ho Mhvvz~tkhl
Tbj ~hcktkmgc djgdchme tbgt ~jvgdjd tbj kl}tktztkhl} ho ahvj)
lglmj gt tbj iklk}tjkgc gld ~gckgijltg{ cjvjc} qhzcd kljvk)
tgfc{ klojmt tbj fzjgzmgm{, Qktb ckttcj h lh dkjmtkhl ohi
djmk}khl)igekla gztbhktkj}# tbj fzjgzmgm{ mhzcd bgdc{
ki~cjijlt ~hckmkj} tbgt dkd lht jrk}t, ]h gtbj tbgl fj tbj
vkahhz} gdiklk}tgth} ho g {hzla gld vkfglt djihmgtkm
}tgtj# Kgwk fzjgzmgt} qhzcd fjbgvj lh dkoojjltc{ ohi
htbj Ggf fzjgzmgt} ogijd oh tbjk kldhcjlmj# klmhi)
~jtjlmj# gld mhz~tkhl, Kldjjd# mhz~tkhl qhzcd fjmhij
jldjikm gt jvj{ cjvjc ho Kgw} ahvjlijlt, Kl kt} 6>77 gle)
kla}# Tgl}~gjlm{ Kltjlgtkhlgc# g mkvkc }hmkjt{ haglkpgtkhl
fg}jd kl Fjckl tbgt ~zfck}bj} gl gllzgc kldjr ho achfgc mh)
z~tkhl# jldhqjd Kgw qktb tbj dzfkhz} dk}tklmtkhl ho fjkla
~cgmjd kl tbj bkabc{ mhz~t mgtjah{# glekla kt 71: tb hzt
ho 72= mhzltkj},74
]klmj tbhz}gld} ho tbj ~j}jlt mh~ ho Kgwk hookmkgc} }jji
th bgvj z}jd ohajd jdzmgtkhlgc dhmzijlt} gld mjtkokmgtj}
th hftgkl tbjk ~j}jlt ~h}ktkhl}#7: kt bgdc{ mhzcd bgvj mhij
g} g }z~k}j tbgt tbj{ qhzcd }cht ljgtc{ gld joohtcj}}c{ klth
ihlj{)igekla gld kloczjlmj ~jddckla ~gmtkmj}, Vjagdcj}}
ho qbjj j}~hl}kfkckt{ cg{ oh tbk} }gd gld thzfckla djvjch~)ijlt kl Kgw} ohtzlj}# qbgt tbj mhzlt{ jldjd z~ qktb qg}
g dhzfcj)qbgii{ ho hookmkgc igcjvhcjlmj, Qbjtbj kl bkab
h chq ~h}ktkhl}# tbj}j hookmkgc} lht hlc{ qhzcd lht mhltkfztj
izmb th tbj fzkcdkla ho hfz}t gld ~z~h}jozc kl}tktztkhl}#
tbj{ kl ogmt fjbgvjd ckej ~gg}ktkm jltktkj}# tjgtkla ~zfckm
}jvkmj ijjc{ g} gl h~~htzlkt{ th ikce tbj }{}tji oh qbgt
kt k} qhtb,
Tbj Mv{}tgcckpgtkhl ho ]jmtgvkgl Dk}mhvd
Tbk} mzctzj ho h~~htzlk}i gld vjlgckt{# ho ajttkla qbgt {hz
mgl oh {hz}jco gld {hz mhlkj} qbkcj {hz gj kl g ~h}ktkhl
ho kloczjlmj# lh igttj bhq }bht)ckvjd# qhzcd ojjd klth#
gld kl igl{ qg{} }hckdko{# tbj agtbjkla ogaijltgtkhl gld
kiihfkckt{ ho ahvjlijlt, Tbj jl}zkla ~hcktkmgc djgdchme#
kifzjd qktb fkttj djlzlmkgtkhl} gld jmkiklgtkhl}# qg}
fgd jlhzab, Qbgt igdj kt qh}j qg} tbgt kt qg} ~cg{jd
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8/2/2019 Post Occupation Iraq the Brittleness of Political Institutions
10/16
IKDDCJ JG]T ^VHAVGIHMMG]KHLGC ^G^JV ]JVKJ] ]^VKLA 6>76
7>
gagkl}t tbj fgmedh~ ho ihzltkla vkhcjlmj, G} tbj dgtj oh
tbj dj~gtzj ho Gijkmgl thh~}# }mbjdzcjd oh tbj jld ho
6>77# g~~hgmbjd# tbj }jmzkt{ }ktzgtkhl fjagl th djtjkhgtj,
G} tbhzab kltjlt hl tj}tkla tbj mg~gfkckt{ ho Kgw} }jmz)
kt{ ohmj}# lhq klmjg}klac{ h~jgtkla hl tbjk hql# qktb
Gijkmgl} ih}tc{ kl ~jk~bjgc }z~~htkla mg~gmkt{# gc)Wgjdgh~jgtkvj} fjagl th j}mgcgtj tbjk fhifkla mgi~gkal, Kt qg}
hfvkhz} tbgt th gc)Wgjdg ikcktglt}# tbj ]bkktj ~hcktkmgc hdj
qg} g} dj}~kmgfcj gld zlgmmj~tgfcj g} tbj Gijkmgl hmmz~{)
kla ohmj}, Gotj g bkgtz} ho }hij }jvjl ihltb} kl tbj }~kla
gld }ziij ho 6>77# gc)Wgjdg cgzlmbjd g }jkj} ho fhifkla
mgi~gkal} kl mjltgc gld }hztbjl Kgw, Kl g ohz)ihltb
~jkhd }~gllkla Gzaz}t 6>77 th @glzg{ 6>76# g qgvj ho }zk)
mkdj fhifkla} ekccjd }hij =:> Kgwk} gld qhzldjd hvj 1>>,
Qbkcj ih}t ho tbj gttgme} tgajtjd }hztbjl ]bkktj mktkj}
gld dk}tkmt} kl Fgabdgd tbgt qjj ~jdhiklgltc{ ]bkktj#
gc)Wgjdg gc}h }gvjd }hij ho kt} vjlhi oh ]zllk gjg} gld
mktkj}# qbkmb gotj 6>>1 bgd djmkdjd th lh chlaj qgaj `kbgd
gagkl}t Kgw} mjltgc gztbhktkj}, Kldjjd# hlj ho tbj }zkmkdj
gttgmej} fcjq bki}jco z~ kl tbj igkl bgcc ho tbj Zii gc)
Wzg ih}wzj# hlj ho tbj ih}t ki~htglt ]zllk jckakhz}
}ktj} kl Fgabdgd, Kt qg} }z}~jmtjd tbgt bj qg} tgajtkla g
]zllk `zdaj elhql oh bk} gltk)ikcktglt vkjq}, Tbj cgq)
igej }zvkvjd# fzt =6 kllhmjlt qh}bk~~j} qjj ekccjd gld
glhtbj =; }jkhz}c{ qhzldjd, Vjagdcj}} ho tbj ihtkvj}#
tbj ekcckla} kl ]bkktj gld ]zllk gjg} kltjl}kokjd tbj }jl}j
ho ojg gld ik}tz}t gihla fhtb mhiizlktkj}# cjgdkla thj~ht} ho ]zllk gld ]bkktj ogikckj} cjgvkla tbjk bhij} th
}jttcj kl }jajagtjd dk}tkmt},7? Tbk} qg} g dk}tzfkla djvjc)
h~ijlt tbgt kljvktgfc{ fhzabt fgme ijihkj} ho tbj dge
dg{} ho 6>>?)6>>1 qbjl }hij tqh gld g bgco ikcckhl ~jh~cj
cjot tbjk bhij}# ljkabfhbhhd}# gld mktkj}# }jjekla }jmzkt{
gihla tbjk mh)jckakhlk}t}# kl cgaj qgvj} ho mh}} ikagtkhl,
Kltjlgc dk}~cgmjijlt cjot g mkt{ }zmb g} Fgabdgd# ogijd oh
kt} izctk)mzctzgc jtbh}# qbjj ~jh~cj kltjiklacjd ojjc{ gld
jg}kc{# dkvkdjd gchla jtblh)}jmtgkgl cklj},
]jmtgkgl vkhcjlmj gld ihzltkla }z}~kmkhl} gld ik})
tz}t hl tbj }tjjt cjvjc ojd klth gl gtih}~bjj ho agtbj)kla ~gglhkg gt tbj ~hcktkmgc jcktj cjvjc# qbkmb qg} ~j~~jjd
f{ mcgki} ho ~cht}# mhl}~kgmkj}# gld kltkazj, Tbj ]zllk}#
j}kdkla kl tbj ikddcj ho Kgw gld ojjckla bkabc{ }jl}ktkvj
gfhzt tbjk iklhkt{ }tgtz}# th qbkmb tbj{ qjj }tkcc zlgm)
mz}thijd# mhltklzjd th igej }bkcc# fzt hl tbj qbhcj lht
~gtkmzcgc{ }zf}tgltkgtjd# qglkla} gfhzt Kgl} kjdjltk}t
dj}kal} hl Kgw, Tbj gmmz}gtkhl} vgkjd ohi }kabtkla} ho
Kglkgl Vjvhcztkhlg{ Azgd} gdvk}kla gld tgklkla Iklk}t{
ho Kltjkh ~j}hlljc# th Igckek bki}jco gccjajdc{ dhkla tbj
fkddkla ho bk} }z~~h}jd Kglkgl bgldcj},71 Bgdc{ gl{ jvk)
djlmj qg} ~j}jltjd# fzt# tbjl kl g ~hcktkmgc ikckjz# qbjj gl
gfzldglmj ho }z}~kmkhl gld ik}tz}t ~jvgkc}# }zmb }kcc{ tbkla}
g} jvkdjlmj bgdc{ mhij th ikld,]zllk ljzh}k} gfhzt Kgl} ~hcktkmgc ~hqj kl Kgw qg}
ihj tbgl j~ckmgtjd f{ ]bkktj ojg ho j}kdzgc Fggtbk}t ~j})
jlmj kl Kgw, Igckek bki}jco }zooj} ohi qbgt mgl hlc{ fj
dj}mkfjd g} Fggtbk}t ~bhfkg, Bj bg} }~hejl gcgiklac{
ihj tbgl hlmj ho Fggtbk}t "gld f{ ki~ckmgtkhl ]zllk+ ~cht}
gagkl}t bki ~j}hlgcc{ gld tbj ]bkktj ~hcktkmgc hdj ajljgcc{,
Kl Hmthfj 6>77# Igckek} ahvjlijlt g~~gjltc{ jmjkvjd
klohigtkhl ohi tbj ljq# ~h}t)Wgdbgok# Ckf{gl cjgdj} tbgt
ohij Fggtbk}t} gld ijifj} ho ]gddgi Bz}}jkl ikcktg{
qjj ~chttkla g ikcktg{ mhz~ gagkl}t tbj Igckek ahvjlijlt,
Qktbkl dg{}# ihj tbgl 6>> ~jh~cj qjj gj}tjd# gld f{
Lhvjifj tbj okazj bgd ahlj z~ th hvj ?>>, Th }g{ tbgt
dzj ~hmj}} qg} cgmekla k} gl zldj}tgtjijlt# qktb igl{
qbh bgd tbj }ckabtj}t mhlljmtkhl qktb tbj Fggtb ^gt{ fjkla
~zccjd hzt ho tbjk fjd} kl tbj ikddcj ho tbj lkabt, Qbgt qg}
ihj jajakhz} qg} tbgt kl gddktkhl th tbj ig}} gj}t} oh tbk}
gccjajd mhl}~kgm{# Igckek} ahvjlijlt qjlt hl g qktmb bzlt
gagkl}t ohij Fggtbk}t} lhq tjgmbkla kl Kgwk zlkvj}ktkj}# ok)
kla ghzld 7:> zlkvj}kt{ ~hoj}}h}, Qbkcj bhqc} ho ~htj}t
jz~tjd ohi ]zllk ~hcktkmkgl}# Igckek} ]bkktj mhgcktkhl ~gt)
lj} jldh}jd tbj ahvjlijlt gmtkhl# gld gt tbj ohjohlt hotbj}j qg} Ihwtgdg gc)]gd# qbh jr~cgkljd tbgt tbj dk}ik}}gc
ho tbj ~hoj}}h} qg} ahhd oh z} gld ahhd oh tbji,72 Hlj
dkd lht bgvj th qhldj qbh mhl}tktztjd tbj z} gld tbji,
Gld tbk} mgij ohi g igl qbh# ho gcc tbj ]bkktj cjgdj}# bgd
tkjcj}}c{ ~htg{jd bki}jco g} g ~ggahl ho lhl)}jmtgkgl
lgtkhlgck}i# }z~~h}jdc{ okabtkla Gijkmgl} oh tbj }gej ho gcc
Kgwk}# gld hl igl{ hmmg}khl} }kdkla qktb ]zllk ~hcktkmkgl}
gagkl}t tbj ]bkktj ~kij iklk}tj, Fzt ~hcktkmgc ~h}tzkla gld
h~~htzlk}i g}kdj# qbjl ~kihdkgc kl}tklmt mgij th tbj ohj#
gc)]gd qhzcd jvjt th tbj ]bkktj z}# qbkmb qhzcd ogij
tbj gttktzdklgc dk}tklmtkhl ohi tbji# tbj ]zllk}, ]zmb qg}tbj djj~jlkla }jmtgkgl ikld}jt gihla Kgw} zckla jcktj},
Ljq Mgcc} ohv Jtblh}jmtgvkgl Ojdjvgck}i
Tbj j}zct ho tbj ahqkla dk}tglmj fjtqjjl mhiizlktkj}# gld
tbj ~hmckvkt{ ho tbj}j mhiizlktkj} th fj jltjlmbjd kl }ja)
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8/2/2019 Post Occupation Iraq the Brittleness of Political Institutions
11/1677
jagtjd gjg}# bg} akvjl k}j th klmjg}kla mgcc} ohi jrk}tkla
~hvklmj} gld jvjl dk}tkmt} qktbkl tbj}j ~hvklmj} oh }bkot)
kla ~hqj gqg{ ohi Fgabdgd th tbj jakhl}# tbz} mjgtkla g
ojdjgc }tzmtzj tbgt jrtjld} fj{hld tbj Ezdk}b dhigkl th
tbj j}t ho tbj mhzlt{, Kldjjd# ohi tbj vj{ fjakllkla ho tbj
jooht th fzkcd g djihmgtkm Kgw# tbjj qg} gcih}t zlkvj}gcmhl}jl}z} tbgt tgl}ohikla Kgw} mhiizlgc dkvj}kt{ klth
gl gajlt ho ~h}ktkvj mbglaj qhzcd fj gmbkjvjd fj}t tbhzab
ojdjgck}i,7; Tbk} ~hcktkmgc gld gdiklk}tgtkvj }{}tji k} kdjgc
oh ogmtzjd }hmkjtkj} g} kt mzt} gmh}} mcjgvgaj}# akvkla gcc
ahz~} g }tgej kl tbj }{}tji, Tbj ojdjgck}i tbgt bgd fjjl
jlvk}gajd oh Kgw gotj tbj ogcc ho ]gddgi qg} hlj tbgt
qhzcd fj djmjltgckpjd hl tbj fg}k} ho tjkth{# lht jtblkmkt{
h }jmt# qbjj chmgc ahvjlijlt} qhzcd bgvj j}~hl}kfkckt{
oh gcc mktkpjl} kl tbjk gjg}# lht `z}t oh jtblkm h }jmtgkgl
mh)lgtkhlgc},6> Tbj jmhiijldgtkhl qg} th igkltgkl Kgw}
gdiklk}tgtkvj }tzmtzj zldj ]gddgi# kl qbkmb tbj mhzl)
t{ qg} dkvkdjd klth 72 zlkt}# fzt th akvj tbj}j 72 zlkt} og
ajgtj ~hqj} vk}))vk} tbj mjltj,
Qbgt tgl}~kjd# bhqjvj# qg} g tza ho qg fjtqjjl
ahz~} tbgt kl}k}tjd hl tbj klvkhcgfkckt{ ho jrk}tkla }tgtj }tzm)
tzj}# qbkmb ijglt tbj ~j}jvgtkhl ho mjltgckpjd zcj# gld
htbj ahz~} tbgt gdvhmgtjd g ojdjgck}i tbgt k} fg}jd lht
hl tjkthkgckt{ fzt hl jtblh}jmtgkglk}i, Tbj Ezd}# qbh
ho gcc Kgw} dkvj}j ahz~} bgd tbj ih}t }bg~jljd }jl}j ho
lgtkhlgc kdjltkt{# gld bgd }zoojjd kiijg}zgfc{ gt tbj bgld}
ho vgkhz} Kgwk ahvjlijlt}# qjj tbj ih}t vhmgc }z~~htj}ho tbj cgttj h~tkhl, Kiijdkgtjc{ gotj th~~ckla ]gddgi gld
tbj Fggtbk}t} kl 6>>=# tbj Ezd} jifgejd hl g jcjltcj}} gld
zctkigtjc{ }zmmj}}ozc lgtkhlgc gld kltjlgtkhlgc mgi~gkal th
mjgtj gl gzthlhihz} Ezdk}tgl# mhl}tktztkvj ho tbjj hvj)
qbjciklac{ Ezdk}b)}~jgekla ahvjlhgtj}, Gt tbj htbj
~hcj qjj tbj ]zllk} qbh qjj gdgiglt gfhzt ~j}jvkla tbj
~hcktkmgc gld gdiklk}tgtkvj zlkt{ ho Kgw f{ ejj~kla ~hqj
kl tbj mjltj, Kl fjtqjjl tbj}j ~hcj} j}kdjd tbj ]bkktj}# ih}t
~jojkla g zlktjd mjltgckpjd Kgw# fzt }hij# qktb tkij#
mg}tkla jlvkhz} acglmj} gt tbj }zmmj}}ozc Ezdk}b jr~jkijlt,
Tbj }jjikla jltjlmbijlt# kldjjd bjkabtjlkla# ho }jmtg)kgl gttktzdj}# ~cz} tbj gzthmgtkm ~jdk}~h}ktkhl} ho Igckek
gld bk} }jmtgkgl ki~zc}j} cjd th g ~hckojgtkhl ho Kgwk
dk}tkmt} jwzj}tkla "gld }hij djigldkla+ ojdjgc }tgtz},
Tbj mhl}tktztkhl gt tbj kl}k}tjlmj ho tbj Ezd} bgd igdj kt
jg}{ oh ~hvklmj} th }jje gzthlhihz} }tgtz} oh tbji}jcvj}
qktbkl Kgw# h th ijaj qktb htbj ~hvklmj} th ohi ojdjgc
jakhl}, Tbj jwzkjijlt k} }ki~c{ oh hlj)tbkd ho tbj ~h)
vklmkgc mhzlmkc th }zfikt g jwzj}t th tbj mjltgc ahvjlijlt
kl Fgabdgd th bhcd g jojjldzi hl tbj k}}zj kl tbj ~hvklmj,
Kldjjd# tbj }hztbjl ]bkktj ~hvklmj ho Fg}g# qktb kt} bzaj
j}jvj} ho ~jthcjzi# bgd gcjgd{ }zfikttjd }zmb g jwzj}t
tbgt qg} wzkjtc{ }bjcvjd f{ tbj Igckek ahvjlijlt, Tbjj
qg} jgcc{ lh ~hcktkmgc h kdjhchakmgc ~z~h}j th tbj jwzj}tho tbj ]bkktj ~hvklmj5 kt qg} ihtkvgtjd }ki~c{ f{ jmhlhikm
gld oklglmkgc mhl}kdjgtkhl}# }klmj Fg}g ojct tbgt kt qg} lht
ajttkla g ogk }bgj ho tbj oklglmkgc jtzl} ohi tbj hkc zldj
kt} hql }hkc, Tbj ~hvklmj jmjkvjd g }~jmkgc dk}~jl}gtkhl ho
$7 ~j fgjc oh tbj hkc ~hdzmjd ohi kt} hql ~hvklmj gt g
tkij qbjl g fgjc ho ~jthcjzi qg} fjkla }hcd hl tbj kltj)
lgtkhlgc igejt oh ghzld $7>>,
Fg}g} gmtkhl# mhikla ohi g ]bkktj ~hvklmj kl g mhzlt{#
qbkmb gotj mjltzkj} qg} lhq zcjd f{ g ]bkktj ig`hkt{# dkd
~hdzmj }hij gk}jd j{jfhq}, Fzt kl cgtj 6>77# mgcc} oh
gzthlhihz} ojdjgc }tgtz} mgij ohi gl jvjl ihj zlckejc{
}hzmj, Tbj ~hvklmkgc mhzlmkc} ho tbj ]zllk ~hvklmj} ho
Glfg gld ]gcgb gc)Dkl igdj ~zfckm tbjk kltjltkhl th
fjmhij gzthlhihz} dk}tkmt}, Tbj }z~k}j bjj qg} tbgt tbj
]zllk} bgd fjjl tbj ih}t vkzcjlt gld vhmkojhz} h~~hljlt}
ho ojdjgck}i# kl}k}tkla hl igkltgklkla tbj ~hcktkmgc kltja)
kt{ ho g zlkokjd Kgw ahvjljd f{ g }thla mjltgc gztbhkt{,
Ihjhvj# zlckej ]bkktj Fg}g# tbj tqh ]zllk ~hvklmj} bgdc{
qjj gqg}b qktb jmhlhikm j}hzmj}, Hfvkhz}c{# tbj ~z~h}j
bjj qg} ~kigkc{ ~hcktkmgc# }~zjd f{ g }jl}j ho ~hcktkmgc
igaklgckpgtkhl gld g fjckjo tbgt ]zllk} qjj fjkla bgg}}jdgld tjgtjd zlogkc{# gld tbgt tbk} }tgtj ho googk} qg} ckejc{ th
qh}jl kl tbj oztzj, Lht chla gotj# Dk{gcg# glhtbj ]zllk)
ig`hkt{ ~hvklmj `hkljd kl qktb kt} hql jwzj}t th fjmhij
gl gzthlhihz} dk}tkmt, Qbkcj tbj mhl}tktztkhl jl`hkl} tbj
mjltgc ahvjlijlt th j}~hld wzkmec{# qktbkl 7: dg{}# th
}zmb ~hvklmkgc jwzj}t}# tbj Igckek ahvjlijlt bg} dgaajd
kt} ojjt hl tbj k}}zj# gcih}t mbgccjlakla tbj ~hvklmj} th tgej
tbj igttj th tbj ]z~jij Mhzt# qbkmb# g} tbj ~hvklmj}
qjcc eljq# bgd fjjl gmtkla g} gl gi ho Igckek} ahvjlijlt,
Kldjjd# g}ejd kl g ~j}} kltjvkjq gfhzt tbj jwzj}t} f{ ]bkktj
gld ]zllk ahvjlhgtj} oh ojdjgc }tgtz}# Igckek j}~hldjd0Qj qkcc lht gcchq tbj mjgtkhl ho ojdjgc jakhl},67 Akvjl
tbgt tbk} }tgtjijlt qg} kl mhi~cjtj mhltgdkmtkhl ho tbj
mhl}tktztkhl# kt qg} lht mcjg qbkmb# gld bhq igl{# ~hcktkmgc
kl}tktztkhl} qjj klmczdjd kl tbj Qj dj}kalgtkhl# h ig{fj
kt qg} tbj h{gc QJ,
Ko tbj fkttcjlj}} ho Kgw} ~hcktkmgc kl}tktztkhl} qg} iglk)
oj}t kl tbj mhzlt{} }jmtgkgl dkvk}khl} fjtqjjl Ggf ]zllk}
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8/2/2019 Post Occupation Iraq the Brittleness of Political Institutions
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IKDDCJ JG]T ^VHAVGIHMMG]KHLGC ^G^JV ]JVKJ] ]^VKLA 6>76
76
gld Ggf ]bkktj}# tbj tjl}khl fjtqjjl tbj mjltgc ahvjlijlt
gld tbj jtblkmgcc{ dk}tklmt Ezd} th tbj lhtb# fhzabt gfhzt
f{ tbj ~hcktkmgc gld jmhlhikm gglajijlt} qhl f{ tbj
Ezd} kl tbj jgc{ {jg} gotj ]gddgi} djik}j# qg} lh cj}}
~gc~gfcj, Kl gddktkhl th tbjk ogk }bgj ho ~hcktkmgc kloczjlmj
kl Kgw} ahvjlijlt# qbkmb klmczdjd }zmb mbhkmj ~h}ktkhl}g} tbj ~j}kdjlm{ ho tbj j~zfckm gld tbj iklk}tkj} ho ohjkal
googk}# tgdj# gld bjgctb# gihla htbj}# tbj Ezd}# gchlj
gihla tbj vgkhz} mhiizlktkj}# bgd tbjk hql gzthlhihz}
jakhl ho Ezdk}tgl# qktb tbj mkt{ ho Kfkc g} tbj mg~ktgc gld
}jgt ho ahvjlijlt, Tbj jakhl fhg}tjd gl jcjmtjd ~j}kdjlt
gld ~gckgijlt# g} qjcc g} gl gi{ ho kt} hql tbgt lzifjjd
ihj tbgl 7>>#>>> ijl, Kl gddktkhl# Ezdk}tgl ohizcgtjd
kt} hql mhl}tktztkhl# qbkmb# kl mg}j ho g mhl}tktztkhlgc dk})
~ztj# qhzcd tgej ~jmjdjlmj hvj Kgw} ojdjgc mhl}tktztkhl,
Tbk} mhl}tktztkhlgc kl`zlmtkhl qg} ~gtkmzcgc{ qhk)
}hij th Ggf Kgwk}# }klmj tbj Ezdk}b mhl}tktztkhl djokljd
Ezdk}tgl g} mhltgklkla lht hlc{ tbj gajjd z~hl tbjj
~hvklmj} ho Kfkc# ]zcg{iglk{gb# gld Dzbhe# fzt gc}h ~gc)
~gfcj mbzle} ho jgc j}tgtj kl tbj lhl)Ezdk}b ~hvklmj} ho
Lkljvjb# Dk{gcg# ]gcgb gc)Dkl# gld ih}t mktkmgcc{ tbj hkc)kmb
mkt{ ho Ekeze kl tbj ~hvklmj ho Tgiki, Vjcgtkhl} fjtqjjl
Fgabdgd gld tbj Ezd} bgvj fjjl ~gtkmzcgc{ }tgkljd hvj
Ekeze# qbjj tbhz}gld} ho Kgwk gld Ezdk}b thh~} ogmj
jgmb htbj gchla tbj fhzldg{ tbgt }j~ggtj} Ezdk}tgl ohi
Ggf Kgw, Kldjjd# hmmg}khlgc mcg}bj} bgd jz~tjd kl tbj ~g}t
fzt qjj ~jvjltjd ohi j}mgcgtkla klth cgaj)}mgcj okabtkla f{tbj ~j}jlmj ho Gijkmgl thh~}, Qktb tbgt }tgfkckpkla ohmj
lh chlaj tbjj# Ekeze mhzcd vj{ qjcc fjmhij jvjl ihj ho
gl klmjldkg{ k}}zj kl Kgwk)Ezdk}b jcgtkhl},
Ekeze} ki~htglmj tgl}mjld} tbj k}}zj ho ajhag~bkm
kjdjltk}i5 kt k} tbj ohmgc ~hklt ho g izmb cgaj dk}~ztj hvj
hkc ~hdzmtkhl gld igejtkla tbgt jcgtj} th tbj mhi~jtkla
kabt} ho jakhl} vk}))vk} tbj mjltgc ahvjlijlt, Tbj k}}zj
k} qbjtbj tbj ahvjlijlt ho Ezdk}tgl mgl jltj klth jr~ch)
gtkhl gajjijlt} ho hkc qktb ohjkal mhi~glkj} kldj~jl)
djltc{ ho Fgabdgd, Lht tbgt tbj Ezd} bgvj qgktjd oh g cjagc
j}hcztkhl ho tbj ~hfcji, Tbj{ bgvj ahlj gbjgd gld }kaljdmhltgmt} qktb hvj 4> ohjkal mhi~glkj}# tzlkla g fckld
j{j th okjmj Kgwk hf`jmtkhl} gld djlzlmkgtkhl}, Fgabdgd bg}
mhl}k}tjltc{ gazjd tbgt gcc mhltgmt} }kaljd qktb tbj Ezdk}b
ahvjlijlt qktbhzt tbj g~~hvgc ho tbj mjltgc ahvjlijlt
qjj kccjagc, Fgabdgd dhj} }tgld hl tbkl ahzld# bhqjvj#
fjmgz}j g b{dhmgfhl cgq ijglt th j}hcvj mhl}tktztkhlgc
gifkazktkj} tbgt bgd cjd th tbj Kgwk Ezdk}b hkc dk}~ztj}
jigkl} fhaajd dhql kl Kgw} ogmtkhz} ~gckgijlt, Kl tbj
ijgltkij# Fgabdgd mhltklzjd th tbjgtjl tbj hkc mhi~glkj}
~h}~jmtkla kl Ezdk}tgl qktb jrmcz}khl ohi mhi~jtkla oh
mhltgmt} oh tbj izmb cgaj hkc okjcd} kl tbj }hztb, Kl jgckt{#
tbj}j qjj gcc bhcchq tbjgt}5 tbj mhi~glkj} ~h}~jmtkla kl
Ezdk}tgl qjj thh }igcc th ah gagkl}t tbj fka bkttj} ho tbjhkc igejt# }zmb g} ]bjcc# F^# gld JrrhlIhfkc# qbh qjj tbj
igkl mhltjldj} kl tbj }hztb# gld qbh bgd lht jltjjd tbj
Ezdk}tgl igejt oh ojg ho Kgwk jtgckgtkhl,
Tbj fka fhif}bjcc tbgt qhzcd igej tbk} ogzabt jcgtkhl)
}bk~ fjtqjjl Fgabdgd gld Kfkc jvjl ihj ~jmgkhz} mgij kl
Lhvjifj 6>77# qbjl gl gdvk}h th tbj Ezdk}b ahvjlijlt
}gkd tbgt gotj ihltb} ho ljahtkgtkhl}# g djgc qg} }tzme qktb
JrrhlIhfkc th jr~chj }kr fchme} ho hkc okjcd} kl Ezdk}tgl,
Oh Jrrhl# Ezdk}tgl ~j}jltjd gl h~~htzlkt{ oh g vj{
czmgtkvj oztzj, Qbkcj gt ~j}jlt# tbj Ezdk}b okjcd} gmmhzlt
oh cj}} tbgl 7> ~jmjlt ho Kgw} hkc ~hdzmtkhl# tbj jakhl}
j}jvj} gj jlhihz}# j}tkigtjd gt gfhzt 4: fkcckhl fgjc}
ho hkc gld fjtqjjl tbjj gld }kr tkcckhl mzfkm ojjt ho ag},
Ihjhvj# tbj ~jthcjzi k} mch}j th tbj ahzld gld tbjjohj
kljr~jl}kvj th ~hdzmj# g} qjcc g} fjkla ho bkab wzgckt{# gld
g} }zmb mbjg~ th joklj, Gld ajttkla kl gt tbj fjakllkla# tbj
mhi~gl{ qg} gfcj th }jmzj ohi tbj Ezdk}b ahvjlijlt
g ajljhz} ~hokt }bgkla gajjijlt# kl mhltg}t th tbj Kgwk
ahvjlijlt qbh ~gkd ~h}~jmtkla mhi~glkj} g }jvkmj ojj ho
cj}} tbgl $6 ~j fgjc# tbj chqj}t kl tbj qhcd,66
Hl tbjk ~gt# tbj Kgwk} ozijd gfhzt tbj djgc# fzt klk)tkgcc{ k}}zjd g }hijqbgt vgazj j}~hl}j, G }tgtjijlt mhikla
ohi Bz}}jkl gc)]bgbk}tglk# tbj Dj~zt{ ^kij Iklk}tj oh
Jlja{# kl mbgaj ho tbj ~jthcjzi kldz}t{# }gkd# Tbj Kgwk
ahvjlijlt qkcc djgc qktb gl{ mhi~gl{ tbgt vkhcgtj} tbj
cgq tbj }gij qg{ kt djgct qktb }kikcg mhi~glkj} fjohj,6=
Kt qg} lht mcjg qbkmb cgq gc)]bgbk}tglk qg} jojkla th#
}klmj ~gckgijlt bgd lht dk}mz}}jd# cjt gchlj vhtjd hl# g
b{dhmgfhl cgq, Ihjhvj# JrrhlIhfkc bgd gcjgd{ gajjd
th klvj}t }hij $:> fkcckhl kl tbj }hztbjl hkc okjcd ho Qj}t
Wzlg)7 tbgt qhzcd ihj tbgl tk~cj kt} ~j}jlt ~hdzmtkhl
cjvjc ho 6 ikcckhl fgjc ~j dg{ f{ 6>7:, Gld Jrrhl qg}~jtt{ mhlokdjlt tbgt Kgwk} qjcc eljq tbgt tbjj gj vj{ ojq
mhi~glkj} tbgt mhzcd ~zt hl tbj tgfcj tbgt ekld ho mg~ktgc#
th }g{ lhtbkla ho Jrrhl} zlkvgcjd tjmblkmgc jr~jtk}j, ]tkcc#
Fgabdgd mhltklzjd qktb kt} zctkigtzi oh Jrrhl th qktb)
dgq ohi Ezdk}tgl,
Fgabdgd dkd ~h}}j}} g ~hqjozc tzi~ mgd tbgt gcchqjd kt
th ~j}k}t kl tbjgtjlkla tbj Gijkmgl izctklgtkhlgc, Jrrhl
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13/167=
ogmjd okjmj mhi~jtktkhl oh Kgw} hkc# fzt tbgt dkd lht mhij
ohi tbj z}zgc }z}~jmt}# tbj fka hkc gld ag} izctklgtkhlgc}, Kt
mgij ohi }tgtj)hqljd mhi~glkj} kl Mbklg# Vz}}kg# ]hztb
Ehjg# Lhqg{# Tzej{# gld Igcg{}kg# jtm, Tbj}j mhi~g)
lkj}# ~gtkmzcgc{ Mbklg} Lgtkhlgc ^jthcjzi Mh~hgtkhl
"ML^M+# qjj lht ahkla th fj dk}}zgdjd f{ tbj ~gct{jtzl hl klvj}tijlt tbgt Fgabdgd qg} hoojkla, Zlckej tbj
izctklgtkhlgc}# ~hokt qg} lht tbjk hlc{ ahgc5 tbj{ qjj `z}t
g}# ko lht ihj# kltjj}tjd kl chla)tji gmmj}} th Kgwk hkc,
Oh jrgi~cj# ML^M} gaaj}}kvj fkddkla kl Kgw qg} ihtk)
vgtjd g} izmb f{ chla)tji jmhlhikm }jmzkt{ mhlmjl} g}
f{ oklglmkgc ~hokt}, Tbj Kgwk} tbjjohj qjj gfcj th djckvj
hl tbjk tbjgt qbjl tbj{ gllhzlmjd hl Ojfzg{ 7=# 6>76
tbgt Jrrhl qhzcd fj fgjd ohi oztzj fkddkla hl ljq Kgwk
}hztbjl okjcd},
Kgw ikabt fj gfcj th dk}}zgdj mhi~glkj} gld ajt tbji
th thq tbj Kgwk cklj# fzt gl{ }zmmj}} gagkl}t tbj mhi~g)
lkj} bgd ckttcj mbglmj ho fjkla j~ckmgtjd kl tbj mg}j ho tbj
gzthlhihz} Ezdk}b ahvjlijlt, Tbgt }j~ggtj Ezdk}b
djgc} qktb ohjkal hkc mhi~glkj} qhzcd mhltklzj gld jr~gld
qg} igdj vj{ mcjg f{ Fgbgi ]gcjb# tbj ~kij iklk}tj ho
tbj Ezdk}b ahvjlijlt, Bj djojldjd Ezdk}tgl} kabt th
}tkej }zmb djgc}# kldj~jldjltc{ ho Fgabdgd# g} g lgtkhlgc
ljmj}}kt{ oh }zvkvgc, Tbjj k} lh qg{ tbgt qj qkcc fj
dk}}zgdjd ohi hz mhl}tktztkhlgc kabt th djvjch~kla hz
j}hzmj} gld gcchq hz}jcvj} th fj bh}tgaj} th tbj qbki} ho
}hij fzjgzmgt} kl Fgabdgd# ]gcjb }gkd djokgltc{, Qjvjfjjl tbjj fjohj, Hkc qg} z}jd th }tglacj hz ~jh~cj# th
mhiikt ajlhmkdj,64 Tbjj k} lh }thlaj }tgtjijlt tbgl
tbk} hlj th kccz}tgtj tbj dk}tglmj gcjgd{ tgejl f{ tbj Ezd}
kl tbjk wzj}t oh ~hcktkmgc gzthlhi{ tbgt gt tkij} }jji} th
fj ihvkla }chqc{# {jt qktb }zj j}hcvj# gchla tbj ~gtb ho
lgtkhlgc kldj~jldjlmj,
Kl tbj dg{} kiijdkgtjc{ gotj tbj th~~ckla ho ]gddgi}
dkmtgth}bk~# ojdjgck}i qg} thztjd g} tbj gdiklk}tgtkvj
}tzmtzj fj}t }zktjd th g }tgfcj# ~jgmjozc# gld ~h}~jhz} Kgw,
Fzt tbgt qg} g ojdjgc ihdjc tbgt gvhkdjd klhdklgtj ji~bg)
}k} hl jtblkm gld }jmtgkgl }hckdgktkj} tbgt tjld th ajljgtjmhlockmt, Qbgt bg} tgl}~kjd k} g dkoojjlt# gcih}t ~hcg# ekld
ho ojdjgck}i, Tbj ~j}jlt mhlmj~tkhl ho ojdjgck}i tbgt k}
kltjccjmtzgcc{ gld h~jgtkhlgcc{ ~kttjd gagkl}t tbj lhtkhl ho g
~hcktkmgcc{ mjltgckpjd Kgw k} hlj tbgt k} }tkjd f{ }bg~jljd
gqgjlj}} ho ok}}k~ghz} jtblkm gld }jmtgkgl kdjltkt{# gld
ojd kl ih}t mg}j} f{ tbj ~hik}j ho klmjg}jd kmbj} oh tbj
jakhl gt tbj jr~jl}j ho tbj j}t ho tbj mhzlt{, Tbk} ekld ho
jrmcz}kvj gld mjltkozagc ojdjgck}i mgl hlc{ fzt gdd th tbj
fkttcjlj}} ho Kgw} ~hcktkmgc kl}tktztkhl},
Jmck~}j ho tbj Djihmvgtkm Kdjg8
Tbk} fkttcjlj}}# iglkoj}tjd kl tbj ~kij iklk}tj} klmjg}kla
gfktgklj}}# kl g qjge gld dkvkdjd mgfkljt# kl tbj ogaijltg)
tkhl ho tbj ~gt{ }{}tji# kl ~gckgijlt} cgme ho ~z~h}j gld
dkjmtkhl# kl ihzltkla jtblh}jmtgkgl mhlockmt} gld }mbk}i}
tbgt bgvj fjjl jocjmtjd kl ~jtt{ dk}~ztj} gld `jgchz}kj} gt tbj
jcktj cjvjc# tbj j}zct ho qbkmb bg} fjjl g qbhcj}gcj ~ggc{}k}
kl djmk}khl)igeklagcc tbj}j djokmkt} gld d{}ozlmtkhl} bgvj
kljvktgfc{ gld }gdc{ igdj ~jh~cj wzj}tkhl tbj ztkckt{ ho
djihmgm{, Kgwk mktkpjl} dkd# gotj gcc# ah th tbj ~hcc} kl 6>7>
gld djckvj g vjdkmt tbgt j}mbjqjd }jmtgkglk}i gld ~zlk}bjd
klmhi~jtjlmj, Tbj{ fhzabt kl ljq ogmj} gld ~j}hlgcktkj}
qbh qjj }z~~h}jd th z}bj kl g ljq gld vkahhz} }tgaj kl
tbj mhzlt{} `hzlj{ thqgd tbj ekld ho djihmgtkm ahvj)
lglmj tbgt qhzcd fj gcc klmcz}kvj# gld tbgt qhzcd djckvj hl
tbj }ht ho jookmkjlm{ gld mhi~jtjlmj tbgt k} }hjc{ ik}}jd#
{jt ~hohzldc{ ljjdjd# kl ~j}jlt dg{ Kgw, [jt# tqh {jg}
cgtjtqh {jg} ho fgd gld ojjfcj ahvjlglmj# igjd f{
mjj~kla gztbhktgkgl ~hmckvktkj}# qkdj}~jgd mhz~tkhl#
klgfkckt{ th djgc qktb ihzltkla }tjjt vkhcjlmj# gcc ho qbkmb
bg} j}zctjd kl tbj ogmtzkla ho tbj mhzlt{tbj ~jh~cj ho
Kgw mgl fj ohakvjl oh fjakllkla th wzj}tkhl# gld jvjl akvjz~ hl# tbj kdjg ho djihmgm{,
Gld tbgt# ko kt mhij} th ~g}}# k} tbj ih}t ~jkchz} f{)
~hdzmt ho tbj qjgejlkla ho Kgw} ~hcktkmgc kl}tktztkhl}, Fzkct
kl tbj ~h}t)]gddgi jg hl tbj ohzldgtkhl} ho j~j}jltgtkvj
ahvjlijlt tbgt }jvj} tbj ~jh~cj gld k} gl}qjgfcj th tbji#
Kgw} ~hcktkmgc kl}tktztkhl} gj wzkmec{ ch}kla cjaktkigm{
fjmgz}j# th Kgwk}# tbj{ }ki~c{ bgvj lht djckvjjd hl tbgt
djihmgtkm ~hik}j, Tbgt k} tbj jogkl bjgd lhq gcih}t
mhl}tgltc{ ohi Kgwk} qbh gj kltjvkjqjd hl tjcjvk}khl gld
kl tbj ~j}}, Tbj{ mhi~cgkl tbgt ~gt{ cjgdj}# ~gckgijltg)
kgl}# gld hookmkgc}# klmczdkla Igckek gld htbj bkab hookmkgc}#jktbj bgvj lh kdjg qbgt djihmgm{ ijgl}# h z}j kt th ajt
klth ~h}ktkhl} ho ~hqj kl hdj th }jvj tbjk hql ~j}hlgc
kltjj}t}, Tbj{ chhe gt ahvjlijltgc akdchme qktb klmjg}kla
dk}ig{ gld glaj# gld jld z~ fcgikla kt hl tbj kl}tktztkhl}
tbji}jcvj}, Gt tkij}# tbj oz}tgtkhl k} }zmb tbgt jvjl tbj
dg{} ho dkmtgth}bk~ qhzcd fj jijifjjd g} bgvkla }hij
vktzj5 gt cjg}t ahvjlijlt }jjijd th qhe, Kt k} kltjj}tkla
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8/2/2019 Post Occupation Iraq the Brittleness of Political Institutions
14/16
IKDDCJ JG]T ^VHAVGIHMMG]KHLGC ^G^JV ]JVKJ] ]^VKLA 6>76
74
tbgt hl tbj 42tb gllkvj}g{ ho tbj vkhcjlt djgtb kl Ojfzg{
7;?= ho Ajljgc Gfd gc)Egki Wg}}ji# ~jh~cj kltjvkjqjd
hl tbj }tjjt} ho Fgabdgd jr~j}}jd gcih}t zlglkihz}
lh}tgcakg oh tbk} igl} zcj# jijifjjd oh g lzifj ho
}hmkh)jmhlhikm gmbkjvjijlt}, Tbj ogmt tbgt bk} okvj){jg zcj
qg} gl zlgfg}bjd dkmtgth}bk~# mjltjjd hl g ~j}hlgckt{ mzcttbgt achkokjd tbj gc)Pgki gc)Gqbgd# tbj }hcj cjgdj# gt tbj
jr~jl}j ho ~hcktkmgc kl}tktztkhl}# dkd lht }jji th jvjl ijkt
ijltkhl, Tbk} }jji} th fj g }{i~thi ho gl klmjg}kla dk}kc)
cz}khlijlt qktb djihmgtkm kl}tktztkhl}, Qbjl g igl }kttkla
gl hzt}kdj mgo kl Fgabdgd qg} g}ejd qbgt gdvkmj bj bgd oh
tbj ~h}t)Wgdbgok Ckf{gl jakij# bj dkd lht tbkle tqkmj gfhzt
bk} gl}qj0 tbj{ }bhzcd bgvj g ~j}kdjlt qbh mgl igej gcc
tbj djmk}khl}# gld lht bgvj gcc tbj}j U~gckgijltg{Y fchm}
ckej qj bgvj lhq, Qbjl jikldjd tbgt gt cjg}t bj lhq
mhzcd jr~j}} bk} h~klkhl ojjc{# bj gld bk} okjld} }ziigkc{
dk}ik}}jd tbk} kabt g} zttjc{ z}jcj}}# }klmj tbj ahvjlijlt k}
lht j}~hl}kvj th tbj ~zfckm, Lhfhd{ ck}tjl} th tbj ~jh~cj#6:
qg} tbj zlkvj}gc cgijlt,
]tkcc# qktb htbj ~gtkj} klmjg}klac{ gmmz}kla bki kl
~zfckm ho mjj~kla gztbhktgkglk}i# Igckek ~jkhdkmgcc{ bg}
tkjd th gccg{ tbj mhlmjl ho tbj ~jh~cj f{ jktjgtkla bk}
ogktb kl gld mhiiktijlt th tbj djihmgtkm ~hmj}}, Tbz}#
qbkcj bk} ahvjlijlt mhltklzjd th }z~~ht tbj ajlhmkdgc
jakij ho Fg}bg gc)G}}gd kl ]{kg# bj qhzcd tji~j tbgt
}z~~ht qktb tbj hmmg}khlgc gdihlk}bijlt tbgt tbj hlc{
cjaktkigtj ahvjlijlt} gj tbh}j tbgt gj g~~hkltjd f{ tbj~jh~cj# lht tbh}j g~~hkltjd fjbkld mch}jd dhh},6? Gld kl
g mjjihl{ igekla tbj jld ho tbj Gijkmgl ~j}jlmj kl
Kgw# bj }hzabt th mgci ojg} gfhzt bk} }jmtgkgl tjldjlmkj}
gld ~jmjkvjd gztbhktgkglk}i f{ g}}zkla tbj ~zfckm tbgt
bj j}~jmt} ~hcktkmgc# kltjccjmtzgc gld jckakhz} dkvj}kt{ kl
Kgw,61 Bhqjvj# tbk} }tgtjijlt iz}t bgvj ~hvkdjd ihj
tbgl g }igcc akaacj# }klmj ]zllk gld Ezdk}b cjgdj} bgd
~hkltjdc{ fh{mhttjd tbj mjjihl{# klmjl}jd g} tbj{ qjj f{
Igckek} tjgtijlt ho ]gcjb Iztcgw gld Tgkw gc)Bg}bkik,
Qbgt tbk} tjcc} z} k} tbgt qhd} gj mbjg~# th fj fjckjvjd hlc{
ko vgckdgtjd f{ g~~h~kgtj fjbgvkh# gld kt k} hl tbk} }mhjtbgt tbj ~kij iklk}tj tjld} th mhij hzt qhjozcc{ }bht, Lh
bgvj tbj htbj ~hcktkmgc kl}tktztkhl}# }zmb g} ~gckgijlt gld
tbj ~hcktkmgc ~gtkj}# ijg}zjd z~ th izmb kl tji} ho tbjk
djihmgtkm ~jdkcjmtkhl},
Kt k} tzj tbgt ~hcktkm} k} }tkcc mhldzmtjd qktbkl tbj mhkdh}
ho djihmgtkm ~hcktkmgc kl}tktztkhl}# gld qbkcj vkhcjlmj ~j)
}k}t}# th dgtj kt bg} lht j~cgmjd dkgchazj gld dk}mz}}khl g} tbj
gvjlzj} ho }jttckla dkoojjlmj} gld dk}~ztj}, Kl}tktztkhl} }tkcc
bgvj g hcj# gld g ~kij iklk}tj qktb ~gc~gfcj gztbhktgkgl
ki~zc}j} }tkcc ojjc} mhl}tgkljd f{ tbj mhl}tktztkhlgc ~hqj}
ho ~gckgijlt, Tbz}# oh jrgi~cj# qbkcj Igckek dj}~jgtjc{
qgltjd th okj ]gcjb Iztcgw# bj kl ogmt mhzcd lht fjmgz}j
gmmhdkla th tbj mhl}tktztkhl bj ljjdjd tbj g~~hvgc ho ~g)ckgijlt, Igckek dkd igej tbj jwzj}t# fzt kt qg} lht agltjd,
Tbgt qg} kldjjd ahhd ljq}, [jt hl tbj jvj}j }kdj# Igckek
thhe tbj zlkcgtjgc djmk}khl ho ~jvjltkla Iztcgw ohi
gttjldkla iklk}tjkgc ijjtkla},
Tbj tztb k} tbgt gotj ihj tbgl g djmgdj ho djihmgtkm
tgl}ktkhl# Kgw k} }tkcc igekla }igcc gld zlmjtgkl }tj~} hl
tbj ~gtb thqgd tbj ahgc ho djihmgtkm mhl}hckdgtkhl, Tbj
ojg k} tbgt g} oz}tgtkhl# ki~gtkjlmj# jvjl igcgk}j# }jt kl gld
fjakl th j}bg~j ~jh~cj} gttktzdj} thqgd tbj kdjg ho djihm)
gm{# tbj}j }tj~} ikabt mhij th g }th~# h qh}j# jvjl fjakl
th jvj}j dkjmtkhl, Qbkcj tbk} jvjltzgckt{ k} g ~h}}kfkckt{# kt k}
lht kljvktgfcj5 kt mhzcd fj jijdkjd ko Kgw} ~hcktkmkgl} qhzcd
djmkdj th oklgcc{ ~zt tbj lgtkhlgc kltjj}t gbjgd ho ~jtt{ ~j)
}hlgc kltjj}t}# ko tbj{ mhzcd ~zt thajtbj gl joojmtkvj ahvjl)
ijlt tbgt gmt} g} g mhbjjlt mhccjmtkvkt{# {jt k} j}~hl}kvj th
vkahhz} ~gckgijltg{ gld `zdkmkgc hvj}kabtg tgcc hdj
kldjjd# akvjl tbj ~johiglmj }h og ho tbj ~j}jlt mh~ ho
Kgwk ~hcktkmkgl},
Lhtj}
7 Tki Gglah# Kgwk [hztb} hcktkmgc Vk}j k} ]tzltjd f{ Jcktj}# Ljq
[hve Tkij}# G~kc 7=# 6>77# qqq,l{tkij},mhi(6>77(>4(74(qhcd(
ikddcjjg}t(74kgw,btic,
6 Tbj ohcchqkla ~ggag~b} mhldjl}j g ihj djtgkcjd glgc{}k} ho
tbj ~jkhd# th fj ohzld kl Gdjjd Dgqk}bg# Kgw0 G _htj Gagkl}t
]jmtgkglk}i#@hzvlgc ho Djihmvgm{# @zc{ 6>7># ~, 6?)4>,
= ]jj Gdgi ^pjqh}ek# ]hij ~hfcji} kl tbj ]tzd{ ho tbj
Tgl}ktkhl th Djihmgm{# kl Azkccjih HDhlljcc# bkck~~j
M, ]mbikttj# gld Cgzjlmj Qbktjbjgd# jd},# Tvgl}ktkhl} ovhi
Gztbhvktgvkgl Vzcj"Fgctkihj0 @hbl} Bh~ekl} Zlkvj}kt{ j}}#
7;2?+# ~, :2):;,
4 Vhd Lhdcgld# Tbj Kgwk _htj Vjqktj} tbj Vzcjfhhe# Ljq
[hve Tkij}# G~kc 4# 6>7># ~, G7,
: ]jj tbj Vjkdg _k}}j} jrmjccjlt glgc{}k} kl Bk}thkgj,Ha# @glz)
g{ 67# 6>77# btt~0((azcoglgc{}k},qhjd~j}},mhi(6>77(>7(67(
tbj)ok}t)~hckmkj})ho)tbj)ljq)igckek)ahvjlijlt, ]jj gc}h Tbj
Jmhlhik}t# Igmb :# 6>77# ~, :4,
? Gc)Gbvgi Qjjec{# @glzg{ :)77# 6>76# btt~0((qjjec{,gbgi,ha,
ja(6>77(7>1;(j1,bti,
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/14/world/middleeast/14iraq.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/14/world/middleeast/14iraq.htmlhttp://gulfanalysis.woedpress.com/2011/01/21/the-first-policies-of-the-new-maliki-governmenthttp://gulfanalysis.woedpress.com/2011/01/21/the-first-policies-of-the-new-maliki-governmenthttp://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1079/re7.htmhttp://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1079/re7.htmhttp://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1079/re7.htmhttp://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1079/re7.htmhttp://gulfanalysis.woedpress.com/2011/01/21/the-first-policies-of-the-new-maliki-governmenthttp://gulfanalysis.woedpress.com/2011/01/21/the-first-policies-of-the-new-maliki-governmenthttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/14/world/middleeast/14iraq.htmlhttp://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/14/world/middleeast/14iraq.html -
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15/167:
1 Vh{ Aztigl# jt gc,# Kgw} Igckek gmmz}jd ho djtgklkla bzldjd}
ho ~hcktkmgc h~~hljlt}#ImMcgtmb{ Ljq}~g~jv}#@glzg{ 7;# 6>76#
btt~0((qqq,immcgtmb{dm,mhi(6>76(>7(7;(7=?=2?(kgw})igckek)
gmmz}jd)ho)djtgklkla,btic,
2 FFM Ljq}# Djmjifj 67# 6>77# qqq,ffm,mh,ze(ljq}(qhcd)
ikddcj)jg}t)7?62=:?6,
; Wzhtjd kl Gdjjd Dgqk}bg# Tbj Zlgvjckla ho Kgw0 Jtblh}jmtg)kgl ^jojjlmj} gld ]tgtj ^johiglmj kl Bk}thkmgc ^j}~jmtkvj#
Tbj Ikddcj Jg}t @hzvlgc# ]~kla 6>>2# ~, 666,
7> ]jj qqq,jl},ljq}qkj,mhi(jl}(ig{6>7>(6>6>)>:)74)>7,btic,
77 Ljq [hve Tkij}# Djmjifj =7# 6>77# ~, G1,
76 Ikmbgjc ], ]mbikdt gld @gme Bjgc{# ]gd Ohcchqj} Mgcc oh Ljq
Jcjmtkhl} g Fchq th Ahvjlijlt# Ljq [hve Tkij}# Djmjifj
61# 6>77# ~, G2,
7= Vkjdj _k}}j# Tbj Gfkc Gajjijlt vj}z} Dggqg Gztbhk)
tgkglk}i# Djmjifj 62# 6>77# btt~0((azcoglgc{}k},qhd~j}},
mhi(6>77(76(62(tbj)gfkc)gajjijlt)vj}z})dggqg)gztbhktgk)
glk}i
74 Tgl}~gjlm{ Kltjlgtkhlgc# Mhvvz~tkhl ^jvmj~tkhl Kldjr 6>77"Fjckl# Ajigl{0 Tgl}~gjlm{ Kltjlgtkhlgc# 6>77+,
7: Ikmbgjc ], ]mbikdt gld Hig gc)@gqh}b{# Mhvjtjd @hf} kl Kgw
Fjjd Dk~chig Ogzd# Ljq [hve Tkij}# Hmthfj 77# 6>77# ~,
G7>,
7? Gc)Gbvgi Qjjec{# @glzg{ :)77# 6>76# btt~0((qjjec{,gbgi,ha,
ja(6>77(7>1;(j1,bti,
71 Gc)@gpjjvg ]gtjccktj Tjcjk}khl# Lhvjifj 76# 6>77,
72 Gldjq J, Egij# Kgw Gj}t} Ihj kl Qgej ho Tk~ Gfhzt
Mhz~# Ljq [hve Tkij}# Lhvjifj 77# 6>77# ~, G7>,
7; Tbk} }jmtkhl dgq} hl Gdjjd Dgqk}bg# Tbj Zlgvjckla ho Kgw0
Jtblh}jmtgkgl jojjlmj} gld ]tgtj johiglmj kl Bk}thkmgc
^j}~jmtkvj#Ikddcj Jg}t @hzvlgc# ]~kla 6>>2# ~, 662)6=>,
6> Oh g ihj djtgkcjd jr~h}ktkhl# }jj Gdjjd Dgqk}bg gld Egjl
Dgqk}bg# Bhq th Fzkcd g Djihmgtkm Kgw# Ohvjkal Googkv}#Ig{(@zlj 6>>=# ~, =1)=;,
67 ]gqt gc)Kvgw# Lhvjifj 6# 6>77# wzhtjd kl g mhiijlt kl btt~0((
azcoglgc{}k},qhd~j}},mhi(6>76(>6(>1(hlj){jg)hl)}tkcc)lh)
kgwk)}~kla)kl)}kabt,
66 ^gzc Qbktokjcd# Jrrhl Ihfkc gkvj} kl Ezdk}tgl0 G Agij
Mbglaj8 Tbj Djgc Igagpklj# Lhvjifj 62# 6>77# btt~0((qqq,
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8/2/2019 Post Occupation Iraq the Brittleness of Political Institutions
16/16
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