population impact second appliance

Population Impact – Second Appliance AttendanceDraft 5th London Safety Plan (LSP5)

Overview:This brief sets out the impact of the proposed cuts on the populations, taking into account ward population numbers. It focuses on the changes to the second appliance attendance time.

Over 4.5million Londoners will see their 2nd appliance attendance time worsen, while only 1.5million will see their attendance time improve

Over 1million Londoners living in the most deprived wards in London will see their 2nd appliance attendance time worsen while only 78k who live in these wards will see an improvement in their attendance times

Wards moving from inside the 8minute target time to outside the target time compared to those moving from outside to inside the target time

The draft LSP5 highlights that more Boroughs will now be within the 8 minute average target time for the 2nd appliance. When this is looked at a Ward level, 29 wards move from outside the target time to inside while 32 (29 minus the City of London wards) move from within the 8 minute target time to outside.

Wards that move outside the 8minute average target attendance time for 2nd appliance

Ward Name Borough

2011/12FireIncidents

2011/12AllIncidents

Current Performance(3 Year Average)

Post LSP5Performance

Population

Lesnes Abbey Bexley 29 72 08:00 08:11 11346Copers Cope Bromley 35 171 07:51 08:00 15392Castle Baynard City of London 19 144 06:41 08:11Cheap City of London 4 39 07:21 08:17Queenhithe City of London 1 16 07:38 09:03Charlton Greenwich 37 138 07:00 08:56 14385Kidbrooke with Hornfair

Greenwich 48 135 07:55 08:1714300

Shooters Hill Greenwich 64 148 07:54 08:31 13433Thamesmead Moorings Greenwich 120 256 07:51 08:17 19730Woolwich Common Greenwich 93 328 07:17 08:08 17499Woolwich Riverside Greenwich 112 452 06:57 08:29 19120De Beauvoir Hackney 43 263 05:43 08:37 13643Botwell Hillingdon 94 274 07:22 08:29 15034Pinkwell Hillingdon 53 143 07:34 10:13 14767Townfield Hillingdon 71 266 08:00 08:13 14106Barnsbury Islington 28 138 06:06 08:27 12201Cremorne Kensington and Chelsea 15 149 05:58 08:24 7964

1

Hans Town Kensington and Chelsea 20 208 05:45 09:16 8792Queen's Gate Kensington and Chelsea 17 210 06:44 08:09 9847Royal Hospital Kensington and Chelsea 15 185 05:02 09:42 7252Stanley Kensington and Chelsea 17 303 04:51 08:27 8187Clapham Common Lambeth 44 224 05:01 08:01 12852Clapham Town Lambeth 67 267 05:07 09:54 13795Telegraph Hill Lewisham 44 206 07:30 08:03 16414Whitefoot Lewisham 73 191 07:29 08:02 14249Royal Docks Newham 54 215 07:33 08:40 10679Wanstead Redbridge 53 112 07:31 08:46 11543Peckham Rye Southwark 40 151 07:27 08:05 13518Bow East Tower Hamlets 96 305 05:45 09:09 14781Chingford Green Waltham Forest 43 105 06:44 09:39 10287Endlebury Waltham Forest 21 84 05:43 09:02 10730Shaftesbury Wandsworth 30 107 06:09 08:35 16556Total 382,402

Wards that move outside the 8minute average target attendance time for 2nd appliance

Ward Name Borough

2011/12FireIncidents

2011/12AllIncidents



Population

Colindale Barnet 66 235 09:03 07:12 17098

Golders Green Barnet 48 227 08:24 07:16 18818Hendon Barnet 55 244 09:03 05:47 18472West Hendon Barnet 69 192 09:39 06:31 17402Kenton Brent 18 59 09:22 07:34 12133Queensbury Brent 25 98 08:53 07:02 15155Welsh Harp Brent 22 99 08:11 07:54 13753Chelsfield and Pratts Bottom

Bromley 25 66 12:47 07:3714507

Clock House Bromley 40 167 08:01 07:56 15560Cray Valley East Bromley 226 381 10:17 07:11 15445Cray Valley West Bromley 115 187 09:02 07:36 16769Farnborough and Crofton Bromley 43 147 09:34 07:37 14632Orpington Bromley 49 158 10:54 05:14 15311Petts Wood and Knoll Bromley 20 63 10:33 07:02 13651Belmont Harrow 22 84 09:15 06:27 11343Edgware Harrow 25 100 08:49 06:54 11653Kenton East Harrow 14 84 10:48 06:41 11138Kenton West Harrow 26 63 09:03 07:01 11173Queensbury Harrow 20 79 09:54 06:04 11984Stanmore Park Harrow 34 160 09:46 07:37 11229

2

Hanworth Hounslow 40 106 08:33 07:47 12155

Fulwell and Hampton Hill Richmond upon Thames

15 67 09:46 05:1710131

Hampton North Richmond upon Thames

15 79 09:04 07:179387

Hampton Wick Richmond upon Thames

19 92 08:16 06:4510221

Heathfield Richmond upon Thames

30 71 09:14 07:2010313

South Twickenham Richmond upon Thames

6 45 10:26 05:5010820

Teddington Richmond upon Thames

20 105 09:36 05:3910330

Twickenham Riverside Richmond upon Thames

21 172 09:10 07:1610396

West Twickenham Richmond upon Thames

11 81 09:00 05:2910528

Total 381,507

Numbers of Londoners who will receive a worse average 2nd appliance attendance time, who will see no change to their attendance time or will see an improvement to their attendance time.

Over 4.5million Londoners will see their 2nd appliance attendance time worsen, while only 1.5million will see their attendance time improve.

Borough Number of people who will receive a worse average 1st

appliance response time

Number of people who will receive no change to their average 1st appliance response time

Number of people who will receive an improved average 1st appliance response time

Barking & Dagenham

0 185911 0

Barnet 0 0 356386Bexley 91376 96896 43725Brent 32576 15529 263110

Bromley 40501 16826 252065Camden 220338 0 0Croydon 31442 317215 14721Ealing 43445 279821 15183Enfield 176363 136103 0Greenwich 254557 0 0Hackney 246270 0 0Hammersmith & Fulham

182493 0 0

Haringey 26187 159465 69274Harrow 0 0 239056Havering 0 237232 0Hillingdon 273936 0 0Hounslow 60575 89611 103771

3

Islington 206125 0 0Kensington & Chelsea

158649 0 0

Kingston upon Thames

0 139470 20590

Lambeth 303086 0 0Lewisham 275885 0 0Merton 39125 160568 0Newham 292514 15470 0Redbridge 264847 14123 0Richmond upon Thames

0 21218 165772

Southwark 288283 0 0Sutton 0 179496 10650Tower Hamlets 254096 0 0Waltham Forest 258249 0 0Wandsworth 306995 0 0Westminster 219396 0 0Total 4,547,309 2,064,954 1,554,303

Deprivation

There is a clear link between fire and deprivation. Looking at the most deprived wards in London, over 1million Londoners living in these wards will see their 2nd appliance attendance time worsen while only 78k who live in these wards will see an improvement in their attendance times.

Ward Name Borough



Population

Difference

Ward Deprivation 2010'Rank of Extent (within London)

Northumberland Park

Haringey 06:28 06:29 14429 00:011

GolborneKensington and Chelsea

05:01 05:118937

00:102

White Hart Lane

Haringey 06:50 06:50 13431 00:003

Canning Town North

Newham 06:49 06:57 14810 00:084

Canning Town South

Newham 06:28 06:34 15996 00:065

Stonebridge Brent 07:39 07:37 16903 00.02 6East India and Lansbury

Tower Hamlets 06:35 06:59

1485900:24

7Wick Hackney 05:35 06:15 11734 00:40 8Hackney Central

Hackney 05:27 05:46 12548 00:199

Bromley-by-Bow

Tower Hamlets 07:00 07:48 14480 00:48

10

4

Little Ilford Newham 07:46 07:47 16633 00:01 11Tottenham Green

Haringey 06:21 06:20 14580 00.0112

Noel Park Haringey 06:51 06:51 13939 00:00 13

WeaversTower Hamlets 06:12 06:29 13206 00:17

14

Queen's ParkWestminster 05:48 05:53 12563 00:05

15Queensbridge

Hackney 05:54 07:46 13670 01:5216

Stratford and New Town

Newham 05:33 05:4717768

00:1417

Chatham Hackney 05:06 05:24 13232 00:18 18Mile End East

Tower Hamlets 05:42 06:55 13354 01:13

19Harlesden Brent 06:29 06:28 17162 00.01 20St Dunstan's and Stepney Green


1511000:09

21Hoxton Hackney 06:07 06:30 15174 00:23 22Forest Gate South

Newham 05:42 05:46 17362 00:0423

Tottenham Hale

Haringey 05:49 05:48 15064 00.0124

Woolwich Common

Greenwich 07:17 08:08 17499 00:5125

Dalston Hackney 06:03 07:35 14727 01:32 26Church Street

Westminster 06:19 06:26 9618 00:07

27Edmonton Green

Enfield 06:55 06:55 17949 00:0028

Haggerston Hackney 05:58 06:55 13904 00:57 29Hackney Downs

Hackney 06:08 06:17 12921 00:0930

King's Park Hackney 06:24 06:59 11098 00:35 31New River Hackney 06:26 06:32 12551 00:06 32Manor Park Newham 06:43 06:45 15318 00:02 33Bruce Grove Haringey 05:46 05:45 14483 00:01 34St Ann's Haringey 07:21 07:21 15968 00:00 35

Higham HillWaltham Forest 08:14 08:16 13194 00:02

36East Ham Central

Newham 06:49 06:50 15917 00:0137

Victoria Hackney 06:00 06:24 13231 00:24 38Springfield Hackney 06:59 07:06 12378 00:07 39Plaistow South

Newham 05:07 05:10 16404 00:0340

West Green Haringey 06:59 06:59 13372 00:00 41West Ham Newham 05:53 05:56 15551 00:03 42Fieldway Croydon 05:26 05:26 11479 00:00 43Custom House

Newham 05:34 05:42 13411 00:0844

East Ham North

Newham 07:51 07:52 13866 00:0145

5

Woolwich Riverside

Greenwich 06:57 08:29 19120 01:3246

Finsbury Park

Islington 05:24 05:43 14358 00:1947

GascoigneBarking and Dagenham

05:56 05:5812452

00:0248

Plaistow North

Newham 06:15 06:15 15470 00:0049

De Beauvoir Hackney 05:43 08:37 13643 02:54 50Bethnal Green South

Tower Hamlets 05:40 05:54 14166 00:14

51

LeytonWaltham Forest 06:18 07:36 14184 01:18

52

Bow EastTower Hamlets 05:45 09:09 14781 03:24

53

LimehouseTower Hamlets 05:20 05:30 15986 00:10

54Coldharbour Lambeth 04:58 05:20 16784 00:22 55Holloway Islington 06:18 06:37 14983 00:19 56

ShadwellTower Hamlets 05:39 05:51 16238 00:12

57

College Park and Old Oak

Hammersmith and Fulham

06:48 06:509175

00:0258

East Ham South

Newham 06:41 06:42 15575 00:0159

WestbourneWestminster 05:13 05:18 12759 00:05

60Livesey Southwark 05:45 05:58 14129 00:13 61Bethnal Green North

Tower Hamlets 05:58 06:22 13683 00:24

62Leabridge Hackney 06:44 06:53 14039 00:09 63

St CharlesKensington and Chelsea

04:49 04:599343

00:1064

Notting Barns

Kensington and Chelsea

05:42 05:559537

00:1365

Spitalfields and Banglatown


1241101:17

66Downham Lewisham 08:04 08:18 14567 00:14 67East Walworth

Southwark 05:09 05:25 11557 00:1668

CathallWaltham Forest 05:34 06:29 12700 00:55

69Upper Edmonton

Enfield 07:22 07:22 17374 00:0070

Boleyn Newham 05:59 06:01 15982 00:02 71Evelyn Lewisham 06:52 06:58 16603 00:06 72

Hoe StreetWaltham Forest 08:17 08:26 13912 00:09

73

Lea BridgeWaltham Forest 06:36 07:51 15671 01:15

74Harrow Road Westminst 05:23 05:28 12034 00:05 75

6

erWoodside Haringey 07:11 07:11 14514 00:00 76Tollington Islington 05:26 05:40 13311 00:14 77

HeathBarking and Dagenham

05:51 05:5110786

00:0078

WhitechapelTower Hamlets 04:54 05:46 14862 00:52

79

VillageBarking and Dagenham

07:39 07:3910787

00:0080

Kilburn Brent 06:45 06:51 16989 00:06 81Mildmay Islington 06:06 07:27 12917 01:21 82

MayesbrookBarking and Dagenham

06:49 06:4910342

00:0083

Beckton Newham 07:01 07:23 15141 00:22 84Norwood Green

Ealing 06:04 06:04 14032 00:0085

Eltham West Greenwich 08:13 08:22 10399 00:09 86Canonbury Islington 06:00 07:33 12072 01:33 87Nunhead Southwark 05:29 06:43 13620 01:14 88Green Street West

Newham 05:57 05:59 15113 00:0289

Bellingham Lewisham 07:31 07:43 14775 00:12 90

MarkhouseWaltham Forest 08:13 08:34 13636 00:21

91

LatchmereWandsworth 05:54 06:17 15358 00:23

92Glyndon Greenwich 05:56 06:44 18171 00:48 93Lordship Hackney 05:40 05:49 12280 00:09 94Vassall Lambeth 05:28 05:41 14143 00:13 95St Pancras and Somers Town

Camden 07:12 07:4413818

00:3296

High StreetWaltham Forest 08:21 08:24 14127 00:03

97Green Street East

Newham 07:25 07:27 15885 00:0298

Brownswood Hackney 06:11 06:16 11091 00:05 99Willesden Green

Brent 05:07 05:08 15587 00:01100

Worsen 1,161,906No Change 168,657Improves 78,192

7

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