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Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka www.zamstats.gov.zm email: [email protected] July, 2013 2010 CENSUS OF POPULATION AND HOUSING Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035

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Page 1: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Published by

Central Statistical OfficeNationalist RoadP.O. Box 31908

Lusaka

www.zamstats.gov.zmemail: [email protected]

July, 2013

2010 CENSUS OF POPULATION AND HOUSING

Population and Demographic Projections2011 - 2035

Page 2: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

ii Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Foreword

In accordance with national planning needs, the Central Statistical Office (CSO) with technical input and support of the United States Census Bureau have undertaken to produce these sets of national, provincial and district level population and demographic projections covering the period 2011-2035.

This report forms part of the series of outputs from the 2010 census of population and housing. Unlike the projections report produced following the 2000 census, the current projections do not include the demographic impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Considering the global and national efforts made in mitigating the impact of HIV/AIDS on the affected populations, we are of the view that the impact of HIV/AIDS on future population and demographic prospects for Zambia have been reduced; hence the decision not to model the impact in this current set of projections. Should results of the on-going 2013 Zambia Demographic and Health Survey show different insight into the epidemic, the CSO shall consider producing model projections of the HIV/AIDS epidemic and the possible impact on population and demographic prospects into the future.

I would like to acknowledge the support of the Government of Republic of Zambia (GRZ), the cooperating partners in particular, UKAID (formerly DfID), USAID and UNFPA for supporting the production of this important output of the 2010 census. I also make special mention of Dr Daniel Goodkind and Ms Laura Heaton from the US Census Bureau for their technical input.

I hope these population and demographic estimates will find use among the different stakeholders and users during this intercensal period and beyond.

John KalumbiDirector

Census and Statistics

July 2013

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 iii

Page Table of Contents

ii Foreword

xiv Executive Summary

1 Chapter 1: Zambia Country Profile1 Introduction 1 Administration 1 Natural Resources 1 Languages 1 Religion 1 Health 2 Economy 2 Education 2 Gender Issues 3 Poverty 3 Census of Population and Housing Undertaking 3 Main Objectives 3 Methodologies Applied in the 2010 Census of Population and Housing

5 Chapter 2: Background5 Base Population5 Geographic Base for the projections5 Rationale for making the projections5 Similarities and differences of this report to previous reports7 Chapter 3: Methodology7 Cohort Component Method7 Mathematical Models7 Application of the cohort component method in the 2011-2035 projections8 Mortality Assumptions8 Fertility Assumptions

Page 4: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

iv Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

8 Migration Assumptions9 Application of mathematical models in the 2011-2035 projections9 Sub-national projections-Provincial rural/urban projections9 Sub-national projections-District level projections9 Alternate National Projections-High and Low Variant 9 Limitations

10 Chapter 4: Summary of Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-203510 Population forecast12 Population growth rate13 Population Age Structure-16 Life expectancy18 Fertility20 Infant Mortality21 Urbanisation

List of Tables

11 Table 1: Projected Mid-year Population by Province, Sex and year of projection (Medium Variant), Zambia, 2011-203513 Table 2: Annual rate of population growth (Geometric) by Province and rural/urban residence (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011-202018 Table 3: Projected life expectancy at Birth by Province, Sex and year of projection (Medium Variant), Zambia, 2011-203520 Table 4: Projected Total Fertility Rates (TFR) by Province and year of projection (Medium Variant), Zambia, 2011-203522 Table 5: Projected Percent Urban Population by Province and year of projection (Medium Variant), Zambia, 2011-203523 Table A1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (LOW VARIANT

PROJECTION) 24 Table A2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (LOW VARIANT PROJECTION)24 Table A1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)27 Table A1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)28 Table A2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)29 Table A3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 v

33 Table A4: Total Population by Rural/Urban Residence, Sex, Province of residence and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

34 Table A4: Total Population by Rural/Urban Residence, Sex, Province of residence and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

34 Table A5: Percentage of the Total Population in Urban Residence by Province and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

35 Table A6: Life Expectancy at Birth by Sex, Rural/Urban Residence, Province and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, ZAMBIA (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

36 Table A7: Total Fertility Rates (TFR) by Rural/Urban Residence, Province and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, ZAMBIA (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

36 Table A8: Percentage of Population by Age Group (Special Age Categories) and by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

36 Table A9: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by Province, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)37 Table A1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (HIGH VARIANT

PROJECTION)38 Table A2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (HIGH VARIANT PROJECTION)39 Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)40 Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)40 Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)44 Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, CENTRAL PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)45 Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)45 Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)46 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHIBOMBO DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)47 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KABWE DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)48 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAPIRI MPOSHI DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)49 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MKUSHI DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)

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vi Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

50 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MUMBWA DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

51 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SERENJE DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

52 Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

53 Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)53 Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)54 Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, COPPERBELT PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)58 Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)59 Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)60 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHILILABOMBWE DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province

(MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)61 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHINGOLA DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)62 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KALULUSHI DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)63 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KITWE DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)64 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUANSHYA DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)65 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUFWANYAMA DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province

(MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)66 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MASAITI DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)67 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MPONGWE DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)68 Table C3: Total Population by Sex , Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MUFULIRA DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)69 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, NDOLA DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)70 Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 vii

71 Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)71 Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)75 Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, EASTERN PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)76 Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)76 Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)77 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHADIZA DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)78 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHIPATA DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)79 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KATETE DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)80 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUNDAZI DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)81 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MAMBWE DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)82 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, NYIMBA DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)83 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, PETAUKE DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)84 Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)85 Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)85 Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)89 Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, LUAPULA PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)90 Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)90 Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)91 Table C3: Total Population by Sex,Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHIENGE DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)92 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAWAMBWA DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)

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viii Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

93 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MANSA DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

94 Table C3: Total Population by Sex ,Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MILENGE DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

95 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MWENSE DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

96 Table C3: Total Population by Sex ,Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, NCHELENGE DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

97 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SAMFYA DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

98 Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

99 Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)99 Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)103 Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, LUSAKA PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)104 Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)104 Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)105 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHONGWE DISTRICT, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)106 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAFUE DISTRICT, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)107 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUANGWA DISTRICT, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)108 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUSAKA DISTRICT, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)109 Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)110 Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)110 Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)114 Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, MUCHINGA PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 ix

115 Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

115 Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)116 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHAMA DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)117 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHINSALI DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)118 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, ISOKA DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)119 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MAFINGA DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)120 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MPIKA DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)121 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, NAKONDE DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)122 Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)123 Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)123 Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)127 Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, NORTH WESTERN, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)128 Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)128 Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)129 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHAVUMA DISTRICT, North Western Province

(MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)130 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, IKELENGE DISTRICT, North Western Province

(MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)131 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KABOMPO DISTRICT, North Western Province

(MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)132 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KASEMPA DISTRICT, North Western Province

(MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)133 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MUFUMBWE DISTRICT, North Western Province

(MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

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x Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

134 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MWINILUNGA DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

135 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SOLWEZI DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

136 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, ZAMBEZI DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

137 Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

138 Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)138 Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)142 Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, NORTHERN PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)143 Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)143 Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)144 Table C3: Total Population by Sex,Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHILUBI DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)145 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAPUTA DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)146 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KASAMA DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)147 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUWINGU DISTRICT,Northern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)148 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MBALA DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)149 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MPOROKOSO DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)150 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MPULUNGU DISTRICT,Northern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)151 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MUNGWI DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)152 Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)153 Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 xi

153 Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

157 Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, SOUTHERN PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

158 Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

159 Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)160 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHOMA DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)161 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, GWEMBE DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)162 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, ITEZHI-TEZHI DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)163 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KALOMO DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)164 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAZUNGULA DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)165 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LIVINGSTONE DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)166 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MAZABUKA DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)167 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MONZE DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)168 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, NAMWALA DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)169 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SIAVONGA DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)170 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SINAZONGWE DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)171 Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)172 Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)172 Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT

PROJECTION)

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xii Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

176 Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, WESTERN PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

177 Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)

177 Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)178 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KALABO, DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)179 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAOMA DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)180 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUKULU DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)181 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MONGU, DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)182 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SENANGA DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)183 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SESHEKE DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)184 Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SHANGO’MBO DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM

VARIANT PROJECTION)

185

186

References

Key Persons Involved in the Production of the Report

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 xiii

Executive Summary

Population projections provide a glimpse of the most basic characteristics of human societies in the future, in terms of the size and composition by age and sex. Population projections also provide an important tool for planning and policy formulation. In this report, cohort component models were developed for total Zambia, rural and urban areas of Zambia, as well as for each of the ten provinces. For the districts within each province, as well as rural and urban areas of each province, projections were generated using mathematical models controlled to the cohort component projections of the provinces.

The methodology used in this current set of projections shows that the country’s total population is expected to grow from 13.7 million in 2011 to 17.9 million in 2020 and to 26.9 million by 2035. The population in rural areas is expected to grow from 8.2 million in 2011 to 10.1 million in 2020 and to 14.5 million by 2035, while the population in urban areas is expected to grow from 5.6 million in 2011 to 7.8 million in 2020 and to 12.4 million by 2035.

The population in rural areas is expected to grow at a relatively stable average of 2.4% per annum during the projection period 2011-2035, while the urban population is expected to grow at a declining average rate of about 3.5% per annum during the same period.

The infant mortality rate (IMR) is projected to decline gradually from 75.7 infant deaths per thousand live births in 2011 to 56.4 by 2035. Life expectancy at birth is projected to rise by 8.6 years during the projection period from 52.6 years in 2011 to 61.2 years by 2035. Life expectancy at birth for males is projected to increase from 50.2 years in 2011 to 58.5 years by 2035, while that for females will increase from 55.2 years in 2011 to 64.1 years by 2035.

The percent of the total population living in urban areas is projected to increase gradually from 40.6% in 2011 to 46.1% by 2035. Lusaka and Copperbelt provinces are expected to remain the most urbanized provinces during the projection period but North Western and Muchinga provinces are projected to experience the largest percentage increase in the proportion of their population living in urban areas by 2035.

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 1

Chapter 1: Zambia Country Profile

Introduction Zambia is a landlocked country in Southern Africa located between latitudes 8° and 18° south and longitudes 22° and 34° east and covers a total area of 752,612 square kilometres. The country is bordered by, The Democratic Republic of Congo to the north, Tanzania to the north-east, Malawi to the east, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Botswana and Namibia to the South, and Angola to the west.

Administration Zambia is administratively divided into ten provinces namely: Central, Copperbelt, Eastern, Luapula, Lusaka, Muchinga, Northern, North Western, Southern and Western provinces. At the time of the 2010 Census, Zambia had 74 districts, 150 constituencies and 1,430 wards. Lusaka is the Capital City of Zambia and seat of the government. The government is comprised of Central and Local Governments.

Natural Resources Zambia’s vegetation is mainly made up of savannah woodlands and grasslands. It has a tropical climate with three distinct seasons, the cool and dry season, the hot and dry season and the hot and wet season. The country has abundant natural resources. It has five main rivers, namely Zambezi, Kafue, Luangwa, Luapula, and Chambeshi rivers. In addition to these rivers, the country also has major lakes such as Tanganyika, Mweru, Mweru Wa Ntipa, Bangweulu and the man-made lakes Kariba and Itezhi Tezhi.

Zambia has some of nature's best wildlife and game reserves affording the country with abundant tourism potential. The Luangwa and Kafue National Parks have one of the most prolific animal populations in Africa. The Victoria Falls in the Southern part of the country is a major tourist attraction. The country is also endowed with various minerals and precious stones such as Copper, Emeralds, Zinc, Lead and Cobalt.

Languages English is the official language of communication and instruction in Zambia. The main local languages are Bemba, Kaonde, Lozi, Lunda, Luvale, Nyanja and Tonga. Other than English, these languages are also taught in public schools and used on national television and radio, as well as other national documents. However, Zambia has a total of 73 dialects spoken across the country.

Religion Zambia is officially a Christian nation according to the 1996 Constitution.

Health Health plays a critical role in the development of the country and no meaningful development can be attained without a sound health policy. Since 1991 the health sector has been making strides to improve the health delivery system in the country. Some of these efforts include a move from a strongly centralised health system in which the central structures provided support and national guidance to the peripheral structures, to a more decentralized system.

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2 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

In 2010 Zambia’s health system had a total of 1,883 health facilities. This was an increase of 598 health facilities from 1,285 health facilities in 2000. The health system consists of six specialised hospitals, 21 General hospitals, 85 District hospitals, 1,495 Urban and Rural Health Centres and 275 Health Posts [1]. Zambia, like many Sub-Saharan countries, has high morbidity and mortality. HIV/AIDS is one of the major causes of ill health and mortality among adults in Zambia, with one in seven adults (14.3 percent) living with HIV [2]. The infant mortality rate was 70 deaths per 1,000 live births while the maternal mortality ratio was 591 per 100,000 live births [2].

Economy Zambia’s economy is primarily driven by Mining, Agriculture, Construction, Transport and Communication sectors. In 2010 the real GDP growth was 7.6 percent, the highest level recorded since 1972 [3] . Between 2000 and 2010 the annual end year inflation rate declined from 30.1 percent to 6.5 percent [4].

In the agriculture sector, a bumper harvest of 2.8 million metric tons was recorded in maize production in the 2009/2010 agricultural season [5]. Favourable weather conditions experienced during the 2009/2010 season and improved agriculture policy environment significantly contributed to the economic growth.

With regard to the mining sector, growth was recorded for both copper and cobalt production. Copper production by major mining companies reached an all time high 767,008 metric tons in 2010, with additional production from small scale mines raising total production to 852,565 metric tons [5] The growth in the mining sector reflects the significant investments that have taken place since 2000 which have enabled the mining companies to expand their output and take advantage of the rising international commodity prices.

Education Education is a powerful tool for economic development of an individual and nation. The Sixth National Development Plan (SNDP) identifies education, training, science and technology as prime movers of Zambia’s development [6]. Zambia has a three-tier education system consisting of seven-year primary education, followed by five-year secondary education and post secondary schooling. Government has in the past decade embarked on a number of initiatives to ensure universal access to education. In 2010, an increase of about 0.6 percent was recorded in the number of basic schools (Grade 1-9).

An increase was also recorded in the number of high schools (Grade 10-12) which was largely attributed to the upgrading of some basic schools into high schools and construction of new high schools. With such measures in place, Zambia has recorded improvements in the education sector contributing to high enrolment levels of both girls and boys at primary, basic and high school levels [5].

The continuous teacher recruitment programme introduced by the government resulted in an additional 2,537 teachers being recruited in 2010 leading to an improvement in the Pupil- Teacher Ratios at all sub-levels of basic education [5] . Higher learning institutions offering Technical Education, Vocational and Entrepreneurship, Tertiary Education as well as University education also recorded an increase in their enrolment rates in 2010 [5].

Gender Issues Gender issues are concerned with promoting equality between the sexes and improvement in the status of both women and men in society. It is well understood that social and economic development can only be attained when there is equal participation of both men and women in the development process.

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 3

Zambia’s vision on gender as stated in the “Vision 2030” is to achieve gender equity and equality in the social-economic development process by 2030 [7]. In this regard, the government has put in place a Gender policy which ensures the advancement of gender mainstreaming policies and legislation.

Poverty The majority of Zambians have continued to live in poverty. The 2006 and 2010 Living Condition Monitory Surveys (LCMS) show that poverty levels have remained high despite recording a decline between 2006 and 2010 [8]. The proportion of the population falling below the poverty line reduced from 62.8 percent in 2006 to 60.5 percent in 2010. The percentage of the extremely poor marginally declined from 42.7 percent to 42.3 percent [8].

Poverty is more of a rural than urban phenomenon with the level of poverty in rural ares being three times that in urban areas. In 2010, rural poverty was estimated at 77.9 percent compared to urban levels at 27.5 percent [8].

Census of Population and Housing Undertaking The 2010 Census is the fifth National Census of Population and Housing conducted in Zambia since independence in 1964. The country has so far conducted censuses in 1969, 1980, 1990 and 2000. The 2010 Census of Population and Housing was carried out from 16th October to 15th November, 2010. The field staff included about 25,000 school leavers who worked as Census Enumerators and about 8,400 Census Supervisors who were mostly teachers and other civil servants [9]. Four hundred Civil Servants from various government departments and ministries worked as Master Trainers, Assistant Master Trainers and Provincial Census Officers.

Main Objectives The main objectives of the 2010 Census of Population and Housing included [9]:

• To provide accurate and reliable information on the size, composition and distribution of the population of Zambia at the time of the census; • To provide information on the demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the population of Zambia at all administrative levels - National, Province,

District, Constituency and Ward; • To provide indicators for measuring progress towards national and international development goals in a timely and user friendly manner; • To provide information on the number and characteristics of households engaged in agriculture and other economic activities; • To provide an accurate sampling frame and sample weights for future inter-censual household and population based surveys; • To provide information identifying the number of eligible voters for the 2011 General Elections; • To provide a census that meets national and international standards and allows for comparability with other censuses;• To provide information on the housing and household characteristics of the population.

Methodologies Applied in the 2010 Census of Population and Housing Prior to the 2010 Census undertaking, a comprehensive mapping exercise was conducted. The mapping strategy for 2010 census was Geographical Information System (GIS) driven and involved the use of the Global Positioning System (GPS) and satellite imagery. The GPS was used to map rural areas while the urban areas were mapped using high resolution satellite imagery.

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4 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

The 2010 Census used a single questionnaire to capture individual, household and housing characteristics from the population, whereas the 2000 Census used two different questionnaires, Form A (Household and Housing Characteristics) and Form B (Individual Characteristics) to collect information from the population. During data capturing, the 2010 Census used Optical Mark Reading (OMR) and Intelligent Character Recognition (ICR) technology, whereas the 2000 Census used the OMR technology only.

The 2010 Census included the following new questions/topics not included in the 2000 Census [9]:

• Household deaths, including maternal deaths • Albinism. • Orphanhood and Fosterhood

The 2010 Census used school leavers that had completed their Secondary School Education within 2-5 years prior to the Census as Enumerators [9] unlike the 2000 Census that used Grade 11 pupils.

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 5

Chapter 2: Background

Base PopulationThe official reference date of Zambia’s 2010 census was October 16. This followed previous decennial censuses taken in 1980, 1990 and 2000 [9].Two types of counts have been provided in these censuses: a De jure count and a De facto count. De facto counts include current residents as well as visitors (e.g. those actually present at the dwelling/housing unit at the time of enumeration). De jure counts includes current residents as well as those temporarily absent (e.g., those who are “usually resident” at the dwelling/housing unit). Consistent with previous projections of the Zambian population, the projections in this report are based on De jure counts. The projections cover a period of 25 years from 2011-2035.

Geographic Base for the projectionsUp until October 2011, Zambia had nine [9] provinces. A tenth province, Muchinga was established based on districts formerly located in Northern Province (Chinsali, Isoka, Mpika and Nakonde) and Eastern Province (Chama). Adjustments were made to the 2010 Census data to enable the provision of population counts and analysis for ten provinces [9]. At the time of the census in October 2010, Zambia had 74 administrative districts. This report provides projections for districts enumerated at the time of the 2010 Census and all the ten provinces.

Rationale for making the projectionsNational planning requires estimates of both current and future population and demographic trends. Information on the future size and composition of the population, including different age compositions (such as those of primary school going ages, 7-13, young adults aged 15-24, the economically active population aged 15-64, the elderly aged 65 and above, among others are needed for planning of various specialised services and programmes. “If no estimates based on systematic analysis of population trends are available, the planners can only proceed with-more or less vague assumptions or notions concerning the magnitude of needs and resources” [10]. Population projections provide a glimpse of the most basic characteristics of human societies in the future, in terms of the size and composition by age and sex. They also provide an important tool for planning and policy formulation. The projections provided in this report will form input into national and local planning during the current intercensal period and beyond. The projections will also inform future adjustments in population forecasts, once the next census is conducted or when new demographic data becomes available from intercensal surveys.

Similarities and differences between this report and previous reportsFollowing the 2000 Census, the Central Statistical Office issued a Population Projections Report [11]. The report projected Zambia’s population by age and sex, as well as provided other demographic indicators, down to the district level. Cohort component models were developed at the national, province and district level. A key feature of this report was the development of two different mortality scenarios at each administrative level. The first was based on actual mortality (including the demographic impact of HIV/AIDS) and the second assumed no impact of HIV/AIDS on population and demographic trends. The current report differs from the earlier report in a number of key ways:

• There are no separate “with HIV/AIDS” and “without HIV/AIDS” impact scenarios

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6 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

• RUP Software [4] was used for cohort component projections rather than EPP and Spectrum as used earlier• The population tables (by age and sex) are accompanied by a more focused set of demographic indicators • Cohort component models are developed to one administrive level below the national• Below the province level (i.e at the district level), projections are based on mathematical raking controlled to cohort component projections at the province

level.

In the Methodology section, further details are provided on how the cohort component models were assembled and how the mathematical raking was implemented.

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 7

Chapter 3: Methodology

There are two basic approaches to projecting populations, namely; the cohort component approach and the use of mathematical models.

Cohort Component MethodThis method begins with numerical information about the size and structure of a population in the past. That population (disaggregated by age and sex) is then subjected each year to key aspects of demographic change – births, deaths, and net migration – the three key elements of population change which allows one to track cohorts over time. Each year, the specified birth rates combine with information on mothers at childbearing ages to determine the number of births entering the population at age zero. These births are divided among males and females based on the specified sex ratio at birth. In each year, the population by age and sex is subjected to the corresponding death rates specified for that group. It is also subjected to whatever net migration estimates are specified for each sex and age group.

The strength of the cohort component approach is that it reflects the actual process of demographic change. Dips and bumps in population structure at a particular age tend to be reflected by the same cohort in the future at later ages. Another advantage of the cohort component approach is that a variety of demographic indicators (such as infant mortality, life expectancy at birth, fertility rates, and percent above or below particular ages) are readily available from the output of such models.

Although the cohort component approach is often considered the gold standard for population projections, it may be less appropriate at lower administrive levels, for which data on demographic change may be unreliable or unavailable. Moreover, the computational details and data processing requirements of cohort component models multiply in accordance with the number of subnational units being considered. Given these limitations and challenges, the cohort component approach is often recommended at the national level and for one administrive level below the national (e.g., the province, or rural and urban), but not for administrive levels below that.

Mathematical ModelsFor lower administrive levels, a second approach for population projections is often preferred. The approach uses mathematical models and raking to ensure that the projected sums of populations at lower administrive units will match that of the larger administrive units to which they belong. The age and sex distributions of lower administrive units can also be effectively raked to the age and sex distribution of broader units. When the latter are drawn from cohort component models, the raked subunits will incorporate to some extent the cohort component dynamics of the broader area. However, projected characteristics of the subunits in each year may reproduce features of those units in the base year (e.g. their initial age and sex structure).

Application of the cohort component method in the 2011-2035 projectionsIn this report, cohort component models were developed for rural and urban areas of Zambia, as well as for each of the ten provinces. For the districts within each province, as well as rural and urban areas of each province, projections were generated using mathematical models controlled to the cohort component projections of the provinces.

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8 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

The 2010 Census De jure count provided the “base population” (disaggregated by age and sex) for the projections. Two modifications were made to the census counts before arriving at the base population. First, since children are often undercounted in censuses, the population under age 10 was adjusted upwards to be consistent with assumed fertility and mortality. The upward adjustment implied that 10.9 percent of males and 8.8 percent of females were underreported at ages 0-4, and that 4.8 percent of males and 3.4 percent of females were underreported at ages 5-9. Second, the population by age and sex was backdated from the census date (October 16, 2010) to mid-year ( July 1, 2010). Adjusting the base population to mid-year ensured that all the projected populations referred to mid-year estimates, a standard in most population projections.

Mortality AssumptionsMortality was calculated by dividing the deaths reported in the 2010 Census by age and sex by the corresponding population for that age and sex. These death rates by age and sex determine summary mortality statistics, such as life expectancy at birth. In the future, such life expectancy changes for males and females were projected to match historical worldwide trends. Thus, life expectancy (for both sexes combined) was projected to increase by about 10 years over the projection period. In addition, the age pattern of mortality was assumed by 2050 to match that of the Coale-Demeny North model life table [12]. The latter assumption was based on the expectation of an eventual end to the AIDS epidemic, the result of which should be the elimination of the current elevated mortality among younger and mid-age adults.

Fertility AssumptionsThe age pattern of fertility was drawn from the 2010 Census (births to women at childbearing ages divided by women at that age group). That entire age pattern was adjusted upwards based on the P/F ratio method [13]. The resulting total fertility rate (TFR) of 5.94 births per woman’s reproductive lifetime implied a 22 percent undercount of births reported for the year prior to the census. The TFR was then projected based on adjusted fertility estimates from the 1990, 2000, and 2010 censuses, with a logistic trend fit to those estimates. That model suggested a decline in the TFR to 4.52 by 2035.

The sex ratio at birth was drawn from the 2010 Census (103 male births per 100 female births).

Migration AssumptionsThere is substantial evidence of rural-urban migration in Zambia. For this report, the estimated number of rural-urban migrants was obtained as the difference between the 2010 counts by age and sex in each sector and expected counts in 2010. The latter was based on the 2000 Census counts in each sector multiplied by survival ratios for national cohorts measured in both 2000 to 2010. This method suggested net migration of about sixty five thousand annually from rural to urban. This level of net migration was assumed to continue throughout the projection period. Since the urban population is projected to grow while the rural-urban migration numbers remain constant, the net migration rate into urban areas is projected to decline.

There is substantial evidence of inter-provincial migration in Zambia. For this report, the estimated number of interprovincial migrants was obtained as the difference between the 2010 counts by age and sex in each province, and expected counts in 2010 – the latter based on the 2000 Census counts in each sector multiplied by survival ratios for national cohorts measured in both 2000 to 2010. It was assumed that the resulting level of net migration to/from each province would continue throughout the projection period.

Net international migration for Zambia was assumed to be zero or negligible in 2010 and throughout the projection period to 2035.

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 9

Application of mathematical models in the 2011-2035 projectionsThe cohort component method requires inputs of fertility, mortality, and migration. However, at lower administrive levels, demographic estimates and projections may be less reliable, and the assembling of multiple models at such lower administrive levels can be challenging. Given these challenges, mathematical models (with raking) provide a reasonable alternative for projecting populations below the first administrive level [14].

Sub-national projections-Provincial rural/urban projectionsMathematical models were used to project populations at the sub-national level of rural and urban for each province. To begin with, the proportion of each province that was urban and rural was determined for 2000 and 2010. Then, a logistic trend to these proportions was fitted to project rural/urban proportions into the future. The annual proportions by sex were then multiplied by the total populations by sex for each province (from cohort component projections) to determine total numerical estimates for rural/urban by sex and year. Age and sex distributions were not further estimated at this level.

Sub-national projections-District level projectionsTo project district populations, the approach began by determining the growth of each district within each province between 2000 and 2010. A logistic function was then applied to the district proportions to estimate the proportion of males and females, respectively, among districts within each province [14]. Once those proportions were determined for each year of the projection, the total male and female population for the province in that year (from the cohort component model) was used to estimate the total district population by sex and year of projection.

The next step was to estimate age distributions by sex for each district for each year of the projection. The 2010 Census age distributions for the districts within each province were used by subjecting them to two controls – the provincial age patterns for each year (drawn from cohort component models), and the total district population by sex for each year – derived from mathematical models . The initial 2010 distributions for the districts were then raked to the corresponding controls for each projected year. What resulted was an age-sex distribution for each district for each projection year (in some cases, the age and sex distributions may not sum exactly to the listed totals due to rounding issues). The use of the two controls ensured that consistency between province and district totals was maintained. Although the cohort component method is not used within districts, the use of provincial controls (based on the cohort component method) brings the dynamics of cohort component into district estimates to some extent.

Alternate National Projections-High and Low Variant Given the uncertainty about future fertility levels in Zambia, alternate high and low population projections based on alternate assumptions of fertility change were developed. The high variant model assumed that the TFR would fall only slightly below current levels to 5.5 children per woman by 2035. The low variant model assumed that the TFR would fall to 3.3 children per woman by 2035. The pace of change in each case assumed linear decline.

LimitationsThe accuracy of demographic and population forecasts can only be verified by future data that confirm how well the original assumptions held. In forecasts of the future, some level of uncertainty is unavoidable [15]. This report acknowledges such uncertainty through high and low variant projections of Zambia’s national population as described above.

When cohort component models are developed for sub-national units separately, their sum typically may not match that produced for the higher level (national) using the same cohort component method. This would have been the case with the current projections. However, to ensure consistency, results of individual sub-national cohort component models were adjusted so that their summed populations and demographic events matched that of the national cohort component model [14].

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10 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Chapter 4: Summary of Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

The detailed tables in this report show projections of Zambia’s population by age and sex for various years organized within various administrive levels. To facilitate comparisons across time and administrive areas, the following summary tables and figures highlight certain indicators drawn from the more detailed tables.

Population forecastFigure 1 shows the growth of Zambia’s total population during the projection years 2011-2035. The country’s total population is expected to grow from 13.7 million in 2011 to 17.9 million in 2020 and to 26.9 million by 2035. This means that the population will almost double during the 25-year projection period. The population in rural areas is expected to grow from 8.2 million in 2011 to 10.1 million in 2020 and to 14.5 million by 2035 (Annex Table A1), while the population in urban areas is expected to grow from 5.6 million in 2011 to 7.8 million in 2020 and to 12.4 million by 2035.

Figure 1: Total Projected Population for Selected Years (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011-2035

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Figure 1: Total Population for Selected Projection Year (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011‐2035Year (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011 2035

26 923 658

Total Population

20,574,138 

23,576,214 

26,923,658 

n

13,718,722 15,473,905 

17,885,422 

Popu

latio

nTotal 

2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 20352011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Projection Year

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 11

Table .1: Projected Mid-year Population by Province, Sex and Year of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia, 2011-2035

Province SexYear of Projection

2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035Central Total 1,355,775 1,515,086 1,734,601 1,979,202 2,254,435 2,565,450

Male 673,594 752,123 860,160 980,414 1,115,639 1,268,353 Female 682,181 762,963 874,441 998,788 1,138,796 1,297,097

Copperbelt Total 2,143,413 2,362,207 2,669,635 3,016,344 3,402,007 3,823,642 Male 1,071,485 1,179,740 1,331,588 1,502,655 1,692,608 1,899,958 Female 1,071,928 1,182,467 1,338,047 1,513,689 1,709,399 1,923,684

Eastern Total 1,628,880 1,813,445 2,065,590 2,344,980 2,655,422 3,001,152 Male 804,806 897,841 1,025,323 1,166,113 1,321,976 1,494,768 Female 824,074 915,604 1,040,267 1,178,867 1,333,446 1,506,384

Luapula Total 1,015,629 1,127,453 1,276,608 1,439,877 1,623,991 1,834,667 Male 499,706 554,190 627,068 706,739 796,556 899,349 Female 515,923 573,263 649,540 733,138 827,435 935,318

Lusaka Total 2,362,967 2,777,439 3,360,183 4,004,276 4,704,135 5,465,775 Male 1,174,403 1,376,224 1,660,484 1,974,824 2,316,141 2,687,271 Female 1,188,564 1,401,215 1,699,699 2,029,452 2,387,994 2,778,504

Muchinga Total 749,449 895,058 1,095,535 1,326,222 1,587,414 1,879,642 Male 367,906 439,560 538,583 652,416 781,127 924,805 Female 381,543 455,498 556,952 673,806 806,287 954,837

Northern Total 1,146,392 1,304,435 1,520,004 1,763,638 2,040,926 2,355,007 Male 568,341 646,983 754,357 875,447 1,012,994 1,168,450 Female 578,051 657,452 765,647 888,191 1,027,932 1,186,557

North Western Total 746,982 833,818 950,789 1,080,072 1,227,481 1,397,137 Male 370,785 415,241 474,791 540,447 615,127 700,861 Female 376,197 418,577 475,998 539,625 612,354 696,276

Southern Total 1,642,757 1,853,464 2,135,794 2,445,929 2,793,523 3,184,855 Male 809,252 915,487 1,059,629 1,216,990 1,392,087 1,587,781 Female 833,505 937,977 1,076,165 1,228,939 1,401,436 1,597,074

Western Total 926,478 991,500 1,076,683 1,173,598 1,286,880 1,416,331 Male 446,521 478,280 520,191 568,020 623,949 687,766 Female 479,957 513,220 556,492 605,578 662,931 728,565

Zambia Total 13,718,722 15,473,905 17,885,422 20,574,138 23,576,214 26,923,658 Male 6,786,799 7,655,669 8,852,174 10,184,065 11,668,204 13,319,362 Female 6,931,923 7,818,236 9,033,248 10,390,073 11,908,010 13,604,296

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

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12 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Population growth rateFigure 2 shows the percent annual rate of population growth forecast for the projection period, 2011-2035 by rural and urban residence. The population is expected to continue growing at an average annual rate of growth of around 2.8 percent during the projection period, 2011-2035.The population in rural areas is expected to grow at a relatively stable average rate of 2.4 percent per annum, while the urban population is expected to grow at a declining average rate of about 3.5 percent per annum during the same period.

Figure 2: Annual Rate of Population Growth by Rural and Urban (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011-2035

During the period 2011-2020, Zambia’s population is projected to grow at an average rate of 2.7 percent per annum (Table 2). At provincial level, Muchinga Province (3.9 percent) and Lusaka Province (3.6 percent) are projected to be the fastest growing provinces, while the least annual rate of population growth during the period is expected to occur in Western Province (1.5 percent).

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

-

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

Perce

nt

Projection Year

Total Rural Urban

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 13

At District level, Nakonde (5.2 percent) in Muchinga Province is projected to have the highest annual rate of population growth during the period 2011-2020, while Luanshya (0.6 percent) in Copperbelt Province is projected to have the least annual rate of population growth during the same period (see detailed tables).

Zambia’s young population provides in-built potential for continued population growth into the future, despite evidence of falling fertility during the projection period. The Zambian population is expected to register positive natural rate of growth (the difference between annual births and deaths) during the entire projection period. The annual number of births is projected to increase from 608,076 in 2011 to 721,993 by 2020 and to 941,979 by 2035 (see appendix Table A2). The annual number of deaths is also projected to increase on account of increased absolute population numbers and not owing to increased mortality levels (The mortality is expected to continue to decline during the projection period). The annual number of deaths is therefore projected to increase from 185,694 in 2011 to 212,364 by 2020 and to 234,627 by 2035.

Table 2: Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) by Province and Rural/Urban (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011-2020Province/Rural/Urban 2011 2020 Annual Rate Population Growth, 2011-2020

Central 1,355,775 1,734,601 2.5

Copperbelt 2,143,413 2,669,635 2.2

Eastern 1,628,880 2,065,590 2.4

Luapula 1,015,629 1,276,608 2.3

Lusaka 2,362,967 3,360,183 3.6

Muchinga 749,449 1,095,535 3.9

Nothern 1,146,392 1,520,004 2.9

North Western 746,982 950,789 2.4

Southern 1,642,757 2,135,794 2.7

Western 926,478 1,076,683 1.5

Zambia 13,718,722 17,885,422 2.7Rural 8,155,510 10,132,811 2.2

Urban 5,563,212 7,752,611 3.4

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Population Age StructureThe population age structure is depicted in Figures 3-6 for selected projection years. Owing to Zambia’s continued fast pace of population growth during the projection years, the age structure is expected to remain relatively unchanged during the period (although the proportion of children within the population will fall somewhat). The population age structure depicted using the population pyramids are representation of the combined effect of fertility and mortality levels and patterns prevailing during the projection period. The broad base shows the effect of continued high fertility, while the narrowing in older ages, the continued effect of high adult mortality.

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14 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Figure 3: Age and Sex Structure of Population (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011

Figure 3: Population Age and Sex Structure (M di V i ) Z bi 2011(Medium Variant), Zambia 2011

80+

55 5960-6465-6970-7475-79

Female Male

35-3940-4445-4950-5455-59 Female Male

15-1920-2425-2930-3435 39

1 500 000 1 000 000 500 000 0 500 000 1 000 000 1 500 000

0-45-9

10-14

1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000

Figure 4: Age and Sex Structure of Population (Medium Variant), Zambia 2020

Figure 4: Population Age and Sex Structure ( di i ) bi(Medium Variant), Zambia 2020

80+

60-6465-6970-7475-79

80+

Female Male

40-4445-4950-5455-5960 6 Female Male

20-2425-2930-3435-39

0-45-9

10-1415-19

2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 15

In Figure 6, the proportion aged 0-4 declines over time due to the projected decline in fertility. The projected decline in mortality, given Zambia’s young population is expected to result in growth in the age groups 15-49 (the reproductive age group) and 15-64 (the economically active age group). Falling mortality is expected to lead to increased life expectancy at birth (and at different ages) and the proportion of the elderly, those aged 65 years and older in the long run.

Figure 5: Age and Sex Structure of Population (Medium Variant), Zambia 2035

Figure 5: Population Age and Sex Structure ( di i ) bi(Medium Variant), Zambia 2035

Female Male70-7475-79

80+

Female Male

45 4950-5455-5960-6465-690

25-2930-3435-3940-4445-49

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-24

2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

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16 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Figure 6: Percentage of Projected Population by Age Group and Selected Years of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011, 2020 and 2035

Life expectancyFigure 7 presents projected life expectancy at birth for the projection period. A gradual increase in life expectancy at birth is expected during the projection period for both males and females. Overall life expectancy at birth is expected to rise by 8.6 years during the projection period from 52.6 years in 2011 to 61.2 years by the year 2035. The increase in life expectancy at birth is assumed to result from overall declines in both childhood and adult mortality. The impact of health interventions aimed at reducing morbidity and disease burden from major killers of children and adults such as Malaria, HIV/AIDS, diarrhoea, and malnutrition among others, are expected to contribute towards improved survival prospects for both males and females. Life expectancy at birth for males will increase by 8.3 years to 58.5 years while females will gain 8.9 years to 64.1 years by 2035 (Table 3). Females are expected to maintain their positive survival advantage over males during the period of projection. This will result in an increase in the gap in life expectancy at birth between males and females of 5.6 years by 2035, from a gap of 5.0 years in 2011.

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Figure 6: Percentage of Projected Population by Age Group and S l t d Y f P j ti (M di V i t) Z biSelected Years of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia

51 855.6 

35.5 

46.0 50.8 

35.2 

46.6 51.8 

36.3 

48.7 

nt

18.7  17.5  15.6 

Percen

2.6  2.6  2.9 

0‐4 15‐35 15‐49 15‐64 65+

Age Group

2011 2020 20352011 2020 2035

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 17

Figure 7: Projected Life Expectancy at Birth by Year of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011-2035

Figure 7: Projected Life Expectancy at Birth by Year of P j ti (M di V i t) Z bi 2011 2035Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011 ‐ 2035

61.2 62.0 

57.3 

59.3 

58.0 

60.0 

e52.6 

53.3 

55.3 

54.0 

56.0 

Year of Life

50.0 

52.0 Y

48.0 

Year of ProjectionYear of Projection

Table 3 presents projected life expectancy at birth by province and sex for selected years. By 2035, life expectancy at birth is projected to be highest in Southern Province (females-67.8 years and males-61.4 years), and lowest in Luapula Province (females-60.8 years and males-54.7 years).

Females in Central, Luapula and Copperbelt provinces are projected to gain 9 years or more in life expectancy at birth during the projection period. The least gain among women is projected to occur in Southern Province (4.7 years) and Muchinga Province (5.5 years), respectively. Although Southern and Muchinga provinces are projected to make marginal gains in life expectancy at birth during the projection period, both provinces had relatively higher life expectancy at birth at baseline in 2010.

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

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18 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

FertilityFigure 8 presents projected total fertility rates (TFR) for the projected period. The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is expected to drop by 1.4 children per woman over the next 25 years, from 5.9 in 2011 to 4.5 by 2035. The young age structure of the population puts Zambia on a growth trajectory despite projected fertility decline. The decline in fertility of 1.4 children per woman over a 25 year period is too low to slow down the growth in the population.

Table .3: Projected Life Expectancy at Birth by Province, Sex and Year of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia, 2011-2035

Province Sex Year of Projection2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

CentralTotal 52.1 53.1 55.0 56.9 58.9 60.8 Male 50.1 51.0 52.8 54.6 56.4 58.2 Female 54.2 55.2 57.2 59.3 61.4 63.5

CopperbeltTotal 50.2 51.8 53.8 55.8 57.9 59.9 Male 48.6 50.1 51.9 53.8 55.7 57.6 Female 51.8 53.5 55.7 57.9 60.1 62.3

EasternTotal 50.7 51.5 53.5 55.5 57.6 59.6 Male 48.0 49.1 51.0 52.9 54.8 56.7 Female 53.5 54.1 56.1 58.3 60.4 62.6

LuapulaTotal 47.6 48.9 51.1 53.3 55.5 57.7 Male 44.8 46.3 48.3 50.4 52.6 54.7 Female 50.5 51.6 53.9 56.2 58.5 60.8

LusakaTotal 53.1 54.1 56.0 57.9 59.7 61.6 Male 51.0 52.2 53.9 55.6 57.4 59.1 Female 55.3 56.1 58.1 60.2 62.2 64.2

MuchingaTotal 57.2 56.4 57.9 59.6 61.4 63.1 Male 53.2 52.9 54.5 56.2 57.9 59.6 Female 61.2 60.0 61.5 63.2 65.0 66.7

NorthernTotal 56.5 56.2 57.8 59.5 61.3 63.0 Male 53.5 53.4 55.0 56.6 58.3 60.0 Female 59.7 59.1 60.8 62.5 64.3 66.1

North WesternTotal 56.7 56.6 58.2 60.0 61.7 63.4 Male 55.4 55.2 56.7 58.3 59.8 61.4 Female 58.0 58.0 59.8 61.7 63.6 65.5

SouthernTotal 59.0 58.3 59.8 61.4 63.0 64.6 Male 55.0 55.3 56.8 58.3 59.9 61.4 Female 63.1 61.5 62.9 64.5 66.1 67.8

WesternTotal 48.3 49.3 51.4 53.7 55.8 58.0 Male 45.2 46.4 48.5 50.6 52.7 54.8 Female 51.5 52.3 54.5 56.8 59.1 61.4

ZambiaTotal 52.6 53.3 55.3 57.3 59.3 61.2 Male 50.2 51.1 53.0 54.8 56.7 58.5 Female 55.2 55.6 57.8 59.9 62.0 64.1

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 19

Figure 8: Projected Total Fertility Rates (TFR) by Year of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011-2035

Figure 8: Projected Total Fertility Rate (TFR) by Year of P j ti (M di V i t) Z bi 2011 2035Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011 ‐ 2035

7.0 n

5.9  5.6  5.3  5.1  4.8  4.5 5.0 

6.0 

n Pe

r Wom

a3.0 

4.0 r o

f Children

1.0 

2.0 

rage Num

be

‐Aver

Year of ProjectionsYear of Projections

Between 1980 and 2010, the TFR for Zambia declined by only 1.3 children per woman from a TFR of 7.2 in 1980 (16) to a TFR of 5.9 in 2010 (9). Measures to reduce overall fertility by a larger margin are needed in order to slow down the rapid growth in the population. Despite greater access to family planning services, urban fertility is expected to decline by only 0.7 children per woman to 3.9 by 2035, remaining well above the replacement fertility of 2.1 children per woman.

Table 4 presents TFRs by province for selected projection years. Only two provinces, Lusaka and Copperbelt are expected to have fertility levels lower than the national average of 4.5 children per woman, at 3.8 and 4.0 children per woman, respectively. Fertility will decline very gradually in Lusaka and Copperbelt provinces during the projection period despite the two provinces being the most urbanised. The TFR will drop by 0.9 children per woman in Copperbelt Province and 0.7 children per woman in Lusaka Province between 2011 and 2035.

By 2035, four provinces namely; Luapula, Muchinga, Northern and North Western are expected to have TFRs of 5 children per woman or more. However, despite these four provinces maintaining relatively high fertility into the future, they are projected to experience the largest drop in TFR during the projection period. The TFR will drop by 2.1 children per woman in Muchinga Province, 1.9 children per woman in Luapula Province, 1.8 children per woman in Northern Province and 1.7 children per woman in North Western province between 2011 and 2035.

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

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20 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table .4: Projected Total Fertility Rates (TFR) by Province and Year of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia, 2011-2035

ProvinceYear of Projection

2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035Central 6.2 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.0 4.7 Copperbelt 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.0Eastern 6.5 6.2 5.9 5.5 5.2 4.9 Luapula 7.1 6.8 6.4 6.0 5.6 5.2 Lusaka 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.8 Muchinga 7.2 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.5 5.1 Northern 6.9 6.6 6.2 5.9 5.5 5.1 North Western 6.7 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.3 5.0 Southern 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.2 4.9 4.6 Western 5.9 5.6 5.4 5.1 4.8 4.6 Zambia 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.1 4.8 4.5 Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Infant MortalityFigure 9 presents projected infant mortality rates (IMR) by year of projection. The IMR is projected to decline by a quarter (25 percent) during the period 2011-2035, dropping from 75.7 deaths per thousand live births to 56.4 deaths per thousand live births. In rural areas, the IMR is projected to decline by 26 percent (from 80.3 to 59.7), while in urban areas the IMR is projected to decline by 23 percent (67.3 to 51.8) during the projection period. This slow pace of decline in infant mortality is in line with historical trends. The IMR declined by 24 percent in both rural and urban areas between 1980 and 2010, from 106 per thousand live births in rural areas and 89 per thousand live births in urban areas in 1980 [16], to 80.5 per thousand live births and 67.6 per thousand live births in rural and urban areas respectively in 2010 [9]. A faster pace of decline in IMR might require greater and focused interventions in the area of maternal and child health if child survival prospects are to be improved in the long run. “The necessary interventions involve the provision of packages of essential primary health-care services for children across a continuum of care that spans pregnancy, childbirth and after delivery, leading to care for children in the crucial early years of life” [17].

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 21

Figure 9: Projected Infant Mortality Rates (IMR) by Year of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011-2035

At province level, the largest percent decline in IMR is projected to occur in Eastern Province at 29.4 percent (from 96.8 deaths per thousand live births in 2011 to 68.3 deaths per thousand live births by 2035) and Luapula Province at 29.0 percent (from 99 deaths per thousand live births in 2011 to 70.3 deaths per thousand live births by 2035). North Western Province is projected to experience the lowest percent decline in IMR, 18.3 percent from (57.3 deaths per thousand live births in 2011 to 46.8 deaths per thousand live births by 2035.)

UrbanisationThe percent of the total population living in urban areas will increase gradually in the next 25 years, rising from 40.6 percent in 2011 to 46.1 percent by 2035. Although the pace of urbanisation may seem slow, fertility is much higher in rural areas than urban areas. Thus, even if rural areas lose substantial populations to urban areas, they should grow quickly due to relatively higher birth rates. Of course, the actual future pace of urbanisation will depend in part on differences in mortality and future migration trends (which are very difficult to predict), as well as the extent to which rural areas become reclassified as urban.

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Figure 9: Projected Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) by Year f P j ti (M di V i t) Z bi 2011 2035of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011 ‐ 2035

75.7  74.2 69 8

80.0 69.8 

65.4 60.9 

56.4 

50 0

60.0 

70.0 

,000

30.0 

40.0 

50.0 

aths  per 1,

10.0 

20.0 Dea

Year of ProjectionYear of Projection

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22 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Figure 10: Projected Percent Urban Population by Year of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011-2035

Among the provinces, Copperbelt and Lusaka provinces are projected to continue being the most urbanised provinces, reaching 87.1 percent urban and 86.4 percent urban, respectively by 2035. North Western and Muchinga provinces are projected to experience the largest percentage point increase in urban population during the projection period (Table 5).

Table .5: Projected Percent Urban Population by Province and Year of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia, 2011-2035

Province Year of Projection2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Central 25.5 25.4 25.4 25.3 25.0 24.5 Copperbelt 82.1 83.0 84.1 85.3 86.2 87.1Eastern 11.9 12.2 12.7 13.1 13.1 12.9 Luapula 19.4 21.0 23.1 24.9 26.5 28.2 Lusaka 85.3 85.7 86.2 86.5 86.5 86.4 Muchinga 18.6 23.7 28.5 32.4 35.3 37.3 Northern 18.5 19.0 19.3 19.5 19.3 18.8 North Western 23.0 27.2 32.0 36.5 40.6 44.4 Southern 24.8 25.9 26.9 27.6 28.0 28.2 Western 13.3 12.5 11.9 11.7 11.9 12.4 Zawmbia 40.6 41.8 43.3 44.6 45.5 46.1 Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Source: Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Figure 10: Projected Percent Urban Population by Year f P j ti (M di V i t) Z bi 2011 2035of Projection (Medium Variant), Zambia 2011 ‐ 2035

45 9 46 0 46.1 as43.3 

43.6 43.9 

44.1  44.4 44.6  44.8 

45.0  45.2 45.4  45.5 

45.7  45.8 45.9  46.0 

n Urba

n Area

40.640.9 

41.2 41.5 

41.8 42.1 

42.5 42.8 

43.1 tio

n Living

 in

40.6 

cent Pop

ulat

Perc

Year of Projection

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 23

Table A1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

Region 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 13,718,722 14,145,327 14,580,290 15,023,315 15,473,905 15,933,883 16,405,229 16,887,720 17,381,168 17,885,422 18,400,556 18,926,743 19,464,164 20,013,159 20,574,138 21,147,689 21,734,348 22,334,462 22,948,359 23,576,214 24,218,091 24,873,949 25,543,632 26,226,945 26,923,658

0-4 2,560,408 2,637,698 2,707,686 2,770,815 2,830,270 2,887,935 2,947,208 3,007,844 3,069,839 3,133,240 3,197,160 3,260,716 3,324,277 3,388,364 3,453,530 3,520,353 3,589,270 3,660,462 3,733,923 3,809,376 3,886,309 3,964,153 4,042,389 4,120,509 4,198,099 5-9 2,039,629 2,108,858 2,187,115 2,271,220 2,354,737 2,435,633 2,510,922 2,579,490 2,641,809 2,701,218 2,759,231 2,818,819 2,879,799 2,942,199 3,006,116 3,070,656 3,134,905 3,199,227 3,264,129 3,330,189 3,397,934 3,467,760 3,539,879 3,614,290 3,690,783

10-14 1,791,525 1,823,376 1,856,915 1,896,113 1,944,412 2,003,028 2,071,369 2,148,691 2,231,890 2,314,665 2,394,974 2,469,823 2,538,093 2,600,241 2,659,560 2,717,529 2,777,075 2,838,026 2,900,412 2,964,330 3,028,903 3,093,223 3,157,641 3,222,672 3,288,876 15-19 1,569,180 1,615,184 1,656,053 1,693,301 1,728,510 1,761,528 1,793,158 1,826,529 1,865,551 1,913,610 1,971,868 2,039,734 2,116,478 2,199,044 2,281,221 2,361,003 2,435,439 2,503,425 2,565,417 2,624,648 2,682,579 2,742,101 2,803,043 2,865,431 2,929,360 20-24 1,230,092 1,288,615 1,353,993 1,418,448 1,476,504 1,527,261 1,572,512 1,612,918 1,649,920 1,685,025 1,718,061 1,749,786 1,783,261 1,822,298 1,870,210 1,928,131 1,995,498 2,071,603 2,153,457 2,234,975 2,314,205 2,388,253 2,456,044 2,518,015 2,577,325 25-29 1,064,871 1,075,891 1,086,424 1,104,321 1,134,710 1,179,654 1,236,588 1,300,275 1,363,260 1,420,298 1,470,468 1,515,457 1,555,859 1,593,037 1,628,417 1,661,840 1,694,054 1,728,016 1,767,426 1,815,501 1,873,361 1,940,489 2,016,203 2,097,609 2,178,782 30-34 861,791 895,674 930,835 962,434 987,527 1,004,632 1,016,079 1,027,320 1,045,773 1,076,282 1,120,743 1,176,671 1,239,121 1,301,025 1,357,380 1,407,312 1,452,417 1,493,235 1,531,026 1,567,142 1,601,421 1,634,596 1,669,522 1,709,772 1,758,471 35-39 700,400 718,977 735,319 753,337 775,525 803,500 836,241 870,438 901,565 926,855 944,800 957,449 969,925 989,232 1,019,996 1,064,053 1,119,112 1,180,506 1,241,542 1,297,439 1,347,348 1,392,765 1,434,173 1,472,756 1,509,790 40-44 496,313 529,339 564,744 598,142 626,666 649,270 667,380 683,612 701,612 723,726 751,406 783,648 817,355 848,255 873,721 892,311 905,916 919,387 939,352 970,244 1,013,847 1,068,035 1,128,396 1,188,566 1,243,967 45-49 382,117 390,378 399,793 413,190 432,255 457,938 489,035 522,513 554,324 581,811 603,939 621,950 638,269 656,315 678,284 705,559 737,219 770,344 800,894 826,362 845,365 859,672 873,878 894,280 925,129 50-54 296,017 309,001 321,084 332,172 342,376 351,195 359,090 368,128 380,936 399,100 423,493 452,986 484,775 515,100 541,482 562,942 580,625 596,788 614,645 636,251 662,923 693,801 726,122 756,070 781,258 55-59 201,849 214,561 229,242 244,084 257,856 270,556 282,628 293,917 304,344 314,014 322,444 330,036 338,708 350,894 368,075 391,067 418,834 448,793 477,455 502,524 523,077 540,175 555,924 573,323 594,295 60-64 167,964 167,230 166,494 167,895 172,742 181,362 192,958 206,349 219,903 232,520 244,198 255,333 265,775 275,441 284,425 292,293 299,420 307,566 318,962 334,968 356,319 382,061 409,836 436,454 459,823 65-69 126,860 132,841 138,822 143,595 146,522 147,318 146,665 146,037 147,329 151,686 159,392 169,725 181,640 193,689 204,914 215,310 225,243 234,566 243,203 251,228 258,268 264,663 271,991 282,245 296,643 70-74 93,962 95,147 96,504 98,579 101,681 105,936 110,972 115,976 119,926 122,301 122,888 122,295 121,775 122,924 126,675 133,237 141,968 151,985 162,077 171,458 180,145 188,457 196,260 203,473 210,147 75-79 64,166 66,490 68,930 71,067 72,669 73,787 74,684 75,710 77,301 79,693 82,990 86,881 90,720 93,704 95,425 95,736 95,133 94,617 95,436 98,311 103,368 110,080 117,742 125,414 132,495 80+ 71,578 76,067 80,337 84,602 88,943 93,350 97,740 101,973 105,886 109,378 112,501 115,434 118,334 121,397 124,707 128,357 132,220 135,916 139,003 141,268 142,719 143,665 144,589 146,066 148,415

Total (Females) 6,931,923 7,147,835 7,367,642 7,591,192 7,818,236 8,049,874 8,287,290 8,530,380 8,779,056 9,033,248 9,293,010 9,558,445 9,829,646 10,106,786 10,390,073 10,679,824 10,976,329 11,279,763 11,590,293 11,908,010 12,232,968 12,565,167 12,904,527 13,250,945 13,604,296

0-4 1,271,237 1,309,481 1,343,857 1,374,798 1,403,835 1,432,186 1,461,468 1,491,550 1,522,405 1,554,009 1,585,894 1,617,609 1,649,333 1,681,321 1,713,846 1,747,199 1,781,605 1,817,152 1,853,833 1,891,505 1,929,921 1,968,800 2,007,882 2,046,911 2,085,676 5-9 1,015,147 1,049,462 1,088,742 1,131,003 1,172,927 1,213,180 1,250,380 1,284,036 1,314,616 1,343,776 1,372,498 1,402,131 1,432,577 1,463,827 1,495,885 1,528,278 1,560,536 1,592,838 1,625,436 1,658,619 1,692,648 1,727,725 1,763,953 1,801,330 1,839,750

10-14 902,215 915,758 930,011 947,363 969,843 998,194 1,032,082 1,070,924 1,112,783 1,154,409 1,194,457 1,231,527 1,265,123 1,295,703 1,324,902 1,353,683 1,383,376 1,413,888 1,445,213 1,477,355 1,509,850 1,542,228 1,574,664 1,607,414 1,640,756 15-19 798,021 819,169 838,708 856,532 872,830 887,398 900,881 915,124 932,473 954,923 983,185 1,016,917 1,055,550 1,097,175 1,138,588 1,178,465 1,215,427 1,248,984 1,279,587 1,308,843 1,337,704 1,367,486 1,398,095 1,429,523 1,461,773 20-24 655,191 678,857 704,901 730,827 754,866 776,990 797,849 817,238 835,039 851,421 866,159 879,861 894,332 911,862 934,403 962,653 996,289 1,034,756 1,076,186 1,117,440 1,157,218 1,194,171 1,227,815 1,258,588 1,288,062 25-29 568,374 578,163 586,193 596,030 610,076 629,157 652,284 677,825 703,381 727,248 749,357 770,296 789,849 807,893 824,580 839,697 853,838 868,754 886,667 909,478 937,879 971,571 1,010,020 1,051,409 1,092,678 30-34 432,217 456,593 482,017 505,178 523,949 537,564 547,294 555,539 565,666 579,946 599,104 622,156 647,558 673,025 696,926 719,201 740,403 760,317 778,809 796,018 811,734 826,531 842,107 860,612 883,894 35-39 336,172 347,108 357,464 369,674 385,242 405,066 428,335 452,765 475,263 493,825 507,649 517,835 526,635 537,240 551,823 571,084 594,117 619,450 644,911 668,931 691,443 712,974 733,302 752,294 770,078 40-44 233,825 250,361 268,656 286,324 301,799 314,401 324,913 334,994 346,932 362,160 381,493 404,133 427,939 449,983 468,352 482,275 492,768 501,974 512,922 527,702 546,995 569,948 595,162 620,554 644,613 45-49 188,484 190,621 193,244 198,135 206,405 218,671 234,303 251,665 268,535 283,452 295,741 306,092 316,063 327,816 342,713 361,539 383,556 406,736 428,301 446,413 460,329 470,997 480,458 491,612 506,467 50-54 152,001 158,500 164,175 168,974 172,983 175,892 177,988 180,578 185,333 193,301 205,053 219,992 236,583 252,744 267,100 279,011 289,123 298,907 310,411 324,925 343,204 364,553 387,046 408,039 425,781 55-59 101,775 109,210 117,915 126,574 134,274 141,011 147,105 152,462 157,035 160,905 163,770 165,884 168,468 173,085 180,720 191,910 206,105 221,874 237,264 250,989 262,441 272,227 281,732 292,889 306,916 60-64 89,262 87,821 86,285 86,158 88,375 93,188 100,045 108,068 116,059 123,190 129,462 135,157 140,188 144,500 148,169 150,918 152,987 155,507 159,926 167,159 177,694 191,016 205,804 220,249 233,165 65-69 68,615 72,262 75,834 78,524 79,896 79,720 78,434 77,085 77,018 79,062 83,432 89,626 96,857 104,054 110,482 116,150 121,312 125,884 129,814 133,162 135,687 137,612 139,963 144,048 150,692 70-74 50,288 51,350 52,417 53,836 55,814 58,467 61,586 64,624 66,887 68,013 67,824 66,715 65,586 65,589 67,411 71,209 76,536 82,714 88,840 94,303 99,122 103,528 107,437 110,790 113,636 75-79 32,283 34,145 36,093 37,846 39,247 40,294 41,123 41,956 43,074 44,637 46,739 49,202 51,585 53,332 54,157 53,932 52,990 52,058 52,051 53,503 56,516 60,711 65,544 70,308 74,526 80+ 36,816 38,974 41,130 43,416 45,875 48,495 51,220 53,947 56,557 58,971 61,193 63,312 65,420 67,637 70,016 72,620 75,361 77,970 80,122 81,665 82,583 83,089 83,543 84,375 85,833

Total (Males) 6,786,799 6,997,492 7,212,648 7,432,123 7,655,669 7,884,009 8,117,939 8,357,340 8,602,112 8,852,174 9,107,546 9,368,298 9,634,518 9,906,373 10,184,065 10,467,865 10,758,019 11,054,699 11,358,066 11,668,204 11,985,123 12,308,782 12,639,105 12,976,000 13,319,362 0-4 1,289,171 1,328,217 1,363,829 1,396,017 1,426,435 1,455,749 1,485,740 1,516,294 1,547,434 1,579,231 1,611,266 1,643,107 1,674,944 1,707,043 1,739,684 1,773,154 1,807,665 1,843,310 1,880,090 1,917,871 1,956,388 1,995,353 2,034,507 2,073,598 2,112,423 5-9 1,024,482 1,059,396 1,098,373 1,140,217 1,181,810 1,222,453 1,260,542 1,295,454 1,327,193 1,357,442 1,386,733 1,416,688 1,447,222 1,478,372 1,510,231 1,542,378 1,574,369 1,606,389 1,638,693 1,671,570 1,705,286 1,740,035 1,775,926 1,812,960 1,851,033

10-14 889,310 907,618 926,904 948,750 974,569 1,004,834 1,039,287 1,077,767 1,119,107 1,160,256 1,200,517 1,238,296 1,272,970 1,304,538 1,334,658 1,363,846 1,393,699 1,424,138 1,455,199 1,486,975 1,519,053 1,550,995 1,582,977 1,615,258 1,648,120 15-19 771,159 796,015 817,345 836,769 855,680 874,130 892,277 911,405 933,078 958,687 988,683 1,022,817 1,060,928 1,101,869 1,142,633 1,182,538 1,220,012 1,254,441 1,285,830 1,315,805 1,344,875 1,374,615 1,404,948 1,435,908 1,467,587 20-24 574,901 609,758 649,092 687,621 721,638 750,271 774,663 795,680 814,881 833,604 851,902 869,925 888,929 910,436 935,807 965,478 999,209 1,036,847 1,077,271 1,117,535 1,156,987 1,194,082 1,228,229 1,259,427 1,289,263 25-29 496,497 497,728 500,231 508,291 524,634 550,497 584,304 622,450 659,879 693,050 721,111 745,161 766,010 785,144 803,837 822,143 840,216 859,262 880,759 906,023 935,482 968,918 1,006,183 1,046,200 1,086,104 30-34 429,574 439,081 448,818 457,256 463,578 467,068 468,785 471,781 480,107 496,336 521,639 554,515 591,563 628,000 660,454 688,111 712,014 732,918 752,217 771,124 789,687 808,065 827,415 849,160 874,577 35-39 364,228 371,869 377,855 383,663 390,283 398,434 407,906 417,673 426,302 433,030 437,151 439,614 443,290 451,992 468,173 492,969 524,995 561,056 596,631 628,508 655,905 679,791 700,871 720,462 739,712 40-44 262,488 278,978 296,088 311,818 324,867 334,869 342,467 348,618 354,680 361,566 369,913 379,515 389,416 398,272 405,369 410,036 413,148 417,413 426,430 442,542 466,852 498,087 533,234 568,012 599,354 45-49 193,633 199,757 206,549 215,055 225,850 239,267 254,732 270,848 285,789 298,359 308,198 315,858 322,206 328,499 335,571 344,020 353,663 363,608 372,593 379,949 385,036 388,675 393,420 402,668 418,662 50-54 144,016 150,501 156,909 163,198 169,393 175,303 181,102 187,550 195,603 205,799 218,440 232,994 248,192 262,356 274,382 283,931 291,502 297,881 304,234 311,326 319,719 329,248 339,076 348,031 355,477 55-59 100,074 105,351 111,327 117,510 123,582 129,545 135,523 141,455 147,309 153,109 158,674 164,152 170,240 177,809 187,355 199,157 212,729 226,919 240,191 251,535 260,636 267,948 274,192 280,434 287,379 60-64 78,702 79,409 80,209 81,737 84,367 88,174 92,913 98,281 103,844 109,330 114,736 120,176 125,587 130,941 136,256 141,375 146,433 152,059 159,036 167,809 178,625 191,045 204,032 216,205 226,658 65-69 58,245 60,579 62,988 65,071 66,626 67,598 68,231 68,952 70,311 72,624 75,960 80,099 84,783 89,635 94,432 99,160 103,931 108,682 113,389 118,066 122,581 127,051 132,028 138,197 145,951 70-74 43,674 43,797 44,087 44,743 45,867 47,469 49,386 51,352 53,039 54,288 55,064 55,580 56,189 57,335 59,264 62,028 65,432 69,271 73,237 77,155 81,023 84,929 88,823 92,683 96,511 75-79 31,883 32,345 32,837 33,221 33,422 33,493 33,561 33,754 34,227 35,056 36,251 37,679 39,135 40,372 41,268 41,804 42,143 42,559 43,385 44,808 46,852 49,369 52,198 55,106 57,969 80+ 34,762 37,093 39,207 41,186 43,068 44,855 46,520 48,026 49,329 50,407 51,308 52,122 52,914 53,760 54,691 55,737 56,859 57,946 58,881 59,603 60,136 60,576 61,046 61,691 62,582

Page 37: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

24 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table A1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

Region 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

RuralTotal (Both

Sexes) 8,155,510 8,364,391 8,575,072 8,787,529 9,001,647 9,218,734 9,440,264 9,666,402 9,897,231 10,132,811 10,373,392 10,619,411 10,871,336 11,129,714 11,395,104 11,668,134 11,949,228 12,238,648 12,536,617 12,843,297 13,158,593 13,482,127 13,813,542 14,152,443 14,498,429 0-4 1,632,221 1,677,875 1,714,070 1,741,598 1,761,626 1,778,787 1,797,765 1,818,543 1,841,248 1,865,969 1,892,185 1,919,415 1,947,987 1,978,353 2,011,025 2,046,426 2,084,617 2,125,395 2,168,454 2,213,349 2,259,340 2,305,613 2,351,513 2,396,411 2,439,726 5-9 1,278,885 1,325,245 1,378,113 1,434,803 1,492,008 1,545,071 1,589,797 1,625,669 1,653,406 1,674,222 1,692,411 1,712,323 1,733,978 1,757,529 1,783,093 1,810,159 1,838,217 1,867,591 1,898,716 1,932,124 1,968,214 2,007,037 2,048,423 2,092,076 2,137,611

10-14 1,108,604 1,121,189 1,134,815 1,154,132 1,182,869 1,221,177 1,266,943 1,319,213 1,375,363 1,432,138 1,484,910 1,529,477 1,565,298 1,593,122 1,614,149 1,632,592 1,652,729 1,674,590 1,698,324 1,724,047 1,751,265 1,779,480 1,809,006 1,840,280 1,873,826 15-19 899,003 930,119 959,623 985,164 1,005,444 1,020,470 1,032,892 1,046,384 1,065,558 1,094,105 1,132,186 1,177,728 1,229,776 1,285,663 1,342,169 1,394,694 1,439,077 1,474,785 1,502,631 1,523,808 1,542,438 1,562,740 1,584,742 1,608,586 1,634,386 20-24 661,596 685,505 714,514 745,387 775,665 805,784 836,350 865,414 890,632 910,718 925,672 938,097 951,618 970,749 999,117 1,036,906 1,082,119 1,133,813 1,189,286 1,245,354 1,297,516 1,341,643 1,377,239 1,405,163 1,426,595 25-29 560,792 557,778 554,365 555,103 563,014 579,193 602,470 630,731 660,882 690,564 720,184 750,296 778,985 803,966 823,963 838,997 851,617 865,332 884,547 912,804 950,305 995,165 1,046,442 1,101,449 1,157,065 30-34 452,644 464,447 476,803 486,796 492,663 493,637 491,176 488,455 489,781 498,004 514,128 537,018 564,682 594,196 623,327 652,477 682,168 710,553 735,404 755,472 770,772 783,781 797,898 817,375 845,669 35-39 379,734 383,290 385,304 388,245 393,711 402,562 414,032 426,138 436,135 442,374 444,056 442,489 440,661 442,640 451,163 467,183 489,666 516,735 545,638 574,247 602,961 632,275 660,400 685,182 705,401 40-44 282,045 296,403 311,640 325,302 335,798 342,470 346,109 348,400 351,645 357,354 366,291 377,714 389,760 399,842 406,379 408,617 407,766 406,660 409,152 417,866 433,720 455,753 482,213 510,487 538,557 45-49 227,012 229,921 233,035 237,943 245,638 256,629 270,224 284,716 297,828 308,071 314,783 318,670 321,297 324,834 330,696 339,624 350,923 362,831 372,903 379,626 382,278 381,986 381,444 384,311 393,105 50-54 179,521 186,668 193,048 198,622 203,463 207,207 210,006 213,042 217,803 225,214 235,742 248,730 262,580 275,163 285,083 291,712 295,706 298,528 302,227 308,134 316,955 328,030 339,693 349,628 356,402 55-59 122,376 129,569 138,337 147,265 155,386 162,615 169,261 175,221 180,470 185,072 188,679 191,417 194,388 198,977 206,044 216,036 228,331 241,451 253,408 262,897 269,334 273,317 276,223 279,974 285,809 60-64 110,485 107,567 104,553 103,154 104,426 108,663 115,261 123,291 131,474 138,926 145,592 151,731 157,247 162,122 166,404 169,778 172,368 175,189 179,518 186,153 195,487 206,949 219,168 230,322 239,214 65-69 89,168 92,278 95,273 97,234 97,670 96,320 93,711 91,034 89,811 90,988 94,815 100,746 107,948 115,275 121,944 127,900 133,391 138,328 142,682 146,503 149,506 151,815 154,347 158,255 164,249 70-74 69,049 69,262 69,529 70,241 71,640 73,820 76,508 79,076 80,728 81,051 79,845 77,592 75,312 74,313 75,386 78,706 83,782 89,901 96,087 101,690 106,688 111,288 115,416 119,037 122,188 75-79 48,196 49,706 51,236 52,481 53,270 53,647 53,799 53,994 54,550 55,653 57,391 59,524 61,542 62,806 62,980 61,929 60,041 58,157 57,316 58,140 60,741 64,708 69,454 74,219 78,490 80+ 54,179 57,569 60,814 64,059 67,356 70,682 73,960 77,081 79,917 82,388 84,522 86,444 88,277 90,164 92,182 94,398 96,710 98,809 100,324 101,083 101,073 100,547 99,921 99,688 100,136

Total (Females) 4,125,772 4,230,480 4,335,909 4,442,057 4,548,860 4,657,089 4,767,586 4,880,430 4,995,669 5,113,326 5,233,537 5,356,527 5,482,525 5,611,807 5,744,651 5,881,377 6,022,221 6,167,292 6,316,727 6,470,594 6,628,865 6,791,373 6,957,918 7,128,320 7,302,356

0-4 812,217 834,793 852,789 866,511 876,094 884,439 893,763 904,053 915,357 927,689 940,773 954,361 968,616 983,759 1,000,044 1,017,686 1,036,719 1,057,045 1,078,506 1,100,880 1,123,805 1,146,877 1,169,767 1,192,163 1,213,772 5-9 639,916 663,337 689,465 717,187 745,446 771,523 793,578 811,366 825,176 835,205 844,143 854,009 864,813 876,617 889,449 903,040 917,127 931,867 947,480 964,231 982,321 1,001,777 1,022,516 1,044,389 1,067,199

10-14 546,920 553,816 561,843 572,927 588,607 608,622 631,754 657,619 685,126 713,237 739,240 761,277 779,088 792,987 803,163 812,267 822,283 833,222 845,152 858,096 871,795 885,993 900,843 916,568 933,427 15-19 446,208 458,478 470,770 481,795 490,781 497,944 504,740 512,685 523,691 539,284 559,216 582,287 608,108 635,561 663,612 689,564 711,578 729,395 743,360 753,671 762,915 773,058 784,110 796,132 809,151 20-24 350,892 358,235 367,194 377,071 387,297 398,331 410,425 422,586 433,530 442,496 449,681 456,510 464,487 475,485 491,012 510,843 533,821 559,555 586,907 614,848 640,730 662,721 680,581 694,672 705,195 25-29 301,356 302,151 301,870 302,419 305,120 310,300 317,508 326,335 336,108 346,281 357,281 369,326 381,442 392,381 401,393 408,675 415,626 423,707 434,754 450,247 469,980 492,855 518,481 545,713 573,541 30-34 230,636 240,304 250,498 259,287 265,430 268,573 269,491 269,475 270,328 273,289 278,640 285,929 294,773 304,535 314,706 325,698 337,718 349,826 360,811 369,940 377,401 384,558 392,832 404,003 419,523 35-39 188,704 191,267 193,180 196,051 200,904 208,224 217,450 227,254 235,821 241,985 245,361 246,635 247,017 248,220 251,433 256,921 264,273 273,124 282,878 293,045 304,029 316,030 328,136 339,180 348,445 40-44 138,226 146,098 154,688 162,578 168,841 173,008 175,503 177,443 180,337 185,165 192,354 201,362 210,939 219,365 225,522 229,044 230,567 231,246 232,708 236,096 241,667 249,030 257,850 267,553 277,678 45-49 114,454 115,141 115,966 117,904 121,580 127,331 134,787 142,959 150,523 156,601 160,728 163,287 165,319 168,260 173,036 180,066 188,843 198,178 206,437 212,545 216,149 217,843 218,732 220,373 223,864 50-54 93,460 96,979 99,948 102,367 104,289 105,525 106,190 107,008 108,903 112,459 117,991 125,145 132,982 140,253 146,132 150,173 152,736 154,807 157,753 162,447 169,296 177,813 186,871 194,911 200,913 55-59 63,575 67,554 72,541 77,576 81,993 85,742 89,040 91,839 94,141 95,995 97,217 97,903 98,740 100,594 104,011 109,297 116,113 123,584 130,527 136,167 140,082 142,608 144,677 147,580 152,142 60-64 61,581 59,119 56,476 54,854 55,010 57,150 60,854 65,485 70,163 74,270 77,777 80,866 83,495 85,664 87,419 88,584 89,261 90,080 91,856 95,102 100,093 106,512 113,537 120,069 125,389 65-69 49,595 51,782 53,846 55,117 55,227 53,987 51,763 49,392 47,957 48,142 50,120 53,511 57,735 61,992 65,726 68,912 71,721 74,113 76,084 77,673 78,727 79,338 80,088 81,723 84,705 70-74 37,279 37,785 38,231 38,897 39,966 41,536 43,443 45,228 46,310 46,373 45,271 43,340 41,306 40,109 40,334 42,103 45,070 48,732 52,396 55,596 58,318 60,722 62,762 64,431 65,762 75-79 23,698 25,069 26,504 27,767 28,721 29,349 29,745 30,098 30,633 31,496 32,768 34,304 35,730 36,571 36,575 35,634 34,031 32,368 31,406 31,602 33,044 35,428 38,340 41,235 43,735 80+ 27,055 28,572 30,100 31,749 33,554 35,505 37,552 39,605 41,565 43,359 44,976 46,475 47,935 49,454 51,084 52,870 54,734 56,443 57,712 58,408 58,513 58,210 57,795 57,625 57,915

Total (Males) 4,029,738 4,133,911 4,239,163 4,345,472 4,452,787 4,561,645 4,672,678 4,785,972 4,901,562 5,019,485 5,139,855 5,262,884 5,388,811 5,517,907 5,650,453 5,786,757 5,927,007 6,071,356 6,219,890 6,372,703 6,529,728 6,690,754 6,855,624 7,024,123 7,196,073 0-4 820,004 843,082 861,281 875,087 885,532 894,348 904,002 914,490 925,891 938,280 951,412 965,054 979,371 994,594 1,010,981 1,028,740 1,047,898 1,068,350 1,089,948 1,112,469 1,135,535 1,158,736 1,181,746 1,204,248 1,225,954 5-9 638,969 661,908 688,648 717,616 746,562 773,548 796,219 814,303 828,230 839,017 848,268 858,314 869,165 880,912 893,644 907,119 921,090 935,724 951,236 967,893 985,893 1,005,260 1,025,907 1,047,687 1,070,412

10-14 561,684 567,373 572,972 581,205 594,262 612,555 635,189 661,594 690,237 718,901 745,670 768,200 786,210 800,135 810,986 820,325 830,446 841,368 853,172 865,951 879,470 893,487 908,163 923,712 940,399 15-19 452,795 471,641 488,853 503,369 514,663 522,526 528,152 533,699 541,867 554,821 572,970 595,441 621,668 650,102 678,557 705,130 727,499 745,390 759,271 770,137 779,523 789,682 800,632 812,454 825,235 20-24 310,704 327,270 347,320 368,316 388,368 407,453 425,925 442,828 457,102 468,222 475,991 481,587 487,131 495,264 508,105 526,063 548,298 574,258 602,379 630,506 656,786 678,922 696,658 710,491 721,400 25-29 259,436 255,627 252,495 252,684 257,894 268,893 284,962 304,396 324,774 344,283 362,903 380,970 397,543 411,585 422,570 430,322 435,991 441,625 449,793 462,557 480,325 502,310 527,961 555,736 583,524 30-34 222,008 224,143 226,305 227,509 227,233 225,064 221,685 218,980 219,453 224,715 235,488 251,089 269,909 289,661 308,621 326,779 344,450 360,727 374,593 385,532 393,371 399,223 405,066 413,372 426,146 35-39 191,030 192,023 192,124 192,194 192,807 194,338 196,582 198,884 200,314 200,389 198,695 195,854 193,644 194,420 199,730 210,262 225,393 243,611 262,760 281,202 298,932 316,245 332,264 346,002 356,956 40-44 143,819 150,305 156,952 162,724 166,957 169,462 170,606 170,957 171,308 172,189 173,937 176,352 178,821 180,477 180,857 179,573 177,199 175,414 176,444 181,770 192,053 206,723 224,363 242,934 260,879 45-49 112,558 114,780 117,069 120,039 124,058 129,298 135,437 141,757 147,305 151,470 154,055 155,383 155,978 156,574 157,660 159,558 162,080 164,653 166,466 167,081 166,129 164,143 162,712 163,938 169,241 50-54 86,061 89,689 93,100 96,255 99,174 101,682 103,816 106,034 108,900 112,755 117,751 123,585 129,598 134,910 138,951 141,539 142,970 143,721 144,474 145,687 147,659 150,217 152,822 154,717 155,489 55-59 58,801 62,015 65,796 69,689 73,393 76,873 80,221 83,382 86,329 89,077 91,462 93,514 95,648 98,383 102,033 106,739 112,218 117,867 122,881 126,730 129,252 130,709 131,546 132,394 133,667 60-64 48,904 48,448 48,077 48,300 49,416 51,513 54,407 57,806 61,311 64,656 67,815 70,865 73,752 76,458 78,985 81,194 83,107 85,109 87,662 91,051 95,394 100,437 105,631 110,253 113,825 65-69 39,573 40,496 41,427 42,117 42,443 42,333 41,948 41,642 41,854 42,846 44,695 47,235 50,213 53,283 56,218 58,988 61,670 64,215 66,598 68,830 70,779 72,477 74,259 76,532 79,544 70-74 31,770 31,477 31,298 31,344 31,674 32,284 33,065 33,848 34,418 34,678 34,574 34,252 34,006 34,204 35,052 36,603 38,712 41,169 43,691 46,094 48,370 50,566 52,654 54,606 56,426 75-79 24,498 24,637 24,732 24,714 24,549 24,298 24,054 23,896 23,917 24,157 24,623 25,220 25,812 26,235 26,405 26,295 26,010 25,789 25,910 26,538 27,697 29,280 31,114 32,984 34,755 80+ 27,124 28,997 30,714 32,310 33,802 35,177 36,408 37,476 38,352 39,029 39,546 39,969 40,342 40,710 41,098 41,528 41,976 42,366 42,612 42,675 42,560 42,337 42,126 42,063 42,221

Page 38: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 25

Table A1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

Region 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

UrbanTotal (Both

Sexes) 5,563,212 5,780,936 6,005,218 6,235,786 6,472,258 6,715,149 6,964,965 7,221,318 7,483,937 7,752,611 8,027,164 8,307,332 8,592,828 8,883,445 9,179,034 9,479,555 9,785,120 10,095,814 10,411,742 10,732,917 11,059,498 11,391,822 11,730,090 12,074,502 12,425,229 0-4 928,187 959,823 993,616 1,029,217 1,068,644 1,109,148 1,149,443 1,189,301 1,228,591 1,267,271 1,304,975 1,341,301 1,376,290 1,410,011 1,442,505 1,473,927 1,504,653 1,535,067 1,565,469 1,596,027 1,626,969 1,658,540 1,690,876 1,724,098 1,758,373 5-9 760,744 783,613 809,002 836,417 862,729 890,562 921,125 953,821 988,403 1,026,996 1,066,820 1,106,496 1,145,821 1,184,670 1,223,023 1,260,497 1,296,688 1,331,636 1,365,413 1,398,065 1,429,720 1,460,723 1,491,456 1,522,214 1,553,172

10-14 682,921 702,187 722,100 741,981 761,543 781,851 804,426 829,478 856,527 882,527 910,064 940,346 972,795 1,007,119 1,045,411 1,084,937 1,124,346 1,163,436 1,202,088 1,240,283 1,277,638 1,313,743 1,348,635 1,382,392 1,415,050 15-19 670,177 685,065 696,430 708,137 723,066 741,058 760,266 780,145 799,993 819,505 839,682 862,006 886,702 913,381 939,052 966,309 996,362 1,028,640 1,062,786 1,100,840 1,140,141 1,179,361 1,218,301 1,256,845 1,294,974 20-24 568,496 603,110 639,479 673,061 700,839 721,477 736,162 747,504 759,288 774,307 792,389 811,689 831,643 851,549 871,093 891,225 913,379 937,790 964,171 989,621 1,016,689 1,046,610 1,078,805 1,112,852 1,150,730 25-29 504,079 518,113 532,059 549,218 571,696 600,461 634,118 669,544 702,378 729,734 750,284 765,161 776,874 789,071 804,454 822,843 842,437 862,684 882,879 902,697 923,056 945,324 969,761 996,160 1,021,717 30-34 409,147 431,227 454,032 475,638 494,864 510,995 524,903 538,865 555,992 578,278 606,615 639,653 674,439 706,829 734,053 754,835 770,249 782,682 795,622 811,670 830,649 850,815 871,624 892,397 912,802 35-39 320,666 335,687 350,015 365,092 381,814 400,938 422,209 444,300 465,430 484,481 500,744 514,960 529,264 546,592 568,833 596,870 629,446 663,771 695,904 723,192 744,387 760,490 773,773 787,574 804,389 40-44 214,268 232,936 253,104 272,840 290,868 306,800 321,271 335,212 349,967 366,372 385,115 405,934 427,595 448,413 467,342 483,694 498,150 512,727 530,200 552,378 580,127 612,282 646,183 678,079 705,410 45-49 155,105 160,457 166,758 175,247 186,617 201,309 218,811 237,797 256,496 273,740 289,156 303,280 316,972 331,481 347,588 365,935 386,296 407,513 427,991 446,736 463,087 477,686 492,434 509,969 532,024 50-54 116,496 122,333 128,036 133,550 138,913 143,988 149,084 155,086 163,133 173,886 187,751 204,256 222,195 239,937 256,399 271,230 284,919 298,260 312,418 328,117 345,968 365,771 386,429 406,442 424,856 55-59 79,473 84,992 90,905 96,819 102,470 107,941 113,367 118,696 123,874 128,942 133,765 138,619 144,320 151,917 162,031 175,031 190,503 207,342 224,047 239,627 253,743 266,858 279,701 293,349 308,486 60-64 57,479 59,663 61,941 64,741 68,316 72,699 77,697 83,058 88,429 93,594 98,606 103,602 108,528 113,319 118,021 122,515 127,052 132,377 139,444 148,815 160,832 175,112 190,668 206,132 220,609 65-69 37,692 40,563 43,549 46,361 48,852 50,998 52,954 55,003 57,518 60,698 64,577 68,979 73,692 78,414 82,970 87,410 91,852 96,238 100,521 104,725 108,762 112,848 117,644 123,990 132,394 70-74 24,913 25,885 26,975 28,338 30,041 32,116 34,464 36,900 39,198 41,250 43,043 44,703 46,463 48,611 51,289 54,531 58,186 62,084 65,990 69,768 73,457 77,169 80,844 84,436 87,959 75-79 15,970 16,784 17,694 18,586 19,399 20,140 20,885 21,716 22,751 24,040 25,599 27,357 29,178 30,898 32,445 33,807 35,092 36,460 38,120 40,171 42,627 45,372 48,288 51,195 54,005 80+ 17,399 18,498 19,523 20,543 21,587 22,668 23,780 24,892 25,969 26,990 27,979 28,990 30,057 31,233 32,525 33,959 35,510 37,107 38,679 40,185 41,646 43,118 44,668 46,378 48,279

Total (Females) 2,806,151 2,917,355 3,031,733 3,149,135 3,269,376 3,392,785 3,519,704 3,649,950 3,783,387 3,919,922 4,059,473 4,201,918 4,347,121 4,494,979 4,645,422 4,798,447 4,954,108 5,112,471 5,273,566 5,437,416 5,604,103 5,773,794 5,946,609 6,122,625 6,301,940

0-4 459,020 474,688 491,068 508,287 527,741 547,747 567,705 587,497 607,048 626,320 645,121 663,248 680,717 697,562 713,802 729,513 744,886 760,107 775,327 790,625 806,116 821,923 838,115 854,748 871,904 5-9 375,231 386,125 399,277 413,816 427,481 441,657 456,802 472,670 489,440 508,571 528,355 548,122 567,764 587,210 606,436 625,238 643,409 660,971 677,956 694,388 710,327 725,948 741,437 756,941 772,551

10-14 355,295 361,942 368,168 374,436 381,236 389,572 400,328 413,305 427,657 441,172 455,217 470,250 486,035 502,716 521,739 541,416 561,093 580,666 600,061 619,259 638,055 656,235 673,821 690,846 707,329 15-19 351,813 360,691 367,938 374,737 382,049 389,454 396,141 402,439 408,782 415,639 423,969 434,630 447,442 461,614 474,976 488,901 503,849 519,589 536,227 555,172 574,789 594,428 613,985 633,391 652,622 20-24 304,299 320,622 337,707 353,756 367,569 378,659 387,424 394,652 401,509 408,925 416,478 423,351 429,845 436,377 443,391 451,810 462,468 475,201 489,279 502,592 516,488 531,450 547,234 563,916 582,867 25-29 267,018 276,012 284,323 293,611 304,956 318,857 334,776 351,490 367,273 380,967 392,076 400,970 408,407 415,512 423,187 431,022 438,212 445,047 451,913 459,231 467,899 478,716 491,539 505,696 519,137 30-34 201,581 216,289 231,519 245,891 258,519 268,991 277,803 286,064 295,338 306,657 320,464 336,227 352,785 368,490 382,220 393,503 402,685 410,491 417,998 426,078 434,333 441,973 449,275 456,609 464,371 35-39 147,468 155,841 164,284 173,623 184,338 196,842 210,885 225,511 239,442 251,840 262,288 271,200 279,618 289,020 300,390 314,163 329,844 346,326 362,033 375,886 387,414 396,944 405,166 413,114 421,633 40-44 95,599 104,263 113,968 123,746 132,958 141,393 149,410 157,551 166,595 176,995 189,139 202,771 217,000 230,618 242,830 253,231 262,201 270,728 280,214 291,606 305,328 320,918 337,312 353,001 366,935 45-49 74,030 75,480 77,278 80,231 84,825 91,340 99,516 108,706 118,012 126,851 135,013 142,805 150,744 159,556 169,677 181,473 194,713 208,558 221,864 233,868 244,180 253,154 261,726 271,239 282,603 50-54 58,541 61,521 64,227 66,607 68,694 70,367 71,798 73,570 76,430 80,842 87,062 94,847 103,601 112,491 120,968 128,838 136,387 144,100 152,658 162,478 173,908 186,740 200,175 213,128 224,868 55-59 38,200 41,656 45,374 48,998 52,281 55,269 58,065 60,623 62,894 64,910 66,553 67,981 69,728 72,491 76,709 82,613 89,992 98,290 106,737 114,822 122,359 129,619 137,055 145,309 154,774 60-64 27,681 28,702 29,809 31,304 33,365 36,038 39,191 42,583 45,896 48,920 51,685 54,291 56,693 58,836 60,750 62,334 63,726 65,427 68,070 72,057 77,601 84,504 92,267 100,180 107,776 65-69 19,020 20,480 21,988 23,407 24,669 25,733 26,671 27,693 29,061 30,920 33,312 36,115 39,122 42,062 44,756 47,238 49,591 51,771 53,730 55,489 56,960 58,274 59,875 62,325 65,987 70-74 13,009 13,565 14,186 14,939 15,848 16,931 18,143 19,396 20,577 21,640 22,553 23,375 24,280 25,480 27,077 29,106 31,466 33,982 36,444 38,707 40,804 42,806 44,675 46,359 47,874 75-79 8,585 9,076 9,589 10,079 10,526 10,945 11,378 11,858 12,441 13,141 13,971 14,898 15,855 16,761 17,582 18,298 18,959 19,690 20,645 21,901 23,472 25,283 27,204 29,073 30,791 80+ 9,761 10,402 11,030 11,667 12,321 12,990 13,668 14,342 14,992 15,612 16,217 16,837 17,485 18,183 18,932 19,750 20,627 21,527 22,410 23,257 24,070 24,879 25,748 26,750 27,918

Total (Males) 2,757,061 2,863,581 2,973,485 3,086,651 3,202,882 3,322,364 3,445,261 3,571,368 3,700,550 3,832,689 3,967,691 4,105,414 4,245,707 4,388,466 4,533,612 4,681,108 4,831,012 4,983,343 5,138,176 5,295,501 5,455,395 5,618,028 5,783,481 5,951,877 6,123,289 0-4 469,167 485,135 502,548 520,930 540,903 561,401 581,738 601,804 621,543 640,951 659,854 678,053 695,573 712,449 728,703 744,414 759,767 774,960 790,142 805,402 820,853 836,617 852,761 869,350 886,469 5-9 385,513 397,488 409,725 422,601 435,248 448,905 464,323 481,151 498,963 518,425 538,465 558,374 578,057 597,460 616,587 635,259 653,279 670,665 687,457 703,677 719,393 734,775 750,019 765,273 780,621

10-14 327,626 340,245 353,932 367,545 380,307 392,279 404,098 416,173 428,870 441,355 454,847 470,096 486,760 504,403 523,672 543,521 563,253 582,770 602,027 621,024 639,583 657,508 674,814 691,546 707,721 15-19 318,364 324,374 328,492 333,400 341,017 351,604 364,125 377,706 391,211 403,866 415,713 427,376 439,260 451,767 464,076 477,408 492,513 509,051 526,559 545,668 565,352 584,933 604,316 623,454 642,352 20-24 264,197 282,488 301,772 319,305 333,270 342,818 348,738 352,852 357,779 365,382 375,911 388,338 401,798 415,172 427,702 439,415 450,911 462,589 474,892 487,029 500,201 515,160 531,571 548,936 567,863 25-29 237,061 242,101 247,736 255,607 266,740 281,604 299,342 318,054 335,105 348,767 358,208 364,191 368,467 373,559 381,267 391,821 404,225 417,637 430,966 443,466 455,157 466,608 478,222 490,464 502,580 30-34 207,566 214,938 222,513 229,747 236,345 242,004 247,100 252,801 260,654 271,621 286,151 303,426 321,654 338,339 351,833 361,332 367,564 372,191 377,624 385,592 396,316 408,842 422,349 435,788 448,431 35-39 173,198 179,846 185,731 191,469 197,476 204,096 211,324 218,789 225,988 232,641 238,456 243,760 249,646 257,572 268,443 282,707 299,602 317,445 333,871 347,306 356,973 363,546 368,607 374,460 382,756 40-44 118,669 128,673 139,136 149,094 157,910 165,407 171,861 177,661 183,372 189,377 195,976 203,163 210,595 217,795 224,512 230,463 235,949 241,999 249,986 260,772 274,799 291,364 308,871 325,078 338,475 45-49 81,075 84,977 89,480 95,016 101,792 109,969 119,295 129,091 138,484 146,889 154,143 160,475 166,228 171,925 177,911 184,462 191,583 198,955 206,127 212,868 218,907 224,532 230,708 238,730 249,421 50-54 57,955 60,812 63,809 66,943 70,219 73,621 77,286 81,516 86,703 93,044 100,689 109,409 118,594 127,446 135,431 142,392 148,532 154,160 159,760 165,639 172,060 179,031 186,254 193,314 199,988 55-59 41,273 43,336 45,531 47,821 50,189 52,672 55,302 58,073 60,980 64,032 67,212 70,638 74,592 79,426 85,322 92,418 100,511 109,052 117,310 124,805 131,384 137,239 142,646 148,040 153,712 60-64 29,798 30,961 32,132 33,437 34,951 36,661 38,506 40,475 42,533 44,674 46,921 49,311 51,835 54,483 57,271 60,181 63,326 66,950 71,374 76,758 83,231 90,608 98,401 105,952 112,833 65-69 18,672 20,083 21,561 22,954 24,183 25,265 26,283 27,310 28,457 29,778 31,265 32,864 34,570 36,352 38,214 40,172 42,261 44,467 46,791 49,236 51,802 54,574 57,769 61,665 66,407 70-74 11,904 12,320 12,789 13,399 14,193 15,185 16,321 17,504 18,621 19,610 20,490 21,328 22,183 23,131 24,212 25,425 26,720 28,102 29,546 31,061 32,653 34,363 36,169 38,077 40,085 75-79 7,385 7,708 8,105 8,507 8,873 9,195 9,507 9,858 10,310 10,899 11,628 12,459 13,323 14,137 14,863 15,509 16,133 16,770 17,475 18,270 19,155 20,089 21,084 22,122 23,214 80+ 7,638 8,096 8,493 8,876 9,266 9,678 10,112 10,550 10,977 11,378 11,762 12,153 12,572 13,050 13,593 14,209 14,883 15,580 16,269 16,928 17,576 18,239 18,920 19,628 20,361

Page 39: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

26 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table A2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 608,076 620,733 633,152 645,097 656,428 669,889 683,189 696,305 709,215 721,993 734,707 747,524 760,658 774,261 788,358 802,951 817,957 833,419 849,239 865,174 880,774 896,278 911,664 926,909 941,979Annual Number of Deaths 185,694 189,906 194,052 198,147 202,198 204,163 206,224 208,288 210,336 212,364 214,067 215,788 217,551 219,378 221,282 222,927 224,664 226,485 228,379 230,323 231,872 233,464 235,113 236,833 238,627Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 44.3 43.9 43.4 42.9 42.4 42.0 41.6 41.2 40.8 40.4 39.9 39.5 39.1 38.7 38.3 38.0 37.6 37.3 37.0 36.7 36.4 36.0 35.7 35.3 35.0 Crude Death Rate (CDR) 13.5 13.4 13.3 13.2 13.1 12.8 12.6 12.3 12.1 11.9 11.6 11.4 11.2 11.0 10.8 10.5 10.3 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.9 Growth Rate(%) 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes)

52.6 52.8 53.0 53.2 53.3 53.7 54.2 54.6 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.2 56.6 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.2

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males)

50.2 50.4 50.6 50.9 51.1 51.5 51.9 52.2 52.6 53.0 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.8 55.2 55.6 55.9 56.3 56.7 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.5

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females)

55.2 55.3 55.4 55.5 55.6 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.4 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.5 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.1

Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes)

75.7 75.3 74.9 74.5 74.2 73.3 72.4 71.5 70.7 69.8 68.9 68.0 67.1 66.3 65.4 64.5 63.6 62.7 61.8 60.9 60.0 59.1 58.2 57.3 56.4

Infant Mortality Rate (Males)

81.3 80.8 80.3 79.8 79.3 78.5 77.7 76.9 76.1 75.4 74.5 73.7 72.9 72.1 71.4 70.5 69.7 68.9 68.1 67.3 66.5 65.7 64.8 64.0 63.2

Infant Mortality Rate (Females)

69.9 69.6 69.4 69.1 68.9 67.9 67.0 66.0 65.1 64.1 63.1 62.2 61.2 60.2 59.3 58.3 57.3 56.3 55.3 54.4 53.3 52.3 51.3 50.3 49.3

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 RuralAnnual Number of Births 388,112 391,676 395,180 398,501 401,571 406,296 411,260 416,388 421,600 426,878 432,438 438,463 445,061 452,306 460,230 468,715 477,549 486,740 496,194 505,847 514,946 523,721 532,150 540,215 547,887Annual Number of Deaths 114,584 116,412 118,115 119,734 121,292 121,648 122,109 122,616 123,144 123,703 124,099 124,567 125,115 125,747 126,500 127,148 127,897 128,712 129,589 130,498 131,171 131,844 132,514 133,195 133,897Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 47.6 46.8 46.1 45.4 44.6 44.1 43.6 43.1 42.6 42.1 41.7 41.3 40.9 40.6 40.4 40.2 40.0 39.8 39.6 39.4 39.1 38.9 38.5 38.2 37.8 Crude Death Rate (CDR) 14.1 13.9 13.8 13.6 13.5 13.2 12.9 12.7 12.4 12.2 12.0 11.7 11.5 11.3 11.1 10.9 10.7 10.5 10.3 10.2 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.2 Growth Rate(%) 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes)

53.7 53.9 54.0 54.1 54.2 54.6 54.9 55.3 55.6 56.0 56.3 56.7 57.0 57.4 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.2 60.6 60.9 61.2

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males)

51.0 51.2 51.4 51.6 51.8 52.1 52.5 52.8 53.1 53.4 53.8 54.1 54.5 54.8 55.1 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.2 57.5 57.9 58.2 58.5

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females)

56.6 56.6 56.7 56.7 56.8 57.1 57.5 57.9 58.2 58.6 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.1 61.5 61.9 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.7 64.1

Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes)

80.3 80.0 79.6 79.3 78.9 78.0 77.1 76.2 75.3 74.4 73.4 72.5 71.5 70.6 69.6 68.6 67.6 66.6 65.6 64.7 63.6 62.6 61.6 60.6 59.7

Infant Mortality Rate (Males)

87.3 86.8 86.3 85.8 85.3 84.4 83.5 82.6 81.8 80.9 80.0 79.0 78.1 77.2 76.3 75.3 74.3 73.4 72.4 71.5 70.5 69.5 68.6 67.6 66.7

Infant Mortality Rate (Females)

73.1 72.9 72.8 72.6 72.4 71.5 70.5 69.6 68.6 67.7 66.7 65.7 64.7 63.8 62.8 61.7 60.7 59.7 58.7 57.7 56.6 55.5 54.5 53.5 52.5

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 UrbanAnnual Number of Births 219,964 229,057 237,972 246,596 254,857 263,593 271,929 279,917 287,615 295,115 302,269 309,061 315,597 321,955 328,128 334,236 340,408 346,679 353,045 359,327 365,828 372,557 379,514 386,694 394,092Annual Number of Deaths 71,110 73,494 75,937 78,413 80,906 82,515 84,115 85,672 87,192 88,661 89,968 91,221 92,436 93,631 94,782 95,779 96,767 97,773 98,790 99,825 100,701 101,620 102,599 103,638 104,730Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 39.5 39.6 39.6 39.6 39.4 39.3 39.0 38.8 38.4 38.1 37.7 37.2 36.7 36.2 35.8 35.3 34.8 34.3 33.9 33.5 33.1 32.7 32.4 32.0 31.7 Crude Death Rate (CDR) 12.8 12.7 12.7 12.6 12.5 12.3 12.1 11.9 11.7 11.4 11.2 11.0 10.8 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.1 8.9 8.8 8.6 8.4 Growth Rate(%) 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes)

51.2 51.4 51.7 52.0 52.2 52.7 53.1 53.6 54.1 54.5 55.0 55.5 55.9 56.4 56.8 57.3 57.7 58.2 58.6 59.1 59.5 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.2

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males)

49.2 49.5 49.8 50.1 50.3 50.8 51.2 51.6 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.2 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females)

53.2 53.5 53.7 53.9 54.1 54.6 55.2 55.7 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.2 58.7 59.2 59.7 60.2 60.7 61.2 61.7 62.2 62.7 63.2 63.6 64.1

Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes)

67.3 67.2 67.0 66.8 66.6 65.9 65.2 64.5 63.8 63.2 62.4 61.7 61.0 60.2 59.5 58.7 58.0 57.2 56.4 55.7 54.9 54.1 53.3 52.5 51.8

Infant Mortality Rate (Males)

70.5 70.3 70.1 69.9 69.7 69.3 68.8 68.3 67.8 67.3 66.7 66.2 65.6 65.1 64.5 63.9 63.3 62.7 62.1 61.5 60.8 60.2 59.6 59.0 58.3

Infant Mortality Rate (Females)

64.1 63.9 63.7 63.5 63.3 62.4 61.5 60.6 59.8 58.9 58.0 57.1 56.1 55.2 54.4 53.4 52.4 51.5 50.6 49.7 48.7 47.7 46.8 45.9 45.0

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9

Page 40: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 27

Table A3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 13,718,722 14,145,327 14,580,290 15,023,315 15,473,905 15,933,883 16,405,229 16,887,720 17,381,168 17,885,422 18,400,556 18,926,743 19,464,164 20,013,159 20,574,138 21,147,689 21,734,348 22,334,462 22,948,359 23,576,214 24,218,091 24,873,949 25,543,632 26,226,945 26,923,658

0 568,765 580,796 592,755 604,375 615,481 627,438 640,430 653,238 665,873 678,359 690,781 703,249 715,932 729,003 742,546 756,589 771,093 786,023 801,353 816,917 832,407 847,724 862,957 878,079 893,062 1 535,737 549,773 561,595 573,356 584,796 595,917 607,950 621,004 633,887 646,609 659,217 671,779 684,388 697,211 710,415 724,113 738,313 752,970 768,048 783,523 799,266 814,956 830,478 845,920 861,257 2 510,341 524,882 538,750 550,454 562,102 573,501 584,698 596,791 609,892 622,829 635,621 648,321 660,979 673,684 686,604 699,910 713,723 728,032 742,794 757,976 773,561 789,435 805,257 820,915 836,493 3 484,852 502,937 517,342 531,087 542,702 554,311 565,740 576,973 589,094 602,212 615,179 628,014 640,762 653,472 666,228 679,207 692,581 706,458 720,828 735,648 750,898 766,557 782,505 798,404 814,142 4 460,713 479,310 497,244 511,543 525,189 536,768 548,390 559,838 571,093 583,231 596,362 609,353 622,216 634,994 647,737 660,534 673,560 686,979 700,900 715,312 730,177 745,481 761,192 777,191 793,145 5 440,040 457,344 475,837 493,672 507,902 521,496 533,076 544,699 556,151 567,413 579,557 592,694 605,692 618,565 631,357 644,116 656,935 669,983 683,425 697,364 711,797 726,689 742,020 757,757 773,780 6 421,873 438,074 455,316 473,742 491,516 505,714 519,290 530,864 542,481 553,929 565,190 577,331 590,466 603,462 616,333 629,126 641,890 654,717 667,769 681,218 695,163 709,605 724,505 739,843 755,588 7 405,309 419,986 436,130 453,312 471,672 489,397 503,576 517,135 528,703 540,313 551,759 563,022 575,160 588,290 601,284 614,157 626,954 639,721 652,555 665,611 679,069 693,022 707,472 722,380 737,724 8 391,706 403,498 418,124 434,211 451,332 469,639 487,327 501,486 515,029 526,591 538,196 549,642 560,905 573,043 586,168 599,160 612,036 624,837 637,608 650,447 663,510 676,978 690,939 705,397 720,313 9 380,701 389,956 401,708 416,283 432,315 449,387 467,653 485,306 499,445 512,972 524,529 536,130 547,576 558,839 570,974 584,097 597,090 609,969 622,772 635,549 648,395 661,466 674,943 688,913 703,378 10 372,014 379,312 388,544 400,265 414,798 430,791 447,833 466,065 483,688 497,810 511,325 522,879 534,476 545,921 557,185 569,318 582,439 595,432 608,312 621,116 633,897 646,750 659,828 673,310 687,286 11 365,328 370,966 378,252 387,466 399,163 413,670 429,639 446,658 464,864 482,464 496,573 510,079 521,630 533,223 544,666 555,930 568,063 581,181 594,173 607,052 619,858 632,643 645,500 658,582 672,067 12 358,916 364,301 369,929 377,203 386,398 398,077 412,566 428,511 445,507 463,687 481,266 495,363 508,860 520,408 531,997 543,440 554,704 566,836 579,953 592,944 605,823 618,632 631,420 644,280 657,367 13 351,881 357,906 363,284 368,903 376,165 385,347 397,014 411,485 427,406 444,379 462,535 480,094 494,180 507,667 519,212 530,798 542,241 553,507 565,637 578,753 591,744 604,625 617,437 630,228 643,091 14 343,386 350,891 356,906 362,276 367,888 375,143 384,317 395,972 410,425 426,325 443,275 461,408 478,947 493,022 506,500 518,043 529,628 541,070 552,337 564,465 577,581 590,573 603,456 616,272 629,065 15 333,468 342,208 349,695 355,699 361,058 366,667 373,919 383,085 394,725 409,155 425,029 441,953 460,058 477,572 491,634 505,101 516,641 528,224 539,664 550,932 563,059 576,174 589,166 602,050 614,869 16 324,290 332,116 340,830 348,295 354,283 359,638 365,251 372,499 381,655 393,277 407,681 423,526 440,419 458,490 475,973 490,021 503,477 515,013 526,592 538,028 549,298 561,426 574,539 587,530 600,413 17 315,620 322,976 330,778 339,465 346,910 352,891 358,249 363,864 371,109 380,254 391,860 406,239 422,055 438,918 456,957 474,410 488,444 501,889 513,422 524,998 536,432 547,704 559,831 572,943 585,933 18 304,779 314,340 321,675 329,454 338,115 345,546 351,527 356,888 362,507 369,747 378,883 390,474 404,828 420,616 437,449 455,458 472,885 486,905 500,338 511,867 523,441 534,875 546,150 558,276 571,387 19 291,023 303,544 313,075 320,388 328,144 336,786 344,212 350,193 355,555 361,177 368,415 377,542 389,118 403,448 419,208 436,013 453,992 471,394 485,401 498,823 510,349 521,922 533,357 544,632 556,758 20 275,023 289,412 301,875 311,367 318,653 326,396 335,026 342,449 348,436 353,806 359,436 366,678 375,798 387,360 401,663 417,394 434,171 452,117 469,491 483,487 496,904 508,434 520,012 531,454 542,738 21 257,950 273,087 287,391 299,784 309,227 316,496 324,233 332,855 340,275 346,272 351,656 357,301 364,551 373,667 385,214 399,492 415,193 431,938 449,850 467,194 481,183 494,601 506,141 517,730 529,184 22 242,580 256,137 271,182 285,402 297,726 307,134 314,400 322,130 330,743 338,160 344,169 349,569 355,229 362,484 371,597 383,130 397,385 413,057 429,772 447,650 464,968 478,953 492,370 503,920 515,519 23 230,727 240,874 254,350 269,304 283,442 295,711 305,101 312,362 320,085 328,690 336,106 342,126 347,541 353,216 360,476 369,588 381,109 395,342 410,985 427,670 445,517 462,814 476,793 490,209 501,769 24 223,812 229,105 239,195 252,591 267,456 281,524 293,752 303,122 310,381 318,097 326,694 334,112 340,142 345,571 351,260 358,527 367,640 379,149 393,359 408,974 425,633 443,451 460,728 474,702 488,115 25 220,082 221,891 227,156 237,180 250,482 265,266 279,273 291,463 300,816 308,078 315,798 324,396 331,825 337,875 343,329 349,043 356,329 365,451 376,956 391,149 406,746 423,388 441,184 458,447 472,426 26 217,808 217,839 219,656 224,891 234,841 248,057 262,768 276,712 288,862 298,204 305,477 313,210 321,816 329,263 335,342 340,834 346,585 353,900 363,039 374,548 388,732 404,320 420,952 438,733 455,989 27 214,887 215,590 215,644 217,467 222,674 232,569 245,721 260,359 274,242 286,353 295,687 302,975 310,719 319,332 326,795 332,905 338,436 344,223 351,564 360,718 372,235 386,414 401,993 418,614 436,381 28 210,017 212,696 213,416 213,495 215,323 220,521 230,380 243,471 258,039 271,862 283,937 293,265 300,566 308,321 316,939 324,421 330,563 336,131 341,952 349,318 358,489 370,015 384,189 399,760 416,369 29 202,077 207,875 210,552 211,288 211,390 213,241 218,446 228,270 241,301 255,801 269,569 281,611 290,933 298,246 306,012 314,637 322,141 328,311 333,915 339,768 347,159 356,352 367,885 382,055 397,617 30 191,631 199,666 205,427 208,102 208,860 209,015 210,918 216,136 225,925 238,894 253,327 267,043 279,054 288,375 295,707 303,494 312,137 319,670 325,879 331,526 337,425 344,855 354,076 365,623 379,794 31 180,610 189,001 196,963 202,685 205,361 206,170 206,407 208,370 213,607 223,362 236,270 250,636 264,302 276,284 285,609 292,971 300,789 309,457 317,024 323,281 328,985 334,940 342,418 351,674 363,243 32 170,926 178,130 186,442 194,332 200,014 202,714 203,598 203,913 205,931 211,186 220,911 233,764 248,065 261,681 273,635 282,966 290,359 298,206 306,898 314,497 320,803 326,565 332,574 340,095 349,383 33 162,538 168,576 175,715 183,950 191,769 197,437 200,184 201,138 201,528 203,597 208,871 218,570 231,368 245,607 259,173 271,103 280,443 287,866 295,741 304,453 312,088 318,443 324,258 330,320 337,881 34 156,086 160,301 166,288 173,365 181,523 189,296 194,972 197,763 198,782 199,243 201,364 206,658 216,332 229,078 243,256 256,778 268,689 278,036 285,484 293,385 302,120 309,793 316,196 322,060 328,170 35 150,882 153,843 158,032 163,967 170,981 179,083 186,834 192,516 195,350 196,432 196,965 199,138 204,450 214,094 226,786 240,904 254,381 266,270 275,622 283,095 291,023 299,784 307,491 313,938 319,852 36 146,380 148,622 151,570 155,732 161,616 168,587 176,653 184,380 190,067 192,941 194,086 194,694 196,917 202,245 211,857 224,494 238,552 251,982 263,847 273,202 280,700 288,658 297,443 305,183 311,672 37 141,414 144,187 146,427 149,361 153,495 159,348 166,298 174,329 182,032 187,722 190,638 191,845 192,522 194,792 200,135 209,719 222,306 236,306 249,691 261,530 270,892 278,418 286,403 295,210 302,981 38 135,056 139,294 142,055 144,294 147,214 151,339 157,179 164,108 172,105 179,783 185,479 188,437 189,703 190,446 192,759 198,118 207,679 220,217 234,160 247,502 259,320 268,691 276,244 284,254 293,080 39 126,668 133,031 137,235 139,983 142,219 145,143 149,277 155,105 162,011 169,977 177,632 183,335 186,333 187,655 188,459 190,818 196,194 205,731 218,222 232,110 245,413 257,214 266,592 274,171 282,205 40 116,912 124,705 130,998 135,165 137,901 140,147 143,089 147,226 153,039 159,917 167,849 175,480 181,184 184,215 185,590 186,452 188,853 194,242 203,749 216,187 230,016 243,277 255,055 264,433 272,032 41 106,716 115,044 122,737 128,958 133,085 135,821 138,091 141,046 145,182 150,975 157,825 165,720 173,322 179,022 182,082 183,506 184,426 186,864 192,260 201,731 214,113 227,880 241,091 252,840 262,212 42 97,514 105,007 113,226 120,823 126,974 131,078 133,827 136,119 139,086 143,219 148,995 155,818 163,677 171,252 176,946 180,037 181,510 182,484 184,958 190,359 199,799 212,129 225,837 238,999 250,719 43 90,072 95,952 103,348 111,460 118,963 125,057 129,153 131,914 134,226 137,205 141,336 147,097 153,894 161,717 169,265 174,956 178,077 179,597 180,622 183,131 188,539 197,951 210,230 223,881 236,996 44 85,099 88,631 94,435 101,736 109,743 117,167 123,220 127,307 130,079 132,410 135,401 139,533 145,278 152,049 159,838 167,360 173,050 176,200 177,763 178,836 181,380 186,798 196,183 208,413 222,008 45 81,948 83,704 87,195 92,921 100,127 108,040 115,394 121,404 125,477 128,257 130,603 133,603 137,733 143,459 150,201 157,954 165,448 171,133 174,307 175,910 177,029 179,606 185,028 194,379 206,554 46 79,453 80,577 82,315 85,764 91,413 98,530 106,359 113,641 119,604 123,659 126,446 128,806 131,811 135,934 141,637 148,347 156,064 163,526 169,201 172,394 174,035 175,199 177,805 183,226 192,538 47 76,712 78,129 79,244 80,966 84,371 89,955 96,996 104,742 111,955 117,872 121,911 124,705 127,077 130,087 134,202 139,886 146,567 154,246 161,677 167,342 170,556 172,236 173,442 176,075 181,494 48 73,755 75,436 76,842 77,949 79,655 83,026 88,553 95,521 103,187 110,333 116,207 120,232 123,031 125,415 128,429 132,538 138,202 144,856 152,498 159,899 165,556 168,790 170,507 171,754 174,411 49 70,249 72,532 74,197 75,590 76,689 78,387 81,733 87,205 94,101 101,690 108,772 114,604 118,617 121,420 123,815 126,834 130,938 136,583 143,211 150,817 158,189 163,841 167,096 168,846 170,132 50 66,325 69,056 71,309 72,955 74,333 75,428 77,121 80,438 85,850 92,668 100,173 107,185 112,968 116,961 119,761 122,160 125,179 129,270 134,886 141,477 149,040 156,374 162,011 165,278 167,055 51 62,673 65,171 67,862 70,084 71,710 73,076 74,170 75,853 79,135 84,482 91,217 98,633 105,567 111,293 115,257 118,049 120,447 123,458 127,530 133,109 139,654 147,164 154,450 160,063 163,334 52 59,381 61,583 64,047 66,698 68,890 70,501 71,861 72,953 74,626 77,874 83,158 89,815 97,143 104,001 109,672 113,610 116,395 118,791 121,793 125,845 131,389 137,894 145,350 152,590 158,179 53 55,809 58,351 60,521 62,950 65,563 67,730 69,331 70,685 71,776 73,439 76,655 81,877 88,457 95,701 102,486 108,104 112,016 114,796 117,189 120,182 124,217 129,726 136,191 143,596 150,791 54 51,829 54,840 57,345 59,485 61,880 64,460 66,607 68,199 69,549 70,637 72,290 75,476 80,640 87,144 94,306 101,019 106,588 110,473 113,247 115,638 118,623 122,643 128,120 134,543 141,899 55 47,632 50,892 53,855 56,322 58,429 60,791 63,342 65,465 67,042 68,384 69,469 71,109 74,260 79,360 85,782 92,858 99,494 105,005 108,860 111,620 114,006 116,978 120,975 126,413 132,787 56 43,291 46,733 49,939 52,853 55,279 57,356 59,686 62,204 64,302 65,861 67,191 68,271 69,896 73,007 78,038 84,372 91,354 97,907 103,354 107,173 109,916 112,293 115,248 119,215 124,606 57 39,387 42,473 45,858 49,009 51,876 54,265 56,315 58,615 61,100 63,173 64,717 66,036 67,109 68,719 71,792 76,755 83,006 89,896 96,366 101,752 105,536 108,264 110,631 113,570 117,507

Page 41: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

28 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table A3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

58 36,514 38,642 41,674 45,004 48,101 50,925 53,282 55,305 57,575 60,029 62,077 63,606 64,914 65,981 67,577 70,613 75,511 81,680 88,481 94,871 100,198 103,949 106,661 109,018 111,941 59 35,025 35,821 37,916 40,896 44,171 47,219 50,003 52,328 54,325 56,567 58,990 61,014 62,529 63,827 64,886 66,469 69,469 74,305 80,394 87,108 93,421 98,691 102,409 105,107 107,454 60 34,444 34,270 35,050 37,107 40,028 43,243 46,237 48,974 51,262 53,226 55,433 57,819 59,814 61,309 62,592 63,641 65,205 68,161 72,921 78,914 85,524 91,743 96,941 100,616 103,290 61 34,334 33,612 33,443 34,205 36,219 39,077 42,225 45,159 47,842 50,086 52,014 54,180 56,521 58,481 59,951 61,214 62,250 63,789 66,694 71,365 77,247 83,736 89,846 94,957 98,578 62 34,104 33,508 32,803 32,638 33,385 35,356 38,156 41,240 44,114 46,745 48,946 50,839 52,966 55,264 57,189 58,635 59,879 60,903 62,417 65,270 69,856 75,632 82,004 88,007 93,033 63 33,350 33,287 32,706 32,018 31,855 32,589 34,521 37,264 40,285 43,103 45,682 47,843 49,701 51,788 54,046 55,938 57,362 58,586 59,596 61,089 63,891 68,395 74,066 80,325 86,225 64 31,732 32,553 32,492 31,927 31,255 31,097 31,819 33,712 36,400 39,360 42,123 44,652 46,773 48,599 50,647 52,865 54,724 56,127 57,334 58,330 59,801 62,555 66,979 72,549 78,697 65 29,450 30,910 31,711 31,651 31,101 30,445 30,293 30,999 32,849 35,472 38,364 41,062 43,534 45,606 47,391 49,393 51,561 53,380 54,752 55,933 56,909 58,349 61,043 65,367 70,813 66 27,068 28,626 30,047 30,825 30,766 30,232 29,592 29,444 30,129 31,930 34,482 37,298 39,922 42,328 44,343 46,080 48,028 50,137 51,906 53,240 54,388 55,337 56,736 59,357 63,564 67 25,043 26,311 27,827 29,209 29,966 29,906 29,387 28,763 28,619 29,285 31,039 33,521 36,262 38,815 41,158 43,118 44,808 46,702 48,755 50,476 51,774 52,888 53,812 55,171 57,721 68 23,304 24,343 25,575 27,050 28,394 29,131 29,072 28,567 27,960 27,819 28,465 30,173 32,588 35,257 37,741 40,021 41,929 43,573 45,415 47,413 49,087 50,350 51,432 52,331 53,652 69 21,995 22,651 23,662 24,860 26,295 27,604 28,321 28,264 27,772 27,180 27,042 27,671 29,334 31,683 34,281 36,698 38,917 40,774 42,375 44,166 46,110 47,739 48,968 50,019 50,893 70 20,832 21,206 21,839 22,815 23,971 25,354 26,619 27,311 27,255 26,780 26,208 26,072 26,679 28,284 30,553 33,061 35,395 37,537 39,329 40,874 42,601 44,478 46,049 47,235 48,247 71 19,797 19,915 20,273 20,879 21,813 22,920 24,243 25,454 26,117 26,062 25,606 25,058 24,925 25,507 27,042 29,216 31,617 33,851 35,902 37,616 39,095 40,747 42,543 44,044 45,178 72 18,886 18,926 19,040 19,383 19,962 20,857 21,917 23,183 24,342 24,976 24,923 24,485 23,960 23,830 24,386 25,856 27,937 30,238 32,376 34,340 35,980 37,394 38,974 40,694 42,129 73 17,832 18,054 18,094 18,202 18,532 19,086 19,943 20,958 22,170 23,280 23,886 23,835 23,414 22,910 22,786 23,316 24,724 26,716 28,920 30,967 32,847 34,417 35,771 37,282 38,928 74 16,615 17,046 17,258 17,300 17,403 17,719 18,250 19,070 20,042 21,203 22,265 22,845 22,797 22,393 21,908 21,788 22,295 23,643 25,550 27,661 29,622 31,421 32,923 34,218 35,665 75 15,250 15,830 16,242 16,443 16,483 16,579 16,877 17,381 18,158 19,081 20,185 21,191 21,738 21,688 21,297 20,831 20,709 21,186 22,463 24,273 26,273 28,131 29,832 31,251 32,470 76 13,879 14,482 15,032 15,420 15,610 15,644 15,729 16,007 16,479 17,209 18,077 19,116 20,061 20,570 20,514 20,133 19,684 19,557 19,998 21,192 22,890 24,766 26,505 28,093 29,413 77 12,636 13,180 13,751 14,272 14,638 14,814 14,842 14,916 15,176 15,618 16,304 17,121 18,097 18,984 19,457 19,395 19,024 18,591 18,461 18,868 19,986 21,575 23,333 24,958 26,440 78 11,585 11,999 12,513 13,054 13,547 13,893 14,055 14,077 14,141 14,384 14,797 15,440 16,207 17,125 17,958 18,397 18,329 17,968 17,550 17,419 17,792 18,838 20,326 21,973 23,491 79 10,816 10,999 11,392 11,878 12,391 12,857 13,181 13,329 13,347 13,401 13,627 14,013 14,617 15,337 16,199 16,980 17,387 17,315 16,964 16,559 16,427 16,770 17,746 19,139 20,681

80+ 71,578 76,067 80,337 84,602 88,943 93,350 97,740 101,973 105,886 109,378 112,501 115,434 118,334 121,397 124,707 128,357 132,220 135,916 139,003 141,268 142,719 143,665 144,589 146,066 148,415

Total (Males) 6,786,799 6,997,492 7,212,648 7,432,123 7,655,669 7,884,009 8,117,939 8,357,340 8,602,112 8,852,174 9,107,546 9,368,298 9,634,518 9,906,373 10,184,065 10,467,865 10,758,019 11,054,699 11,358,066 11,668,204 11,985,123 12,308,782 12,639,105 12,976,000 13,319,362 0 287,528 293,622 299,686 305,579 311,213 317,258 323,807 330,262 336,628 342,919 349,175 355,453 361,839 368,420 375,240 382,309 389,608 397,121 404,836 412,669 420,461 428,161 435,819 443,421 450,952 1 269,831 277,096 283,103 289,087 294,910 300,540 306,596 313,149 319,615 325,999 332,325 338,624 344,947 351,378 358,000 364,869 371,987 379,334 386,892 394,651 402,544 410,407 418,182 425,919 433,604 2 256,725 264,046 271,238 277,201 283,145 288,952 294,607 300,681 307,247 313,728 320,135 326,494 332,828 339,188 345,656 352,316 359,228 366,387 373,773 381,370 389,169 397,113 405,028 412,856 420,649 3 243,614 252,775 260,035 267,171 273,098 279,022 284,832 290,494 296,571 303,135 309,620 316,037 322,409 328,758 335,132 341,619 348,301 355,232 362,410 369,812 377,431 385,254 393,221 401,163 409,019 4 231,473 240,678 249,767 256,979 264,069 269,977 275,898 281,708 287,373 293,450 300,011 306,499 312,921 319,299 325,656 332,041 338,541 345,236 352,179 359,369 366,783 374,418 382,257 390,239 398,199 5 221,186 229,679 238,834 247,875 255,055 262,118 268,020 273,935 279,740 285,403 291,477 298,035 304,520 310,941 317,320 323,679 330,068 336,572 343,272 350,217 357,411 364,831 372,472 380,317 388,303 6 212,125 220,121 228,583 237,704 246,714 253,876 260,924 266,819 272,726 278,525 284,184 290,251 296,804 303,283 309,698 316,073 322,430 328,818 335,319 342,018 348,961 356,154 363,573 371,212 379,056 7 203,741 211,102 219,070 227,503 236,590 245,572 252,720 259,754 265,642 271,541 277,334 282,990 289,051 295,597 302,071 308,482 314,854 321,208 327,595 334,093 340,791 347,734 354,925 362,343 369,980 8 196,682 202,759 210,095 218,034 226,438 235,496 244,454 251,587 258,608 264,488 270,380 276,168 281,820 287,877 294,416 300,885 307,293 313,662 320,013 326,398 332,895 339,592 346,535 353,725 361,142 9 190,748 195,735 201,791 209,101 217,013 225,391 234,424 243,359 250,477 257,485 263,358 269,244 275,027 280,674 286,726 293,259 299,724 306,129 312,494 318,844 325,228 331,724 338,421 345,363 352,552 10 185,845 190,002 194,976 201,017 208,306 216,197 224,557 233,570 242,486 249,592 256,590 262,458 268,339 274,119 279,763 285,811 292,339 298,801 305,203 311,565 317,914 324,298 330,794 337,490 344,431 11 181,863 185,288 189,439 194,403 200,432 207,708 215,585 223,932 232,930 241,832 248,929 255,920 261,784 267,661 273,438 279,080 285,126 291,650 298,110 304,510 310,870 317,219 323,602 330,099 336,794 12 178,028 181,319 184,738 188,883 193,837 199,856 207,121 214,984 223,318 232,301 241,190 248,279 255,263 261,123 266,996 272,771 278,411 284,455 290,976 297,433 303,831 310,190 316,539 322,921 329,419 13 174,035 177,495 180,782 184,196 188,334 193,280 199,291 206,545 214,394 222,715 231,684 240,560 247,642 254,618 260,475 266,344 272,117 277,755 283,797 290,315 296,770 303,167 309,525 315,873 322,255 14 169,539 173,514 176,969 180,251 183,660 187,793 192,733 198,736 205,979 213,816 222,124 231,079 239,942 247,017 253,986 259,840 265,706 271,477 277,113 283,152 289,668 296,121 302,517 308,875 315,221 15 164,486 168,945 172,910 176,359 179,635 183,039 187,166 192,098 198,090 205,319 213,139 221,432 230,369 239,215 246,280 253,239 259,087 264,948 270,714 276,347 282,382 288,893 295,342 301,734 308,089 16 159,961 163,825 168,272 172,225 175,665 178,935 182,335 186,454 191,376 197,354 204,566 212,367 220,640 229,556 238,380 245,432 252,380 258,220 264,073 269,831 275,458 281,488 287,992 294,434 300,820 17 155,552 159,319 163,171 167,605 171,548 174,981 178,246 181,641 185,753 190,664 196,630 203,825 211,607 219,860 228,756 237,559 244,598 251,534 257,367 263,213 268,964 274,586 280,609 287,107 293,542 18 149,600 154,926 158,683 162,525 166,946 170,880 174,307 177,568 180,959 185,063 189,964 195,917 203,096 210,860 219,093 227,969 236,753 243,779 250,703 256,528 262,367 268,112 273,729 279,746 286,238 19 141,560 149,000 154,309 158,055 161,886 166,295 170,223 173,644 176,900 180,287 184,384 189,276 195,216 202,378 210,124 218,339 227,194 235,960 242,973 249,886 255,704 261,536 267,276 272,887 278,898 20 131,987 140,762 148,167 153,454 157,188 161,010 165,407 169,328 172,745 175,998 179,382 183,473 188,355 194,282 201,425 209,150 217,345 226,176 234,921 241,921 248,824 254,637 260,464 266,201 271,810 21 121,768 131,025 139,747 147,110 152,369 156,092 159,906 164,292 168,205 171,618 174,869 178,251 182,338 187,210 193,122 200,245 207,947 216,119 224,924 233,645 240,633 247,527 253,337 259,161 264,897 22 112,714 120,882 130,081 138,750 146,071 151,307 155,022 158,827 163,202 167,107 170,518 173,768 177,148 181,230 186,092 191,990 199,094 206,773 214,923 223,702 232,401 239,378 246,263 252,070 257,891 23 105,968 111,893 120,011 129,152 137,770 145,053 150,270 153,977 157,773 162,138 166,035 169,444 172,693 176,071 180,148 185,001 190,885 197,971 205,628 213,756 222,511 231,190 238,155 245,031 250,835 24 102,464 105,196 111,086 119,155 128,240 136,809 144,058 149,256 152,956 156,743 161,098 164,989 168,395 171,643 175,020 179,092 183,938 189,808 196,875 204,511 212,618 221,350 230,010 236,964 243,830 25 101,166 101,545 104,264 110,115 118,126 127,153 135,673 142,888 148,068 151,764 155,548 159,897 163,787 167,195 170,447 173,829 177,902 182,745 188,606 195,658 203,278 211,369 220,082 228,727 235,677 26 100,729 100,082 100,474 103,179 108,986 116,938 125,906 134,373 141,552 146,717 150,413 154,199 158,546 162,439 165,854 169,116 172,508 176,588 181,433 187,289 194,330 201,940 210,020 218,718 227,352 27 99,984 99,651 99,025 99,429 102,122 107,891 115,790 124,700 133,116 140,260 145,411 149,109 152,896 157,241 161,136 164,559 167,832 171,234 175,319 180,165 186,019 193,051 200,650 208,719 217,403 28 98,594 98,913 98,599 97,995 98,409 101,095 106,832 114,681 123,535 131,901 139,012 144,150 147,849 151,637 155,979 159,878 163,309 166,593 170,004 174,095 178,942 184,794 191,818 199,407 207,464 29 96,024 97,537 97,869 97,573 96,991 97,420 100,103 105,808 113,608 122,408 130,727 137,806 142,932 146,632 150,421 154,761 158,665 162,102 165,397 168,816 172,913 177,764 183,613 190,629 198,208 30 92,420 94,815 96,329 96,676 96,403 95,854 96,309 98,992 104,664 112,412 121,156 129,428 136,475 141,591 145,296 149,091 153,434 157,347 160,796 164,105 167,540 171,649 176,508 182,358 189,369 31 88,693 91,075 93,459 94,976 95,342 95,104 94,599 95,084 97,770 103,408 111,103 119,789 128,013 135,029 140,137 143,852 147,658 152,008 155,932 159,399 162,728 166,184 170,309 175,180 181,036 32 85,552 87,403 89,774 92,147 93,666 94,056 93,859 93,396 93,909 96,598 102,204 109,850 118,480 126,657 133,643 138,744 142,469 146,285 150,642 154,576 158,061 161,411 164,888 169,028 173,909 33 82,683 84,308 86,153 88,513 90,875 92,404 92,824 92,666 92,243 92,782 95,474 101,051 108,649 117,225 125,356 132,314 137,410 141,145 144,971 149,333 153,279 156,782 160,151 163,648 167,802 34 80,226 81,480 83,103 84,944 87,292 89,650 91,194 91,643 91,521 91,136 91,702 94,397 99,946 107,498 116,022 124,110 131,043 136,133 139,876 143,711 148,079 152,039 155,559 158,946 162,461

Page 42: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 29

Table A3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

35 77,928 78,980 80,238 81,858 83,694 86,037 88,400 89,958 90,437 90,352 90,007 90,600 93,298 98,818 106,323 114,795 122,840 129,747 134,831 138,583 142,429 146,805 150,778 154,315 157,721 36 75,829 76,640 77,697 78,958 80,576 82,414 84,758 87,125 88,698 89,206 89,159 88,857 89,478 92,179 97,669 105,127 113,547 121,549 128,429 133,507 137,269 141,128 145,513 149,499 153,053 37 73,549 74,576 75,396 76,458 77,721 79,343 81,190 83,535 85,905 87,492 88,029 88,019 87,757 88,404 91,108 96,570 103,984 112,353 120,314 127,167 132,241 136,014 139,885 144,278 148,276 38 70,505 72,333 73,365 74,194 75,260 76,532 78,164 80,019 82,364 84,736 86,338 86,904 86,929 86,705 87,376 90,083 95,520 102,891 111,211 119,133 125,962 131,033 134,816 138,698 143,098 39 66,417 69,340 71,159 72,195 73,032 74,108 75,394 77,036 78,898 81,244 83,618 85,234 85,828 85,886 85,697 86,394 89,104 94,516 101,846 110,118 118,004 124,811 129,879 133,672 137,564 40 61,583 65,269 68,162 69,970 71,010 71,860 72,952 74,250 75,900 77,766 80,112 82,488 84,116 84,735 84,826 84,671 85,392 88,105 93,489 100,776 108,998 116,846 123,629 128,690 132,492 41 56,478 60,473 64,111 66,972 68,767 69,815 70,684 71,789 73,098 74,754 76,624 78,969 81,345 82,983 83,626 83,749 83,629 84,372 87,086 92,439 99,681 107,853 115,659 122,416 127,467 42 51,779 55,458 59,399 62,991 65,822 67,611 68,672 69,558 70,675 71,993 73,656 75,530 77,873 80,250 81,897 82,564 82,718 82,631 83,395 86,109 91,435 98,634 106,758 114,523 121,254 43 47,795 50,845 54,474 58,362 61,909 64,715 66,504 67,577 68,479 69,608 70,935 72,605 74,483 76,824 79,200 80,857 81,547 81,731 81,675 82,460 85,174 90,475 97,632 105,709 113,436 44 44,853 46,933 49,942 53,523 57,359 60,868 63,655 65,444 66,528 67,445 68,586 69,923 71,599 73,480 75,820 78,195 79,862 80,574 80,785 80,758 81,564 84,279 89,556 96,674 104,705 45 42,664 44,001 46,055 49,021 52,552 56,339 59,813 62,580 64,365 65,459 66,389 67,541 68,886 70,566 72,448 74,785 77,158 78,833 79,566 79,804 79,806 80,633 83,347 88,595 95,670 46 40,736 41,812 43,135 45,162 48,084 51,567 55,307 58,743 61,488 63,267 64,370 65,313 66,474 67,825 69,507 71,388 73,722 76,091 77,772 78,524 78,788 78,820 79,666 82,378 87,595 47 38,753 39,923 40,989 42,298 44,298 47,182 50,623 54,318 57,717 60,440 62,215 63,327 64,281 65,450 66,806 68,492 70,373 72,702 75,067 76,753 77,525 77,815 77,875 78,739 81,448 48 36,776 37,979 39,138 40,195 41,490 43,467 46,318 49,718 53,370 56,733 59,435 61,206 62,326 63,292 64,468 65,829 67,517 69,399 71,723 74,084 75,776 76,567 76,882 76,969 77,849 49 34,704 36,042 37,232 38,379 39,426 40,712 42,671 45,489 48,849 52,460 55,789 58,471 60,239 61,366 62,342 63,526 64,893 66,583 68,465 70,784 73,141 74,840 75,650 75,987 76,100 50 32,577 34,004 35,323 36,498 37,632 38,670 39,947 41,886 44,669 47,985 51,551 54,842 57,500 59,259 60,389 61,371 62,559 63,927 65,614 67,491 69,801 72,149 73,850 74,674 75,030 51 30,594 31,914 33,319 34,618 35,777 36,898 37,927 39,192 41,106 43,851 47,121 50,639 53,888 56,517 58,263 59,391 60,376 61,563 62,929 64,608 66,476 68,772 71,106 72,804 73,637 52 28,783 29,971 31,271 32,654 33,934 35,079 36,190 37,210 38,463 40,354 43,061 46,288 49,758 52,967 55,567 57,302 58,429 59,416 60,601 61,964 63,636 65,497 67,778 70,099 71,794 53 26,963 28,198 29,367 30,647 32,009 33,272 34,406 35,506 36,518 37,759 39,628 42,298 45,483 48,907 52,077 54,650 56,373 57,500 58,488 59,672 61,032 62,697 64,551 66,818 69,126 54 25,099 26,414 27,629 28,781 30,041 31,384 32,632 33,756 34,847 35,850 37,079 38,927 41,563 44,706 48,086 51,217 53,765 55,475 56,602 57,591 58,774 60,133 61,791 63,636 65,890 55 23,227 24,563 25,855 27,049 28,182 29,422 30,747 31,978 33,088 34,167 35,161 36,377 38,200 40,798 43,896 47,229 50,318 52,836 54,532 55,654 56,643 57,822 59,176 60,825 62,658 56 21,368 22,707 24,017 25,285 26,456 27,571 28,791 30,096 31,309 32,403 33,469 34,452 35,653 37,449 40,006 43,054 46,336 49,380 51,864 53,542 54,658 55,645 56,818 58,163 59,799 57 19,693 20,890 22,204 23,487 24,732 25,882 26,980 28,181 29,466 30,662 31,741 32,794 33,766 34,952 36,722 39,239 42,240 45,472 48,471 50,923 52,584 53,694 54,678 55,846 57,182 58 18,349 19,253 20,425 21,715 22,972 24,196 25,328 26,408 27,591 28,857 30,035 31,100 32,140 33,101 34,273 36,019 38,497 41,452 44,635 47,591 50,012 51,657 52,761 53,742 54,904 59 17,437 17,938 18,826 19,974 21,240 22,474 23,677 24,792 25,855 27,020 28,268 29,429 30,481 31,509 32,458 33,616 35,338 37,779 40,689 43,825 46,739 49,130 50,759 51,858 52,836 60 16,788 16,993 17,483 18,353 19,474 20,713 21,921 23,100 24,194 25,237 26,380 27,606 28,747 29,782 30,794 31,729 32,869 34,562 36,959 39,815 42,894 45,758 48,111 49,718 50,807 61 16,315 16,308 16,510 16,987 17,836 18,928 20,137 21,316 22,468 23,537 24,558 25,676 26,875 27,992 29,006 29,999 30,918 32,035 33,694 36,039 38,834 41,846 44,652 46,960 48,540 62 15,869 15,848 15,843 16,042 16,508 17,336 18,402 19,582 20,732 21,858 22,903 23,902 24,996 26,169 27,263 28,257 29,231 30,135 31,230 32,855 35,150 37,887 40,835 43,583 45,847 63 15,282 15,415 15,397 15,394 15,589 16,045 16,854 17,894 19,046 20,169 21,269 22,291 23,269 24,339 25,488 26,560 27,535 28,490 29,378 30,453 32,045 34,292 36,971 39,858 42,551 64 14,448 14,845 14,976 14,961 14,960 15,152 15,599 16,389 17,404 18,529 19,626 20,701 21,700 22,659 23,705 24,830 25,880 26,837 27,775 28,647 29,702 31,262 33,463 36,086 38,913 65 13,431 14,013 14,399 14,527 14,514 14,514 14,702 15,138 15,907 16,893 17,988 19,055 20,102 21,074 22,009 23,027 24,123 25,147 26,080 26,995 27,846 28,876 30,397 32,541 35,096 66 12,400 13,006 13,570 13,944 14,068 14,056 14,056 14,239 14,661 15,406 16,361 17,423 18,456 19,471 20,412 21,319 22,306 23,368 24,360 25,265 26,152 26,977 27,975 29,450 31,528 67 11,510 12,008 12,596 13,142 13,504 13,624 13,613 13,612 13,790 14,200 14,922 15,847 16,876 17,876 18,861 19,773 20,652 21,608 22,637 23,599 24,477 25,336 26,136 27,103 28,533 68 10,745 11,147 11,628 12,198 12,727 13,078 13,194 13,184 13,184 13,356 13,753 14,453 15,349 16,347 17,315 18,269 19,153 20,005 20,932 21,929 22,862 23,713 24,546 25,322 26,260 69 10,159 10,405 10,795 11,260 11,813 12,326 12,666 12,779 12,769 12,769 12,936 13,321 14,000 14,867 15,835 16,772 17,697 18,554 19,380 20,278 21,244 22,149 22,974 23,781 24,534 70 9,619 9,747 9,983 10,358 10,804 11,334 11,827 12,154 12,263 12,254 12,254 12,414 12,784 13,436 14,269 15,199 16,099 16,987 17,810 18,604 19,466 20,394 21,264 22,057 22,832 71 9,142 9,140 9,262 9,486 9,843 10,267 10,771 11,240 11,551 11,655 11,647 11,648 11,800 12,153 12,773 13,566 14,450 15,306 16,152 16,934 17,691 18,512 19,395 20,223 20,978 72 8,753 8,687 8,685 8,802 9,014 9,354 9,758 10,237 10,683 10,978 11,078 11,070 11,072 11,217 11,552 12,143 12,897 13,739 14,553 15,359 16,102 16,823 17,604 18,446 19,234 73 8,321 8,317 8,255 8,252 8,364 8,566 8,889 9,273 9,729 10,154 10,434 10,530 10,523 10,525 10,664 10,982 11,545 12,262 13,063 13,838 14,605 15,312 15,999 16,742 17,544 74 7,839 7,906 7,902 7,845 7,842 7,948 8,141 8,448 8,813 9,247 9,651 9,918 10,010 10,004 10,006 10,138 10,441 10,977 11,659 12,420 13,159 13,888 14,561 15,215 15,923 75 7,314 7,436 7,499 7,494 7,439 7,435 7,533 7,715 8,004 8,348 8,758 9,138 9,388 9,473 9,465 9,465 9,587 9,871 10,375 11,018 11,733 12,428 13,112 13,744 14,356 76 6,790 6,926 7,040 7,097 7,091 7,036 7,029 7,119 7,287 7,557 7,878 8,260 8,614 8,845 8,921 8,908 8,904 9,013 9,275 9,742 10,339 11,004 11,649 12,281 12,865 77 6,306 6,430 6,557 6,663 6,715 6,707 6,652 6,642 6,725 6,880 7,131 7,431 7,787 8,117 8,329 8,397 8,379 8,371 8,469 8,710 9,143 9,696 10,313 10,910 11,494 78 5,894 5,972 6,087 6,206 6,304 6,352 6,341 6,286 6,273 6,349 6,493 6,726 7,005 7,336 7,644 7,839 7,899 7,877 7,865 7,953 8,174 8,575 9,087 9,660 10,212 79 5,579 5,581 5,654 5,761 5,873 5,963 6,006 5,992 5,938 5,922 5,991 6,124 6,341 6,601 6,909 7,195 7,374 7,427 7,401 7,385 7,463 7,666 8,037 8,511 9,042

80+ 34,762 37,093 39,207 41,186 43,068 44,855 46,520 48,026 49,329 50,407 51,308 52,122 52,914 53,760 54,691 55,737 56,859 57,946 58,881 59,603 60,136 60,576 61,046 61,691 62,582

Total (Females) 6,931,923 7,147,835 7,367,642 7,591,192 7,818,236 8,049,874 8,287,290 8,530,380 8,779,056 9,033,248 9,293,010 9,558,445 9,829,646 10,106,786 10,390,073 10,679,824 10,976,329 11,279,763 11,590,293 11,908,010 12,232,968 12,565,167 12,904,527 13,250,945 13,604,296

0 281,237 287,174 293,069 298,796 304,268 310,180 316,623 322,976 329,245 335,440 341,606 347,796 354,093 360,583 367,306 374,280 381,485 388,902 396,517 404,248 411,946 419,563 427,138 434,658 442,110 1 265,906 272,677 278,492 284,269 289,886 295,377 301,354 307,855 314,272 320,610 326,892 333,155 339,441 345,833 352,415 359,244 366,326 373,636 381,156 388,872 396,722 404,549 412,296 420,001 427,653 2 253,616 260,836 267,512 273,253 278,957 284,549 290,091 296,110 302,645 309,101 315,486 321,827 328,151 334,496 340,948 347,594 354,495 361,645 369,021 376,606 384,392 392,322 400,229 408,059 415,844 3 241,238 250,162 257,307 263,916 269,604 275,289 280,908 286,479 292,523 299,077 305,559 311,977 318,353 324,714 331,096 337,588 344,280 351,226 358,418 365,836 373,467 381,303 389,284 397,241 405,123 4 229,240 238,632 247,477 254,564 261,120 266,791 272,492 278,130 283,720 289,781 296,351 302,854 309,295 315,695 322,081 328,493 335,019 341,743 348,721 355,943 363,394 371,063 378,935 386,952 394,946 5 218,854 227,665 237,003 245,797 252,847 259,378 265,056 270,764 276,411 282,010 288,080 294,659 301,172 307,624 314,037 320,437 326,867 333,411 340,153 347,147 354,386 361,858 369,548 377,440 385,477 6 209,748 217,953 226,733 236,038 244,802 251,838 258,366 264,045 269,755 275,404 281,006 287,080 293,662 300,179 306,635 313,053 319,460 325,899 332,450 339,200 346,202 353,451 360,932 368,631 376,532 7 201,568 208,884 217,060 225,809 235,082 243,825 250,856 257,381 263,061 268,772 274,425 280,032 286,109 292,693 299,213 305,675 312,100 318,513 324,960 331,518 338,278 345,288 352,547 360,037 367,744 8 195,024 200,739 208,029 216,177 224,894 234,143 242,873 249,899 256,421 262,103 267,816 273,474 279,085 285,166 291,752 298,275 304,743 311,175 317,595 324,049 330,615 337,386 344,404 351,672 359,171 9 189,953 194,221 199,917 207,182 215,302 223,996 233,229 241,947 248,968 255,487 261,171 266,886 272,549 278,165 284,248 290,838 297,366 303,840 310,278 316,705 323,167 329,742 336,522 343,550 350,826 10 186,169 189,310 193,568 199,248 206,492 214,594 223,276 232,495 241,202 248,218 254,735 260,421 266,137 271,802 277,422 283,507 290,100 296,631 303,109 309,551 315,983 322,452 329,034 335,820 342,855

Page 43: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

30 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table A3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

11 183,465 185,678 188,813 193,063 198,731 205,962 214,054 222,726 231,934 240,632 247,644 254,159 259,846 265,562 271,228 276,850 282,937 289,531 296,063 302,542 308,988 315,424 321,898 328,483 335,273 12 180,888 182,982 185,191 188,320 192,561 198,221 205,445 213,527 222,189 231,386 240,076 247,084 253,597 259,285 265,001 270,669 276,293 282,381 288,977 295,511 301,992 308,442 314,881 321,359 327,948 13 177,846 180,411 182,502 184,707 187,831 192,067 197,723 204,940 213,012 221,664 230,851 239,534 246,538 253,049 258,737 264,454 270,124 275,752 281,840 288,438 294,974 301,458 307,912 314,355 320,836 14 173,847 177,377 179,937 182,025 184,228 187,350 191,584 197,236 204,446 212,509 221,151 230,329 239,005 246,005 252,514 258,203 263,922 269,593 275,224 281,313 287,913 294,452 300,939 307,397 313,844 15 168,982 173,263 176,785 179,340 181,423 183,628 186,753 190,987 196,635 203,836 211,890 220,521 229,689 238,357 245,354 251,862 257,554 263,276 268,950 274,585 280,677 287,281 293,824 300,316 306,780 16 164,329 168,291 172,558 176,070 178,618 180,703 182,916 186,045 190,279 195,923 203,115 211,159 219,779 228,934 237,593 244,589 251,097 256,793 262,519 268,197 273,840 279,938 286,547 293,096 299,593 17 160,068 163,657 167,607 171,860 175,362 177,910 180,003 182,223 185,356 189,590 195,230 202,414 210,448 219,058 228,201 236,851 243,846 250,355 256,055 261,785 267,468 273,118 279,222 285,836 292,391 18 155,179 159,414 162,992 166,929 171,169 174,666 177,220 179,320 181,548 184,684 188,919 194,557 201,732 209,756 218,356 227,489 236,132 243,126 249,635 255,339 261,074 266,763 272,421 278,530 285,149 19 149,463 154,544 158,766 162,333 166,258 170,491 173,989 176,549 178,655 180,890 184,031 188,266 193,902 201,070 209,084 217,674 226,798 235,434 242,428 248,937 254,645 260,386 266,081 271,745 277,860 20 143,036 148,650 153,708 157,913 161,465 165,386 169,619 173,121 175,691 177,808 180,054 183,205 187,443 193,078 200,238 208,244 216,826 225,941 234,570 241,566 248,080 253,797 259,548 265,253 270,928 21 136,182 142,062 147,644 152,674 156,858 160,404 164,327 168,563 172,070 174,654 176,787 179,050 182,213 186,457 192,092 199,247 207,246 215,819 224,926 233,549 240,550 247,074 252,804 258,569 264,287 22 129,866 135,255 141,101 146,652 151,655 155,827 159,378 163,303 167,541 171,053 173,651 175,801 178,081 181,254 185,505 191,140 198,291 206,284 214,849 223,948 232,567 239,575 246,107 251,850 257,628 23 124,759 128,981 134,339 140,152 145,672 150,658 154,831 158,385 162,312 166,552 170,071 172,682 174,848 177,145 180,328 184,587 190,224 197,371 205,357 213,914 223,006 231,624 238,638 245,178 250,934 24 121,348 123,909 128,109 133,436 139,216 144,715 149,694 153,866 157,425 161,354 165,596 169,123 171,747 173,928 176,240 179,435 183,702 189,341 196,484 204,463 213,015 222,101 230,718 237,738 244,285 25 118,916 120,346 122,892 127,065 132,356 138,113 143,600 148,575 152,748 156,314 160,250 164,499 168,038 170,680 172,882 175,214 178,427 182,706 188,350 195,491 203,468 212,019 221,102 229,720 236,749 26 117,079 117,757 119,182 121,712 125,855 131,119 136,862 142,339 147,310 151,487 155,064 159,011 163,270 166,824 169,488 171,718 174,077 177,312 181,606 187,259 194,402 202,380 210,932 220,015 228,637 27 114,903 115,939 116,619 118,038 120,552 124,678 129,931 135,659 141,126 146,093 150,276 153,866 157,823 162,091 165,659 168,346 170,604 172,989 176,245 180,553 186,216 193,363 201,343 209,895 218,978 28 111,423 113,783 114,817 115,500 116,914 119,426 123,548 128,790 134,504 139,961 144,925 149,115 152,717 156,684 160,960 164,543 167,254 169,538 171,948 175,223 179,547 185,221 192,371 200,353 208,905 29 106,053 110,338 112,683 113,715 114,399 115,821 118,343 122,462 127,693 133,393 138,842 143,805 148,001 151,614 155,591 159,876 163,476 166,209 168,518 170,952 174,246 178,588 184,272 191,426 199,409 30 99,211 104,851 109,098 111,426 112,457 113,161 114,609 117,144 121,261 126,482 132,171 137,615 142,579 146,784 150,411 154,403 158,703 162,323 165,083 167,421 169,885 173,206 177,568 183,265 190,425 31 91,917 97,926 103,504 107,709 110,019 111,066 111,808 113,286 115,837 119,954 125,167 130,847 136,289 141,255 145,472 149,119 153,131 157,449 161,092 163,882 166,257 168,756 172,109 176,494 182,207 32 85,374 90,727 96,668 102,185 106,348 108,658 109,739 110,517 112,022 114,588 118,707 123,914 129,585 135,024 139,992 144,222 147,890 151,921 156,256 159,921 162,742 165,154 167,686 171,067 175,474 33 79,855 84,268 89,562 95,437 100,894 105,033 107,360 108,472 109,285 110,815 113,397 117,519 122,719 128,382 133,817 138,789 143,033 146,721 150,770 155,120 158,809 161,661 164,107 166,672 170,079 34 75,860 78,821 83,185 88,421 94,231 99,646 103,778 106,120 107,261 108,107 109,662 112,261 116,386 121,580 127,234 132,668 137,646 141,903 145,608 149,674 154,041 157,754 160,637 163,114 165,709 35 72,954 74,863 77,794 82,109 87,287 93,046 98,434 102,558 104,913 106,080 106,958 108,538 111,152 115,276 120,463 126,109 131,541 136,523 140,791 144,512 148,594 152,979 156,713 159,623 162,131 36 70,551 71,982 73,873 76,774 81,040 86,173 91,895 97,255 101,369 103,735 104,927 105,837 107,439 110,066 114,188 119,367 125,005 130,433 135,418 139,695 143,431 147,530 151,930 155,684 158,619 37 67,865 69,611 71,031 72,903 75,774 80,005 85,108 90,794 96,127 100,230 102,609 103,826 104,765 106,388 109,027 113,149 118,322 123,953 129,377 134,363 138,651 142,404 146,518 150,932 154,705 38 64,551 66,961 68,690 70,100 71,954 74,807 79,015 84,089 89,741 95,047 99,141 101,533 102,774 103,741 105,383 108,035 112,159 117,326 122,949 128,369 133,358 137,658 141,428 145,556 149,982 39 60,251 63,691 66,076 67,788 69,187 71,035 73,883 78,069 83,113 88,733 94,014 98,101 100,505 101,769 102,762 104,424 107,090 111,215 116,376 121,992 127,409 132,403 136,713 140,499 144,641 40 55,329 59,436 62,836 65,195 66,891 68,287 70,137 72,976 77,139 82,151 87,737 92,992 97,068 99,480 100,764 101,781 103,461 106,137 110,260 115,411 121,018 126,431 131,426 135,743 139,540 41 50,238 54,571 58,626 61,986 64,318 66,006 67,407 69,257 72,084 76,221 81,201 86,751 91,977 96,039 98,456 99,757 100,797 102,492 105,174 109,292 114,432 120,027 125,432 130,424 134,745 42 45,735 49,549 53,827 57,832 61,152 63,467 65,155 66,561 68,411 71,226 75,339 80,288 85,804 91,002 95,049 97,473 98,792 99,853 101,563 104,250 108,364 113,495 119,079 124,476 129,465 43 42,277 45,107 48,874 53,098 57,054 60,342 62,649 64,337 65,747 67,597 70,401 74,492 79,411 84,893 90,065 94,099 96,530 97,866 98,947 100,671 103,365 107,476 112,598 118,172 123,560 44 40,246 41,698 44,493 48,213 52,384 56,299 59,565 61,863 63,551 64,965 66,815 69,610 73,679 78,569 84,018 89,165 93,188 95,626 96,978 98,078 99,816 102,519 106,627 111,739 117,303 45 39,284 39,703 41,140 43,900 47,575 51,701 55,581 58,824 61,112 62,798 64,214 66,062 68,847 72,893 77,753 83,169 88,290 92,300 94,741 96,106 97,223 98,973 101,681 105,784 110,884 46 38,717 38,765 39,180 40,602 43,329 46,963 51,052 54,898 58,116 60,392 62,076 63,493 65,337 68,109 72,130 76,959 82,342 87,435 91,429 93,870 95,247 96,379 98,139 100,848 104,943 47 37,959 38,206 38,255 38,668 40,073 42,773 46,373 50,424 54,238 57,432 59,696 61,378 62,796 64,637 67,396 71,394 76,194 81,544 86,610 90,589 93,031 94,421 95,567 97,336 100,046 48 36,979 37,457 37,704 37,754 38,165 39,559 42,235 45,803 49,817 53,600 56,772 59,026 60,705 62,123 63,961 66,709 70,685 75,457 80,775 85,815 89,780 92,223 93,625 94,785 96,562 49 35,545 36,490 36,965 37,211 37,263 37,675 39,062 41,716 45,252 49,230 52,983 56,133 58,378 60,054 61,473 63,308 66,045 70,000 74,746 80,033 85,048 89,001 91,446 92,859 94,032 50 33,748 35,052 35,986 36,457 36,701 36,758 37,174 38,552 41,181 44,683 48,622 52,343 55,468 57,702 59,372 60,789 62,620 65,343 69,272 73,986 79,239 84,225 88,161 90,604 92,025 51 32,079 33,257 34,543 35,466 35,933 36,178 36,243 36,661 38,029 40,631 44,096 47,994 51,679 54,776 56,994 58,658 60,071 61,895 64,601 68,501 73,178 78,392 83,344 87,259 89,697 52 30,598 31,612 32,776 34,044 34,956 35,422 35,671 35,743 36,163 37,520 40,097 43,527 47,385 51,034 54,105 56,308 57,966 59,375 61,192 63,881 67,753 72,397 77,572 82,491 86,385 53 28,846 30,153 31,154 32,303 33,554 34,458 34,925 35,179 35,258 35,680 37,027 39,579 42,974 46,794 50,409 53,454 55,643 57,296 58,701 60,510 63,185 67,029 71,640 76,778 81,665 54 26,730 28,426 29,716 30,704 31,839 33,076 33,975 34,443 34,702 34,787 35,211 36,549 39,077 42,438 46,220 49,802 52,823 54,998 56,645 58,047 59,849 62,510 66,329 70,907 76,009 55 24,405 26,329 28,000 29,273 30,247 31,369 32,595 33,487 33,954 34,217 34,308 34,732 36,060 38,562 41,886 45,629 49,176 52,169 54,328 55,966 57,363 59,156 61,799 65,588 70,129 56 21,923 24,026 25,922 27,568 28,823 29,785 30,895 32,108 32,993 33,458 33,722 33,819 34,243 35,558 38,032 41,318 45,018 48,527 51,490 53,631 55,258 56,648 58,430 61,052 64,807 57 19,694 21,583 23,654 25,522 27,144 28,383 29,335 30,434 31,634 32,511 32,976 33,242 33,343 33,767 35,070 37,516 40,766 44,424 47,895 50,829 52,952 54,570 55,953 57,724 60,325 58 18,165 19,389 21,249 23,289 25,129 26,729 27,954 28,897 29,984 31,172 32,042 32,506 32,774 32,880 33,304 34,594 37,014 40,228 43,846 47,280 50,186 52,292 53,900 55,276 57,037 59 17,588 17,883 19,090 20,922 22,931 24,745 26,326 27,536 28,470 29,547 30,722 31,585 32,048 32,318 32,428 32,853 34,131 36,526 39,705 43,283 46,682 49,561 51,650 53,249 54,618 60 17,656 17,277 17,567 18,754 20,554 22,530 24,316 25,874 27,068 27,989 29,053 30,213 31,067 31,527 31,798 31,912 32,336 33,599 35,962 39,099 42,630 45,985 48,830 50,898 52,483 61 18,019 17,304 16,933 17,218 18,383 20,149 22,088 23,843 25,374 26,549 27,456 28,504 29,646 30,489 30,945 31,215 31,332 31,754 33,000 35,326 38,413 41,890 45,194 47,997 50,038 62 18,235 17,660 16,960 16,596 16,877 18,020 19,754 21,658 23,382 24,887 26,043 26,937 27,970 29,095 29,926 30,378 30,648 30,768 31,187 32,415 34,706 37,745 41,169 44,424 47,186 63 18,068 17,872 17,309 16,624 16,266 16,544 17,667 19,370 21,239 22,934 24,413 25,552 26,432 27,449 28,558 29,378 29,827 30,096 30,218 30,636 31,846 34,103 37,095 40,467 43,674 64 17,284 17,708 17,516 16,966 16,295 15,945 16,220 17,323 18,996 20,831 22,497 23,951 25,073 25,940 26,942 28,035 28,844 29,290 29,559 29,683 30,099 31,293 33,516 36,463 39,784 65 16,019 16,897 17,312 17,124 16,587 15,931 15,591 15,861 16,942 18,579 20,376 22,007 23,432 24,532 25,382 26,366 27,438 28,233 28,672 28,938 29,063 29,473 30,646 32,826 35,717 66 14,668 15,620 16,477 16,881 16,698 16,176 15,536 15,205 15,468 16,524 18,121 19,875 21,466 22,857 23,931 24,761 25,722 26,769 27,546 27,975 28,236 28,360 28,761 29,907 32,036 67 13,533 14,303 15,231 16,067 16,462 16,282 15,774 15,151 14,829 15,085 16,117 17,674 19,386 20,939 22,297 23,345 24,156 25,094 26,118 26,877 27,297 27,552 27,676 28,068 29,188 68 12,559 13,196 13,947 14,852 15,667 16,053 15,878 15,383 14,776 14,463 14,712 15,720 17,239 18,910 20,426 21,752 22,776 23,568 24,483 25,484 26,225 26,637 26,886 27,009 27,392 69 11,836 12,246 12,867 13,600 14,482 15,278 15,655 15,485 15,003 14,411 14,106 14,350 15,334 16,816 18,446 19,926 21,220 22,220 22,995 23,888 24,866 25,590 25,994 26,238 26,359 70 11,213 11,459 11,856 12,457 13,167 14,020 14,792 15,157 14,992 14,526 13,954 13,658 13,895 14,848 16,284 17,862 19,296 20,550 21,519 22,270 23,135 24,084 24,785 25,178 25,415

Page 44: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 31

Table A3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

71 10,655 10,775 11,011 11,393 11,970 12,653 13,472 14,214 14,566 14,407 13,959 13,410 13,125 13,354 14,269 15,650 17,167 18,545 19,750 20,682 21,404 22,235 23,148 23,821 24,200 72 10,133 10,239 10,355 10,581 10,948 11,503 12,159 12,946 13,659 13,998 13,845 13,415 12,888 12,613 12,834 13,713 15,040 16,499 17,823 18,981 19,878 20,571 21,370 22,248 22,895 73 9,511 9,737 9,839 9,950 10,168 10,520 11,054 11,685 12,441 13,126 13,452 13,305 12,891 12,385 12,122 12,334 13,179 14,454 15,857 17,129 18,242 19,105 19,772 20,540 21,384 74 8,776 9,140 9,356 9,455 9,561 9,771 10,109 10,622 11,229 11,956 12,614 12,927 12,787 12,389 11,902 11,650 11,854 12,666 13,891 15,241 16,463 17,533 18,362 19,003 19,742 75 7,936 8,394 8,743 8,949 9,044 9,144 9,344 9,666 10,154 10,733 11,427 12,053 12,350 12,215 11,832 11,366 11,122 11,315 12,088 13,255 14,540 15,703 16,720 17,507 18,114 76 7,089 7,556 7,992 8,323 8,519 8,608 8,700 8,888 9,192 9,652 10,199 10,856 11,447 11,725 11,593 11,225 10,780 10,544 10,723 11,450 12,551 13,762 14,856 15,812 16,548 77 6,330 6,750 7,194 7,609 7,923 8,107 8,190 8,274 8,451 8,738 9,173 9,690 10,310 10,867 11,128 10,998 10,645 10,220 9,992 10,158 10,843 11,879 13,020 14,048 14,946 78 5,691 6,027 6,426 6,848 7,243 7,541 7,714 7,791 7,868 8,035 8,304 8,714 9,202 9,789 10,314 10,558 10,430 10,091 9,685 9,466 9,618 10,263 11,239 12,313 13,279 79 5,237 5,418 5,738 6,117 6,518 6,894 7,175 7,337 7,409 7,479 7,636 7,889 8,276 8,736 9,290 9,785 10,013 9,888 9,563 9,174 8,964 9,104 9,709 10,628 11,639

80+ 36,816 38,974 41,130 43,416 45,875 48,495 51,220 53,947 56,557 58,971 61,193 63,312 65,420 67,637 70,016 72,620 75,361 77,970 80,122 81,665 82,583 83,089 83,543 84,375 85,833

Table A4: Total Population by Rural/Urban Residence, Sex, Province of residence and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Rural/Urban Residence, Sex & Prov-

ince

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Rural (Both Sexes)Central 1,010,303 1,039,806 1,069,696 1,099,967 1,130,609 1,161,785 1,193,683 1,226,329 1,259,737 1,293,919 1,328,910 1,364,771 1,401,567 1,439,374 1,478,270 1,518,343 1,559,655 1,602,248 1,646,159 1,691,415 1,738,014 1,785,911 1,835,066 1,885,433 1,936,964Copperbelt 384,506 389,168 393,708 398,128 402,421 406,647 410,867 415,086 419,301 423,511 427,724 431,952 436,210 440,513 444,877 449,319 453,848 458,466 463,171 467,964 472,828 477,747 482,697 487,661 492,618Eastern 1,435,248 1,473,951 1,513,027 1,552,472 1,592,260 1,632,622 1,673,819 1,715,879 1,758,817 1,802,643 1,847,401 1,893,170 1,940,029 1,988,077 2,037,415 2,088,155 2,140,372 2,194,113 2,249,419 2,306,316 2,364,792 2,424,772 2,486,197 2,548,988 2,613,076Luapula 819,006 836,793 854,585 872,378 890,159 908,053 926,202 944,614 963,294 982,240 1,001,471 1,021,020 1,040,928 1,061,240 1,081,999 1,103,256 1,125,043 1,147,372 1,170,256 1,193,699 1,217,678 1,242,153 1,267,076 1,292,406 1,318,093Lusaka 348,328 360,102 372,111 384,350 396,823 409,588 422,713 436,213 450,097 464,374 479,059 494,181 509,769 525,853 542,471 559,659 577,448 595,861 614,916 634,635 655,021 676,067 697,765 720,105 743,075Muchinga 609,847 627,855 646,104 664,600 683,328 702,391 721,906 741,885 762,338 783,273 804,713 826,694 849,255 872,446 896,312 920,909 946,273 972,432 999,408 1,027,221 1,055,869 1,085,325 1,115,567 1,146,565 1,178,294Northern 934,310 964,245 994,695 1,025,658 1,057,125 1,089,255 1,122,228 1,156,076 1,190,816 1,226,466 1,263,065 1,300,681 1,339,382 1,379,246 1,420,357 1,462,809 1,506,673 1,551,998 1,598,832 1,647,210 1,697,142 1,748,594 1,801,538 1,855,940 1,911,761North Western 575,345 583,585 591,674 599,612 607,392 615,098 622,827 630,583 638,365 646,170 654,012 661,905 669,874 677,944 686,140 694,491 703,006 711,691 720,547 729,572 738,746 748,039 757,419 766,855 776,317Southern 1,235,270 1,269,472 1,304,043 1,338,977 1,374,255 1,410,079 1,446,673 1,484,062 1,522,263 1,561,285 1,601,167 1,641,979 1,683,794 1,726,700 1,770,784 1,816,146 1,862,856 1,910,958 1,960,488 2,011,474 2,063,905 2,117,723 2,172,874 2,229,298 2,286,930Western 803,347 819,414 835,429 851,387 867,275 883,216 899,346 915,675 932,203 948,930 965,870 983,058 1,000,528 1,018,321 1,036,479 1,055,047 1,074,054 1,093,509 1,113,421 1,133,791 1,154,598 1,175,796 1,197,343 1,219,192 1,241,301Zambia 8,155,510 8,364,391 8,575,072 8,787,529 9,001,647 9,218,734 9,440,264 9,666,402 9,897,231 10,132,811 10,373,392 10,619,411 10,871,336 11,129,714 11,395,104 11,668,134 11,949,228 12,238,648 12,536,617 12,843,297 13,158,593 13,482,127 13,813,542 14,152,443 14,498,429Rural (Females)Central 506,033 520,787 535,716 550,818 566,088 581,620 597,521 613,804 630,477 647,545 665,027 682,955 701,360 720,281 739,757 759,832 780,541 801,902 823,938 846,660 870,070 894,150 918,877 944,231 970,186Copperbelt 190,247 192,630 194,949 197,204 199,392 201,549 203,709 205,873 208,041 210,212 212,389 214,580 216,791 219,030 221,304 223,622 225,989 228,406 230,872 233,387 235,945 238,536 241,149 243,776 246,405Eastern 726,137 745,223 764,447 783,809 803,294 823,037 843,187 863,758 884,756 906,185 928,070 950,448 973,359 996,851 1,020,973 1,045,782 1,071,318 1,097,599 1,124,649 1,152,479 1,181,084 1,210,431 1,240,485 1,271,209 1,302,565Luapula 414,154 423,171 432,176 441,171 450,147 459,180 468,350 477,662 487,118 496,718 506,471 516,395 526,510 536,838 547,403 558,229 569,336 580,727 592,411 604,390 616,653 629,183 641,954 654,947 668,134Lusaka 172,469 178,374 184,395 190,529 196,778 203,176 209,761 216,540 223,520 230,703 238,099 245,723 253,589 261,713 270,113 278,809 287,817 297,149 306,816 316,827 327,187 337,894 348,943 360,332 372,053Muchinga 309,454 318,615 327,889 337,279 346,779 356,447 366,352 376,499 386,894 397,541 408,452 419,647 431,144 442,970 455,147 467,705 480,663 494,035 507,834 522,070 536,743 551,842 567,355 583,268 599,568Northern 470,445 485,490 500,776 516,304 532,067 548,159 564,681 581,650 599,074 616,963 635,338 654,232 673,682 693,725 714,404 735,767 757,853 780,684 804,287 828,680 853,870 879,844 906,585 934,079 962,304North Western 291,328 295,435 299,455 303,388 307,230 311,032 314,850 318,684 322,536 326,403 330,292 334,211 338,172 342,187 346,269 350,432 354,683 359,022 363,453 367,971 372,570 377,234 381,946 386,692 391,455Southern 628,294 645,346 662,546 679,892 697,373 715,108 733,226 751,738 770,654 789,975 809,724 829,937 850,647 871,900 893,739 916,214 939,362 963,203 987,757 1,013,037 1,039,038 1,065,735 1,093,097 1,121,096 1,149,696Western 417,211 425,409 433,560 441,663 449,712 457,781 465,949 474,222 482,599 491,081 499,675 508,399 517,271 526,312 535,542 544,985 554,659 564,565 574,710 585,093 595,705 606,524 617,527 628,690 639,990Zambia 4,125,772 4,230,480 4,335,909 4,442,057 4,548,860 4,657,089 4,767,586 4,880,430 4,995,669 5,113,326 5,233,537 5,356,527 5,482,525 5,611,807 5,744,651 5,881,377 6,022,221 6,167,292 6,316,727 6,470,594 6,628,865 6,791,373 6,957,918 7,128,320 7,302,356Rural (Males)Central 504,270 519,019 533,980 549,149 564,521 580,165 596,162 612,525 629,260 646,374 663,883 681,816 700,207 719,093 738,513 758,511 779,114 800,346 822,221 844,755 867,944 891,761 916,189 941,202 966,778Copperbelt 194,259 196,538 198,759 200,924 203,029 205,098 207,158 209,213 211,260 213,299 215,335 217,372 219,419 221,483 223,573 225,697 227,859 230,060 232,299 234,577 236,883 239,211 241,548 243,885 246,213Eastern 709,111 728,728 748,580 768,663 788,966 809,585 830,632 852,121 874,061 896,458 919,331 942,722 966,670 991,226 1,016,442 1,042,373 1,069,054 1,096,514 1,124,770 1,153,837 1,183,708 1,214,341 1,245,712 1,277,779 1,310,511Luapula 404,852 413,622 422,409 431,207 440,012 448,873 457,852 466,952 476,176 485,522 495,000 504,625 514,418 524,402 534,596 545,027 555,707 566,645 577,845 589,309 601,025 612,970 625,122 637,459 649,959Lusaka 175,859 181,728 187,716 193,821 200,045 206,412 212,952 219,673 226,577 233,671 240,960 248,458 256,180 264,140 272,358 280,850 289,631 298,712 308,100 317,808 327,834 338,173 348,822 359,773 371,022Muchinga 300,393 309,240 318,215 327,321 336,549 345,944 355,554 365,386 375,444 385,732 396,261 407,047 418,111 429,476 441,165 453,204 465,610 478,397 491,574 505,151 519,126 533,483 548,212 563,297 578,726Northern 463,865 478,755 493,919 509,354 525,058 541,096 557,547 574,426 591,742 609,503 627,727 646,449 665,700 685,521 705,953 727,042 748,820 771,314 794,545 818,530 843,272 868,750 894,953 921,861 949,457North Western 284,017 288,150 292,219 296,224 300,162 304,066 307,977 311,899 315,829 319,767 323,720 327,694 331,702 335,757 339,871 344,059 348,323 352,669 357,094 361,601 366,176 370,805 375,473 380,163 384,862Southern 606,976 624,126 641,497 659,085 676,882 694,971 713,447 732,324 751,609 771,310 791,443 812,042 833,147 854,800 877,045 899,932 923,494 947,755 972,731 998,437 1,024,867 1,051,988 1,079,777 1,108,202 1,137,234Western 386,136 394,005 401,869 409,724 417,563 425,435 433,397 441,453 449,604 457,849 466,195 474,659 483,257 492,009 500,937 510,062 519,395 528,944 538,711 548,698 558,893 569,272 579,816 590,502 601,311Zambia 4,029,738 4,133,911 4,239,163 4,345,472 4,452,787 4,561,645 4,672,678 4,785,972 4,901,562 5,019,485 5,139,855 5,262,884 5,388,811 5,517,907 5,650,453 5,786,757 5,927,007 6,071,356 6,219,890 6,372,703 6,529,728 6,690,754 6,855,624 7,024,123 7,196,073

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32 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table A4: Total Population by Rural/Urban Residence, Sex, Province of residence and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Rural/Urban Residence, Sex & Prov-

ince

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Urban (Both Sexes)Central 345,472 354,617 364,164 374,126 384,477 395,189 406,201 417,481 428,989 440,682 452,536 464,512 476,578 488,720 500,932 513,191 525,502 537,891 550,392 563,020 575,767 588,687 601,771 615,029 628,486Copperbelt 1,758,907 1,806,710 1,856,116 1,907,130 1,959,786 2,014,031 2,069,790 2,127,046 2,185,815 2,246,124 2,308,039 2,371,567 2,436,665 2,503,316 2,571,467 2,641,096 2,712,188 2,784,738 2,858,692 2,934,043 3,010,749 3,088,790 3,168,168 3,248,905 3,331,024Eastern 193,632 200,038 206,776 213,828 221,185 228,869 236,963 245,390 254,078 262,947 271,930 280,945 289,917 298,796 307,565 316,200 324,677 332,989 341,136 349,106 356,964 364,738 372,503 380,264 388,076Luapula 196,623 206,448 216,489 226,773 237,294 248,107 259,244 270,680 282,388 294,368 306,579 319,012 331,694 344,631 357,878 371,482 385,464 399,896 414,818 430,292 446,362 463,023 480,266 498,119 516,574Lusaka 2,014,639 2,101,830 2,191,947 2,284,899 2,380,616 2,478,987 2,579,817 2,682,977 2,788,333 2,895,809 3,005,335 3,116,796 3,230,103 3,345,128 3,461,805 3,580,076 3,699,939 3,821,448 3,944,635 4,069,500 4,196,112 4,324,639 4,455,180 4,587,845 4,722,700Muchinga 139,602 157,445 175,460 193,579 211,730 230,277 249,641 269,770 290,658 312,262 334,564 357,538 381,118 405,265 429,910 455,046 480,695 506,791 533,298 560,193 587,493 615,252 643,468 672,179 701,348Northern 212,082 220,914 229,748 238,554 247,310 256,157 265,215 274,467 283,914 293,538 303,304 313,188 323,154 333,202 343,281 353,374 363,494 373,584 383,675 393,716 403,716 413,681 423,595 433,447 443,246North Western 171,637 184,677 198,162 212,094 226,426 241,188 256,402 272,048 288,120 304,619 321,547 338,910 356,740 375,060 393,932 413,381 433,457 454,212 475,685 497,909 520,905 544,688 569,275 594,647 620,820Southern 407,487 424,898 442,748 460,908 479,209 497,705 516,533 535,634 554,966 574,509 594,249 614,181 634,304 654,633 675,145 695,903 716,928 738,284 760,000 782,049 804,456 827,217 850,370 873,932 897,925Western 123,131 123,359 123,608 123,895 124,225 124,639 125,159 125,825 126,676 127,753 129,081 130,683 132,555 134,694 137,119 139,806 142,776 145,981 149,411 153,089 156,974 161,107 165,494 170,135 175,030Zambia 5,563,212 5,780,936 6,005,218 6,235,786 6,472,258 6,715,149 6,964,965 7,221,318 7,483,937 7,752,611 8,027,164 8,307,332 8,592,828 8,883,445 9,179,034 9,479,555 9,785,120 10,095,814 10,411,742 10,732,917 11,059,498 11,391,822 11,730,090 12,074,502 12,425,229Urban (Females)Central 176,148 180,976 186,036 191,337 196,875 202,609 208,496 214,524 220,658 226,896 233,217 239,602 246,034 252,515 259,031 265,572 272,136 278,748 285,407 292,136 298,923 305,794 312,744 319,781 326,911Copperbelt 881,681 905,787 930,711 956,469 983,075 1,010,502 1,038,693 1,067,635 1,097,342 1,127,835 1,159,138 1,191,261 1,224,185 1,257,901 1,292,385 1,327,628 1,363,625 1,400,363 1,437,826 1,476,012 1,514,888 1,554,448 1,594,698 1,635,635 1,677,279Eastern 97,937 101,302 104,828 108,497 112,310 116,289 120,492 124,881 129,426 134,082 138,823 143,603 148,389 153,155 157,894 162,596 167,259 171,868 176,444 180,967 185,478 189,992 194,550 199,149 203,819Luapula 101,769 106,949 112,227 117,617 123,116 128,755 134,560 140,510 146,601 152,822 159,162 165,616 172,184 178,885 185,735 192,758 199,974 207,411 215,087 223,045 231,292 239,829 248,647 257,771 267,184Lusaka 1,016,095 1,061,024 1,107,415 1,155,227 1,204,437 1,254,991 1,306,780 1,359,755 1,413,838 1,468,996 1,525,195 1,582,373 1,640,494 1,699,492 1,759,339 1,820,015 1,881,516 1,943,861 2,007,079 2,071,167 2,136,158 2,202,130 2,269,132 2,337,228 2,406,451Muchinga 72,089 81,187 90,354 99,544 108,719 118,078 127,842 137,993 148,522 159,411 170,643 182,218 194,095 206,254 218,659 231,314 244,221 257,353 270,684 284,217 297,953 311,922 326,127 340,583 355,269Northern 107,606 112,067 116,529 120,973 125,385 129,843 134,413 139,070 143,831 148,684 153,608 158,594 163,625 168,696 173,787 178,885 183,992 189,089 194,188 199,252 204,301 209,330 214,335 219,306 224,253North Western 84,869 91,114 97,609 104,359 111,347 118,564 126,004 133,660 141,523 149,595 157,884 166,386 175,123 184,101 193,356 202,892 212,736 222,926 233,469 244,383 255,676 267,368 279,461 291,941 304,821Southern 205,211 214,027 222,921 231,817 240,604 249,396 258,374 267,512 276,788 286,190 295,727 305,391 315,192 325,130 335,200 345,434 355,850 366,485 377,340 388,399 399,697 411,226 423,014 435,056 447,378Western 62,746 62,922 63,103 63,295 63,508 63,758 64,050 64,410 64,858 65,411 66,076 66,874 67,800 68,850 70,036 71,353 72,799 74,367 76,042 77,838 79,737 81,755 83,901 86,175 88,575Zambia 2,806,151 2,917,355 3,031,733 3,149,135 3,269,376 3,392,785 3,519,704 3,649,950 3,783,387 3,919,922 4,059,473 4,201,918 4,347,121 4,494,979 4,645,422 4,798,447 4,954,108 5,112,471 5,273,566 5,437,416 5,604,103 5,773,794 5,946,609 6,122,625 6,301,940Urban (Males)Central 169,324 173,641 178,128 182,789 187,602 192,580 197,705 202,957 208,331 213,786 219,319 224,910 230,544 236,205 241,901 247,619 253,366 259,143 264,985 270,884 276,844 282,893 289,027 295,248 301,575Copperbelt 877,226 900,923 925,405 950,661 976,711 1,003,529 1,031,097 1,059,411 1,088,473 1,118,289 1,148,901 1,180,306 1,212,480 1,245,415 1,279,082 1,313,468 1,348,563 1,384,375 1,420,866 1,458,031 1,495,861 1,534,342 1,573,470 1,613,270 1,653,745Eastern 95,695 98,736 101,948 105,331 108,875 112,580 116,471 120,509 124,652 128,865 133,107 137,342 141,528 145,641 149,671 153,604 157,418 161,121 164,692 168,139 171,486 174,746 177,953 181,115 184,257Luapula 94,854 99,499 104,262 109,156 114,178 119,352 124,684 130,170 135,787 141,546 147,417 153,396 159,510 165,746 172,143 178,724 185,490 192,485 199,731 207,247 215,070 223,194 231,619 240,348 249,390Lusaka 998,544 1,040,806 1,084,532 1,129,672 1,176,179 1,223,996 1,273,037 1,323,222 1,374,495 1,426,813 1,480,140 1,534,423 1,589,609 1,645,636 1,702,466 1,760,061 1,818,423 1,877,587 1,937,556 1,998,333 2,059,954 2,122,509 2,186,048 2,250,617 2,316,249Muchinga 67,513 76,258 85,106 94,035 103,011 112,199 121,799 131,777 142,136 152,851 163,921 175,320 187,023 199,011 211,251 223,732 236,474 249,438 262,614 275,976 289,540 303,330 317,341 331,596 346,079Northern 104,476 108,847 113,219 117,581 121,925 126,314 130,802 135,397 140,083 144,854 149,696 154,594 159,529 164,506 169,494 174,489 179,502 184,495 189,487 194,464 199,415 204,351 209,260 214,141 218,993North Western 86,768 93,563 100,553 107,735 115,079 122,624 130,398 138,388 146,597 155,024 163,663 172,524 181,617 190,959 200,576 210,489 220,721 231,286 242,216 253,526 265,229 277,320 289,814 302,706 315,999Southern 202,276 210,871 219,827 229,091 238,605 248,309 258,159 268,122 278,178 288,319 298,522 308,790 319,112 329,503 339,945 350,469 361,078 371,799 382,660 393,650 404,759 415,991 427,356 438,876 450,547Western 60,385 60,437 60,505 60,600 60,717 60,881 61,109 61,415 61,818 62,342 63,005 63,809 64,755 65,844 67,083 68,453 69,977 71,614 73,369 75,251 77,237 79,352 81,593 83,960 86,455Zambia 2,757,061 2,863,581 2,973,485 3,086,651 3,202,882 3,322,364 3,445,261 3,571,368 3,700,550 3,832,689 3,967,691 4,105,414 4,245,707 4,388,466 4,533,612 4,681,108 4,831,012 4,983,343 5,138,176 5,295,501 5,455,395 5,618,028 5,783,481 5,951,877 6,123,289

Table A5: Percentage of the Total Population in Urban Residence by Province and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Province

Projection Year/Percent Urban2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Central 25.5 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.2 25.1 25.1 25.0 24.9 24.8 24.7 24.6 24.5 Copperbelt 82.1 82.3 82.5 82.7 83.0 83.2 83.4 83.7 83.9 84.1 84.4 84.6 84.8 85.0 85.3 85.5 85.7 85.9 86.1 86.2 86.4 86.6 86.8 86.9 87.1 Eastern 11.9 11.9 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.6 12.7 12.8 12.9 13.0 13.1 13.1 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.0 13.0 12.9 Luapula 19.4 19.8 20.2 20.6 21.0 21.5 21.9 22.3 22.7 23.1 23.4 23.8 24.2 24.5 24.9 25.2 25.5 25.8 26.2 26.5 26.8 27.2 27.5 27.8 28.2 Lusaka 85.3 85.4 85.5 85.6 85.7 85.8 85.9 86.0 86.1 86.2 86.3 86.3 86.4 86.4 86.5 86.5 86.5 86.5 86.5 86.5 86.5 86.5 86.5 86.4 86.4 Muchinga 18.6 20.0 21.4 22.6 23.7 24.7 25.7 26.7 27.6 28.5 29.4 30.2 31.0 31.7 32.4 33.1 33.7 34.3 34.8 35.3 35.7 36.2 36.6 37.0 37.3 Northern 18.5 18.6 18.8 18.9 19.0 19.0 19.1 19.2 19.3 19.3 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.5 19.5 19.5 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.3 19.2 19.1 19.0 18.9 18.8 North Western 23.0 24.0 25.1 26.1 27.2 28.2 29.2 30.1 31.1 32.0 33.0 33.9 34.7 35.6 36.5 37.3 38.1 39.0 39.8 40.6 41.4 42.1 42.9 43.7 44.4 Southern 24.8 25.1 25.3 25.6 25.9 26.1 26.3 26.5 26.7 26.9 27.1 27.2 27.4 27.5 27.6 27.7 27.8 27.9 27.9 28.0 28.0 28.1 28.1 28.2 28.2 Western 13.3 13.1 12.9 12.7 12.5 12.4 12.2 12.1 12.0 11.9 11.8 11.7 11.7 11.7 11.7 11.7 11.7 11.8 11.8 11.9 12.0 12.1 12.1 12.2 12.4 Zambia 40.6 40.9 41.2 41.5 41.8 42.1 42.5 42.8 43.1 43.3 43.6 43.9 44.1 44.4 44.6 44.8 45.0 45.2 45.4 45.5 45.7 45.8 45.9 46.0 46.1

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 33

Table A6: Life Expectancy at Birth by Sex, Rural/Urban Residence, Province and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, ZAMBIA (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Life expactancy

at birth, Sex, & Province of

Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Life Expectancy at Birth (Males-Rural)Central 52.1 52.3 52.5 52.7 52.9 53.2 53.6 53.9 54.2 54.5 54.8 55.2 55.5 55.8 56.1 56.5 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.1 59.4 Copperbelt 48.8 49.0 49.2 49.4 49.6 50.0 50.4 50.7 51.1 51.4 51.8 52.2 52.5 52.9 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.3 54.7 55.0 55.4 55.8 56.1 56.5 56.8 Eastern 48.5 48.7 48.9 49.1 49.3 49.7 50.1 50.4 50.8 51.1 51.5 51.9 52.3 52.6 53.0 53.4 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.8 55.2 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.6 Luapula 45.9 46.1 46.4 46.6 46.8 47.2 47.6 48.0 48.4 48.8 49.2 49.6 50.0 50.4 50.7 51.1 51.5 51.9 52.3 52.7 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.3 54.6 Lusaka 53.6 53.8 54.0 54.2 54.4 54.7 55.0 55.3 55.6 55.9 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 Muchinga 53.3 53.5 53.6 53.8 54.0 54.3 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.6 55.9 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 Northern 53.4 53.6 53.7 53.9 54.1 54.4 54.7 55.0 55.3 55.6 56.0 56.3 56.6 56.9 57.2 57.5 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3 North Western 56.1 56.3 56.5 56.6 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.7 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.8 61.0 61.3 61.6 61.9 62.2 62.4 Southern 55.5 55.6 55.8 56.0 56.1 56.4 56.7 57.0 57.3 57.6 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.0 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.6 61.9 Western 46.2 46.4 46.7 46.9 47.1 47.5 47.9 48.3 48.7 49.0 49.4 49.8 50.2 50.6 51.0 51.4 51.8 52.2 52.6 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.9 Zambia 51.0 51.2 51.4 51.6 51.8 52.1 52.5 52.8 53.1 53.4 53.8 54.1 54.5 54.8 55.1 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.2 57.5 57.9 58.2 58.5 Life Expectancy at Birth (Females-Rural)Central 56.9 56.9 57.0 57.0 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.2 59.6 59.9 60.3 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.7 62.1 62.4 62.8 63.2 63.6 63.9 64.3 Copperbelt 53.2 53.2 53.3 53.3 53.4 53.8 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.8 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.0 59.4 59.8 60.3 60.7 61.1 61.4 Eastern 54.0 54.1 54.1 54.1 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.4 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.3 61.7 62.1 Luapula 52.1 52.1 52.2 52.2 52.3 52.7 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.3 54.7 55.2 55.6 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.4 59.8 60.2 60.6 Lusaka 57.3 57.4 57.4 57.5 57.5 57.9 58.2 58.6 58.9 59.2 59.6 60.0 60.3 60.7 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.1 62.5 62.8 63.2 63.6 63.9 64.3 64.6 Muchinga 60.1 60.1 60.2 60.2 60.2 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.8 62.2 62.5 62.8 63.1 63.5 63.8 64.1 64.5 64.8 65.1 65.5 65.8 66.1 66.4 66.7 Northern 59.4 59.4 59.4 59.5 59.5 59.8 60.2 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.5 61.8 62.2 62.5 62.8 63.2 63.5 63.8 64.2 64.5 64.9 65.2 65.5 65.9 66.2 North Western 60.3 60.3 60.4 60.4 60.4 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.0 62.3 62.7 63.0 63.3 63.6 64.0 64.3 64.6 64.9 65.2 65.6 65.9 66.3 66.6 66.9 Southern 61.9 62.0 62.0 62.0 62.1 62.4 62.7 63.0 63.3 63.6 63.9 64.2 64.5 64.8 65.1 65.4 65.7 66.0 66.3 66.6 66.9 67.3 67.6 67.9 68.2 Western 52.9 53.0 53.0 53.0 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.7 57.1 57.6 58.0 58.4 58.8 59.2 59.6 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.2 Zambia 56.6 56.6 56.7 56.7 56.8 57.1 57.5 57.9 58.2 58.6 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.1 61.5 61.9 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.7 64.1 Life Expectancy at Birth (Males-Urban)Central 45.3 45.6 45.9 46.3 46.6 47.0 47.5 48.0 48.4 48.9 49.3 49.8 50.3 50.7 51.2 51.6 52.1 52.6 53.0 53.4 53.9 54.4 54.8 55.3 55.7 Copperbelt 48.8 49.1 49.4 49.7 50.0 50.4 50.8 51.2 51.6 52.0 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.5 55.0 55.4 55.8 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.2 Eastern 48.7 49.0 49.3 49.6 49.9 50.3 50.7 51.1 51.5 51.9 52.4 52.8 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 Luapula 43.5 43.9 44.2 44.5 44.8 45.3 45.8 46.3 46.8 47.2 47.7 48.2 48.7 49.2 49.6 50.1 50.6 51.1 51.6 52.0 52.5 53.0 53.5 53.9 54.4 Lusaka 50.3 50.6 50.9 51.1 51.4 51.8 52.2 52.6 53.0 53.4 53.8 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.4 55.8 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.3 57.8 58.2 58.5 58.9 59.3 Muchinga 47.6 47.9 48.2 48.5 48.8 49.2 49.7 50.1 50.5 51.0 51.4 51.8 52.3 52.7 53.1 53.5 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 Northern 50.1 50.4 50.7 50.9 51.2 51.6 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.6 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.6 58.0 58.4 58.8 59.1 North Western 50.4 50.7 51.0 51.2 51.5 51.9 52.3 52.7 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.7 57.1 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.0 59.4 Southern 53.2 53.5 53.7 54.0 54.2 54.6 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.1 57.5 57.8 58.2 58.6 58.9 59.3 59.6 60.0 60.3 60.7 61.0 61.4 Western 43.8 44.1 44.5 44.8 45.1 45.6 46.1 46.6 47.0 47.5 48.0 48.5 49.0 49.4 49.9 50.4 50.9 51.4 51.8 52.3 52.8 53.2 53.7 54.2 54.6 Zambia 49.2 49.5 49.8 50.1 50.3 50.8 51.2 51.6 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.2 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 Life Expectancy at Birth (Females-Urban)Central 50.0 50.2 50.5 50.7 50.9 51.5 52.1 52.7 53.2 53.8 54.3 54.9 55.5 56.0 56.5 57.1 57.6 58.2 58.7 59.2 59.8 60.3 60.8 61.3 61.8 Copperbelt 52.2 52.5 52.7 52.9 53.1 53.7 54.2 54.8 55.3 55.8 56.3 56.9 57.4 57.9 58.4 58.9 59.5 60.0 60.5 60.9 61.5 62.0 62.5 62.9 63.4 Eastern 52.0 52.3 52.5 52.7 53.0 53.5 54.1 54.6 55.1 55.6 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.2 58.8 59.3 59.8 60.3 60.8 61.3 61.8 62.3 62.8 63.3 Luapula 48.0 48.3 48.5 48.8 49.0 49.6 50.2 50.8 51.4 52.0 52.6 53.2 53.8 54.3 54.9 55.5 56.1 56.6 57.2 57.7 58.3 58.9 59.4 59.9 60.5 Lusaka 54.5 54.7 54.9 55.1 55.4 55.9 56.4 56.9 57.4 57.8 58.4 58.8 59.3 59.8 60.3 60.8 61.3 61.7 62.2 62.7 63.1 63.6 64.1 64.5 65.0 Muchinga 56.2 56.4 56.6 56.8 57.0 57.5 58.0 58.4 58.9 59.4 59.8 60.3 60.8 61.2 61.7 62.1 62.6 63.1 63.5 63.9 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.7 66.1 Northern 55.9 56.1 56.3 56.5 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.2 58.6 59.1 59.6 60.0 60.5 61.0 61.4 61.9 62.4 62.8 63.3 63.7 64.2 64.6 65.1 65.5 65.9 North Western 50.9 51.2 51.4 51.7 51.9 52.5 53.0 53.6 54.1 54.6 55.2 55.8 56.3 56.8 57.3 57.9 58.4 58.9 59.5 60.0 60.5 61.0 61.5 62.0 62.5 Southern 57.4 57.6 57.8 58.0 58.1 58.6 59.1 59.5 60.0 60.4 60.9 61.3 61.8 62.2 62.7 63.1 63.6 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.7 66.1 66.5 66.9 Western 49.2 49.4 49.7 49.9 50.2 50.8 51.4 51.9 52.5 53.0 53.6 54.2 54.8 55.3 55.9 56.4 57.0 57.6 58.1 58.6 59.2 59.7 60.3 60.8 61.3 Zambia 53.2 53.5 53.7 53.9 54.1 54.6 55.2 55.7 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.2 58.7 59.2 59.7 60.2 60.7 61.2 61.7 62.2 62.7 63.2 63.6 64.1

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34 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table A7: Total Fertility Rates (TFR) by Rural/Urban Residence, Province and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, ZAMBIA (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Fertility

Rate, Rural/Ur-ban Residence & Province of

Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

RuralCentral 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 Copperbelt 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 Eastern 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 Luapula 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 Lusaka 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 Muchinga 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 Northern 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 North Western 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 Southern 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 Western 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 Zambia 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 UrbanCentral 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 Copperbelt 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 Eastern 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 Luapula 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 Lusaka 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 Muchinga 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 Northern 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 North Western 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 Southern 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 Western 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 Zambia 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9

Table A8: Percentage of Population by Age Group (Special Age Categories) and by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age Group

Projection Year2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

0-4 18.7 18.6 18.6 18.4 18.3 18.1 18.0 17.8 17.7 17.5 17.4 17.2 17.1 16.9 16.8 5-13 25.4 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.4 25.5 25.6 25.7 25.7 25.7 25.6 25.5 25.4 25.2 25.1 7-13 19.1 19.0 18.9 18.9 18.9 19.1 19.2 19.3 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.3 19.2 19.1 19.0 15-19 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.3 11.2 11.1 10.9 10.8 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.8 10.9 11.0 11.1 15-24 20.4 20.5 20.6 20.7 20.7 20.6 20.5 20.4 20.2 20.1 20.1 20.0 20.0 20.1 20.2 15-35 35.5 35.6 35.6 35.6 35.5 35.5 35.4 35.3 35.2 35.2 35.2 35.3 35.4 35.6 35.8 <35 81.0 80.9 80.8 80.7 80.5 80.3 80.1 80.0 79.8 79.6 79.5 79.4 79.3 79.2 79.0

15-49 46.0 46.1 46.1 46.2 46.3 46.3 46.4 46.4 46.5 46.6 46.6 46.7 46.9 47.0 47.2 15-64 50.8 50.9 51.1 51.2 51.3 51.4 51.5 51.6 51.7 51.8 52.0 52.2 52.5 52.7 53.0 65+ 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7

Table A9: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by Province, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) Province Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric) Central 2.5 Copperbelt 2.2 Eastern 2.4 Luapula 2.3 Lusaka 3.6 Muchinga 3.9 Nothern 2.9 North Western 2.4 Southern 2.7 Western 1.5 Zambia 2.7

Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric) Zambia 2.7 Rural 2.2 Urban 3.4

Page 48: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 35

Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

Region

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 1,355,775 1,394,423 1,433,860 1,474,093 1,515,086 1,556,974 1,599,884 1,643,810 1,688,726 1,734,601 1,781,446 1,829,283 1,878,145 1,928,094 1,979,202 2,031,534 2,085,157 2,140,139 2,196,551 2,254,435 2,313,781 2,374,598 2,436,837 2,500,462 2,565,450 0-4 257,976 266,188 273,124 278,954 284,122 289,266 294,570 299,995 305,522 311,186 316,896 322,565 328,234 333,996 339,937 346,145 352,675 359,559 366,801 374,369 382,181 390,148 398,167 406,151 414,022 5-9 201,010 208,353 217,359 227,406 237,532 246,843 255,027 261,971 267,831 273,016 278,167 283,475 288,909 294,450 300,138 305,878 311,580 317,289 323,091 329,074 335,319 341,885 348,802 356,078 363,676

10-14 184,075 185,208 186,309 188,255 191,785 197,217 204,502 213,428 223,380 233,415 242,651 250,776 257,682 263,522 268,696 273,831 279,132 284,556 290,092 295,774 301,512 307,218 312,930 318,733 324,722 15-19 161,274 166,439 170,874 174,478 177,261 179,137 180,302 181,441 183,412 186,944 192,344 199,567 208,408 218,263 228,208 237,373 245,444 252,322 258,150 263,316 268,440 273,736 279,161 284,692 290,381 20-24 120,447 126,716 133,716 140,667 147,012 152,666 157,755 162,150 165,744 168,534 170,446 171,675 172,880 174,905 178,447 183,815 190,966 199,696 209,427 219,260 228,347 236,368 243,226 249,059 254,230 25-29 96,861 97,764 98,983 101,110 104,500 109,345 115,440 122,247 129,023 135,238 140,802 145,839 150,213 153,825 156,662 158,657 159,997 161,318 163,434 167,021 172,369 179,447 188,072 197,682 207,421 30-34 78,891 80,515 82,254 83,861 85,199 86,241 87,193 88,466 90,614 93,973 98,721 104,664 111,301 117,914 124,013 129,512 134,524 138,914 142,581 145,514 147,647 149,156 150,647 152,907 156,580 35-39 65,980 67,049 67,802 68,566 69,556 70,893 72,507 74,249 75,897 77,306 78,456 79,517 80,880 83,074 86,406 91,066 96,863 103,335 109,807 115,815 121,262 126,264 130,693 134,437 137,485 40-44 47,926 50,695 53,613 56,279 58,440 59,995 61,069 61,875 62,709 63,772 65,160 66,816 68,594 70,278 71,751 72,976 74,118 75,554 77,766 81,067 85,628 91,290 97,609 103,943 109,853 45-49 37,177 37,813 38,566 39,683 41,289 43,447 46,041 48,790 51,332 53,428 54,984 56,102 56,974 57,875 58,996 60,423 62,102 63,893 65,606 67,117 68,401 69,607 71,086 73,307 76,565 50-54 29,526 30,580 31,501 32,313 33,061 33,720 34,326 35,055 36,122 37,651 39,699 42,159 44,771 47,202 49,231 50,765 51,894 52,800 53,742 54,882 56,318 57,993 59,775 61,484 63,009 55-59 20,211 21,463 22,924 24,366 25,659 26,772 27,754 28,617 29,383 30,102 30,739 31,327 32,028 33,049 34,496 36,430 38,746 41,213 43,508 45,441 46,921 48,035 48,947 49,897 51,033 60-64 17,311 17,126 16,915 16,935 17,320 18,122 19,260 20,588 21,907 23,084 24,104 25,014 25,815 26,524 27,200 27,793 28,351 29,011 29,969 31,316 33,110 35,261 37,551 39,684 41,497 65-69 13,142 13,748 14,360 14,841 15,113 15,141 14,981 14,804 14,833 15,186 15,909 16,926 18,106 19,277 20,322 21,228 22,038 22,747 23,380 23,984 24,517 25,017 25,606 26,471 27,683 70-74 9,700 9,801 9,923 10,116 10,412 10,828 11,337 11,844 12,238 12,462 12,482 12,346 12,210 12,256 12,570 13,189 14,044 15,029 16,000 16,862 17,612 18,282 18,881 19,407 19,911 75-79 6,865 7,027 7,226 7,407 7,538 7,631 7,700 7,788 7,930 8,158 8,477 8,871 9,264 9,560 9,728 9,739 9,628 9,521 9,551 9,793 10,268 10,923 11,674 12,413 13,066 80+ 7,403 7,938 8,411 8,856 9,287 9,710 10,120 10,502 10,849 11,146 11,409 11,644 11,876 12,124 12,401 12,714 13,055 13,382 13,646 13,830 13,929 13,968 14,010 14,117 14,316

Total (Females) 682,181 701,763 721,752 742,155 762,963 784,229 806,017 828,328 851,135 874,441 898,244 922,557 947,394 972,796 998,788 1,025,404 1,052,677 1,080,650 1,109,345 1,138,796 1,168,993 1,199,944 1,231,621 1,264,012 1,297,097

0-4 128,536 132,635 136,104 139,042 141,661 144,266 146,937 149,660 152,423 155,254 158,108 160,942 163,776 166,655 169,623 172,725 175,986 179,424 183,040 186,820 190,720 194,698 198,699 202,684 206,611 5-9 100,576 104,272 108,811 113,867 118,967 123,660 127,789 131,303 134,288 136,934 139,550 142,231 144,967 147,749 150,599 153,477 156,340 159,202 162,113 165,110 168,241 171,531 174,995 178,640 182,446

10-14 92,377 92,856 93,327 94,242 95,985 98,710 102,392 106,906 111,928 116,994 121,659 125,768 129,268 132,247 134,891 137,503 140,184 142,920 145,702 148,556 151,438 154,305 157,174 160,088 163,092 15-19 81,032 83,471 85,643 87,424 88,774 89,646 90,152 90,648 91,587 93,336 96,055 99,712 104,191 109,174 114,205 118,843 122,933 126,428 129,406 132,052 134,665 137,349 140,093 142,881 145,747 20-24 62,652 65,161 68,006 70,899 73,635 76,192 78,603 80,767 82,552 83,921 84,824 85,377 85,919 86,899 88,666 91,383 95,016 99,455 104,393 109,385 114,002 118,087 121,589 124,586 127,247 25-29 51,437 52,047 52,644 53,527 54,879 56,810 59,267 62,052 64,894 67,595 70,133 72,535 74,703 76,511 77,914 78,870 79,491 80,101 81,134 82,936 85,655 89,265 93,667 98,564 103,529 30-34 40,072 41,576 43,121 44,516 45,640 46,467 47,099 47,735 48,651 50,021 51,943 54,375 57,125 59,931 62,610 65,141 67,546 69,733 71,577 73,035 74,065 74,774 75,475 76,584 78,434 35-39 31,892 32,747 33,495 34,325 35,352 36,626 38,078 39,584 40,965 42,099 42,968 43,651 44,340 45,299 46,686 48,605 51,014 53,732 56,511 59,178 61,708 64,123 66,335 68,221 69,739 40-44 22,428 23,840 25,412 26,924 28,228 29,265 30,098 30,846 31,677 32,704 33,963 35,397 36,881 38,250 39,396 40,289 41,009 41,745 42,730 44,132 46,039 48,422 51,106 53,855 56,500 45-49 18,356 18,428 18,543 18,875 19,523 20,538 21,861 23,347 24,786 26,045 27,062 27,893 28,647 29,479 30,498 31,740 33,147 34,602 35,958 37,101 38,012 38,763 39,525 40,527 41,929 50-54 15,195 15,730 16,156 16,481 16,729 16,881 16,960 17,086 17,414 18,040 19,014 20,276 21,691 23,069 24,283 25,272 26,088 26,834 27,661 28,660 29,876 31,250 32,669 33,998 35,130 55-59 10,093 10,863 11,764 12,634 13,379 13,981 14,483 14,885 15,197 15,444 15,603 15,692 15,828 16,154 16,755 17,682 18,882 20,229 21,536 22,695 23,648 24,443 25,175 25,984 26,956 60-64 8,960 8,765 8,556 8,505 8,707 9,192 9,900 10,728 11,531 12,214 12,774 13,243 13,619 13,913 14,154 14,308 14,402 14,541 14,859 15,431 16,303 17,429 18,690 19,919 21,011 65-69 6,868 7,237 7,596 7,860 7,982 7,936 7,767 7,586 7,548 7,738 8,179 8,822 9,566 10,289 10,903 11,408 11,832 12,171 12,437 12,659 12,802 12,892 13,022 13,319 13,845 70-74 4,861 4,939 5,036 5,173 5,370 5,634 5,944 6,241 6,460 6,559 6,520 6,379 6,239 6,227 6,406 6,792 7,339 7,968 8,572 9,083 9,505 9,863 10,156 10,379 10,570 75-79 3,324 3,429 3,556 3,673 3,756 3,820 3,874 3,945 4,047 4,201 4,404 4,647 4,880 5,047 5,126 5,099 4,990 4,885 4,877 5,019 5,322 5,748 6,236 6,706 7,102 80+ 3,522 3,767 3,982 4,188 4,396 4,605 4,813 5,009 5,187 5,342 5,485 5,617 5,754 5,903 6,073 6,267 6,478 6,680 6,839 6,944 6,992 7,002 7,015 7,077 7,209

Total (Males) 673,594 692,660 712,108 731,938 752,123 772,745 793,867 815,482 837,591 860,160 883,202 906,726 930,751 955,298 980,414 1,006,130 1,032,480 1,059,489 1,087,206 1,115,639 1,144,788 1,174,654 1,205,216 1,236,450 1,268,353

0-4 129,440 133,553 137,020 139,912 142,461 145,000 147,633 150,335 153,099 155,932 158,788 161,623 164,458 167,341 170,314 173,420 176,689 180,135 183,761 187,549 191,461 195,450 199,468 203,467 207,411 5-9 100,434 104,081 108,548 113,539 118,565 123,183 127,238 130,668 133,543 136,082 138,617 141,244 143,942 146,701 149,539 152,401 155,240 158,087 160,978 163,964 167,078 170,354 173,807 177,438 181,230

10-14 91,698 92,352 92,982 94,013 95,800 98,507 102,110 106,522 111,452 116,421 120,992 125,008 128,414 131,275 133,805 136,328 138,948 141,636 144,390 147,218 150,074 152,913 155,756 158,645 161,630 15-19 80,242 82,968 85,231 87,054 88,487 89,491 90,150 90,793 91,825 93,608 96,289 99,855 104,217 109,089 114,003 118,530 122,511 125,894 128,744 131,264 133,775 136,387 139,068 141,811 144,634 20-24 57,795 61,555 65,710 69,768 73,377 76,474 79,152 81,383 83,192 84,613 85,622 86,298 86,961 88,006 89,781 92,432 95,950 100,241 105,034 109,875 114,345 118,281 121,637 124,473 126,983 25-29 45,424 45,717 46,339 47,583 49,621 52,535 56,173 60,195 64,129 67,643 70,669 73,304 75,510 77,314 78,748 79,787 80,506 81,217 82,300 84,085 86,714 90,182 94,405 99,118 103,892 30-34 38,819 38,939 39,133 39,345 39,559 39,774 40,094 40,731 41,963 43,952 46,778 50,289 54,176 57,983 61,403 64,371 66,978 69,181 71,004 72,479 73,582 74,382 75,172 76,323 78,146 35-39 34,088 34,302 34,307 34,241 34,204 34,267 34,429 34,665 34,932 35,207 35,488 35,866 36,540 37,775 39,720 42,461 45,849 49,603 53,296 56,637 59,554 62,141 64,358 66,216 67,746 40-44 25,498 26,855 28,201 29,355 30,212 30,730 30,971 31,029 31,032 31,068 31,197 31,419 31,713 32,028 32,355 32,687 33,109 33,809 35,036 36,935 39,589 42,868 46,503 50,088 53,353 45-49 18,821 19,385 20,023 20,808 21,766 22,909 24,180 25,443 26,546 27,383 27,922 28,209 28,327 28,396 28,498 28,683 28,955 29,291 29,648 30,016 30,389 30,844 31,561 32,780 34,636 50-54 14,331 14,850 15,345 15,832 16,332 16,839 17,366 17,969 18,708 19,611 20,685 21,883 23,080 24,133 24,948 25,493 25,806 25,966 26,081 26,222 26,442 26,743 27,106 27,486 27,879 55-59 10,118 10,600 11,160 11,732 12,280 12,791 13,271 13,732 14,186 14,658 15,136 15,635 16,200 16,895 17,741 18,748 19,864 20,984 21,972 22,746 23,273 23,592 23,772 23,913 24,077 60-64 8,351 8,361 8,359 8,430 8,613 8,930 9,360 9,860 10,376 10,870 11,330 11,771 12,196 12,611 13,046 13,485 13,949 14,470 15,110 15,885 16,807 17,832 18,861 19,765 20,486 65-69 6,274 6,511 6,764 6,981 7,131 7,205 7,214 7,218 7,285 7,448 7,730 8,104 8,540 8,988 9,419 9,820 10,206 10,576 10,943 11,325 11,715 12,125 12,584 13,152 13,838 70-74 4,839 4,862 4,887 4,943 5,042 5,194 5,393 5,603 5,778 5,903 5,962 5,967 5,971 6,029 6,164 6,397 6,705 7,061 7,428 7,779 8,107 8,419 8,725 9,028 9,341 75-79 3,541 3,598 3,670 3,734 3,782 3,811 3,826 3,843 3,883 3,957 4,073 4,224 4,384 4,513 4,602 4,640 4,638 4,636 4,674 4,774 4,946 5,175 5,438 5,707 5,964 80+ 3,881 4,171 4,429 4,668 4,891 5,105 5,307 5,493 5,662 5,804 5,924 6,027 6,122 6,221 6,328 6,447 6,577 6,702 6,807 6,886 6,937 6,966 6,995 7,040 7,107

Page 49: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

36 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births

60,731 61,775 62,828 63,853 64,820 66,026 67,227 68,413 69,562 70,698 71,833 72,991 74,203 75,493 76,861 78,297 79,807 81,400 83,055 84,737 86,370 87,978 89,565 91,117 92,637

Annual Number of Deaths

18,243 18,554 18,832 19,088 19,345 19,527 19,701 19,887 20,063 20,231 20,386 20,526 20,684 20,844 21,024 21,184 21,358 21,540 21,740 21,933 22,082 22,237 22,399 22,566 22,738

Crude Birth Rate (CBR)

44.8 44.3 43.8 43.3 42.8 42.4 42.0 41.6 41.2 40.8 40.3 39.9 39.5 39.2 38.8 38.5 38.3 38.0 37.8 37.6 37.3 37.1 36.8 36.4 36.1

Crude Death Rate (CDR)

13.5 13.3 13.1 13.0 12.8 12.5 12.3 12.1 11.9 11.7 11.4 11.2 11.0 10.8 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.1 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.9

Growth Rate(%) 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes)

52.1 52.3 52.6 52.8 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.4 55.8 56.2 56.6 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.4 60.8

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males)

50.1 50.3 50.5 50.8 51.0 51.4 51.7 52.1 52.4 52.8 53.2 53.5 53.9 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.7 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.1 57.5 57.9 58.2

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females)

54.2 54.4 54.7 54.9 55.2 55.6 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.8 60.2 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.9 62.3 62.7 63.1 63.5

Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes)

70.3 69.7 69.0 68.3 67.7 67.0 66.3 65.7 65.0 64.4 63.7 63.0 62.3 61.6 61.0 60.2 59.5 58.8 58.1 57.5 56.7 56.0 55.3 54.6 53.9

Infant Mortality Rate (Males)

76.1 75.5 75.0 74.4 73.9 73.3 72.7 72.1 71.5 70.9 70.3 69.6 69.0 68.4 67.8 67.1 66.5 65.9 65.2 64.6 63.9 63.2 62.5 61.9 61.3

Infant Mortality Rate (Females)

64.5 63.6 62.9 62.1 61.3 60.6 59.9 59.1 58.4 57.7 56.9 56.2 55.4 54.7 54.0 53.2 52.4 51.6 50.9 50.2 49.4 48.6 47.9 47.1 46.4

Total Fertility Rate (TFR)

6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both

Sexes) 1,355,775 1,394,423 1,433,860 1,474,093 1,515,086 1,556,974 1,599,884 1,643,810 1,688,726 1,734,601 1,781,446 1,829,283 1,878,145 1,928,094 1,979,202 2,031,534 2,085,157 2,140,139 2,196,551 2,254,435 2,313,781 2,374,598 2,436,837 2,500,462 2,565,450 0 57,065 58,056 59,075 60,086 61,056 62,115 63,286 64,446 65,582 66,696 67,800 68,918 70,074 71,296 72,593 73,965 75,407 76,920 78,503 80,130 81,748 83,337 84,900 86,438 87,944 1 54,342 55,437 56,441 57,475 58,506 59,485 60,550 61,723 62,886 64,024 65,145 66,254 67,377 68,539 69,764 71,064 72,439 73,883 75,400 76,983 78,614 80,236 81,831 83,402 84,948 2 51,683 53,360 54,460 55,474 56,517 57,555 58,539 59,605 60,779 61,946 63,088 64,215 65,330 66,458 67,625 68,856 70,161 71,541 72,991 74,511 76,098 77,736 79,364 80,966 82,544 3 48,852 51,000 52,673 53,775 54,794 55,840 56,879 57,865 58,933 60,107 61,276 62,421 63,550 64,668 65,800 66,970 68,206 69,514 70,895 72,349 73,871 75,463 77,102 78,735 80,340 4 46,034 48,335 50,475 52,144 53,249 54,271 55,316 56,356 57,342 58,413 59,587 60,757 61,903 63,035 64,155 65,290 66,462 67,701 69,012 70,396 71,850 73,376 74,970 76,610 78,246 5 43,572 45,723 48,020 50,152 51,818 52,924 53,945 54,990 56,030 57,015 58,085 59,260 60,430 61,577 62,710 63,831 64,966 66,139 67,380 68,693 70,078 71,531 73,057 74,654 76,293 6 41,480 43,397 45,543 47,834 49,965 51,627 52,733 53,753 54,795 55,835 56,819 57,889 59,063 60,233 61,379 62,512 63,633 64,769 65,943 67,181 68,495 69,880 71,333 72,859 74,455 7 39,735 41,314 43,227 45,369 47,654 49,782 51,441 52,546 53,565 54,605 55,645 56,629 57,699 58,872 60,040 61,186 62,318 63,439 64,575 65,749 66,987 68,301 69,687 71,140 72,664 8 38,499 39,576 41,149 43,060 45,197 47,479 49,601 51,258 52,361 53,379 54,420 55,459 56,441 57,511 58,683 59,851 60,998 62,129 63,250 64,386 65,559 66,798 68,113 69,497 70,952 9 37,724 38,343 39,420 40,991 42,898 45,031 47,307 49,424 51,080 52,182 53,198 54,238 55,276 56,257 57,326 58,498 59,665 60,813 61,943 63,065 64,200 65,375 66,612 67,928 69,312 10 37,310 37,576 38,196 39,271 40,839 42,743 44,873 47,142 49,256 50,909 52,010 53,025 54,066 55,104 56,084 57,154 58,324 59,492 60,639 61,769 62,891 64,026 65,201 66,439 67,756 11 37,174 37,166 37,434 38,054 39,127 40,694 42,593 44,721 46,985 49,096 50,748 51,850 52,863 53,903 54,942 55,921 56,992 58,161 59,330 60,476 61,607 62,729 63,866 65,039 66,278 12 37,049 37,032 37,025 37,294 37,914 38,985 40,550 42,446 44,570 46,830 48,939 50,589 51,691 52,704 53,743 54,781 55,760 56,831 58,001 59,169 60,315 61,448 62,569 63,706 64,879 13 36,670 36,906 36,889 36,887 37,156 37,775 38,847 40,409 42,301 44,421 46,678 48,783 50,431 51,535 52,546 53,586 54,624 55,603 56,673 57,842 59,012 60,158 61,290 62,413 63,551 14 35,872 36,528 36,765 36,749 36,749 37,020 37,639 38,710 40,268 42,159 44,276 46,529 48,631 50,276 51,381 52,389 53,432 54,469 55,449 56,518 57,687 58,857 60,004 61,136 62,258 15 34,676 35,673 36,329 36,567 36,553 36,557 36,828 37,447 38,518 40,071 41,958 44,070 46,319 48,417 50,063 51,167 52,174 53,216 54,253 55,232 56,301 57,470 58,641 59,787 60,921 16 33,504 34,420 35,414 36,069 36,312 36,298 36,305 36,578 37,197 38,265 39,815 41,697 43,805 46,049 48,142 49,787 50,892 51,896 52,938 53,974 54,954 56,025 57,193 58,363 59,507 17 32,444 33,254 34,169 35,161 35,815 36,058 36,047 36,057 36,331 36,950 38,018 39,562 41,439 43,542 45,782 47,872 49,515 50,621 51,624 52,666 53,700 54,681 55,750 56,917 58,090 18 31,134 32,200 33,006 33,919 34,909 35,563 35,806 35,799 35,811 36,088 36,705 37,773 39,314 41,187 43,284 45,518 47,605 49,247 50,353 51,355 52,395 53,430 54,412 55,481 56,649 19 29,516 30,892 31,956 32,762 33,672 34,661 35,316 35,560 35,555 35,570 35,848 36,465 37,531 39,068 40,937 43,029 45,258 47,342 48,982 50,089 51,090 52,130 53,165 54,144 55,214 20 27,598 29,176 30,547 31,608 32,414 33,320 34,308 34,964 35,209 35,208 35,227 35,508 36,127 37,190 38,723 40,586 42,672 44,896 46,977 48,618 49,723 50,726 51,763 52,801 53,779 21 25,564 27,168 28,737 30,101 31,154 31,960 32,863 33,852 34,507 34,758 34,761 34,784 35,067 35,689 36,751 38,279 40,136 42,216 44,432 46,510 48,151 49,259 50,261 51,299 52,336 22 23,751 25,148 26,744 28,301 29,659 30,709 31,515 32,416 33,405 34,059 34,312 34,323 34,350 34,637 35,259 36,320 37,844 39,692 41,768 43,977 46,052 47,693 48,802 49,805 50,845

Page 50: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 37

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

23 22,268 23,348 24,738 26,326 27,874 29,226 30,271 31,077 31,978 32,963 33,619 33,875 33,891 33,923 34,214 34,835 35,895 37,415 39,258 41,326 43,529 45,601 47,244 48,354 49,357 24 21,266 21,876 22,950 24,331 25,911 27,451 28,798 29,841 30,645 31,546 32,527 33,185 33,445 33,466 33,500 33,795 34,419 35,477 36,992 38,829 40,892 43,089 45,156 46,800 47,913 25 20,569 20,831 21,438 22,507 23,877 25,449 26,980 28,321 29,363 30,166 31,066 32,048 32,707 32,970 32,998 33,038 33,339 33,964 35,020 36,532 38,362 40,418 42,613 44,676 46,323 26 20,002 20,090 20,352 20,955 22,017 23,378 24,941 26,464 27,799 28,837 29,641 30,542 31,521 32,185 32,452 32,488 32,536 32,843 33,470 34,527 36,034 37,860 39,911 42,100 44,160 27 19,431 19,530 19,620 19,881 20,481 21,537 22,890 24,443 25,959 27,289 28,323 29,127 30,028 31,008 31,673 31,946 31,989 32,044 32,357 32,987 34,045 35,548 37,367 39,415 41,597 28 18,805 18,965 19,065 19,158 19,419 20,017 21,067 22,413 23,957 25,466 26,790 27,821 28,626 29,527 30,504 31,171 31,451 31,500 31,564 31,881 32,513 33,572 35,072 36,885 38,927 29 18,054 18,348 18,508 18,609 18,706 18,964 19,562 20,606 21,945 23,480 24,982 26,301 27,331 28,135 29,035 30,014 30,682 30,967 31,023 31,094 31,415 32,049 33,109 34,606 36,414 30 17,244 17,628 17,919 18,080 18,184 18,284 18,547 19,143 20,182 21,511 23,038 24,533 25,848 26,876 27,679 28,581 29,561 30,232 30,523 30,587 30,667 30,996 31,634 32,695 34,188 31 16,435 16,850 17,231 17,523 17,684 17,793 17,900 18,167 18,763 19,796 21,117 22,633 24,120 25,431 26,459 27,264 28,165 29,148 29,823 30,123 30,198 30,289 30,625 31,268 32,331 32 15,684 16,055 16,467 16,846 17,135 17,301 17,416 17,530 17,800 18,397 19,422 20,737 22,246 23,723 25,029 26,056 26,864 27,765 28,750 29,431 29,738 29,822 29,923 30,267 30,915 33 15,028 15,315 15,683 16,092 16,469 16,760 16,932 17,051 17,171 17,446 18,041 19,064 20,369 21,871 23,340 24,641 25,667 26,478 27,380 28,365 29,051 29,366 29,459 29,569 29,919 34 14,500 14,667 14,954 15,320 15,727 16,103 16,398 16,575 16,698 16,823 17,103 17,697 18,718 20,013 21,506 22,970 24,267 25,291 26,105 27,008 27,993 28,683 29,006 29,108 29,227 35 14,084 14,182 14,350 14,634 14,998 15,405 15,783 16,080 16,263 16,392 16,523 16,806 17,398 18,415 19,703 21,188 22,645 23,937 24,958 25,775 26,678 27,666 28,359 28,691 28,801 36 13,743 13,806 13,906 14,076 14,359 14,724 15,130 15,510 15,811 15,997 16,132 16,267 16,555 17,146 18,156 19,438 20,914 22,364 23,651 24,671 25,488 26,392 27,382 28,078 28,417 37 13,329 13,471 13,535 13,636 13,808 14,090 14,458 14,866 15,249 15,552 15,742 15,883 16,021 16,314 16,904 17,909 19,183 20,652 22,094 23,375 24,396 25,214 26,120 27,111 27,810 38 12,785 13,063 13,207 13,272 13,376 13,551 13,835 14,204 14,613 14,997 15,303 15,499 15,643 15,787 16,083 16,673 17,672 18,938 20,400 21,836 23,112 24,133 24,952 25,858 26,850 39 12,039 12,527 12,804 12,948 13,015 13,123 13,301 13,589 13,961 14,368 14,756 15,062 15,263 15,412 15,560 15,858 16,449 17,444 18,704 20,158 21,588 22,859 23,880 24,699 25,607 40 11,176 11,804 12,287 12,562 12,708 12,778 12,888 13,070 13,362 13,735 14,141 14,532 14,840 15,044 15,196 15,351 15,650 16,240 17,230 18,483 19,928 21,352 22,619 23,637 24,458 41 10,271 10,968 11,587 12,065 12,337 12,485 12,560 12,675 12,858 13,153 13,525 13,931 14,323 14,631 14,841 14,995 15,153 15,455 16,044 17,029 18,274 19,712 21,128 22,390 23,406 42 9,436 10,077 10,764 11,377 11,848 12,120 12,271 12,351 12,469 12,655 12,952 13,323 13,729 14,122 14,432 14,645 14,802 14,966 15,268 15,855 16,836 18,073 19,505 20,912 22,170 43 8,754 9,259 9,890 10,567 11,172 11,639 11,912 12,067 12,150 12,273 12,458 12,758 13,130 13,537 13,930 14,240 14,457 14,617 14,784 15,089 15,674 16,652 17,882 19,306 20,705 44 8,289 8,587 9,085 9,708 10,375 10,973 11,438 11,712 11,870 11,956 12,084 12,272 12,572 12,944 13,352 13,745 14,056 14,276 14,440 14,611 14,916 15,501 16,475 17,698 19,114 45 7,980 8,123 8,416 8,906 9,522 10,179 10,773 11,235 11,510 11,669 11,760 11,891 12,083 12,383 12,755 13,164 13,558 13,870 14,092 14,259 14,434 14,740 15,324 16,290 17,508 46 7,723 7,814 7,954 8,244 8,724 9,332 9,982 10,569 11,028 11,304 11,467 11,561 11,696 11,890 12,192 12,564 12,972 13,367 13,681 13,906 14,076 14,252 14,561 15,144 16,105 47 7,449 7,562 7,651 7,789 8,076 8,548 9,150 9,792 10,376 10,831 11,107 11,273 11,371 11,509 11,706 12,008 12,380 12,788 13,185 13,499 13,726 13,900 14,080 14,391 14,971 48 7,170 7,293 7,405 7,492 7,629 7,914 8,379 8,975 9,610 10,189 10,640 10,919 11,086 11,187 11,330 11,530 11,832 12,204 12,613 13,009 13,325 13,556 13,730 13,913 14,227 49 6,855 7,021 7,140 7,252 7,338 7,474 7,757 8,219 8,808 9,435 10,010 10,458 10,738 10,906 11,013 11,157 11,360 11,664 12,035 12,444 12,840 13,159 13,391 13,569 13,754 50 6,525 6,720 6,884 7,002 7,112 7,199 7,336 7,615 8,073 8,656 9,275 9,845 10,289 10,567 10,738 10,847 10,993 11,195 11,501 11,870 12,280 12,674 12,993 13,226 13,407 51 6,227 6,404 6,598 6,760 6,876 6,987 7,073 7,212 7,486 7,938 8,515 9,126 9,690 10,131 10,406 10,578 10,689 10,837 11,039 11,344 11,711 12,119 12,511 12,830 13,064 52 5,940 6,114 6,289 6,481 6,641 6,755 6,867 6,953 7,092 7,362 7,809 8,379 8,983 9,542 9,977 10,253 10,424 10,536 10,684 10,887 11,191 11,557 11,963 12,353 12,672 53 5,613 5,833 6,003 6,176 6,366 6,525 6,638 6,751 6,835 6,973 7,242 7,684 8,246 8,845 9,399 9,829 10,103 10,276 10,387 10,538 10,741 11,044 11,407 11,812 12,201 54 5,221 5,509 5,727 5,894 6,066 6,254 6,412 6,524 6,636 6,722 6,858 7,125 7,563 8,117 8,711 9,258 9,685 9,956 10,131 10,243 10,395 10,599 10,901 11,263 11,665 55 4,788 5,118 5,402 5,615 5,779 5,950 6,135 6,291 6,403 6,515 6,601 6,736 7,000 7,433 7,979 8,566 9,108 9,530 9,800 9,975 10,089 10,240 10,445 10,745 11,105 56 4,334 4,686 5,010 5,288 5,499 5,659 5,827 6,012 6,166 6,276 6,388 6,472 6,606 6,867 7,296 7,833 8,412 8,947 9,365 9,634 9,808 9,925 10,076 10,280 10,580 57 3,932 4,243 4,588 4,904 5,179 5,387 5,544 5,710 5,893 6,046 6,154 6,267 6,351 6,482 6,741 7,165 7,694 8,266 8,793 9,206 9,473 9,648 9,766 9,918 10,122 58 3,645 3,849 4,155 4,493 4,802 5,074 5,277 5,434 5,596 5,778 5,929 6,036 6,150 6,232 6,363 6,618 7,035 7,559 8,122 8,644 9,053 9,317 9,494 9,610 9,765 59 3,512 3,567 3,769 4,066 4,400 4,702 4,971 5,170 5,325 5,487 5,667 5,816 5,921 6,035 6,117 6,248 6,497 6,911 7,428 7,982 8,498 8,905 9,166 9,344 9,461 60 3,492 3,435 3,487 3,686 3,978 4,305 4,602 4,866 5,063 5,214 5,375 5,550 5,698 5,803 5,916 5,996 6,126 6,372 6,779 7,288 7,833 8,342 8,744 9,001 9,181 61 3,522 3,415 3,357 3,411 3,606 3,891 4,211 4,502 4,762 4,955 5,102 5,260 5,432 5,577 5,680 5,792 5,871 5,999 6,241 6,640 7,142 7,676 8,177 8,573 8,826 62 3,525 3,442 3,339 3,282 3,334 3,527 3,808 4,120 4,405 4,659 4,850 4,994 5,150 5,317 5,461 5,562 5,671 5,751 5,876 6,115 6,505 6,998 7,522 8,015 8,403 63 3,466 3,446 3,365 3,266 3,209 3,261 3,449 3,725 4,033 4,309 4,560 4,748 4,887 5,042 5,206 5,346 5,447 5,555 5,632 5,755 5,991 6,375 6,859 7,372 7,859 64 3,306 3,388 3,367 3,290 3,193 3,138 3,190 3,375 3,644 3,947 4,217 4,462 4,648 4,785 4,937 5,097 5,236 5,334 5,441 5,518 5,639 5,870 6,249 6,723 7,228 65 3,061 3,217 3,298 3,279 3,204 3,109 3,054 3,105 3,287 3,549 3,846 4,110 4,350 4,530 4,664 4,813 4,969 5,106 5,200 5,305 5,381 5,498 5,725 6,096 6,559 66 2,806 2,968 3,119 3,198 3,178 3,106 3,016 2,961 3,012 3,189 3,443 3,732 3,987 4,222 4,396 4,528 4,671 4,823 4,958 5,049 5,151 5,224 5,338 5,558 5,919 67 2,594 2,719 2,876 3,024 3,101 3,080 3,011 2,923 2,869 2,920 3,092 3,340 3,621 3,868 4,100 4,267 4,395 4,534 4,681 4,813 4,901 5,000 5,071 5,182 5,396 68 2,409 2,511 2,635 2,786 2,931 3,005 2,986 2,920 2,833 2,782 2,832 2,999 3,240 3,513 3,752 3,978 4,142 4,265 4,401 4,544 4,673 4,758 4,853 4,922 5,031 69 2,272 2,333 2,432 2,554 2,699 2,841 2,914 2,895 2,832 2,746 2,696 2,745 2,908 3,144 3,410 3,642 3,861 4,019 4,140 4,273 4,411 4,537 4,619 4,713 4,778 70 2,149 2,183 2,244 2,338 2,455 2,596 2,732 2,801 2,784 2,724 2,643 2,593 2,641 2,799 3,024 3,282 3,507 3,716 3,871 3,986 4,114 4,248 4,369 4,449 4,539 71 2,043 2,053 2,085 2,143 2,232 2,343 2,478 2,608 2,673 2,657 2,603 2,526 2,478 2,524 2,675 2,890 3,135 3,349 3,549 3,698 3,809 3,930 4,060 4,175 4,252 72 1,949 1,949 1,959 1,990 2,044 2,129 2,235 2,366 2,489 2,551 2,534 2,484 2,411 2,367 2,412 2,555 2,760 2,995 3,201 3,390 3,532 3,638 3,752 3,878 3,989 73 1,840 1,860 1,859 1,869 1,897 1,950 2,032 2,131 2,258 2,376 2,436 2,419 2,371 2,302 2,260 2,303 2,441 2,637 2,860 3,056 3,238 3,373 3,477 3,584 3,706 74 1,719 1,756 1,776 1,776 1,784 1,810 1,860 1,938 2,034 2,154 2,266 2,324 2,309 2,264 2,199 2,159 2,201 2,332 2,519 2,732 2,919 3,093 3,223 3,321 3,425 75 1,587 1,639 1,674 1,693 1,691 1,701 1,724 1,771 1,845 1,936 2,050 2,156 2,213 2,196 2,153 2,093 2,052 2,093 2,216 2,394 2,598 2,774 2,938 3,061 3,153 76 1,460 1,511 1,562 1,593 1,611 1,609 1,618 1,639 1,683 1,754 1,840 1,945 2,046 2,100 2,084 2,042 1,983 1,943 1,982 2,097 2,263 2,457 2,621 2,775 2,889 77 1,349 1,392 1,440 1,487 1,516 1,533 1,530 1,539 1,558 1,600 1,665 1,747 1,847 1,941 1,991 1,974 1,935 1,880 1,840 1,877 1,985 2,140 2,321 2,475 2,618 78 1,261 1,284 1,327 1,372 1,415 1,441 1,458 1,454 1,463 1,480 1,519 1,581 1,659 1,751 1,839 1,887 1,871 1,833 1,780 1,742 1,774 1,876 2,022 2,194 2,336 79 1,208 1,201 1,223 1,262 1,305 1,347 1,370 1,385 1,381 1,388 1,403 1,442 1,499 1,572 1,661 1,743 1,787 1,772 1,733 1,683 1,648 1,676 1,772 1,908 2,070

80+ 7,403 7,938 8,411 8,856 9,287 9,710 10,120 10,502 10,849 11,146 11,409 11,644 11,876 12,124 12,401 12,714 13,055 13,382 13,646 13,830 13,929 13,968 14,010 14,117 14,316

Page 51: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

38 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Males) 673,594 692,660 712,108 731,938 752,123 772,745 793,867 815,482 837,591 860,160 883,202 906,726 930,751 955,298 980,414 1,006,130 1,032,480 1,059,489 1,087,206 1,115,639 1,144,788 1,174,654 1,205,216 1,236,450 1,268,353

0 28,762 29,259 29,771 30,278 30,765 31,296 31,883 32,464 33,033 33,591 34,144 34,704 35,284 35,897 36,549 37,237 37,961 38,721 39,516 40,333 41,145 41,943 42,727 43,500 44,255 1 27,299 27,843 28,341 28,853 29,362 29,850 30,384 30,972 31,554 32,123 32,685 33,239 33,801 34,383 34,996 35,647 36,335 37,058 37,817 38,610 39,428 40,240 41,040 41,826 42,602 2 25,914 26,755 27,299 27,798 28,311 28,820 29,310 29,844 30,432 31,015 31,586 32,151 32,707 33,271 33,855 34,471 35,124 35,814 36,540 37,300 38,095 38,915 39,731 40,533 41,323 3 24,449 25,533 26,369 26,911 27,410 27,923 28,432 28,922 29,457 30,044 30,627 31,200 31,765 32,323 32,888 33,473 34,091 34,745 35,435 36,162 36,923 37,720 38,540 39,358 40,162 4 23,016 24,163 25,240 26,072 26,613 27,111 27,624 28,133 28,623 29,159 29,746 30,329 30,901 31,467 32,026 32,592 33,178 33,797 34,453 35,144 35,870 36,632 37,430 38,250 39,069 5 21,781 22,844 23,988 25,059 25,887 26,428 26,926 27,438 27,947 28,435 28,971 29,558 30,140 30,713 31,279 31,839 32,404 32,989 33,610 34,266 34,957 35,683 36,445 37,243 38,063 6 20,734 21,683 22,743 23,883 24,952 25,778 26,318 26,815 27,325 27,834 28,321 28,857 29,444 30,025 30,598 31,162 31,723 32,288 32,873 33,492 34,149 34,839 35,564 36,327 37,123 7 19,858 20,642 21,587 22,644 23,780 24,846 25,671 26,210 26,706 27,215 27,724 28,211 28,746 29,332 29,913 30,485 31,047 31,608 32,173 32,758 33,376 34,033 34,723 35,448 36,210 8 19,230 19,769 20,549 21,493 22,546 23,680 24,742 25,565 26,103 26,599 27,107 27,616 28,102 28,636 29,221 29,802 30,374 30,936 31,496 32,061 32,645 33,264 33,921 34,610 35,335 9 18,831 19,143 19,681 20,460 21,400 22,451 23,581 24,640 25,462 25,999 26,494 27,002 27,510 27,995 28,528 29,113 29,692 30,266 30,826 31,387 31,951 32,535 33,154 33,810 34,499 10 18,612 18,757 19,069 19,605 20,382 21,320 22,369 23,495 24,552 25,373 25,909 26,403 26,911 27,419 27,904 28,437 29,021 29,600 30,173 30,734 31,294 31,858 32,442 33,061 33,718 11 18,532 18,549 18,694 19,006 19,540 20,317 21,252 22,300 23,423 24,478 25,298 25,834 26,327 26,835 27,343 27,827 28,362 28,945 29,525 30,096 30,658 31,218 31,783 32,366 32,986 12 18,450 18,470 18,486 18,632 18,944 19,476 20,252 21,185 22,231 23,351 24,406 25,224 25,760 26,253 26,761 27,269 27,752 28,287 28,870 29,450 30,021 30,584 31,144 31,708 32,291 13 18,250 18,388 18,407 18,425 18,571 18,883 19,414 20,189 21,120 22,164 23,281 24,334 25,152 25,688 26,180 26,688 27,196 27,679 28,214 28,796 29,377 29,948 30,510 31,071 31,636 14 17,854 18,188 18,326 18,345 18,363 18,511 18,823 19,353 20,126 21,055 22,098 23,213 24,264 25,080 25,617 26,107 26,617 27,125 27,608 28,142 28,724 29,305 29,877 30,439 30,999 15 17,268 17,766 18,099 18,238 18,258 18,277 18,424 18,736 19,266 20,037 20,963 22,003 23,116 24,164 24,980 25,517 26,006 26,515 27,023 27,506 28,039 28,621 29,202 29,773 30,336 16 16,703 17,153 17,650 17,982 18,123 18,142 18,163 18,310 18,622 19,150 19,919 20,842 21,880 22,990 24,035 24,850 25,387 25,873 26,382 26,889 27,372 27,906 28,486 29,066 29,635 17 16,181 16,591 17,041 17,536 17,867 18,008 18,028 18,050 18,197 18,509 19,036 19,802 20,722 21,757 22,864 23,907 24,721 25,258 25,743 26,252 26,757 27,240 27,772 28,351 28,932 18 15,494 16,072 16,479 16,928 17,423 17,753 17,894 17,915 17,937 18,085 18,396 18,923 19,688 20,605 21,636 22,740 23,780 24,593 25,130 25,614 26,121 26,626 27,110 27,641 28,220 19 14,596 15,386 15,962 16,370 16,816 17,311 17,641 17,782 17,803 17,827 17,975 18,285 18,811 19,573 20,488 21,516 22,617 23,655 24,466 25,003 25,486 25,994 26,498 26,980 27,511 20 13,522 14,448 15,236 15,809 16,217 16,661 17,154 17,484 17,626 17,648 17,674 17,822 18,133 18,657 19,416 20,328 21,352 22,450 23,485 24,296 24,832 25,315 25,821 26,325 26,807 21 12,379 13,339 14,259 15,044 15,612 16,020 16,461 16,955 17,284 17,428 17,451 17,478 17,626 17,938 18,461 19,217 20,125 21,145 22,239 23,271 24,081 24,618 25,099 25,606 26,108 22 11,358 12,204 13,159 14,072 14,854 15,419 15,827 16,266 16,759 17,087 17,231 17,258 17,287 17,435 17,747 18,269 19,022 19,925 20,942 22,032 23,061 23,869 24,406 24,887 25,395 23 10,536 11,190 12,032 12,982 13,889 14,667 15,228 15,637 16,075 16,565 16,893 17,039 17,067 17,098 17,247 17,558 18,079 18,829 19,729 20,741 21,827 22,854 23,662 24,199 24,679 24 10,000 10,374 11,024 11,861 12,805 13,707 14,482 15,041 15,448 15,885 16,373 16,701 16,848 16,878 16,910 17,060 17,372 17,892 18,639 19,535 20,544 21,625 22,649 23,456 23,994 25 9,637 9,795 10,167 10,813 11,643 12,581 13,477 14,248 14,806 15,212 15,648 16,136 16,464 16,612 16,645 16,680 16,833 17,144 17,663 18,407 19,299 20,305 21,383 22,405 23,213 26 9,347 9,391 9,549 9,917 10,557 11,381 12,313 13,202 13,968 14,524 14,930 15,367 15,853 16,182 16,333 16,369 16,408 16,564 16,876 17,395 18,136 19,026 20,028 21,103 22,122 27 9,079 9,105 9,150 9,307 9,672 10,307 11,125 12,049 12,933 13,696 14,249 14,654 15,091 15,577 15,906 16,060 16,100 16,142 16,301 16,613 17,133 17,871 18,758 19,757 20,828 28 8,821 8,840 8,867 8,913 9,069 9,432 10,062 10,875 11,793 12,671 13,429 13,980 14,385 14,822 15,306 15,636 15,793 15,836 15,882 16,043 16,356 16,876 17,612 18,495 19,491 29 8,540 8,586 8,606 8,633 8,680 8,834 9,196 9,821 10,629 11,540 12,413 13,167 13,717 14,121 14,558 15,042 15,372 15,531 15,578 15,627 15,790 16,104 16,624 17,358 18,238 30 8,251 8,312 8,358 8,378 8,408 8,455 8,611 8,971 9,591 10,392 11,297 12,164 12,914 13,463 13,866 14,303 14,788 15,120 15,280 15,332 15,385 15,552 15,868 16,388 17,119 31 7,978 8,030 8,092 8,139 8,160 8,192 8,242 8,399 8,758 9,373 10,167 11,064 11,924 12,671 13,219 13,623 14,059 14,545 14,879 15,043 15,100 15,159 15,329 15,647 16,168 32 7,736 7,762 7,816 7,877 7,924 7,948 7,984 8,036 8,194 8,552 9,161 9,949 10,841 11,693 12,436 12,983 13,387 13,823 14,310 14,647 14,814 14,875 14,940 15,114 15,435 33 7,520 7,524 7,551 7,606 7,667 7,716 7,743 7,781 7,836 7,995 8,351 8,957 9,738 10,624 11,470 12,209 12,755 13,160 13,596 14,082 14,422 14,593 14,658 14,727 14,904 34 7,334 7,311 7,316 7,345 7,400 7,463 7,514 7,544 7,584 7,640 7,802 8,155 8,759 9,532 10,412 11,253 11,989 12,533 12,939 13,375 13,861 14,203 14,377 14,447 14,520 35 7,181 7,149 7,128 7,134 7,163 7,221 7,286 7,339 7,373 7,416 7,475 7,638 7,989 8,589 9,356 10,229 11,064 11,796 12,339 12,746 13,182 13,668 14,012 14,191 14,265 36 7,056 7,019 6,991 6,971 6,979 7,010 7,070 7,138 7,194 7,229 7,276 7,337 7,502 7,851 8,446 9,208 10,074 10,904 11,631 12,173 12,580 13,017 13,504 13,849 14,032 37 6,892 6,898 6,862 6,835 6,817 6,827 6,862 6,924 6,995 7,054 7,091 7,142 7,204 7,371 7,717 8,309 9,064 9,925 10,749 11,472 12,013 12,421 12,859 13,346 13,693 38 6,653 6,735 6,744 6,709 6,685 6,670 6,683 6,720 6,785 6,858 6,919 6,960 7,012 7,077 7,246 7,591 8,178 8,926 9,782 10,601 11,320 11,861 12,269 12,707 13,195 39 6,306 6,501 6,582 6,592 6,560 6,539 6,528 6,544 6,585 6,650 6,727 6,789 6,833 6,887 6,955 7,124 7,469 8,052 8,795 9,645 10,459 11,174 11,714 12,123 12,561 40 5,897 6,172 6,366 6,447 6,459 6,429 6,410 6,402 6,423 6,466 6,532 6,612 6,676 6,722 6,777 6,848 7,017 7,361 7,940 8,677 9,521 10,330 11,042 11,580 11,990 41 5,463 5,783 6,055 6,247 6,328 6,342 6,315 6,300 6,294 6,318 6,362 6,430 6,511 6,577 6,626 6,681 6,754 6,923 7,266 7,841 8,572 9,410 10,214 10,922 11,458 42 5,048 5,356 5,672 5,942 6,131 6,213 6,230 6,207 6,194 6,190 6,218 6,263 6,332 6,415 6,482 6,533 6,590 6,665 6,833 7,174 7,746 8,471 9,304 10,102 10,807 43 4,686 4,950 5,253 5,565 5,833 6,020 6,104 6,122 6,102 6,093 6,089 6,120 6,168 6,238 6,322 6,391 6,444 6,502 6,579 6,747 7,086 7,655 8,375 9,202 9,995 44 4,404 4,594 4,855 5,154 5,461 5,726 5,912 5,998 6,019 6,001 5,996 5,994 6,026 6,076 6,148 6,234 6,304 6,358 6,418 6,496 6,664 7,002 7,568 8,282 9,103 45 4,175 4,307 4,494 4,750 5,046 5,348 5,612 5,797 5,884 5,907 5,892 5,890 5,891 5,925 5,977 6,051 6,138 6,210 6,265 6,327 6,407 6,574 6,911 7,472 8,182 46 3,964 4,074 4,203 4,388 4,638 4,930 5,228 5,489 5,673 5,761 5,788 5,776 5,777 5,782 5,818 5,871 5,947 6,036 6,110 6,167 6,231 6,312 6,480 6,816 7,373 47 3,755 3,868 3,977 4,103 4,285 4,531 4,820 5,113 5,373 5,556 5,645 5,674 5,666 5,669 5,677 5,716 5,770 5,847 5,939 6,014 6,072 6,139 6,222 6,391 6,724 48 3,559 3,663 3,775 3,882 4,007 4,187 4,428 4,714 5,003 5,261 5,443 5,534 5,565 5,559 5,567 5,577 5,618 5,674 5,752 5,846 5,923 5,983 6,051 6,134 6,306 49 3,368 3,473 3,574 3,685 3,790 3,913 4,092 4,330 4,613 4,898 5,154 5,335 5,428 5,461 5,459 5,468 5,482 5,524 5,582 5,662 5,756 5,836 5,897 5,967 6,051 50 3,190 3,292 3,395 3,495 3,604 3,709 3,831 4,008 4,244 4,523 4,804 5,058 5,237 5,330 5,364 5,365 5,376 5,391 5,435 5,493 5,575 5,669 5,750 5,812 5,884 51 3,029 3,124 3,225 3,327 3,425 3,534 3,637 3,760 3,933 4,166 4,442 4,719 4,970 5,147 5,240 5,275 5,277 5,290 5,306 5,351 5,409 5,491 5,585 5,667 5,729 52 2,872 2,967 3,061 3,162 3,262 3,358 3,467 3,569 3,691 3,861 4,091 4,363 4,637 4,886 5,060 5,154 5,189 5,192 5,206 5,223 5,269 5,328 5,410 5,504 5,586 53 2,709 2,814 2,907 3,000 3,100 3,199 3,293 3,402 3,502 3,623 3,791 4,019 4,287 4,558 4,803 4,976 5,069 5,106 5,109 5,125 5,143 5,190 5,248 5,331 5,426 54 2,531 2,653 2,757 2,848 2,941 3,039 3,138 3,230 3,338 3,438 3,557 3,724 3,949 4,212 4,481 4,723 4,895 4,987 5,025 5,030 5,046 5,065 5,113 5,172 5,254 55 2,341 2,473 2,593 2,694 2,784 2,876 2,972 3,070 3,161 3,268 3,366 3,484 3,648 3,871 4,130 4,396 4,635 4,804 4,896 4,935 4,942 4,959 4,979 5,027 5,086 56 2,152 2,281 2,410 2,527 2,627 2,715 2,805 2,900 2,998 3,087 3,192 3,289 3,405 3,567 3,787 4,041 4,303 4,539 4,706 4,797 4,837 4,846 4,864 4,884 4,934 57 1,986 2,098 2,224 2,349 2,464 2,563 2,649 2,737 2,831 2,928 3,016 3,120 3,216 3,330 3,490 3,707 3,956 4,214 4,447 4,612 4,702 4,743 4,754 4,773 4,794

Page 52: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 39

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

58 1,859 1,936 2,045 2,169 2,290 2,404 2,500 2,586 2,672 2,765 2,860 2,947 3,051 3,145 3,258 3,415 3,628 3,874 4,128 4,358 4,521 4,610 4,653 4,663 4,686 59 1,780 1,812 1,888 1,993 2,115 2,233 2,345 2,439 2,524 2,610 2,702 2,795 2,880 2,982 3,076 3,189 3,342 3,553 3,795 4,044 4,271 4,434 4,522 4,566 4,577 60 1,740 1,735 1,766 1,841 1,944 2,063 2,178 2,288 2,381 2,463 2,548 2,638 2,730 2,815 2,915 3,006 3,118 3,269 3,476 3,713 3,958 4,181 4,342 4,428 4,474 61 1,719 1,698 1,692 1,724 1,797 1,897 2,014 2,126 2,234 2,325 2,405 2,487 2,576 2,666 2,750 2,848 2,937 3,046 3,194 3,397 3,631 3,869 4,089 4,247 4,331 62 1,690 1,677 1,657 1,651 1,682 1,754 1,852 1,966 2,075 2,181 2,270 2,349 2,430 2,516 2,604 2,686 2,783 2,871 2,977 3,123 3,321 3,549 3,783 3,998 4,153 63 1,642 1,649 1,636 1,618 1,612 1,642 1,712 1,808 1,921 2,025 2,130 2,217 2,294 2,373 2,458 2,544 2,625 2,719 2,806 2,909 3,053 3,248 3,470 3,698 3,911 64 1,560 1,602 1,608 1,596 1,578 1,574 1,604 1,672 1,765 1,876 1,977 2,080 2,166 2,241 2,319 2,401 2,486 2,565 2,657 2,743 2,844 2,985 3,177 3,394 3,617 65 1,448 1,514 1,555 1,562 1,550 1,533 1,527 1,557 1,624 1,714 1,823 1,921 2,021 2,104 2,177 2,253 2,333 2,417 2,493 2,583 2,667 2,765 2,902 3,090 3,301 66 1,333 1,399 1,463 1,502 1,508 1,497 1,481 1,476 1,505 1,569 1,656 1,761 1,855 1,953 2,033 2,105 2,177 2,254 2,337 2,411 2,498 2,579 2,674 2,807 2,989 67 1,238 1,287 1,350 1,413 1,451 1,456 1,446 1,430 1,425 1,454 1,516 1,600 1,702 1,792 1,888 1,965 2,034 2,104 2,178 2,259 2,331 2,415 2,494 2,586 2,715 68 1,157 1,194 1,243 1,303 1,364 1,401 1,406 1,397 1,381 1,377 1,405 1,465 1,546 1,645 1,731 1,824 1,899 1,966 2,034 2,105 2,184 2,254 2,334 2,411 2,501 69 1,098 1,117 1,153 1,201 1,258 1,318 1,354 1,358 1,350 1,334 1,330 1,357 1,416 1,494 1,590 1,673 1,763 1,835 1,901 1,967 2,035 2,112 2,180 2,258 2,332 70 1,051 1,056 1,076 1,110 1,156 1,211 1,269 1,303 1,307 1,300 1,285 1,280 1,306 1,363 1,437 1,530 1,610 1,695 1,765 1,828 1,892 1,957 2,031 2,097 2,171 71 1,011 1,010 1,014 1,034 1,066 1,110 1,163 1,218 1,250 1,254 1,248 1,233 1,228 1,253 1,307 1,378 1,466 1,542 1,624 1,691 1,751 1,811 1,874 1,944 2,007 72 974 970 969 974 992 1,024 1,065 1,117 1,169 1,199 1,202 1,197 1,182 1,178 1,202 1,254 1,322 1,405 1,479 1,555 1,619 1,676 1,732 1,793 1,860 73 928 935 931 930 935 951 983 1,021 1,072 1,122 1,151 1,154 1,148 1,134 1,130 1,152 1,202 1,267 1,346 1,416 1,489 1,549 1,605 1,658 1,716 74 875 891 897 895 893 898 913 944 980 1,028 1,076 1,103 1,107 1,101 1,088 1,083 1,105 1,152 1,214 1,289 1,356 1,426 1,483 1,536 1,587 75 814 835 849 855 852 852 856 869 898 933 978 1,023 1,050 1,052 1,046 1,034 1,028 1,049 1,093 1,152 1,224 1,286 1,351 1,405 1,454 76 751 770 791 803 809 806 805 809 821 849 882 923 966 990 992 986 974 967 987 1,027 1,081 1,149 1,206 1,267 1,316 77 699 712 729 748 760 766 762 761 765 776 801 832 871 911 933 934 929 917 910 929 966 1,015 1,078 1,131 1,187 78 655 662 675 691 708 718 725 720 719 722 732 756 785 821 857 879 880 875 863 855 872 907 953 1,012 1,059 79 622 619 626 637 653 669 678 684 680 677 680 690 712 739 774 807 827 828 821 811 803 818 850 892 948

80+ 3,881 4,171 4,429 4,668 4,891 5,105 5,307 5,493 5,662 5,804 5,924 6,027 6,122 6,221 6,328 6,447 6,577 6,702 6,807 6,886 6,937 6,966 6,995 7,040 7,107

Total (Females) 682,181 701,763 721,752 742,155 762,963 784,229 806,017 828,328 851,135 874,441 898,244 922,557 947,394 972,796 998,788 1,025,404 1,052,677 1,080,650 1,109,345 1,138,796 1,168,993 1,199,944 1,231,621 1,264,012 1,297,097

0 28,303 28,797 29,304 29,808 30,291 30,819 31,403 31,982 32,549 33,105 33,656 34,214 34,790 35,399 36,044 36,728 37,446 38,199 38,987 39,797 40,603 41,394 42,173 42,938 43,689 1 27,043 27,594 28,100 28,622 29,144 29,635 30,166 30,751 31,332 31,901 32,460 33,015 33,576 34,156 34,768 35,417 36,104 36,825 37,583 38,373 39,186 39,996 40,791 41,576 42,346 2 25,769 26,605 27,161 27,676 28,206 28,735 29,229 29,761 30,347 30,931 31,502 32,064 32,623 33,187 33,770 34,385 35,037 35,727 36,451 37,211 38,003 38,821 39,633 40,433 41,221 3 24,403 25,467 26,304 26,864 27,384 27,917 28,447 28,943 29,476 30,063 30,649 31,221 31,785 32,345 32,912 33,497 34,115 34,769 35,460 36,187 36,948 37,743 38,562 39,377 40,178 4 23,018 24,172 25,235 26,072 26,636 27,160 27,692 28,223 28,719 29,254 29,841 30,428 31,002 31,568 32,129 32,698 33,284 33,904 34,559 35,252 35,980 36,744 37,540 38,360 39,177 5 21,791 22,879 24,032 25,093 25,931 26,496 27,019 27,552 28,083 28,580 29,114 29,702 30,290 30,864 31,431 31,992 32,562 33,150 33,770 34,427 35,121 35,848 36,612 37,411 38,230 6 20,746 21,714 22,800 23,951 25,013 25,849 26,415 26,938 27,470 28,001 28,498 29,032 29,619 30,208 30,781 31,350 31,910 32,481 33,070 33,689 34,346 35,041 35,769 36,532 37,332 7 19,877 20,672 21,640 22,725 23,874 24,936 25,770 26,336 26,859 27,390 27,921 28,418 28,953 29,540 30,127 30,701 31,271 31,831 32,402 32,991 33,611 34,268 34,964 35,692 36,454 8 19,269 19,807 20,600 21,567 22,651 23,799 24,859 25,693 26,258 26,780 27,313 27,843 28,339 28,875 29,462 30,049 30,624 31,193 31,754 32,325 32,914 33,534 34,192 34,887 35,617 9 18,893 19,200 19,739 20,531 21,498 22,580 23,726 24,784 25,618 26,183 26,704 27,236 27,766 28,262 28,798 29,385 29,973 30,547 31,117 31,678 32,249 32,840 33,458 34,118 34,813 10 18,698 18,819 19,127 19,666 20,457 21,423 22,504 23,647 24,704 25,536 26,101 26,622 27,155 27,685 28,180 28,717 29,303 29,892 30,466 31,035 31,597 32,168 32,759 33,378 34,038 11 18,642 18,617 18,740 19,048 19,587 20,377 21,341 22,421 23,562 24,618 25,450 26,016 26,536 27,068 27,599 28,094 28,630 29,216 29,805 30,380 30,949 31,511 32,083 32,673 33,292 12 18,599 18,562 18,539 18,662 18,970 19,509 20,298 21,261 22,339 23,479 24,533 25,365 25,931 26,451 26,982 27,512 28,008 28,544 29,131 29,719 30,294 30,864 31,425 31,998 32,588 13 18,420 18,518 18,482 18,462 18,585 18,892 19,433 20,220 21,181 22,257 23,397 24,449 25,279 25,847 26,366 26,898 27,428 27,924 28,459 29,046 29,635 30,210 30,780 31,342 31,915 14 18,018 18,340 18,439 18,404 18,386 18,509 18,816 19,357 20,142 21,104 22,178 23,316 24,367 25,196 25,764 26,282 26,815 27,344 27,841 28,376 28,963 29,552 30,127 30,697 31,259 15 17,408 17,907 18,230 18,329 18,295 18,280 18,404 18,711 19,252 20,034 20,995 22,067 23,203 24,253 25,083 25,650 26,168 26,701 27,230 27,726 28,262 28,849 29,439 30,014 30,585 16 16,801 17,267 17,764 18,087 18,189 18,156 18,142 18,268 18,575 19,115 19,896 20,855 21,925 23,059 24,107 24,937 25,505 26,023 26,556 27,085 27,582 28,119 28,707 29,297 29,872 17 16,263 16,663 17,128 17,625 17,948 18,050 18,019 18,007 18,134 18,441 18,982 19,760 20,717 21,785 22,918 23,965 24,794 25,363 25,881 26,414 26,943 27,441 27,978 28,566 29,158 18 15,640 16,128 16,527 16,991 17,486 17,810 17,912 17,884 17,874 18,003 18,309 18,850 19,626 20,582 21,648 22,778 23,825 24,654 25,223 25,741 26,274 26,804 27,302 27,840 28,429 19 14,920 15,506 15,994 16,392 16,856 17,350 17,675 17,778 17,752 17,743 17,873 18,180 18,720 19,495 20,449 21,513 22,641 23,687 24,516 25,086 25,604 26,136 26,667 27,164 27,703 20 14,076 14,728 15,311 15,799 16,197 16,659 17,154 17,480 17,583 17,560 17,553 17,686 17,994 18,533 19,307 20,258 21,320 22,446 23,492 24,322 24,891 25,411 25,942 26,476 26,972 21 13,185 13,829 14,478 15,057 15,542 15,940 16,402 16,897 17,223 17,330 17,310 17,306 17,441 17,751 18,290 19,062 20,011 21,071 22,193 23,239 24,070 24,641 25,162 25,693 26,228 22 12,393 12,944 13,585 14,229 14,805 15,290 15,688 16,150 16,646 16,972 17,081 17,065 17,063 17,202 17,512 18,051 18,822 19,767 20,826 21,945 22,991 23,824 24,396 24,918 25,450 23 11,732 12,158 12,706 13,344 13,985 14,559 15,043 15,440 15,903 16,398 16,726 16,836 16,824 16,825 16,967 17,277 17,816 18,586 19,529 20,585 21,702 22,747 23,582 24,155 24,678 24 11,266 11,502 11,926 12,470 13,106 13,744 14,316 14,800 15,197 15,661 16,154 16,484 16,597 16,588 16,590 16,735 17,047 17,585 18,353 19,294 20,348 21,464 22,507 23,344 23,919 25 10,932 11,036 11,271 11,694 12,234 12,868 13,503 14,073 14,557 14,954 15,418 15,912 16,243 16,358 16,353 16,358 16,506 16,820 17,357 18,125 19,063 20,113 21,230 22,271 23,110 26 10,655 10,699 10,803 11,038 11,460 11,997 12,628 13,262 13,831 14,313 14,711 15,175 15,668 16,003 16,119 16,119 16,128 16,279 16,594 17,132 17,898 18,834 19,883 20,997 22,038 27 10,352 10,425 10,470 10,574 10,809 11,230 11,765 12,394 13,026 13,593 14,074 14,473 14,937 15,431 15,767 15,886 15,889 15,902 16,056 16,374 16,912 17,677 18,609 19,658 20,769 28 9,984 10,125 10,198 10,245 10,350 10,585 11,005 11,538 12,164 12,795 13,361 13,841 14,241 14,705 15,198 15,535 15,658 15,664 15,682 15,838 16,157 16,696 17,460 18,390 19,436 29 9,514 9,762 9,902 9,976 10,026 10,130 10,366 10,785 11,316 11,940 12,569 13,134 13,614 14,014 14,477 14,972 15,310 15,436 15,445 15,467 15,625 15,945 16,485 17,248 18,176 30 8,993 9,316 9,561 9,702 9,776 9,829 9,936 10,172 10,591 11,119 11,741 12,369 12,934 13,413 13,813 14,278 14,773 15,112 15,243 15,255 15,282 15,444 15,766 16,307 17,069 31 8,457 8,820 9,139 9,384 9,524 9,601 9,658 9,768 10,005 10,423 10,950 11,569 12,196 12,760 13,240 13,641 14,106 14,603 14,944 15,080 15,098 15,130 15,296 15,621 16,163 32 7,948 8,293 8,651 8,969 9,211 9,353 9,432 9,494 9,606 9,845 10,261 10,788 11,405 12,030 12,593 13,073 13,477 13,942 14,440 14,784 14,924 14,947 14,983 15,153 15,480 33 7,508 7,791 8,132 8,486 8,802 9,044 9,189 9,270 9,335 9,451 9,690 10,107 10,631 11,247 11,870 12,432 12,912 13,318 13,784 14,283 14,629 14,773 14,801 14,842 15,015

Page 53: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

40 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

34 7,166 7,356 7,638 7,975 8,327 8,640 8,884 9,031 9,114 9,183 9,301 9,542 9,959 10,481 11,094 11,717 12,278 12,758 13,166 13,633 14,132 14,480 14,629 14,661 14,707 35 6,903 7,033 7,222 7,500 7,835 8,184 8,497 8,741 8,890 8,976 9,048 9,168 9,409 9,826 10,347 10,959 11,581 12,141 12,619 13,029 13,496 13,998 14,347 14,500 14,536 36 6,687 6,787 6,915 7,105 7,380 7,714 8,060 8,372 8,617 8,768 8,856 8,930 9,053 9,295 9,710 10,230 10,840 11,460 12,020 12,498 12,908 13,375 13,878 14,229 14,385 37 6,437 6,573 6,673 6,801 6,991 7,263 7,596 7,942 8,254 8,498 8,651 8,741 8,817 8,943 9,187 9,600 10,119 10,727 11,345 11,903 12,383 12,793 13,261 13,765 14,117 38 6,132 6,328 6,463 6,563 6,691 6,881 7,152 7,484 7,828 8,139 8,384 8,539 8,631 8,710 8,837 9,082 9,494 10,012 10,618 11,235 11,792 12,272 12,683 13,151 13,655 39 5,733 6,026 6,222 6,356 6,455 6,584 6,773 7,045 7,376 7,718 8,029 8,273 8,430 8,525 8,605 8,734 8,980 9,392 9,909 10,513 11,129 11,685 12,166 12,576 13,046 40 5,279 5,632 5,921 6,115 6,249 6,349 6,478 6,668 6,939 7,269 7,609 7,920 8,164 8,322 8,419 8,503 8,633 8,879 9,290 9,806 10,407 11,022 11,577 12,057 12,468 41 4,808 5,185 5,532 5,818 6,009 6,143 6,245 6,375 6,564 6,835 7,163 7,501 7,812 8,054 8,215 8,314 8,399 8,532 8,778 9,188 9,702 10,302 10,914 11,468 11,948 42 4,388 4,721 5,092 5,435 5,717 5,907 6,041 6,144 6,275 6,465 6,734 7,060 7,397 7,707 7,950 8,112 8,212 8,301 8,435 8,681 9,090 9,602 10,201 10,810 11,363 43 4,068 4,309 4,637 5,002 5,339 5,619 5,808 5,945 6,048 6,180 6,369 6,638 6,962 7,299 7,608 7,849 8,013 8,115 8,205 8,342 8,588 8,997 9,507 10,104 10,710 44 3,885 3,993 4,230 4,554 4,914 5,247 5,526 5,714 5,851 5,955 6,088 6,278 6,546 6,868 7,204 7,511 7,752 7,918 8,022 8,115 8,252 8,499 8,907 9,416 10,011 45 3,805 3,816 3,922 4,156 4,476 4,831 5,161 5,438 5,626 5,762 5,868 6,001 6,192 6,458 6,778 7,113 7,420 7,660 7,827 7,932 8,027 8,166 8,413 8,818 9,326 46 3,759 3,740 3,751 3,856 4,086 4,402 4,754 5,080 5,355 5,543 5,679 5,785 5,919 6,108 6,374 6,693 7,025 7,331 7,571 7,739 7,845 7,940 8,081 8,328 8,732 47 3,694 3,694 3,674 3,686 3,791 4,017 4,330 4,679 5,003 5,275 5,462 5,599 5,705 5,840 6,029 6,292 6,610 6,941 7,246 7,485 7,654 7,761 7,858 8,000 8,247 48 3,611 3,630 3,630 3,610 3,622 3,727 3,951 4,261 4,607 4,928 5,197 5,385 5,521 5,628 5,763 5,953 6,214 6,530 6,861 7,163 7,402 7,573 7,679 7,779 7,921 49 3,487 3,548 3,566 3,567 3,548 3,561 3,665 3,889 4,195 4,537 4,856 5,123 5,310 5,445 5,554 5,689 5,878 6,140 6,453 6,782 7,084 7,323 7,494 7,602 7,703 50 3,335 3,428 3,489 3,507 3,508 3,490 3,505 3,607 3,829 4,133 4,471 4,787 5,052 5,237 5,374 5,482 5,617 5,804 6,066 6,377 6,705 7,005 7,243 7,414 7,523 51 3,198 3,280 3,373 3,433 3,451 3,453 3,436 3,452 3,553 3,772 4,073 4,407 4,720 4,984 5,166 5,303 5,412 5,547 5,733 5,993 6,302 6,628 6,926 7,163 7,335 52 3,068 3,147 3,228 3,319 3,379 3,397 3,400 3,384 3,401 3,501 3,718 4,016 4,346 4,656 4,917 5,099 5,235 5,344 5,478 5,664 5,922 6,229 6,553 6,849 7,086 53 2,904 3,019 3,096 3,176 3,266 3,326 3,345 3,349 3,333 3,350 3,451 3,665 3,959 4,287 4,596 4,853 5,034 5,170 5,278 5,413 5,598 5,854 6,159 6,481 6,775 54 2,690 2,856 2,970 3,046 3,125 3,215 3,274 3,294 3,298 3,284 3,301 3,401 3,614 3,905 4,230 4,535 4,790 4,969 5,106 5,213 5,349 5,534 5,788 6,091 6,411 55 2,447 2,645 2,809 2,921 2,995 3,074 3,163 3,221 3,242 3,247 3,235 3,252 3,352 3,562 3,849 4,170 4,473 4,726 4,904 5,040 5,147 5,281 5,466 5,718 6,019 56 2,182 2,405 2,600 2,761 2,872 2,944 3,022 3,112 3,168 3,189 3,196 3,183 3,201 3,300 3,509 3,792 4,109 4,408 4,659 4,837 4,971 5,079 5,212 5,396 5,646 57 1,946 2,145 2,364 2,555 2,715 2,824 2,895 2,973 3,062 3,118 3,138 3,147 3,135 3,152 3,251 3,458 3,738 4,052 4,346 4,594 4,771 4,905 5,012 5,145 5,328 58 1,786 1,913 2,110 2,324 2,512 2,670 2,777 2,848 2,924 3,013 3,069 3,089 3,099 3,087 3,105 3,203 3,407 3,685 3,994 4,286 4,532 4,707 4,841 4,947 5,079 59 1,732 1,755 1,881 2,073 2,285 2,469 2,626 2,731 2,801 2,877 2,965 3,021 3,041 3,053 3,041 3,059 3,155 3,358 3,633 3,938 4,227 4,471 4,644 4,778 4,884 60 1,752 1,700 1,721 1,845 2,034 2,242 2,424 2,578 2,682 2,751 2,827 2,912 2,968 2,988 3,001 2,990 3,008 3,103 3,303 3,575 3,875 4,161 4,402 4,573 4,707 61 1,803 1,717 1,665 1,687 1,809 1,994 2,197 2,376 2,528 2,630 2,697 2,773 2,856 2,911 2,930 2,944 2,934 2,953 3,047 3,243 3,511 3,807 4,088 4,326 4,495 62 1,835 1,765 1,682 1,631 1,652 1,773 1,956 2,154 2,330 2,478 2,580 2,645 2,720 2,801 2,857 2,876 2,888 2,880 2,899 2,992 3,184 3,449 3,739 4,017 4,250 63 1,824 1,797 1,729 1,648 1,597 1,619 1,737 1,917 2,112 2,284 2,430 2,531 2,593 2,669 2,748 2,802 2,822 2,836 2,826 2,846 2,938 3,127 3,389 3,674 3,948 64 1,746 1,786 1,759 1,694 1,615 1,564 1,586 1,703 1,879 2,071 2,240 2,382 2,482 2,544 2,618 2,696 2,750 2,769 2,784 2,775 2,795 2,885 3,072 3,329 3,611 65 1,613 1,703 1,743 1,717 1,654 1,576 1,527 1,548 1,663 1,835 2,023 2,189 2,329 2,426 2,487 2,560 2,636 2,689 2,707 2,722 2,714 2,733 2,823 3,006 3,258 66 1,473 1,569 1,656 1,696 1,670 1,609 1,535 1,485 1,507 1,620 1,787 1,971 2,132 2,269 2,363 2,423 2,494 2,569 2,621 2,638 2,653 2,645 2,664 2,751 2,930 67 1,356 1,432 1,526 1,611 1,650 1,624 1,565 1,493 1,444 1,466 1,576 1,740 1,919 2,076 2,212 2,302 2,361 2,430 2,503 2,554 2,570 2,585 2,577 2,596 2,681 68 1,252 1,317 1,392 1,483 1,567 1,604 1,580 1,523 1,452 1,405 1,427 1,534 1,694 1,868 2,021 2,154 2,243 2,299 2,367 2,439 2,489 2,504 2,519 2,511 2,530 69 1,174 1,216 1,279 1,353 1,441 1,523 1,560 1,537 1,482 1,412 1,366 1,388 1,492 1,650 1,820 1,969 2,098 2,184 2,239 2,306 2,376 2,425 2,439 2,455 2,446 70 1,098 1,127 1,168 1,228 1,299 1,385 1,463 1,498 1,477 1,424 1,358 1,313 1,335 1,436 1,587 1,752 1,897 2,021 2,106 2,158 2,222 2,291 2,338 2,352 2,368 71 1,032 1,043 1,071 1,109 1,166 1,233 1,315 1,390 1,423 1,403 1,355 1,293 1,250 1,271 1,368 1,512 1,669 1,807 1,925 2,007 2,058 2,119 2,186 2,231 2,245 72 975 979 990 1,016 1,052 1,105 1,170 1,249 1,320 1,352 1,332 1,287 1,229 1,189 1,210 1,301 1,438 1,590 1,722 1,835 1,913 1,962 2,020 2,085 2,129 73 912 925 928 939 962 999 1,049 1,110 1,186 1,254 1,285 1,265 1,223 1,168 1,130 1,151 1,239 1,370 1,514 1,640 1,749 1,824 1,872 1,926 1,990 74 844 865 879 881 891 912 947 994 1,054 1,126 1,190 1,221 1,202 1,163 1,111 1,076 1,096 1,180 1,305 1,443 1,563 1,667 1,740 1,785 1,838 75 773 804 825 838 839 849 868 902 947 1,003 1,072 1,133 1,163 1,144 1,107 1,059 1,024 1,044 1,123 1,242 1,374 1,488 1,587 1,656 1,699 76 709 741 771 790 802 803 813 830 862 905 958 1,022 1,080 1,110 1,092 1,056 1,009 976 995 1,070 1,182 1,308 1,415 1,508 1,573 77 650 680 711 739 756 767 768 778 793 824 864 915 976 1,030 1,058 1,040 1,006 963 930 948 1,019 1,125 1,243 1,344 1,431 78 606 622 652 681 707 723 733 734 744 758 787 825 874 930 982 1,008 991 958 917 887 902 969 1,069 1,182 1,277 79 586 582 597 625 652 678 692 701 701 711 723 752 787 833 887 936 960 944 912 872 845 858 922 1,016 1,122

80+ 3,522 3,767 3,982 4,188 4,396 4,605 4,813 5,009 5,187 5,342 5,485 5,617 5,754 5,903 6,073 6,267 6,478 6,680 6,839 6,944 6,992 7,002 7,015 7,077 7,209

Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, CENTRAL PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) District Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric) Chibombo 2.2 Kabwe 1.3 Kapiri-Mposhi 2.5 Mkushi 3.4 Mumbwa 3.3 Serenje 2.2 Central Province 2.5

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 41

Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Sex &

District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 1,355,775 1,394,423 1,433,860 1,474,093 1,515,086 1,556,974 1,599,884 1,643,810 1,688,726 1,734,601 1,781,446 1,829,283 1,878,145 1,928,094 1,979,202 2,031,534 2,085,157 2,140,139 2,196,551 2,254,435 2,313,781 2,374,598 2,436,837 2,500,462 2,565,450 Chibombo 314,151 322,121 330,206 338,405 346,706 355,138 363,726 372,467 381,349 390,366 399,514 408,796 418,217 427,786 437,516 447,418 457,502 467,779 478,261 488,951 499,844 510,937 522,215 533,665 545,279 Kabwe 208,049 211,325 214,590 217,843 221,077 224,307 227,551 230,802 234,055 237,299 240,537 243,765 246,986 250,205 253,429 256,660 259,905 263,168 266,451 269,759 273,082 276,419 279,759 283,093 286,418 Kapiri Mposhi 263,361 271,039 278,869 286,848 294,971 303,263 311,746 320,419 329,278 338,313 347,526 356,921 366,503 376,284 386,274 396,487 406,933 417,625 428,575 439,790 451,268 463,005 474,994 487,226 499,692 Mkushi 161,484 167,828 174,371 181,121 188,071 195,247 202,668 210,336 218,253 226,419 234,839 243,521 252,472 261,707 271,239 281,084 291,255 301,767 312,637 323,875 335,486 347,481 359,855 372,609 385,748 Mumbwa 236,161 245,176 254,465 264,028 273,869 284,012 294,485 305,295 316,437 327,917 339,736 351,907 364,439 377,348 390,655 404,379 418,539 433,154 448,246 463,831 479,912 496,499 513,587 531,178 549,270 Serenje 172,569 176,934 181,359 185,848 190,392 195,007 199,708 204,491 209,354 214,287 219,294 224,373 229,528 234,764 240,089 245,506 251,023 256,646 262,381 268,229 274,189 280,257 286,427 292,691 299,043

Total (Males) 673,594 692,660 712,108 731,938 752,123 772,745 793,867 815,482 837,591 860,160 883,202 906,726 930,751 955,298 980,414 1,006,130 1,032,480 1,059,489 1,087,206 1,115,639 1,144,788 1,174,654 1,205,216 1,236,450 1,268,353 Chibombo 156,708 160,695 164,738 168,836 172,982 177,192 181,480 185,843 190,278 194,778 199,343 203,974 208,674 213,445 218,296 223,233 228,260 233,382 238,607 243,934 249,362 254,888 260,506 266,208 271,991 Kabwe 101,599 103,018 104,425 105,819 107,193 108,560 109,926 111,289 112,647 113,993 115,329 116,653 117,966 119,271 120,572 121,869 123,167 124,465 125,766 127,072 128,377 129,682 130,981 132,269 133,547 Kapiri Mposhi 131,088 134,857 138,698 142,607 146,582 150,636 154,781 159,015 163,339 167,744 172,233 176,806 181,468 186,221 191,073 196,030 201,097 206,279 211,585 217,014 222,568 228,242 234,034 239,939 245,952 Mkushi 81,155 84,349 87,641 91,037 94,531 98,138 101,868 105,721 109,700 113,803 118,032 122,392 126,887 131,522 136,306 141,247 146,350 151,623 157,076 162,712 168,533 174,546 180,748 187,138 193,721 Mumbwa 117,658 122,197 126,875 131,691 136,645 141,752 147,027 152,471 158,086 163,870 169,826 175,961 182,278 188,785 195,493 202,413 209,554 216,924 224,537 232,398 240,511 248,879 257,500 266,375 275,504 Serenje 85,386 87,544 89,731 91,948 94,190 96,467 98,785 101,143 103,541 105,972 108,439 110,940 113,478 116,054 118,674 121,338 124,052 126,816 129,635 132,509 135,437 138,417 141,447 144,521 147,638

Total (Females) 682,181 701,763 721,752 742,155 762,963 784,229 806,017 828,328 851,135 874,441 898,244 922,557 947,394 972,796 998,788 1,025,404 1,052,677 1,080,650 1,109,345 1,138,796 1,168,993 1,199,944 1,231,621 1,264,012 1,297,097 Chibombo 157,443 161,426 165,468 169,569 173,724 177,946 182,246 186,624 191,071 195,588 200,171 204,822 209,543 214,341 219,220 224,185 229,242 234,397 239,654 245,017 250,482 256,049 261,709 267,457 273,288 Kabwe 106,450 108,307 110,165 112,024 113,884 115,747 117,625 119,513 121,408 123,306 125,208 127,112 129,020 130,934 132,857 134,791 136,738 138,703 140,685 142,687 144,705 146,737 148,778 150,824 152,871 Kapiri Mposhi 132,273 136,182 140,171 144,241 148,389 152,627 156,965 161,404 165,939 170,569 175,293 180,115 185,035 190,063 195,201 200,457 205,836 211,346 216,990 222,776 228,700 234,763 240,960 247,287 253,740 Mkushi 80,329 83,479 86,730 90,084 93,540 97,109 100,800 104,615 108,553 112,616 116,807 121,129 125,585 130,185 134,933 139,837 144,905 150,144 155,561 161,163 166,953 172,935 179,107 185,471 192,027 Mumbwa 118,503 122,979 127,590 132,337 137,224 142,260 147,458 152,824 158,351 164,047 169,910 175,946 182,161 188,563 195,162 201,966 208,985 216,230 223,709 231,433 239,401 247,620 256,087 264,803 273,766 Serenje 87,183 89,390 91,628 93,900 96,202 98,540 100,923 103,348 105,813 108,315 110,855 113,433 116,050 118,710 121,415 124,168 126,971 129,830 132,746 135,720 138,752 141,840 144,980 148,170 151,405

Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital

Events, Rates &

District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Life Expectancy at Birth (Males)Chibombo 53.8 54.0 54.2 54.4 54.6 54.9 55.2 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.7 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9Kabwe 48.3 48.5 48.7 49.0 49.2 49.6 50.0 50.3 50.7 51.1 51.5 51.9 52.2 52.6 53.0 53.4 53.8 54.2 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.8Kapiri Mposhi

49.1 49.3 49.6 49.8 50.0 50.4 50.8 51.1 51.5 51.9 52.2 52.6 53.0 53.4 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.2 55.6 56.0 56.3 56.7 57.1 57.4

Mkushi 57.2 57.4 57.6 57.8 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.0 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.7 61.0 61.3 61.6 61.8 62.1 62.4 62.7 63.0 63.3 63.5Mumbwa 51.2 51.4 51.6 51.8 52.0 52.4 52.7 53.1 53.4 53.8 54.1 54.5 54.8 55.2 55.5 55.9 56.2 56.6 56.9 57.2 57.6 58.0 58.3 58.7 59.0Serenje 50.7 50.9 51.1 51.4 51.6 51.9 52.3 52.6 53.0 53.3 53.7 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.1 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.2 57.6 57.9 58.3 58.6Life Expectancy at Birth (Females)Chibombo 57.6 57.7 58.0 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.2 59.6 59.9 60.3 60.7 61.1 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.7 64.1 64.5 64.9 65.2 65.6 65.9Kabwe 52.9 53.1 53.4 53.7 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.6 56.1 56.5 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.6 60.0 60.4 60.9 61.3 61.7 62.1 62.6Kapiri Mposhi

54.0 54.1 54.4 54.7 54.9 55.4 55.8 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.9 58.3 58.7 59.1 59.5 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.2 61.7 62.1 62.5 62.9 63.3

Mkushi 58.5 58.7 58.9 59.1 59.4 59.7 60.1 60.4 60.8 61.1 61.5 61.9 62.3 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.7 64.1 64.5 64.8 65.2 65.6 65.9 66.3 66.6Mumbwa 55.2 55.3 55.6 55.9 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.2Serenje 55.6 55.8 56.1 56.3 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.4 59.7 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.5 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.1 64.5Total Fertility Rate (TFR)Chibombo 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 Kabwe 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 Kapiri Mposhi

6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9

Mkushi 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 Mumbwa 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 Serenje 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4

Page 55: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

42 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHIBOMBO DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chibombo District Total Male Fe-

male Total Male Fe-male Total Male Fe-

male Total Male Fe-male Total Male Fe-

male Total Male Fe-male Total Male Fe-

male Total Male Fe-male

Total 314,151 156,708 157,443 322,121 160,695 161,426 330,206 164,738 165,468 338,405 168,836 169,569 346,706 172,982 173,724 355,138 177,192 177,946 363,726 181,480 182,246 372,467 185,843 186,624 0-4 62,049 31,160 30,889 63,799 32,046 31,753 65,229 32,770 32,460 66,384 33,351 33,033 67,370 33,845 33,525 68,340 34,332 34,008 69,336 34,835 34,501 70,350 35,349 35,001 5-9 47,559 23,800 23,760 49,126 24,584 24,542 51,071 25,555 25,515 53,244 26,642 26,601 55,417 27,729 27,688 57,382 28,712 28,670 59,070 29,556 29,514 60,455 30,247 30,208

10-14 43,801 22,073 21,728 43,934 22,167 21,767 44,058 22,254 21,804 44,378 22,436 21,942 45,066 22,795 22,271 46,193 23,370 22,823 47,742 24,151 23,591 49,660 25,116 24,544 15-19 36,475 18,515 17,959 37,544 19,099 18,445 38,442 19,572 18,869 39,146 19,942 19,204 39,660 20,220 19,441 39,968 20,397 19,571 40,113 20,493 19,620 40,250 20,584 19,666 20-24 27,386 13,325 14,061 28,736 14,157 14,579 30,244 15,076 15,168 31,730 15,967 15,764 33,070 16,750 16,320 34,243 17,411 16,832 35,281 17,973 17,308 36,155 18,429 17,726 25-29 21,296 10,165 11,131 21,431 10,203 11,228 21,634 10,313 11,321 22,035 10,561 11,474 22,709 10,983 11,726 23,693 11,594 12,099 24,942 12,361 12,581 26,335 13,207 13,128 30-34 17,876 8,756 9,120 18,194 8,760 9,434 18,535 8,781 9,754 18,844 8,806 10,038 19,089 8,830 10,259 19,265 8,854 10,411 19,419 8,901 10,519 19,643 9,017 10,626 35-39 14,630 7,480 7,149 14,828 7,509 7,318 14,955 7,492 7,462 15,083 7,460 7,623 15,260 7,433 7,826 15,510 7,428 8,082 15,819 7,444 8,376 16,153 7,475 8,678 40-44 10,664 5,606 5,058 11,250 5,890 5,360 11,866 6,171 5,696 12,423 6,408 6,016 12,865 6,578 6,287 13,171 6,674 6,497 13,369 6,709 6,660 13,507 6,704 6,803 45-49 8,325 4,176 4,148 8,444 4,291 4,153 8,588 4,421 4,166 8,812 4,583 4,228 9,143 4,782 4,360 9,593 5,020 4,573 10,138 5,285 4,853 10,713 5,546 5,166 50-54 6,484 3,071 3,412 6,698 3,175 3,523 6,881 3,274 3,608 7,039 3,370 3,670 7,182 3,468 3,714 7,304 3,566 3,737 7,412 3,669 3,744 7,547 3,786 3,760 55-59 4,365 2,103 2,262 4,626 2,199 2,427 4,931 2,310 2,621 5,229 2,423 2,806 5,493 2,530 2,963 5,716 2,629 3,086 5,909 2,721 3,187 6,075 2,809 3,266 60-64 3,984 1,887 2,097 3,930 1,885 2,044 3,869 1,880 1,989 3,863 1,892 1,970 3,939 1,929 2,010 4,110 1,995 2,115 4,356 2,086 2,270 4,643 2,192 2,452 65-69 3,227 1,525 1,702 3,366 1,579 1,787 3,505 1,635 1,870 3,611 1,683 1,928 3,665 1,714 1,951 3,660 1,727 1,933 3,609 1,724 1,885 3,554 1,719 1,835 70-74 2,398 1,163 1,235 2,416 1,165 1,251 2,439 1,167 1,272 2,479 1,177 1,302 2,544 1,197 1,348 2,638 1,229 1,410 2,754 1,272 1,482 2,869 1,317 1,552 75-79 1,691 876 815 1,725 887 837 1,767 902 866 1,806 914 891 1,831 923 908 1,847 927 920 1,857 927 930 1,872 928 944 80+ 1,942 1,026 916 2,075 1,099 977 2,192 1,163 1,029 2,300 1,221 1,078 2,403 1,275 1,128 2,504 1,327 1,177 2,600 1,374 1,226 2,688 1,417 1,271

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chibombo District

Total Male Fe-male

Total Male Fe-male

Total Male Fe-male

Total Male Fe-male

Total Male Fe-male

Total 381,349 190,278 191,071 390,366 194,778 195,588 437,516 218,296 219,220 488,951 243,934 245,017 545,279 271,991 273,288 0-4 71,375 35,871 35,504 72,421 36,404 36,017 77,581 39,037 38,545 83,690 42,156 41,534 90,582 45,667 44,915 5-9 61,577 30,803 30,774 62,534 31,277 31,257 67,435 33,745 33,690 72,443 36,287 36,157 78,375 39,290 39,085

10-14 51,800 26,196 25,604 53,943 27,277 26,667 61,023 30,840 30,183 65,932 33,342 32,590 70,978 35,924 35,054 15-19 40,567 20,761 19,806 41,226 21,106 20,119 49,558 25,340 24,217 56,237 28,728 27,509 60,922 31,121 29,801 20-24 36,844 18,787 18,057 37,349 19,054 18,295 38,927 19,926 19,001 47,015 24,003 23,012 53,523 27,265 26,258 25-29 27,710 14,027 13,683 28,955 14,751 14,204 32,994 16,903 16,091 34,555 17,744 16,811 42,103 21,523 20,580 30-34 20,057 9,263 10,794 20,735 9,673 11,061 26,924 13,312 13,612 31,050 15,459 15,591 32,801 16,374 16,426 35-39 16,463 7,512 8,951 16,719 7,550 9,169 18,394 8,398 9,996 24,232 11,791 12,440 28,250 13,868 14,383 40-44 13,650 6,687 6,963 13,841 6,676 7,165 15,340 6,856 8,484 17,037 7,707 9,330 22,665 10,947 11,718 45-49 11,238 5,771 5,468 11,663 5,936 5,727 12,689 6,090 6,599 14,204 6,315 7,889 15,919 7,164 8,755 50-54 7,753 3,932 3,821 8,057 4,111 3,946 10,388 5,158 5,230 11,410 5,340 6,070 12,895 5,584 7,311 55-59 6,218 2,895 3,324 6,351 2,983 3,367 7,158 3,564 3,595 9,289 4,504 4,785 10,273 4,692 5,581 60-64 4,926 2,300 2,626 5,175 2,404 2,772 6,001 2,846 3,154 6,789 3,415 3,374 8,838 4,335 4,503 65-69 3,549 1,730 1,819 3,621 1,763 1,858 4,764 2,194 2,570 5,518 2,592 2,926 6,245 3,109 3,136 70-74 2,954 1,354 1,601 2,998 1,378 1,620 2,971 1,415 1,557 3,921 1,753 2,169 4,542 2,064 2,478 75-79 1,899 934 965 1,947 949 998 2,279 1,083 1,196 2,250 1,102 1,149 2,941 1,348 1,593 80+ 2,767 1,455 1,311 2,832 1,486 1,345 3,091 1,590 1,501 3,379 1,697 1,682 3,425 1,715 1,710

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 43

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KABWE DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kabwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 208,049 101,599 106,450 211,325 103,018 108,307 214,590 104,425 110,165 217,843 105,819 112,024 221,077 107,193 113,884 224,307 108,560 115,747 227,551 109,926 117,625 230,802 111,289 119,513 0-4 31,611 15,925 15,686 32,193 16,191 16,002 32,600 16,367 16,233 32,859 16,467 16,393 33,030 16,521 16,509 33,186 16,568 16,618 33,349 16,620 16,728 33,509 16,673 16,836 5-9 25,516 12,491 13,025 26,106 12,755 13,351 26,882 13,108 13,774 27,759 13,509 14,250 28,618 13,900 14,718 29,353 14,230 15,123 29,929 14,481 15,448 30,337 14,651 15,686

10-14 27,320 13,069 14,251 27,143 12,976 14,168 26,960 12,878 14,082 26,898 12,835 14,063 27,056 12,892 14,164 27,471 13,067 14,404 28,123 13,350 14,773 28,973 13,725 15,248 15-19 29,163 13,959 15,204 29,731 14,234 15,496 30,151 14,420 15,731 30,411 14,525 15,886 30,519 14,559 15,959 30,463 14,520 15,943 30,282 14,424 15,859 30,092 14,322 15,770 20-24 21,440 10,278 11,162 22,280 10,795 11,485 23,221 11,364 11,857 24,126 11,898 12,228 24,902 12,340 12,562 25,538 12,682 12,857 26,060 12,942 13,118 26,447 13,119 13,328 25-29 16,702 7,521 9,180 16,653 7,464 9,190 16,653 7,458 9,195 16,798 7,550 9,247 17,140 7,762 9,378 17,703 8,101 9,602 18,446 8,539 9,906 19,275 9,019 10,256 30-34 13,730 6,644 7,085 13,845 6,572 7,273 13,975 6,512 7,462 14,077 6,456 7,621 14,129 6,400 7,729 14,128 6,345 7,783 14,108 6,306 7,802 14,134 6,315 7,820 35-39 11,547 6,092 5,455 11,588 6,046 5,541 11,570 5,964 5,607 11,554 5,870 5,684 11,573 5,782 5,791 11,647 5,713 5,934 11,761 5,660 6,102 11,891 5,618 6,272 40-44 8,414 4,505 3,910 8,790 4,679 4,111 9,181 4,846 4,335 9,518 4,974 4,543 9,761 5,049 4,712 9,896 5,064 4,832 9,948 5,033 4,915 9,952 4,972 4,980 45-49 6,371 3,144 3,227 6,399 3,193 3,205 6,444 3,253 3,191 6,547 3,333 3,214 6,727 3,438 3,289 6,991 3,569 3,423 7,318 3,714 3,604 7,660 3,853 3,807 50-54 5,357 2,582 2,774 5,481 2,639 2,842 5,578 2,690 2,888 5,653 2,737 2,915 5,713 2,785 2,928 5,755 2,832 2,923 5,786 2,880 2,906 5,834 2,938 2,896 55-59 3,605 1,882 1,723 3,780 1,945 1,835 3,986 2,020 1,966 4,183 2,095 2,089 4,351 2,163 2,188 4,484 2,222 2,262 4,592 2,274 2,318 4,676 2,320 2,356 60-64 2,600 1,360 1,240 2,543 1,343 1,200 2,483 1,324 1,158 2,456 1,317 1,139 2,480 1,328 1,153 2,561 1,357 1,203 2,685 1,403 1,282 2,831 1,458 1,373 65-69 1,728 858 870 1,785 878 907 1,840 899 941 1,878 915 963 1,888 921 967 1,868 917 951 1,826 905 920 1,781 893 888 70-74 1,252 571 681 1,250 565 685 1,251 560 691 1,260 558 702 1,282 561 721 1,318 570 749 1,364 583 781 1,408 597 811 75-79 778 329 449 788 330 458 801 331 470 812 332 480 817 332 485 817 329 488 815 326 489 815 322 493 80+ 916 389 528 970 411 558 1,014 430 584 1,054 447 607 1,091 461 630 1,127 474 653 1,160 486 674 1,189 495 694

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kabwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 234,055 112,647 121,408 237,299 113,993 123,306 253,429 120,572 132,857 269,759 127,072 142,687 286,418 133,547 152,871 0-4 33,662 16,723 16,940 33,811 16,770 17,041 34,323 16,886 17,437 35,046 17,081 17,965 35,954 17,364 18,590 5-9 30,597 14,747 15,850 30,761 14,796 15,964 31,443 14,990 16,453 31,981 15,100 16,882 32,805 15,342 17,463

10-14 29,927 14,149 15,778 30,853 14,558 16,295 33,091 15,456 17,635 33,858 15,653 18,206 34,565 15,826 18,739 15-19 30,031 14,278 15,753 30,212 14,343 15,869 34,433 16,170 18,263 37,006 17,172 19,835 38,018 17,456 20,562 20-24 26,685 13,218 13,467 26,778 13,247 13,530 26,445 13,009 13,436 30,237 14,679 15,558 32,635 15,647 16,988 25-29 20,071 9,468 10,603 20,753 9,839 10,914 22,409 10,587 11,822 22,219 10,410 11,809 25,683 11,849 13,834 30-34 14,291 6,412 7,879 14,623 6,617 8,006 17,971 8,550 9,421 19,617 9,301 10,316 19,646 9,245 10,401 35-39 11,998 5,581 6,417 12,061 5,543 6,518 12,583 5,789 6,794 15,698 7,614 8,084 17,347 8,403 8,944 40-44 9,958 4,901 5,056 9,995 4,836 5,159 10,504 4,663 5,841 11,052 4,910 6,142 13,926 6,545 7,381 45-49 7,958 3,962 3,996 8,178 4,028 4,151 8,453 3,880 4,573 8,995 3,769 5,227 9,563 4,012 5,550 50-54 5,934 3,016 2,918 6,104 3,115 2,989 7,458 3,670 3,788 7,763 3,560 4,203 8,337 3,493 4,844 55-59 4,742 2,363 2,379 4,796 2,406 2,390 5,138 2,699 2,439 6,300 3,195 3,104 6,589 3,124 3,465 60-64 2,971 1,512 1,459 3,088 1,561 1,527 3,398 1,736 1,662 3,651 1,952 1,699 4,495 2,325 2,170 65-69 1,761 888 874 1,779 894 885 2,215 1,045 1,170 2,430 1,156 1,274 2,608 1,301 1,307 70-74 1,436 606 830 1,443 610 833 1,353 588 765 1,701 682 1,019 1,869 754 1,115 75-79 820 321 499 834 322 512 932 345 587 867 329 539 1,093 377 715 80+ 1,213 503 710 1,230 507 722 1,280 510 770 1,335 509 825 1,286 483 803

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44 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAPIRI MPOSHI DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kapiri Mposhi District

Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 263,361 131,088 132,273 271,039 134,857 136,182 278,869 138,698 140,171 286,848 142,607 144,241 294,971 146,582 148,389 303,263 150,636 152,627 311,746 154,781 156,965 320,419 159,015 161,404 0-4 50,198 25,209 24,989 51,806 26,012 25,794 53,164 26,688 26,476 54,302 27,249 27,053 55,308 27,741 27,567 56,306 28,229 28,077 57,331 28,732 28,599 58,377 29,247 29,130 5-9 39,427 19,690 19,738 40,878 20,406 20,472 42,654 21,283 21,371 44,631 22,260 22,371 46,621 23,242 23,379 48,448 24,142 24,306 50,051 24,929 25,122 51,409 25,592 25,817

10-14 35,860 17,993 17,867 36,103 18,130 17,973 36,338 18,261 18,077 36,736 18,470 18,266 37,440 18,826 18,615 38,514 19,361 19,153 39,948 20,071 19,878 41,702 20,938 20,764 15-19 30,239 15,142 15,097 31,241 15,671 15,570 32,105 16,113 15,993 32,812 16,470 16,342 33,364 16,753 16,611 33,743 16,953 16,790 33,986 17,086 16,900 34,223 17,216 17,007 20-24 22,887 10,933 11,954 24,100 11,655 12,445 25,453 12,452 13,001 26,797 13,231 13,566 28,026 13,924 14,102 29,123 14,520 14,603 30,112 15,035 15,077 30,968 15,465 15,503 25-29 18,578 8,716 9,862 18,766 8,778 9,988 19,015 8,902 10,112 19,436 9,146 10,291 20,100 9,541 10,559 21,043 10,104 10,939 22,227 10,806 11,420 23,547 11,582 11,965 30-34 15,102 7,378 7,724 15,429 7,407 8,022 15,778 7,449 8,328 16,100 7,494 8,606 16,370 7,539 8,831 16,582 7,583 8,998 16,775 7,647 9,128 17,029 7,771 9,258 35-39 12,896 6,680 6,216 13,118 6,728 6,390 13,277 6,735 6,542 13,438 6,728 6,710 13,642 6,725 6,917 13,914 6,742 7,172 14,239 6,777 7,462 14,590 6,827 7,763 40-44 9,397 5,000 4,397 9,950 5,271 4,679 10,533 5,541 4,992 11,066 5,772 5,294 11,500 5,945 5,555 11,814 6,051 5,764 12,034 6,101 5,932 12,200 6,116 6,084 45-49 7,323 3,709 3,614 7,456 3,823 3,633 7,612 3,952 3,660 7,840 4,110 3,729 8,164 4,302 3,861 8,597 4,531 4,066 9,117 4,785 4,332 9,668 5,037 4,631 50-54 5,775 2,752 3,023 5,988 2,855 3,133 6,175 2,953 3,222 6,340 3,049 3,291 6,492 3,148 3,344 6,626 3,248 3,378 6,749 3,351 3,398 6,896 3,470 3,427 55-59 4,158 2,052 2,106 4,421 2,153 2,269 4,729 2,269 2,460 5,032 2,388 2,645 5,305 2,501 2,803 5,540 2,607 2,932 5,748 2,707 3,041 5,931 2,803 3,128 60-64 3,693 1,811 1,882 3,658 1,815 1,843 3,617 1,816 1,800 3,625 1,834 1,791 3,710 1,875 1,835 3,883 1,945 1,938 4,129 2,040 2,089 4,415 2,151 2,264 65-69 2,821 1,335 1,486 2,953 1,386 1,567 3,086 1,441 1,645 3,191 1,487 1,704 3,251 1,520 1,731 3,258 1,536 1,722 3,224 1,538 1,686 3,186 1,539 1,648 70-74 2,090 1,094 996 2,113 1,100 1,013 2,140 1,106 1,034 2,182 1,119 1,063 2,246 1,141 1,105 2,336 1,175 1,160 2,445 1,220 1,225 2,555 1,268 1,287 75-79 1,457 775 682 1,492 788 704 1,534 803 731 1,572 817 755 1,600 827 773 1,620 834 786 1,634 836 798 1,653 840 813 80+ 1,460 818 641 1,566 879 686 1,660 934 726 1,748 984 764 1,833 1,031 802 1,916 1,075 841 1,996 1,117 879 2,071 1,156 915

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kapiri Mposhi District

Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 329,278 163,339 165,939 338,313 167,744 170,569 386,274 191,073 195,201 439,790 217,014 222,776 499,692 245,952 253,740 0-4 59,441 29,773 29,669 60,530 30,311 30,219 66,017 33,019 32,998 72,481 36,201 36,280 79,812 39,805 40,008 5-9 52,551 26,144 26,407 53,560 26,630 26,930 58,805 29,189 29,617 64,297 31,865 32,431 70,771 35,020 35,751

10-14 43,656 21,907 21,749 45,626 22,883 22,742 52,549 26,284 26,265 57,785 28,849 28,937 63,289 31,550 31,739 15-19 34,617 17,419 17,198 35,305 17,764 17,541 43,210 21,667 21,543 49,906 24,937 24,968 55,004 27,420 27,584 20-24 31,671 15,814 15,857 32,221 16,090 16,131 34,188 17,094 17,094 42,029 20,906 21,123 48,681 24,103 24,579 25-29 24,862 12,340 12,522 26,068 13,017 13,051 30,240 15,154 15,085 32,231 16,150 16,081 39,959 19,884 20,075 30-34 17,450 8,008 9,442 18,105 8,389 9,715 23,928 11,729 12,199 28,084 13,828 14,256 30,183 14,867 15,317 35-39 14,922 6,882 8,040 15,207 6,939 8,268 17,038 7,841 9,197 22,856 11,177 11,679 27,112 13,342 13,770 40-44 12,371 6,119 6,252 12,588 6,129 6,459 14,198 6,393 7,805 16,054 7,297 8,758 21,736 10,520 11,216 45-49 10,178 5,257 4,921 10,600 5,425 5,175 11,738 5,654 6,084 13,374 5,952 7,422 15,253 6,854 8,399 50-54 7,110 3,614 3,496 7,416 3,790 3,625 9,734 4,831 4,903 10,884 5,078 5,806 12,521 5,391 7,130 55-59 6,094 2,898 3,196 6,247 2,996 3,251 7,177 3,636 3,541 9,474 4,664 4,810 10,654 4,932 5,721 60-64 4,700 2,265 2,435 4,954 2,374 2,581 5,853 2,856 2,997 6,749 3,479 3,270 8,934 4,482 4,452 65-69 3,193 1,553 1,640 3,270 1,588 1,682 4,381 2,007 2,374 5,166 2,408 2,758 5,946 2,932 3,014 70-74 2,641 1,307 1,334 2,690 1,335 1,355 2,720 1,392 1,328 3,639 1,751 1,888 4,294 2,093 2,200 75-79 1,683 848 834 1,730 864 867 2,061 1,002 1,059 2,073 1,035 1,038 2,754 1,285 1,469 80+ 2,139 1,191 948 2,197 1,220 977 2,438 1,326 1,112 2,707 1,436 1,271 2,791 1,474 1,318

Page 58: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 45

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MKUSHI DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mkushi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 161,484 81,155 80,329 167,828 84,349 83,479 174,371 87,641 86,730 181,121 91,037 90,084 188,071 94,531 93,540 195,247 98,138 97,109 202,668 101,868 100,800 210,336 105,721 104,615 0-4 32,794 16,376 16,418 34,183 17,075 17,109 35,429 17,700 17,730 36,549 18,259 18,291 37,596 18,779 18,817 38,652 19,303 19,349 39,742 19,846 19,896 40,864 20,405 20,459 5-9 24,576 12,317 12,259 25,736 12,899 12,837 27,122 13,593 13,529 28,662 14,364 14,299 30,237 15,151 15,086 31,732 15,897 15,835 33,104 16,582 16,523 34,335 17,194 17,141

10-14 21,426 10,509 10,917 21,787 10,700 11,087 22,147 10,890 11,258 22,613 11,128 11,485 23,275 11,458 11,816 24,178 11,904 12,275 25,325 12,465 12,860 26,696 13,135 13,562 15-19 18,193 8,782 9,411 18,983 9,184 9,798 19,702 9,541 10,161 20,337 9,853 10,483 20,883 10,125 10,758 21,328 10,350 10,978 21,692 10,537 11,155 22,057 10,724 11,333 20-24 14,285 6,774 7,511 15,192 7,297 7,895 16,204 7,877 8,327 17,228 8,456 8,772 18,196 8,990 9,206 19,095 9,470 9,625 19,937 9,905 10,031 20,704 10,291 10,413 25-29 12,391 6,041 6,350 12,641 6,148 6,493 12,936 6,300 6,637 13,357 6,539 6,819 13,955 6,891 7,064 14,760 7,372 7,388 15,750 7,964 7,786 16,857 8,621 8,236 30-34 9,515 4,958 4,557 9,807 5,030 4,778 10,119 5,111 5,008 10,419 5,195 5,225 10,692 5,279 5,413 10,932 5,364 5,568 11,166 5,464 5,702 11,447 5,608 5,839 35-39 8,038 4,366 3,672 8,254 4,443 3,811 8,433 4,494 3,939 8,614 4,535 4,079 8,825 4,580 4,245 9,082 4,638 4,444 9,377 4,709 4,668 9,694 4,792 4,902 40-44 5,681 3,162 2,518 6,074 3,369 2,705 6,492 3,578 2,914 6,885 3,766 3,120 7,223 3,918 3,305 7,490 4,028 3,462 7,700 4,103 3,597 7,878 4,154 3,724 45-49 4,146 2,263 1,884 4,269 2,357 1,912 4,406 2,462 1,944 4,587 2,587 2,000 4,826 2,735 2,091 5,133 2,910 2,223 5,495 3,104 2,391 5,880 3,300 2,580 50-54 3,171 1,742 1,429 3,321 1,826 1,495 3,461 1,908 1,553 3,592 1,991 1,601 3,719 2,076 1,643 3,839 2,164 1,675 3,957 2,256 1,701 4,091 2,359 1,732 55-59 2,043 1,110 933 2,192 1,177 1,015 2,364 1,253 1,111 2,538 1,332 1,206 2,701 1,410 1,290 2,848 1,485 1,363 2,984 1,558 1,426 3,110 1,629 1,481 60-64 1,737 845 892 1,738 856 882 1,735 866 869 1,756 883 873 1,815 912 903 1,919 956 963 2,061 1,013 1,048 2,225 1,078 1,147 65-69 1,310 675 635 1,384 709 675 1,461 744 716 1,525 776 749 1,569 801 768 1,589 818 771 1,590 827 763 1,588 836 752 70-74 933 533 400 952 542 411 973 550 423 1,002 562 440 1,040 579 461 1,092 603 489 1,153 632 521 1,216 663 553 75-79 647 363 284 668 373 296 694 384 310 718 395 323 738 404 334 754 411 343 768 417 352 784 422 362 80+ 597 336 261 647 365 282 693 391 301 737 416 320 780 441 339 824 465 359 867 488 379 908 510 398

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mkushi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 218,253 109,700 108,553 226,419 113,803 112,616 271,239 136,306 134,933 323,875 162,712 161,163 385,748 193,721 192,027 0-4 42,017 20,981 21,036 43,208 21,576 21,632 49,502 24,717 24,786 57,091 28,499 28,592 65,946 32,903 33,043 5-9 35,443 17,742 17,701 36,479 18,255 18,224 42,072 21,041 21,031 48,320 24,158 24,163 55,791 27,877 27,914

10-14 28,222 13,881 14,341 29,786 14,646 15,140 36,037 17,691 18,347 41,628 20,421 21,208 47,827 23,448 24,379 15-19 22,529 10,960 11,570 23,203 11,290 11,913 29,834 14,481 15,353 36,198 17,528 18,670 41,852 20,237 21,615 20-24 21,382 10,630 10,753 21,968 10,924 11,043 24,484 12,205 12,280 31,619 15,698 15,921 38,418 19,003 19,415 25-29 17,979 9,278 8,701 19,043 9,887 9,156 23,208 12,104 11,105 25,986 13,566 12,420 33,787 17,537 16,250 30-34 11,850 5,838 6,012 12,423 6,178 6,245 17,310 9,082 8,228 21,350 11,261 10,089 24,072 12,712 11,360 35-39 10,005 4,879 5,125 10,291 4,969 5,322 12,117 5,905 6,211 17,128 8,852 8,276 21,321 11,096 10,225 40-44 8,062 4,198 3,864 8,278 4,247 4,030 9,769 4,659 5,110 11,608 5,593 6,016 16,540 8,466 8,074 45-49 6,247 3,479 2,768 6,566 3,627 2,939 7,600 3,975 3,626 9,041 4,401 4,640 10,824 5,321 5,503 50-54 4,266 2,482 1,784 4,497 2,629 1,867 6,174 3,525 2,650 7,189 3,896 3,292 8,580 4,342 4,238 55-59 3,229 1,701 1,528 3,346 1,776 1,569 4,060 2,267 1,794 5,615 3,059 2,556 6,582 3,396 3,187 60-64 2,392 1,147 1,245 2,546 1,214 1,332 3,159 1,536 1,623 3,827 1,968 1,859 5,314 2,662 2,651 65-69 1,608 853 756 1,663 880 783 2,329 1,170 1,159 2,889 1,477 1,413 3,506 1,888 1,618 70-74 1,269 691 578 1,306 713 593 1,392 781 610 1,944 1,034 910 2,409 1,298 1,111 75-79 806 431 375 836 443 393 1,045 541 504 1,105 587 518 1,534 766 768 80+ 947 530 417 982 549 433 1,145 627 518 1,335 714 621 1,444 770 675

Page 59: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

46 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MUMBWA DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mumbwa District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 236,161 117,658 118,503 245,176 122,197 122,979 254,465 126,875 127,590 264,028 131,691 132,337 273,869 136,645 137,224 284,012 141,752 142,260 294,485 147,027 147,458 305,295 152,471 152,824 0-4 46,392 23,337 23,056 48,288 24,301 23,986 49,976 25,162 24,815 51,484 25,928 25,556 52,891 26,643 26,248 54,314 27,367 26,947 55,788 28,120 27,668 57,306 28,898 28,407 5-9 36,755 18,502 18,252 38,433 19,352 19,081 40,445 20,369 20,076 42,682 21,501 21,181 44,970 22,659 22,311 47,140 23,758 23,382 49,126 24,767 24,360 50,903 25,669 25,234

10-14 32,430 16,256 16,174 32,929 16,531 16,398 33,427 16,804 16,623 34,082 17,153 16,930 35,036 17,646 17,390 36,355 18,319 18,036 38,039 19,172 18,867 40,059 20,192 19,866 15-19 27,725 14,202 13,523 28,890 14,833 14,056 29,944 15,392 14,552 30,866 15,878 14,987 31,656 16,302 15,355 32,296 16,652 15,644 32,815 16,943 15,872 33,336 17,235 16,101 20-24 20,600 10,137 10,463 21,885 10,906 10,979 23,319 11,759 11,560 24,767 12,610 12,157 26,132 13,394 12,738 27,395 14,099 13,296 28,575 14,738 13,836 29,647 15,305 14,342 25-29 16,134 7,602 8,532 16,437 7,727 8,710 16,796 7,908 8,888 17,315 8,199 9,116 18,062 8,634 9,428 19,075 9,230 9,845 20,325 9,965 10,360 21,724 10,782 10,942 30-34 13,295 6,475 6,821 13,700 6,560 7,140 14,129 6,658 7,471 14,541 6,760 7,781 14,911 6,863 8,048 15,235 6,969 8,266 15,546 7,094 8,452 15,920 7,278 8,641 35-39 10,660 5,387 5,273 10,938 5,476 5,462 11,169 5,532 5,637 11,404 5,577 5,827 11,681 5,627 6,055 12,022 5,694 6,328 12,415 5,778 6,637 12,836 5,876 6,960 40-44 7,915 4,064 3,851 8,454 4,324 4,130 9,028 4,587 4,441 9,569 4,822 4,747 10,034 5,013 5,020 10,401 5,150 5,251 10,690 5,243 5,447 10,937 5,306 5,632 45-49 6,092 3,009 3,083 6,254 3,131 3,123 6,437 3,266 3,171 6,685 3,428 3,257 7,021 3,622 3,399 7,458 3,850 3,608 7,979 4,105 3,875 8,537 4,362 4,175 50-54 4,913 2,309 2,604 5,138 2,417 2,720 5,343 2,523 2,820 5,532 2,630 2,903 5,713 2,740 2,973 5,881 2,854 3,027 6,042 2,973 3,069 6,228 3,108 3,120 55-59 3,429 1,684 1,745 3,678 1,783 1,895 3,967 1,896 2,071 4,258 2,014 2,244 4,527 2,129 2,398 4,769 2,241 2,528 4,991 2,349 2,642 5,195 2,455 2,740 60-64 2,894 1,324 1,570 2,889 1,339 1,549 2,878 1,353 1,525 2,907 1,378 1,529 3,001 1,422 1,579 3,171 1,490 1,681 3,404 1,577 1,826 3,675 1,678 1,996 65-69 2,344 1,093 1,251 2,475 1,145 1,329 2,609 1,201 1,407 2,720 1,252 1,469 2,795 1,291 1,504 2,825 1,317 1,508 2,820 1,331 1,488 2,811 1,345 1,466 70-74 1,662 821 840 1,695 833 862 1,732 845 886 1,782 863 919 1,851 888 962 1,942 924 1,018 2,052 968 1,084 2,164 1,015 1,148 75-79 1,284 643 641 1,327 660 667 1,377 679 698 1,424 697 727 1,462 712 750 1,493 724 769 1,520 734 786 1,552 744 808 80+ 1,636 810 826 1,769 878 891 1,891 941 950 2,008 1,001 1,007 2,124 1,058 1,066 2,241 1,115 1,126 2,356 1,169 1,187 2,467 1,221 1,246

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mumbwa District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 316,437 158,086 158,351 327,917 163,870 164,047 390,655 195,493 195,162 463,831 232,398 231,433 549,270 275,504 273,766 0-4 58,863 29,699 29,163 60,466 30,524 29,942 68,851 34,845 34,007 78,941 40,044 38,897 90,763 46,158 44,605 5-9 52,491 26,474 26,017 53,967 27,223 26,744 61,860 31,268 30,592 70,631 35,781 34,850 81,174 41,224 39,950

10-14 42,304 21,329 20,975 44,600 22,491 22,109 53,629 27,072 26,557 61,584 31,146 30,439 70,426 35,707 34,719 15-19 34,017 17,605 16,412 34,998 18,125 16,873 44,720 23,166 21,554 53,937 27,949 25,988 62,072 32,216 29,856 20-24 30,587 15,801 14,786 31,391 16,229 15,162 34,780 18,068 16,712 44,646 23,162 21,483 53,991 27,995 25,996 25-29 23,140 11,598 11,542 24,478 12,352 12,126 29,647 15,068 14,579 33,000 16,832 16,167 42,714 21,725 20,988 30-34 16,456 7,572 8,884 17,222 8,009 9,213 23,766 11,733 12,033 29,129 14,499 14,629 32,687 16,342 16,345 35-39 13,246 5,981 7,265 13,619 6,088 7,531 15,922 7,209 8,714 22,282 10,771 11,511 27,592 13,479 14,113 40-44 11,193 5,359 5,834 11,494 5,419 6,075 13,558 5,924 7,635 15,999 7,087 8,912 22,580 10,711 11,869 45-49 9,068 4,597 4,472 9,529 4,789 4,740 11,027 5,230 5,797 13,127 5,771 7,356 15,624 6,967 8,657 50-54 6,477 3,268 3,208 6,814 3,460 3,354 9,339 4,622 4,717 10,904 5,092 5,811 13,089 5,667 7,422 55-59 5,385 2,562 2,822 5,568 2,674 2,894 6,679 3,401 3,278 9,206 4,573 4,632 10,800 5,070 5,730 60-64 3,948 1,784 2,164 4,199 1,888 2,311 5,172 2,380 2,792 6,209 3,039 3,169 8,591 4,105 4,487 65-69 2,841 1,370 1,471 2,935 1,414 1,521 4,106 1,874 2,232 5,054 2,356 2,698 6,073 3,007 3,066 70-74 2,256 1,057 1,199 2,318 1,090 1,228 2,443 1,191 1,252 3,422 1,570 1,852 4,212 1,968 2,244 75-79 1,594 759 836 1,655 780 875 2,060 948 1,112 2,160 1,026 1,134 3,004 1,336 1,668 80+ 2,571 1,270 1,301 2,665 1,314 1,351 3,096 1,496 1,599 3,601 1,699 1,902 3,878 1,827 2,051

Page 60: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 47

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SERENJE DISTRICT, Central Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Serenje District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 172,569 85,386 87,183 176,934 87,544 89,390 181,359 89,731 91,628 185,848 91,948 93,900 190,392 94,190 96,202 195,007 96,467 98,540 199,708 98,785 100,923 204,491 101,143 103,348 0-4 34,931 17,433 17,499 35,919 17,929 17,990 36,725 18,334 18,392 37,375 18,658 18,717 37,928 18,933 18,995 38,469 19,202 19,267 39,024 19,479 19,545 39,589 19,763 19,826 5-9 27,177 13,634 13,542 28,074 14,084 13,990 29,186 14,641 14,546 30,428 15,263 15,165 31,668 15,884 15,784 32,787 16,444 16,343 33,746 16,924 16,822 34,533 17,317 17,216

10-14 23,239 11,797 11,441 23,311 11,848 11,463 23,378 11,895 11,483 23,548 11,992 11,556 23,911 12,182 11,729 24,506 12,487 12,019 25,324 12,902 12,422 26,338 13,415 12,923 15-19 19,480 9,642 9,838 20,051 9,946 10,105 20,530 10,193 10,338 20,906 10,385 10,521 21,179 10,528 10,651 21,340 10,619 10,721 21,414 10,667 10,747 21,483 10,712 10,771 20-24 13,849 6,348 7,501 14,523 6,744 7,779 15,275 7,182 8,093 16,017 7,606 8,411 16,686 7,978 8,708 17,272 8,292 8,980 17,791 8,558 9,233 18,229 8,773 9,456 25-29 11,760 5,378 6,382 11,837 5,399 6,438 11,949 5,457 6,492 12,168 5,588 6,580 12,535 5,810 6,724 13,070 6,133 6,937 13,750 6,537 7,213 14,509 6,984 7,526 30-34 9,373 4,608 4,765 9,540 4,611 4,930 9,719 4,622 5,097 9,880 4,634 5,246 10,008 4,647 5,361 10,099 4,658 5,441 10,178 4,682 5,496 10,294 4,742 5,552 35-39 8,210 4,083 4,127 8,324 4,099 4,225 8,398 4,090 4,308 8,473 4,072 4,401 8,575 4,057 4,518 8,719 4,053 4,666 8,896 4,061 4,834 9,086 4,077 5,009 40-44 5,855 3,161 2,694 6,176 3,321 2,855 6,513 3,479 3,034 6,817 3,613 3,204 7,057 3,709 3,349 7,222 3,762 3,460 7,328 3,781 3,547 7,400 3,778 3,623 45-49 4,920 2,520 2,399 4,992 2,590 2,402 5,078 2,669 2,410 5,212 2,766 2,446 5,408 2,886 2,522 5,674 3,029 2,645 5,995 3,188 2,806 6,333 3,345 2,988 50-54 3,827 1,874 1,953 3,954 1,937 2,017 4,063 1,997 2,066 4,157 2,055 2,101 4,242 2,115 2,127 4,314 2,175 2,139 4,380 2,237 2,143 4,460 2,308 2,152 55-59 2,611 1,286 1,325 2,766 1,344 1,422 2,948 1,412 1,536 3,125 1,481 1,645 3,283 1,546 1,736 3,415 1,607 1,809 3,530 1,663 1,868 3,629 1,716 1,914 60-64 2,402 1,123 1,279 2,369 1,122 1,247 2,333 1,119 1,214 2,329 1,126 1,202 2,374 1,148 1,227 2,477 1,187 1,291 2,626 1,241 1,385 2,799 1,303 1,496 65-69 1,712 787 925 1,785 814 971 1,859 843 1,016 1,916 868 1,048 1,944 884 1,060 1,941 890 1,050 1,913 889 1,024 1,883 886 997 70-74 1,365 656 708 1,375 657 718 1,388 659 729 1,411 664 747 1,448 675 773 1,502 693 809 1,568 718 850 1,633 743 890 75-79 1,008 554 454 1,028 561 467 1,053 570 483 1,075 578 497 1,090 584 506 1,099 586 513 1,105 586 519 1,113 586 526 80+ 852 502 350 911 538 373 962 570 393 1,010 598 412 1,055 625 430 1,099 649 449 1,140 673 468 1,179 694 485

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Serenje District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 209,354 103,541 105,813 214,287 105,972 108,315 240,089 118,674 121,415 268,229 132,509 135,720 299,043 147,638 151,405 0-4 40,164 20,052 20,111 40,751 20,347 20,403 43,662 21,811 21,851 47,119 23,568 23,551 50,964 25,514 25,450 5-9 35,171 17,632 17,539 35,716 17,901 17,815 38,523 19,307 19,216 41,401 20,774 20,628 44,761 22,478 22,283

10-14 27,471 13,990 13,481 28,607 14,565 14,041 32,367 16,462 15,904 34,985 17,808 17,177 37,637 19,175 18,463 15-19 21,651 10,803 10,848 22,001 10,981 11,021 26,454 13,179 13,275 30,032 14,950 15,082 32,512 16,184 16,328 20-24 18,575 8,942 9,632 18,828 9,068 9,760 19,624 9,480 10,144 23,715 11,427 12,288 26,982 12,971 14,012 25-29 15,260 7,416 7,844 15,941 7,798 8,143 18,164 8,932 9,232 19,030 9,382 9,647 23,175 11,373 11,802 30-34 10,510 4,871 5,640 10,866 5,086 5,780 14,114 6,997 7,118 16,284 8,130 8,154 17,191 8,606 8,585 35-39 9,263 4,097 5,166 9,409 4,117 5,292 10,352 4,578 5,774 13,619 6,432 7,187 15,863 7,559 8,304 40-44 7,475 3,767 3,708 7,576 3,761 3,816 8,382 3,860 4,521 9,316 4,342 4,974 12,406 6,164 6,242 45-49 6,642 3,480 3,162 6,891 3,579 3,312 7,490 3,670 3,819 8,375 3,808 4,567 9,382 4,318 5,065 50-54 4,583 2,397 2,187 4,764 2,505 2,259 6,138 3,142 2,996 6,733 3,255 3,478 7,588 3,402 4,186 55-59 3,715 1,768 1,948 3,795 1,822 1,973 4,283 2,175 2,108 5,557 2,751 2,807 6,135 2,864 3,271 60-64 2,970 1,368 1,602 3,120 1,429 1,691 3,618 1,692 1,926 4,092 2,031 2,060 5,325 2,577 2,748 65-69 1,880 891 988 1,918 908 1,010 2,527 1,130 1,397 2,927 1,336 1,591 3,306 1,601 1,704 70-74 1,682 763 918 1,706 777 929 1,691 797 893 2,234 989 1,245 2,585 1,164 1,422 75-79 1,128 590 538 1,156 599 556 1,351 684 667 1,337 696 641 1,740 851 889 80+ 1,213 712 500 1,241 727 514 1,351 778 573 1,473 830 643 1,492 839 653

Page 61: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

48 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

Region

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 2,143,413 2,195,878 2,249,824 2,305,258 2,362,207 2,420,678 2,480,657 2,542,132 2,605,116 2,669,635 2,735,763 2,803,519 2,872,875 2,943,829 3,016,344 3,090,415 3,166,036 3,243,204 3,321,863 3,402,007 3,483,577 3,566,537 3,650,865 3,736,566 3,823,642 0-4 359,356 364,898 371,679 379,216 387,331 395,671 404,057 412,440 420,832 429,357 438,032 446,823 455,736 464,745 473,779 482,790 491,747 500,633 509,438 518,159 526,745 535,144 543,380 551,482 559,473 5-9 324,629 330,062 334,016 337,478 341,041 345,515 351,305 358,270 365,932 374,040 382,316 390,643 398,983 407,342 415,833 424,480 433,247 442,140 451,131 460,168 469,181 478,152 487,065 495,904 504,675

10-14 270,284 280,716 292,581 304,128 314,047 321,678 327,176 331,219 334,763 338,386 342,880 348,673 355,609 363,227 371,307 379,548 387,843 396,153 404,483 412,951 421,574 430,322 439,190 448,166 457,178 15-19 257,187 258,342 257,908 258,686 262,606 270,202 280,546 292,294 303,732 313,574 321,175 326,701 330,805 334,416 338,090 342,619 348,419 355,343 362,944 371,003 379,231 387,510 395,807 404,123 412,580 20-24 200,060 212,292 225,813 237,900 246,756 251,464 252,747 252,501 253,440 257,434 264,985 275,209 286,784 298,074 307,823 315,404 320,966 325,152 328,867 332,634 337,237 343,095 350,052 357,670 365,736 25-29 172,505 172,521 172,661 174,708 179,769 188,566 200,476 213,620 225,407 234,115 238,881 240,384 240,446 241,652 245,797 253,360 263,481 274,920 286,087 295,788 303,412 309,102 313,464 317,378 321,357 30-34 139,715 144,226 148,926 152,970 155,869 157,255 157,561 158,020 160,291 165,406 174,044 185,632 198,405 209,923 218,553 223,474 225,325 225,812 227,396 231,775 239,421 249,518 260,893 272,026 281,766 35-39 112,104 114,232 116,097 118,228 120,955 124,587 129,025 133,667 137,738 140,785 142,444 143,107 143,903 146,392 151,552 160,027 171,309 183,750 195,041 203,637 208,740 210,944 211,848 213,792 218,402 40-44 80,658 84,806 89,290 93,502 97,054 99,823 102,006 103,966 106,190 108,984 112,627 117,027 121,632 125,724 128,864 130,724 131,643 132,688 135,321 140,477 148,781 159,762 171,876 182,936 191,466 45-49 63,465 64,101 64,926 66,348 68,607 71,809 75,747 80,022 84,064 87,524 90,278 92,498 94,524 96,804 99,623 103,235 107,567 112,106 116,170 119,351 121,333 122,433 123,648 126,370 131,486 50-54 51,068 52,635 54,003 55,173 56,177 56,963 57,636 58,479 59,875 62,053 65,102 68,851 72,916 76,784 80,123 82,813 85,021 87,051 89,323 92,111 95,650 99,870 104,297 108,284 111,448 55-59 36,668 38,661 40,799 42,869 44,739 46,399 47,886 49,196 50,327 51,296 52,082 52,750 53,586 54,935 57,010 59,898 63,435 67,276 70,938 74,119 76,700 78,847 80,830 83,051 85,761 60-64 27,860 28,444 29,043 29,871 31,065 32,627 34,444 36,393 38,285 39,996 41,527 42,902 44,124 45,186 46,106 46,859 47,512 48,323 49,607 51,554 54,245 57,526 61,085 64,487 67,453 65-69 18,981 20,095 21,238 22,264 23,103 23,730 24,239 24,771 25,516 26,579 27,955 29,553 31,262 32,920 34,429 35,783 37,003 38,102 39,063 39,896 40,595 41,205 41,964 43,138 44,906 70-74 12,873 13,179 13,516 13,966 14,570 15,341 16,228 17,140 17,963 18,638 19,153 19,590 20,045 20,677 21,568 22,711 24,031 25,433 26,792 28,034 29,153 30,175 31,096 31,912 32,622 75-79 8,145 8,445 8,788 9,109 9,380 9,604 9,813 10,055 10,380 10,823 11,392 12,040 12,712 13,313 13,809 14,189 14,517 14,869 15,352 16,027 16,884 17,863 18,900 19,903 20,819 80+ 7,855 8,223 8,540 8,842 9,138 9,444 9,765 10,079 10,381 10,645 10,890 11,136 11,403 11,715 12,078 12,501 12,970 13,453 13,910 14,323 14,695 15,069 15,470 15,944 16,514

Total (Females) 1,071,928 1,098,417 1,125,660 1,153,673 1,182,467 1,212,051 1,242,402 1,273,508 1,305,383 1,338,047 1,371,527 1,405,841 1,440,976 1,476,931 1,513,689 1,551,250 1,589,614 1,628,769 1,668,698 1,709,399 1,750,833 1,792,984 1,835,847 1,879,411 1,923,684

0-4 178,334 181,153 184,522 188,270 192,384 196,592 200,813 205,026 209,233 213,507 217,856 222,264 226,732 231,250 235,780 240,298 244,791 249,249 253,666 258,042 262,353 266,568 270,702 274,768 278,778 5-9 160,935 163,535 165,632 167,586 169,548 171,951 174,940 178,450 182,307 186,447 190,645 194,859 199,073 203,287 207,566 211,927 216,345 220,826 225,361 229,918 234,460 238,985 243,480 247,934 252,357

10-14 138,080 142,607 147,703 152,661 156,969 160,396 163,049 165,202 167,204 169,201 171,616 174,610 178,111 181,951 186,087 190,277 194,487 198,695 202,904 207,179 211,535 215,951 220,428 224,964 229,513 15-19 132,317 133,031 133,019 133,518 135,388 138,808 143,327 148,399 153,335 157,633 161,063 163,742 165,935 167,973 169,997 172,434 175,439 178,943 182,788 186,923 191,120 195,331 199,543 203,754 208,034 20-24 104,616 110,223 116,465 122,097 126,294 128,631 129,428 129,522 130,112 132,033 135,455 139,948 144,975 149,881 154,169 157,618 160,334 162,577 164,674 166,756 169,240 172,292 175,834 179,707 183,859 25-29 89,499 89,794 89,949 90,881 93,170 97,197 102,699 108,809 114,341 118,499 120,887 121,802 122,053 122,784 124,798 128,258 132,746 137,759 142,655 146,961 150,462 153,256 155,590 157,790 159,986 30-34 67,954 71,239 74,662 77,636 79,796 80,961 81,391 81,714 82,777 85,127 89,122 94,517 100,500 105,949 110,103 112,585 113,678 114,140 115,062 117,206 120,740 125,260 130,294 135,222 139,587 35-39 52,535 53,646 54,693 56,050 57,949 60,544 63,712 67,028 69,953 72,145 73,420 74,015 74,506 75,694 78,096 82,052 87,349 93,218 98,599 102,767 105,349 106,612 107,270 108,363 110,626 40-44 37,044 39,150 41,510 43,753 45,635 47,076 48,202 49,277 50,649 52,533 55,075 58,153 61,384 64,262 66,459 67,805 68,507 69,114 70,379 72,800 76,705 81,896 87,648 92,948 97,103 45-49 30,953 30,844 30,805 31,133 32,010 33,516 35,517 37,771 39,923 41,755 43,179 44,317 45,411 46,788 48,646 51,121 54,111 57,255 60,070 62,252 63,632 64,406 65,090 66,403 68,819 50-54 25,887 26,755 27,429 27,906 28,208 28,292 28,230 28,233 28,577 29,436 30,878 32,796 34,948 37,014 38,786 40,181 41,314 42,406 43,766 45,581 47,987 50,880 53,926 56,666 58,812 55-59 17,463 18,829 20,302 21,697 22,892 23,885 24,710 25,356 25,824 26,129 26,244 26,212 26,247 26,600 27,433 28,814 30,639 32,687 34,655 36,355 37,702 38,809 39,881 41,210 42,968 60-64 13,104 13,359 13,645 14,114 14,858 15,892 17,137 18,479 19,754 20,851 21,767 22,534 23,145 23,593 23,896 24,025 24,023 24,089 24,449 25,254 26,557 28,269 30,186 32,031 33,629 65-69 9,161 9,707 10,267 10,767 11,176 11,470 11,692 11,953 12,380 13,044 13,960 15,061 16,241 17,361 18,330 19,147 19,835 20,393 20,808 21,098 21,237 21,264 21,358 21,713 22,468 70-74 6,302 6,472 6,654 6,885 7,182 7,558 7,996 8,443 8,847 9,182 9,429 9,627 9,859 10,230 10,795 11,560 12,475 13,449 14,371 15,172 15,854 16,436 16,913 17,277 17,537 75-79 3,860 4,060 4,261 4,442 4,594 4,720 4,837 4,967 5,134 5,356 5,635 5,958 6,291 6,590 6,841 7,030 7,187 7,371 7,664 8,100 8,683 9,370 10,098 10,786 11,384 80+ 3,884 4,013 4,142 4,277 4,414 4,562 4,722 4,879 5,033 5,169 5,296 5,426 5,565 5,724 5,907 6,118 6,354 6,598 6,827 7,035 7,217 7,399 7,606 7,875 8,224 Total

(Males) 1,071,485 1,097,461 1,124,164 1,151,585 1,179,740 1,208,627 1,238,255 1,268,624 1,299,733 1,331,588 1,364,236 1,397,678 1,431,899 1,466,898 1,502,655 1,539,165 1,576,422 1,614,435 1,653,165 1,692,608 1,732,744 1,773,553 1,815,018 1,857,155 1,899,958 0-4 181,022 183,745 187,157 190,946 194,947 199,079 203,244 207,414 211,599 215,850 220,176 224,559 229,004 233,495 237,999 242,492 246,956 251,384 255,772 260,117 264,392 268,576 272,678 276,714 280,695 5-9 163,694 166,527 168,384 169,892 171,493 173,564 176,365 179,820 183,625 187,593 191,671 195,784 199,910 204,055 208,267 212,553 216,902 221,314 225,770 230,250 234,721 239,167 243,585 247,970 252,318

10-14 132,204 138,109 144,878 151,467 157,078 161,282 164,127 166,017 167,559 169,185 171,264 174,063 177,498 181,276 185,220 189,271 193,356 197,458 201,579 205,772 210,039 214,371 218,762 223,202 227,665 15-19 124,870 125,311 124,889 125,168 127,218 131,394 137,219 143,895 150,397 155,941 160,112 162,959 164,870 166,443 168,093 170,185 172,980 176,400 180,156 184,080 188,111 192,179 196,264 200,369 204,546 20-24 95,444 102,069 109,348 115,803 120,462 122,833 123,319 122,979 123,328 125,401 129,530 135,261 141,809 148,193 153,654 157,786 160,632 162,575 164,193 165,878 167,997 170,803 174,218 177,963 181,877 25-29 83,006 82,727 82,712 83,827 86,599 91,369 97,777 104,811 111,066 115,616 117,994 118,582 118,393 118,868 120,999 125,102 130,735 137,161 143,432 148,827 152,950 155,846 157,874 159,588 161,371 30-34 71,761 72,987 74,264 75,334 76,073 76,294 76,170 76,306 77,514 80,279 84,922 91,115 97,905 103,974 108,450 110,889 111,647 111,672 112,334 114,569 118,681 124,258 130,599 136,804 142,179 35-39 59,569 60,586 61,404 62,178 63,006 64,043 65,313 66,639 67,785 68,640 69,024 69,092 69,397 70,698 73,456 77,975 83,960 90,532 96,442 100,870 103,391 104,332 104,578 105,429 107,776 40-44 43,614 45,656 47,780 49,749 51,419 52,747 53,804 54,689 55,541 56,451 57,552 58,874 60,248 61,462 62,405 62,919 63,136 63,574 64,942 67,677 72,076 77,866 84,228 89,988 94,363 45-49 32,512 33,257 34,121 35,215 36,597 38,293 40,230 42,251 44,141 45,769 47,099 48,181 49,113 50,016 50,977 52,114 53,456 54,851 56,100 57,099 57,701 58,027 58,558 59,967 62,667 50-54 25,181 25,880 26,574 27,267 27,969 28,671 29,406 30,246 31,298 32,617 34,224 36,055 37,968 39,770 41,337 42,632 43,707 44,645 45,557 46,530 47,663 48,990 50,371 51,618 52,636 55-59 19,205 19,832 20,497 21,172 21,847 22,514 23,176 23,840 24,503 25,167 25,838 26,538 27,339 28,335 29,577 31,084 32,796 34,589 36,283 37,764 38,998 40,038 40,949 41,841 42,793 60-64 14,756 15,085 15,398 15,757 16,207 16,735 17,307 17,914 18,531 19,145 19,760 20,368 20,979 21,593 22,210 22,834 23,489 24,234 25,158 26,300 27,688 29,257 30,899 32,456 33,824 65-69 9,820 10,388 10,971 11,497 11,927 12,260 12,547 12,818 13,136 13,535 13,995 14,492 15,021 15,559 16,099 16,636 17,168 17,709 18,255 18,798 19,358 19,941 20,606 21,425 22,438 70-74 6,571 6,707 6,862 7,081 7,388 7,783 8,232 8,697 9,116 9,456 9,724 9,963 10,186 10,447 10,773 11,151 11,556 11,984 12,421 12,862 13,299 13,739 14,183 14,635 15,085 75-79 4,285 4,385 4,527 4,667 4,786 4,884 4,976 5,088 5,246 5,467 5,757 6,082 6,421 6,723 6,968 7,159 7,330 7,498 7,688 7,927 8,201 8,493 8,802 9,117 9,435 80+ 3,971 4,210 4,398 4,565 4,724 4,882 5,043 5,200 5,348 5,476 5,594 5,710 5,838 5,991 6,171 6,383 6,616 6,855 7,083 7,288 7,478 7,670 7,864 8,069 8,290

Page 62: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 49

Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Annual Number of Births 81,678 83,311 84,980 86,637 88,261 90,042 91,795 93,540 95,309 97,146 99,016 100,881 102,735 104,574 106,394 108,235 110,036 111,800 113,545 115,265 116,862 118,455 120,047 121,647 123,259Annual Number of Deaths 28,910 29,100 29,304 29,518 29,734 29,990 30,249 30,522 30,800 31,076 31,327 31,593 31,867 32,136 32,413 32,662 32,906 33,139 33,390 33,638 33,842 34,046 34,257 34,468 34,705Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 38.1 37.9 37.8 37.6 37.4 37.2 37.0 36.8 36.6 36.4 36.2 36.0 35.8 35.5 35.3 35.0 34.8 34.5 34.2 33.9 33.6 33.2 32.9 32.6 32.2Crude Death Rate (CDR) 13.5 13.3 13.0 12.8 12.6 12.4 12.2 12.0 11.8 11.6 11.5 11.3 11.1 10.9 10.8 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.1 9.9 9.7 9.6 9.4 9.2 9.1Growth Rate(%) 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes) 50.2 50.6 51.0 51.4 51.8 52.2 52.6 53.0 53.4 53.8 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.4 55.8 56.2 56.7 57.1 57.5 57.9 58.3 58.7 59.1 59.5 59.9Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males) 48.6 49.0 49.3 49.7 50.1 50.5 50.9 51.2 51.6 51.9 52.3 52.7 53.1 53.5 53.8 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.6Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females) 51.8 52.2 52.6 53.1 53.5 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.6 57.0 57.5 57.9 58.3 58.8 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.9 62.3Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes) 64.5 63.6 62.7 61.8 60.9 60.4 59.9 59.4 58.9 58.5 57.9 57.4 56.9 56.4 55.9 55.4 54.9 54.3 53.8 53.3 52.8 52.2 51.7 51.2 50.7Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 67.5 66.8 66.1 65.3 64.6 64.2 63.9 63.5 63.1 62.8 62.4 62.0 61.6 61.3 60.9 60.5 60.1 59.7 59.3 58.9 58.5 58.0 57.6 57.2 56.8Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 61.4 60.4 59.3 58.2 57.2 56.6 55.9 55.3 54.7 54.0 53.4 52.7 52.1 51.5 50.8 50.2 49.5 48.9 48.2 47.6 47.0 46.3 45.7 45.0 44.4Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.0

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 2,143,413 2,195,878 2,249,824 2,305,258 2,362,207 2,420,678 2,480,657 2,542,132 2,605,116 2,669,635 2,735,763 2,803,519 2,872,875 2,943,829 3,016,344 3,090,415 3,166,036 3,243,204 3,321,863 3,402,007 3,483,577 3,566,537 3,650,865 3,736,566 3,823,642 0 76,879 78,450 80,065 81,693 83,306 84,972 86,692 88,391 90,105 91,863 93,674 95,505 97,329 99,137 100,921 102,700 104,471 106,212 107,929 109,626 111,257 112,830 114,398 115,970 117,553 1 73,565 74,995 76,607 78,267 79,946 81,572 83,231 84,945 86,639 88,347 90,101 91,906 93,731 95,546 97,348 99,131 100,908 102,677 104,417 106,135 107,835 109,472 111,049 112,623 114,202 2 71,246 72,352 73,808 75,443 77,131 78,829 80,451 82,108 83,820 85,513 87,221 88,975 90,780 92,607 94,424 96,227 98,014 99,794 101,568 103,313 105,038 106,747 108,391 109,979 111,561 3 69,414 70,372 71,498 72,970 74,620 76,315 78,010 79,629 81,285 82,995 84,688 86,394 88,148 89,955 91,780 93,599 95,402 97,194 98,975 100,753 102,502 104,230 105,945 107,593 109,188 4 68,252 68,729 69,701 70,843 72,328 73,983 75,673 77,367 78,983 80,639 82,348 84,043 85,748 87,500 89,306 91,133 92,952 94,756 96,549 98,332 100,113 101,865 103,597 105,317 106,969 5 67,515 67,823 68,310 69,293 70,444 71,935 73,587 75,272 76,963 78,577 80,233 81,940 83,633 85,339 87,090 88,894 90,721 92,538 94,343 96,138 97,921 99,702 101,455 103,189 104,912 6 66,688 67,265 67,583 68,074 69,062 70,215 71,704 73,354 75,037 76,725 78,338 79,990 81,695 83,388 85,092 86,842 88,644 90,469 92,285 94,090 95,883 97,666 99,448 101,201 102,933 7 65,372 66,443 67,023 67,348 67,847 68,837 69,991 71,477 73,125 74,805 76,490 78,102 79,752 81,455 83,144 84,849 86,597 88,399 90,223 92,037 93,840 95,633 97,416 99,196 100,949 8 63,636 65,130 66,204 66,790 67,121 67,626 68,615 69,770 71,254 72,899 74,577 76,260 77,870 79,518 81,219 82,908 84,610 86,358 88,157 89,982 91,794 93,598 95,388 97,171 98,950 9 61,418 63,401 64,896 65,973 66,567 66,902 67,408 68,397 69,553 71,034 72,678 74,351 76,033 77,642 79,288 80,987 82,675 84,376 86,123 87,921 89,743 91,553 93,358 95,147 96,931 10 58,816 61,301 63,282 64,778 65,859 66,458 66,797 67,306 68,294 69,450 70,930 72,574 74,245 75,923 77,534 79,177 80,875 82,561 84,262 86,007 87,805 89,627 91,436 93,240 95,027 11 55,915 58,818 61,297 63,277 64,774 65,860 66,461 66,804 67,317 68,307 69,458 70,939 72,583 74,253 75,930 77,540 79,183 80,879 82,565 84,265 86,010 87,807 89,630 91,438 93,242 12 53,207 55,923 58,820 61,297 63,277 64,775 65,860 66,466 66,812 67,328 68,318 69,470 70,948 72,591 74,262 75,940 77,548 79,191 80,887 82,571 84,271 86,017 87,811 89,634 91,442 13 51,425 53,225 55,935 58,826 61,300 63,278 64,776 65,864 66,471 66,821 67,341 68,333 69,484 70,962 72,604 74,272 75,951 77,558 79,199 80,897 82,580 84,279 86,024 87,819 89,640 14 50,921 51,449 53,247 55,950 58,837 61,307 63,282 64,779 65,869 66,480 66,833 67,357 68,349 69,498 70,977 72,619 74,286 75,964 77,570 79,211 80,908 82,592 84,289 86,035 87,827 15 51,254 50,919 51,449 53,248 55,944 58,824 61,288 63,260 64,757 65,847 66,462 66,820 67,347 68,341 69,487 70,964 72,607 74,274 75,952 77,557 79,197 80,894 82,577 84,272 86,018 16 52,046 51,224 50,897 51,430 53,224 55,914 58,786 61,243 63,211 64,708 65,799 66,420 66,780 67,310 68,306 69,451 70,927 72,569 74,233 75,911 77,516 79,157 80,852 82,534 84,231 17 52,456 52,011 51,199 50,878 51,415 53,207 55,888 58,751 61,202 63,165 64,663 65,756 66,380 66,746 67,277 68,274 69,418 70,892 72,536 74,198 75,875 77,478 79,119 80,815 82,495 18 51,808 52,418 51,980 51,178 50,863 51,404 53,190 55,864 58,720 61,164 63,123 64,621 65,716 66,342 66,712 67,249 68,246 69,388 70,861 72,504 74,166 75,843 77,445 79,086 80,781 19 49,623 51,770 52,383 51,952 51,160 50,853 51,394 53,176 55,842 58,690 61,128 63,084 64,582 65,677 66,308 66,681 67,221 68,220 69,362 70,833 72,477 74,138 75,814 77,416 79,055 20 46,172 49,387 51,527 52,146 51,723 50,944 50,644 51,190 52,967 55,623 58,462 60,894 62,845 64,344 65,443 66,079 66,457 67,002 68,004 69,145 70,617 72,262 73,923 75,599 77,204 21 42,330 45,753 48,953 51,085 51,708 51,299 50,535 50,246 50,796 52,568 55,212 58,041 60,465 62,414 63,912 65,013 65,656 66,042 66,594 67,602 68,747 70,221 71,865 73,527 75,202 22 39,143 41,942 45,346 48,528 50,653 51,280 50,882 50,134 49,854 50,409 52,177 54,812 57,630 60,048 61,992 63,490 64,594 65,244 65,638 66,195 67,206 68,358 69,833 71,478 73,140 23 36,776 38,779 41,562 44,947 48,113 50,232 50,864 50,475 49,743 49,473 50,032 51,797 54,421 57,228 59,639 61,581 63,079 64,186 64,842 65,243 65,807 66,824 67,979 69,456 71,101 24 35,639 36,431 38,425 41,194 44,559 47,709 49,822 50,456 50,080 49,361 49,102 49,665 51,423 54,040 56,837 59,241 61,180 62,678 63,789 64,449 64,860 65,430 66,452 67,610 69,089 25 35,260 35,192 35,985 37,965 40,717 44,060 47,192 49,299 49,940 49,579 48,879 48,635 49,203 50,958 53,567 56,355 58,752 60,690 62,191 63,307 63,976 64,397 64,976 66,006 67,170 26 35,161 34,704 34,645 35,439 37,407 40,139 43,457 46,571 48,669 49,319 48,978 48,301 48,076 48,653 50,408 53,007 55,788 58,180 60,120 61,625 62,748 63,429 63,864 64,454 65,494 27 34,883 34,607 34,166 34,116 34,910 36,866 39,581 42,875 45,971 48,061 48,721 48,400 47,744 47,538 48,123 49,876 52,467 55,240 57,627 59,568 61,077 62,208 62,900 63,347 63,950 28 34,228 34,332 34,069 33,642 33,602 34,398 36,343 39,038 42,311 45,391 47,475 48,142 47,840 47,203 47,017 47,609 49,361 51,945 54,708 57,094 59,034 60,550 61,686 62,390 62,848 29 32,973 33,686 33,796 33,546 33,133 33,103 33,903 35,837 38,516 41,765 44,828 46,906 47,583 47,300 46,682 46,513 47,113 48,865 51,441 54,194 56,577 58,518 60,038 61,181 61,895 30 31,182 32,342 33,058 33,177 32,942 32,548 32,533 33,335 35,260 37,921 41,147 44,192 46,265 46,953 46,690 46,097 45,946 46,558 48,310 50,880 53,628 56,006 57,951 59,476 60,627 31 29,307 30,480 31,629 32,345 32,476 32,262 31,892 31,896 32,702 34,616 37,258 40,461 43,488 45,557 46,257 46,021 45,453 45,326 45,948 47,702 50,267 53,011 55,389 57,336 58,871 32 27,714 28,636 29,800 30,941 31,659 31,803 31,610 31,263 31,283 32,093 33,998 36,624 39,803 42,812 44,877 45,590 45,377 44,836 44,729 45,364 47,120 49,679 52,417 54,796 56,746 33 26,313 27,071 27,988 29,144 30,279 31,001 31,158 30,985 30,660 30,695 31,511 33,405 36,014 39,171 42,164 44,225 44,948 44,759 44,243 44,155 44,801 46,560 49,113 51,847 54,224 34 25,199 25,697 26,451 27,363 28,513 29,641 30,368 30,541 30,386 30,081 30,130 30,950 32,835 35,430 38,565 41,541 43,601 44,333 44,166 43,674 43,605 44,262 46,023 48,571 51,298

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50 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203535 24,291 24,597 25,097 25,850 26,756 27,901 29,027 29,760 29,943 29,808 29,522 29,586 30,410 32,283 34,863 37,977 40,935 42,992 43,736 43,588 43,118 43,067 43,736 45,497 48,042 36 23,475 23,703 24,013 24,517 25,267 26,171 27,312 28,436 29,171 29,367 29,247 28,982 29,059 29,887 31,749 34,313 37,405 40,347 42,399 43,153 43,025 42,578 42,546 43,223 44,986 37 22,591 22,904 23,138 23,451 23,958 24,706 25,611 26,746 27,866 28,606 28,815 28,711 28,463 28,553 29,385 31,238 33,786 36,859 39,783 41,830 42,595 42,485 42,058 42,045 42,732 38 21,531 22,034 22,351 22,591 22,910 23,421 24,169 25,072 26,203 27,321 28,064 28,285 28,197 27,966 28,067 28,900 30,746 33,279 36,332 39,241 41,282 42,057 41,966 41,560 41,562 39 20,216 20,994 21,498 21,819 22,064 22,388 22,906 23,653 24,555 25,683 26,796 27,543 27,774 27,703 27,488 27,599 28,437 30,273 32,791 35,825 38,720 40,757 41,542 41,467 41,080 40 18,766 19,728 20,501 21,005 21,329 21,583 21,910 22,432 23,181 24,080 25,203 26,313 27,061 27,301 27,245 27,044 27,164 28,006 29,830 32,333 35,348 38,229 40,260 41,053 40,994 41 17,263 18,331 19,282 20,050 20,554 20,881 21,142 21,474 21,999 22,746 23,645 24,762 25,870 26,619 26,863 26,821 26,635 26,763 27,606 29,420 31,907 34,900 37,765 39,790 40,588 42 15,878 16,857 17,911 18,851 19,615 20,120 20,452 20,719 21,056 21,583 22,327 23,225 24,335 25,441 26,192 26,445 26,414 26,241 26,379 27,221 29,025 31,494 34,470 37,317 39,338 43 14,753 15,496 16,465 17,508 18,437 19,198 19,703 20,039 20,311 20,654 21,184 21,928 22,823 23,927 25,028 25,782 26,043 26,022 25,861 26,008 26,850 28,646 31,100 34,056 36,887 44 13,998 14,394 15,131 16,088 17,119 18,041 18,799 19,302 19,643 19,921 20,268 20,799 21,543 22,436 23,536 24,632 25,387 25,656 25,645 25,495 25,651 26,493 28,281 30,720 33,659 45 13,520 13,659 14,053 14,781 15,727 16,747 17,661 18,416 18,919 19,262 19,545 19,895 20,428 21,171 22,061 23,154 24,247 25,002 25,278 25,276 25,138 25,302 26,142 27,920 30,345 46 13,147 13,195 13,337 13,728 14,448 15,384 16,391 17,299 18,048 18,550 18,896 19,183 19,535 20,069 20,809 21,696 22,784 23,870 24,625 24,906 24,914 24,786 24,958 25,797 27,564 47 12,731 12,831 12,883 13,026 13,415 14,127 15,053 16,050 16,949 17,694 18,196 18,544 18,834 19,189 19,723 20,462 21,344 22,427 23,506 24,261 24,549 24,566 24,447 24,627 25,465 48 12,292 12,423 12,527 12,581 12,727 13,114 13,818 14,735 15,722 16,613 17,353 17,852 18,204 18,499 18,856 19,388 20,125 21,005 22,083 23,157 23,913 24,204 24,229 24,121 24,306 49 11,775 11,993 12,126 12,232 12,290 12,437 12,824 13,522 14,426 15,405 16,288 17,024 17,523 17,876 18,174 18,535 19,067 19,802 20,678 21,751 22,819 23,575 23,872 23,905 23,806 50 11,242 11,515 11,733 11,867 11,975 12,035 12,183 12,568 13,258 14,154 15,122 15,996 16,727 17,223 17,578 17,877 18,239 18,771 19,501 20,373 21,439 22,501 23,255 23,556 23,595 51 10,739 11,020 11,292 11,509 11,644 11,752 11,816 11,963 12,345 13,028 13,913 14,870 15,733 16,458 16,952 17,305 17,604 17,966 18,496 19,222 20,088 21,145 22,199 22,951 23,254 52 10,251 10,526 10,806 11,076 11,292 11,428 11,536 11,603 11,750 12,129 12,804 13,679 14,627 15,480 16,199 16,689 17,041 17,341 17,702 18,230 18,953 19,811 20,861 21,907 22,656 53 9,718 10,048 10,321 10,599 10,868 11,084 11,221 11,327 11,397 11,543 11,922 12,587 13,451 14,390 15,234 15,947 16,434 16,786 17,086 17,447 17,972 18,691 19,545 20,586 21,623 54 9,118 9,526 9,851 10,122 10,398 10,664 10,880 11,018 11,125 11,199 11,341 11,719 12,378 13,233 14,160 14,995 15,703 16,187 16,538 16,839 17,198 17,722 18,437 19,284 20,320 55 8,490 8,939 9,342 9,663 9,933 10,205 10,470 10,684 10,822 10,928 11,004 11,146 11,520 12,171 13,016 13,935 14,758 15,461 15,940 16,290 16,590 16,948 17,470 18,179 19,019 56 7,844 8,329 8,771 9,169 9,486 9,752 10,019 10,283 10,496 10,631 10,740 10,816 10,958 11,328 11,971 12,803 13,710 14,524 15,219 15,693 16,041 16,341 16,697 17,215 17,919 57 7,235 7,694 8,171 8,608 9,000 9,312 9,576 9,841 10,101 10,313 10,447 10,555 10,634 10,774 11,141 11,775 12,596 13,492 14,294 14,985 15,454 15,800 16,099 16,454 16,968 58 6,730 7,097 7,550 8,018 8,448 8,835 9,145 9,405 9,667 9,925 10,136 10,269 10,378 10,456 10,597 10,960 11,586 12,396 13,282 14,072 14,756 15,221 15,567 15,863 16,218 59 6,369 6,602 6,965 7,411 7,872 8,295 8,676 8,983 9,241 9,499 9,755 9,964 10,096 10,206 10,285 10,425 10,785 11,403 12,203 13,079 13,859 14,537 14,997 15,340 15,637 60 6,079 6,218 6,446 6,803 7,241 7,693 8,109 8,482 8,785 9,039 9,293 9,546 9,752 9,883 9,995 10,075 10,213 10,568 11,175 11,963 12,826 13,593 14,262 14,719 15,060 61 5,842 5,904 6,042 6,262 6,612 7,040 7,482 7,890 8,255 8,550 8,802 9,051 9,300 9,505 9,633 9,744 9,825 9,963 10,313 10,908 11,680 12,526 13,279 13,937 14,388 62 5,617 5,677 5,737 5,872 6,088 6,428 6,846 7,278 7,680 8,037 8,325 8,574 8,819 9,064 9,265 9,392 9,502 9,585 9,722 10,066 10,649 11,408 12,238 12,978 13,624 63 5,342 5,456 5,516 5,575 5,706 5,919 6,252 6,662 7,082 7,477 7,827 8,108 8,353 8,595 8,835 9,035 9,161 9,269 9,353 9,487 9,828 10,401 11,145 11,961 12,689 64 4,980 5,189 5,302 5,359 5,418 5,547 5,755 6,081 6,483 6,893 7,280 7,623 7,900 8,139 8,378 8,613 8,811 8,938 9,044 9,130 9,262 9,598 10,161 10,892 11,692 65 4,552 4,823 5,023 5,134 5,189 5,248 5,374 5,576 5,895 6,285 6,685 7,063 7,396 7,668 7,902 8,135 8,365 8,558 8,686 8,790 8,876 9,005 9,335 9,883 10,599 66 4,117 4,393 4,655 4,847 4,954 5,006 5,065 5,189 5,384 5,693 6,071 6,458 6,825 7,147 7,411 7,639 7,866 8,090 8,279 8,403 8,504 8,592 8,717 9,040 9,572 67 3,739 3,973 4,240 4,491 4,677 4,780 4,832 4,889 5,011 5,200 5,500 5,865 6,240 6,595 6,909 7,164 7,387 7,607 7,826 8,010 8,133 8,231 8,319 8,441 8,755 68 3,412 3,610 3,834 4,091 4,334 4,513 4,611 4,664 4,722 4,840 5,023 5,312 5,668 6,031 6,375 6,679 6,927 7,146 7,358 7,573 7,752 7,873 7,968 8,056 8,177 69 3,161 3,296 3,486 3,701 3,949 4,183 4,357 4,453 4,504 4,561 4,676 4,855 5,133 5,479 5,832 6,166 6,458 6,701 6,914 7,120 7,330 7,504 7,625 7,718 7,803 70 2,939 3,029 3,156 3,339 3,543 3,780 4,004 4,171 4,265 4,315 4,369 4,482 4,654 4,922 5,254 5,591 5,914 6,195 6,429 6,634 6,833 7,038 7,205 7,321 7,415 71 2,746 2,794 2,878 2,998 3,169 3,364 3,588 3,801 3,960 4,050 4,098 4,152 4,259 4,425 4,679 4,995 5,316 5,625 5,892 6,116 6,312 6,502 6,698 6,860 6,973 72 2,582 2,613 2,658 2,737 2,851 3,011 3,196 3,409 3,611 3,762 3,848 3,895 3,947 4,052 4,209 4,451 4,753 5,058 5,351 5,607 5,821 6,009 6,191 6,380 6,535 73 2,401 2,458 2,485 2,528 2,602 2,710 2,863 3,037 3,240 3,431 3,576 3,659 3,706 3,753 3,855 4,005 4,236 4,523 4,814 5,093 5,337 5,542 5,723 5,898 6,078 74 2,205 2,285 2,339 2,364 2,405 2,476 2,577 2,722 2,887 3,080 3,262 3,402 3,479 3,525 3,571 3,669 3,812 4,032 4,306 4,584 4,850 5,084 5,279 5,453 5,621 75 1,985 2,082 2,155 2,206 2,227 2,264 2,331 2,427 2,564 2,719 2,900 3,070 3,202 3,276 3,319 3,363 3,456 3,590 3,798 4,057 4,316 4,566 4,787 4,971 5,135 76 1,770 1,856 1,947 2,011 2,060 2,079 2,113 2,174 2,263 2,388 2,533 2,700 2,859 2,980 3,050 3,090 3,132 3,219 3,342 3,535 3,774 4,017 4,249 4,452 4,624 77 1,593 1,657 1,736 1,817 1,877 1,922 1,938 1,971 2,027 2,109 2,227 2,360 2,515 2,663 2,776 2,841 2,877 2,916 2,999 3,113 3,293 3,513 3,737 3,955 4,142 78 1,447 1,494 1,550 1,624 1,698 1,753 1,794 1,808 1,839 1,891 1,967 2,076 2,200 2,344 2,480 2,585 2,645 2,680 2,715 2,792 2,899 3,066 3,272 3,479 3,680 79 1,350 1,356 1,400 1,451 1,518 1,586 1,637 1,675 1,687 1,716 1,765 1,834 1,936 2,050 2,184 2,310 2,407 2,464 2,498 2,530 2,602 2,701 2,855 3,046 3,238

80+ 7,855 8,223 8,540 8,842 9,138 9,444 9,765 10,079 10,381 10,645 10,890 11,136 11,403 11,715 12,078 12,501 12,970 13,453 13,910 14,323 14,695 15,069 15,470 15,944 16,514

Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, COPPERBELT PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) District Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric) Chililabombwe 3.0 Chingola 2.2 Kalulushi 2.7 Kitwe 3.0 Luanshya 0.6 Lufwanyama 2.1 Masaiti 0.9 Mpongwe 3.5 Mufulira 1.3 Ndola 1.8 Copperbelt Province 2.2

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 51

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total

(Males)Projection Year

1,071,485 1,097,461 1,124,164 1,151,585 1,179,740 1,208,627 1,238,255 1,268,624 1,299,733 1,331,588 1,364,236 1,397,678 1,431,899 1,466,898 1,502,655 1,539,165 1,576,422 1,614,435 1,653,165 1,692,608 1,732,744 1,773,553 1,815,018 1,857,155 1,899,958 0 38,789 39,579 40,390 41,207 42,017 42,852 43,713 44,563 45,422 46,302 47,209 48,127 49,041 49,947 50,842 51,733 52,621 53,493 54,353 55,203 56,019 56,807 57,591 58,378 59,170 1 37,097 37,789 38,592 39,417 40,249 41,060 41,890 42,746 43,591 44,445 45,320 46,221 47,132 48,038 48,936 49,827 50,713 51,595 52,463 53,319 54,167 54,982 55,769 56,553 57,340 2 35,842 36,460 37,162 37,972 38,806 39,644 40,451 41,278 42,132 42,974 43,827 44,700 45,599 46,510 47,415 48,311 49,203 50,089 50,971 51,840 52,699 53,550 54,367 55,159 55,946 3 34,908 35,374 35,999 36,707 37,520 38,355 39,190 39,994 40,819 41,670 42,511 43,362 44,233 45,132 46,041 46,946 47,841 48,734 49,620 50,503 51,372 52,232 53,085 53,903 54,698 4 34,386 34,543 35,014 35,643 36,355 37,168 38,000 38,833 39,635 40,459 41,309 42,149 42,999 43,868 44,765 45,675 46,578 47,473 48,365 49,252 50,135 51,005 51,866 52,721 53,541 5 34,088 34,156 34,318 34,793 35,425 36,138 36,949 37,778 38,609 39,409 40,232 41,080 41,919 42,769 43,637 44,532 45,441 46,342 47,236 48,129 49,015 49,898 50,767 51,630 52,485 6 33,712 33,953 34,025 34,189 34,665 35,297 36,009 36,818 37,646 38,475 39,274 40,094 40,941 41,779 42,627 43,494 44,388 45,296 46,196 47,089 47,980 48,866 49,748 50,617 51,479 7 33,029 33,579 33,821 33,896 34,064 34,540 35,171 35,882 36,689 37,515 38,342 39,140 39,959 40,804 41,640 42,487 43,353 44,246 45,153 46,051 46,943 47,834 48,719 49,600 50,467 8 32,068 32,898 33,449 33,693 33,770 33,941 34,417 35,047 35,756 36,562 37,386 38,212 39,008 39,825 40,669 41,504 42,350 43,215 44,106 45,013 45,909 46,801 47,691 48,574 49,455 9 30,797 31,941 32,771 33,321 33,569 33,648 33,819 34,295 34,925 35,632 36,437 37,258 38,083 38,878 39,694 40,536 41,370 42,215 43,079 43,968 44,874 45,768 46,660 47,549 48,432 10 29,250 30,703 31,844 32,674 33,225 33,475 33,555 33,729 34,204 34,834 35,540 36,345 37,165 37,987 38,782 39,596 40,437 41,271 42,115 42,978 43,867 44,772 45,666 46,556 47,444 11 27,526 29,191 30,639 31,778 32,607 33,160 33,411 33,493 33,669 34,145 34,773 35,480 36,284 37,103 37,925 38,719 39,533 40,373 41,206 42,050 42,913 43,802 44,706 45,600 46,491 12 25,943 27,471 29,131 30,576 31,714 32,542 33,094 33,348 33,432 33,609 34,086 34,714 35,419 36,223 37,042 37,865 38,657 39,471 40,311 41,143 41,987 42,850 43,738 44,642 45,536 13 24,895 25,894 27,417 29,073 30,515 31,650 32,479 33,031 33,285 33,372 33,551 34,030 34,657 35,362 36,165 36,982 37,805 38,596 39,410 40,250 41,081 41,925 42,788 43,676 44,579 14 24,590 24,850 25,847 27,366 29,017 30,455 31,588 32,416 32,969 33,225 33,314 33,494 33,973 34,601 35,306 36,109 36,924 37,747 38,537 39,351 40,191 41,022 41,864 42,728 43,615 15 24,805 24,561 24,821 25,818 27,331 28,977 30,411 31,541 32,368 32,921 33,178 33,270 33,451 33,931 34,557 35,261 36,064 36,879 37,701 38,491 39,303 40,143 40,973 41,814 42,677 16 25,287 24,790 24,550 24,810 25,803 27,312 28,952 30,381 31,509 32,334 32,887 33,147 33,239 33,422 33,902 34,526 35,230 36,031 36,844 37,665 38,454 39,266 40,105 40,934 41,775 17 25,527 25,269 24,777 24,539 24,800 25,791 27,294 28,928 30,353 31,476 32,302 32,855 33,116 33,211 33,394 33,875 34,496 35,199 36,000 36,812 37,632 38,419 39,231 40,069 40,896 18 25,203 25,508 25,252 24,765 24,530 24,792 25,778 27,278 28,906 30,326 31,446 32,270 32,824 33,086 33,183 33,368 33,848 34,468 35,170 35,970 36,781 37,600 38,386 39,197 40,035 19 24,048 25,183 25,489 25,236 24,754 24,522 24,784 25,767 27,261 28,884 30,299 31,417 32,240 32,793 33,057 33,155 33,342 33,823 34,441 35,142 35,941 36,751 37,569 38,355 39,163 20 22,258 23,965 25,096 25,403 25,153 24,678 24,449 24,713 25,693 27,179 28,796 30,206 31,320 32,143 32,697 32,964 33,065 33,253 33,735 34,351 35,052 35,852 36,661 37,478 38,265 21 20,277 22,121 23,818 24,943 25,250 25,007 24,540 24,317 24,582 25,559 27,036 28,646 30,049 31,160 31,982 32,536 32,806 32,912 33,103 33,587 34,203 34,904 35,704 36,513 37,329 22 18,619 20,156 21,988 23,674 24,793 25,102 24,864 24,405 24,187 24,453 25,427 26,898 28,500 29,898 31,004 31,826 32,381 32,653 32,764 32,958 33,442 34,060 34,761 35,562 36,369 23 17,413 18,512 20,038 21,858 23,534 24,648 24,959 24,725 24,275 24,062 24,330 25,301 26,763 28,358 29,750 30,853 31,674 32,231 32,506 32,620 32,818 33,304 33,921 34,623 35,424 24 16,877 17,315 18,408 19,925 21,732 23,398 24,507 24,819 24,591 24,148 23,941 24,210 25,177 26,634 28,221 29,607 30,706 31,526 32,085 32,362 32,482 32,683 33,171 33,787 34,490 25 16,760 16,724 17,162 18,245 19,751 21,544 23,199 24,304 24,619 24,398 23,964 23,765 24,037 25,000 26,451 28,031 29,412 30,508 31,328 31,890 32,171 32,296 32,502 32,993 33,611 26 16,788 16,547 16,516 16,952 18,027 19,521 21,298 22,942 24,041 24,360 24,148 23,727 23,537 23,813 24,774 26,218 27,791 29,167 30,263 31,083 31,648 31,936 32,068 32,279 32,775 27 16,740 16,576 16,342 16,315 16,750 17,817 19,299 21,062 22,694 23,788 24,111 23,909 23,499 23,319 23,598 24,557 25,994 27,561 28,931 30,026 30,847 31,415 31,709 31,848 32,066 28 16,562 16,527 16,371 16,143 16,121 16,555 17,614 19,084 20,834 22,456 23,545 23,871 23,679 23,278 23,109 23,390 24,347 25,779 27,338 28,705 29,797 30,621 31,191 31,492 31,637 29 16,156 16,353 16,321 16,172 15,950 15,932 16,367 17,419 18,878 20,614 22,226 23,310 23,641 23,458 23,067 22,906 23,191 24,146 25,572 27,123 28,487 29,578 30,404 30,976 31,282 30 15,502 15,874 16,075 16,048 15,906 15,694 15,683 16,117 17,163 18,609 20,332 21,933 23,012 23,348 23,176 22,798 22,647 22,938 23,891 25,311 26,857 28,217 29,307 30,136 30,711 31 14,831 15,156 15,526 15,730 15,709 15,578 15,378 15,376 15,811 16,849 18,282 19,990 21,580 22,655 22,997 22,839 22,475 22,336 22,632 23,585 25,000 26,541 27,899 28,988 29,822 32 14,302 14,497 14,822 15,191 15,398 15,384 15,263 15,075 15,081 15,516 16,547 17,970 19,663 21,241 22,313 22,661 22,515 22,166 22,037 22,339 23,292 24,702 26,236 27,594 28,682 33 13,796 13,978 14,175 14,500 14,869 15,080 15,073 14,962 14,785 14,798 15,235 16,258 17,669 19,348 20,917 21,986 22,338 22,203 21,869 21,750 22,057 23,011 24,416 25,944 27,300 34 13,330 13,482 13,666 13,865 14,191 14,558 14,773 14,776 14,674 14,507 14,526 14,964 15,981 17,382 19,047 20,605 21,672 22,029 21,905 21,584 21,475 21,787 22,741 24,142 25,664 35 12,880 13,016 13,171 13,359 13,558 13,885 14,254 14,473 14,483 14,391 14,233 14,260 14,699 15,708 17,098 18,751 20,297 21,362 21,724 21,611 21,302 21,203 21,521 22,473 23,872 36 12,445 12,567 12,706 12,865 13,055 13,258 13,586 13,957 14,178 14,196 14,111 13,965 13,998 14,438 15,440 16,819 18,458 19,994 21,055 21,422 21,320 21,024 20,936 21,258 22,209 37 11,990 12,142 12,267 12,409 12,571 12,763 12,970 13,299 13,671 13,895 13,921 13,845 13,707 13,747 14,188 15,184 16,552 18,179 19,703 20,761 21,133 21,041 20,757 20,679 21,007 38 11,451 11,694 11,849 11,977 12,123 12,289 12,484 12,694 13,024 13,397 13,625 13,657 13,590 13,460 13,506 13,946 14,937 16,296 17,910 19,425 20,479 20,855 20,774 20,502 20,432 39 10,803 11,167 11,411 11,568 11,699 11,848 12,019 12,216 12,429 12,761 13,134 13,365 13,403 13,345 13,224 13,275 13,716 14,701 16,050 17,651 19,157 20,209 20,590 20,517 20,256 40 10,081 10,530 10,892 11,137 11,296 11,432 11,582 11,758 11,959 12,174 12,506 12,880 13,113 13,157 13,107 12,993 13,049 13,491 14,468 15,808 17,397 18,894 19,942 20,328 20,264 41 9,332 9,823 10,267 10,627 10,872 11,033 11,173 11,326 11,505 11,708 11,927 12,259 12,635 12,870 12,917 12,875 12,770 12,830 13,272 14,242 15,572 17,147 18,635 19,679 20,068 42 8,632 9,090 9,575 10,013 10,372 10,617 10,781 10,925 11,081 11,263 11,467 11,689 12,020 12,398 12,635 12,689 12,653 12,555 12,620 13,061 14,025 15,344 16,908 18,385 19,426 43 8,022 8,405 8,858 9,337 9,770 10,127 10,374 10,540 10,687 10,846 11,031 11,238 11,462 11,793 12,170 12,410 12,469 12,439 12,348 12,417 12,859 13,817 15,126 16,679 18,146 44 7,547 7,808 8,188 8,635 9,109 9,538 9,894 10,140 10,309 10,460 10,621 10,808 11,018 11,244 11,576 11,952 12,195 12,259 12,234 12,149 12,223 12,664 13,617 14,917 16,459 45 7,170 7,343 7,602 7,977 8,419 8,887 9,313 9,667 9,914 10,084 10,238 10,401 10,590 10,801 11,029 11,361 11,736 11,980 12,049 12,030 11,951 12,030 12,469 13,415 14,706 46 6,832 6,972 7,145 7,402 7,773 8,210 8,672 9,095 9,446 9,693 9,864 10,021 10,185 10,376 10,587 10,817 11,148 11,522 11,767 11,839 11,825 11,753 11,835 12,274 13,212 47 6,492 6,641 6,782 6,954 7,210 7,576 8,010 8,466 8,884 9,233 9,481 9,653 9,811 9,977 10,169 10,382 10,612 10,943 11,315 11,561 11,638 11,628 11,560 11,647 12,086 48 6,168 6,309 6,459 6,600 6,771 7,025 7,387 7,816 8,268 8,682 9,028 9,275 9,449 9,610 9,777 9,969 10,182 10,414 10,745 11,115 11,364 11,443 11,438 11,376 11,465 49 5,850 5,992 6,133 6,282 6,424 6,595 6,848 7,207 7,629 8,077 8,488 8,831 9,078 9,252 9,415 9,585 9,778 9,992 10,224 10,554 10,923 11,173 11,256 11,255 11,198 50 5,562 5,699 5,841 5,980 6,130 6,271 6,441 6,692 7,046 7,464 7,907 8,312 8,654 8,899 9,074 9,238 9,407 9,601 9,815 10,047 10,375 10,743 10,993 11,079 11,081 51 5,293 5,434 5,570 5,712 5,850 5,999 6,140 6,308 6,555 6,906 7,318 7,756 8,155 8,494 8,737 8,911 9,075 9,244 9,437 9,652 9,883 10,208 10,573 10,823 10,910 52 5,030 5,171 5,310 5,445 5,587 5,724 5,871 6,012 6,179 6,423 6,769 7,176 7,610 8,003 8,340 8,580 8,753 8,918 9,087 9,278 9,493 9,723 10,046 10,408 10,658 53 4,774 4,913 5,053 5,191 5,326 5,467 5,604 5,748 5,889 6,054 6,297 6,637 7,038 7,467 7,856 8,189 8,428 8,601 8,765 8,935 9,125 9,339 9,569 9,890 10,248 54 4,522 4,663 4,800 4,939 5,076 5,210 5,350 5,486 5,629 5,770 5,933 6,174 6,511 6,907 7,330 7,714 8,044 8,281 8,453 8,618 8,787 8,977 9,190 9,418 9,739 55 4,281 4,418 4,559 4,693 4,832 4,967 5,099 5,238 5,373 5,514 5,653 5,815 6,053 6,385 6,776 7,195 7,573 7,901 8,135 8,305 8,470 8,638 8,828 9,039 9,266 56 4,045 4,186 4,321 4,460 4,593 4,730 4,862 4,994 5,131 5,263 5,405 5,542 5,702 5,936 6,264 6,648 7,061 7,434 7,757 7,989 8,158 8,321 8,488 8,677 8,887 57 3,820 3,955 4,094 4,228 4,365 4,495 4,631 4,762 4,891 5,027 5,157 5,297 5,434 5,591 5,824 6,145 6,523 6,931 7,298 7,618 7,847 8,015 8,178 8,344 8,532 58 3,617 3,736 3,869 4,005 4,137 4,272 4,401 4,535 4,665 4,792 4,927 5,055 5,194 5,329 5,485 5,714 6,031 6,403 6,806 7,167 7,483 7,710 7,877 8,038 8,205 59 3,442 3,537 3,654 3,786 3,920 4,050 4,183 4,311 4,443 4,571 4,696 4,829 4,956 5,094 5,228 5,382 5,608 5,920 6,287 6,685 7,040 7,354 7,578 7,743 7,903 60 3,267 3,346 3,439 3,555 3,685 3,815 3,943 4,073 4,199 4,329 4,455 4,578 4,709 4,834 4,971 5,103 5,254 5,477 5,783 6,143 6,535 6,882 7,191 7,413 7,578

Page 65: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

52 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total

(Males) Projection Year61 3,109 3,156 3,234 3,323 3,437 3,565 3,692 3,817 3,944 4,066 4,195 4,318 4,439 4,569 4,690 4,824 4,955 5,104 5,323 5,621 5,974 6,357 6,697 7,000 7,219 62 2,970 3,005 3,050 3,126 3,214 3,324 3,449 3,573 3,697 3,821 3,940 4,067 4,187 4,306 4,433 4,553 4,683 4,813 4,960 5,174 5,465 5,811 6,186 6,519 6,816 63 2,806 2,868 2,904 2,948 3,022 3,109 3,217 3,339 3,459 3,580 3,703 3,818 3,943 4,061 4,177 4,302 4,421 4,547 4,675 4,819 5,030 5,316 5,654 6,022 6,348 64 2,604 2,710 2,771 2,805 2,849 2,922 3,006 3,112 3,232 3,349 3,467 3,587 3,701 3,823 3,939 4,052 4,176 4,293 4,417 4,543 4,684 4,891 5,171 5,502 5,863 65 2,376 2,508 2,611 2,670 2,703 2,746 2,818 2,899 3,002 3,119 3,233 3,348 3,464 3,576 3,695 3,807 3,917 4,038 4,154 4,274 4,398 4,535 4,737 5,009 5,332 66 2,142 2,283 2,410 2,509 2,566 2,596 2,639 2,709 2,787 2,887 3,000 3,110 3,222 3,333 3,441 3,557 3,666 3,772 3,890 4,002 4,118 4,240 4,372 4,569 4,832 67 1,932 2,057 2,193 2,315 2,411 2,465 2,495 2,536 2,605 2,680 2,777 2,886 2,992 3,100 3,208 3,313 3,425 3,530 3,634 3,747 3,857 3,969 4,088 4,216 4,406 68 1,753 1,856 1,975 2,106 2,224 2,317 2,368 2,397 2,438 2,504 2,577 2,669 2,776 2,879 2,983 3,087 3,189 3,299 3,399 3,501 3,611 3,717 3,825 3,942 4,067 69 1,617 1,684 1,782 1,897 2,023 2,136 2,227 2,277 2,304 2,345 2,408 2,479 2,567 2,671 2,772 2,872 2,971 3,070 3,178 3,274 3,374 3,480 3,584 3,689 3,801 70 1,500 1,542 1,605 1,700 1,809 1,930 2,037 2,124 2,174 2,199 2,238 2,300 2,367 2,452 2,551 2,648 2,744 2,840 2,935 3,038 3,130 3,227 3,329 3,428 3,530 71 1,402 1,422 1,461 1,521 1,610 1,713 1,828 1,930 2,012 2,059 2,083 2,121 2,179 2,245 2,324 2,419 2,510 2,602 2,693 2,783 2,881 2,969 3,061 3,160 3,254 72 1,318 1,330 1,349 1,385 1,443 1,526 1,623 1,733 1,829 1,907 1,952 1,975 2,011 2,067 2,129 2,204 2,295 2,381 2,468 2,555 2,641 2,735 2,818 2,906 3,000 73 1,225 1,251 1,261 1,279 1,313 1,368 1,447 1,538 1,643 1,733 1,808 1,852 1,874 1,906 1,961 2,019 2,091 2,177 2,259 2,342 2,424 2,506 2,596 2,676 2,759 74 1,126 1,162 1,186 1,196 1,213 1,246 1,297 1,372 1,458 1,558 1,643 1,715 1,755 1,777 1,808 1,861 1,916 1,984 2,066 2,144 2,223 2,302 2,379 2,465 2,542 75 1,019 1,062 1,095 1,118 1,126 1,142 1,172 1,221 1,292 1,371 1,466 1,545 1,612 1,651 1,671 1,699 1,749 1,801 1,865 1,942 2,014 2,088 2,162 2,235 2,315 76 917 954 995 1,024 1,046 1,053 1,068 1,095 1,139 1,205 1,279 1,366 1,441 1,501 1,538 1,556 1,583 1,629 1,675 1,735 1,805 1,872 1,941 2,008 2,076 77 835 860 894 930 958 978 983 998 1,023 1,064 1,125 1,193 1,274 1,344 1,399 1,433 1,449 1,474 1,518 1,560 1,615 1,679 1,739 1,804 1,865 78 772 784 807 838 871 896 914 919 933 955 994 1,050 1,114 1,188 1,253 1,303 1,335 1,350 1,372 1,412 1,452 1,503 1,562 1,617 1,676 79 742 725 736 757 785 815 839 855 859 872 893 928 980 1,039 1,107 1,168 1,214 1,244 1,258 1,278 1,315 1,351 1,398 1,453 1,503

80+ 3,971 4,210 4,398 4,565 4,724 4,882 5,043 5,200 5,348 5,476 5,594 5,710 5,838 5,991 6,171 6,383 6,616 6,855 7,083 7,288 7,478 7,670 7,864 8,069 8,290

Total (Females) 1,071,928 1,098,417 1,125,660 1,153,673 1,182,467 1,212,051 1,242,402 1,273,508 1,305,383 1,338,047 1,371,527 1,405,841 1,440,976 1,476,931 1,513,689 1,551,250 1,589,614 1,628,769 1,668,698 1,709,399 1,750,833 1,792,984 1,835,847 1,879,411 1,923,684

0 38,090 38,871 39,675 40,486 41,289 42,120 42,979 43,828 44,683 45,561 46,465 47,378 48,288 49,190 50,079 50,967 51,850 52,719 53,576 54,423 55,238 56,023 56,807 57,592 58,383 1 36,468 37,206 38,015 38,850 39,697 40,512 41,341 42,199 43,048 43,902 44,781 45,685 46,599 47,508 48,412 49,304 50,195 51,082 51,954 52,816 53,668 54,490 55,280 56,070 56,862 2 35,404 35,892 36,646 37,471 38,325 39,185 40,000 40,830 41,688 42,539 43,394 44,275 45,181 46,097 47,009 47,916 48,811 49,705 50,597 51,473 52,339 53,197 54,024 54,820 55,615 3 34,506 34,998 35,499 36,263 37,100 37,960 38,820 39,635 40,466 41,325 42,177 43,032 43,915 44,823 45,739 46,653 47,561 48,460 49,355 50,250 51,130 51,998 52,860 53,690 54,490 4 33,866 34,186 34,687 35,200 35,973 36,815 37,673 38,534 39,348 40,180 41,039 41,894 42,749 43,632 44,541 45,458 46,374 47,283 48,184 49,080 49,978 50,860 51,731 52,596 53,428 5 33,427 33,667 33,992 34,500 35,019 35,797 36,638 37,494 38,354 39,168 40,001 40,860 41,714 42,570 43,453 44,362 45,280 46,196 47,107 48,009 48,906 49,804 50,688 51,559 52,427 6 32,976 33,312 33,558 33,885 34,397 34,918 35,695 36,536 37,391 38,250 39,064 39,896 40,754 41,609 42,465 43,348 44,256 45,173 46,089 47,001 47,903 48,800 49,700 50,584 51,454 7 32,343 32,864 33,202 33,452 33,783 34,297 34,820 35,595 36,436 37,290 38,148 38,962 39,793 40,651 41,504 42,362 43,244 44,153 45,070 45,986 46,897 47,799 48,697 49,596 50,482 8 31,568 32,232 32,755 33,097 33,351 33,685 34,198 34,723 35,498 36,337 37,191 38,048 38,862 39,693 40,550 41,404 42,260 43,143 44,051 44,969 45,885 46,797 47,697 48,597 49,495 9 30,621 31,460 32,125 32,652 32,998 33,254 33,589 34,102 34,628 35,402 36,241 37,093 37,950 38,764 39,594 40,451 41,305 42,161 43,044 43,953 44,869 45,785 46,698 47,598 48,499

10 29,566 30,598 31,438 32,104 32,634 32,983 33,242 33,577 34,090 34,616 35,390 36,229 37,080 37,936 38,752 39,581 40,438 41,290 42,147 43,029 43,938 44,855 45,770 46,684 47,583 11 28,389 29,627 30,658 31,499 32,167 32,700 33,050 33,311 33,648 34,162 34,685 35,459 36,299 37,150 38,005 38,821 39,650 40,506 41,359 42,215 43,097 44,005 44,924 45,838 46,751 12 27,264 28,452 29,689 30,721 31,563 32,233 32,766 33,118 33,380 33,719 34,232 34,756 35,529 36,368 37,220 38,075 38,891 39,720 40,576 41,428 42,284 43,167 44,073 44,992 45,906 13 26,530 27,331 28,518 29,753 30,785 31,628 32,297 32,833 33,186 33,449 33,790 34,303 34,827 35,600 36,439 37,290 38,146 38,962 39,789 40,647 41,499 42,354 43,236 44,143 45,061 14 26,331 26,599 27,400 28,584 29,820 30,852 31,694 32,363 32,900 33,255 33,519 33,863 34,376 34,897 35,671 36,510 37,362 38,217 39,033 39,860 40,717 41,570 42,425 43,307 44,212 15 26,449 26,358 26,628 27,430 28,613 29,847 30,877 31,719 32,389 32,926 33,284 33,550 33,896 34,410 34,930 35,703 36,543 37,395 38,251 39,066 39,894 40,751 41,604 42,458 43,341 16 26,759 26,434 26,347 26,620 27,421 28,602 29,834 30,862 31,702 32,374 32,912 33,273 33,541 33,888 34,404 34,925 35,697 36,538 37,389 38,246 39,062 39,891 40,747 41,600 42,456 17 26,929 26,742 26,422 26,339 26,615 27,416 28,594 29,823 30,849 31,689 32,361 32,901 33,264 33,535 33,883 34,399 34,922 35,693 36,536 37,386 38,243 39,059 39,888 40,746 41,599 18 26,605 26,910 26,728 26,413 26,333 26,612 27,412 28,586 29,814 30,838 31,677 32,351 32,892 33,256 33,529 33,881 34,398 34,920 35,691 36,534 37,385 38,243 39,059 39,889 40,746 19 25,575 26,587 26,894 26,716 26,406 26,331 26,610 27,409 28,581 29,806 30,829 31,667 32,342 32,884 33,251 33,526 33,879 34,397 34,921 35,691 36,536 37,387 38,245 39,061 39,892 20 23,914 25,422 26,431 26,743 26,570 26,266 26,195 26,477 27,274 28,444 29,666 30,688 31,525 32,201 32,746 33,115 33,392 33,749 34,269 34,794 35,565 36,410 37,262 38,121 38,939 21 22,053 23,632 25,135 26,142 26,458 26,292 25,995 25,929 26,214 27,009 28,176 29,395 30,416 31,254 31,930 32,477 32,850 33,130 33,491 34,015 34,544 35,317 36,161 37,014 37,873 22 20,524 21,786 23,358 24,854 25,860 26,178 26,018 25,729 25,667 25,956 26,750 27,914 29,130 30,150 30,988 31,664 32,213 32,591 32,874 33,237 33,764 34,298 35,072 35,916 36,771 23 19,363 20,267 21,524 23,089 24,579 25,584 25,905 25,750 25,468 25,411 25,702 26,496 27,658 28,870 29,889 30,728 31,405 31,955 32,336 32,623 32,989 33,520 34,058 34,833 35,677 24 18,762 19,116 20,017 21,269 22,827 24,311 25,315 25,637 25,489 25,213 25,161 25,455 26,246 27,406 28,616 29,634 30,474 31,152 31,704 32,087 32,378 32,747 33,281 33,823 34,599 25 18,500 18,468 18,823 19,720 20,966 22,516 23,993 24,995 25,321 25,181 24,915 24,870 25,166 25,958 27,116 28,324 29,340 30,182 30,863 31,417 31,805 32,101 32,474 33,013 33,559 26 18,373 18,157 18,129 18,487 19,380 20,618 22,159 23,629 24,628 24,959 24,830 24,574 24,539 24,840 25,634 26,789 27,997 29,013 29,857 30,542 31,100 31,493 31,796 32,175 32,719 27 18,143 18,031 17,824 17,801 18,160 19,049 20,282 21,813 23,277 24,273 24,610 24,491 24,245 24,219 24,525 25,319 26,473 27,679 28,696 29,542 30,230 30,793 31,191 31,499 31,884 28 17,666 17,805 17,698 17,499 17,481 17,843 18,729 19,954 21,477 22,935 23,930 24,271 24,161 23,925 23,908 24,219 25,014 26,166 27,370 28,389 29,237 29,929 30,495 30,898 31,211 29 16,817 17,333 17,475 17,374 17,183 17,171 17,536 18,418 19,638 21,151 22,602 23,596 23,942 23,842 23,615 23,607 23,922 24,719 25,869 27,071 28,090 28,940 29,634 30,205 30,613 30 15,680 16,468 16,983 17,129 17,036 16,854 16,850 17,218 18,097 19,312 20,815 22,259 23,253 23,605 23,514 23,299 23,299 23,620 24,419 25,569 26,771 27,789 28,644 29,340 29,916 31 14,476 15,324 16,103 16,615 16,767 16,684 16,514 16,520 16,891 17,767 18,976 20,471 21,908 22,902 23,260 23,182 22,978 22,990 23,316 24,117 25,267 26,470 27,490 28,348 29,049 32 13,412 14,139 14,978 15,750 16,261 16,419 16,347 16,188 16,202 16,577 17,451 18,654 20,140 21,571 22,564 22,929 22,862 22,670 22,692 23,025 23,828 24,977 26,181 27,202 28,064 33 12,517 13,093 13,813 14,644 15,410 15,921 16,085 16,023 15,875 15,897 16,276 17,147 18,345 19,823 21,247 22,239 22,610 22,556 22,374 22,405 22,744 23,549 24,697 25,903 26,924 34 11,869 12,215 12,785 13,498 14,322 15,083 15,595 15,765 15,712 15,574 15,604 15,986 16,854 18,048 19,518 20,936 21,929 22,304 22,261 22,090 22,130 22,475 23,282 24,429 25,634 35 11,411 11,581 11,926 12,491 13,198 14,016 14,773 15,287 15,460 15,417 15,289 15,326 15,711 16,575 17,765 19,226 20,638 21,630 22,012 21,977 21,816 21,864 22,215 23,024 24,170 36 11,030 11,136 11,307 11,652 12,212 12,913 13,726 14,479 14,993 15,171 15,136 15,017 15,061 15,449 16,309 17,494 18,947 20,353 21,344 21,731 21,705 21,554 21,610 21,965 22,777 37 10,601 10,762 10,871 11,042 11,387 11,943 12,641 13,447 14,195 14,711 14,894 14,866 14,756 14,806 15,197 16,054 17,234 18,680 20,080 21,069 21,462 21,444 21,301 21,366 21,725

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 53

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total

(Females) Projection Year38 10,080 10,340 10,502 10,614 10,787 11,132 11,685 12,378 13,179 13,924 14,439 14,628 14,607 14,506 14,561 14,954 15,809 16,983 18,422 19,816 20,803 21,202 21,192 21,058 21,130 39 9,413 9,827 10,087 10,251 10,365 10,540 10,887 11,437 12,126 12,922 13,662 14,178 14,371 14,358 14,264 14,324 14,721 15,572 16,741 18,174 19,563 20,548 20,952 20,950 20,824 40 8,685 9,198 9,609 9,868 10,033 10,151 10,328 10,674 11,222 11,906 12,697 13,433 13,948 14,144 14,138 14,051 14,115 14,515 15,362 16,525 17,951 19,335 20,318 20,725 20,730 41 7,931 8,508 9,015 9,423 9,682 9,848 9,969 10,148 10,494 11,038 11,718 12,503 13,235 13,749 13,946 13,946 13,865 13,933 14,334 15,178 16,335 17,753 19,130 20,111 20,520 42 7,246 7,767 8,336 8,838 9,243 9,503 9,671 9,794 9,975 10,320 10,860 11,536 12,315 13,043 13,557 13,756 13,761 13,686 13,759 14,160 15,000 16,150 17,562 18,932 19,912 43 6,731 7,091 7,607 8,171 8,667 9,071 9,329 9,499 9,624 9,808 10,153 10,690 11,361 12,134 12,858 13,372 13,574 13,583 13,513 13,591 13,991 14,829 15,974 17,377 18,741 44 6,451 6,586 6,943 7,453 8,010 8,503 8,905 9,162 9,334 9,461 9,647 9,991 10,525 11,192 11,960 12,680 13,192 13,397 13,411 13,346 13,428 13,829 14,664 15,803 17,200 45 6,350 6,316 6,451 6,804 7,308 7,860 8,348 8,749 9,005 9,178 9,307 9,494 9,838 10,370 11,032 11,793 12,511 13,022 13,229 13,246 13,187 13,272 13,673 14,505 15,639 46 6,315 6,223 6,192 6,326 6,675 7,174 7,719 8,204 8,602 8,857 9,032 9,162 9,350 9,693 10,222 10,879 11,636 12,348 12,858 13,067 13,089 13,033 13,123 13,523 14,352 47 6,239 6,190 6,101 6,072 6,205 6,551 7,043 7,584 8,065 8,461 8,715 8,891 9,023 9,212 9,554 10,080 10,732 11,484 12,191 12,700 12,911 12,938 12,887 12,980 13,379 48 6,124 6,114 6,068 5,981 5,956 6,089 6,431 6,919 7,454 7,931 8,325 8,577 8,755 8,889 9,079 9,419 9,943 10,591 11,338 12,042 12,549 12,761 12,791 12,745 12,841 49 5,925 6,001 5,993 5,950 5,866 5,842 5,976 6,315 6,797 7,328 7,800 8,193 8,445 8,624 8,759 8,950 9,289 9,810 10,454 11,197 11,896 12,402 12,616 12,650 12,608 50 5,680 5,816 5,892 5,887 5,845 5,764 5,742 5,876 6,212 6,690 7,215 7,684 8,073 8,324 8,504 8,639 8,832 9,170 9,686 10,326 11,064 11,758 12,262 12,477 12,514 51 5,446 5,586 5,722 5,797 5,794 5,753 5,676 5,655 5,790 6,122 6,595 7,114 7,578 7,964 8,215 8,394 8,529 8,722 9,059 9,570 10,205 10,937 11,626 12,128 12,344 52 5,221 5,355 5,496 5,631 5,705 5,704 5,665 5,591 5,571 5,706 6,035 6,503 7,017 7,477 7,859 8,109 8,288 8,423 8,615 8,952 9,460 10,088 10,815 11,499 11,998 53 4,944 5,135 5,268 5,408 5,542 5,617 5,617 5,579 5,508 5,489 5,625 5,950 6,413 6,923 7,378 7,758 8,006 8,185 8,321 8,512 8,847 9,352 9,976 10,696 11,375 54 4,596 4,863 5,051 5,183 5,322 5,454 5,530 5,532 5,496 5,429 5,408 5,545 5,867 6,326 6,830 7,281 7,659 7,906 8,085 8,221 8,411 8,745 9,247 9,866 10,581 55 4,209 4,521 4,783 4,970 5,101 5,238 5,371 5,446 5,449 5,414 5,351 5,331 5,467 5,786 6,240 6,740 7,185 7,560 7,805 7,985 8,120 8,310 8,642 9,140 9,753 56 3,799 4,143 4,450 4,709 4,893 5,022 5,157 5,289 5,365 5,368 5,335 5,274 5,256 5,392 5,707 6,155 6,649 7,090 7,462 7,704 7,883 8,020 8,209 8,538 9,032 57 3,415 3,739 4,077 4,380 4,635 4,817 4,945 5,079 5,210 5,286 5,290 5,258 5,200 5,183 5,317 5,630 6,073 6,561 6,996 7,367 7,607 7,785 7,921 8,110 8,436 58 3,113 3,361 3,681 4,013 4,311 4,563 4,744 4,870 5,002 5,133 5,209 5,214 5,184 5,127 5,112 5,246 5,555 5,993 6,476 6,905 7,273 7,511 7,690 7,825 8,013 59 2,927 3,065 3,311 3,625 3,952 4,245 4,493 4,672 4,798 4,928 5,059 5,135 5,140 5,112 5,057 5,043 5,177 5,483 5,916 6,394 6,819 7,183 7,419 7,597 7,734 60 2,812 2,872 3,007 3,248 3,556 3,878 4,166 4,409 4,586 4,710 4,838 4,968 5,043 5,049 5,024 4,972 4,959 5,091 5,392 5,820 6,291 6,711 7,071 7,306 7,482 61 2,733 2,748 2,808 2,939 3,175 3,475 3,790 4,073 4,311 4,484 4,607 4,733 4,861 4,936 4,943 4,920 4,870 4,859 4,990 5,287 5,706 6,169 6,582 6,937 7,169 62 2,647 2,672 2,687 2,746 2,874 3,104 3,397 3,705 3,983 4,216 4,385 4,507 4,632 4,758 4,832 4,839 4,819 4,772 4,762 4,892 5,184 5,597 6,052 6,459 6,808 63 2,536 2,588 2,612 2,627 2,684 2,810 3,035 3,323 3,623 3,897 4,124 4,290 4,410 4,534 4,658 4,733 4,740 4,722 4,678 4,668 4,798 5,085 5,491 5,939 6,341 64 2,376 2,479 2,531 2,554 2,569 2,625 2,749 2,969 3,251 3,544 3,813 4,036 4,199 4,316 4,439 4,561 4,635 4,645 4,627 4,587 4,578 4,707 4,990 5,390 5,829 65 2,176 2,315 2,412 2,464 2,486 2,502 2,556 2,677 2,893 3,166 3,452 3,715 3,932 4,092 4,207 4,328 4,448 4,520 4,532 4,516 4,478 4,470 4,598 4,874 5,267 66 1,975 2,110 2,245 2,338 2,388 2,410 2,426 2,480 2,597 2,806 3,071 3,348 3,603 3,814 3,970 4,082 4,200 4,318 4,389 4,401 4,386 4,352 4,345 4,471 4,740 67 1,807 1,916 2,047 2,176 2,266 2,315 2,337 2,353 2,406 2,520 2,723 2,979 3,248 3,495 3,701 3,851 3,962 4,077 4,192 4,263 4,276 4,262 4,231 4,225 4,349 68 1,659 1,754 1,859 1,985 2,110 2,196 2,243 2,267 2,284 2,336 2,446 2,643 2,892 3,152 3,392 3,592 3,738 3,847 3,959 4,072 4,141 4,156 4,143 4,114 4,110 69 1,544 1,612 1,704 1,804 1,926 2,047 2,130 2,176 2,200 2,216 2,268 2,376 2,566 2,808 3,060 3,294 3,487 3,631 3,736 3,846 3,956 4,024 4,041 4,029 4,002 70 1,439 1,487 1,551 1,639 1,734 1,850 1,967 2,047 2,091 2,116 2,131 2,182 2,287 2,470 2,703 2,943 3,170 3,355 3,494 3,596 3,703 3,811 3,876 3,893 3,885 71 1,344 1,372 1,417 1,477 1,559 1,651 1,760 1,871 1,948 1,991 2,015 2,031 2,080 2,180 2,355 2,576 2,806 3,023 3,199 3,333 3,431 3,533 3,637 3,700 3,719 72 1,264 1,283 1,309 1,352 1,408 1,485 1,573 1,676 1,782 1,855 1,896 1,920 1,936 1,985 2,080 2,247 2,458 2,677 2,883 3,052 3,180 3,274 3,373 3,474 3,535 73 1,176 1,207 1,224 1,249 1,289 1,342 1,416 1,499 1,597 1,698 1,768 1,807 1,832 1,847 1,894 1,986 2,145 2,346 2,555 2,751 2,913 3,036 3,127 3,222 3,319 74 1,079 1,123 1,153 1,168 1,192 1,230 1,280 1,350 1,429 1,522 1,619 1,687 1,724 1,748 1,763 1,808 1,896 2,048 2,240 2,440 2,627 2,782 2,900 2,988 3,079 75 966 1,020 1,060 1,088 1,101 1,122 1,159 1,206 1,272 1,348 1,434 1,525 1,590 1,625 1,648 1,664 1,707 1,789 1,933 2,115 2,302 2,478 2,625 2,736 2,820 76 853 902 952 987 1,014 1,026 1,045 1,079 1,124 1,183 1,254 1,334 1,418 1,479 1,512 1,534 1,549 1,590 1,667 1,800 1,969 2,145 2,308 2,444 2,548 77 758 797 842 887 919 944 955 973 1,004 1,045 1,102 1,167 1,241 1,319 1,377 1,408 1,428 1,442 1,481 1,553 1,678 1,834 1,998 2,151 2,277 78 675 710 743 786 827 857 880 889 906 936 973 1,026 1,086 1,156 1,227 1,282 1,310 1,330 1,343 1,380 1,447 1,563 1,710 1,862 2,004 79 608 631 664 694 733 771 798 820 828 844 872 906 956 1,011 1,077 1,142 1,193 1,220 1,240 1,252 1,287 1,350 1,457 1,593 1,735

80+ 3,884 4,013 4,142 4,277 4,414 4,562 4,722 4,879 5,033 5,169 5,296 5,426 5,565 5,724 5,907 6,118 6,354 6,598 6,827 7,035 7,217 7,399 7,606 7,875 8,224

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54 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Sex &

District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both Sexes)

2,143,413

2,195,878

2,249,824

2,305,258

2,362,207

2,420,678

2,480,657

2,542,132 2,605,116

2,669,635

2,735,763

2,803,519

2,872,875

2,943,829

3,016,344

3,090,415

3,166,036

3,243,204

3,321,863

3,402,007

3,483,577

3,566,537

3,650,865

3,736,566

3,823,642

Chilila-bombwe 100,395 103,699 107,113 110,640 114,282 118,041 121,918 125,914 130,031 134,272 138,643 143,145 147,780 152,549 157,450 162,486 167,659 172,968 178,414 183,995 189,713 195,564 201,550 207,671 213,929 Chingola 235,519 241,407 247,446 253,637 259,981 266,478 273,125 279,920 286,864 293,959 301,208 308,617 316,177 323,889 331,747 339,749 347,891 356,174 364,588 373,133 381,798 390,579 399,472 408,476 417,590 Kalulushi 109,524 112,829 116,236 119,745 123,359 127,080 130,907 134,840 138,882 143,032 147,300 151,682 156,181 160,795 165,527 170,373 175,335 180,413 185,605 190,910 196,326 201,852 207,487 213,231 219,084

Kitwe 566,131 585,331 605,172 625,665 646,827 668,668 691,193 714,407 738,320 762,950 788,324 814,457 841,351 869,009 897,430 926,620 956,583 987,326

1,018,837

1,051,121

1,084,163 1,117,959

1,152,505

1,187,807

1,223,870 Luanshya 167,533 168,684 169,842 171,004 172,170 173,335 174,497 175,652 176,798 177,934 179,063 180,184 181,289 182,382 183,452 184,500 185,524 186,521 187,485 188,417 189,313 190,166 190,978 191,748 192,474 Lufwanyama 85,268 87,282 89,347 91,460 93,622 95,834 98,094 100,401 102,755 105,156 107,606 110,106 112,654 115,248 117,888 120,571 123,298 126,066 128,874 131,720 134,600 137,515 140,460 143,437 146,443 Masaiti 111,738 112,849 113,970 115,102 116,244 117,393 118,548 119,706 120,864 122,024 123,186 124,349 125,510 126,669 127,820 128,964 130,097 131,218 132,326 133,415 134,487 135,535 136,561 137,560 138,536 Mpongwe 102,543 106,599 110,816 115,199 119,752 124,482 129,391 134,483 139,764 145,239 150,918 156,805 162,907 169,224 175,762 182,525 189,518 196,745 204,207 211,912 219,858 228,050 236,487 245,181 254,133 Mufulira 175,753 178,221 180,728 183,268 185,841 188,444 191,074 193,727 196,401 199,095 201,812 204,551 207,305 210,073 212,851 215,632 218,416 221,200 223,979 226,748 229,501 232,238 234,951 237,641 240,307 Ndola 489,009 498,977 509,154 519,538 530,129 540,923 551,910 563,082 574,437 585,974 597,703 609,623 621,721 633,991 646,417 658,995 671,715 684,573 697,548 710,636 723,818 737,079 750,414 763,814 777,276

Total (Males)

1,071,485

1,097,461

1,124,164

1,151,585

1,179,740

1,208,627

1,238,255

1,268,624

1,299,733

1,331,588

1,364,236

1,397,678

1,431,899

1,466,898

1,502,655

1,539,165

1,576,422

1,614,435

1,653,165

1,692,608

1,732,744

1,773,553

1,815,018

1,857,155

1,899,958 Chilila-bombwe 51,418 53,180 55,003 56,888 58,836 60,849 62,927 65,072 67,285 69,567 71,922 74,351 76,854 79,433 82,086 84,816 87,623 90,508 93,471 96,511 99,630 102,826 106,100 109,453 112,886 Chingola 118,460 121,468 124,553 127,715 130,956 134,273 137,669 141,143 144,694 148,323 152,033 155,825 159,696 163,646 167,672 171,773 175,946 180,193 184,509 188,893 193,340 197,849 202,417 207,045 211,731 Kalulushi 54,926 56,523 58,167 59,858 61,596 63,384 65,220 67,105 69,040 71,024 73,062 75,152 77,295 79,489 81,737 84,034 86,384 88,785 91,236 93,736 96,286 98,883 101,527 104,218 106,958 Kitwe 281,993 291,462 301,244 311,341 321,760 332,505 343,584 354,999 366,754 378,855 391,318 404,149 417,347 430,914 444,848 459,153 473,827 488,879 504,297 520,085 536,236 552,750 569,620 586,856 604,454 Luanshya 83,361 83,856 84,354 84,850 85,347 85,841 86,332 86,819 87,300 87,775 88,246 88,710 89,166 89,614 90,050 90,473 90,883 91,279 91,657 92,018 92,361 92,681 92,981 93,259 93,516 Lufwanyama 42,717 43,692 44,690 45,710 46,753 47,818 48,905 50,014 51,144 52,296 53,470 54,667 55,885 57,125 58,384 59,662 60,960 62,275 63,608 64,957 66,320 67,698 69,088 70,492 71,908 Masaiti 56,171 56,682 57,197 57,716 58,238 58,762 59,288 59,815 60,341 60,866 61,392 61,917 62,440 62,960 63,475 63,986 64,489 64,986 65,475 65,953 66,422 66,878 67,322 67,752 68,169 Mpongwe 51,576 53,587 55,677 57,847 60,099 62,437 64,862 67,376 69,982 72,682 75,480 78,380 81,383 84,490 87,704 91,025 94,457 98,001 101,658 105,431 109,319 113,325 117,448 121,694 126,063 Mufulira 88,183 89,459 90,755 92,068 93,398 94,743 96,102 97,475 98,860 100,255 101,664 103,084 104,513 105,950 107,393 108,838 110,286 111,735 113,182 114,624 116,060 117,489 118,906 120,313 121,710 Ndola 242,680 247,552 252,524 257,592 262,757 268,015 273,366 278,806 284,333 289,945 295,649 301,443 307,320 313,277 319,306 325,405 331,567 337,794 344,072 350,400 356,770 363,174 369,609 376,073 382,563

Total (Females)

1,071,928

1,098,417

1,125,660

1,153,673

1,182,467

1,212,051

1,242,402

1,273,508

1,305,383

1,338,047

1,371,527

1,405,841

1,440,976

1,476,931

1,513,689

1,551,250

1,589,614

1,628,769

1,668,698

1,709,399

1,750,833

1,792,984

1,835,847 1,879,411

1,923,684

Chilila-bombwe 48,977 50,519 52,110 53,752 55,446 57,192 58,991 60,842 62,746 64,705 66,721 68,794 70,926 73,116 75,364 77,670 80,036 82,460 84,943 87,484 90,083 92,738 95,450 98,218 101,043Chingola 117,059 119,939 122,893 125,922 129,025 132,205 135,456 138,777 142,170 145,636 149,175 152,792 156,481 160,243 164,075 167,976 171,945 175,981 180,079 184,240 188,458 192,730 197,055 201,431 205,859Kalulushi 54,598 56,306 58,069 59,887 61,763 63,696 65,687 67,735 69,842 72,008 74,238 76,530 78,886 81,306 83,790 86,339 88,951 91,628 94,369 97,174 100,040 102,969 105,960 109,013 112,126Kitwe 284,138 293,869 303,928 314,324 325,067 336,163 347,609 359,408 371,566 384,095 397,006 410,308 424,004 438,095 452,582 467,467 482,756 498,447 514,540 531,036 547,927 565,209 582,885 600,951 619,416Luanshya 84,172 84,828 85,488 86,154 86,823 87,494 88,165 88,833 89,498 90,159 90,817 91,474 92,123 92,768 93,402 94,027 94,641 95,242 95,828 96,399 96,952 97,485 97,997 98,489 98,958Lufwanyama 42,551 43,590 44,657 45,750 46,869 48,016 49,189 50,387 51,611 52,860 54,136 55,439 56,769 58,123 59,504 60,909 62,338 63,791 65,266 66,763 68,280 69,817 71,372 72,945 74,535Masaiti 55,567 56,167 56,773 57,386 58,006 58,631 59,260 59,891 60,523 61,158 61,794 62,432 63,070 63,709 64,345 64,978 65,608 66,232 66,851 67,462 68,065 68,657 69,239 69,808 70,367Mpongwe 50,967 53,012 55,139 57,352 59,653 62,045 64,529 67,107 69,782 72,557 75,438 78,425 81,524 84,734 88,058 91,500 95,061 98,744 102,549 106,481 110,539 114,725 119,039 123,487 128,070Mufulira 87,570 88,762 89,973 91,200 92,443 93,701 94,972 96,252 97,541 98,840 100,148 101,467 102,792 104,123 105,458 106,794 108,130 109,465 110,797 112,124 113,441 114,749 116,045 117,328 118,597Ndola 246,329 251,425 256,630 261,946 267,372 272,908 278,544 284,276 290,104 296,029 302,054 308,180 314,401 320,714 327,111 333,590 340,148 346,779 353,476 360,236 367,048 373,905 380,805 387,741 394,713

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 55

Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital Events,

Rates & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Life Expectancy at Birth (Males)Chililabombwe 53.6 54.0 54.3 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.6 55.9 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.1 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.7 61.0 61.3 Chingola 51.0 51.3 51.7 52.0 52.4 52.7 53.1 53.4 53.8 54.1 54.5 54.8 55.2 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.5 56.9 57.2 57.6 57.9 58.3 58.6 59.0 59.3 Kalulushi 51.6 52.0 52.3 52.7 53.0 53.4 53.7 54.0 54.4 54.7 55.0 55.4 55.7 56.1 56.4 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.5 59.8 Kitwe 50.7 51.0 51.4 51.8 52.1 52.5 52.8 53.2 53.5 53.8 54.2 54.6 54.9 55.3 55.6 56.0 56.3 56.7 57.0 57.4 57.7 58.1 58.4 58.8 59.1 Luanshya 49.7 50.1 50.5 50.8 51.2 51.6 51.9 52.3 52.6 53.0 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.5 55.9 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.4 Lufwanyama 52.9 53.2 53.6 53.9 54.2 54.5 54.9 55.2 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.1 57.5 57.8 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.8 60.1 60.4 60.7 Masaiti 46.8 47.2 47.6 48.0 48.4 48.8 49.2 49.5 49.9 50.3 50.7 51.1 51.5 51.9 52.3 52.7 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.4 55.8 56.2 Mpongwe 50.5 50.9 51.2 51.6 51.9 52.3 52.6 53.0 53.3 53.7 54.0 54.4 54.7 55.1 55.4 55.8 56.1 56.5 56.8 57.2 57.6 57.9 58.3 58.6 59.0 Mufulira 50.5 50.9 51.2 51.6 51.9 52.3 52.6 53.0 53.3 53.7 54.0 54.4 54.7 55.1 55.4 55.8 56.1 56.5 56.8 57.2 57.6 57.9 58.3 58.6 59.0 Ndola 48.4 48.8 49.2 49.6 49.9 50.3 50.7 51.0 51.4 51.8 52.2 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.7 57.1 57.4 Life Expectancy at Birth (Females)Chililabombwe 55.4 55.8 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.0 59.4 59.8 60.2 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.7 64.1 64.5 64.9 Chingola 53.6 54.0 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.0 59.4 59.9 60.3 60.7 61.1 61.6 62.0 62.4 62.8 63.2 63.6 Kalulushi 52.3 52.7 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.5 57.9 58.3 58.8 59.2 59.7 60.1 60.5 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.7 Kitwe 53.7 54.1 54.6 55.0 55.4 55.8 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.9 58.3 58.7 59.1 59.5 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.1 62.5 62.9 63.3 63.7 Luanshya 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.4 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.5 62.9 63.3 Lufwanyama 55.3 55.7 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.6 58.0 58.4 58.8 59.2 59.6 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.4 62.8 63.2 63.6 64.0 64.4 64.8 Masaiti 51.6 52.1 52.5 52.9 53.4 53.8 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.6 56.0 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.8 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.6 60.0 60.5 60.9 61.3 61.8 62.2 Mpongwe 51.6 52.1 52.5 52.9 53.4 53.8 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.6 56.0 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.8 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.6 60.0 60.5 60.9 61.3 61.8 62.2 Mufulira 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 59.0 59.4 59.8 60.2 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.2 Ndola 52.0 52.4 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.5 55.9 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.7 58.1 58.5 59.0 59.4 59.9 60.3 60.7 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.4 Total Fertility Rate (TFR)Chililabombwe 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 Chingola 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 Kalulushi 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 Kitwe 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 Luanshya 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 Lufwanyama 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 Masaiti 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 Mpongwe 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 Mufulira 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 Ndola 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0

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56 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHILILABOMBWE DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chilila-bombwe District

Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 100,395 51,418 48,977 103,699 53,180 50,519 107,113 55,003 52,110 110,640 56,888 53,752 114,282 58,836 55,446 118,041 60,849 57,192 121,918 62,927 58,991 125,914 65,072 60,842 0-4 16,988 8,618 8,370 17,392 8,834 8,558 17,857 9,084 8,773 18,363 9,354 9,008 18,901 9,638 9,263 19,454 9,930 9,525 20,015 10,226 9,789 20,582 10,526 10,056 5-9 14,765 7,458 7,307 15,138 7,663 7,475 15,445 7,824 7,621 15,731 7,970 7,761 16,023 8,120 7,902 16,359 8,294 8,065 16,760 8,503 8,257 17,222 8,746 8,476

10-14 12,485 6,137 6,347 13,078 6,478 6,601 13,747 6,864 6,883 14,409 7,247 7,162 15,001 7,587 7,414 15,489 7,864 7,625 15,879 8,077 7,803 16,202 8,245 7,957 15-19 12,082 5,979 6,103 12,242 6,062 6,180 12,326 6,104 6,222 12,467 6,178 6,288 12,760 6,340 6,420 13,238 6,611 6,627 13,857 6,968 6,888 14,555 7,375 7,180 20-24 10,156 4,973 5,183 10,868 5,371 5,498 11,657 5,809 5,847 12,381 6,211 6,170 12,943 6,521 6,423 13,293 6,709 6,583 13,462 6,796 6,666 13,550 6,837 6,713 25-29 9,212 4,792 4,420 9,285 4,821 4,464 9,366 4,866 4,500 9,552 4,977 4,575 9,907 5,187 4,720 10,475 5,521 4,954 11,225 5,959 5,267 12,056 6,442 5,614 30-34 6,822 3,722 3,100 7,092 3,821 3,271 7,374 3,923 3,450 7,626 4,016 3,611 7,825 4,090 3,734 7,950 4,137 3,812 8,022 4,165 3,856 8,103 4,207 3,895 35-39 4,943 2,633 2,310 5,079 2,704 2,375 5,205 2,767 2,438 5,343 2,828 2,516 5,510 2,891 2,619 5,719 2,965 2,754 5,968 3,050 2,917 6,228 3,139 3,089 40-44 3,703 2,112 1,592 3,927 2,233 1,694 4,168 2,359 1,809 4,400 2,480 1,920 4,604 2,587 2,016 4,773 2,678 2,094 4,915 2,756 2,159 5,049 2,827 2,222 45-49 2,869 1,550 1,319 2,926 1,602 1,325 2,993 1,660 1,333 3,087 1,730 1,357 3,221 1,816 1,405 3,400 1,918 1,482 3,615 2,034 1,582 3,849 2,156 1,694 50-54 2,176 1,179 997 2,263 1,225 1,039 2,343 1,270 1,073 2,416 1,317 1,100 2,484 1,364 1,120 2,543 1,412 1,131 2,599 1,462 1,137 2,663 1,518 1,145 55-59 1,470 824 646 1,562 860 702 1,661 898 762 1,758 938 821 1,850 977 872 1,934 1,017 917 2,013 1,058 956 2,086 1,098 988 60-64 1,008 570 438 1,039 589 450 1,071 608 463 1,111 629 483 1,165 653 512 1,233 681 552 1,311 712 599 1,395 744 651 65-69 643 321 321 687 344 343 733 367 366 776 389 387 812 408 404 842 424 418 867 438 429 894 452 442 70-74 504 259 245 521 267 254 539 276 263 562 288 274 592 304 288 629 323 306 671 346 326 715 369 346 75-79 290 147 143 304 152 152 319 159 160 334 166 168 347 172 176 359 177 182 370 182 188 382 188 194 80+ 280 145 135 296 155 141 310 164 146 324 172 152 338 180 158 352 188 165 368 196 172 383 204 179

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chilila-bombwe District

Total Male Fe-male Total Male Fe-

male Total Male Fe-male Total Male Fe-

male Total Male Fe-male

Total 130,031 67,285 62,746 134,272 69,567 64,705 157,450 82,086 75,364 183,995 96,511 87,484 213,929 112,886 101,043 0-4 21,156 10,831 10,325 21,744 11,144 10,600 24,884 12,830 12,054 28,186 14,626 13,560 31,482 16,434 15,047 5-9 17,723 9,010 8,713 18,252 9,287 8,966 21,062 10,776 10,286 24,158 12,439 11,719 27,428 14,207 13,221

10-14 16,503 8,397 8,106 16,811 8,556 8,255 19,170 9,803 9,367 22,126 11,387 10,739 25,391 13,148 12,243 15-19 15,247 7,779 7,468 15,868 8,140 7,727 17,791 9,188 8,603 20,274 10,525 9,749 23,384 12,210 11,174 20-24 13,702 6,916 6,785 14,023 7,095 6,928 17,421 9,084 8,337 19,515 10,238 9,277 22,215 11,699 10,516 25-29 12,819 6,884 5,935 13,415 7,227 6,188 14,602 7,892 6,710 18,243 10,121 8,122 20,505 11,422 9,083 30-34 8,280 4,310 3,970 8,608 4,500 4,107 11,809 6,338 5,471 12,962 6,975 5,987 16,327 9,001 7,326 35-39 6,466 3,220 3,245 6,658 3,289 3,369 7,439 3,675 3,763 10,367 5,265 5,102 11,512 5,859 5,653 40-44 5,195 2,896 2,299 5,370 2,969 2,400 6,568 3,431 3,136 7,427 3,885 3,542 10,514 5,647 4,867 45-49 4,076 2,273 1,803 4,277 2,378 1,899 5,063 2,774 2,289 6,275 3,250 3,025 7,175 3,724 3,451 50-54 2,753 1,585 1,167 2,879 1,668 1,211 3,866 2,215 1,651 4,615 2,610 2,004 5,755 3,086 2,669 55-59 2,153 1,140 1,013 2,215 1,182 1,033 2,581 1,458 1,123 3,490 1,952 1,538 4,191 2,314 1,877 60-64 1,478 777 701 1,556 811 745 1,873 988 885 2,194 1,227 967 2,983 1,652 1,331 65-69 929 468 462 977 487 490 1,322 609 714 1,596 746 850 1,869 934 935 70-74 756 390 366 791 409 382 955 489 466 1,290 613 677 1,562 753 809 75-79 398 196 202 419 206 212 557 276 281 674 330 344 911 411 500 80+ 398 212 186 411 219 192 487 259 228 602 322 281 722 383 339

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 57

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHINGOLA DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chingola District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 235,519 118,460 117,059 241,407 121,468 119,939 247,446 124,553 122,893 253,637 127,715 125,922 259,981 130,956 129,025 266,478 134,273 132,205 273,125 137,669 135,456 279,920 141,143 138,777 0-4 39,093 19,840 19,253 39,704 20,156 19,548 40,447 20,546 19,901 41,269 20,976 20,293 42,150 21,427 20,723 43,052 21,890 21,162 43,955 22,355 21,600 44,854 22,820 22,035 5-9 34,793 17,693 17,099 35,390 18,020 17,370 35,825 18,239 17,586 36,204 18,418 17,786 36,590 18,606 17,984 37,071 18,842 18,229 37,691 19,157 18,534 38,434 19,541 18,893

10-14 29,406 14,476 14,931 30,562 15,143 15,419 31,873 15,906 15,968 33,148 16,648 16,500 34,244 17,283 16,961 35,088 17,762 17,326 35,696 18,090 17,605 36,142 18,312 17,830 15-19 28,245 13,642 14,602 28,393 13,711 14,682 28,364 13,684 14,681 28,466 13,731 14,735 28,911 13,972 14,939 29,759 14,445 15,314 30,908 15,099 15,808 32,210 15,847 16,363 20-24 22,745 10,899 11,846 24,144 11,667 12,477 25,689 12,511 13,178 27,069 13,260 13,809 28,079 13,803 14,276 28,614 14,082 14,532 28,758 14,145 14,613 28,726 14,112 14,614 25-29 19,974 9,834 10,140 19,975 9,808 10,168 19,991 9,811 10,179 20,227 9,948 10,278 20,811 10,281 10,530 21,827 10,850 10,977 23,202 11,613 11,589 24,717 12,450 12,267 30-34 15,541 8,060 7,481 16,041 8,202 7,839 16,559 8,349 8,211 17,004 8,471 8,533 17,320 8,556 8,764 17,467 8,581 8,886 17,493 8,567 8,926 17,536 8,582 8,954 35-39 12,047 6,476 5,571 12,281 6,592 5,689 12,485 6,686 5,799 12,717 6,774 5,942 13,010 6,868 6,142 13,400 6,984 6,416 13,874 7,124 6,749 14,369 7,271 7,098 40-44 8,631 4,598 4,034 9,082 4,818 4,264 9,568 5,047 4,521 10,025 5,260 4,765 10,410 5,440 4,970 10,711 5,584 5,126 10,947 5,699 5,248 11,160 5,795 5,364 45-49 7,000 3,573 3,427 7,077 3,660 3,417 7,174 3,760 3,414 7,337 3,885 3,452 7,593 4,043 3,550 7,952 4,234 3,718 8,393 4,452 3,941 8,872 4,680 4,192 50-54 5,734 2,833 2,901 5,916 2,916 3,000 6,076 2,999 3,077 6,214 3,082 3,132 6,332 3,165 3,167 6,426 3,249 3,177 6,507 3,336 3,171 6,607 3,435 3,172 55-59 4,156 2,236 1,920 4,386 2,314 2,072 4,631 2,396 2,235 4,869 2,479 2,390 5,085 2,562 2,523 5,278 2,644 2,634 5,451 2,725 2,726 5,605 2,807 2,798 60-64 3,094 1,705 1,389 3,164 1,747 1,417 3,235 1,787 1,449 3,331 1,832 1,499 3,467 1,888 1,579 3,642 1,952 1,690 3,846 2,022 1,824 4,063 2,096 1,967 65-69 2,012 1,041 970 2,133 1,104 1,029 2,258 1,169 1,089 2,371 1,227 1,143 2,463 1,276 1,188 2,533 1,314 1,220 2,591 1,347 1,244 2,651 1,378 1,272 70-74 1,347 667 680 1,381 682 699 1,418 700 719 1,468 723 744 1,533 756 777 1,616 798 818 1,711 845 866 1,809 894 915 75-79 832 442 389 863 454 410 900 469 430 934 485 449 963 498 465 987 509 478 1,010 520 490 1,036 532 503 80+ 872 445 427 914 473 441 951 495 456 986 515 471 1,020 534 486 1,056 553 503 1,093 572 521 1,129 591 539

Age, Sex &

District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chingola District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 286,864 144,694 142,170 293,959 148,323 145,636 331,747 167,672 164,075 373,133 188,893 184,240 417,590 211,731 205,859 0-4 45,752 23,285 22,467 46,660 23,757 22,904 51,345 26,199 25,146 55,905 28,587 27,318 60,021 30,774 29,246 5-9 39,250 19,963 19,287 40,111 20,402 19,709 44,507 22,678 21,829 49,073 25,055 24,018 53,558 27,417 26,141

10-14 36,532 18,495 18,037 36,929 18,687 18,242 40,493 20,511 19,983 44,928 22,802 22,125 49,559 25,226 24,334 15-19 33,478 16,577 16,901 34,568 17,201 17,367 37,265 18,597 18,668 40,817 20,389 20,428 45,251 22,663 22,588 20-24 28,826 14,157 14,670 29,274 14,399 14,874 34,942 17,661 17,280 37,620 19,051 18,569 41,165 20,858 20,308 25-29 26,073 13,194 12,879 27,069 13,735 13,334 28,328 14,368 13,960 33,952 17,634 16,318 36,674 19,068 17,606 30-34 17,779 8,716 9,062 18,337 9,026 9,311 24,150 12,177 11,973 25,478 12,825 12,654 30,795 15,857 14,938 35-39 14,801 7,397 7,404 15,124 7,492 7,632 16,251 8,019 8,232 21,771 10,995 10,776 23,243 11,722 11,521 40-44 11,400 5,888 5,512 11,702 5,987 5,715 13,836 6,627 7,209 15,044 7,182 7,862 20,423 10,001 10,422 45-49 9,324 4,893 4,431 9,712 5,077 4,634 11,065 5,672 5,393 13,244 6,361 6,883 14,559 6,984 7,575 50-54 6,769 3,557 3,211 7,019 3,711 3,308 9,076 4,721 4,355 10,431 5,326 5,105 12,591 6,032 6,559 55-59 5,739 2,889 2,851 5,856 2,971 2,885 6,538 3,510 3,028 8,502 4,496 4,006 9,825 5,108 4,717 60-64 4,275 2,171 2,104 4,467 2,246 2,221 5,168 2,622 2,546 5,804 3,117 2,687 7,588 4,022 3,567 65-69 2,733 1,415 1,318 2,850 1,460 1,390 3,703 1,749 1,954 4,299 2,052 2,247 4,845 2,460 2,386 70-74 1,898 939 959 1,971 975 996 2,290 1,118 1,172 2,986 1,340 1,645 3,473 1,577 1,896 75-79 1,070 550 520 1,117 574 543 1,430 736 694 1,662 841 821 2,154 1,004 1,150 80+ 1,164 608 556 1,195 624 571 1,361 708 653 1,617 840 777 1,864 959 905

Page 71: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

58 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KALULUSHI DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kalulushi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 109,524 54,926 54,598 112,829 56,523 56,306 116,236 58,167 58,069 119,745 59,858 59,887 123,359 61,596 61,763 127,080 63,384 63,696 130,907 65,220 65,687 134,840 67,105 67,735 0-4 18,651 9,354 9,297 19,040 9,538 9,503 19,497 9,758 9,739 19,996 9,999 9,998 20,529 10,251 10,278 21,078 10,512 10,565 21,632 10,776 10,855 22,188 11,042 11,147 5-9 16,835 8,417 8,418 17,212 8,603 8,608 17,514 8,740 8,774 17,791 8,858 8,933 18,075 8,982 9,093 18,408 9,130 9,278 18,814 9,318 9,496 19,284 9,540 9,744

10-14 13,847 6,780 7,067 14,465 7,118 7,347 15,164 7,504 7,659 15,851 7,883 7,968 16,460 8,214 8,245 16,952 8,474 8,479 17,336 8,663 8,673 17,643 8,802 8,841 15-19 13,037 6,231 6,807 13,174 6,285 6,890 13,230 6,295 6,935 13,348 6,340 7,007 13,627 6,475 7,152 14,100 6,720 7,380 14,720 7,051 7,669 15,418 7,428 7,991 20-24 9,818 4,721 5,096 10,476 5,072 5,404 11,205 5,459 5,746 11,868 5,807 6,062 12,376 6,067 6,309 12,678 6,213 6,464 12,808 6,265 6,544 12,860 6,273 6,587 25-29 8,538 4,160 4,378 8,583 4,164 4,419 8,635 4,181 4,454 8,782 4,255 4,528 9,083 4,413 4,670 9,575 4,675 4,900 10,230 5,023 5,207 10,954 5,405 5,549 30-34 7,172 3,776 3,395 7,438 3,857 3,582 7,717 3,940 3,777 7,964 4,012 3,951 8,153 4,067 4,086 8,265 4,095 4,170 8,320 4,104 4,217 8,384 4,126 4,258 35-39 5,574 2,982 2,592 5,711 3,047 2,664 5,836 3,102 2,734 5,974 3,154 2,820 6,144 3,210 2,935 6,362 3,276 3,086 6,622 3,355 3,268 6,895 3,436 3,459 40-44 4,021 2,151 1,870 4,252 2,262 1,990 4,503 2,379 2,124 4,742 2,488 2,254 4,950 2,583 2,367 5,119 2,661 2,458 5,259 2,726 2,533 5,388 2,783 2,606 45-49 3,315 1,744 1,571 3,370 1,793 1,577 3,435 1,849 1,586 3,532 1,918 1,614 3,674 2,003 1,672 3,868 2,106 1,762 4,103 2,222 1,880 4,358 2,345 2,013 50-54 2,734 1,369 1,365 2,836 1,415 1,421 2,927 1,460 1,467 3,009 1,506 1,503 3,083 1,552 1,530 3,145 1,599 1,546 3,201 1,648 1,553 3,267 1,703 1,564 55-59 2,043 1,109 934 2,166 1,152 1,014 2,299 1,197 1,102 2,429 1,243 1,186 2,550 1,290 1,260 2,660 1,336 1,324 2,762 1,382 1,380 2,855 1,429 1,425 60-64 1,481 835 646 1,522 858 664 1,564 881 683 1,618 906 712 1,692 937 755 1,786 973 813 1,895 1,012 883 2,011 1,053 959 65-69 994 526 467 1,059 560 499 1,127 595 532 1,189 627 562 1,242 654 587 1,284 676 607 1,319 696 623 1,357 715 642 70-74 642 341 301 662 350 312 683 360 323 711 374 337 746 392 354 791 415 375 842 442 400 894 469 425 75-79 390 220 170 407 227 180 426 236 190 444 244 200 460 252 208 474 258 216 487 265 223 502 272 230 80+ 432 208 224 455 222 233 476 233 243 496 243 252 516 253 262 536 263 273 558 273 285 580 283 296

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kalulushi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 138,882 69,040 69,842 143,032 71,024 72,008 165,527 81,737 83,790 190,910 93,736 97,174 219,084 106,958 112,126 0-4 22,749 11,309 11,440 23,319 11,580 11,739 26,312 12,995 13,317 29,382 14,438 14,944 32,336 15,812 16,524 5-9 19,795 9,782 10,013 20,332 10,034 10,299 23,135 11,349 11,785 26,163 12,768 13,394 29,271 14,213 15,058

10-14 17,926 8,923 9,003 18,213 9,048 9,165 20,479 10,106 10,373 23,304 11,441 11,863 26,352 12,875 13,476 15-19 16,106 7,798 8,308 16,714 8,121 8,593 18,479 8,935 9,543 20,762 9,975 10,787 23,599 11,279 12,320 20-24 12,972 6,317 6,656 13,241 6,448 6,793 16,202 8,048 8,154 17,891 8,840 9,051 20,069 9,846 10,223 25-29 11,613 5,749 5,864 12,117 6,006 6,111 13,004 6,394 6,610 15,972 7,991 7,981 17,684 8,790 8,894 30-34 8,544 4,206 4,338 8,857 4,372 4,486 11,962 6,002 5,960 12,943 6,436 6,507 16,029 8,096 7,934 35-39 7,141 3,509 3,632 7,335 3,567 3,769 8,085 3,885 4,200 11,103 5,424 5,679 12,154 5,883 6,271 40-44 5,533 2,838 2,695 5,708 2,896 2,813 6,927 3,261 3,666 7,729 3,600 4,130 10,753 5,099 5,654 45-49 4,603 2,461 2,142 4,818 2,563 2,255 5,625 2,913 2,711 6,901 3,327 3,575 7,779 3,716 4,063 50-54 3,364 1,771 1,593 3,506 1,854 1,652 4,648 2,401 2,247 5,478 2,757 2,721 6,788 3,177 3,611 55-59 2,938 1,476 1,462 3,013 1,524 1,489 3,447 1,832 1,615 4,596 2,390 2,206 5,445 2,762 2,684 60-64 2,127 1,095 1,032 2,233 1,136 1,097 2,649 1,350 1,299 3,050 1,634 1,416 4,086 2,145 1,941 65-69 1,406 737 669 1,473 763 710 1,962 930 1,032 2,337 1,111 1,225 2,699 1,355 1,344 70-74 943 494 449 984 515 469 1,171 601 570 1,560 734 826 1,862 879 984 75-79 522 282 240 547 295 252 718 386 332 855 449 406 1,133 545 587 80+ 601 293 308 620 301 318 724 348 376 883 420 462 1,045 488 556

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 59

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KITWE DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kitwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 566,131 281,993 284,138 585,331 291,462 293,869 605,172 301,244 303,928 625,665 311,341 314,324 646,827 321,760 325,067 668,668 332,505 336,163 691,193 343,584 347,609 714,407 354,999 359,408 0-4 93,786 46,943 46,844 96,092 48,078 48,014 98,746 49,404 49,342 101,632 50,845 50,787 104,708 52,358 52,350 107,882 53,924 53,958 111,105 55,516 55,589 114,361 57,125 57,236 5-9 83,096 41,664 41,432 85,264 42,776 42,488 87,067 43,646 43,422 88,758 44,431 44,327 90,490 45,247 45,244 92,482 46,194 46,288 94,848 47,345 47,503 97,557 48,683 48,874

10-14 69,167 33,096 36,070 72,507 34,904 37,603 76,266 36,957 39,309 79,997 38,995 41,002 83,352 40,809 42,543 86,144 42,280 43,864 88,399 43,410 44,989 90,283 44,296 45,987 15-19 67,322 32,165 35,157 68,273 32,589 35,684 68,803 32,786 36,017 69,656 33,166 36,490 71,364 34,020 37,343 74,097 35,458 38,638 77,624 37,364 40,259 81,590 39,531 42,059 20-24 55,688 26,381 29,307 59,630 28,470 31,160 63,997 30,774 33,223 68,021 32,880 35,141 71,175 34,503 36,671 73,167 35,488 37,679 74,177 35,934 38,242 74,738 36,138 38,600 25-29 49,544 23,670 25,874 49,990 23,798 26,192 50,469 24,000 26,469 51,509 24,531 26,977 53,454 25,557 27,897 56,544 27,190 29,353 60,617 29,338 31,279 65,124 31,705 33,419 30-34 40,484 21,095 19,389 42,149 21,640 20,509 43,891 22,205 21,686 45,461 22,713 22,748 46,710 23,126 23,584 47,518 23,382 24,135 48,004 23,533 24,471 48,539 23,762 24,776 35-39 31,098 16,848 14,250 31,978 17,289 14,689 32,793 17,677 15,116 33,689 18,055 15,634 34,765 18,453 16,312 36,114 18,916 17,198 37,714 19,453 18,261 39,395 20,013 19,382 40-44 21,804 12,054 9,750 23,138 12,734 10,404 24,583 13,447 11,136 25,975 14,127 11,848 27,203 14,730 12,473 28,229 15,242 12,986 29,101 15,682 13,419 29,919 16,076 13,843 45-49 16,057 8,334 7,723 16,380 8,607 7,773 16,753 8,914 7,840 17,286 9,285 8,001 18,045 9,739 8,306 19,064 10,283 8,781 20,295 10,901 9,394 21,635 11,550 10,085 50-54 12,811 6,402 6,409 13,334 6,644 6,690 13,815 6,888 6,927 14,252 7,135 7,117 14,652 7,387 7,264 15,000 7,644 7,356 15,322 7,912 7,411 15,693 8,212 7,482 55-59 8,855 4,729 4,126 9,427 4,933 4,494 10,043 5,149 4,894 10,653 5,370 5,283 11,224 5,595 5,629 11,752 5,822 5,931 12,245 6,050 6,195 12,700 6,281 6,418 60-64 6,408 3,485 2,923 6,610 3,599 3,011 6,818 3,711 3,107 7,081 3,835 3,246 7,435 3,984 3,451 7,882 4,154 3,728 8,397 4,337 4,060 8,952 4,532 4,420 65-69 4,056 2,135 1,921 4,339 2,282 2,057 4,633 2,435 2,198 4,906 2,578 2,328 5,142 2,701 2,441 5,335 2,804 2,530 5,503 2,898 2,605 5,679 2,990 2,689 70-74 2,614 1,322 1,292 2,704 1,363 1,341 2,802 1,409 1,393 2,924 1,469 1,456 3,081 1,548 1,534 3,277 1,647 1,630 3,500 1,758 1,742 3,733 1,876 1,857 75-79 1,716 878 838 1,799 908 891 1,892 947 944 1,981 986 995 2,061 1,022 1,039 2,131 1,053 1,078 2,199 1,083 1,116 2,275 1,118 1,157 80+ 1,624 792 833 1,717 848 869 1,802 895 907 1,884 938 946 1,967 981 986 2,053 1,024 1,029 2,144 1,068 1,076 2,234 1,112 1,122

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kitwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 738,320 366,754 371,566 762,950 378,855 384,095 897,430 444,848 452,582 1,051,121 520,085 531,036 1,223,870 604,454 619,416 0-4 117,651 58,751 58,900 121,007 60,408 60,599 138,780 69,152 69,628 157,428 78,316 79,112 175,855 87,347 88,508 5-9 100,483 50,128 50,355 103,560 51,629 51,931 119,764 59,571 60,194 137,580 68,312 69,269 156,229 77,444 78,785

10-14 92,045 45,093 46,951 93,838 45,915 47,923 107,252 52,313 54,939 123,984 60,364 63,620 142,305 69,184 73,121 15-19 85,522 41,677 43,845 89,052 43,582 45,469 100,062 48,913 51,150 114,200 55,659 58,541 131,740 64,096 67,644 20-24 75,647 36,541 39,106 77,474 37,456 40,017 96,342 47,689 48,653 108,074 53,392 54,682 123,054 60,561 62,493 25-29 69,276 33,865 35,411 72,528 35,528 37,000 79,118 38,580 40,538 98,707 49,146 49,561 110,935 55,056 55,879 30-34 49,635 24,326 25,309 51,628 25,386 26,242 70,867 35,551 35,316 77,899 38,863 39,036 97,941 49,784 48,158 35-39 40,928 20,522 20,406 42,175 20,946 21,229 47,234 23,273 23,961 65,927 33,120 32,808 73,237 36,583 36,654 40-44 30,818 16,462 14,356 31,890 16,868 15,022 39,212 19,380 19,831 44,422 21,802 22,620 62,789 31,453 31,336 45-49 22,931 12,172 10,759 24,085 12,728 11,356 28,591 14,760 13,831 35,642 17,180 18,462 40,775 19,542 21,234 50-54 16,217 8,573 7,644 16,959 9,012 7,947 22,851 11,902 10,949 27,359 13,934 13,425 34,376 16,352 18,025 55-59 13,114 6,515 6,599 13,492 6,752 6,740 15,684 8,281 7,404 21,254 11,011 10,244 25,566 12,959 12,607 60-64 9,503 4,732 4,771 10,017 4,933 5,083 12,075 5,977 6,099 14,107 7,376 6,732 19,196 9,859 9,337 65-69 5,906 3,093 2,812 6,209 3,217 2,992 8,402 4,000 4,403 10,166 4,872 5,294 11,924 6,050 5,874 70-74 3,949 1,984 1,965 4,136 2,077 2,059 5,007 2,472 2,535 6,799 3,076 3,722 8,233 3,750 4,483 75-79 2,371 1,164 1,208 2,496 1,224 1,272 3,331 1,630 1,701 4,037 1,933 2,104 5,471 2,391 3,080 80+ 2,323 1,154 1,169 2,405 1,193 1,212 2,855 1,405 1,451 3,535 1,730 1,805 4,244 2,046 2,198

Page 73: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

60 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUANSHYA DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Luanshya District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 167,533 83,361 84,172 168,684 83,856 84,828 169,842 84,354 85,488 171,004 84,850 86,154 172,170 85,347 86,823 173,335 85,841 87,494 174,497 86,332 88,165 175,652 86,819 88,833 0-4 25,091 12,664 12,428 25,022 12,614 12,408 25,030 12,608 12,423 25,077 12,621 12,456 25,148 12,641 12,507 25,218 12,663 12,555 25,277 12,680 12,597 25,325 12,693 12,632 5-9 23,460 11,894 11,567 23,430 11,876 11,554 23,290 11,786 11,504 23,111 11,670 11,441 22,934 11,560 11,374 22,812 11,479 11,334 22,771 11,443 11,328 22,797 11,446 11,350

10-14 21,991 10,816 11,175 22,442 11,094 11,348 22,982 11,425 11,557 23,469 11,726 11,743 23,805 11,936 11,869 23,947 12,028 11,919 23,917 12,012 11,905 23,775 11,923 11,852 15-19 22,839 11,248 11,591 22,544 11,083 11,461 22,115 10,845 11,269 21,794 10,671 11,123 21,735 10,647 11,088 21,966 10,793 11,173 22,401 11,063 11,338 22,921 11,386 11,536 20-24 15,633 7,631 8,002 16,296 8,009 8,287 17,029 8,421 8,608 17,621 8,751 8,870 17,948 8,932 9,016 17,958 8,935 9,023 17,719 8,801 8,919 17,377 8,610 8,767 25-29 12,055 5,763 6,293 11,840 5,635 6,205 11,636 5,527 6,109 11,561 5,495 6,066 11,678 5,568 6,110 12,023 5,762 6,261 12,545 6,047 6,498 13,118 6,357 6,761 30-34 9,578 4,731 4,846 9,714 4,720 4,994 9,855 4,711 5,144 9,944 4,687 5,257 9,951 4,642 5,309 9,856 4,565 5,291 9,694 4,469 5,225 9,542 4,390 5,152 35-39 8,728 4,207 4,521 8,738 4,199 4,539 8,726 4,176 4,551 8,734 4,148 4,585 8,784 4,124 4,660 8,897 4,112 4,785 9,061 4,113 4,948 9,231 4,116 5,115 40-44 6,831 3,479 3,353 7,059 3,574 3,485 7,305 3,671 3,634 7,518 3,751 3,766 7,667 3,804 3,862 7,745 3,829 3,916 7,773 3,832 3,941 7,781 3,821 3,960 45-49 5,879 2,931 2,948 5,834 2,944 2,890 5,806 2,966 2,840 5,829 3,005 2,823 5,921 3,066 2,855 6,088 3,148 2,940 6,309 3,246 3,063 6,548 3,346 3,202 50-54 4,838 2,338 2,501 4,902 2,359 2,543 4,944 2,379 2,565 4,964 2,397 2,567 4,967 2,414 2,552 4,947 2,430 2,517 4,916 2,446 2,470 4,898 2,470 2,428 55-59 3,569 1,944 1,626 3,697 1,972 1,725 3,832 2,002 1,830 3,955 2,031 1,924 4,055 2,058 1,997 4,132 2,083 2,050 4,190 2,105 2,085 4,230 2,126 2,104 60-64 2,670 1,500 1,170 2,680 1,506 1,174 2,691 1,511 1,180 2,720 1,519 1,201 2,778 1,534 1,244 2,865 1,556 1,309 2,968 1,580 1,388 3,078 1,606 1,472 65-69 1,758 935 823 1,830 972 858 1,902 1,009 893 1,960 1,038 922 2,000 1,058 941 2,019 1,069 950 2,027 1,074 953 2,036 1,078 958 70-74 1,148 580 568 1,156 582 574 1,165 585 581 1,184 593 591 1,215 608 607 1,257 629 628 1,307 653 654 1,357 678 679 75-79 706 349 357 721 351 370 738 356 382 753 361 392 762 363 399 767 364 403 771 364 407 777 366 411 80+ 757 352 405 779 367 412 795 377 418 810 384 425 823 391 432 836 397 439 849 402 447 862 408 454

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Luanshya District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 176,798 87,300 89,498 177,934 87,775 90,159 183,452 90,050 93,402 188,417 92,018 96,399 192,474 93,516 98,958 0-4 25,361 12,701 12,660 25,396 12,708 12,688 25,512 12,722 12,790 25,323 12,595 12,728 24,749 12,272 12,477 5-9 22,857 11,467 11,390 22,935 11,493 11,442 23,232 11,597 11,636 23,352 11,625 11,727 23,201 11,514 11,687

10-14 23,595 11,809 11,785 23,418 11,702 11,717 23,444 11,659 11,785 23,713 11,760 11,953 23,812 11,775 12,037 15-19 23,391 11,679 11,712 23,716 11,885 11,831 23,341 11,664 11,677 23,308 11,603 11,705 23,524 11,673 11,851 20-24 17,121 8,470 8,651 17,072 8,449 8,623 18,605 9,407 9,198 18,261 9,207 9,054 18,189 9,123 9,066 25-29 13,584 6,607 6,978 13,846 6,745 7,102 13,232 6,405 6,827 14,442 7,133 7,310 14,202 6,980 7,221 30-34 9,498 4,372 5,126 9,617 4,440 5,177 11,550 5,438 6,112 11,114 5,196 5,917 12,212 5,815 6,396 35-39 9,352 4,106 5,245 9,394 4,079 5,315 9,227 3,963 5,263 11,242 4,930 6,312 10,936 4,758 6,179 40-44 7,807 3,807 3,999 7,873 3,796 4,076 8,536 3,814 4,722 8,468 3,751 4,717 10,453 4,727 5,725 45-49 6,758 3,431 3,327 6,912 3,491 3,421 7,196 3,541 3,655 7,876 3,602 4,274 7,886 3,580 4,307 50-54 4,925 2,509 2,417 5,013 2,566 2,447 5,922 2,964 2,958 6,210 3,033 3,177 6,847 3,110 3,737 55-59 4,253 2,146 2,107 4,260 2,164 2,096 4,341 2,321 2,020 5,146 2,698 2,448 5,413 2,774 2,640 60-64 3,179 1,632 1,547 3,261 1,656 1,606 3,444 1,754 1,690 3,526 1,892 1,634 4,196 2,210 1,986 65-69 2,061 1,085 976 2,109 1,098 1,011 2,500 1,194 1,306 2,647 1,272 1,375 2,716 1,379 1,337 70-74 1,397 698 700 1,425 711 714 1,511 739 771 1,797 804 992 1,904 857 1,047 75-79 788 371 417 807 379 428 944 442 502 1,002 458 544 1,193 495 698 80+ 872 412 461 879 414 465 915 426 489 991 459 532 1,042 474 568

Page 74: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 61

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUFWANYAMA DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Lufwan-yama

District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 85,268 42,717 42,551 87,282 43,692 43,590 89,347 44,690 44,657 91,460 45,710 45,750 93,622 46,753 46,869 95,834 47,818 48,016 98,094 48,905 49,189 100,401 50,014 50,387 0-4 17,096 8,570 8,525 17,346 8,687 8,659 17,654 8,836 8,819 17,997 9,002 8,995 18,365 9,178 9,187 18,741 9,359 9,382 19,116 9,540 9,576 19,488 9,720 9,769 5-9 15,337 7,728 7,610 15,585 7,852 7,733 15,762 7,930 7,832 15,914 7,992 7,923 16,070 8,058 8,013 16,267 8,145 8,123 16,524 8,265 8,258 16,833 8,415 8,418

10-14 11,137 5,563 5,574 11,564 5,806 5,758 12,050 6,085 5,965 12,522 6,356 6,166 12,925 6,585 6,339 13,232 6,755 6,476 13,448 6,867 6,581 13,603 6,939 6,664 15-19 8,895 4,406 4,489 8,933 4,418 4,515 8,916 4,399 4,516 8,940 4,406 4,534 9,072 4,474 4,598 9,331 4,617 4,714 9,683 4,817 4,866 10,083 5,047 5,036 20-24 6,098 2,919 3,179 6,468 3,118 3,350 6,875 3,336 3,539 7,238 3,528 3,710 7,502 3,665 3,836 7,638 3,733 3,905 7,669 3,742 3,927 7,654 3,727 3,927 25-29 5,214 2,467 2,747 5,210 2,455 2,756 5,210 2,450 2,760 5,267 2,480 2,787 5,413 2,558 2,856 5,671 2,694 2,977 6,021 2,878 3,143 6,407 3,080 3,327 30-34 4,530 2,270 2,260 4,673 2,305 2,369 4,823 2,341 2,482 4,950 2,370 2,580 5,040 2,389 2,650 5,079 2,392 2,687 5,083 2,383 2,700 5,091 2,383 2,708 35-39 3,986 2,085 1,901 4,060 2,118 1,942 4,124 2,143 1,981 4,197 2,167 2,030 4,291 2,193 2,099 4,418 2,225 2,192 4,572 2,266 2,306 4,733 2,308 2,425 40-44 2,857 1,527 1,330 3,002 1,597 1,406 3,160 1,669 1,491 3,308 1,735 1,572 3,432 1,792 1,640 3,527 1,836 1,692 3,602 1,870 1,732 3,668 1,898 1,770 45-49 2,422 1,248 1,175 2,447 1,275 1,171 2,478 1,307 1,171 2,532 1,348 1,184 2,618 1,400 1,218 2,739 1,463 1,276 2,888 1,536 1,352 3,050 1,611 1,438 50-54 2,002 998 1,004 2,064 1,025 1,039 2,118 1,052 1,066 2,164 1,079 1,085 2,203 1,106 1,098 2,234 1,133 1,102 2,260 1,161 1,099 2,292 1,193 1,100 55-59 1,543 761 782 1,630 786 844 1,723 812 911 1,812 838 974 1,893 864 1,029 1,964 891 1,074 2,028 916 1,111 2,083 942 1,141 60-64 1,327 637 690 1,355 651 704 1,384 664 720 1,425 680 745 1,484 699 785 1,562 722 840 1,653 746 907 1,750 772 978 65-69 1,024 534 490 1,085 565 520 1,147 596 551 1,203 625 578 1,249 648 600 1,283 666 617 1,311 682 629 1,340 697 643 70-74 811 440 371 831 449 381 852 460 392 881 474 406 919 495 424 968 521 447 1,024 551 473 1,082 582 500 75-79 511 302 208 529 309 219 550 319 231 570 329 241 587 337 249 600 344 256 613 351 263 628 359 270 80+ 479 262 217 502 278 224 522 290 231 541 301 239 559 312 247 578 322 256 598 333 265 617 343 274

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Lufwan-yama

District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 102,755 51,144 51,611 105,156 52,296 52,860 117,888 58,384 59,504 131,720 64,957 66,763 146,443 71,908 74,535 0-4 19,859 9,899 9,960 20,234 10,081 10,153 22,152 11,007 11,145 23,977 11,884 12,094 25,592 12,650 12,942 5-9 17,174 8,581 8,593 17,534 8,753 8,780 19,356 9,633 9,723 21,217 10,531 10,686 23,020 11,394 11,626

10-14 13,736 6,995 6,741 13,872 7,054 6,817 15,132 7,666 7,466 16,690 8,432 8,258 18,302 9,224 9,078 15-19 10,470 5,269 5,201 10,802 5,457 5,344 11,585 5,842 5,744 12,615 6,337 6,278 13,904 6,965 6,939 20-24 7,673 3,731 3,942 7,785 3,788 3,996 9,243 4,601 4,642 9,893 4,910 4,983 10,762 5,316 5,447 25-29 6,751 3,258 3,493 7,001 3,385 3,616 7,291 3,506 3,785 8,677 4,257 4,420 9,318 4,552 4,766 30-34 5,156 2,416 2,740 5,313 2,497 2,815 6,955 3,335 3,620 7,297 3,476 3,821 8,759 4,250 4,509 35-39 4,874 2,344 2,530 4,977 2,369 2,608 5,323 2,511 2,812 7,083 3,407 3,677 7,521 3,591 3,929 40-44 3,743 1,925 1,819 3,839 1,953 1,886 4,519 2,141 2,378 4,886 2,295 2,591 6,594 3,161 3,433 45-49 3,202 1,682 1,520 3,332 1,742 1,590 3,776 1,927 1,850 4,496 2,138 2,358 4,915 2,321 2,594 50-54 2,346 1,233 1,113 2,431 1,284 1,147 3,127 1,618 1,509 3,572 1,805 1,767 4,291 2,022 2,270 55-59 2,130 968 1,162 2,169 993 1,176 2,396 1,162 1,234 3,103 1,473 1,631 3,574 1,654 1,920 60-64 1,844 798 1,046 1,928 824 1,104 2,218 952 1,265 2,454 1,120 1,334 3,199 1,429 1,770 65-69 1,380 714 667 1,438 735 703 1,859 872 988 2,147 1,012 1,134 2,404 1,200 1,204 70-74 1,134 610 524 1,176 632 544 1,358 718 640 1,749 852 897 2,024 991 1,033 75-79 649 370 279 676 385 291 861 489 372 992 553 439 1,268 653 615 80+ 635 353 282 651 361 290 737 406 332 870 476 394 997 537 459

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62 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MASAITI DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Masaiti District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 111,738 56,171 55,567 112,849 56,682 56,167 113,970 57,197 56,773 115,102 57,716 57,386 116,244 58,238 58,006 117,393 58,762 58,631 118,548 59,288 59,260 119,706 59,815 59,891 0-4 21,102 10,556 10,546 21,121 10,555 10,566 21,205 10,591 10,614 21,324 10,645 10,679 21,466 10,706 10,759 21,608 10,770 10,838 21,742 10,830 10,912 21,864 10,884 10,980 5-9 19,786 10,216 9,571 19,834 10,240 9,594 19,786 10,202 9,584 19,706 10,143 9,563 19,629 10,088 9,541 19,600 10,060 9,540 19,638 10,070 9,568 19,734 10,114 9,620

10-14 14,784 7,551 7,233 15,145 7,775 7,370 15,570 8,039 7,531 15,962 8,284 7,679 16,254 8,467 7,787 16,415 8,568 7,847 16,458 8,592 7,866 16,421 8,563 7,857 15-19 11,987 6,018 5,969 11,875 5,953 5,922 11,691 5,848 5,843 11,564 5,777 5,786 11,576 5,788 5,788 11,745 5,892 5,853 12,024 6,064 5,960 12,352 6,267 6,085 20-24 8,365 3,899 4,467 8,750 4,107 4,643 9,174 4,335 4,838 9,526 4,524 5,002 9,739 4,636 5,103 9,782 4,658 5,124 9,689 4,606 5,083 9,538 4,525 5,013 25-29 7,267 3,421 3,846 7,163 3,358 3,806 7,066 3,306 3,759 7,046 3,301 3,745 7,144 3,358 3,785 7,383 3,490 3,893 7,732 3,678 4,054 8,115 3,882 4,233 30-34 6,005 3,034 2,971 6,110 3,039 3,071 6,220 3,045 3,175 6,297 3,042 3,255 6,323 3,025 3,299 6,286 2,987 3,299 6,206 2,936 3,269 6,131 2,896 3,235 35-39 5,322 2,815 2,507 5,346 2,821 2,526 5,357 2,816 2,541 5,378 2,809 2,569 5,423 2,804 2,620 5,507 2,807 2,699 5,621 2,820 2,801 5,739 2,833 2,905 40-44 3,871 2,156 1,715 4,013 2,224 1,789 4,165 2,293 1,872 4,299 2,353 1,946 4,399 2,396 2,003 4,460 2,422 2,038 4,492 2,433 2,058 4,511 2,437 2,075 45-49 3,053 1,508 1,545 3,040 1,520 1,520 3,036 1,538 1,499 3,059 1,564 1,495 3,119 1,602 1,517 3,220 1,653 1,567 3,350 1,711 1,639 3,490 1,771 1,719 50-54 2,521 1,189 1,332 2,564 1,204 1,360 2,595 1,219 1,376 2,615 1,233 1,382 2,626 1,247 1,379 2,625 1,261 1,365 2,618 1,274 1,343 2,617 1,292 1,326 55-59 1,966 917 1,049 2,051 934 1,117 2,141 952 1,189 2,224 969 1,255 2,293 987 1,307 2,348 1,002 1,346 2,391 1,018 1,374 2,423 1,032 1,391 60-64 1,848 875 973 1,862 882 980 1,876 888 988 1,906 897 1,009 1,958 910 1,049 2,033 926 1,107 2,123 945 1,178 2,218 964 1,254 65-69 1,422 674 747 1,486 704 782 1,550 733 817 1,604 758 846 1,643 776 867 1,665 787 878 1,678 794 884 1,692 800 892 70-74 1,050 548 502 1,061 552 509 1,074 557 517 1,095 567 528 1,127 583 544 1,171 606 565 1,222 632 590 1,274 658 615 75-79 768 441 327 785 445 340 806 453 353 824 461 363 837 466 371 845 469 376 852 472 380 861 475 385 80+ 620 353 267 641 369 272 658 380 278 672 389 283 686 397 288 699 405 294 713 413 301 726 420 307

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Masaiti District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 120,864 60,341 60,523 122,024 60,866 61,158 127,820 63,475 64,345 133,415 65,953 67,462 138,536 68,169 70,367 0-4 21,978 10,936 11,042 22,090 10,986 11,103 22,591 11,210 11,382 22,832 11,299 11,534 22,741 11,219 11,523 5-9 19,860 10,174 9,686 20,001 10,238 9,763 20,625 10,529 10,096 21,108 10,746 10,362 21,370 10,846 10,524

10-14 16,356 8,516 7,840 16,293 8,473 7,821 16,602 8,604 7,998 17,097 8,836 8,261 17,494 9,016 8,478 15-19 12,653 6,455 6,199 12,878 6,595 6,283 12,903 6,597 6,306 13,117 6,681 6,436 13,491 6,850 6,641 20-24 9,433 4,470 4,964 9,441 4,477 4,964 10,464 5,080 5,384 10,459 5,062 5,397 10,620 5,112 5,508 25-29 8,434 4,051 4,383 8,628 4,152 4,476 8,394 4,019 4,375 9,327 4,557 4,771 9,347 4,544 4,803 30-34 6,125 2,896 3,229 6,225 2,953 3,272 7,615 3,686 3,929 7,459 3,586 3,873 8,357 4,090 4,267 35-39 5,828 2,838 2,989 5,870 2,831 3,039 5,864 2,803 3,061 7,288 3,551 3,737 7,220 3,491 3,729 40-44 4,540 2,437 2,103 4,591 2,440 2,151 5,032 2,499 2,533 5,079 2,502 2,577 6,401 3,214 3,187 45-49 3,615 1,823 1,792 3,712 1,863 1,849 3,934 1,925 2,009 4,386 1,994 2,392 4,476 2,020 2,457 50-54 2,641 1,318 1,323 2,698 1,353 1,345 3,246 1,593 1,653 3,467 1,660 1,807 3,901 1,734 2,167 55-59 2,443 1,046 1,398 2,454 1,059 1,395 2,524 1,157 1,367 3,057 1,370 1,687 3,289 1,435 1,854 60-64 2,306 983 1,322 2,379 1,002 1,377 2,556 1,082 1,474 2,639 1,188 1,451 3,211 1,414 1,797 65-69 1,720 809 911 1,769 822 947 2,155 911 1,244 2,321 987 1,334 2,413 1,092 1,322 70-74 1,317 681 636 1,347 696 651 1,454 738 715 1,755 818 937 1,895 887 1,008 75-79 876 483 393 901 497 404 1,072 590 483 1,155 622 532 1,381 685 696 80+ 738 426 312 746 430 316 789 451 338 869 494 375 928 521 407

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 63

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MPONGWE DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mpongwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 102,543 51,576 50,967 106,599 53,587 53,012 110,816 55,677 55,139 115,199 57,847 57,352 119,752 60,099 59,653 124,482 62,437 62,045 129,391 64,862 64,529 134,483 67,376 67,107 0-4 20,898 10,618 10,280 21,537 10,935 10,601 22,262 11,301 10,961 23,050 11,698 11,352 23,892 12,118 11,775 24,768 12,555 12,212 25,665 13,005 12660 26,580 13,464 13,117 5-9 18,546 9,390 9,157 19,142 9,694 9,448 19,662 9,947 9,715 20,164 10,185 9,979 20,682 10,433 10,249 21,267 10,716 10,551 21,946 11,050 10896 22,712 11,432 11,280

10-14 13,243 6,681 6,562 13,968 7,084 6,883 14,783 7,544 7,240 15,604 8,006 7,598 16,361 8,428 7,933 17,015 8,785 8,231 17,569 9,074 8495 18,053 9,316 8,737 15-19 10,919 5,492 5,427 11,137 5,595 5,542 11,289 5,661 5,628 11,497 5,760 5,737 11,851 5,943 5,908 12,383 6,232 6,151 13,056 6,607 6449 13,812 7,033 6,780 20-24 8,037 3,765 4,272 8,656 4,085 4,571 9,344 4,441 4,903 9,991 4,772 5,218 10,517 5,038 5,479 10,878 5,213 5,665 11,097 5,311 5786 11,250 5,373 5,876 25-29 6,621 3,059 3,562 6,721 3,093 3,628 6,826 3,137 3,689 7,008 3,225 3,783 7,316 3,380 3,936 7,785 3,617 4,168 8,396 3,927 4469 9,074 4,270 4,805 30-34 5,901 3,021 2,881 6,182 3,116 3,066 6,477 3,215 3,261 6,750 3,308 3,442 6,979 3,388 3,591 7,145 3,446 3,698 7,263 3,490 3773 7,389 3,545 3,844 35-39 4,810 2,634 2,175 4,974 2,718 2,256 5,131 2,795 2,336 5,302 2,872 2,431 5,504 2,952 2,552 5,752 3,045 2,707 6,043 3,150 2893 6,350 3,261 3,090 40-44 3,445 1,876 1,569 3,678 1,993 1,685 3,931 2,116 1,814 4,179 2,236 1,942 4,403 2,346 2,057 4,597 2,442 2,156 4,769 2,528 2241 4,933 2,607 2,326 45-49 2,606 1,364 1,241 2,674 1,417 1,257 2,751 1,475 1,276 2,856 1,546 1,310 3,000 1,631 1,369 3,188 1,733 1,456 3,415 1,848 1567 3,663 1,970 1,693 50-54 1,993 941 1,052 2,087 982 1,105 2,175 1,024 1,151 2,257 1,066 1,190 2,333 1,111 1,222 2,402 1,156 1,246 2,467 1,204 1263 2,540 1,257 1,283 55-59 1,421 681 740 1,525 714 811 1,639 750 889 1,752 787 966 1,860 824 1,035 1,960 863 1,098 2,056 902 1154 2,145 942 1,203 60-64 1,286 598 689 1,334 621 714 1,384 643 741 1,448 669 779 1,532 699 833 1,639 733 906 1,763 770 993 1,897 810 1,088 65-69 1,038 498 539 1,117 536 581 1,199 575 624 1,278 612 666 1,347 645 702 1,406 674 732 1,459 701 759 1,515 727 788 70-74 791 418 373 823 434 389 857 451 406 900 473 428 954 501 453 1,021 536 485 1,098 576 521 1,178 618 559 75-79 528 289 239 556 301 255 588 316 272 619 330 288 647 344 303 674 357 317 699 369 330 728 384 344 80+ 460 251 210 490 270 220 518 287 231 545 302 242 572 318 254 601 334 267 631 350 281 662 367 295

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mpongwe District

Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 139,764 69,982 69,782 145,239 72,682 72,557 175,762 87,704 88,058 211,912 105,431 106,481 254,133 126,063 128,070 0-4 27,514 13,933 13,581 28,473 14,415 14,058 33,664 17,022 16,643 39,402 19,888 19,514 45,425 22,889 22,535 5-9 23,538 11,844 11,694 24,408 12,275 12,133 29,099 14,609 14,490 34,491 17,283 17,208 40,422 20,220 20,203

10-14 18,518 9,543 8,975 18,994 9,777 9,217 22,378 11,491 10,887 26,689 13,679 13,010 31,613 16,178 15,435 15-19 14,572 7,461 7,111 15,270 7,850 7,419 17,688 9,088 8,600 20,826 10,669 10,157 24,793 12,679 12,114 20-24 11,457 5,467 5,990 11,806 5,639 6,167 15,131 7,406 7,726 17,514 8,554 8,960 20,583 10,012 10,570 25-29 9,711 4,589 5,122 10,229 4,844 5,385 11,505 5,426 6,079 14,801 7,131 7,669 17,170 8,244 8,926 30-34 7,603 3,652 3,951 7,956 3,835 4,122 11,255 5,540 5,715 12,766 6,247 6,519 16,560 8,259 8,301 35-39 6,637 3,364 3,273 6,881 3,455 3,426 7,944 3,960 3,984 11,443 5,814 5,629 13,118 6,627 6,491 40-44 5,114 2,686 2,428 5,325 2,770 2,556 6,759 3,282 3,476 7,901 3,810 4,092 11,522 5,671 5,851 45-49 3,906 2,089 1,817 4,128 2,198 1,930 5,051 2,629 2,422 6,493 3,157 3,336 7,666 3,706 3,960 50-54 2,639 1,321 1,319 2,776 1,397 1,379 3,861 1,903 1,958 4,776 2,299 2,477 6,217 2,784 3,434 55-59 2,228 984 1,244 2,304 1,026 1,278 2,744 1,297 1,447 3,846 1,780 2,066 4,786 2,162 2,625 60-64 2,032 851 1,181 2,159 892 1,266 2,680 1,115 1,565 3,203 1,420 1,783 4,511 1,958 2,553 65-69 1,586 757 829 1,680 792 888 2,362 1,016 1,346 2,947 1,277 1,670 3,549 1,636 1,913 70-74 1,254 658 595 1,321 694 628 1,648 851 796 2,300 1,093 1,206 2,875 1,375 1,500 75-79 763 402 361 808 425 383 1,112 584 527 1,388 715 673 1,930 912 1,017 80+ 692 383 309 721 399 322 882 484 398 1,126 615 510 1,392 751 642

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64 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex , Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MUFULIRA DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mufulira District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 175,753 88,183 87,570 178,221 89,459 88,762 180,728 90,755 89,973 183,268 92,068 91,200 185,841 93,398 92,443 188,444 94,743 93,701 191,074 96,102 94,972 193,727 97,475 96,252 0-4 27,557 13,931 13,626 27,684 13,999 13,686 27,898 14,115 13,783 28,156 14,254 13,903 28,445 14,402 14,043 28,736 14,554 14,182 29,017 14,701 14,316 29,286 14,844 14,442 5-9 25,367 13,005 12,362 25,523 13,101 12,422 25,557 13,116 12,441 25,548 13,102 12,446 25,540 13,091 12,448 25,593 13,114 12,479 25,736 13,188 12,548 25,956 13,306 12,650

10-14 22,285 11,102 11,183 22,912 11,488 11,424 23,639 11,935 11,703 24,320 12,357 11,963 24,852 12,689 12,163 25,187 12,899 12,288 25,343 12,995 12,349 25,379 13,011 12,368 15-19 22,611 11,003 11,609 22,483 10,937 11,546 22,218 10,797 11,421 22,056 10,717 11,339 22,158 10,787 11,371 22,559 11,031 11,528 23,175 11,405 11,769 23,888 11,840 12,047 20-24 16,840 8,128 8,712 17,683 8,606 9,077 18,612 9,128 9,484 19,400 9,570 9,831 19,906 9,853 10,053 20,064 9,944 10,121 19,944 9,879 10,065 19,703 9,749 9,954 25-29 14,097 6,896 7,201 13,945 6,802 7,143 13,805 6,731 7,074 13,817 6,751 7,066 14,061 6,901 7,160 14,586 7,204 7,382 15,334 7,627 7,707 16,156 8,087 8,068 30-34 11,039 5,687 5,352 11,272 5,724 5,548 11,512 5,763 5,749 11,694 5,784 5,910 11,782 5,779 6,004 11,753 5,733 6,020 11,642 5,661 5,981 11,542 5,609 5,933 35-39 8,618 4,471 4,147 8,691 4,502 4,189 8,741 4,516 4,225 8,808 4,526 4,282 8,917 4,539 4,378 9,088 4,565 4,523 9,312 4,607 4,705 9,544 4,650 4,893 40-44 6,608 3,418 3,190 6,879 3,543 3,335 7,170 3,672 3,499 7,432 3,785 3,648 7,635 3,872 3,763 7,770 3,931 3,839 7,855 3,969 3,887 7,921 3,992 3,929 45-49 5,790 2,842 2,948 5,787 2,880 2,907 5,800 2,926 2,874 5,865 2,991 2,874 6,002 3,078 2,924 6,218 3,189 3,028 6,492 3,317 3,175 6,788 3,449 3,339 50-54 4,777 2,366 2,412 4,876 2,409 2,467 4,953 2,450 2,503 5,011 2,490 2,520 5,051 2,530 2,521 5,070 2,569 2,501 5,078 2,609 2,469 5,099 2,657 2,442 55-59 3,449 1,869 1,580 3,599 1,912 1,687 3,759 1,959 1,800 3,909 2,005 1,904 4,038 2,049 1,988 4,145 2,092 2,053 4,234 2,133 2,101 4,306 2,173 2,133 60-64 2,446 1,279 1,167 2,474 1,296 1,178 2,502 1,311 1,191 2,549 1,330 1,220 2,626 1,355 1,271 2,732 1,386 1,345 2,856 1,420 1,435 2,988 1,456 1,531 65-69 1,735 916 819 1,820 960 859 1,905 1,005 900 1,979 1,044 934 2,034 1,074 960 2,069 1,094 975 2,093 1,109 983 2,117 1,123 995 70-74 1,112 556 556 1,127 562 565 1,146 570 575 1,173 583 589 1,211 603 608 1,263 630 633 1,323 660 663 1,383 691 693 75-79 734 374 359 754 380 374 777 389 389 798 397 401 814 404 411 826 408 418 835 412 423 847 417 430 80+ 687 341 346 712 358 354 733 371 362 752 382 370 769 391 378 787 401 386 806 410 396 824 419 405

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mufulira District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 196,401 98,860 97,541 199,095 100,255 98,840 212,851 107,393 105,458 226,748 114,624 112,124 240,307 121,710 118,597 0-4 29,545 14,982 14,563 29,801 15,120 14,682 31,044 15,794 15,250 31,998 16,335 15,664 32,493 16,649 15,844 5-9 26,216 13,446 12,770 26,498 13,593 12,905 27,834 14,311 13,522 29,054 14,987 14,067 29,993 15,527 14,466

10-14 25,371 12,999 12,373 25,366 12,991 12,375 26,331 13,506 12,825 27,658 14,232 13,426 28,858 14,907 13,951 15-19 24,556 12,251 12,305 25,079 12,574 12,505 25,594 12,877 12,717 26,539 13,382 13,157 27,828 14,083 13,746 20-24 19,555 9,674 9,881 19,641 9,733 9,908 22,198 11,308 10,890 22,626 11,562 11,064 23,417 11,984 11,433 25-29 16,854 8,478 8,377 17,306 8,729 8,577 17,145 8,650 8,495 19,451 10,063 9,388 19,873 10,302 9,571 30-34 11,574 5,635 5,938 11,806 5,772 6,034 14,717 7,376 7,340 14,698 7,364 7,335 16,801 8,620 8,181 35-39 9,728 4,680 5,048 9,834 4,688 5,146 10,004 4,753 5,251 12,677 6,177 6,499 12,801 6,236 6,565 40-44 8,004 4,012 3,992 8,128 4,035 4,093 9,115 4,230 4,885 9,383 4,346 5,037 12,038 5,729 6,309 45-49 7,057 3,567 3,491 7,271 3,661 3,610 7,849 3,874 3,975 8,914 4,118 4,797 9,268 4,280 4,988 50-54 5,167 2,722 2,445 5,299 2,809 2,491 6,487 3,385 3,102 7,057 3,619 3,439 8,055 3,881 4,174 55-59 4,361 2,212 2,148 4,401 2,250 2,150 4,654 2,518 2,135 5,729 3,058 2,671 6,261 3,289 2,972 60-64 3,112 1,492 1,619 3,218 1,527 1,691 3,522 1,688 1,834 3,732 1,902 1,830 4,619 2,324 2,295 65-69 2,159 1,140 1,019 2,226 1,164 1,063 2,734 1,320 1,414 3,005 1,468 1,537 3,208 1,666 1,542 70-74 1,435 717 718 1,474 737 738 1,621 800 821 1,999 909 1,090 2,199 1,013 1,187 75-79 866 426 440 894 440 454 1,084 535 549 1,193 579 614 1,467 654 812 80+ 840 427 413 853 433 420 919 465 454 1,034 523 511 1,128 566 562

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 65

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, NDOLA DISTRICT, Copperbelt Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Ndola District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 489,009 242,680 246,329 498,977 247,552 251,425 509,154 252,524 256,630 519,538 257,592 261,946 530,129 262,757 267,372 540,923 268,015 272,908 551,910 273,366 278,544 563,082 278,806 284,276 0-4 79,094 39,928 39,166 79,960 40350 39,610 81,081 40,915 40,167 82,351 41,553 40,798 83,728 42,228 41,499 85,135 42,923 42,212 86,533 43,614 42,918 87,910 44,297 43,613 5-9 72,642 36,230 36,413 73,546 36703 36,843 74,108 36,954 37,154 74,552 37,123 37,428 75,008 37,309 37,699 75,655 37,592 38,064 76,577 38,027 38,551 77,740 38,595 39,145

10-14 61,940 30,002 31,938 64,072 31219 32,853 66,507 32,619 33,888 68,845 33,965 34,881 70,793 35,078 35,715 72,209 35,868 36,341 73,131 36,347 36,784 73,717 36,608 37,109 15-19 59,250 28,686 30,564 59,288 28678 30,610 58,957 28,470 30,486 58,900 28,421 30,479 59,552 28,771 30,781 61,024 29,594 31,430 63,099 30,779 32,320 65,465 32,142 33,323 20-24 46,680 22,129 24,552 49,321 23563 25,757 52,232 25,134 27,098 54,784 26,500 28,284 56,571 27,443 29,127 57,392 27,858 29,534 57,424 27,840 29,584 57,106 27,636 29,470 25-29 39,983 18,944 21,039 39,808 18793 21,014 39,657 18,702 20,955 39,940 18,865 21,076 40,903 19,395 21,507 42,698 20,365 22,333 45,174 21,688 23,486 47,899 23,134 24,765 30-34 32,644 16,364 16,279 33,555 16564 16,991 34,499 16,772 17,728 35,280 16,930 18,350 35,786 17,011 18,775 35,936 16,975 18,961 35,835 16,862 18,973 35,764 16,805 18,959 35-39 26,978 14,417 12,561 27,373 14597 12,776 27,700 14,727 12,973 28,085 14,845 13,241 28,605 14,973 13,633 29,332 15,148 14,184 30,239 15,375 14,864 31,183 15,612 15,570 40-44 18,886 10,243 8,642 19,777 10678 9,099 20,737 11,126 9,610 21,625 11,535 10,090 22,352 11,869 10,483 22,892 12,122 10,771 23,292 12,309 10,984 23,637 12,454 11,183 45-49 14,474 7,419 7,055 14,566 7560 7,006 14,699 7,726 6,973 14,964 7,942 7,022 15,415 8,220 7,194 16,072 8,566 7,506 16,887 8,963 7,925 17,769 9,374 8,396 50-54 11,481 5,567 5,914 11,792 5701 6,091 12,055 5,832 6,223 12,271 5,962 6,309 12,447 6,092 6,355 12,571 6,220 6,351 12,669 6,355 6,314 12,802 6,510 6,292 55-59 8,195 4,136 4,060 8,619 4256 4,363 9,073 4,384 4,689 9,507 4,513 4,994 9,891 4,640 5,251 10,224 4,764 5,460 10,515 4,887 5,629 10,763 5,008 5,755 60-64 6,292 3,273 3,019 6,404 3336 3,068 6,517 3,394 3,124 6,682 3,461 3,220 6,927 3,548 3,379 7,253 3,651 3,602 7,634 3,763 3,871 8,041 3,881 4,160 65-69 4,301 2,239 2,062 4,540 2362 2,179 4,784 2,487 2,297 4,999 2,598 2,401 5,171 2,686 2,485 5,294 2,752 2,542 5,390 2,808 2,582 5,490 2,859 2,631 70-74 2,854 1,440 1,415 2,913 1465 1,449 2,979 1,494 1,485 3,068 1,537 1,531 3,190 1,598 1,592 3,348 1,678 1,670 3,530 1,769 1,761 3,715 1,862 1,853 75-79 1,670 841 829 1,727 858 869 1,792 883 909 1,852 908 945 1,902 928 974 1,941 943 997 1,977 958 1,019 2,019 976 1,043 80+ 1,644 823 821 1,716 870 846 1,777 906 871 1,834 938 896 1,889 967 922 1,946 996 950 2,005 1,026 980 2,063 1,054 1,009

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Ndola District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 574,437 284,333 290,104 585,974 289,945 296,029 646,417 319,306 327,111 710,636 350,400 360,236 777,276 382,563 394,713 0-4 89,268 44,973 44,295 90,634 45,652 44,981 97,494 49,068 48,426 103,724 52,149 51,575 108,780 54,649 54,131 5-9 79,036 39,230 39,806 80,408 39,890 40,518 87,219 43,214 44,005 93,971 46,504 47,467 100,184 49,537 50,647

10-14 74,182 36,788 37,394 74,653 36,982 37,671 80,025 39,560 40,465 86,762 42,838 43,924 93,491 46,132 47,359 15-19 67,737 33,452 34,285 69,629 34,536 35,093 73,381 36,391 36,990 78,544 38,861 39,683 85,065 42,049 43,017 20-24 57,052 27,585 29,467 57,678 27,916 29,762 67,275 33,370 33,905 70,780 35,062 35,718 75,662 37,367 38,295 25-29 50,292 24,392 25,899 51,974 25,264 26,710 53,178 25,758 27,420 62,215 30,793 31,422 65,649 32,412 33,236 30-34 36,097 16,983 19,114 37,059 17,498 19,561 47,673 23,007 24,666 49,158 23,602 25,556 57,985 28,408 29,577 35-39 31,983 15,804 16,179 32,538 15,925 16,613 34,183 16,613 17,570 44,736 22,187 22,549 46,660 23,026 23,634 40-44 24,036 12,590 11,446 24,558 12,736 11,821 28,361 13,739 14,622 30,138 14,504 15,633 39,978 19,661 20,318 45-49 18,592 9,751 8,841 19,278 10,067 9,210 21,472 10,961 10,510 25,123 11,973 13,151 26,985 12,796 14,189 50-54 13,054 6,709 6,344 13,473 6,963 6,510 17,038 8,635 8,404 19,145 9,486 9,658 22,625 10,460 12,166 55-59 10,968 5,128 5,840 11,134 5,246 5,887 12,101 6,041 6,060 15,397 7,538 7,859 17,410 8,336 9,073 60-64 8,431 4,000 4,431 8,778 4,117 4,660 9,922 4,683 5,239 10,844 5,423 5,420 13,865 6,811 7,053 65-69 5,635 2,919 2,716 5,849 2,998 2,851 7,431 3,499 3,932 8,432 4,000 4,432 9,280 4,667 4,613 70-74 3,880 1,945 1,935 4,011 2,010 2,002 4,555 2,246 2,309 5,801 2,622 3,178 6,594 3,004 3,591 75-79 2,077 1,003 1,074 2,158 1,041 1,116 2,701 1,302 1,399 3,071 1,449 1,622 3,912 1,684 2,227 80+ 2,117 1,080 1,037 2,163 1,102 1,061 2,408 1,218 1,190 2,796 1,408 1,388 3,151 1,565 1,586

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66 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

RegionProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 1,628,880 1,673,989 1,719,803 1,766,300 1,813,445 1,861,491 1,910,782 1,961,269 2,012,895 2,065,590 2,119,331 2,174,115 2,229,946 2,286,873 2,344,980 2,404,355 2,465,049 2,527,102 2,590,555 2,655,422 2,721,756 2,789,510 2,858,700 2,929,252 3,001,152 0-4 311,421 321,090 329,316 336,297 342,150 347,688 353,660 359,964 366,527 373,211 379,836 386,255 392,514 398,707 404,961 411,416 418,149 425,188 432,523 440,108 447,886 455,791 463,764 471,722 479,597 5-9 238,432 245,861 255,087 265,368 275,957 286,060 295,088 302,875 309,646 315,626 321,448 327,682 334,248 341,081 348,064 355,029 361,804 368,445 375,026 381,676 388,521 395,643 403,060 410,773 418,756

10-14 220,861 220,738 220,264 220,836 223,567 228,746 235,980 245,002 255,088 265,536 275,563 284,560 292,351 299,144 305,144 310,985 317,237 323,819 330,678 337,692 344,699 351,521 358,218 364,858 371,574 15-19 185,052 192,365 199,144 204,532 208,038 209,439 209,371 208,960 209,577 212,311 217,449 224,604 233,520 243,494 253,865 263,823 272,771 280,529 287,295 293,251 299,058 305,277 311,828 318,661 325,659 20-24 140,362 146,447 153,335 160,497 167,502 174,563 181,767 188,448 193,772 197,253 198,683 198,686 198,359 199,034 201,777 206,873 213,938 222,733 232,579 242,846 252,708 261,577 269,277 275,998 281,913 25-29 119,407 120,754 122,019 124,070 127,497 132,368 138,354 145,112 152,135 159,001 165,931 172,994 179,557 184,814 188,281 189,765 189,875 189,668 190,439 193,216 198,281 205,265 213,940 223,649 233,794 30-34 94,838 98,440 102,410 106,103 109,106 111,199 112,606 113,936 116,015 119,411 124,189 130,051 136,658 143,525 150,254 157,049 163,980 170,442 175,651 179,141 180,726 180,991 180,956 181,869 184,724 35-39 79,628 80,794 81,610 82,700 84,497 87,231 90,749 94,620 98,229 101,181 103,279 104,730 106,115 108,225 111,597 116,290 122,030 128,490 135,212 141,811 148,491 155,309 161,689 166,877 170,426 40-44 57,010 60,817 64,922 68,660 71,597 73,560 74,761 75,632 76,762 78,553 81,226 84,650 88,414 91,934 94,846 96,948 98,443 99,876 102,004 105,338 109,940 115,552 121,863 128,437 134,905 45-49 45,706 46,245 46,831 47,947 49,875 52,750 56,376 60,292 63,867 66,692 68,611 69,824 70,725 71,879 73,655 76,279 79,605 83,262 86,703 89,563 91,658 93,184 94,655 96,787 100,073 50-54 35,316 37,098 38,774 40,223 41,414 42,239 42,780 43,370 44,458 46,299 49,028 52,464 56,172 59,567 62,270 64,130 65,336 66,257 67,418 69,170 71,727 74,949 78,488 81,826 84,618 55-59 24,385 25,661 27,284 29,027 30,727 32,393 34,052 35,617 36,981 38,103 38,888 39,420 39,997 41,037 42,783 45,355 48,582 52,068 55,269 57,829 59,616 60,787 61,708 62,857 64,561 60-64 22,692 22,121 21,483 21,132 21,290 22,011 23,188 24,683 26,280 27,843 29,372 30,889 32,324 33,576 34,607 35,338 35,841 36,392 37,371 39,004 41,387 44,378 47,605 50,569 52,950 65-69 18,001 18,758 19,522 20,062 20,260 20,048 19,545 18,975 18,669 18,815 19,466 20,524 21,863 23,289 24,678 26,041 27,390 28,666 29,775 30,691 31,344 31,792 32,292 33,177 34,648 70-74 14,215 14,206 14,196 14,302 14,588 15,091 15,747 16,404 16,859 17,020 16,826 16,382 15,889 15,626 15,760 16,318 17,227 18,365 19,573 20,748 21,894 23,027 24,090 25,012 25,767 75-79 9,845 10,231 10,619 10,927 11,114 11,176 11,163 11,150 11,232 11,455 11,860 12,382 12,900 13,254 13,357 13,179 12,803 12,394 12,174 12,274 12,716 13,424 14,313 15,246 16,146 80+ 11,709 12,363 12,987 13,617 14,266 14,929 15,595 16,229 16,798 17,280 17,676 18,018 18,340 18,687 19,081 19,537 20,038 20,508 20,865 21,064 21,104 21,043 20,954 20,934 21,041

Total (Females) 824,074 846,525 869,275 892,306 915,604 939,326 963,679 988,639 1,014,182 1,040,267 1,066,893 1,094,051 1,121,748 1,150,006 1,178,867 1,208,378 1,238,577 1,269,467 1,301,093 1,333,446 1,366,562 1,400,423 1,435,035 1,470,358 1,506,384

0-4 155,041 159,812 163,864 167,292 170,078 172,743 175,662 178,776 182,043 185,371 188,667 191,864 194,979 198,060 201,174 204,389 207,747 211,257 214,914 218,695 222,572 226,513 230,487 234,452 238,376 5-9 119,229 122,986 127,553 132,575 137,774 142,689 147,065 150,840 154,132 156,994 159,838 162,922 166,203 169,639 173,148 176,645 180,048 183,381 186,684 190,025 193,465 197,045 200,774 204,649 208,657

10-14 109,299 109,310 109,208 109,658 111,183 113,884 117,529 121,985 126,906 132,041 136,934 141,308 145,100 148,416 151,299 154,160 157,260 160,557 164,015 167,552 171,080 174,517 177,888 181,233 184,616 15-19 91,355 94,517 97,615 100,142 101,795 102,469 102,508 102,437 102,912 104,441 107,123 110,733 115,139 120,012 125,119 129,988 134,347 138,131 141,441 144,306 147,154 150,245 153,534 156,987 160,526 20-24 73,443 75,478 77,748 80,189 82,724 85,532 88,650 91,709 94,214 95,865 96,564 96,649 96,629 97,140 98,679 101,344 104,923 109,279 114,105 119,180 124,020 128,357 132,130 135,431 138,293 25-29 63,615 64,699 65,528 66,492 67,862 69,627 71,651 73,902 76,318 78,822 81,598 84,670 87,688 90,172 91,830 92,565 92,706 92,748 93,308 94,868 97,527 101,079 105,395 110,172 115,208 30-34 47,717 50,360 53,257 55,958 58,171 59,773 60,874 61,736 62,727 64,106 65,862 67,876 70,108 72,502 74,986 77,733 80,768 83,756 86,231 87,911 88,701 88,919 89,045 89,676 91,277 35-39 38,911 39,551 40,074 40,876 42,213 44,214 46,766 49,564 52,182 54,342 55,924 57,034 57,924 58,943 60,334 62,092 64,100 66,320 68,702 71,171 73,902 76,911 79,879 82,358 84,077 40-44 27,690 29,606 31,709 33,638 35,169 36,197 36,845 37,386 38,191 39,499 41,440 43,906 46,610 49,148 51,258 52,821 53,943 54,852 55,891 57,288 59,039 61,034 63,241 65,602 68,053 45-49 22,860 22,994 23,155 23,601 24,485 25,888 27,721 29,734 31,586 33,066 34,076 34,727 35,275 36,077 37,355 39,242 41,621 44,238 46,706 48,763 50,303 51,427 52,347 53,393 54,785 50-54 18,450 19,291 20,035 20,649 21,129 21,422 21,559 21,729 22,169 23,021 24,365 26,116 28,037 29,807 31,233 32,213 32,861 33,413 34,203 35,452 37,279 39,576 42,103 44,486 46,484 55-59 12,662 13,394 14,366 15,385 16,321 17,170 17,960 18,663 19,248 19,707 19,991 20,136 20,309 20,736 21,552 22,831 24,492 26,316 28,003 29,362 30,314 30,944 31,492 32,269 33,476 60-64 13,031 12,461 11,819 11,375 11,303 11,650 12,338 13,242 14,191 15,064 15,859 16,593 17,250 17,799 18,228 18,497 18,641 18,808 19,217 19,992 21,193 22,755 24,469 26,053 27,335 65-69 10,515 11,045 11,573 11,917 11,986 11,725 11,217 10,641 10,250 10,194 10,515 11,149 11,976 12,839 13,628 14,352 15,018 15,615 16,112 16,500 16,744 16,874 17,029 17,406 18,119 70-74 8,357 8,413 8,442 8,533 8,741 9,098 9,568 10,031 10,328 10,384 10,152 9,703 9,201 8,862 8,825 9,110 9,672 10,393 11,144 11,829 12,454 13,028 13,540 13,964 14,291 75-79 5,374 5,755 6,138 6,461 6,689 6,810 6,851 6,871 6,943 7,110 7,406 7,788 8,161 8,395 8,425 8,220 7,840 7,429 7,153 7,130 7,369 7,823 8,405 9,003 9,542 80+ 6,525 6,853 7,191 7,565 7,981 8,435 8,915 9,393 9,842 10,240 10,579 10,877 11,159 11,459 11,794 12,176 12,590 12,974 13,264 13,422 13,446 13,376 13,277 13,224 13,269

Total (Males) 804,806 827,464 850,528 873,994 897,841 922,165 947,103 972,630 998,713 1,025,323 1,052,438 1,080,064 1,108,198 1,136,867 1,166,113 1,195,977 1,226,472 1,257,635 1,289,462 1,321,976 1,355,194 1,389,087 1,423,665 1,458,894 1,494,768

0-4 156,380 161,278 165,452 169,005 172,072 174,945 177,998 181,188 184,484 187,840 191,169 194,391 197,535 200,647 203,787 207,027 210,402 213,931 217,609 221,413 225,314 229,278 233,277 237,270 241,221 5-9 119,203 122,875 127,534 132,793 138,183 143,371 148,023 152,035 155,514 158,632 161,610 164,760 168,045 171,442 174,916 178,384 181,756 185,064 188,342 191,651 195,056 198,598 202,286 206,124 210,099

10-14 111,562 111,428 111,056 111,178 112,384 114,862 118,451 123,017 128,182 133,495 138,629 143,252 147,251 150,728 153,845 156,825 159,977 163,262 166,663 170,140 173,619 177,004 180,330 183,625 186,958 15-19 93,697 97,848 101,529 104,390 106,243 106,970 106,863 106,523 106,665 107,870 110,326 113,871 118,381 123,482 128,746 133,835 138,424 142,398 145,854 148,945 151,904 155,032 158,294 161,674 165,133 20-24 66,919 70,969 75,587 80,308 84,778 89,031 93,117 96,739 99,558 101,388 102,119 102,037 101,730 101,894 103,098 105,529 109,015 113,454 118,474 123,666 128,688 133,220 137,147 140,567 143,620 25-29 55,792 56,055 56,491 57,578 59,635 62,741 66,703 71,210 75,817 80,179 84,333 88,324 91,869 94,642 96,451 97,200 97,169 96,920 97,131 98,348 100,754 104,186 108,545 113,477 118,586 30-34 47,121 48,080 49,153 50,145 50,935 51,426 51,732 52,200 53,288 55,305 58,327 62,175 66,550 71,023 75,268 79,316 83,212 86,686 89,420 91,230 92,025 92,072 91,911 92,193 93,447 35-39 40,717 41,243 41,536 41,824 42,284 43,017 43,983 45,056 46,047 46,839 47,355 47,696 48,191 49,282 51,263 54,198 57,930 62,170 66,510 70,640 74,589 78,398 81,810 84,519 86,349 40-44 29,320 31,211 33,213 35,022 36,428 37,363 37,916 38,246 38,571 39,054 39,786 40,744 41,804 42,786 43,588 44,127 44,500 45,024 46,113 48,050 50,901 54,518 58,622 62,835 66,852 45-49 22,846 23,251 23,676 24,346 25,390 26,862 28,655 30,558 32,281 33,626 34,535 35,097 35,450 35,802 36,300 37,037 37,984 39,024 39,997 40,800 41,355 41,757 42,308 43,394 45,288 50-54 16,866 17,807 18,739 19,574 20,285 20,817 21,221 21,641 22,289 23,278 24,663 26,348 28,135 29,760 31,037 31,917 32,475 32,844 33,215 33,718 34,448 35,373 36,385 37,340 38,134 55-59 11,723 12,267 12,918 13,642 14,406 15,223 16,092 16,954 17,733 18,396 18,897 19,284 19,688 20,301 21,231 22,524 24,090 25,752 27,266 28,467 29,302 29,843 30,216 30,588 31,085 60-64 9,661 9,660 9,664 9,757 9,987 10,361 10,850 11,441 12,089 12,779 13,513 14,296 15,074 15,777 16,379 16,841 17,200 17,584 18,154 19,012 20,194 21,623 23,136 24,516 25,615 65-69 7,486 7,713 7,949 8,145 8,274 8,323 8,328 8,334 8,419 8,621 8,951 9,375 9,887 10,450 11,050 11,689 12,372 13,051 13,663 14,191 14,600 14,918 15,263 15,771 16,529 70-74 5,858 5,793 5,754 5,769 5,847 5,993 6,179 6,373 6,531 6,636 6,674 6,679 6,688 6,764 6,935 7,208 7,555 7,972 8,429 8,919 9,440 9,999 10,550 11,048 11,476 75-79 4,471 4,476 4,481 4,466 4,425 4,366 4,312 4,279 4,289 4,345 4,454 4,594 4,739 4,859 4,932 4,959 4,963 4,965 5,021 5,144 5,347 5,601 5,908 6,243 6,604 80+ 5,184 5,510 5,796 6,052 6,285 6,494 6,680 6,836 6,956 7,040 7,097 7,141 7,181 7,228 7,287 7,361 7,448 7,534 7,601 7,642 7,658 7,667 7,677 7,710 7,772

Page 80: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 67

Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 77,200 78,501 79,776 80,984 82,098 83,503 84,877 86,211 87,478 88,661 89,799 90,924 92,081 93,307 94,624 96,004 97,422 98,897 100,422 101,990 103,526 105,039 106,519 107,976 109,396Annual Number of Deaths 26,540 27,025 27,478 27,902 28,295 28,454 28,620 28,784 28,943 29,088 29,184 29,276 29,373 29,461 29,562 29,636 29,727 29,832 29,940 30,061 30,133 30,211 30,291 30,390 30,480Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 47.4 46.9 46.4 45.9 45.3 44.9 44.4 44.0 43.5 42.9 42.4 41.8 41.3 40.8 40.4 39.9 39.5 39.1 38.8 38.4 38.0 37.7 37.3 36.9 36.5 Crude Death Rate (CDR) 16.3 16.1 16.0 15.8 15.6 15.3 15.0 14.7 14.4 14.1 13.8 13.5 13.2 12.9 12.6 12.3 12.1 11.8 11.6 11.3 11.1 10.8 10.6 10.4 10.2 Growth Rate(%) 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes) 50.7 50.9 51.1 51.3 51.5 51.9 52.3 52.7 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.5 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.6 58.0 58.4 58.8 59.2 59.6 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males) 48.0 48.3 48.5 48.8 49.1 49.4 49.8 50.2 50.6 51.0 51.3 51.7 52.1 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.6 56.0 56.3 56.7 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females) 53.5 53.6 53.8 53.9 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.9 58.3 58.7 59.2 59.6 60.0 60.4 60.9 61.3 61.8 62.2 62.6 Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes) 96.8 96.3 95.9 95.4 94.9 93.6 92.3 91.0 89.7 88.4 87.0 85.7 84.3 83.0 81.7 80.3 78.9 77.6 76.3 75.0 73.6 72.2 70.9 69.6 68.3 Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 104.6 104.0 103.4 102.7 102.1 100.8 99.5 98.2 96.9 95.7 94.3 93.0 91.6 90.3 89.0 87.7 86.3 85.0 83.7 82.4 81.0 79.6 78.3 77.0 75.7 Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 88.7 88.5 88.2 87.9 87.6 86.2 84.9 83.5 82.2 80.9 79.5 78.1 76.8 75.5 74.2 72.8 71.4 70.0 68.7 67.4 66.0 64.6 63.3 62.0 60.7 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 1,628,880 1,673,989 1,719,803 1,766,300 1,813,445 1,861,491 1,910,782 1,961,269 2,012,895 2,065,590 2,119,331 2,174,115 2,229,946 2,286,873 2,344,980 2,404,355 2,465,049 2,527,102 2,590,555 2,655,422 2,721,756 2,789,510 2,858,700 2,929,252 3,001,152

0 71,563 72,768 73,986 75,158 76,255 77,471 78,837 80,168 81,446 82,654 83,798 84,908 86,027 87,199 88,453 89,790 91,177 92,609 94,087 95,604 97,132 98,637 100,124 101,584 103,016 1 66,046 67,698 68,834 69,982 71,085 72,198 73,450 74,849 76,215 77,533 78,790 79,997 81,176 82,364 83,599 84,921 86,321 87,773 89,264 90,803 92,385 93,981 95,553 97,105 98,632 2 61,615 63,744 65,329 66,414 67,509 68,593 69,744 71,030 72,459 73,856 75,210 76,509 77,759 78,980 80,210 81,487 82,853 84,296 85,788 87,318 88,896 90,523 92,161 93,776 95,371 3 57,855 60,117 62,191 63,734 64,784 65,867 66,972 68,142 69,447 70,892 72,306 73,681 75,004 76,277 77,523 78,779 80,083 81,472 82,940 84,455 86,012 87,615 89,268 90,929 92,572 4 54,342 56,763 58,976 61,009 62,517 63,559 64,657 65,775 66,960 68,276 69,732 71,160 72,548 73,887 75,176 76,439 77,715 79,038 80,444 81,928 83,461 85,035 86,658 88,328 90,006 5 51,514 53,692 56,082 58,268 60,275 61,768 62,817 63,922 65,048 66,239 67,562 69,024 70,458 71,855 73,200 74,499 75,771 77,058 78,392 79,807 81,299 82,844 84,427 86,059 87,740 6 49,166 51,143 53,302 55,677 57,844 59,842 61,336 62,389 63,495 64,624 65,818 67,143 68,608 70,043 71,443 72,793 74,097 75,372 76,664 78,003 79,422 80,919 82,469 84,057 85,696 7 47,154 48,810 50,772 52,914 55,272 57,427 59,423 60,916 61,972 63,080 64,213 65,411 66,736 68,204 69,641 71,045 72,398 73,708 74,988 76,283 77,627 79,052 80,553 82,107 83,701 8 45,733 46,813 48,458 50,404 52,529 54,874 57,024 59,016 60,509 61,568 62,678 63,814 65,017 66,344 67,815 69,254 70,661 72,018 73,332 74,616 75,916 77,266 78,694 80,200 81,758 9 44,865 45,403 46,473 48,105 50,037 52,149 54,488 56,632 58,622 60,115 61,177 62,290 63,429 64,635 65,965 67,438 68,877 70,289 71,650 72,967 74,257 75,562 76,917 78,350 79,861 10 44,456 44,491 45,024 46,090 47,712 49,634 51,742 54,077 56,218 58,205 59,697 60,762 61,873 63,015 64,221 65,551 67,027 68,465 69,880 71,241 72,562 73,852 75,161 76,518 77,953 11 44,574 44,031 44,069 44,601 45,666 47,284 49,202 51,305 53,634 55,773 57,762 59,252 60,318 61,424 62,565 63,770 65,100 66,576 68,013 69,428 70,788 72,109 73,401 74,710 76,067 12 44,684 44,149 43,610 43,649 44,182 45,243 46,858 48,773 50,871 53,194 55,332 57,322 58,811 59,875 60,982 62,120 63,324 64,653 66,129 67,565 68,980 70,341 71,663 72,953 74,264 13 44,233 44,259 43,726 43,190 43,232 43,766 44,826 46,435 48,347 50,440 52,759 54,896 56,887 58,373 59,436 60,543 61,679 62,882 64,212 65,686 67,122 68,536 69,897 71,219 72,510 14 42,914 43,808 43,835 43,306 42,775 42,819 43,352 44,412 46,018 47,924 50,013 52,328 54,462 56,457 57,940 59,001 60,107 61,243 62,444 63,772 65,247 66,683 68,096 69,458 70,780 15 40,910 42,455 43,349 43,376 42,852 42,324 42,370 42,903 43,960 45,563 47,464 49,549 51,860 53,989 55,987 57,467 58,527 59,632 60,766 61,965 63,291 64,766 66,201 67,614 68,976 16 38,830 40,418 41,960 42,851 42,882 42,361 41,838 41,887 42,419 43,475 45,073 46,968 49,046 51,351 53,478 55,477 56,954 58,012 59,117 60,246 61,445 62,768 64,242 65,676 67,088 17 36,988 38,346 39,930 41,468 42,357 42,392 41,875 41,355 41,407 41,940 42,992 44,585 46,475 48,546 50,846 52,970 54,970 56,445 57,501 58,605 59,732 60,928 62,250 63,723 65,157 18 35,103 36,511 37,866 39,447 40,980 41,867 41,906 41,393 40,876 40,931 41,462 42,513 44,101 45,986 48,053 50,347 52,469 54,469 55,939 56,996 58,096 59,222 60,417 61,739 63,209 19 33,221 34,635 36,039 37,390 38,967 40,495 41,382 41,422 40,915 40,402 40,458 40,989 42,038 43,622 45,501 47,562 49,851 51,971 53,972 55,439 56,494 57,593 58,718 59,909 61,229 20 31,433 32,809 34,218 35,618 36,965 38,538 40,062 40,947 40,990 40,488 39,979 40,039 40,571 41,618 43,195 45,069 47,125 49,406 51,523 53,525 54,988 56,041 57,138 58,262 59,453 21 29,564 31,078 32,451 33,855 35,251 36,592 38,160 39,678 40,562 40,607 40,112 39,611 39,675 40,206 41,251 42,824 44,690 46,739 49,014 51,126 53,127 54,586 55,639 56,735 57,858 22 27,722 29,220 30,728 32,097 33,496 34,888 36,224 37,787 39,299 40,181 40,232 39,740 39,245 39,312 39,845 40,888 42,455 44,317 46,359 48,627 50,734 52,733 54,190 55,242 56,337 23 26,278 27,387 28,880 30,382 31,748 33,142 34,529 35,861 37,418 38,924 39,806 39,860 39,374 38,886 38,955 39,489 40,531 42,093 43,947 45,984 48,246 50,348 52,343 53,798 54,850 24 25,365 25,953 27,058 28,545 30,042 31,403 32,792 34,175 35,503 37,053 38,554 39,436 39,494 39,012 38,531 38,603 39,137 40,178 41,736 43,584 45,613 47,869 49,967 51,961 53,415 25 24,844 25,049 25,636 26,740 28,220 29,712 31,069 32,452 33,828 35,150 36,695 38,190 39,071 39,135 38,661 38,184 38,260 38,798 39,836 41,389 43,233 45,255 47,505 49,599 51,589 26 24,509 24,535 24,744 25,331 26,433 27,907 29,391 30,743 32,120 33,490 34,808 36,345 37,833 38,714 38,783 38,318 37,850 37,930 38,470 39,508 41,055 42,894 44,909 47,152 49,242 27 24,100 24,203 24,234 24,447 25,035 26,133 27,600 29,075 30,422 31,793 33,158 34,471 36,001 37,485 38,363 38,439 37,980 37,522 37,606 38,147 39,186 40,727 42,563 44,570 46,808 28 23,468 23,798 23,903 23,939 24,156 24,744 25,835 27,298 28,766 30,107 31,472 32,833 34,141 35,665 37,142 38,020 38,100 37,650 37,202 37,288 37,831 38,867 40,407 42,236 44,239 29 22,486 23,169 23,502 23,613 23,653 23,872 24,459 25,544 26,999 28,461 29,798 31,155 32,511 33,815 35,332 36,804 37,685 37,768 37,325 36,884 36,976 37,522 38,556 40,092 41,916

Page 81: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

68 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

30 21,223 22,153 22,836 23,170 23,285 23,330 23,551 24,138 25,217 26,666 28,119 29,451 30,803 32,153 33,453 34,966 36,432 37,313 37,402 36,969 36,538 36,635 37,184 38,218 39,751 31 19,888 20,860 21,785 22,466 22,803 22,924 22,972 23,195 23,782 24,855 26,296 27,742 29,071 30,416 31,761 33,054 34,563 36,025 36,906 37,002 36,582 36,161 36,267 36,820 37,854 32 18,736 19,542 20,506 21,427 22,108 22,445 22,569 22,623 22,847 23,434 24,504 25,936 27,374 28,698 30,040 31,379 32,667 34,172 35,629 36,512 36,614 36,206 35,796 35,909 36,466 33 17,806 18,403 19,204 20,164 21,080 21,759 22,096 22,224 22,282 22,508 23,093 24,160 25,586 27,015 28,334 29,671 31,006 32,290 33,790 35,243 36,127 36,237 35,840 35,439 35,561 34 17,185 17,482 18,079 18,876 19,830 20,741 21,418 21,756 21,887 21,948 22,177 22,762 23,824 25,243 26,666 27,979 29,312 30,642 31,924 33,415 34,865 35,752 35,869 35,483 35,092 35 16,795 16,884 17,183 17,776 18,571 19,517 20,423 21,098 21,437 21,570 21,637 21,867 22,452 23,511 24,922 26,338 27,646 28,974 30,299 31,577 33,064 34,510 35,398 35,521 35,147 36 16,522 16,513 16,607 16,905 17,497 18,288 19,227 20,126 20,798 21,140 21,277 21,349 21,582 22,166 23,220 24,624 26,032 27,334 28,657 29,978 31,254 32,734 34,175 35,065 35,196 37 16,148 16,243 16,239 16,337 16,636 17,227 18,012 18,944 19,839 20,507 20,851 20,992 21,068 21,304 21,888 22,937 24,333 25,735 27,032 28,351 29,665 30,938 32,414 33,851 34,742 38 15,547 15,874 15,972 15,973 16,077 16,376 16,963 17,745 18,672 19,560 20,225 20,570 20,715 20,796 21,034 21,618 22,664 24,050 25,447 26,738 28,054 29,363 30,632 32,104 33,538 39 14,616 15,280 15,609 15,709 15,716 15,823 16,124 16,707 17,483 18,404 19,289 19,952 20,298 20,448 20,533 20,773 21,355 22,397 23,777 25,167 26,454 27,764 29,070 30,336 31,803 40 13,477 14,376 15,035 15,365 15,468 15,479 15,588 15,889 16,471 17,241 18,156 19,035 19,696 20,042 20,195 20,285 20,527 21,110 22,146 23,518 24,902 26,183 27,488 28,790 30,051 41 12,257 13,265 14,155 14,810 15,141 15,247 15,260 15,373 15,674 16,251 17,016 17,927 18,799 19,457 19,805 19,959 20,053 20,297 20,881 21,910 23,272 24,650 25,923 27,223 28,521 42 11,159 12,061 13,058 13,940 14,590 14,923 15,030 15,048 15,162 15,463 16,038 16,799 17,703 18,569 19,225 19,575 19,732 19,828 20,074 20,655 21,681 23,035 24,405 25,672 26,966 43 10,307 10,979 11,871 12,858 13,734 14,378 14,710 14,818 14,842 14,958 15,257 15,830 16,587 17,487 18,346 19,000 19,350 19,509 19,610 19,858 20,437 21,459 22,805 24,169 25,429 44 9,810 10,136 10,803 11,687 12,664 13,533 14,173 14,504 14,613 14,640 14,759 15,059 15,629 16,379 17,275 18,129 18,781 19,132 19,293 19,397 19,648 20,225 21,242 22,583 23,938 45 9,576 9,652 9,975 10,635 11,512 12,477 13,336 13,973 14,302 14,415 14,445 14,566 14,865 15,434 16,179 17,069 17,916 18,566 18,919 19,082 19,189 19,441 20,019 21,030 22,362 46 9,434 9,424 9,502 9,822 10,477 11,341 12,299 13,149 13,780 14,107 14,223 14,255 14,379 14,678 15,243 15,983 16,867 17,710 18,357 18,710 18,876 18,988 19,240 19,816 20,821 47 9,226 9,285 9,276 9,357 9,674 10,324 11,177 12,124 12,967 13,592 13,917 14,037 14,070 14,196 14,495 15,058 15,794 16,672 17,511 18,155 18,506 18,677 18,791 19,045 19,619 48 8,945 9,080 9,140 9,134 9,216 9,530 10,175 11,018 11,955 12,789 13,408 13,734 13,857 13,891 14,020 14,320 14,880 15,610 16,483 17,316 17,960 18,310 18,484 18,600 18,856 49 8,525 8,804 8,938 8,999 8,996 9,078 9,389 10,028 10,863 11,789 12,618 13,232 13,554 13,680 13,718 13,849 14,148 14,704 15,433 16,300 17,127 17,768 18,121 18,296 18,415 50 8,005 8,387 8,664 8,797 8,860 8,860 8,942 9,251 9,883 10,707 11,622 12,442 13,053 13,372 13,499 13,539 13,673 13,971 14,523 15,246 16,108 16,929 17,566 17,919 18,096 51 7,505 7,878 8,254 8,527 8,659 8,722 8,722 8,806 9,111 9,736 10,550 11,453 12,263 12,868 13,186 13,313 13,356 13,490 13,788 14,336 15,053 15,907 16,724 17,354 17,706 52 7,063 7,384 7,751 8,121 8,393 8,525 8,587 8,590 8,673 8,976 9,592 10,398 11,289 12,090 12,688 13,006 13,133 13,178 13,314 13,610 14,154 14,864 15,711 16,524 17,150 53 6,606 6,950 7,266 7,628 7,994 8,263 8,394 8,457 8,461 8,546 8,846 9,452 10,250 11,131 11,921 12,514 12,830 12,959 13,005 13,141 13,439 13,978 14,682 15,522 16,328 54 6,137 6,499 6,839 7,150 7,508 7,869 8,135 8,266 8,330 8,334 8,418 8,719 9,317 10,106 10,976 11,758 12,344 12,659 12,788 12,837 12,973 13,271 13,805 14,507 15,338 55 5,664 6,031 6,387 6,723 7,028 7,381 7,737 8,001 8,129 8,195 8,201 8,284 8,582 9,171 9,951 10,810 11,582 12,164 12,475 12,604 12,655 12,792 13,089 13,618 14,314 56 5,173 5,556 5,919 6,268 6,598 6,902 7,248 7,599 7,861 7,986 8,051 8,059 8,143 8,436 9,018 9,788 10,633 11,397 11,971 12,278 12,410 12,459 12,598 12,893 13,416 57 4,732 5,072 5,451 5,807 6,153 6,476 6,776 7,118 7,464 7,722 7,847 7,912 7,920 8,003 8,293 8,867 9,627 10,460 11,215 11,781 12,087 12,218 12,269 12,410 12,702 58 4,449 4,640 4,975 5,349 5,700 6,040 6,359 6,655 6,992 7,332 7,586 7,710 7,775 7,785 7,867 8,155 8,721 9,469 10,292 11,038 11,597 11,901 12,033 12,085 12,224 59 4,367 4,362 4,552 4,880 5,248 5,594 5,932 6,244 6,535 6,868 7,203 7,455 7,577 7,642 7,654 7,735 8,019 8,578 9,316 10,128 10,867 11,417 11,719 11,851 11,905 60 4,422 4,276 4,272 4,458 4,781 5,142 5,484 5,816 6,122 6,408 6,737 7,063 7,313 7,432 7,497 7,511 7,591 7,871 8,420 9,149 9,947 10,674 11,218 11,514 11,645 61 4,549 4,326 4,183 4,179 4,363 4,679 5,033 5,369 5,692 5,994 6,272 6,595 6,914 7,159 7,277 7,341 7,356 7,435 7,710 8,250 8,963 9,748 10,461 10,995 11,289 62 4,640 4,450 4,231 4,093 4,088 4,269 4,580 4,925 5,256 5,573 5,868 6,141 6,457 6,772 7,011 7,126 7,189 7,206 7,283 7,553 8,083 8,783 9,553 10,256 10,780 63 4,628 4,539 4,355 4,140 4,006 4,000 4,178 4,483 4,822 5,147 5,456 5,746 6,014 6,323 6,631 6,866 6,980 7,042 7,059 7,136 7,401 7,921 8,609 9,365 10,055 64 4,453 4,530 4,442 4,262 4,052 3,921 3,913 4,090 4,388 4,721 5,039 5,344 5,626 5,890 6,191 6,494 6,725 6,838 6,899 6,916 6,993 7,252 7,764 8,439 9,181 65 4,152 4,345 4,420 4,333 4,158 3,952 3,827 3,817 3,990 4,282 4,608 4,919 5,217 5,491 5,750 6,045 6,340 6,565 6,676 6,737 6,753 6,828 7,082 7,582 8,244 66 3,819 4,036 4,225 4,300 4,216 4,045 3,843 3,720 3,712 3,881 4,165 4,482 4,784 5,077 5,343 5,594 5,882 6,169 6,385 6,495 6,554 6,569 6,642 6,890 7,375 67 3,543 3,711 3,925 4,109 4,182 4,099 3,934 3,736 3,615 3,607 3,773 4,050 4,359 4,654 4,938 5,197 5,442 5,721 6,001 6,211 6,319 6,374 6,390 6,461 6,701 68 3,317 3,444 3,606 3,815 3,995 4,066 3,986 3,826 3,633 3,514 3,505 3,667 3,939 4,238 4,527 4,804 5,055 5,294 5,564 5,837 6,041 6,146 6,200 6,215 6,284 69 3,170 3,222 3,346 3,505 3,709 3,886 3,955 3,876 3,719 3,531 3,415 3,406 3,564 3,829 4,120 4,401 4,671 4,917 5,149 5,411 5,677 5,875 5,978 6,029 6,044 70 3,060 3,058 3,108 3,229 3,384 3,581 3,751 3,819 3,742 3,591 3,408 3,294 3,285 3,438 3,695 3,977 4,250 4,511 4,748 4,971 5,225 5,479 5,673 5,770 5,820 71 2,966 2,930 2,929 2,978 3,095 3,243 3,433 3,597 3,662 3,588 3,441 3,264 3,155 3,145 3,291 3,538 3,811 4,072 4,322 4,551 4,762 5,007 5,249 5,433 5,527 72 2,873 2,840 2,806 2,804 2,851 2,965 3,109 3,290 3,450 3,512 3,442 3,298 3,127 3,021 3,012 3,151 3,388 3,649 3,901 4,141 4,359 4,563 4,796 5,028 5,203 73 2,743 2,751 2,720 2,686 2,687 2,729 2,840 2,977 3,152 3,307 3,366 3,299 3,159 2,995 2,893 2,883 3,017 3,244 3,495 3,737 3,968 4,176 4,371 4,594 4,817 74 2,573 2,627 2,633 2,605 2,571 2,573 2,614 2,721 2,853 3,022 3,169 3,227 3,163 3,027 2,869 2,769 2,761 2,889 3,107 3,348 3,580 3,802 4,001 4,187 4,400 75 2,361 2,452 2,504 2,509 2,483 2,450 2,451 2,490 2,592 2,718 2,879 3,019 3,076 3,012 2,883 2,730 2,635 2,624 2,748 2,954 3,182 3,405 3,615 3,803 3,981 76 2,145 2,240 2,326 2,376 2,379 2,354 2,322 2,323 2,358 2,455 2,575 2,728 2,859 2,912 2,851 2,726 2,581 2,489 2,477 2,593 2,790 3,002 3,213 3,410 3,586 77 1,938 2,033 2,124 2,206 2,254 2,256 2,230 2,200 2,200 2,231 2,325 2,439 2,581 2,708 2,755 2,697 2,578 2,438 2,351 2,339 2,447 2,632 2,832 3,030 3,213 78 1,764 1,837 1,926 2,013 2,092 2,136 2,138 2,113 2,082 2,082 2,113 2,198 2,307 2,441 2,561 2,604 2,549 2,434 2,301 2,218 2,207 2,306 2,481 2,667 2,854 79 1,637 1,669 1,739 1,823 1,906 1,980 2,022 2,024 2,000 1,969 1,968 1,998 2,077 2,181 2,307 2,422 2,460 2,409 2,297 2,170 2,090 2,079 2,172 2,336 2,512

80+ 11,709 12,363 12,987 13,617 14,266 14,929 15,595 16,229 16,798 17,280 17,676 18,018 18,340 18,687 19,081 19,537 20,038 20,508 20,865 21,064 21,104 21,043 20,954 20,934 21,041

Page 82: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 69

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Males) 804,806 827,464 850,528 873,994 897,841 922,165 947,103 972,630 998,713 1,025,323 1,052,438 1,080,064 1,108,198 1,136,867 1,166,113 1,195,977 1,226,472 1,257,635 1,289,462 1,321,976 1,355,194 1,389,087 1,423,665 1,458,894 1,494,768

0 36,110 36,717 37,331 37,922 38,475 39,092 39,788 40,465 41,116 41,732 42,314 42,875 43,438 44,028 44,660 45,334 46,032 46,753 47,498 48,262 49,032 49,789 50,538 51,273 51,994 1 33,152 34,014 34,600 35,194 35,765 36,326 36,951 37,655 38,341 39,003 39,636 40,246 40,841 41,439 42,059 42,723 43,427 44,157 44,906 45,680 46,475 47,278 48,068 48,849 49,616 2 30,934 31,948 32,785 33,354 33,931 34,497 35,076 35,718 36,435 37,135 37,814 38,466 39,097 39,711 40,328 40,968 41,653 42,377 43,125 43,892 44,684 45,500 46,322 47,132 47,934 3 28,996 30,161 31,154 31,975 32,533 33,106 33,681 34,268 34,917 35,642 36,348 37,035 37,698 38,338 38,963 39,593 40,243 40,938 41,673 42,430 43,209 44,011 44,839 45,671 46,493 4 27,188 28,438 29,582 30,560 31,368 31,924 32,502 33,082 33,675 34,328 35,057 35,769 36,461 37,131 37,777 38,409 39,047 39,706 40,407 41,149 41,914 42,700 43,510 44,345 45,184 5 25,741 26,857 28,094 29,227 30,195 30,996 31,555 32,136 32,718 33,313 33,969 34,700 35,413 36,109 36,782 37,431 38,067 38,709 39,372 40,078 40,821 41,592 42,381 43,194 44,035 6 24,556 25,553 26,661 27,891 29,017 29,981 30,781 31,341 31,922 32,505 33,100 33,757 34,489 35,201 35,898 36,573 37,223 37,860 38,504 39,168 39,875 40,620 41,394 42,184 43,000 7 23,556 24,376 25,367 26,468 27,691 28,811 29,773 30,572 31,133 31,713 32,297 32,894 33,550 34,283 34,996 35,693 36,368 37,022 37,660 38,305 38,971 39,680 40,426 41,201 41,993 8 22,872 23,384 24,199 25,184 26,277 27,494 28,611 29,570 30,368 30,930 31,511 32,095 32,694 33,350 34,084 34,797 35,495 36,171 36,826 37,465 38,113 38,780 39,490 40,238 41,014 9 22,478 22,705 23,213 24,023 25,003 26,089 27,303 28,416 29,373 30,171 30,733 31,314 31,899 32,499 33,156 33,890 34,603 35,302 35,980 36,635 37,276 37,926 38,595 39,307 40,057 10 22,346 22,311 22,536 23,042 23,848 24,824 25,907 27,118 28,229 29,184 29,980 30,544 31,124 31,709 32,310 32,966 33,701 34,414 35,113 35,791 36,448 37,089 37,740 38,410 39,122 11 22,481 22,174 22,140 22,365 22,870 23,674 24,648 25,728 26,937 28,046 29,002 29,796 30,361 30,939 31,523 32,124 32,779 33,515 34,227 34,926 35,603 36,260 36,902 37,552 38,222 12 22,585 22,309 22,004 21,970 22,196 22,700 23,502 24,475 25,551 26,757 27,865 28,821 29,615 30,178 30,757 31,339 31,941 32,595 33,330 34,042 34,741 35,418 36,076 36,716 37,368 13 22,396 22,412 22,137 21,835 21,802 22,028 22,532 23,331 24,303 25,376 26,580 27,686 28,643 29,435 29,998 30,577 31,158 31,759 32,414 33,148 33,860 34,558 35,235 35,893 36,534 14 21,754 22,222 22,239 21,966 21,668 21,636 21,862 22,365 23,162 24,132 25,202 26,405 27,508 28,467 29,257 29,819 30,398 30,979 31,579 32,233 32,967 33,679 34,377 35,054 35,712 15 20,753 21,570 22,038 22,055 21,784 21,487 21,456 21,683 22,184 22,980 23,946 25,015 26,216 27,315 28,275 29,063 29,624 30,203 30,783 31,381 32,034 32,768 33,479 34,176 34,853 16 19,724 20,557 21,372 21,839 21,858 21,588 21,294 21,264 21,490 21,990 22,784 23,747 24,811 26,009 27,106 28,066 28,852 29,412 29,990 30,567 31,165 31,816 32,548 33,259 33,954 17 18,794 19,531 20,362 21,176 21,641 21,662 21,395 21,101 21,072 21,299 21,796 22,588 23,548 24,608 25,803 26,898 27,858 28,642 29,201 29,778 30,354 30,949 31,599 32,330 33,041 18 17,771 18,604 19,340 20,170 20,981 21,446 21,467 21,202 20,909 20,882 21,107 21,604 22,393 23,350 24,408 25,600 26,693 27,652 28,433 28,992 29,567 30,141 30,737 31,385 32,114 19 16,655 17,586 18,417 19,150 19,979 20,787 21,251 21,273 21,010 20,719 20,693 20,917 21,413 22,200 23,154 24,208 25,397 26,489 27,447 28,227 28,784 29,358 29,931 30,524 31,171 20 15,499 16,473 17,401 18,229 18,960 19,787 20,592 21,055 21,078 20,817 20,527 20,503 20,727 21,222 22,006 22,956 24,007 25,192 26,281 27,239 28,016 28,571 29,144 29,716 30,308 21 14,280 15,321 16,293 17,217 18,042 18,769 19,594 20,395 20,857 20,881 20,623 20,336 20,314 20,537 21,031 21,812 22,757 23,804 24,984 26,070 27,027 27,802 28,355 28,927 29,498 22 13,132 14,110 15,146 16,114 17,035 17,857 18,581 19,402 20,200 20,660 20,687 20,430 20,146 20,126 20,349 20,842 21,618 22,561 23,603 24,779 25,861 26,817 27,590 28,142 28,712 23 12,257 12,967 13,942 14,973 15,938 16,855 17,674 18,395 19,212 20,007 20,467 20,493 20,240 19,958 19,940 20,163 20,655 21,428 22,366 23,405 24,576 25,655 26,608 27,379 27,930 24 11,751 12,098 12,805 13,775 14,803 15,763 16,676 17,492 18,211 19,023 19,815 20,275 20,303 20,051 19,772 19,756 19,978 20,469 21,240 22,173 23,208 24,375 25,450 26,403 27,172 25 11,513 11,587 11,934 12,639 13,603 14,627 15,583 16,491 17,302 18,018 18,827 19,615 20,074 20,105 19,856 19,580 19,566 19,790 20,278 21,047 21,977 23,007 24,171 25,242 26,193 26 11,385 11,345 11,421 11,767 12,468 13,427 14,444 15,395 16,299 17,106 17,819 18,623 19,407 19,866 19,899 19,655 19,384 19,372 19,597 20,085 20,851 21,777 22,802 23,963 25,031 27 11,229 11,218 11,180 11,258 11,604 12,302 13,255 14,265 15,210 16,109 16,912 17,623 18,422 19,204 19,661 19,698 19,457 19,191 19,181 19,407 19,895 20,657 21,581 22,602 23,759 28 11,006 11,064 11,054 11,019 11,098 11,443 12,136 13,085 14,090 15,029 15,924 16,723 17,431 18,226 19,004 19,460 19,499 19,263 19,003 18,994 19,221 19,707 20,468 21,388 22,405 29 10,659 10,841 10,902 10,895 10,862 10,942 11,285 11,974 12,916 13,917 14,851 15,740 16,535 17,241 18,031 18,807 19,263 19,304 19,072 18,815 18,810 19,038 19,523 20,282 21,198 30 10,208 10,481 10,664 10,727 10,721 10,691 10,772 11,114 11,799 12,735 13,728 14,658 15,543 16,333 17,036 17,823 18,596 19,051 19,095 18,868 18,617 18,614 18,844 19,328 20,085 31 9,744 10,016 10,288 10,473 10,538 10,536 10,508 10,589 10,930 11,610 12,540 13,526 14,451 15,331 16,116 16,815 17,599 18,370 18,824 18,871 18,650 18,405 18,406 18,638 19,122 32 9,357 9,558 9,828 10,100 10,287 10,353 10,352 10,328 10,409 10,749 11,426 12,348 13,327 14,247 15,124 15,905 16,600 17,381 18,148 18,603 18,653 18,438 18,199 18,203 18,437 33 9,030 9,174 9,376 9,646 9,919 10,105 10,172 10,173 10,151 10,233 10,571 11,245 12,162 13,133 14,048 14,919 15,697 16,390 17,167 17,931 18,386 18,440 18,230 17,996 18,005 34 8,782 8,851 8,997 9,199 9,470 9,741 9,928 9,996 9,999 9,978 10,062 10,398 11,067 11,979 12,944 13,854 14,720 15,494 16,186 16,957 17,719 18,175 18,232 18,028 17,798 35 8,593 8,615 8,687 8,833 9,036 9,306 9,576 9,763 9,832 9,837 9,819 9,903 10,239 10,904 11,809 12,768 13,672 14,534 15,304 15,993 16,761 17,520 17,977 18,037 17,838 36 8,444 8,438 8,463 8,536 8,684 8,887 9,155 9,423 9,611 9,681 9,689 9,674 9,760 10,094 10,755 11,654 12,605 13,504 14,360 15,127 15,815 16,579 17,334 17,792 17,857 37 8,252 8,290 8,287 8,315 8,390 8,540 8,741 9,008 9,275 9,463 9,535 9,545 9,532 9,619 9,954 10,609 11,502 12,447 13,341 14,193 14,955 15,640 16,402 17,154 17,612 38 7,945 8,102 8,142 8,142 8,173 8,249 8,399 8,601 8,866 9,132 9,320 9,393 9,405 9,395 9,483 9,817 10,468 11,355 12,294 13,182 14,030 14,788 15,470 16,230 16,980 39 7,483 7,798 7,957 7,998 8,001 8,035 8,112 8,261 8,463 8,726 8,992 9,181 9,255 9,270 9,262 9,350 9,683 10,330 11,211 12,145 13,028 13,871 14,627 15,306 16,062 40 6,920 7,349 7,662 7,822 7,865 7,870 7,906 7,983 8,133 8,335 8,596 8,861 9,049 9,125 9,142 9,137 9,226 9,558 10,200 11,075 12,003 12,881 13,718 14,472 15,148 41 6,311 6,800 7,225 7,536 7,697 7,742 7,748 7,786 7,865 8,013 8,214 8,475 8,739 8,925 9,004 9,022 9,019 9,109 9,441 10,078 10,945 11,867 12,739 13,571 14,322 42 5,752 6,200 6,683 7,104 7,414 7,576 7,621 7,630 7,668 7,748 7,897 8,098 8,357 8,619 8,806 8,886 8,906 8,904 8,995 9,325 9,959 10,820 11,735 12,602 13,429 43 5,308 5,650 6,092 6,571 6,989 7,297 7,458 7,504 7,515 7,555 7,635 7,784 7,984 8,244 8,504 8,691 8,771 8,793 8,794 8,886 9,214 9,844 10,699 11,608 12,469 44 5,029 5,212 5,551 5,989 6,463 6,878 7,183 7,343 7,390 7,403 7,444 7,526 7,675 7,873 8,132 8,391 8,578 8,660 8,683 8,686 8,780 9,106 9,731 10,582 11,484 45 4,869 4,936 5,118 5,453 5,888 6,355 6,765 7,069 7,228 7,277 7,292 7,334 7,416 7,566 7,762 8,021 8,278 8,465 8,548 8,573 8,578 8,672 8,999 9,618 10,464 46 4,753 4,779 4,847 5,027 5,359 5,787 6,250 6,654 6,955 7,113 7,163 7,180 7,223 7,307 7,457 7,652 7,909 8,165 8,351 8,436 8,463 8,471 8,565 8,891 9,505 47 4,609 4,665 4,691 4,762 4,939 5,268 5,689 6,146 6,547 6,844 7,002 7,054 7,072 7,116 7,201 7,351 7,546 7,801 8,057 8,243 8,327 8,357 8,367 8,463 8,787 48 4,430 4,523 4,580 4,607 4,679 4,854 5,180 5,595 6,047 6,442 6,736 6,895 6,949 6,968 7,013 7,100 7,250 7,443 7,697 7,951 8,138 8,222 8,255 8,266 8,363 49 4,185 4,348 4,440 4,497 4,525 4,598 4,771 5,094 5,504 5,950 6,342 6,634 6,790 6,845 6,867 6,913 7,001 7,150 7,344 7,597 7,849 8,035 8,122 8,156 8,169 50 3,894 4,104 4,267 4,357 4,416 4,445 4,518 4,689 5,008 5,412 5,852 6,239 6,529 6,684 6,740 6,762 6,810 6,898 7,046 7,239 7,491 7,741 7,926 8,014 8,050 51 3,609 3,820 4,026 4,187 4,277 4,335 4,364 4,437 4,606 4,921 5,319 5,752 6,134 6,421 6,575 6,632 6,655 6,703 6,792 6,939 7,131 7,381 7,629 7,812 7,899 52 3,355 3,539 3,747 3,949 4,109 4,199 4,256 4,286 4,358 4,526 4,836 5,230 5,656 6,033 6,316 6,469 6,527 6,551 6,601 6,689 6,834 7,024 7,273 7,521 7,703 53 3,114 3,291 3,471 3,676 3,876 4,034 4,123 4,181 4,210 4,283 4,449 4,753 5,143 5,563 5,934 6,215 6,367 6,425 6,450 6,500 6,590 6,734 6,922 7,169 7,414 54 2,894 3,053 3,228 3,405 3,607 3,804 3,960 4,048 4,107 4,136 4,207 4,374 4,673 5,059 5,472 5,839 6,116 6,267 6,326 6,351 6,402 6,493 6,635 6,824 7,068 55 2,690 2,834 2,990 3,163 3,336 3,535 3,730 3,883 3,970 4,029 4,059 4,129 4,294 4,587 4,968 5,376 5,737 6,012 6,160 6,219 6,245 6,297 6,388 6,529 6,716 56 2,490 2,631 2,772 2,925 3,094 3,266 3,461 3,652 3,804 3,889 3,947 3,978 4,048 4,210 4,499 4,873 5,274 5,630 5,901 6,047 6,107 6,133 6,185 6,276 6,415 57 2,305 2,433 2,573 2,711 2,862 3,027 3,196 3,388 3,577 3,726 3,809 3,868 3,898 3,968 4,127 4,412 4,780 5,175 5,525 5,792 5,938 5,997 6,024 6,077 6,167

Page 83: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

70 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

58 2,164 2,254 2,379 2,517 2,652 2,800 2,964 3,130 3,318 3,503 3,650 3,732 3,790 3,821 3,890 4,049 4,328 4,689 5,079 5,424 5,686 5,832 5,891 5,919 5,971 59 2,074 2,115 2,204 2,326 2,462 2,595 2,741 2,901 3,064 3,249 3,432 3,577 3,658 3,715 3,747 3,814 3,971 4,246 4,601 4,985 5,326 5,584 5,728 5,787 5,816 60 2,017 2,022 2,062 2,150 2,268 2,402 2,533 2,676 2,832 2,991 3,173 3,351 3,494 3,574 3,630 3,663 3,728 3,884 4,153 4,502 4,878 5,212 5,467 5,608 5,666 61 1,984 1,963 1,968 2,006 2,093 2,207 2,337 2,466 2,604 2,758 2,911 3,090 3,263 3,402 3,482 3,537 3,570 3,634 3,787 4,051 4,390 4,759 5,085 5,334 5,475 62 1,951 1,930 1,909 1,916 1,952 2,037 2,149 2,275 2,400 2,535 2,685 2,835 3,008 3,179 3,315 3,393 3,447 3,481 3,543 3,693 3,951 4,282 4,643 4,963 5,206 63 1,898 1,898 1,878 1,858 1,865 1,899 1,983 2,092 2,216 2,337 2,468 2,615 2,762 2,931 3,097 3,230 3,307 3,361 3,394 3,456 3,603 3,855 4,179 4,532 4,845 64 1,811 1,847 1,847 1,827 1,809 1,816 1,848 1,932 2,037 2,158 2,276 2,405 2,547 2,691 2,855 3,018 3,148 3,224 3,277 3,310 3,372 3,515 3,762 4,079 4,423 65 1,698 1,758 1,793 1,793 1,774 1,756 1,765 1,795 1,876 1,978 2,097 2,211 2,336 2,474 2,615 2,775 2,933 3,059 3,133 3,186 3,218 3,278 3,419 3,658 3,968 66 1,580 1,643 1,701 1,736 1,736 1,718 1,699 1,709 1,738 1,818 1,916 2,030 2,140 2,263 2,396 2,532 2,687 2,841 2,962 3,035 3,086 3,117 3,175 3,312 3,543 67 1,480 1,528 1,591 1,647 1,681 1,680 1,664 1,645 1,654 1,682 1,760 1,855 1,966 2,072 2,191 2,319 2,453 2,602 2,751 2,868 2,939 2,988 3,019 3,075 3,208 68 1,396 1,433 1,478 1,539 1,593 1,626 1,626 1,611 1,593 1,601 1,628 1,703 1,796 1,903 2,006 2,122 2,245 2,375 2,518 2,664 2,778 2,846 2,894 2,924 2,979 69 1,332 1,351 1,386 1,430 1,490 1,543 1,574 1,574 1,558 1,542 1,550 1,576 1,649 1,738 1,842 1,941 2,054 2,174 2,299 2,438 2,579 2,689 2,756 2,802 2,831 70 1,271 1,274 1,291 1,326 1,368 1,425 1,475 1,506 1,506 1,492 1,475 1,483 1,508 1,578 1,664 1,764 1,859 1,967 2,082 2,202 2,336 2,470 2,577 2,640 2,686 71 1,216 1,199 1,203 1,219 1,252 1,292 1,346 1,393 1,423 1,423 1,410 1,394 1,403 1,426 1,492 1,573 1,669 1,758 1,861 1,971 2,084 2,213 2,340 2,441 2,501 72 1,175 1,148 1,132 1,135 1,150 1,182 1,220 1,271 1,317 1,345 1,345 1,332 1,318 1,326 1,348 1,411 1,487 1,578 1,663 1,761 1,865 1,973 2,095 2,216 2,312 73 1,126 1,108 1,083 1,067 1,071 1,084 1,115 1,150 1,199 1,243 1,270 1,271 1,258 1,245 1,254 1,275 1,335 1,406 1,492 1,573 1,667 1,765 1,867 1,983 2,099 74 1,070 1,064 1,045 1,022 1,006 1,010 1,023 1,053 1,086 1,133 1,174 1,199 1,201 1,189 1,177 1,185 1,205 1,263 1,331 1,412 1,488 1,578 1,671 1,768 1,878 75 1,008 1,010 1,003 985 963 948 951 964 992 1,023 1,067 1,106 1,131 1,131 1,120 1,109 1,117 1,135 1,190 1,253 1,329 1,401 1,485 1,572 1,665 76 948 951 952 946 928 908 893 896 907 934 962 1,004 1,040 1,064 1,063 1,052 1,041 1,048 1,064 1,115 1,176 1,245 1,312 1,390 1,472 77 886 894 897 898 892 874 855 841 843 852 879 906 943 978 1,000 998 988 977 983 998 1,044 1,102 1,166 1,228 1,300 78 835 835 842 845 847 840 823 804 791 793 802 825 851 886 918 938 937 926 916 921 936 977 1,031 1,090 1,148 79 794 786 787 792 795 796 790 774 756 743 744 753 774 800 831 862 880 879 868 857 862 876 914 963 1,019

80+ 5,184 5,510 5,796 6,052 6,285 6,494 6,680 6,836 6,956 7,040 7,097 7,141 7,181 7,228 7,287 7,361 7,448 7,534 7,601 7,642 7,658 7,667 7,677 7,710 7,772

Total (Females) 824,074 846,525 869,275 892,306 915,604 939,326 963,679 988,639 1,014,182 1,040,267 1,066,893 1,094,051 1,121,748 1,150,006 1,178,867 1,208,378 1,238,577 1,269,467 1,301,093 1,333,446 1,366,562 1,400,423 1,435,035 1,470,358 1,506,384

0 35,453 36,051 36,655 37,236 37,780 38,379 39,049 39,703 40,330 40,922 41,484 42,033 42,589 43,171 43,793 44,456 45,145 45,856 46,589 47,342 48,100 48,848 49,586 50,311 51,022 1 32,894 33,684 34,234 34,788 35,320 35,872 36,499 37,194 37,874 38,530 39,154 39,751 40,335 40,925 41,540 42,198 42,894 43,616 44,358 45,123 45,910 46,703 47,485 48,256 49,016 2 30,681 31,796 32,544 33,060 33,578 34,096 34,668 35,312 36,024 36,721 37,396 38,043 38,662 39,269 39,882 40,519 41,200 41,919 42,663 43,426 44,212 45,023 45,839 46,644 47,437 3 28,859 29,956 31,037 31,759 32,251 32,761 33,291 33,874 34,530 35,250 35,958 36,646 37,306 37,939 38,560 39,186 39,840 40,534 41,267 42,025 42,803 43,604 44,429 45,258 46,079 4 27,154 28,325 29,394 30,449 31,149 31,635 32,155 32,693 33,285 33,948 34,675 35,391 36,087 36,756 37,399 38,030 38,668 39,332 40,037 40,779 41,547 42,335 43,148 43,983 44,822 5 25,773 26,835 27,988 29,041 30,080 30,772 31,262 31,786 32,330 32,926 33,593 34,324 35,045 35,746 36,418 37,068 37,704 38,349 39,020 39,729 40,478 41,252 42,046 42,865 43,705 6 24,610 25,590 26,641 27,786 28,827 29,861 30,555 31,048 31,573 32,119 32,718 33,386 34,119 34,842 35,545 36,220 36,874 37,512 38,160 38,835 39,547 40,299 41,075 41,873 42,696 7 23,598 24,434 25,405 26,446 27,581 28,616 29,650 30,344 30,839 31,367 31,916 32,517 33,186 33,921 34,645 35,352 36,030 36,686 37,328 37,978 38,656 39,372 40,127 40,906 41,708 8 22,861 23,429 24,259 25,220 26,252 27,380 28,413 29,446 30,141 30,638 31,167 31,719 32,323 32,994 33,731 34,457 35,166 35,847 36,506 37,151 37,803 38,486 39,204 39,962 40,744 9 22,387 22,698 23,260 24,082 25,034 26,060 27,185 28,216 29,249 29,944 30,444 30,976 31,530 32,136 32,809 33,548 34,274 34,987 35,670 36,332 36,981 37,636 38,322 39,043 39,804 10 22,110 22,180 22,488 23,048 23,864 24,810 25,835 26,959 27,989 29,021 29,717 30,218 30,749 31,306 31,911 32,585 33,326 34,051 34,767 35,450 36,114 36,763 37,421 38,108 38,831 11 22,093 21,857 21,929 22,236 22,796 23,610 24,554 25,577 26,697 27,727 28,760 29,456 29,957 30,485 31,042 31,646 32,321 33,061 33,786 34,502 35,185 35,849 36,499 37,158 37,845 12 22,099 21,840 21,606 21,679 21,986 22,543 23,356 24,298 25,320 26,437 27,467 28,501 29,196 29,697 30,225 30,781 31,383 32,058 32,799 33,523 34,239 34,923 35,587 36,237 36,896 13 21,837 21,847 21,589 21,355 21,430 21,738 22,294 23,104 24,044 25,064 26,179 27,210 28,244 28,938 29,438 29,966 30,521 31,123 31,798 32,538 33,262 33,978 34,662 35,326 35,976 14 21,160 21,586 21,596 21,340 21,107 21,183 21,490 22,047 22,856 23,792 24,811 25,923 26,954 27,990 28,683 29,182 29,709 30,264 30,865 31,539 32,280 33,004 33,719 34,404 35,068 15 20,157 20,885 21,311 21,321 21,068 20,837 20,914 21,220 21,776 22,583 23,518 24,534 25,644 26,674 27,712 28,404 28,903 29,429 29,983 30,584 31,257 31,998 32,722 33,438 34,123 16 19,106 19,861 20,588 21,012 21,024 20,773 20,544 20,623 20,929 21,485 22,289 23,221 24,235 25,342 26,372 27,411 28,102 28,600 29,127 29,679 30,280 30,952 31,694 32,417 33,134 17 18,194 18,815 19,568 20,292 20,716 20,730 20,480 20,254 20,335 20,641 21,196 21,997 22,927 23,938 25,043 26,072 27,112 27,803 28,300 28,827 29,378 29,979 30,651 31,393 32,116 18 17,332 17,907 18,526 19,277 19,999 20,421 20,439 20,191 19,967 20,049 20,355 20,909 21,708 22,636 23,645 24,747 25,776 26,817 27,506 28,004 28,529 29,081 29,680 30,354 31,095 19 16,566 17,049 17,622 18,240 18,988 19,708 20,131 20,149 19,905 19,683 19,765 20,072 20,625 21,422 22,347 23,354 24,454 25,482 26,525 27,212 27,710 28,235 28,787 29,385 30,058 20 15,934 16,336 16,817 17,389 18,005 18,751 19,470 19,892 19,912 19,671 19,452 19,536 19,844 20,396 21,189 22,113 23,118 24,214 25,242 26,286 26,972 27,470 27,994 28,546 29,145 21 15,284 15,757 16,158 16,638 17,209 17,823 18,566 19,283 19,705 19,726 19,489 19,275 19,361 19,669 20,220 21,012 21,933 22,935 24,030 25,056 26,100 26,784 27,284 27,808 28,360 22 14,590 15,110 15,582 15,983 16,461 17,031 17,643 18,385 19,099 19,521 19,545 19,310 19,099 19,186 19,496 20,046 20,837 21,756 22,756 23,848 24,873 25,916 26,600 27,100 27,625 23 14,021 14,420 14,938 15,409 15,810 16,287 16,855 17,466 18,206 18,917 19,339 19,367 19,134 18,928 19,015 19,326 19,876 20,665 21,581 22,579 23,670 24,693 25,735 26,419 26,920 24 13,614 13,855 14,253 14,770 15,239 15,640 16,116 16,683 17,292 18,030 18,739 19,161 19,191 18,961 18,759 18,847 19,159 19,709 20,496 21,411 22,405 23,494 24,517 25,558 26,243 25 13,331 13,462 13,702 14,101 14,617 15,085 15,486 15,961 16,526 17,132 17,868 18,575 18,997 19,030 18,805 18,604 18,694 19,008 19,558 20,342 21,256 22,248 23,334 24,357 25,396 26 13,124 13,190 13,323 13,564 13,965 14,480 14,947 15,348 15,821 16,384 16,989 17,722 18,426 18,848 18,884 18,663 18,466 18,558 18,873 19,423 20,204 21,117 22,107 23,189 24,211 27 12,871 12,985 13,054 13,189 13,431 13,831 14,345 14,810 15,212 15,684 16,246 16,848 17,579 18,281 18,702 18,741 18,523 18,331 18,425 18,740 19,291 20,070 20,982 21,968 23,049 28 12,462 12,734 12,849 12,920 13,058 13,301 13,699 14,213 14,676 15,078 15,548 16,110 16,710 17,439 18,138 18,560 18,601 18,387 18,199 18,294 18,610 19,160 19,939 20,848 21,834 29 11,827 12,328 12,600 12,718 12,791 12,930 13,174 13,570 14,083 14,544 14,947 15,415 15,976 16,574 17,301 17,997 18,422 18,464 18,253 18,069 18,166 18,484 19,033 19,810 20,718 30 11,015 11,672 12,172 12,443 12,564 12,639 12,779 13,024 13,418 13,931 14,391 14,793 15,260 15,820 16,417 17,143 17,836 18,262 18,307 18,101 17,921 18,021 18,340 18,890 19,666 31 10,144 10,844 11,497 11,993 12,265 12,388 12,464 12,606 12,852 13,245 13,756 14,216 14,620 15,085 15,645 16,239 16,964 17,655 18,082 18,131 17,932 17,756 17,861 18,182 18,732 32 9,379 9,984 10,678 11,327 11,821 12,092 12,217 12,295 12,438 12,685 13,078 13,588 14,047 14,451 14,916 15,474 16,067 16,791 17,481 17,909 17,961 17,768 17,597 17,706 18,029 33 8,776 9,229 9,828 10,518 11,161 11,654 11,924 12,051 12,131 12,275 12,522 12,915 13,424 13,882 14,286 14,752 15,309 15,900 16,623 17,312 17,741 17,797 17,610 17,443 17,556

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 71

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

34 8,403 8,631 9,082 9,677 10,360 11,000 11,490 11,760 11,888 11,970 12,115 12,364 12,757 13,264 13,722 14,125 14,592 15,148 15,738 16,458 17,146 17,577 17,637 17,455 17,294 35 8,202 8,269 8,496 8,943 9,535 10,211 10,847 11,335 11,605 11,733 11,818 11,964 12,213 12,607 13,113 13,570 13,974 14,440 14,995 15,584 16,303 16,990 17,421 17,484 17,309 36 8,078 8,075 8,144 8,369 8,813 9,401 10,072 10,703 11,187 11,459 11,588 11,675 11,822 12,072 12,465 12,970 13,427 13,830 14,297 14,851 15,439 16,155 16,841 17,273 17,339 37 7,896 7,953 7,952 8,022 8,246 8,687 9,271 9,936 10,564 11,044 11,316 11,447 11,536 11,685 11,934 12,328 12,831 13,288 13,691 14,158 14,710 15,298 16,012 16,697 17,130 38 7,602 7,772 7,830 7,831 7,904 8,127 8,564 9,144 9,806 10,428 10,905 11,177 11,310 11,401 11,551 11,801 12,196 12,695 13,153 13,556 14,024 14,575 15,162 15,874 16,558 39 7,133 7,482 7,652 7,711 7,715 7,788 8,012 8,446 9,020 9,678 10,297 10,771 11,043 11,178 11,271 11,423 11,672 12,067 12,566 13,022 13,426 13,893 14,443 15,030 15,741 40 6,557 7,027 7,373 7,543 7,603 7,609 7,682 7,906 8,338 8,906 9,560 10,174 10,647 10,917 11,053 11,148 11,301 11,552 11,946 12,443 12,899 13,302 13,770 14,318 14,903 41 5,946 6,465 6,930 7,274 7,444 7,505 7,512 7,587 7,809 8,238 8,802 9,452 10,060 10,532 10,801 10,937 11,034 11,188 11,440 11,832 12,327 12,783 13,184 13,652 14,199 42 5,407 5,861 6,375 6,836 7,176 7,347 7,409 7,418 7,494 7,715 8,141 8,701 9,346 9,950 10,419 10,689 10,826 10,924 11,079 11,330 11,722 12,215 12,670 13,070 13,537 43 4,999 5,329 5,779 6,287 6,745 7,081 7,252 7,314 7,327 7,403 7,622 8,046 8,603 9,243 9,842 10,309 10,579 10,716 10,816 10,972 11,223 11,615 12,106 12,561 12,960 44 4,781 4,924 5,252 5,698 6,201 6,655 6,990 7,161 7,223 7,237 7,315 7,533 7,954 8,506 9,143 9,738 10,203 10,472 10,610 10,711 10,868 11,119 11,511 12,001 12,454 45 4,707 4,716 4,857 5,182 5,624 6,122 6,571 6,904 7,074 7,138 7,153 7,232 7,449 7,868 8,417 9,048 9,638 10,101 10,371 10,509 10,611 10,769 11,020 11,412 11,898 46 4,681 4,645 4,655 4,795 5,118 5,554 6,049 6,495 6,825 6,994 7,060 7,075 7,156 7,371 7,786 8,331 8,958 9,545 10,006 10,274 10,413 10,517 10,675 10,925 11,316 47 4,617 4,620 4,585 4,595 4,735 5,056 5,488 5,978 6,420 6,748 6,915 6,983 6,998 7,080 7,294 7,707 8,248 8,871 9,454 9,912 10,179 10,320 10,424 10,582 10,832 48 4,515 4,557 4,560 4,527 4,537 4,676 4,995 5,423 5,908 6,347 6,672 6,839 6,908 6,923 7,007 7,220 7,630 8,167 8,786 9,365 9,822 10,088 10,229 10,334 10,493 49 4,340 4,456 4,498 4,502 4,471 4,480 4,618 4,934 5,359 5,839 6,276 6,598 6,764 6,835 6,851 6,936 7,147 7,554 8,089 8,703 9,278 9,733 9,999 10,140 10,246 50 4,111 4,283 4,397 4,440 4,444 4,415 4,424 4,562 4,875 5,295 5,770 6,203 6,524 6,688 6,759 6,777 6,863 7,073 7,477 8,007 8,617 9,188 9,640 9,905 10,046 51 3,896 4,058 4,228 4,340 4,382 4,387 4,358 4,369 4,505 4,815 5,231 5,701 6,129 6,447 6,611 6,681 6,701 6,787 6,996 7,397 7,922 8,526 9,095 9,542 9,807 52 3,708 3,845 4,004 4,172 4,284 4,326 4,331 4,304 4,315 4,450 4,756 5,168 5,633 6,057 6,372 6,537 6,606 6,627 6,713 6,921 7,320 7,840 8,438 9,003 9,447 53 3,492 3,659 3,795 3,952 4,118 4,229 4,271 4,276 4,251 4,263 4,397 4,699 5,107 5,568 5,987 6,299 6,463 6,534 6,555 6,641 6,849 7,244 7,760 8,353 8,914 54 3,243 3,446 3,611 3,745 3,901 4,065 4,175 4,218 4,223 4,198 4,211 4,345 4,644 5,047 5,504 5,919 6,228 6,392 6,462 6,486 6,571 6,778 7,170 7,683 8,270 55 2,974 3,197 3,397 3,560 3,692 3,846 4,007 4,118 4,159 4,166 4,142 4,155 4,288 4,584 4,983 5,434 5,845 6,152 6,315 6,385 6,410 6,495 6,701 7,089 7,598 56 2,683 2,925 3,147 3,343 3,504 3,636 3,787 3,947 4,057 4,097 4,104 4,081 4,095 4,226 4,519 4,915 5,359 5,767 6,070 6,231 6,303 6,326 6,413 6,617 7,001 57 2,427 2,639 2,878 3,096 3,291 3,449 3,580 3,730 3,887 3,996 4,038 4,044 4,022 4,035 4,166 4,455 4,847 5,285 5,690 5,989 6,149 6,221 6,245 6,333 6,535 58 2,285 2,386 2,596 2,832 3,048 3,240 3,395 3,525 3,674 3,829 3,936 3,978 3,985 3,964 3,977 4,106 4,393 4,780 5,213 5,614 5,911 6,069 6,142 6,166 6,253 59 2,293 2,247 2,348 2,554 2,786 2,999 3,191 3,343 3,471 3,619 3,771 3,878 3,919 3,927 3,907 3,921 4,048 4,332 4,715 5,143 5,541 5,833 5,991 6,064 6,089 60 2,405 2,254 2,210 2,308 2,513 2,740 2,951 3,140 3,290 3,417 3,564 3,712 3,819 3,858 3,867 3,848 3,863 3,987 4,267 4,647 5,069 5,462 5,751 5,906 5,979 61 2,565 2,363 2,215 2,173 2,270 2,472 2,696 2,903 3,088 3,236 3,361 3,505 3,651 3,757 3,795 3,804 3,786 3,801 3,923 4,199 4,573 4,989 5,376 5,661 5,814 62 2,689 2,520 2,322 2,177 2,136 2,232 2,431 2,650 2,856 3,038 3,183 3,306 3,449 3,593 3,696 3,733 3,742 3,725 3,740 3,860 4,132 4,501 4,910 5,293 5,574 63 2,730 2,641 2,477 2,282 2,141 2,101 2,195 2,391 2,606 2,810 2,988 3,131 3,252 3,392 3,534 3,636 3,673 3,681 3,665 3,680 3,798 4,066 4,430 4,833 5,210 64 2,642 2,683 2,595 2,435 2,243 2,105 2,065 2,158 2,351 2,563 2,763 2,939 3,079 3,199 3,336 3,476 3,577 3,614 3,622 3,606 3,621 3,737 4,002 4,360 4,758 65 2,454 2,587 2,627 2,540 2,384 2,196 2,062 2,022 2,114 2,304 2,511 2,708 2,881 3,017 3,135 3,270 3,407 3,506 3,543 3,551 3,535 3,550 3,663 3,924 4,276 66 2,239 2,393 2,524 2,564 2,480 2,327 2,144 2,011 1,974 2,063 2,249 2,452 2,644 2,814 2,947 3,062 3,195 3,328 3,423 3,460 3,468 3,452 3,467 3,578 3,832 67 2,063 2,183 2,334 2,462 2,501 2,419 2,270 2,091 1,961 1,925 2,013 2,195 2,393 2,582 2,747 2,878 2,989 3,119 3,250 3,343 3,380 3,386 3,371 3,386 3,493 68 1,921 2,011 2,128 2,276 2,402 2,440 2,360 2,215 2,040 1,913 1,877 1,964 2,143 2,335 2,521 2,682 2,810 2,919 3,046 3,173 3,263 3,300 3,306 3,291 3,305 69 1,838 1,871 1,960 2,075 2,219 2,343 2,381 2,302 2,161 1,989 1,865 1,830 1,915 2,091 2,278 2,460 2,617 2,743 2,850 2,973 3,098 3,186 3,222 3,227 3,213 70 1,789 1,784 1,817 1,903 2,016 2,156 2,276 2,313 2,236 2,099 1,933 1,811 1,777 1,860 2,031 2,213 2,391 2,544 2,666 2,769 2,889 3,009 3,096 3,130 3,134 71 1,750 1,731 1,726 1,759 1,843 1,951 2,087 2,204 2,239 2,165 2,031 1,870 1,752 1,719 1,799 1,965 2,142 2,314 2,461 2,580 2,678 2,794 2,909 2,992 3,026 72 1,698 1,692 1,674 1,669 1,701 1,783 1,889 2,019 2,133 2,167 2,097 1,966 1,809 1,695 1,664 1,740 1,901 2,071 2,238 2,380 2,494 2,590 2,701 2,812 2,891 73 1,617 1,643 1,637 1,619 1,616 1,645 1,725 1,827 1,953 2,064 2,096 2,028 1,901 1,750 1,639 1,608 1,682 1,838 2,003 2,164 2,301 2,411 2,504 2,611 2,718 74 1,503 1,563 1,588 1,583 1,565 1,563 1,591 1,668 1,767 1,889 1,995 2,028 1,962 1,838 1,692 1,584 1,556 1,626 1,776 1,936 2,092 2,224 2,330 2,419 2,522 75 1,353 1,442 1,501 1,524 1,520 1,502 1,500 1,526 1,600 1,695 1,812 1,913 1,945 1,881 1,763 1,621 1,518 1,489 1,558 1,701 1,853 2,004 2,130 2,231 2,316 76 1,197 1,289 1,374 1,430 1,451 1,446 1,429 1,427 1,451 1,521 1,613 1,724 1,819 1,848 1,788 1,674 1,540 1,441 1,413 1,478 1,614 1,757 1,901 2,020 2,114 77 1,052 1,139 1,227 1,308 1,362 1,382 1,375 1,359 1,357 1,379 1,446 1,533 1,638 1,730 1,755 1,699 1,590 1,461 1,368 1,341 1,403 1,530 1,666 1,802 1,913 78 929 1,002 1,084 1,168 1,245 1,296 1,315 1,309 1,291 1,289 1,311 1,373 1,456 1,555 1,643 1,666 1,612 1,508 1,385 1,297 1,271 1,329 1,450 1,577 1,706 79 843 883 952 1,031 1,111 1,184 1,232 1,250 1,244 1,226 1,224 1,245 1,303 1,381 1,476 1,560 1,580 1,530 1,429 1,313 1,228 1,203 1,258 1,373 1,493

80+ 6,525 6,853 7,191 7,565 7,981 8,435 8,915 9,393 9,842 10,240 10,579 10,877 11,159 11,459 11,794 12,176 12,590 12,974 13,264 13,422 13,446 13,376 13,277 13,224 13,269

Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, EASTERN PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) District Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric) Chadiza 2.3 Chipata 2.0 Katete 2.4 Lundazi 2.9 Mambwe 3.5 Nyimba 1.8 Petauke 2.5 Eastern Province 2.4

Page 85: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

72 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Sex &

District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 1,628,880 1,673,989 1,719,803 1,766,300 1,813,445 1,861,491 1,910,782 1,961,269 2,012,895 2,065,590 2,119,331 2,174,115 2,229,946 2,286,873 2,344,980 2,404,355 2,465,049 2,527,102 2,590,555 2,655,422 2,721,756 2,789,510 2,858,700 2,929,252 3,001,152 Chadiza 109,671 112,563 115,492 118,457 121,456 124,504 127,625 130,815 134,069 137,383 140,754 144,181 147,666 151,209 154,817 158,494 162,244 166,068 169,968 173,946 178,003 182,136 186,346 190,626 194,977 Chipata 464,720 475,511 486,390 497,343 508,361 519,511 530,885 542,464 554,230 566,157 578,236 590,463 602,833 615,358 628,053 640,941 654,028 667,321 680,826 694,539 708,472 722,605 736,938 751,447 766,122 Katete 249,310 256,090 262,966 269,935 276,991 284,172 291,531 299,059 306,744 314,580 322,559 330,680 338,945 347,358 355,935 364,683 373,613 382,729 392,036 401,536 411,235 421,126 431,208 441,472 451,912 Lundazi 332,506 343,568 354,877 366,432 378,225 390,314 402,773 415,596 428,776 442,300 456,169 470,383 484,948 499,878 515,195 530,922 547,074 563,665 580,708 598,212 616,192 634,641 653,571 672,966 692,829 Mambwe 71,070 73,892 76,800 79,795 82,877 86,059 89,361 92,781 96,322 99,981 103,758 107,661 111,688 115,846 120,141 124,582 129,175 133,924 138,836 143,914 149,166 154,594 160,199 165,984 171,951 Nyimba 86,530 88,305 90,085 91,872 93,659 95,464 97,296 99,159 101,046 102,951 104,876 106,816 108,771 110,745 112,738 114,756 116,799 118,868 120,965 123,086 125,235 127,408 129,608 131,825 134,059 Petauke 315,073 324,060 333,193 342,466 351,876 361,467 371,311 381,395 391,708 402,238 412,979 423,931 435,095 446,479 458,101 469,977 482,116 494,527 507,216 520,189 533,453 547,000 560,830 574,932 589,302

Total (Males) 804,806 827,464 850,528 873,994 897,841 922,165 947,103 972,630 998,713 1,025,323 1,052,438 1,080,064 1,108,198 1,136,867 1,166,113 1,195,977 1,226,472 1,257,635 1,289,462 1,321,976 1,355,194 1,389,087 1,423,665 1,458,894 1,494,768 Chadiza 54,717 56,175 57,655 59,156 60,678 62,226 63,809 65,426 67,074 68,751 70,455 72,186 73,944 75,730 77,548 79,398 81,283 83,203 85,159 87,152 89,182 91,247 93,348 95,482 97,649 Chipata 229,953 235,336 240,775 246,265 251,800 257,404 263,114 268,921 274,813 280,779 286,813 292,913 299,077 305,311 311,621 318,020 324,506 331,088 337,762 344,530 351,396 358,348 365,387 372,502 379,687 Katete 123,008 126,377 129,799 133,276 136,802 140,394 144,072 147,829 151,661 155,566 159,536 163,574 167,679 171,853 176,105 180,437 184,853 189,358 193,949 198,631 203,405 208,267 213,216 218,248 223,361 Lundazi 163,020 168,448 174,007 179,696 185,511 191,474 197,614 203,929 210,413 217,061 223,872 230,846 237,985 245,297 252,792 260,481 268,367 276,461 284,765 293,285 302,027 310,985 320,166 329,562 339,174 Mambwe 35,426 36,856 38,332 39,854 41,425 43,047 44,731 46,475 48,280 50,145 52,069 54,058 56,110 58,228 60,415 62,676 65,014 67,431 69,929 72,512 75,181 77,939 80,785 83,721 86,750 Nyimba 42,878 43,808 44,744 45,689 46,637 47,597 48,571 49,561 50,564 51,577 52,600 53,632 54,671 55,720 56,781 57,854 58,940 60,040 61,154 62,280 63,421 64,574 65,741 66,917 68,101 Petauke 155,804 160,464 165,216 170,058 174,988 180,023 185,192 190,489 195,908 201,444 207,093 212,855 218,732 224,728 230,851 237,111 243,509 250,054 256,744 263,586 270,582 277,727 285,022 292,462 300,046

Total (Females) 824,074 846,525 869,275 892,306 915,604 939,326 963,679 988,639 1,014,182 1,040,267 1,066,893 1,094,051 1,121,748 1,150,006 1,178,867 1,208,378 1,238,577 1,269,467 1,301,093 1,333,446 1,366,562 1,400,423 1,435,035 1,470,358 1,506,384 Chadiza 54,954 56,388 57,837 59,301 60,778 62,278 63,816 65,389 66,995 68,632 70,299 71,995 73,722 75,479 77,269 79,096 80,961 82,865 84,809 86,794 88,821 90,889 92,998 95,144 97,328 Chipata 234,767 240,175 245,615 251,078 256,561 262,107 267,771 273,543 279,417 285,378 291,423 297,550 303,756 310,047 316,432 322,921 329,522 336,233 343,064 350,009 357,076 364,257 371,551 378,945 386,435 Katete 126,302 129,713 133,167 136,659 140,189 143,778 147,459 151,230 155,083 159,014 163,023 167,106 171,266 175,505 179,830 184,246 188,760 193,371 198,087 202,905 207,830 212,859 217,992 223,224 228,551 Lundazi 169,486 175,120 180,870 186,736 192,714 198,840 205,159 211,667 218,363 225,239 232,297 239,537 246,963 254,581 262,403 270,441 278,707 287,204 295,943 304,927 314,165 323,656 333,405 343,404 353,655 Mambwe 35,644 37,036 38,468 39,941 41,452 43,012 44,630 46,306 48,042 49,836 51,689 53,603 55,578 57,618 59,726 61,906 64,161 66,493 68,907 71,402 73,985 76,655 79,414 82,263 85,201 Nyimba 43,652 44,497 45,341 46,183 47,022 47,867 48,725 49,598 50,482 51,374 52,276 53,184 54,100 55,025 55,957 56,902 57,859 58,828 59,811 60,806 61,814 62,834 63,867 64,908 65,958 Petauke 159,269 163,596 167,977 172,408 176,888 181,444 186,119 190,906 195,800 200,794 205,886 211,076 216,363 221,751 227,250 232,866 238,607 244,473 250,472 256,603 262,871 269,273 275,808 282,470 289,256

Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital Events,

Rates & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Life Expectancy at Birth (Males)Chadiza 56.0 56.2 56.4 56.6 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.7 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.8 62.1 62.4 62.7Chipata 49.0 49.3 49.5 49.8 50.1 50.4 50.8 51.2 51.5 51.9 52.3 52.6 53.0 53.4 53.8 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.6 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.1 57.5Katete 51.3 51.5 51.8 52.0 52.2 52.6 52.9 53.3 53.6 54.0 54.3 54.7 55.0 55.3 55.7 56.0 56.4 56.7 57.1 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.2Lundazi 50.7 51.0 51.2 51.4 51.7 52.0 52.4 52.7 53.1 53.4 53.8 54.2 54.5 54.9 55.2 55.6 55.9 56.3 56.6 57.0 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.4 58.8Mambwe 47.9 48.2 48.4 48.7 49.0 49.3 49.7 50.1 50.5 50.9 51.2 51.6 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.7Nyimba 42.0 42.3 42.6 42.9 43.2 43.7 44.1 44.6 45.0 45.5 45.9 46.4 46.8 47.3 47.7 48.2 48.6 49.1 49.5 50.0 50.4 50.9 51.4 51.8 52.3Petauke 47.8 48.1 48.3 48.6 48.9 49.2 49.6 50.0 50.4 50.8 51.2 51.6 51.9 52.3 52.7 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.3 54.6 55.0 55.4 55.8 56.2 56.6Life Expectancy at Birth (Females)Chadiza 60.1 60.3 60.4 60.5 60.7 61.0 61.3 61.7 62.0 62.3 62.7 63.0 63.3 63.7 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.1 65.5 65.8 66.2 66.5 66.9 67.2 67.5Chipata 53.4 53.6 53.7 53.9 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.6 60.0 60.4 60.9 61.3 61.7 62.1 62.6Katete 57.8 57.9 58.1 58.2 58.3 58.7 59.1 59.4 59.8 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.3 61.6 62.0 62.4 62.8 63.2 63.5 63.9 64.3 64.7 65.1 65.4 65.8Lundazi 57.5 57.6 57.8 57.9 58.1 58.4 58.8 59.2 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.1 64.5 64.9 65.2 65.6Mambwe 53.7 53.8 54.0 54.2 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.6 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.6 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.4 59.8 60.2 60.6 61.1 61.5 61.9 62.4 62.8Nyimba 47.1 47.2 47.4 47.6 47.8 48.3 48.8 49.3 49.8 50.2 50.8 51.3 51.7 52.3 52.8 53.3 53.8 54.3 54.8 55.3 55.9 56.4 56.9 57.4 57.9Petauke 52.0 52.1 52.3 52.4 52.6 53.1 53.5 53.9 54.3 54.8 55.2 55.7 56.1 56.6 57.0 57.5 57.9 58.4 58.8 59.3 59.7 60.2 60.6 61.1 61.5Total Fertility Rate (TFR)Chadiza 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 Chipata 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 Katete 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 Lundazi 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 Mambwe 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 Nyimba 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 Petauke 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 73

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHADIZA DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chadiza District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 109,671 54,717 54,954 112,563 56,175 56,388 115,492 57,655 57,837 118,457 59,156 59,301 121,456 60,678 60,778 124,504 62,226 62,278 127,625 63,809 63,816 130,815 65,426 65,389 0-4 21,667 10,914 10,753 22,306 11,235 11,071 22,842 11,504 11,338 23,291 11,729 11,561 23,662 11,922 11,740 24,011 12,101 11,909 24,389 12,293 12,096 24,791 12,495 12,296 5-9 16,558 8,302 8,256 17,047 8,542 8,505 17,659 8,849 8,810 18,342 9,196 9,146 19,045 9,553 9,493 19,714 9,895 9,819 20,307 10,200 10,108 20,815 10,460 10,354

10-14 14,819 7,395 7,424 14,789 7,373 7,417 14,736 7,334 7,401 14,752 7,329 7,423 14,913 7,396 7,517 15,238 7,547 7,691 15,699 7,771 7,928 16,277 8,058 8,219 15-19 12,591 6,533 6,059 13,072 6,811 6,262 13,514 7,054 6,460 13,860 7,241 6,620 14,079 7,358 6,721 14,155 7,397 6,758 14,133 7,379 6,754 14,087 7,345 6,742 20-24 9,377 4,704 4,673 9,778 4,981 4,797 10,231 5,295 4,936 10,702 5,616 5,085 11,160 5,919 5,240 11,619 6,207 5,412 12,086 6,482 5,603 12,516 6,725 5,791 25-29 7,595 3,628 3,967 7,669 3,639 4,030 7,739 3,661 4,078 7,859 3,725 4,133 8,066 3,852 4,214 8,366 4,047 4,319 8,737 4,297 4,440 9,156 4,581 4,575 30-34 6,317 3,130 3,187 6,548 3,188 3,360 6,803 3,254 3,550 7,039 3,314 3,726 7,229 3,361 3,869 7,359 3,388 3,971 7,443 3,404 4,040 7,522 3,430 4,092 35-39 5,157 2,567 2,590 5,225 2,595 2,630 5,271 2,609 2,661 5,334 2,623 2,711 5,444 2,647 2,797 5,615 2,689 2,926 5,836 2,745 3,091 6,081 2,809 3,272 40-44 3,784 1,921 1,863 4,031 2,042 1,989 4,296 2,168 2,128 4,537 2,282 2,254 4,724 2,370 2,354 4,847 2,427 2,420 4,919 2,459 2,460 4,970 2,477 2,493 45-49 3,150 1,593 1,558 3,183 1,618 1,565 3,219 1,644 1,574 3,291 1,688 1,603 3,418 1,757 1,661 3,610 1,856 1,754 3,853 1,977 1,876 4,115 2,105 2,010 50-54 2,258 1,096 1,162 2,369 1,155 1,213 2,472 1,214 1,258 2,561 1,265 1,295 2,633 1,309 1,324 2,682 1,341 1,341 2,713 1,365 1,348 2,747 1,390 1,357 55-59 1,661 822 839 1,745 859 886 1,852 903 950 1,967 952 1,016 2,079 1,003 1,076 2,189 1,058 1,131 2,298 1,117 1,182 2,401 1,175 1,226 60-64 1,416 622 794 1,379 621 758 1,338 620 718 1,315 625 690 1,323 638 685 1,367 661 705 1,437 691 746 1,528 728 800 65-69 1,124 492 632 1,169 506 663 1,215 521 694 1,247 533 714 1,257 540 717 1,243 542 701 1,212 542 670 1,176 541 635 70-74 951 393 558 949 388 561 947 385 562 953 385 568 971 389 581 1,003 399 604 1,045 410 635 1,087 423 665 75-79 635 299 336 658 299 359 681 299 383 700 297 403 711 294 417 713 289 424 712 285 426 710 283 427 80+ 611 306 304 644 325 319 676 341 335 708 356 352 740 369 371 772 381 392 805 391 414 835 400 436

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chadiza District

Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 134,069 67,074 66,995 137,383 68,751 68,632 154,817 77,548 77,269 173,946 87,152 86,794 194,977 97,649 97,328 0-4 25,210 12,704 12,506 25,636 12,917 12,719 27,630 13,910 13,721 29,793 14,982 14,812 32,225 16,185 16,040 5-9 21,251 10,684 10,567 21,633 10,882 10,750 23,691 11,908 11,783 25,770 12,932 12,838 28,057 14,055 14,002

10-14 16,925 8,385 8,541 17,596 8,720 8,876 20,087 9,976 10,111 22,058 10,937 11,121 24,093 11,918 12,175 15-19 14,111 7,346 6,765 14,277 7,419 6,858 16,966 8,795 8,171 19,456 10,093 9,362 21,454 11,103 10,351 20-24 12,855 6,912 5,942 13,070 7,030 6,040 13,283 7,100 6,183 15,868 8,448 7,420 18,292 9,734 8,558 25-29 9,591 4,871 4,719 10,014 5,145 4,869 11,792 6,149 5,643 12,014 6,221 5,794 14,440 7,444 6,996 30-34 7,651 3,497 4,153 7,865 3,625 4,240 9,834 4,902 4,932 11,640 5,895 5,745 11,921 5,993 5,929 35-39 6,307 2,866 3,441 6,491 2,912 3,579 7,115 3,165 3,950 8,953 4,326 4,627 10,676 5,246 5,430 40-44 5,038 2,495 2,543 5,149 2,522 2,627 6,182 2,795 3,387 6,812 3,054 3,758 8,647 4,214 4,432 45-49 4,354 2,221 2,133 4,540 2,310 2,230 4,981 2,476 2,505 6,007 2,759 3,248 6,663 3,037 3,627 50-54 2,813 1,430 1,383 2,926 1,491 1,434 3,908 1,974 1,934 4,307 2,126 2,180 5,225 2,385 2,840 55-59 2,490 1,227 1,263 2,563 1,271 1,292 2,861 1,456 1,404 3,836 1,936 1,900 4,248 2,096 2,152 60-64 1,624 768 856 1,718 811 908 2,123 1,032 1,092 2,376 1,188 1,189 3,201 1,587 1,614 65-69 1,157 546 611 1,165 558 607 1,517 710 807 1,875 904 971 2,104 1,044 1,060 70-74 1,116 432 684 1,126 439 687 1,036 455 581 1,354 580 773 1,669 740 929 75-79 714 283 431 728 287 441 844 323 521 773 334 439 1,011 426 585 80+ 862 406 456 885 410 474 966 422 544 1,055 439 617 1,050 443 607

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74 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHIPATA DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chipata District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 464,720 229,953 234,767 475,511 235,336 240,175 486,390 240,775 245,615 497,343 246,265 251,078 508,361 251,800 256,561 519,511 257,404 262,107 530,885 263,114 267,771 542,464 268,921 273,543 0-4 85,442 42,845 42,597 87,702 43,979 43,724 89,547 44,904 44,643 91,035 45,650 45,385 92,203 46,258 45,945 93,274 46,805 46,468 94,447 47,394 47,054 95,692 48,009 47,683 5-9 65,069 32,452 32,618 66,795 33,293 33,503 68,990 34,390 34,599 71,445 35,637 35,808 73,960 36,906 37,054 76,319 38,107 38,212 78,369 39,153 39,216 80,067 40,018 40,049

10-14 62,871 31,390 31,480 62,558 31,205 31,353 62,147 30,955 31,192 62,032 30,842 31,190 62,520 31,029 31,491 63,683 31,562 32,121 65,402 32,392 33,010 67,594 33,478 34,116 15-19 54,250 27,462 26,788 56,149 28,547 27,602 57,874 29,485 28,389 59,180 30,176 29,004 59,931 30,570 29,361 60,069 30,636 29,433 59,785 30,462 29,323 59,401 30,221 29,180 20-24 41,553 19,713 21,840 43,164 20,810 22,354 44,994 22,062 22,931 46,886 23,332 23,554 48,715 24,516 24,199 50,543 25,626 24,917 52,395 26,676 25,719 54,078 27,582 26,496 25-29 35,745 16,840 18,904 35,992 16,843 19,149 36,212 16,896 19,316 36,663 17,143 19,520 37,514 17,673 19,841 38,782 18,508 20,274 40,364 19,586 20,778 42,154 20,811 21,343 30-34 28,660 14,432 14,228 29,613 14,659 14,955 30,668 14,918 15,750 31,630 15,149 16,481 32,379 15,317 17,062 32,853 15,394 17,459 33,121 15,414 17,707 33,364 15,480 17,883 35-39 23,423 12,281 11,142 23,660 12,383 11,277 23,791 12,413 11,378 23,998 12,441 11,557 24,404 12,519 11,885 25,072 12,677 12,396 25,956 12,900 13,056 26,930 13,152 13,778 40-44 16,421 8,637 7,784 17,438 9,151 8,287 18,530 9,693 8,838 19,507 10,172 9,335 20,248 10,531 9,718 20,708 10,750 9,959 20,950 10,857 10,093 21,095 10,898 10,197 45-49 12,969 6,448 6,521 13,063 6,532 6,532 13,170 6,620 6,550 13,423 6,775 6,648 13,901 7,032 6,869 14,636 7,404 7,232 15,573 7,861 7,712 16,579 8,342 8,237 50-54 10,213 4,979 5,234 10,682 5,232 5,450 11,116 5,480 5,636 11,482 5,697 5,784 11,770 5,876 5,894 11,953 6,002 5,951 12,053 6,089 5,963 12,165 6,180 5,985 55-59 6,859 3,347 3,512 7,185 3,486 3,699 7,604 3,653 3,951 8,053 3,840 4,213 8,486 4,036 4,451 8,907 4,244 4,662 9,321 4,465 4,856 9,706 4,681 5,025 60-64 6,180 2,756 3,424 6,004 2,743 3,261 5,811 2,731 3,079 5,696 2,745 2,951 5,716 2,796 2,920 5,884 2,887 2,997 6,169 3,009 3,160 6,535 3,158 3,377 65-69 4,934 2,039 2,895 5,119 2,090 3,029 5,304 2,144 3,160 5,427 2,186 3,241 5,457 2,210 3,246 5,375 2,213 3,163 5,217 2,203 3,013 5,041 2,194 2,847 70-74 3,917 1,662 2,254 3,896 1,636 2,260 3,876 1,617 2,259 3,888 1,614 2,274 3,948 1,628 2,320 4,065 1,661 2,405 4,223 1,704 2,519 4,379 1,749 2,630 75-79 2,872 1,257 1,615 2,976 1,253 1,723 3,079 1,248 1,831 3,159 1,238 1,920 3,202 1,221 1,981 3,208 1,199 2,009 3,192 1,179 2,013 3,176 1,164 2,012 80+ 3,343 1,413 1,930 3,514 1,494 2,020 3,676 1,565 2,111 3,839 1,626 2,213 4,007 1,681 2,326 4,178 1,729 2,449 4,348 1,770 2,578 4,509 1,803 2,706

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chipata District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 554,230 274,813 279,417 566,157 280,779 285,378 628,053 311,621 316,432 694,539 344,530 350,009 766,122 379,687 386,435 0-4 96,986 48,641 48,345 98,291 49,277 49,014 104,096 52,081 52,015 110,377 55,110 55,267 117,310 58,452 58,858 5-9 81,475 40,730 40,745 82,655 41,336 41,319 88,946 44,394 44,552 95,142 47,363 47,779 101,785 50,538 51,247

10-14 70,053 34,712 35,341 72,581 35,970 36,611 81,415 40,386 41,029 87,917 43,500 44,416 94,360 46,538 47,822 15-19 59,308 30,116 29,192 59,806 30,307 29,499 69,836 35,263 34,573 78,748 39,756 38,992 85,334 42,936 42,398 20-24 55,354 28,249 27,105 56,090 28,627 27,463 56,034 28,376 27,659 65,836 33,168 32,668 74,578 37,522 37,056 25-29 44,001 22,052 21,949 45,781 23,207 22,574 52,958 27,220 25,737 53,063 27,055 26,008 62,669 31,786 30,884 30-34 33,822 15,728 18,094 34,657 16,244 18,412 42,629 21,558 21,071 49,627 25,471 24,156 49,938 25,422 24,516 35-39 27,820 13,376 14,443 28,515 13,540 14,975 30,702 14,444 16,259 38,139 19,393 18,746 44,725 23,089 21,636 40-44 21,308 10,937 10,371 21,697 11,019 10,678 25,527 11,982 13,545 27,655 12,866 14,790 34,585 17,428 17,157 45-49 17,482 8,769 8,713 18,171 9,089 9,082 19,595 9,560 10,035 23,273 10,466 12,807 25,373 11,310 14,062 50-54 12,413 6,334 6,080 12,868 6,582 6,286 16,890 8,550 8,340 18,301 9,048 9,254 21,818 9,963 11,855 55-59 10,032 4,872 5,160 10,289 5,029 5,260 11,280 5,655 5,625 14,874 7,384 7,490 16,194 7,850 8,344 60-64 6,924 3,320 3,603 7,301 3,493 3,808 8,867 4,362 4,505 9,761 4,933 4,829 12,921 6,472 6,450 65-69 4,936 2,206 2,731 4,951 2,247 2,704 6,342 2,805 3,537 7,696 3,508 4,188 8,474 3,977 4,497 70-74 4,480 1,784 2,696 4,502 1,803 2,699 4,081 1,836 2,245 5,243 2,300 2,943 6,358 2,881 3,477 75-79 3,186 1,161 2,025 3,236 1,171 2,066 3,694 1,295 2,399 3,305 1,316 1,989 4,253 1,646 2,607 80+ 4,650 1,825 2,825 4,766 1,838 2,928 5,160 1,855 3,306 5,581 1,895 3,686 5,447 1,877 3,569

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 75

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KATETE DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Katete District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 249,310 123,008 126,302 256,090 126,377 129,713 262,966 129,799 133,167 269,935 133,276 136,659 276,991 136,802 140,189 284,172 140,394 143,778 291,531 144,072 147,459 299,059 147,829 151,230 0-4 48,698 24,393 24,306 50,194 25,141 25,053 51,463 25,774 25,688 52,533 26,309 26,223 53,421 26,766 26,655 54,255 27,190 27,065 55,151 27,640 27,511 56,096 28,109 27,987 5-9 37,168 18,506 18,662 38,313 19,064 19,249 39,736 19,773 19,963 41,319 20,573 20,746 42,946 21,391 21,555 44,491 22,174 22,317 45,864 22,873 22,991 47,040 23,469 23,570

10-14 33,882 17,208 16,674 33,853 17,176 16,677 33,769 17,108 16,662 33,844 17,115 16,729 34,247 17,287 16,960 35,021 17,654 17,367 36,106 18,190 17,916 37,462 18,873 18,588 15-19 27,864 14,093 13,772 28,960 14,710 14,250 29,973 15,255 14,718 30,775 15,676 15,099 31,291 15,944 15,347 31,487 16,042 15,446 31,460 16,013 15,447 31,380 15,949 15,431 20-24 21,144 10,136 11,009 22,059 10,744 11,315 23,093 11,436 11,657 24,166 12,144 12,023 25,213 12,811 12,402 26,264 13,444 12,820 27,334 14,050 13,284 28,323 14,584 13,738 25-29 18,143 8,441 9,702 18,346 8,477 9,869 18,535 8,539 9,997 18,843 8,698 10,144 19,357 9,003 10,353 20,087 9,466 10,621 20,983 10,056 10,927 21,995 10,727 11,267 30-34 14,452 7,299 7,153 14,994 7,444 7,550 15,592 7,606 7,986 16,146 7,756 8,391 16,595 7,873 8,722 16,904 7,944 8,960 17,108 7,985 9,122 17,300 8,051 9,249 35-39 12,029 6,127 5,902 12,202 6,203 5,999 12,322 6,244 6,078 12,483 6,283 6,199 12,749 6,348 6,401 13,156 6,453 6,702 13,679 6,593 7,086 14,255 6,748 7,507 40-44 8,339 4,282 4,057 8,893 4,555 4,338 9,490 4,845 4,645 10,032 5,105 4,927 10,456 5,306 5,150 10,736 5,438 5,298 10,904 5,513 5,391 11,024 5,556 5,467 45-49 6,971 3,513 3,459 7,052 3,573 3,479 7,139 3,636 3,503 7,307 3,736 3,571 7,598 3,894 3,704 8,031 4,116 3,915 8,578 4,387 4,191 9,168 4,674 4,494 50-54 4,840 2,316 2,524 5,083 2,444 2,639 5,311 2,570 2,741 5,508 2,683 2,825 5,668 2,778 2,890 5,778 2,849 2,929 5,848 2,901 2,947 5,925 2,956 2,969 55-59 3,657 1,753 1,905 3,848 1,833 2,015 4,090 1,929 2,161 4,350 2,035 2,314 4,602 2,148 2,455 4,849 2,268 2,581 5,094 2,395 2,699 5,325 2,521 2,804 60-64 3,865 1,545 2,320 3,763 1,544 2,218 3,648 1,544 2,104 3,582 1,558 2,025 3,605 1,593 2,011 3,724 1,652 2,072 3,922 1,728 2,194 4,174 1,821 2,353 65-69 2,898 1,173 1,725 3,020 1,208 1,812 3,143 1,244 1,899 3,229 1,273 1,955 3,259 1,293 1,966 3,222 1,299 1,923 3,138 1,299 1,839 3,043 1,298 1,745 70-74 2,145 807 1,338 2,145 798 1,347 2,144 792 1,352 2,160 793 1,367 2,203 804 1,400 2,280 823 1,457 2,379 848 1,532 2,479 874 1,605 75-79 1,513 676 837 1,573 677 897 1,634 677 957 1,682 675 1,007 1,711 668 1,043 1,721 659 1,062 1,719 650 1,069 1,716 644 1,072 80+ 1,699 741 958 1,794 787 1,007 1,884 827 1,057 1,976 863 1,113 2,070 896 1,174 2,166 925 1,241 2,263 951 1,312 2,354 972 1,382

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Katete District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 306,744 151,661 155,083 314,580 155,566 159,014 355,935 176,105 179,830 401,536 198,631 202,905 451,912 223,361 228,551 0-4 57,080 28,593 28,487 58,083 29,086 28,997 62,829 31,408 31,421 68,034 33,951 34,083 73,841 36,801 37,040 5-9 48,056 23,983 24,074 48,950 24,440 24,511 53,803 26,818 26,986 58,773 29,227 29,546 64,210 31,872 32,338

10-14 38,978 19,647 19,331 40,549 20,443 20,106 46,458 23,451 23,007 51,231 25,804 25,428 56,149 28,212 27,937 15-19 31,455 15,957 15,498 31,848 16,125 15,724 37,985 19,168 18,817 43,742 22,076 21,666 48,406 24,367 24,039 20-24 29,106 14,997 14,109 29,613 15,260 14,353 30,214 15,454 14,760 36,251 18,454 17,797 41,935 21,335 20,601 25-29 23,045 11,413 11,633 24,072 12,060 12,012 28,436 14,452 13,984 29,100 14,674 14,426 35,100 17,619 17,481 30-34 17,607 8,213 9,394 18,115 8,517 9,598 22,764 11,548 11,215 27,065 13,939 13,126 27,812 14,217 13,594 35-39 14,791 6,891 7,900 15,228 7,003 8,224 16,751 7,633 9,117 21,202 10,470 10,732 25,379 12,739 12,640 40-44 11,180 5,598 5,582 11,434 5,663 5,771 13,766 6,292 7,474 15,233 6,902 8,332 19,418 9,555 9,863 45-49 9,705 4,933 4,772 10,128 5,134 4,994 11,152 5,517 5,635 13,511 6,169 7,342 15,040 6,814 8,226 50-54 6,070 3,042 3,028 6,317 3,174 3,143 8,471 4,213 4,258 9,377 4,554 4,823 11,430 5,125 6,306 55-59 5,525 2,634 2,890 5,689 2,730 2,958 6,367 3,136 3,230 8,575 4,184 4,391 9,538 4,546 4,992 60-64 4,443 1,922 2,521 4,705 2,030 2,675 5,822 2,591 3,231 6,528 2,993 3,536 8,832 4,013 4,819 65-69 2,990 1,310 1,680 3,011 1,340 1,670 3,941 1,710 2,231 4,881 2,184 2,697 5,485 2,531 2,955 70-74 2,547 894 1,652 2,569 908 1,661 2,355 944 1,411 3,097 1,208 1,888 3,823 1,547 2,276 75-79 1,729 645 1,083 1,763 653 1,109 2,054 738 1,316 1,880 767 1,114 2,469 980 1,490 80+ 2,437 988 1,449 2,507 999 1,507 2,768 1,030 1,738 3,053 1,075 1,978 3,043 1,088 1,955

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76 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUNDAZI DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Lundazi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 332,506 163,020 169,486 343,568 168,448 175,120 354,877 174,007 180,870 366,432 179,696 186,736 378,225 185,511 192,714 390,314 191,474 198,840 402,773 197,614 205,159 415,596 203,929 211,667 0-4 65,096 32,517 32,579 67,477 33,701 33,776 69,574 34,742 34,832 71,423 35,660 35,764 73,045 36,480 36,565 74,612 37,265 37,347 76,283 38,093 38,190 78,041 38,959 39,082 5-9 50,116 24,935 25,181 51,953 25,829 26,124 54,187 26,938 27,249 56,666 28,183 28,482 59,232 29,466 29,766 61,716 30,716 31,000 63,988 31,860 32,127 66,010 32,877 33,133

10-14 45,028 22,704 22,324 45,246 22,789 22,457 45,390 22,824 22,566 45,749 22,960 22,789 46,558 23,320 23,238 47,884 23,947 23,937 49,653 24,811 24,842 51,817 25,889 25,928 15-19 36,515 18,145 18,369 38,162 19,045 19,117 39,720 19,861 19,860 41,014 20,522 20,492 41,939 20,988 20,950 42,444 21,235 21,210 42,654 21,316 21,338 42,794 21,350 21,444 20-24 27,959 13,258 14,701 29,329 14,131 15,198 30,873 15,126 15,747 32,486 16,150 16,336 34,082 17,132 16,950 35,705 18,079 17,626 37,372 18,999 18,372 38,947 19,834 19,114 25-29 23,361 10,866 12,495 23,757 10,973 12,783 24,138 11,114 13,024 24,678 11,385 13,293 25,496 11,850 13,646 26,609 12,528 14,082 27,958 13,384 14,574 29,475 14,358 15,118 30-34 18,216 8,782 9,434 19,022 9,006 10,015 19,908 9,254 10,653 20,747 9,488 11,259 21,457 9,685 11,772 21,992 9,827 12,165 22,393 9,933 12,459 22,779 10,072 12,707 35-39 16,254 7,984 8,270 16,583 8,128 8,455 16,842 8,227 8,616 17,163 8,324 8,839 17,636 8,457 9,179 18,314 8,645 9,669 19,165 8,882 10,284 20,102 9,142 10,960 40-44 12,069 6,064 6,005 12,944 6,487 6,457 13,892 6,937 6,955 14,770 7,350 7,420 15,483 7,682 7,801 15,990 7,917 8,073 16,335 8,072 8,263 16,611 8,181 8,430 45-49 9,683 4,809 4,873 9,849 4,919 4,931 10,027 5,033 4,994 10,320 5,201 5,119 10,792 5,450 5,342 11,473 5,793 5,680 12,325 6,209 6,116 13,250 6,653 6,597 50-54 7,574 3,571 4,003 7,999 3,789 4,210 8,404 4,007 4,398 8,764 4,205 4,559 9,070 4,379 4,691 9,298 4,515 4,783 9,465 4,625 4,840 9,644 4,739 4,906 55-59 5,319 2,564 2,755 5,628 2,696 2,931 6,015 2,853 3,162 6,433 3,028 3,406 6,846 3,213 3,633 7,255 3,411 3,844 7,666 3,623 4,043 8,059 3,835 4,225 60-64 4,772 2,032 2,739 4,677 2,042 2,634 4,566 2,053 2,513 4,515 2,083 2,432 4,573 2,143 2,430 4,753 2,233 2,519 5,033 2,350 2,683 5,385 2,490 2,895 65-69 3,764 1,627 2,137 3,943 1,685 2,258 4,124 1,745 2,379 4,261 1,797 2,464 4,327 1,834 2,493 4,306 1,853 2,453 4,223 1,863 2,360 4,124 1,873 2,251 70-74 2,901 1,253 1,649 2,914 1,245 1,670 2,928 1,243 1,685 2,965 1,252 1,713 3,040 1,275 1,765 3,161 1,313 1,848 3,315 1,360 1,955 3,470 1,409 2,061 75-79 1,767 890 876 1,840 896 944 1,915 901 1,013 1,976 903 1,073 2,017 899 1,118 2,036 891 1,145 2,043 884 1,159 2,051 882 1,169 80+ 2,113 1,017 1,096 2,245 1,087 1,159 2,372 1,149 1,223 2,500 1,205 1,295 2,632 1,258 1,375 2,768 1,306 1,462 2,904 1,350 1,554 3,035 1,388 1,647

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Lundazi District

Total Male Fe-male

Total Male Fe-male

Total Male Fe-male

Total Male Fe-male

Total Male Fe-male

Total 428,776 210,413 218,363 442,300 217,061 225,239 515,195 252,792 262,403 598,212 293,285 304,927 692,829 339,174 353,655 0-4 79,873 39,856 40,017 81,751 40,776 40,975 91,035 45,336 45,699 101,427 50,425 51,002 113,211 56,162 57,049 5-9 67,830 33,787 34,043 69,495 34,629 34,866 78,634 39,124 39,510 88,380 43,874 44,506 99,299 49,160 50,138

10-14 54,229 27,105 27,124 56,744 28,365 28,379 66,927 33,503 33,424 75,937 37,931 38,006 85,591 42,612 42,979 15-19 43,148 21,483 21,665 43,944 21,833 22,110 53,958 26,723 27,235 63,931 31,669 32,262 72,760 35,915 36,845 20-24 40,258 20,511 19,747 41,198 20,991 20,207 43,276 21,888 21,388 53,426 26,892 26,533 63,559 31,947 31,612 25-29 31,063 15,362 15,701 32,635 16,327 16,308 39,687 20,145 19,541 41,788 21,046 20,742 51,834 25,965 25,869 30-34 23,317 10,333 12,984 24,122 10,777 13,344 31,095 15,046 16,049 38,011 18,686 19,326 40,184 19,584 20,601 35-39 20,991 9,388 11,602 21,747 9,597 12,150 24,633 10,770 13,863 31,988 15,200 16,789 39,355 19,003 20,352 40-44 16,949 8,290 8,659 17,439 8,434 9,004 21,652 9,649 12,004 24,656 10,890 13,767 32,265 15,490 16,774 45-49 14,109 7,061 7,047 14,810 7,391 7,419 16,793 8,178 8,616 20,960 9,410 11,549 23,999 10,680 13,319 50-54 9,937 4,904 5,033 10,402 5,146 5,255 14,361 7,033 7,328 16,363 7,823 8,540 20,537 9,045 11,492 55-59 8,411 4,030 4,381 8,711 4,201 4,510 10,038 4,969 5,069 13,910 6,820 7,090 15,910 7,614 8,296 60-64 5,763 2,643 3,120 6,138 2,808 3,330 7,829 3,689 4,140 9,046 4,385 4,661 12,580 6,042 6,538 65-69 4,082 1,901 2,181 4,137 1,956 2,181 5,567 2,569 2,999 7,106 3,376 3,730 8,225 4,020 4,206 70-74 3,585 1,451 2,134 3,639 1,481 2,158 3,473 1,587 1,886 4,687 2,089 2,597 5,971 2,748 3,223 75-79 2,077 888 1,189 2,129 904 1,225 2,547 1,052 1,495 2,426 1,124 1,302 3,268 1,476 1,792 80+ 3,156 1,419 1,737 3,261 1,443 1,818 3,689 1,532 2,157 4,171 1,645 2,526 4,281 1,711 2,569

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 77

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MAMBWE DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mambwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 71,070 35,426 35,644 73,892 36,856 37,036 76,800 38,332 38,468 79,795 39,854 39,941 82,877 41,425 41,452 86,059 43,047 43,012 89,361 44,731 44,630 92,781 46,475 46,306 0-4 12,946 6,516 6,430 13,503 6,799 6,703 14,009 7,058 6,951 14,472 7,294 7,177 14,895 7,515 7,380 15,313 7,732 7,581 15,759 7,963 7,797 16,228 8,203 8,025 5-9 10,527 5,248 5,279 10,981 5,474 5,507 11,525 5,748 5,776 12,127 6,056 6,072 12,757 6,376 6,381 13,378 6,695 6,684 13,962 6,995 6,967 14,498 7,271 7,227

10-14 10,017 5,057 4,960 10,128 5,110 5,018 10,224 5,154 5,070 10,369 5,220 5,149 10,620 5,340 5,280 10,993 5,523 5,470 11,474 5,765 5,710 12,053 6,059 5,994 15-19 8,376 4,334 4,041 8,810 4,580 4,229 9,228 4,809 4,418 9,588 5,004 4,584 9,868 5,154 4,713 10,051 5,252 4,799 10,167 5,311 4,856 10,267 5,359 4,908 20-24 6,086 2,890 3,196 6,424 3,102 3,322 6,804 3,343 3,461 7,205 3,594 3,611 7,607 3,840 3,768 8,021 4,081 3,940 8,452 4,321 4,131 8,866 4,543 4,323 25-29 4,955 2,318 2,638 5,070 2,356 2,714 5,183 2,403 2,780 5,332 2,479 2,854 5,544 2,598 2,946 5,824 2,767 3,057 6,160 2,978 3,183 6,538 3,218 3,321 30-34 4,381 2,168 2,213 4,601 2,239 2,362 4,843 2,316 2,527 5,077 2,391 2,686 5,282 2,458 2,824 5,447 2,512 2,935 5,581 2,558 3,023 5,714 2,613 3,101 35-39 3,624 1,928 1,696 3,719 1,976 1,744 3,800 2,014 1,787 3,895 2,052 1,843 4,024 2,099 1,925 4,201 2,161 2,039 4,418 2,237 2,182 4,658 2,319 2,338 40-44 2,671 1,390 1,281 2,882 1,497 1,386 3,112 1,612 1,501 3,330 1,720 1,610 3,512 1,810 1,702 3,650 1,879 1,772 3,754 1,930 1,824 3,842 1,970 1,872 45-49 1,919 979 940 1,965 1,009 956 2,013 1,039 974 2,085 1,081 1,004 2,194 1,141 1,053 2,348 1,222 1,127 2,539 1,319 1,220 2,747 1,424 1,324 50-54 1,545 785 760 1,642 839 804 1,737 893 844 1,824 944 880 1,900 990 910 1,962 1,028 934 2,011 1,061 950 2,063 1,095 969 55-59 954 468 486 1,016 496 520 1,092 528 564 1,175 564 611 1,258 603 655 1,342 645 697 1,428 690 737 1,511 736 775 60-64 950 405 544 937 410 527 920 415 505 916 424 492 933 439 494 976 461 515 1,040 489 552 1,120 522 599 65-69 698 291 407 736 303 433 775 316 459 805 328 478 823 337 486 824 343 481 813 347 466 798 352 447 70-74 588 260 328 594 260 334 600 261 339 612 265 347 631 272 359 660 282 378 697 294 402 734 307 427 75-79 400 181 218 420 184 236 441 186 255 460 188 272 473 188 285 481 188 293 487 188 299 492 189 303 80+ 434 207 227 464 223 241 493 237 256 523 251 272 554 263 291 586 275 311 619 287 332 651 297 354

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mambwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 96,322 48,280 48,042 99,981 50,145 49,836 120,141 60,415 59,726 143,914 72,512 71,402 171,951 86,750 85,201 0-4 16,716 8,452 8,265 17,217 8,707 8,510 19,751 9,992 9,759 22,690 11,477 11,213 26,136 13,221 12,915 5-9 14,994 7,526 7,468 15,459 7,767 7,692 18,020 9,058 8,962 20,883 10,489 10,393 24,213 12,156 12,057

10-14 12,696 6,389 6,307 13,368 6,732 6,636 16,243 8,207 8,036 19,003 9,596 9,407 22,104 11,150 10,954 15-19 10,418 5,431 4,988 10,676 5,557 5,119 13,504 7,021 6,483 16,499 8,593 7,906 19,377 10,079 9,298 20-24 9,224 4,732 4,492 9,498 4,876 4,622 10,279 5,248 5,030 13,084 6,659 6,425 16,064 8,182 7,882 25-29 6,936 3,467 3,469 7,334 3,710 3,623 9,190 4,726 4,464 9,977 5,099 4,878 12,770 6,506 6,265 30-34 5,887 2,699 3,187 6,129 2,835 3,294 8,159 4,085 4,074 10,290 5,240 5,050 11,223 5,680 5,543 35-39 4,889 2,399 2,490 5,091 2,469 2,622 5,936 2,860 3,076 8,004 4,168 3,835 10,178 5,390 4,788 40-44 3,944 2,011 1,933 4,082 2,060 2,022 5,203 2,432 2,771 6,107 2,835 3,272 8,276 4,171 4,106 45-49 2,944 1,522 1,422 3,110 1,604 1,506 3,630 1,832 1,798 4,658 2,177 2,481 5,501 2,555 2,947 50-54 2,141 1,141 1,000 2,255 1,206 1,050 3,206 1,701 1,505 3,759 1,954 1,806 4,838 2,336 2,502 55-59 1,587 779 808 1,654 817 837 1,965 998 967 2,808 1,415 1,393 3,312 1,634 1,678 60-64 1,207 558 649 1,293 596 697 1,699 809 890 2,025 993 1,032 2,906 1,415 1,491 65-69 795 359 435 810 372 438 1,123 505 619 1,477 685 792 1,763 843 920 70-74 763 319 444 779 327 452 768 362 406 1,068 492 576 1,405 670 735 75-79 501 192 310 517 196 321 639 236 403 621 260 361 865 353 512 80+ 682 306 376 709 313 395 826 343 482 962 381 582 1,019 409 609

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78 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, NYIMBA DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Nyimba District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 86,530 42,878 43,652 88,305 43,808 44,497 90,085 44,744 45,341 91,872 45,689 46,183 93,659 46,637 47,022 95,464 47,597 47,867 97,296 48,571 48,725 99,159 49,561 49,598 0-4 16,515 8,382 8,134 16,907 8,589 8,319 17,218 8,755 8,463 17,460 8,887 8,573 17,639 8,992 8,647 17,801 9,087 8,714 17,981 9,189 8,792 18,175 9,297 8,878 5-9 12,803 6,459 6,344 13,107 6,615 6,493 13,502 6,822 6,681 13,948 7,058 6,889 14,402 7,299 7,103 14,826 7,527 7,299 15,187 7,723 7,464 15,479 7,884 7,595

10-14 11,751 6,073 5,678 11,662 6,027 5,634 11,554 5,969 5,586 11,503 5,938 5,565 11,564 5,965 5,598 11,750 6,060 5,690 12,038 6,211 5,826 12,412 6,412 6,000 15-19 10,165 5,301 4,863 10,494 5,501 4,993 10,789 5,673 5,117 11,006 5,797 5,209 11,118 5,864 5,254 11,117 5,869 5,248 11,037 5,828 5,209 10,941 5,775 5,165 20-24 7,156 3,378 3,778 7,412 3,560 3,853 7,706 3,768 3,938 8,009 3,979 4,030 8,300 4,174 4,126 8,591 4,358 4,233 8,884 4,530 4,353 9,148 4,679 4,469 25-29 6,029 2,766 3,262 6,054 2,762 3,292 6,075 2,766 3,309 6,134 2,802 3,332 6,260 2,885 3,375 6,453 3,017 3,436 6,697 3,189 3,509 6,975 3,384 3,591 30-34 4,763 2,289 2,474 4,912 2,321 2,591 5,077 2,358 2,719 5,226 2,391 2,835 5,338 2,414 2,925 5,405 2,423 2,982 5,436 2,423 3,013 5,463 2,430 3,032 35-39 4,128 2,081 2,047 4,159 2,095 2,064 4,172 2,096 2,075 4,198 2,098 2,100 4,260 2,108 2,152 4,368 2,132 2,236 4,514 2,167 2,347 4,674 2,206 2,468 40-44 2,987 1,550 1,437 3,164 1,639 1,524 3,353 1,733 1,620 3,521 1,816 1,705 3,646 1,878 1,768 3,720 1,914 1,806 3,754 1,931 1,823 3,771 1,936 1,836 45-49 2,507 1,210 1,297 2,518 1,223 1,295 2,531 1,238 1,294 2,573 1,265 1,308 2,658 1,311 1,347 2,791 1,378 1,413 2,963 1,462 1,501 3,147 1,549 1,598 50-54 1,991 954 1,036 2,076 1,001 1,075 2,155 1,047 1,108 2,220 1,087 1,133 2,269 1,119 1,150 2,299 1,142 1,157 2,312 1,157 1,155 2,328 1,173 1,155 55-59 1,233 571 662 1,288 594 694 1,361 621 739 1,437 652 785 1,511 684 827 1,582 719 863 1,651 755 895 1,714 791 923 60-64 1,243 520 724 1,203 516 687 1,159 513 646 1,132 515 617 1,132 524 608 1,162 540 622 1,216 562 654 1,285 589 696 65-69 1,014 384 630 1,050 393 657 1,085 402 683 1,107 409 698 1,110 413 697 1,089 413 676 1,053 411 642 1,013 409 604 70-74 869 352 517 862 346 517 856 341 515 856 340 516 867 342 525 891 349 542 923 357 565 955 366 588 75-79 602 257 346 623 255 367 643 254 389 658 252 407 666 248 418 665 243 422 660 239 422 655 235 420 80+ 775 351 424 813 371 442 848 388 460 883 402 481 919 415 503 955 427 528 990 436 554 1,023 444 580

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Nyimba District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 101,046 50,564 50,482 102,951 51,577 51,374 112,738 56,781 55,957 123,086 62,280 60,806 357,357 68,101 289,256 0-4 18,378 9,409 8,969 18,581 9,520 9,061 19,445 9,999 9,446 20,378 10,518 9,859 57,244 11,083 46,161 5-9 15,715 8,015 7,700 15,905 8,125 7,780 16,912 8,671 8,241 17,879 9,197 8,682 49,476 9,749 39,727

10-14 12,834 6,640 6,193 13,266 6,873 6,393 14,706 7,668 7,038 15,696 8,211 7,485 43,559 8,727 34,832 15-19 10,897 5,748 5,149 10,963 5,778 5,185 12,650 6,680 5,970 14,101 7,487 6,614 38,564 8,034 30,531 20-24 9,342 4,786 4,555 9,443 4,844 4,599 9,322 4,772 4,550 10,824 5,545 5,279 32,934 6,232 26,702 25-29 7,262 3,582 3,680 7,536 3,765 3,771 8,612 4,388 4,224 8,529 4,336 4,193 27,884 5,061 22,823 30-34 5,524 2,466 3,057 5,644 2,544 3,100 6,840 3,355 3,485 7,866 3,941 3,925 21,090 3,908 17,182 35-39 4,819 2,241 2,578 4,929 2,266 2,663 5,243 2,402 2,841 6,424 3,206 3,217 19,376 3,793 15,584 40-44 3,801 1,941 1,860 3,861 1,953 1,909 4,488 2,110 2,378 4,803 2,252 2,551 15,845 3,031 12,814 45-49 3,311 1,627 1,684 3,433 1,684 1,749 3,659 1,760 1,899 4,296 1,915 2,380 12,093 2,057 10,037 50-54 2,370 1,201 1,169 2,451 1,246 1,205 3,179 1,609 1,570 3,404 1,692 1,711 11,187 1,851 9,336 55-59 1,767 822 945 1,807 848 959 1,955 947 1,008 2,548 1,230 1,319 7,871 1,299 6,572 60-64 1,359 619 740 1,430 650 779 1,713 807 906 1,861 907 954 6,354 1,183 5,172 65-69 988 410 578 988 418 570 1,251 518 732 1,496 644 852 4,309 726 3,584 70-74 974 373 601 977 377 600 871 381 490 1,106 475 631 3,510 591 2,919 75-79 656 234 421 664 236 428 748 260 488 660 262 398 2,369 326 2,044 80+ 1,052 449 603 1,074 451 623 1,143 453 691 1,216 460 756 3,692 452 3,239

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 79

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, PETAUKE DISTRICT, Eastern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Petauke District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 315,073 155,804 159,269 324,060 160,464 163,596 333,193 165,216 167,977 342,466 170,058 172,408 351,876 174,988 176,888 361,467 180,023 181,444 371,311 185,192 186,119 381,395 190,489 190,906 0-4 61,057 30,814 30,243 63,000 31,835 31,166 64,663 32,715 31,948 66,084 33,475 32,609 67,284 34,139 33,146 68,424 34,764 33,659 69,649 35,426 34,223 70,941 36,117 34,824 5-9 46,191 23,301 22,890 47,664 24,060 23,605 49,489 25,014 24,474 51,520 26,089 25,431 53,614 27,192 26,422 55,616 28,257 27,359 57,411 29,219 28,193 58,966 30,055 28,911

10-14 42,492 21,735 20,757 42,502 21,748 20,755 42,444 21,713 20,731 42,586 21,774 20,812 43,145 22,047 21,098 44,177 22,569 21,608 45,608 23,311 22,297 47,387 24,247 23,140 15-19 35,291 17,828 17,463 36,718 18,653 18,064 38,045 19,391 18,654 39,108 19,974 19,134 39,813 20,365 19,448 40,115 20,540 19,575 40,136 20,554 19,582 40,090 20,522 19,567 20-24 27,086 12,840 14,247 28,281 13,642 14,639 29,634 14,557 15,078 31,043 15,494 15,549 32,425 16,385 16,040 33,820 17,237 16,583 35,245 18,058 17,187 36,570 18,791 17,779 25-29 23,579 10,932 12,647 23,866 11,005 12,861 24,136 11,111 13,025 24,562 11,346 13,215 25,260 11,773 13,487 26,246 12,408 13,838 27,454 13,214 14,240 28,819 14,131 14,688 30-34 18,049 9,022 9,027 18,749 9,224 9,526 19,520 9,448 10,072 20,238 9,656 10,582 20,826 9,826 10,999 21,240 9,939 11,301 21,524 10,015 11,509 21,794 10,123 11,671 35-39 15,013 7,748 7,265 15,245 7,863 7,382 15,412 7,933 7,478 15,629 8,003 7,626 15,979 8,105 7,874 16,505 8,260 8,246 17,180 8,459 8,721 17,920 8,679 9,241 40-44 10,739 5,476 5,263 11,465 5,840 5,625 12,248 6,225 6,023 12,963 6,576 6,387 13,527 6,851 6,676 13,908 7,039 6,869 14,145 7,154 6,991 14,319 7,228 7,092 45-49 8,507 4,294 4,213 8,615 4,378 4,237 8,732 4,466 4,266 8,947 4,600 4,347 9,315 4,805 4,509 9,859 5,092 4,767 10,545 5,441 5,104 11,286 5,811 5,474 50-54 6,896 3,165 3,731 7,247 3,347 3,900 7,578 3,529 4,050 7,865 3,692 4,173 8,102 3,833 4,269 8,268 3,940 4,328 8,378 4,023 4,355 8,497 4,109 4,389 55-59 4,701 2,197 2,504 4,951 2,303 2,648 5,269 2,430 2,839 5,611 2,570 3,040 5,943 2,719 3,225 6,269 2,878 3,392 6,594 3,047 3,547 6,900 3,215 3,685 60-64 4,266 1,780 2,486 4,160 1,783 2,376 4,040 1,787 2,253 3,976 1,808 2,168 4,007 1,853 2,154 4,145 1,926 2,219 4,370 2,020 2,350 4,655 2,134 2,522 65-69 3,569 1,480 2,089 3,722 1,528 2,194 3,876 1,577 2,298 3,985 1,619 2,366 4,027 1,647 2,380 3,988 1,660 2,328 3,890 1,663 2,227 3,780 1,667 2,113 70-74 2,844 1,131 1,713 2,845 1,121 1,724 2,845 1,115 1,730 2,868 1,120 1,749 2,928 1,137 1,791 3,031 1,167 1,864 3,166 1,205 1,961 3,300 1,245 2,055 75-79 2,056 910 1,146 2,140 913 1,228 2,225 915 1,310 2,293 914 1,379 2,335 907 1,428 2,351 897 1,454 2,351 887 1,464 2,350 882 1,468 80+ 2,734 1,149 1,586 2,889 1,223 1,666 3,037 1,289 1,748 3,188 1,348 1,840 3,344 1,403 1,941 3,504 1,452 2,052 3,666 1,496 2,170 3,820 1,533 2,287

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Petauke District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 391,708 195,908 195,800 402,238 201,444 200,794 458,101 230,851 227,250 520,189 263,586 256,603 397,374 300,046 97,328 0-4 72,284 36,830 35,454 73,652 37,557 36,095 80,174 41,060 39,114 87,409 44,951 42,458 65,355 49,316 16,040 5-9 60,324 30,789 29,535 61,529 31,453 30,076 68,057 34,943 33,114 74,850 38,568 36,281 56,571 42,568 14,002

10-14 49,374 25,304 24,070 51,433 26,394 25,039 59,308 30,654 28,653 65,850 34,161 31,689 49,977 37,802 12,175 15-19 40,240 20,584 19,656 40,797 20,851 19,946 48,966 25,095 23,871 56,775 29,271 27,504 43,051 32,699 10,351 20-24 37,634 19,370 18,263 38,341 19,759 18,582 39,369 20,260 19,109 47,558 24,500 23,058 37,227 28,669 8,558 25-29 30,238 15,071 15,167 31,629 15,965 15,664 37,607 19,370 18,236 38,745 19,918 18,827 31,201 24,206 6,996 30-34 22,209 10,352 11,858 22,879 10,762 12,117 28,933 14,774 14,159 34,642 18,059 16,583 24,572 18,644 5,929 35-39 18,612 8,885 9,727 19,180 9,052 10,128 21,217 9,989 11,228 27,102 13,876 13,226 22,519 17,089 5,430 40-44 14,543 7,300 7,242 14,892 7,403 7,488 18,027 8,328 9,699 20,071 9,251 10,819 17,395 12,962 4,432 45-49 11,963 6,148 5,815 12,501 6,414 6,086 13,846 6,979 6,867 16,858 7,904 8,954 12,463 8,836 3,627 50-54 8,715 4,238 4,477 9,081 4,433 4,648 12,255 5,957 6,297 13,660 6,522 7,138 10,269 7,428 2,840 55-59 7,168 3,368 3,800 7,389 3,499 3,890 8,318 4,070 4,248 11,277 5,498 5,779 8,198 6,046 2,152 60-64 4,960 2,258 2,702 5,258 2,391 2,867 6,553 3,089 3,464 7,406 3,614 3,793 6,518 4,904 1,614 65-69 3,721 1,686 2,035 3,753 1,729 2,024 4,936 2,233 2,703 6,159 2,889 3,270 4,448 3,388 1,060 70-74 3,394 1,278 2,116 3,428 1,300 2,128 3,176 1,369 1,807 4,195 1,775 2,420 3,228 2,299 929 75-79 2,369 885 1,484 2,418 898 1,520 2,831 1,028 1,803 2,608 1,081 1,527 1,983 1,398 585 80+ 3,960 1,563 2,397 4,079 1,584 2,495 4,529 1,653 2,876 5,024 1,748 3,277 2,398 1,791 607

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80 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

RegionProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 1,015,629 1,043,241 1,071,074 1,099,151 1,127,453 1,156,160 1,185,446 1,215,294 1,245,682 1,276,608 1,308,050 1,340,032 1,372,622 1,405,871 1,439,877 1,474,738 1,510,507 1,547,268 1,585,074 1,623,991 1,664,040 1,705,176 1,747,342 1,790,525 1,834,667 0-4 205,332 212,588 218,119 222,112 224,795 227,206 229,855 232,695 235,693 238,799 241,925 245,010 248,113 251,325 254,767 258,544 262,718 267,302 272,294 277,675 283,356 289,231 295,190 301,115 306,906 5-9 148,009 154,274 162,215 171,194 180,474 188,873 195,825 201,212 205,207 208,059 210,701 213,566 216,617 219,827 223,153 226,506 229,817 233,154 236,592 240,252 244,239 248,599 253,355 258,512 264,047

10-14 136,116 135,263 134,317 134,411 136,441 140,657 146,766 154,529 163,316 172,439 180,727 187,632 193,017 197,039 199,924 202,610 205,513 208,605 211,857 215,226 218,626 221,996 225,379 228,870 232,579 15-19 112,717 117,518 121,823 125,010 126,731 126,913 126,116 125,242 125,393 127,432 131,600 137,618 145,251 153,900 162,909 171,107 177,956 183,321 187,344 190,246 192,951 195,871 198,984 202,264 205,660 20-24 81,169 84,446 88,605 93,167 97,744 102,380 107,044 111,242 114,381 116,113 116,380 115,711 114,978 115,237 117,309 121,437 127,352 134,828 143,309 152,160 160,240 167,018 172,362 176,401 179,334 25-29 71,271 70,172 69,024 68,540 69,199 71,180 74,328 78,336 82,734 87,175 91,688 96,237 100,355 103,468 105,249 105,636 105,130 104,565 104,947 107,055 111,133 116,932 124,238 132,538 141,232 30-34 59,686 61,347 62,926 64,022 64,413 64,013 63,067 62,084 61,729 62,450 64,422 67,492 71,378 75,643 79,958 84,349 88,787 92,821 95,914 97,744 98,245 97,905 97,507 98,011 100,166 35-39 50,157 51,051 51,803 52,658 53,773 55,215 56,857 58,423 59,550 60,017 59,739 58,957 58,131 57,892 58,665 60,613 63,612 67,386 71,526 75,722 80,002 84,336 88,299 91,372 93,249 40-44 38,280 40,126 42,073 43,902 45,474 46,690 47,604 48,384 49,261 50,374 51,807 53,424 54,980 56,125 56,646 56,475 55,814 55,118 54,966 55,774 57,698 60,621 64,277 68,299 72,381 45-49 30,355 31,065 31,850 32,816 34,038 35,566 37,353 39,230 41,001 42,527 43,718 44,627 45,420 46,295 47,403 48,814 50,408 51,947 53,098 53,660 53,566 53,004 52,412 52,325 53,152 50-54 24,335 25,216 25,994 26,731 27,466 28,185 28,882 29,645 30,575 31,747 33,208 34,911 36,704 38,401 39,868 41,025 41,914 42,699 43,566 44,657 46,033 47,591 49,088 50,233 50,815 55-59 16,612 17,708 18,991 20,269 21,401 22,359 23,193 23,934 24,634 25,337 26,015 26,674 27,395 28,281 29,386 30,774 32,384 34,079 35,692 37,090 38,195 39,058 39,818 40,657 41,717 60-64 14,300 14,065 13,823 13,786 14,097 14,801 15,811 16,986 18,149 19,187 20,062 20,827 21,511 22,160 22,813 23,437 24,048 24,716 25,542 26,573 27,864 29,360 30,941 32,441 33,742 65-69 10,610 11,178 11,733 12,152 12,359 12,325 12,124 11,921 11,897 12,184 12,812 13,709 14,748 15,776 16,692 17,463 18,145 18,755 19,331 19,912 20,471 21,014 21,612 22,349 23,281 70-74 7,552 7,625 7,712 7,879 8,152 8,551 9,030 9,490 9,833 9,998 9,966 9,798 9,638 9,632 9,884 10,421 11,178 12,040 12,893 13,648 14,288 14,852 15,360 15,846 16,328 75-79 4,742 4,914 5,113 5,283 5,404 5,472 5,523 5,587 5,713 5,922 6,233 6,601 6,949 7,207 7,329 7,300 7,169 7,048 7,049 7,248 7,660 8,239 8,894 9,535 10,103 80+ 4,386 4,685 4,953 5,219 5,492 5,774 6,068 6,354 6,616 6,848 7,047 7,238 7,437 7,663 7,922 8,227 8,562 8,884 9,154 9,349 9,473 9,549 9,626 9,757 9,975

Total (Females) 515,923 530,120 544,403 558,788 573,263 587,935 602,910 618,172 633,719 649,540 665,633 682,011 698,694 715,723 733,138 750,987 769,310 788,138 807,498 827,435 847,945 869,012 890,601 912,718 935,318

0-4 102,719 106,312 109,058 111,039 112,332 113,503 114,805 116,212 117,707 119,255 120,810 122,346 123,890 125,488 127,199 129,077 131,151 133,436 135,924 138,606 141,438 144,367 147,337 150,291 153,176 5-9 74,763 77,977 81,948 86,383 90,976 95,115 98,543 101,206 103,181 104,565 105,865 107,289 108,816 110,428 112,102 113,783 115,445 117,117 118,836 120,666 122,658 124,839 127,220 129,805 132,576

10-14 67,505 67,253 67,042 67,374 68,643 70,927 74,065 77,951 82,302 86,826 90,922 94,337 97,005 98,998 100,400 101,724 103,170 104,719 106,355 108,055 109,764 111,457 113,156 114,905 116,763 15-19 56,626 58,587 60,413 61,794 62,539 62,652 62,419 62,238 62,589 63,859 66,120 69,216 73,043 77,333 81,814 85,872 89,267 91,930 93,926 95,340 96,677 98,135 99,698 101,355 103,072 20-24 44,426 45,482 46,845 48,402 50,052 51,843 53,756 55,546 56,917 57,680 57,843 57,676 57,561 57,964 59,249 61,494 64,546 68,311 72,536 76,955 80,970 84,344 87,006 89,020 90,461 25-29 39,606 39,467 39,153 38,991 39,209 39,865 40,888 42,219 43,740 45,367 47,136 49,023 50,800 52,179 52,978 53,208 53,122 53,087 53,549 54,852 57,079 60,088 63,789 67,943 72,300 30-34 30,514 32,023 33,564 34,830 35,637 35,926 35,837 35,587 35,490 35,751 36,435 37,462 38,785 40,290 41,903 43,649 45,514 47,273 48,660 49,496 49,789 49,780 49,820 50,333 51,657 35-39 24,645 25,162 25,622 26,227 27,101 28,311 29,763 31,249 32,487 33,297 33,619 33,592 33,411 33,372 33,673 34,374 35,406 36,723 38,213 39,808 41,534 43,377 45,122 46,516 47,384 40-44 18,198 19,267 20,430 21,537 22,484 23,197 23,717 24,184 24,785 25,639 26,816 28,219 29,663 30,874 31,678 32,028 32,040 31,910 31,910 32,237 32,947 33,977 35,275 36,748 38,321 45-49 14,824 15,041 15,301 15,693 16,284 17,116 18,150 19,271 20,342 21,260 21,956 22,472 22,939 23,530 24,364 25,505 26,867 28,266 29,446 30,241 30,604 30,640 30,545 30,573 30,916 50-54 12,163 12,594 12,972 13,308 13,613 13,871 14,093 14,349 14,729 15,300 16,101 17,092 18,165 19,193 20,078 20,755 21,260 21,720 22,300 23,116 24,217 25,536 26,884 28,032 28,810 55-59 8,518 9,045 9,668 10,291 10,838 11,305 11,715 12,077 12,400 12,695 12,941 13,156 13,403 13,772 14,317 15,082 16,022 17,045 18,028 18,875 19,527 20,017 20,467 21,029 21,815 60-64 7,665 7,500 7,319 7,246 7,366 7,697 8,195 8,776 9,355 9,865 10,298 10,679 11,018 11,322 11,601 11,831 12,037 12,271 12,621 13,137 13,858 14,740 15,703 16,624 17,420 65-69 5,638 5,975 6,303 6,546 6,657 6,619 6,474 6,321 6,262 6,380 6,685 7,136 7,659 8,179 8,637 9,023 9,369 9,675 9,948 10,201 10,414 10,600 10,814 11,133 11,606 70-74 3,889 3,959 4,028 4,137 4,304 4,543 4,829 5,104 5,305 5,395 5,360 5,241 5,119 5,081 5,190 5,456 5,843 6,285 6,724 7,107 7,433 7,726 7,985 8,220 8,431 75-79 2,165 2,304 2,459 2,594 2,700 2,768 2,818 2,870 2,953 3,082 3,270 3,491 3,699 3,852 3,918 3,892 3,800 3,711 3,687 3,779 3,989 4,289 4,630 4,963 5,256 80+ 2,059 2,172 2,278 2,396 2,528 2,677 2,843 3,012 3,175 3,324 3,456 3,584 3,718 3,868 4,037 4,234 4,451 4,659 4,835 4,964 5,047 5,100 5,150 5,228 5,354

Total (Males) 499,706 513,121 526,671 540,363 554,190 568,225 582,536 597,122 611,963 627,068 642,417 658,021 673,928 690,148 706,739 723,751 741,197 759,130 777,576 796,556 816,095 836,164 856,741 877,807 899,349

0-4 102,613 106,276 109,061 111,073 112,463 113,703 115,050 116,483 117,986 119,544 121,115 122,664 124,223 125,837 127,568 129,467 131,567 133,866 136,370 139,069 141,918 144,864 147,853 150,824 153,730 5-9 73,246 76,297 80,267 84,811 89,498 93,758 97,282 100,006 102,026 103,494 104,836 106,277 107,801 109,399 111,051 112,723 114,372 116,037 117,756 119,586 121,581 123,760 126,135 128,707 131,471

10-14 68,611 68,010 67,275 67,037 67,798 69,730 72,701 76,578 81,014 85,613 89,805 93,295 96,012 98,041 99,524 100,886 102,343 103,886 105,502 107,171 108,862 110,539 112,223 113,965 115,816 15-19 56,091 58,931 61,410 63,216 64,192 64,261 63,697 63,004 62,804 63,573 65,480 68,402 72,208 76,567 81,095 85,235 88,689 91,391 93,418 94,906 96,274 97,736 99,286 100,909 102,588 20-24 36,743 38,964 41,760 44,765 47,692 50,537 53,288 55,696 57,464 58,433 58,537 58,035 57,417 57,273 58,060 59,943 62,806 66,517 70,773 75,205 79,270 82,674 85,356 87,381 88,873 25-29 31,665 30,705 29,871 29,549 29,990 31,315 33,440 36,117 38,994 41,808 44,552 47,214 49,555 51,289 52,271 52,428 52,008 51,478 51,398 52,203 54,054 56,844 60,449 64,595 68,932 30-34 29,172 29,324 29,362 29,192 28,776 28,087 27,230 26,497 26,239 26,699 27,987 30,030 32,593 35,353 38,055 40,700 43,273 45,548 47,254 48,248 48,456 48,125 47,687 47,678 48,509 35-39 25,512 25,889 26,181 26,431 26,672 26,904 27,094 27,174 27,063 26,720 26,120 25,365 24,720 24,520 24,992 26,239 28,206 30,663 33,313 35,914 38,468 40,959 43,177 44,856 45,865 40-44 20,082 20,859 21,643 22,365 22,990 23,493 23,887 24,200 24,476 24,735 24,991 25,205 25,317 25,251 24,968 24,447 23,774 23,208 23,056 23,537 24,751 26,644 29,002 31,551 34,060 45-49 15,531 16,024 16,549 17,123 17,754 18,450 19,203 19,959 20,659 21,267 21,762 22,155 22,481 22,765 23,039 23,309 23,541 23,681 23,652 23,419 22,962 22,364 21,867 21,752 22,236 50-54 12,172 12,622 13,022 13,423 13,853 14,314 14,789 15,296 15,846 16,447 17,107 17,819 18,539 19,208 19,790 20,270 20,654 20,979 21,266 21,541 21,816 22,055 22,204 22,201 22,005 55-59 8,094 8,663 9,323 9,978 10,563 11,054 11,478 11,857 12,234 12,642 13,074 13,518 13,992 14,509 15,069 15,692 16,362 17,034 17,664 18,215 18,668 19,041 19,351 19,628 19,902 60-64 6,635 6,565 6,504 6,540 6,731 7,104 7,616 8,210 8,794 9,322 9,764 10,148 10,493 10,838 11,212 11,606 12,011 12,445 12,921 13,436 14,006 14,620 15,238 15,817 16,322 65-69 4,972 5,203 5,430 5,606 5,702 5,706 5,650 5,600 5,635 5,804 6,127 6,573 7,089 7,597 8,055 8,440 8,776 9,080 9,383 9,711 10,057 10,414 10,798 11,216 11,675 70-74 3,663 3,666 3,684 3,742 3,848 4,008 4,201 4,386 4,528 4,603 4,606 4,557 4,519 4,551 4,694 4,965 5,335 5,755 6,169 6,541 6,855 7,126 7,375 7,626 7,897 75-79 2,577 2,610 2,654 2,689 2,704 2,704 2,705 2,717 2,760 2,840 2,963 3,110 3,250 3,355 3,411 3,408 3,369 3,337 3,362 3,469 3,671 3,950 4,264 4,572 4,847 80+ 2,327 2,513 2,675 2,823 2,964 3,097 3,225 3,342 3,441 3,524 3,591 3,654 3,719 3,795 3,885 3,993 4,111 4,225 4,319 4,385 4,426 4,449 4,476 4,529 4,621

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 81

Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 51,237 51,766 52,284 52,775 53,218 53,821 54,435 55,035 55,609 56,146 56,675 57,244 57,887 58,626 59,477 60,410 61,423 62,522 63,696 64,936 66,125 67,275 68,382 69,458 70,492

Annual Number of Deaths 18,431 18,641 18,814 18,955 19,071 19,105 19,154 19,183 19,219 19,259 19,257 19,267 19,290 19,317 19,366 19,399 19,476 19,547 19,645 19,749 19,844 19,931 20,010 20,096 20,186

Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 50.5 49.6 48.8 48.0 47.2 46.6 45.9 45.3 44.6 44.0 43.3 42.7 42.2 41.7 41.3 41.0 40.7 40.4 40.2 40.0 39.7 39.5 39.1 38.8 38.4

Crude Death Rate (CDR) 18.2 17.9 17.6 17.3 16.9 16.5 16.2 15.8 15.4 15.1 14.7 14.4 14.1 13.7 13.5 13.2 12.9 12.6 12.4 12.2 11.9 11.7 11.5 11.2 11.0

Growth Rate(%) 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes) 47.6 48.0 48.3 48.6 48.9 49.4 49.8 50.2 50.7 51.1 51.5 52.0 52.4 52.9 53.3 53.8 54.2 54.6 55.1 55.5 56.0 56.4 56.9 57.3 57.7

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males) 44.8 45.2 45.6 45.9 46.3 46.7 47.1 47.5 48.0 48.3 48.8 49.2 49.6 50.0 50.4 50.9 51.3 51.7 52.1 52.6 53.0 53.4 53.8 54.3 54.7

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Fe-males) 50.5 50.8 51.0 51.3 51.6 52.1 52.5 53.0 53.5 53.9 54.4 54.8 55.3 55.8 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.6 58.1 58.5 59.0 59.5 59.9 60.4 60.8

Infant Mortal-ity Rate (Both Sexes) 99.0 98.2 97.3 96.5 95.6 94.3 93.1 91.8 90.5 89.3 88.0 86.7 85.5 84.2 83.0 81.6 80.4 79.1 77.8 76.6 75.3 74.0 72.8 71.5 70.3

Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 108.3 107.4 106.5 105.5 104.7 103.4 102.1 100.9 99.6 98.4 97.1 95.8 94.6 93.3 92.0 90.7 89.4 88.2 86.9 85.6 84.3 83.1 81.8 80.5 79.3

Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 89.3 88.6 87.9 87.2 86.4 85.1 83.8 82.5 81.2 80.0 78.7 77.4 76.1 74.9 73.7 72.3 71.0 69.8 68.5 67.3 66.0 64.7 63.5 62.3 61.1

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 1,015,629 1,043,241 1,071,074 1,099,151 1,127,453 1,156,160 1,185,446 1,215,294 1,245,682 1,276,608 1,308,050 1,340,032 1,372,622 1,405,871 1,439,877 1,474,738 1,510,507 1,547,268 1,585,074 1,623,991 1,664,040 1,705,176 1,747,342 1,790,525 1,834,667 0 47,575 48,054 48,554 49,038 49,484 50,000 50,607 51,212 51,799 52,354 52,893 53,449 54,063 54,752 55,538 56,418 57,373 58,407 59,524 60,713 61,909 63,060 64,172 65,251 66,296 1 44,119 44,988 45,456 45,946 46,422 46,893 47,443 48,079 48,715 49,334 49,923 50,497 51,085 51,734 52,460 53,280 54,193 55,180 56,241 57,384 58,600 59,824 61,007 62,151 63,263 2 40,811 42,594 43,443 43,905 44,385 44,868 45,364 45,942 46,601 47,261 47,903 48,519 49,120 49,734 50,409 51,157 51,999 52,934 53,938 55,017 56,176 57,411 58,652 59,853 61,016 3 37,832 39,828 41,578 42,414 42,868 43,351 43,852 44,364 44,955 45,627 46,300 46,959 47,589 48,208 48,834 49,525 50,288 51,142 52,090 53,103 54,192 55,362 56,606 57,858 59,069 4 34,995 37,124 39,088 40,809 41,636 42,094 42,589 43,098 43,623 44,223 44,906 45,586 46,256 46,897 47,526 48,164 48,865 49,639 50,501 51,458 52,479 53,574 54,753 56,002 57,262 5 32,651 34,584 36,688 38,632 40,336 41,159 41,622 42,125 42,639 43,170 43,776 44,462 45,150 45,823 46,473 47,106 47,750 48,457 49,237 50,104 51,063 52,091 53,189 54,371 55,623 6 30,718 32,419 34,340 36,431 38,362 40,061 40,882 41,348 41,854 42,372 42,905 43,512 44,203 44,892 45,567 46,218 46,855 47,503 48,211 48,995 49,865 50,825 51,853 52,954 54,138 7 29,127 30,498 32,189 34,098 36,178 38,098 39,791 40,615 41,084 41,591 42,110 42,647 43,256 43,949 44,641 45,319 45,973 46,613 47,264 47,973 48,760 49,631 50,594 51,625 52,727 8 28,052 28,920 30,283 31,963 33,860 35,929 37,842 39,530 40,354 40,826 41,335 41,856 42,397 43,010 43,703 44,398 45,078 45,735 46,377 47,031 47,743 48,532 49,408 50,373 51,403 9 27,461 27,853 28,715 30,070 31,738 33,626 35,688 37,594 39,276 40,100 40,575 41,089 41,611 42,153 42,769 43,465 44,161 44,846 45,503 46,149 46,808 47,520 48,311 49,189 50,156 10 27,207 27,176 27,566 28,424 29,772 31,434 33,311 35,367 37,268 38,949 39,772 40,249 40,764 41,288 41,831 42,450 43,148 43,846 44,531 45,191 45,838 46,500 47,216 48,008 48,887 11 27,376 26,834 26,804 27,192 28,048 29,390 31,046 32,916 34,967 36,865 38,544 39,367 39,846 40,362 40,887 41,429 42,050 42,748 43,448 44,135 44,796 45,445 46,108 46,826 47,619 12 27,598 27,004 26,464 26,434 26,821 27,675 29,012 30,664 32,527 34,571 36,467 38,148 38,970 39,449 39,964 40,491 41,033 41,654 42,355 43,056 43,744 44,407 45,056 45,722 46,440 13 27,401 27,222 26,632 26,097 26,067 26,454 27,306 28,639 30,284 32,143 34,181 36,072 37,755 38,575 39,057 39,571 40,099 40,644 41,265 41,965 42,669 43,359 44,022 44,673 45,339 14 26,534 27,027 26,851 26,264 25,733 25,704 26,091 26,943 28,270 29,911 31,763 33,796 35,682 37,365 38,185 38,669 39,183 39,713 40,258 40,879 41,579 42,285 42,977 43,641 44,294 15 25,179 26,163 26,653 26,479 25,898 25,370 25,345 25,733 26,582 27,904 29,538 31,385 33,411 35,294 36,976 37,797 38,281 38,795 39,325 39,873 40,495 41,195 41,901 42,595 43,261 16 23,781 24,816 25,795 26,284 26,110 25,537 25,014 24,991 25,380 26,226 27,543 29,171 31,010 33,029 34,909 36,588 37,408 37,892 38,408 38,939 39,487 40,109 40,810 41,519 42,214 17 22,544 23,426 24,453 25,429 25,916 25,746 25,178 24,662 24,642 25,031 25,876 27,185 28,809 30,641 32,651 34,527 36,204 37,026 37,510 38,026 38,558 39,107 39,730 40,432 41,141 18 21,260 22,194 23,073 24,095 25,065 25,552 25,386 24,824 24,316 24,297 24,687 25,530 26,833 28,451 30,276 32,279 34,151 35,825 36,648 37,133 37,651 38,182 38,732 39,356 40,059 19 19,953 20,919 21,849 22,723 23,742 24,708 25,193 25,032 24,473 23,974 23,956 24,347 25,188 26,485 28,097 29,916 31,912 33,783 35,453 36,275 36,760 37,278 37,811 38,362 38,985 20 18,596 19,549 20,509 21,431 22,299 23,312 24,276 24,761 24,607 24,055 23,564 23,550 23,941 24,782 26,074 27,677 29,488 31,475 33,341 35,009 35,835 36,321 36,840 37,375 37,927

Page 95: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

82 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203521 17,176 18,136 19,078 20,031 20,943 21,806 22,813 23,773 24,259 24,113 23,572 23,091 23,085 23,476 24,313 25,599 27,195 28,994 30,974 32,833 34,499 35,324 35,815 36,336 36,874 22 15,902 16,733 17,681 18,614 19,558 20,462 21,323 22,326 23,282 23,769 23,629 23,100 22,626 22,625 23,020 23,854 25,133 26,720 28,511 30,482 32,336 34,001 34,826 35,319 35,842 23 14,978 15,470 16,292 17,232 18,156 19,094 19,993 20,850 21,847 22,799 23,287 23,154 22,636 22,172 22,175 22,573 23,403 24,677 26,255 28,036 29,998 31,847 33,512 34,338 34,833 24 14,517 14,558 15,045 15,859 16,788 17,706 18,639 19,532 20,386 21,377 22,328 22,816 22,690 22,182 21,727 21,734 22,133 22,962 24,228 25,800 27,572 29,525 31,369 33,033 33,858 25 14,415 14,123 14,165 14,648 15,454 16,377 17,288 18,217 19,104 19,955 20,941 21,887 22,376 22,257 21,758 21,315 21,326 21,728 22,555 23,814 25,378 27,142 29,086 30,923 32,587 26 14,469 14,044 13,757 13,801 14,282 15,081 15,998 16,903 17,827 18,708 19,555 20,536 21,479 21,968 21,856 21,369 20,934 20,953 21,356 22,179 23,433 24,989 26,744 28,681 30,512 27 14,428 14,097 13,679 13,399 13,445 13,924 14,716 15,627 16,526 17,443 18,321 19,165 20,141 21,079 21,570 21,464 20,988 20,563 20,586 20,991 21,812 23,062 24,610 26,355 28,283 28 14,221 14,056 13,731 13,321 13,047 13,095 13,572 14,361 15,265 16,158 17,072 17,943 18,784 19,754 20,688 21,180 21,082 20,614 20,199 20,227 20,634 21,453 22,696 24,238 25,974 29 13,738 13,852 13,692 13,371 12,971 12,703 12,754 13,228 14,012 14,911 15,799 16,706 17,575 18,410 19,377 20,308 20,800 20,707 20,251 19,844 19,876 20,286 21,102 22,341 23,876 30 13,125 13,439 13,555 13,400 13,087 12,695 12,436 12,490 12,962 13,742 14,633 15,517 16,418 17,282 18,114 19,074 20,002 20,496 20,409 19,964 19,566 19,604 20,015 20,829 22,064 31 12,473 12,897 13,211 13,330 13,181 12,877 12,494 12,244 12,304 12,773 13,546 14,431 15,309 16,206 17,063 17,893 18,848 19,772 20,266 20,186 19,751 19,363 19,407 19,822 20,633 32 11,850 12,255 12,677 12,991 13,111 12,970 12,674 12,302 12,059 12,121 12,590 13,356 14,237 15,109 16,000 16,852 17,678 18,629 19,549 20,045 19,972 19,548 19,169 19,217 19,634 33 11,315 11,642 12,045 12,462 12,778 12,900 12,766 12,478 12,116 11,879 11,946 12,413 13,174 14,048 14,916 15,802 16,650 17,471 18,419 19,333 19,831 19,765 19,352 18,982 19,035 34 10,923 11,114 11,438 11,839 12,256 12,571 12,697 12,570 12,288 11,935 11,707 11,775 12,240 12,998 13,865 14,728 15,609 16,453 17,271 18,216 19,125 19,625 19,564 19,161 18,800 35 10,644 10,747 10,938 11,263 11,660 12,077 12,391 12,518 12,398 12,125 11,779 11,558 11,630 12,092 12,846 13,707 14,565 15,441 16,283 17,094 18,035 18,941 19,442 19,387 18,993 36 10,406 10,488 10,594 10,785 11,111 11,506 11,922 12,233 12,363 12,249 11,984 11,647 11,431 11,506 11,966 12,715 13,571 14,424 15,293 16,130 16,938 17,876 18,778 19,281 19,228 37 10,112 10,255 10,338 10,446 10,640 10,963 11,358 11,771 12,084 12,216 12,105 11,847 11,518 11,309 11,386 11,843 12,589 13,439 14,287 15,152 15,985 16,788 17,722 18,621 19,125 38 9,739 9,964 10,110 10,195 10,305 10,499 10,822 11,215 11,627 11,939 12,074 11,967 11,717 11,395 11,190 11,271 11,726 12,468 13,312 14,156 15,015 15,846 16,646 17,574 18,470 39 9,256 9,597 9,823 9,969 10,057 10,170 10,364 10,686 11,078 11,488 11,797 11,938 11,835 11,590 11,277 11,077 11,161 11,614 12,351 13,190 14,029 14,885 15,711 16,509 17,433 40 8,694 9,117 9,457 9,683 9,831 9,920 10,035 10,231 10,550 10,940 11,350 11,658 11,801 11,702 11,463 11,159 10,963 11,048 11,500 12,233 13,066 13,900 14,751 15,571 16,366 41 8,107 8,560 8,982 9,318 9,546 9,697 9,786 9,900 10,099 10,415 10,805 11,211 11,521 11,665 11,569 11,336 11,040 10,849 10,935 11,383 12,113 12,940 13,767 14,616 15,430 42 7,572 7,983 8,430 8,850 9,186 9,412 9,566 9,655 9,770 9,968 10,285 10,674 11,077 11,388 11,533 11,443 11,213 10,925 10,737 10,827 11,271 11,996 12,818 13,641 14,482 43 7,122 7,455 7,862 8,306 8,724 9,058 9,284 9,437 9,529 9,645 9,843 10,158 10,545 10,947 11,258 11,404 11,320 11,095 10,811 10,629 10,723 11,163 11,882 12,699 13,518 44 6,785 7,011 7,342 7,745 8,187 8,603 8,933 9,161 9,313 9,406 9,524 9,723 10,036 10,423 10,823 11,133 11,278 11,201 10,983 10,702 10,525 10,622 11,059 11,772 12,585 45 6,534 6,679 6,906 7,234 7,636 8,073 8,486 8,814 9,042 9,195 9,288 9,406 9,607 9,915 10,301 10,700 11,011 11,157 11,083 10,870 10,596 10,423 10,519 10,956 11,664 46 6,310 6,437 6,581 6,808 7,133 7,532 7,965 8,374 8,699 8,925 9,080 9,173 9,292 9,492 9,801 10,185 10,581 10,891 11,036 10,966 10,757 10,489 10,320 10,418 10,852 47 6,074 6,215 6,342 6,487 6,712 7,036 7,432 7,860 8,265 8,588 8,813 8,968 9,062 9,181 9,380 9,688 10,071 10,465 10,774 10,920 10,856 10,648 10,386 10,220 10,320 48 5,839 5,984 6,125 6,250 6,395 6,619 6,941 7,334 7,757 8,161 8,480 8,705 8,859 8,954 9,074 9,272 9,579 9,962 10,353 10,661 10,807 10,748 10,546 10,287 10,127 49 5,598 5,750 5,896 6,037 6,162 6,306 6,529 6,848 7,238 7,658 8,057 8,375 8,600 8,753 8,847 8,969 9,166 9,472 9,852 10,243 10,550 10,696 10,641 10,444 10,189 50 5,344 5,512 5,664 5,810 5,951 6,074 6,217 6,438 6,754 7,139 7,556 7,951 8,266 8,493 8,644 8,739 8,860 9,056 9,362 9,740 10,127 10,434 10,581 10,527 10,334 51 5,121 5,262 5,428 5,577 5,723 5,865 5,985 6,128 6,347 6,661 7,041 7,453 7,845 8,156 8,380 8,533 8,625 8,749 8,943 9,246 9,622 10,006 10,310 10,457 10,406 52 4,905 5,042 5,183 5,347 5,495 5,641 5,782 5,900 6,040 6,258 6,568 6,944 7,352 7,741 8,048 8,271 8,423 8,517 8,639 8,833 9,133 9,508 9,888 10,191 10,340 53 4,644 4,828 4,965 5,106 5,267 5,415 5,560 5,698 5,816 5,956 6,169 6,480 6,850 7,253 7,639 7,943 8,166 8,315 8,411 8,532 8,724 9,023 9,395 9,774 10,074 54 4,321 4,572 4,754 4,891 5,030 5,190 5,338 5,481 5,618 5,733 5,874 6,083 6,391 6,758 7,157 7,539 7,840 8,062 8,211 8,306 8,427 8,620 8,914 9,284 9,661 55 3,956 4,245 4,493 4,674 4,810 4,947 5,106 5,253 5,393 5,529 5,643 5,783 5,990 6,293 6,657 7,052 7,429 7,726 7,948 8,094 8,191 8,310 8,502 8,795 9,161 56 3,566 3,880 4,164 4,409 4,587 4,721 4,858 5,015 5,159 5,299 5,432 5,544 5,684 5,889 6,187 6,545 6,938 7,309 7,604 7,824 7,969 8,065 8,183 8,373 8,664 57 3,224 3,497 3,807 4,088 4,328 4,504 4,636 4,772 4,926 5,068 5,207 5,339 5,448 5,588 5,789 6,085 6,438 6,826 7,192 7,486 7,701 7,846 7,942 8,060 8,249 58 2,984 3,161 3,429 3,734 4,013 4,249 4,421 4,552 4,685 4,839 4,979 5,115 5,247 5,353 5,492 5,692 5,983 6,333 6,717 7,078 7,369 7,583 7,724 7,822 7,939 59 2,882 2,925 3,098 3,364 3,663 3,938 4,172 4,342 4,471 4,602 4,754 4,893 5,026 5,158 5,261 5,400 5,596 5,885 6,231 6,608 6,965 7,254 7,467 7,607 7,704 60 2,871 2,813 2,856 3,026 3,286 3,583 3,851 4,081 4,248 4,375 4,504 4,654 4,791 4,920 5,052 5,154 5,290 5,483 5,768 6,109 6,481 6,833 7,117 7,328 7,467 61 2,905 2,793 2,737 2,780 2,945 3,200 3,491 3,753 3,977 4,142 4,265 4,393 4,540 4,675 4,801 4,930 5,031 5,164 5,353 5,634 5,970 6,334 6,681 6,959 7,168 62 2,921 2,825 2,717 2,662 2,706 2,867 3,117 3,401 3,657 3,877 4,038 4,159 4,285 4,429 4,562 4,686 4,812 4,911 5,041 5,228 5,501 5,834 6,192 6,530 6,806 63 2,871 2,841 2,749 2,643 2,589 2,632 2,790 3,034 3,312 3,566 3,779 3,937 4,056 4,180 4,322 4,450 4,573 4,696 4,795 4,922 5,105 5,374 5,700 6,053 6,386 64 2,732 2,793 2,764 2,675 2,571 2,519 2,562 2,717 2,955 3,227 3,476 3,684 3,839 3,956 4,076 4,217 4,342 4,462 4,585 4,680 4,807 4,985 5,251 5,571 5,915 65 2,515 2,652 2,710 2,684 2,597 2,497 2,446 2,487 2,638 2,872 3,136 3,379 3,582 3,733 3,848 3,964 4,105 4,226 4,343 4,462 4,557 4,680 4,854 5,114 5,427 66 2,285 2,435 2,570 2,625 2,599 2,516 2,418 2,370 2,409 2,557 2,784 3,042 3,277 3,474 3,622 3,733 3,846 3,982 4,100 4,215 4,329 4,421 4,542 4,711 4,965 67 2,088 2,212 2,358 2,490 2,542 2,517 2,437 2,343 2,297 2,334 2,478 2,698 2,949 3,177 3,368 3,513 3,620 3,732 3,863 3,976 4,091 4,200 4,290 4,408 4,573 68 1,922 2,020 2,141 2,283 2,411 2,462 2,439 2,360 2,268 2,224 2,260 2,400 2,614 2,860 3,082 3,266 3,406 3,512 3,619 3,749 3,859 3,969 4,075 4,163 4,278 69 1,800 1,859 1,954 2,070 2,210 2,333 2,384 2,361 2,285 2,197 2,154 2,190 2,326 2,532 2,772 2,987 3,168 3,303 3,406 3,510 3,635 3,744 3,851 3,953 4,038 70 1,694 1,722 1,778 1,871 1,982 2,117 2,237 2,285 2,262 2,189 2,104 2,062 2,097 2,228 2,428 2,658 2,867 3,040 3,171 3,271 3,370 3,492 3,596 3,700 3,799 71 1,603 1,602 1,630 1,683 1,772 1,877 2,007 2,122 2,167 2,145 2,077 1,996 1,956 1,990 2,115 2,306 2,525 2,724 2,889 3,013 3,111 3,205 3,321 3,421 3,520 72 1,521 1,517 1,514 1,541 1,592 1,677 1,778 1,901 2,011 2,055 2,035 1,969 1,892 1,854 1,886 2,007 2,188 2,398 2,590 2,746 2,865 2,957 3,047 3,158 3,255 73 1,425 1,438 1,433 1,430 1,457 1,505 1,587 1,683 1,800 1,905 1,946 1,928 1,866 1,793 1,756 1,789 1,902 2,077 2,275 2,460 2,607 2,722 2,811 2,897 3,002 74 1,309 1,346 1,357 1,354 1,349 1,375 1,421 1,499 1,593 1,704 1,804 1,843 1,827 1,767 1,699 1,661 1,696 1,801 1,968 2,158 2,335 2,476 2,585 2,670 2,752 75 1,174 1,227 1,262 1,272 1,270 1,263 1,290 1,333 1,406 1,494 1,601 1,696 1,732 1,716 1,661 1,596 1,560 1,593 1,693 1,850 2,031 2,198 2,331 2,434 2,513 76 1,042 1,092 1,144 1,176 1,185 1,181 1,174 1,200 1,239 1,308 1,392 1,493 1,580 1,616 1,598 1,546 1,487 1,451 1,483 1,577 1,724 1,893 2,048 2,174 2,270 77 927 969 1,015 1,062 1,091 1,101 1,098 1,090 1,114 1,152 1,215 1,293 1,389 1,470 1,504 1,489 1,439 1,384 1,348 1,377 1,466 1,603 1,762 1,907 2,025 78 830 858 898 941 987 1,014 1,022 1,018 1,010 1,033 1,070 1,128 1,201 1,291 1,368 1,399 1,383 1,335 1,285 1,252 1,278 1,362 1,490 1,637 1,774 79 769 768 794 832 871 913 939 946 944 935 955 991 1,047 1,114 1,198 1,270 1,300 1,285 1,240 1,192 1,161 1,183 1,263 1,383 1,521

80+ 4,386 4,685 4,953 5,219 5,492 5,774 6,068 6,354 6,616 6,848 7,047 7,238 7,437 7,663 7,922 8,227 8,562 8,884 9,154 9,349 9,473 9,549 9,626 9,757 9,975

Page 96: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 83

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total

(Males) 499,706 513,121 526,671 540,363 554,190 568,225 582,536 597,122 611,963 627,068 642,417 658,021 673,928 690,148 706,739 723,751 741,197 759,130 777,576 796,556 816,095 836,164 856,741 877,807 899,349 0 23,954 24,194 24,445 24,689 24,913 25,175 25,484 25,793 26,092 26,375 26,650 26,934 27,248 27,596 27,991 28,434 28,914 29,434 29,996 30,594 31,195 31,773 32,333 32,875 33,400 1 22,072 22,521 22,762 23,013 23,258 23,494 23,768 24,087 24,406 24,717 25,012 25,300 25,595 25,924 26,290 26,702 27,161 27,656 28,189 28,763 29,374 29,989 30,582 31,157 31,717 2 20,378 21,246 21,688 21,929 22,178 22,428 22,676 22,964 23,294 23,626 23,947 24,255 24,556 24,865 25,207 25,583 26,006 26,475 26,978 27,519 28,100 28,721 29,343 29,944 30,529 3 18,839 19,852 20,705 21,142 21,380 21,632 21,890 22,146 22,439 22,775 23,113 23,442 23,756 24,066 24,379 24,729 25,112 25,539 26,015 26,521 27,067 27,652 28,277 28,904 29,509 4 17,370 18,463 19,461 20,300 20,734 20,974 21,232 21,493 21,755 22,051 22,393 22,733 23,068 23,386 23,701 24,019 24,374 24,762 25,192 25,672 26,182 26,729 27,318 27,944 28,575 5 16,162 17,151 18,231 19,219 20,050 20,482 20,724 20,985 21,248 21,513 21,812 22,155 22,499 22,835 23,156 23,474 23,794 24,151 24,543 24,974 25,455 25,968 26,516 27,107 27,733 6 15,180 16,036 17,018 18,091 19,071 19,900 20,330 20,574 20,836 21,101 21,367 21,666 22,011 22,355 22,692 23,014 23,334 23,656 24,013 24,406 24,839 25,319 25,833 26,381 26,974 7 14,390 15,060 15,910 16,887 17,953 18,928 19,753 20,184 20,429 20,692 20,957 21,224 21,524 21,870 22,216 22,554 22,877 23,198 23,522 23,879 24,273 24,707 25,188 25,703 26,251 8 13,881 14,277 14,943 15,787 16,758 17,817 18,788 19,611 20,041 20,287 20,551 20,817 21,086 21,388 21,733 22,081 22,419 22,743 23,065 23,391 23,749 24,144 24,580 25,061 25,576 9 13,633 13,773 14,165 14,827 15,666 16,631 17,687 18,652 19,472 19,901 20,149 20,415 20,681 20,951 21,254 21,600 21,948 22,289 22,613 22,936 23,265 23,622 24,018 24,455 24,937 10 13,588 13,497 13,636 14,027 14,685 15,520 16,480 17,532 18,494 19,313 19,741 19,990 20,257 20,524 20,794 21,099 21,445 21,794 22,135 22,460 22,783 23,114 23,473 23,869 24,306 11 13,767 13,422 13,333 13,471 13,862 14,517 15,348 16,304 17,353 18,314 19,131 19,560 19,809 20,077 20,344 20,614 20,920 21,266 21,616 21,957 22,284 22,607 22,939 23,299 23,695 12 13,945 13,601 13,258 13,170 13,307 13,698 14,350 15,179 16,132 17,177 18,136 18,954 19,382 19,631 19,899 20,167 20,437 20,743 21,090 21,441 21,782 22,110 22,433 22,766 23,126 13 13,880 13,777 13,436 13,096 13,008 13,146 13,536 14,186 15,011 15,962 17,003 17,959 18,778 19,205 19,456 19,723 19,991 20,264 20,569 20,916 21,268 21,610 21,938 22,262 22,595 14 13,431 13,713 13,612 13,273 12,936 12,849 12,987 13,377 14,024 14,847 15,794 16,832 17,786 18,604 19,031 19,283 19,550 19,819 20,092 20,397 20,745 21,098 21,440 21,769 22,094 15 12,690 13,255 13,535 13,435 13,100 12,765 12,680 12,819 13,208 13,852 14,671 15,615 16,649 17,602 18,418 18,846 19,098 19,365 19,634 19,908 20,213 20,560 20,913 21,256 21,586 16 11,925 12,508 13,071 13,350 13,250 12,920 12,587 12,503 12,643 13,030 13,671 14,487 15,427 16,456 17,407 18,222 18,649 18,900 19,168 19,438 19,711 20,016 20,364 20,717 21,060 17 11,251 11,748 12,326 12,887 13,166 13,067 12,740 12,411 12,329 12,469 12,856 13,492 14,305 15,242 16,265 17,213 18,027 18,455 18,706 18,973 19,244 19,517 19,822 20,170 20,523 18 10,512 11,077 11,572 12,147 12,705 12,983 12,887 12,562 12,238 12,156 12,296 12,682 13,316 14,125 15,058 16,077 17,023 17,835 18,263 18,514 18,782 19,052 19,325 19,630 19,979 19 9,713 10,343 10,906 11,397 11,971 12,526 12,803 12,709 12,386 12,066 11,986 12,126 12,511 13,142 13,947 14,877 15,892 16,836 17,647 18,073 18,324 18,591 18,862 19,136 19,440 20 8,842 9,496 10,122 10,681 11,169 11,739 12,292 12,568 12,477 12,159 11,842 11,765 11,905 12,289 12,917 13,718 14,643 15,652 16,594 17,403 17,830 18,082 18,349 18,620 18,894 21 7,927 8,583 9,230 9,851 10,404 10,889 11,455 12,005 12,281 12,193 11,881 11,570 11,497 11,637 12,019 12,643 13,439 14,357 15,361 16,298 17,108 17,533 17,787 18,054 18,327 22 7,126 7,679 8,327 8,968 9,583 10,132 10,614 11,177 11,724 12,000 11,915 11,609 11,301 11,231 11,373 11,753 12,374 13,164 14,077 15,075 16,009 16,818 17,243 17,497 17,765 23 6,555 6,885 7,432 8,075 8,710 9,320 9,865 10,344 10,903 11,447 11,722 11,641 11,341 11,038 10,971 11,114 11,491 12,109 12,893 13,801 14,793 15,724 16,533 16,957 17,212 24 6,293 6,321 6,649 7,190 7,826 8,457 9,062 9,602 10,079 10,634 11,177 11,450 11,373 11,078 10,780 10,715 10,859 11,235 11,848 12,628 13,530 14,517 15,444 16,253 16,675 25 6,283 6,081 6,109 6,434 6,970 7,600 8,225 8,827 9,362 9,836 10,388 10,928 11,201 11,126 10,837 10,545 10,482 10,628 11,002 11,612 12,387 13,284 14,265 15,188 15,997 26 6,362 6,089 5,889 5,919 6,242 6,773 7,397 8,016 8,614 9,145 9,616 10,164 10,700 10,974 10,902 10,619 10,331 10,273 10,420 10,791 11,398 12,168 13,060 14,037 14,956 27 6,390 6,165 5,898 5,702 5,733 6,053 6,579 7,198 7,812 8,404 8,932 9,400 9,946 10,477 10,752 10,683 10,405 10,123 10,067 10,216 10,586 11,190 11,955 12,841 13,812 28 6,372 6,194 5,973 5,710 5,518 5,550 5,868 6,390 7,002 7,612 8,200 8,723 9,189 9,730 10,259 10,534 10,469 10,195 9,918 9,865 10,015 10,383 10,984 11,745 12,626 29 6,258 6,176 6,002 5,784 5,527 5,339 5,371 5,686 6,204 6,811 7,416 7,999 8,519 8,982 9,521 10,047 10,321 10,259 9,991 9,719 9,668 9,819 10,185 10,784 11,541 30 6,117 6,108 6,029 5,859 5,646 5,394 5,211 5,245 5,556 6,071 6,670 7,271 7,849 8,365 8,825 9,360 9,883 10,157 10,098 9,837 9,569 9,523 9,674 10,039 10,635 31 5,980 6,012 6,005 5,930 5,765 5,557 5,310 5,131 5,168 5,476 5,986 6,579 7,175 7,749 8,260 8,718 9,249 9,769 10,043 9,987 9,732 9,469 9,427 9,581 9,943 32 5,835 5,877 5,911 5,907 5,834 5,674 5,470 5,231 5,055 5,093 5,399 5,904 6,492 7,082 7,651 8,158 8,614 9,142 9,658 9,933 9,880 9,631 9,375 9,334 9,490 33 5,689 5,736 5,779 5,813 5,812 5,742 5,586 5,388 5,153 4,981 5,021 5,325 5,825 6,408 6,993 7,557 8,061 8,513 9,039 9,551 9,827 9,777 9,534 9,284 9,246 34 5,551 5,591 5,638 5,683 5,719 5,720 5,653 5,502 5,307 5,078 4,911 4,951 5,252 5,749 6,326 6,907 7,466 7,967 8,416 8,940 9,448 9,725 9,677 9,440 9,195 35 5,413 5,458 5,500 5,549 5,594 5,632 5,635 5,570 5,424 5,233 5,009 4,845 4,887 5,185 5,678 6,250 6,826 7,381 7,880 8,324 8,845 9,351 9,628 9,583 9,351 36 5,278 5,324 5,371 5,413 5,464 5,510 5,550 5,553 5,491 5,349 5,163 4,944 4,783 4,826 5,122 5,610 6,178 6,749 7,299 7,794 8,235 8,754 9,257 9,535 9,491 37 5,130 5,191 5,238 5,286 5,331 5,382 5,430 5,471 5,476 5,416 5,277 5,095 4,880 4,723 4,767 5,060 5,545 6,108 6,674 7,220 7,712 8,150 8,666 9,167 9,444 38 4,953 5,045 5,108 5,156 5,205 5,252 5,304 5,352 5,395 5,401 5,344 5,207 5,030 4,820 4,664 4,710 5,001 5,481 6,040 6,602 7,143 7,634 8,069 8,581 9,080 39 4,738 4,871 4,964 5,027 5,078 5,128 5,175 5,228 5,277 5,321 5,327 5,274 5,140 4,966 4,761 4,609 4,656 4,944 5,420 5,974 6,533 7,070 7,557 7,990 8,499 40 4,493 4,656 4,790 4,883 4,947 4,998 5,050 5,098 5,151 5,201 5,247 5,254 5,204 5,072 4,902 4,702 4,552 4,600 4,887 5,359 5,908 6,462 6,995 7,478 7,909 41 4,237 4,412 4,575 4,707 4,802 4,868 4,919 4,970 5,021 5,073 5,125 5,171 5,180 5,132 5,003 4,837 4,642 4,496 4,543 4,827 5,296 5,841 6,390 6,920 7,399 42 3,994 4,162 4,335 4,496 4,629 4,723 4,791 4,841 4,893 4,945 4,998 5,051 5,098 5,109 5,063 4,938 4,774 4,584 4,441 4,490 4,771 5,235 5,776 6,321 6,846 43 3,774 3,923 4,089 4,261 4,422 4,553 4,647 4,716 4,768 4,820 4,872 4,926 4,979 5,027 5,040 4,996 4,875 4,714 4,527 4,388 4,439 4,717 5,176 5,712 6,254 44 3,584 3,706 3,854 4,018 4,190 4,351 4,480 4,575 4,643 4,696 4,749 4,803 4,856 4,911 4,960 4,974 4,931 4,814 4,658 4,473 4,337 4,389 4,665 5,120 5,652 45 3,419 3,520 3,642 3,789 3,953 4,123 4,282 4,411 4,506 4,574 4,627 4,680 4,736 4,788 4,844 4,893 4,909 4,868 4,754 4,601 4,421 4,288 4,339 4,614 5,064 46 3,259 3,361 3,461 3,583 3,728 3,891 4,059 4,217 4,344 4,439 4,508 4,561 4,614 4,670 4,724 4,780 4,830 4,847 4,806 4,695 4,544 4,368 4,238 4,290 4,563 47 3,097 3,203 3,304 3,404 3,526 3,670 3,832 3,997 4,154 4,280 4,375 4,443 4,497 4,551 4,607 4,661 4,717 4,768 4,786 4,746 4,640 4,490 4,318 4,189 4,243 48 2,947 3,045 3,150 3,250 3,349 3,470 3,614 3,775 3,937 4,094 4,219 4,313 4,381 4,435 4,490 4,545 4,600 4,657 4,709 4,727 4,688 4,586 4,439 4,270 4,144 49 2,809 2,895 2,992 3,097 3,198 3,296 3,416 3,559 3,718 3,880 4,033 4,158 4,253 4,321 4,374 4,430 4,485 4,541 4,597 4,650 4,669 4,632 4,533 4,389 4,222 50 2,681 2,762 2,848 2,944 3,049 3,148 3,245 3,364 3,506 3,662 3,823 3,974 4,098 4,194 4,260 4,314 4,370 4,424 4,482 4,538 4,591 4,610 4,575 4,477 4,336 51 2,569 2,638 2,717 2,802 2,898 3,003 3,100 3,196 3,314 3,455 3,608 3,767 3,918 4,039 4,133 4,201 4,253 4,311 4,364 4,421 4,477 4,530 4,549 4,515 4,420 52 2,455 2,527 2,596 2,675 2,758 2,854 2,958 3,054 3,148 3,264 3,404 3,555 3,713 3,862 3,981 4,075 4,142 4,195 4,252 4,305 4,362 4,419 4,471 4,490 4,459 53 2,318 2,414 2,485 2,555 2,633 2,716 2,811 2,912 3,008 3,102 3,215 3,355 3,504 3,659 3,808 3,925 4,019 4,085 4,138 4,195 4,247 4,304 4,362 4,414 4,433 54 2,149 2,281 2,376 2,447 2,515 2,593 2,675 2,770 2,870 2,964 3,057 3,168 3,306 3,454 3,608 3,755 3,870 3,964 4,030 4,082 4,139 4,192 4,247 4,305 4,357 55 1,954 2,106 2,236 2,331 2,401 2,468 2,545 2,627 2,719 2,818 2,912 3,004 3,114 3,249 3,395 3,547 3,692 3,806 3,900 3,964 4,017 4,073 4,126 4,181 4,239 56 1,748 1,908 2,057 2,186 2,278 2,347 2,414 2,490 2,570 2,662 2,759 2,851 2,942 3,051 3,183 3,327 3,479 3,620 3,733 3,826 3,889 3,942 3,997 4,050 4,104 57 1,572 1,707 1,865 2,011 2,138 2,228 2,296 2,363 2,437 2,515 2,606 2,702 2,792 2,883 2,990 3,121 3,262 3,411 3,549 3,663 3,753 3,816 3,869 3,924 3,978

Page 97: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

84 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203558 1,443 1,535 1,667 1,822 1,966 2,091 2,179 2,246 2,311 2,386 2,462 2,551 2,647 2,733 2,824 2,930 3,059 3,198 3,346 3,481 3,595 3,684 3,744 3,798 3,852 59 1,377 1,407 1,498 1,628 1,780 1,920 2,044 2,131 2,197 2,261 2,335 2,410 2,497 2,593 2,677 2,767 2,870 2,999 3,136 3,281 3,414 3,526 3,615 3,675 3,729 60 1,356 1,340 1,370 1,458 1,585 1,736 1,872 1,993 2,079 2,144 2,206 2,279 2,353 2,437 2,533 2,616 2,703 2,805 2,931 3,066 3,208 3,340 3,450 3,537 3,597 61 1,357 1,317 1,302 1,331 1,417 1,540 1,688 1,820 1,937 2,021 2,085 2,146 2,217 2,290 2,372 2,466 2,547 2,632 2,732 2,856 2,988 3,127 3,256 3,364 3,449 62 1,350 1,317 1,279 1,265 1,293 1,377 1,497 1,641 1,769 1,884 1,966 2,029 2,089 2,157 2,229 2,310 2,401 2,481 2,564 2,662 2,782 2,913 3,049 3,174 3,282 63 1,318 1,311 1,280 1,242 1,229 1,256 1,338 1,454 1,595 1,722 1,832 1,912 1,974 2,033 2,100 2,169 2,249 2,337 2,417 2,498 2,594 2,712 2,839 2,973 3,096 64 1,254 1,280 1,273 1,244 1,207 1,195 1,221 1,302 1,414 1,551 1,675 1,782 1,860 1,921 1,978 2,045 2,111 2,190 2,277 2,354 2,434 2,528 2,644 2,769 2,898 65 1,160 1,217 1,242 1,236 1,207 1,172 1,160 1,184 1,263 1,374 1,505 1,626 1,731 1,806 1,866 1,921 1,988 2,052 2,129 2,213 2,289 2,367 2,458 2,571 2,693 66 1,063 1,123 1,180 1,203 1,197 1,170 1,136 1,125 1,148 1,224 1,332 1,460 1,577 1,678 1,751 1,809 1,863 1,927 1,988 2,063 2,145 2,218 2,295 2,383 2,493 67 981 1,031 1,089 1,144 1,166 1,160 1,134 1,102 1,092 1,113 1,186 1,291 1,415 1,528 1,626 1,698 1,753 1,807 1,868 1,927 2,001 2,079 2,150 2,225 2,311 68 910 950 999 1,056 1,109 1,130 1,125 1,099 1,067 1,058 1,079 1,150 1,251 1,373 1,482 1,576 1,645 1,699 1,751 1,811 1,868 1,939 2,015 2,085 2,158 69 858 882 920 967 1,023 1,074 1,095 1,090 1,065 1,035 1,025 1,046 1,115 1,212 1,330 1,436 1,527 1,595 1,647 1,697 1,754 1,811 1,880 1,952 2,020 70 811 821 844 881 926 980 1,029 1,049 1,043 1,020 991 981 1,001 1,067 1,161 1,274 1,377 1,463 1,529 1,579 1,627 1,682 1,736 1,803 1,873 71 769 766 776 798 833 875 928 975 993 987 967 938 929 948 1,011 1,100 1,207 1,306 1,387 1,449 1,497 1,544 1,596 1,647 1,711 72 735 727 723 733 754 787 828 877 923 940 935 914 887 879 897 958 1,041 1,144 1,239 1,315 1,374 1,419 1,464 1,514 1,563 73 697 694 686 682 692 713 744 783 829 873 888 884 865 840 831 849 906 986 1,082 1,174 1,245 1,302 1,345 1,388 1,435 74 651 658 655 648 643 653 672 702 740 783 825 840 837 817 794 784 804 856 932 1,024 1,112 1,179 1,234 1,274 1,315 75 601 612 619 616 611 604 615 632 661 696 738 777 791 787 770 748 737 756 806 877 965 1,047 1,110 1,162 1,199 76 552 564 576 582 579 573 567 577 592 620 654 693 729 743 738 721 702 690 709 755 821 903 980 1,039 1,087 77 507 519 529 540 545 543 537 530 540 555 580 612 649 682 696 691 675 657 644 662 705 767 844 916 971 78 470 474 486 495 506 511 508 503 496 505 519 543 573 608 639 651 646 630 614 602 618 658 716 787 855 79 447 441 444 456 463 473 478 475 471 464 472 485 508 535 568 597 609 604 589 573 562 575 614 668 735

80+ 2,327 2,513 2,675 2,823 2,964 3,097 3,225 3,342 3,441 3,524 3,591 3,654 3,719 3,795 3,885 3,993 4,111 4,225 4,319 4,385 4,426 4,449 4,476 4,529 4,621

Total (Females) 515,923 530,120 544,403 558,788 573,263 587,935 602,910 618,172 633,719 649,540 665,633 682,011 698,694 715,723 733,138 750,987 769,310 788,138 807,498 827,435 847,945 869,012 890,601 912,718 935,318

0 23,621 23,860 24,109 24,349 24,571 24,825 25,123 25,419 25,707 25,979 26,243 26,515 26,815 27,156 27,547 27,984 28,459 28,973 29,528 30,119 30,714 31,287 31,839 32,376 32,896 1 22,047 22,467 22,694 22,933 23,164 23,399 23,675 23,992 24,309 24,617 24,911 25,197 25,490 25,810 26,170 26,578 27,032 27,524 28,052 28,621 29,226 29,835 30,425 30,994 31,546 2 20,433 21,348 21,755 21,976 22,207 22,440 22,688 22,978 23,307 23,635 23,956 24,264 24,564 24,869 25,202 25,574 25,993 26,459 26,960 27,498 28,076 28,690 29,309 29,909 30,487 3 18,993 19,976 20,873 21,272 21,488 21,719 21,962 22,218 22,516 22,852 23,187 23,517 23,833 24,142 24,455 24,796 25,176 25,603 26,075 26,582 27,125 27,710 28,329 28,954 29,560 4 17,625 18,661 19,627 20,509 20,902 21,120 21,357 21,605 21,868 22,172 22,513 22,853 23,188 23,511 23,825 24,145 24,491 24,877 25,309 25,786 26,297 26,845 27,435 28,058 28,687 5 16,489 17,433 18,457 19,413 20,286 20,677 20,898 21,140 21,391 21,657 21,964 22,307 22,651 22,988 23,317 23,632 23,956 24,306 24,694 25,130 25,608 26,123 26,673 27,264 27,890 6 15,538 16,383 17,322 18,340 19,291 20,161 20,552 20,774 21,018 21,271 21,538 21,846 22,192 22,537 22,875 23,204 23,521 23,847 24,198 24,589 25,026 25,506 26,020 26,573 27,164 7 14,737 15,438 16,279 17,211 18,225 19,170 20,038 20,431 20,655 20,899 21,153 21,423 21,732 22,079 22,425 22,765 23,096 23,415 23,742 24,094 24,487 24,924 25,406 25,922 26,476 8 14,171 14,643 15,340 16,176 17,102 18,112 19,054 19,919 20,313 20,539 20,784 21,039 21,311 21,622 21,970 22,317 22,659 22,992 23,312 23,640 23,994 24,388 24,828 25,312 25,827 9 13,828 14,080 14,550 15,243 16,072 16,995 18,001 18,942 19,804 20,199 20,426 20,674 20,930 21,202 21,515 21,865 22,213 22,557 22,890 23,213 23,543 23,898 24,293 24,734 25,219 10 13,619 13,679 13,930 14,397 15,087 15,914 16,831 17,835 18,774 19,636 20,031 20,259 20,507 20,764 21,037 21,351 21,703 22,052 22,396 22,731 23,055 23,386 23,743 24,139 24,581 11 13,609 13,412 13,471 13,721 14,186 14,873 15,698 16,612 17,614 18,551 19,413 19,807 20,037 20,285 20,543 20,815 21,130 21,482 21,832 22,178 22,512 22,838 23,169 23,527 23,924 12 13,653 13,403 13,206 13,264 13,514 13,977 14,662 15,485 16,395 17,394 18,331 19,194 19,588 19,818 20,065 20,324 20,596 20,911 21,265 21,615 21,962 22,297 22,623 22,956 23,314 13 13,521 13,445 13,196 13,001 13,059 13,308 13,770 14,453 15,273 16,181 17,178 18,113 18,977 19,370 19,601 19,848 20,108 20,380 20,696 21,049 21,401 21,749 22,084 22,411 22,744 14 13,103 13,314 13,239 12,991 12,797 12,855 13,104 13,566 14,246 15,064 15,969 16,964 17,896 18,761 19,154 19,386 19,633 19,894 20,166 20,482 20,834 21,187 21,537 21,872 22,200 15 12,489 12,908 13,118 13,044 12,798 12,605 12,665 12,914 13,374 14,052 14,867 15,770 16,762 17,692 18,558 18,951 19,183 19,430 19,691 19,965 20,282 20,635 20,988 21,339 21,675 16 11,856 12,308 12,724 12,934 12,860 12,617 12,427 12,488 12,737 13,196 13,872 14,684 15,583 16,573 17,502 18,366 18,759 18,992 19,240 19,501 19,776 20,093 20,446 20,802 21,154 17 11,293 11,678 12,127 12,542 12,750 12,679 12,438 12,251 12,313 12,562 13,020 13,693 14,504 15,399 16,386 17,314 18,177 18,571 18,804 19,053 19,314 19,590 19,908 20,262 20,618 18 10,748 11,117 11,501 11,948 12,360 12,569 12,499 12,262 12,078 12,141 12,391 12,848 13,517 14,326 15,218 16,202 17,128 17,990 18,385 18,619 18,869 19,130 19,407 19,726 20,080 19 10,240 10,576 10,943 11,326 11,771 12,182 12,390 12,323 12,087 11,908 11,970 12,221 12,677 13,343 14,150 15,039 16,020 16,947 17,806 18,202 18,436 18,687 18,949 19,226 19,545 20 9,754 10,053 10,387 10,750 11,130 11,573 11,984 12,193 12,130 11,896 11,722 11,785 12,036 12,493 13,157 13,959 14,845 15,823 16,747 17,606 18,005 18,239 18,491 18,755 19,033 21 9,249 9,553 9,848 10,180 10,539 10,917 11,358 11,768 11,978 11,920 11,691 11,521 11,588 11,839 12,294 12,956 13,756 14,637 15,613 16,535 17,391 17,791 18,028 18,282 18,547 22 8,776 9,054 9,354 9,646 9,975 10,330 10,709 11,149 11,558 11,769 11,714 11,491 11,325 11,394 11,647 12,101 12,759 13,556 14,434 15,407 16,327 17,183 17,583 17,822 18,077 23 8,423 8,585 8,860 9,157 9,446 9,774 10,128 10,506 10,944 11,352 11,565 11,513 11,295 11,134 11,204 11,459 11,912 12,568 13,362 14,235 15,205 16,123 16,979 17,381 17,621 24 8,224 8,237 8,396 8,669 8,962 9,249 9,577 9,930 10,307 10,743 11,151 11,366 11,317 11,104 10,947 11,019 11,274 11,727 12,380 13,172 14,042 15,008 15,925 16,780 17,183 25 8,132 8,042 8,056 8,214 8,484 8,777 9,063 9,390 9,742 10,119 10,553 10,959 11,175 11,131 10,921 10,770 10,844 11,100 11,553 12,202 12,991 13,858 14,821 15,735 16,590 26 8,107 7,955 7,868 7,882 8,040 8,308 8,601 8,887 9,213 9,563 9,939 10,372 10,779 10,994 10,954 10,750 10,603 10,680 10,936 11,388 12,035 12,821 13,684 14,644 15,556 27 8,038 7,932 7,781 7,697 7,712 7,871 8,137 8,429 8,714 9,039 9,389 9,765 10,195 10,602 10,818 10,781 10,583 10,440 10,519 10,775 11,226 11,872 12,655 13,514 14,471 28 7,849 7,862 7,758 7,611 7,529 7,545 7,704 7,971 8,263 8,546 8,872 9,220 9,595 10,024 10,429 10,646 10,613 10,419 10,281 10,362 10,619 11,070 11,712 12,493 13,348 29 7,480 7,676 7,690 7,587 7,444 7,364 7,383 7,542 7,808 8,100 8,383 8,707 9,056 9,428 9,856 10,261 10,479 10,448 10,260 10,125 10,208 10,467 10,917 11,557 12,335 30 7,008 7,331 7,526 7,541 7,441 7,301 7,225 7,245 7,406 7,671 7,963 8,246 8,569 8,917 9,289 9,714 10,119 10,339 10,311 10,127 9,997 10,081 10,341 10,790 11,429 31 6,493 6,885 7,206 7,400 7,416 7,320 7,184 7,113 7,136 7,297 7,560 7,852 8,134 8,457 8,803 9,175 9,599 10,003 10,223 10,199 10,019 9,894 9,980 10,241 10,690 32 6,015 6,378 6,766 7,084 7,277 7,296 7,204 7,071 7,004 7,028 7,191 7,452 7,745 8,027 8,349 8,694 9,064 9,487 9,891 10,112 10,092 9,917 9,794 9,883 10,144 33 5,626 5,906 6,266 6,649 6,966 7,158 7,180 7,090 6,963 6,898 6,925 7,088 7,349 7,640 7,923 8,245 8,589 8,958 9,380 9,782 10,004 9,988 9,818 9,698 9,789

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 85

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203534 5,372 5,523 5,800 6,156 6,537 6,851 7,044 7,068 6,981 6,857 6,796 6,824 6,988 7,249 7,539 7,821 8,143 8,486 8,855 9,276 9,677 9,900 9,887 9,721 9,605 35 5,231 5,289 5,438 5,714 6,066 6,445 6,756 6,948 6,974 6,892 6,770 6,713 6,743 6,907 7,168 7,457 7,739 8,060 8,403 8,770 9,190 9,590 9,814 9,804 9,642 36 5,128 5,164 5,223 5,372 5,647 5,996 6,372 6,680 6,872 6,900 6,821 6,703 6,648 6,680 6,844 7,105 7,393 7,675 7,994 8,336 8,703 9,122 9,521 9,746 9,737 37 4,982 5,064 5,100 5,160 5,309 5,581 5,928 6,300 6,608 6,800 6,828 6,752 6,638 6,586 6,619 6,783 7,044 7,331 7,613 7,932 8,273 8,638 9,056 9,454 9,681 38 4,786 4,919 5,002 5,039 5,100 5,247 5,518 5,863 6,232 6,538 6,730 6,760 6,687 6,575 6,526 6,561 6,725 6,987 7,272 7,554 7,872 8,212 8,577 8,993 9,390 39 4,518 4,726 4,859 4,942 4,979 5,042 5,189 5,458 5,801 6,167 6,470 6,664 6,695 6,624 6,516 6,468 6,505 6,670 6,931 7,216 7,496 7,815 8,154 8,519 8,934 40 4,201 4,461 4,667 4,800 4,884 4,922 4,985 5,133 5,399 5,739 6,103 6,404 6,597 6,630 6,561 6,457 6,411 6,448 6,613 6,874 7,158 7,438 7,756 8,093 8,457 41 3,870 4,148 4,407 4,611 4,744 4,829 4,867 4,930 5,078 5,342 5,680 6,040 6,341 6,533 6,566 6,499 6,398 6,353 6,392 6,556 6,817 7,099 7,377 7,696 8,031 42 3,578 3,821 4,095 4,354 4,557 4,689 4,775 4,814 4,877 5,023 5,287 5,623 5,979 6,279 6,470 6,505 6,439 6,341 6,296 6,337 6,500 6,761 7,042 7,320 7,636 43 3,348 3,532 3,773 4,045 4,302 4,505 4,637 4,721 4,761 4,825 4,971 5,232 5,566 5,920 6,218 6,408 6,445 6,381 6,284 6,241 6,284 6,446 6,706 6,987 7,264 44 3,201 3,305 3,488 3,727 3,997 4,252 4,453 4,586 4,670 4,710 4,775 4,920 5,180 5,512 5,863 6,159 6,347 6,387 6,325 6,229 6,188 6,233 6,394 6,652 6,933 45 3,115 3,159 3,264 3,445 3,683 3,950 4,204 4,403 4,536 4,621 4,661 4,726 4,871 5,127 5,457 5,807 6,102 6,289 6,329 6,269 6,175 6,135 6,180 6,342 6,600 46 3,051 3,076 3,120 3,225 3,405 3,641 3,906 4,157 4,355 4,486 4,572 4,612 4,678 4,822 5,077 5,405 5,751 6,044 6,230 6,271 6,213 6,121 6,082 6,128 6,289 47 2,977 3,012 3,038 3,083 3,186 3,366 3,600 3,863 4,111 4,308 4,438 4,525 4,565 4,630 4,773 5,027 5,354 5,697 5,988 6,174 6,216 6,158 6,068 6,031 6,077 48 2,892 2,939 2,975 3,000 3,046 3,149 3,327 3,559 3,820 4,067 4,261 4,392 4,478 4,519 4,584 4,727 4,979 5,305 5,644 5,934 6,119 6,162 6,107 6,017 5,983 49 2,789 2,855 2,904 2,940 2,964 3,010 3,113 3,289 3,520 3,778 4,024 4,217 4,347 4,432 4,473 4,539 4,681 4,931 5,255 5,593 5,881 6,064 6,108 6,055 5,967 50 2,663 2,750 2,816 2,866 2,902 2,926 2,972 3,074 3,248 3,477 3,733 3,977 4,168 4,299 4,384 4,425 4,490 4,632 4,880 5,202 5,536 5,824 6,006 6,050 5,998 51 2,552 2,624 2,711 2,775 2,825 2,862 2,885 2,932 3,033 3,206 3,433 3,686 3,927 4,117 4,247 4,332 4,372 4,438 4,579 4,825 5,145 5,476 5,761 5,942 5,986 52 2,450 2,515 2,587 2,672 2,737 2,787 2,824 2,846 2,892 2,994 3,164 3,389 3,639 3,879 4,067 4,196 4,281 4,322 4,387 4,528 4,771 5,089 5,417 5,701 5,881 53 2,326 2,414 2,480 2,551 2,634 2,699 2,749 2,786 2,808 2,854 2,954 3,125 3,346 3,594 3,831 4,018 4,147 4,230 4,273 4,337 4,477 4,719 5,033 5,360 5,641 54 2,172 2,291 2,378 2,444 2,515 2,597 2,663 2,711 2,748 2,769 2,817 2,915 3,085 3,304 3,549 3,784 3,970 4,098 4,181 4,224 4,288 4,428 4,667 4,979 5,304 55 2,002 2,139 2,257 2,343 2,409 2,479 2,561 2,626 2,674 2,711 2,731 2,779 2,876 3,044 3,262 3,505 3,737 3,920 4,048 4,130 4,174 4,237 4,376 4,614 4,922 56 1,818 1,972 2,107 2,223 2,309 2,374 2,444 2,525 2,589 2,637 2,673 2,693 2,742 2,838 3,004 3,218 3,459 3,689 3,871 3,998 4,080 4,123 4,186 4,323 4,560 57 1,652 1,790 1,942 2,077 2,190 2,276 2,340 2,409 2,489 2,553 2,601 2,637 2,656 2,705 2,799 2,964 3,176 3,415 3,643 3,823 3,948 4,030 4,073 4,136 4,271 58 1,541 1,626 1,762 1,912 2,047 2,158 2,242 2,306 2,374 2,453 2,517 2,564 2,600 2,620 2,668 2,762 2,924 3,135 3,371 3,597 3,774 3,899 3,980 4,024 4,087 59 1,505 1,518 1,600 1,736 1,883 2,018 2,128 2,211 2,274 2,341 2,419 2,483 2,529 2,565 2,584 2,633 2,726 2,886 3,095 3,327 3,551 3,728 3,852 3,932 3,975 60 1,515 1,473 1,486 1,568 1,701 1,847 1,979 2,088 2,169 2,231 2,298 2,375 2,438 2,483 2,519 2,538 2,587 2,678 2,837 3,043 3,273 3,493 3,667 3,791 3,870 61 1,548 1,476 1,435 1,449 1,528 1,660 1,803 1,933 2,040 2,121 2,180 2,247 2,323 2,385 2,429 2,464 2,484 2,532 2,621 2,778 2,982 3,207 3,425 3,595 3,719 62 1,571 1,508 1,438 1,397 1,413 1,490 1,620 1,760 1,888 1,993 2,072 2,130 2,196 2,272 2,333 2,376 2,411 2,430 2,477 2,566 2,719 2,921 3,143 3,356 3,524 63 1,553 1,530 1,469 1,401 1,360 1,376 1,452 1,580 1,717 1,844 1,947 2,025 2,082 2,147 2,222 2,281 2,324 2,359 2,378 2,424 2,511 2,662 2,861 3,080 3,290 64 1,478 1,513 1,491 1,431 1,364 1,324 1,341 1,415 1,541 1,676 1,801 1,902 1,979 2,035 2,098 2,172 2,231 2,272 2,308 2,326 2,373 2,457 2,607 2,802 3,017 65 1,355 1,435 1,468 1,448 1,390 1,325 1,286 1,303 1,375 1,498 1,631 1,753 1,851 1,927 1,982 2,043 2,117 2,174 2,214 2,249 2,268 2,313 2,396 2,543 2,734 66 1,222 1,312 1,390 1,422 1,402 1,346 1,282 1,245 1,261 1,333 1,452 1,582 1,700 1,796 1,871 1,924 1,983 2,055 2,112 2,152 2,184 2,203 2,247 2,328 2,472 67 1,107 1,181 1,269 1,346 1,376 1,357 1,303 1,241 1,205 1,221 1,292 1,407 1,534 1,649 1,742 1,815 1,867 1,925 1,995 2,049 2,090 2,121 2,140 2,183 2,262 68 1,012 1,070 1,142 1,227 1,302 1,332 1,314 1,261 1,201 1,166 1,181 1,250 1,363 1,487 1,600 1,690 1,761 1,813 1,868 1,938 1,991 2,030 2,060 2,078 2,120 69 942 977 1,034 1,103 1,187 1,259 1,289 1,271 1,220 1,162 1,129 1,144 1,211 1,320 1,442 1,551 1,641 1,708 1,759 1,813 1,881 1,933 1,971 2,001 2,018 70 883 901 934 990 1,056 1,137 1,208 1,236 1,219 1,169 1,113 1,081 1,096 1,161 1,267 1,384 1,490 1,577 1,642 1,692 1,743 1,810 1,860 1,897 1,926 71 834 836 854 885 939 1,002 1,079 1,147 1,174 1,158 1,110 1,058 1,027 1,042 1,104 1,206 1,318 1,418 1,502 1,564 1,614 1,661 1,725 1,774 1,809 72 786 790 791 808 838 890 950 1,024 1,088 1,115 1,100 1,055 1,005 975 989 1,049 1,147 1,254 1,351 1,431 1,491 1,538 1,583 1,644 1,692 73 728 744 747 748 765 792 843 900 971 1,032 1,058 1,044 1,001 953 925 940 996 1,091 1,193 1,286 1,362 1,420 1,466 1,509 1,567 74 658 688 702 706 706 722 749 797 853 921 979 1,003 990 950 905 877 892 945 1,036 1,134 1,223 1,297 1,351 1,396 1,437 75 573 615 643 656 659 659 675 701 745 798 863 919 941 929 891 848 823 837 887 973 1,066 1,151 1,221 1,272 1,314 76 490 528 568 594 606 608 607 623 647 688 738 800 851 873 860 825 785 761 774 822 903 990 1,068 1,135 1,183 77 420 450 486 522 546 558 561 560 574 597 635 681 740 788 808 798 764 727 704 715 761 836 918 991 1,054 78 360 384 412 446 481 503 514 515 514 528 551 585 628 683 729 748 737 705 671 650 660 704 774 850 919 79 322 327 350 376 408 440 461 471 473 471 483 506 539 579 630 673 691 681 651 619 599 608 649 715 786

80+ 2,059 2,172 2,278 2,396 2,528 2,677 2,843 3,012 3,175 3,324 3,456 3,584 3,718 3,868 4,037 4,234 4,451 4,659 4,835 4,964 5,047 5,100 5,150 5,228 5,354

Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, LUAPULA PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) District Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric) Chienge 2.8 Kawambwa 2.5 Mansa 2.1 Milenge 4.2 Mwense 1.1 Nchelenge 2.9 Samfya 1.8 Luapula Province 2.3

Page 99: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

86 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Sex &

District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both Sexes) 1,015,629 1,043,241 1,071,074 1,099,151 1,127,453 1,156,160 1,185,446 1,215,294 1,245,682 1,276,608 1,308,050 1,340,032 1,372,622 1,405,871 1,439,877 1,474,738 1,510,507 1,547,268 1,585,074 1,623,991 1,664,040 1,705,176 1,747,342 1,790,525 1,834,667 Chienge 117,454 121,372 125,351 129,395 133,501 137,692 141,989 146,390 150,892 155,498 160,205 165,016 169,941 174,985 180,164 185,489 190,970 196,615 202,437 208,443 214,637 221,015 227,572 234,306 241,212 Kawambwa 137,841 141,892 145,985 150,119 154,294 158,532 162,857 167,266 171,760 176,332 180,982 185,712 190,533 195,451 200,478 205,629 210,908 216,332 221,902 227,631 233,521 239,565 245,754 252,086 258,553 Mansa 233,583 239,538 245,510 251,505 257,517 263,584 269,747 275,999 282,333 288,749 295,239 301,807 308,464 315,223 322,102 329,122 336,293 343,628 351,140 358,837 366,722 374,785 383,007 391,383 399,896 Milenge 45,010 47,173 49,412 51,730 54,127 56,618 59,210 61,909 64,713 67,629 70,655 73,801 77,070 80,471 84,013 87,705 91,557 95,579 99,777 104,166 108,751 113,534 118,519 123,711 129,113 Mwense 121,623 123,367 125,067 126,723 128,335 129,922 131,502 133,072 134,630 136,172 137,697 139,203 140,700 142,189 143,679 145,178 146,687 148,216 149,765 151,335 152,929 154,537 156,153 157,774 159,391 Nchelenge 157,226 162,618 168,100 173,680 179,352 185,146 191,092 197,189 203,432 209,824 216,363 223,052 229,906 236,932 244,151 251,579 259,230 267,117 275,253 283,654 292,323 301,256 310,444 319,888 329,580 Samfya 202,892 207,281 211,649 215,999 220,327 224,666 229,049 233,469 237,922 242,404 246,909 251,441 256,008 260,620 265,290 270,036 274,862 279,781 284,800 289,925 295,157 300,484 305,893 311,377 316,922

Total (Males) 499,706 513,121 526,671 540,363 554,190 568,225 582,536 597,122 611,963 627,068 642,417 658,021 673,928 690,148 706,739 723,751 741,197 759,130 777,576 796,556 816,095 836,164 856,741 877,807 899,349 Chienge 58,091 60,031 62,005 64,015 66,060 68,149 70,291 72,486 74,731 77,029 79,377 81,777 84,235 86,753 89,339 91,999 94,737 97,558 100,469 103,471 106,569 109,760 113,042 116,413 119,872 Kawambwa 67,745 69,778 71,839 73,926 76,041 78,192 80,388 82,629 84,915 87,243 89,613 92,025 94,487 97,000 99,571 102,209 104,913 107,694 110,552 113,493 116,520 119,629 122,816 126,078 129,415 Mansa 114,776 117,685 120,609 123,551 126,508 129,495 132,529 135,607 138,724 141,883 145,077 148,309 151,587 154,913 158,300 161,757 165,288 168,901 172,602 176,394 180,280 184,254 188,309 192,440 196,640 Milenge 22,129 23,173 24,254 25,374 26,532 27,735 28,986 30,288 31,640 33,044 34,500 36,012 37,583 39,216 40,916 42,687 44,533 46,459 48,470 50,570 52,763 55,050 57,432 59,911 62,490 Mwense 59,565 60,418 61,255 62,074 62,874 63,665 64,451 65,234 66,010 66,779 67,540 68,291 69,039 69,782 70,527 71,278 72,033 72,799 73,575 74,361 75,161 75,968 76,780 77,595 78,409 Nchelenge 78,225 80,861 83,544 86,277 89,059 91,900 94,815 97,802 100,858 103,987 107,185 110,454 113,803 117,235 120,759 124,385 128,117 131,964 135,932 140,027 144,252 148,605 153,082 157,681 162,401 Samfya 99,175 101,175 103,165 105,146 107,116 109,089 111,076 113,076 115,085 117,103 119,125 121,153 123,194 125,249 127,327 129,436 131,576 133,755 135,976 138,240 140,550 142,898 145,280 147,689 150,122

Total (Females) 515,923 530,120 544,403 558,788 573,263 587,935 602,910 618,172 633,719 649,540 665,633 682,011 698,694 715,723 733,138 750,987 769,310 788,138 807,498 827,435 847,945 869,012 890,601 912,718 935,318 Chienge 59,363 61,341 63,346 65,380 67,441 69,543 71,698 73,904 76,161 78,469 80,828 83,239 85,706 88,232 90,825 93,490 96,233 99,057 101,968 104,972 108,068 111,255 114,530 117,893 121,340 Kawambwa 70,096 72,114 74,146 76,193 78,253 80,340 82,469 84,637 86,845 89,089 91,369 93,687 96,046 98,451 100,907 103,420 105,995 108,638 111,350 114,138 117,001 119,936 122,938 126,008 129,138 Mansa 118,807 121,853 124,901 127,954 131,009 134,089 137,218 140,392 143,609 146,866 150,162 153,498 156,877 160,310 163,802 167,365 171,005 174,727 178,538 182,443 186,442 190,531 194,698 198,943 203,256 Milenge 22,881 24,000 25,158 26,356 27,595 28,883 30,224 31,621 33,073 34,585 36,155 37,789 39,487 41,255 43,097 45,018 47,024 49,120 51,307 53,596 55,988 58,484 61,087 63,800 66,623 Mwense 62,058 62,949 63,812 64,649 65,461 66,257 67,051 67,838 68,620 69,393 70,157 70,912 71,661 72,407 73,152 73,900 74,654 75,417 76,190 76,974 77,768 78,569 79,373 80,179 80,982 Nchelenge 79,001 81,757 84,556 87,403 90,293 93,246 96,277 99,387 102,574 105,837 109,178 112,598 116,103 119,697 123,392 127,194 131,113 135,153 139,321 143,627 148,071 152,651 157,362 162,207 167,179 Samfya 103,717 106,106 108,484 110,853 113,211 115,577 117,973 120,393 122,837 125,301 127,784 130,288 132,814 135,371 137,963 140,600 143,286 146,026 148,824 151,685 154,607 157,586 160,613 163,688 166,800

Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital Events,

Rates & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Life Expectancy at Birth (Males)Chienge 40.5 40.9 41.4 41.8 42.2 42.6 43.1 43.5 44.0 44.4 44.9 45.4 45.8 46.3 46.8 47.2 47.7 48.2 48.7 49.1 49.6 50.1 50.6 51.0 51.5Kawambwa 49.0 49.4 49.7 50.0 50.3 50.7 51.1 51.4 51.8 52.1 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.6 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.8Mansa 46.7 47.0 47.4 47.7 48.1 48.5 48.8 49.2 49.6 50.0 50.4 50.8 51.2 51.6 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.6 56.0Milenge 52.7 53.0 53.3 53.6 53.9 54.2 54.5 54.9 55.2 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.2 59.5 59.8 60.2 60.5Mwense 50.5 50.9 51.2 51.5 51.8 52.1 52.5 52.8 53.2 53.5 53.9 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.7 56.0 56.4 56.7 57.1 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.5 58.9Nchelenge 41.9 42.2 42.7 43.0 43.4 43.9 44.3 44.8 45.2 45.6 46.1 46.5 47.0 47.5 47.9 48.4 48.8 49.3 49.7 50.2 50.6 51.1 51.6 52.0 52.4Samfya 47.1 47.5 47.8 48.2 48.5 48.9 49.3 49.7 50.1 50.4 50.8 51.2 51.6 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.2 53.6 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.6 56.0 56.4Life Expectancy at Birth (Females)Chienge 44.6 44.9 45.2 45.6 45.9 46.4 47.0 47.5 48.0 48.5 49.1 49.6 50.2 50.7 51.2 51.8 52.3 52.9 53.4 53.9 54.5 55.0 55.5 56.0 56.6Kawambwa 53.3 53.6 53.8 54.1 54.3 54.8 55.2 55.6 56.0 56.4 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.2 58.6 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.7 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.5 62.9Mansa 52.7 53.0 53.3 53.5 53.8 54.2 54.7 55.1 55.5 55.9 56.4 56.8 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.6 59.0 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.1 62.5Milenge 59.6 59.8 60.0 60.2 60.4 60.8 61.1 61.5 61.8 62.2 62.5 62.9 63.2 63.6 63.9 64.3 64.6 65.0 65.4 65.7 66.1 66.4 66.8 67.1 67.4Mwense 54.6 54.8 55.1 55.3 55.6 56.0 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.6 58.0 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.5 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.8Nchelenge 46.5 46.8 47.1 47.4 47.7 48.2 48.7 49.2 49.7 50.2 50.7 51.3 51.8 52.3 52.8 53.3 53.8 54.4 54.9 55.4 55.9 56.4 56.9 57.4 57.9Samfya 55.5 55.8 56.0 56.2 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.3 61.7 62.1 62.5 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.1 64.5Total Fertility Rate (TFR)Chienge 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 Kawambwa 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 Mansa 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 Milenge 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 Mwense 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 Nchelenge 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 Samfya 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2

Page 100: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 87

Table C3: Total Population by Sex,Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHIENGE DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chienge District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 117,454 58,091 59,363 121,372 60,031 61,341 125,351 62,005 63,346 129,395 64,015 65,380 133,501 66,060 67,441 137,692 68,149 69,543 141,989 70,291 71,698 146,390 72,486 73,904 0-4 25,082 12,467 12,614 26,133 13,004 13,129 26,985 13,440 13,545 27,654 13,784 13,870 28,163 14,051 14,112 28,637 14,298 14,338 29,139 14,558 14,581 29,666 14,828 14,838 5-9 16,335 8,051 8,284 17,137 8,447 8,690 18,137 8,951 9,186 19,265 9,524 9,741 20,439 10,120 10,319 21,522 10,672 10,850 22,447 11,143 11,303 23,198 11,525 11,672

10-14 14,519 7,251 7,268 14,522 7,239 7,283 14,516 7,213 7,303 14,621 7,238 7,382 14,937 7,371 7,566 15,493 7,631 7,862 16,263 8,007 8,256 17,222 8,485 8,737 15-19 11,593 5,764 5,829 12,167 6,100 6,066 12,697 6,404 6,293 13,116 6,639 6,476 13,383 6,789 6,594 13,486 6,842 6,645 13,483 6,825 6,658 13,469 6,793 6,676 20-24 9,313 4,182 5,130 9,749 4,467 5,283 10,294 4,822 5,473 10,893 5,205 5,688 11,500 5,583 5,917 12,118 5,955 6,163 12,745 6,318 6,427 13,321 6,644 6,677 25-29 9,738 4,314 5,424 9,647 4,211 5,436 9,548 4,125 5,423 9,540 4,108 5,432 9,690 4,196 5,494 10,025 4,409 5,617 10,528 4,736 5,792 11,157 5,144 6,013 30-34 7,778 4,060 3,718 8,033 4,109 3,925 8,280 4,142 4,138 8,465 4,145 4,319 8,558 4,113 4,445 8,546 4,039 4,507 8,460 3,939 4,521 8,369 3,855 4,514 35-39 5,997 3,163 2,834 6,143 3,232 2,910 6,273 3,291 2,981 6,416 3,345 3,070 6,590 3,398 3,192 6,803 3,450 3,354 7,041 3,495 3,546 7,269 3,526 3,744 40-44 4,695 2,495 2,201 4,954 2,610 2,344 5,228 2,728 2,501 5,491 2,839 2,652 5,724 2,938 2,786 5,914 3,023 2,892 6,067 3,093 2,974 6,203 3,153 3,050 45-49 3,659 1,941 1,718 3,771 2,017 1,753 3,893 2,099 1,795 4,039 2,187 1,852 4,217 2,283 1,934 4,433 2,389 2,044 4,683 2,502 2,181 4,945 2,617 2,329 50-54 3,041 1,540 1,500 3,172 1,609 1,563 3,292 1,672 1,620 3,408 1,736 1,672 3,525 1,804 1,721 3,641 1,876 1,765 3,755 1,951 1,804 3,877 2,030 1,847 55-59 1,935 979 956 2,077 1,056 1,021 2,243 1,145 1,099 2,411 1,234 1,177 2,563 1,316 1,247 2,696 1,387 1,309 2,814 1,449 1,365 2,922 1,507 1,415 60-64 1,486 752 734 1,473 750 723 1,459 748 710 1,466 758 708 1,510 786 724 1,597 835 762 1,718 902 816 1,857 978 879 65-69 945 466 479 1,003 492 511 1,060 517 543 1,106 538 567 1,132 552 581 1,137 556 581 1,127 555 572 1,115 553 562 70-74 615 277 338 626 279 347 638 283 355 657 290 367 685 300 385 724 315 409 770 333 437 815 350 465 75-79 413 223 190 431 228 204 452 233 219 471 238 233 485 241 244 495 243 252 503 245 258 512 247 265 80+ 310 166 144 334 180 153 355 194 162 377 206 171 400 218 182 424 229 194 448 241 208 472 251 221

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chienge District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 150,892 74,731 76,161 155,498 77,029 78,469 180,164 89,339 90,825 208,443 103,471 104,972 241,212 119,872 121,340 0-4 30,215 15,107 15,108 30,781 15,394 15,387 33,721 16,885 16,836 37,721 18,924 18,797 42,595 21,426 21,169 5-9 23,792 11,828 11,964 24,258 12,068 12,190 26,733 13,317 13,416 29,558 14,751 14,807 33,207 16,617 16,590

10-14 18,304 9,030 9,275 19,435 9,598 9,837 23,154 11,474 11,680 25,601 12,709 12,892 28,282 14,073 14,209 15-19 13,563 6,812 6,751 13,863 6,936 6,927 18,223 9,103 9,120 21,872 10,964 10,909 24,188 12,149 12,039 20-24 13,774 6,895 6,879 14,061 7,052 7,009 14,598 7,205 7,393 19,448 9,599 9,848 23,434 11,625 11,810 25-29 11,847 5,585 6,262 12,550 6,021 6,530 15,553 7,728 7,824 16,229 7,926 8,304 21,868 10,707 11,160 30-34 8,364 3,839 4,526 8,511 3,927 4,584 11,262 5,746 5,516 14,163 7,481 6,682 14,809 7,695 7,114 35-39 7,445 3,531 3,914 7,539 3,506 4,033 7,559 3,368 4,191 10,057 4,973 5,084 12,677 6,501 6,176 40-44 6,351 3,208 3,143 6,531 3,261 3,270 7,540 3,386 4,154 7,626 3,285 4,341 10,145 4,873 5,272 45-49 5,197 2,725 2,472 5,420 2,822 2,598 6,207 3,145 3,061 7,192 3,290 3,902 7,278 3,203 4,074 50-54 4,023 2,116 1,907 4,202 2,209 1,992 5,425 2,735 2,690 6,246 3,063 3,183 7,263 3,208 4,055 55-59 3,026 1,564 1,462 3,132 1,627 1,505 3,745 1,997 1,747 4,856 2,488 2,368 5,590 2,791 2,799 60-64 1,997 1,054 943 2,125 1,125 1,000 2,606 1,394 1,212 3,134 1,721 1,413 4,064 2,147 1,917 65-69 1,121 560 560 1,155 581 574 1,634 832 802 2,010 1,035 975 2,416 1,279 1,137 70-74 850 364 486 870 372 497 885 392 493 1,260 565 695 1,546 702 844 75-79 527 253 274 550 262 288 703 324 379 717 340 377 1,027 488 539 80+ 495 260 235 516 268 248 616 306 311 750 356 394 823 387 436

Page 101: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

88 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAWAMBWA DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kawambwa District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 137,841 67,745 70,096 141,892 69,778 72,114 145,985 71,839 74,146 150,119 73,926 76,193 154,294 76,041 78,253 158,532 78,192 80,340 162,857 80,388 82,469 167,266 82,629 84,637 0-4 27,387 13,554 13,833 28,407 14,076 14,331 29,198 14,484 14,714 29,784 14,790 14,993 30,195 15,016 15,179 30,572 15,224 15,348 30,982 15,447 15,534 31,417 15,683 15,734 5-9 20,537 10,182 10,354 21,448 10,636 10,811 22,595 11,221 11,374 23,890 11,890 12,001 25,232 12,582 12,650 26,456 13,219 13,237 27,481 13,756 13,725 28,288 14,182 14,107

10-14 19,280 9,821 9,459 19,197 9,762 9,435 19,099 9,683 9,415 19,147 9,676 9,471 19,472 9,813 9,658 20,110 10,122 9,988 21,023 10,584 10,439 22,176 11,180 10,996 15-19 16,151 8,147 8,004 16,876 8,585 8,292 17,532 8,972 8,561 18,028 9,262 8,766 18,313 9,432 8,881 18,377 9,470 8,906 18,297 9,415 8,882 18,205 9,340 8,865 20-24 10,979 4,897 6,082 11,441 5,207 6,233 12,023 5,596 6,427 12,662 6,015 6,646 13,306 6,426 6,879 13,960 6,829 7,132 14,622 7,221 7,401 15,222 7,569 7,653 25-29 8,913 3,931 4,982 8,790 3,821 4,970 8,660 3,726 4,935 8,613 3,694 4,918 8,708 3,759 4,949 8,970 3,934 5,036 9,381 4,212 5,169 9,901 4,561 5,340 30-34 7,629 3,711 3,918 7,856 3,739 4,116 8,072 3,753 4,319 8,226 3,740 4,486 8,290 3,696 4,594 8,251 3,616 4,635 8,142 3,514 4,627 8,027 3,428 4,599 35-39 6,363 3,248 3,115 6,488 3,304 3,184 6,596 3,350 3,246 6,717 3,390 3,327 6,871 3,430 3,441 7,067 3,468 3,598 7,288 3,502 3,786 7,501 3,522 3,979 40-44 4,833 2,502 2,331 5,077 2,606 2,471 5,335 2,712 2,624 5,579 2,810 2,769 5,791 2,897 2,894 5,958 2,969 2,989 6,087 3,028 3,060 6,200 3,076 3,123 45-49 3,976 1,990 1,986 4,077 2,059 2,018 4,188 2,133 2,055 4,324 2,213 2,111 4,494 2,301 2,193 4,706 2,398 2,307 4,953 2,504 2,449 5,213 2,610 2,603 50-54 3,282 1,646 1,636 3,408 1,712 1,696 3,521 1,771 1,749 3,628 1,831 1,797 3,736 1,895 1,841 3,842 1,964 1,878 3,946 2,035 1,910 4,059 2,111 1,947 55-59 2,194 1,050 1,144 2,344 1,127 1,217 2,519 1,217 1,302 2,695 1,306 1,388 2,851 1,387 1,464 2,985 1,456 1,529 3,104 1,517 1,587 3,210 1,572 1,638 60-64 1,942 872 1,069 1,914 866 1,048 1,885 861 1,025 1,884 868 1,016 1,931 896 1,035 2,032 949 1,083 2,176 1,021 1,155 2,343 1,104 1,239 65-69 1,512 703 808 1,597 739 858 1,681 774 907 1,745 801 944 1,779 818 961 1,779 821 957 1,754 816 938 1,729 812 917 70-74 1,200 592 608 1,214 595 620 1,232 600 632 1,262 612 650 1,309 631 677 1,376 660 716 1,457 695 762 1,535 728 807 75-79 780 438 342 810 446 364 844 455 390 874 462 412 896 466 430 909 468 442 920 470 451 933 473 460 80+ 885 460 425 948 498 449 1,005 533 472 1,062 564 498 1,121 595 526 1,182 624 558 1,246 652 594 1,308 678 630

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kawambwa District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 171,760 84,915 86,845 176,332 87,243 89,089 200,478 99,571 100,907 227,631 113,493 114,138 258,553 129,415 129,138 0-4 31,875 15,928 15,946 32,344 16,180 16,164 34,730 17,462 17,268 38,057 19,237 18,820 42,317 21,506 20,811 5-9 28,901 14,509 14,392 29,351 14,756 14,595 31,705 16,021 15,684 34,341 17,444 16,897 37,993 19,404 18,589

10-14 23,479 11,861 11,618 24,832 12,567 12,265 29,001 14,782 14,219 31,414 16,094 15,320 34,177 17,598 16,579 15-19 18,260 9,337 8,923 18,589 9,477 9,112 23,951 12,238 11,713 28,166 14,489 13,677 30,675 15,855 14,820 20-24 15,679 7,831 7,848 15,942 7,983 7,959 16,222 8,025 8,196 21,169 10,510 10,659 25,117 12,568 12,550 25-29 10,472 4,936 5,536 11,050 5,304 5,745 13,421 6,698 6,722 13,717 6,753 6,964 18,198 9,008 9,190 30-34 7,993 3,403 4,590 8,097 3,471 4,626 10,433 4,997 5,436 12,822 6,394 6,428 13,215 6,495 6,720 35-39 7,656 3,516 4,140 7,727 3,480 4,247 7,597 3,289 4,308 9,876 4,774 5,102 12,248 6,162 6,086 40-44 6,325 3,120 3,204 6,480 3,162 3,318 7,346 3,231 4,115 7,278 3,080 4,198 9,518 4,513 5,005 45-49 5,460 2,709 2,751 5,674 2,797 2,877 6,377 3,067 3,310 7,273 3,154 4,119 7,255 3,032 4,223 50-54 4,195 2,194 2,001 4,364 2,283 2,081 5,524 2,780 2,743 6,229 3,061 3,168 7,129 3,166 3,963 55-59 3,311 1,627 1,683 3,412 1,687 1,725 3,993 2,038 1,955 5,083 2,495 2,587 5,767 2,764 3,003 60-64 2,508 1,186 1,322 2,657 1,261 1,396 3,190 1,538 1,652 3,746 1,867 1,879 4,804 2,299 2,504 65-69 1,730 820 910 1,776 847 929 2,459 1,193 1,266 2,962 1,460 1,503 3,501 1,781 1,720 70-74 1,594 754 840 1,625 770 855 1,626 798 828 2,269 1,129 1,139 2,744 1,386 1,358 75-79 956 482 474 994 498 496 1,243 607 636 1,244 625 618 1,754 887 867 80+ 1,366 701 666 1,418 720 698 1,662 807 855 1,984 925 1,059 2,142 991 1,151

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 89

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MANSA DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mansa District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 233,583 114,776 118,807 239,538 117,685 121,853 245,510 120,609 124,901 251,505 123,551 127,954 257,517 126,508 131,009 263,584 129,495 134,089 269,747 132,529 137,218 275,999 135,607 140,392 0-4 45,597 22,916 22,681 47,123 23,694 23,429 48,256 24,271 23,985 49,041 24,672 24,369 49,532 24,933 24,600 49,960 25,158 24,802 50,436 25,406 25,030 50,948 25,670 25,278 5-9 33,290 16,483 16,807 34,641 17,142 17,498 36,358 18,003 18,355 38,299 18,989 19,310 40,298 20,002 20,296 42,092 20,915 21,176 43,554 21,661 21,894 44,660 22,224 22,436

10-14 31,599 15,847 15,751 31,349 15,684 15,665 31,074 15,487 15,587 31,038 15,405 15,634 31,448 15,551 15,897 32,357 15,965 16,393 33,696 16,613 17,083 35,406 17,465 17,940 15-19 27,482 13,570 13,912 28,606 14,236 14,370 29,603 14,811 14,792 30,324 15,220 15,104 30,686 15,428 15,258 30,675 15,418 15,257 30,426 15,255 15,171 30,158 15,061 15,097 20-24 19,961 9,227 10,734 20,738 9,768 10,969 21,727 10,451 11,277 22,811 11,182 11,629 23,892 11,890 12,001 24,981 12,576 12,406 26,071 13,234 12,837 27,041 13,805 13,236 25-29 16,470 7,446 9,025 16,181 7,206 8,976 15,881 6,995 8,886 15,735 6,904 8,831 15,853 6,992 8,861 16,275 7,284 8,990 16,962 7,761 9,201 17,841 8,363 9,478 30-34 13,572 6,566 7,006 13,927 6,587 7,339 14,259 6,582 7,678 14,481 6,529 7,952 14,541 6,422 8,120 14,423 6,254 8,169 14,181 6,049 8,132 13,930 5,873 8,058 35-39 11,152 5,662 5,490 11,331 5,735 5,596 11,477 5,788 5,688 11,643 5,831 5,812 11,867 5,872 5,995 12,161 5,910 6,251 12,498 5,939 6,558 12,816 5,944 6,872 40-44 8,383 4,347 4,036 8,775 4,509 4,266 9,187 4,670 4,516 9,571 4,818 4,753 9,897 4,943 4,954 10,144 5,042 5,102 10,324 5,118 5,207 10,474 5,175 5,299 45-49 6,865 3,408 3,457 7,013 3,511 3,502 7,177 3,620 3,557 7,381 3,739 3,642 7,642 3,870 3,772 7,973 4,015 3,958 8,361 4,171 4,189 8,767 4,327 4,440 50-54 5,584 2,739 2,845 5,777 2,835 2,942 5,946 2,920 3,026 6,104 3,005 3,099 6,261 3,096 3,165 6,413 3,193 3,220 6,559 3,293 3,266 6,719 3,400 3,319 55-59 4,004 1,906 2,098 4,262 2,037 2,225 4,564 2,190 2,374 4,864 2,340 2,524 5,127 2,473 2,654 5,348 2,584 2,764 5,539 2,679 2,859 5,706 2,763 2,943 60-64 3,389 1,589 1,800 3,330 1,571 1,759 3,269 1,554 1,715 3,256 1,560 1,696 3,325 1,604 1,722 3,487 1,690 1,797 3,719 1,809 1,910 3,990 1,947 2,043 65-69 2,536 1,218 1,318 2,669 1,273 1,396 2,798 1,327 1,471 2,895 1,369 1,526 2,941 1,391 1,550 2,929 1,390 1,539 2,878 1,375 1,504 2,827 1,361 1,466 70-74 1,667 804 863 1,682 804 877 1,699 808 891 1,734 820 915 1,792 842 950 1,878 876 1,002 1,981 918 1,063 2,080 957 1,122 75-79 1,077 584 493 1,115 590 525 1,159 600 560 1,197 607 590 1,223 609 614 1,237 609 629 1,248 608 640 1,261 610 651 80+ 955 464 491 1,018 501 518 1,075 532 543 1,132 561 570 1,190 589 601 1,251 615 636 1,314 639 675 1,376 662 714

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mansa District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 282,333 138,724 143,609 288,749 141,883 146,866 322,102 158,300 163,802 358,837 176,394 182,443 399,896 196,640 203,256 0-4 51,488 25,947 25,541 52,045 26,235 25,810 54,811 27,679 27,131 58,863 29,773 29,090 64,117 32,470 31,647 5-9 45,450 22,628 22,822 45,980 22,908 23,072 48,711 24,315 24,396 51,705 25,848 25,857 56,034 28,049 27,985

10-14 37,339 18,440 18,899 39,338 19,448 19,890 45,052 22,364 22,689 47,823 23,773 24,050 50,963 25,358 25,604 15-19 30,135 14,985 15,150 30,562 15,139 15,423 38,620 19,112 19,509 44,501 22,091 22,410 47,472 23,582 23,891 20-24 27,746 14,215 13,532 28,105 14,425 13,680 28,039 14,176 13,863 35,861 18,126 17,735 41,688 21,144 20,544 25-29 18,804 9,008 9,796 19,770 9,636 10,135 23,564 11,896 11,668 23,600 11,709 11,891 30,676 15,238 15,438 30-34 13,819 5,802 8,017 13,946 5,889 8,057 17,604 8,289 9,315 21,193 10,356 10,837 21,407 10,262 11,145 35-39 13,035 5,906 7,129 13,108 5,818 7,290 12,653 5,377 7,277 16,096 7,618 8,477 19,542 9,594 9,949 40-44 10,644 5,224 5,420 10,864 5,269 5,595 12,091 5,263 6,828 11,752 4,900 6,853 15,040 7,002 8,038 45-49 9,148 4,471 4,677 9,471 4,594 4,877 10,446 4,925 5,521 11,703 4,945 6,758 11,454 4,637 6,817 50-54 6,916 3,515 3,401 7,167 3,642 3,525 8,909 4,336 4,573 9,857 4,661 5,196 11,097 4,702 6,395 55-59 5,862 2,847 3,016 6,018 2,937 3,082 6,905 3,469 3,436 8,620 4,147 4,473 9,588 4,481 5,107 60-64 4,256 2,082 2,174 4,492 2,203 2,289 5,291 2,626 2,665 6,096 3,113 2,982 7,650 3,741 3,910 65-69 2,818 1,367 1,450 2,882 1,406 1,475 3,916 1,937 1,979 4,624 2,313 2,311 5,356 2,754 2,602 70-74 2,152 987 1,165 2,185 1,002 1,183 2,142 1,016 1,126 2,929 1,404 1,525 3,470 1,681 1,788 75-79 1,288 619 669 1,333 636 697 1,638 757 881 1,604 762 842 2,216 1,054 1,162 80+ 1,433 681 752 1,483 697 786 1,710 763 947 2,009 854 1,154 2,127 893 1,234

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90 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex ,Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MILENGE DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Milenge District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 45,010 22,129 22,881 47,173 23,173 24,000 49,412 24,254 25,158 51,730 25,374 26,356 54,127 26,532 27,595 56,618 27,735 28,883 59,210 28,986 30,224 61,909 30,288 31,621 0-4 9,846 4,889 4,956 10,400 5,164 5,236 10,887 5,405 5,482 11,310 5,614 5,697 11,676 5,796 5,881 12,037 5,974 6,063 12,420 6,163 6,257 12,823 6,361 6,462 5-9 7,091 3,489 3,602 7,542 3,707 3,835 8,092 3,978 4,114 8,713 4,287 4,427 9,371 4,613 4,758 10,004 4,928 5,077 10,580 5,213 5,367 11,089 5,464 5,624

10-14 6,294 3,136 3,159 6,383 3,170 3,213 6,468 3,198 3,269 6,604 3,251 3,354 6,840 3,352 3,487 7,193 3,516 3,677 7,656 3,737 3,918 8,222 4,014 4,208 15-19 4,951 2,460 2,491 5,268 2,637 2,631 5,573 2,803 2,770 5,836 2,943 2,893 6,036 3,047 2,989 6,167 3,111 3,056 6,252 3,144 3,107 6,334 3,171 3,162 20-24 3,417 1,497 1,920 3,626 1,619 2,007 3,880 1,770 2,110 4,160 1,935 2,225 4,451 2,102 2,348 4,754 2,271 2,482 5,068 2,442 2,627 5,371 2,602 2,770 25-29 2,931 1,376 1,555 2,942 1,360 1,582 2,951 1,349 1,602 2,988 1,360 1,628 3,078 1,407 1,670 3,231 1,498 1,733 3,444 1,630 1,814 3,705 1,795 1,911 30-34 2,470 1,205 1,264 2,590 1,235 1,354 2,710 1,261 1,449 2,813 1,278 1,535 2,887 1,284 1,603 2,927 1,278 1,649 2,941 1,262 1,678 2,953 1,252 1,701 35-39 2,143 1,086 1,058 2,226 1,124 1,102 2,305 1,158 1,146 2,390 1,192 1,198 2,490 1,227 1,263 2,608 1,261 1,347 2,740 1,295 1,445 2,872 1,324 1,548 40-44 1,529 809 720 1,636 857 779 1,750 907 843 1,863 956 907 1,969 1,002 967 2,063 1,044 1,018 2,146 1,083 1,063 2,225 1,119 1,106 45-49 1,204 611 593 1,257 643 615 1,316 677 638 1,383 715 668 1,464 756 708 1,561 801 760 1,672 850 822 1,792 901 891 50-54 953 505 448 1,008 534 474 1,060 562 498 1,113 591 522 1,167 622 545 1,222 655 567 1,278 690 588 1,339 728 611 55-59 578 294 284 629 321 308 688 352 336 750 385 365 808 415 393 862 443 418 912 470 443 961 495 466 60-64 580 249 331 582 251 331 584 254 330 594 261 333 620 274 346 664 295 369 724 322 402 794 354 439 65-69 421 197 223 452 211 242 485 225 260 513 237 276 533 246 287 542 251 291 544 253 291 546 256 290 70-74 314 142 172 324 145 179 335 149 186 349 154 195 369 162 207 396 172 224 427 184 243 458 196 262 75-79 166 109 57 175 112 63 185 116 68 194 120 74 202 123 78 208 126 82 214 129 85 220 132 89 80+ 122 75 48 134 82 51 144 89 55 155 96 59 167 103 64 179 110 69 192 117 75 205 124 81

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Milenge District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 64,713 31,640 33,073 67,629 33,044 34,585 84,013 40,916 43,097 104,166 50,570 53,596 129,113 62,490 66,623 0-4 13,246 6,568 6,677 13,687 6,784 6,903 16,106 7,959 8,146 19,326 9,536 9,790 23,466 11,548 11,918 5-9 11,535 5,683 5,851 11,929 5,877 6,051 14,120 6,937 7,183 16,748 8,214 8,533 20,232 9,898 10,335

10-14 8,863 4,329 4,534 9,545 4,664 4,882 12,215 5,964 6,251 14,488 7,062 7,427 17,212 8,364 8,848 15-19 6,469 3,223 3,245 6,706 3,326 3,380 9,469 4,670 4,799 12,192 6,012 6,179 14,498 7,126 7,372 20-24 5,633 2,737 2,896 5,832 2,837 2,995 6,507 3,100 3,407 9,301 4,416 4,886 12,052 5,719 6,333 25-29 3,994 1,975 2,020 4,295 2,158 2,138 5,725 2,962 2,762 6,403 3,248 3,156 9,278 4,693 4,585 30-34 2,994 1,264 1,731 3,090 1,310 1,779 4,360 2,051 2,309 5,865 2,854 3,011 6,605 3,140 3,465 35-39 2,987 1,344 1,643 3,071 1,352 1,719 3,315 1,390 1,926 4,708 2,193 2,515 6,369 3,067 3,302 40-44 2,311 1,153 1,157 2,410 1,188 1,222 2,994 1,320 1,674 3,252 1,369 1,883 4,644 2,172 2,472 45-49 1,911 951 960 2,022 998 1,024 2,491 1,190 1,302 3,116 1,330 1,786 3,401 1,385 2,016 50-54 1,409 769 640 1,493 813 679 2,066 1,077 989 2,549 1,290 1,260 3,179 1,445 1,735 55-59 1,009 521 488 1,059 549 510 1,360 721 639 1,892 960 932 2,343 1,151 1,191 60-64 865 387 478 933 419 515 1,228 555 673 1,576 733 844 2,215 977 1,238 65-69 557 263 294 582 276 306 883 423 460 1,165 563 602 1,503 744 759 70-74 485 207 278 503 214 289 550 241 309 840 372 469 1,109 494 615 75-79 230 136 93 243 143 99 331 190 141 364 213 151 560 327 233 80+ 217 130 87 229 136 93 292 166 126 379 207 172 446 240 206

Page 104: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 91

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MWENSE DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mwense District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 121,623 59,565 62,058 123,367 60,418 62,949 125,067 61,255 63,812 126,723 62,074 64,649 128,335 62,874 65,461 129,922 63,665 66,257 131,502 64,451 67,051 133,072 65,234 67,838 0-4 23,968 12,044 11,923 24,496 12,316 12,180 24,808 12,478 12,330 24,933 12,545 12,387 24,904 12,540 12,364 24,840 12,517 12,323 24,799 12,504 12,295 24,774 12,499 12,275 5-9 17,776 8,841 8,935 18,293 9,093 9,200 18,988 9,445 9,543 19,781 9,854 9,927 20,583 10,267 10,316 21,261 10,620 10,641 21,756 10,880 10,876 22,062 11,044 11,018 10-14 16,440 8,292 8,148 16,129 8,115 8,013 15,811 7,926 7,885 15,618 7,798 7,820 15,648 7,787 7,862 15,922 7,907 8,015 16,397 8,140 8,257 17,038 8,466 8,572 15-19 13,747 6,848 6,899 14,152 7,104 7,047 14,484 7,310 7,174 14,673 7,431 7,242 14,684 7,450 7,234 14,516 7,365 7,151 14,238 7,209 7,030 13,957 7,041 6,916 20-24 9,501 4,288 5,213 9,757 4,489 5,268 10,106 4,750 5,356 10,488 5,027 5,461 10,860 5,288 5,572 11,226 5,532 5,694 11,584 5,759 5,825 11,881 5,943 5,938 25-29 8,072 3,504 4,568 7,846 3,353 4,493 7,618 3,220 4,399 7,466 3,143 4,322 7,437 3,148 4,288 7,546 3,245 4,301 7,772 3,420 4,352 8,078 3,646 4,432 30-34 6,861 3,252 3,610 6,965 3,226 3,739 7,056 3,188 3,868 7,089 3,128 3,961 7,042 3,043 3,999 6,909 2,931 3,978 6,720 2,805 3,915 6,529 2,694 3,835 35-39 5,911 2,851 3,060 5,941 2,856 3,085 5,952 2,851 3,101 5,973 2,841 3,133 6,024 2,829 3,195 6,110 2,817 3,293 6,216 2,801 3,416 6,311 2,773 3,538 40-44 4,733 2,432 2,301 4,900 2,495 2,405 5,074 2,556 2,518 5,228 2,608 2,620 5,347 2,647 2,700 5,420 2,671 2,749 5,455 2,681 2,774 5,473 2,682 2,791 45-49 3,873 1,983 1,890 3,913 2,020 1,893 3,962 2,060 1,901 4,030 2,105 1,925 4,126 2,155 1,971 4,256 2,211 2,045 4,413 2,273 2,140 4,574 2,333 2,242 50-54 3,123 1,561 1,561 3,195 1,599 1,596 3,252 1,629 1,624 3,302 1,658 1,644 3,350 1,689 1,660 3,393 1,723 1,670 3,433 1,758 1,674 3,478 1,796 1,682 55-59 2,149 1,064 1,085 2,262 1,125 1,138 2,396 1,196 1,201 2,525 1,264 1,262 2,633 1,321 1,312 2,716 1,366 1,351 2,782 1,401 1,381 2,834 1,429 1,405 60-64 1,895 810 1,085 1,840 791 1,049 1,786 774 1,011 1,758 769 989 1,774 782 993 1,839 815 1,024 1,939 863 1,076 2,057 919 1,138 65-69 1,343 644 700 1,398 665 733 1,450 686 764 1,483 700 783 1,490 703 787 1,468 695 772 1,426 680 746 1,385 666 719 70-74 1,034 515 518 1,031 510 521 1,030 506 524 1,040 508 531 1,062 517 546 1,101 532 569 1,148 551 597 1,191 569 623 75-79 616 309 308 632 309 324 652 310 341 666 311 356 674 308 366 675 305 370 674 301 373 674 299 375 80+ 583 329 254 616 351 264 644 370 274 670 386 285 697 400 297 724 413 310 751 425 326 776 435 341

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mwense District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 134,630 66,010 68,620 136,172 66,779 69,393 143,679 70,527 73,152 151,335 74,361 76,974 159,391 78,409 80,982 0-4 24,761 12,499 12,261 24,753 12,502 12,250 24,670 12,496 12,174 25,088 12,744 12,344 25,841 13,169 12,672 5-9 22,204 11,124 11,080 22,216 11,141 11,075 22,273 11,203 11,070 22,388 11,291 11,096 22,941 11,609 11,332 10-14 17,771 8,843 8,928 18,516 9,227 9,289 20,068 10,051 10,017 20,172 10,131 10,042 20,327 10,238 10,088 15-19 13,792 6,930 6,861 13,832 6,927 6,906 16,541 8,284 8,257 18,049 9,079 8,970 18,206 9,182 9,024 20-24 12,056 6,054 6,001 12,076 6,078 5,999 11,405 5,659 5,746 13,812 6,860 6,952 15,181 7,582 7,599 25-29 8,414 3,885 4,528 8,743 4,111 4,632 9,849 4,809 5,041 9,346 4,487 4,859 11,485 5,533 5,952 30-34 6,405 2,633 3,772 6,392 2,644 3,748 7,622 3,526 4,096 8,683 4,177 4,506 8,295 3,921 4,373 35-39 6,355 2,726 3,629 6,325 2,656 3,669 5,787 2,325 3,462 6,938 3,124 3,814 7,951 3,728 4,224 40-44 5,501 2,679 2,822 5,553 2,673 2,880 5,852 2,529 3,323 5,386 2,232 3,154 6,513 3,023 3,491 45-49 4,719 2,384 2,335 4,831 2,423 2,407 5,038 2,461 2,576 5,325 2,343 2,982 4,920 2,082 2,838 50-54 3,541 1,837 1,704 3,629 1,882 1,747 4,265 2,123 2,142 4,466 2,164 2,301 4,741 2,069 2,673 55-59 2,880 1,456 1,424 2,925 1,486 1,439 3,180 1,663 1,517 3,752 1,885 1,867 3,941 1,930 2,011 60-64 2,169 972 1,197 2,264 1,018 1,246 2,521 1,149 1,371 2,743 1,292 1,451 3,266 1,470 1,796 65-69 1,365 662 703 1,381 674 707 1,776 879 897 1,986 995 991 2,175 1,123 1,052 70-74 1,219 580 639 1,224 583 641 1,137 559 577 1,472 733 739 1,650 832 818 75-79 681 300 381 697 305 393 813 344 469 752 328 424 982 430 552 80+ 798 443 355 815 448 367 883 465 418 975 494 481 975 489 486

Page 105: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

92 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex ,Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, NCHELENGE DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Nchelenge District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 157,226 78,225 79,001 162,618 80,861 81,757 168,100 83,544 84,556 173,680 86,277 87,403 154,520 89,059 65,461 185,146 91,900 93,246 191,092 94,815 96,277 197,189 97,802 99,387 0-4 31,606 15,671 15,936 32,957 16,346 16,611 34,054 16,893 17,161 34,919 17,323 17,595 30,022 17,658 12,364 36,202 17,969 18,234 36,864 18,297 18,566 37,559 18,641 18,919 5-9 22,571 11,141 11,431 23,698 11,689 12,009 25,098 12,386 12,712 26,675 13,179 13,496 24,318 14,002 10,316 29,835 14,765 15,070 31,139 15,419 15,720 32,206 15,951 16,255 10-14 21,158 10,728 10,430 21,178 10,712 10,467 21,181 10,672 10,510 21,346 10,708 10,638 18,765 10,904 7,862 22,646 11,289 11,357 23,787 11,846 11,941 25,210 12,556 12,654 15-19 16,987 8,503 8,484 17,842 8,999 8,843 18,632 9,445 9,187 19,258 9,792 9,466 17,246 10,012 7,234 19,826 10,090 9,736 19,835 10,067 9,768 19,829 10,021 9,808 20-24 12,753 5,902 6,851 13,369 6,303 7,065 14,133 6,803 7,330 14,972 7,344 7,628 13,449 7,877 5,572 16,687 8,401 8,286 17,566 8,915 8,651 18,376 9,377 9,000 25-29 11,734 5,280 6,454 11,633 5,155 6,478 11,520 5,049 6,472 11,518 5,027 6,490 9,423 5,135 4,288 12,123 5,395 6,728 12,743 5,796 6,947 13,519 6,298 7,221 30-34 9,918 5,000 4,918 10,259 5,061 5,199 10,589 5,101 5,488 10,841 5,105 5,736 9,064 5,064 3,999 10,974 4,974 6,000 10,878 4,851 6,026 10,774 4,749 6,025 35-39 8,380 4,476 3,904 8,589 4,574 4,016 8,776 4,657 4,119 8,980 4,733 4,247 8,002 4,807 3,195 9,531 4,880 4,651 9,868 4,945 4,924 10,195 4,989 5,205 40-44 6,012 3,280 2,731 6,346 3,432 2,914 6,700 3,587 3,113 7,039 3,733 3,306 6,563 3,863 2,700 7,587 3,974 3,613 7,787 4,067 3,720 7,967 4,147 3,820 45-49 4,731 2,506 2,225 4,879 2,604 2,274 5,040 2,709 2,331 5,231 2,823 2,408 4,919 2,947 1,971 5,748 3,083 2,665 6,076 3,230 2,846 6,422 3,379 3,044 50-54 3,533 1,827 1,706 3,688 1,908 1,780 3,830 1,983 1,847 3,968 2,058 1,910 3,799 2,139 1,660 4,245 2,225 2,020 4,381 2,314 2,067 4,528 2,408 2,120 55-59 2,471 1,199 1,272 2,655 1,294 1,361 2,868 1,403 1,466 3,084 1,512 1,572 2,924 1,612 1,312 3,452 1,699 1,753 3,606 1,776 1,830 3,747 1,847 1,900 60-64 1,940 956 983 1,924 954 970 1,906 952 954 1,916 964 952 1,992 999 993 2,089 1,062 1,027 2,248 1,147 1,102 2,433 1,244 1,189 65-69 1,353 656 697 1,436 692 745 1,519 727 792 1,586 757 829 1,562 775 787 1,633 782 851 1,619 779 839 1,604 778 826 70-74 938 470 468 954 474 480 973 480 492 1,002 492 510 1,055 510 546 1,104 535 569 1,174 565 609 1,243 594 649 75-79 582 323 259 608 330 278 637 338 299 663 345 318 715 349 366 697 352 345 709 354 354 722 358 364 80+ 559 307 252 603 335 268 642 359 283 682 382 300 701 404 297 767 426 341 812 446 365 856 466 390

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Nchelenge District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 203,432 100,858 102,574 209,824 103,987 105,837 244,151 120,759 123,392 283,654 140,027 143,627 329,580 162,401 167,179 0-4 38,286 18,997 19,289 39,036 19,366 19,671 42,963 21,292 21,671 48,187 23,846 24,341 54,710 27,037 27,673 5-9 33,059 16,375 16,684 33,735 16,714 17,021 37,349 18,487 18,862 41,406 20,463 20,943 46,772 23,084 23,688 10-14 26,817 13,366 13,451 28,498 14,213 14,286 34,109 17,031 17,078 37,815 18,851 18,964 42,004 20,904 21,100 15-19 19,984 10,052 9,931 20,443 10,240 10,203 26,996 13,470 13,525 32,489 16,212 16,276 36,125 17,991 18,133 20-24 19,018 9,734 9,284 19,432 9,959 9,472 20,259 10,199 10,059 27,061 13,579 13,482 32,788 16,467 16,320 25-29 14,370 6,839 7,531 15,238 7,376 7,863 18,976 9,489 9,486 19,853 9,725 10,128 26,899 13,157 13,742 30-34 10,779 4,730 6,049 10,976 4,841 6,135 14,533 7,100 7,433 18,296 9,237 9,059 19,251 9,515 9,736 35-39 10,447 4,999 5,449 10,588 4,965 5,623 10,663 4,781 5,882 14,233 7,054 7,179 18,039 9,234 8,805 40-44 8,163 4,220 3,943 8,399 4,292 4,107 9,721 4,467 5,254 9,854 4,330 5,524 13,204 6,433 6,771 45-49 6,755 3,519 3,235 7,051 3,646 3,405 8,113 4,073 4,039 9,438 4,258 5,180 9,612 4,152 5,460 50-54 4,702 2,511 2,192 4,915 2,622 2,293 6,371 3,254 3,117 7,352 3,642 3,710 8,591 3,819 4,772 55-59 3,883 1,918 1,965 4,021 1,995 2,027 4,824 2,456 2,368 6,286 3,057 3,230 7,287 3,433 3,854 60-64 2,618 1,341 1,277 2,788 1,431 1,356 3,433 1,778 1,655 4,135 2,195 1,940 5,399 2,741 2,658 65-69 1,612 788 824 1,663 817 846 2,362 1,173 1,189 2,914 1,459 1,455 3,517 1,805 1,712 70-74 1,297 618 679 1,328 632 696 1,362 668 695 1,946 961 985 2,404 1,196 1,207 75-79 744 367 377 777 380 397 997 471 525 1,020 494 526 1,469 710 759 80+ 897 483 414 935 498 437 1,121 569 552 1,368 663 705 1,508 720 788

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 93

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SAMFYA DISTRICT, Luapula Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Samfya District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 202,892 99,175 103,717 207,281 101,175 106,106 211,649 103,165 108,484 215,999 105,146 110,853 220,327 107,116 113,211 224,666 109,089 115,577 229,049 111,076 117,973 233,469 113,076 120,393 0-4 41,847 21,071 20,775 43,071 21,675 21,397 43,932 22,091 21,841 44,472 22,345 22,127 44,743 22,470 22,274 44,957 22,562 22,395 45,216 22,674 22,541 45,507 22,801 22,706 5-9 30,409 15,060 15,349 31,515 15,582 15,933 32,947 16,283 16,665 34,571 17,089 17,482 36,235 17,912 18,323 37,703 18,638 19,065 38,868 19,209 19,658 39,709 19,615 20,094

10-14 26,826 13,536 13,290 26,505 13,328 13,178 26,169 13,095 13,074 26,036 12,961 13,076 26,278 13,019 13,258 26,935 13,300 13,634 27,945 13,774 14,171 29,255 14,412 14,844 15-19 21,806 10,798 11,007 22,606 11,270 11,337 23,302 11,666 11,636 23,776 11,929 11,847 23,967 12,033 11,934 23,866 11,966 11,901 23,584 11,782 11,802 23,291 11,577 11,714 20-24 15,246 6,750 8,496 15,766 7,110 8,657 16,441 7,568 8,873 17,181 8,057 9,124 17,916 8,526 9,390 18,653 8,973 9,680 19,387 9,398 9,989 20,030 9,756 10,273 25-29 13,413 5,816 7,597 13,133 5,600 7,533 12,845 5,409 7,436 12,681 5,312 7,369 12,727 5,353 7,374 13,010 5,550 7,460 13,499 5,885 7,614 14,135 6,311 7,824 30-34 11,457 5,378 6,080 11,717 5,367 6,350 11,959 5,336 6,624 12,107 5,267 6,840 12,120 5,155 6,965 11,984 4,995 6,988 11,746 4,809 6,938 11,503 4,646 6,857 35-39 10,210 5,026 5,184 10,333 5,065 5,268 10,425 5,086 5,340 10,538 5,098 5,440 10,704 5,109 5,595 10,935 5,117 5,818 11,206 5,117 6,088 11,460 5,097 6,363 40-44 8,095 4,216 3,879 8,439 4,350 4,088 8,799 4,484 4,316 9,131 4,602 4,529 9,406 4,699 4,706 9,604 4,770 4,834 9,738 4,818 4,920 9,843 4,848 4,995 45-49 6,048 3,092 2,956 6,155 3,169 2,986 6,274 3,251 3,024 6,428 3,341 3,087 6,630 3,441 3,189 6,889 3,552 3,337 7,195 3,673 3,522 7,515 3,792 3,723 50-54 4,820 2,354 2,467 4,967 2,425 2,543 5,092 2,485 2,608 5,207 2,544 2,663 5,320 2,608 2,712 5,429 2,677 2,752 5,531 2,747 2,783 5,645 2,823 2,822 55-59 3,282 1,602 1,679 3,479 1,704 1,776 3,712 1,822 1,890 3,940 1,937 2,003 4,138 2,038 2,100 4,300 2,119 2,181 4,436 2,186 2,250 4,554 2,244 2,310 60-64 3,068 1,406 1,662 3,002 1,382 1,620 2,935 1,361 1,574 2,912 1,360 1,552 2,962 1,390 1,571 3,093 1,458 1,635 3,287 1,553 1,734 3,513 1,664 1,849 65-69 2,500 1,088 1,413 2,622 1,131 1,491 2,740 1,173 1,567 2,825 1,204 1,621 2,859 1,217 1,642 2,837 1,211 1,626 2,776 1,192 1,584 2,714 1,174 1,541 70-74 1,785 863 922 1,794 859 935 1,805 858 947 1,836 866 969 1,890 886 1,004 1,973 917 1,056 2,074 956 1,118 2,169 992 1,177 75-79 1,108 592 516 1,143 596 547 1,184 602 582 1,218 606 611 1,240 606 634 1,250 602 648 1,256 599 657 1,265 598 667 80+ 972 526 445 1,033 565 468 1,087 598 489 1,140 628 512 1,194 655 539 1,249 680 568 1,306 704 601 1,361 726 635

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Samfya District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 237,922 115,085 122,837 242,404 117,103 125,301 265,290 127,327 137,963 289,925 138,240 151,685 316,922 150,122 166,800 0-4 45,824 22,939 22,885 46,154 23,084 23,070 47,767 23,794 23,973 50,432 25,008 25,424 53,861 26,574 27,286 5-9 40,266 19,878 20,388 40,591 20,029 20,562 42,261 20,770 21,492 44,106 21,574 22,531 46,868 22,811 24,057

10-14 30,743 15,145 15,598 32,273 15,897 16,376 36,325 17,859 18,466 37,911 18,551 19,361 39,615 19,280 20,335 15-19 23,191 11,464 11,726 23,437 11,528 11,909 29,108 14,218 14,890 32,977 16,058 16,918 34,496 16,702 17,793 20-24 20,475 9,998 10,477 20,665 10,099 10,566 20,280 9,696 10,584 25,507 12,114 13,393 29,074 13,768 15,306 25-29 14,832 6,766 8,067 15,528 7,203 8,325 18,162 8,688 9,474 17,906 8,355 9,551 22,828 10,595 12,233 30-34 11,374 4,568 6,806 11,438 4,616 6,823 14,144 6,346 7,797 16,721 7,748 8,972 16,584 7,481 9,103 35-39 11,625 5,041 6,584 11,659 4,942 6,717 11,089 4,462 6,628 13,815 6,178 7,637 16,422 7,580 8,842 40-44 9,967 4,871 5,096 10,138 4,890 5,247 11,103 4,772 6,331 10,625 4,341 6,285 13,317 6,044 7,272 45-49 7,812 3,899 3,912 8,058 3,988 4,070 8,731 4,177 4,555 9,612 4,098 5,514 9,232 3,744 5,487 50-54 5,789 2,905 2,884 5,978 2,995 2,982 7,308 3,484 3,824 7,957 3,660 4,298 8,815 3,597 5,218 55-59 4,662 2,301 2,362 4,769 2,362 2,407 5,380 2,726 2,654 6,601 3,184 3,417 7,201 3,352 3,849 60-64 3,734 1,771 1,963 3,927 1,865 2,062 4,545 2,172 2,373 5,143 2,516 2,627 6,343 2,946 3,397 65-69 2,694 1,174 1,520 2,745 1,202 1,543 3,662 1,617 2,045 4,250 1,887 2,363 4,813 2,189 2,624 70-74 2,237 1,018 1,218 2,263 1,029 1,234 2,181 1,019 1,162 2,932 1,376 1,555 3,405 1,606 1,800 75-79 1,287 603 684 1,328 617 711 1,606 718 888 1,546 706 840 2,095 951 1,143 80+ 1,410 743 667 1,452 756 695 1,638 810 828 1,884 886 998 1,955 902 1,053

Page 107: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

94 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

RegionProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 2,362,967 2,461,932 2,564,058 2,669,249 2,777,439 2,888,575 3,002,530 3,119,190 3,238,430 3,360,183 3,484,394 3,610,977 3,739,872 3,870,981 4,004,276 4,139,735 4,277,387 4,417,309 4,559,551 4,704,135 4,851,133 5,000,706 5,152,945 5,307,950 5,465,775

0-4 399,081 413,095 428,141 444,227 462,126 480,674 498,671 516,120 533,033 549,475 565,439 580,928 595,962 610,598 624,857 638,775 652,462 666,092 679,794 693,636 707,740 722,230 737,153 752,541 768,463 5-9 323,027 334,560 347,089 360,209 372,714 385,486 399,478 414,441 430,375 448,008 466,241 483,955 501,163 517,862 534,124 549,931 565,285 580,207 594,751 608,947 622,820 636,478 650,084 663,772 677,600

10-14 282,114 291,178 300,444 309,931 319,721 330,198 341,738 354,272 367,383 379,841 392,521 406,368 421,166 436,938 454,452 472,573 490,184 507,292 523,894 540,060 555,779 571,047 585,902 600,386 614,529 15-19 263,959 271,091 277,958 285,205 293,329 302,131 311,147 320,369 329,824 339,600 350,082 361,634 374,172 387,253 399,605 412,159 425,868 440,524 456,179 473,635 491,695 509,247 526,295 542,836 558,939 20-24 240,517 250,801 261,326 271,290 280,171 287,947 295,029 301,859 309,071 317,148 325,892 334,854 344,037 353,465 363,257 373,769 385,362 397,928 410,998 423,260 435,692 449,256 463,763 479,307 496,727 25-29 227,127 234,729 241,566 248,712 256,902 266,286 276,431 286,832 296,697 305,521 313,278 320,368 327,225 334,460 342,546 351,302 360,286 369,503 378,992 388,876 399,503 411,221 423,896 437,023 449,246 30-34 187,994 199,221 210,909 222,217 232,628 241,590 249,131 255,965 263,130 271,318 280,662 290,764 301,125 310,992 319,858 327,702 334,910 341,901 349,275 357,488 366,366 375,484 384,846 394,497 404,571 35-39 147,181 154,940 162,385 170,215 178,863 188,682 199,564 210,933 221,972 232,188 241,056 248,600 255,504 262,738 270,976 280,347 290,469 300,857 310,787 319,765 327,770 335,169 342,361 349,941 358,342 40-44 94,134 103,785 114,150 124,251 133,436 141,587 149,060 156,294 163,930 172,365 181,925 192,511 203,584 214,372 224,413 233,202 240,762 247,745 255,064 263,364 272,762 282,905 293,325 303,321 312,416 45-49 63,849 66,870 70,391 74,980 80,958 88,566 97,563 107,272 116,792 125,531 133,365 140,604 147,652 155,101 163,322 172,619 182,913 193,698 204,239 214,103 222,812 230,383 237,424 244,813 253,152 50-54 45,407 48,094 50,827 53,596 56,403 59,154 61,965 65,261 69,551 75,157 82,285 90,721 99,842 108,830 117,122 124,619 131,590 138,412 145,635 153,600 162,595 172,558 183,003 193,248 202,877 55-59 30,006 32,190 34,569 36,992 39,360 41,734 44,195 46,710 49,275 51,883 54,458 57,099 60,186 64,198 69,433 76,072 83,938 92,456 100,877 108,685 115,786 122,429 128,961 135,888 143,524 60-64 21,739 22,456 23,217 24,199 25,518 27,187 29,135 31,267 33,445 35,587 37,746 39,984 42,283 44,625 47,012 49,384 51,815 54,663 58,360 63,173 69,271 76,485 84,308 92,061 99,276 65-69 14,279 15,315 16,388 17,380 18,228 18,926 19,543 20,201 21,062 22,219 23,682 25,383 27,242 29,146 31,025 32,910 34,885 36,907 38,978 41,085 43,189 45,352 47,889 51,178 55,462 70-74 9,418 9,730 10,081 10,521 11,090 11,801 12,625 13,483 14,276 14,960 15,532 16,046 16,602 17,325 18,285 19,501 20,898 22,432 23,994 25,543 27,097 28,732 30,410 32,126 33,876 75-79 6,023 6,289 6,594 6,885 7,143 7,362 7,580 7,830 8,153 8,570 9,095 9,700 10,333 10,919 11,424 11,846 12,236 12,654 13,205 13,931 14,847 15,894 17,034 18,196 19,341 80+ 7,112 7,588 8,023 8,439 8,849 9,264 9,675 10,081 10,461 10,812 11,135 11,458 11,794 12,159 12,565 13,024 13,524 14,038 14,529 14,984 15,409 15,836 16,291 16,816 17,434

Total (Females) 1,188,564 1,239,398 1,291,810 1,345,756 1,401,215 1,458,167 1,516,541 1,576,295 1,637,358 1,699,699 1,763,294 1,828,096 1,894,083 1,961,205 2,029,452 2,098,824 2,169,333 2,241,010 2,313,895 2,387,994 2,463,345 2,540,024 2,618,075 2,697,560 2,778,504

0-4 197,379 204,385 211,761 219,642 228,540 237,754 246,699 255,373 263,782 271,962 279,912 287,628 295,119 302,414 309,525 316,465 323,292 330,091 336,927 343,832 350,867 358,094 365,536 373,208 381,145 5-9 159,199 164,698 171,144 178,068 184,604 191,196 198,239 205,628 213,487 222,300 231,398 240,242 248,837 257,181 265,310 273,222 280,909 288,382 295,670 302,788 309,744 316,591 323,414 330,279 337,211

10-14 147,361 150,539 153,491 156,584 160,144 164,569 170,100 176,570 183,508 190,036 196,592 203,576 210,897 218,693 227,472 236,541 245,359 253,927 262,240 270,340 278,225 285,887 293,340 300,614 307,722 15-19 139,940 144,131 148,277 152,336 156,329 160,005 163,196 166,176 169,300 172,897 177,362 182,928 189,420 196,360 202,844 209,351 216,285 223,560 231,331 240,117 249,189 258,006 266,571 274,879 282,964 20-24 130,977 135,814 140,541 145,084 149,405 153,600 157,778 161,908 165,964 169,956 173,641 176,860 179,885 183,060 186,724 191,255 196,882 203,418 210,377 216,839 223,314 230,209 237,455 245,216 254,032 25-29 119,411 124,766 129,615 134,312 139,115 144,010 148,827 153,550 158,094 162,420 166,623 170,810 174,953 179,026 183,047 186,780 190,069 193,183 196,456 200,227 204,862 210,585 217,196 224,201 230,664 30-34 91,789 98,760 106,023 113,130 119,793 125,768 131,052 135,864 140,551 145,351 150,245 155,082 159,837 164,427 168,804 173,063 177,310 181,513 185,663 189,766 193,603 197,017 200,269 203,687 207,603 35-39 65,924 70,510 75,147 80,114 85,569 91,687 98,428 105,477 112,399 118,915 124,789 130,019 134,815 139,504 144,318 149,240 154,124 158,935 163,597 168,058 172,402 176,739 181,034 185,287 189,502 40-44 40,318 44,616 49,432 54,343 59,067 63,550 67,941 72,407 77,211 82,496 88,426 94,958 101,801 108,535 114,905 120,680 125,860 130,645 135,341 140,172 145,120 150,043 154,909 159,634 164,172 45-49 29,325 30,194 31,255 32,858 35,212 38,451 42,476 47,008 51,654 56,157 60,460 64,691 69,008 73,656 78,772 84,510 90,836 97,476 104,031 110,260 115,939 121,067 125,827 130,519 135,352 50-54 22,408 23,670 24,857 25,959 26,980 27,867 28,688 29,702 31,224 33,462 36,532 40,341 44,634 49,050 53,339 57,461 61,527 65,687 70,174 75,113 80,652 86,766 93,190 99,552 105,615 55-59 14,514 15,811 17,217 18,601 19,876 21,070 22,227 23,330 24,363 25,330 26,182 26,981 27,955 29,406 31,528 34,417 38,005 42,050 46,217 50,283 54,203 58,085 62,068 66,367 71,106 60-64 10,594 10,923 11,278 11,782 12,508 13,475 14,633 15,893 17,141 18,302 19,396 20,462 21,486 22,445 23,345 24,154 24,913 25,840 27,206 29,188 31,877 35,206 38,960 42,836 46,629 65-69 7,116 7,647 8,200 8,710 9,138 9,474 9,755 10,065 10,513 11,155 12,009 13,026 14,133 15,231 16,256 17,224 18,176 19,090 19,957 20,769 21,506 22,207 23,061 24,308 26,107 70-74 4,917 5,084 5,264 5,488 5,773 6,137 6,565 7,015 7,427 7,780 8,063 8,307 8,576 8,961 9,503 10,224 11,072 11,997 12,911 13,771 14,582 15,386 16,161 16,899 17,592 75-79 3,284 3,446 3,627 3,796 3,947 4,072 4,190 4,323 4,491 4,706 4,982 5,304 5,642 5,956 6,224 6,437 6,629 6,840 7,145 7,567 8,126 8,776 9,480 10,173 10,823 80+ 4,108 4,404 4,681 4,949 5,215 5,482 5,747 6,006 6,249 6,474 6,682 6,881 7,085 7,300 7,536 7,800 8,085 8,376 8,652 8,904 9,134 9,360 9,604 9,901 10,265

Total (Males) 1,174,403 1,222,534 1,272,248 1,323,493 1,376,224 1,430,408 1,485,989 1,542,895 1,601,072 1,660,484 1,721,100 1,782,881 1,845,789 1,909,776 1,974,824 2,040,911 2,108,054 2,176,299 2,245,656 2,316,141 2,387,788 2,460,682 2,534,870 2,610,390 2,687,271 0-4 201,702 208,710 216,380 224,585 233,586 242,920 251,972 260,747 269,251 277,513 285,527 293,300 300,843 308,184 315,332 322,310 329,170 336,001 342,867 349,804 356,873 364,136 371,617 379,333 387,318 5-9 163,828 169,862 175,945 182,141 188,110 194,290 201,239 208,813 216,888 225,708 234,843 243,713 252,326 260,681 268,814 276,709 284,376 291,825 299,081 306,159 313,076 319,887 326,670 333,493 340,389

10-14 134,753 140,639 146,953 153,347 159,577 165,629 171,638 177,702 183,875 189,805 195,929 202,792 210,269 218,245 226,980 236,032 244,825 253,365 261,654 269,720 277,554 285,160 292,562 299,772 306,807 15-19 124,019 126,960 129,681 132,869 137,000 142,126 147,951 154,193 160,524 166,703 172,720 178,706 184,752 190,893 196,761 202,808 209,583 216,964 224,848 233,518 242,506 251,241 259,724 267,957 275,975 20-24 109,540 114,987 120,785 126,206 130,766 134,347 137,251 139,951 143,107 147,192 152,251 157,994 164,152 170,405 176,533 182,514 188,480 194,510 200,621 206,421 212,378 219,047 226,308 234,091 242,695 25-29 107,716 109,963 111,951 114,400 117,787 122,276 127,604 133,282 138,603 143,101 146,655 149,558 152,272 155,434 159,499 164,522 170,217 176,320 182,536 188,649 194,641 200,636 206,700 212,822 218,582 30-34 96,205 100,461 104,886 109,087 112,835 115,822 118,079 120,101 122,579 125,967 130,417 135,682 141,288 146,565 151,054 154,639 157,600 160,388 163,612 167,722 172,763 178,467 184,577 190,810 196,968 35-39 81,257 84,430 87,238 90,101 93,294 96,995 101,136 105,456 109,573 113,273 116,267 118,581 120,689 123,234 126,658 131,107 136,345 141,922 147,190 151,707 155,368 158,430 161,327 164,654 168,840 40-44 53,816 59,169 64,718 69,908 74,369 78,037 81,119 83,887 86,719 89,869 93,499 97,553 101,783 105,837 109,508 112,522 114,902 117,100 119,723 123,192 127,642 132,862 138,416 143,687 148,244 45-49 34,524 36,676 39,136 42,122 45,746 50,115 55,087 60,264 65,138 69,374 72,905 75,913 78,644 81,445 84,550 88,109 92,077 96,222 100,208 103,843 106,873 109,316 111,597 114,294 117,800 50-54 22,999 24,424 25,970 27,637 29,423 31,287 33,277 35,559 38,327 41,695 45,753 50,380 55,208 59,780 63,783 67,158 70,063 72,725 75,461 78,487 81,943 85,792 89,813 93,696 97,262 55-59 15,492 16,379 17,352 18,391 19,484 20,664 21,968 23,380 24,912 26,553 28,276 30,118 32,231 34,792 37,905 41,655 45,933 50,406 54,660 58,402 61,583 64,344 66,893 69,521 72,418 60-64 11,145 11,533 11,939 12,417 13,010 13,712 14,502 15,374 16,304 17,285 18,350 19,522 20,797 22,180 23,667 25,230 26,902 28,823 31,154 33,985 37,394 41,279 45,348 49,225 52,647 65-69 7,163 7,668 8,188 8,670 9,090 9,452 9,788 10,136 10,549 11,064 11,673 12,357 13,109 13,915 14,769 15,686 16,709 17,817 19,021 20,316 21,683 23,145 24,828 26,870 29,355 70-74 4,501 4,646 4,817 5,033 5,317 5,664 6,060 6,468 6,849 7,180 7,469 7,739 8,026 8,364 8,782 9,277 9,826 10,435 11,083 11,772 12,515 13,346 14,249 15,227 16,284 75-79 2,739 2,843 2,967 3,089 3,196 3,290 3,390 3,507 3,662 3,864 4,113 4,396 4,691 4,963 5,200 5,409 5,607 5,814 6,060 6,364 6,721 7,118 7,554 8,023 8,518 80+ 3,004 3,184 3,342 3,490 3,634 3,782 3,928 4,075 4,212 4,338 4,453 4,577 4,709 4,859 5,029 5,224 5,439 5,662 5,877 6,080 6,275 6,476 6,687 6,915 7,169

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 95

Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 94,465 98,514 102,443 106,256 109,958 113,640 117,161 120,542 123,806 126,997 130,084 133,046 135,926 138,755 141,536 144,262 147,057 149,928 152,842 155,747 158,813 162,004 165,304 168,711 172,197

Annual Number of Deaths 27,938 28,865 29,787 30,723 31,648 32,433 33,204 33,945 34,669 35,380 36,031 36,678 37,293 37,917 38,536 39,095 39,652 40,228 40,810 41,392 41,936 42,509 43,105 43,727 44,365

Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 40.0 40.0 40.0 39.8 39.6 39.3 39.0 38.7 38.2 37.8 37.3 36.8 36.4 35.8 35.4 34.9 34.4 33.9 33.5 33.1 32.7 32.4 32.1 31.8 31.5

Crude Death Rate (CDR) 11.8 11.7 11.6 11.5 11.4 11.2 11.1 10.9 10.7 10.5 10.3 10.2 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.6 8.5 8.4 8.2 8.1

Growth Rate(%) 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9

Life Expec-tancy ab Birth (Both Sexes)

53.1 53.4 53.6 53.9 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.2 55.6 56.0 56.4 56.7 57.1 57.5 57.9 58.2 58.6 59.0 59.4 59.7 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.3 61.6

Life Expec-tancy ab Birth (Males)

51.0 51.3 51.6 51.9 52.2 52.5 52.9 53.2 53.5 53.9 54.2 54.6 54.9 55.3 55.6 56.0 56.3 56.7 57.0 57.4 57.7 58.1 58.4 58.8 59.1

Life Expec-tancy ab Birth (Females)

55.3 55.5 55.7 55.9 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.6 59.0 59.4 59.8 60.2 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.2

Infant Mortal-ity Rate (Both Sexes)

67.2 66.5 65.7 65.1 64.3 63.7 63.0 62.4 61.8 61.1 60.4 59.8 59.1 58.5 57.8 57.1 56.5 55.8 55.1 54.5 53.8 53.1 52.4 51.8 51.1

Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 71.3 70.6 69.9 69.3 68.6 68.1 67.6 67.0 66.5 66.0 65.4 64.9 64.4 63.8 63.3 62.7 62.2 61.6 61.0 60.5 59.9 59.3 58.8 58.2 57.6

Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 62.9 62.2 61.4 60.7 59.9 59.2 58.4 57.6 56.8 56.1 55.3 54.5 53.7 52.9 52.2 51.4 50.6 49.8 49.0 48.3 47.5 46.7 45.9 45.2 44.4

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes)

2,362,967

2,461,932

2,564,058

2,669,249

2,777,439

2,888,575

3,002,530 3,119,190

3,238,430

3,360,183

3,484,394

3,610,977

3,739,872

3,870,981

4,004,276

4,139,735

4,277,387

4,417,309

4,559,551

4,704,135

4,851,133

5,000,706

5,152,945

5,307,950

5,465,775 0 87,721 91,681 95,495 99,203 102,808 106,352 109,805 113,122 116,324 119,439 122,476 125,419 128,264 131,046 133,768 136,440 139,133 141,903 144,740 147,598 150,529 153,602 156,799 160,102 163,494 1 82,696 85,525 89,464 93,271 96,981 100,565 104,077 107,503 110,799 113,982 117,083 120,107 123,041 125,877 128,652 131,373 134,044 136,738 139,508 142,347 145,206 148,140 151,217 154,413 157,719 2 79,719 81,491 84,330 88,261 92,073 95,776 99,339 102,831 106,240 109,522 112,692 115,786 118,802 121,730 124,562 127,337 130,059 132,733 135,430 138,202 141,045 143,906 146,846 149,927 153,126 3 76,192 78,861 80,646 83,491 87,415 91,219 94,902 98,446 101,923 105,318 108,591 111,753 114,838 117,848 120,772 123,602 126,375 129,096 131,772 134,470 137,243 140,089 142,952 145,894 148,977 4 72,753 75,537 78,206 80,001 82,849 86,762 90,548 94,218 97,747 101,214 104,597 107,863 111,017 114,097 117,103 120,023 122,851 125,622 128,344 131,019 133,717 136,493 139,339 142,205 145,147 5 69,699 72,366 75,150 77,820 79,621 82,468 86,369 90,144 93,802 97,322 100,780 104,156 107,417 110,563 113,639 116,639 119,558 122,383 125,151 127,872 130,546 133,244 136,018 138,864 141,729 6 66,924 69,496 72,163 74,947 77,620 79,423 82,265 86,155 89,923 93,575 97,087 100,539 103,909 107,165 110,307 113,380 116,372 119,290 122,111 124,877 127,594 130,263 132,961 135,732 138,575 7 64,301 66,729 69,302 71,970 74,755 77,426 79,228 82,063 85,946 89,705 93,350 96,856 100,303 103,666 106,918 110,053 113,123 116,112 119,022 121,842 124,605 127,321 129,986 132,682 135,449 8 62,036 64,114 66,541 69,113 71,783 74,568 77,234 79,034 81,864 85,739 89,491 93,127 96,626 100,069 103,425 106,672 109,802 112,866 115,853 118,758 121,577 124,334 127,049 129,712 132,405 9 60,067 61,855 63,933 66,359 68,935 71,601 74,382 77,045 78,840 81,667 85,533 89,277 92,908 96,399 99,835 103,187 106,430 109,556 112,614 115,598 118,498 121,316 124,070 126,782 129,442

10 58,756 60,357 62,145 64,225 66,652 69,228 71,892 74,669 77,327 79,115 81,938 85,799 89,538 93,165 96,652 100,081 103,429 106,669 109,792 112,848 115,827 118,726 121,541 124,293 127,004 11 57,619 59,513 61,115 62,904 64,986 67,413 69,990 72,656 75,430 78,081 79,857 82,676 86,534 90,272 93,897 97,382 100,809 104,153 107,389 110,509 113,563 116,541 119,437 122,252 125,003 12 56,250 58,379 60,271 61,872 63,662 65,746 68,175 70,752 73,418 76,190 78,836 80,597 83,415 87,269 91,006 94,629 98,112 101,536 104,878 108,111 111,227 114,279 117,257 120,152 122,964 13 55,153 57,012 59,141 61,030 62,632 64,421 66,503 68,935 71,514 74,180 76,949 79,588 81,338 84,154 88,006 91,739 95,361 98,843 102,263 105,602 108,832 111,948 114,998 117,973 120,869 14 54,336 55,917 57,772 59,900 61,789 63,390 65,178 67,260 69,694 72,275 74,941 77,708 80,341 82,078 84,891 88,742 92,473 96,091 99,572 102,990 106,330 109,553 112,669 115,716 118,689 15 53,763 55,140 56,720 58,573 60,695 62,584 64,184 65,974 68,054 70,489 73,070 75,736 78,503 81,127 82,851 85,662 89,510 93,239 96,855 100,335 103,748 107,084 110,307 113,420 116,464 16 53,401 54,611 55,985 57,562 59,413 61,532 63,417 65,016 66,805 68,885 71,321 73,903 76,570 79,333 81,950 83,659 86,468 90,313 94,037 97,652 101,130 104,540 107,874 111,094 114,204 17 53,006 54,249 55,456 56,829 58,404 60,251 62,368 64,250 65,848 67,636 69,716 72,153 74,737 77,404 80,164 82,771 84,468 87,274 91,116 94,838 98,450 101,928 105,334 108,666 111,883 18 52,387 53,854 55,095 56,301 57,673 59,247 61,090 63,201 65,082 66,677 68,465 70,546 72,985 75,570 78,236 80,996 83,594 85,278 88,080 91,920 95,640 99,251 102,726 106,130 109,459 19 51,402 53,237 54,702 55,940 57,144 58,517 60,088 61,928 64,035 65,913 67,510 69,296 71,377 73,819 76,404 79,071 81,828 84,420 86,091 88,890 92,727 96,444 100,054 103,526 106,929 20 50,287 52,366 54,197 55,660 56,898 58,101 59,471 61,039 62,878 64,984 66,858 68,454 70,241 72,321 74,766 77,356 80,024 82,778 85,362 87,018 89,814 93,651 97,367 100,976 104,448

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96 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

21 49,045 51,372 53,444 55,269 56,729 57,967 59,170 60,541 62,107 63,941 66,043 67,917 69,514 71,301 73,386 75,832 78,426 81,096 83,847 86,423 88,062 90,858 94,693 98,409 102,018 22 47,819 50,136 52,453 54,521 56,342 57,800 59,036 60,237 61,607 63,173 65,006 67,103 68,977 70,575 72,364 74,450 76,901 79,497 82,170 84,919 87,491 89,112 91,906 95,740 99,454 23 46,911 48,916 51,224 53,531 55,594 57,412 58,869 60,105 61,306 62,676 64,240 66,073 68,165 70,040 71,638 73,428 75,517 77,972 80,573 83,250 85,995 88,560 90,164 92,959 96,792 24 46,455 48,011 50,008 52,309 54,608 56,667 58,483 59,937 61,173 62,374 63,745 65,307 67,140 69,228 71,103 72,703 74,494 76,585 79,046 81,650 84,330 87,075 89,633 91,223 94,015 25 46,221 47,496 49,047 51,038 53,332 55,625 57,679 59,494 60,947 62,185 63,387 64,759 66,322 68,154 70,241 72,120 73,721 75,516 77,612 80,079 82,688 85,375 88,119 90,671 92,248 26 46,104 47,200 48,474 50,020 52,006 54,296 56,582 58,634 60,446 61,902 63,141 64,347 65,723 67,287 69,122 71,208 73,090 74,697 76,497 78,599 81,073 83,690 86,383 89,129 91,679 27 45,841 47,084 48,179 49,453 50,996 52,978 55,263 57,543 59,593 61,404 62,862 64,104 65,313 66,692 68,257 70,095 72,184 74,067 75,682 77,486 79,594 82,076 84,701 87,400 90,149 28 45,140 46,822 48,063 49,157 50,431 51,976 53,951 56,233 58,507 60,556 62,366 63,826 65,072 66,283 67,666 69,234 71,075 73,164 75,050 76,671 78,481 80,596 83,086 85,720 88,425 29 43,821 46,127 47,803 49,044 50,137 51,411 52,956 54,928 57,204 59,474 61,522 63,332 64,795 66,044 67,260 68,645 70,216 72,059 74,151 76,041 77,667 79,484 81,607 84,103 86,745 30 41,637 44,404 46,698 48,366 49,608 50,709 51,985 53,527 55,498 57,770 60,036 62,087 63,898 65,365 66,619 67,841 69,233 70,810 72,658 74,753 76,649 78,283 80,106 82,239 84,742 31 39,258 41,833 44,581 46,860 48,526 49,770 50,873 52,155 53,698 55,667 57,938 60,203 62,255 64,069 65,543 66,806 68,036 69,437 71,020 72,875 74,974 76,879 78,523 80,354 82,494 32 37,365 39,485 42,040 44,769 47,039 48,699 49,949 51,053 52,339 53,884 55,851 58,121 60,386 62,439 64,257 65,737 67,009 68,248 69,658 71,246 73,108 75,214 77,124 78,778 80,618 33 35,614 37,613 39,719 42,258 44,969 47,231 48,888 50,141 51,249 52,538 54,086 56,051 58,320 60,585 62,639 64,462 65,949 67,229 68,475 69,894 71,490 73,357 75,469 77,386 79,051 34 34,120 35,886 37,871 39,964 42,486 45,181 47,436 49,089 50,346 51,459 52,751 54,302 56,266 58,534 60,800 62,856 64,683 66,177 67,464 68,720 70,145 71,751 73,624 75,740 77,666 35 32,557 34,169 35,923 37,896 39,978 42,483 45,164 47,409 49,061 50,319 51,439 52,734 54,288 56,253 58,518 60,784 62,843 64,676 66,176 67,471 68,737 70,172 71,784 73,664 75,785 36 31,077 32,389 33,990 35,732 37,692 39,762 42,251 44,918 47,152 48,803 50,064 51,189 52,491 54,047 56,011 58,273 60,541 62,603 64,441 65,947 67,251 68,527 69,973 71,593 73,481 37 29,692 30,928 32,235 33,826 35,555 37,505 39,565 42,040 44,692 46,915 48,566 49,831 50,961 52,266 53,827 55,791 58,052 60,320 62,385 64,227 65,742 67,055 68,338 69,794 71,422 38 27,995 29,563 30,792 32,093 33,673 35,395 37,335 39,385 41,846 44,481 46,697 48,347 49,616 50,753 52,059 53,625 55,590 57,851 60,117 62,185 64,034 65,555 66,878 68,170 69,633 39 25,860 27,891 29,445 30,668 31,965 33,537 35,249 37,181 39,221 41,670 44,290 46,499 48,148 49,419 50,561 51,874 53,443 55,407 57,668 59,935 62,006 63,860 65,388 66,720 68,021 40 23,338 25,667 27,672 29,212 30,428 31,720 33,285 34,988 36,909 38,938 41,375 43,980 46,178 47,826 49,101 50,248 51,566 53,138 55,103 57,361 59,627 61,703 63,559 65,094 66,438 41 20,711 23,067 25,363 27,344 28,866 30,075 31,362 32,919 34,612 36,522 38,538 40,960 43,550 45,739 47,384 48,665 49,817 51,139 52,713 54,679 56,935 59,198 61,278 63,141 64,680 42 18,401 20,486 22,809 25,072 27,028 28,537 29,743 31,025 32,572 34,255 36,156 38,160 40,569 43,143 45,323 46,966 48,251 49,409 50,735 52,312 54,276 56,533 58,796 60,877 62,743 43 16,501 18,215 20,269 22,560 24,793 26,727 28,226 29,429 30,705 32,246 33,920 35,809 37,805 40,197 42,758 44,929 46,571 47,861 49,022 50,354 51,932 53,897 56,152 58,416 60,499 44 15,183 16,350 18,037 20,063 22,321 24,528 26,444 27,933 29,132 30,404 31,936 33,602 35,482 37,467 39,847 42,394 44,557 46,198 47,491 48,658 49,992 51,574 53,540 55,793 58,056 45 14,266 15,008 16,156 17,819 19,814 22,042 24,224 26,120 27,598 28,791 30,060 31,584 33,241 35,110 37,084 39,451 41,984 44,139 45,778 47,071 48,245 49,583 51,168 53,133 55,383 46 13,510 14,063 14,794 15,925 17,559 19,528 21,726 23,880 25,756 27,225 28,410 29,676 31,191 32,838 34,697 36,658 39,009 41,528 43,675 45,311 46,606 47,786 49,126 50,714 52,677 47 12,769 13,323 13,866 14,588 15,701 17,312 19,253 21,425 23,553 25,409 26,868 28,048 29,310 30,816 32,454 34,303 36,255 38,591 41,092 43,232 44,866 46,165 47,349 48,692 50,279 48 12,037 12,598 13,144 13,678 14,388 15,487 17,076 18,994 21,137 23,242 25,081 26,529 27,704 28,961 30,458 32,089 33,926 35,870 38,191 40,678 42,810 44,442 45,743 46,932 48,277 49 11,267 11,878 12,431 12,970 13,496 14,197 15,284 16,853 18,748 20,864 22,946 24,767 26,206 27,376 28,629 30,118 31,739 33,570 35,503 37,811 40,285 42,407 44,038 45,342 46,536 50 10,443 11,099 11,698 12,241 12,774 13,292 13,987 15,060 16,607 18,476 20,566 22,623 24,425 25,852 27,015 28,260 29,741 31,351 33,168 35,091 37,381 39,841 41,952 43,578 44,882 51 9,696 10,264 10,907 11,497 12,032 12,556 13,069 13,755 14,812 16,339 18,181 20,242 22,272 24,053 25,465 26,620 27,856 29,327 30,923 32,724 34,633 36,905 39,344 41,440 43,061 52 9,061 9,531 10,089 10,721 11,301 11,829 12,346 12,855 13,532 14,575 16,080 17,898 19,928 21,934 23,694 25,093 26,240 27,467 28,926 30,511 32,298 34,193 36,446 38,866 40,948 53 8,430 8,909 9,372 9,920 10,541 11,111 11,634 12,144 12,648 13,318 14,346 15,830 17,626 19,628 21,608 23,350 24,735 25,875 27,094 28,541 30,113 31,888 33,767 36,005 38,407 54 7,777 8,291 8,761 9,217 9,755 10,366 10,929 11,447 11,952 12,449 13,112 14,128 15,591 17,363 19,340 21,296 23,018 24,392 25,524 26,733 28,170 29,731 31,494 33,359 35,579 55 7,122 7,648 8,153 8,614 9,062 9,592 10,193 10,747 11,259 11,756 12,251 12,904 13,905 15,347 17,093 19,043 20,974 22,674 24,033 25,156 26,357 27,781 29,329 31,076 32,926 56 6,482 7,006 7,521 8,016 8,467 8,908 9,428 10,020 10,566 11,069 11,561 12,050 12,693 13,677 15,098 16,817 18,738 20,640 22,318 23,662 24,774 25,962 27,374 28,906 30,636 57 5,902 6,380 6,892 7,397 7,881 8,323 8,759 9,270 9,853 10,391 10,886 11,372 11,854 12,490 13,460 14,857 16,550 18,442 20,318 21,975 23,303 24,406 25,584 26,980 28,497 58 5,426 5,811 6,280 6,782 7,276 7,751 8,187 8,616 9,119 9,692 10,222 10,711 11,190 11,667 12,294 13,251 14,627 16,295 18,159 20,007 21,642 22,957 24,049 25,218 26,600 59 5,074 5,345 5,723 6,183 6,674 7,160 7,628 8,057 8,478 8,975 9,538 10,062 10,544 11,017 11,488 12,104 13,049 14,405 16,049 17,885 19,710 21,323 22,625 23,708 24,865 60 4,799 4,977 5,241 5,611 6,061 6,539 7,015 7,474 7,897 8,309 8,797 9,348 9,865 10,339 10,804 11,267 11,875 12,801 14,135 15,750 17,552 19,347 20,935 22,221 23,291 61 4,578 4,684 4,859 5,114 5,473 5,912 6,378 6,844 7,292 7,706 8,109 8,585 9,126 9,631 10,096 10,553 11,008 11,604 12,511 13,815 15,398 17,163 18,923 20,479 21,743 62 4,379 4,471 4,574 4,745 4,991 5,341 5,769 6,226 6,677 7,116 7,522 7,918 8,381 8,912 9,405 9,862 10,310 10,758 11,343 12,231 13,508 15,059 16,787 18,514 20,042 63 4,144 4,276 4,366 4,465 4,632 4,872 5,214 5,632 6,079 6,519 6,950 7,345 7,735 8,187 8,708 9,192 9,638 10,077 10,517 11,091 11,962 13,213 14,733 16,427 18,120 64 3,839 4,048 4,177 4,264 4,361 4,523 4,759 5,091 5,500 5,937 6,368 6,788 7,176 7,556 7,999 8,510 8,984 9,423 9,854 10,286 10,851 11,703 12,930 14,420 16,080 65 3,474 3,736 3,938 4,061 4,145 4,240 4,398 4,629 4,951 5,349 5,774 6,194 6,604 6,981 7,352 7,782 8,281 8,743 9,173 9,593 10,015 10,567 11,399 12,594 14,050 66 3,113 3,367 3,619 3,814 3,932 4,013 4,105 4,259 4,483 4,796 5,179 5,592 5,996 6,395 6,761 7,120 7,540 8,021 8,471 8,887 9,297 9,705 10,243 11,052 12,211 67 2,808 3,018 3,262 3,506 3,693 3,807 3,888 3,977 4,127 4,343 4,645 5,017 5,418 5,810 6,195 6,550 6,899 7,305 7,773 8,209 8,615 9,012 9,410 9,931 10,717 68 2,545 2,724 2,927 3,161 3,396 3,577 3,687 3,765 3,852 3,997 4,210 4,501 4,861 5,250 5,629 6,003 6,347 6,686 7,080 7,534 7,957 8,352 8,739 9,126 9,632 69 2,339 2,470 2,642 2,838 3,062 3,289 3,465 3,571 3,649 3,734 3,874 4,079 4,363 4,710 5,088 5,455 5,818 6,152 6,481 6,862 7,305 7,716 8,098 8,475 8,852 70 2,163 2,252 2,379 2,540 2,728 2,941 3,158 3,329 3,431 3,505 3,588 3,724 3,921 4,193 4,527 4,891 5,242 5,594 5,913 6,231 6,597 7,023 7,419 7,788 8,151 71 2,014 2,068 2,151 2,269 2,422 2,599 2,802 3,007 3,171 3,268 3,339 3,417 3,549 3,737 3,996 4,314 4,661 4,995 5,331 5,636 5,938 6,287 6,696 7,072 7,425 72 1,884 1,927 1,978 2,056 2,167 2,312 2,479 2,672 2,866 3,021 3,115 3,184 3,260 3,386 3,562 3,812 4,113 4,446 4,763 5,083 5,375 5,663 5,996 6,385 6,744 73 1,751 1,805 1,845 1,890 1,965 2,071 2,207 2,366 2,549 2,734 2,882 2,971 3,037 3,110 3,231 3,398 3,638 3,923 4,242 4,544 4,849 5,130 5,403 5,722 6,093 74 1,606 1,678 1,728 1,766 1,808 1,878 1,979 2,109 2,259 2,432 2,608 2,750 2,835 2,899 2,969 3,086 3,244 3,474 3,745 4,049 4,338 4,629 4,896 5,159 5,463 75 1,450 1,529 1,600 1,644 1,680 1,718 1,785 1,880 2,002 2,143 2,306 2,471 2,603 2,686 2,744 2,811 2,923 3,071 3,288 3,545 3,830 4,103 4,376 4,628 4,874 76 1,300 1,375 1,447 1,514 1,553 1,587 1,621 1,684 1,771 1,885 2,017 2,169 2,322 2,444 2,523 2,577 2,639 2,741 2,880 3,081 3,320 3,587 3,840 4,092 4,326 77 1,176 1,235 1,306 1,372 1,432 1,470 1,500 1,532 1,591 1,671 1,775 1,898 2,042 2,183 2,296 2,369 2,419 2,478 2,575 2,703 2,889 3,113 3,359 3,594 3,829 78 1,080 1,120 1,173 1,241 1,300 1,355 1,390 1,419 1,448 1,503 1,577 1,673 1,789 1,921 2,053 2,158 2,226 2,273 2,326 2,417 2,538 2,708 2,917 3,147 3,364 79 1,017 1,030 1,068 1,114 1,178 1,232 1,284 1,315 1,341 1,368 1,420 1,489 1,577 1,685 1,808 1,931 2,029 2,091 2,136 2,185 2,270 2,383 2,542 2,735 2,948

80+ 7,112 7,588 8,023 8,439 8,849 9,264 9,675 10,081 10,461 10,812 11,135 11,458 11,794 12,159 12,565 13,024 13,524 14,038 14,529 14,984 15,409 15,836 16,291 16,816 17,434

Page 110: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 97

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Males) 1,174,403 1,222,534 1,272,248 1,323,493 1,376,224 1,430,408 1,485,989 1,542,895 1,601,072 1,660,484 1,721,100 1,782,881 1,845,789 1,909,776 1,974,824 2,040,911 2,108,054 2,176,299 2,245,656 2,316,141 2,387,788 2,460,682 2,534,870 2,610,390 2,687,271 0 44,443 46,450 48,381 50,258 52,084 53,875 55,616 57,289 58,903 60,473 62,003 63,486 64,920 66,322 67,694 69,041 70,397 71,793 73,222 74,662 76,138 77,686 79,297 80,961 82,670 1 41,838 43,251 45,240 47,159 49,027 50,835 52,606 54,329 55,987 57,587 59,146 60,664 62,137 63,561 64,953 66,319 67,659 69,011 70,400 71,823 73,259 74,730 76,274 77,879 79,539 2 40,197 41,203 42,620 44,601 46,518 48,378 50,172 51,930 53,642 55,289 56,880 58,433 59,943 61,411 62,830 64,220 65,583 66,922 68,273 69,661 71,084 72,518 73,991 75,534 77,137 3 38,414 39,740 40,749 42,166 44,140 46,049 47,897 49,678 51,427 53,129 54,769 56,354 57,901 59,405 60,869 62,285 63,672 65,032 66,370 67,720 69,106 70,529 71,961 73,433 74,975 4 36,810 38,066 39,390 40,401 41,817 43,783 45,681 47,521 49,292 51,035 52,729 54,363 55,942 57,485 58,986 60,445 61,859 63,243 64,602 65,938 67,286 68,673 70,094 71,526 72,997 5 35,417 36,600 37,856 39,179 40,191 41,605 43,564 45,455 47,287 49,053 50,789 52,479 54,109 55,683 57,223 58,719 60,177 61,589 62,970 64,327 65,662 67,008 68,393 69,813 71,243 6 34,102 35,301 36,483 37,738 39,061 40,073 41,484 43,436 45,323 47,151 48,912 50,644 52,331 53,957 55,528 57,065 58,557 60,013 61,422 62,802 64,156 65,488 66,834 68,217 69,634 7 32,747 33,990 35,189 36,371 37,625 38,946 39,956 41,363 43,310 45,193 47,016 48,773 50,501 52,183 53,807 55,374 56,909 58,398 59,850 61,257 62,635 63,988 65,317 66,661 68,042 8 31,434 32,640 33,881 35,078 36,260 37,514 38,832 39,840 41,244 43,186 45,064 46,882 48,635 50,360 52,037 53,658 55,222 56,753 58,240 59,689 61,094 62,469 63,820 65,148 66,490 9 30,128 31,331 32,536 33,775 34,973 36,152 37,403 38,719 39,724 41,125 43,062 44,935 46,750 48,498 50,219 51,893 53,511 55,072 56,599 58,084 59,529 60,934 62,306 63,654 64,980

10 28,980 30,204 31,405 32,610 33,848 35,045 36,223 37,472 38,785 39,786 41,185 43,117 44,987 46,799 48,544 50,261 51,932 53,547 55,107 56,632 58,114 59,557 60,961 62,332 63,679 11 27,856 29,234 30,456 31,656 32,861 34,098 35,295 36,473 37,721 39,030 40,026 41,422 43,351 45,219 47,029 48,772 50,487 52,156 53,769 55,326 56,850 58,331 59,772 61,175 62,545 12 26,713 28,113 29,488 30,709 31,907 33,112 34,350 35,546 36,723 37,970 39,276 40,265 41,660 43,586 45,452 47,259 49,000 50,714 52,381 53,991 55,546 57,069 58,549 59,989 61,391 13 25,853 26,973 28,372 29,743 30,963 32,158 33,361 34,600 35,796 36,973 38,219 39,521 40,505 41,897 43,821 45,684 47,490 49,229 50,940 52,605 54,213 55,768 57,290 58,767 60,207 14 25,351 26,115 27,232 28,629 29,998 31,216 32,409 33,611 34,850 36,046 37,223 38,467 39,766 40,744 42,134 44,056 45,916 47,719 49,457 51,166 52,831 54,435 55,990 57,509 58,985 15 25,142 25,650 26,413 27,528 28,920 30,286 31,502 32,694 33,894 35,132 36,327 37,504 38,747 40,042 41,013 42,400 44,319 46,177 47,977 49,713 51,419 53,082 54,685 56,237 57,754 16 25,114 25,480 25,986 26,747 27,859 29,248 30,610 31,822 33,011 34,210 35,447 36,642 37,818 39,059 40,349 41,312 42,697 44,613 46,466 48,264 49,997 51,701 53,361 54,961 56,511 17 25,008 25,451 25,816 26,321 27,081 28,188 29,574 30,932 32,141 33,327 34,525 35,761 36,956 38,132 39,371 40,656 41,611 42,993 44,905 46,756 48,551 50,282 51,983 53,641 55,239 18 24,697 25,344 25,786 26,151 26,655 27,415 28,518 29,898 31,254 32,459 33,642 34,841 36,076 37,269 38,444 39,682 40,963 41,910 43,289 45,198 47,046 48,839 50,567 52,266 53,921 19 24,058 25,035 25,680 26,122 26,485 26,989 27,747 28,847 30,224 31,575 32,779 33,958 35,155 36,391 37,584 38,758 39,993 41,271 42,211 43,587 45,493 47,337 49,128 50,852 52,550 20 23,282 24,475 25,449 26,092 26,534 26,897 27,400 28,156 29,252 30,627 31,973 33,173 34,351 35,545 36,781 37,976 39,149 40,382 41,654 42,585 43,958 45,862 47,703 49,493 51,215 21 22,425 23,783 24,970 25,939 26,580 27,022 27,385 27,889 28,643 29,734 31,104 32,447 33,644 34,818 36,013 37,247 38,444 39,617 40,848 42,114 43,035 44,406 46,307 48,145 49,933 22 21,636 22,931 24,280 25,464 26,429 27,068 27,509 27,871 28,374 29,128 30,216 31,580 32,920 34,114 35,287 36,480 37,715 38,912 40,085 41,315 42,577 43,487 44,854 46,753 48,588 23 21,140 22,145 23,435 24,775 25,954 26,916 27,554 27,995 28,358 28,860 29,612 30,698 32,057 33,394 34,585 35,755 36,948 38,183 39,381 40,556 41,782 43,040 43,940 45,305 47,201 24 21,057 21,653 22,651 23,936 25,269 26,444 27,403 28,040 28,480 28,843 29,346 30,096 31,180 32,534 33,867 35,056 36,224 37,416 38,653 39,851 41,026 42,252 43,504 44,395 45,758 25 21,262 21,575 22,168 23,161 24,440 25,767 26,937 27,893 28,530 28,972 29,336 29,839 30,589 31,670 33,021 34,353 35,539 36,707 37,900 39,138 40,339 41,516 42,741 43,989 44,872 26 21,569 21,783 22,096 22,687 23,675 24,947 26,269 27,436 28,388 29,027 29,470 29,837 30,343 31,093 32,173 33,520 34,851 36,037 37,205 38,399 39,640 40,845 42,026 43,251 44,497 27 21,754 22,087 22,302 22,617 23,204 24,189 25,456 26,771 27,936 28,886 29,525 29,971 30,340 30,849 31,598 32,678 34,024 35,352 36,539 37,707 38,902 40,147 41,356 42,540 43,766 28 21,733 22,269 22,602 22,819 23,134 23,723 24,702 25,966 27,274 28,437 29,386 30,025 30,473 30,845 31,355 32,107 33,186 34,529 35,855 37,042 38,211 39,409 40,657 41,871 43,058 29 21,398 22,249 22,783 23,116 23,334 23,650 24,240 25,216 26,475 27,779 28,938 29,886 30,527 30,977 31,352 31,864 32,617 33,695 35,037 36,363 37,549 38,719 39,920 41,171 42,389 30 20,635 21,722 22,567 23,099 23,435 23,658 23,977 24,566 25,540 26,794 28,094 29,252 30,199 30,842 31,295 31,674 32,188 32,945 34,023 35,364 36,690 37,877 39,048 40,252 41,507 31 19,776 20,773 21,854 22,693 23,226 23,565 23,792 24,116 24,706 25,678 26,928 28,225 29,381 30,328 30,974 31,432 31,816 32,335 33,093 34,173 35,513 36,840 38,029 39,202 40,408 32 19,147 19,927 20,916 21,990 22,827 23,358 23,703 23,932 24,261 24,852 25,822 27,069 28,363 29,517 30,465 31,114 31,576 31,965 32,489 33,249 34,330 35,670 36,996 38,188 39,362 33 18,566 19,306 20,081 21,064 22,130 22,965 23,497 23,846 24,079 24,411 25,005 25,972 27,216 28,508 29,660 30,609 31,260 31,728 32,121 32,650 33,413 34,495 35,835 37,161 38,356 34 18,081 18,733 19,468 20,241 21,217 22,276 23,110 23,641 23,993 24,232 24,568 25,164 26,129 27,370 28,660 29,810 30,760 31,415 31,886 32,286 32,817 33,585 34,669 36,007 37,335 35 17,508 18,117 18,766 19,497 20,267 21,237 22,291 23,121 23,655 24,009 24,254 24,593 25,191 26,156 27,393 28,681 29,831 30,783 31,441 31,916 32,322 32,859 33,629 34,715 36,053 36 16,964 17,417 18,023 18,669 19,396 20,163 21,126 22,176 23,002 23,538 23,896 24,147 24,492 25,092 26,056 27,289 28,575 29,725 30,678 31,340 31,820 32,232 32,776 33,550 34,638 37 16,451 16,881 17,334 17,938 18,580 19,304 20,069 21,028 22,071 22,895 23,433 23,795 24,051 24,400 25,004 25,967 27,198 28,481 29,631 30,584 31,252 31,737 32,154 32,703 33,481 38 15,701 16,377 16,806 17,259 17,859 18,501 19,221 19,983 20,938 21,974 22,797 23,337 23,704 23,965 24,318 24,924 25,887 27,117 28,396 29,546 30,502 31,173 31,664 32,086 32,640 39 14,633 15,638 16,309 16,738 17,192 17,790 18,429 19,148 19,907 20,857 21,887 22,709 23,251 23,621 23,887 24,246 24,854 25,816 27,044 28,321 29,472 30,429 31,104 31,600 32,028 40 13,281 14,516 15,508 16,173 16,603 17,057 17,654 18,291 19,007 19,763 20,710 21,734 22,553 23,096 23,471 23,742 24,105 24,716 25,678 26,903 28,176 29,329 30,286 30,965 31,467 41 11,843 13,116 14,333 15,314 15,973 16,403 16,857 17,453 18,087 18,801 19,554 20,496 21,515 22,332 22,876 23,256 23,532 23,900 24,512 25,474 26,695 27,965 29,117 30,078 30,759 42 10,567 11,705 12,960 14,160 15,129 15,783 16,215 16,670 17,263 17,895 18,606 19,356 20,294 21,309 22,123 22,669 23,052 23,335 23,706 24,320 25,281 26,500 27,768 28,919 29,880 43 9,473 10,453 11,574 12,811 13,995 14,954 15,605 16,037 16,493 17,084 17,715 18,423 19,172 20,104 21,114 21,926 22,473 22,861 23,147 23,524 24,139 25,100 26,316 27,582 28,732 44 8,652 9,379 10,343 11,450 12,669 13,840 14,788 15,436 15,869 16,326 16,914 17,544 18,249 18,996 19,924 20,929 21,740 22,288 22,680 22,971 23,351 23,968 24,929 26,143 27,406 45 8,006 8,532 9,247 10,196 11,285 12,487 13,644 14,582 15,226 15,658 16,116 16,703 17,330 18,032 18,777 19,700 20,700 21,509 22,059 22,453 22,750 23,134 23,755 24,714 25,924 46 7,427 7,858 8,377 9,080 10,011 11,084 12,267 13,408 14,335 14,976 15,407 15,866 16,451 17,075 17,775 18,516 19,433 20,428 21,235 21,786 22,184 22,487 22,875 23,499 24,456 47 6,873 7,292 7,716 8,227 8,918 9,835 10,891 12,058 13,184 14,100 14,737 15,169 15,628 16,211 16,832 17,529 18,268 19,180 20,168 20,974 21,527 21,929 22,237 22,629 23,254 48 6,355 6,751 7,163 7,580 8,083 8,764 9,667 10,708 11,858 12,971 13,877 14,510 14,941 15,401 15,981 16,601 17,295 18,032 18,939 19,921 20,725 21,279 21,686 21,999 22,394 49 5,863 6,243 6,633 7,039 7,449 7,945 8,618 9,508 10,535 11,669 12,768 13,665 14,294 14,726 15,185 15,763 16,381 17,073 17,807 18,709 19,687 20,487 21,044 21,453 21,772 50 5,379 5,747 6,120 6,503 6,904 7,307 7,797 8,460 9,336 10,348 11,466 12,550 13,437 14,061 14,491 14,949 15,525 16,139 16,826 17,557 18,452 19,425 20,221 20,777 21,188 51 4,942 5,259 5,620 5,986 6,363 6,757 7,154 7,638 8,290 9,153 10,148 11,250 12,318 13,193 13,811 14,238 14,693 15,265 15,875 16,555 17,281 18,168 19,133 19,923 20,479 52 4,566 4,831 5,142 5,497 5,857 6,228 6,616 7,008 7,484 8,127 8,976 9,957 11,040 12,093 12,957 13,570 13,995 14,447 15,014 15,620 16,296 17,016 17,895 18,851 19,636 53 4,219 4,463 4,725 5,029 5,378 5,732 6,098 6,480 6,867 7,336 7,969 8,805 9,772 10,840 11,877 12,731 13,337 13,761 14,211 14,773 15,374 16,045 16,759 17,633 18,580 54 3,893 4,124 4,363 4,622 4,921 5,263 5,612 5,973 6,350 6,731 7,194 7,818 8,641 9,593 10,647 11,670 12,513 13,113 13,535 13,982 14,540 15,138 15,805 16,512 17,379 55 3,594 3,809 4,036 4,270 4,524 4,818 5,155 5,496 5,853 6,223 6,600 7,056 7,669 8,479 9,416 10,453 11,462 12,293 12,886 13,306 13,750 14,303 14,895 15,556 16,257 56 3,318 3,521 3,732 3,955 4,184 4,434 4,722 5,053 5,388 5,737 6,103 6,473 6,922 7,524 8,320 9,241 10,261 11,253 12,073 12,658 13,074 13,513 14,062 14,647 15,301 57 3,065 3,252 3,450 3,657 3,875 4,099 4,346 4,628 4,954 5,283 5,626 5,986 6,350 6,792 7,384 8,166 9,072 10,075 11,052 11,860 12,437 12,850 13,285 13,828 14,406 58 2,848 3,004 3,188 3,383 3,584 3,798 4,019 4,260 4,538 4,858 5,181 5,519 5,873 6,231 6,667 7,250 8,018 8,910 9,896 10,856 11,653 12,224 12,633 13,065 13,602

Page 111: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

98 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

59 2,667 2,793 2,946 3,126 3,317 3,515 3,726 3,943 4,179 4,452 4,766 5,084 5,417 5,766 6,118 6,545 7,120 7,875 8,753 9,722 10,669 11,454 12,018 12,425 12,852 60 2,501 2,602 2,725 2,875 3,051 3,236 3,431 3,637 3,851 4,081 4,349 4,656 4,968 5,294 5,637 5,981 6,401 6,964 7,705 8,567 9,516 10,445 11,216 11,773 12,174 61 2,360 2,427 2,527 2,645 2,791 2,963 3,142 3,333 3,533 3,742 3,967 4,228 4,528 4,833 5,151 5,487 5,824 6,234 6,785 7,507 8,350 9,278 10,188 10,941 11,487 62 2,239 2,290 2,356 2,453 2,567 2,709 2,877 3,053 3,237 3,433 3,637 3,857 4,111 4,404 4,702 5,012 5,341 5,672 6,072 6,611 7,317 8,141 9,047 9,938 10,676 63 2,104 2,172 2,222 2,286 2,381 2,492 2,631 2,795 2,967 3,145 3,338 3,535 3,751 3,999 4,286 4,578 4,879 5,201 5,525 5,916 6,443 7,133 7,940 8,826 9,697 64 1,941 2,042 2,109 2,158 2,220 2,312 2,421 2,556 2,716 2,884 3,059 3,246 3,439 3,650 3,891 4,172 4,457 4,752 5,067 5,384 5,768 6,282 6,957 7,747 8,613 65 1,754 1,878 1,976 2,040 2,087 2,148 2,237 2,344 2,474 2,630 2,793 2,963 3,145 3,332 3,538 3,771 4,045 4,322 4,610 4,916 5,224 5,598 6,099 6,754 7,524 66 1,570 1,692 1,810 1,905 1,968 2,013 2,072 2,157 2,261 2,387 2,537 2,695 2,858 3,035 3,216 3,414 3,641 3,905 4,174 4,452 4,748 5,046 5,409 5,895 6,529 67 1,410 1,513 1,631 1,746 1,836 1,897 1,942 1,999 2,081 2,181 2,302 2,448 2,601 2,759 2,930 3,104 3,296 3,515 3,771 4,030 4,301 4,587 4,876 5,227 5,697 68 1,271 1,360 1,460 1,572 1,684 1,771 1,829 1,872 1,927 2,007 2,105 2,221 2,362 2,510 2,662 2,828 2,997 3,182 3,394 3,642 3,892 4,154 4,432 4,712 5,051 69 1,158 1,225 1,311 1,407 1,515 1,623 1,708 1,764 1,806 1,859 1,936 2,030 2,143 2,279 2,423 2,569 2,730 2,893 3,072 3,276 3,518 3,760 4,012 4,282 4,554 70 1,057 1,104 1,168 1,248 1,341 1,443 1,546 1,628 1,681 1,721 1,773 1,846 1,937 2,044 2,174 2,313 2,452 2,607 2,762 2,935 3,130 3,361 3,594 3,836 4,095 71 971 997 1,041 1,100 1,175 1,262 1,358 1,455 1,533 1,584 1,621 1,670 1,741 1,827 1,928 2,051 2,182 2,314 2,461 2,608 2,771 2,957 3,177 3,398 3,628 72 898 916 941 982 1,037 1,107 1,190 1,280 1,371 1,444 1,493 1,529 1,576 1,643 1,723 1,820 1,936 2,061 2,185 2,324 2,465 2,619 2,796 3,004 3,214 73 826 849 865 887 927 978 1,044 1,121 1,207 1,294 1,363 1,408 1,443 1,488 1,552 1,627 1,719 1,828 1,947 2,065 2,197 2,332 2,477 2,645 2,843 74 749 780 802 816 837 874 922 984 1,057 1,137 1,219 1,286 1,329 1,362 1,405 1,466 1,537 1,625 1,728 1,840 1,952 2,077 2,205 2,344 2,504 75 670 703 734 753 766 785 821 865 924 992 1,066 1,143 1,205 1,246 1,276 1,317 1,375 1,441 1,523 1,620 1,724 1,830 1,947 2,066 2,195 76 595 627 657 686 702 715 731 766 806 861 924 993 1,064 1,121 1,160 1,187 1,224 1,277 1,338 1,414 1,503 1,600 1,697 1,805 1,915 77 533 557 586 614 640 656 667 682 715 751 801 860 925 990 1,042 1,078 1,103 1,138 1,188 1,244 1,313 1,396 1,484 1,573 1,673 78 486 500 521 549 574 598 612 623 636 667 700 747 801 860 921 970 1,002 1,026 1,057 1,104 1,156 1,218 1,295 1,377 1,458 79 455 456 469 487 514 536 559 571 581 593 622 653 696 746 801 857 903 932 954 982 1,025 1,074 1,131 1,202 1,277

80+ 3,004 3,184 3,342 3,490 3,634 3,782 3,928 4,075 4,212 4,338 4,453 4,577 4,709 4,859 5,029 5,224 5,439 5,662 5,877 6,080 6,275 6,476 6,687 6,915 7,169

Total (Females)

1,188,564

1,239,398

1,291,810

1,345,756

1,401,215

1,458,167

1,516,541

1,576,295

1,637,358

1,699,699

1,763,294

1,828,096

1,894,083

1,961,205

2,029,452

2,098,824

2,169,333

2,241,010

2,313,895

2,387,994

2,463,345

2,540,024

2,618,075

2,697,560

2,778,504

0 43,278 45,231 47,114 48,945 50,724 52,477 54,189 55,833 57,421 58,966 60,473 61,933 63,344 64,724 66,074 67,399 68,736 70,110 71,518 72,936 74,391 75,916 77,502 79,141 80,824 1 40,858 42,274 44,224 46,112 47,954 49,730 51,471 53,174 54,812 56,395 57,937 59,443 60,904 62,316 63,699 65,054 66,385 67,727 69,108 70,524 71,947 73,410 74,943 76,534 78,180 2 39,522 40,288 41,710 43,660 45,555 47,398 49,167 50,901 52,598 54,233 55,812 57,353 58,859 60,319 61,732 63,117 64,476 65,811 67,157 68,541 69,961 71,388 72,855 74,393 75,989 3 37,778 39,121 39,897 41,325 43,275 45,170 47,005 48,768 50,496 52,189 53,822 55,399 56,937 58,443 59,903 61,317 62,703 64,064 65,402 66,750 68,137 69,560 70,991 72,461 74,002 4 35,943 37,471 38,816 39,600 41,032 42,979 44,867 46,697 48,455 50,179 51,868 53,500 55,075 56,612 58,117 59,578 60,992 62,379 63,742 65,081 66,431 67,820 69,245 70,679 72,150 5 34,282 35,766 37,294 38,641 39,430 40,863 42,805 44,689 46,515 48,269 49,991 51,677 53,308 54,880 56,416 57,920 59,381 60,794 62,181 63,545 64,884 66,236 67,625 69,051 70,486 6 32,822 34,195 35,680 37,209 38,559 39,350 40,781 42,719 44,600 46,424 48,175 49,895 51,578 53,208 54,779 56,315 57,815 59,277 60,689 62,075 63,438 64,775 66,127 67,515 68,941 7 31,554 32,739 34,113 35,599 37,130 38,480 39,272 40,700 42,636 44,512 46,334 48,083 49,802 51,483 53,111 54,679 56,214 57,714 59,172 60,585 61,970 63,333 64,669 66,021 67,407 8 30,602 31,474 32,660 34,035 35,523 37,054 38,402 39,194 40,620 42,553 44,427 46,245 47,991 49,709 51,388 53,014 54,580 56,113 57,613 59,069 60,483 61,865 63,229 64,564 65,915 9 29,939 30,524 31,397 32,584 33,962 35,449 36,979 38,326 39,116 40,542 42,471 44,342 46,158 47,901 49,616 51,294 52,919 54,484 56,015 57,514 58,969 60,382 61,764 63,128 64,462

10 29,776 30,153 30,740 31,615 32,804 34,183 35,669 37,197 38,542 39,329 40,753 42,682 44,551 46,366 48,108 49,820 51,497 53,122 54,685 56,216 57,713 59,169 60,580 61,961 63,325 11 29,763 30,279 30,659 31,248 32,125 33,315 34,695 36,183 37,709 39,051 39,831 41,254 43,183 45,053 46,868 48,610 50,322 51,997 53,620 55,183 56,713 58,210 59,665 61,077 62,458 12 29,537 30,266 30,783 31,163 31,755 32,634 33,825 35,206 36,695 38,220 39,560 40,332 41,755 43,683 45,554 47,370 49,112 50,822 52,497 54,120 55,681 57,210 58,708 60,163 61,573 13 29,300 30,039 30,769 31,287 31,669 32,263 33,142 34,335 35,718 37,207 38,730 40,067 40,833 42,257 44,185 46,055 47,871 49,614 51,323 52,997 54,619 56,180 57,708 59,206 60,662 14 28,985 29,802 30,540 31,271 31,791 32,174 32,769 33,649 34,844 36,229 37,718 39,241 40,575 41,334 42,757 44,686 46,557 48,372 50,115 51,824 53,499 55,118 56,679 58,207 59,704 15 28,621 29,490 30,307 31,045 31,775 32,298 32,682 33,280 34,160 35,357 36,743 38,232 39,756 41,085 41,838 43,262 45,191 47,062 48,878 50,622 52,329 54,002 55,622 57,183 58,710 16 28,287 29,131 29,999 30,815 31,554 32,284 32,807 33,194 33,794 34,675 35,874 37,261 38,752 40,274 41,601 42,347 43,771 45,700 47,571 49,388 51,133 52,839 54,513 56,133 57,693 17 27,998 28,798 29,640 30,508 31,323 32,063 32,794 33,318 33,707 34,309 35,191 36,392 37,781 39,272 40,793 42,115 42,857 44,281 46,211 48,082 49,899 51,646 53,351 55,025 56,644 18 27,690 28,510 29,309 30,150 31,018 31,832 32,572 33,303 33,828 34,218 34,823 35,705 36,909 38,301 39,792 41,314 42,631 43,368 44,791 46,722 48,594 50,412 52,159 53,864 55,538 19 27,344 28,202 29,022 29,818 30,659 31,528 32,341 33,081 33,811 34,338 34,731 35,338 36,222 37,428 38,820 40,313 41,835 43,149 43,880 45,303 47,234 49,107 50,926 52,674 54,379 20 27,005 27,891 28,748 29,568 30,364 31,204 32,071 32,883 33,626 34,357 34,885 35,281 35,890 36,776 37,985 39,380 40,875 42,396 43,708 44,433 45,856 47,789 49,664 51,483 53,233 21 26,620 27,589 28,474 29,330 30,149 30,945 31,785 32,652 33,464 34,207 34,939 35,470 35,870 36,483 37,373 38,585 39,982 41,479 42,999 44,309 45,027 46,452 48,386 50,264 52,085 22 26,183 27,205 28,173 29,057 29,913 30,732 31,527 32,366 33,233 34,045 34,790 35,523 36,057 36,461 37,077 37,970 39,186 40,585 42,085 43,604 44,914 45,625 47,052 48,987 50,866 23 25,771 26,771 27,789 28,756 29,640 30,496 31,315 32,110 32,948 33,816 34,628 35,375 36,108 36,646 37,053 37,673 38,569 39,789 41,192 42,694 44,213 45,520 46,224 47,654 49,591 24 25,398 26,358 27,357 28,373 29,339 30,223 31,080 31,897 32,693 33,531 34,399 35,211 35,960 36,694 37,236 37,647 38,270 39,169 40,393 41,799 43,304 44,823 46,129 46,828 48,257 25 24,959 25,921 26,879 27,877 28,892 29,858 30,742 31,601 32,417 33,213 34,051 34,920 35,733 36,484 37,220 37,767 38,182 38,809 39,712 40,941 42,349 43,859 45,378 46,682 47,376 26 24,535 25,417 26,378 27,333 28,331 29,349 30,313 31,198 32,058 32,875 33,671 34,510 35,380 36,194 36,949 37,688 38,239 38,660 39,292 40,200 41,433 42,845 44,357 45,878 47,182 27 24,087 24,997 25,877 26,836 27,792 28,789 29,807 30,772 31,657 32,518 33,337 34,133 34,973 35,843 36,659 37,417 38,160 38,715 39,143 39,779 40,692 41,929 43,345 44,860 46,383 28 23,407 24,553 25,461 26,338 27,297 28,253 29,249 30,267 31,233 32,119 32,980 33,801 34,599 35,438 36,311 37,127 37,889 38,635 39,195 39,629 40,270 41,187 42,429 43,849 45,367 29 22,423 23,878 25,020 25,928 26,803 27,761 28,716 29,712 30,729 31,695 32,584 33,446 34,268 35,067 35,908 36,781 37,599 38,364 39,114 39,678 40,118 40,765 41,687 42,932 44,356 30 21,002 22,682 24,131 25,267 26,173 27,051 28,008 28,961 29,958 30,976 31,942 32,835 33,699 34,523 35,324 36,167 37,045 37,865 38,635 39,389 39,959 40,406 41,058 41,987 43,235 31 19,482 21,060 22,727 24,167 25,300 26,205 27,081 28,039 28,992 29,989 31,010 31,978 32,874 33,741 34,569 35,374 36,220 37,102 37,927 38,702 39,461 40,039 40,494 41,152 42,086 32 18,218 19,558 21,124 22,779 24,212 25,341 26,246 27,121 28,078 29,032 30,029 31,052 32,023 32,922 33,792 34,623 35,433 36,283 37,169 37,997 38,778 39,544 40,128 40,590 41,256 33 17,048 18,307 19,638 21,194 22,839 24,266 25,391 26,295 27,170 28,127 29,081 30,079 31,104 32,077 32,979 33,853 34,689 35,501 36,354 37,244 38,077 38,862 39,634 40,225 40,695 34 16,039 17,153 18,403 19,723 21,269 22,905 24,326 25,448 26,353 27,227 28,183 29,138 30,137 31,164 32,140 33,046 33,923 34,762 35,578 36,434 37,328 38,166 38,955 39,733 40,331

Page 112: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 99

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

35 15,049 16,052 17,157 18,399 19,711 21,246 22,873 24,288 25,406 26,310 27,185 28,141 29,097 30,097 31,125 32,103 33,012 33,893 34,735 35,555 36,415 37,313 38,155 38,949 39,732 36 14,113 14,972 15,967 17,063 18,296 19,599 21,125 22,742 24,150 25,265 26,168 27,042 27,999 28,955 29,955 30,984 31,966 32,878 33,763 34,607 35,431 36,295 37,197 38,043 38,843 37 13,241 14,047 14,901 15,888 16,975 18,201 19,496 21,012 22,621 24,020 25,133 26,036 26,910 27,866 28,823 29,824 30,854 31,839 32,754 33,643 34,490 35,318 36,184 37,091 37,941 38 12,294 13,186 13,986 14,834 15,814 16,894 18,114 19,402 20,908 22,507 23,900 25,010 25,912 26,788 27,741 28,701 29,703 30,734 31,721 32,639 33,532 34,382 35,214 36,084 36,993 39 11,227 12,253 13,136 13,930 14,773 15,747 16,820 18,033 19,314 20,813 22,403 23,790 24,897 25,798 26,674 27,628 28,589 29,591 30,624 31,614 32,534 33,431 34,284 35,120 35,993 40 10,057 11,151 12,164 13,039 13,825 14,663 15,631 16,697 17,902 19,175 20,665 22,246 23,625 24,730 25,630 26,506 27,461 28,422 29,425 30,458 31,451 32,374 33,273 34,129 34,971 41 8,868 9,951 11,030 12,030 12,893 13,672 14,505 15,466 16,525 17,721 18,984 20,464 22,035 23,407 24,508 25,409 26,285 27,239 28,201 29,205 30,240 31,233 32,161 33,063 33,921 42 7,834 8,781 9,849 10,912 11,899 12,754 13,528 14,355 15,309 16,360 17,550 18,804 20,275 21,834 23,200 24,297 25,199 26,074 27,029 27,992 28,995 30,033 31,028 31,958 32,863 43 7,028 7,762 8,695 9,749 10,798 11,773 12,621 13,392 14,212 15,162 16,205 17,386 18,633 20,093 21,644 23,003 24,098 25,000 25,875 26,830 27,793 28,797 29,836 30,834 31,767 44 6,531 6,971 7,694 8,613 9,652 10,688 11,656 12,497 13,263 14,078 15,022 16,058 17,233 18,471 19,923 21,465 22,817 23,910 24,811 25,687 26,641 27,606 28,611 29,650 30,650 45 6,260 6,476 6,909 7,623 8,529 9,555 10,580 11,538 12,372 13,133 13,944 14,881 15,911 17,078 18,307 19,751 21,284 22,630 23,719 24,618 25,495 26,449 27,413 28,419 29,459 46 6,083 6,205 6,417 6,845 7,548 8,444 9,459 10,472 11,421 12,249 13,003 13,810 14,740 15,763 16,922 18,142 19,576 21,100 22,440 23,525 24,422 25,299 26,251 27,215 28,221 47 5,896 6,031 6,150 6,361 6,783 7,477 8,362 9,367 10,369 11,309 12,131 12,879 13,682 14,605 15,622 16,774 17,987 19,411 20,924 22,258 23,339 24,236 25,112 26,063 27,025 48 5,682 5,847 5,981 6,098 6,305 6,723 7,409 8,286 9,279 10,271 11,204 12,019 12,763 13,560 14,477 15,488 16,631 17,838 19,252 20,757 22,085 23,163 24,057 24,933 25,883 49 5,404 5,635 5,798 5,931 6,047 6,252 6,666 7,345 8,213 9,195 10,178 11,102 11,912 12,650 13,444 14,355 15,358 16,497 17,696 19,102 20,598 21,920 22,994 23,889 24,764 50 5,064 5,352 5,578 5,738 5,870 5,985 6,190 6,600 7,271 8,128 9,100 10,073 10,988 11,791 12,524 13,311 14,216 15,212 16,342 17,534 18,929 20,416 21,731 22,801 23,694 51 4,754 5,005 5,287 5,511 5,669 5,799 5,915 6,117 6,522 7,186 8,033 8,992 9,954 10,860 11,654 12,382 13,163 14,062 15,048 16,169 17,352 18,737 20,211 21,517 22,582 52 4,495 4,700 4,947 5,224 5,444 5,601 5,730 5,847 6,048 6,448 7,104 7,941 8,888 9,841 10,737 11,523 12,245 13,020 13,912 14,891 16,002 17,177 18,551 20,015 21,312 53 4,211 4,446 4,647 4,891 5,163 5,379 5,536 5,664 5,781 5,982 6,377 7,025 7,854 8,788 9,731 10,619 11,398 12,114 12,883 13,768 14,739 15,843 17,008 18,372 19,827 54 3,884 4,167 4,398 4,595 4,834 5,103 5,317 5,474 5,602 5,718 5,918 6,310 6,950 7,770 8,693 9,626 10,505 11,279 11,989 12,751 13,630 14,593 15,689 16,847 18,200 55 3,528 3,839 4,117 4,344 4,538 4,774 5,038 5,251 5,406 5,533 5,651 5,848 6,236 6,868 7,677 8,590 9,512 10,381 11,147 11,850 12,607 13,478 14,434 15,520 16,669 56 3,164 3,485 3,789 4,061 4,283 4,474 4,706 4,967 5,178 5,332 5,458 5,577 5,771 6,153 6,778 7,576 8,477 9,387 10,245 11,004 11,700 12,449 13,312 14,259 15,335 57 2,837 3,128 3,442 3,740 4,006 4,224 4,413 4,642 4,899 5,108 5,260 5,386 5,504 5,698 6,076 6,691 7,478 8,367 9,266 10,115 10,866 11,556 12,299 13,152 14,091 58 2,578 2,807 3,092 3,399 3,692 3,953 4,168 4,356 4,581 4,834 5,041 5,192 5,317 5,436 5,627 6,001 6,609 7,385 8,263 9,151 9,989 10,733 11,416 12,153 12,998 59 2,407 2,552 2,777 3,057 3,357 3,645 3,902 4,114 4,299 4,523 4,772 4,978 5,127 5,251 5,370 5,559 5,929 6,530 7,296 8,163 9,041 9,869 10,607 11,283 12,013 60 2,298 2,375 2,516 2,736 3,010 3,303 3,584 3,837 4,046 4,228 4,448 4,692 4,897 5,045 5,167 5,286 5,474 5,837 6,430 7,183 8,036 8,902 9,719 10,448 11,117 61 2,218 2,257 2,332 2,469 2,682 2,949 3,236 3,511 3,759 3,964 4,142 4,357 4,598 4,798 4,945 5,066 5,184 5,370 5,726 6,308 7,048 7,885 8,735 9,538 10,256 62 2,140 2,181 2,218 2,292 2,424 2,632 2,892 3,173 3,440 3,683 3,885 4,061 4,270 4,508 4,703 4,850 4,969 5,086 5,271 5,620 6,191 6,918 7,740 8,576 9,366 63 2,040 2,104 2,144 2,179 2,251 2,380 2,583 2,837 3,112 3,374 3,612 3,810 3,984 4,188 4,422 4,614 4,759 4,876 4,992 5,175 5,519 6,080 6,793 7,601 8,423 64 1,898 2,006 2,068 2,106 2,141 2,211 2,338 2,535 2,784 3,053 3,309 3,542 3,737 3,906 4,108 4,338 4,527 4,671 4,787 4,902 5,083 5,421 5,973 6,673 7,467 65 1,720 1,858 1,962 2,021 2,058 2,092 2,161 2,285 2,477 2,719 2,981 3,231 3,459 3,649 3,814 4,011 4,236 4,421 4,563 4,677 4,791 4,969 5,300 5,840 6,526 66 1,543 1,675 1,809 1,909 1,964 2,000 2,033 2,102 2,222 2,409 2,642 2,897 3,138 3,360 3,545 3,706 3,899 4,116 4,297 4,435 4,549 4,659 4,834 5,157 5,682 67 1,398 1,505 1,631 1,760 1,857 1,910 1,946 1,978 2,046 2,162 2,343 2,569 2,817 3,051 3,265 3,446 3,603 3,790 4,002 4,179 4,314 4,425 4,534 4,704 5,020 68 1,274 1,364 1,467 1,589 1,712 1,806 1,858 1,893 1,925 1,990 2,105 2,280 2,499 2,740 2,967 3,175 3,350 3,504 3,686 3,892 4,065 4,198 4,307 4,414 4,581 69 1,181 1,245 1,331 1,431 1,547 1,666 1,757 1,807 1,843 1,875 1,938 2,049 2,220 2,431 2,665 2,886 3,088 3,259 3,409 3,586 3,787 3,956 4,086 4,193 4,298 70 1,106 1,148 1,211 1,292 1,387 1,498 1,612 1,701 1,750 1,784 1,815 1,878 1,984 2,149 2,353 2,578 2,790 2,987 3,151 3,296 3,467 3,662 3,825 3,952 4,056 71 1,043 1,071 1,110 1,169 1,247 1,337 1,444 1,552 1,638 1,684 1,718 1,747 1,808 1,910 2,068 2,263 2,479 2,681 2,870 3,028 3,167 3,330 3,519 3,674 3,797 72 986 1,011 1,037 1,074 1,130 1,205 1,289 1,392 1,495 1,577 1,622 1,655 1,684 1,743 1,839 1,992 2,177 2,385 2,578 2,759 2,910 3,044 3,200 3,381 3,530 73 925 956 980 1,003 1,038 1,093 1,163 1,245 1,342 1,440 1,519 1,563 1,594 1,622 1,679 1,771 1,919 2,095 2,295 2,479 2,652 2,798 2,926 3,077 3,250 74 857 898 926 950 971 1,004 1,057 1,125 1,202 1,295 1,389 1,464 1,506 1,537 1,564 1,620 1,707 1,849 2,017 2,209 2,386 2,552 2,691 2,815 2,959 75 780 826 866 891 914 933 964 1,015 1,078 1,151 1,240 1,328 1,398 1,440 1,468 1,494 1,548 1,630 1,765 1,925 2,106 2,273 2,429 2,562 2,679 76 705 748 790 828 851 872 890 918 965 1,024 1,093 1,176 1,258 1,323 1,363 1,390 1,415 1,464 1,542 1,667 1,817 1,987 2,143 2,287 2,411 77 643 678 720 758 792 814 833 850 876 920 974 1,038 1,117 1,193 1,254 1,291 1,316 1,340 1,387 1,459 1,576 1,717 1,875 2,021 2,156 78 594 620 652 692 726 757 778 796 812 836 877 926 988 1,061 1,132 1,188 1,224 1,247 1,269 1,313 1,382 1,490 1,622 1,770 1,906 79 562 574 599 627 664 696 725 744 760 775 798 836 881 939 1,007 1,074 1,126 1,159 1,182 1,203 1,245 1,309 1,411 1,533 1,671 80+ 4,108 4,404 4,681 4,949 5,215 5,482 5,747 6,006 6,249 6,474 6,682 6,881 7,085 7,300 7,536 7,800 8,085 8,376 8,652 8,904 9,134 9,360 9,604 9,901 10,265

Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, LUSAKA PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) District Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric)

Chongwe 2.5

Kafue 3.2

Luangwa 1.7

Lusaka 3.8

Lusaka Province 3.6

Page 113: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

100 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Sex &

District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 2,362,967 2,461,932 2,564,058 2,669,249 2,777,439 2,888,575 3,002,530 3,119,190 3,238,430 3,360,183 3,484,394 3,610,977 3,739,872 3,870,981 4,004,276 4,139,735 4,277,387 4,417,309 4,559,551 4,704,135 4,851,133 5,000,706 5,152,945 5,307,950 5,465,775

Chongwe 205,649 211,714 217,869 224,101 230,397 236,749 243,139 249,554 255,981 262,408 268,829 275,233 281,614 287,960 294,268 300,534 306,757 312,940 319,087 325,194 331,266 337,311 343,331 349,332 355,313 Kafue 244,628 253,863 263,345 273,061 282,998 293,149 303,497 314,028 324,726 335,583 346,589 357,735 369,010 380,406 391,914 403,531 415,259 427,104 439,064 451,143 463,345 475,682 488,163 500,792 513,572 Luangwa 25,828 26,361 26,895 27,425 27,954 28,477 28,996 29,506 30,007 30,496 30,975 31,443 31,898 32,338 32,765 33,178 33,576 33,962 34,335 34,696 35,044 35,381 35,708 36,023 36,330 Lusaka 1,886,862 1,969,994 2,055,949 2,144,662 2,236,090 2,330,200 2,426,898 2,526,102 2,627,716 2,731,696 2,838,001 2,946,566 3,057,350 3,170,277 3,285,329 3,402,492 3,521,795 3,643,303 3,767,065 3,893,102 4,021,478 4,152,332 4,285,743 4,421,803 4,560,560

Total (Males) 1,174,403 1,222,534 1,272,248 1,323,493 1,376,224 1,430,408 1,485,989 1,542,895 1,601,072 1,660,484 1,721,100 1,782,881 1,845,789 1,909,776 1,974,824 2,040,911 2,108,054 2,176,299 2,245,656 2,316,141 2,387,788 2,460,682 2,534,870 2,610,390 2,687,271 Chongwe 104,037 107,123 110,264 113,454 116,684 119,951 123,246 126,561 129,890 133,227 136,568 139,909 143,245 146,571 149,884 153,182 156,464 159,733 162,989 166,231 169,461 172,684 175,901 179,114 182,323 Kafue 123,201 127,774 132,477 137,301 142,240 147,289 152,440 157,685 163,017 168,432 173,924 179,488 185,120 190,814 196,567 202,375 208,240 214,165 220,149 226,194 232,302 238,479 244,730 251,057 257,461 Luangwa 12,805 13,064 13,324 13,583 13,842 14,098 14,353 14,604 14,851 15,092 15,329 15,561 15,787 16,006 16,218 16,424 16,623 16,816 17,003 17,184 17,358 17,528 17,693 17,852 18,007 Lusaka 934,360 974,573 1,016,183 1,059,155 1,103,458 1,149,070 1,195,950 1,244,045 1,293,314 1,343,733 1,395,279 1,447,923 1,501,637 1,556,385 1,612,155 1,668,930 1,726,727 1,785,585 1,845,515 1,906,532 1,968,667 2,031,991 2,096,546 2,162,367 2,229,480

Total (Females) 1,188,564 1,239,398 1,291,810 1,345,756 1,401,215 1,458,167 1,516,541 1,576,295 1,637,358 1,699,699 1,763,294 1,828,096 1,894,083 1,961,205 2,029,452 2,098,824 2,169,333 2,241,010 2,313,895 2,387,994 2,463,345 2,540,024 2,618,075 2,697,560 2,778,504

Chongwe 101,612 104,591 107,605 110,647 113,713 116,798 119,893 122,993 126,091 129,181 132,261 135,324 138,369 141,389 144,384 147,352 150,293 153,207 156,098 158,963 161,805 164,627 167,430 170,218 172,990 Kafue 121,427 126,089 130,868 135,760 140,758 145,860 151,057 156,343 161,709 167,151 172,665 178,247 183,890 189,592 195,347 201,156 207,019 212,939 218,915 224,949 231,043 237,203 243,433 249,735 256,111 Luangwa 13,023 13,297 13,571 13,842 14,112 14,379 14,643 14,902 15,156 15,404 15,646 15,882 16,111 16,332 16,547 16,754 16,953 17,146 17,332 17,512 17,686 17,853 18,015 18,171 18,323 Lusaka 952,502 995,421 1,039,766 1,085,507 1,132,632 1,181,130 1,230,948 1,282,057 1,334,402 1,387,963 1,442,722 1,498,643 1,555,713 1,613,892 1,673,174 1,733,562 1,795,068 1,857,718 1,921,550 1,986,570 2,052,811 2,120,341 2,189,197 2,259,436 2,331,080

Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital Events,

Rates & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Life Expectancy at Birth (Males)Chongwe 53.2 53.5 53.7 54.0 54.3 54.6 54.9 55.2 55.5 55.9 56.2 56.5 56.9 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.8 60.1 60.4 60.7Kafue 55.8 56.0 56.2 56.5 56.7 57.0 57.3 57.6 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.1 61.4 61.8 62.1 62.3 62.6Luangwa 41.5 41.9 42.2 42.6 43.0 43.4 43.9 44.3 44.8 45.2 45.7 46.1 46.6 47.0 47.5 47.9 48.4 48.9 49.3 49.7 50.2 50.7 51.1 51.6 52.0Lusaka 52.0 52.3 52.5 52.8 53.1 53.4 53.7 54.1 54.4 54.7 55.1 55.4 55.8 56.1 56.4 56.8 57.1 57.5 57.8 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.2 59.5 59.8Life Expectancy at Birth (Females)Chongwe 56.5 56.7 57.0 57.1 57.4 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.5 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.4 62.8 63.2 63.6 64.0 64.4 64.7 65.1Kafue 58.5 58.7 58.9 59.1 59.3 59.6 60.0 60.4 60.7 61.1 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.5 62.9 63.3 63.6 64.0 64.4 64.7 65.1 65.5 65.8 66.2 66.6Luangwa 48.3 48.6 48.9 49.1 49.4 49.9 50.3 50.8 51.3 51.8 52.3 52.8 53.3 53.7 54.2 54.7 55.2 55.7 56.2 56.7 57.2 57.7 58.2 58.7 59.1Lusaka 56.4 56.5 56.8 57.0 57.2 57.6 58.0 58.4 58.7 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.7 61.1 61.5 61.9 62.3 62.7 63.0 63.5 63.8 64.2 64.6 65.0Total Fertility Rate (TFR)Chongwe 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 Kafue 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 Luangwa 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 Lusaka 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7

Page 114: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 101

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHONGWE DISTRICT, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chongwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 205,649 104,037 101,612 211,714 107,123 104,591 217,869 110,264 107,605 224,101 113,454 110,647 233,664 119,951 113,713 236,749 119,951 116,798 243,139 123,246 119,893 249,554 126,561 122,993 0-4 38,930 19,634 19,296 39,844 20,100 19,744 40,820 20,613 20,207 41,859 21,160 20,699 43,644 22,379 21,265 44,217 22,379 21,837 45,311 22,949 22,362 46,315 23,476 22,839 5-9 31,724 16,422 15,302 32,490 16,847 15,643 33,321 17,263 16,058 34,177 17,677 16,500 35,331 18,441 16,890 35,709 18,441 17,268 36,555 18,886 17,669 37,457 19,373 18,084

10-14 26,931 13,393 13,538 27,496 13,831 13,665 28,060 14,297 13,763 28,622 14,758 13,864 29,589 15,590 13,999 29,789 15,590 14,200 30,457 15,973 14,483 31,183 16,350 14,833 15-19 23,334 11,838 11,497 23,687 11,990 11,697 23,999 12,114 11,884 24,331 12,277 12,055 25,052 12,841 12,211 25,175 12,841 12,334 25,627 13,216 12,412 26,082 13,616 12,466 20-24 17,359 8,302 9,057 17,893 8,619 9,274 18,427 8,952 9,475 18,901 9,247 9,654 19,428 9,618 9,810 19,568 9,618 9,949 19,790 9,711 10,080 19,984 9,784 10,200 25-29 14,948 7,168 7,780 15,263 7,236 8,027 15,514 7,282 8,232 15,774 7,356 8,418 16,281 7,678 8,603 16,463 7,678 8,785 16,870 7,917 8,953 17,276 8,169 9,107 30-34 12,603 6,488 6,115 13,196 6,699 6,497 13,800 6,914 6,885 14,359 7,108 7,251 14,947 7,371 7,576 15,217 7,371 7,846 15,488 7,424 8,063 15,703 7,460 8,242 35-39 10,307 5,620 4,687 10,726 5,775 4,951 11,109 5,899 5,210 11,505 6,022 5,483 12,111 6,332 5,779 12,442 6,332 6,110 12,993 6,524 6,469 13,558 6,721 6,837 40-44 7,462 4,125 3,337 8,134 4,486 3,648 8,843 4,851 3,992 9,513 5,181 4,332 10,299 5,651 4,648 10,586 5,651 4,935 11,011 5,805 5,205 11,404 5,932 5,472 45-49 5,572 2,972 2,599 5,768 3,124 2,644 6,001 3,297 2,704 6,316 3,509 2,807 7,051 4,081 2,970 7,282 4,081 3,201 7,924 4,434 3,490 8,605 4,794 3,811 50-54 4,569 2,249 2,320 4,786 2,363 2,422 4,999 2,486 2,513 5,209 2,617 2,592 5,558 2,898 2,661 5,611 2,898 2,713 5,804 3,047 2,757 6,036 3,219 2,817 55-59 2,908 1,456 1,452 3,086 1,523 1,563 3,278 1,596 1,681 3,468 1,674 1,794 3,732 1,839 1,893 3,820 1,839 1,981 3,996 1,933 2,063 4,171 2,034 2,137 60-64 2,707 1,278 1,429 2,766 1,309 1,457 2,829 1,341 1,488 2,916 1,380 1,536 3,102 1,491 1,611 3,206 1,491 1,715 3,399 1,560 1,839 3,608 1,636 1,972 65-69 2,254 1,075 1,178 2,393 1,140 1,253 2,534 1,205 1,329 2,659 1,263 1,395 2,796 1,349 1,447 2,832 1,349 1,483 2,891 1,383 1,509 2,955 1,417 1,538 70-74 1,632 797 834 1,669 815 854 1,712 837 875 1,769 867 902 1,895 956 939 1,943 956 987 2,056 1,013 1,043 2,172 1,070 1,102 75-79 1,101 553 548 1,138 569 569 1,181 589 593 1,221 607 614 1,266 635 631 1,278 635 643 1,303 648 655 1,331 664 667 80+ 1,307 664 643 1,380 698 682 1,443 726 717 1,501 752 750 1,581 800 781 1,611 800 811 1,664 823 841 1,714 846 868

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chongwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 255,981 129,890 126,091 262,408 133,227 129,181 294,268 149,884 144,384 341,286 182,323 158,963 355,313 182,323 172,990 0-4 47,234 23,961 23,272 48,075 24,410 23,665 51,234 26,151 25,083 54,476 28,538 25,938 55,265 28,538 26,727 5-9 38,414 19,892 18,522 39,485 20,463 19,022 44,134 22,989 21,145 48,353 25,886 22,467 49,146 25,886 23,260

10-14 31,931 16,725 15,206 32,596 17,066 15,530 36,560 19,253 17,306 42,288 23,147 19,141 43,393 23,147 20,246 15-19 26,537 14,011 12,526 26,995 14,383 12,613 29,771 16,008 13,763 35,101 19,954 15,147 36,527 19,954 16,573 20-24 20,193 9,885 10,307 20,450 10,046 10,404 21,953 11,339 10,613 25,245 13,804 11,441 26,230 13,804 12,426 25-29 17,635 8,392 9,243 17,918 8,559 9,359 18,756 8,968 9,788 20,795 10,861 9,933 21,465 10,861 10,604 30-34 15,928 7,522 8,406 16,203 7,636 8,568 17,844 8,608 9,236 19,556 9,921 9,635 19,691 9,921 9,769 35-39 14,082 6,899 7,183 14,537 7,045 7,492 15,854 7,408 8,447 17,866 8,731 9,135 18,285 8,731 9,554 40-44 11,814 6,059 5,754 12,267 6,204 6,062 14,968 7,115 7,853 17,436 8,530 8,906 18,214 8,530 9,684 45-49 9,252 5,121 4,131 9,819 5,391 4,429 11,975 6,190 5,785 15,190 7,653 7,537 16,253 7,653 8,600 50-54 6,352 3,430 2,922 6,778 3,689 3,089 9,914 5,325 4,589 13,246 7,225 6,021 15,100 7,225 7,875 55-59 4,344 2,143 2,202 4,516 2,258 2,258 5,660 3,041 2,619 9,060 5,168 3,892 10,288 5,168 5,120 60-64 3,815 1,715 2,100 4,011 1,798 2,213 4,965 2,326 2,639 7,699 4,617 3,083 9,210 4,617 4,593 65-69 3,046 1,459 1,587 3,176 1,514 1,663 4,185 1,914 2,271 6,127 3,410 2,717 6,603 3,410 3,193 70-74 2,275 1,122 1,153 2,357 1,164 1,193 2,721 1,352 1,369 4,119 2,256 1,862 4,485 2,256 2,229 75-79 1,372 687 685 1,427 717 709 1,800 919 881 2,366 1,361 1,004 2,706 1,361 1,345 80+ 1,758 866 892 1,797 883 913 1,973 976 997 2,363 1,259 1,104 2,450 1,259 1,191

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102 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAFUE DISTRICT, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kafue District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 244,628 123,201 121,427 253,863 127,774 126,089 263,345 132,477 130,868 273,061 137,301 135,760 288,047 147,289 140,758 293,149 147,289 145,860 303,497 152,440 151,057 314,028 157,685 156,343 0-4 42,573 21,506 21,067 43,911 22,170 21,741 45,341 22,897 22,445 46,863 23,671 23,192 49,428 25,393 24,035 50,292 25,393 24,900 51,948 26,225 25,722 53,524 27,019 26,505 5-9 35,480 18,081 17,399 36,618 18,679 17,939 37,850 19,275 18,575 39,131 19,877 19,254 40,915 21,033 19,882 41,539 21,033 20,506 42,861 21,694 21,168 44,270 22,414 21,856

10-14 31,375 15,423 15,952 32,278 16,038 16,240 33,194 16,696 16,498 34,121 17,356 16,766 35,674 18,596 17,077 36,071 18,596 17,474 37,171 19,191 17,981 38,361 19,784 18,578 15-19 28,566 13,936 14,631 29,227 14,213 15,014 29,849 14,463 15,386 30,504 14,760 15,744 31,747 15,660 16,088 32,052 15,660 16,393 32,873 16,232 16,641 33,706 16,843 16,863 20-24 22,852 10,828 12,023 23,738 11,320 12,418 24,637 11,841 12,797 25,471 12,318 13,153 26,478 12,995 13,482 26,790 12,995 13,794 27,313 13,214 14,099 27,802 13,410 14,393 25-29 19,644 9,532 10,112 20,211 9,688 10,523 20,704 9,820 10,885 21,217 9,989 11,229 22,152 10,576 11,576 22,500 10,576 11,925 23,243 10,982 12,260 23,996 11,414 12,582 30-34 16,308 8,419 7,889 17,208 8,753 8,454 18,136 9,098 9,038 19,021 9,420 9,601 20,027 9,908 10,119 20,480 9,908 10,572 21,012 10,051 10,961 21,476 10,172 11,304 35-39 13,629 7,270 6,359 14,297 7,521 6,775 14,929 7,737 7,192 15,589 7,955 7,634 16,602 8,484 8,118 17,142 8,484 8,657 18,052 8,804 9,248 18,994 9,134 9,860 40-44 9,344 5,225 4,119 10,263 5,721 4,541 11,244 6,231 5,012 12,190 6,702 5,488 13,354 7,414 5,939 13,776 7,414 6,361 14,440 7,671 6,769 15,074 7,895 7,179 45-49 7,418 3,898 3,520 7,737 4,125 3,612 8,110 4,385 3,725 8,601 4,700 3,901 9,708 5,544 4,164 10,072 5,544 4,528 11,046 6,067 4,979 12,092 6,607 5,485 50-54 5,703 3,033 2,671 6,021 3,209 2,812 6,342 3,399 2,943 6,666 3,604 3,062 7,217 4,047 3,170 7,308 4,047 3,261 7,630 4,287 3,343 8,007 4,561 3,446 55-59 3,779 2,034 1,744 4,037 2,143 1,894 4,317 2,262 2,055 4,601 2,388 2,212 5,017 2,662 2,355 5,149 2,662 2,486 5,430 2,818 2,612 5,716 2,987 2,729 60-64 2,840 1,538 1,302 2,926 1,586 1,339 3,015 1,637 1,379 3,132 1,696 1,436 3,379 1,859 1,520 3,491 1,859 1,631 3,724 1,959 1,765 3,978 2,068 1,910 65-69 1,890 999 891 2,022 1,067 955 2,158 1,136 1,022 2,282 1,199 1,083 2,432 1,299 1,133 2,470 1,299 1,171 2,543 1,341 1,202 2,620 1,384 1,236 70-74 1,337 642 695 1,378 661 717 1,425 684 741 1,484 713 771 1,607 798 809 1,656 798 858 1,766 851 915 1,881 906 975 75-79 909 426 483 947 441 506 991 460 532 1,033 478 555 1,082 506 576 1,099 506 592 1,128 521 608 1,163 537 625 80+ 981 412 569 1,044 436 608 1,102 457 645 1,156 476 680 1,229 514 715 1,263 514 750 1,316 532 784 1,367 551 816

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kafue District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 324,726 163,017 161,709 335,583 168,432 167,151 391,914 196,567 195,347 482,410 257,461 224,949 513,572 257,461 256,111 0-4 55,025 27,776 27,249 56,458 28,499 27,960 62,667 31,636 31,031 70,720 37,139 33,581 73,430 37,139 36,291 5-9 45,764 23,179 22,586 47,421 24,015 23,406 55,199 27,956 27,243 64,156 33,863 30,292 66,756 33,863 32,893

10-14 39,597 20,382 19,216 40,750 20,947 19,803 47,594 24,487 23,107 58,414 31,669 26,745 61,339 31,669 29,670 15-19 34,551 17,456 17,095 35,417 18,047 17,370 40,659 20,814 19,846 50,768 27,910 22,858 54,140 27,910 26,230 20-24 28,320 13,646 14,675 28,913 13,966 14,947 32,300 16,334 15,966 39,403 21,392 18,011 41,908 21,392 20,517 25-29 24,693 11,809 12,884 25,294 12,130 13,164 27,585 13,170 14,416 32,469 17,159 15,310 34,299 17,159 17,141 30-34 21,960 10,330 11,631 22,523 10,561 11,962 25,840 12,337 13,502 30,037 15,296 14,741 30,972 15,296 15,676 35-39 19,896 9,443 10,453 20,713 9,713 11,000 23,568 10,582 12,986 28,115 13,418 14,697 29,539 13,418 16,122 40-44 15,739 8,122 7,617 16,473 8,376 8,097 20,936 9,953 10,983 25,871 12,836 13,035 27,701 12,836 14,865 45-49 13,107 7,108 5,999 14,026 7,535 6,490 17,843 8,966 8,877 24,029 11,926 12,103 26,409 11,926 14,483 50-54 8,501 4,895 3,606 9,149 5,302 3,847 13,915 7,930 5,984 19,791 11,575 8,217 22,847 11,575 11,272 55-59 6,006 3,169 2,837 6,299 3,363 2,936 8,259 4,693 3,567 14,126 8,580 5,546 16,231 8,580 7,651 60-64 4,236 2,185 2,052 4,489 2,307 2,182 5,817 3,092 2,724 9,932 6,602 3,330 11,806 6,602 5,205 65-69 2,721 1,435 1,286 2,860 1,500 1,360 3,910 1,965 1,945 6,202 3,766 2,436 6,768 3,766 3,002 70-74 1,986 956 1,030 2,074 999 1,075 2,494 1,202 1,292 3,998 2,158 1,839 4,467 2,158 2,308 75-79 1,207 559 648 1,265 589 677 1,661 782 880 2,295 1,245 1,050 2,720 1,245 1,475 80+ 1,415 568 847 1,458 584 874 1,667 668 999 2,086 927 1,158 2,238 927 1,310

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 103

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUANGWA DISTRICT, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Luangwa District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 25,828 12,805 13,023 26,361 13,064 13,297 26,895 13,324 13,571 27,425 13,583 13,842 28,210 14,098 14,112 28,477 14,098 14,379 28,996 14,353 14,643 29,506 14,604 14,902 0-4 4,651 2,317 2,334 4,720 2,350 2,369 4,794 2,388 2,405 4,873 2,429 2,444 5,013 2,523 2,490 5,058 2,523 2,535 5,138 2,564 2,574 5,206 2,599 2,607 5-9 4,308 2,220 2,088 4,374 2,256 2,117 4,447 2,291 2,156 4,522 2,325 2,197 4,612 2,382 2,230 4,643 2,382 2,261 4,711 2,417 2,294 4,785 2,457 2,328

10-14 3,666 1,873 1,794 3,712 1,916 1,796 3,757 1,963 1,794 3,800 2,007 1,792 3,877 2,082 1,795 3,888 2,082 1,805 3,940 2,115 1,826 3,999 2,145 1,854 15-19 3,064 1,558 1,506 3,083 1,564 1,520 3,097 1,566 1,531 3,113 1,572 1,540 3,162 1,615 1,548 3,165 1,615 1,550 3,194 1,647 1,547 3,222 1,682 1,540 20-24 2,016 979 1,037 2,060 1,007 1,054 2,104 1,036 1,068 2,139 1,060 1,079 2,170 1,083 1,087 2,176 1,083 1,093 2,182 1,084 1,098 2,184 1,082 1,102 25-29 1,656 745 911 1,677 745 933 1,691 743 949 1,705 743 962 1,737 762 975 1,749 762 987 1,776 779 998 1,802 796 1,006 30-34 1,509 713 796 1,568 729 839 1,628 746 882 1,681 760 921 1,728 774 954 1,754 774 980 1,771 772 999 1,781 769 1,012 35-39 1,306 641 665 1,350 653 697 1,388 661 727 1,428 668 759 1,484 690 794 1,522 690 832 1,578 705 874 1,635 719 915 40-44 925 505 420 999 544 455 1,077 583 494 1,149 617 532 1,227 661 566 1,256 661 596 1,296 672 623 1,331 681 650 45-49 698 338 360 715 352 364 737 368 369 768 388 380 841 443 399 869 443 426 937 477 461 1,009 511 499 50-54 506 247 259 525 257 268 544 268 276 562 280 282 591 304 287 595 304 290 610 317 292 628 332 296 55-59 387 195 193 408 202 206 429 210 220 450 218 232 478 235 243 487 235 252 505 245 261 523 255 268 60-64 315 138 176 319 141 178 323 143 181 330 145 185 347 154 192 357 154 203 376 160 216 396 166 230 65-69 234 109 125 246 114 132 259 120 139 269 124 145 279 131 149 282 131 151 285 133 152 289 135 154 70-74 246 88 157 249 90 159 253 91 162 259 94 166 272 101 171 280 101 178 293 106 187 307 111 196 75-79 153 66 87 156 67 90 161 68 93 165 70 95 169 72 97 170 72 98 172 73 99 174 74 100 80+ 190 75 115 199 78 121 207 80 126 213 82 131 221 86 135 225 86 139 231 88 143 236 89 146

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Luangwa District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 30,007 14,851 15,156 30,496 15,092 15,404 32,765 16,218 16,547 35,519 18,007 17,512 36,330 18,007 18,323 0-4 5,263 2,629 2,634 5,310 2,654 2,656 5,419 2,715 2,704 5,395 2,711 2,683 5,371 2,711 2,660 5-9 4,864 2,500 2,364 4,956 2,548 2,408 5,305 2,734 2,571 5,438 2,817 2,622 5,428 2,817 2,611

10-14 4,059 2,174 1,885 4,107 2,198 1,909 4,412 2,369 2,043 4,774 2,605 2,169 4,812 2,605 2,207 15-19 3,249 1,715 1,534 3,276 1,744 1,532 3,460 1,854 1,606 3,811 2,114 1,696 3,900 2,114 1,785 20-24 2,187 1,083 1,104 2,196 1,091 1,105 2,259 1,176 1,083 2,430 1,310 1,120 2,480 1,310 1,171 25-29 1,823 810 1,013 1,836 819 1,017 1,841 820 1,022 1,903 908 995 1,930 908 1,022 30-34 1,792 768 1,024 1,808 773 1,035 1,904 832 1,071 1,950 878 1,073 1,924 878 1,046 35-39 1,685 732 954 1,727 740 986 1,812 744 1,068 1,910 802 1,109 1,917 802 1,115 40-44 1,367 689 677 1,407 699 708 1,646 766 881 1,798 840 958 1,843 840 1,002 45-49 1,077 541 536 1,134 564 570 1,334 619 715 1,594 700 894 1,681 700 981 50-54 655 351 305 693 374 319 971 515 456 1,213 639 574 1,362 639 722 55-59 540 266 273 556 278 278 668 358 310 998 556 442 1,115 556 559 60-64 415 173 242 433 180 253 512 222 290 728 403 325 869 403 466 65-69 295 137 158 305 141 164 385 171 215 525 278 247 557 278 279 70-74 319 116 203 327 119 208 362 132 230 502 202 300 547 202 345 75-79 177 76 102 183 78 104 220 96 125 266 130 136 305 130 176 80+ 240 91 149 243 92 151 256 97 159 283 114 169 289 114 175

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104 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUSAKA DISTRICT, Lusaka Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Lusaka District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 1,886,862 934,360 952,502 1,969,994 974,573 995,421 2,055,949 1,016,183 1,039,766 2,144,662 1,059,155 1,085,507 2,281,702 1,149,070 1,132,632 2,330,200 1,149,070 1,181,130 2,426,898 1,195,950 1,230,948 2,526,102 1,244,045 1,282,057 0-4 312,926 158,245 154,682 324,621 164,089 160,531 337,186 170,482 166,704 350,633 177,325 173,308 373,375 192,625 180,750 381,107 192,625 188,482 396,274 200,233 196,041 411,075 207,653 203,422 5-9 251,515 127,105 124,410 261,078 132,079 128,998 271,470 137,115 134,355 282,379 142,262 140,117 298,036 152,434 145,603 303,596 152,434 151,162 315,350 158,242 157,108 327,929 164,569 163,360

10-14 220,141 104,064 116,077 227,692 108,853 118,838 235,433 113,997 121,436 243,388 119,226 124,162 256,633 129,361 127,273 260,450 129,361 131,090 270,169 134,359 135,810 280,729 139,424 141,305 15-19 208,995 96,687 112,307 215,093 99,193 115,900 221,013 101,538 119,475 227,257 104,260 122,997 238,493 112,010 126,483 241,739 112,010 129,729 249,453 116,856 132,597 257,359 122,053 135,307 20-24 198,291 89,431 108,860 207,110 94,042 113,068 216,158 98,957 117,202 224,778 103,580 121,199 235,676 110,650 125,026 239,413 110,650 128,763 245,744 113,243 132,501 251,889 115,675 136,214 25-29 190,879 90,271 100,608 197,578 92,294 105,284 203,656 94,106 109,550 210,015 96,313 113,703 221,221 103,260 117,961 225,574 103,260 122,314 234,542 107,926 126,616 243,757 112,903 130,854 30-34 157,575 80,585 76,989 167,249 84,279 82,970 177,345 88,128 89,218 187,156 91,799 95,357 198,913 97,770 101,143 204,139 97,770 106,369 210,860 99,831 111,029 217,005 101,699 115,306 35-39 121,939 67,726 54,213 128,568 70,482 58,087 134,959 72,941 62,018 141,693 75,455 66,238 152,367 81,488 70,879 157,577 81,488 76,088 166,941 85,104 81,837 176,746 88,882 87,865 40-44 76,403 43,961 32,442 84,390 48,418 35,971 92,987 53,052 39,934 101,399 57,408 43,991 112,225 64,311 47,914 115,969 64,311 51,658 122,313 66,970 55,343 128,485 69,379 59,106 45-49 50,161 27,315 22,845 52,649 29,075 23,574 55,544 31,087 24,457 59,296 33,526 25,770 67,727 40,047 27,679 70,343 40,047 30,296 77,655 44,109 33,546 85,565 48,352 37,213 50-54 34,629 17,470 17,158 36,763 18,594 18,168 38,942 19,816 19,125 41,159 21,137 20,023 44,900 24,038 20,862 45,640 24,038 21,602 47,921 25,626 22,296 50,589 27,446 23,143 55-59 22,932 11,807 11,125 24,659 12,511 12,148 26,545 13,284 13,261 28,473 14,111 14,362 31,312 15,928 15,385 32,278 15,928 16,350 34,263 16,972 17,292 36,300 18,104 18,196 60-64 15,876 8,190 7,686 16,445 8,497 7,948 17,050 8,819 8,231 17,821 9,195 8,625 19,392 10,207 9,185 20,133 10,207 9,926 21,636 10,823 10,813 23,285 11,504 11,781 65-69 9,901 4,980 4,922 10,654 5,347 5,307 11,438 5,727 5,711 12,171 6,083 6,087 13,083 6,673 6,409 13,342 6,673 6,669 13,824 6,932 6,892 14,338 7,201 7,137 70-74 6,204 2,973 3,231 6,434 3,080 3,354 6,691 3,205 3,486 7,009 3,360 3,649 7,663 3,809 3,854 7,923 3,809 4,114 8,509 4,090 4,419 9,122 4,381 4,742 75-79 3,860 1,694 2,166 4,047 1,766 2,281 4,261 1,850 2,410 4,467 1,934 2,532 4,720 2,077 2,643 4,815 2,077 2,738 4,977 2,149 2,829 5,162 2,232 2,930 80+ 4,634 1,853 2,782 4,965 1,972 2,993 5,271 2,078 3,193 5,568 2,180 3,388 5,966 2,382 3,584 6,164 2,382 3,782 6,464 2,485 3,980 6,764 2,589 4,175

Age, Sex & District of Resi-dence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Lusaka District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 2,627,716 1,293,314 1,334,402 2,731,696 1,343,733 1,387,963 3,285,329 1,612,155 1,673,174 4,216,050 2,229,480 1,986,570 4,560,560 2,229,480 2,331,080 0-4 425,512 214,885 210,627 439,632 221,950 217,682 505,537 254,830 250,707 600,560 318,930 281,630 634,396 318,930 315,466 5-9 341,333 171,317 170,016 356,146 178,682 177,464 429,486 215,135 214,351 525,230 277,822 247,408 556,270 277,822 278,447

10-14 291,796 144,595 147,201 302,389 149,594 152,794 365,887 180,871 185,016 471,672 249,385 222,286 504,984 249,385 255,599 15-19 265,487 127,341 138,145 273,911 132,529 141,382 325,715 158,085 167,630 426,412 225,996 200,416 464,371 225,996 238,375 20-24 258,370 118,493 139,877 265,588 122,089 143,500 306,746 147,684 159,062 392,456 206,190 186,266 426,108 206,190 219,918 25-29 252,545 117,591 134,954 260,473 121,593 138,880 294,363 136,542 157,822 363,643 189,654 173,989 391,552 189,654 201,898 30-34 223,450 103,959 119,491 230,783 106,997 123,786 274,271 129,276 144,994 335,191 170,873 164,317 351,985 170,873 181,112 35-39 186,309 92,499 93,809 195,211 95,775 99,437 229,742 107,925 121,817 289,006 145,889 143,117 308,600 145,889 162,711 40-44 135,010 71,848 63,162 142,218 74,589 67,629 186,862 91,674 95,189 243,311 126,038 117,273 264,658 126,038 138,620 45-49 93,356 52,367 40,989 100,552 55,884 44,668 132,170 68,775 63,395 187,247 97,521 89,726 208,809 97,521 111,288 50-54 54,042 29,651 24,392 58,537 32,330 26,207 92,322 50,013 42,310 138,124 77,823 60,302 163,568 77,823 85,745 55-59 38,385 19,334 19,051 40,513 20,655 19,858 54,846 29,814 25,032 98,517 58,114 40,403 115,889 58,114 57,776 60-64 24,978 12,231 12,747 26,654 13,001 13,654 35,718 18,026 17,692 63,476 41,026 22,450 77,391 41,026 36,364 65-69 15,000 7,518 7,482 15,878 7,909 7,968 22,544 10,719 11,825 37,270 21,901 15,370 41,534 21,901 19,634 70-74 9,697 4,655 5,041 10,201 4,898 5,303 12,708 6,096 6,612 21,437 11,668 9,769 24,377 11,668 12,709 75-79 5,397 2,340 3,057 5,695 2,479 3,216 7,743 3,404 4,339 11,158 5,782 5,376 13,609 5,782 7,827 80+ 7,048 2,687 4,361 7,314 2,779 4,535 8,669 3,289 5,381 11,341 4,868 6,473 12,457 4,868 7,589

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 105

Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex, Region

Projection Year2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 749,449 785,300 821,564 858,179 895,058 932,668 971,547 1,011,655 1,052,996 1,095,535 1,139,277 1,184,232 1,230,373 1,277,711 1,326,222 1,375,955 1,426,968 1,479,223 1,532,706 1,587,414 1,643,362 1,700,577 1,759,035 1,818,744 1,879,642

0-4 150,516 157,375 163,809 169,831 175,633 179,946 184,968 190,635 196,949 203,848 211,029 218,190 225,325 232,428 239,497 246,566 253,683 260,845 268,043 275,253 282,456 289,647 296,820 303,981 311,108 5-9 115,548 119,944 124,865 130,084 135,165 141,729 147,986 153,915 159,557 165,205 169,523 174,513 180,132 186,390 193,248 200,401 207,551 214,684 221,814 228,926 236,070 243,264 250,523 257,822 265,168

10-14 101,402 104,659 107,517 110,350 113,461 117,124 121,409 126,230 131,379 136,414 142,898 149,079 154,939 160,526 166,151 170,478 175,467 181,075 187,307 194,141 201,268 208,397 215,516 222,645 229,751 15-19 82,956 88,063 93,118 97,924 102,391 106,226 109,397 112,195 114,992 118,100 121,759 126,038 130,849 135,972 140,955 147,364 153,485 159,296 164,853 170,470 174,818 179,816 185,423 191,650 198,467 20-24 62,715 66,701 71,191 75,925 80,691 85,527 90,474 95,389 100,080 104,452 108,243 111,388 114,175 116,974 120,086 123,739 128,009 132,803 137,890 142,831 149,171 155,232 161,006 166,536 172,140 25-29 53,948 55,375 56,714 58,416 60,788 63,938 67,772 72,111 76,700 81,344 86,060 90,898 95,707 100,310 104,613 108,364 111,497 114,301 117,115 120,249 123,916 128,188 132,969 138,046 142,966 30-34 41,747 44,572 47,565 50,333 52,622 54,350 55,702 56,993 58,655 60,976 64,065 67,808 72,042 76,526 81,069 85,689 90,433 95,162 99,705 103,964 107,708 110,866 113,719 116,592 119,779 35-39 35,083 36,350 37,476 38,790 40,495 42,724 45,400 48,244 50,896 53,123 54,835 56,190 57,493 59,148 61,442 64,476 68,147 72,291 76,688 81,157 85,698 90,372 95,040 99,538 103,785 40-44 25,702 27,934 30,320 32,585 34,544 36,092 37,301 38,393 39,671 41,336 43,504 46,100 48,863 51,452 53,633 55,329 56,692 58,008 59,664 61,934 64,926 68,531 72,601 76,918 81,311 45-49 20,673 21,481 22,319 23,357 24,719 26,480 28,586 30,843 33,003 34,886 36,396 37,583 38,660 39,920 41,548 43,659 46,183 48,874 51,403 53,551 55,235 56,601 57,926 59,587 61,832 50-54 15,875 17,097 18,277 19,380 20,386 21,254 22,019 22,811 23,800 25,100 26,783 28,795 30,953 33,018 34,826 36,284 37,443 38,500 39,735 41,321 43,373 45,823 48,433 50,892 52,992 55-59 10,542 11,464 12,573 13,753 14,920 16,068 17,207 18,310 19,340 20,286 21,108 21,832 22,588 23,528 24,763 26,360 28,263 30,314 32,275 34,001 35,399 36,516 37,539 38,737 40,264 60-64 9,772 9,731 9,667 9,742 10,067 10,674 11,534 12,562 13,663 14,747 15,813 16,874 17,902 18,861 19,742 20,504 21,187 21,889 22,768 23,924 25,422 27,210 29,125 30,971 32,589 65-69 7,988 8,492 8,985 9,393 9,660 9,760 9,720 9,665 9,733 10,031 10,588 11,373 12,313 13,313 14,298 15,267 16,224 17,159 18,024 18,816 19,496 20,108 20,740 21,534 22,583 70-74 6,221 6,452 6,691 6,958 7,281 7,679 8,130 8,568 8,930 9,159 9,233 9,192 9,134 9,194 9,451 9,939 10,623 11,433 12,299 13,146 13,977 14,789 15,584 16,314 16,976 75-79 4,329 4,640 4,960 5,268 5,541 5,772 5,973 6,174 6,397 6,671 6,997 7,374 7,734 8,027 8,207 8,252 8,197 8,133 8,161 8,360 8,747 9,298 9,946 10,626 11,292 80+ 4,432 4,970 5,517 6,090 6,694 7,325 7,969 8,617 9,251 9,857 10,443 11,005 11,564 12,124 12,693 13,284 13,884 14,456 14,962 15,370 15,682 15,919 16,125 16,355 16,639

Total (Females) 381,543 399,802 418,243 436,823 455,498 474,525 494,194 514,492 535,416 556,952 579,095 601,865 625,239 649,224 673,806 699,019 724,884 751,388 778,518 806,287 834,696 863,764 893,482 923,851 954,837

0-4 75,424 78,677 81,721 84,545 87,197 89,266 91,705 94,487 97,615 101,040 104,605 108,161 111,709 115,241 118,757 122,275 125,820 129,387 132,975 136,568 140,160 143,748 147,330 150,908 154,468 5-9 58,529 60,786 63,232 65,785 68,289 71,366 74,296 77,065 79,677 82,258 84,349 86,791 89,564 92,680 96,103 99,673 103,244 106,811 110,377 113,939 117,518 121,124 124,764 128,427 132,115

10-14 50,309 52,084 53,738 55,398 57,158 59,124 61,316 63,708 66,226 68,715 71,763 74,668 77,416 80,016 82,596 84,700 87,152 89,927 93,040 96,459 100,025 103,597 107,167 110,745 114,314 15-19 41,899 44,102 46,335 48,519 50,620 52,530 54,244 55,855 57,491 59,242 61,208 63,402 65,796 68,310 70,783 73,810 76,697 79,438 82,036 84,629 86,758 89,224 92,013 95,135 98,559 20-24 34,136 35,868 37,735 39,681 41,661 43,706 45,835 48,004 50,137 52,202 54,095 55,800 57,407 59,043 60,800 62,767 64,965 67,364 69,872 72,340 75,349 78,224 80,964 83,569 86,178 25-29 29,384 30,484 31,465 32,520 33,784 35,275 36,944 38,756 40,653 42,598 44,606 46,705 48,840 50,945 52,988 54,871 56,573 58,187 59,832 61,603 63,586 65,796 68,204 70,724 73,195 30-34 21,049 22,875 24,854 26,726 28,312 29,573 30,610 31,549 32,576 33,818 35,291 36,933 38,721 40,593 42,515 44,502 46,576 48,694 50,789 52,825 54,714 56,436 58,077 59,756 61,559 35-39 17,300 17,924 18,480 19,192 20,200 21,595 23,322 25,200 26,992 28,527 29,767 30,799 31,733 32,752 33,985 35,444 37,073 38,841 40,697 42,609 44,580 46,644 48,753 50,845 52,889 40-44 12,451 13,642 14,939 16,171 17,232 18,040 18,638 19,181 19,876 20,861 22,214 23,889 25,712 27,458 28,956 30,174 31,194 32,128 33,143 34,366 35,815 37,428 39,182 41,021 42,920 45-49 10,323 10,654 10,998 11,463 12,127 13,045 14,185 15,424 16,611 17,638 18,431 19,022 19,559 20,242 21,204 22,523 24,150 25,923 27,627 29,094 30,294 31,303 32,229 33,242 34,452 50-54 8,113 8,755 9,364 9,918 10,408 10,800 11,120 11,452 11,900 12,542 13,428 14,526 15,724 16,869 17,861 18,631 19,212 19,742 20,412 21,352 22,635 24,216 25,940 27,596 29,027 55-59 5,341 5,821 6,426 7,075 7,708 8,326 8,934 9,512 10,038 10,505 10,882 11,189 11,507 11,940 12,558 13,406 14,456 15,604 16,701 17,657 18,402 18,969 19,485 20,138 21,048 60-64 5,444 5,342 5,206 5,151 5,255 5,548 6,008 6,584 7,202 7,806 8,390 8,968 9,518 10,017 10,457 10,816 11,110 11,410 11,821 12,408 13,213 14,214 15,304 16,351 17,260 65-69 4,428 4,766 5,091 5,350 5,504 5,524 5,433 5,311 5,266 5,368 5,649 6,079 6,617 7,192 7,751 8,293 8,825 9,334 9,792 10,194 10,520 10,786 11,060 11,440 11,981 70-74 3,257 3,426 3,596 3,782 4,003 4,275 4,579 4,873 5,104 5,239 5,251 5,166 5,056 5,020 5,113 5,366 5,747 6,221 6,728 7,219 7,692 8,154 8,596 8,989 9,332 75-79 2,066 2,258 2,472 2,682 2,875 3,041 3,190 3,337 3,499 3,689 3,916 4,177 4,426 4,618 4,726 4,728 4,649 4,550 4,510 4,584 4,793 5,111 5,502 5,914 6,312 80+ 2,090 2,338 2,591 2,865 3,165 3,491 3,835 4,194 4,553 4,904 5,250 5,590 5,934 6,288 6,653 7,040 7,441 7,827 8,166 8,441 8,642 8,790 8,912 9,051 9,228

Total (Males) 367,906 385,498 403,321 421,356 439,560 458,143 477,353 497,163 517,580 538,583 560,182 582,367 605,134 628,487 652,416 676,936 702,084 727,835 754,188 781,127 808,666 836,813 865,553 894,893 924,805

0-4 75,092 78,698 82,088 85,286 88,436 90,680 93,263 96,148 99,334 102,808 106,424 110,029 113,616 117,187 120,740 124,291 127,863 131,458 135,068 138,685 142,296 145,899 149,490 153,073 156,640 5-9 57,019 59,158 61,633 64,299 66,876 70,363 73,690 76,850 79,880 82,947 85,174 87,722 90,568 93,710 97,145 100,728 104,307 107,873 111,437 114,987 118,552 122,140 125,759 129,395 133,053

10-14 51,093 52,575 53,779 54,952 56,303 58,000 60,093 62,522 65,153 67,699 71,135 74,411 77,523 80,510 83,555 85,778 88,315 91,148 94,267 97,682 101,243 104,800 108,349 111,900 115,437 15-19 41,057 43,961 46,783 49,405 51,771 53,696 55,153 56,340 57,501 58,858 60,551 62,636 65,053 67,662 70,172 73,554 76,788 79,858 82,817 85,841 88,060 90,592 93,410 96,515 99,908 20-24 28,579 30,833 33,456 36,244 39,030 41,821 44,639 47,385 49,943 52,250 54,148 55,588 56,768 57,931 59,286 60,972 63,044 65,439 68,018 70,491 73,822 77,008 80,042 82,967 85,962 25-29 24,564 24,891 25,249 25,896 27,004 28,663 30,828 33,355 36,047 38,746 41,454 44,193 46,867 49,365 51,625 53,493 54,924 56,114 57,283 58,646 60,330 62,392 64,765 67,322 69,771 30-34 20,698 21,697 22,711 23,607 24,310 24,777 25,092 25,444 26,079 27,158 28,774 30,875 33,321 35,933 38,554 41,187 43,857 46,468 48,916 51,139 52,994 54,430 55,642 56,836 58,220 35-39 17,783 18,426 18,996 19,598 20,295 21,129 22,078 23,044 23,904 24,596 25,068 25,391 25,760 26,396 27,457 29,032 31,074 33,450 35,991 38,548 41,118 43,728 46,287 48,693 50,896 40-44 13,251 14,292 15,381 16,414 17,312 18,052 18,663 19,212 19,795 20,475 21,290 22,211 23,151 23,994 24,677 25,155 25,498 25,880 26,521 27,568 29,111 31,103 33,419 35,897 38,391 45-49 10,350 10,827 11,321 11,894 12,592 13,435 14,401 15,419 16,392 17,248 17,965 18,561 19,101 19,678 20,344 21,136 22,033 22,951 23,776 24,457 24,941 25,298 25,697 26,345 27,380 50-54 7,762 8,342 8,913 9,462 9,978 10,454 10,899 11,359 11,900 12,558 13,355 14,269 15,229 16,149 16,965 17,653 18,231 18,758 19,323 19,969 20,738 21,607 22,493 23,296 23,965 55-59 5,201 5,643 6,147 6,678 7,212 7,742 8,273 8,798 9,302 9,781 10,226 10,643 11,081 11,588 12,205 12,954 13,807 14,710 15,574 16,344 16,997 17,547 18,054 18,599 19,216 60-64 4,328 4,389 4,461 4,591 4,812 5,126 5,526 5,978 6,461 6,941 7,423 7,906 8,384 8,844 9,285 9,688 10,077 10,479 10,947 11,516 12,209 12,996 13,821 14,620 15,329 65-69 3,560 3,726 3,894 4,043 4,156 4,236 4,287 4,354 4,467 4,663 4,939 5,294 5,696 6,121 6,547 6,974 7,399 7,825 8,232 8,622 8,976 9,322 9,680 10,094 10,602 70-74 2,964 3,026 3,095 3,176 3,278 3,404 3,551 3,695 3,826 3,920 3,982 4,026 4,078 4,174 4,338 4,573 4,876 5,212 5,571 5,927 6,285 6,635 6,988 7,325 7,644 75-79 2,263 2,382 2,488 2,586 2,666 2,731 2,783 2,837 2,898 2,982 3,081 3,197 3,308 3,409 3,481 3,524 3,548 3,583 3,651 3,776 3,954 4,187 4,444 4,712 4,980 80+ 2,342 2,632 2,926 3,225 3,529 3,834 4,134 4,423 4,698 4,953 5,193 5,415 5,630 5,836 6,040 6,244 6,443 6,629 6,796 6,929 7,040 7,129 7,213 7,304 7,411

Page 119: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

106 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 38,110 39,198 40,233 41,205 42,114 43,640 45,161 46,680 48,184 49,673 51,160 52,616 54,062 55,493 56,926 58,408 59,874 61,324 62,761 64,167 65,588 67,000 68,399 69,772 71,129Annual Number of Deaths 10,053 10,671 11,290 11,917 12,548 12,795 13,080 13,366 13,658 13,954 14,214 14,468 14,722 14,978 15,227 15,445 15,658 15,880 16,086 16,294 16,453 16,612 16,780 16,952 17,128Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 50.9 49.9 49.0 48.0 47.1 46.8 46.5 46.1 45.8 45.3 44.9 44.4 43.9 43.4 42.9 42.5 42.0 41.5 41.0 40.4 39.9 39.4 38.9 38.4 37.8 Crude Death Rate (CDR) 13.4 13.6 13.7 13.9 14.0 13.7 13.5 13.2 13.0 12.7 12.5 12.2 12.0 11.7 11.5 11.2 11.0 10.7 10.5 10.3 10.0 9.8 9.5 9.3 9.1 Growth Rate(%) 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes) 57.2 57.0 56.8 56.6 56.4 56.7 57.0 57.3 57.6 57.9 58.3 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.6 60.0 60.4 60.7 61.1 61.4 61.8 62.1 62.5 62.8 63.1 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males) 53.2 53.2 53.1 53.0 52.9 53.2 53.5 53.8 54.1 54.5 54.8 55.2 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.5 56.9 57.2 57.6 57.9 58.3 58.6 58.9 59.3 59.6 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females) 61.2 61.0 60.6 60.3 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.9 62.3 62.6 62.9 63.2 63.6 64.0 64.3 64.6 65.0 65.4 65.8 66.1 66.4 66.7 Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes) 85.3 86.7 88.0 89.3 90.6 89.3 87.9 86.5 85.2 83.9 82.4 81.0 79.6 78.2 76.9 75.4 73.9 72.4 71.0 69.6 68.1 66.5 65.0 63.6 62.2 Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 93.7 94.6 95.4 96.2 97.0 95.7 94.4 93.1 91.8 90.5 89.1 87.7 86.4 85.0 83.7 82.3 80.9 79.5 78.1 76.8 75.3 73.9 72.5 71.1 69.8 Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 76.7 78.5 80.3 82.1 84.0 82.6 81.2 79.8 78.4 77.1 75.6 74.1 72.6 71.2 69.8 68.2 66.7 65.2 63.7 62.2 60.5 58.9 57.4 55.8 54.3 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 7.2 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 749,449 785,300 821,564 858,179 895,058 932,668 971,547 1,011,655 1,052,996 1,095,535 1,139,277 1,184,232 1,230,373 1,277,711 1,326,222 1,375,955 1,426,968 1,479,223 1,532,706 1,587,414 1,643,362 1,700,577 1,759,035 1,818,744 1,879,642 0 35,378 36,342 37,317 38,234 39,085 40,233 41,704 43,158 44,600 46,032 47,460 48,877 50,276 51,666 53,051 54,463 55,900 57,322 58,733 60,120 61,512 62,912 64,299 65,674 67,028 1 31,171 33,906 34,774 35,649 36,463 37,284 38,423 39,882 41,331 42,771 44,206 45,642 47,068 48,478 49,880 51,282 52,717 54,175 55,622 57,055 58,474 59,899 61,333 62,756 64,165 2 29,563 30,446 33,091 33,907 34,729 35,507 36,335 37,474 38,927 40,371 41,807 43,245 44,684 46,112 47,527 48,937 50,349 51,795 53,263 54,724 56,171 57,606 59,051 60,503 61,943 3 27,960 29,079 29,932 32,515 33,296 34,097 34,878 35,710 36,848 38,294 39,734 41,167 42,605 44,043 45,474 46,889 48,304 49,722 51,173 52,647 54,114 55,571 57,018 58,473 59,935 4 26,444 27,602 28,695 29,526 32,060 32,825 33,628 34,411 35,243 36,380 37,822 39,259 40,692 42,129 43,565 44,995 46,413 47,831 49,252 50,707 52,185 53,659 55,119 56,575 58,037 5 25,145 26,230 27,374 28,454 29,271 31,778 32,543 33,345 34,131 34,962 36,098 37,538 38,972 40,401 41,837 43,272 44,703 46,120 47,540 48,958 50,417 51,898 53,377 54,840 56,297 6 23,996 25,025 26,103 27,239 28,307 29,121 31,618 32,384 33,186 33,970 34,800 35,937 37,373 38,804 40,232 41,668 43,101 44,530 45,947 47,369 48,786 50,246 51,724 53,206 54,671 7 22,945 23,881 24,901 25,970 27,098 28,164 28,976 31,464 32,229 33,028 33,816 34,644 35,779 37,214 38,643 40,069 41,503 42,934 44,364 45,778 47,203 48,618 50,080 51,557 53,040 8 22,080 22,835 23,764 24,777 25,838 26,961 28,024 28,835 31,313 32,079 32,877 33,664 34,492 35,625 37,059 38,485 39,910 41,345 42,773 44,204 45,616 47,043 48,455 49,919 51,396 9 21,382 21,973 22,723 23,644 24,651 25,705 26,825 27,887 28,698 31,166 31,932 32,730 33,516 34,346 35,477 36,907 38,334 39,755 41,190 42,617 44,048 45,459 46,887 48,300 49,764

10 21,015 21,457 22,044 22,788 23,704 24,706 25,760 26,877 27,937 28,745 31,205 31,971 32,771 33,557 34,387 35,517 36,947 38,372 39,791 41,226 42,652 44,083 45,493 46,923 48,335 11 20,810 21,267 21,706 22,289 23,028 23,944 24,944 25,997 27,114 28,171 28,976 31,429 32,196 32,997 33,784 34,617 35,745 37,174 38,596 40,017 41,450 42,876 44,306 45,717 47,147 12 20,434 21,063 21,516 21,953 22,531 23,267 24,185 25,183 26,237 27,353 28,405 29,205 31,655 32,423 33,224 34,012 34,847 35,976 37,402 38,825 40,245 41,678 43,103 44,533 45,945 13 19,929 20,688 21,313 21,761 22,195 22,772 23,508 24,425 25,425 26,479 27,593 28,643 29,436 31,879 32,649 33,454 34,243 35,078 36,207 37,632 39,055 40,474 41,908 43,333 44,761 14 19,214 20,184 20,938 21,559 22,003 22,435 23,012 23,748 24,666 25,666 26,719 27,831 28,881 29,670 32,107 32,878 33,685 34,475 35,311 36,441 37,866 39,286 40,706 42,139 43,563 15 18,293 19,416 20,381 21,129 21,746 22,188 22,621 23,196 23,932 24,851 25,849 26,904 28,013 29,061 29,847 32,277 33,048 33,857 34,648 35,484 36,614 38,038 39,457 40,876 42,311 16 17,374 18,445 19,561 20,518 21,263 21,874 22,319 22,751 23,325 24,061 24,981 25,976 27,030 28,139 29,184 29,964 32,390 33,161 33,970 34,764 35,600 36,731 38,153 39,570 40,988 17 16,583 17,530 18,594 19,704 20,655 21,395 22,005 22,450 22,883 23,457 24,191 25,112 26,106 27,159 28,267 29,308 30,088 32,505 33,277 34,087 34,882 35,718 36,850 38,270 39,686 18 15,767 16,743 17,683 18,740 19,843 20,790 21,528 22,137 22,583 23,015 23,591 24,323 25,243 26,237 27,288 28,396 29,433 30,212 32,622 33,396 34,206 35,002 35,840 36,971 38,388 19 14,939 15,929 16,899 17,833 18,884 19,979 20,924 21,661 22,269 22,716 23,147 23,723 24,457 25,376 26,369 27,419 28,526 29,561 30,336 32,739 33,516 34,327 35,123 35,963 37,094 20 14,061 15,056 16,039 17,000 17,928 18,972 20,062 21,006 21,740 22,346 22,795 23,226 23,802 24,536 25,453 26,447 27,496 28,601 29,634 30,406 32,804 33,581 34,394 35,192 36,030 21 13,163 14,131 15,118 16,094 17,046 17,969 19,008 20,092 21,032 21,764 22,370 22,821 23,251 23,827 24,562 25,477 26,470 27,518 28,620 29,653 30,422 32,812 33,590 34,405 35,205 22 12,360 13,239 14,199 15,178 16,146 17,092 18,011 19,044 20,124 21,060 21,790 22,396 22,848 23,279 23,854 24,589 25,506 26,496 27,542 28,644 29,674 30,441 32,826 33,604 34,421 23 11,747 12,442 13,313 14,266 15,238 16,198 17,141 18,055 19,082 20,159 21,092 21,819 22,423 22,877 23,308 23,885 24,618 25,535 26,526 27,569 28,670 29,699 30,466 32,841 33,622 24 11,384 11,833 12,522 13,387 14,333 15,296 16,252 17,192 18,102 19,123 20,196 21,126 21,851 22,455 22,909 23,341 23,919 24,653 25,568 26,559 27,601 28,699 29,730 30,494 32,862 25 11,171 11,444 11,888 12,573 13,429 14,369 15,326 16,277 17,211 18,119 19,135 20,203 21,130 21,855 22,457 22,913 23,348 23,926 24,659 25,575 26,566 27,608 28,704 29,736 30,500 26 11,053 11,206 11,475 11,914 12,591 13,439 14,376 15,327 16,275 17,204 18,107 19,119 20,183 21,106 21,831 22,434 22,891 23,326 23,908 24,640 25,557 26,547 27,590 28,684 29,715 27 10,919 11,087 11,239 11,505 11,938 12,608 13,452 14,385 15,331 16,274 17,199 18,098 19,105 20,165 21,085 21,809 22,412 22,873 23,308 23,892 24,626 25,543 26,531 27,576 28,669 28 10,646 10,955 11,122 11,270 11,531 11,962 12,630 13,468 14,397 15,335 16,275 17,197 18,091 19,095 20,151 21,068 21,792 22,395 22,858 23,294 23,881 24,616 25,533 26,522 27,565 29 10,159 10,683 10,990 11,154 11,299 11,560 11,988 12,654 13,486 14,412 15,344 16,281 17,198 18,089 19,089 20,140 21,054 21,781 22,382 22,848 23,286 23,874 24,611 25,528 26,517 30 9,511 10,185 10,702 11,006 11,166 11,308 11,570 11,997 12,660 13,485 14,410 15,337 16,268 17,185 18,071 19,066 20,114 21,026 21,753 22,357 22,823 23,267 23,856 24,595 25,513 31 8,815 9,527 10,192 10,700 10,999 11,157 11,300 11,564 11,988 12,648 13,469 14,390 15,313 16,239 17,152 18,036 19,028 20,073 20,983 21,710 22,317 22,785 23,233 23,825 24,566

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 107

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203532 8,215 8,837 9,540 10,196 10,696 10,992 11,152 11,295 11,560 11,985 12,641 13,458 14,374 15,293 16,215 17,125 18,007 18,995 20,037 20,945 21,672 22,283 22,755 23,207 23,801 33 7,743 8,245 8,859 9,553 10,198 10,693 10,989 11,150 11,296 11,559 11,984 12,636 13,452 14,362 15,277 16,195 17,102 17,982 18,969 20,006 20,914 21,642 22,256 22,732 23,186 34 7,463 7,778 8,272 8,878 9,563 10,200 10,691 10,987 11,151 11,299 11,561 11,987 12,635 13,447 14,354 15,267 16,182 17,086 17,963 18,946 19,982 20,889 21,619 22,233 22,713 35 7,327 7,514 7,825 8,314 8,912 9,588 10,222 10,711 11,006 11,172 11,321 11,584 12,008 12,654 13,462 14,365 15,275 16,185 17,087 17,962 18,943 19,975 20,880 21,611 22,229 36 7,247 7,391 7,576 7,883 8,366 8,959 9,632 10,261 10,750 11,043 11,208 11,360 11,625 12,048 12,691 13,494 14,394 15,300 16,207 17,106 17,976 18,954 19,985 20,889 21,619 37 7,115 7,311 7,454 7,637 7,942 8,420 9,009 9,678 10,303 10,788 11,084 11,248 11,401 11,666 12,089 12,730 13,528 14,426 15,327 16,232 17,127 17,997 18,972 19,998 20,902 38 6,884 7,182 7,374 7,518 7,696 8,000 8,476 9,062 9,724 10,346 10,830 11,126 11,290 11,445 11,709 12,132 12,771 13,565 14,461 15,359 16,259 17,154 18,019 18,993 20,017 39 6,510 6,952 7,247 7,438 7,579 7,757 8,061 8,532 9,113 9,774 10,392 10,872 11,169 11,335 11,491 11,755 12,179 12,815 13,606 14,498 15,393 16,292 17,184 18,047 19,018 40 6,011 6,556 6,994 7,285 7,474 7,614 7,792 8,095 8,563 9,141 9,798 10,412 10,891 11,189 11,354 11,511 11,777 12,200 12,834 13,621 14,509 15,402 16,297 17,188 18,048 41 5,485 6,041 6,580 7,011 7,297 7,484 7,627 7,805 8,105 8,571 9,144 9,797 10,408 10,885 11,183 11,349 11,508 11,774 12,195 12,829 13,611 14,496 15,386 16,275 17,164 42 5,039 5,520 6,070 6,601 7,027 7,310 7,497 7,640 7,819 8,117 8,581 9,151 9,799 10,406 10,881 11,179 11,347 11,506 11,774 12,193 12,827 13,604 14,485 15,373 16,258 43 4,692 5,079 5,556 6,097 6,621 7,042 7,325 7,511 7,656 7,833 8,131 8,592 9,159 9,802 10,406 10,879 11,178 11,348 11,510 11,776 12,196 12,827 13,602 14,479 15,364 44 4,475 4,738 5,120 5,591 6,125 6,642 7,060 7,342 7,528 7,674 7,850 8,148 8,606 9,170 9,809 10,411 10,882 11,180 11,351 11,515 11,783 12,202 12,831 13,603 14,477 45 4,355 4,514 4,774 5,152 5,618 6,146 6,658 7,072 7,352 7,539 7,684 7,861 8,157 8,614 9,173 9,810 10,408 10,877 11,174 11,348 11,512 11,781 12,198 12,826 13,594 46 4,271 4,388 4,545 4,801 5,175 5,637 6,160 6,667 7,080 7,357 7,544 7,688 7,866 8,161 8,614 9,169 9,804 10,398 10,866 11,163 11,337 11,502 11,771 12,187 12,813 47 4,168 4,306 4,422 4,577 4,829 5,199 5,657 6,176 6,679 7,089 7,363 7,551 7,696 7,873 8,167 8,617 9,168 9,799 10,391 10,856 11,152 11,328 11,496 11,764 12,178 48 4,034 4,202 4,339 4,455 4,610 4,857 5,226 5,678 6,192 6,692 7,099 7,372 7,560 7,703 7,881 8,173 8,622 9,171 9,798 10,386 10,850 11,144 11,322 11,492 11,759 49 3,845 4,071 4,239 4,372 4,487 4,641 4,885 5,250 5,700 6,209 6,706 7,111 7,381 7,569 7,713 7,890 8,181 8,629 9,174 9,798 10,384 10,846 11,139 11,318 11,488 50 3,607 3,873 4,096 4,263 4,392 4,505 4,658 4,903 5,263 5,708 6,214 6,704 7,106 7,375 7,563 7,706 7,883 8,173 8,617 9,159 9,779 10,361 10,822 11,114 11,294 51 3,376 3,626 3,889 4,108 4,274 4,401 4,515 4,665 4,907 5,263 5,704 6,204 6,689 7,088 7,355 7,543 7,684 7,860 8,149 8,590 9,126 9,744 10,320 10,779 11,071 52 3,178 3,399 3,644 3,903 4,120 4,283 4,410 4,521 4,671 4,911 5,263 5,701 6,195 6,673 7,070 7,334 7,521 7,663 7,840 8,125 8,563 9,096 9,709 10,282 10,736 53 2,968 3,203 3,420 3,663 3,917 4,131 4,291 4,419 4,530 4,678 4,916 5,264 5,697 6,186 6,660 7,052 7,316 7,503 7,644 7,819 8,104 8,537 9,067 9,676 10,245 54 2,746 2,996 3,228 3,443 3,683 3,934 4,145 4,303 4,429 4,540 4,686 4,922 5,266 5,696 6,178 6,649 7,039 7,301 7,485 7,628 7,801 8,085 8,515 9,041 9,646 55 2,502 2,761 3,007 3,235 3,447 3,684 3,932 4,140 4,297 4,421 4,531 4,676 4,911 5,251 5,677 6,152 6,619 7,004 7,265 7,447 7,590 7,763 8,044 8,472 8,993 56 2,248 2,502 2,758 2,999 3,225 3,433 3,668 3,911 4,117 4,272 4,395 4,504 4,647 4,879 5,215 5,636 6,107 6,569 6,947 7,208 7,389 7,530 7,702 7,981 8,403 57 2,036 2,253 2,502 2,755 2,992 3,217 3,421 3,652 3,892 4,097 4,250 4,371 4,478 4,621 4,849 5,182 5,597 6,064 6,520 6,894 7,152 7,333 7,472 7,644 7,919 58 1,898 2,042 2,257 2,503 2,752 2,985 3,209 3,407 3,638 3,873 4,076 4,227 4,347 4,453 4,595 4,819 5,149 5,559 6,021 6,473 6,843 7,098 7,276 7,417 7,587 59 1,858 1,906 2,049 2,261 2,504 2,749 2,977 3,200 3,396 3,623 3,856 4,054 4,205 4,324 4,427 4,571 4,791 5,118 5,522 5,979 6,425 6,792 7,045 7,223 7,362 60 1,888 1,867 1,916 2,055 2,265 2,504 2,745 2,970 3,189 3,382 3,606 3,837 4,033 4,181 4,298 4,399 4,542 4,759 5,081 5,480 5,932 6,373 6,734 6,985 7,159 61 1,951 1,897 1,873 1,923 2,061 2,267 2,504 2,740 2,963 3,178 3,368 3,589 3,814 4,009 4,154 4,269 4,369 4,507 4,722 5,039 5,434 5,877 6,312 6,669 6,915 62 1,997 1,957 1,904 1,881 1,930 2,067 2,269 2,503 2,735 2,954 3,167 3,354 3,571 3,793 3,984 4,126 4,240 4,338 4,474 4,686 4,997 5,387 5,822 6,252 6,603 63 1,999 2,004 1,964 1,912 1,890 1,937 2,073 2,270 2,502 2,732 2,945 3,156 3,339 3,552 3,770 3,959 4,099 4,211 4,306 4,442 4,650 4,956 5,341 5,771 6,193 64 1,937 2,006 2,010 1,971 1,921 1,899 1,943 2,079 2,274 2,501 2,727 2,938 3,145 3,326 3,536 3,751 3,937 4,074 4,185 4,277 4,409 4,617 4,916 5,294 5,719 65 1,815 1,936 2,005 2,010 1,972 1,924 1,901 1,944 2,077 2,269 2,491 2,713 2,919 3,123 3,300 3,507 3,715 3,898 4,032 4,141 4,231 4,361 4,563 4,859 5,228 66 1,684 1,809 1,927 1,996 2,000 1,964 1,915 1,895 1,934 2,066 2,254 2,471 2,689 2,890 3,090 3,261 3,464 3,667 3,846 3,976 4,081 4,171 4,295 4,492 4,780 67 1,579 1,682 1,803 1,918 1,986 1,992 1,955 1,906 1,887 1,926 2,054 2,238 2,451 2,664 2,860 3,054 3,223 3,421 3,619 3,795 3,919 4,022 4,109 4,230 4,422 68 1,490 1,576 1,676 1,798 1,909 1,977 1,983 1,946 1,898 1,880 1,917 2,043 2,222 2,430 2,640 2,831 3,021 3,186 3,378 3,570 3,743 3,864 3,964 4,048 4,166 69 1,420 1,489 1,574 1,671 1,793 1,903 1,966 1,974 1,937 1,890 1,872 1,908 2,032 2,206 2,408 2,614 2,801 2,987 3,149 3,334 3,522 3,690 3,809 3,905 3,987 70 1,361 1,410 1,478 1,562 1,657 1,774 1,883 1,945 1,952 1,916 1,868 1,851 1,887 2,007 2,176 2,373 2,573 2,754 2,932 3,090 3,271 3,452 3,614 3,728 3,821 71 1,304 1,342 1,391 1,458 1,538 1,633 1,746 1,850 1,911 1,917 1,882 1,835 1,818 1,852 1,969 2,132 2,321 2,514 2,690 2,859 3,013 3,185 3,360 3,515 3,623 72 1,254 1,288 1,325 1,371 1,439 1,515 1,607 1,717 1,819 1,878 1,882 1,847 1,802 1,785 1,818 1,928 2,088 2,270 2,456 2,626 2,788 2,935 3,101 3,269 3,417 73 1,189 1,238 1,273 1,309 1,354 1,421 1,493 1,584 1,689 1,786 1,845 1,847 1,814 1,769 1,752 1,786 1,889 2,044 2,221 2,399 2,561 2,719 2,859 3,017 3,180 74 1,113 1,174 1,224 1,258 1,293 1,336 1,401 1,472 1,559 1,662 1,756 1,812 1,813 1,781 1,736 1,720 1,752 1,851 2,000 2,172 2,344 2,498 2,650 2,785 2,935 75 1,026 1,098 1,157 1,206 1,239 1,274 1,315 1,376 1,445 1,529 1,627 1,720 1,771 1,775 1,740 1,697 1,680 1,710 1,806 1,948 2,112 2,276 2,423 2,568 2,695 76 936 1,010 1,079 1,136 1,184 1,216 1,250 1,288 1,348 1,414 1,494 1,589 1,677 1,725 1,729 1,694 1,651 1,634 1,661 1,752 1,886 2,042 2,198 2,336 2,472 77 853 920 992 1,060 1,116 1,162 1,191 1,225 1,260 1,318 1,382 1,458 1,549 1,632 1,679 1,681 1,646 1,603 1,585 1,611 1,697 1,824 1,972 2,117 2,251 78 783 839 905 974 1,042 1,096 1,140 1,166 1,201 1,233 1,288 1,348 1,420 1,509 1,590 1,633 1,634 1,599 1,557 1,538 1,561 1,644 1,763 1,902 2,040 79 731 773 827 892 960 1,024 1,077 1,119 1,143 1,177 1,206 1,259 1,317 1,386 1,469 1,547 1,586 1,587 1,552 1,511 1,491 1,512 1,590 1,703 1,834

80+ 4,432 4,970 5,517 6,090 6,694 7,325 7,969 8,617 9,251 9,857 10,443 11,005 11,564 12,124 12,693 13,284 13,884 14,456 14,962 15,370 15,682 15,919 16,125 16,355 16,639

Page 121: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

108 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total

(Males) 367,906 385,498 403,321 421,356 439,560 458,143 477,353 497,163 517,580 538,583 560,182 582,367 605,134 628,487 652,416 676,936 702,084 727,835 754,188 781,127 808,666 836,813 865,553 894,893 924,805 0 17,896 18,381 18,880 19,349 19,781 20,364 21,110 21,846 22,574 23,297 24,018 24,733 25,439 26,141 26,840 27,553 28,278 28,995 29,706 30,406 31,107 31,812 32,510 33,202 33,883 1 15,507 17,056 17,498 17,953 18,384 18,804 19,377 20,114 20,846 21,571 22,294 23,017 23,735 24,443 25,150 25,854 26,575 27,308 28,035 28,755 29,467 30,182 30,901 31,614 32,322 2 14,712 15,114 16,616 17,036 17,470 17,886 18,308 18,880 19,613 20,342 21,063 21,787 22,510 23,228 23,938 24,647 25,354 26,080 26,816 27,548 28,274 28,992 29,715 30,441 31,161 3 13,884 14,452 14,843 16,313 16,720 17,145 17,561 17,985 18,555 19,283 20,010 20,728 21,451 22,172 22,890 23,599 24,309 25,018 25,744 26,482 27,216 27,945 28,667 29,393 30,123 4 13,093 13,695 14,251 14,635 16,081 16,481 16,907 17,323 17,746 18,315 19,039 19,764 20,481 21,203 21,922 22,638 23,347 24,057 24,767 25,494 26,232 26,968 27,697 28,423 29,151 5 12,414 12,978 13,573 14,124 14,503 15,935 16,334 16,759 17,176 17,599 18,167 18,889 19,612 20,326 21,047 21,765 22,480 23,189 23,899 24,606 25,335 26,073 26,812 27,541 28,266 6 11,825 12,347 12,907 13,499 14,044 14,422 15,848 16,247 16,671 17,087 17,509 18,078 18,797 19,518 20,231 20,951 21,668 22,382 23,090 23,801 24,507 25,236 25,972 26,711 27,441 7 11,301 11,760 12,279 12,834 13,423 13,966 14,343 15,763 16,162 16,583 17,001 17,422 17,989 18,708 19,427 20,139 20,858 21,573 22,287 22,993 23,705 24,410 25,139 25,874 26,613 8 10,892 11,240 11,696 12,211 12,763 13,349 13,890 14,266 15,680 16,079 16,499 16,916 17,337 17,903 18,621 19,338 20,049 20,768 21,481 22,195 22,900 23,612 24,315 25,045 25,779 9 10,587 10,833 11,178 11,631 12,143 12,691 13,275 13,815 14,191 15,599 15,998 16,417 16,833 17,255 17,819 18,535 19,252 19,961 20,680 21,392 22,105 22,809 23,521 24,224 24,954

10 10,476 10,631 10,876 11,218 11,670 12,178 12,727 13,309 13,848 14,222 15,625 16,024 16,443 16,859 17,280 17,844 18,560 19,275 19,983 20,700 21,412 22,125 22,828 23,540 24,243 11 10,457 10,621 10,775 11,020 11,360 11,813 12,320 12,869 13,450 13,987 14,359 15,757 16,157 16,575 16,992 17,414 17,976 18,692 19,405 20,114 20,829 21,541 22,253 22,956 23,668 12 10,329 10,601 10,765 10,919 11,162 11,502 11,956 12,461 13,011 13,591 14,125 14,494 15,890 16,290 16,707 17,125 17,547 18,109 18,823 19,537 20,245 20,959 21,670 22,382 23,085 13 10,103 10,474 10,745 10,908 11,061 11,304 11,644 12,098 12,604 13,153 13,732 14,264 14,629 16,021 16,422 16,840 17,259 17,680 18,242 18,955 19,668 20,376 21,090 21,800 22,511 14 9,728 10,248 10,618 10,887 11,050 11,203 11,446 11,785 12,240 12,746 13,294 13,872 14,404 14,765 16,154 16,555 16,973 17,392 17,814 18,376 19,089 19,799 20,508 21,222 21,930 15 9,201 9,835 10,354 10,720 10,989 11,152 11,305 11,548 11,886 12,341 12,847 13,395 13,971 14,502 14,861 16,245 16,646 17,064 17,483 17,905 18,466 19,178 19,887 20,595 21,309 16 8,671 9,272 9,902 10,418 10,784 11,050 11,215 11,368 11,609 11,948 12,403 12,907 13,454 14,029 14,559 14,914 16,295 16,695 17,113 17,532 17,953 18,515 19,225 19,932 20,639 17 8,221 8,744 9,341 9,969 10,483 10,847 11,112 11,277 11,430 11,672 12,010 12,465 12,968 13,513 14,088 14,615 14,969 16,345 16,745 17,163 17,581 18,002 18,564 19,272 19,978 18 7,737 8,296 8,816 9,411 10,035 10,547 10,910 11,174 11,340 11,493 11,736 12,071 12,526 13,030 13,573 14,147 14,672 15,025 16,395 16,795 17,214 17,632 18,052 18,613 19,319 19 7,227 7,814 8,370 8,887 9,480 10,100 10,611 10,973 11,236 11,404 11,555 11,798 12,134 12,588 13,091 13,633 14,206 14,729 15,081 16,446 16,846 17,265 17,682 18,103 18,663 20 6,665 7,265 7,848 8,399 8,914 9,502 10,120 10,629 10,990 11,252 11,421 11,572 11,815 12,151 12,603 13,106 13,647 14,218 14,740 15,090 16,451 16,850 17,269 17,687 18,106 21 6,085 6,664 7,259 7,839 8,384 8,895 9,480 10,094 10,600 10,960 11,222 11,392 11,543 11,786 12,122 12,573 13,074 13,615 14,184 14,705 15,053 16,409 16,808 17,226 17,645 22 5,582 6,088 6,662 7,252 7,827 8,369 8,877 9,458 10,070 10,573 10,932 11,194 11,364 11,516 11,758 12,094 12,546 13,044 13,583 14,152 14,671 15,018 16,369 16,768 17,187 23 5,216 5,589 6,091 6,660 7,246 7,816 8,356 8,860 9,437 10,047 10,548 10,905 11,166 11,337 11,490 11,733 12,067 12,519 13,017 13,552 14,121 14,639 14,986 16,330 16,730 24 5,031 5,227 5,596 6,094 6,659 7,239 7,806 8,344 8,846 9,418 10,025 10,525 10,880 11,141 11,313 11,466 11,710 12,043 12,494 12,992 13,526 14,092 14,610 14,956 16,294 25 4,978 5,040 5,234 5,601 6,094 6,656 7,231 7,794 8,328 8,828 9,398 10,000 10,498 10,854 11,113 11,286 11,440 11,685 12,017 12,468 12,965 13,498 14,063 14,581 14,927 26 4,981 4,985 5,047 5,239 5,602 6,090 6,649 7,220 7,781 8,311 8,808 9,375 9,975 10,470 10,826 11,085 11,259 11,413 11,660 11,991 12,442 12,938 13,470 14,033 14,550 27 4,965 4,988 4,992 5,054 5,244 5,603 6,088 6,644 7,211 7,768 8,296 8,790 9,353 9,950 10,443 10,798 11,057 11,233 11,387 11,635 11,967 12,418 12,912 13,444 14,006 28 4,898 4,973 4,996 4,999 5,059 5,248 5,606 6,087 6,640 7,202 7,757 8,281 8,772 9,334 9,927 10,418 10,773 11,032 11,210 11,364 11,613 11,945 12,395 12,889 13,420 29 4,742 4,905 4,980 5,003 5,005 5,066 5,254 5,610 6,087 6,637 7,195 7,747 8,269 8,757 9,316 9,906 10,395 10,751 11,009 11,188 11,343 11,593 11,925 12,375 12,868 30 4,528 4,753 4,914 4,989 5,011 5,012 5,074 5,262 5,615 6,088 6,636 7,191 7,738 8,259 8,744 9,300 9,887 10,374 10,730 10,989 11,169 11,326 11,577 11,910 12,359 31 4,299 4,543 4,765 4,923 4,997 5,020 5,022 5,084 5,271 5,622 6,092 6,637 7,188 7,732 8,250 8,732 9,286 9,870 10,355 10,711 10,972 11,152 11,311 11,563 11,897 32 4,104 4,315 4,556 4,777 4,932 5,005 5,030 5,032 5,095 5,283 5,631 6,098 6,638 7,186 7,727 8,242 8,723 9,274 9,856 10,339 10,694 10,957 11,139 11,300 11,552 33 3,940 4,124 4,332 4,570 4,787 4,941 5,015 5,041 5,045 5,107 5,295 5,640 6,106 6,642 7,186 7,724 8,237 8,715 9,265 9,843 10,325 10,680 10,945 11,129 11,291 34 3,827 3,962 4,144 4,348 4,583 4,799 4,951 5,025 5,053 5,058 5,120 5,309 5,651 6,114 6,647 7,189 7,724 8,235 8,710 9,257 9,834 10,315 10,670 10,934 11,121 35 3,744 3,848 3,982 4,162 4,364 4,595 4,811 4,962 5,036 5,066 5,072 5,135 5,322 5,663 6,123 6,653 7,193 7,723 8,232 8,705 9,251 9,824 10,303 10,660 10,925 36 3,676 3,766 3,868 4,000 4,178 4,377 4,607 4,822 4,973 5,047 5,077 5,084 5,149 5,336 5,674 6,131 6,658 7,195 7,723 8,230 8,699 9,243 9,816 10,292 10,648 37 3,595 3,697 3,787 3,888 4,018 4,194 4,392 4,621 4,835 4,984 5,060 5,089 5,099 5,164 5,350 5,687 6,140 6,665 7,199 7,725 8,229 8,697 9,238 9,808 10,284 38 3,473 3,619 3,717 3,808 3,907 4,036 4,212 4,409 4,635 4,848 4,997 5,073 5,103 5,114 5,179 5,365 5,701 6,151 6,673 7,205 7,727 8,231 8,696 9,236 9,803 39 3,295 3,496 3,642 3,740 3,828 3,927 4,056 4,230 4,425 4,651 4,862 5,010 5,087 5,119 5,131 5,196 5,382 5,716 6,164 6,683 7,212 7,733 8,234 8,697 9,236 40 3,065 3,309 3,508 3,651 3,748 3,835 3,934 4,063 4,236 4,430 4,655 4,865 5,013 5,091 5,122 5,135 5,203 5,388 5,720 6,165 6,681 7,208 7,726 8,225 8,687 41 2,823 3,072 3,313 3,509 3,648 3,744 3,833 3,932 4,059 4,231 4,423 4,647 4,856 5,004 5,082 5,116 5,130 5,197 5,382 5,713 6,155 6,669 7,193 7,707 8,204 42 2,611 2,834 3,079 3,315 3,508 3,646 3,742 3,830 3,930 4,056 4,228 4,419 4,641 4,849 4,997 5,075 5,110 5,124 5,194 5,378 5,708 6,146 6,657 7,180 7,691 43 2,437 2,623 2,844 3,085 3,317 3,508 3,645 3,741 3,829 3,928 4,055 4,225 4,416 4,636 4,842 4,990 5,069 5,106 5,122 5,191 5,376 5,704 6,141 6,648 7,168 44 2,315 2,454 2,637 2,854 3,091 3,319 3,509 3,646 3,741 3,830 3,929 4,055 4,225 4,414 4,634 4,839 4,986 5,065 5,103 5,121 5,191 5,376 5,702 6,137 6,641 45 2,229 2,328 2,464 2,645 2,859 3,093 3,318 3,505 3,641 3,738 3,825 3,924 4,050 4,220 4,407 4,626 4,830 4,977 5,056 5,096 5,114 5,185 5,369 5,694 6,126 46 2,157 2,237 2,335 2,468 2,647 2,858 3,090 3,312 3,498 3,632 3,729 3,816 3,914 4,040 4,208 4,393 4,613 4,815 4,962 5,041 5,082 5,102 5,173 5,356 5,680 47 2,079 2,167 2,246 2,342 2,473 2,649 2,857 3,087 3,307 3,491 3,624 3,721 3,809 3,906 4,032 4,199 4,382 4,601 4,802 4,948 5,027 5,069 5,092 5,163 5,345 48 1,994 2,089 2,175 2,255 2,350 2,478 2,653 2,859 3,085 3,304 3,486 3,618 3,715 3,802 3,900 4,024 4,190 4,373 4,591 4,790 4,937 5,015 5,058 5,083 5,154 49 1,891 2,006 2,101 2,184 2,263 2,357 2,483 2,656 2,861 3,083 3,301 3,482 3,613 3,710 3,797 3,894 4,018 4,185 4,365 4,582 4,781 4,927 5,005 5,049 5,075 50 1,769 1,899 2,011 2,105 2,186 2,263 2,357 2,483 2,654 2,856 3,076 3,291 3,469 3,599 3,697 3,783 3,880 4,003 4,169 4,348 4,563 4,761 4,906 4,985 5,030 51 1,653 1,772 1,900 2,010 2,102 2,183 2,260 2,351 2,476 2,644 2,844 3,061 3,273 3,450 3,578 3,676 3,761 3,858 3,980 4,144 4,321 4,535 4,731 4,876 4,955 52 1,551 1,658 1,775 1,900 2,009 2,099 2,179 2,255 2,346 2,469 2,635 2,833 3,047 3,255 3,431 3,557 3,655 3,740 3,837 3,958 4,120 4,296 4,508 4,703 4,846 53 1,447 1,557 1,663 1,778 1,900 2,007 2,096 2,175 2,251 2,341 2,463 2,626 2,822 3,033 3,239 3,413 3,538 3,636 3,720 3,816 3,937 4,097 4,272 4,482 4,676 54 1,342 1,456 1,564 1,669 1,781 1,902 2,007 2,095 2,173 2,248 2,337 2,458 2,618 2,812 3,020 3,224 3,397 3,521 3,617 3,703 3,797 3,918 4,076 4,250 4,458 55 1,227 1,345 1,457 1,563 1,666 1,776 1,895 1,999 2,086 2,162 2,237 2,325 2,446 2,603 2,795 2,999 3,201 3,371 3,495 3,589 3,674 3,769 3,888 4,045 4,218 56 1,112 1,225 1,340 1,450 1,555 1,656 1,764 1,880 1,983 2,068 2,144 2,217 2,305 2,424 2,578 2,768 2,970 3,169 3,335 3,459 3,552 3,636 3,730 3,849 4,003 57 1,016 1,112 1,222 1,335 1,443 1,547 1,646 1,752 1,866 1,968 2,052 2,127 2,199 2,286 2,403 2,555 2,742 2,942 3,138 3,301 3,424 3,517 3,599 3,693 3,810

Page 122: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 109

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203558 942 1,016 1,111 1,219 1,331 1,436 1,539 1,635 1,741 1,852 1,953 2,036 2,110 2,181 2,267 2,382 2,532 2,717 2,914 3,108 3,269 3,389 3,481 3,564 3,656 59 904 945 1,017 1,111 1,217 1,327 1,429 1,532 1,626 1,731 1,840 1,938 2,021 2,094 2,162 2,250 2,362 2,511 2,692 2,887 3,078 3,236 3,356 3,448 3,529 60 886 904 945 1,014 1,107 1,210 1,318 1,417 1,518 1,610 1,714 1,821 1,918 1,999 2,072 2,138 2,226 2,335 2,481 2,659 2,851 3,040 3,195 3,313 3,403 61 879 883 898 940 1,007 1,098 1,199 1,304 1,402 1,500 1,590 1,693 1,796 1,892 1,970 2,042 2,107 2,193 2,300 2,443 2,619 2,805 2,991 3,144 3,259 62 874 875 879 894 935 1,001 1,090 1,188 1,290 1,386 1,483 1,570 1,671 1,772 1,866 1,942 2,013 2,076 2,161 2,266 2,406 2,579 2,760 2,943 3,093 63 859 871 871 876 890 930 994 1,081 1,177 1,278 1,370 1,466 1,550 1,649 1,748 1,840 1,915 1,985 2,046 2,130 2,233 2,370 2,540 2,719 2,897 64 830 856 868 867 873 887 925 988 1,074 1,167 1,266 1,356 1,449 1,532 1,629 1,726 1,816 1,890 1,959 2,018 2,100 2,202 2,335 2,501 2,677 65 786 826 852 865 864 870 883 920 982 1,065 1,155 1,252 1,340 1,431 1,512 1,607 1,701 1,789 1,861 1,928 1,986 2,067 2,166 2,297 2,458 66 742 783 822 848 860 860 864 878 913 974 1,055 1,144 1,238 1,323 1,413 1,490 1,583 1,674 1,760 1,830 1,894 1,952 2,029 2,125 2,253 67 705 741 780 818 843 856 855 859 872 907 967 1,045 1,132 1,223 1,306 1,393 1,469 1,559 1,648 1,731 1,799 1,861 1,917 1,993 2,085 68 675 703 738 777 814 839 851 850 855 867 900 959 1,035 1,119 1,210 1,289 1,374 1,448 1,536 1,621 1,702 1,769 1,829 1,883 1,957 69 652 673 702 735 775 811 834 847 845 850 862 894 951 1,025 1,106 1,195 1,272 1,355 1,427 1,512 1,595 1,673 1,739 1,796 1,849 70 632 646 668 696 728 765 801 824 836 835 838 850 882 937 1,008 1,086 1,173 1,247 1,326 1,396 1,478 1,558 1,633 1,695 1,751 71 612 623 637 658 685 717 753 786 809 820 819 822 833 863 917 984 1,059 1,142 1,213 1,288 1,356 1,433 1,510 1,582 1,640 72 596 604 614 627 648 673 705 739 771 794 804 802 805 815 844 895 961 1,032 1,112 1,180 1,251 1,315 1,389 1,463 1,532 73 574 587 596 606 618 639 662 694 727 756 779 787 786 788 797 827 874 937 1,006 1,082 1,146 1,215 1,276 1,346 1,417 74 550 566 580 589 599 610 630 652 683 715 742 765 772 771 772 781 809 854 914 981 1,054 1,114 1,180 1,239 1,304 75 518 542 557 571 579 589 600 618 639 668 699 726 746 755 752 753 761 787 831 887 950 1,019 1,076 1,138 1,194 76 484 509 531 546 560 567 577 586 605 624 651 682 705 725 733 730 730 737 761 803 855 914 979 1,031 1,089 77 451 475 499 521 535 549 555 565 572 591 609 634 663 685 704 711 707 707 713 735 774 822 878 939 989 78 419 443 466 489 511 524 537 542 552 559 577 592 616 644 666 683 689 684 684 689 709 747 792 842 900 79 391 413 435 459 481 502 514 526 530 540 545 563 578 600 626 647 661 668 662 662 666 685 719 762 808

80+ 2,342 2,632 2,926 3,225 3,529 3,834 4,134 4,423 4,698 4,953 5,193 5,415 5,630 5,836 6,040 6,244 6,443 6,629 6,796 6,929 7,040 7,129 7,213 7,304 7,411

Total (Females) 381,543 399,802 418,243 436,823 455,498 474,525 494,194 514,492 535,416 556,952 579,095 601,865 625,239 649,224 673,806 699,019 724,884 751,388 778,518 806,287 834,696 863,764 893,482 923,851 954,837

0 17,482 17,961 18,437 18,885 19,304 19,869 20,594 21,312 22,026 22,735 23,442 24,144 24,837 25,525 26,211 26,910 27,622 28,327 29,027 29,714 30,405 31,100 31,789 32,472 33,145 1 15,664 16,850 17,276 17,696 18,079 18,480 19,046 19,768 20,485 21,200 21,912 22,625 23,333 24,035 24,730 25,428 26,142 26,867 27,587 28,300 29,007 29,717 30,432 31,142 31,843 2 14,851 15,332 16,475 16,871 17,259 17,621 18,027 18,594 19,314 20,029 20,744 21,458 22,174 22,884 23,589 24,290 24,995 25,715 26,447 27,176 27,897 28,614 29,336 30,062 30,782 3 14,076 14,627 15,089 16,202 16,576 16,952 17,317 17,725 18,293 19,011 19,724 20,439 21,154 21,871 22,584 23,290 23,995 24,704 25,429 26,165 26,898 27,626 28,351 29,080 29,812 4 13,351 13,907 14,444 14,891 15,979 16,344 16,721 17,088 17,497 18,065 18,783 19,495 20,211 20,926 21,643 22,357 23,066 23,774 24,485 25,213 25,953 26,691 27,422 28,152 28,886 5 12,731 13,252 13,801 14,330 14,768 15,843 16,209 16,586 16,955 17,363 17,931 18,649 19,360 20,075 20,790 21,507 22,223 22,931 23,641 24,352 25,082 25,825 26,565 27,299 28,031 6 12,171 12,678 13,196 13,740 14,263 14,699 15,770 16,137 16,515 16,883 17,291 17,859 18,576 19,286 20,001 20,717 21,433 22,148 22,857 23,568 24,279 25,010 25,752 26,495 27,230 7 11,644 12,121 12,622 13,136 13,675 14,198 14,633 15,701 16,067 16,445 16,815 17,222 17,790 18,506 19,216 19,930 20,645 21,361 22,077 22,785 23,498 24,208 24,941 25,683 26,427 8 11,188 11,595 12,068 12,566 13,075 13,612 14,134 14,569 15,633 16,000 16,378 16,748 17,155 17,722 18,438 19,147 19,861 20,577 21,292 22,009 22,716 23,431 24,140 24,874 25,617 9 10,795 11,140 11,545 12,013 12,508 13,014 13,550 14,072 14,507 15,567 15,934 16,313 16,683 17,091 17,658 18,372 19,082 19,794 20,510 21,225 21,943 22,650 23,366 24,076 24,810

10 10,539 10,826 11,168 11,570 12,034 12,528 13,033 13,568 14,089 14,523 15,580 15,947 16,328 16,698 17,107 17,673 18,387 19,097 19,808 20,526 21,240 21,958 22,665 23,383 24,092 11 10,353 10,646 10,931 11,269 11,668 12,131 12,624 13,128 13,664 14,184 14,617 15,672 16,039 16,422 16,792 17,203 17,769 18,482 19,191 19,903 20,621 21,335 22,053 22,761 23,479 12 10,105 10,462 10,751 11,034 11,369 11,765 12,229 12,722 13,226 13,762 14,280 14,711 15,765 16,133 16,517 16,887 17,300 17,867 18,579 19,288 20,000 20,719 21,433 22,151 22,860 13 9,826 10,214 10,568 10,853 11,134 11,468 11,864 12,327 12,821 13,326 13,861 14,379 14,807 15,858 16,227 16,614 16,984 17,398 17,965 18,677 19,387 20,098 20,818 21,533 22,250 14 9,486 9,936 10,320 10,672 10,953 11,232 11,566 11,963 12,426 12,920 13,425 13,959 14,477 14,905 15,953 16,323 16,712 17,083 17,497 18,065 18,777 19,487 20,198 20,917 21,633 15 9,092 9,581 10,027 10,409 10,757 11,036 11,316 11,648 12,046 12,510 13,002 13,509 14,042 14,559 14,986 16,032 16,402 16,793 17,165 17,579 18,148 18,860 19,570 20,281 21,002 16 8,703 9,173 9,659 10,100 10,479 10,824 11,104 11,383 11,716 12,113 12,578 13,069 13,576 14,110 14,625 15,050 16,095 16,466 16,857 17,232 17,647 18,216 18,928 19,638 20,349 17 8,362 8,786 9,253 9,735 10,172 10,548 10,893 11,173 11,453 11,785 12,181 12,647 13,138 13,646 14,179 14,693 15,119 16,160 16,532 16,924 17,301 17,716 18,286 18,998 19,708 18 8,030 8,447 8,867 9,329 9,808 10,243 10,618 10,963 11,243 11,522 11,855 12,252 12,717 13,207 13,715 14,249 14,761 15,187 16,227 16,601 16,992 17,370 17,788 18,358 19,069 19 7,712 8,115 8,529 8,946 9,404 9,879 10,313 10,688 11,033 11,312 11,592 11,925 12,323 12,788 13,278 13,786 14,320 14,832 15,255 16,293 16,670 17,062 17,441 17,860 18,431 20 7,396 7,791 8,191 8,601 9,014 9,470 9,942 10,377 10,750 11,094 11,374 11,654 11,987 12,385 12,850 13,341 13,849 14,383 14,894 15,316 16,353 16,731 17,125 17,505 17,924 21 7,078 7,467 7,859 8,255 8,662 9,074 9,528 9,998 10,432 10,804 11,148 11,429 11,708 12,041 12,440 12,904 13,396 13,903 14,436 14,948 15,369 16,403 16,782 17,179 17,560 22 6,778 7,151 7,537 7,926 8,319 8,723 9,134 9,586 10,054 10,487 10,858 11,202 11,484 11,763 12,096 12,495 12,960 13,452 13,959 14,492 15,003 15,423 16,457 16,836 17,234 23 6,531 6,853 7,222 7,606 7,992 8,382 8,785 9,195 9,645 10,112 10,544 10,914 11,257 11,540 11,818 12,152 12,551 13,016 13,509 14,017 14,549 15,060 15,480 16,511 16,892 24 6,353 6,606 6,926 7,293 7,674 8,057 8,446 8,848 9,256 9,705 10,171 10,601 10,971 11,314 11,596 11,875 12,209 12,610 13,074 13,567 14,075 14,607 15,120 15,538 16,568 25 6,193 6,404 6,654 6,972 7,335 7,713 8,095 8,483 8,883 9,291 9,737 10,203 10,632 11,001 11,344 11,627 11,908 12,241 12,642 13,107 13,601 14,110 14,641 15,155 15,573 26 6,072 6,221 6,428 6,675 6,989 7,349 7,727 8,107 8,494 8,893 9,299 9,744 10,208 10,636 11,005 11,349 11,632 11,913 12,248 12,649 13,115 13,609 14,120 14,651 15,165 27 5,954 6,099 6,247 6,451 6,694 7,005 7,364 7,741 8,120 8,506 8,903 9,308 9,752 10,215 10,642 11,011 11,355 11,640 11,921 12,257 12,659 13,125 13,619 14,132 14,663 28 5,748 5,982 6,126 6,271 6,472 6,714 7,024 7,381 7,757 8,133 8,518 8,916 9,319 9,761 10,224 10,650 11,019 11,363 11,648 11,930 12,268 12,671 13,138 13,633 14,145 29 5,417 5,778 6,010 6,151 6,294 6,494 6,734 7,044 7,399 7,775 8,149 8,534 8,929 9,332 9,773 10,234 10,659 11,030 11,373 11,660 11,943 12,281 12,686 13,153 13,649 30 4,983 5,432 5,788 6,017 6,155 6,296 6,496 6,735 7,045 7,397 7,774 8,146 8,530 8,926 9,327 9,766 10,227 10,652 11,023 11,368 11,654 11,941 12,279 12,685 13,154 31 4,516 4,984 5,427 5,777 6,002 6,137 6,278 6,480 6,717 7,026 7,377 7,753 8,125 8,507 8,902 9,304 9,742 10,203 10,628 10,999 11,345 11,633 11,922 12,262 12,669 32 4,111 4,522 4,984 5,419 5,764 5,987 6,122 6,263 6,465 6,702 7,010 7,360 7,736 8,107 8,488 8,883 9,284 9,721 10,181 10,606 10,978 11,326 11,616 11,907 12,249 33 3,803 4,121 4,527 4,983 5,411 5,752 5,974 6,109 6,251 6,452 6,689 6,996 7,346 7,720 8,091 8,471 8,865 9,267 9,704 10,163 10,589 10,962 11,311 11,603 11,895

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110 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age

(Single Years) &

Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203534 3,636 3,816 4,128 4,530 4,980 5,401 5,740 5,962 6,098 6,241 6,441 6,678 6,984 7,333 7,707 8,078 8,458 8,851 9,253 9,689 10,148 10,574 10,949 11,299 11,592 35 3,583 3,666 3,843 4,152 4,548 4,993 5,411 5,749 5,970 6,106 6,249 6,449 6,686 6,991 7,339 7,712 8,082 8,462 8,855 9,257 9,692 10,151 10,577 10,951 11,304 36 3,571 3,625 3,708 3,883 4,188 4,582 5,025 5,439 5,777 5,996 6,131 6,276 6,476 6,712 7,017 7,363 7,736 8,105 8,484 8,876 9,277 9,711 10,169 10,597 10,971 37 3,520 3,614 3,667 3,749 3,924 4,226 4,617 5,057 5,468 5,804 6,024 6,159 6,302 6,502 6,739 7,043 7,388 7,761 8,128 8,507 8,898 9,300 9,734 10,190 10,618 38 3,411 3,563 3,657 3,710 3,789 3,964 4,264 4,653 5,089 5,498 5,833 6,053 6,187 6,331 6,530 6,767 7,070 7,414 7,788 8,154 8,532 8,923 9,323 9,757 10,214 39 3,215 3,456 3,605 3,698 3,751 3,830 4,005 4,302 4,688 5,123 5,530 5,862 6,082 6,216 6,360 6,559 6,797 7,099 7,442 7,815 8,181 8,559 8,950 9,350 9,782 40 2,946 3,247 3,486 3,634 3,726 3,779 3,858 4,032 4,327 4,711 5,143 5,547 5,878 6,098 6,232 6,376 6,574 6,812 7,114 7,456 7,828 8,194 8,571 8,963 9,361 41 2,662 2,969 3,267 3,502 3,649 3,740 3,794 3,873 4,046 4,340 4,721 5,150 5,552 5,881 6,101 6,233 6,378 6,577 6,813 7,116 7,456 7,827 8,193 8,568 8,960 42 2,428 2,686 2,991 3,286 3,519 3,664 3,755 3,810 3,889 4,061 4,353 4,732 5,158 5,557 5,884 6,104 6,237 6,382 6,580 6,815 7,119 7,458 7,828 8,193 8,567 43 2,255 2,456 2,712 3,012 3,304 3,534 3,680 3,770 3,827 3,905 4,076 4,367 4,743 5,166 5,564 5,889 6,109 6,242 6,388 6,585 6,820 7,123 7,461 7,831 8,196 44 2,160 2,284 2,483 2,737 3,034 3,323 3,551 3,696 3,787 3,844 3,921 4,093 4,381 4,756 5,175 5,572 5,896 6,115 6,248 6,394 6,592 6,826 7,129 7,466 7,836 45 2,126 2,186 2,310 2,507 2,759 3,053 3,340 3,567 3,711 3,801 3,859 3,937 4,107 4,394 4,766 5,184 5,578 5,900 6,118 6,252 6,398 6,596 6,829 7,132 7,468 46 2,114 2,151 2,210 2,333 2,528 2,779 3,070 3,355 3,582 3,725 3,815 3,872 3,952 4,121 4,406 4,776 5,191 5,583 5,904 6,122 6,255 6,400 6,598 6,831 7,133 47 2,089 2,139 2,176 2,235 2,356 2,550 2,800 3,089 3,372 3,598 3,739 3,830 3,887 3,967 4,135 4,418 4,786 5,198 5,589 5,908 6,125 6,259 6,404 6,601 6,833 48 2,040 2,113 2,164 2,200 2,260 2,379 2,573 2,819 3,107 3,388 3,613 3,754 3,845 3,901 3,981 4,149 4,432 4,798 5,207 5,596 5,913 6,129 6,264 6,409 6,605 49 1,954 2,065 2,138 2,188 2,224 2,284 2,402 2,594 2,839 3,126 3,405 3,629 3,768 3,859 3,916 3,996 4,163 4,444 4,809 5,216 5,603 5,919 6,134 6,269 6,413 50 1,838 1,974 2,085 2,158 2,206 2,242 2,301 2,420 2,609 2,852 3,138 3,413 3,637 3,776 3,866 3,923 4,003 4,170 4,448 4,811 5,216 5,600 5,916 6,129 6,264 51 1,723 1,854 1,989 2,098 2,172 2,218 2,255 2,314 2,431 2,619 2,860 3,143 3,416 3,638 3,777 3,867 3,923 4,002 4,169 4,446 4,805 5,209 5,589 5,903 6,116 52 1,627 1,741 1,869 2,003 2,111 2,184 2,231 2,266 2,325 2,442 2,628 2,868 3,148 3,418 3,639 3,777 3,866 3,923 4,003 4,167 4,443 4,800 5,201 5,579 5,890 53 1,521 1,646 1,757 1,885 2,017 2,124 2,195 2,244 2,279 2,337 2,453 2,638 2,875 3,153 3,421 3,639 3,778 3,867 3,924 4,003 4,167 4,440 4,795 5,194 5,569 54 1,404 1,540 1,664 1,774 1,902 2,032 2,138 2,208 2,256 2,292 2,349 2,464 2,648 2,884 3,158 3,425 3,642 3,780 3,868 3,925 4,004 4,167 4,439 4,791 5,188 55 1,275 1,416 1,550 1,672 1,781 1,908 2,037 2,141 2,211 2,259 2,294 2,351 2,465 2,648 2,882 3,153 3,418 3,633 3,770 3,858 3,916 3,994 4,156 4,427 4,775 56 1,136 1,277 1,418 1,549 1,670 1,777 1,904 2,031 2,134 2,204 2,251 2,287 2,342 2,455 2,637 2,868 3,137 3,400 3,612 3,749 3,837 3,894 3,972 4,132 4,400 57 1,020 1,141 1,280 1,420 1,549 1,670 1,775 1,900 2,026 2,129 2,198 2,244 2,279 2,335 2,446 2,627 2,855 3,122 3,382 3,593 3,728 3,816 3,873 3,951 4,109 58 956 1,026 1,146 1,284 1,421 1,549 1,670 1,772 1,897 2,021 2,123 2,191 2,237 2,272 2,328 2,437 2,617 2,842 3,107 3,365 3,574 3,709 3,795 3,853 3,931 59 954 961 1,032 1,150 1,287 1,422 1,548 1,668 1,770 1,892 2,016 2,116 2,184 2,230 2,265 2,321 2,429 2,607 2,830 3,092 3,347 3,556 3,689 3,775 3,833 60 1,002 963 971 1,041 1,158 1,294 1,427 1,553 1,671 1,772 1,892 2,016 2,115 2,182 2,226 2,261 2,316 2,424 2,600 2,821 3,081 3,333 3,539 3,672 3,756 61 1,072 1,014 975 983 1,054 1,169 1,305 1,436 1,561 1,678 1,778 1,896 2,018 2,117 2,184 2,227 2,262 2,314 2,422 2,596 2,815 3,072 3,321 3,525 3,656 62 1,123 1,082 1,025 987 995 1,066 1,179 1,315 1,445 1,568 1,684 1,784 1,900 2,021 2,118 2,184 2,227 2,262 2,313 2,420 2,591 2,808 3,062 3,309 3,510 63 1,140 1,133 1,093 1,036 1,000 1,007 1,079 1,189 1,325 1,454 1,575 1,690 1,789 1,903 2,022 2,119 2,184 2,226 2,260 2,312 2,417 2,586 2,801 3,052 3,296 64 1,107 1,150 1,142 1,104 1,048 1,012 1,018 1,091 1,200 1,334 1,461 1,582 1,696 1,794 1,907 2,025 2,121 2,184 2,226 2,259 2,309 2,415 2,581 2,793 3,042 65 1,029 1,110 1,153 1,145 1,108 1,054 1,018 1,024 1,095 1,204 1,336 1,461 1,579 1,692 1,788 1,900 2,014 2,109 2,171 2,213 2,245 2,294 2,397 2,562 2,770 66 942 1,026 1,105 1,148 1,140 1,104 1,051 1,017 1,021 1,092 1,199 1,327 1,451 1,567 1,677 1,771 1,881 1,993 2,086 2,146 2,187 2,219 2,266 2,367 2,527 67 874 941 1,023 1,100 1,143 1,136 1,100 1,047 1,015 1,019 1,087 1,193 1,319 1,441 1,554 1,661 1,754 1,862 1,971 2,064 2,120 2,161 2,192 2,237 2,337 68 815 873 938 1,021 1,095 1,138 1,132 1,096 1,043 1,013 1,017 1,084 1,187 1,311 1,430 1,542 1,647 1,738 1,842 1,949 2,041 2,095 2,135 2,165 2,209 69 768 816 872 936 1,018 1,092 1,132 1,127 1,092 1,040 1,010 1,014 1,081 1,181 1,302 1,419 1,529 1,632 1,722 1,822 1,927 2,017 2,070 2,109 2,138 70 729 764 810 866 929 1,009 1,082 1,121 1,116 1,081 1,030 1,001 1,005 1,070 1,168 1,287 1,400 1,507 1,606 1,694 1,793 1,894 1,981 2,033 2,070 71 692 719 754 800 853 916 993 1,064 1,102 1,097 1,063 1,013 985 989 1,052 1,148 1,262 1,372 1,477 1,571 1,657 1,752 1,850 1,933 1,983 72 658 684 711 744 791 842 902 978 1,048 1,084 1,078 1,045 997 970 974 1,033 1,127 1,238 1,344 1,446 1,537 1,620 1,712 1,806 1,885 73 615 651 677 703 736 782 831 890 962 1,030 1,066 1,060 1,028 981 955 959 1,015 1,107 1,215 1,317 1,415 1,504 1,583 1,671 1,763 74 563 608 644 669 694 726 771 820 876 947 1,014 1,047 1,041 1,010 964 939 943 997 1,086 1,191 1,290 1,384 1,470 1,546 1,631 75 508 556 600 635 660 685 715 758 806 861 928 994 1,025 1,020 988 944 919 923 975 1,061 1,162 1,257 1,347 1,430 1,501 76 452 501 548 590 624 649 673 702 743 790 843 907 972 1,000 996 964 921 897 900 949 1,031 1,128 1,219 1,305 1,383 77 402 445 493 539 581 613 636 660 688 727 773 824 886 947 975 970 939 896 872 876 923 1,002 1,094 1,178 1,262 78 364 396 439 485 531 572 603 624 649 674 711 756 804 865 924 950 945 915 873 849 852 897 971 1,060 1,140 79 340 360 392 433 479 522 563 593 613 637 661 696 739 786 843 900 925 919 890 849 825 827 871 941 1,026

80+ 2,090 2,338 2,591 2,865 3,165 3,491 3,835 4,194 4,553 4,904 5,250 5,590 5,934 6,288 6,653 7,040 7,441 7,827 8,166 8,441 8,642 8,790 8,912 9,051 9,228

Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, MUCHINGA PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) District Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric)

Chama 4.0 Chinsali 2.1 Isoka 3.1 Mafinga 5.1 Mpika 4.0 Nakonde 5.2 Muchinga Province 3.9

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 111

Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Sex &

District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 749,449 785,300 821,564 858,179 895,058 932,668 971,547 1,011,655

1,052,996

1,095,535

1,139,277

1,184,232

1,230,373 1,277,711

1,326,222

1,375,955

1,426,968

1,479,223

1,532,706

1,587,414

1,643,362

1,700,577

1,759,035

1,818,744

1,879,642

Chama 109,534 114,946 120,420 125,947 131,514 137,186 143,041 149,073 155,281 161,658 168,203 174,916 181,791 188,828 196,022 203,378 210,902 218,588 226,429 234,424 242,572 250,876 259,330 267,931 276,669 Chinsali 152,279 156,597 160,754 164,737 168,527 172,217 175,899 179,558 183,185 186,770 190,304 193,784 197,199 200,546 203,815 207,009 210,132 213,173 216,127 218,988 221,757 224,432 227,006 229,482 231,845 Isoka 75,595 78,576 81,535 84,466 87,360 90,259 93,215 96,219 99,271 102,360 105,487 108,648 111,840 115,058 118,299 121,563 124,853 128,161 131,486 134,824 138,172 141,530 144,895 148,263 151,627 Mafinga 70,151 74,514 79,012 83,643 88,399 93,327 98,486 103,877 109,504 115,370 121,481 127,840 134,451 141,320 148,449 155,847 163,528 171,490 179,737 188,273 197,105 206,242 215,683 225,435 235,497 Mpika 214,462 225,120 235,909 246,807 257,786 268,979 280,537 292,447 304,708 317,307 330,242 343,515 357,111 371,033 385,267 399,829 414,727 429,948 445,485 461,331 477,486 493,955 510,726 527,794 545,140 Nakonde 127,428 135,547 143,934 152,579 161,472 170,700 180,369 190,481 201,047 212,070 223,560 235,529 247,981 260,926 274,370 288,329 302,826 317,863 333,442 349,574 366,270 383,542 401,395 419,839 438,864

Total (Males) 367,906 385,498 403,321 421,356 439,560 458,143 477,353 497,163 517,580 538,583 560,182 582,367 605,134 628,487 652,416 676,936 702,084 727,835 754,188 781,127 808,666 836,813 865,553 894,893 924,805 Chama 53,552 56,219 58,922 61,660 64,425 67,246 70,160 73,163 76,254 79,431 82,693 86,039 89,467 92,977 96,567 100,238 103,995 107,833 111,750 115,744 119,815 123,964 128,188 132,485 136,852 Chinsali 75,284 77,442 79,528 81,536 83,457 85,334 87,208 89,070 90,918 92,744 94,547 96,322 98,066 99,776 101,448 103,082 104,681 106,240 107,756 109,224 110,646 112,020 113,342 114,615 115,831 Isoka 36,907 38,335 39,754 41,160 42,551 43,943 45,361 46,800 48,260 49,736 51,228 52,734 54,252 55,780 57,317 58,862 60,417 61,977 63,543 65,112 66,682 68,254 69,825 71,394 72,957 Mafinga 34,000 36,093 38,250 40,474 42,759 45,128 47,606 50,193 52,892 55,703 58,630 61,672 64,832 68,114 71,517 75,045 78,705 82,496 86,420 90,476 94,670 99,003 103,476 108,091 112,849 Mpika 105,567 110,799 116,103 121,471 126,889 132,417 138,125 144,004 150,055 156,270 162,652 169,195 175,897 182,756 189,768 196,937 204,270 211,758 219,400 227,188 235,123 243,208 251,434 259,801 268,299 Nakonde 62,596 66,610 70,764 75,055 79,479 84,075 88,893 93,933 99,201 104,699 110,432 116,405 122,620 129,084 135,799 142,772 150,016 157,531 165,319 173,383 181,730 190,364 199,288 208,507 218,017

Total (Females) 381,543 399,802 418,243 436,823 455,498 474,525 494,194 514,492 535,416 556,952 579,095 601,865 625,239 649,224 673,806 699,019 724,884 751,388 778,518 806,287 834,696 863,764 893,482 923,851 954,837 Chama 55,982 58,727 61,498 64,287 67,089 69,940 72,881 75,910 79,027 82,227 85,510 88,877 92,324 95,851 99,455 103,140 106,907 110,755 114,679 118,680 122,757 126,912 131,142 135,446 139,817 Chinsali 76,995 79,155 81,226 83,201 85,070 86,883 88,691 90,488 92,267 94,026 95,757 97,462 99,133 100,770 102,367 103,927 105,451 106,933 108,371 109,764 111,111 112,412 113,664 114,867 116,014 Isoka 38,688 40,241 41,781 43,306 44,809 46,316 47,854 49,419 51,011 52,624 54,259 55,914 57,588 59,278 60,982 62,701 64,436 66,184 67,943 69,712 71,490 73,276 75,070 76,869 78,670 Mafinga 36,151 38,421 40,762 43,169 45,640 48,199 50,880 53,684 56,612 59,667 62,851 66,168 69,619 73,206 76,932 80,802 84,823 88,994 93,317 97,797 102,435 107,239 112,207 117,344 122,648 Mpika 108,895 114,321 119,806 125,336 130,897 136,562 142,412 148,443 154,653 161,037 167,590 174,320 181,214 188,277 195,499 202,892 210,457 218,190 226,085 234,143 242,363 250,747 259,292 267,993 276,841 Nakonde 64,832 68,937 73,170 77,524 81,993 86,625 91,476 96,548 101,846 107,371 113,128 119,124 125,361 131,842 138,571 145,557 152,810 160,332 168,123 176,191 184,540 193,178 202,107 211,332 220,847

Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital

Events, Rates &

District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Life Expectancy at Birth (Males)Chama 52.9 52.8 52.7 52.6 52.5 52.8 53.1 53.4 53.8 54.1 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.5 55.8 56.2 56.5 56.9 57.2 57.6 57.9 58.3 58.6 59.0 59.3Chinsali 57.1 57.0 56.9 56.8 56.7 57.0 57.3 57.6 57.8 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.0 62.3 62.6Isoka 55.4 55.3 55.2 55.1 55.0 55.3 55.6 55.9 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.1 57.5 57.8 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.0 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.2Mafinga 57.5 57.4 57.3 57.3 57.2 57.5 57.7 58.0 58.3 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.8 62.1 62.4 62.6 62.9Mpika 52.1 52.0 51.9 51.8 51.7 52.1 52.4 52.7 53.1 53.4 53.8 54.1 54.5 54.8 55.2 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.6 57.0 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.4 58.7Nakonde 54.6 54.6 54.5 54.4 54.3 54.6 54.9 55.2 55.5 55.8 56.1 56.5 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.4 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.7 60.1 60.4 60.7Life Expectancy at Birth (Females)Chama 61.0 60.8 60.5 60.2 59.8 60.1 60.4 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.1 62.4 62.8 63.1 63.4 63.8 64.2 64.5 64.8 65.2 65.6 65.9 66.3 66.6Chinsali 65.3 65.1 64.8 64.5 64.3 64.5 64.8 65.0 65.3 65.6 65.9 66.2 66.5 66.7 67.0 67.3 67.6 67.9 68.2 68.5 68.8 69.1 69.4 69.7 70.0Isoka 65.4 65.2 65.0 64.7 64.4 64.7 64.9 65.2 65.5 65.7 66.0 66.3 66.6 66.9 67.1 67.5 67.8 68.1 68.3 68.6 69.0 69.3 69.6 69.8 70.1Mafinga 63.6 63.5 63.1 62.9 62.6 62.8 63.1 63.4 63.7 64.0 64.3 64.6 64.9 65.2 65.5 65.8 66.2 66.5 66.8 67.1 67.5 67.8 68.1 68.4 68.7Mpika 58.8 58.6 58.2 57.9 57.5 57.8 58.2 58.5 58.9 59.2 59.6 60.0 60.3 60.7 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6 62.9 63.4 63.8 64.1 64.5 64.8Nakonde 62.1 61.9 61.6 61.3 61.0 61.3 61.6 61.9 62.2 62.5 62.8 63.2 63.5 63.8 64.1 64.4 64.8 65.1 65.5 65.8 66.2 66.5 66.9 67.2 67.5Total Fertility Rate (TFR)Chama 7.9 7.7 7.5 7.3 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 Chinsali 7.5 7.3 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 Isoka 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 Mafinga 7.7 7.5 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 Mpika 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 Nakonde 6.3 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7

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112 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHAMA DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chama District Total Male Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 109,534 53,552 55,982 114,946 56,219 58,727 120,420 58,922 61,498 125,947 61,660 64,287 131,514 64,425 67,089 137,186 67,246 69,940 143,041 70,160 72,881 149,073 73,163 75,910 0-4 23,252 11,688 11,564 24,357 12,277 12,080 25,397 12,833 12,564 26,375 13,361 13,014 27,320 13,883 13,437 28,032 14,263 13,770 28,852 14,695 14,157 29,771 15,174 14,597 5-9 17,954 8,856 9,098 18,674 9,211 9,463 19,477 9,618 9,858 20,327 10,057 10,270 21,157 10,483 10,675 22,220 11,052 11,168 23,234 11,597 11,637 24,196 12,116 12,080

10-14 14,871 7,573 7,298 15,382 7,814 7,569 15,835 8,013 7,822 16,285 8,209 8,076 16,776 8,431 8,345 17,348 8,705 8,643 18,013 9,039 8,973 18,756 9,424 9,332 15-19 11,486 5,761 5,725 12,219 6,184 6,034 12,946 6,597 6,348 13,639 6,984 6,655 14,286 7,336 6,951 14,845 7,625 7,220 15,310 7,848 7,461 15,720 8,033 7,688 20-24 8,656 4,023 4,633 9,223 4,350 4,873 9,861 4,729 5,132 10,535 5,133 5,402 11,215 5,538 5,677 11,904 5,945 5,960 12,609 6,356 6,253 13,308 6,756 6,552 25-29 8,006 3,493 4,513 8,233 3,546 4,687 8,446 3,603 4,843 8,712 3,702 5,010 9,076 3,866 5,209 9,553 4,110 5,443 10,130 4,427 5,704 10,781 4,795 5,986 30-34 6,395 3,236 3,159 6,838 3,400 3,438 7,307 3,566 3,741 7,742 3,714 4,028 8,105 3,832 4,272 8,381 3,913 4,467 8,598 3,970 4,628 8,806 4,032 4,774 35-39 4,971 2,448 2,523 5,161 2,543 2,619 5,331 2,627 2,704 5,528 2,716 2,813 5,782 2,818 2,965 6,113 2,939 3,174 6,508 3,076 3,431 6,927 3,216 3,711 40-44 3,590 1,765 1,825 3,911 1,909 2,002 4,256 2,060 2,196 4,584 2,204 2,380 4,870 2,330 2,540 5,097 2,436 2,662 5,276 2,524 2,753 5,439 2,604 2,835 45-49 2,713 1,292 1,421 2,825 1,355 1,470 2,942 1,422 1,520 3,085 1,498 1,587 3,273 1,591 1,682 3,514 1,702 1,812 3,803 1,829 1,974 4,112 1,963 2,149 50-54 2,008 882 1,126 2,168 951 1,217 2,322 1,019 1,303 2,467 1,085 1,382 2,599 1,147 1,452 2,714 1,205 1,509 2,814 1,260 1,555 2,918 1,316 1,602 55-59 1,256 591 665 1,369 643 726 1,506 702 804 1,651 765 886 1,796 828 967 1,938 891 1,047 2,080 955 1,125 2,217 1,018 1,199 60-64 1,333 525 809 1,329 534 795 1,320 544 776 1,330 561 769 1,376 590 786 1,461 630 831 1,582 680 901 1,726 737 989 65-69 1,105 457 648 1,179 480 699 1,251 503 748 1,312 524 788 1,353 541 812 1,369 553 816 1,366 561 804 1,359 572 787 70-74 862 382 480 897 391 506 933 401 532 974 413 561 1,022 427 595 1,081 445 636 1,148 465 683 1,212 485 727 75-79 580 308 272 623 325 298 668 341 327 711 356 356 750 368 382 783 378 405 812 386 426 842 395 447 80+ 496 272 224 558 307 251 621 343 279 688 379 309 758 416 342 832 454 377 907 491 415 982 527 455

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chama District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 155,281 76,254 79,027 161,658 79,431 82,227 196,022 96,567 99,455 234,424 115,744 118,680 276,669 136,852 139,817 0-4 30,786 15,699 15,088 31,889 16,267 15,622 37,528 19,172 18,356 43,112 22,050 21,062 48,599 24,902 23,697 5-9 25,110 12,613 12,498 26,023 13,114 12,908 30,510 15,424 15,086 36,149 18,293 17,856 41,784 21,179 20,606

10-14 19,548 9,838 9,709 20,320 10,239 10,081 24,840 12,707 12,133 29,064 14,904 14,160 34,363 17,645 16,718 15-19 16,129 8,212 7,917 16,578 8,418 8,160 19,831 10,086 9,745 23,995 12,372 11,624 27,881 14,417 13,464 20-24 13,975 7,130 6,845 14,594 7,467 7,127 16,784 8,496 8,288 19,933 10,107 9,826 23,944 12,315 11,629 25-29 11,468 5,188 6,280 12,162 5,580 6,581 15,619 7,445 8,174 17,922 8,451 9,470 21,213 10,032 11,181 30-34 9,070 4,138 4,933 9,437 4,314 5,123 12,586 6,143 6,442 16,148 8,157 7,992 18,552 9,282 9,270 35-39 7,319 3,341 3,978 7,649 3,441 4,207 8,873 3,854 5,019 11,706 5,417 6,289 14,928 7,150 7,777 40-44 5,627 2,688 2,940 5,871 2,785 3,087 7,662 3,375 4,287 8,864 3,784 5,080 11,595 5,280 6,315 45-49 4,409 2,092 2,317 4,668 2,206 2,462 5,590 2,622 2,968 7,244 3,169 4,075 8,375 3,561 4,814 50-54 3,048 1,382 1,666 3,218 1,461 1,757 4,491 1,988 2,502 5,339 2,352 2,986 6,874 2,833 4,041 55-59 2,345 1,078 1,267 2,463 1,136 1,327 3,018 1,426 1,591 4,158 1,918 2,240 4,926 2,261 2,665 60-64 1,881 799 1,083 2,034 859 1,174 2,733 1,156 1,576 3,310 1,440 1,870 4,515 1,921 2,594 65-69 1,370 588 782 1,413 615 798 2,028 872 1,156 2,679 1,156 1,523 3,216 1,429 1,787 70-74 1,266 503 763 1,300 517 784 1,343 575 768 1,875 790 1,085 2,422 1,021 1,401 75-79 874 405 469 913 417 495 1,130 492 638 1,158 537 621 1,567 712 855 80+ 1,056 562 494 1,127 594 533 1,457 732 725 1,767 847 921 1,915 911 1,004

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 113

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHINSALI DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chinsali District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 152,279 75,284 76,995 156,597 77,442 79,155 160,754 79,528 81,226 164,737 81,536 83,201 168,527 83,457 85,070 172,217 85,334 86,883 175,899 87,208 88,691 179,558 89,070 90,488 0-4 30,306 15,065 15,241 31,091 15,495 15,596 31,748 15,860 15,888 32,286 16,168 16,117 32,743 16,447 16,297 32,893 16,541 16,352 33,147 16,685 16,462 33,485 16,867 16,618 5-9 23,713 11,698 12,015 24,155 11,913 12,242 24,673 12,181 12,491 25,215 12,471 12,745 25,698 12,726 12,971 26,424 13,136 13,288 27,052 13,494 13,558 27,581 13,801 13,781

10-14 21,150 10,770 10,380 21,426 10,881 10,545 21,601 10,927 10,674 21,753 10,960 10,793 21,941 11,020 10,921 22,216 11,140 11,076 22,584 11,324 11,260 23,024 11,558 11,466 15-19 16,585 8,426 8,159 17,281 8,857 8,424 17,932 9,252 8,680 18,501 9,589 8,912 18,976 9,861 9,115 19,305 10,035 9,271 19,492 10,111 9,381 19,595 10,131 9,464 20-24 12,143 5,479 6,664 12,667 5,800 6,867 13,259 6,175 7,084 13,865 6,562 7,303 14,446 6,932 7,514 15,009 7,284 7,725 15,560 7,624 7,937 16,076 7,934 8,142 25-29 10,363 4,735 5,629 10,433 4,707 5,727 10,479 4,683 5,796 10,583 4,711 5,872 10,796 4,817 5,979 11,130 5,013 6,117 11,562 5,286 6,276 12,055 5,606 6,449 30-34 8,378 4,145 4,233 8,777 4,264 4,513 9,190 4,380 4,810 9,539 4,467 5,072 9,780 4,512 5,268 9,904 4,510 5,394 9,951 4,479 5,472 9,980 4,453 5,526 35-39 7,001 3,515 3,486 7,118 3,574 3,544 7,200 3,616 3,585 7,311 3,660 3,652 7,487 3,718 3,769 7,747 3,797 3,951 8,073 3,890 4,182 8,411 3,982 4,429 40-44 5,303 2,799 2,505 5,656 2,964 2,692 6,024 3,131 2,892 6,351 3,280 3,070 6,604 3,396 3,208 6,767 3,475 3,292 6,858 3,525 3,334 6,921 3,560 3,362 45-49 4,523 2,350 2,173 4,617 2,415 2,202 4,711 2,480 2,230 4,840 2,559 2,281 5,027 2,660 2,367 5,284 2,787 2,497 5,594 2,932 2,662 5,919 3,081 2,838 50-54 3,236 1,703 1,534 3,421 1,797 1,624 3,589 1,886 1,703 3,735 1,966 1,769 3,856 2,036 1,820 3,945 2,094 1,851 4,011 2,143 1,868 4,077 2,191 1,885 55-59 2,220 1,093 1,127 2,370 1,165 1,206 2,552 1,246 1,306 2,740 1,329 1,411 2,917 1,409 1,508 3,082 1,484 1,598 3,238 1,556 1,681 3,379 1,624 1,755 60-64 2,025 887 1,138 1,979 883 1,096 1,929 881 1,048 1,908 890 1,017 1,934 916 1,018 2,011 957 1,054 2,132 1,013 1,119 2,277 1,075 1,202 65-69 1,806 824 982 1,885 848 1,037 1,958 871 1,088 2,010 888 1,122 2,029 896 1,132 2,012 897 1,115 1,967 892 1,075 1,920 889 1,031 70-74 1,369 655 714 1,394 657 737 1,419 660 759 1,448 665 784 1,487 674 814 1,539 687 852 1,598 703 895 1,652 718 934 75-79 1,066 538 528 1,123 556 567 1,180 571 609 1,232 583 649 1,273 590 683 1,303 594 709 1,324 594 730 1,343 595 749 80+ 1,091 603 488 1,202 666 536 1,311 728 583 1,421 788 633 1,533 848 686 1,647 905 742 1,757 958 799 1,864 1,007 857

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chinsali District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 183,185 90,918 92,267 186,770 92,744 94,026 203,815 101,448 102,367 218,988 109,224 109,764 231,845 115,831 116,014 0-4 33,902 17,084 16,818 34,382 17,331 17,051 36,381 18,357 18,024 37,499 18,945 18,554 37,870 19,153 18,717 5-9 28,024 14,066 13,959 28,436 14,318 14,117 29,977 15,135 14,842 31,867 16,107 15,760 33,000 16,693 16,307

10-14 23,492 11,813 11,680 23,910 12,036 11,874 26,280 13,424 12,856 27,589 14,129 13,461 29,223 14,973 14,250 15-19 19,682 10,140 9,542 19,807 10,177 9,630 21,305 10,958 10,346 23,133 12,061 11,071 24,080 12,582 11,498 20-24 16,526 8,198 8,328 16,896 8,405 8,491 17,477 8,594 8,883 18,622 9,174 9,448 20,032 10,007 10,026 25-29 12,562 5,937 6,625 13,050 6,252 6,798 15,093 7,497 7,595 15,531 7,636 7,895 16,472 8,115 8,357 30-34 10,065 4,475 5,590 10,252 4,567 5,685 12,277 5,846 6,431 14,122 6,964 7,158 14,539 7,095 7,444 35-39 8,698 4,049 4,649 8,897 4,084 4,814 9,276 4,110 5,166 10,991 5,184 5,807 12,564 6,125 6,439 40-44 7,010 3,597 3,413 7,158 3,649 3,509 8,359 3,975 4,384 8,659 3,999 4,661 10,190 4,995 5,195 45-49 6,210 3,214 2,996 6,435 3,317 3,118 6,925 3,544 3,381 8,008 3,844 4,165 8,278 3,867 4,411 50-54 4,172 2,252 1,919 4,313 2,332 1,981 5,391 2,852 2,539 5,746 3,027 2,719 6,563 3,264 3,299 55-59 3,500 1,684 1,815 3,599 1,737 1,862 3,969 1,961 2,009 4,902 2,366 2,536 5,202 2,497 2,705 60-64 2,428 1,139 1,289 2,569 1,200 1,369 3,105 1,452 1,653 3,381 1,622 1,759 4,125 1,937 2,188 65-69 1,897 895 1,002 1,918 917 1,001 2,473 1,168 1,306 2,933 1,390 1,543 3,161 1,538 1,623 70-74 1,688 729 959 1,698 732 965 1,584 733 850 1,982 903 1,079 2,293 1,045 1,248 75-79 1,366 596 770 1,398 602 796 1,561 638 923 1,431 625 806 1,737 742 995 80+ 1,962 1,050 912 2,050 1,087 963 2,383 1,204 1,179 2,592 1,249 1,343 2,517 1,204 1,312

Page 127: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

114 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, ISOKA DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Isoka District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 75,595 36,907 38,688 78,576 38,335 40,241 81,535 39,754 41,781 84,466 41,160 43,306 87,360 42,551 44,809 90,259 43,943 46,316 93,215 45,361 47,854 96,219 46,800 49,419 0-4 14,426 7,209 7,217 14,953 7,484 7,469 15,428 7,732 7,697 15,853 7,955 7,898 16,247 8,168 8,079 16,494 8,293 8,201 16,799 8,445 8,354 17,154 8,621 8,533 5-9 11,212 5,514 5,698 11,540 5,668 5,872 11,910 5,849 6,061 12,299 6,044 6,256 12,667 6,226 6,441 13,162 6,487 6,675 13,619 6,728 6,891 14,035 6,948 7,087

10-14 10,120 5,073 5,048 10,360 5,173 5,187 10,553 5,243 5,310 10,739 5,307 5,432 10,947 5,387 5,560 11,202 5,497 5,705 11,510 5,642 5,868 11,861 5,814 6,046 15-19 8,837 4,323 4,514 9,300 4,586 4,714 9,748 4,835 4,913 10,161 5,058 5,103 10,530 5,250 5,280 10,826 5,394 5,432 11,049 5,487 5,562 11,229 5,552 5,678 20-24 6,551 3,107 3,444 6,909 3,320 3,590 7,313 3,567 3,746 7,732 3,826 3,906 8,145 4,079 4,066 8,556 4,327 4,229 8,969 4,573 4,396 9,369 4,806 4,563 25-29 5,262 2,447 2,815 5,352 2,455 2,897 5,431 2,465 2,966 5,542 2,503 3,039 5,714 2,583 3,131 5,954 2,714 3,240 6,253 2,889 3,364 6,591 3,094 3,498 30-34 3,948 1,869 2,079 4,182 1,940 2,242 4,428 2,011 2,417 4,648 2,070 2,578 4,820 2,111 2,709 4,936 2,130 2,806 5,016 2,136 2,880 5,088 2,144 2,944 35-39 3,699 1,772 1,927 3,800 1,819 1,981 3,884 1,857 2,027 3,986 1,897 2,089 4,126 1,945 2,181 4,318 2,005 2,313 4,552 2,074 2,477 4,798 2,144 2,655 40-44 2,711 1,383 1,328 2,923 1,479 1,444 3,146 1,577 1,569 3,352 1,667 1,685 3,523 1,742 1,781 3,648 1,800 1,849 3,737 1,843 1,894 3,812 1,879 1,933 45-49 2,246 1,089 1,157 2,315 1,129 1,185 2,385 1,171 1,215 2,475 1,219 1,256 2,598 1,279 1,319 2,760 1,353 1,408 2,956 1,437 1,519 3,163 1,525 1,638 50-54 1,829 869 960 1,954 926 1,028 2,072 981 1,091 2,178 1,032 1,146 2,271 1,079 1,193 2,347 1,120 1,227 2,410 1,157 1,253 2,474 1,195 1,279 55-59 1,226 591 635 1,322 635 687 1,439 686 753 1,561 738 823 1,680 790 889 1,794 840 953 1,905 890 1,015 2,009 937 1,072 60-64 1,057 456 601 1,044 458 586 1,028 462 567 1,027 471 556 1,052 489 563 1,105 516 590 1,184 551 634 1,279 590 689 65-69 881 399 482 929 414 515 975 429 546 1,011 441 570 1,032 450 582 1,034 455 580 1,022 456 566 1,008 459 549 70-74 660 309 351 679 312 367 699 317 382 721 322 399 748 329 419 783 339 444 822 350 472 860 361 498 75-79 450 261 189 478 273 205 506 283 223 532 291 240 554 298 256 571 302 269 585 305 280 599 309 291 80+ 482 237 245 536 264 272 591 291 300 647 318 329 706 345 361 767 372 395 828 398 430 889 422 467

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Isoka District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 99,271 48,260 51,011 102,360 49,736 52,624 118,299 57,317 60,982 134,824 65,112 69,712 151,627 72,957 78,670 0-4 17,558 8,819 8,740 18,005 9,037 8,968 20,170 10,094 10,076 22,028 10,991 11,038 23,594 11,723 11,870 5-9 14,417 7,152 7,265 14,791 7,355 7,436 16,508 8,198 8,310 18,595 9,204 9,391 20,423 10,065 10,359

10-14 12,235 6,002 6,233 12,591 6,177 6,413 14,647 7,266 7,381 16,291 8,068 8,224 18,302 9,021 9,281 15-19 11,405 5,612 5,793 11,607 5,690 5,918 13,218 6,460 6,758 15,197 7,502 7,696 16,777 8,257 8,520 20-24 9,738 5,015 4,724 10,068 5,194 4,874 11,020 5,600 5,420 12,442 6,307 6,135 14,198 7,258 6,940 25-29 6,946 3,309 3,636 7,297 3,521 3,776 8,937 4,452 4,485 9,745 4,784 4,961 10,962 5,364 5,598 30-34 5,189 2,176 3,014 5,345 2,243 3,102 6,758 3,028 3,730 8,223 3,806 4,417 8,988 4,091 4,897 35-39 5,022 2,202 2,820 5,198 2,243 2,955 5,752 2,381 3,371 7,201 3,168 4,032 8,717 3,950 4,767 40-44 3,904 1,918 1,986 4,032 1,966 2,067 5,002 2,258 2,744 5,501 2,396 3,105 6,848 3,158 3,689 45-49 3,356 1,606 1,750 3,518 1,675 1,843 4,011 1,887 2,125 4,944 2,159 2,785 5,437 2,291 3,145 50-54 2,559 1,241 1,318 2,675 1,297 1,377 3,549 1,673 1,876 4,012 1,874 2,138 4,897 2,132 2,765 55-59 2,104 982 1,122 2,188 1,023 1,165 2,553 1,218 1,336 3,345 1,550 1,795 3,767 1,726 2,041 60-64 1,379 632 747 1,476 673 803 1,889 858 1,031 2,179 1,011 1,168 2,822 1,274 1,548 65-69 1,007 467 540 1,029 483 546 1,406 649 757 1,766 815 952 2,019 951 1,068 70-74 888 370 518 903 376 527 891 397 494 1,182 516 667 1,452 630 822 75-79 615 313 302 635 319 316 746 356 390 730 368 362 938 461 477 80+ 947 445 503 1,002 465 537 1,242 543 699 1,442 595 847 1,488 605 883

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 115

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MAFINGA DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mafinga District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 70,151 34,000 36,151 74,514 36,093 38,421 79,012 38,250 40,762 83,643 40,474 43,169 88,399 42,759 45,640 93,327 45,128 48,199 98,486 47,606 50,880 103,877 50,193 53,684 0-4 14,245 7,092 7,153 15,096 7,529 7,567 15,924 7,955 7,970 16,730 8,371 8,360 17,531 8,790 8,741 18,196 9,125 9,071 18,947 9,501 9,445 19,779 9,916 9,864 5-9 11,299 5,568 5,731 11,890 5,853 6,037 12,546 6,177 6,368 13,246 6,528 6,718 13,948 6,877 7,071 14,819 7,327 7,492 15,676 7,769 7,907 16,516 8,203 8,313

10-14 9,688 4,943 4,745 10,138 5,155 4,983 10,558 5,343 5,215 10,984 5,532 5,452 11,447 5,742 5,705 11,975 5,992 5,984 12,579 6,287 6,292 13,253 6,625 6,628 15-19 7,863 3,872 3,991 8,461 4,201 4,260 9,068 4,530 4,539 9,665 4,846 4,818 10,240 5,144 5,096 10,764 5,404 5,360 11,231 5,621 5,611 11,669 5,814 5,855 20-24 5,834 2,596 3,239 6,287 2,837 3,450 6,797 3,117 3,680 7,342 3,420 3,922 7,902 3,729 4,174 8,482 4,044 4,437 9,085 4,370 4,716 9,699 4,695 5,004 25-29 4,867 2,220 2,646 5,062 2,278 2,783 5,252 2,340 2,912 5,481 2,430 3,051 5,777 2,565 3,212 6,154 2,755 3,399 6,606 2,999 3,607 7,118 3,283 3,835 30-34 3,482 1,693 1,789 3,769 1,798 1,972 4,078 1,906 2,172 4,375 2,006 2,369 4,636 2,092 2,544 4,853 2,159 2,694 5,040 2,213 2,827 5,225 2,271 2,953 35-39 2,888 1,432 1,456 3,033 1,503 1,530 3,169 1,569 1,600 3,325 1,639 1,686 3,518 1,719 1,799 3,763 1,812 1,950 4,053 1,917 2,136 4,365 2,025 2,340 40-44 2,396 1,124 1,272 2,642 1,229 1,413 2,910 1,340 1,570 3,172 1,449 1,723 3,410 1,548 1,862 3,611 1,635 1,976 3,782 1,713 2,070 3,944 1,785 2,159 45-49 1,803 850 953 1,900 902 998 2,002 956 1,046 2,124 1,018 1,106 2,279 1,093 1,187 2,476 1,181 1,295 2,711 1,283 1,428 2,966 1,392 1,574 50-54 1,502 682 820 1,640 743 897 1,778 805 973 1,911 866 1,045 2,038 926 1,112 2,153 983 1,170 2,259 1,038 1,221 2,371 1,096 1,275 55-59 909 430 479 1,002 473 530 1,115 522 593 1,237 575 663 1,361 629 732 1,486 684 802 1,614 740 873 1,741 798 943 60-64 931 355 576 939 365 574 943 376 567 961 392 569 1,005 416 589 1,080 449 631 1,183 491 692 1,307 537 769 65-69 772 314 458 834 334 500 896 353 543 951 372 579 992 388 604 1,016 401 615 1,025 411 614 1,032 423 608 70-74 696 322 374 732 333 400 771 345 426 813 359 454 863 375 488 923 395 528 991 417 574 1,060 440 620 75-79 468 240 228 510 256 253 553 272 282 596 286 310 637 299 338 673 311 362 707 321 386 741 332 409 80+ 508 268 241 579 305 273 652 344 307 730 385 345 814 427 387 903 471 433 997 515 482 1,093 558 535

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mafinga District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 109,504 52,892 56,612 115,370 55,703 59,667 148,449 71,517 76,932 188,273 90,476 97,797 235,497 112,849 122,648 0-4 20,695 10,369 10,326 21,690 10,862 10,828 27,075 13,527 13,549 32,985 16,437 16,549 39,367 19,570 19,797 5-9 17,342 8,632 8,710 18,184 9,073 9,111 22,615 11,276 11,339 28,416 14,129 14,287 34,776 17,246 17,530

10-14 13,974 6,990 6,984 14,698 7,354 7,344 19,056 9,644 9,412 23,644 11,951 11,693 29,596 14,917 14,679 15-19 12,114 6,008 6,107 12,601 6,226 6,375 15,989 7,882 8,107 20,508 10,215 10,293 25,227 12,550 12,677 20-24 10,303 5,008 5,295 10,885 5,302 5,584 13,288 6,374 6,914 16,738 8,011 8,726 21,272 10,291 10,981 25-29 7,665 3,590 4,075 8,228 3,904 4,325 11,223 5,504 5,719 13,654 6,600 7,054 17,116 8,261 8,855 30-34 5,447 2,356 3,090 5,734 2,483 3,251 8,090 3,737 4,353 10,990 5,242 5,748 13,378 6,289 7,089 35-39 4,667 2,126 2,540 4,935 2,214 2,721 6,077 2,621 3,456 8,501 3,891 4,610 11,477 5,415 6,062 40-44 4,130 1,863 2,267 4,362 1,951 2,411 6,065 2,499 3,566 7,458 2,960 4,498 10,300 4,355 5,946 45-49 3,218 1,499 1,719 3,448 1,598 1,851 4,382 2,007 2,375 6,035 2,563 3,472 7,397 3,036 4,361 50-54 2,505 1,163 1,342 2,677 1,243 1,433 3,962 1,788 2,174 4,997 2,235 2,762 6,812 2,838 3,974 55-59 1,863 854 1,009 1,980 909 1,071 2,574 1,207 1,367 3,763 1,715 2,048 4,722 2,131 2,591 60-64 1,442 588 853 1,577 640 937 2,250 910 1,340 2,889 1,197 1,693 4,179 1,684 2,496 65-69 1,052 440 612 1,098 465 632 1,673 697 976 2,345 976 1,368 2,980 1,272 1,707 70-74 1,120 461 658 1,164 479 685 1,278 563 714 1,892 817 1,075 2,589 1,114 1,475 75-79 779 343 436 824 358 466 1,085 446 639 1,176 514 662 1,688 719 969 80+ 1,190 601 589 1,285 642 643 1,768 837 931 2,281 1,023 1,258 2,620 1,161 1,459

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116 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MPIKA DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mpika District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 214,462 105,567 108,895 225,120 110,799 114,321 235,909 116,103 119,806 246,807 121,471 125,336 257,786 126,889 130,897 268,979 132,417 136,562 280,537 138,125 142,412 292,447 144,004 148,443 0-4 42,297 21,142 21,156 44,293 22,187 22,106 46,170 23,171 22,999 47,931 24,102 23,830 49,630 25,018 24,611 50,907 25,678 25,228 52,382 26,434 25,948 54,038 27,274 26,764 5-9 32,145 15,963 16,182 33,424 16,586 16,838 34,850 17,305 17,546 36,361 18,077 18,284 37,832 18,824 19,009 39,721 19,828 19,893 41,524 20,787 20,737 43,235 21,699 21,536

10-14 29,479 14,704 14,775 30,485 15,157 15,328 31,376 15,530 15,845 32,259 15,894 16,365 33,222 16,309 16,913 34,347 16,824 17,523 35,654 17,454 18,200 37,118 18,182 18,937 15-19 24,152 11,915 12,238 25,681 12,778 12,903 27,197 13,620 13,577 28,642 14,404 14,238 29,989 15,114 14,875 31,152 15,697 15,456 32,120 16,142 15,978 32,978 16,508 16,470 20-24 17,944 8,129 9,814 19,108 8,781 10,327 20,418 9,538 10,880 21,799 10,344 11,455 23,189 11,149 12,041 24,601 11,956 12,645 26,044 12,771 13,273 27,479 13,566 13,912 25-29 15,241 6,839 8,402 15,666 6,936 8,729 16,064 7,042 9,022 16,564 7,228 9,336 17,252 7,542 9,710 18,159 8,010 10,149 19,258 8,619 10,639 20,499 9,330 11,170 30-34 12,051 5,961 6,090 12,887 6,257 6,630 13,773 6,557 7,216 14,595 6,823 7,772 15,279 7,033 8,246 15,800 7,175 8,625 16,211 7,272 8,939 16,604 7,379 9,224 35-39 10,261 5,306 4,955 10,650 5,505 5,144 10,997 5,682 5,314 11,398 5,869 5,529 11,913 6,084 5,829 12,582 6,340 6,242 13,382 6,630 6,751 14,231 6,926 7,305 40-44 7,452 3,946 3,506 8,113 4,264 3,849 8,819 4,596 4,222 9,491 4,913 4,578 10,076 5,190 4,886 10,542 5,420 5,123 10,910 5,611 5,299 11,244 5,783 5,461 45-49 6,096 3,076 3,020 6,349 3,225 3,124 6,612 3,379 3,232 6,934 3,558 3,376 7,353 3,774 3,579 7,891 4,034 3,857 8,534 4,332 4,202 9,222 4,646 4,576 50-54 4,781 2,389 2,391 5,159 2,574 2,585 5,525 2,755 2,770 5,869 2,931 2,938 6,185 3,097 3,088 6,459 3,250 3,209 6,702 3,394 3,308 6,954 3,543 3,411 55-59 3,224 1,629 1,595 3,513 1,770 1,743 3,861 1,932 1,929 4,231 2,103 2,128 4,598 2,275 2,323 4,960 2,446 2,515 5,321 2,618 2,703 5,671 2,788 2,883 60-64 2,912 1,403 1,509 2,910 1,425 1,484 2,901 1,451 1,449 2,933 1,496 1,437 3,039 1,571 1,469 3,229 1,676 1,553 3,494 1,809 1,685 3,809 1,959 1,849 65-69 2,267 1,038 1,229 2,416 1,090 1,326 2,562 1,141 1,420 2,684 1,188 1,496 2,766 1,224 1,542 2,801 1,250 1,551 2,797 1,268 1,529 2,788 1,290 1,497 70-74 1,769 859 911 1,838 878 960 1,910 900 1,010 1,990 925 1,065 2,086 957 1,130 2,204 995 1,209 2,337 1,040 1,297 2,467 1,083 1,383 75-79 1,164 603 562 1,252 636 616 1,342 666 676 1,429 694 735 1,508 717 790 1,574 736 838 1,633 752 881 1,692 768 924 80+ 1,225 665 560 1,377 749 628 1,533 835 698 1,696 923 773 1,869 1,013 856 2,049 1,103 946 2,234 1,192 1,041 2,419 1,279 1,141

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mpika District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 304,708 150,055 154,653 317,307 156,270 161,037 385,267 189,768 195,499 461,331 227,188 234,143 545,140 268,299 276,841 0-4 55,875 28,198 27,677 57,876 29,202 28,674 68,134 34,339 33,796 78,230 39,372 38,859 88,128 44,284 43,844 5-9 44,865 22,575 22,290 46,495 23,459 23,035 54,532 27,529 27,004 64,577 32,548 32,029 74,597 37,529 37,067

10-14 38,679 18,968 19,710 40,205 19,730 20,476 49,149 24,430 24,720 57,475 28,565 28,910 67,912 33,681 34,231 15-19 33,833 16,865 16,968 34,778 17,279 17,499 41,618 20,655 20,963 50,314 25,257 25,057 58,420 29,313 29,106 20-24 28,848 14,307 14,541 30,124 14,975 15,149 34,669 16,999 17,671 41,154 20,160 20,994 49,381 24,464 24,917 25-29 21,811 10,086 11,725 23,137 10,843 12,293 29,750 14,435 15,315 34,116 16,335 17,782 40,365 19,312 21,053 30-34 17,103 7,568 9,535 17,794 7,886 9,908 23,704 11,205 12,499 30,368 14,831 15,537 34,882 16,810 18,073 35-39 15,024 7,189 7,835 15,692 7,402 8,290 18,191 8,271 9,920 24,044 11,589 12,455 30,682 15,235 15,447 40-44 11,630 5,966 5,665 12,129 6,177 5,952 15,761 7,471 8,290 18,194 8,349 9,845 23,877 11,604 12,274 45-49 9,883 4,947 4,936 10,462 5,213 5,249 12,529 6,182 6,347 16,183 7,449 8,733 18,684 8,337 10,346 50-54 7,266 3,718 3,548 7,672 3,929 3,743 10,683 5,335 5,348 12,688 6,292 6,396 16,227 7,547 8,680 55-59 5,999 2,951 3,048 6,301 3,107 3,194 7,735 3,893 3,842 10,638 5,219 5,419 12,592 6,128 6,464 60-64 4,146 2,120 2,026 4,479 2,280 2,198 6,022 3,062 2,960 7,320 3,800 3,520 9,945 5,050 4,895 65-69 2,814 1,326 1,487 2,906 1,387 1,519 4,169 1,961 2,208 5,507 2,592 2,914 6,621 3,191 3,430 70-74 2,575 1,123 1,451 2,645 1,152 1,492 2,747 1,281 1,466 3,829 1,752 2,077 4,944 2,257 2,687 75-79 1,757 786 971 1,837 810 1,026 2,279 953 1,326 2,331 1,038 1,293 3,156 1,370 1,786 80+ 2,602 1,361 1,241 2,776 1,438 1,338 3,595 1,769 1,827 4,364 2,040 2,324 4,728 2,187 2,541

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 117

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, NAKONDE DISTRICT, Muchinga Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Nakonde District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 127,428 62,596 64,832 135,547 66,610 68,937 143,934 70,764 73,170 152,579 75,055 77,524 161,472 79,479 81,993 170,700 84,075 86,625 180,369 88,893 91,476 190,481 93,933 96,548 0-4 25,990 12,896 13,093 27,585 13,726 13,859 29,140 14,537 14,604 30,656 15,330 15,326 32,162 16,130 16,032 33,424 16,779 16,644 34,841 17,503 17,339 36,408 18,297 18,112 5-9 19,225 9,420 9,805 20,261 9,927 10,334 21,410 10,502 10,907 22,635 11,123 11,512 23,863 11,741 12,122 25,384 12,534 12,849 26,881 13,315 13,566 28,351 14,083 14,268

10-14 16,093 8,030 8,063 16,868 8,395 8,473 17,594 8,723 8,871 18,330 9,051 9,280 19,128 9,414 9,714 20,036 9,842 10,194 21,069 10,347 10,723 22,219 10,920 11,299 15-19 14,033 6,761 7,272 15,121 7,354 7,767 16,227 7,949 8,278 17,315 8,523 8,793 18,369 9,065 9,304 19,333 9,542 9,791 20,194 9,943 10,252 21,004 10,302 10,702 20-24 11,588 5,246 6,342 12,507 5,747 6,760 13,544 6,330 7,214 14,652 6,960 7,693 15,793 7,604 8,189 16,975 8,265 8,711 18,206 8,946 9,261 19,458 9,628 9,830 25-29 10,210 4,830 5,379 10,630 4,969 5,661 11,042 5,116 5,926 11,535 5,323 6,212 12,174 5,630 6,543 12,987 6,061 6,927 13,962 6,608 7,354 15,067 7,247 7,819 30-34 7,493 3,793 3,700 8,118 4,038 4,080 8,789 4,291 4,498 9,434 4,527 4,907 10,003 4,730 5,273 10,477 4,890 5,586 10,886 5,023 5,864 11,292 5,164 6,128 35-39 6,263 3,310 2,953 6,588 3,483 3,105 6,895 3,645 3,249 7,241 3,817 3,424 7,668 4,011 3,656 8,202 4,236 3,966 8,833 4,489 4,344 9,512 4,751 4,760 40-44 4,249 2,234 2,015 4,689 2,448 2,241 5,166 2,676 2,490 5,635 2,900 2,735 6,061 3,105 2,956 6,426 3,287 3,139 6,737 3,448 3,289 7,033 3,601 3,432 45-49 3,291 1,693 1,598 3,475 1,800 1,675 3,668 1,913 1,755 3,899 2,042 1,857 4,189 2,196 1,994 4,555 2,379 2,176 4,989 2,588 2,401 5,461 2,812 2,648 50-54 2,519 1,237 1,282 2,755 1,351 1,404 2,991 1,467 1,524 3,219 1,582 1,637 3,437 1,694 1,743 3,636 1,802 1,834 3,822 1,907 1,915 4,017 2,017 2,000 55-59 1,708 868 840 1,886 957 930 2,101 1,059 1,042 2,333 1,168 1,164 2,569 1,281 1,287 2,807 1,396 1,411 3,051 1,514 1,537 3,293 1,634 1,660 60-64 1,513 702 811 1,531 724 807 1,546 747 799 1,583 781 802 1,661 831 830 1,788 898 889 1,960 983 977 2,165 1,079 1,086 65-69 1,157 527 629 1,249 561 688 1,342 596 746 1,425 629 796 1,488 657 831 1,527 680 847 1,544 699 845 1,559 721 838 70-74 865 438 427 911 455 456 959 472 486 1,012 492 519 1,074 516 558 1,149 544 605 1,233 576 657 1,318 608 710 75-79 601 313 287 655 335 319 711 356 355 767 376 391 820 394 426 867 410 457 911 424 487 956 439 517 80+ 630 298 332 718 341 377 809 385 424 908 431 476 1,014 480 534 1,128 530 598 1,247 580 667 1,370 630 740

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Nakonde District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 201,047 99,201 101,846 212,070 104,699 107,371 274,370 135,799 138,571 349,574 173,383 176,191 438,864 218,017 220,847 0-4 38,132 19,165 18,967 40,006 20,108 19,897 50,207 25,252 24,956 61,398 30,891 30,507 73,550 37,008 36,542 5-9 29,798 14,843 14,955 31,277 15,627 15,649 39,106 19,584 19,522 49,322 24,705 24,617 60,587 30,341 30,246

10-14 23,452 11,542 11,910 24,691 12,163 12,528 32,178 16,084 16,095 40,077 20,065 20,012 50,355 25,199 25,155 15-19 21,828 10,663 11,165 22,728 11,068 11,660 28,994 14,130 14,864 37,323 18,435 18,888 46,082 22,789 23,293 20-24 20,691 10,286 10,405 21,884 10,908 10,977 26,848 13,223 13,625 33,942 16,732 17,210 43,312 21,627 21,685 25-29 16,250 7,938 8,312 17,471 8,646 8,825 23,991 12,292 11,699 29,281 14,840 14,441 36,839 18,688 18,152 30-34 11,780 5,366 6,414 12,414 5,664 6,750 17,655 8,595 9,060 24,112 12,138 11,974 29,440 14,654 14,787 35-39 10,167 4,997 5,170 10,751 5,212 5,539 13,273 6,220 7,053 18,714 9,298 9,416 25,417 13,020 12,397 40-44 7,368 3,763 3,605 7,783 3,948 3,836 10,784 5,099 5,686 13,258 6,080 7,178 18,500 9,000 9,501 45-49 5,927 3,034 2,893 6,354 3,239 3,115 8,110 4,102 4,008 11,137 5,274 5,863 13,661 6,287 7,374 50-54 4,251 2,144 2,107 4,546 2,296 2,250 6,750 3,329 3,422 8,540 4,189 4,351 11,620 5,351 6,268 55-59 3,529 1,752 1,777 3,755 1,869 1,886 4,914 2,501 2,413 7,196 3,577 3,619 9,057 4,473 4,583 60-64 2,387 1,183 1,205 2,612 1,288 1,324 3,745 1,848 1,897 4,845 2,447 2,398 7,004 3,463 3,541 65-69 1,594 751 843 1,667 795 872 2,550 1,201 1,349 3,587 1,693 1,893 4,586 2,221 2,365 70-74 1,393 639 754 1,449 664 785 1,609 788 821 2,386 1,150 1,236 3,276 1,578 1,698 75-79 1,006 455 551 1,064 475 589 1,407 597 810 1,533 694 840 2,207 976 1,231 80+ 1,494 680 815 1,617 728 890 2,248 956 1,292 2,924 1,176 1,748 3,372 1,343 2,029

Page 131: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

118 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

RegionProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 1,146,392 1,185,159 1,224,443 1,264,212 1,304,435 1,345,412 1,387,443 1,430,543 1,474,730 1,520,004 1,566,369 1,613,869 1,662,536 1,712,448 1,763,638 1,816,183 1,870,167 1,925,582 1,982,507 2,040,926 2,100,858 2,162,275 2,225,133 2,289,387 2,355,007 0-4 231,982 239,443 245,785 251,100 255,720 260,312 265,300 270,676 276,430 282,463 288,666 294,943 301,329 307,863 314,605 321,617 328,922 336,511 344,368 352,442 360,666 368,959 377,242 385,439 393,480 5-9 178,797 186,010 194,168 202,884 211,507 219,450 226,444 232,415 237,481 242,085 246,775 251,853 257,311 263,151 269,281 275,581 281,971 288,468 295,119 301,994 309,138 316,580 324,303 332,309 340,543

10-14 153,900 156,975 160,000 163,609 168,299 174,244 181,285 189,280 197,860 206,387 214,276 221,238 227,201 232,278 236,896 241,606 246,700 252,173 258,023 264,169 270,489 276,899 283,424 290,099 297,006 15-19 124,731 130,214 135,562 140,458 144,730 148,248 151,242 154,209 157,775 162,424 168,319 175,297 183,218 191,719 200,179 208,018 214,958 220,922 226,015 230,645 235,374 240,483 245,972 251,843 258,004 20-24 93,445 97,422 102,211 107,340 112,464 117,637 122,959 128,176 132,968 137,185 140,679 143,671 146,639 150,200 154,819 160,657 167,554 175,381 183,789 192,174 199,966 206,883 212,850 217,961 222,618 25-29 82,283 82,394 82,197 82,533 83,974 86,707 90,548 95,190 100,185 105,198 110,272 115,506 120,636 125,365 129,544 133,031 136,048 139,045 142,624 147,233 153,033 159,864 167,616 175,945 184,282 30-34 63,540 66,987 70,667 73,819 75,949 76,917 77,031 76,881 77,262 78,728 81,439 85,220 89,771 94,672 99,596 104,588 109,739 114,812 119,500 123,677 127,191 130,260 133,324 136,954 141,585 35-39 54,505 55,166 55,576 56,361 57,929 60,474 63,770 67,299 70,347 72,455 73,469 73,669 73,626 74,088 75,588 78,288 82,012 86,492 91,313 96,160 101,089 106,178 111,199 115,867 120,053 40-44 40,030 42,804 45,820 48,561 50,688 52,002 52,661 53,088 53,890 55,441 57,930 61,138 64,582 67,571 69,671 70,731 71,016 71,061 71,600 73,131 75,816 79,487 83,894 88,634 93,404 45-49 33,023 33,525 34,003 34,804 36,147 38,199 40,847 43,736 46,369 48,433 49,730 50,412 50,870 51,692 53,228 55,659 58,793 62,149 65,081 67,164 68,254 68,604 68,721 69,311 70,857 50-54 25,450 27,064 28,596 29,942 31,049 31,826 32,317 32,788 33,571 34,871 36,838 39,375 42,147 44,673 46,667 47,933 48,615 49,091 49,917 51,422 53,790 56,830 60,084 62,936 64,980 55-59 17,226 18,363 19,726 21,198 22,682 24,181 25,702 27,139 28,407 29,454 30,193 30,669 31,126 31,881 33,123 34,998 37,410 40,040 42,449 44,353 45,575 46,246 46,736 47,550 49,017 60-64 14,728 14,679 14,643 14,794 15,238 16,014 17,068 18,331 19,691 21,066 22,459 23,866 25,201 26,381 27,348 28,039 28,484 28,917 29,624 30,792 32,551 34,811 37,273 39,525 41,314 65-69 12,009 12,493 12,947 13,298 13,520 13,585 13,548 13,520 13,661 14,066 14,769 15,727 16,871 18,101 19,346 20,604 21,876 23,075 24,134 25,001 25,607 26,000 26,383 27,015 28,074 70-74 8,839 9,157 9,488 9,840 10,232 10,654 11,081 11,480 11,787 11,970 12,017 11,974 11,949 12,071 12,421 13,029 13,854 14,834 15,889 16,950 18,020 19,099 20,113 20,997 21,715 75-79 6,045 6,324 6,615 6,905 7,183 7,448 7,717 7,990 8,280 8,594 8,938 9,281 9,596 9,840 9,975 9,993 9,937 9,898 9,979 10,250 10,728 11,376 12,142 12,964 13,782 80+ 5,859 6,139 6,439 6,766 7,124 7,514 7,923 8,345 8,766 9,184 9,600 10,030 10,463 10,902 11,351 11,811 12,278 12,713 13,083 13,369 13,571 13,716 13,857 14,038 14,293

Total (Females) 578,051 597,557 617,305 637,277 657,452 678,002 699,094 720,720 742,905 765,647 788,946 812,826 837,307 862,421 888,191 914,652 941,845 969,773 998,475 1,027,932 1,058,171 1,089,174 1,120,920 1,153,385 1,186,557

0-4 115,258 118,951 122,101 124,741 126,969 129,211 131,662 134,319 137,170 140,164 143,245 146,363 149,537 152,782 156,131 159,612 163,240 167,010 170,912 174,922 179,008 183,126 187,245 191,317 195,312 5-9 89,351 92,977 97,010 101,280 105,544 109,444 112,890 115,837 118,350 120,580 122,888 125,402 128,116 131,028 134,088 137,238 140,431 143,680 147,005 150,440 154,011 157,731 161,589 165,590 169,706

10-14 76,058 77,614 79,251 81,217 83,709 86,768 90,299 94,249 98,455 102,679 106,561 110,000 112,956 115,484 117,731 120,059 122,590 125,323 128,253 131,333 134,505 137,721 140,996 144,345 147,810 15-19 63,005 65,177 67,351 69,393 71,220 72,816 74,318 75,916 77,853 80,326 83,365 86,871 90,792 94,970 99,172 103,043 106,484 109,452 112,002 114,269 116,619 119,174 121,930 124,887 127,991 20-24 50,818 52,359 54,130 56,013 57,918 59,901 62,004 64,125 66,127 67,942 69,540 71,048 72,652 74,589 77,052 80,072 83,550 87,442 91,592 95,775 99,642 103,087 106,069 108,637 110,931 25-29 44,519 45,075 45,375 45,783 46,562 47,746 49,241 50,971 52,825 54,712 56,678 58,771 60,876 62,870 64,687 66,292 67,819 69,442 71,392 73,856 76,868 80,330 84,203 88,334 92,510 30-34 31,794 34,101 36,618 38,863 40,520 41,527 42,055 42,355 42,776 43,568 44,758 46,253 47,977 49,826 51,705 53,666 55,750 57,856 59,852 61,688 63,320 64,880 66,537 68,515 70,996 35-39 26,583 26,888 27,073 27,538 28,547 30,225 32,431 34,843 37,006 38,629 39,641 40,189 40,528 40,981 41,796 42,995 44,488 46,213 48,060 49,934 51,895 53,979 56,086 58,093 59,949 40-44 19,064 20,612 22,316 23,871 25,067 25,774 26,084 26,275 26,741 27,729 29,357 31,500 33,846 35,960 37,555 38,567 39,131 39,490 39,967 40,791 41,992 43,479 45,195 47,031 48,896 45-49 16,170 16,292 16,405 16,725 17,403 18,532 20,033 21,687 23,195 24,359 25,056 25,372 25,573 26,041 27,013 28,600 30,690 32,973 35,035 36,596 37,600 38,170 38,543 39,031 39,859 50-54 12,599 13,457 14,266 14,954 15,474 15,779 15,907 16,020 16,338 16,999 18,085 19,533 21,128 22,584 23,713 24,395 24,712 24,921 25,391 26,341 27,885 29,916 32,132 34,136 35,662 55-59 8,558 9,104 9,792 10,554 11,330 12,128 12,947 13,718 14,373 14,870 15,163 15,291 15,406 15,715 16,350 17,396 18,783 20,308 21,706 22,793 23,452 23,766 23,983 24,445 25,370 60-64 7,946 7,798 7,636 7,581 7,709 8,049 8,564 9,213 9,929 10,659 11,412 12,179 12,904 13,520 13,985 14,263 14,383 14,497 14,790 15,393 16,386 17,698 19,140 20,461 21,491 65-69 6,500 6,818 7,103 7,305 7,398 7,359 7,230 7,087 7,042 7,168 7,483 7,958 8,557 9,215 9,887 10,574 11,279 11,939 12,500 12,923 13,168 13,275 13,378 13,644 14,203 70-74 4,474 4,706 4,941 5,182 5,444 5,723 6,004 6,255 6,432 6,508 6,472 6,355 6,235 6,199 6,314 6,594 7,012 7,532 8,106 8,687 9,281 9,888 10,456 10,933 11,289 75-79 2,677 2,868 3,078 3,295 3,502 3,698 3,895 4,089 4,290 4,503 4,734 4,963 5,166 5,310 5,366 5,328 5,227 5,120 5,086 5,179 5,403 5,741 6,158 6,617 7,077 80+ 2,677 2,760 2,859 2,982 3,136 3,322 3,530 3,761 4,003 4,252 4,508 4,778 5,058 5,347 5,646 5,958 6,276 6,575 6,826 7,012 7,136 7,213 7,280 7,369 7,505

Total (Males) 568,341 587,602 607,138 626,935 646,983 667,410 688,349 709,823 731,825 754,357 777,423 801,043 825,229 850,027 875,447 901,531 928,322 955,809 984,032 1,012,994 1,042,687 1,073,101 1,104,213 1,136,002 1,168,450 0-4 116,724 120,492 123,684 126,359 128,751 131,101 133,638 136,357 139,260 142,299 145,421 148,580 151,792 155,081 158,474 162,005 165,682 169,501 173,456 177,520 181,658 185,833 189,997 194,122 198,168 5-9 89,446 93,033 97,158 101,604 105,963 110,006 113,554 116,578 119,131 121,505 123,887 126,451 129,195 132,123 135,193 138,343 141,540 144,788 148,114 151,554 155,127 158,849 162,714 166,719 170,837

10-14 77,842 79,361 80,749 82,392 84,590 87,476 90,986 95,031 99,405 103,708 107,715 111,238 114,245 116,794 119,165 121,547 124,110 126,850 129,770 132,836 135,984 139,178 142,428 145,754 149,196 15-19 61,726 65,037 68,211 71,065 73,510 75,432 76,924 78,293 79,922 82,098 84,954 88,426 92,426 96,749 101,007 104,975 108,474 111,470 114,013 116,376 118,755 121,309 124,042 126,956 130,013 20-24 42,627 45,063 48,081 51,327 54,546 57,736 60,955 64,051 66,841 69,243 71,139 72,623 73,987 75,611 77,767 80,585 84,004 87,939 92,197 96,399 100,324 103,796 106,781 109,324 111,687 25-29 37,764 37,319 36,822 36,750 37,412 38,961 41,307 44,219 47,360 50,486 53,594 56,735 59,760 62,495 64,857 66,739 68,229 69,603 71,232 73,377 76,165 79,534 83,413 87,611 91,772 30-34 31,746 32,886 34,049 34,956 35,429 35,390 34,976 34,526 34,486 35,160 36,681 38,967 41,794 44,846 47,891 50,922 53,989 56,956 59,648 61,989 63,871 65,380 66,787 68,439 70,589 35-39 27,922 28,278 28,503 28,823 29,382 30,249 31,339 32,456 33,341 33,826 33,828 33,480 33,098 33,107 33,792 35,293 37,524 40,279 43,253 46,226 49,194 52,199 55,113 57,774 60,104 40-44 20,966 22,192 23,504 24,690 25,621 26,228 26,577 26,813 27,149 27,712 28,573 29,638 30,736 31,611 32,116 32,164 31,885 31,571 31,633 32,340 33,824 36,008 38,699 41,603 44,508 45-49 16,853 17,233 17,598 18,079 18,744 19,667 20,814 22,049 23,174 24,074 24,674 25,040 25,297 25,651 26,215 27,059 28,103 29,176 30,046 30,568 30,654 30,434 30,178 30,280 30,998 50-54 12,851 13,607 14,330 14,988 15,575 16,047 16,410 16,768 17,233 17,872 18,753 19,842 21,019 22,089 22,954 23,538 23,903 24,170 24,526 25,081 25,905 26,914 27,952 28,800 29,318 55-59 8,668 9,259 9,934 10,644 11,352 12,053 12,755 13,421 14,034 14,584 15,030 15,378 15,720 16,166 16,773 17,602 18,627 19,732 20,743 21,560 22,123 22,480 22,753 23,105 23,647 60-64 6,782 6,881 7,007 7,213 7,529 7,965 8,504 9,118 9,762 10,407 11,047 11,687 12,297 12,861 13,363 13,776 14,101 14,420 14,834 15,399 16,165 17,113 18,133 19,064 19,823 65-69 5,509 5,675 5,844 5,993 6,122 6,226 6,318 6,433 6,619 6,898 7,286 7,769 8,314 8,886 9,459 10,030 10,597 11,136 11,634 12,078 12,439 12,725 13,005 13,371 13,871 70-74 4,365 4,451 4,547 4,658 4,788 4,931 5,077 5,225 5,355 5,462 5,545 5,619 5,714 5,872 6,107 6,435 6,842 7,302 7,783 8,263 8,739 9,211 9,657 10,064 10,426 75-79 3,368 3,456 3,537 3,610 3,681 3,750 3,822 3,901 3,990 4,091 4,204 4,318 4,430 4,530 4,609 4,665 4,710 4,778 4,893 5,071 5,325 5,635 5,984 6,347 6,705 80+ 3,182 3,379 3,580 3,784 3,988 4,192 4,393 4,584 4,763 4,932 5,092 5,252 5,405 5,555 5,705 5,853 6,002 6,138 6,257 6,357 6,435 6,503 6,577 6,669 6,788

Page 132: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 119

Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 55,726 56,814 57,888 58,949 59,984 61,193 62,434 63,693 64,953 66,211 67,480 68,791 70,148 71,578 73,086 74,635 76,223 77,858 79,533 81,228 82,842 84,424 85,977 87,490 88,964Annual Number of Deaths 15,047 15,599 16,171 16,728 17,295 17,445 17,616 17,794 17,977 18,152 18,299 18,457 18,610 18,784 18,967 19,118 19,277 19,448 19,623 19,799 19,925 20,059 20,192 20,325 20,465Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 48.6 47.9 47.3 46.6 46.0 45.5 45.0 44.5 44.0 43.6 43.1 42.6 42.2 41.8 41.4 41.1 40.8 40.4 40.1 39.8 39.4 39.0 38.6 38.2 37.8 Crude Death Rate (CDR) 13.1 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.3 13.0 12.7 12.4 12.2 11.9 11.7 11.4 11.2 11.0 10.8 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.1 8.9 8.7 Growth Rate(%) 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 Life Expectancy at Birth (Both Sexes) 56.5 56.5 56.4 56.3 56.2 56.5 56.9 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.2 58.5 58.9 59.2 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.3 61.6 62.0 62.3 62.7 63.0 Life Expectancy at Birth (Males) 53.5 53.5 53.4 53.4 53.4 53.7 54.0 54.4 54.7 55.0 55.3 55.6 56.0 56.3 56.6 57.0 57.3 57.7 58.0 58.3 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.7 60.0 Life Expectancy at Birth (Females) 59.7 59.6 59.4 59.2 59.1 59.4 59.8 60.1 60.4 60.8 61.1 61.5 61.8 62.2 62.5 62.9 63.3 63.6 64.0 64.3 64.7 65.1 65.5 65.8 66.1 Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes) 82.5 83.1 83.8 84.5 85.1 83.9 82.6 81.4 80.2 79.0 77.7 76.5 75.2 74.0 72.7 71.4 70.1 68.8 67.5 66.3 64.9 63.5 62.2 60.9 59.6 Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 91.3 91.9 92.4 92.9 93.4 92.2 90.9 89.7 88.5 87.2 86.0 84.7 83.4 82.1 80.9 79.5 78.2 76.9 75.6 74.4 73.0 71.6 70.3 69.0 67.7 Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 73.3 74.1 74.9 75.7 76.5 75.3 74.0 72.9 71.7 70.5 69.2 68.0 66.7 65.5 64.3 63.0 61.6 60.4 59.1 57.9 56.5 55.2 53.8 52.5 51.3 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 1,146,392 1,185,159 1,224,443 1,264,212 1,304,435 1,345,412 1,387,443 1,430,543 1,474,730 1,520,004 1,566,369 1,613,869 1,662,536 1,712,448 1,763,638 1,816,183 1,870,167 1,925,582 1,982,507 2,040,926 2,100,858 2,162,275 2,225,133 2,289,387 2,355,007

0 51,975 52,978 53,978 54,964 55,929 56,996 58,186 59,396 60,617 61,839 63,070 64,326 65,626 66,990 68,426 69,923 71,462 73,045 74,669 76,326 77,963 79,552 81,110 82,631 84,122 1 48,855 49,977 50,901 51,817 52,716 53,666 54,756 55,967 57,196 58,438 59,686 60,943 62,225 63,551 64,935 66,399 67,923 69,490 71,100 72,750 74,440 76,114 77,740 79,337 80,897 2 46,256 47,792 48,875 49,757 50,628 51,503 52,467 53,565 54,787 56,024 57,277 58,536 59,808 61,103 62,442 63,839 65,320 66,858 68,440 70,064 71,732 73,441 75,135 76,781 78,400 3 43,682 45,543 47,045 48,100 48,954 49,811 50,691 51,664 52,769 53,993 55,236 56,495 57,762 59,040 60,342 61,688 63,095 64,584 66,130 67,721 69,354 71,033 72,752 74,458 76,115 4 41,214 43,153 44,986 46,462 47,493 48,336 49,200 50,084 51,061 52,169 53,397 54,643 55,908 57,179 58,460 59,768 61,122 62,534 64,029 65,581 67,177 68,819 70,505 72,232 73,946 5 39,073 40,896 42,815 44,629 46,088 47,110 47,955 48,822 49,707 50,687 51,796 53,027 54,274 55,542 56,813 58,098 59,408 60,767 62,181 63,679 65,233 66,832 68,479 70,169 71,900 6 37,182 38,886 40,697 42,606 44,409 45,863 46,886 47,730 48,597 49,483 50,463 51,573 52,803 54,051 55,318 56,589 57,877 59,187 60,547 61,962 63,461 65,018 66,620 68,266 69,958 7 35,476 37,003 38,698 40,499 42,395 44,191 45,642 46,664 47,510 48,379 49,264 50,245 51,356 52,585 53,835 55,102 56,375 57,661 58,974 60,335 61,750 63,251 64,809 66,413 68,060 8 34,082 35,306 36,823 38,508 40,298 42,185 43,979 45,427 46,450 47,295 48,165 49,052 50,032 51,146 52,374 53,623 54,891 56,166 57,454 58,765 60,130 61,546 63,047 64,608 66,213 9 32,984 33,919 35,135 36,642 38,317 40,101 41,982 43,772 45,217 46,241 47,087 47,956 48,846 49,827 50,941 52,169 53,420 54,687 55,963 57,253 58,564 59,933 61,348 62,853 64,412

10 32,131 32,818 33,744 34,955 36,452 38,120 39,900 41,778 43,566 45,009 46,033 46,881 47,750 48,640 49,623 50,737 51,965 53,216 54,485 55,760 57,052 58,365 59,735 61,151 62,656 11 31,545 31,957 32,641 33,560 34,765 36,257 37,921 39,697 41,572 43,357 44,802 45,824 46,673 47,543 48,435 49,417 50,532 51,761 53,013 54,283 55,558 56,852 58,165 59,536 60,953 12 30,973 31,373 31,781 32,462 33,375 34,575 36,064 37,726 39,499 41,372 43,154 44,598 45,621 46,470 47,341 48,233 49,217 50,332 51,561 52,815 54,085 55,361 56,655 57,970 59,344 13 30,191 30,803 31,201 31,605 32,281 33,192 34,389 35,874 37,534 39,303 41,175 42,955 44,398 45,422 46,271 47,143 48,037 49,020 50,137 51,365 52,620 53,891 55,168 56,463 57,777 14 29,060 30,024 30,633 31,027 31,426 32,100 33,011 34,205 35,689 37,346 39,112 40,980 42,759 44,203 45,226 46,076 46,949 47,844 48,827 49,946 51,174 52,430 53,701 54,979 56,276 15 27,618 28,843 29,802 30,404 30,795 31,193 31,865 32,775 33,969 35,449 37,102 38,864 40,729 42,507 43,950 44,974 45,825 46,698 47,593 48,577 49,697 50,926 52,183 53,456 54,734 16 26,194 27,353 28,570 29,523 30,120 30,509 30,907 31,580 32,487 33,680 35,156 36,805 38,562 40,424 42,198 43,642 44,666 45,519 46,393 47,288 48,272 49,392 50,621 51,879 53,153 17 24,936 25,936 27,086 28,295 29,243 29,836 30,227 30,625 31,298 32,203 33,392 34,867 36,512 38,264 40,122 41,895 43,338 44,364 45,215 46,091 46,986 47,972 49,093 50,322 51,580 18 23,647 24,682 25,676 26,819 28,020 28,962 29,555 29,948 30,346 31,019 31,924 33,111 34,582 36,222 37,971 39,824 41,596 43,039 44,066 44,916 45,794 46,690 47,677 48,798 50,027 19 22,336 23,400 24,428 25,417 26,552 27,748 28,688 29,281 29,675 30,073 30,745 31,650 32,833 34,302 35,938 37,683 39,533 41,302 42,748 43,773 44,625 45,503 46,398 47,388 48,510 20 21,011 22,066 23,122 24,142 25,123 26,253 27,446 28,384 28,976 29,371 29,770 30,443 31,347 32,526 33,992 35,623 37,364 39,211 40,976 42,424 43,450 44,300 45,181 46,076 47,067 21 19,635 20,718 21,763 22,812 23,826 24,800 25,925 27,115 28,050 28,642 29,040 29,439 30,111 31,016 32,190 33,652 35,279 37,015 38,858 40,619 42,068 43,097 43,948 44,828 45,726 22 18,379 19,351 20,427 21,465 22,505 23,514 24,483 25,604 26,789 27,724 28,314 28,714 29,115 29,786 30,690 31,860 33,320 34,941 36,673 38,511 40,270 41,720 42,750 43,602 44,484 23 17,454 18,104 19,069 20,135 21,166 22,200 23,205 24,172 25,289 26,469 27,401 27,991 28,392 28,795 29,467 30,369 31,538 32,994 34,609 36,337 38,172 39,928 41,380 42,411 43,264 24 16,966 17,183 17,830 18,786 19,844 20,870 21,900 22,901 23,864 24,979 26,154 27,084 27,674 28,077 28,480 29,153 30,053 31,220 32,673 34,283 36,006 37,838 39,591 41,044 42,077 25 16,800 16,707 16,921 17,561 18,509 19,560 20,582 21,608 22,605 23,566 24,675 25,847 26,776 27,366 27,772 28,176 28,851 29,749 30,916 32,364 33,971 35,691 37,520 39,272 40,725 26 16,806 16,550 16,455 16,667 17,299 18,239 19,286 20,303 21,326 22,317 23,276 24,382 25,550 26,478 27,066 27,477 27,885 28,562 29,459 30,627 32,072 33,677 35,393 37,218 38,970 27 16,720 16,554 16,299 16,202 16,412 17,041 17,976 19,019 20,030 21,050 22,037 22,994 24,094 25,258 26,187 26,776 27,192 27,602 28,282 29,178 30,344 31,787 33,389 35,103 36,927 28 16,362 16,469 16,303 16,051 15,953 16,161 16,789 17,719 18,755 19,764 20,781 21,765 22,718 23,815 24,976 25,903 26,494 26,913 27,325 28,008 28,906 30,069 31,512 33,109 34,822 29 15,595 16,114 16,219 16,052 15,801 15,706 15,915 16,541 17,469 18,501 19,503 20,518 21,498 22,448 23,543 24,699 25,626 26,219 26,642 27,056 27,740 28,640 29,802 31,243 32,838 30 14,579 15,387 15,899 16,002 15,836 15,589 15,497 15,709 16,332 17,258 18,284 19,283 20,293 21,270 22,219 23,310 24,463 25,389 25,985 26,410 26,829 27,515 28,417 29,578 31,016 31 13,463 14,407 15,209 15,716 15,817 15,653 15,415 15,326 15,541 16,162 17,084 18,106 19,100 20,109 21,082 22,027 23,117 24,266 25,192 25,791 26,220 26,643 27,331 28,235 29,397 32 12,463 13,305 14,239 15,033 15,533 15,636 15,478 15,246 15,163 15,380 15,999 16,918 17,933 18,926 19,930 20,901 21,843 22,930 24,077 25,000 25,603 26,036 26,465 27,154 28,060

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120 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

33 11,713 12,316 13,150 14,073 14,856 15,354 15,461 15,309 15,082 15,004 15,223 15,841 16,755 17,768 18,757 19,757 20,727 21,667 22,751 23,897 24,818 25,423 25,861 26,293 26,984 34 11,322 11,572 12,170 12,995 13,907 14,685 15,180 15,291 15,144 14,924 14,849 15,072 15,690 16,599 17,608 18,593 19,589 20,560 21,495 22,579 23,721 24,643 25,250 25,694 26,128 35 11,209 11,209 11,459 12,048 12,866 13,771 14,544 15,037 15,150 15,008 14,794 14,725 14,950 15,566 16,471 17,477 18,460 19,452 20,420 21,352 22,435 23,574 24,496 25,106 25,552 36 11,208 11,123 11,123 11,372 11,955 12,764 13,664 14,433 14,925 15,041 14,905 14,695 14,630 14,856 15,472 16,374 17,375 18,355 19,345 20,310 21,239 22,321 23,456 24,378 24,989 37 11,092 11,120 11,038 11,038 11,284 11,865 12,667 13,562 14,325 14,816 14,934 14,804 14,602 14,540 14,767 15,382 16,281 17,277 18,254 19,240 20,203 21,130 22,211 23,343 24,265 38 10,790 11,006 11,034 10,953 10,955 11,200 11,777 12,573 13,462 14,223 14,711 14,832 14,707 14,509 14,455 14,682 15,296 16,193 17,185 18,159 19,142 20,103 21,029 22,108 23,237 39 10,206 10,708 10,922 10,950 10,869 10,874 11,118 11,694 12,485 13,367 14,125 14,613 14,737 14,617 14,423 14,373 14,600 15,215 16,109 17,099 18,070 19,050 20,007 20,932 22,010 40 9,414 10,109 10,606 10,819 10,849 10,770 10,779 11,021 11,594 12,379 13,257 14,011 14,499 14,625 14,511 14,322 14,277 14,505 15,118 16,009 16,993 17,963 18,941 19,896 20,817 41 8,558 9,307 9,994 10,488 10,697 10,730 10,654 10,668 10,908 11,479 12,260 13,131 13,881 14,370 14,497 14,389 14,205 14,166 14,393 15,004 15,892 16,871 17,836 18,811 19,764 42 7,827 8,462 9,202 9,882 10,372 10,579 10,614 10,541 10,558 10,800 11,367 12,144 13,011 13,756 14,244 14,374 14,270 14,091 14,058 14,288 14,896 15,779 16,755 17,716 18,688 43 7,270 7,738 8,366 9,100 9,771 10,258 10,466 10,503 10,434 10,453 10,695 11,260 12,033 12,894 13,639 14,123 14,256 14,157 13,984 13,951 14,183 14,791 15,672 16,643 17,601 44 6,961 7,188 7,652 8,272 8,999 9,665 10,148 10,355 10,396 10,330 10,351 10,592 11,158 11,926 12,780 13,523 14,008 14,142 14,047 13,879 13,852 14,083 14,690 15,568 16,534 45 6,852 6,896 7,122 7,582 8,195 8,917 9,576 10,057 10,264 10,306 10,243 10,266 10,507 11,069 11,834 12,683 13,422 13,905 14,043 13,951 13,786 13,764 13,996 14,602 15,475 46 6,798 6,801 6,846 7,071 7,526 8,135 8,850 9,504 9,982 10,188 10,233 10,171 10,194 10,438 10,995 11,756 12,599 13,335 13,817 13,954 13,867 13,707 13,687 13,918 14,521 47 6,682 6,747 6,751 6,796 7,020 7,472 8,077 8,785 9,435 9,910 10,115 10,161 10,102 10,125 10,369 10,922 11,679 12,518 13,249 13,729 13,869 13,784 13,628 13,610 13,843 48 6,495 6,632 6,698 6,703 6,749 6,971 7,419 8,021 8,723 9,367 9,839 10,043 10,092 10,036 10,059 10,302 10,854 11,605 12,439 13,167 13,645 13,784 13,704 13,553 13,538 49 6,196 6,449 6,586 6,652 6,657 6,704 6,925 7,369 7,965 8,662 9,300 9,771 9,975 10,024 9,971 9,996 10,239 10,786 11,533 12,363 13,087 13,565 13,706 13,628 13,480 50 5,810 6,151 6,400 6,537 6,602 6,610 6,657 6,875 7,318 7,907 8,598 9,231 9,697 9,902 9,952 9,900 9,927 10,170 10,715 11,454 12,280 13,000 13,475 13,619 13,543 51 5,425 5,768 6,105 6,350 6,487 6,552 6,560 6,607 6,823 7,262 7,845 8,530 9,158 9,620 9,823 9,874 9,825 9,851 10,094 10,634 11,368 12,186 12,903 13,376 13,519 52 5,084 5,384 5,725 6,060 6,302 6,437 6,502 6,510 6,559 6,773 7,206 7,784 8,463 9,084 9,544 9,744 9,798 9,751 9,778 10,021 10,555 11,285 12,096 12,806 13,278 53 4,739 5,051 5,346 5,683 6,016 6,254 6,389 6,453 6,464 6,510 6,723 7,154 7,726 8,397 9,014 9,470 9,668 9,723 9,678 9,706 9,949 10,478 11,204 12,009 12,715 54 4,392 4,710 5,020 5,312 5,642 5,973 6,209 6,343 6,407 6,419 6,466 6,676 7,103 7,670 8,334 8,945 9,397 9,596 9,652 9,607 9,638 9,881 10,406 11,126 11,925 55 4,041 4,349 4,664 4,969 5,258 5,584 5,910 6,144 6,277 6,340 6,352 6,400 6,607 7,031 7,592 8,250 8,854 9,300 9,501 9,558 9,514 9,544 9,787 10,308 11,022 56 3,677 3,984 4,287 4,599 4,899 5,183 5,507 5,827 6,059 6,190 6,253 6,265 6,314 6,519 6,935 7,491 8,142 8,740 9,181 9,379 9,436 9,396 9,427 9,669 10,185 57 3,360 3,628 3,928 4,228 4,534 4,830 5,112 5,430 5,745 5,975 6,105 6,168 6,180 6,229 6,432 6,843 7,394 8,036 8,628 9,064 9,262 9,319 9,280 9,311 9,553 58 3,130 3,315 3,578 3,874 4,170 4,471 4,763 5,041 5,355 5,668 5,893 6,022 6,084 6,099 6,146 6,348 6,754 7,298 7,933 8,519 8,950 9,148 9,206 9,168 9,200 59 3,018 3,087 3,269 3,528 3,821 4,113 4,410 4,697 4,971 5,281 5,590 5,814 5,941 6,003 6,018 6,066 6,266 6,666 7,206 7,833 8,413 8,839 9,036 9,094 9,057 60 2,983 2,974 3,043 3,222 3,477 3,766 4,053 4,346 4,628 4,898 5,204 5,508 5,728 5,854 5,914 5,930 5,976 6,176 6,570 7,101 7,721 8,293 8,714 8,908 8,966 61 2,989 2,935 2,927 2,997 3,172 3,424 3,706 3,988 4,278 4,555 4,822 5,121 5,420 5,636 5,760 5,820 5,834 5,878 6,078 6,464 6,986 7,598 8,160 8,575 8,766 62 2,981 2,941 2,889 2,880 2,951 3,125 3,371 3,649 3,927 4,211 4,483 4,745 5,039 5,332 5,545 5,667 5,728 5,740 5,784 5,979 6,361 6,873 7,477 8,029 8,439 63 2,941 2,935 2,895 2,845 2,837 2,906 3,077 3,319 3,592 3,866 4,144 4,412 4,672 4,961 5,248 5,457 5,576 5,636 5,647 5,692 5,883 6,259 6,764 7,357 7,901 64 2,834 2,894 2,889 2,850 2,801 2,793 2,861 3,029 3,266 3,536 3,806 4,080 4,342 4,598 4,881 5,165 5,370 5,487 5,545 5,556 5,600 5,788 6,158 6,656 7,242 65 2,684 2,788 2,847 2,842 2,805 2,756 2,750 2,816 2,982 3,214 3,478 3,741 4,009 4,268 4,518 4,795 5,074 5,273 5,390 5,444 5,454 5,500 5,682 6,044 6,531 66 2,530 2,639 2,742 2,799 2,796 2,761 2,712 2,706 2,769 2,931 3,158 3,416 3,675 3,936 4,188 4,433 4,703 4,974 5,168 5,282 5,334 5,343 5,385 5,563 5,917 67 2,394 2,489 2,595 2,696 2,754 2,750 2,715 2,667 2,661 2,724 2,881 3,104 3,355 3,608 3,864 4,110 4,348 4,611 4,875 5,065 5,175 5,225 5,233 5,273 5,446 68 2,260 2,353 2,449 2,553 2,652 2,710 2,705 2,670 2,623 2,617 2,679 2,832 3,048 3,294 3,540 3,791 4,031 4,263 4,521 4,777 4,962 5,069 5,118 5,124 5,162 69 2,141 2,224 2,314 2,408 2,513 2,608 2,666 2,661 2,626 2,580 2,573 2,634 2,784 2,995 3,236 3,475 3,720 3,954 4,180 4,433 4,682 4,863 4,965 5,011 5,018 70 2,009 2,091 2,171 2,259 2,352 2,454 2,546 2,602 2,598 2,562 2,519 2,510 2,570 2,715 2,920 3,153 3,384 3,622 3,850 4,068 4,312 4,552 4,728 4,826 4,868 71 1,879 1,943 2,024 2,102 2,188 2,277 2,376 2,465 2,518 2,515 2,479 2,438 2,428 2,487 2,625 2,822 3,047 3,269 3,498 3,717 3,925 4,161 4,389 4,557 4,651 72 1,766 1,818 1,880 1,958 2,034 2,118 2,203 2,298 2,385 2,435 2,433 2,398 2,358 2,348 2,404 2,536 2,727 2,942 3,155 3,376 3,586 3,784 4,012 4,231 4,392 73 1,651 1,708 1,759 1,820 1,898 1,969 2,050 2,133 2,223 2,307 2,353 2,353 2,318 2,279 2,269 2,324 2,451 2,633 2,842 3,046 3,258 3,459 3,649 3,867 4,078 74 1,534 1,597 1,654 1,701 1,760 1,836 1,906 1,982 2,063 2,151 2,233 2,275 2,275 2,242 2,203 2,194 2,245 2,368 2,544 2,743 2,939 3,143 3,335 3,516 3,726 75 1,417 1,484 1,543 1,598 1,646 1,701 1,775 1,842 1,914 1,991 2,077 2,154 2,193 2,192 2,161 2,121 2,113 2,161 2,277 2,445 2,635 2,820 3,016 3,198 3,370 76 1,302 1,368 1,431 1,489 1,541 1,588 1,641 1,711 1,777 1,843 1,916 1,997 2,072 2,108 2,105 2,074 2,035 2,025 2,072 2,181 2,340 2,519 2,692 2,876 3,045 77 1,197 1,255 1,320 1,381 1,438 1,488 1,531 1,581 1,648 1,711 1,774 1,845 1,921 1,992 2,026 2,020 1,989 1,951 1,938 1,983 2,085 2,234 2,405 2,567 2,739 78 1,105 1,154 1,209 1,272 1,331 1,387 1,434 1,475 1,521 1,586 1,644 1,705 1,773 1,845 1,913 1,943 1,937 1,906 1,868 1,855 1,895 1,991 2,130 2,293 2,445 79 1,024 1,063 1,112 1,165 1,227 1,284 1,336 1,381 1,420 1,463 1,527 1,580 1,637 1,703 1,770 1,835 1,863 1,855 1,824 1,786 1,773 1,812 1,899 2,030 2,183

80+ 5,859 6,139 6,439 6,766 7,124 7,514 7,923 8,345 8,766 9,184 9,600 10,030 10,463 10,902 11,351 11,811 12,278 12,713 13,083 13,369 13,571 13,716 13,857 14,038 14,293

Page 134: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 121

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Males) 568,341 587,602 607,138 626,935 646,983 667,410 688,349 709,823 731,825 754,357 777,423 801,043 825,229 850,027 875,447 901,531 928,322 955,809 984,032 1,012,994 1,042,687 1,073,101 1,104,213 1,136,002 1,168,450 0 26,299 26,809 27,318 27,821 28,313 28,853 29,453 30,063 30,679 31,295 31,916 32,550 33,206 33,896 34,621 35,377 36,155 36,954 37,774 38,611 39,438 40,240 41,026 41,793 42,546 1 24,555 25,148 25,618 26,085 26,544 27,028 27,581 28,191 28,811 29,438 30,067 30,701 31,347 32,016 32,714 33,453 34,220 35,011 35,823 36,655 37,506 38,351 39,170 39,976 40,761 2 23,269 23,984 24,559 25,011 25,458 25,907 26,397 26,953 27,567 28,190 28,821 29,455 30,095 30,746 31,421 32,124 32,870 33,642 34,440 35,258 36,096 36,956 37,809 38,637 39,453 3 21,939 22,890 23,590 24,153 24,594 25,035 25,485 25,978 26,536 27,151 27,776 28,408 29,044 29,686 30,339 31,016 31,723 32,472 33,246 34,047 34,868 35,710 36,573 37,431 38,262 4 20,662 21,661 22,599 23,289 23,842 24,278 24,722 25,172 25,667 26,225 26,841 27,466 28,100 28,737 29,379 30,035 30,714 31,422 32,173 32,949 33,750 34,576 35,419 36,285 37,146 5 19,556 20,494 21,483 22,412 23,095 23,645 24,080 24,525 24,975 25,471 26,028 26,645 27,270 27,905 28,542 29,185 29,842 30,522 31,230 31,981 32,758 33,560 34,386 35,231 36,098 6 18,588 19,454 20,386 21,370 22,294 22,974 23,524 23,959 24,403 24,853 25,349 25,906 26,522 27,147 27,781 28,417 29,061 29,717 30,397 31,107 31,858 32,635 33,438 34,263 35,108 7 17,730 18,490 19,352 20,279 21,256 22,177 22,855 23,404 23,839 24,284 24,734 25,230 25,787 26,402 27,027 27,661 28,298 28,940 29,597 30,277 30,986 31,737 32,515 33,318 34,144 8 17,046 17,638 18,392 19,249 20,172 21,143 22,062 22,739 23,288 23,722 24,167 24,617 25,112 25,671 26,285 26,909 27,543 28,181 28,824 29,479 30,160 30,869 31,620 32,399 33,202 9 16,526 16,957 17,545 18,294 19,146 20,067 21,033 21,951 22,626 23,175 23,609 24,053 24,504 24,998 25,558 26,171 26,796 27,428 28,066 28,710 29,365 30,048 30,755 31,508 32,285

10 16,164 16,454 16,882 17,468 18,213 19,061 19,980 20,944 21,859 22,534 23,082 23,517 23,961 24,412 24,906 25,465 26,078 26,702 27,335 27,972 28,617 29,272 29,955 30,662 31,414 11 15,946 16,106 16,396 16,821 17,406 18,150 18,995 19,911 20,874 21,787 22,462 23,009 23,444 23,888 24,340 24,833 25,392 26,004 26,628 27,262 27,898 28,543 29,198 29,881 30,588 12 15,704 15,889 16,048 16,338 16,761 17,344 18,086 18,930 19,844 20,806 21,718 22,391 22,938 23,372 23,817 24,268 24,762 25,321 25,933 26,557 27,190 27,826 28,470 29,126 29,810 13 15,320 15,647 15,832 15,990 16,279 16,701 17,283 18,023 18,866 19,778 20,739 21,649 22,321 22,869 23,302 23,747 24,199 24,692 25,251 25,862 26,486 27,119 27,755 28,399 29,054 14 14,708 15,265 15,591 15,775 15,931 16,220 16,642 17,223 17,962 18,803 19,714 20,672 21,581 22,253 22,800 23,234 23,679 24,131 24,623 25,183 25,793 26,418 27,050 27,686 28,330 15 13,887 14,615 15,169 15,493 15,677 15,833 16,121 16,542 17,123 17,859 18,698 19,606 20,563 21,471 22,142 22,688 23,123 23,567 24,018 24,510 25,071 25,681 26,305 26,937 27,572 16 13,074 13,756 14,481 15,033 15,356 15,539 15,694 15,982 16,402 16,982 17,716 18,553 19,457 20,412 21,317 21,989 22,533 22,969 23,412 23,863 24,354 24,913 25,523 26,147 26,780 17 12,360 12,948 13,626 14,347 14,897 15,218 15,401 15,557 15,845 16,263 16,841 17,573 18,408 19,309 20,262 21,166 21,837 22,381 22,815 23,259 23,709 24,200 24,759 25,368 25,991 18 11,602 12,236 12,822 13,496 14,213 14,760 15,081 15,265 15,420 15,708 16,126 16,703 17,432 18,264 19,163 20,112 21,015 21,686 22,230 22,663 23,107 23,557 24,048 24,606 25,214 19 10,803 11,482 12,113 12,696 13,367 14,082 14,627 14,947 15,132 15,286 15,573 15,991 16,566 17,293 18,123 19,020 19,966 20,867 21,538 22,081 22,514 22,958 23,407 23,898 24,456 20 9,959 10,651 11,325 11,952 12,531 13,198 13,911 14,455 14,773 14,959 15,114 15,401 15,818 16,391 17,116 17,942 18,836 19,780 20,679 21,350 21,894 22,325 22,769 23,218 23,709 21 9,081 9,776 10,462 11,130 11,754 12,329 12,992 13,701 14,244 14,561 14,748 14,904 15,190 15,608 16,177 16,900 17,724 18,613 19,554 20,451 21,122 21,667 22,098 22,542 22,992 22 8,308 8,905 9,595 10,276 10,938 11,557 12,129 12,790 13,495 14,037 14,353 14,540 14,698 14,984 15,401 15,967 16,687 17,508 18,395 19,331 20,227 20,898 21,445 21,874 22,319 23 7,761 8,138 8,730 9,414 10,089 10,748 11,363 11,933 12,590 13,292 13,832 14,148 14,335 14,494 14,780 15,197 15,762 16,479 17,296 18,180 19,114 20,007 20,679 21,227 21,656 24 7,518 7,593 7,969 8,555 9,234 9,904 10,560 11,172 11,739 12,394 13,092 13,630 13,946 14,134 14,293 14,579 14,995 15,559 16,273 17,087 17,967 18,899 19,790 20,463 21,011 25 7,521 7,377 7,451 7,824 8,404 9,078 9,745 10,397 11,005 11,571 12,221 12,917 13,453 13,769 13,958 14,118 14,405 14,819 15,383 16,094 16,906 17,783 18,713 19,602 20,275 26 7,627 7,405 7,261 7,334 7,703 8,278 8,948 9,611 10,260 10,863 11,427 12,074 12,767 13,301 13,616 13,808 13,970 14,257 14,671 15,235 15,944 16,754 17,628 18,555 19,444 27 7,668 7,509 7,288 7,145 7,217 7,585 8,155 8,822 9,480 10,125 10,726 11,287 11,930 12,619 13,153 13,468 13,662 13,825 14,114 14,527 15,090 15,797 16,605 17,478 18,402 28 7,598 7,549 7,391 7,173 7,031 7,102 7,469 8,035 8,696 9,352 9,993 10,592 11,150 11,790 12,477 13,009 13,324 13,519 13,684 13,974 14,388 14,949 15,656 16,460 17,332 29 7,350 7,479 7,431 7,274 7,057 6,918 6,990 7,354 7,919 8,575 9,227 9,865 10,460 11,016 11,653 12,336 12,868 13,183 13,380 13,547 13,837 14,251 14,811 15,516 16,319 30 6,997 7,255 7,383 7,335 7,180 6,966 6,829 6,903 7,264 7,827 8,478 9,126 9,760 10,352 10,907 11,541 12,221 12,752 13,068 13,266 13,435 13,726 14,141 14,700 15,404 31 6,613 6,925 7,181 7,308 7,261 7,107 6,898 6,765 6,840 7,199 7,758 8,405 9,049 9,681 10,269 10,822 11,454 12,130 12,660 12,978 13,177 13,349 13,641 14,057 14,616 32 6,272 6,547 6,855 7,109 7,234 7,189 7,039 6,833 6,704 6,780 7,137 7,693 8,335 8,977 9,604 10,190 10,740 11,369 12,044 12,571 12,890 13,092 13,267 13,559 13,976 33 6,009 6,210 6,482 6,786 7,036 7,162 7,119 6,973 6,770 6,645 6,721 7,078 7,629 8,268 8,907 9,530 10,115 10,663 11,289 11,962 12,487 12,807 13,011 13,188 13,481 34 5,855 5,949 6,148 6,418 6,718 6,966 7,091 7,052 6,908 6,709 6,587 6,665 7,021 7,568 8,204 8,839 9,459 10,042 10,587 11,212 11,882 12,406 12,727 12,935 13,112 35 5,780 5,799 5,893 6,088 6,356 6,653 6,900 7,025 6,988 6,848 6,652 6,534 6,613 6,967 7,511 8,144 8,776 9,392 9,972 10,515 11,138 11,806 12,329 12,651 12,860 36 5,741 5,726 5,744 5,839 6,032 6,296 6,593 6,838 6,964 6,929 6,793 6,599 6,484 6,564 6,917 7,457 8,087 8,716 9,330 9,907 10,448 11,069 11,733 12,256 12,579 37 5,663 5,687 5,673 5,691 5,785 5,978 6,239 6,535 6,778 6,904 6,871 6,739 6,550 6,437 6,518 6,869 7,408 8,032 8,658 9,269 9,844 10,383 11,003 11,664 12,186 38 5,507 5,610 5,635 5,621 5,640 5,733 5,925 6,184 6,479 6,721 6,846 6,816 6,687 6,501 6,392 6,474 6,823 7,359 7,980 8,604 9,212 9,784 10,321 10,940 11,599 39 5,231 5,456 5,558 5,584 5,569 5,589 5,682 5,874 6,132 6,424 6,666 6,792 6,764 6,638 6,454 6,349 6,430 6,780 7,313 7,931 8,552 9,157 9,727 10,263 10,880 40 4,863 5,166 5,387 5,488 5,514 5,501 5,524 5,616 5,807 6,063 6,354 6,594 6,722 6,695 6,574 6,394 6,292 6,374 6,721 7,253 7,866 8,485 9,088 9,656 10,189 41 4,466 4,787 5,084 5,302 5,401 5,427 5,416 5,442 5,534 5,725 5,980 6,268 6,507 6,637 6,612 6,495 6,319 6,221 6,304 6,650 7,179 7,788 8,403 9,004 9,570 42 4,123 4,396 4,711 5,005 5,218 5,316 5,344 5,335 5,363 5,455 5,645 5,899 6,187 6,423 6,554 6,532 6,418 6,247 6,153 6,238 6,581 7,108 7,714 8,325 8,924 43 3,846 4,058 4,327 4,637 4,925 5,136 5,235 5,264 5,257 5,287 5,380 5,570 5,822 6,108 6,345 6,475 6,456 6,346 6,179 6,087 6,173 6,516 7,041 7,643 8,251 44 3,668 3,785 3,995 4,258 4,563 4,848 5,058 5,156 5,188 5,182 5,214 5,307 5,498 5,748 6,031 6,268 6,400 6,383 6,276 6,112 6,025 6,111 6,453 6,975 7,574 45 3,574 3,622 3,737 3,945 4,204 4,506 4,786 4,996 5,094 5,126 5,123 5,156 5,249 5,439 5,687 5,969 6,205 6,337 6,322 6,218 6,057 5,974 6,060 6,401 6,920 46 3,500 3,540 3,588 3,702 3,907 4,164 4,463 4,740 4,949 5,046 5,080 5,076 5,110 5,205 5,393 5,640 5,920 6,154 6,287 6,273 6,171 6,013 5,932 6,018 6,357 47 3,396 3,467 3,506 3,554 3,668 3,871 4,126 4,422 4,696 4,904 5,000 5,036 5,033 5,066 5,161 5,347 5,594 5,873 6,104 6,237 6,225 6,126 5,970 5,891 5,978 48 3,272 3,363 3,435 3,474 3,522 3,635 3,836 4,089 4,383 4,654 4,859 4,955 4,993 4,991 5,024 5,119 5,305 5,549 5,827 6,058 6,189 6,178 6,082 5,930 5,852 49 3,111 3,241 3,332 3,404 3,443 3,491 3,603 3,802 4,052 4,344 4,612 4,817 4,912 4,950 4,950 4,984 5,079 5,263 5,506 5,782 6,012 6,143 6,134 6,040 5,891 50 2,923 3,081 3,208 3,300 3,370 3,410 3,458 3,569 3,767 4,014 4,302 4,568 4,771 4,866 4,905 4,905 4,940 5,036 5,218 5,458 5,733 5,962 6,092 6,085 5,993 51 2,737 2,893 3,051 3,174 3,266 3,335 3,374 3,423 3,533 3,728 3,973 4,257 4,521 4,722 4,816 4,855 4,857 4,891 4,987 5,167 5,405 5,677 5,905 6,035 6,028 52 2,570 2,709 2,864 3,020 3,141 3,232 3,301 3,340 3,389 3,498 3,690 3,932 4,213 4,474 4,674 4,766 4,806 4,810 4,844 4,940 5,118 5,355 5,624 5,849 5,979 53 2,398 2,547 2,683 2,836 2,990 3,109 3,199 3,268 3,308 3,355 3,464 3,655 3,894 4,170 4,430 4,627 4,719 4,759 4,763 4,798 4,894 5,070 5,306 5,572 5,796 54 2,223 2,377 2,524 2,658 2,808 2,961 3,078 3,168 3,236 3,277 3,324 3,430 3,620 3,857 4,129 4,385 4,581 4,674 4,714 4,718 4,755 4,850 5,025 5,259 5,522 55 2,044 2,196 2,348 2,492 2,625 2,772 2,922 3,038 3,127 3,194 3,235 3,282 3,386 3,575 3,809 4,078 4,331 4,523 4,617 4,658 4,662 4,698 4,794 4,967 5,199 56 1,861 2,010 2,160 2,309 2,451 2,580 2,727 2,874 2,988 3,076 3,142 3,183 3,231 3,333 3,518 3,749 4,014 4,264 4,454 4,546 4,587 4,593 4,630 4,725 4,896 57 1,700 1,832 1,977 2,125 2,271 2,410 2,538 2,681 2,826 2,939 3,026 3,091 3,132 3,180 3,281 3,463 3,691 3,952 4,199 4,386 4,479 4,519 4,526 4,562 4,657 58 1,573 1,673 1,802 1,945 2,091 2,234 2,370 2,497 2,637 2,781 2,891 2,977 3,041 3,084 3,129 3,230 3,410 3,635 3,892 4,136 4,320 4,413 4,454 4,462 4,497

Page 135: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

122 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

59 1,490 1,548 1,647 1,773 1,914 2,057 2,198 2,331 2,456 2,594 2,736 2,845 2,930 2,994 3,036 3,082 3,181 3,358 3,581 3,834 4,075 4,257 4,349 4,389 4,398 60 1,436 1,465 1,523 1,620 1,743 1,882 2,022 2,161 2,291 2,414 2,550 2,689 2,796 2,879 2,942 2,984 3,029 3,128 3,302 3,520 3,770 4,007 4,186 4,277 4,316 61 1,398 1,410 1,438 1,496 1,591 1,712 1,847 1,984 2,121 2,249 2,369 2,502 2,638 2,743 2,825 2,887 2,928 2,971 3,070 3,240 3,453 3,699 3,931 4,107 4,196 62 1,361 1,372 1,385 1,412 1,470 1,564 1,681 1,814 1,949 2,081 2,207 2,325 2,455 2,588 2,691 2,771 2,833 2,873 2,915 3,012 3,179 3,388 3,630 3,856 4,030 63 1,321 1,337 1,348 1,361 1,388 1,444 1,536 1,651 1,781 1,914 2,042 2,166 2,283 2,410 2,540 2,641 2,719 2,780 2,819 2,861 2,956 3,119 3,325 3,562 3,784 64 1,266 1,297 1,313 1,324 1,337 1,363 1,418 1,508 1,620 1,749 1,879 2,005 2,125 2,241 2,365 2,493 2,592 2,668 2,728 2,766 2,807 2,900 3,061 3,262 3,497 65 1,206 1,245 1,275 1,290 1,302 1,314 1,341 1,394 1,483 1,591 1,717 1,844 1,967 2,085 2,197 2,318 2,443 2,539 2,615 2,672 2,710 2,750 2,840 2,998 3,193 66 1,150 1,186 1,225 1,254 1,270 1,282 1,293 1,319 1,370 1,457 1,562 1,684 1,809 1,929 2,043 2,153 2,271 2,391 2,484 2,558 2,613 2,650 2,687 2,775 2,928 67 1,098 1,132 1,167 1,204 1,234 1,249 1,260 1,271 1,296 1,347 1,431 1,534 1,652 1,774 1,891 2,002 2,108 2,223 2,339 2,430 2,501 2,555 2,590 2,626 2,711 68 1,048 1,080 1,114 1,149 1,185 1,215 1,229 1,240 1,250 1,274 1,324 1,406 1,505 1,620 1,738 1,852 1,960 2,063 2,176 2,288 2,377 2,445 2,498 2,531 2,565 69 1,007 1,032 1,063 1,096 1,131 1,166 1,195 1,209 1,220 1,229 1,252 1,301 1,381 1,478 1,590 1,705 1,815 1,920 2,020 2,130 2,238 2,325 2,390 2,441 2,474 70 958 985 1,009 1,040 1,073 1,107 1,140 1,168 1,182 1,192 1,201 1,222 1,270 1,347 1,441 1,549 1,659 1,767 1,868 1,964 2,070 2,174 2,258 2,320 2,368 71 911 929 956 980 1,010 1,042 1,074 1,108 1,133 1,147 1,156 1,165 1,184 1,231 1,304 1,394 1,498 1,603 1,707 1,804 1,895 1,997 2,095 2,174 2,234 72 871 884 902 928 951 981 1,012 1,042 1,075 1,099 1,112 1,121 1,129 1,148 1,192 1,262 1,348 1,448 1,548 1,648 1,740 1,827 1,925 2,019 2,093 73 832 846 859 877 903 925 953 983 1,011 1,043 1,064 1,079 1,086 1,093 1,111 1,154 1,221 1,303 1,400 1,495 1,591 1,678 1,761 1,855 1,945 74 793 807 821 833 851 876 898 924 954 981 1,012 1,032 1,045 1,053 1,059 1,076 1,116 1,181 1,260 1,352 1,443 1,535 1,618 1,696 1,786 75 752 771 784 797 809 825 850 871 895 923 950 979 997 1,010 1,017 1,021 1,038 1,076 1,137 1,212 1,299 1,384 1,472 1,550 1,624 76 712 729 747 759 772 784 799 823 843 865 891 916 944 960 971 978 981 997 1,033 1,089 1,160 1,242 1,320 1,402 1,474 77 673 689 707 724 736 748 759 773 795 814 835 860 884 910 925 934 939 942 955 990 1,042 1,108 1,186 1,258 1,333 78 635 652 667 684 701 713 724 734 747 768 785 806 829 851 877 889 898 902 903 915 947 995 1,056 1,131 1,198 79 596 615 632 646 663 680 690 700 710 721 743 757 776 799 819 843 854 861 865 865 877 906 950 1,006 1,076

80+ 3,182 3,379 3,580 3,784 3,988 4,192 4,393 4,584 4,763 4,932 5,092 5,252 5,405 5,555 5,705 5,853 6,002 6,138 6,257 6,357 6,435 6,503 6,577 6,669 6,788

Total (Females) 578,051 597,557 617,305 637,277 657,452 678,002 699,094 720,720 742,905 765,647 788,946 812,826 837,307 862,421 888,191 914,652 941,845 969,773 998,475 1,027,932 1,058,171 1,089,174 1,120,920 1,153,385 1,186,557 0 25,676 26,169 26,660 27,143 27,616 28,143 28,733 29,333 29,938 30,544 31,154 31,776 32,420 33,094 33,805 34,546 35,307 36,091 36,895 37,715 38,525 39,312 40,084 40,838 41,576 1 24,300 24,829 25,283 25,732 26,172 26,638 27,175 27,776 28,385 29,000 29,619 30,242 30,878 31,535 32,221 32,946 33,703 34,479 35,277 36,095 36,934 37,763 38,570 39,361 40,136 2 22,987 23,808 24,316 24,746 25,170 25,596 26,070 26,612 27,220 27,834 28,456 29,081 29,713 30,357 31,021 31,715 32,450 33,216 34,000 34,806 35,636 36,485 37,326 38,144 38,947 3 21,743 22,653 23,455 23,947 24,360 24,776 25,206 25,686 26,233 26,842 27,460 28,087 28,718 29,354 30,003 30,672 31,372 32,112 32,884 33,674 34,486 35,323 36,179 37,027 37,853 4 20,552 21,492 22,387 23,173 23,651 24,058 24,478 24,912 25,394 25,944 26,556 27,177 27,808 28,442 29,081 29,733 30,408 31,112 31,856 32,632 33,427 34,243 35,086 35,947 36,800 5 19,517 20,402 21,332 22,217 22,993 23,465 23,875 24,297 24,732 25,216 25,768 26,382 27,004 27,637 28,271 28,913 29,566 30,245 30,951 31,698 32,475 33,272 34,093 34,938 35,802 6 18,594 19,432 20,311 21,236 22,115 22,889 23,362 23,771 24,194 24,630 25,114 25,667 26,281 26,904 27,537 28,172 28,816 29,470 30,150 30,855 31,603 32,383 33,182 34,003 34,850 7 17,746 18,513 19,346 20,220 21,139 22,014 22,787 23,260 23,671 24,095 24,530 25,015 25,569 26,183 26,808 27,441 28,077 28,721 29,377 30,058 30,764 31,514 32,294 33,095 33,916 8 17,036 17,668 18,431 19,259 20,126 21,042 21,917 22,688 23,162 23,573 23,998 24,435 24,920 25,475 26,089 26,714 27,348 27,985 28,630 29,286 29,970 30,677 31,427 32,209 33,011 9 16,458 16,962 17,590 18,348 19,171 20,034 20,949 21,821 22,591 23,066 23,478 23,903 24,342 24,829 25,383 25,998 26,624 27,259 27,897 28,543 29,199 29,885 30,593 31,345 32,127

10 15,967 16,364 16,862 17,487 18,239 19,059 19,920 20,834 21,707 22,475 22,951 23,364 23,789 24,228 24,717 25,272 25,887 26,514 27,150 27,788 28,435 29,093 29,780 30,489 31,242 11 15,599 15,851 16,245 16,739 17,359 18,107 18,926 19,786 20,698 21,570 22,340 22,815 23,229 23,655 24,095 24,584 25,140 25,757 26,385 27,021 27,660 28,309 28,967 29,655 30,365 12 15,269 15,484 15,733 16,124 16,614 17,231 17,978 18,796 19,655 20,566 21,436 22,207 22,683 23,098 23,524 23,965 24,455 25,011 25,628 26,258 26,895 27,535 28,185 28,844 29,534 13 14,871 15,156 15,369 15,615 16,002 16,491 17,106 17,851 18,668 19,525 20,436 21,306 22,077 22,553 22,969 23,396 23,838 24,328 24,886 25,503 26,134 26,772 27,413 28,064 28,723 14 14,352 14,759 15,042 15,252 15,495 15,880 16,369 16,982 17,727 18,543 19,398 20,308 21,178 21,950 22,426 22,842 23,270 23,713 24,204 24,763 25,381 26,012 26,651 27,293 27,946 15 13,731 14,228 14,633 14,911 15,118 15,360 15,744 16,233 16,846 17,590 18,404 19,258 20,166 21,036 21,808 22,286 22,702 23,131 23,575 24,067 24,626 25,245 25,878 26,519 27,162 16 13,120 13,597 14,089 14,490 14,764 14,970 15,213 15,598 16,085 16,698 17,440 18,252 19,105 20,012 20,881 21,653 22,133 22,550 22,981 23,425 23,918 24,479 25,098 25,732 26,373 17 12,576 12,988 13,460 13,948 14,346 14,618 14,826 15,068 15,453 15,940 16,551 17,294 18,104 18,955 19,860 20,729 21,501 21,983 22,400 22,832 23,277 23,772 24,334 24,954 25,589 18 12,045 12,446 12,854 13,323 13,807 14,202 14,474 14,683 14,926 15,311 15,798 16,408 17,150 17,958 18,808 19,712 20,581 21,353 21,836 22,253 22,687 23,133 23,629 24,192 24,813 19 11,533 11,918 12,315 12,721 13,185 13,666 14,061 14,334 14,543 14,787 15,172 15,659 16,267 17,009 17,815 18,663 19,567 20,435 21,210 21,692 22,111 22,545 22,991 23,490 24,054 20 11,052 11,415 11,797 12,190 12,592 13,055 13,535 13,929 14,203 14,412 14,656 15,042 15,529 16,135 16,876 17,681 18,528 19,431 20,297 21,074 21,556 21,975 22,412 22,858 23,358 21 10,554 10,942 11,301 11,682 12,072 12,471 12,933 13,414 13,806 14,081 14,292 14,535 14,921 15,408 16,013 16,752 17,555 18,402 19,304 20,168 20,946 21,430 21,850 22,286 22,734 22 10,071 10,446 10,832 11,189 11,567 11,957 12,354 12,814 13,294 13,687 13,961 14,174 14,417 14,802 15,289 15,893 16,633 17,433 18,278 19,180 20,043 20,822 21,305 21,728 22,165 23 9,693 9,966 10,339 10,721 11,077 11,452 11,842 12,239 12,699 13,177 13,569 13,843 14,057 14,301 14,687 15,172 15,776 16,515 17,313 18,157 19,058 19,921 20,701 21,184 21,608 24 9,448 9,590 9,861 10,231 10,610 10,966 11,340 11,729 12,125 12,585 13,062 13,454 13,728 13,943 14,187 14,574 15,058 15,661 16,400 17,196 18,039 18,939 19,801 20,581 21,066 25 9,279 9,330 9,470 9,737 10,105 10,482 10,837 11,211 11,600 11,995 12,454 12,930 13,323 13,597 13,814 14,058 14,446 14,930 15,533 16,270 17,065 17,908 18,807 19,670 20,450 26 9,179 9,145 9,194 9,333 9,596 9,961 10,338 10,692 11,066 11,454 11,849 12,308 12,783 13,177 13,450 13,669 13,915 14,305 14,788 15,392 16,128 16,923 17,765 18,663 19,526 27 9,052 9,045 9,011 9,057 9,195 9,456 9,821 10,197 10,550 10,925 11,311 11,707 12,164 12,639 13,034 13,308 13,530 13,777 14,168 14,651 15,254 15,990 16,784 17,625 18,525 28 8,764 8,920 8,912 8,878 8,922 9,059 9,320 9,684 10,059 10,412 10,788 11,173 11,568 12,025 12,499 12,894 13,170 13,394 13,641 14,034 14,518 15,120 15,856 16,649 17,490 29 8,245 8,635 8,788 8,778 8,744 8,788 8,925 9,187 9,550 9,926 10,276 10,653 11,038 11,432 11,890 12,363 12,758 13,036 13,262 13,509 13,903 14,389 14,991 15,727 16,519 30 7,582 8,132 8,516 8,667 8,656 8,623 8,668 8,806 9,068 9,431 9,806 10,157 10,533 10,918 11,312 11,769 12,242 12,637 12,917 13,144 13,394 13,789 14,276 14,878 15,612 31 6,850 7,482 8,028 8,408 8,556 8,546 8,517 8,561 8,701 8,963 9,326 9,701 10,051 10,428 10,813 11,205 11,663 12,136 12,532 12,813 13,043 13,294 13,690 14,178 14,781 32 6,191 6,758 7,384 7,924 8,299 8,447 8,439 8,413 8,459 8,600 8,862 9,225 9,598 9,949 10,326 10,711 11,103 11,561 12,033 12,429 12,713 12,944 13,198 13,595 14,084 33 5,704 6,106 6,668 7,287 7,820 8,192 8,342 8,336 8,312 8,359 8,502 8,763 9,126 9,500 9,850 10,227 10,612 11,004 11,462 11,935 12,331 12,616 12,850 13,105 13,503 34 5,467 5,623 6,022 6,577 7,189 7,719 8,089 8,239 8,236 8,215 8,262 8,407 8,669 9,031 9,404 9,754 10,130 10,518 10,908 11,367 11,839 12,237 12,523 12,759 13,016 35 5,429 5,410 5,566 5,960 6,510 7,118 7,644 8,012 8,162 8,160 8,142 8,191 8,337 8,599 8,960 9,333 9,684 10,060 10,448 10,837 11,297 11,768 12,167 12,455 12,692

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 123

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

36 5,467 5,397 5,379 5,533 5,923 6,468 7,071 7,595 7,961 8,112 8,112 8,096 8,146 8,292 8,555 8,917 9,288 9,639 10,015 10,403 10,791 11,252 11,723 12,122 12,410 37 5,429 5,433 5,365 5,347 5,499 5,887 6,428 7,027 7,547 7,912 8,063 8,065 8,052 8,103 8,249 8,513 8,873 9,245 9,596 9,971 10,359 10,747 11,208 11,679 12,079 38 5,283 5,396 5,399 5,332 5,315 5,467 5,852 6,389 6,983 7,502 7,865 8,016 8,020 8,008 8,063 8,208 8,473 8,834 9,205 9,555 9,930 10,319 10,708 11,168 11,638 39 4,975 5,252 5,364 5,366 5,300 5,285 5,436 5,820 6,353 6,943 7,459 7,821 7,973 7,979 7,969 8,024 8,170 8,435 8,796 9,168 9,518 9,893 10,280 10,669 11,130 40 4,551 4,943 5,219 5,331 5,335 5,269 5,255 5,405 5,787 6,316 6,903 7,417 7,777 7,930 7,937 7,928 7,985 8,131 8,397 8,756 9,127 9,478 9,853 10,240 10,628 41 4,092 4,520 4,910 5,186 5,296 5,303 5,238 5,226 5,374 5,754 6,280 6,863 7,374 7,733 7,885 7,894 7,886 7,945 8,089 8,354 8,713 9,083 9,433 9,807 10,194 42 3,704 4,066 4,491 4,877 5,154 5,263 5,270 5,206 5,195 5,345 5,722 6,245 6,824 7,333 7,690 7,842 7,852 7,844 7,905 8,050 8,315 8,671 9,041 9,391 9,764 43 3,424 3,680 4,039 4,463 4,846 5,122 5,231 5,239 5,177 5,166 5,315 5,690 6,211 6,786 7,294 7,648 7,800 7,811 7,805 7,864 8,010 8,275 8,631 9,000 9,350 44 3,293 3,403 3,657 4,014 4,436 4,817 5,090 5,199 5,208 5,148 5,137 5,285 5,660 6,178 6,749 7,255 7,608 7,759 7,771 7,767 7,827 7,972 8,237 8,593 8,960 45 3,278 3,274 3,385 3,637 3,991 4,411 4,790 5,061 5,170 5,180 5,120 5,110 5,258 5,630 6,147 6,714 7,217 7,568 7,721 7,733 7,729 7,790 7,936 8,201 8,555 46 3,298 3,261 3,258 3,369 3,619 3,971 4,387 4,764 5,033 5,142 5,153 5,095 5,084 5,233 5,602 6,116 6,679 7,181 7,530 7,681 7,696 7,694 7,755 7,900 8,164 47 3,286 3,280 3,245 3,242 3,352 3,601 3,951 4,363 4,739 5,006 5,115 5,125 5,069 5,059 5,208 5,575 6,085 6,645 7,145 7,492 7,644 7,658 7,658 7,719 7,865 48 3,223 3,269 3,263 3,229 3,227 3,336 3,583 3,932 4,340 4,713 4,980 5,088 5,099 5,045 5,035 5,183 5,549 6,056 6,612 7,109 7,456 7,606 7,622 7,623 7,686 49 3,085 3,208 3,254 3,248 3,214 3,213 3,322 3,567 3,913 4,318 4,688 4,954 5,063 5,074 5,021 5,012 5,160 5,523 6,027 6,581 7,075 7,422 7,572 7,588 7,589 50 2,887 3,070 3,192 3,237 3,232 3,200 3,199 3,306 3,551 3,893 4,296 4,663 4,926 5,036 5,047 4,995 4,987 5,134 5,497 5,996 6,547 7,038 7,383 7,534 7,550 51 2,688 2,875 3,054 3,176 3,221 3,217 3,186 3,184 3,290 3,534 3,872 4,273 4,637 4,898 5,007 5,019 4,968 4,960 5,107 5,467 5,963 6,509 6,998 7,341 7,491 52 2,514 2,675 2,861 3,040 3,161 3,205 3,201 3,170 3,170 3,275 3,516 3,852 4,250 4,610 4,870 4,978 4,992 4,941 4,934 5,081 5,437 5,930 6,472 6,957 7,299 53 2,341 2,504 2,663 2,847 3,026 3,145 3,190 3,185 3,156 3,155 3,259 3,499 3,832 4,227 4,584 4,843 4,949 4,964 4,915 4,908 5,055 5,408 5,898 6,437 6,919 54 2,169 2,333 2,496 2,654 2,834 3,012 3,131 3,175 3,171 3,142 3,142 3,246 3,483 3,813 4,205 4,560 4,816 4,922 4,938 4,889 4,883 5,031 5,381 5,867 6,403 55 1,997 2,153 2,316 2,477 2,633 2,812 2,988 3,106 3,150 3,146 3,117 3,118 3,221 3,456 3,783 4,172 4,523 4,777 4,884 4,900 4,852 4,846 4,993 5,341 5,823 56 1,816 1,974 2,127 2,290 2,448 2,603 2,780 2,953 3,071 3,114 3,111 3,082 3,083 3,186 3,417 3,742 4,128 4,476 4,727 4,833 4,849 4,803 4,797 4,944 5,289 57 1,660 1,796 1,951 2,103 2,263 2,420 2,574 2,749 2,919 3,036 3,079 3,077 3,048 3,049 3,151 3,380 3,703 4,084 4,429 4,678 4,783 4,800 4,754 4,749 4,896 58 1,557 1,642 1,776 1,929 2,079 2,237 2,393 2,544 2,718 2,887 3,002 3,045 3,043 3,015 3,017 3,118 3,344 3,663 4,041 4,383 4,630 4,735 4,752 4,706 4,703 59 1,528 1,539 1,622 1,755 1,907 2,056 2,212 2,366 2,515 2,687 2,854 2,969 3,011 3,009 2,982 2,984 3,085 3,308 3,625 3,999 4,338 4,582 4,687 4,705 4,659 60 1,547 1,509 1,520 1,602 1,734 1,884 2,031 2,185 2,337 2,484 2,654 2,819 2,932 2,975 2,972 2,946 2,947 3,048 3,268 3,581 3,951 4,286 4,528 4,631 4,650 61 1,591 1,525 1,489 1,501 1,581 1,712 1,859 2,004 2,157 2,306 2,453 2,619 2,782 2,893 2,935 2,933 2,906 2,907 3,008 3,224 3,533 3,899 4,229 4,468 4,570 62 1,620 1,569 1,504 1,468 1,481 1,561 1,690 1,835 1,978 2,130 2,276 2,420 2,584 2,744 2,854 2,896 2,895 2,867 2,869 2,967 3,182 3,485 3,847 4,173 4,409 63 1,620 1,598 1,547 1,484 1,449 1,462 1,541 1,668 1,811 1,952 2,102 2,246 2,389 2,551 2,708 2,816 2,857 2,856 2,828 2,831 2,927 3,140 3,439 3,795 4,117 64 1,568 1,597 1,576 1,526 1,464 1,430 1,443 1,521 1,646 1,787 1,927 2,075 2,217 2,357 2,516 2,672 2,778 2,819 2,817 2,790 2,793 2,888 3,097 3,394 3,745 65 1,478 1,543 1,572 1,552 1,503 1,442 1,409 1,422 1,499 1,623 1,761 1,897 2,042 2,183 2,321 2,477 2,631 2,734 2,775 2,772 2,744 2,750 2,842 3,046 3,338 66 1,380 1,453 1,517 1,545 1,526 1,479 1,419 1,387 1,399 1,474 1,596 1,732 1,866 2,007 2,145 2,280 2,432 2,583 2,684 2,724 2,721 2,693 2,698 2,788 2,989 67 1,296 1,357 1,428 1,492 1,520 1,501 1,455 1,396 1,365 1,377 1,450 1,570 1,703 1,834 1,973 2,108 2,240 2,388 2,536 2,635 2,674 2,670 2,643 2,647 2,735 68 1,212 1,273 1,335 1,404 1,467 1,495 1,476 1,430 1,373 1,343 1,355 1,426 1,543 1,674 1,802 1,939 2,071 2,200 2,345 2,489 2,585 2,624 2,620 2,593 2,597 69 1,134 1,192 1,251 1,312 1,382 1,442 1,471 1,452 1,406 1,351 1,321 1,333 1,403 1,517 1,646 1,770 1,905 2,034 2,160 2,303 2,444 2,538 2,575 2,570 2,544 70 1,051 1,106 1,162 1,219 1,279 1,347 1,406 1,434 1,416 1,370 1,318 1,288 1,300 1,368 1,479 1,604 1,725 1,855 1,982 2,104 2,242 2,378 2,470 2,506 2,500 71 968 1,014 1,068 1,122 1,178 1,235 1,302 1,357 1,385 1,368 1,323 1,273 1,244 1,256 1,321 1,428 1,549 1,666 1,791 1,913 2,030 2,164 2,294 2,383 2,417 72 895 934 978 1,030 1,083 1,137 1,191 1,256 1,310 1,336 1,321 1,277 1,229 1,200 1,212 1,274 1,379 1,494 1,607 1,728 1,846 1,957 2,087 2,212 2,299 73 819 862 900 943 995 1,044 1,097 1,150 1,212 1,264 1,289 1,274 1,232 1,186 1,158 1,170 1,230 1,330 1,442 1,551 1,667 1,781 1,888 2,012 2,133 74 741 790 833 868 909 960 1,008 1,058 1,109 1,170 1,221 1,243 1,230 1,189 1,144 1,118 1,129 1,187 1,284 1,391 1,496 1,608 1,717 1,820 1,940 75 665 713 759 801 837 876 925 971 1,019 1,068 1,127 1,175 1,196 1,182 1,144 1,100 1,075 1,085 1,140 1,233 1,336 1,436 1,544 1,648 1,746 76 590 639 684 730 769 804 842 888 934 978 1,025 1,081 1,128 1,148 1,134 1,096 1,054 1,028 1,039 1,092 1,180 1,277 1,372 1,474 1,571 77 524 566 613 657 702 740 772 808 853 897 939 985 1,037 1,082 1,101 1,086 1,050 1,009 983 993 1,043 1,126 1,219 1,309 1,406 78 470 502 542 588 630 674 710 741 774 818 859 899 944 994 1,036 1,054 1,039 1,004 965 940 948 996 1,074 1,162 1,247 79 428 448 480 519 564 604 646 681 710 742 784 823 861 904 951 992 1,009 994 959 921 896 906 949 1,024 1,107

80+ 2,677 2,760 2,859 2,982 3,136 3,322 3,530 3,761 4,003 4,252 4,508 4,778 5,058 5,347 5,646 5,958 6,276 6,575 6,826 7,012 7,136 7,213 7,280 7,369 7,505

Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, NORTHERN PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) District Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric)

Chilubi 1.7 Kaputa 2.9 Kasama 2.8 Luwingu 3.9 Mbala 2.8 Mporokoso 2.6 Mpulungu 3.4 Mungwi 2.6 Northern Province 2.9

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124 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Sex &

District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 1,146,392 1,185,159 1,224,443 1,264,212 1,304,435 1,345,412 1,387,443 1,430,543 1,474,730 1,520,004 1,566,369 1,613,869 1,662,536 1,712,448 1,763,638 1,816,183 1,870,167 1,925,582 1,982,507 2,040,926 2,100,858 2,162,275 2,225,133 2,289,387 2,355,007 Chilubi 83,461 85,175 86,864 88,526 90,158 91,780 93,413 95,054 96,703 98,360 100,022 101,690 103,366 105,051 106,745 108,453 110,176 111,914 113,665 115,429 117,205 118,989 120,776 122,562 124,344 Kaputa 123,914 128,121 132,384 136,695 141,053 145,489 150,034 154,693 159,464 164,347 169,344 174,457 179,690 185,052 190,547 196,179 201,959 207,885 213,966 220,199 226,584 233,119 239,799 246,617 253,571 Kasama 240,174 248,069 256,048 264,108 272,238 280,500 288,958 297,610 306,462 315,510 324,753 334,202 343,858 353,738 363,844 374,195 384,803 395,664 406,794 418,188 429,846 441,760 453,920 466,314 478,934 Luwingu 127,640 133,461 139,450 145,607 151,932 158,464 165,239 172,266 179,554 187,108 194,934 203,043 211,443 220,154 229,184 238,548 248,268 258,349 268,809 279,652 290,890 302,528 314,566 327,006 339,851 Mbala 210,465 217,404 224,422 231,509 238,660 245,928 253,370 260,984 268,774 276,737 284,875 293,191 301,695 310,392 319,294 328,412 337,756 347,325 357,131 367,171 377,446 387,947 398,665 409,593 420,720 Mporokoso 102,301 105,514 108,754 112,017 115,301 118,633 122,035 125,512 129,062 132,684 136,376 140,145 143,990 147,918 151,929 156,029 160,225 164,514 168,904 173,387 177,968 182,641 187,405 192,248 197,171 Mpulungu 102,094 106,163 110,319 114,561 118,886 123,321 127,897 132,615 137,480 142,493 147,656 152,975 158,454 164,103 169,928 175,935 182,139 188,537 195,141 201,952 208,973 216,206 223,644 231,289 239,139 Mungwi 156,343 161,252 166,202 171,189 176,207 181,297 186,497 191,809 197,231 202,765 208,409 214,166 220,040 226,040 232,167 238,432 244,841 251,394 258,097 264,948 271,946 279,085 286,358 293,758 301,277

Total (Males) 568,341 587,602 607,138 626,935 646,983 667,410 688,349 709,823 731,825 754,357 777,423 801,043 825,229 850,027 875,447 901,531 928,322 955,809 984,032 1,012,994 1,042,687 1,073,101 1,104,213 1,136,002 1,168,450 Chilubi 40,982 41,829 42,665 43,490 44,302 45,110 45,922 46,739 47,559 48,382 49,208 50,036 50,868 51,704 52,544 53,391 54,245 55,106 55,973 56,847 57,726 58,609 59,492 60,375 61,256 Kaputa 61,582 63,580 65,601 67,642 69,702 71,794 73,933 76,122 78,358 80,641 82,972 85,352 87,781 90,265 92,805 95,402 98,063 100,785 103,572 106,424 109,338 112,313 115,348 118,438 121,581 Kasama 118,652 122,605 126,608 130,657 134,751 138,915 143,177 147,539 152,002 156,565 161,226 165,992 170,863 175,848 180,947 186,172 191,527 197,011 202,631 208,387 214,276 220,296 226,441 232,705 239,085 Luwingu 63,146 65,997 68,929 71,945 75,043 78,242 81,557 84,994 88,556 92,245 96,064 100,018 104,110 108,352 112,746 117,299 122,023 126,918 131,994 137,254 142,701 148,338 154,164 160,180 166,387 Mbala 104,614 108,088 111,607 115,165 118,762 122,419 126,162 129,994 133,913 137,918 142,011 146,193 150,469 154,842 159,317 163,901 168,599 173,409 178,338 183,385 188,550 193,827 199,213 204,705 210,296 Mporokoso 51,039 52,688 54,356 56,040 57,739 59,466 61,230 63,035 64,879 66,761 68,682 70,644 72,646 74,693 76,785 78,925 81,116 83,358 85,653 88,000 90,399 92,848 95,346 97,887 100,473 Mpulungu 50,741 52,722 54,743 56,806 58,910 61,064 63,285 65,572 67,927 70,351 72,844 75,410 78,049 80,767 83,566 86,449 89,425 92,489 95,648 98,904 102,255 105,703 109,245 112,881 116,609 Mungwi 77,585 80,093 82,629 85,190 87,774 90,400 93,083 95,828 98,631 101,494 104,416 107,398 110,443 113,556 116,737 119,992 123,324 126,733 130,223 133,793 137,442 141,167 144,964 148,831 152,763

Total (Females) 578,051 597,557 617,305 637,277 657,452 678,002 699,094 720,720 742,905 765,647 788,946 812,826 837,307 862,421 888,191 914,652 941,845 969,773 998,475 1,027,932 1,058,171 1,089,174 1,120,920 1,153,385 1,186,557 Chilubi 42,479 43,346 44,199 45,036 45,856 46,670 47,491 48,315 49,144 49,978 50,814 51,654 52,498 53,347 54,201 55,062 55,931 56,808 57,692 58,582 59,479 60,380 61,284 62,187 63,088 Kaputa 62,332 64,541 66,783 69,053 71,351 73,695 76,101 78,571 81,106 83,706 86,372 89,105 91,909 94,787 97,742 100,777 103,896 107,100 110,394 113,775 117,246 120,806 124,451 128,179 131,990 Kasama 121,522 125,464 129,440 133,451 137,487 141,585 145,781 150,071 154,460 158,945 163,527 168,210 172,995 177,890 182,897 188,023 193,276 198,653 204,163 209,801 215,570 221,464 227,479 233,609 239,849 Luwingu 64,494 67,464 70,521 73,662 76,889 80,222 83,682 87,272 90,998 94,863 98,870 103,025 107,333 111,802 116,438 121,249 126,245 131,431 136,815 142,398 148,189 154,190 160,402 166,826 173,464 Mbala 105,851 109,316 112,815 116,344 119,898 123,509 127,208 130,990 134,861 138,819 142,864 146,998 151,226 155,550 159,977 164,511 169,157 173,916 178,793 183,786 188,896 194,120 199,452 204,888 210,424 Mporokoso 51,262 52,826 54,398 55,977 57,562 59,167 60,805 62,477 64,183 65,923 67,694 69,501 71,344 73,225 75,144 77,104 79,109 81,156 83,251 85,387 87,569 89,793 92,059 94,361 96,698 Mpulungu 51,353 53,441 55,576 57,755 59,976 62,257 64,612 67,043 69,553 72,142 74,812 77,565 80,405 83,336 86,362 89,486 92,714 96,048 99,493 103,048 106,718 110,503 114,399 118,408 122,530 Mungwi 78,758 81,159 83,573 85,999 88,433 90,897 93,414 95,981 98,600 101,271 103,993 106,768 109,597 112,484 115,430 118,440 121,517 124,661 127,874 131,155 134,504 137,918 141,394 144,927 148,514

Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital Events,

Rates & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Life Expectancy at Birth (Males)Chilubi 50.2 50.1 50.1 50.1 50.0 50.4 50.7 51.1 51.5 51.8 52.2 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.6 54.0 54.4 54.8 55.1 55.5 55.9 56.3 56.6 57.0 57.4Kaputa 53.1 53.1 53.1 53.1 53.0 53.4 53.7 54.0 54.3 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.7 56.0 56.3 56.6 57.0 57.3 57.7 58.0 58.3 58.7 59.0 59.4 59.7Kasama 56.2 56.2 56.1 56.1 56.1 56.4 56.7 57.0 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.1 58.5 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.6 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.8 62.1Luwingu 51.3 51.3 51.2 51.2 51.2 51.6 51.9 52.2 52.6 52.9 53.3 53.6 54.0 54.3 54.7 55.1 55.4 55.8 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.2 57.6 58.0 58.3Mbala 59.2 59.2 59.1 59.1 59.1 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.1 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.4 61.7 62.0 62.2 62.5 62.8 63.0 63.3 63.6 63.9 64.1 64.4Mporokoso 53.9 53.9 53.9 53.9 53.8 54.2 54.5 54.8 55.1 55.4 55.7 56.0 56.4 56.7 57.0 57.4 57.7 58.0 58.3 58.7 59.0 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3Mpulungu 55.3 55.3 55.2 55.2 55.2 55.5 55.8 56.1 56.4 56.7 57.0 57.3 57.6 57.9 58.2 58.6 58.9 59.2 59.5 59.8 60.1 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.4Mungwi 57.0 57.0 56.9 56.9 56.9 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.0 58.3 58.6 58.9 59.2 59.5 59.8 60.1 60.3 60.7 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.8 62.1 62.4 62.7Life Expectancy at Birth (Females)Chilubi 57.3 57.2 57.0 56.8 56.7 57.0 57.4 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.4 62.8 63.2 63.6 63.9 64.3Kaputa 54.9 54.8 54.5 54.4 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.3 55.7 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.4Kasama 62.1 62.0 61.8 61.7 61.6 61.9 62.2 62.5 62.8 63.1 63.5 63.8 64.1 64.4 64.7 65.1 65.4 65.7 66.1 66.4 66.7 67.1 67.4 67.7 68.0Luwingu 55.7 55.6 55.3 55.2 55.0 55.3 55.8 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.8 60.2 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.3 62.6 63.0Mbala 65.3 65.3 65.1 65.0 64.9 65.1 65.4 65.7 65.9 66.2 66.5 66.8 67.1 67.4 67.6 67.9 68.2 68.5 68.8 69.1 69.4 69.7 70.0 70.3 70.5Mporokoso 58.4 58.3 58.0 57.9 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.2 60.6 61.0 61.3 61.7 62.1 62.5 62.9 63.2 63.7 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.1Mpulungu 59.8 59.8 59.5 59.4 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.6 60.9 61.3 61.6 62.0 62.3 62.7 63.0 63.4 63.8 64.1 64.5 64.9 65.2 65.6 65.9 66.3Mungwi 63.2 63.1 62.9 62.8 62.6 62.9 63.2 63.5 63.8 64.1 64.4 64.7 65.1 65.4 65.7 66.0 66.3 66.6 66.9 67.3 67.6 67.9 68.2 68.5 68.8Total Fertility Rate (TFR)Chilubi 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 Kaputa 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 Kasama 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 Luwingu 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 Mbala 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 Mporokoso 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 Mpulungu 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 Mungwi 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 125

Table C3: Total Population by Sex,Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHILUBI DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chilubi District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 83,461 40,982 42,479 85,175 41,829 43,346 86,864 42,665 44,199 88,526 43,490 45,036 90,158 44,302 45,856 91,780 45,110 46,670 93,413 45,922 47,491 95,054 46,739 48,315 0-4 17,590 8,845 8,746 17,920 9,014 8,906 18,156 9,135 9,021 18,308 9,214 9,094 18,404 9,270 9,134 18,492 9,319 9,172 18,603 9,380 9,223 18,735 9,450 9,284 5-9 13,542 6,831 6,711 13,905 7,014 6,891 14,327 7,232 7,095 14,777 7,467 7,310 15,206 7,689 7,517 15,574 7,882 7,692 15,863 8,033 7,830 16,072 8,144 7,928

10-14 10,670 5,479 5,191 10,741 5,514 5,227 10,805 5,539 5,267 10,905 5,579 5,326 11,072 5,655 5,417 11,314 5,774 5,540 11,619 5,929 5,690 11,975 6,114 5,860 15-19 8,564 4,262 4,302 8,824 4,433 4,391 9,067 4,590 4,477 9,273 4,722 4,551 9,431 4,822 4,609 9,535 4,886 4,649 9,602 4,919 4,683 9,663 4,944 4,720 20-24 6,096 2,703 3,393 6,270 2,820 3,450 6,489 2,971 3,519 6,723 3,130 3,592 6,949 3,284 3,665 7,171 3,432 3,740 7,396 3,577 3,819 7,608 3,711 3,897 25-29 5,634 2,562 3,072 5,568 2,500 3,069 5,482 2,435 3,048 5,433 2,399 3,034 5,455 2,411 3,044 5,558 2,479 3,079 5,728 2,595 3,133 5,942 2,742 3,200 30-34 4,499 2,119 2,380 4,686 2,166 2,519 4,884 2,214 2,669 5,040 2,244 2,796 5,122 2,245 2,876 5,123 2,214 2,909 5,068 2,160 2,907 4,995 2,106 2,889 35-39 4,277 2,088 2,190 4,273 2,087 2,186 4,249 2,077 2,172 4,254 2,074 2,180 4,318 2,088 2,230 4,452 2,122 2,330 4,638 2,171 2,468 4,836 2,220 2,617 40-44 3,263 1,637 1,626 3,445 1,710 1,735 3,642 1,788 1,854 3,812 1,854 1,957 3,928 1,900 2,028 3,978 1,920 2,058 3,977 1,921 2,055 3,957 1,914 2,043 45-49 2,528 1,224 1,304 2,532 1,236 1,296 2,534 1,246 1,288 2,560 1,263 1,296 2,624 1,293 1,331 2,738 1,339 1,399 2,892 1,399 1,493 3,058 1,463 1,595 50-54 1,939 991 948 2,036 1,036 999 2,123 1,078 1,046 2,194 1,113 1,082 2,246 1,142 1,105 2,273 1,161 1,112 2,279 1,173 1,106 2,283 1,183 1,100 55-59 1,279 637 643 1,346 671 675 1,427 711 716 1,514 753 762 1,599 793 807 1,683 831 852 1,766 868 898 1,841 902 939 60-64 1,152 491 661 1,132 492 640 1,113 494 618 1,109 502 606 1,126 518 608 1,168 541 627 1,229 570 658 1,303 604 699 65-69 956 392 564 983 399 584 1,006 406 601 1,020 411 610 1,024 414 610 1,014 416 599 997 417 581 981 419 562 70-74 696 329 367 712 331 381 729 334 395 747 338 409 767 343 424 789 349 440 810 355 456 829 360 469 75-79 417 208 209 432 211 221 447 213 234 462 215 247 475 216 259 488 217 270 500 219 281 512 220 291 80+ 357 185 173 369 194 176 382 202 180 396 211 185 412 220 192 429 228 201 446 236 211 464 243 221

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chilubi District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 96,703 47,559 49,144 98,360 48,382 49,978 106,745 52,544 54,201 115,429 56,847 58,582 124,344 61,256 63,088 0-4 18,886 9,530 9,356 19,048 9,615 9,434 19,861 10,040 9,821 20,808 10,536 10,273 21,680 10,988 10,692 5-9 16,211 8,217 7,993 16,312 8,275 8,037 16,988 8,634 8,354 17,820 9,067 8,753 18,755 9,550 9,206

10-14 12,356 6,315 6,041 12,721 6,504 6,217 13,668 7,005 6,662 14,252 7,312 6,940 14,951 7,670 7,281 15-19 9,759 4,983 4,776 9,916 5,053 4,862 11,438 5,829 5,609 12,323 6,290 6,033 12,861 6,564 6,297 20-24 7,788 3,823 3,965 7,930 3,910 4,020 8,373 4,115 4,258 9,714 4,775 4,939 10,494 5,165 5,330 25-29 6,172 2,900 3,272 6,395 3,052 3,343 7,365 3,675 3,691 7,824 3,893 3,931 9,133 4,547 4,586 30-34 4,956 2,076 2,880 4,984 2,090 2,894 5,879 2,668 3,211 6,811 3,233 3,578 7,277 3,437 3,839 35-39 4,994 2,252 2,743 5,081 2,256 2,825 4,972 2,113 2,859 5,898 2,708 3,190 6,862 3,290 3,572 40-44 3,965 1,913 2,052 4,028 1,928 2,100 4,754 2,094 2,659 4,672 1,975 2,697 5,553 2,538 3,015 45-49 3,202 1,519 1,683 3,302 1,557 1,745 3,399 1,589 1,810 4,025 1,734 2,291 3,969 1,642 2,328 50-54 2,307 1,201 1,107 2,366 1,229 1,137 2,964 1,480 1,483 3,055 1,515 1,540 3,600 1,655 1,946 55-59 1,902 932 971 1,947 956 991 2,050 1,031 1,019 2,568 1,242 1,326 2,650 1,274 1,376 60-64 1,382 638 744 1,460 672 788 1,777 809 968 1,869 873 996 2,348 1,051 1,297 65-69 977 425 551 991 438 554 1,278 563 715 1,547 673 874 1,618 722 897 70-74 840 365 476 842 367 475 817 385 432 1,043 488 556 1,249 575 674 75-79 524 223 302 538 225 313 586 238 349 560 245 315 704 302 401 80+ 482 249 233 499 255 244 579 276 303 640 288 352 638 287 352

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126 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAPUTA DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kaputa District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 123,914 61,582 62,332 128,121 63,580 64,541 132,384 65,601 66,783 136,695 67,642 69,053 141,053 69,702 71,351 145,489 71,794 73,695 150,034 73,933 76,101 154,693 76,122 78,571 0-4 27,702 13,859 13,844 28,608 14,296 14,312 29,384 14,666 14,718 30,039 14,973 15,066 30,610 15,244 15,366 31,175 15,506 15,669 31,785 15,787 15,998 32,440 16,086 16,354 5-9 19,561 9,746 9,815 20,361 10,130 10,231 21,268 10,573 10,695 22,238 11,049 11,188 23,198 11,514 11,683 24,082 11,941 12,140 24,860 12,312 12,548 25,525 12,623 12,902

10-14 15,580 7,867 7,713 15,898 8,014 7,884 16,214 8,149 8,065 16,590 8,309 8,281 17,075 8,523 8,553 17,687 8,804 8,884 18,409 9,145 9,264 19,227 9,538 9,689 15-19 11,731 5,766 5,965 12,252 6,071 6,181 12,762 6,363 6,398 13,230 6,625 6,605 13,639 6,847 6,792 13,976 7,018 6,958 14,264 7,148 7,116 14,548 7,265 7,283 20-24 9,754 4,208 5,546 10,168 4,445 5,723 10,666 4,739 5,927 11,199 5,055 6,144 11,732 5,367 6,365 12,270 5,674 6,596 12,823 5,982 6,841 13,365 6,277 7,088 25-29 10,115 4,558 5,556 10,135 4,501 5,634 10,119 4,438 5,681 10,168 4,426 5,742 10,352 4,501 5,851 10,693 4,682 6,011 11,168 4,958 6,210 11,740 5,300 6,440 30-34 7,343 3,789 3,554 7,740 3,921 3,819 8,165 4,057 4,108 8,531 4,162 4,369 8,779 4,214 4,565 8,892 4,204 4,688 8,907 4,149 4,757 8,891 4,090 4,801 35-39 5,974 3,257 2,717 6,050 3,296 2,753 6,098 3,320 2,778 6,187 3,355 2,831 6,359 3,418 2,941 6,636 3,515 3,121 6,993 3,637 3,356 7,375 3,762 3,613 40-44 4,270 2,232 2,038 4,569 2,361 2,208 4,894 2,499 2,395 5,190 2,623 2,567 5,421 2,719 2,701 5,564 2,781 2,783 5,637 2,814 2,823 5,685 2,835 2,850 45-49 3,363 1,776 1,587 3,417 1,815 1,602 3,468 1,852 1,616 3,552 1,901 1,651 3,691 1,969 1,722 3,901 2,063 1,838 4,172 2,181 1,991 4,467 2,307 2,160 50-54 2,825 1,464 1,360 3,005 1,550 1,455 3,177 1,631 1,546 3,329 1,705 1,624 3,454 1,770 1,684 3,543 1,822 1,721 3,600 1,861 1,739 3,654 1,899 1,755 55-59 1,951 1,050 901 2,081 1,121 960 2,237 1,203 1,034 2,405 1,288 1,117 2,574 1,372 1,202 2,745 1,456 1,289 2,917 1,539 1,379 3,081 1,617 1,464 60-64 1,467 758 709 1,466 768 697 1,466 782 684 1,486 804 681 1,533 839 694 1,613 887 726 1,720 946 775 1,848 1,013 835 65-69 955 500 455 993 515 479 1,029 530 500 1,058 543 515 1,077 554 523 1,084 563 521 1,084 570 514 1,085 580 505 70-74 613 332 281 634 338 296 657 345 311 681 353 327 708 363 345 737 373 363 766 384 382 794 395 399 75-79 375 226 149 392 232 160 409 237 172 426 242 185 443 246 197 459 251 208 475 255 220 491 260 231 80+ 335 193 142 352 205 146 369 217 152 388 229 159 409 242 167 432 254 178 455 265 189 479 277 202

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kaputa District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 159,464 78,358 81,106 164,347 80,641 83,706 190,547 92,805 97,742 220,199 106,424 113,775 253,571 121,581 131,990 0-4 33,139 16,405 16,733 33,870 16,739 17,131 37,737 18,491 19,246 42,251 20,528 21,722 47,058 22,683 24,375 5-9 26,090 12,881 13,209 26,602 13,118 13,484 29,605 14,480 15,126 33,188 16,088 17,100 37,341 17,951 19,390

10-14 20,103 9,962 10,141 20,974 10,377 10,596 24,078 11,824 12,254 26,831 13,057 13,773 30,090 14,510 15,580 15-19 14,889 7,406 7,483 15,331 7,596 7,735 18,897 9,268 9,629 21,757 10,581 11,175 24,275 11,699 12,576 20-24 13,862 6,540 7,323 14,301 6,764 7,537 16,146 7,530 8,616 20,028 9,245 10,783 23,139 10,595 12,545 25-29 12,353 5,667 6,686 12,969 6,032 6,937 15,947 7,683 8,264 18,109 8,611 9,497 22,601 10,656 11,945 30-34 8,938 4,079 4,859 9,110 4,152 4,958 11,543 5,607 5,936 14,325 7,188 7,137 16,355 8,098 8,257 35-39 7,705 3,859 3,846 7,932 3,909 4,022 8,266 3,874 4,392 10,542 5,253 5,289 13,146 6,762 6,384 40-44 5,773 2,867 2,906 5,941 2,921 3,019 7,483 3,357 4,126 7,865 3,350 4,516 10,003 4,561 5,442 45-49 4,736 2,421 2,315 4,947 2,511 2,436 5,437 2,710 2,727 6,854 3,129 3,725 7,218 3,138 4,080 50-54 3,743 1,948 1,794 3,888 2,018 1,871 5,205 2,570 2,635 5,735 2,783 2,952 7,240 3,220 4,020 55-59 3,225 1,689 1,537 3,345 1,752 1,593 3,767 2,000 1,767 5,031 2,549 2,482 5,546 2,769 2,777 60-64 1,985 1,083 902 2,123 1,152 971 2,754 1,468 1,286 3,105 1,677 1,428 4,142 2,136 2,006 65-69 1,098 596 503 1,133 620 513 1,558 843 714 2,009 1,067 942 2,254 1,212 1,042 70-74 815 404 411 828 411 417 865 456 409 1,179 611 568 1,506 763 743 75-79 509 266 243 528 272 256 611 304 308 631 331 300 845 433 412 80+ 503 287 216 526 297 230 648 340 308 761 375 386 812 396 416

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 127

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KASAMA DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kasama District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 240,174 118,652 121,522 248,069 122,605 125,464 256,048 126,608 129,440 264,108 130,657 133,451 272,238 134,751 137,487 280,500 138,915 141,585 288,958 143,177 145,781 297,610 147,539 150,071 0-4 44,123 22,185 21,939 45,498 22,884 22,614 46,652 23,471 23,182 47,605 23,957 23,648 48,420 24,389 24,031 49,225 24,813 24,413 50,102 25,271 24,831 51,048 25,763 25,285 5-9 35,956 17,780 18,176 37,372 18,480 18,892 38,969 19,284 19,685 40,671 20,149 20,522 42,347 20,995 21,352 43,881 21,778 22,104 45,221 22,461 22,760 46,351 23,040 23,312

10-14 32,992 16,373 16,619 33,617 16,679 16,938 34,227 16,956 17,272 34,958 17,284 17,674 35,915 17,729 18,187 37,135 18,316 18,819 38,583 19,033 19,550 40,228 19,861 20,368 15-19 28,354 14,231 14,123 29,574 14,983 14,591 30,757 15,701 15,056 31,832 16,343 15,489 32,760 16,890 15,870 33,512 17,316 16,197 34,143 17,643 16,500 34,763 17,940 16,823 20-24 20,740 9,651 11,088 21,603 10,194 11,409 22,644 10,866 11,777 23,755 11,588 12,167 24,861 12,302 12,559 25,973 13,008 12,965 27,114 13,720 13,395 28,227 14,402 13,826 25-29 17,441 7,986 9,455 17,445 7,885 9,559 17,381 7,773 9,608 17,428 7,750 9,678 17,707 7,882 9,825 18,256 8,200 10,055 19,035 8,686 10,350 19,980 9,289 10,691 30-34 13,864 6,814 7,050 14,606 7,053 7,553 15,395 7,295 8,099 16,065 7,482 8,584 16,511 7,575 8,936 16,701 7,559 9,142 16,706 7,463 9,242 16,652 7,360 9,292 35-39 11,953 6,237 5,717 12,088 6,312 5,776 12,165 6,357 5,808 12,323 6,422 5,900 12,648 6,541 6,107 13,184 6,729 6,456 13,881 6,965 6,915 14,624 7,207 7,417 40-44 8,160 4,343 3,817 8,716 4,594 4,122 9,318 4,861 4,457 9,862 5,101 4,761 10,281 5,289 4,992 10,533 5,409 5,124 10,653 5,476 5,177 10,725 5,519 5,206 45-49 6,925 3,405 3,520 7,021 3,479 3,543 7,112 3,549 3,563 7,270 3,642 3,628 7,541 3,772 3,769 7,961 3,954 4,007 8,505 4,180 4,325 9,098 4,424 4,674 50-54 5,401 2,719 2,683 5,739 2,876 2,862 6,058 3,027 3,031 6,336 3,163 3,173 6,562 3,284 3,279 6,718 3,380 3,338 6,814 3,454 3,360 6,904 3,526 3,378 55-59 3,753 1,846 1,907 3,996 1,971 2,026 4,289 2,113 2,176 4,604 2,262 2,342 4,921 2,410 2,510 5,240 2,557 2,683 5,563 2,704 2,859 5,867 2,843 3,024 60-64 3,257 1,526 1,731 3,244 1,547 1,697 3,234 1,574 1,660 3,265 1,619 1,646 3,360 1,689 1,671 3,528 1,785 1,743 3,755 1,904 1,851 4,028 2,040 1,988 65-69 2,616 1,220 1,396 2,719 1,256 1,463 2,815 1,292 1,523 2,888 1,324 1,564 2,933 1,351 1,582 2,945 1,373 1,572 2,934 1,392 1,542 2,925 1,416 1,509 70-74 1,941 958 983 2,009 976 1,033 2,080 996 1,083 2,155 1,020 1,135 2,238 1,047 1,191 2,328 1,078 1,250 2,419 1,109 1,310 2,503 1,140 1,363 75-79 1,359 719 640 1,423 737 685 1,489 754 735 1,554 768 786 1,617 783 834 1,676 797 880 1,736 811 925 1,797 827 970 80+ 1,339 659 680 1,399 699 700 1,464 740 724 1,536 781 755 1,615 823 793 1,702 864 838 1,794 904 889 1,889 943 946

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kasama District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 306,462 152,002 154,460 315,510 156,565 158,945 363,844 180,947 182,897 418,188 208,387 209,801 478,934 239,085 239,849 0-4 52,061 26,287 25,773 53,123 26,836 26,287 58,733 29,723 29,010 65,245 33,079 32,167 72,254 36,701 35,553 5-9 47,297 23,523 23,774 48,148 23,970 24,178 53,169 26,526 26,643 59,135 29,545 29,591 66,150 33,102 33,048

10-14 41,992 20,755 21,237 43,738 21,631 22,107 49,825 24,710 25,115 55,087 27,356 27,731 61,422 30,526 30,896 15-19 35,516 18,296 17,220 36,508 18,776 17,732 44,655 22,970 21,685 51,013 26,289 24,724 56,590 29,185 27,405 20-24 29,242 15,013 14,229 30,126 15,536 14,590 33,725 17,341 16,384 41,487 21,342 20,145 47,643 24,560 23,083 25-29 20,997 9,939 11,058 22,013 10,584 11,429 26,892 13,516 13,375 30,287 15,187 15,101 37,578 18,871 18,707 30-34 16,711 7,344 9,367 17,002 7,480 9,523 21,326 10,126 11,200 26,243 13,015 13,228 29,796 14,722 15,074 35-39 15,261 7,397 7,864 15,692 7,498 8,194 16,239 7,450 8,789 20,524 10,127 10,398 25,451 13,088 12,363 40-44 10,872 5,583 5,289 11,168 5,693 5,474 13,908 6,560 7,348 14,462 6,561 7,902 18,349 8,971 9,378 45-49 9,635 4,645 4,991 10,052 4,820 5,232 10,969 5,216 5,753 13,757 6,037 7,720 14,409 6,080 8,329 50-54 7,060 3,620 3,440 7,324 3,751 3,573 9,734 4,791 4,943 10,640 5,200 5,440 13,339 6,041 7,298 55-59 6,133 2,970 3,162 6,350 3,084 3,266 7,088 3,529 3,558 9,420 4,509 4,911 10,329 4,918 5,411 60-64 4,322 2,182 2,139 4,617 2,324 2,293 5,953 2,968 2,985 6,654 3,399 3,256 8,853 4,349 4,504 65-69 2,953 1,455 1,497 3,037 1,515 1,522 4,149 2,066 2,083 5,319 2,620 2,699 5,930 2,989 2,941 70-74 2,567 1,167 1,399 2,603 1,189 1,414 2,684 1,322 1,362 3,635 1,777 1,858 4,621 2,228 2,394 75-79 1,861 845 1,016 1,930 866 1,064 2,228 969 1,259 2,263 1,059 1,204 3,021 1,391 1,631 80+ 1,984 978 1,005 2,078 1,012 1,066 2,568 1,163 1,405 3,015 1,286 1,729 3,198 1,364 1,834

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128 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUWINGU DISTRICT,Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Luwingu District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 127,640 63,146 64,494 133,461 65,997 67,464 139,450 68,929 70,521 145,607 71,945 73,662 151,932 75,043 76,889 158,464 78,242 80,222 165,239 81,557 83,682 172,266 84,994 87,272 0-4 25,256 12,739 12,517 26,366 13,295 13,072 27,372 13,795 13,577 28,279 14,246 14,033 29,121 14,672 14,449 29,973 15,099 14,874 30,885 15,556 15,330 31,857 16,040 15,817 5-9 19,962 10,016 9,946 21,006 10,532 10,474 22,177 11,119 11,058 23,434 11,754 11,680 24,704 12,390 12,314 25,918 13,001 12,917 27,040 13,563 13,477 28,059 14,072 13,987

10-14 17,407 8,894 8,513 17,957 9,166 8,791 18,510 9,427 9,082 19,139 9,723 9,416 19,907 10,089 9,818 20,838 10,544 10,295 21,919 11,083 10,836 23,137 11,697 11,440 15-19 13,854 6,773 7,081 14,626 7,214 7,412 15,398 7,648 7,749 16,131 8,054 8,077 16,806 8,421 8,386 17,405 8,733 8,672 17,952 9,000 8,952 18,506 9,257 9,248 20-24 10,344 4,635 5,709 10,904 4,953 5,952 11,566 5,341 6,225 12,279 5,763 6,516 13,004 6,189 6,815 13,749 6,620 7,129 14,525 7,062 7,463 15,304 7,499 7,805 25-29 9,073 4,094 4,979 9,190 4,090 5,100 9,273 4,079 5,194 9,415 4,114 5,301 9,686 4,233 5,453 10,110 4,455 5,655 10,671 4,773 5,898 11,336 5,163 6,173 30-34 6,812 3,432 3,379 7,262 3,594 3,668 7,746 3,761 3,986 8,182 3,902 4,280 8,511 3,997 4,514 8,715 4,035 4,680 8,824 4,030 4,794 8,903 4,019 4,883 35-39 5,924 2,980 2,944 6,065 3,051 3,014 6,180 3,109 3,071 6,338 3,178 3,160 6,589 3,274 3,315 6,958 3,407 3,551 7,421 3,568 3,854 7,922 3,734 4,188 40-44 4,660 2,402 2,258 5,041 2,570 2,470 5,458 2,752 2,707 5,851 2,922 2,929 6,176 3,064 3,112 6,407 3,170 3,237 6,560 3,246 3,314 6,686 3,310 3,376 45-49 3,834 2,002 1,832 3,937 2,069 1,868 4,039 2,135 1,904 4,181 2,217 1,964 4,391 2,323 2,068 4,691 2,463 2,228 5,071 2,634 2,436 5,488 2,820 2,668 50-54 2,811 1,484 1,326 3,023 1,589 1,434 3,230 1,692 1,538 3,420 1,788 1,632 3,587 1,878 1,709 3,719 1,956 1,763 3,819 2,022 1,798 3,919 2,087 1,832 55-59 1,945 906 1,039 2,097 978 1,118 2,278 1,061 1,217 2,477 1,149 1,327 2,681 1,239 1,442 2,891 1,330 1,561 3,108 1,422 1,686 3,319 1,512 1,806 60-64 1,741 788 953 1,755 808 947 1,770 832 938 1,808 866 943 1,883 913 970 2,001 976 1,025 2,157 1,054 1,103 2,342 1,142 1,201 65-69 1,482 682 800 1,560 710 850 1,635 739 896 1,699 766 933 1,747 791 956 1,775 813 962 1,790 834 957 1,806 858 949 70-74 1,081 536 545 1,133 553 580 1,187 571 616 1,245 591 654 1,310 614 695 1,379 639 740 1,451 665 785 1,520 692 828 75-79 743 403 340 787 418 369 833 433 400 880 447 434 927 460 466 972 474 498 1,019 488 531 1,068 503 564 80+ 711 379 331 753 407 346 798 436 363 848 465 383 903 496 407 963 527 436 1,027 558 469 1,094 588 506

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Luwingu District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 179,554 88,556 90,998 187,108 92,245 94,863 229,184 112,746 116,438 279,652 137,254 142,398 339,851 166,387 173,464 0-4 32,891 16,555 16,336 33,976 17,094 16,882 39,938 20,053 19,885 47,182 23,655 23,527 55,477 27,764 27,714 5-9 28,986 14,533 14,453 29,872 14,978 14,893 35,073 17,556 17,517 41,485 20,727 20,758 49,274 24,565 24,709

10-14 24,450 12,364 12,086 25,782 13,034 12,748 31,227 15,770 15,457 36,716 18,506 18,211 43,468 21,844 21,624 15-19 19,141 9,549 9,592 19,920 9,912 10,008 25,907 12,843 13,063 31,472 15,581 15,892 37,071 18,297 18,774 20-24 16,046 7,907 8,139 16,733 8,276 8,457 19,920 9,784 10,136 26,061 12,764 13,297 31,776 15,537 16,239 25-29 12,057 5,588 6,469 12,794 6,019 6,775 16,604 8,141 8,463 19,890 9,695 10,195 26,204 12,744 13,460 30-34 9,045 4,057 4,988 9,317 4,179 5,139 12,442 5,992 6,450 16,293 8,163 8,129 19,641 9,768 9,873 35-39 8,376 3,876 4,499 8,725 3,974 4,750 9,621 4,182 5,438 12,891 6,026 6,865 16,938 8,239 8,699 40-44 6,862 3,386 3,476 7,138 3,493 3,645 9,485 4,262 5,223 10,511 4,518 5,992 14,115 6,536 7,580 45-49 5,881 2,994 2,886 6,209 3,143 3,066 7,201 3,602 3,598 9,572 4,420 5,152 10,633 4,708 5,924 50-54 4,057 2,168 1,889 4,261 2,272 1,989 6,010 3,074 2,936 6,985 3,536 3,448 9,276 4,345 4,931 55-59 3,513 1,598 1,914 3,682 1,679 2,003 4,364 2,035 2,330 6,186 2,755 3,430 7,208 3,179 4,029 60-64 2,544 1,235 1,309 2,752 1,331 1,422 3,775 1,800 1,975 4,483 2,185 2,298 6,346 2,957 3,389 65-69 1,846 892 954 1,921 939 982 2,791 1,356 1,435 3,807 1,823 1,984 4,504 2,200 2,304 70-74 1,578 716 861 1,620 738 882 1,776 869 906 2,558 1,238 1,320 3,455 1,642 1,812 75-79 1,119 520 599 1,175 539 636 1,442 639 803 1,559 740 819 2,211 1,028 1,182 80+ 1,162 617 545 1,231 646 585 1,609 786 823 2,002 922 1,081 2,255 1,034 1,221

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 129

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MBALA DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mbala District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 210,465 104,614 105,851 217,404 108,088 109,316 224,422 111,607 112,815 231,509 115,165 116,344 238,660 118,762 119,898 245,928 122,419 123,509 253,370 126,162 127,208 260,984 129,994 130,990 0-4 42,769 21,581 21,189 44,106 22,258 21,848 45,232 22,826 22,406 46,165 23,297 22,869 46,968 23,716 23,253 47,764 24,126 23,638 48,630 24,571 24,059 49,565 25,049 24,516 5-9 33,364 16,730 16,633 34,680 17,386 17,294 36,169 18,141 18,028 37,757 18,953 18,804 39,324 19,748 19,576 40,761 20,483 20,278 42,019 21,125 20,894 43,085 21,669 21,416

10-14 28,881 14,577 14,304 29,431 14,847 14,584 29,969 15,091 14,878 30,614 15,383 15,232 31,460 15,777 15,683 32,538 16,299 16,239 33,818 16,937 16,881 35,272 17,673 17,599 15-19 23,950 11,811 12,139 24,979 12,434 12,545 25,979 13,028 12,951 26,889 13,560 13,330 27,678 14,012 13,666 28,321 14,365 13,956 28,863 14,635 14,227 29,398 14,882 14,516 20-24 17,598 8,253 9,345 18,334 8,716 9,618 19,222 9,289 9,933 20,173 9,905 10,267 21,119 10,515 10,604 22,072 11,118 10,954 23,050 11,726 11,324 24,006 12,309 11,697 25-29 14,496 6,768 7,728 14,498 6,681 7,816 14,445 6,585 7,860 14,487 6,565 7,921 14,723 6,677 8,046 15,186 6,946 8,240 15,844 7,357 8,487 16,641 7,868 8,773 30-34 11,030 5,521 5,510 11,618 5,713 5,904 12,243 5,909 6,335 12,776 6,060 6,717 13,131 6,135 6,996 13,284 6,122 7,163 13,290 6,044 7,246 13,250 5,960 7,290 35-39 9,647 4,801 4,846 9,755 4,858 4,898 9,819 4,892 4,928 9,950 4,942 5,008 10,220 5,033 5,187 10,663 5,177 5,486 11,240 5,359 5,881 11,857 5,545 6,312 40-44 7,064 3,683 3,381 7,547 3,894 3,653 8,072 4,120 3,952 8,547 4,324 4,223 8,913 4,482 4,431 9,135 4,584 4,551 9,242 4,641 4,601 9,307 4,678 4,630 45-49 5,909 3,044 2,865 5,994 3,109 2,884 6,074 3,172 2,902 6,211 3,255 2,957 6,445 3,371 3,074 6,803 3,533 3,270 7,267 3,735 3,532 7,772 3,953 3,819 50-54 4,480 2,190 2,290 4,761 2,316 2,444 5,026 2,437 2,589 5,259 2,547 2,712 5,448 2,644 2,804 5,578 2,721 2,857 5,658 2,780 2,877 5,734 2,839 2,895 55-59 3,137 1,651 1,486 3,341 1,762 1,579 3,586 1,888 1,697 3,849 2,022 1,828 4,114 2,154 1,960 4,381 2,285 2,096 4,652 2,416 2,235 4,906 2,541 2,366 60-64 2,525 1,154 1,371 2,514 1,170 1,345 2,506 1,190 1,316 2,529 1,224 1,305 2,603 1,276 1,326 2,733 1,349 1,384 2,910 1,439 1,471 3,123 1,542 1,581 65-69 1,945 885 1,060 2,023 911 1,111 2,095 937 1,157 2,150 960 1,189 2,184 980 1,204 2,192 996 1,196 2,184 1,010 1,175 2,177 1,027 1,150 70-74 1,610 760 849 1,667 774 893 1,728 790 937 1,791 809 982 1,862 831 1,031 1,938 855 1,083 2,015 879 1,136 2,086 904 1,182 75-79 1,029 603 426 1,074 618 456 1,121 632 489 1,168 644 523 1,212 656 556 1,254 668 586 1,297 680 617 1,341 693 647 80+ 1,034 604 429 1,083 641 442 1,136 678 458 1,193 716 477 1,255 754 501 1,322 792 531 1,392 829 563 1,464 864 600

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mbala District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 268,774 133,913 134,861 276,737 137,918 138,819 319,294 159,317 159,977 367,171 183,385 183,786 420,720 210,296 210,424 0-4 50,568 25,561 25,007 51,621 26,098 25,523 57,214 28,959 28,256 63,730 32,292 31,438 70,732 35,891 34,841 5-9 43,981 22,125 21,856 44,791 22,549 22,242 49,587 24,999 24,588 55,301 27,899 27,402 61,999 31,313 30,687

10-14 36,833 18,470 18,363 38,381 19,253 19,129 43,834 22,033 21,801 48,594 24,440 24,154 54,303 27,320 26,983 15-19 30,047 15,179 14,868 30,901 15,579 15,322 37,890 19,094 18,796 43,400 21,896 21,504 48,251 24,350 23,900 20-24 24,879 12,833 12,046 25,642 13,281 12,361 28,776 14,851 13,925 35,494 18,314 17,179 40,851 21,112 19,739 25-29 17,499 8,419 9,080 18,358 8,967 9,392 22,498 11,472 11,026 25,406 12,915 12,491 31,592 16,076 15,516 30-34 13,301 5,947 7,354 13,540 6,058 7,482 17,044 8,217 8,827 21,043 10,582 10,461 23,944 11,991 11,953 35-39 12,388 5,691 6,697 12,753 5,770 6,983 13,257 5,744 7,513 16,742 7,822 8,919 20,761 10,128 10,634 40-44 9,439 4,732 4,707 9,701 4,826 4,875 12,136 5,571 6,565 12,666 5,582 7,084 16,076 7,646 8,430 45-49 8,231 4,150 4,081 8,589 4,308 4,281 9,392 4,670 4,723 11,775 5,416 6,359 12,343 5,464 6,879 50-54 5,864 2,915 2,950 6,086 3,020 3,066 8,120 3,865 4,255 8,903 4,203 4,699 11,213 4,891 6,322 55-59 5,131 2,655 2,476 5,316 2,757 2,559 5,957 3,160 2,797 7,919 4,046 3,873 8,700 4,420 4,280 60-64 3,352 1,649 1,703 3,583 1,757 1,826 4,632 2,248 2,384 5,188 2,579 2,610 6,926 3,305 3,621 65-69 2,198 1,056 1,142 2,261 1,099 1,162 3,097 1,502 1,595 3,982 1,908 2,074 4,447 2,181 2,266 70-74 2,141 926 1,215 2,172 943 1,228 2,237 1,051 1,187 3,039 1,415 1,625 3,876 1,777 2,099 75-79 1,387 709 678 1,437 726 712 1,658 814 844 1,702 891 810 2,273 1,173 1,100 80+ 1,535 897 638 1,605 928 677 1,963 1,068 895 2,288 1,184 1,105 2,432 1,257 1,175

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130 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MPOROKOSO DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mporokoso District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 102,301 51,039 51,262 105,514 52,688 52,826 108,754 54,356 54,398 112,017 56,040 55,977 115,301 57,739 57,562 118,633 59,466 59,167 122,035 61,230 60,805 125,512 63,035 62,477 0-4 20,162 10,135 10,026 20,761 10,446 10,315 21,259 10,706 10,553 21,665 10,919 10,745 22,008 11,108 10,900 22,348 11,293 11,055 22,721 11,494 11,227 23,125 11,709 11,416 5-9 16,412 8,217 8,195 17,034 8,533 8,501 17,738 8,897 8,841 18,489 9,290 9,199 19,227 9,673 9,555 19,901 10,026 9,875 20,486 10,334 10,152 20,976 10,593 10,383

10-14 14,520 7,424 7,095 14,774 7,557 7,217 15,021 7,676 7,345 15,321 7,819 7,502 15,721 8,014 7,707 16,235 8,274 7,962 16,850 8,592 8,258 17,550 8,959 8,590 15-19 11,110 5,626 5,485 11,573 5,918 5,655 12,021 6,197 5,824 12,426 6,445 5,980 12,773 6,656 6,117 13,052 6,819 6,233 13,283 6,943 6,340 13,509 7,055 6,454 20-24 7,974 3,712 4,262 8,293 3,917 4,377 8,681 4,172 4,509 9,096 4,446 4,650 9,507 4,716 4,791 9,922 4,984 4,938 10,346 5,252 5,094 10,759 5,510 5,250 25-29 6,970 3,228 3,742 6,960 3,184 3,776 6,924 3,136 3,788 6,933 3,125 3,809 7,035 3,176 3,860 7,245 3,302 3,944 7,547 3,495 4,053 7,915 3,735 4,180 30-34 5,588 2,759 2,829 5,878 2,853 3,025 6,186 2,948 3,238 6,446 3,022 3,425 6,616 3,057 3,559 6,684 3,049 3,635 6,677 3,008 3,669 6,648 2,964 3,683 35-39 4,678 2,377 2,302 4,724 2,403 2,321 4,748 2,418 2,329 4,804 2,442 2,362 4,925 2,485 2,440 5,130 2,554 2,576 5,397 2,642 2,755 5,682 2,732 2,950 40-44 3,616 1,891 1,726 3,858 1,998 1,860 4,120 2,113 2,007 4,356 2,216 2,140 4,535 2,295 2,240 4,642 2,346 2,296 4,689 2,373 2,316 4,716 2,390 2,325 45-49 2,874 1,472 1,402 2,911 1,503 1,408 2,945 1,532 1,414 3,008 1,571 1,437 3,116 1,626 1,490 3,285 1,703 1,582 3,504 1,799 1,704 3,742 1,903 1,839 50-54 2,208 1,157 1,051 2,343 1,224 1,119 2,469 1,287 1,183 2,579 1,343 1,236 2,669 1,394 1,275 2,730 1,434 1,296 2,766 1,464 1,302 2,801 1,493 1,307 55-59 1,465 718 747 1,558 766 792 1,669 820 849 1,790 878 912 1,910 935 976 2,032 991 1,041 2,155 1,047 1,108 2,270 1,100 1,170 60-64 1,354 560 795 1,345 567 778 1,336 577 759 1,344 593 751 1,379 618 762 1,445 652 793 1,536 695 841 1,646 745 902 65-69 1,245 563 682 1,292 579 713 1,336 595 741 1,369 609 760 1,388 621 767 1,392 631 761 1,384 639 745 1,378 650 728 70-74 868 434 434 897 442 455 927 451 476 959 461 498 994 473 521 1,033 486 547 1,072 500 572 1,108 514 594 75-79 652 396 256 679 406 273 707 414 292 734 422 312 760 430 330 785 437 348 810 445 365 836 453 382 80+ 607 372 235 636 394 242 666 417 250 699 440 260 735 463 272 773 485 287 812 508 305 852 529 323

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mporokoso District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 129,062 64,879 64,183 132,684 66,761 65,923 151,929 76,785 75,144 173,387 88,000 85,387 197,171 100,473 96,698 0-4 23,558 11,940 11,618 24,010 12,180 11,830 26,391 13,446 12,945 29,182 14,936 14,246 32,124 16,516 15,608 5-9 21,380 10,808 10,572 21,739 11,005 10,735 23,867 12,138 11,729 26,423 13,495 12,929 29,381 15,069 14,313

10-14 18,299 9,356 8,943 19,039 9,744 9,295 21,564 11,095 10,470 23,733 12,260 11,474 26,305 13,634 12,671 15-19 13,786 7,190 6,596 14,155 7,373 6,782 17,214 8,991 8,223 19,576 10,271 9,305 21,587 11,364 10,223 20-24 11,134 5,740 5,394 11,458 5,935 5,523 12,752 6,603 6,149 15,615 8,112 7,503 17,826 9,304 8,522 25-29 8,310 3,993 4,317 8,704 4,249 4,455 10,578 5,409 5,169 11,858 6,066 5,792 14,625 7,512 7,113 30-34 6,663 2,956 3,707 6,771 3,008 3,763 8,447 4,059 4,388 10,352 5,207 5,144 11,681 5,871 5,811 35-39 5,925 2,802 3,123 6,087 2,838 3,249 6,266 2,811 3,455 7,871 3,814 4,057 9,694 4,913 4,781 40-44 4,775 2,416 2,359 4,900 2,462 2,438 6,072 2,828 3,244 6,285 2,823 3,462 7,920 3,847 4,073 45-49 3,957 1,996 1,961 4,122 2,070 2,052 4,470 2,233 2,237 5,560 2,580 2,980 5,776 2,589 3,187 50-54 2,861 1,532 1,329 2,965 1,587 1,378 3,910 2,020 1,891 4,254 2,188 2,065 5,280 2,534 2,746 55-59 2,370 1,149 1,222 2,451 1,192 1,259 2,720 1,359 1,361 3,597 1,733 1,864 3,920 1,884 2,036 60-64 1,765 796 969 1,884 847 1,037 2,416 1,078 1,338 2,681 1,232 1,449 3,558 1,571 1,987 65-69 1,389 667 721 1,426 694 732 1,937 944 994 2,472 1,194 1,278 2,738 1,358 1,380 70-74 1,134 526 609 1,149 535 614 1,179 593 586 1,590 795 794 2,008 994 1,014 75-79 863 463 400 892 474 418 1,019 529 490 1,042 576 466 1,380 755 625 80+ 892 549 343 930 567 363 1,124 650 475 1,297 717 580 1,367 758 610

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 131

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MPULUNGU DISTRICT,Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mpulungu District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 102,094 50,741 51,353 106,163 52,722 53,441 110,319 54,743 55,576 114,561 56,806 57,755 118,886 58,910 59,976 123,321 61,064 62,257 127,897 63,285 64,612 132,615 65,572 67,043 0-4 21,684 10,911 10,773 22,516 11,322 11,195 23,253 11,682 11,571 23,900 11,996 11,904 24,489 12,287 12,202 25,080 12,576 12,504 25,715 12,885 12,830 26,392 13,213 13,179 5-9 15,436 7,659 7,778 16,156 8,008 8,149 16,968 8,406 8,562 17,838 8,837 9,001 18,711 9,264 9,447 19,533 9,668 9,865 20,277 10,031 10,247 20,937 10,350 10,587

10-14 13,049 6,599 6,450 13,389 6,762 6,627 13,729 6,916 6,814 14,124 7,093 7,032 14,618 7,319 7,298 15,226 7,608 7,618 15,936 7,953 7,984 16,738 8,347 8,390 15-19 10,956 5,197 5,759 11,502 5,504 5,998 12,043 5,803 6,240 12,551 6,077 6,474 13,010 6,319 6,691 13,406 6,517 6,889 13,759 6,680 7,079 14,114 6,832 7,281 20-24 8,698 3,992 4,706 9,123 4,242 4,881 9,629 4,548 5,081 10,174 4,880 5,293 10,724 5,213 5,511 11,284 5,545 5,739 11,865 5,883 5,981 12,440 6,212 6,228 25-29 7,937 3,627 4,310 7,995 3,602 4,393 8,024 3,572 4,452 8,106 3,583 4,523 8,298 3,667 4,631 8,619 3,838 4,781 9,054 4,089 4,964 9,572 4,399 5,173 30-34 6,113 3,170 2,943 6,479 3,300 3,178 6,871 3,434 3,436 7,217 3,544 3,673 7,466 3,610 3,857 7,604 3,624 3,980 7,659 3,600 4,059 7,687 3,571 4,117 35-39 4,964 2,585 2,379 5,055 2,632 2,423 5,123 2,667 2,457 5,227 2,711 2,517 5,405 2,778 2,628 5,676 2,875 2,802 6,021 2,993 3,028 6,391 3,116 3,276 40-44 3,615 1,997 1,618 3,886 2,125 1,761 4,182 2,262 1,920 4,457 2,389 2,068 4,679 2,492 2,188 4,829 2,564 2,265 4,920 2,611 2,309 4,989 2,647 2,342 45-49 2,896 1,562 1,333 2,958 1,606 1,353 3,020 1,648 1,372 3,110 1,701 1,409 3,249 1,773 1,476 3,453 1,870 1,583 3,712 1,989 1,724 3,996 2,117 1,879 50-54 2,115 1,094 1,021 2,263 1,164 1,098 2,405 1,233 1,173 2,534 1,296 1,238 2,644 1,354 1,290 2,727 1,402 1,325 2,787 1,441 1,346 2,845 1,480 1,365 55-59 1,345 723 623 1,443 776 667 1,559 837 722 1,686 902 784 1,814 967 848 1,946 1,032 914 2,080 1,098 982 2,209 1,161 1,048 60-64 1,031 477 554 1,035 487 548 1,038 498 540 1,056 515 540 1,094 541 554 1,157 575 582 1,241 617 624 1,341 665 676 65-69 840 370 470 879 383 496 917 396 521 948 409 540 970 419 551 981 429 552 983 437 546 987 447 539 70-74 594 312 282 619 320 299 645 329 316 672 338 334 703 350 353 736 362 374 770 375 396 803 387 415 75-79 412 230 181 433 237 196 456 244 211 479 251 228 501 257 244 523 263 260 545 269 275 568 276 291 80+ 409 236 173 431 251 180 455 268 188 481 284 197 510 301 209 541 318 223 574 335 238 607 351 256

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mpulungu District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 137,480 67,927 69,553 142,493 70,351 72,142 169,928 83,566 86,362 201,952 98,904 103,048 239,139 116,609 122,530 0-4 27,112 13,561 13,551 27,865 13,925 13,940 31,915 15,878 16,037 36,725 18,186 18,540 42,082 20,743 21,339 5-9 21,520 10,629 10,891 22,066 10,894 11,172 25,245 12,411 12,833 29,087 14,226 14,861 33,670 16,386 17,284

10-14 17,599 8,774 8,825 18,464 9,198 9,266 21,790 10,817 10,973 24,957 12,324 12,633 28,795 14,138 14,656 15-19 14,527 7,009 7,518 15,043 7,235 7,808 19,066 9,112 9,954 22,565 10,732 11,833 25,907 12,249 13,659 20-24 12,979 6,514 6,465 13,467 6,780 6,687 15,619 7,791 7,828 19,903 9,868 10,035 23,648 11,674 11,974 25-29 10,132 4,734 5,397 10,698 5,071 5,627 13,532 6,667 6,864 15,789 7,709 8,080 20,272 9,848 10,424 30-34 7,770 3,584 4,186 7,964 3,671 4,293 10,379 5,117 5,263 13,249 6,768 6,481 15,561 7,871 7,691 35-39 6,720 3,216 3,503 6,961 3,279 3,682 7,471 3,355 4,117 9,771 4,693 5,078 12,522 6,235 6,287 40-44 5,093 2,693 2,400 5,268 2,763 2,505 6,783 3,277 3,506 7,303 3,373 3,931 9,599 4,741 4,858 45-49 4,260 2,235 2,024 4,474 2,333 2,140 5,053 2,599 2,453 6,529 3,097 3,432 7,062 3,206 3,856 50-54 2,930 1,528 1,402 3,061 1,593 1,468 4,212 2,094 2,118 4,770 2,340 2,430 6,189 2,794 3,395 55-59 2,326 1,220 1,106 2,426 1,274 1,152 2,809 1,501 1,308 3,856 1,973 1,882 4,373 2,213 2,160 60-64 1,449 716 734 1,560 767 793 2,084 1,008 1,076 2,412 1,188 1,224 3,326 1,563 1,763 65-69 1,002 463 540 1,038 485 553 1,469 680 789 1,954 888 1,066 2,251 1,041 1,210 70-74 829 399 430 847 409 438 908 468 440 1,273 647 626 1,674 834 840 75-79 592 284 308 618 293 325 738 337 401 779 379 400 1,076 512 564 80+ 641 367 274 675 382 293 854 452 403 1,031 514 517 1,131 560 571

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132 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MUNGWI DISTRICT, Northern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mungwi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 156,343 77,585 78,758 161,252 80,093 81,159 166,202 82,629 83,573 171,189 85,190 85,999 176,207 87,774 88,433 181,297 90,400 90,897 186,497 93,083 93,414 191,809 95,828 95,981 0-4 32,695 16,470 16,225 33,667 16,978 16,689 34,477 17,404 17,073 35,139 17,756 17,384 35,701 18,066 17,635 36,255 18,368 17,886 36,860 18,695 18,164 37,514 19,046 18,468 5-9 24,564 12,468 12,096 25,496 12,950 12,545 26,552 13,506 13,046 27,680 14,105 13,575 28,790 14,689 14,100 29,801 15,228 14,573 30,677 15,695 14,982 31,410 16,089 15,322

10-14 20,803 10,630 10,173 21,168 10,822 10,346 21,524 10,995 10,529 21,956 11,203 10,754 22,531 11,484 11,047 23,270 11,858 11,412 24,151 12,314 11,837 25,153 12,841 12,313 15-19 16,211 8,059 8,152 16,884 8,479 8,404 17,536 8,881 8,655 18,126 9,239 8,887 18,633 9,543 9,090 19,040 9,778 9,262 19,377 9,956 9,421 19,707 10,117 9,591 20-24 12,241 5,473 6,768 12,726 5,777 6,949 13,314 6,154 7,159 13,942 6,560 7,382 14,567 6,960 7,607 15,196 7,355 7,840 15,840 7,752 8,087 16,467 8,132 8,335 25-29 10,617 4,941 5,676 10,602 4,876 5,727 10,548 4,804 5,744 10,563 4,787 5,776 10,719 4,866 5,853 11,040 5,059 5,981 11,501 5,355 6,146 12,063 5,723 6,339 30-34 8,292 4,143 4,149 8,720 4,285 4,435 9,177 4,430 4,746 9,562 4,541 5,021 9,813 4,595 5,218 9,913 4,583 5,330 9,901 4,522 5,380 9,856 4,456 5,400 35-39 7,087 3,598 3,489 7,157 3,639 3,518 7,193 3,663 3,530 7,278 3,699 3,580 7,464 3,765 3,699 7,774 3,871 3,904 8,179 4,004 4,175 8,611 4,140 4,471 40-44 5,382 2,782 2,600 5,742 2,940 2,802 6,133 3,109 3,024 6,486 3,262 3,224 6,754 3,379 3,375 6,913 3,454 3,459 6,983 3,495 3,489 7,023 3,520 3,503 45-49 4,695 2,367 2,327 4,754 2,417 2,337 4,811 2,465 2,346 4,912 2,528 2,384 5,090 2,617 2,473 5,366 2,741 2,625 5,725 2,896 2,829 6,115 3,063 3,052 50-54 3,671 1,751 1,920 3,896 1,851 2,044 4,107 1,947 2,160 4,291 2,033 2,257 4,439 2,110 2,329 4,538 2,171 2,367 4,595 2,216 2,379 4,649 2,261 2,388 55-59 2,352 1,138 1,214 2,501 1,214 1,287 2,680 1,301 1,380 2,874 1,392 1,482 3,068 1,482 1,586 3,264 1,572 1,692 3,461 1,661 1,801 3,646 1,745 1,902 60-64 2,201 1,028 1,173 2,189 1,042 1,147 2,179 1,060 1,120 2,198 1,089 1,108 2,259 1,135 1,124 2,369 1,199 1,170 2,519 1,279 1,241 2,699 1,369 1,331 65-69 1,969 897 1,072 2,044 923 1,121 2,113 949 1,165 2,166 971 1,194 2,197 991 1,206 2,202 1,006 1,196 2,191 1,019 1,171 2,181 1,036 1,145 70-74 1,437 703 734 1,486 716 770 1,536 730 806 1,590 747 843 1,650 767 883 1,714 789 925 1,779 811 968 1,838 833 1,005 75-79 1,058 582 476 1,105 597 509 1,154 610 544 1,202 621 581 1,248 633 615 1,291 643 648 1,335 655 680 1,379 667 712 80+ 1,068 554 514 1,116 588 528 1,167 622 545 1,223 656 567 1,285 690 594 1,352 725 628 1,423 758 665 1,496 790 706

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mungwi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 197,231 98,631 98,600 202,765 101,494 101,271 232,167 116,737 115,430 264,948 133,793 131,155 301,277 152,763 148,514 0-4 38,216 19,421 18,795 38,950 19,813 19,138 42,816 21,884 20,932 47,318 24,309 23,010 52,072 26,882 25,190 5-9 32,016 16,415 15,601 32,555 16,716 15,840 35,746 18,447 17,299 39,555 20,508 19,047 43,972 22,901 21,071

10-14 26,227 13,409 12,818 27,288 13,966 13,322 30,909 15,910 14,999 33,999 17,581 16,419 37,672 19,553 18,119 15-19 20,111 10,310 9,801 20,650 10,574 10,076 25,113 12,900 12,212 28,540 14,736 13,804 31,461 16,305 15,156 20-24 17,036 8,472 8,564 17,528 8,761 8,767 19,509 9,752 9,757 23,873 11,979 11,894 27,239 13,740 13,499 25-29 12,665 6,120 6,546 13,267 6,512 6,755 16,128 8,294 7,835 18,070 9,301 8,769 22,279 11,519 10,760 30-34 9,878 4,443 5,435 10,039 4,522 5,517 12,536 6,106 6,430 15,362 7,833 7,529 17,329 8,831 8,498 35-39 8,979 4,247 4,732 9,225 4,302 4,923 9,496 4,263 5,233 11,921 5,783 6,138 14,678 7,449 7,229 40-44 7,111 3,558 3,553 7,298 3,626 3,672 9,051 4,166 4,884 9,366 4,159 5,207 11,789 5,668 6,121 45-49 6,467 3,214 3,254 6,738 3,333 3,406 7,308 3,596 3,711 9,092 4,155 4,937 9,447 4,171 5,276 50-54 4,748 2,320 2,427 4,920 2,402 2,517 6,512 3,060 3,452 7,081 3,315 3,766 8,843 3,838 5,004 55-59 3,807 1,822 1,986 3,938 1,890 2,047 4,368 2,157 2,211 5,776 2,751 3,025 6,292 2,990 3,301 60-64 2,893 1,463 1,429 3,087 1,557 1,530 3,957 1,984 1,973 4,400 2,267 2,134 5,815 2,891 2,924 65-69 2,199 1,065 1,134 2,258 1,108 1,151 3,067 1,506 1,561 3,911 1,906 2,005 4,332 2,168 2,164 70-74 1,883 852 1,030 1,907 868 1,039 1,955 962 992 2,633 1,291 1,342 3,326 1,613 1,713 75-79 1,426 681 745 1,476 697 779 1,692 779 913 1,715 849 866 2,273 1,111 1,161 80+ 1,568 819 749 1,640 846 793 2,006 970 1,036 2,335 1,071 1,264 2,460 1,132 1,328

Page 146: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 133

Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

RegionProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 746,982 768,262 789,836 811,706 833,818 856,286 879,229 902,631 926,485 950,789 975,559

1,000,815

1,026,614

1,053,004

1,080,072

1,107,872

1,136,463

1,165,903

1,196,232

1,227,481

1,259,651

1,292,727

1,326,694

1,361,502

1,397,137 0-4 152,023 157,184 161,141 164,061 166,293 168,452 170,693 173,000 175,386 177,883 180,439 183,007 185,635 188,392 191,364 194,606 198,158 202,026 206,190 210,612 215,232 219,966 224,743 229,483 234,127 5-9 114,493 119,851 126,381 133,582 140,731 147,009 152,147 156,122 159,076 161,335 163,511 165,767 168,087 170,497 173,015 175,597 178,187 180,839 183,620 186,612 189,872 193,436 197,317 201,489 205,924

10-14 101,746 101,943 102,279 103,398 105,838 109,753 115,040 121,482 128,593 135,661 141,891 147,010 150,986 153,949 156,216 158,401 160,664 162,998 165,425 167,958 170,559 173,168 175,839 178,643 181,658 15-19 85,641 88,613 91,173 93,105 94,323 94,885 95,090 95,433 96,547 98,967 102,842 108,058 114,412 121,446 128,457 134,654 139,759 143,730 146,701 148,976 151,159 153,435 155,783 158,226 160,782 20-24 62,290 65,369 68,989 72,685 76,109 79,253 82,173 84,698 86,617 87,849 88,432 88,676 89,063 90,193 92,607 96,434 101,577 107,843 114,781 121,719 127,867 132,943 136,912 139,895 142,180 25-29 53,276 52,880 52,478 52,635 53,732 55,869 58,855 62,375 65,985 69,345 72,449 75,337 77,858 79,791 81,057 81,701 82,018 82,476 83,661 86,083 89,881 94,961 101,147 107,998 114,877 30-34 42,492 43,987 45,474 46,631 47,260 47,293 46,936 46,586 46,790 47,901 50,016 52,950 56,398 59,946 63,261 66,335 69,215 71,738 73,703 75,027 75,755 76,164 76,712 77,958 80,408 35-39 34,086 34,665 35,187 35,832 36,712 37,902 39,335 40,775 41,918 42,577 42,688 42,425 42,171 42,442 43,579 45,682 48,571 51,957 55,451 58,729 61,782 64,655 67,193 69,198 70,582 40-44 25,582 26,767 27,995 29,121 30,062 30,773 31,325 31,847 32,489 33,372 34,557 35,978 37,406 38,563 39,258 39,435 39,257 39,085 39,412 40,568 42,651 45,497 48,827 52,264 55,505 45-49 20,050 20,491 20,942 21,517 22,274 23,243 24,364 25,527 26,614 27,535 28,248 28,815 29,355 30,015 30,905 32,080 33,481 34,896 36,049 36,770 36,999 36,884 36,779 37,151 38,319 50-54 14,846 15,450 16,055 16,629 17,153 17,609 18,013 18,442 19,000 19,730 20,670 21,746 22,867 23,916 24,820 25,528 26,109 26,665 27,335 28,227 29,388 30,766 32,163 33,308 34,049 55-59 10,259 10,675 11,180 11,714 12,228 12,740 13,279 13,825 14,347 14,849 15,293 15,684 16,107 16,644 17,343 18,234 19,263 20,328 21,335 22,207 22,905 23,487 24,043 24,710 25,586 60-64 8,737 8,551 8,372 8,302 8,384 8,632 9,010 9,468 9,955 10,425 10,894 11,398 11,899 12,383 12,852 13,265 13,631 14,035 14,543 15,201 16,035 16,995 17,992 18,938 19,755 65-69 7,017 7,152 7,281 7,346 7,325 7,219 7,053 6,897 6,837 6,916 7,142 7,474 7,881 8,315 8,732 9,149 9,595 10,043 10,472 10,891 11,263 11,595 11,958 12,422 13,019 70-74 5,450 5,382 5,327 5,319 5,359 5,446 5,563 5,673 5,724 5,707 5,618 5,482 5,362 5,312 5,386 5,582 5,861 6,203 6,563 6,907 7,254 7,628 7,999 8,358 8,705 75-79 4,104 4,130 4,147 4,140 4,098 4,039 3,981 3,933 3,923 3,952 4,016 4,108 4,190 4,227 4,211 4,137 4,024 3,923 3,881 3,936 4,083 4,297 4,554 4,823 5,079 80+ 4,890 5,172 5,435 5,689 5,937 6,169 6,372 6,548 6,684 6,785 6,853 6,900 6,937 6,973 7,009 7,052 7,093 7,118 7,110 7,058 6,966 6,850 6,733 6,638 6,582

Total (Females) 376,197 386,549 397,064 407,747 418,577 429,596 440,854 452,344 464,059 475,998 488,176 500,597 513,295 526,288 539,625 553,324 567,419 581,948 596,922 612,354 628,246 644,602 661,407 678,633 696,276

0-4 74,695 77,241 79,192 80,642 81,784 82,875 83,996 85,141 86,318 87,549 88,812 90,080 91,378 92,739 94,205 95,805 97,557 99,464 101,519 103,698 105,977 108,311 110,667 113,004 115,296 5-9 56,447 59,097 62,356 65,961 69,526 72,674 75,251 77,246 78,734 79,894 80,991 82,114 83,262 84,448 85,688 86,959 88,234 89,540 90,908 92,383 93,988 95,745 97,656 99,712 101,894

10-14 50,619 50,545 50,549 50,975 52,101 54,005 56,629 59,855 63,424 66,956 70,084 72,653 74,648 76,142 77,306 78,406 79,532 80,686 81,883 83,130 84,411 85,696 87,014 88,394 89,880 15-19 43,049 44,384 45,550 46,399 46,862 46,975 46,908 46,924 47,353 48,473 50,360 52,951 56,138 59,673 63,181 66,294 68,859 70,855 72,354 73,520 74,619 75,756 76,921 78,125 79,389 20-24 32,771 33,966 35,409 36,917 38,353 39,723 41,044 42,200 43,049 43,528 43,660 43,621 43,666 44,109 45,233 47,104 49,667 52,817 56,313 59,792 62,889 65,448 67,446 68,957 70,131 25-29 28,709 28,584 28,352 28,310 28,664 29,471 30,634 32,045 33,529 34,949 36,314 37,629 38,792 39,656 40,161 40,332 40,338 40,427 40,906 42,041 43,904 46,443 49,563 53,024 56,483 30-34 21,597 22,773 23,977 24,968 25,586 25,781 25,679 25,480 25,471 25,849 26,660 27,818 29,214 30,685 32,098 33,462 34,779 35,953 36,840 37,383 37,602 37,662 37,801 38,316 39,469 35-39 16,996 17,264 17,526 17,928 18,566 19,481 20,606 21,766 22,733 23,351 23,580 23,523 23,376 23,410 23,813 24,633 25,787 27,172 28,633 30,040 31,406 32,726 33,911 34,821 35,400 40-44 12,605 13,264 13,960 14,595 15,114 15,483 15,746 16,011 16,408 17,033 17,925 19,024 20,154 21,107 21,729 21,982 21,963 21,854 21,921 22,342 23,163 24,312 25,685 27,132 28,530 45-49 9,986 10,138 10,305 10,560 10,938 11,459 12,088 12,751 13,367 13,876 14,244 14,511 14,785 15,185 15,804 16,673 17,742 18,846 19,778 20,400 20,669 20,676 20,601 20,695 21,130 50-54 7,651 7,904 8,141 8,355 8,544 8,701 8,839 9,001 9,251 9,616 10,121 10,724 11,361 11,953 12,451 12,814 13,091 13,373 13,774 14,384 15,232 16,269 17,343 18,253 18,871 55-59 5,188 5,417 5,708 6,005 6,269 6,503 6,728 6,943 7,140 7,325 7,484 7,622 7,785 8,029 8,378 8,857 9,433 10,038 10,609 11,089 11,447 11,729 12,012 12,409 13,003 60-64 4,727 4,535 4,344 4,225 4,216 4,327 4,537 4,801 5,072 5,312 5,527 5,743 5,944 6,129 6,307 6,457 6,590 6,750 6,983 7,315 7,768 8,308 8,876 9,414 9,866 65-69 3,927 4,016 4,089 4,109 4,061 3,943 3,776 3,609 3,505 3,503 3,608 3,793 4,030 4,274 4,492 4,688 4,880 5,065 5,232 5,395 5,533 5,658 5,804 6,020 6,325 70-74 2,892 2,904 2,920 2,953 3,006 3,077 3,153 3,216 3,233 3,193 3,094 2,958 2,824 2,740 2,745 2,840 3,001 3,203 3,408 3,589 3,756 3,921 4,078 4,222 4,360 75-79 2,012 2,060 2,104 2,138 2,152 2,157 2,164 2,172 2,196 2,236 2,291 2,352 2,401 2,414 2,382 2,304 2,195 2,088 2,024 2,031 2,104 2,231 2,388 2,547 2,685 80+ 2,326 2,457 2,582 2,707 2,835 2,961 3,076 3,183 3,276 3,355 3,421 3,481 3,537 3,595 3,652 3,714 3,771 3,817 3,837 3,822 3,778 3,711 3,641 3,588 3,564

Total (Males) 370,785 381,713 392,772 403,959 415,241 426,690 438,375 450,287 462,426 474,791 487,383 500,218 513,319 526,716 540,447 554,548 569,044 583,955 599,310 615,127 631,405 648,125 665,287 682,869 700,861 0-4 77,328 79,943 81,949 83,419 84,509 85,577 86,697 87,859 89,068 90,334 91,627 92,927 94,257 95,653 97,159 98,801 100,601 102,562 104,671 106,914 109,255 111,655 114,076 116,479 118,831 5-9 58,046 60,754 64,025 67,621 71,205 74,335 76,896 78,876 80,342 81,441 82,520 83,653 84,825 86,049 87,327 88,638 89,953 91,299 92,712 94,229 95,884 97,691 99,661 101,777 104,030

10-14 51,127 51,398 51,730 52,423 53,737 55,748 58,411 61,627 65,169 68,705 71,807 74,357 76,338 77,807 78,910 79,995 81,132 82,312 83,542 84,828 86,148 87,472 88,825 90,249 91,778 15-19 42,592 44,229 45,623 46,706 47,461 47,910 48,182 48,509 49,194 50,494 52,482 55,107 58,274 61,773 65,276 68,360 70,900 72,875 74,347 75,456 76,540 77,679 78,862 80,101 81,393 20-24 29,519 31,403 33,580 35,768 37,756 39,530 41,129 42,498 43,568 44,321 44,772 45,055 45,397 46,084 47,374 49,330 51,910 55,026 58,468 61,927 64,978 67,495 69,466 70,938 72,049 25-29 24,567 24,296 24,126 24,325 25,068 26,398 28,221 30,330 32,456 34,396 36,135 37,708 39,066 40,135 40,896 41,369 41,680 42,049 42,755 44,042 45,977 48,518 51,584 54,974 58,394 30-34 20,895 21,214 21,497 21,663 21,674 21,512 21,257 21,106 21,319 22,052 23,356 25,132 27,184 29,261 31,163 32,873 34,436 35,785 36,863 37,644 38,153 38,502 38,911 39,642 40,939 35-39 17,090 17,401 17,661 17,904 18,146 18,421 18,729 19,009 19,185 19,226 19,108 18,902 18,795 19,032 19,766 21,049 22,784 24,785 26,818 28,689 30,376 31,929 33,282 34,377 35,182 40-44 12,977 13,503 14,035 14,526 14,948 15,290 15,579 15,836 16,081 16,339 16,632 16,954 17,252 17,456 17,529 17,453 17,294 17,231 17,491 18,226 19,488 21,185 23,142 25,132 26,975 45-49 10,064 10,353 10,637 10,957 11,336 11,784 12,276 12,776 13,247 13,659 14,004 14,304 14,570 14,830 15,101 15,407 15,739 16,050 16,271 16,370 16,330 16,208 16,178 16,456 17,189 50-54 7,195 7,546 7,914 8,274 8,609 8,908 9,174 9,441 9,749 10,114 10,549 11,022 11,506 11,963 12,369 12,714 13,018 13,292 13,561 13,843 14,156 14,497 14,820 15,055 15,178 55-59 5,071 5,258 5,472 5,709 5,959 6,237 6,551 6,882 7,207 7,524 7,809 8,062 8,322 8,615 8,965 9,377 9,830 10,290 10,726 11,118 11,458 11,758 12,031 12,301 12,583 60-64 4,010 4,016 4,028 4,077 4,168 4,305 4,473 4,667 4,883 5,113 5,367 5,655 5,955 6,254 6,545 6,808 7,041 7,285 7,560 7,886 8,267 8,687 9,116 9,524 9,889 65-69 3,090 3,136 3,192 3,237 3,264 3,276 3,277 3,288 3,332 3,413 3,534 3,681 3,851 4,041 4,240 4,461 4,715 4,978 5,240 5,496 5,730 5,937 6,154 6,402 6,694 70-74 2,558 2,478 2,407 2,366 2,353 2,369 2,410 2,457 2,491 2,514 2,524 2,524 2,538 2,572 2,641 2,742 2,860 3,000 3,155 3,318 3,498 3,707 3,921 4,136 4,345 75-79 2,092 2,070 2,043 2,002 1,946 1,882 1,817 1,761 1,727 1,716 1,725 1,756 1,789 1,813 1,829 1,833 1,829 1,835 1,857 1,905 1,979 2,066 2,166 2,276 2,394 80+ 2,564 2,715 2,853 2,982 3,102 3,208 3,296 3,365 3,408 3,430 3,432 3,419 3,400 3,378 3,357 3,338 3,322 3,301 3,273 3,236 3,188 3,139 3,092 3,050 3,018

Page 147: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

134 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 35,111 35,545 35,978 36,388 36,761 37,289 37,823 38,351 38,876 39,384 39,897 40,453 41,075 41,771 42,532 43,352 44,233 45,180 46,174 47,186 48,172 49,134 50,077 50,990 51,868Annual Number of Deaths 8,453 8,642 8,826 9,017 9,202 9,246 9,309 9,365 9,423 9,491 9,528 9,565 9,617 9,681 9,736 9,786 9,848 9,915 9,985 10,066 10,130 10,190 10,266 10,328 10,400Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 47.0 46.3 45.6 44.8 44.1 43.6 43.0 42.5 42.0 41.4 40.9 40.4 40.0 39.7 39.4 39.1 38.9 38.8 38.6 38.4 38.2 38.0 37.8 37.5 37.1 Crude Death Rate (CDR) 11.3 11.3 11.2 11.1 11.0 10.8 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.5 8.4 8.2 8.0 7.9 7.7 7.6 7.4 Growth Rate(%) 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes) 56.7 56.7 56.7 56.6 56.6 57.0 57.3 57.6 57.9 58.2 58.6 59.0 59.3 59.6 60.0 60.3 60.7 61.0 61.4 61.7 62.1 62.4 62.7 63.1 63.4 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males) 55.4 55.4 55.4 55.3 55.2 55.6 55.8 56.1 56.4 56.7 57.1 57.4 57.7 57.9 58.3 58.6 58.9 59.3 59.6 59.8 60.2 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.4 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females) 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.0 58.4 58.8 59.2 59.5 59.8 60.2 60.6 61.0 61.3 61.7 62.1 62.5 62.9 63.3 63.6 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.2 65.5 Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes) 57.3 56.9 56.5 56.2 55.8 55.4 55.0 54.6 54.2 53.8 53.3 52.9 52.5 52.0 51.6 51.1 50.6 50.2 49.7 49.3 48.8 48.3 47.8 47.3 46.8 Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 60.0 59.7 59.4 59.1 58.9 58.6 58.3 58.0 57.8 57.5 57.2 56.8 56.5 56.3 55.9 55.6 55.2 54.9 54.5 54.2 53.8 53.5 53.1 52.7 52.4 Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 54.4 54.0 53.5 53.1 52.7 52.1 51.6 51.0 50.5 50.0 49.4 48.8 48.2 47.6 47.1 46.4 45.8 45.2 44.6 44.1 43.5 42.8 42.2 41.6 41.0 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 746,982 768,262 789,836 811,706 833,818 856,286 879,229 902,631 926,485 950,789 975,559 1,000,815 1,026,614 1,053,004 1,080,072 1,107,872 1,136,463 1,165,903 1,196,232 1,227,481 1,259,651 1,292,727 1,326,694 1,361,502 1,397,137 0 33,325 33,744 34,169 34,583 34,965 35,406 35,923 36,440 36,950 37,452 37,953 38,477 39,054 39,698 40,415 41,192 42,027 42,922 43,866 44,845 45,819 46,768 47,700 48,607 49,485 1 32,168 32,685 33,119 33,559 33,990 34,378 34,820 35,339 35,856 36,367 36,868 37,371 37,895 38,471 39,113 39,826 40,601 41,433 42,324 43,266 44,240 45,213 46,161 47,091 47,998 2 30,649 31,757 32,281 32,719 33,167 33,603 33,995 34,437 34,956 35,475 35,989 36,493 36,996 37,523 38,100 38,744 39,460 40,235 41,069 41,961 42,903 43,880 44,854 45,803 46,735 3 28,875 30,351 31,455 31,980 32,423 32,876 33,311 33,704 34,148 34,669 35,188 35,705 36,211 36,714 37,243 37,821 38,468 39,186 39,962 40,796 41,689 42,631 43,610 44,585 45,536 4 27,006 28,647 30,117 31,220 31,748 32,189 32,644 33,080 33,476 33,920 34,441 34,961 35,479 35,986 36,493 37,023 37,602 38,250 38,969 39,744 40,581 41,474 42,418 43,397 44,373 5 25,280 26,861 28,498 29,962 31,062 31,592 32,034 32,489 32,924 33,321 33,767 34,288 34,806 35,327 35,836 36,343 36,875 37,455 38,103 38,822 39,598 40,435 41,328 42,273 43,254 6 23,785 25,190 26,767 28,399 29,860 30,958 31,486 31,928 32,386 32,819 33,218 33,662 34,186 34,705 35,226 35,733 36,242 36,775 37,354 38,003 38,722 39,499 40,336 41,230 42,173 7 22,561 23,700 25,101 26,674 28,300 29,760 30,854 31,385 31,825 32,284 32,716 33,116 33,560 34,084 34,604 35,125 35,634 36,142 36,676 37,257 37,906 38,625 39,403 40,240 41,134 8 21,699 22,479 23,616 25,013 26,583 28,205 29,661 30,754 31,285 31,725 32,183 32,616 33,018 33,460 33,985 34,506 35,026 35,536 36,045 36,580 37,160 37,811 38,531 39,308 40,147 9 21,168 21,621 22,399 23,534 24,926 26,494 28,112 29,566 30,656 31,186 31,627 32,085 32,517 32,921 33,364 33,890 34,410 34,931 35,442 35,950 36,486 37,066 37,719 38,438 39,216 10 20,793 20,982 21,435 22,209 23,341 24,728 26,292 27,906 29,359 30,448 30,981 31,421 31,879 32,312 32,714 33,159 33,686 34,208 34,729 35,241 35,750 36,286 36,867 37,520 38,242 11 20,597 20,502 20,690 21,141 21,911 23,037 24,422 25,982 27,592 29,044 30,135 30,668 31,110 31,567 32,000 32,404 32,849 33,377 33,899 34,421 34,936 35,444 35,983 36,565 37,219 12 20,508 20,306 20,211 20,399 20,845 21,616 22,740 24,118 25,675 27,281 28,733 29,826 30,358 30,802 31,257 31,691 32,097 32,541 33,071 33,593 34,116 34,633 35,141 35,681 36,266 13 20,226 20,217 20,016 19,921 20,109 20,552 21,323 22,444 23,818 25,370 26,974 28,425 29,520 30,052 30,496 30,953 31,384 31,791 32,236 32,769 33,290 33,814 34,333 34,841 35,384 14 19,622 19,936 19,927 19,728 19,632 19,820 20,263 21,032 22,149 23,518 25,068 26,670 28,119 29,216 29,749 30,194 30,648 31,081 31,490 31,934 32,467 32,991 33,515 34,036 34,547 15 18,790 19,348 19,661 19,653 19,453 19,358 19,547 19,989 20,756 21,871 23,237 24,781 26,379 27,827 28,924 29,459 29,904 30,359 30,790 31,201 31,645 32,180 32,704 33,229 33,749 16 17,964 18,532 19,088 19,400 19,392 19,194 19,100 19,290 19,733 20,496 21,607 22,969 24,509 26,104 27,548 28,649 29,184 29,627 30,084 30,512 30,925 31,369 31,904 32,429 32,955 17 17,197 17,708 18,276 18,829 19,140 19,134 18,937 18,845 19,034 19,479 20,239 21,348 22,703 24,240 25,832 27,274 28,374 28,910 29,354 29,810 30,238 30,650 31,097 31,631 32,157 18 16,330 16,943 17,456 18,020 18,573 18,883 18,879 18,684 18,592 18,781 19,227 19,984 21,090 22,441 23,974 25,561 27,002 28,104 28,639 29,082 29,538 29,967 30,379 30,826 31,362 19 15,360 16,082 16,692 17,203 17,765 18,316 18,627 18,625 18,432 18,340 18,532 18,976 19,731 20,834 22,179 23,711 25,295 26,730 27,834 28,371 28,813 29,269 29,699 30,111 30,559 20 14,326 15,110 15,828 16,436 16,943 17,506 18,056 18,366 18,366 18,176 18,087 18,280 18,724 19,476 20,577 21,915 23,442 25,023 26,455 27,560 28,099 28,540 28,997 29,426 29,840 21 13,229 14,075 14,856 15,567 16,174 16,678 17,241 17,788 18,100 18,104 17,915 17,829 18,025 18,468 19,216 20,316 21,648 23,172 24,747 26,176 27,283 27,822 28,264 28,723 29,152 22 12,212 12,985 13,825 14,603 15,309 15,914 16,418 16,980 17,524 17,837 17,844 17,658 17,575 17,771 18,215 18,960 20,057 21,386 22,903 24,476 25,900 27,009 27,548 27,992 28,451 23 11,458 11,974 12,742 13,577 14,350 15,053 15,656 16,160 16,721 17,266 17,578 17,586 17,405 17,323 17,522 17,967 18,709 19,801 21,126 22,638 24,208 25,629 26,740 27,279 27,723 24 11,065 11,225 11,738 12,502 13,333 14,102 14,802 15,404 15,906 16,466 17,008 17,323 17,334 17,155 17,077 17,276 17,721 18,461 19,550 20,869 22,377 23,943 25,363 26,475 27,014 25 10,912 10,815 10,973 11,482 12,240 13,065 13,831 14,528 15,130 15,631 16,192 16,734 17,049 17,063 16,889 16,814 17,017 17,462 18,201 19,287 20,602 22,105 23,668 25,083 26,198 26 10,872 10,641 10,547 10,702 11,205 11,957 12,778 13,541 14,236 14,837 15,337 15,896 16,442 16,757 16,776 16,608 16,536 16,742 17,189 17,926 19,010 20,321 21,820 23,382 24,794 27 10,789 10,602 10,373 10,278 10,432 10,930 11,679 12,497 13,256 13,948 14,549 15,048 15,609 16,153 16,470 16,493 16,332 16,265 16,473 16,921 17,657 18,739 20,047 21,541 23,101 28 10,570 10,519 10,333 10,106 10,013 10,165 10,663 11,408 12,222 12,978 13,666 14,268 14,766 15,327 15,871 16,191 16,216 16,062 16,000 16,209 16,659 17,395 18,474 19,779 21,268 29 10,133 10,303 10,252 10,067 9,842 9,752 9,904 10,401 11,141 11,951 12,705 13,391 13,992 14,491 15,051 15,595 15,917 15,945 15,798 15,740 15,953 16,401 17,138 18,213 19,516 30 9,565 9,895 10,060 10,010 9,828 9,606 9,520 9,675 10,169 10,906 11,713 12,463 13,148 13,747 14,247 14,806 15,351 15,674 15,707 15,563 15,510 15,727 16,176 16,913 17,987 31 8,965 9,355 9,682 9,847 9,796 9,618 9,403 9,319 9,475 9,968 10,701 11,505 12,253 12,934 13,532 14,032 14,593 15,138 15,463 15,501 15,362 15,313 15,533 15,983 16,719 32 8,418 8,761 9,148 9,471 9,634 9,585 9,412 9,203 9,123 9,279 9,771 10,500 11,301 12,048 12,726 13,324 13,825 14,384 14,929 15,256 15,298 15,164 15,120 15,344 15,794 33 7,948 8,220 8,559 8,942 9,263 9,425 9,379 9,211 9,007 8,931 9,088 9,579 10,305 11,102 11,847 12,523 13,120 13,621 14,180 14,725 15,055 15,102 14,973 14,932 15,159 34 7,596 7,756 8,025 8,361 8,739 9,059 9,222 9,178 9,016 8,817 8,743 8,903 9,391 10,115 10,909 11,650 12,326 12,921 13,424 13,982 14,530 14,858 14,910 14,786 14,749

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 135

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

35 7,340 7,420 7,576 7,842 8,174 8,550 8,869 9,034 8,993 8,836 8,642 8,572 8,734 9,219 9,941 10,730 11,470 12,145 12,738 13,243 13,798 14,348 14,679 14,735 14,615 36 7,116 7,176 7,254 7,409 7,671 8,000 8,373 8,692 8,859 8,821 8,671 8,483 8,416 8,580 9,062 9,781 10,568 11,304 11,979 12,570 13,076 13,633 14,183 14,516 14,577 37 6,862 6,955 7,014 7,091 7,243 7,502 7,832 8,202 8,521 8,691 8,655 8,509 8,328 8,263 8,429 8,912 9,626 10,409 11,145 11,818 12,408 12,915 13,473 14,022 14,357 38 6,563 6,705 6,795 6,853 6,929 7,080 7,338 7,668 8,036 8,354 8,526 8,495 8,353 8,177 8,117 8,284 8,765 9,477 10,257 10,990 11,662 12,250 12,759 13,318 13,866 39 6,205 6,409 6,548 6,637 6,695 6,770 6,923 7,179 7,509 7,875 8,194 8,366 8,340 8,203 8,030 7,975 8,142 8,622 9,332 10,108 10,838 11,509 12,099 12,607 13,167 40 5,824 6,078 6,279 6,415 6,503 6,560 6,638 6,793 7,048 7,376 7,739 8,059 8,232 8,209 8,076 7,906 7,855 8,025 8,503 9,209 9,984 10,709 11,380 11,969 12,477 41 5,436 5,722 5,972 6,169 6,305 6,392 6,451 6,529 6,685 6,940 7,268 7,630 7,948 8,123 8,103 7,975 7,808 7,759 7,932 8,406 9,110 9,882 10,605 11,273 11,860 42 5,063 5,337 5,622 5,869 6,062 6,199 6,285 6,346 6,427 6,584 6,836 7,165 7,524 7,842 8,018 8,000 7,877 7,714 7,666 7,840 8,312 9,015 9,783 10,503 11,170 43 4,746 4,971 5,242 5,523 5,767 5,958 6,095 6,184 6,245 6,325 6,486 6,736 7,063 7,423 7,739 7,916 7,900 7,781 7,623 7,579 7,752 8,223 8,922 9,686 10,405 44 4,513 4,659 4,880 5,145 5,425 5,664 5,856 5,995 6,084 6,147 6,228 6,388 6,639 6,966 7,322 7,638 7,817 7,806 7,688 7,534 7,493 7,668 8,137 8,833 9,593 45 4,336 4,424 4,569 4,788 5,047 5,326 5,563 5,754 5,892 5,983 6,047 6,129 6,290 6,541 6,867 7,221 7,536 7,716 7,706 7,593 7,442 7,402 7,580 8,047 8,739 46 4,187 4,248 4,334 4,477 4,693 4,949 5,226 5,462 5,652 5,790 5,880 5,946 6,030 6,190 6,441 6,765 7,118 7,433 7,611 7,604 7,496 7,349 7,311 7,490 7,955 47 4,028 4,101 4,162 4,245 4,386 4,599 4,853 5,128 5,362 5,552 5,691 5,782 5,848 5,934 6,094 6,344 6,667 7,018 7,334 7,512 7,506 7,401 7,259 7,223 7,403 48 3,854 3,944 4,014 4,077 4,157 4,298 4,509 4,761 5,036 5,265 5,457 5,594 5,686 5,755 5,840 6,000 6,250 6,571 6,919 7,236 7,414 7,412 7,309 7,170 7,136 49 3,645 3,774 3,863 3,930 3,991 4,071 4,213 4,422 4,672 4,945 5,173 5,364 5,501 5,595 5,663 5,750 5,910 6,158 6,479 6,825 7,141 7,320 7,320 7,221 7,086 50 3,401 3,552 3,677 3,763 3,829 3,889 3,970 4,110 4,317 4,566 4,836 5,063 5,253 5,390 5,485 5,554 5,643 5,803 6,051 6,369 6,714 7,029 7,209 7,212 7,116 51 3,163 3,295 3,442 3,566 3,648 3,713 3,773 3,854 3,994 4,198 4,444 4,712 4,938 5,125 5,265 5,359 5,430 5,519 5,679 5,928 6,243 6,587 6,900 7,081 7,087 52 2,962 3,066 3,193 3,337 3,454 3,534 3,602 3,661 3,743 3,880 4,084 4,328 4,592 4,818 5,002 5,142 5,240 5,310 5,401 5,560 5,808 6,123 6,465 6,777 6,956 53 2,760 2,867 2,969 3,091 3,230 3,346 3,427 3,495 3,554 3,636 3,772 3,974 4,216 4,477 4,701 4,885 5,025 5,122 5,195 5,287 5,445 5,693 6,006 6,346 6,657 54 2,560 2,670 2,774 2,872 2,992 3,127 3,241 3,322 3,392 3,450 3,534 3,669 3,868 4,106 4,367 4,588 4,771 4,911 5,009 5,083 5,178 5,334 5,583 5,892 6,233 55 2,373 2,481 2,587 2,691 2,785 2,903 3,038 3,148 3,228 3,300 3,357 3,440 3,575 3,773 4,008 4,264 4,485 4,668 4,806 4,905 4,978 5,075 5,230 5,478 5,785 56 2,186 2,305 2,412 2,516 2,616 2,709 2,827 2,959 3,067 3,148 3,219 3,275 3,357 3,492 3,687 3,920 4,171 4,389 4,572 4,708 4,807 4,881 4,977 5,131 5,376 57 2,011 2,120 2,238 2,343 2,445 2,544 2,634 2,751 2,882 2,988 3,069 3,140 3,195 3,275 3,409 3,602 3,833 4,081 4,299 4,477 4,613 4,711 4,786 4,882 5,035 58 1,879 1,950 2,055 2,172 2,274 2,376 2,473 2,563 2,677 2,808 2,913 2,993 3,062 3,117 3,197 3,329 3,521 3,750 3,992 4,209 4,386 4,522 4,618 4,693 4,788 59 1,810 1,819 1,888 1,992 2,108 2,208 2,307 2,404 2,493 2,605 2,735 2,836 2,918 2,987 3,042 3,119 3,253 3,440 3,666 3,908 4,121 4,298 4,432 4,526 4,602 60 1,783 1,747 1,757 1,824 1,924 2,037 2,137 2,235 2,331 2,417 2,526 2,657 2,754 2,837 2,904 2,959 3,035 3,167 3,353 3,574 3,811 4,023 4,198 4,332 4,425 61 1,777 1,717 1,681 1,691 1,755 1,853 1,964 2,061 2,157 2,252 2,336 2,442 2,572 2,667 2,748 2,813 2,868 2,944 3,073 3,256 3,474 3,707 3,916 4,088 4,221 62 1,768 1,710 1,653 1,616 1,625 1,688 1,784 1,893 1,988 2,083 2,175 2,257 2,363 2,487 2,583 2,662 2,727 2,781 2,856 2,982 3,164 3,379 3,608 3,813 3,981 63 1,740 1,703 1,644 1,589 1,553 1,562 1,623 1,719 1,824 1,915 2,011 2,101 2,180 2,284 2,407 2,501 2,579 2,645 2,698 2,772 2,895 3,074 3,284 3,510 3,712 64 1,669 1,674 1,637 1,582 1,527 1,492 1,502 1,560 1,655 1,758 1,846 1,941 2,030 2,108 2,210 2,330 2,422 2,498 2,563 2,617 2,691 2,812 2,986 3,195 3,416 65 1,576 1,607 1,614 1,575 1,521 1,468 1,435 1,446 1,500 1,594 1,695 1,780 1,874 1,961 2,037 2,135 2,253 2,344 2,415 2,481 2,533 2,606 2,725 2,895 3,100 66 1,477 1,519 1,548 1,554 1,517 1,465 1,414 1,380 1,394 1,445 1,536 1,635 1,718 1,807 1,892 1,966 2,061 2,177 2,265 2,334 2,399 2,449 2,520 2,637 2,802 67 1,391 1,422 1,462 1,492 1,498 1,461 1,410 1,361 1,329 1,341 1,391 1,478 1,575 1,656 1,743 1,827 1,897 1,990 2,103 2,189 2,254 2,320 2,368 2,435 2,551 68 1,316 1,340 1,368 1,408 1,436 1,443 1,406 1,357 1,309 1,278 1,290 1,340 1,425 1,519 1,598 1,682 1,763 1,831 1,921 2,032 2,115 2,178 2,241 2,288 2,353 69 1,257 1,264 1,289 1,317 1,353 1,382 1,388 1,353 1,305 1,258 1,230 1,241 1,289 1,372 1,462 1,539 1,621 1,701 1,768 1,855 1,962 2,042 2,104 2,167 2,213 70 1,194 1,195 1,201 1,224 1,252 1,287 1,317 1,321 1,288 1,242 1,196 1,171 1,181 1,226 1,307 1,394 1,468 1,547 1,622 1,686 1,771 1,875 1,952 2,013 2,071 71 1,138 1,122 1,120 1,126 1,150 1,176 1,208 1,238 1,243 1,211 1,167 1,123 1,100 1,109 1,153 1,230 1,312 1,384 1,460 1,532 1,593 1,673 1,771 1,847 1,904 72 1,092 1,066 1,052 1,050 1,055 1,078 1,104 1,135 1,160 1,168 1,138 1,095 1,053 1,029 1,039 1,082 1,156 1,234 1,302 1,374 1,443 1,502 1,580 1,673 1,745 73 1,043 1,021 1,000 985 981 988 1,009 1,034 1,065 1,089 1,096 1,067 1,026 987 964 974 1,015 1,086 1,160 1,226 1,295 1,359 1,416 1,491 1,579 74 983 978 954 934 921 917 925 945 968 997 1,021 1,026 1,002 961 923 902 910 952 1,019 1,089 1,152 1,219 1,280 1,334 1,406 75 932 926 920 899 879 868 861 870 888 910 939 962 966 942 904 868 846 855 893 957 1,024 1,083 1,146 1,203 1,254 76 874 883 877 873 854 832 821 815 823 841 861 888 910 912 890 854 818 797 804 840 901 962 1,018 1,076 1,130 77 815 828 836 832 828 808 790 777 770 779 794 813 838 859 861 840 803 770 750 755 788 846 903 955 1,008 78 762 771 785 792 788 785 765 747 735 728 736 751 767 791 811 812 793 756 724 705 709 741 793 846 895 79 721 722 729 744 749 746 744 724 707 694 686 694 709 723 745 763 764 745 710 679 661 665 694 743 792

80+ 4,890 5,172 5,435 5,689 5,937 6,169 6,372 6,548 6,684 6,785 6,853 6,900 6,937 6,973 7,009 7,052 7,093 7,118 7,110 7,058 6,966 6,850 6,733 6,638 6,582

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136 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Males) 370,785 381,713 392,772 403,959 415,241 426,690 438,375 450,287 462,426 474,791 487,383 500,218 513,319 526,716 540,447 554,548 569,044 583,955 599,310 615,127 631,405 648,125 665,287 682,869 700,861 0 17,008 17,222 17,438 17,648 17,843 18,066 18,327 18,588 18,846 19,100 19,353 19,618 19,910 20,236 20,600 20,994 21,418 21,872 22,351 22,848 23,342 23,823 24,295 24,755 25,200 1 16,401 16,650 16,868 17,088 17,301 17,498 17,722 17,985 18,245 18,503 18,757 19,011 19,275 19,566 19,891 20,251 20,644 21,064 21,515 21,992 22,485 22,978 23,458 23,928 24,387 2 15,575 16,161 16,410 16,626 16,846 17,060 17,259 17,483 17,747 18,009 18,269 18,524 18,779 19,045 19,337 19,664 20,025 20,419 20,840 21,293 21,770 22,265 22,759 23,240 23,711 3 14,649 15,397 15,977 16,225 16,440 16,661 16,875 17,074 17,300 17,566 17,827 18,089 18,346 18,601 18,869 19,161 19,490 19,853 20,248 20,669 21,123 21,600 22,097 22,591 23,074 4 13,695 14,513 15,256 15,832 16,079 16,292 16,514 16,729 16,930 17,156 17,421 17,685 17,947 18,205 18,462 18,731 19,024 19,354 19,717 20,112 20,535 20,989 21,467 21,965 22,459 5 12,827 13,610 14,424 15,163 15,735 15,982 16,195 16,417 16,632 16,834 17,061 17,326 17,589 17,852 18,112 18,369 18,639 18,933 19,263 19,626 20,022 20,444 20,900 21,377 21,877 6 12,071 12,774 13,555 14,365 15,102 15,672 15,918 16,131 16,355 16,569 16,772 16,998 17,263 17,528 17,790 18,050 18,307 18,578 18,871 19,202 19,565 19,962 20,383 20,840 21,316 7 11,447 12,021 12,722 13,500 14,306 15,041 15,609 15,856 16,070 16,293 16,506 16,710 16,937 17,202 17,466 17,729 17,990 18,247 18,518 18,812 19,142 19,505 19,903 20,324 20,781 8 10,996 11,399 11,972 12,669 13,445 14,249 14,981 15,549 15,796 16,009 16,232 16,446 16,650 16,876 17,142 17,406 17,669 17,930 18,188 18,459 18,753 19,084 19,448 19,845 20,267 9 10,705 10,950 11,352 11,924 12,617 13,391 14,193 14,923 15,489 15,736 15,949 16,173 16,386 16,591 16,817 17,084 17,348 17,611 17,872 18,130 18,402 18,696 19,027 19,391 19,789 10 10,497 10,615 10,861 11,260 11,830 12,520 13,292 14,092 14,822 15,386 15,635 15,847 16,071 16,285 16,489 16,716 16,984 17,248 17,511 17,773 18,031 18,303 18,597 18,929 19,294 11 10,376 10,365 10,483 10,727 11,124 11,691 12,380 13,150 13,948 14,677 15,242 15,491 15,705 15,928 16,142 16,347 16,574 16,842 17,106 17,370 17,633 17,891 18,164 18,459 18,791 12 10,301 10,244 10,234 10,351 10,593 10,989 11,555 12,241 13,009 13,805 14,534 15,101 15,349 15,564 15,786 16,000 16,207 16,433 16,702 16,966 17,230 17,494 17,752 18,026 18,322 13 10,135 10,170 10,113 10,102 10,219 10,460 10,856 11,420 12,104 12,870 13,664 14,393 14,960 15,209 15,423 15,647 15,860 16,067 16,293 16,564 16,828 17,093 17,356 17,615 17,890 14 9,818 10,004 10,039 9,983 9,971 10,088 10,328 10,724 11,286 11,967 12,732 13,525 14,253 14,821 15,070 15,285 15,507 15,722 15,930 16,155 16,426 16,691 16,956 17,220 17,481 15 9,386 9,689 9,875 9,910 9,853 9,842 9,960 10,198 10,593 11,154 11,834 12,596 13,386 14,113 14,681 14,932 15,147 15,369 15,582 15,792 16,017 16,288 16,553 16,819 17,082 16 8,964 9,262 9,563 9,748 9,783 9,726 9,715 9,834 10,072 10,465 11,023 11,700 12,461 13,250 13,974 14,543 14,794 15,008 15,232 15,443 15,654 15,878 16,150 16,415 16,681 17 8,571 8,841 9,138 9,437 9,622 9,658 9,601 9,590 9,709 9,947 10,339 10,896 11,569 12,328 13,115 13,838 14,407 14,658 14,872 15,095 15,306 15,517 15,741 16,014 16,279 18 8,108 8,449 8,719 9,014 9,313 9,497 9,534 9,477 9,467 9,585 9,824 10,214 10,769 11,440 12,196 12,981 13,703 14,273 14,523 14,737 14,960 15,171 15,381 15,606 15,879 19 7,563 7,988 8,328 8,597 8,890 9,187 9,372 9,410 9,353 9,343 9,462 9,701 10,089 10,642 11,310 12,066 12,849 13,567 14,138 14,389 14,603 14,825 15,037 15,247 15,472 20 6,969 7,444 7,866 8,205 8,471 8,765 9,061 9,245 9,285 9,228 9,220 9,339 9,577 9,964 10,515 11,179 11,932 12,713 13,430 14,001 14,253 14,466 14,689 14,900 15,110 21 6,341 6,851 7,324 7,742 8,080 8,345 8,638 8,932 9,116 9,157 9,101 9,094 9,214 9,452 9,836 10,387 11,047 11,798 12,576 13,291 13,862 14,113 14,327 14,551 14,762 22 5,764 6,227 6,733 7,205 7,619 7,956 8,220 8,513 8,805 8,990 9,031 8,976 8,970 9,090 9,328 9,710 10,259 10,918 11,665 12,440 13,153 13,725 13,976 14,190 14,414 23 5,335 5,654 6,113 6,616 7,085 7,497 7,833 8,097 8,388 8,681 8,864 8,906 8,853 8,847 8,968 9,206 9,587 10,132 10,789 11,533 12,307 13,017 13,590 13,841 14,055 24 5,110 5,227 5,544 6,000 6,501 6,967 7,377 7,711 7,974 8,265 8,556 8,740 8,783 8,731 8,727 8,848 9,085 9,465 10,008 10,662 11,403 12,174 12,884 13,456 13,708 25 5,024 4,990 5,105 5,420 5,872 6,369 6,833 7,241 7,575 7,836 8,128 8,419 8,602 8,646 8,596 8,593 8,716 8,953 9,332 9,873 10,525 11,263 12,032 12,740 13,312 26 4,993 4,889 4,856 4,970 5,281 5,729 6,223 6,684 7,090 7,423 7,684 7,974 8,267 8,450 8,496 8,449 8,447 8,571 8,808 9,187 9,726 10,376 11,112 11,880 12,586 27 4,952 4,858 4,756 4,721 4,835 5,142 5,588 6,080 6,538 6,942 7,274 7,534 7,825 8,117 8,300 8,347 8,304 8,304 8,429 8,666 9,044 9,583 10,230 10,963 11,731 28 4,874 4,818 4,724 4,623 4,588 4,701 5,007 5,450 5,939 6,394 6,795 7,128 7,387 7,678 7,970 8,154 8,202 8,161 8,164 8,290 8,528 8,905 9,442 10,088 10,817 29 4,724 4,741 4,685 4,591 4,492 4,457 4,570 4,875 5,314 5,801 6,254 6,653 6,985 7,244 7,534 7,826 8,011 8,060 8,022 8,026 8,154 8,391 8,768 9,303 9,948 30 4,534 4,602 4,617 4,562 4,469 4,371 4,338 4,451 4,755 5,191 5,676 6,126 6,524 6,855 7,114 7,403 7,695 7,880 7,932 7,894 7,901 8,030 8,268 8,645 9,179 31 4,341 4,422 4,490 4,505 4,450 4,359 4,263 4,231 4,344 4,646 5,080 5,562 6,010 6,406 6,736 6,995 7,284 7,576 7,762 7,816 7,781 7,789 7,919 8,158 8,534 32 4,169 4,232 4,312 4,379 4,393 4,339 4,250 4,157 4,126 4,239 4,540 4,971 5,451 5,897 6,291 6,620 6,880 7,167 7,459 7,646 7,702 7,669 7,680 7,811 8,051 33 4,003 4,061 4,123 4,202 4,269 4,283 4,230 4,144 4,053 4,024 4,137 4,436 4,865 5,342 5,786 6,179 6,507 6,766 7,053 7,346 7,533 7,592 7,561 7,574 7,705 34 3,848 3,897 3,955 4,015 4,093 4,160 4,176 4,123 4,041 3,952 3,923 4,037 4,334 4,761 5,236 5,676 6,070 6,396 6,657 6,942 7,236 7,422 7,483 7,454 7,470 35 3,709 3,752 3,799 3,856 3,915 3,993 4,060 4,078 4,026 3,947 3,860 3,833 3,947 4,243 4,668 5,139 5,578 5,970 6,295 6,558 6,840 7,136 7,323 7,386 7,358 36 3,575 3,621 3,662 3,709 3,764 3,823 3,902 3,968 3,989 3,939 3,863 3,779 3,754 3,867 4,161 4,584 5,054 5,489 5,881 6,204 6,468 6,751 7,046 7,235 7,300 37 3,431 3,489 3,534 3,574 3,620 3,674 3,735 3,813 3,880 3,903 3,854 3,780 3,699 3,675 3,790 4,083 4,502 4,970 5,404 5,795 6,117 6,381 6,665 6,960 7,149 38 3,274 3,347 3,403 3,447 3,486 3,531 3,586 3,648 3,726 3,794 3,819 3,773 3,701 3,622 3,600 3,716 4,007 4,424 4,890 5,321 5,711 6,032 6,297 6,581 6,875 39 3,101 3,192 3,263 3,318 3,361 3,400 3,446 3,502 3,564 3,643 3,712 3,737 3,694 3,625 3,547 3,527 3,643 3,932 4,348 4,811 5,240 5,629 5,951 6,215 6,500 40 2,928 3,032 3,121 3,191 3,245 3,287 3,327 3,375 3,431 3,493 3,572 3,642 3,668 3,627 3,560 3,484 3,466 3,584 3,871 4,284 4,746 5,171 5,560 5,881 6,146 41 2,753 2,873 2,974 3,061 3,130 3,183 3,226 3,267 3,315 3,373 3,436 3,516 3,586 3,613 3,574 3,510 3,435 3,418 3,537 3,822 4,234 4,693 5,117 5,503 5,823 42 2,577 2,698 2,818 2,917 3,002 3,071 3,124 3,168 3,210 3,260 3,317 3,381 3,460 3,531 3,560 3,522 3,461 3,389 3,372 3,491 3,774 4,185 4,642 5,064 5,449 43 2,421 2,526 2,646 2,764 2,861 2,945 3,013 3,067 3,113 3,154 3,206 3,262 3,327 3,408 3,479 3,509 3,473 3,413 3,344 3,329 3,447 3,729 4,137 4,591 5,013 44 2,298 2,374 2,476 2,593 2,710 2,804 2,889 2,959 3,012 3,059 3,101 3,153 3,211 3,277 3,356 3,428 3,459 3,427 3,367 3,300 3,287 3,407 3,686 4,093 4,544 45 2,201 2,253 2,329 2,430 2,543 2,659 2,753 2,838 2,907 2,961 3,007 3,051 3,104 3,162 3,229 3,308 3,381 3,412 3,381 3,324 3,258 3,246 3,367 3,644 4,049 46 2,114 2,160 2,211 2,285 2,385 2,497 2,612 2,706 2,791 2,859 2,913 2,960 3,005 3,057 3,116 3,183 3,262 3,336 3,367 3,338 3,284 3,219 3,208 3,329 3,604 47 2,022 2,073 2,119 2,169 2,242 2,340 2,452 2,566 2,659 2,745 2,813 2,867 2,914 2,960 3,012 3,072 3,140 3,218 3,293 3,324 3,296 3,243 3,181 3,171 3,292 48 1,921 1,983 2,032 2,079 2,127 2,201 2,298 2,409 2,523 2,613 2,701 2,768 2,822 2,871 2,916 2,969 3,029 3,097 3,174 3,251 3,282 3,257 3,204 3,144 3,135 49 1,806 1,884 1,946 1,994 2,039 2,087 2,161 2,257 2,367 2,481 2,570 2,658 2,725 2,780 2,828 2,875 2,927 2,987 3,056 3,133 3,210 3,243 3,218 3,168 3,109 50 1,672 1,762 1,839 1,899 1,946 1,991 2,039 2,112 2,207 2,316 2,429 2,519 2,606 2,672 2,728 2,776 2,823 2,877 2,938 3,006 3,084 3,160 3,195 3,172 3,123 51 1,540 1,622 1,710 1,785 1,843 1,889 1,934 1,981 2,055 2,148 2,257 2,368 2,457 2,544 2,612 2,667 2,716 2,763 2,817 2,879 2,947 3,026 3,102 3,137 3,117 52 1,428 1,495 1,574 1,660 1,732 1,788 1,835 1,879 1,927 2,000 2,092 2,200 2,310 2,400 2,484 2,553 2,610 2,658 2,705 2,760 2,823 2,891 2,970 3,047 3,081 53 1,324 1,384 1,450 1,526 1,609 1,680 1,737 1,783 1,827 1,874 1,947 2,039 2,145 2,255 2,344 2,428 2,496 2,553 2,603 2,650 2,705 2,768 2,837 2,915 2,993 54 1,231 1,283 1,341 1,404 1,479 1,560 1,629 1,686 1,733 1,776 1,824 1,896 1,988 2,092 2,201 2,290 2,373 2,441 2,498 2,548 2,597 2,652 2,716 2,784 2,864 55 1,152 1,196 1,245 1,304 1,365 1,438 1,519 1,586 1,642 1,690 1,732 1,779 1,851 1,942 2,045 2,152 2,241 2,324 2,391 2,449 2,498 2,547 2,602 2,667 2,734 56 1,077 1,123 1,166 1,215 1,271 1,331 1,404 1,483 1,548 1,605 1,652 1,693 1,740 1,811 1,902 2,004 2,107 2,196 2,279 2,345 2,402 2,452 2,500 2,554 2,619 57 1,004 1,047 1,093 1,135 1,183 1,239 1,297 1,370 1,447 1,512 1,569 1,615 1,655 1,701 1,771 1,861 1,962 2,064 2,153 2,233 2,299 2,356 2,405 2,454 2,507 58 941 977 1,019 1,064 1,104 1,153 1,208 1,265 1,336 1,413 1,477 1,533 1,578 1,618 1,664 1,733 1,822 1,922 2,021 2,110 2,190 2,255 2,311 2,359 2,408

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 137

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

59 897 915 949 991 1,036 1,076 1,123 1,178 1,234 1,304 1,379 1,442 1,498 1,543 1,583 1,627 1,698 1,784 1,882 1,981 2,069 2,148 2,213 2,267 2,315 60 859 868 885 919 959 1,003 1,042 1,089 1,143 1,198 1,266 1,341 1,402 1,458 1,501 1,541 1,585 1,654 1,740 1,835 1,932 2,020 2,098 2,163 2,216 61 831 827 835 852 884 923 967 1,005 1,051 1,104 1,157 1,223 1,298 1,357 1,412 1,454 1,493 1,536 1,604 1,689 1,783 1,877 1,964 2,040 2,105 62 805 799 796 803 819 850 888 931 969 1,015 1,065 1,117 1,183 1,255 1,313 1,367 1,409 1,447 1,490 1,555 1,640 1,733 1,825 1,911 1,985 63 777 775 768 764 772 788 818 856 896 933 980 1,029 1,078 1,142 1,214 1,271 1,324 1,366 1,403 1,446 1,509 1,592 1,683 1,774 1,858 64 738 747 744 739 734 741 758 786 824 863 899 945 994 1,042 1,105 1,175 1,230 1,282 1,323 1,361 1,403 1,465 1,546 1,636 1,725 65 693 709 718 714 709 705 711 729 755 792 830 865 910 958 1,005 1,065 1,134 1,187 1,237 1,278 1,315 1,356 1,417 1,496 1,584 66 648 665 680 688 684 680 677 681 701 725 761 798 832 874 920 966 1,024 1,093 1,143 1,191 1,232 1,267 1,307 1,367 1,443 67 611 621 637 653 661 657 652 649 654 673 696 730 766 799 840 885 929 985 1,052 1,102 1,147 1,188 1,222 1,259 1,319 68 580 587 595 611 626 634 630 626 623 627 645 669 702 737 768 808 852 894 948 1,013 1,061 1,105 1,144 1,177 1,213 69 558 554 562 571 584 600 607 603 599 596 602 619 641 673 707 737 776 819 860 912 975 1,021 1,064 1,103 1,135 70 539 530 524 532 541 554 570 576 573 568 565 572 588 609 640 673 701 738 779 818 868 929 973 1,015 1,051 71 525 507 497 491 500 508 520 536 541 539 534 531 538 552 573 602 633 661 696 735 773 819 877 920 960 72 513 492 475 466 461 469 476 488 502 508 506 501 498 504 519 538 566 595 621 655 691 728 773 828 868 73 500 480 462 445 435 432 439 446 458 471 477 474 469 467 472 487 505 532 560 584 617 651 686 728 781 74 481 469 449 432 416 406 405 411 417 428 442 446 445 440 437 442 455 474 499 526 549 580 612 645 685 75 462 452 441 422 406 392 380 380 385 392 402 415 419 417 413 410 414 427 443 467 492 514 543 573 604 76 440 436 427 417 399 382 369 358 358 362 369 378 390 393 392 388 384 387 400 414 437 460 480 506 534 77 418 415 412 404 394 376 361 348 337 337 340 347 355 366 369 368 363 359 362 373 386 407 429 446 471 78 395 394 392 389 381 373 355 340 327 317 317 319 325 333 343 346 345 340 335 339 348 361 378 399 415 79 377 373 371 370 366 359 352 335 320 308 297 297 300 304 312 321 323 322 317 312 316 324 336 352 370

80+ 2,564 2,715 2,853 2,982 3,102 3,208 3,296 3,365 3,408 3,430 3,432 3,419 3,400 3,378 3,357 3,338 3,322 3,301 3,273 3,236 3,188 3,139 3,092 3,050 3,018

Total (Females) 376,197 386,549 397,064 407,747 418,577 429,596 440,854 452,344 464,059 475,998 488,176 500,597 513,295 526,288 539,625 553,324 567,419 581,948 596,922 612,354 628,246 644,602 661,407 678,633 696,276 0 16,317 16,522 16,731 16,935 17,122 17,340 17,596 17,852 18,104 18,352 18,600 18,859 19,144 19,462 19,815 20,198 20,609 21,050 21,515 21,997 22,477 22,945 23,405 23,852 24,285 1 15,767 16,035 16,251 16,471 16,689 16,880 17,098 17,354 17,611 17,864 18,111 18,360 18,620 18,905 19,222 19,575 19,957 20,369 20,809 21,274 21,755 22,235 22,703 23,163 23,611 2 15,074 15,596 15,871 16,093 16,321 16,543 16,736 16,954 17,209 17,466 17,720 17,969 18,217 18,478 18,763 19,080 19,435 19,816 20,229 20,668 21,133 21,615 22,095 22,563 23,024 3 14,226 14,954 15,478 15,755 15,983 16,215 16,436 16,630 16,848 17,103 17,361 17,616 17,865 18,113 18,374 18,660 18,978 19,333 19,714 20,127 20,566 21,031 21,513 21,994 22,462 4 13,311 14,134 14,861 15,388 15,669 15,897 16,130 16,351 16,546 16,764 17,020 17,276 17,532 17,781 18,031 18,292 18,578 18,896 19,252 19,632 20,046 20,485 20,951 21,432 21,914 5 12,453 13,251 14,074 14,799 15,327 15,610 15,839 16,072 16,292 16,487 16,706 16,962 17,217 17,475 17,724 17,974 18,236 18,522 18,840 19,196 19,576 19,991 20,428 20,896 21,377 6 11,714 12,416 13,212 14,034 14,758 15,286 15,568 15,797 16,031 16,250 16,446 16,664 16,923 17,177 17,436 17,683 17,935 18,197 18,483 18,801 19,157 19,537 19,953 20,390 20,857 7 11,114 11,679 12,379 13,174 13,994 14,719 15,245 15,529 15,755 15,991 16,210 16,406 16,623 16,882 17,138 17,396 17,644 17,895 18,158 18,445 18,764 19,120 19,500 19,916 20,353 8 10,703 11,080 11,644 12,344 13,138 13,956 14,680 15,205 15,489 15,716 15,951 16,170 16,368 16,584 16,843 17,100 17,357 17,606 17,857 18,121 18,407 18,727 19,083 19,463 19,880 9 10,463 10,671 11,047 11,610 12,309 13,103 13,919 14,643 15,167 15,450 15,678 15,912 16,131 16,330 16,547 16,806 17,062 17,320 17,570 17,820 18,084 18,370 18,692 19,047 19,427 10 10,296 10,367 10,574 10,949 11,511 12,208 13,000 13,814 14,537 15,062 15,346 15,574 15,808 16,027 16,225 16,443 16,702 16,960 17,218 17,468 17,719 17,983 18,270 18,591 18,948 11 10,221 10,137 10,207 10,414 10,787 11,346 12,042 12,832 13,644 14,367 14,893 15,177 15,405 15,639 15,858 16,057 16,275 16,535 16,793 17,051 17,303 17,553 17,819 18,106 18,428 12 10,207 10,062 9,977 10,048 10,252 10,627 11,185 11,877 12,666 13,476 14,199 14,725 15,009 15,238 15,471 15,691 15,890 16,108 16,369 16,627 16,886 17,139 17,389 17,655 17,944 13 10,091 10,047 9,903 9,819 9,890 10,092 10,467 11,024 11,714 12,500 13,310 14,032 14,560 14,843 15,073 15,306 15,524 15,724 15,943 16,205 16,462 16,721 16,977 17,226 17,494 14 9,804 9,932 9,888 9,745 9,661 9,732 9,935 10,308 10,863 11,551 12,336 13,145 13,866 14,395 14,679 14,909 15,141 15,359 15,560 15,779 16,041 16,300 16,559 16,816 17,066 15 9,404 9,659 9,786 9,743 9,600 9,516 9,587 9,791 10,163 10,717 11,403 12,185 12,993 13,714 14,243 14,527 14,757 14,990 15,208 15,409 15,628 15,892 16,151 16,410 16,667 16 9,000 9,270 9,525 9,652 9,609 9,468 9,385 9,456 9,661 10,031 10,584 11,269 12,048 12,854 13,574 14,106 14,390 14,619 14,852 15,069 15,271 15,491 15,754 16,014 16,274 17 8,626 8,867 9,138 9,392 9,518 9,476 9,336 9,255 9,325 9,532 9,900 10,452 11,134 11,912 12,717 13,436 13,967 14,252 14,482 14,715 14,932 15,133 15,356 15,617 15,878 18 8,222 8,494 8,737 9,006 9,260 9,386 9,345 9,207 9,125 9,196 9,403 9,770 10,321 11,001 11,778 12,580 13,299 13,831 14,116 14,345 14,578 14,796 14,998 15,220 15,483 19 7,797 8,094 8,364 8,606 8,875 9,129 9,255 9,215 9,079 8,997 9,070 9,275 9,642 10,192 10,869 11,645 12,446 13,163 13,696 13,982 14,210 14,444 14,662 14,864 15,087 20 7,357 7,666 7,962 8,231 8,472 8,741 8,995 9,121 9,081 8,948 8,867 8,941 9,147 9,512 10,062 10,736 11,510 12,310 13,025 13,559 13,846 14,074 14,308 14,526 14,730 21 6,888 7,224 7,532 7,825 8,094 8,333 8,603 8,856 8,984 8,947 8,814 8,735 8,811 9,016 9,380 9,929 10,601 11,374 12,171 12,885 13,421 13,709 13,937 14,172 14,390 22 6,448 6,758 7,092 7,398 7,690 7,958 8,198 8,467 8,719 8,847 8,813 8,682 8,605 8,681 8,887 9,250 9,798 10,468 11,238 12,036 12,747 13,284 13,572 13,802 14,037 23 6,123 6,320 6,629 6,961 7,265 7,556 7,823 8,063 8,333 8,585 8,714 8,680 8,552 8,476 8,554 8,761 9,122 9,669 10,337 11,105 11,901 12,612 13,150 13,438 13,668 24 5,955 5,998 6,194 6,502 6,832 7,135 7,425 7,693 7,932 8,201 8,452 8,583 8,551 8,424 8,350 8,428 8,636 8,996 9,542 10,207 10,974 11,769 12,479 13,019 13,306 25 5,888 5,825 5,868 6,062 6,368 6,696 6,998 7,287 7,555 7,795 8,064 8,315 8,447 8,417 8,293 8,221 8,301 8,509 8,869 9,414 10,077 10,842 11,636 12,343 12,886 26 5,879 5,752 5,691 5,732 5,924 6,228 6,555 6,857 7,146 7,414 7,653 7,922 8,175 8,307 8,280 8,159 8,089 8,171 8,381 8,739 9,284 9,945 10,708 11,502 12,208 27 5,837 5,744 5,617 5,557 5,597 5,788 6,091 6,417 6,718 7,006 7,275 7,514 7,784 8,036 8,170 8,146 8,028 7,961 8,044 8,255 8,613 9,156 9,817 10,578 11,370 28 5,696 5,701 5,609 5,483 5,425 5,464 5,656 5,958 6,283 6,584 6,871 7,140 7,379 7,649 7,901 8,037 8,014 7,901 7,836 7,919 8,131 8,490 9,032 9,691 10,451 29 5,409 5,562 5,567 5,476 5,350 5,295 5,334 5,526 5,827 6,150 6,451 6,738 7,007 7,247 7,517 7,769 7,906 7,885 7,776 7,714 7,799 8,010 8,370 8,910 9,568 30 5,031 5,293 5,443 5,448 5,359 5,235 5,182 5,224 5,414 5,715 6,037 6,337 6,624 6,892 7,133 7,403 7,656 7,794 7,775 7,669 7,609 7,697 7,908 8,268 8,808 31 4,624 4,933 5,192 5,342 5,346 5,259 5,140 5,088 5,131 5,322 5,621 5,943 6,243 6,528 6,796 7,037 7,309 7,562 7,701 7,685 7,581 7,524 7,614 7,825 8,185 32 4,249 4,529 4,836 5,092 5,241 5,246 5,162 5,046 4,997 5,040 5,231 5,529 5,850 6,151 6,435 6,704 6,945 7,217 7,470 7,610 7,596 7,495 7,440 7,533 7,743 33 3,945 4,159 4,436 4,740 4,994 5,142 5,149 5,067 4,954 4,907 4,951 5,143 5,440 5,760 6,061 6,344 6,613 6,855 7,127 7,379 7,522 7,510 7,412 7,358 7,454 34 3,748 3,859 4,070 4,346 4,646 4,899 5,046 5,055 4,975 4,865 4,820 4,866 5,057 5,354 5,673 5,974 6,256 6,525 6,767 7,040 7,294 7,436 7,427 7,332 7,279 35 3,631 3,668 3,777 3,986 4,259 4,557 4,809 4,956 4,967 4,889 4,782 4,739 4,787 4,976 5,273 5,591 5,892 6,175 6,443 6,685 6,958 7,212 7,356 7,349 7,257

Page 151: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

138 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & Sex

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

36 3,541 3,555 3,592 3,700 3,907 4,177 4,471 4,724 4,870 4,882 4,808 4,704 4,662 4,713 4,901 5,197 5,514 5,815 6,098 6,366 6,608 6,882 7,137 7,281 7,277 37 3,431 3,466 3,480 3,517 3,623 3,828 4,097 4,389 4,641 4,788 4,801 4,729 4,629 4,588 4,639 4,829 5,124 5,439 5,741 6,023 6,291 6,534 6,808 7,062 7,208 38 3,289 3,358 3,392 3,406 3,443 3,549 3,752 4,020 4,310 4,560 4,707 4,722 4,652 4,555 4,517 4,568 4,758 5,053 5,367 5,669 5,951 6,218 6,462 6,737 6,991 39 3,104 3,217 3,285 3,319 3,334 3,370 3,477 3,677 3,945 4,232 4,482 4,629 4,646 4,578 4,483 4,448 4,499 4,690 4,984 5,297 5,598 5,880 6,148 6,392 6,667 40 2,896 3,046 3,158 3,224 3,258 3,273 3,311 3,418 3,617 3,883 4,167 4,417 4,564 4,582 4,516 4,422 4,389 4,441 4,632 4,925 5,238 5,538 5,820 6,088 6,331 41 2,683 2,849 2,998 3,108 3,175 3,209 3,225 3,262 3,370 3,567 3,832 4,114 4,362 4,510 4,529 4,465 4,373 4,341 4,395 4,584 4,876 5,189 5,488 5,770 6,037 42 2,486 2,639 2,804 2,952 3,060 3,128 3,161 3,178 3,217 3,324 3,519 3,784 4,064 4,311 4,458 4,478 4,416 4,325 4,294 4,349 4,538 4,830 5,141 5,439 5,721 43 2,325 2,445 2,596 2,759 2,906 3,013 3,082 3,117 3,132 3,171 3,280 3,474 3,736 4,015 4,260 4,407 4,427 4,368 4,279 4,250 4,305 4,494 4,785 5,095 5,392 44 2,215 2,285 2,404 2,552 2,715 2,860 2,967 3,036 3,072 3,088 3,127 3,235 3,428 3,689 3,966 4,210 4,358 4,379 4,321 4,234 4,206 4,261 4,451 4,740 5,049 45 2,135 2,171 2,240 2,358 2,504 2,667 2,810 2,916 2,985 3,022 3,040 3,078 3,186 3,379 3,638 3,913 4,155 4,304 4,325 4,269 4,184 4,156 4,213 4,403 4,690 46 2,073 2,088 2,123 2,192 2,308 2,452 2,614 2,756 2,861 2,931 2,967 2,986 3,025 3,133 3,325 3,582 3,856 4,097 4,244 4,266 4,212 4,130 4,103 4,161 4,351 47 2,006 2,028 2,043 2,076 2,144 2,259 2,401 2,562 2,703 2,807 2,878 2,915 2,934 2,974 3,082 3,272 3,527 3,800 4,041 4,188 4,210 4,158 4,078 4,052 4,111 48 1,933 1,961 1,982 1,998 2,030 2,097 2,211 2,352 2,513 2,652 2,756 2,826 2,864 2,884 2,924 3,031 3,221 3,474 3,745 3,985 4,132 4,155 4,105 4,026 4,001 49 1,839 1,890 1,917 1,936 1,952 1,984 2,052 2,165 2,305 2,464 2,603 2,706 2,776 2,815 2,835 2,875 2,983 3,171 3,423 3,692 3,931 4,077 4,102 4,053 3,977 50 1,729 1,790 1,838 1,864 1,883 1,898 1,931 1,998 2,110 2,250 2,407 2,544 2,647 2,718 2,757 2,778 2,820 2,926 3,113 3,363 3,630 3,869 4,014 4,040 3,993 51 1,623 1,673 1,732 1,781 1,805 1,824 1,839 1,873 1,939 2,050 2,187 2,344 2,481 2,581 2,653 2,692 2,714 2,756 2,862 3,049 3,296 3,561 3,798 3,944 3,970 52 1,534 1,571 1,619 1,677 1,722 1,746 1,767 1,782 1,816 1,880 1,992 2,128 2,282 2,418 2,518 2,589 2,630 2,652 2,696 2,800 2,985 3,232 3,495 3,730 3,875 53 1,436 1,483 1,519 1,565 1,621 1,666 1,690 1,712 1,727 1,762 1,825 1,935 2,071 2,222 2,357 2,457 2,529 2,569 2,592 2,637 2,740 2,925 3,169 3,431 3,664 54 1,329 1,387 1,433 1,468 1,513 1,567 1,612 1,636 1,659 1,674 1,710 1,773 1,880 2,014 2,166 2,298 2,398 2,470 2,511 2,535 2,581 2,682 2,867 3,108 3,369 55 1,221 1,285 1,342 1,387 1,420 1,465 1,519 1,562 1,586 1,610 1,625 1,661 1,724 1,831 1,963 2,112 2,244 2,344 2,415 2,456 2,480 2,528 2,628 2,811 3,051 56 1,109 1,182 1,246 1,301 1,345 1,378 1,423 1,476 1,519 1,543 1,567 1,582 1,617 1,681 1,785 1,916 2,064 2,193 2,293 2,363 2,405 2,429 2,477 2,577 2,757 57 1,007 1,073 1,145 1,208 1,262 1,305 1,337 1,381 1,435 1,476 1,500 1,525 1,540 1,574 1,638 1,741 1,871 2,017 2,146 2,244 2,314 2,355 2,381 2,428 2,528 58 938 973 1,036 1,108 1,170 1,223 1,265 1,298 1,341 1,395 1,436 1,460 1,484 1,499 1,533 1,596 1,699 1,828 1,971 2,099 2,196 2,267 2,307 2,334 2,380 59 913 904 939 1,001 1,072 1,132 1,184 1,226 1,259 1,301 1,356 1,394 1,420 1,444 1,459 1,492 1,555 1,656 1,784 1,927 2,052 2,150 2,219 2,259 2,287 60 924 879 872 905 965 1,034 1,095 1,146 1,188 1,219 1,260 1,316 1,352 1,379 1,403 1,418 1,450 1,513 1,613 1,739 1,879 2,003 2,100 2,169 2,209 61 946 890 846 839 871 930 997 1,056 1,106 1,148 1,179 1,219 1,274 1,310 1,336 1,359 1,375 1,408 1,469 1,567 1,691 1,830 1,952 2,048 2,116 62 963 911 857 813 806 838 896 962 1,019 1,068 1,110 1,140 1,180 1,232 1,270 1,295 1,318 1,334 1,366 1,427 1,524 1,646 1,783 1,902 1,996 63 963 928 876 825 781 774 805 863 928 982 1,031 1,072 1,102 1,142 1,193 1,230 1,255 1,279 1,295 1,326 1,386 1,482 1,601 1,736 1,854 64 931 927 893 843 793 751 744 774 831 895 947 996 1,036 1,066 1,105 1,155 1,192 1,216 1,240 1,256 1,288 1,347 1,440 1,559 1,691 65 883 898 896 861 812 763 724 717 745 802 865 915 964 1,003 1,032 1,070 1,119 1,157 1,178 1,203 1,218 1,250 1,308 1,399 1,516 66 829 854 868 866 833 785 737 699 693 720 775 837 886 933 972 1,000 1,037 1,084 1,122 1,143 1,167 1,182 1,213 1,270 1,359 67 780 801 825 839 837 804 758 712 675 668 695 748 809 857 903 942 968 1,005 1,051 1,087 1,107 1,132 1,146 1,176 1,232 68 736 753 773 797 810 809 776 731 686 651 645 671 723 782 830 874 911 937 973 1,019 1,054 1,073 1,097 1,111 1,140 69 699 710 727 746 769 782 781 750 706 662 628 622 648 699 755 802 845 882 908 943 987 1,021 1,040 1,064 1,078 70 655 665 677 692 711 733 747 745 715 674 631 599 593 617 667 721 767 809 843 868 903 946 979 998 1,020 71 613 615 623 635 650 668 688 702 702 672 633 592 562 557 580 628 679 723 764 797 820 854 894 927 944 72 579 574 577 584 594 609 628 647 658 660 632 594 555 525 520 544 590 639 681 719 752 774 807 845 877 73 543 541 538 540 546 556 570 588 607 618 619 593 557 520 492 487 510 554 600 642 678 708 730 763 798 74 502 509 505 502 505 511 520 534 551 569 579 580 557 521 486 460 455 478 520 563 603 639 668 689 721 75 470 474 479 477 473 476 481 490 503 518 537 547 547 525 491 458 432 428 450 490 532 569 603 630 650 76 434 447 450 456 455 450 452 457 465 479 492 510 520 519 498 466 434 410 404 426 464 502 538 570 596 77 397 413 424 428 434 432 429 429 433 442 454 466 483 493 492 472 440 411 388 382 402 439 474 509 537 78 367 377 393 403 407 412 410 407 408 411 419 432 442 458 468 466 448 416 389 366 361 380 415 447 480 79 344 349 358 374 383 387 392 389 387 386 389 397 409 419 433 442 441 423 393 367 345 341 358 391 422

80+ 2,326 2,457 2,582 2,707 2,835 2,961 3,076 3,183 3,276 3,355 3,421 3,481 3,537 3,595 3,652 3,714 3,771 3,817 3,837 3,822 3,778 3,711 3,641 3,588 3,564

Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, NORTH WESTERN, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) District Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric)

Chavuma 1.8 Ikelenge 0.8 Kabompo 2.8 Kasempa 3.1 Mufumbwe 2.9 Mwinilunga 2.2 Solwezi 2.4 Zambezi 2.3 North Western Province 2.4

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 139

Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital Events, Rates & District of Residence

Projection Year2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Life Expectancy at Birth (Males)Chavuma 59.0 59.0 59.0 58.9 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.6 59.9 60.1 60.4 60.7 61.0 61.2 61.5 61.8 62.1 62.3 62.6 62.8 63.1 63.4 63.7 63.9 64.2 Ikelenge 62.8 62.7 62.7 62.7 62.7 62.9 63.1 63.3 63.5 63.7 64.0 64.2 64.4 64.6 64.9 65.1 65.3 65.6 65.8 66.0 66.3 66.5 66.7 66.9 67.1 Kabompo 59.6 59.5 59.5 59.4 59.4 59.7 59.9 60.2 60.4 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.7 62.0 62.3 62.5 62.8 63.1 63.3 63.6 63.8 64.1 64.4 64.6 Kasempa 58.4 58.3 58.3 58.3 58.2 58.5 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.5 59.8 60.1 60.4 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.8 62.1 62.3 62.6 62.9 63.2 63.4 63.7 Mufumbwe 62.6 62.6 62.6 62.5 62.5 62.7 62.9 63.1 63.4 63.5 63.8 64.0 64.3 64.5 64.7 65.0 65.2 65.4 65.7 65.9 66.1 66.3 66.6 66.8 67.0 Mwinilunga 59.5 59.4 59.4 59.3 59.3 59.6 59.8 60.1 60.3 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.6 61.9 62.2 62.4 62.7 63.0 63.2 63.5 63.8 64.0 64.3 64.5 Solwezi 52.2 52.1 52.1 52.0 52.0 52.3 52.6 53.0 53.3 53.6 54.0 54.4 54.7 55.0 55.4 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.8 57.1 57.5 57.8 58.2 58.5 58.8 Zambezi 57.8 57.7 57.7 57.6 57.6 57.9 58.1 58.4 58.7 58.9 59.2 59.5 59.8 60.1 60.4 60.7 61.0 61.3 61.5 61.8 62.1 62.4 62.7 62.9 63.2 Life Expectancy at Birth (Females)Chavuma 65.5 65.6 65.6 65.6 65.6 65.9 66.1 66.4 66.7 66.9 67.2 67.5 67.8 68.0 68.3 68.6 68.9 69.2 69.5 69.8 70.1 70.4 70.6 70.9 71.2Ikelenge 67.5 67.6 67.5 67.5 67.6 67.8 68.1 68.3 68.6 68.8 69.0 69.3 69.6 69.8 70.1 70.3 70.6 70.9 71.1 71.4 71.7 71.9 72.2 72.5 72.7Kabompo 64.1 64.1 64.1 64.1 64.1 64.4 64.7 65.0 65.3 65.6 65.9 66.2 66.5 66.8 67.0 67.4 67.7 68.0 68.3 68.6 68.9 69.2 69.5 69.8 70.1Kasempa 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.3 62.7 63.0 63.3 63.6 63.9 64.2 64.5 64.9 65.1 65.5 65.8 66.1 66.5 66.8 67.1 67.5 67.8 68.1 68.5 68.7Mufumbwe 59.3 59.3 59.3 59.3 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.4 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.5 62.8 63.2 63.6 64.0 64.3 64.7 65.1 65.5 65.8 66.2 66.5Mwinilunga 63.0 63.0 63.0 63.0 63.0 63.4 63.7 64.0 64.3 64.5 64.9 65.2 65.5 65.8 66.1 66.4 66.7 67.1 67.4 67.7 68.0 68.4 68.7 69.0 69.3Solwezi 54.1 54.2 54.2 54.2 54.2 54.6 55.0 55.5 55.9 56.2 56.6 57.1 57.5 57.9 58.3 58.8 59.2 59.6 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.6Zambezi 60.8 60.9 60.9 60.9 60.9 61.2 61.6 61.9 62.2 62.5 62.8 63.2 63.5 63.9 64.2 64.6 64.9 65.3 65.6 66.0 66.3 66.7 67.0 67.4 67.7Total Fertility Rate (TFR)Chavuma 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 Ikelenge 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 Kabompo 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 Kasempa 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 Mufumbwe 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 Mwinilunga 7.5 7.4 7.3 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 Solwezi 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 Zambezi 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3

Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 746,982 768,262 789,836 811,706 833,818 856,286 879,229 902,631 926,485 950,789 975,559 1,000,815 1,026,614 1,053,004 1,080,072 1,107,872 1,136,463 1,165,903 1,196,232 1,227,481 1,259,651 1,292,727 1,326,694 1,361,502 1,397,137 Chavuma 35,834 36,616 37,400 38,185 38,969 39,755 40,552 41,356 42,166 42,984 43,809 44,641 45,483 46,336 47,205 48,090 48,994 49,918 50,865 51,833 52,823 53,833 54,863 55,909 56,970 Ikelenge 33,397 33,742 34,074 34,396 34,704 35,005 35,299 35,590 35,876 36,155 36,428 36,697 36,963 37,227 37,490 37,757 38,026 38,299 38,577 38,860 39,148 39,438 39,729 40,020 40,309 Kabompo 95,101 98,174 101,306 104,494 107,732 111,036 114,422 117,887 121,432 125,056 128,763 132,555 136,441 140,428 144,528 148,747 153,097 157,586 162,219 167,002 171,936 177,022 182,256 187,633 193,153 Kasempa 71,881 74,460 77,096 79,794 82,549 85,370 88,273 91,257 94,320 97,466 100,696 104,013 107,424 110,936 114,561 118,304 122,174 126,179 130,325 134,620 139,063 143,654 148,397 153,286 158,322 Mufumbwe 59,890 61,938 64,029 66,163 68,337 70,561 72,845 75,185 77,587 80,047 82,569 85,154 87,809 90,538 93,348 96,248 99,241 102,335 105,534 108,841 112,258 115,787 119,424 123,169 127,021 Mwinilunga 106,958 109,685 112,437 115,210 117,995 120,811 123,672 126,578 129,523 132,509 135,536 138,608 141,729 144,908 148,155 151,475 154,877 158,367 161,948 165,625 169,396 173,256 177,204 181,231 185,334 Solwezi 261,473 268,934 276,491 284,144 291,876 299,725 307,730 315,888 324,194 332,649 341,256 350,021 358,966 368,104 377,465 387,069 396,935 407,082 417,524 428,271 439,320 450,668 462,307 474,217 486,394 Zambezi 82,448 84,713 87,003 89,320 91,656 94,023 96,436 98,890 101,387 103,923 106,502 109,126 111,799 114,527 117,320 120,182 123,119 126,137 129,240 132,429 135,707 139,069 142,514 146,037 149,634

Total (Males) 370,785 381,713 392,772 403,959 415,241 426,690 438,375 450,287 462,426 474,791 487,383 500,218 513,319 526,716 540,447 554,548 569,044 583,955 599,310 615,127 631,405 648,125 665,287 682,869 700,861 Chavuma 17,514 17,900 18,286 18,670 19,052 19,434 19,820 20,209 20,600 20,994 21,391 21,790 22,193 22,601 23,015 23,437 23,867 24,305 24,754 25,212 25,680 26,156 26,641 27,132 27,630 Ikelenge 16,511 16,696 16,873 17,045 17,208 17,366 17,521 17,673 17,823 17,969 18,111 18,251 18,389 18,525 18,661 18,798 18,936 19,076 19,218 19,362 19,508 19,655 19,801 19,948 20,093 Kabompo 46,948 48,517 50,113 51,735 53,378 55,054 56,770 58,527 60,323 62,159 64,036 65,956 67,922 69,939 72,012 74,145 76,344 78,611 80,949 83,363 85,853 88,417 91,055 93,764 96,545 Kasempa 35,762 37,097 38,461 39,855 41,277 42,732 44,230 45,769 47,350 48,975 50,642 52,355 54,116 55,930 57,802 59,735 61,734 63,802 65,943 68,161 70,456 72,826 75,275 77,800 80,400 Mufumbwe 29,746 30,802 31,880 32,978 34,095 35,237 36,410 37,611 38,845 40,108 41,403 42,730 44,093 45,494 46,936 48,425 49,961 51,548 53,189 54,886 56,638 58,448 60,312 62,232 64,206 Mwinilunga 52,959 54,348 55,745 57,149 58,555 59,973 61,412 62,873 64,351 65,849 67,366 68,904 70,465 72,053 73,673 75,329 77,024 78,760 80,540 82,366 84,238 86,151 88,106 90,098 92,126 Solwezi 130,719 134,587 138,499 142,452 146,436 150,476 154,594 158,788 163,058 167,404 171,824 176,324 180,913 185,600 190,398 195,319 200,373 205,565 210,906 216,402 222,050 227,845 233,786 239,863 246,074 Zambezi 40,626 41,766 42,915 44,075 45,240 46,418 47,618 48,837 50,076 51,333 52,610 53,908 55,228 56,574 57,950 59,360 60,805 62,288 63,811 65,375 66,982 68,627 70,311 72,032 73,787

Total (Females) 376,197 386,549 397,064 407,747 418,577 429,596 440,854 452,344 464,059 475,998 488,176 500,597 513,295 526,288 539,625 553,324 567,419 581,948 596,922 612,354 628,246 644,602 661,407 678,633 696,276 Chavuma 18,320 18,716 19,114 19,515 19,917 20,321 20,732 21,147 21,566 21,990 22,418 22,851 23,290 23,735 24,190 24,653 25,127 25,613 26,111 26,621 27,143 27,677 28,222 28,777 29,340 Ikelenge 16,886 17,046 17,201 17,351 17,496 17,639 17,778 17,917 18,053 18,186 18,317 18,446 18,574 18,702 18,829 18,959 19,090 19,223 19,359 19,498 19,640 19,783 19,928 20,072 20,216 Kabompo 48,153 49,657 51,193 52,759 54,354 55,982 57,652 59,360 61,109 62,897 64,727 66,599 68,519 70,489 72,516 74,602 76,753 78,975 81,270 83,639 86,083 88,605 91,201 93,869 96,608 Kasempa 36,119 37,363 38,635 39,939 41,272 42,638 44,043 45,488 46,970 48,491 50,054 51,658 53,308 55,006 56,759 58,569 60,440 62,377 64,382 66,459 68,607 70,828 73,122 75,486 77,922 Mufumbwe 30,144 31,136 32,149 33,185 34,242 35,324 36,435 37,574 38,742 39,939 41,166 42,424 43,716 45,044 46,412 47,823 49,280 50,787 52,345 53,955 55,620 57,339 59,112 60,937 62,815 Mwinilunga 53,999 55,337 56,692 58,061 59,440 60,838 62,260 63,705 65,172 66,660 68,170 69,704 71,264 72,855 74,482 76,146 77,853 79,607 81,408 83,259 85,158 87,105 89,098 91,133 93,208 Solwezi 130,754 134,347 137,992 141,692 145,440 149,249 153,136 157,100 161,136 165,245 169,432 173,697 178,053 182,504 187,067 191,750 196,562 201,517 206,618 211,869 217,270 222,823 228,521 234,354 240,320 Zambezi 41,822 42,947 44,088 45,245 46,416 47,605 48,818 50,053 51,311 52,590 53,892 55,218 56,571 57,953 59,370 60,822 62,314 63,849 65,429 67,054 68,725 70,442 72,203 74,005 75,847

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140 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHAVUMA DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Projection Year

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Chavuma District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 35,772 17,484 18,288 36,453 17,821 18,632 37,117 18,148 18,969 36,504 18,466 18,038 38,396 18,774 19,622 39,012 19,073 19,939 39,620 19,368 20,252 40,219 19,657 20,562 0-4 7,402 3,802 3,600 7,579 3,889 3,689 7,691 3,944 3,747 7,313 3,971 3,342 7,772 3,977 3,795 7,788 3,981 3,807 7,806 3,986 3,820 7,823 3,991 3,832 5-9 5,489 2,772 2,717 5,690 2,871 2,819 5,941 2,994 2,947 5,915 3,128 2,787 6,480 3,257 3,223 6,698 3,362 3,336 6,857 3,437 3,420 6,959 3,485 3,474

10-14 4,701 2,340 2,361 4,665 2,328 2,337 4,634 2,319 2,316 4,720 2,324 2,396 4,698 2,356 2,342 4,820 2,417 2,404 4,999 2,503 2,496 5,221 2,610 2,611 15-19 4,038 2,004 2,034 4,138 2,059 2,079 4,215 2,102 2,113 4,131 2,129 2,002 4,272 2,139 2,133 4,252 2,135 2,117 4,216 2,123 2,093 4,185 2,112 2,073 20-24 2,884 1,411 1,474 2,999 1,485 1,514 3,136 1,571 1,564 3,117 1,656 1,461 3,391 1,728 1,663 3,495 1,789 1,706 3,586 1,840 1,745 3,656 1,880 1,777 25-29 2,475 1,144 1,331 2,433 1,120 1,314 2,391 1,100 1,291 2,442 1,098 1,344 2,400 1,119 1,281 2,470 1,166 1,304 2,576 1,233 1,343 2,701 1,310 1,391 30-34 2,001 925 1,076 2,054 930 1,124 2,106 932 1,173 1,975 930 1,045 2,150 921 1,229 2,131 904 1,227 2,094 883 1,211 2,057 867 1,190 35-39 1,498 684 814 1,508 689 819 1,516 692 824 1,503 694 809 1,552 695 856 1,588 698 890 1,633 701 932 1,678 703 975 40-44 1,239 598 642 1,285 616 669 1,332 633 698 1,273 649 624 1,402 660 742 1,421 668 753 1,432 673 758 1,440 677 764 45-49 925 459 466 936 467 469 948 475 473 949 484 465 989 496 493 1,021 510 512 1,060 525 535 1,099 540 559 50-54 674 276 398 695 287 408 714 297 417 699 308 391 746 317 429 757 324 433 765 330 435 775 335 439 55-59 443 199 244 457 205 252 474 211 263 460 218 242 509 225 284 524 233 292 540 242 299 556 251 305 60-64 416 171 245 403 170 233 389 168 221 424 168 256 381 170 211 388 174 214 401 178 222 417 184 233 65-69 416 149 267 420 150 270 424 151 273 416 151 265 417 151 266 406 150 256 391 148 243 377 147 230 70-74 358 161 197 350 154 196 343 148 196 344 144 200 339 141 198 341 141 200 345 142 203 348 143 205 75-79 283 127 156 283 125 158 283 122 161 273 118 155 275 114 161 269 109 160 263 104 159 258 100 158 80+ 530 263 267 556 276 280 580 288 292 552 298 254 623 307 316 642 314 327 657 319 337 669 323 346

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Chavuma District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 40,807 19,941 20,866 41,386 20,219 21,167 44,163 21,543 22,620 46,927 22,845 24,082 49,773 24,169 25,604 0-4 3,998 3,998 3,843 7,860 4,005 3,855 7,942 4,036 3,905 8,178 4,144 4,034 8,466 4,274 4,192 5-9 3,507 3,507 3,504 7,029 3,512 3,516 7,083 3,532 3,551 7,152 3,558 3,594 7,353 3,649 3,705

10-14 2,727 2,727 2,738 5,699 2,840 2,859 6,169 3,059 3,111 6,211 3,069 3,143 6,261 3,082 3,179 15-19 2,117 2,117 2,070 4,242 2,146 2,096 5,177 2,602 2,575 5,624 2,808 2,816 5,658 2,812 2,846 20-24 1,904 1,904 1,794 3,709 1,914 1,795 3,681 1,920 1,760 4,536 2,346 2,190 4,946 2,538 2,408 25-29 1,386 1,386 1,440 2,937 1,452 1,485 3,235 1,625 1,610 3,226 1,641 1,585 4,024 2,030 1,994 30-34 866 866 1,177 2,068 886 1,183 2,566 1,179 1,387 2,858 1,336 1,522 2,863 1,356 1,507 35-39 701 701 1,007 1,718 695 1,023 1,654 671 984 2,077 910 1,167 2,326 1,039 1,287 40-44 679 679 775 1,478 682 796 1,646 688 958 1,596 670 926 2,032 924 1,108 45-49 553 553 580 1,159 564 596 1,225 585 640 1,370 593 777 1,332 580 753 50-54 342 342 447 810 351 459 963 403 560 1,029 421 608 1,174 428 745 55-59 260 260 310 583 268 315 639 300 339 769 348 421 827 367 460 60-64 190 190 244 449 196 252 517 235 282 571 264 307 693 307 386 65-69 147 147 221 368 149 219 439 174 265 510 210 300 568 238 329 70-74 143 143 204 342 142 199 301 140 161 361 164 197 423 200 223 75-79 97 97 158 255 95 160 256 95 161 221 93 129 268 109 159 80+ 323 323 353 681 322 359 669 297 371 637 269 368 558 235 323

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 141

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, IKELENGE DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Ikelenge District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 33,397 16,511 16,886 33,742 16,696 17,046 34,074 16,873 17,201 34,396 17,045 17,351 34,704 17,208 17,496 35,005 17,366 17,639 35,299 17,521 17,778 35,590 17,673 17,917 0-4 6,730 3,447 3,283 6,835 3,499 3,336 6,882 3,522 3,361 6,882 3,520 3,362 6,850 3,502 3,348 6,815 3,482 3,332 6,780 3,465 3,316 6,748 3,448 3,300 5-9 5,226 2,655 2,571 5,373 2,729 2,645 5,565 2,823 2,742 5,777 2,928 2,849 5,977 3,028 2,949 6,132 3,104 3,028 6,231 3,153 3,078 6,278 3,176 3,102

10-14 4,716 2,438 2,278 4,641 2,406 2,235 4,574 2,378 2,196 4,542 2,366 2,176 4,566 2,382 2,184 4,650 2,427 2,223 4,786 2,497 2,289 4,962 2,587 2,375 15-19 3,849 2,054 1,795 3,913 2,094 1,819 3,955 2,121 1,834 3,967 2,132 1,835 3,948 2,128 1,820 3,901 2,109 1,791 3,840 2,083 1,756 3,785 2,060 1,725 20-24 2,612 1,263 1,349 2,693 1,320 1,374 2,793 1,385 1,407 2,890 1,449 1,441 2,972 1,502 1,470 3,040 1,544 1,496 3,095 1,578 1,517 3,133 1,601 1,532 25-29 2,205 967 1,238 2,150 939 1,211 2,096 916 1,180 2,064 907 1,158 2,069 917 1,151 2,111 949 1,162 2,183 996 1,186 2,270 1,051 1,219 30-34 1,751 817 934 1,782 814 968 1,811 810 1,001 1,826 802 1,024 1,818 788 1,031 1,787 768 1,020 1,742 745 997 1,698 726 971 35-39 1,334 610 724 1,332 610 723 1,328 607 721 1,329 605 724 1,338 602 737 1,358 600 759 1,387 599 788 1,414 596 817 40-44 1,153 569 584 1,185 581 603 1,217 593 624 1,244 603 641 1,261 609 652 1,268 612 656 1,267 612 655 1,265 611 654 45-49 1,020 457 563 1,023 461 562 1,027 465 562 1,036 471 565 1,053 478 575 1,080 488 592 1,113 499 613 1,146 510 635 50-54 753 351 402 770 362 408 786 372 413 799 382 416 809 391 418 815 397 418 819 402 417 823 406 417 55-59 507 238 269 518 242 276 533 247 286 549 253 296 563 259 303 576 267 309 589 275 314 602 284 318 60-64 440 170 269 421 168 254 404 165 239 392 164 228 388 165 224 392 167 225 402 170 232 416 174 241 65-69 340 138 202 340 137 203 340 137 203 337 136 201 330 135 195 319 133 186 305 131 175 293 129 164 70-74 278 115 163 270 110 161 263 105 159 259 101 158 256 99 158 256 98 158 257 97 159 257 98 160 75-79 222 103 119 220 101 120 218 97 120 214 94 120 208 89 119 202 85 117 196 81 115 190 77 114 80+ 262 119 143 272 124 148 281 128 153 290 132 158 297 134 163 303 137 167 308 138 170 311 138 173

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Ikelenge District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 35,876 17,823 18,053 36,155 17,969 18,186 37,490 18,661 18,829 38,860 19,362 19,498 40,309 20,093 20,216 0-4 6,717 3,432 3,285 6,689 3,418 3,271 6,567 3,353 3,214 6,603 3,374 3,229 6,699 3,427 3,273 5-9 6,281 3,177 3,105 6,255 3,162 3,093 6,121 3,092 3,030 6,032 3,050 2,981 6,074 3,077 2,997

10-14 5,157 2,686 2,471 5,342 2,781 2,561 5,613 2,913 2,701 5,514 2,863 2,651 5,443 2,831 2,612 15-19 3,760 2,051 1,709 3,785 2,067 1,717 4,482 2,438 2,044 4,748 2,577 2,170 4,676 2,541 2,135 20-24 3,146 1,612 1,534 3,133 1,610 1,523 3,015 1,570 1,445 3,621 1,877 1,744 3,861 1,996 1,865 25-29 2,357 1,105 1,252 2,431 1,150 1,282 2,593 1,248 1,345 2,516 1,230 1,286 3,066 1,491 1,575 30-34 1,674 720 953 1,681 731 950 2,020 943 1,077 2,186 1,041 1,145 2,136 1,035 1,102 35-39 1,429 591 838 1,426 581 845 1,331 545 787 1,628 722 906 1,782 809 972 40-44 1,267 609 658 1,278 608 670 1,375 595 781 1,298 565 733 1,617 765 852 45-49 1,174 520 654 1,193 526 667 1,224 530 694 1,344 526 818 1,278 505 773 50-54 833 411 421 849 419 430 976 468 509 1,015 479 536 1,121 480 642 55-59 613 292 321 622 299 323 663 325 338 777 368 408 817 381 436 60-64 429 179 250 441 184 257 494 215 279 532 236 296 634 271 363 65-69 285 128 156 282 129 153 326 146 180 370 173 197 403 192 211 70-74 255 97 158 249 96 153 212 92 120 249 106 143 286 127 159 75-79 187 74 113 185 72 113 180 70 110 152 66 86 180 76 103 80+ 313 138 175 312 136 176 297 122 176 276 107 168 235 92 144

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142 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KABOMPO DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kabompo District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 94,937 46,868 48,069 97,735 48,301 49,434 100,539 49,736 50,803 103,345 51,169 52,176 106,148 52,598 53,550 108,958 54,030 54,928 111,793 55,475 56,318 114,646 56,928 57,718 0-4 18,690 9,574 9,116 19,337 9,905 9,432 19,828 10,156 9,672 20,184 10,338 9,847 20,450 10,470 9,980 20,701 10,597 10,104 20,957 10,728 10,229 21,214 10,861 10,353 5-9 14,644 7,448 7,197 15,342 7,802 7,540 16,184 8,226 7,958 17,106 8,690 8,417 18,017 9,149 8,867 18,810 9,548 9,261 19,451 9,872 9,579 19,938 10,118 9,820

10-14 13,234 6,695 6,539 13,272 6,737 6,535 13,322 6,784 6,538 13,469 6,876 6,593 13,784 7,048 6,736 14,287 7,309 6,977 14,964 7,655 7,309 15,785 8,069 7,716 15-19 10,648 5,348 5,301 11,027 5,559 5,469 11,351 5,737 5,614 11,593 5,875 5,718 11,742 5,969 5,773 11,806 6,024 5,782 11,824 6,056 5,768 11,855 6,092 5,763 20-24 7,707 3,741 3,965 8,097 3,984 4,114 8,552 4,262 4,290 9,014 4,540 4,474 9,439 4,792 4,647 9,827 5,016 4,810 10,183 5,217 4,967 10,488 5,387 5,101 25-29 6,162 2,746 3,416 6,123 2,719 3,404 6,080 2,702 3,378 6,099 2,726 3,373 6,225 2,810 3,415 6,469 2,960 3,509 6,809 3,164 3,644 7,208 3,400 3,808 30-34 5,452 2,574 2,878 5,654 2,616 3,038 5,854 2,653 3,201 6,010 2,675 3,334 6,095 2,678 3,417 6,100 2,658 3,442 6,054 2,627 3,427 6,005 2,608 3,397 35-39 4,408 2,096 2,312 4,486 2,135 2,350 4,554 2,168 2,387 4,639 2,197 2,441 4,754 2,226 2,527 4,909 2,259 2,650 5,096 2,296 2,800 5,283 2,328 2,954 40-44 3,420 1,661 1,759 3,584 1,731 1,853 3,752 1,800 1,952 3,905 1,864 2,041 4,032 1,919 2,113 4,127 1,963 2,164 4,200 2,000 2,199 4,267 2,033 2,234 45-49 2,527 1,235 1,292 2,586 1,272 1,314 2,644 1,308 1,337 2,718 1,348 1,371 2,815 1,394 1,420 2,937 1,449 1,488 3,078 1,509 1,569 3,223 1,570 1,653 50-54 1,905 864 1,041 1,984 907 1,077 2,062 952 1,110 2,135 996 1,139 2,201 1,036 1,165 2,257 1,072 1,186 2,307 1,103 1,203 2,359 1,134 1,224 55-59 1,411 669 742 1,470 695 776 1,541 723 818 1,615 755 860 1,686 789 898 1,756 825 930 1,828 867 961 1,901 910 991 60-64 1,237 520 716 1,209 521 688 1,182 523 659 1,171 529 642 1,181 541 640 1,214 558 657 1,267 579 688 1,330 603 727 65-69 1,051 423 629 1,073 430 644 1,094 438 656 1,104 444 660 1,100 448 652 1,083 449 633 1,055 449 606 1,029 450 579 70-74 841 382 459 832 371 461 824 360 464 824 354 469 830 352 478 843 355 488 860 360 500 876 367 509 75-79 698 383 315 703 379 324 706 375 331 704 368 336 696 358 339 686 346 340 675 334 341 665 324 342 80+ 901 508 393 956 539 417 1,007 568 439 1,056 594 462 1,103 619 484 1,147 641 506 1,186 659 527 1,218 673 545

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kabompo District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 117,518 58,392 59,126 120,409 59,865 60,544 135,217 67,407 67,810 151,199 75,537 75,662 168,756 84,449 84,307 0-4 21,475 10,997 10,478 21,742 11,136 10,605 23,098 11,845 11,252 24,983 12,821 12,162 27,210 13,979 13,231 5-9 20,287 10,295 9,992 20,541 10,422 10,119 21,765 11,061 10,704 23,083 11,749 11,333 24,967 12,735 12,233

10-14 16,687 8,524 8,163 17,576 8,974 8,602 20,003 10,199 9,804 21,151 10,789 10,362 22,428 11,454 10,974 15-19 11,978 6,171 5,806 12,259 6,326 5,933 15,729 8,094 7,635 17,944 9,208 8,736 18,993 9,747 9,246 20-24 10,714 5,517 5,197 10,852 5,606 5,247 11,326 5,935 5,390 14,662 7,646 7,017 16,820 8,743 8,077 25-29 7,616 3,637 3,979 7,992 3,851 4,141 9,250 4,549 4,702 9,685 4,842 4,843 12,712 6,331 6,381 30-34 6,025 2,633 3,392 6,160 2,722 3,438 8,047 3,823 4,224 9,415 4,568 4,847 9,928 4,901 5,026 35-39 5,428 2,347 3,081 5,509 2,350 3,159 5,575 2,394 3,181 7,373 3,427 3,947 8,694 4,136 4,558 40-44 4,349 2,063 2,287 4,464 2,094 2,370 5,218 2,230 2,988 5,313 2,289 3,024 7,123 3,336 3,787 45-49 3,358 1,627 1,731 3,470 1,675 1,794 3,856 1,836 2,020 4,526 1,962 2,564 4,628 2,026 2,602 50-54 2,427 1,170 1,256 2,516 1,213 1,304 3,134 1,468 1,666 3,509 1,618 1,891 4,170 1,741 2,428 55-59 1,970 953 1,017 2,035 994 1,041 2,348 1,174 1,174 2,961 1,437 1,525 3,347 1,600 1,747 60-64 1,397 630 767 1,460 659 801 1,771 833 938 2,054 986 1,067 2,619 1,212 1,407 65-69 1,018 456 562 1,027 466 561 1,286 574 712 1,575 733 842 1,845 877 968 70-74 883 372 511 878 375 504 816 389 426 1,028 481 546 1,266 619 648 75-79 662 317 345 666 315 351 703 333 369 652 343 310 825 424 401 80+ 1,243 682 562 1,261 686 575 1,292 669 623 1,285 639 646 1,183 589 594

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 143

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KASEMPA DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kasempa District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 71,758 35,701 36,057 74,127 36,932 37,195 76,514 38,172 38,342 78,919 39,421 39,498 81,334 40,673 40,661 83,774 41,938 41,836 86,245 43,220 43,025 88,748 44,519 44,229 0-4 14,894 7,607 7,287 15,463 7,900 7,563 15,912 8,133 7,780 16,257 8,311 7,946 16,530 8,450 8,079 16,793 8,586 8,207 17,059 8,725 8,335 17,329 8,866 8,463 5-9 11,149 5,696 5,453 11,721 5,990 5,731 12,408 6,341 6,068 13,163 6,725 6,438 13,913 7,108 6,805 14,577 7,447 7,131 15,127 7,728 7,399 15,560 7,950 7,609

10-14 9,914 5,149 4,765 9,978 5,202 4,776 10,052 5,259 4,793 10,200 5,351 4,849 10,477 5,506 4,971 10,898 5,733 5,166 11,455 6,026 5,429 12,126 6,376 5,750 15-19 8,474 4,179 4,296 8,806 4,361 4,445 9,096 4,518 4,578 9,323 4,645 4,678 9,476 4,738 4,738 9,562 4,800 4,761 9,608 4,843 4,765 9,667 4,891 4,776 20-24 5,632 2,688 2,943 5,936 2,874 3,062 6,291 3,087 3,204 6,653 3,301 3,352 6,991 3,498 3,493 7,303 3,676 3,628 7,595 3,837 3,758 7,849 3,977 3,872 25-29 4,629 2,048 2,581 4,616 2,035 2,580 4,599 2,031 2,569 4,630 2,057 2,573 4,742 2,128 2,613 4,945 2,250 2,694 5,222 2,415 2,808 5,548 2,604 2,943 30-34 3,818 1,826 1,991 3,972 1,864 2,108 4,126 1,898 2,228 4,250 1,921 2,329 4,325 1,930 2,394 4,343 1,924 2,420 4,325 1,908 2,417 4,305 1,901 2,404 35-39 3,311 1,659 1,653 3,381 1,696 1,685 3,445 1,729 1,717 3,521 1,759 1,762 3,619 1,790 1,829 3,748 1,823 1,925 3,900 1,860 2,040 4,053 1,893 2,160 40-44 2,465 1,240 1,225 2,591 1,296 1,295 2,722 1,354 1,368 2,843 1,408 1,435 2,945 1,455 1,491 3,025 1,494 1,532 3,089 1,528 1,562 3,150 1,558 1,592 45-49 1,978 985 994 2,032 1,018 1,013 2,085 1,051 1,035 2,151 1,087 1,064 2,236 1,129 1,106 2,341 1,178 1,163 2,462 1,232 1,230 2,587 1,286 1,300 50-54 1,546 740 806 1,616 780 836 1,686 822 865 1,753 863 890 1,815 901 913 1,869 936 933 1,917 967 950 1,968 998 969 55-59 1,058 498 559 1,106 519 586 1,163 543 620 1,223 569 654 1,282 597 685 1,339 627 712 1,399 661 739 1,460 697 764 60-64 949 437 512 932 439 493 916 442 474 912 449 463 924 461 463 954 477 477 998 497 501 1,051 520 531 65-69 662 308 354 678 314 364 693 321 372 702 327 376 703 331 372 696 333 363 683 335 348 671 337 334 70-74 576 263 312 571 256 315 568 250 318 569 247 322 575 246 329 587 249 338 601 254 347 614 260 354 75-79 400 224 176 404 223 181 407 221 185 407 218 189 404 213 191 399 207 192 394 200 193 389 195 195 80+ 305 154 150 324 164 160 343 174 169 361 183 178 379 191 187 395 199 197 410 205 205 423 210 213

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kasempa District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 91,282 45,835 45,447 93,842 47,166 46,676 107,180 54,105 53,075 121,883 61,762 60,121 138,328 70,328 68,000 0-4 17,603 9,010 8,593 17,882 9,157 8,725 19,314 9,917 9,397 21,242 10,934 10,308 23,530 12,144 11,386 5-9 15,887 8,119 7,768 16,140 8,249 7,891 17,388 8,914 8,474 18,751 9,645 9,106 20,627 10,648 9,979

10-14 12,863 6,760 6,103 13,594 7,143 6,451 15,728 8,265 7,463 16,912 8,907 8,006 18,240 9,632 8,608 15-19 9,800 4,973 4,828 10,064 5,116 4,948 13,128 6,664 6,464 15,230 7,723 7,507 16,394 8,328 8,066 20-24 8,046 4,088 3,957 8,176 4,169 4,008 8,674 4,494 4,180 11,419 5,897 5,522 13,323 6,869 6,454 25-29 5,881 2,796 3,085 6,192 2,972 3,221 7,286 3,574 3,712 7,756 3,875 3,881 10,352 5,161 5,191 30-34 4,335 1,927 2,408 4,447 1,999 2,448 5,912 2,859 3,053 7,035 3,479 3,556 7,547 3,803 3,744 35-39 4,175 1,916 2,259 4,248 1,924 2,324 4,372 1,996 2,376 5,902 2,911 2,991 7,086 3,578 3,508 40-44 3,221 1,587 1,634 3,316 1,617 1,699 3,928 1,753 2,175 4,067 1,833 2,233 5,562 2,722 2,840 45-49 2,704 1,337 1,366 2,803 1,383 1,420 3,166 1,543 1,623 3,771 1,679 2,091 3,921 1,766 2,154 50-54 2,032 1,034 998 2,114 1,075 1,039 2,673 1,325 1,348 3,040 1,487 1,553 3,655 1,631 2,024 55-59 1,518 732 786 1,574 766 808 1,846 922 924 2,367 1,149 1,218 2,720 1,303 1,417 60-64 1,108 546 562 1,162 572 589 1,437 737 700 1,697 889 809 2,194 1,112 1,082 65-69 667 342 325 677 351 325 859 440 419 1,076 573 503 1,286 698 588 70-74 621 264 357 620 267 353 586 282 303 750 356 394 940 465 475 75-79 389 192 197 392 191 201 421 206 215 398 215 183 512 271 240 80+ 434 214 220 442 216 226 463 214 249 470 208 262 440 196 245

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144 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MUFUMBWE DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mufumbwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 59,787 29,695 30,092 61,661 30,665 30,996 63,545 31,640 31,905 65,436 32,618 32,818 67,333 33,597 33,736 69,240 34,582 34,658 71,170 35,577 35,593 73,119 36,585 36,534 0-4 12,680 6,438 6,242 13,139 6,672 6,467 13,496 6,854 6,641 13,762 6,991 6,772 13,969 7,095 6,875 14,168 7,196 6,972 14,371 7,301 7,071 14,577 7,408 7,169 5-9 9,523 4,825 4,699 9,992 5,063 4,929 10,558 5,348 5,210 11,179 5,660 5,519 11,796 5,972 5,824 12,339 6,246 6,093 12,785 6,472 6,314 13,132 6,648 6,483

10-14 8,186 4,039 4,148 8,222 4,071 4,151 8,266 4,107 4,159 8,371 4,171 4,200 8,582 4,284 4,298 8,912 4,452 4,460 9,353 4,673 4,680 9,887 4,937 4,950 15-19 6,919 3,504 3,414 7,177 3,649 3,528 7,400 3,773 3,626 7,571 3,871 3,699 7,683 3,942 3,741 7,740 3,987 3,753 7,767 4,016 3,751 7,803 4,049 3,754 20-24 4,786 2,325 2,461 5,037 2,480 2,557 5,329 2,658 2,671 5,626 2,837 2,789 5,903 3,001 2,902 6,157 3,148 3,009 6,393 3,281 3,112 6,598 3,395 3,202 25-29 3,890 1,767 2,123 3,871 1,753 2,119 3,851 1,745 2,105 3,870 1,764 2,106 3,957 1,822 2,135 4,121 1,923 2,198 4,347 2,061 2,287 4,613 2,219 2,394 30-34 3,334 1,593 1,741 3,462 1,622 1,840 3,590 1,648 1,942 3,691 1,665 2,026 3,749 1,670 2,079 3,759 1,661 2,098 3,738 1,645 2,092 3,715 1,637 2,078 35-39 2,646 1,305 1,340 2,696 1,332 1,364 2,742 1,355 1,387 2,797 1,376 1,421 2,871 1,397 1,474 2,969 1,421 1,548 3,085 1,447 1,639 3,203 1,471 1,732 40-44 2,022 1,006 1,017 2,122 1,049 1,072 2,225 1,094 1,131 2,319 1,135 1,185 2,399 1,171 1,229 2,460 1,200 1,260 2,508 1,225 1,283 2,554 1,248 1,306 45-49 1,547 789 758 1,586 814 772 1,625 839 787 1,674 866 808 1,736 898 838 1,815 935 880 1,905 976 929 1,999 1,018 981 50-54 1,099 538 562 1,147 565 582 1,195 595 600 1,240 623 617 1,282 650 632 1,318 673 645 1,350 695 656 1,384 716 668 55-59 767 387 380 800 403 397 840 420 420 881 439 442 922 460 462 962 482 480 1,004 508 497 1,047 534 513 60-64 695 333 363 683 334 349 670 336 335 666 340 326 674 348 326 695 360 335 726 375 351 763 391 372 65-69 570 266 303 582 271 311 594 277 317 601 281 320 601 284 317 593 286 308 581 286 295 570 288 283 70-74 423 200 223 419 195 224 415 189 226 415 187 229 419 186 233 426 188 239 436 191 245 445 195 250 75-79 322 165 157 325 164 162 327 162 165 328 159 168 325 155 170 321 150 171 317 146 171 314 141 172 80+ 377 215 163 401 228 173 423 241 182 444 252 192 465 264 202 485 273 211 502 282 220 517 288 228

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mufumbwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 75,086 37,601 37,485 77,072 38,627 38,445 87,334 43,934 43,400 98,542 49,732 48,810 110,979 56,162 54,817 0-4 14,786 7,518 7,268 15,000 7,630 7,370 16,087 8,196 7,891 17,574 8,962 8,612 19,337 9,874 9,463 5-9 13,389 6,780 6,609 13,583 6,878 6,705 14,530 7,372 7,157 15,564 7,912 7,652 17,006 8,665 8,342

10-14 10,473 5,227 5,246 11,053 5,515 5,538 12,699 6,330 6,369 13,562 6,765 6,797 14,528 7,257 7,270 15-19 7,901 4,111 3,789 8,102 4,224 3,879 10,494 5,457 5,037 12,092 6,272 5,820 12,930 6,709 6,220 20-24 6,754 3,485 3,268 6,854 3,549 3,305 7,222 3,795 3,427 9,443 4,939 4,504 10,943 5,707 5,237 25-29 4,885 2,379 2,505 5,137 2,525 2,612 6,005 3,012 2,993 6,352 3,239 3,113 8,421 4,279 4,142 30-34 3,735 1,657 2,079 3,827 1,716 2,110 5,051 2,435 2,616 5,971 2,939 3,032 6,362 3,186 3,175 35-39 3,295 1,486 1,809 3,349 1,491 1,859 3,422 1,534 1,889 4,584 2,218 2,366 5,465 2,705 2,760 40-44 2,608 1,269 1,339 2,682 1,292 1,390 3,157 1,389 1,769 3,248 1,440 1,807 4,407 2,121 2,286 45-49 2,086 1,057 1,029 2,160 1,091 1,069 2,421 1,207 1,214 2,860 1,303 1,556 2,955 1,360 1,595 50-54 1,427 740 687 1,483 769 714 1,861 940 921 2,102 1,047 1,055 2,507 1,138 1,368 55-59 1,088 560 527 1,127 586 541 1,314 699 615 1,671 864 807 1,906 972 934 60-64 803 410 393 841 429 412 1,034 548 486 1,214 655 559 1,558 814 744 65-69 566 292 275 574 299 275 723 372 352 900 480 420 1,068 580 488 70-74 449 198 251 448 200 248 422 210 212 536 262 274 668 340 328 75-79 313 139 174 316 138 177 336 148 189 313 153 160 400 192 209 80+ 528 293 236 537 295 242 555 291 264 557 281 277 518 261 257

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 145

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MWINILUNGA DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mwinilunga District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 109,514 54,223 55,291 116,062 57,504 58,558 122,881 60,917 61,964 129,980 64,467 65,513 137,353 68,151 69,202 145,026 71,982 73,044 153,023 75,976 77,047 161,351 80,132 81,219 0-4 23,219 11,846 11,374 24,730 12,609 12,121 26,101 13,301 12,800 27,344 13,926 13,418 28,503 14,505 13,998 29,677 15,094 14,584 30,893 15,706 15,187 32,150 16,340 15,810 5-9 17,218 8,653 8,565 18,569 9,327 9,242 20,162 10,117 10,046 21,932 10,992 10,940 23,766 11,903 11,863 25,521 12,771 12,750 27,138 13,572 13,566 28,597 14,295 14,303

10-14 15,204 7,734 7,470 15,696 8,008 7,689 16,217 8,296 7,922 16,874 8,649 8,225 17,767 9,117 8,650 18,941 9,721 9,220 20,400 10,463 9,936 22,123 11,335 10,788 15-19 12,661 6,450 6,211 13,498 6,898 6,600 14,302 7,325 6,978 15,033 7,715 7,318 15,666 8,062 7,604 16,203 8,365 7,838 16,686 8,643 8,043 17,199 8,935 8,265 20-24 8,842 4,281 4,561 9,563 4,689 4,874 10,396 5,161 5,235 11,276 5,656 5,620 12,148 6,139 6,009 13,008 6,607 6,401 13,861 7,063 6,798 14,676 7,494 7,182 25-29 7,382 3,255 4,128 7,552 3,316 4,237 7,720 3,390 4,330 7,969 3,518 4,452 8,368 3,729 4,639 8,943 4,038 4,905 9,678 4,437 5,241 10,532 4,900 5,632 30-34 5,568 2,652 2,916 5,944 2,774 3,170 6,334 2,894 3,440 6,692 3,002 3,690 6,982 3,090 3,892 7,188 3,154 4,034 7,335 3,203 4,131 7,481 3,268 4,213 35-39 4,780 2,340 2,440 5,008 2,453 2,555 5,234 2,562 2,672 5,485 2,671 2,814 5,782 2,783 2,999 6,139 2,904 3,235 6,550 3,033 3,517 6,977 3,161 3,816 40-44 3,531 1,752 1,779 3,808 1,877 1,931 4,103 2,009 2,094 4,395 2,140 2,255 4,669 2,266 2,403 4,915 2,383 2,532 5,143 2,496 2,647 5,372 2,606 2,766 45-49 2,920 1,436 1,484 3,076 1,522 1,554 3,239 1,610 1,629 3,426 1,706 1,720 3,650 1,815 1,834 3,917 1,940 1,977 4,221 2,077 2,145 4,545 2,220 2,325 50-54 2,237 1,076 1,162 2,400 1,162 1,238 2,568 1,254 1,314 2,738 1,349 1,389 2,906 1,444 1,462 3,067 1,536 1,531 3,224 1,625 1,598 3,390 1,717 1,672 55-59 1,518 703 815 1,628 750 878 1,757 804 953 1,896 863 1,032 2,036 927 1,109 2,180 998 1,182 2,334 1,077 1,257 2,495 1,162 1,332 60-64 1,368 619 749 1,379 638 741 1,390 659 731 1,418 686 732 1,472 720 752 1,558 764 794 1,671 815 856 1,803 873 930 65-69 997 442 555 1,047 462 585 1,098 484 614 1,141 505 636 1,171 524 647 1,187 541 646 1,192 556 637 1,198 572 625 70-74 863 386 477 879 385 494 897 385 512 922 389 533 956 398 559 1,000 412 588 1,049 430 619 1,099 450 648 75-79 586 277 309 609 282 327 631 287 344 650 290 361 663 290 374 674 288 385 684 286 398 695 285 410 80+ 617 322 296 674 351 323 731 380 350 788 410 379 848 439 409 907 467 440 965 494 471 1,020 518 502

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mwinilunga District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 170,016 84,458 85,558 179,024 88,956 90,068 229,654 114,217 115,437 291,440 145,026 146,414 366,509 182,430 184,079 0-4 33,452 16,999 16,453 34,807 17,683 17,123 42,275 21,449 20,826 51,935 26,322 25,612 63,764 32,315 31,449 5-9 29,910 14,944 14,966 31,124 15,541 15,584 37,705 18,808 18,897 45,417 22,652 22,765 55,377 27,644 27,733

10-14 24,039 12,302 11,737 26,022 13,305 12,717 33,857 17,243 16,613 40,662 20,681 19,980 48,604 24,723 23,881 15-19 17,863 9,300 8,563 18,789 9,793 8,996 27,559 14,288 13,271 35,708 18,429 17,279 42,605 21,967 20,638 20-24 15,410 7,886 7,524 16,041 8,231 7,810 19,137 9,939 9,198 28,139 14,516 13,623 36,389 18,690 17,699 25-29 11,436 5,385 6,052 12,333 5,858 6,475 16,318 7,890 8,428 19,401 9,522 9,878 28,707 14,019 14,688 30-34 7,716 3,390 4,326 8,108 3,600 4,507 12,114 5,766 6,348 16,101 7,811 8,290 19,139 9,438 9,701 35-39 7,367 3,274 4,093 7,681 3,367 4,315 8,892 3,912 4,981 13,380 6,349 7,031 17,792 8,627 9,165 40-44 5,628 2,717 2,911 5,936 2,834 3,102 7,925 3,441 4,484 9,168 4,005 5,163 13,870 6,573 7,297 45-49 4,866 2,363 2,503 5,168 2,500 2,668 6,567 3,124 3,443 8,759 3,786 4,973 10,096 4,401 5,695 50-54 3,585 1,820 1,765 3,821 1,938 1,883 5,434 2,675 2,759 6,905 3,342 3,563 9,214 4,051 5,163 55-59 2,656 1,250 1,407 2,820 1,339 1,481 3,718 1,805 1,914 5,331 2,503 2,827 6,796 3,139 3,657 60-64 1,946 937 1,009 2,090 1,006 1,084 2,906 1,451 1,455 3,831 1,948 1,883 5,497 2,695 2,802 65-69 1,219 595 624 1,266 626 640 1,809 878 931 2,525 1,271 1,254 3,341 1,713 1,627 70-74 1,138 469 669 1,163 485 678 1,233 575 658 1,765 806 959 2,450 1,166 1,283 75-79 713 287 426 738 293 445 891 353 538 924 412 513 1,322 573 749 80+ 1,071 539 531 1,117 557 559 1,315 620 695 1,491 671 820 1,547 696 851

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146 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SOLWEZI DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Solwezi District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 261,022 130,495 130,527 267,731 133,988 133,743 274,398 137,456 136,942 281,024 140,897 140,127 287,583 144,295 143,288 294,115 147,677 146,438 300,658 151,063 149,595 307,205 154,452 152,753 0-4 51,960 26,233 25,727 53,576 27,053 26,523 54,749 27,650 27,099 55,541 28,050 27,491 56,070 28,304 27,765 56,545 28,536 28,010 57,020 28,768 28,252 57,491 29,001 28,490 5-9 38,682 19,578 19,103 40,387 20,445 19,941 42,458 21,487 20,971 44,722 22,620 22,102 46,932 23,730 23,203 48,815 24,668 24,147 50,283 25,398 24,885 51,336 25,920 25,416

10-14 34,638 17,132 17,506 34,616 17,185 17,431 34,625 17,249 17,376 34,884 17,424 17,460 35,570 17,794 17,776 36,729 18,382 18,347 38,320 19,170 19,151 40,264 20,122 20,142 15-19 30,074 14,566 15,508 31,035 15,093 15,942 31,833 15,527 16,306 32,395 15,846 16,550 32,691 16,042 16,648 32,743 16,127 16,616 32,659 16,143 16,516 32,610 16,170 16,440 20-24 23,491 10,819 12,672 24,581 11,483 13,098 25,858 12,245 13,612 27,145 13,001 14,143 28,311 13,673 14,639 29,355 14,256 15,100 30,298 14,764 15,534 31,076 15,180 15,896 25-29 20,937 10,084 10,853 20,728 9,952 10,776 20,514 9,859 10,655 20,514 9,911 10,603 20,875 10,180 10,695 21,631 10,680 10,951 22,703 11,370 11,333 23,963 12,165 11,798 30-34 16,049 8,368 7,681 16,558 8,479 8,079 17,054 8,572 8,482 17,418 8,614 8,804 17,580 8,590 8,990 17,518 8,495 9,023 17,309 8,360 8,950 17,104 8,263 8,841 35-39 12,542 6,685 5,858 12,721 6,788 5,933 12,872 6,869 6,003 13,058 6,939 6,119 13,317 7,005 6,312 13,676 7,081 6,595 14,109 7,165 6,944 14,534 7,236 7,299 40-44 9,018 4,806 4,212 9,412 4,991 4,421 9,815 5,175 4,640 10,175 5,341 4,835 10,466 5,478 4,988 10,672 5,582 5,090 10,817 5,663 5,154 10,946 5,730 5,216 45-49 6,912 3,618 3,294 7,052 3,715 3,337 7,190 3,807 3,384 7,367 3,909 3,457 7,600 4,030 3,569 7,898 4,173 3,725 8,242 4,328 3,914 8,593 4,482 4,110 50-54 5,118 2,647 2,471 5,317 2,770 2,546 5,513 2,898 2,615 5,695 3,020 2,675 5,857 3,131 2,726 5,991 3,226 2,765 6,104 3,308 2,796 6,221 3,387 2,834 55-59 3,453 1,867 1,587 3,584 1,932 1,652 3,741 2,006 1,735 3,906 2,087 1,819 4,062 2,171 1,892 4,217 2,263 1,954 4,379 2,367 2,012 4,541 2,475 2,066 60-64 2,688 1,397 1,291 2,631 1,395 1,236 2,575 1,394 1,180 2,550 1,406 1,144 2,569 1,431 1,138 2,634 1,471 1,163 2,735 1,521 1,214 2,856 1,578 1,278 65-69 2,037 981 1,056 2,071 993 1,078 2,103 1,008 1,095 2,116 1,019 1,097 2,104 1,024 1,080 2,069 1,023 1,045 2,016 1,019 997 1,966 1,017 949 70-74 1,405 708 697 1,382 684 698 1,363 663 700 1,355 649 705 1,358 643 715 1,374 645 729 1,396 653 743 1,417 662 754 75-79 991 504 486 995 498 497 997 491 506 993 480 513 980 465 515 962 448 514 945 431 514 929 416 513 80+ 1,026 502 525 1,085 531 554 1,139 557 582 1,190 581 609 1,240 603 637 1,286 622 664 1,325 637 688 1,357 648 710

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Sowlezi District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 313,747 157,838 155,909 320,285 161,223 159,062 353,148 178,221 174,927 387,750 196,085 191,665 424,967 215,246 209,721 0-4 57,964 29,236 28,728 58,451 29,478 28,974 60,868 30,670 30,197 64,502 32,489 32,014 68,794 34,604 34,190 5-9 52,026 26,259 25,767 52,468 26,467 26,001 54,495 27,477 27,018 56,623 28,564 28,059 59,974 30,244 29,730

10-14 42,396 21,163 21,233 44,478 22,184 22,294 49,620 24,662 24,958 51,406 25,532 25,875 53,380 26,480 26,899 15-19 32,814 16,310 16,504 33,449 16,646 16,803 42,074 20,833 21,241 47,035 23,195 23,840 48,754 23,987 24,767 20-24 31,616 15,479 16,136 31,891 15,660 16,232 32,600 16,219 16,380 41,362 20,447 20,915 46,476 22,841 23,634 25-29 25,238 12,955 12,283 26,396 13,660 12,736 29,987 15,783 14,205 30,794 16,442 14,353 39,563 21,000 18,563 30-34 17,103 8,307 8,796 17,432 8,550 8,882 22,466 11,747 10,719 25,802 13,735 12,067 26,681 14,398 12,282 35-39 14,848 7,264 7,584 14,987 7,239 7,748 14,878 7,214 7,664 19,433 10,107 9,327 22,490 11,915 10,575 40-44 11,110 5,790 5,319 11,346 5,853 5,494 12,900 6,096 6,804 12,878 6,124 6,754 17,023 8,720 8,302 45-49 8,912 4,624 4,288 9,171 4,742 4,429 9,980 5,083 4,897 11,414 5,316 6,098 11,436 5,362 6,074 50-54 6,376 3,479 2,898 6,585 3,589 2,996 8,012 4,251 3,761 8,771 4,584 4,187 10,098 4,820 5,278 55-59 4,692 2,579 2,113 4,833 2,678 2,156 5,483 3,096 2,387 6,747 3,707 3,040 7,453 4,032 3,421 60-64 2,984 1,641 1,343 3,107 1,708 1,399 3,721 2,113 1,609 4,243 2,448 1,795 5,261 2,939 2,323 65-69 1,943 1,026 917 1,957 1,045 912 2,394 1,257 1,137 2,891 1,572 1,319 3,327 1,838 1,489 70-74 1,422 668 754 1,411 670 740 1,297 681 616 1,598 824 774 1,935 1,035 901 75-79 922 406 517 925 401 523 956 415 541 863 418 445 1,070 505 566 80+ 1,381 653 728 1,398 655 743 1,415 624 791 1,388 583 804 1,251 525 726

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 147

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, ZAMBEZI DISTRICT, North Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Zambezi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 82,306 40,556 41,750 84,334 41,580 42,754 86,346 42,593 43,753 88,338 43,593 44,745 90,308 44,579 45,729 92,264 45,555 46,709 94,220 46,531 47,689 96,171 47,503 48,668 0-4 16,753 8,538 8,214 17,253 8,789 8,464 17,612 8,968 8,644 17,847 9,083 8,764 17,999 9,152 8,847 18,134 9,214 8,920 18,272 9,279 8,992 18,408 9,345 9,064 5-9 12,799 6,540 6,259 13,347 6,817 6,530 14,016 7,152 6,864 14,748 7,517 7,231 15,461 7,874 7,586 16,066 8,175 7,891 16,536 8,408 8,128 16,869 8,572 8,297

10-14 11,367 5,710 5,657 11,347 5,717 5,630 11,338 5,728 5,609 11,411 5,777 5,633 11,624 5,891 5,732 11,991 6,078 5,913 12,500 6,331 6,169 13,124 6,639 6,485 15-19 9,152 4,581 4,571 9,434 4,739 4,696 9,668 4,867 4,801 9,828 4,958 4,870 9,909 5,013 4,896 9,917 5,032 4,884 9,884 5,032 4,852 9,863 5,035 4,828 20-24 6,454 3,048 3,406 6,748 3,229 3,519 7,093 3,438 3,655 7,439 3,644 3,796 7,753 3,827 3,926 8,032 3,985 4,048 8,284 4,122 4,162 8,491 4,234 4,257 25-29 5,696 2,600 3,096 5,634 2,561 3,072 5,569 2,533 3,037 5,562 2,542 3,020 5,652 2,607 3,045 5,848 2,732 3,116 6,128 2,905 3,223 6,459 3,105 3,353 30-34 4,599 2,176 2,423 4,748 2,201 2,547 4,894 2,221 2,673 5,001 2,228 2,773 5,049 2,219 2,830 5,030 2,191 2,839 4,968 2,154 2,814 4,905 2,127 2,778 35-39 3,627 1,739 1,888 3,674 1,762 1,911 3,713 1,780 1,933 3,765 1,795 1,969 3,840 1,810 2,030 3,947 1,827 2,120 4,078 1,847 2,231 4,207 1,863 2,344 40-44 2,786 1,373 1,413 2,906 1,423 1,483 3,028 1,473 1,555 3,137 1,517 1,620 3,225 1,554 1,671 3,285 1,582 1,704 3,327 1,603 1,724 3,364 1,620 1,744 45-49 2,266 1,105 1,161 2,308 1,133 1,175 2,350 1,159 1,191 2,405 1,188 1,217 2,479 1,223 1,255 2,574 1,265 1,310 2,685 1,310 1,375 2,799 1,356 1,443 50-54 1,547 719 828 1,604 751 852 1,660 784 875 1,711 816 895 1,756 845 911 1,793 870 924 1,824 890 934 1,857 911 946 55-59 1,125 521 604 1,167 538 629 1,218 558 660 1,271 579 691 1,320 602 719 1,368 626 742 1,418 654 764 1,467 684 784 60-64 965 370 595 938 369 569 911 368 543 897 370 526 899 377 523 921 387 534 956 399 557 1,000 414 586 65-69 960 389 571 976 394 582 990 399 591 995 403 592 987 404 583 967 403 564 938 401 537 911 400 511 70-74 719 348 371 707 335 372 697 324 372 692 317 375 694 314 380 701 314 387 712 318 395 722 322 400 75-79 611 313 298 613 308 305 613 303 310 610 296 314 601 286 315 590 276 315 579 265 314 569 255 314 80+ 883 487 396 932 514 418 977 539 439 1,020 561 459 1,061 581 480 1,099 599 500 1,130 612 518 1,156 622 534

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Zambezi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 98,119 48,473 49,646 100,060 49,438 50,622 109,760 54,244 55,516 119,896 59,237 60,659 130,732 64,542 66,190 0-4 18,546 9,412 9,134 18,689 9,482 9,207 19,406 9,833 9,573 20,534 10,392 10,142 21,856 11,043 10,813 5-9 17,083 8,676 8,407 17,216 8,737 8,479 17,830 9,041 8,789 18,499 9,377 9,121 19,554 9,905 9,648

10-14 13,809 6,976 6,833 14,476 7,306 7,170 16,103 8,096 8,007 16,658 8,363 8,296 17,262 8,653 8,610 15-19 9,918 5,074 4,844 10,103 5,174 4,929 12,670 6,454 6,215 14,141 7,170 6,971 14,627 7,397 7,230 20-24 8,632 4,314 4,319 8,702 4,360 4,342 8,872 4,501 4,371 11,239 5,661 5,577 12,601 6,309 6,292 25-29 6,793 3,304 3,489 7,097 3,481 3,616 8,031 4,008 4,023 8,228 4,166 4,062 10,554 5,309 5,245 30-34 4,899 2,136 2,763 4,985 2,197 2,788 6,365 3,008 3,357 7,286 3,510 3,776 7,508 3,670 3,837 35-39 4,303 1,869 2,434 4,346 1,861 2,485 4,301 1,848 2,453 5,566 2,583 2,982 6,414 3,038 3,376 40-44 3,413 1,636 1,778 3,487 1,652 1,835 3,982 1,715 2,267 3,968 1,719 2,249 5,201 2,442 2,760 45-49 2,902 1,397 1,505 2,985 1,432 1,553 3,243 1,530 1,714 3,729 1,596 2,132 3,726 1,606 2,120 50-54 1,901 935 967 1,962 963 999 2,388 1,137 1,251 2,615 1,224 1,392 3,035 1,284 1,751 55-59 1,513 712 801 1,555 738 817 1,753 851 902 2,165 1,016 1,148 2,393 1,103 1,290 60-64 1,046 430 616 1,088 447 641 1,287 551 735 1,457 637 820 1,823 763 1,059 65-69 897 403 494 901 410 491 1,102 492 610 1,321 613 707 1,513 715 798 70-74 724 324 400 717 325 392 655 329 326 806 398 409 973 498 475 75-79 564 249 316 565 246 319 583 253 330 525 254 271 650 307 344 80+ 1,174 627 547 1,186 628 558 1,190 597 593 1,159 556 602 1,042 500 543

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148 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

RegionProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 1,642,757 1,694,370 1,746,791 1,799,885 1,853,464 1,907,784 1,963,206 2,019,696 2,077,229 2,135,794 2,195,416 2,256,160 2,318,098 2,381,333 2,445,929 2,512,049 2,579,784 2,649,242 2,720,488 2,793,523 2,868,361 2,944,940 3,023,244 3,103,230 3,184,855 0-4 319,050 329,351 338,018 345,222 351,733 357,990 364,161 370,266 376,352 382,506 388,694 394,871 401,150 407,644 414,456 421,695 429,438 437,698 446,451 455,620 465,074 474,652 484,238 493,722 503,032 5-9 248,864 259,028 270,995 284,002 296,599 308,045 318,072 326,530 333,602 340,075 346,350 352,549 358,694 364,826 371,048 377,312 383,573 389,932 396,507 403,409 410,744 418,570 426,919 435,762 445,036

10-14 219,582 221,897 224,683 228,680 234,540 242,486 252,488 264,277 277,114 289,587 300,962 310,943 319,379 326,452 332,906 339,169 345,360 351,510 357,661 363,896 370,179 376,469 382,860 389,461 396,401 15-19 194,987 199,830 203,767 206,991 209,710 212,091 214,390 217,160 221,136 226,952 234,833 244,738 256,414 269,140 281,529 292,839 302,766 311,169 318,218 324,652 330,898 337,081 343,229 349,390 355,637 20-24 150,754 158,280 166,385 174,155 180,955 186,637 191,381 195,272 198,482 201,221 203,635 205,968 208,772 212,758 218,549 226,367 236,177 247,730 260,320 272,606 283,843 293,731 302,129 309,191 315,640 25-29 122,133 124,190 126,564 129,827 134,343 140,338 147,579 155,432 163,023 169,724 175,373 180,132 184,069 187,352 190,185 192,705 195,158 198,072 202,140 207,966 215,772 225,529 236,998 249,509 261,751 30-34 99,829 102,650 105,392 107,906 110,114 112,028 113,908 116,163 119,347 123,812 129,746 136,886 144,630 152,141 158,809 164,491 169,325 173,385 176,821 179,834 182,544 185,208 188,312 192,545 198,489 35-39 79,258 82,011 84,482 86,853 89,241 91,733 94,309 96,883 99,325 101,561 103,580 105,575 107,931 111,179 115,663 121,561 128,634 136,308 143,780 150,463 156,218 161,171 165,398 169,034 172,261 40-44 55,519 59,049 62,856 66,546 69,845 72,694 75,209 77,509 79,780 82,149 84,661 87,261 89,870 92,361 94,671 96,777 98,867 101,305 104,607 109,102 114,964 121,977 129,582 137,019 143,723 45-49 42,288 43,275 44,382 45,887 47,962 50,688 53,965 57,529 61,018 64,192 66,974 69,456 71,745 74,017 76,385 78,901 81,507 84,129 86,650 88,998 91,164 93,314 95,808 99,129 103,615 50-54 32,404 33,794 35,040 36,182 37,265 38,244 39,146 40,180 41,611 43,591 46,202 49,322 52,725 56,067 59,123 61,827 64,261 66,521 68,776 71,133 73,636 76,230 78,850 81,379 83,746 55-59 20,653 22,301 24,187 26,037 27,674 29,087 30,358 31,512 32,580 33,610 34,546 35,425 36,426 37,794 39,683 42,155 45,111 48,335 51,512 54,435 57,042 59,403 61,611 63,828 66,146 60-64 16,888 16,660 16,487 16,625 17,221 18,328 19,834 21,555 23,246 24,754 26,057 27,235 28,302 29,301 30,260 31,143 31,969 32,918 34,207 35,980 38,291 41,049 44,061 47,029 49,780 65-69 13,767 14,189 14,594 14,881 15,005 14,928 14,721 14,568 14,692 15,224 16,224 17,582 19,139 20,661 22,010 23,186 24,240 25,197 26,097 26,955 27,744 28,488 29,338 30,502 32,099 70-74 10,664 10,809 10,964 11,171 11,437 11,778 12,161 12,523 12,773 12,872 12,795 12,604 12,457 12,567 13,036 13,903 15,079 16,419 17,719 18,863 19,849 20,735 21,533 22,275 22,981 75-79 7,489 7,770 8,035 8,266 8,455 8,607 8,736 8,864 9,030 9,245 9,510 9,816 10,100 10,286 10,342 10,256 10,081 9,941 10,016 10,385 11,073 11,992 13,033 14,030 14,890 80+ 8,628 9,286 9,960 10,654 11,365 12,082 12,788 13,473 14,118 14,719 15,274 15,797 16,295 16,787 17,274 17,762 18,238 18,673 19,006 19,226 19,326 19,341 19,345 19,425 19,628

Total (Females) 833,505 859,373 885,467 911,709 937,977 964,504 991,600 1,019,250 1,047,442 1,076,165 1,105,451 1,135,328 1,165,839 1,197,030 1,228,939 1,261,648 1,295,212 1,329,688 1,365,097 1,401,436 1,438,735 1,476,961 1,516,111 1,556,152 1,597,074 0-4 158,117 163,176 167,350 170,758 173,780 176,682 179,619 182,594 185,622 188,716 191,842 194,966 198,143 201,432 204,878 208,540 212,455 216,631 221,056 225,689 230,468 235,318 240,177 244,993 249,724 5-9 123,374 128,372 134,314 140,758 146,960 152,544 157,355 161,335 164,621 167,628 170,578 173,568 176,600 179,687 182,855 186,059 189,267 192,531 195,904 199,445 203,207 207,215 211,489 216,014 220,762

10-14 110,124 110,909 111,886 113,500 116,133 119,910 124,794 130,622 136,965 143,103 148,663 153,466 157,453 160,755 163,770 166,730 169,732 172,782 175,897 179,087 182,319 185,560 188,861 192,267 195,850 15-19 97,673 99,947 101,906 103,495 104,719 105,626 106,398 107,364 108,971 111,590 115,342 120,186 125,965 132,261 138,368 143,909 148,700 152,688 155,991 159,008 161,974 164,986 168,049 171,183 174,396 20-24 78,390 81,178 84,202 87,166 89,854 92,268 94,465 96,391 97,976 99,224 100,172 100,985 101,996 103,633 106,265 110,007 114,826 120,563 126,815 132,900 138,436 143,243 147,263 150,611 153,667 25-29 65,323 66,485 67,543 68,783 70,390 72,513 75,121 78,004 80,886 83,554 85,984 88,216 90,191 91,842 93,165 94,204 95,117 96,223 97,944 100,631 104,402 109,229 114,962 121,218 127,329 30-34 51,355 53,686 55,940 57,932 59,546 60,772 61,759 62,712 63,902 65,513 67,662 70,281 73,167 76,064 78,763 81,246 83,543 85,603 87,351 88,792 89,960 91,014 92,255 94,096 96,879 35-39 39,131 40,824 42,474 44,186 46,013 47,996 50,078 52,139 54,020 55,618 56,900 57,961 58,994 60,256 61,929 64,115 66,763 69,677 72,609 75,361 77,913 80,293 82,457 84,324 85,895 40-44 27,621 29,332 31,204 33,068 34,801 36,381 37,880 39,371 40,969 42,737 44,689 46,741 48,784 50,664 52,286 53,612 54,734 55,833 57,158 58,879 61,101 63,775 66,710 69,676 72,479 45-49 21,730 22,177 22,679 23,370 24,341 25,629 27,196 28,933 30,685 32,348 33,888 35,358 36,825 38,397 40,132 42,049 44,072 46,089 47,959 49,587 50,940 52,100 53,244 54,606 56,362 50-54 17,152 17,874 18,490 19,030 19,533 19,976 20,372 20,830 21,482 22,409 23,650 25,153 26,824 28,511 30,119 31,618 33,047 34,484 36,024 37,724 39,602 41,583 43,566 45,413 47,035 55-59 10,791 11,783 12,931 14,048 15,004 15,786 16,457 17,035 17,544 18,024 18,448 18,835 19,280 19,905 20,799 21,987 23,426 25,026 26,646 28,193 29,639 31,024 32,416 33,912 35,562 60-64 9,463 9,214 8,986 8,967 9,267 9,922 10,849 11,919 12,956 13,849 14,582 15,211 15,750 16,232 16,685 17,086 17,451 17,876 18,471 19,320 20,446 21,808 23,324 24,853 26,324 65-69 7,997 8,285 8,556 8,731 8,774 8,658 8,433 8,228 8,215 8,490 9,094 9,947 10,935 11,889 12,703 13,377 13,951 14,444 14,886 15,293 15,657 15,988 16,372 16,916 17,692 70-74 6,313 6,473 6,613 6,776 6,972 7,213 7,481 7,732 7,890 7,924 7,815 7,608 7,420 7,412 7,665 8,206 8,968 9,839 10,678 11,389 11,967 12,459 12,877 13,244 13,583 75-79 4,169 4,476 4,767 5,027 5,247 5,428 5,570 5,691 5,826 5,987 6,181 6,400 6,602 6,723 6,736 6,629 6,445 6,281 6,271 6,478 6,925 7,544 8,242 8,907 9,456 80+ 4,782 5,182 5,626 6,114 6,643 7,200 7,773 8,350 8,912 9,451 9,961 10,446 10,910 11,367 11,821 12,274 12,715 13,118 13,437 13,660 13,779 13,822 13,847 13,919 14,079

Total (Males) 809,252 834,997 861,324 888,176 915,487 943,280 971,606 1,000,446 1,029,787 1,059,629 1,089,965 1,120,832 1,152,259 1,184,303 1,216,990 1,250,401 1,284,572 1,319,554 1,355,391 1,392,087 1,429,626 1,467,979 1,507,133 1,547,078 1,587,781 0-4 160,933 166,175 170,668 174,464 177,953 181,308 184,542 187,672 190,730 193,790 196,852 199,905 203,007 206,212 209,578 213,155 216,983 221,067 225,395 229,931 234,606 239,334 244,061 248,729 253,308 5-9 125,490 130,656 136,681 143,244 149,639 155,501 160,717 165,195 168,981 172,447 175,772 178,981 182,094 185,139 188,193 191,253 194,306 197,401 200,603 203,964 207,537 211,355 215,430 219,748 224,274

10-14 109,458 110,988 112,797 115,180 118,407 122,576 127,694 133,655 140,149 146,484 152,299 157,477 161,926 165,697 169,136 172,439 175,628 178,728 181,764 184,809 187,860 190,909 193,999 197,194 200,551 15-19 97,314 99,883 101,861 103,496 104,991 106,465 107,992 109,796 112,165 115,362 119,491 124,552 130,449 136,879 143,161 148,930 154,066 158,481 162,227 165,644 168,924 172,095 175,180 178,207 181,241 20-24 72,364 77,102 82,183 86,989 91,101 94,369 96,916 98,881 100,506 101,997 103,463 104,983 106,776 109,125 112,284 116,360 121,351 127,167 133,505 139,706 145,407 150,488 154,866 158,580 161,973 25-29 56,810 57,705 59,021 61,044 63,953 67,825 72,458 77,428 82,137 86,170 89,389 91,916 93,878 95,510 97,020 98,501 100,041 101,849 104,196 107,335 111,370 116,300 122,036 128,291 134,422 30-34 48,474 48,964 49,452 49,974 50,568 51,256 52,149 53,451 55,445 58,299 62,084 66,605 71,463 76,077 80,046 83,245 85,782 87,782 89,470 91,042 92,584 94,194 96,057 98,449 101,610 35-39 40,127 41,187 42,008 42,667 43,228 43,737 44,231 44,744 45,305 45,943 46,680 47,614 48,937 50,923 53,734 57,446 61,871 66,631 71,171 75,102 78,305 80,878 82,941 84,710 86,366 40-44 27,898 29,717 31,652 33,478 35,044 36,313 37,329 38,138 38,811 39,412 39,972 40,520 41,086 41,697 42,385 43,165 44,133 45,472 47,449 50,223 53,863 58,202 62,872 67,343 71,244 45-49 20,558 21,098 21,703 22,517 23,621 25,059 26,769 28,596 30,333 31,844 33,086 34,098 34,920 35,620 36,253 36,852 37,435 38,040 38,691 39,411 40,224 41,214 42,564 44,523 47,253 50-54 15,252 15,920 16,550 17,152 17,732 18,268 18,774 19,350 20,129 21,182 22,552 24,169 25,901 27,556 29,004 30,209 31,214 32,037 32,752 33,409 34,034 34,647 35,284 35,966 36,711 55-59 9,862 10,518 11,256 11,989 12,670 13,301 13,901 14,477 15,036 15,586 16,098 16,590 17,146 17,889 18,884 20,168 21,685 23,309 24,866 26,242 27,403 28,379 29,195 29,916 30,584 60-64 7,425 7,446 7,501 7,658 7,954 8,406 8,985 9,636 10,290 10,905 11,475 12,024 12,552 13,069 13,575 14,057 14,518 15,042 15,736 16,660 17,845 19,241 20,737 22,176 23,456 65-69 5,770 5,904 6,038 6,150 6,231 6,270 6,288 6,340 6,477 6,734 7,130 7,635 8,204 8,772 9,307 9,809 10,289 10,753 11,211 11,662 12,087 12,500 12,966 13,586 14,407 70-74 4,351 4,336 4,351 4,395 4,465 4,565 4,680 4,791 4,883 4,948 4,980 4,996 5,037 5,155 5,371 5,697 6,111 6,580 7,041 7,474 7,882 8,276 8,656 9,031 9,398 75-79 3,320 3,294 3,268 3,239 3,208 3,179 3,166 3,173 3,204 3,258 3,329 3,416 3,498 3,563 3,606 3,627 3,636 3,660 3,745 3,907 4,148 4,448 4,791 5,123 5,434 80+ 3,846 4,104 4,334 4,540 4,722 4,882 5,015 5,123 5,206 5,268 5,313 5,351 5,385 5,420 5,453 5,488 5,523 5,555 5,569 5,566 5,547 5,519 5,498 5,506 5,549

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 149

Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 73,979 75,475 76,902 78,202 79,345 80,675 81,960 83,220 84,459 85,696 86,940 88,251 89,659 91,174 92,770 94,497 96,322 98,245 100,236 102,234 104,138 106,011 107,855 109,661 111,429Annual Number of Deaths 17,211 17,942 18,687 19,446 20,230 20,421 20,618 20,817 21,005 21,197 21,353 21,499 21,658 21,831 22,018 22,159 22,315 22,496 22,677 22,885 23,020 23,169 23,317 23,483 23,655Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 45.0 44.5 44.0 43.5 42.8 42.3 41.8 41.2 40.7 40.1 39.6 39.1 38.7 38.3 37.9 37.6 37.3 37.1 36.8 36.6 36.3 36.0 35.7 35.3 35.0 Crude Death Rate (CDR) 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.9 10.7 10.5 10.3 10.1 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.5 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.9 7.7 7.6 7.4 Growth Rate(%) 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes) 59.0 58.8 58.7 58.5 58.3 58.6 58.9 59.2 59.5 59.8 60.1 60.4 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.0 62.4 62.7 63.0 63.3 63.6 64.0 64.3 64.6 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males) 55.0 55.0 55.1 55.2 55.3 55.6 55.9 56.2 56.5 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.7 58.0 58.3 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.4 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females) 63.1 62.7 62.3 61.9 61.5 61.8 62.1 62.4 62.6 62.9 63.2 63.6 63.9 64.2 64.5 64.8 65.2 65.5 65.8 66.1 66.5 66.8 67.2 67.5 67.8 Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes) 61.1 61.5 61.9 62.3 62.6 62.0 61.4 60.8 60.2 59.6 58.9 58.2 57.6 56.9 56.2 55.5 54.8 54.0 53.3 52.6 51.8 51.0 50.2 49.5 48.7 Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 63.6 63.2 62.9 62.5 62.1 61.7 61.3 60.9 60.6 60.2 59.8 59.3 58.9 58.5 58.1 57.6 57.2 56.7 56.3 55.8 55.3 54.9 54.4 53.9 53.4 Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 58.6 59.8 60.9 62.0 63.2 62.3 61.4 60.6 59.7 58.9 58.0 57.1 56.2 55.2 54.3 53.3 52.3 51.3 50.3 49.4 48.2 47.1 46.0 44.9 43.9 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & SexProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 1,642,757 1,694,370 1,746,791 1,799,885 1,853,464 1,907,784 1,963,206 2,019,696 2,077,229 2,135,794 2,195,416 2,256,160 2,318,098 2,381,333 2,445,929 2,512,049 2,579,784 2,649,242 2,720,488 2,793,523 2,868,361 2,944,940 3,023,244 3,103,230 3,184,855 0 69,765 71,199 72,576 73,857 75,005 76,188 77,460 78,698 79,913 81,117 82,327 83,576 84,906 86,334 87,864 89,503 91,253 93,098 95,018 96,973 98,888 100,751 102,589 104,395 106,166 1 66,831 68,273 69,680 71,029 72,283 73,424 74,615 75,892 77,137 78,358 79,574 80,793 82,051 83,387 84,822 86,359 88,006 89,762 91,614 93,539 95,505 97,434 99,313 101,166 102,988 2 64,169 65,965 67,393 68,784 70,112 71,358 72,503 73,698 74,978 76,226 77,453 78,675 79,903 81,169 82,510 83,952 85,498 87,153 88,917 90,775 92,710 94,686 96,625 98,516 100,381 3 60,849 63,543 65,323 66,740 68,116 69,434 70,681 71,828 73,025 74,307 75,558 76,791 78,018 79,251 80,520 81,867 83,316 84,867 86,527 88,295 90,160 92,101 94,084 96,031 97,929 4 57,436 60,371 63,046 64,812 66,217 67,586 68,902 70,150 71,299 72,498 73,782 75,036 76,272 77,503 78,740 80,014 81,365 82,818 84,375 86,038 87,811 89,680 91,627 93,614 95,568 5 54,310 57,132 60,050 62,709 64,467 65,864 67,233 68,548 69,797 70,946 72,144 73,431 74,688 75,925 77,158 78,399 79,677 81,030 82,486 84,044 85,711 87,487 89,360 91,309 93,299 6 51,571 54,116 56,927 59,831 62,481 64,233 65,629 66,998 68,310 69,559 70,709 71,908 73,195 74,453 75,692 76,925 78,168 79,449 80,804 82,259 83,821 85,488 87,268 89,141 91,093 7 49,249 51,387 53,921 56,721 59,613 62,250 64,003 65,398 66,766 68,079 69,328 70,477 71,677 72,966 74,224 75,466 76,699 77,944 79,226 80,583 82,041 83,605 85,273 87,055 88,931 8 47,490 49,072 51,202 53,725 56,513 59,393 62,027 63,777 65,172 66,539 67,851 69,103 70,251 71,452 72,742 74,000 75,246 76,479 77,725 79,011 80,369 81,828 83,395 85,065 86,849 9 46,244 47,321 48,895 51,016 53,525 56,305 59,180 61,809 63,557 64,952 66,318 67,630 68,883 70,030 71,232 72,522 73,783 75,030 76,266 77,512 78,802 80,162 81,623 83,192 84,864

10 45,284 46,000 47,074 48,642 50,756 53,257 56,032 58,900 61,526 63,274 64,668 66,031 67,342 68,596 69,744 70,946 72,235 73,499 74,747 75,982 77,230 78,521 79,884 81,345 82,916 11 44,560 44,964 45,676 46,750 48,314 50,422 52,919 55,690 58,553 61,177 62,926 64,322 65,681 66,991 68,242 69,392 70,592 71,881 73,145 74,393 75,628 76,878 78,168 79,532 80,994 12 43,999 44,240 44,644 45,355 46,427 47,988 50,091 52,583 55,349 58,209 60,830 62,581 63,975 65,334 66,641 67,891 69,041 70,241 71,529 72,793 74,043 75,276 76,528 77,818 79,182 13 43,328 43,681 43,923 44,326 45,034 46,103 47,662 49,763 52,249 55,009 57,865 60,485 62,238 63,632 64,988 66,294 67,541 68,693 69,893 71,181 72,444 73,695 74,930 76,180 77,472 14 42,411 43,012 43,366 43,607 44,009 44,716 45,784 47,341 49,437 51,918 54,673 57,524 60,143 61,899 63,291 64,646 65,951 67,196 68,347 69,547 70,834 72,099 73,350 74,586 75,837 15 41,310 42,113 42,712 43,065 43,306 43,708 44,415 45,480 47,035 49,126 51,604 54,351 57,198 59,814 61,571 62,962 64,316 65,618 66,864 68,013 69,216 70,502 71,766 73,019 74,255 16 40,287 41,032 41,833 42,432 42,780 43,021 43,425 44,132 45,195 46,748 48,833 51,305 54,048 56,887 59,499 61,256 62,646 64,000 65,301 66,546 67,695 68,899 70,186 71,451 72,704 17 39,273 40,011 40,755 41,553 42,150 42,498 42,741 43,145 43,852 44,912 46,463 48,545 51,009 53,748 56,581 59,189 60,946 62,334 63,688 64,987 66,233 67,383 68,586 69,874 71,139 18 37,940 39,002 39,737 40,478 41,273 41,869 42,218 42,462 42,867 43,575 44,633 46,179 48,259 50,717 53,450 56,277 58,882 60,640 62,029 63,381 64,679 65,923 67,074 68,277 69,566 19 36,177 37,672 38,730 39,463 40,201 40,995 41,591 41,941 42,187 42,591 43,300 44,358 45,900 47,974 50,428 53,155 55,976 58,577 60,336 61,725 63,075 64,374 65,617 66,769 67,973 20 34,076 35,854 37,341 38,392 39,121 39,858 40,652 41,248 41,601 41,849 42,254 42,964 44,022 45,562 47,629 50,077 52,798 55,615 58,212 59,972 61,361 62,711 64,011 65,254 66,409 21 31,844 33,705 35,473 36,947 37,990 38,714 39,452 40,247 40,844 41,200 41,452 41,858 42,570 43,627 45,165 47,228 49,670 52,384 55,195 57,787 59,550 60,941 62,292 63,594 64,839 22 29,810 31,485 33,334 35,090 36,552 37,589 38,313 39,053 39,850 40,446 40,805 41,061 41,471 42,184 43,241 44,777 46,832 49,270 51,976 54,783 57,372 59,136 60,531 61,881 63,184 23 28,114 29,461 31,126 32,962 34,704 36,157 37,196 37,918 38,658 39,456 40,054 40,416 40,676 41,089 41,802 42,858 44,393 46,444 48,875 51,575 54,377 56,964 58,731 60,128 61,478 24 26,910 27,775 29,111 30,764 32,588 34,319 35,768 36,806 37,529 38,270 39,070 39,669 40,033 40,296 40,712 41,427 42,484 44,017 46,062 48,489 51,183 53,979 56,564 58,334 59,730 25 26,019 26,519 27,373 28,691 30,327 32,140 33,867 35,312 36,352 37,074 37,818 38,620 39,225 39,594 39,863 40,284 41,002 42,061 43,593 45,634 48,057 50,746 53,539 56,125 57,899 26 25,251 25,576 26,066 26,905 28,203 29,825 31,630 33,351 34,792 35,834 36,560 37,308 38,112 38,723 39,099 39,376 39,806 40,531 41,592 43,126 45,165 47,584 50,272 53,061 55,648 27 24,473 24,817 25,130 25,610 26,433 27,718 29,333 31,133 32,848 34,288 35,328 36,058 36,811 37,618 38,235 38,619 38,904 39,340 40,072 41,136 42,670 44,710 47,125 49,810 52,597 28 23,655 24,046 24,380 24,683 25,151 25,963 27,246 28,853 30,647 32,355 33,792 34,834 35,568 36,326 37,135 37,760 38,150 38,446 38,887 39,625 40,692 42,228 44,266 46,679 49,362 29 22,735 23,232 23,615 23,938 24,229 24,692 25,503 26,783 28,384 30,173 31,875 33,312 34,353 35,091 35,853 36,666 37,296 37,694 37,996 38,445 39,188 40,261 41,796 43,834 46,245 30 21,779 22,351 22,838 23,210 23,519 23,807 24,272 25,083 26,359 27,953 29,738 31,434 32,870 33,914 34,655 35,425 36,241 36,879 37,286 37,597 38,054 38,805 39,883 41,421 43,459 31 20,839 21,440 21,997 22,471 22,828 23,131 23,426 23,894 24,707 25,979 27,568 29,346 31,039 32,473 33,520 34,266 35,044 35,865 36,513 36,930 37,252 37,719 38,479 39,565 41,107 32 19,930 20,508 21,097 21,638 22,097 22,449 22,757 23,058 23,529 24,343 25,611 27,195 28,968 30,657 32,091 33,141 33,893 34,677 35,504 36,160 36,588 36,922 37,399 38,166 39,258

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150 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & SexProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203533 19,054 19,609 20,175 20,749 21,274 21,726 22,083 22,396 22,704 23,177 23,991 25,258 26,836 28,605 30,289 31,723 32,777 33,536 34,326 35,159 35,823 36,261 36,604 37,092 37,867 34 18,227 18,742 19,285 19,838 20,396 20,915 21,370 21,732 22,048 22,360 22,838 23,653 24,917 26,492 28,254 29,936 31,370 32,428 33,192 33,988 34,827 35,501 35,947 36,301 36,798 35 17,433 17,928 18,433 18,959 19,496 20,046 20,566 21,026 21,394 21,713 22,031 22,514 23,330 24,591 26,160 27,920 29,597 31,032 32,093 32,865 33,667 34,514 35,198 35,653 36,016 36 16,694 17,150 17,631 18,121 18,630 19,161 19,711 20,235 20,697 21,067 21,393 21,720 22,204 23,024 24,282 25,847 27,602 29,277 30,712 31,777 32,556 33,366 34,218 34,913 35,377 37 15,941 16,420 16,865 17,331 17,806 18,308 18,840 19,391 19,916 20,382 20,758 21,088 21,422 21,911 22,730 23,985 25,549 27,299 28,973 30,406 31,476 32,262 33,080 33,939 34,641 38 15,089 15,676 16,144 16,577 17,026 17,494 17,997 18,531 19,084 19,610 20,081 20,461 20,798 21,136 21,630 22,450 23,703 25,265 27,010 28,681 30,115 31,190 31,984 32,809 33,675 39 14,101 14,837 15,409 15,865 16,283 16,724 17,195 17,700 18,234 18,789 19,317 19,792 20,177 20,517 20,861 21,359 22,183 23,435 24,992 26,734 28,404 29,839 30,918 31,720 32,552 40 13,036 13,862 14,585 15,144 15,587 15,999 16,441 16,913 17,418 17,953 18,508 19,038 19,517 19,905 20,250 20,598 21,099 21,924 23,175 24,726 26,464 28,131 29,569 30,649 31,456 41 11,938 12,813 13,624 14,334 14,881 15,319 15,732 16,173 16,646 17,152 17,687 18,243 18,773 19,253 19,646 19,992 20,345 20,848 21,673 22,920 24,467 26,200 27,863 29,300 30,383 42 10,927 11,729 12,590 13,387 14,084 14,623 15,062 15,475 15,917 16,389 16,896 17,429 17,988 18,519 18,999 19,395 19,745 20,103 20,608 21,433 22,678 24,221 25,947 27,608 29,045 43 10,098 10,733 11,521 12,367 13,149 13,838 14,375 14,813 15,226 15,669 16,140 16,649 17,182 17,741 18,272 18,757 19,155 19,508 19,871 20,376 21,202 22,444 23,984 25,706 27,363 44 9,520 9,912 10,536 11,314 12,144 12,915 13,599 14,135 14,573 14,986 15,430 15,902 16,410 16,943 17,504 18,035 18,523 18,922 19,280 19,647 20,153 20,981 22,219 23,756 25,476 45 9,135 9,347 9,733 10,344 11,108 11,927 12,692 13,372 13,906 14,343 14,755 15,200 15,672 16,182 16,714 17,274 17,806 18,296 18,698 19,058 19,429 19,937 20,765 22,000 23,533 46 8,817 8,970 9,177 9,555 10,158 10,909 11,722 12,480 13,155 13,686 14,123 14,536 14,980 15,449 15,960 16,492 17,053 17,584 18,076 18,479 18,841 19,215 19,726 20,552 21,782 47 8,481 8,657 8,806 9,008 9,379 9,974 10,718 11,523 12,273 12,945 13,473 13,909 14,321 14,767 15,235 15,746 16,279 16,839 17,371 17,863 18,270 18,634 19,011 19,523 20,349 48 8,127 8,325 8,498 8,642 8,838 9,205 9,796 10,532 11,330 12,074 12,742 13,268 13,702 14,116 14,560 15,030 15,538 16,071 16,633 17,165 17,657 18,067 18,434 18,814 19,327 49 7,728 7,976 8,168 8,338 8,479 8,673 9,037 9,622 10,354 11,144 11,881 12,543 13,070 13,503 13,916 14,359 14,831 15,339 15,872 16,433 16,967 17,461 17,872 18,240 18,624 50 7,288 7,575 7,818 8,005 8,170 8,310 8,503 8,865 9,443 10,168 10,949 11,682 12,339 12,863 13,294 13,707 14,149 14,622 15,127 15,662 16,220 16,754 17,249 17,663 18,033 51 6,886 7,132 7,412 7,652 7,834 7,997 8,136 8,328 8,690 9,258 9,977 10,749 11,474 12,125 12,644 13,075 13,488 13,928 14,400 14,904 15,438 15,996 16,528 17,025 17,439 52 6,523 6,738 6,979 7,252 7,488 7,669 7,831 7,969 8,161 8,519 9,083 9,791 10,556 11,272 11,920 12,436 12,865 13,276 13,715 14,185 14,689 15,222 15,779 16,311 16,808 53 6,104 6,381 6,591 6,827 7,096 7,326 7,507 7,669 7,806 7,998 8,353 8,910 9,612 10,369 11,078 11,720 12,232 12,661 13,071 13,510 13,979 14,481 15,014 15,569 16,100 54 5,603 5,968 6,240 6,446 6,677 6,942 7,169 7,349 7,511 7,648 7,840 8,190 8,744 9,438 10,187 10,889 11,527 12,034 12,463 12,872 13,310 13,777 14,280 14,811 15,366 55 5,065 5,482 5,840 6,106 6,308 6,534 6,796 7,023 7,202 7,364 7,498 7,691 8,036 8,584 9,270 10,010 10,706 11,339 11,841 12,267 12,674 13,112 13,577 14,079 14,608 56 4,505 4,957 5,366 5,718 5,980 6,179 6,402 6,662 6,884 7,062 7,222 7,358 7,548 7,890 8,431 9,108 9,838 10,527 11,154 11,651 12,076 12,480 12,915 13,379 13,879 57 3,999 4,405 4,852 5,253 5,599 5,857 6,052 6,274 6,531 6,751 6,927 7,085 7,221 7,410 7,748 8,282 8,953 9,673 10,354 10,974 11,468 11,891 12,292 12,724 13,186 58 3,630 3,910 4,307 4,748 5,142 5,484 5,739 5,931 6,151 6,403 6,621 6,796 6,952 7,088 7,276 7,610 8,137 8,799 9,512 10,187 10,801 11,289 11,712 12,109 12,540 59 3,454 3,547 3,822 4,212 4,645 5,033 5,369 5,622 5,812 6,030 6,278 6,495 6,669 6,822 6,958 7,145 7,477 7,997 8,651 9,356 10,023 10,631 11,115 11,537 11,933 60 3,411 3,370 3,460 3,731 4,112 4,539 4,920 5,250 5,497 5,688 5,900 6,147 6,360 6,531 6,682 6,817 7,003 7,330 7,844 8,488 9,184 9,840 10,441 10,920 11,337 61 3,426 3,324 3,284 3,371 3,638 4,009 4,428 4,803 5,127 5,367 5,556 5,765 6,007 6,216 6,385 6,534 6,665 6,850 7,171 7,678 8,308 8,994 9,639 10,232 10,703 62 3,423 3,339 3,237 3,199 3,285 3,545 3,909 4,320 4,688 5,008 5,242 5,426 5,632 5,871 6,076 6,242 6,389 6,519 6,702 7,016 7,516 8,134 8,811 9,444 10,028 63 3,377 3,336 3,254 3,153 3,115 3,201 3,456 3,813 4,215 4,577 4,890 5,121 5,301 5,503 5,738 5,941 6,104 6,248 6,377 6,558 6,866 7,358 7,965 8,631 9,254 64 3,251 3,291 3,252 3,171 3,071 3,034 3,121 3,369 3,719 4,114 4,469 4,776 5,002 5,180 5,379 5,609 5,808 5,971 6,113 6,240 6,417 6,723 7,205 7,802 8,458 65 3,072 3,170 3,210 3,172 3,094 2,994 2,958 3,044 3,288 3,630 4,017 4,365 4,666 4,887 5,060 5,255 5,480 5,675 5,834 5,973 6,098 6,270 6,570 7,044 7,627 66 2,890 2,998 3,096 3,136 3,100 3,023 2,925 2,888 2,972 3,210 3,546 3,922 4,264 4,558 4,772 4,943 5,131 5,352 5,541 5,693 5,830 5,951 6,118 6,408 6,871 67 2,735 2,821 2,927 3,023 3,064 3,030 2,953 2,858 2,821 2,903 3,137 3,465 3,833 4,167 4,452 4,663 4,827 5,010 5,226 5,410 5,557 5,689 5,805 5,970 6,252 68 2,595 2,670 2,755 2,859 2,955 2,994 2,961 2,886 2,792 2,755 2,834 3,064 3,384 3,744 4,070 4,349 4,554 4,714 4,894 5,101 5,280 5,425 5,552 5,665 5,823 69 2,475 2,530 2,606 2,691 2,792 2,887 2,924 2,892 2,819 2,726 2,690 2,766 2,992 3,305 3,656 3,976 4,248 4,446 4,602 4,778 4,979 5,153 5,293 5,415 5,526 70 2,355 2,396 2,450 2,526 2,608 2,708 2,800 2,837 2,804 2,733 2,643 2,606 2,679 2,899 3,204 3,545 3,853 4,117 4,310 4,460 4,629 4,823 4,989 5,125 5,242 71 2,241 2,263 2,303 2,355 2,429 2,511 2,606 2,695 2,730 2,698 2,629 2,542 2,504 2,575 2,785 3,081 3,410 3,705 3,959 4,143 4,286 4,449 4,634 4,792 4,920 72 2,138 2,152 2,173 2,215 2,263 2,337 2,416 2,507 2,593 2,627 2,594 2,528 2,445 2,407 2,475 2,678 2,962 3,279 3,562 3,807 3,984 4,120 4,274 4,450 4,602 73 2,027 2,052 2,067 2,089 2,128 2,176 2,246 2,324 2,411 2,495 2,528 2,496 2,430 2,350 2,314 2,376 2,572 2,847 3,153 3,423 3,660 3,828 3,958 4,106 4,272 74 1,903 1,946 1,971 1,986 2,009 2,046 2,093 2,160 2,235 2,319 2,401 2,432 2,399 2,336 2,258 2,223 2,282 2,471 2,735 3,030 3,290 3,515 3,678 3,802 3,945 75 1,765 1,821 1,865 1,889 1,904 1,927 1,961 2,006 2,071 2,143 2,221 2,299 2,329 2,295 2,234 2,159 2,124 2,181 2,360 2,612 2,893 3,140 3,353 3,505 3,620 76 1,623 1,684 1,738 1,781 1,805 1,820 1,841 1,873 1,914 1,976 2,042 2,118 2,190 2,219 2,184 2,125 2,052 2,020 2,071 2,239 2,476 2,739 2,971 3,170 3,309 77 1,491 1,546 1,605 1,659 1,701 1,723 1,738 1,756 1,787 1,826 1,884 1,947 2,018 2,086 2,112 2,077 2,020 1,949 1,917 1,963 2,122 2,344 2,592 2,808 2,994 78 1,363 1,421 1,474 1,531 1,583 1,625 1,645 1,659 1,675 1,703 1,739 1,796 1,853 1,922 1,983 2,010 1,974 1,917 1,849 1,818 1,860 2,009 2,218 2,451 2,651 79 1,247 1,298 1,353 1,406 1,462 1,512 1,551 1,570 1,583 1,597 1,624 1,656 1,710 1,764 1,829 1,885 1,911 1,874 1,819 1,753 1,722 1,760 1,899 2,096 2,316

80+ 8,628 9,286 9,960 10,654 11,365 12,082 12,788 13,473 14,118 14,719 15,274 15,797 16,295 16,787 17,274 17,762 18,238 18,673 19,006 19,226 19,326 19,341 19,345 19,425 19,628

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 151

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & SexProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Males) 809,252 834,997 861,324 888,176 915,487 943,280 971,606 1,000,446 1,029,787 1,059,629 1,089,965 1,120,832 1,152,259 1,184,303 1,216,990 1,250,401 1,284,572 1,319,554 1,355,391 1,392,087 1,429,626 1,467,979 1,507,133 1,547,078 1,587,781

0 35,219 35,960 36,673 37,338 37,938 38,542 39,178 39,797 40,404 41,006 41,610 42,234 42,899 43,614 44,380 45,200 46,076 46,999 47,959 48,937 49,894 50,822 51,738 52,637 53,519 1 33,725 34,459 35,204 35,924 36,598 37,198 37,803 38,437 39,056 39,662 40,265 40,867 41,490 42,151 42,863 43,625 44,441 45,311 46,230 47,185 48,159 49,113 50,039 50,953 51,851 2 32,367 33,290 34,028 34,778 35,501 36,179 36,778 37,381 38,014 38,632 39,239 39,841 40,445 41,067 41,728 42,440 43,202 44,018 44,889 45,807 46,762 47,736 48,690 49,618 50,533 3 30,667 32,045 32,967 33,708 34,459 35,181 35,857 36,455 37,057 37,689 38,306 38,914 39,516 40,121 40,742 41,403 42,117 42,878 43,694 44,564 45,482 46,438 47,411 48,366 49,294 4 28,955 30,421 31,796 32,716 33,457 34,208 34,926 35,602 36,199 36,801 37,432 38,049 38,657 39,259 39,865 40,487 41,147 41,861 42,623 43,438 44,309 45,225 46,183 47,155 48,111 5 27,398 28,799 30,260 31,631 32,551 33,291 34,041 34,757 35,433 36,028 36,629 37,260 37,878 38,485 39,086 39,693 40,315 40,975 41,689 42,451 43,266 44,137 45,053 46,010 46,981 6 26,030 27,300 28,698 30,154 31,524 32,442 33,181 33,930 34,643 35,318 35,913 36,513 37,143 37,761 38,368 38,969 39,575 40,197 40,858 41,570 42,332 43,146 44,018 44,932 45,889 7 24,855 25,936 27,203 28,598 30,051 31,416 32,334 33,072 33,819 34,532 35,206 35,799 36,399 37,029 37,646 38,253 38,853 39,460 40,081 40,741 41,455 42,216 43,029 43,901 44,815 8 23,943 24,764 25,844 27,108 28,500 29,949 31,312 32,227 32,964 33,710 34,421 35,096 35,687 36,287 36,917 37,533 38,141 38,740 39,346 39,968 40,627 41,340 42,101 42,915 43,786 9 23,264 23,857 24,676 25,753 27,013 28,403 29,849 31,209 32,122 32,859 33,603 34,313 34,987 35,577 36,176 36,805 37,422 38,029 38,629 39,234 39,857 40,516 41,229 41,990 42,803

10 22,716 23,151 23,743 24,561 25,636 26,894 28,281 29,722 31,081 31,993 32,729 33,471 34,179 34,854 35,443 36,042 36,669 37,288 37,894 38,493 39,098 39,720 40,380 41,092 41,853 11 22,266 22,575 23,009 23,602 24,419 25,490 26,747 28,132 29,570 30,928 31,840 32,576 33,316 34,023 34,697 35,287 35,884 36,510 37,129 37,735 38,333 38,939 39,559 40,220 40,931 12 21,898 22,126 22,435 22,869 23,462 24,278 25,346 26,600 27,983 29,420 30,775 31,688 32,423 33,163 33,867 34,540 35,130 35,726 36,352 36,970 37,577 38,174 38,780 39,400 40,060 13 21,515 21,759 21,988 22,297 22,730 23,322 24,137 25,203 26,454 27,833 29,269 30,623 31,536 32,271 33,009 33,713 34,384 34,974 35,570 36,196 36,813 37,419 38,017 38,622 39,242 14 21,063 21,377 21,622 21,851 22,160 22,592 23,183 23,998 25,061 26,310 27,686 29,119 30,472 31,386 32,120 32,857 33,561 34,230 34,819 35,415 36,039 36,657 37,263 37,860 38,465 15 20,566 20,943 21,256 21,502 21,731 22,041 22,473 23,061 23,874 24,935 26,182 27,554 28,985 30,335 31,249 31,982 32,717 33,419 34,089 34,676 35,273 35,896 36,513 37,120 37,716 16 20,130 20,464 20,842 21,155 21,399 21,628 21,938 22,370 22,957 23,768 24,826 26,069 27,439 28,865 30,213 31,125 31,857 32,592 33,293 33,961 34,548 35,144 35,767 36,384 36,990 17 19,666 20,029 20,363 20,742 21,054 21,299 21,528 21,838 22,268 22,854 23,663 24,719 25,958 27,325 28,748 30,092 31,004 31,734 32,468 33,168 33,835 34,423 35,017 35,639 36,255 18 18,976 19,567 19,931 20,264 20,642 20,954 21,198 21,428 21,737 22,168 22,752 23,558 24,612 25,848 27,212 28,632 29,972 30,883 31,614 32,346 33,044 33,710 34,297 34,891 35,513 19 17,976 18,880 19,469 19,833 20,165 20,543 20,855 21,099 21,329 21,637 22,068 22,652 23,455 24,506 25,739 27,099 28,516 29,853 30,763 31,493 32,224 32,922 33,586 34,173 34,767 20 16,751 17,860 18,761 19,349 19,714 20,046 20,423 20,734 20,978 21,208 21,516 21,946 22,529 23,330 24,377 25,606 26,962 28,376 29,710 30,619 31,347 32,077 32,774 33,437 34,025 21 15,442 16,618 17,724 18,622 19,210 19,574 19,906 20,282 20,593 20,837 21,067 21,373 21,804 22,385 23,184 24,228 25,453 26,804 28,213 29,543 30,451 31,178 31,906 32,602 33,264 22 14,259 15,315 16,488 17,590 18,486 19,072 19,435 19,768 20,144 20,453 20,697 20,928 21,233 21,663 22,243 23,040 24,079 25,301 26,647 28,052 29,378 30,284 31,011 31,737 32,432 23 13,287 14,138 15,191 16,360 17,458 18,350 18,936 19,297 19,630 20,005 20,315 20,558 20,790 21,095 21,523 22,101 22,895 23,932 25,149 26,492 27,892 29,215 30,120 30,846 31,570 24 12,625 13,171 14,019 15,068 16,233 17,327 18,216 18,800 19,161 19,494 19,868 20,178 20,420 20,652 20,957 21,385 21,962 22,754 23,786 25,000 26,339 27,734 29,055 29,958 30,682 25 12,136 12,450 12,993 13,835 14,880 16,039 17,129 18,015 18,598 18,958 19,292 19,666 19,977 20,221 20,454 20,759 21,187 21,764 22,554 23,583 24,793 26,128 27,519 28,839 29,742 26 11,718 11,901 12,214 12,753 13,590 14,630 15,782 16,866 17,749 18,331 18,692 19,027 19,401 19,714 19,960 20,195 20,502 20,932 21,508 22,298 23,324 24,530 25,864 27,251 28,569 27 11,336 11,488 11,669 11,981 12,517 13,348 14,382 15,530 16,608 17,489 18,069 18,430 18,768 19,142 19,457 19,705 19,942 20,250 20,682 21,258 22,046 23,071 24,273 25,603 26,988 28 10,982 11,109 11,261 11,440 11,752 12,283 13,112 14,139 15,282 16,354 17,232 17,812 18,173 18,513 18,887 19,205 19,454 19,695 20,002 20,437 21,012 21,800 22,822 24,021 25,349 29 10,638 10,757 10,884 11,035 11,214 11,525 12,053 12,878 13,900 15,038 16,104 16,981 17,559 17,920 18,262 18,637 18,956 19,208 19,450 19,759 20,195 20,771 21,558 22,577 23,774 30 10,299 10,416 10,535 10,662 10,811 10,991 11,301 11,827 12,648 13,664 14,797 15,857 16,732 17,310 17,673 18,018 18,394 18,715 18,971 19,215 19,527 19,965 20,542 21,329 22,347 31 9,992 10,082 10,197 10,316 10,442 10,590 10,773 11,083 11,608 12,424 13,434 14,562 15,618 16,489 17,068 17,432 17,781 18,159 18,485 18,745 18,992 19,308 19,749 20,329 21,117 32 9,703 9,778 9,868 9,981 10,099 10,227 10,376 10,560 10,870 11,394 12,205 13,210 14,333 15,385 16,254 16,833 17,199 17,551 17,931 18,260 18,525 18,777 19,096 19,539 20,121 33 9,403 9,492 9,567 9,656 9,769 9,887 10,017 10,167 10,354 10,664 11,185 11,993 12,993 14,110 15,157 16,025 16,605 16,974 17,328 17,711 18,043 18,311 18,566 18,889 19,335 34 9,077 9,196 9,285 9,359 9,447 9,561 9,682 9,814 9,965 10,153 10,463 10,983 11,787 12,783 13,894 14,937 15,803 16,383 16,755 17,111 17,497 17,833 18,104 18,363 18,690 35 8,742 8,889 9,007 9,094 9,169 9,258 9,372 9,498 9,631 9,783 9,973 10,284 10,802 11,602 12,593 13,700 14,738 15,603 16,183 16,558 16,917 17,306 17,646 17,920 18,183 36 8,426 8,573 8,718 8,835 8,921 8,998 9,089 9,207 9,334 9,469 9,623 9,817 10,126 10,645 11,440 12,427 13,528 14,562 15,426 16,007 16,385 16,747 17,137 17,482 17,760 37 8,092 8,261 8,408 8,551 8,667 8,754 8,834 8,927 9,047 9,177 9,314 9,470 9,666 9,976 10,492 11,284 12,267 13,363 14,394 15,255 15,837 16,218 16,583 16,977 17,324 38 7,684 7,932 8,100 8,246 8,386 8,503 8,592 8,675 8,771 8,893 9,025 9,164 9,323 9,520 9,831 10,345 11,134 12,113 13,204 14,231 15,091 15,674 16,058 16,426 16,823 39 7,183 7,532 7,775 7,941 8,085 8,224 8,344 8,437 8,522 8,621 8,745 8,879 9,020 9,180 9,378 9,690 10,204 10,990 11,964 13,051 14,075 14,933 15,517 15,905 16,276 40 6,624 7,037 7,381 7,621 7,785 7,930 8,070 8,192 8,286 8,373 8,474 8,601 8,737 8,880 9,042 9,241 9,553 10,065 10,849 11,817 12,900 13,920 14,779 15,361 15,751 41 6,035 6,486 6,893 7,232 7,469 7,633 7,780 7,920 8,044 8,141 8,230 8,333 8,461 8,599 8,744 8,906 9,106 9,419 9,930 10,709 11,673 12,751 13,766 14,624 15,206 42 5,489 5,905 6,350 6,753 7,088 7,323 7,487 7,635 7,777 7,901 8,001 8,091 8,197 8,326 8,465 8,612 8,776 8,977 9,289 9,800 10,575 11,535 12,607 13,618 14,475 43 5,035 5,369 5,778 6,217 6,614 6,947 7,181 7,346 7,494 7,638 7,763 7,865 7,957 8,065 8,195 8,337 8,485 8,650 8,853 9,164 9,673 10,445 11,401 12,469 13,476 44 4,715 4,920 5,250 5,655 6,088 6,480 6,811 7,045 7,210 7,359 7,504 7,630 7,734 7,827 7,939 8,069 8,213 8,361 8,528 8,733 9,042 9,551 10,319 11,271 12,336 45 4,499 4,610 4,813 5,137 5,536 5,964 6,353 6,681 6,915 7,080 7,230 7,376 7,503 7,610 7,704 7,817 7,949 8,094 8,244 8,411 8,618 8,927 9,434 10,199 11,147 46 4,317 4,402 4,511 4,712 5,032 5,424 5,848 6,233 6,559 6,792 6,957 7,108 7,256 7,382 7,491 7,587 7,701 7,834 7,981 8,132 8,300 8,507 8,817 9,322 10,082 47 4,122 4,223 4,307 4,415 4,612 4,929 5,316 5,737 6,117 6,442 6,673 6,838 6,989 7,139 7,266 7,376 7,474 7,589 7,724 7,872 8,025 8,194 8,402 8,711 9,214 48 3,919 4,031 4,131 4,213 4,319 4,515 4,830 5,212 5,629 6,005 6,328 6,559 6,723 6,876 7,026 7,155 7,265 7,365 7,482 7,618 7,766 7,921 8,091 8,300 8,609 49 3,701 3,832 3,941 4,040 4,122 4,227 4,422 4,733 5,113 5,525 5,898 6,217 6,449 6,613 6,766 6,917 7,046 7,158 7,260 7,378 7,515 7,665 7,820 7,991 8,201 50 3,468 3,613 3,741 3,849 3,945 4,028 4,132 4,325 4,632 5,008 5,415 5,785 6,102 6,333 6,497 6,650 6,802 6,932 7,044 7,149 7,267 7,405 7,556 7,713 7,884 51 3,252 3,380 3,522 3,648 3,753 3,848 3,931 4,034 4,227 4,528 4,900 5,302 5,667 5,981 6,209 6,373 6,528 6,680 6,811 6,924 7,031 7,151 7,289 7,442 7,599 52 3,058 3,170 3,295 3,433 3,557 3,661 3,756 3,838 3,941 4,132 4,430 4,796 5,193 5,553 5,866 6,093 6,257 6,411 6,563 6,695 6,809 6,917 7,038 7,178 7,331 53 2,851 2,980 3,089 3,212 3,347 3,468 3,572 3,667 3,749 3,852 4,041 4,334 4,696 5,089 5,444 5,754 5,980 6,143 6,299 6,451 6,584 6,699 6,808 6,930 7,071 54 2,623 2,777 2,903 3,010 3,130 3,263 3,383 3,486 3,580 3,662 3,766 3,952 4,243 4,600 4,988 5,339 5,647 5,871 6,035 6,190 6,343 6,475 6,593 6,703 6,826 55 2,384 2,551 2,702 2,824 2,928 3,046 3,177 3,297 3,399 3,494 3,574 3,678 3,861 4,149 4,501 4,884 5,230 5,535 5,757 5,920 6,075 6,229 6,361 6,480 6,591 56 2,144 2,314 2,477 2,624 2,743 2,846 2,962 3,091 3,208 3,310 3,404 3,485 3,587 3,769 4,052 4,397 4,775 5,117 5,418 5,638 5,802 5,956 6,109 6,242 6,361 57 1,928 2,080 2,247 2,405 2,549 2,666 2,766 2,881 3,009 3,125 3,225 3,318 3,399 3,500 3,679 3,959 4,300 4,671 5,009 5,306 5,524 5,688 5,841 5,993 6,126 58 1,758 1,870 2,017 2,180 2,335 2,477 2,591 2,690 2,804 2,929 3,044 3,143 3,235 3,316 3,417 3,593 3,869 4,204 4,570 4,905 5,198 5,413 5,578 5,730 5,882 59 1,648 1,703 1,813 1,956 2,115 2,266 2,405 2,518 2,616 2,728 2,851 2,966 3,064 3,155 3,235 3,335 3,511 3,782 4,112 4,473 4,804 5,093 5,306 5,471 5,624

Page 165: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

152 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & SexProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203560 1,584 1,595 1,648 1,755 1,894 2,050 2,198 2,334 2,443 2,542 2,650 2,772 2,885 2,981 3,070 3,151 3,250 3,422 3,690 4,015 4,369 4,694 4,979 5,190 5,353 61 1,538 1,531 1,543 1,594 1,698 1,832 1,984 2,129 2,263 2,368 2,466 2,572 2,691 2,801 2,896 2,984 3,063 3,162 3,329 3,592 3,910 4,258 4,576 4,857 5,064 62 1,493 1,487 1,479 1,491 1,541 1,642 1,773 1,921 2,063 2,194 2,296 2,391 2,495 2,613 2,721 2,814 2,901 2,978 3,076 3,240 3,498 3,809 4,151 4,463 4,738 63 1,440 1,442 1,437 1,429 1,440 1,490 1,588 1,716 1,860 1,999 2,126 2,227 2,321 2,422 2,537 2,644 2,735 2,821 2,897 2,994 3,154 3,407 3,712 4,047 4,353 64 1,370 1,391 1,394 1,389 1,381 1,392 1,442 1,536 1,661 1,802 1,937 2,062 2,160 2,252 2,351 2,464 2,569 2,659 2,744 2,819 2,914 3,073 3,319 3,619 3,948 65 1,291 1,324 1,344 1,347 1,343 1,334 1,345 1,395 1,486 1,608 1,745 1,877 1,998 2,093 2,183 2,280 2,389 2,492 2,579 2,663 2,736 2,828 2,984 3,225 3,517 66 1,213 1,248 1,281 1,301 1,303 1,299 1,291 1,301 1,349 1,437 1,555 1,687 1,815 1,934 2,025 2,113 2,206 2,313 2,413 2,496 2,578 2,649 2,739 2,889 3,123 67 1,148 1,173 1,207 1,239 1,258 1,262 1,256 1,249 1,258 1,305 1,391 1,505 1,633 1,757 1,871 1,960 2,045 2,135 2,238 2,336 2,416 2,495 2,563 2,652 2,797 68 1,087 1,109 1,134 1,167 1,199 1,216 1,221 1,215 1,208 1,217 1,262 1,346 1,456 1,580 1,700 1,811 1,896 1,979 2,067 2,166 2,261 2,340 2,416 2,482 2,567 69 1,031 1,050 1,072 1,096 1,128 1,159 1,175 1,180 1,176 1,167 1,177 1,220 1,302 1,408 1,528 1,645 1,753 1,834 1,914 2,001 2,096 2,188 2,264 2,338 2,403 70 969 983 1,002 1,024 1,045 1,077 1,107 1,123 1,127 1,123 1,115 1,124 1,165 1,244 1,347 1,461 1,573 1,677 1,756 1,832 1,915 2,007 2,094 2,169 2,239 71 911 911 925 942 964 985 1,014 1,042 1,059 1,062 1,058 1,051 1,059 1,098 1,173 1,272 1,381 1,486 1,585 1,660 1,733 1,812 1,899 1,982 2,053 72 867 856 856 870 885 907 927 955 981 997 1,000 997 991 998 1,034 1,106 1,200 1,304 1,403 1,498 1,569 1,639 1,713 1,796 1,876 73 823 814 804 804 816 831 851 872 897 923 938 941 938 933 940 973 1,042 1,132 1,231 1,324 1,416 1,483 1,550 1,620 1,698 74 781 772 764 755 755 765 781 799 819 843 869 883 884 882 877 885 915 981 1,066 1,160 1,249 1,335 1,400 1,464 1,532 75 739 733 726 717 709 709 718 733 750 770 791 816 829 829 827 823 830 858 920 1,000 1,089 1,172 1,253 1,313 1,372 76 699 696 689 683 674 666 666 674 688 704 721 741 764 777 776 773 769 777 802 859 933 1,014 1,092 1,166 1,220 77 661 656 654 647 641 632 625 624 632 645 660 676 694 716 727 727 723 718 725 747 801 869 944 1,015 1,083 78 627 621 616 614 607 602 593 586 585 592 603 619 632 650 669 680 679 674 670 677 696 746 808 878 943 79 594 588 583 578 577 570 564 556 549 547 554 564 579 591 607 624 635 633 628 624 629 647 694 751 816

80+ 3,846 4,104 4,334 4,540 4,722 4,882 5,015 5,123 5,206 5,268 5,313 5,351 5,385 5,420 5,453 5,488 5,523 5,555 5,569 5,566 5,547 5,519 5,498 5,506 5,549

Total (Females) 833,505 859,373 885,467 911,709 937,977 964,504 991,600 1,019,250 1,047,442 1,076,165 1,105,451 1,135,328 1,165,839 1,197,030 1,228,939 1,261,648 1,295,212 1,329,688 1,365,097 1,401,436 1,438,735 1,476,961 1,516,111 1,556,152 1,597,074 0 34,546 35,239 35,903 36,519 37,067 37,646 38,282 38,901 39,509 40,111 40,717 41,342 42,007 42,720 43,484 44,303 45,177 46,099 47,059 48,036 48,994 49,929 50,851 51,758 52,647 1 33,106 33,814 34,476 35,105 35,685 36,226 36,812 37,455 38,081 38,696 39,309 39,926 40,561 41,236 41,959 42,734 43,565 44,451 45,384 46,354 47,346 48,321 49,274 50,213 51,137 2 31,802 32,675 33,365 34,006 34,611 35,179 35,725 36,317 36,964 37,594 38,214 38,834 39,458 40,102 40,782 41,512 42,296 43,135 44,028 44,968 45,948 46,950 47,935 48,898 49,848 3 30,182 31,498 32,356 33,032 33,657 34,253 34,824 35,373 35,968 36,618 37,252 37,877 38,502 39,130 39,778 40,464 41,199 41,989 42,833 43,731 44,678 45,663 46,673 47,665 48,635 4 28,481 29,950 31,250 32,096 32,760 33,378 33,976 34,548 35,100 35,697 36,350 36,987 37,615 38,244 38,875 39,527 40,218 40,957 41,752 42,600 43,502 44,455 45,444 46,459 47,457 5 26,912 28,333 29,790 31,078 31,916 32,573 33,192 33,791 34,364 34,918 35,515 36,171 36,810 37,440 38,072 38,706 39,362 40,055 40,797 41,593 42,445 43,350 44,307 45,299 46,318 6 25,541 26,816 28,229 29,677 30,957 31,791 32,448 33,068 33,667 34,241 34,796 35,395 36,052 36,692 37,324 37,956 38,593 39,252 39,946 40,689 41,489 42,342 43,250 44,209 45,204 7 24,394 25,451 26,718 28,123 29,562 30,834 31,669 32,326 32,947 33,547 34,122 34,678 35,278 35,937 36,578 37,213 37,846 38,484 39,145 39,842 40,586 41,389 42,244 43,154 44,116 8 23,547 24,308 25,358 26,617 28,013 29,444 30,715 31,550 32,208 32,829 33,430 34,007 34,564 35,165 35,825 36,467 37,105 37,739 38,379 39,043 39,742 40,488 41,294 42,150 43,063 9 22,980 23,464 24,219 25,263 26,512 27,902 29,331 30,600 31,435 32,093 32,715 33,317 33,896 34,453 35,056 35,717 36,361 37,001 37,637 38,278 38,945 39,646 40,394 41,202 42,061

10 22,568 22,849 23,331 24,081 25,120 26,363 27,751 29,178 30,445 31,281 31,939 32,560 33,163 33,742 34,301 34,904 35,566 36,211 36,853 37,489 38,132 38,801 39,504 40,253 41,063 11 22,294 22,389 22,667 23,148 23,895 24,932 26,172 27,558 28,983 30,249 31,086 31,746 32,365 32,968 33,545 34,105 34,708 35,371 36,016 36,658 37,295 37,939 38,609 39,312 40,063 12 22,101 22,114 22,209 22,486 22,965 23,710 24,745 25,983 27,366 28,789 30,055 30,893 31,552 32,171 32,774 33,351 33,911 34,515 35,177 35,823 36,466 37,102 37,748 38,418 39,122 13 21,813 21,922 21,935 22,029 22,304 22,781 23,525 24,560 25,795 27,176 28,596 29,862 30,702 31,361 31,979 32,581 33,157 33,719 34,323 34,985 35,631 36,276 36,913 37,558 38,230 14 21,348 21,635 21,744 21,756 21,849 22,124 22,601 23,343 24,376 25,608 26,987 28,405 29,671 30,513 31,171 31,789 32,390 32,966 33,528 34,132 34,795 35,442 36,087 36,726 37,372 15 20,744 21,170 21,456 21,563 21,575 21,667 21,942 22,419 23,161 24,191 25,422 26,797 28,213 29,479 30,322 30,980 31,599 32,199 32,775 33,337 33,943 34,606 35,253 35,899 36,539 16 20,157 20,568 20,991 21,277 21,381 21,393 21,487 21,762 22,238 22,980 24,007 25,236 26,609 28,022 29,286 30,131 30,789 31,408 32,008 32,585 33,147 33,755 34,419 35,067 35,714 17 19,607 19,982 20,392 20,811 21,096 21,199 21,213 21,307 21,584 22,058 22,800 23,826 25,051 26,423 27,833 29,097 29,942 30,600 31,220 31,819 32,398 32,960 33,569 34,235 34,884 18 18,964 19,435 19,806 20,214 20,631 20,915 21,020 21,034 21,130 21,407 21,881 22,621 23,647 24,869 26,238 27,645 28,910 29,757 30,415 31,035 31,635 32,213 32,777 33,386 34,053 19 18,201 18,792 19,261 19,630 20,036 20,452 20,736 20,842 20,858 20,954 21,232 21,706 22,445 23,468 24,689 26,056 27,460 28,724 29,573 30,232 30,851 31,452 32,031 32,596 33,206 20 17,325 17,994 18,580 19,043 19,407 19,812 20,229 20,514 20,623 20,641 20,738 21,018 21,493 22,232 23,252 24,471 25,836 27,239 28,502 29,353 30,014 30,634 31,237 31,817 32,384 21 16,402 17,087 17,749 18,325 18,780 19,140 19,546 19,965 20,251 20,363 20,385 20,485 20,766 21,242 21,981 23,000 24,217 25,580 26,982 28,244 29,099 29,763 30,386 30,992 31,575 22 15,551 16,170 16,846 17,500 18,066 18,517 18,878 19,285 19,706 19,993 20,108 20,133 20,238 20,521 20,998 21,737 22,753 23,969 25,329 26,731 27,994 28,852 29,520 30,144 30,752 23 14,827 15,323 15,935 16,602 17,246 17,807 18,260 18,621 19,028 19,451 19,739 19,858 19,886 19,994 20,279 20,757 21,498 22,512 23,726 25,083 26,485 27,749 28,611 29,282 29,908 24 14,285 14,604 15,092 15,696 16,355 16,992 17,552 18,006 18,368 18,776 19,202 19,491 19,613 19,644 19,755 20,042 20,522 21,263 22,276 23,489 24,844 26,245 27,509 28,376 29,048 25 13,883 14,069 14,380 14,856 15,447 16,101 16,738 17,297 17,754 18,116 18,526 18,954 19,248 19,373 19,409 19,525 19,815 20,297 21,039 22,051 23,264 24,618 26,020 27,286 28,157 26 13,533 13,675 13,852 14,152 14,613 15,195 15,848 16,485 17,043 17,503 17,868 18,281 18,711 19,009 19,139 19,181 19,304 19,599 20,084 20,828 21,841 23,054 24,408 25,810 27,079 27 13,137 13,329 13,461 13,629 13,916 14,370 14,951 15,603 16,240 16,799 17,259 17,628 18,043 18,476 18,778 18,914 18,962 19,090 19,390 19,878 20,624 21,639 22,852 24,207 25,609 28 12,673 12,937 13,119 13,243 13,399 13,680 14,134 14,714 15,365 16,001 16,560 17,022 17,395 17,813 18,248 18,555 18,696 18,751 18,885 19,188 19,680 20,428 21,444 22,658 24,013 29 12,097 12,475 12,731 12,903 13,015 13,167 13,450 13,905 14,484 15,135 15,771 16,331 16,794 17,171 17,591 18,029 18,340 18,486 18,546 18,686 18,993 19,490 20,238 21,257 22,471 30 11,480 11,935 12,303 12,548 12,708 12,816 12,971 13,256 13,711 14,289 14,941 15,577 16,138 16,604 16,982 17,407 17,847 18,164 18,315 18,382 18,527 18,840 19,341 20,092 21,112 31 10,847 11,358 11,800 12,155 12,386 12,541 12,653 12,811 13,099 13,555 14,134 14,784 15,421 15,984 16,452 16,834 17,263 17,706 18,028 18,185 18,260 18,411 18,730 19,236 19,990 32 10,227 10,730 11,229 11,657 11,998 12,222 12,381 12,498 12,659 12,949 13,406 13,985 14,635 15,272 15,837 16,308 16,694 17,126 17,573 17,900 18,063 18,145 18,303 18,627 19,137 33 9,651 10,117 10,608 11,093 11,505 11,839 12,066 12,229 12,350 12,513 12,806 13,265 13,843 14,495 15,132 15,698 16,172 16,562 16,998 17,448 17,780 17,950 18,038 18,203 18,532 34 9,150 9,546 10,000 10,479 10,949 11,354 11,688 11,918 12,083 12,207 12,375 12,670 13,130 13,709 14,360 14,999 15,567 16,045 16,437 16,877 17,330 17,668 17,843 17,938 18,108 35 8,691 9,039 9,426 9,865 10,327 10,788 11,194 11,528 11,763 11,930 12,058 12,230 12,528 12,989 13,567 14,220 14,859 15,429 15,910 16,307 16,750 17,208 17,552 17,733 17,833 36 8,268 8,577 8,913 9,286 9,709 10,163 10,622 11,028 11,363 11,598 11,770 11,903 12,078 12,379 12,842 13,420 14,074 14,715 15,286 15,770 16,171 16,619 17,081 17,431 17,617 37 7,849 8,159 8,457 8,780 9,139 9,554 10,006 10,464 10,869 11,205 11,444 11,618 11,756 11,935 12,238 12,701 13,282 13,936 14,579 15,151 15,639 16,044 16,497 16,962 17,317

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 153

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & SexProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203538 7,405 7,744 8,044 8,331 8,640 8,991 9,405 9,856 10,313 10,717 11,056 11,297 11,475 11,616 11,799 12,105 12,569 13,152 13,806 14,450 15,024 15,516 15,926 16,383 16,852 39 6,918 7,305 7,634 7,924 8,198 8,500 8,851 9,263 9,712 10,168 10,572 10,913 11,157 11,337 11,483 11,669 11,979 12,445 13,028 13,683 14,329 14,906 15,401 15,815 16,276 40 6,412 6,825 7,204 7,523 7,802 8,069 8,371 8,721 9,132 9,580 10,034 10,437 10,780 11,025 11,208 11,357 11,546 11,859 12,326 12,909 13,564 14,211 14,790 15,288 15,705 41 5,903 6,327 6,731 7,102 7,412 7,686 7,952 8,253 8,602 9,011 9,457 9,910 10,312 10,654 10,902 11,086 11,239 11,429 11,743 12,211 12,794 13,449 14,097 14,676 15,177 42 5,438 5,824 6,240 6,634 6,996 7,300 7,575 7,840 8,140 8,488 8,895 9,338 9,791 10,193 10,534 10,783 10,969 11,126 11,319 11,633 12,103 12,686 13,340 13,990 14,570 43 5,063 5,364 5,743 6,150 6,535 6,891 7,194 7,467 7,732 8,031 8,377 8,784 9,225 9,676 10,077 10,420 10,670 10,858 11,018 11,212 11,529 11,999 12,583 13,237 13,887 44 4,805 4,992 5,286 5,659 6,056 6,435 6,788 7,090 7,363 7,627 7,926 8,272 8,676 9,116 9,565 9,966 10,310 10,561 10,752 10,914 11,111 11,430 11,900 12,485 13,140 45 4,636 4,737 4,920 5,207 5,572 5,963 6,339 6,691 6,991 7,263 7,525 7,824 8,169 8,572 9,010 9,457 9,857 10,202 10,454 10,647 10,811 11,010 11,331 11,801 12,386 46 4,500 4,568 4,666 4,843 5,126 5,485 5,874 6,247 6,596 6,894 7,166 7,428 7,724 8,067 8,469 8,905 9,352 9,750 10,095 10,347 10,541 10,708 10,909 11,230 11,700 47 4,359 4,434 4,499 4,593 4,767 5,045 5,402 5,786 6,156 6,503 6,800 7,071 7,332 7,628 7,969 8,370 8,805 9,250 9,647 9,991 10,245 10,440 10,609 10,812 11,135 48 4,208 4,294 4,367 4,429 4,519 4,690 4,966 5,320 5,701 6,069 6,414 6,709 6,979 7,240 7,534 7,875 8,273 8,706 9,151 9,547 9,891 10,146 10,343 10,514 10,718 49 4,027 4,144 4,227 4,298 4,357 4,446 4,615 4,889 5,241 5,619 5,983 6,326 6,621 6,890 7,150 7,442 7,785 8,181 8,612 9,055 9,452 9,796 10,052 10,249 10,423 50 3,820 3,962 4,077 4,156 4,225 4,282 4,371 4,540 4,811 5,160 5,534 5,897 6,237 6,530 6,797 7,057 7,347 7,690 8,083 8,513 8,953 9,349 9,693 9,950 10,149 51 3,634 3,752 3,890 4,004 4,081 4,149 4,205 4,294 4,463 4,730 5,077 5,447 5,807 6,144 6,435 6,702 6,960 7,248 7,589 7,980 8,407 8,845 9,239 9,583 9,840 52 3,465 3,568 3,684 3,819 3,931 4,008 4,075 4,131 4,220 4,387 4,653 4,995 5,363 5,719 6,054 6,343 6,608 6,865 7,152 7,490 7,880 8,305 8,741 9,133 9,477 53 3,253 3,401 3,502 3,615 3,749 3,858 3,935 4,002 4,057 4,146 4,312 4,576 4,916 5,280 5,634 5,966 6,252 6,518 6,772 7,059 7,395 7,782 8,206 8,639 9,029 54 2,980 3,191 3,337 3,436 3,547 3,679 3,786 3,863 3,931 3,986 4,074 4,238 4,501 4,838 5,199 5,550 5,880 6,163 6,428 6,682 6,967 7,302 7,687 8,108 8,540 55 2,681 2,931 3,138 3,282 3,380 3,488 3,619 3,726 3,803 3,870 3,924 4,013 4,175 4,435 4,769 5,126 5,476 5,804 6,084 6,347 6,599 6,883 7,216 7,599 8,017 56 2,361 2,643 2,889 3,094 3,237 3,333 3,440 3,571 3,676 3,752 3,818 3,873 3,961 4,121 4,379 4,711 5,063 5,410 5,736 6,013 6,274 6,524 6,806 7,137 7,518 57 2,071 2,325 2,605 2,848 3,050 3,191 3,286 3,393 3,522 3,626 3,702 3,767 3,822 3,910 4,069 4,323 4,653 5,002 5,345 5,668 5,944 6,203 6,451 6,731 7,060 58 1,872 2,040 2,290 2,568 2,807 3,007 3,148 3,241 3,347 3,474 3,577 3,653 3,717 3,772 3,859 4,017 4,268 4,595 4,942 5,282 5,603 5,876 6,134 6,379 6,658 59 1,806 1,844 2,009 2,256 2,530 2,767 2,964 3,104 3,196 3,302 3,427 3,529 3,605 3,667 3,723 3,810 3,966 4,215 4,539 4,883 5,219 5,538 5,809 6,066 6,309 60 1,827 1,775 1,812 1,976 2,218 2,489 2,722 2,916 3,054 3,146 3,250 3,375 3,475 3,550 3,612 3,666 3,753 3,908 4,154 4,473 4,815 5,146 5,462 5,730 5,984 61 1,888 1,793 1,741 1,777 1,940 2,177 2,444 2,674 2,864 2,999 3,090 3,193 3,316 3,415 3,489 3,550 3,602 3,688 3,842 4,086 4,398 4,736 5,063 5,375 5,639 62 1,930 1,852 1,758 1,708 1,744 1,903 2,136 2,399 2,625 2,814 2,946 3,035 3,137 3,258 3,355 3,428 3,488 3,541 3,626 3,776 4,018 4,325 4,660 4,981 5,290 63 1,937 1,894 1,817 1,724 1,675 1,711 1,868 2,097 2,355 2,578 2,764 2,894 2,980 3,081 3,201 3,297 3,369 3,427 3,480 3,564 3,712 3,951 4,253 4,584 4,901 64 1,881 1,900 1,858 1,782 1,690 1,642 1,679 1,833 2,058 2,312 2,532 2,714 2,842 2,928 3,028 3,145 3,239 3,312 3,369 3,421 3,503 3,650 3,886 4,183 4,510 65 1,781 1,846 1,866 1,825 1,751 1,660 1,613 1,649 1,802 2,022 2,272 2,488 2,668 2,794 2,877 2,975 3,091 3,183 3,255 3,310 3,362 3,442 3,586 3,819 4,110 66 1,677 1,750 1,815 1,835 1,797 1,724 1,634 1,587 1,623 1,773 1,991 2,235 2,449 2,624 2,747 2,830 2,925 3,039 3,128 3,197 3,252 3,302 3,379 3,519 3,748 67 1,587 1,648 1,720 1,784 1,806 1,768 1,697 1,609 1,563 1,598 1,746 1,960 2,200 2,410 2,581 2,703 2,782 2,875 2,988 3,074 3,141 3,194 3,242 3,318 3,455 68 1,508 1,561 1,621 1,692 1,756 1,778 1,740 1,671 1,584 1,538 1,572 1,718 1,928 2,164 2,370 2,538 2,658 2,735 2,827 2,935 3,019 3,085 3,136 3,183 3,256 69 1,444 1,480 1,534 1,595 1,664 1,728 1,749 1,712 1,643 1,559 1,513 1,546 1,690 1,897 2,128 2,331 2,495 2,612 2,688 2,777 2,883 2,965 3,029 3,077 3,123 70 1,386 1,413 1,448 1,502 1,563 1,631 1,693 1,714 1,677 1,610 1,528 1,482 1,514 1,655 1,857 2,084 2,280 2,440 2,554 2,628 2,714 2,816 2,895 2,956 3,003 71 1,330 1,352 1,378 1,413 1,465 1,526 1,592 1,653 1,671 1,636 1,571 1,491 1,445 1,477 1,612 1,809 2,029 2,219 2,374 2,483 2,553 2,637 2,735 2,810 2,867 72 1,271 1,296 1,317 1,345 1,378 1,430 1,489 1,552 1,612 1,630 1,594 1,531 1,454 1,409 1,441 1,572 1,762 1,975 2,159 2,309 2,415 2,481 2,561 2,654 2,726 73 1,204 1,238 1,263 1,285 1,312 1,345 1,395 1,452 1,514 1,572 1,590 1,555 1,492 1,417 1,374 1,403 1,530 1,715 1,922 2,099 2,244 2,345 2,408 2,486 2,574 74 1,122 1,174 1,207 1,231 1,254 1,281 1,312 1,361 1,416 1,476 1,532 1,549 1,515 1,454 1,381 1,338 1,367 1,490 1,669 1,870 2,041 2,180 2,278 2,338 2,413 75 1,026 1,088 1,139 1,172 1,195 1,218 1,243 1,273 1,321 1,373 1,430 1,483 1,500 1,466 1,407 1,336 1,294 1,323 1,440 1,612 1,804 1,968 2,100 2,192 2,248 76 924 988 1,049 1,098 1,131 1,154 1,175 1,199 1,226 1,272 1,321 1,377 1,426 1,442 1,408 1,352 1,283 1,243 1,269 1,380 1,543 1,725 1,879 2,004 2,089 77 830 890 951 1,012 1,060 1,091 1,113 1,132 1,155 1,181 1,224 1,271 1,324 1,370 1,385 1,350 1,297 1,231 1,192 1,216 1,321 1,475 1,648 1,793 1,911 78 736 800 858 917 976 1,023 1,052 1,073 1,090 1,111 1,136 1,177 1,221 1,272 1,314 1,330 1,295 1,243 1,179 1,141 1,164 1,263 1,410 1,573 1,708 79 653 710 770 828 885 942 987 1,014 1,034 1,050 1,070 1,092 1,131 1,173 1,222 1,261 1,276 1,241 1,191 1,129 1,093 1,113 1,205 1,345 1,500

80+ 4,782 5,182 5,626 6,114 6,643 7,200 7,773 8,350 8,912 9,451 9,961 10,446 10,910 11,367 11,821 12,274 12,715 13,118 13,437 13,660 13,779 13,822 13,847 13,919 14,079

Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, SOUTHERN PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) District Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric)

Choma 1.8 Gwembe 4.1 Itezhi-tezhi 4.3 Kalomo 3.9 Kazungula 4.0 Livingstone 2.8 Mazabuka 1.2 Monze 1.5 Namwala 2.0 Siavonga 4.0 Sinazongwe 2.2 Southern Province 2.7

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154 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) Sex &

District of Residence

Projection Year

2,011 2,012 2,013 2,014 2,015 2,016 2,017 2,018 2,019 2,020 2,021 2,022 2,023 2,024 2,025 2,026 2,027 2,028 2,029 2,030 2,031 2,032 2,033 2,034 2,035

Total (Both Sexes) 1,642,757 1,694,370 1,746,791 1,799,885 1,853,464 1,907,784 1,963,206 2,019,696 2,077,229 2,135,794 2,195,416 2,256,160 2,318,098 2,381,333 2,445,929 2,512,049 2,579,784 2,649,242 2,720,488 2,793,523 2,868,361 2,944,940 3,023,244 3,103,230 3,184,855

Choma 254,484 260,128 265,736 271,280 276,733 282,127 287,513 292,882 298,224 303,533 308,810 314,057 319,280 324,490 329,688 334,892 340,107 345,341 350,597 355,867 361,146 366,419 371,680 376,917 382,119 Gwembe 55,520 58,201 60,973 63,836 66,781 69,822 72,973 76,234 79,607 83,095 86,697 90,423 94,275 98,260 102,384 106,656 111,082 115,672 120,429 125,360 130,466 135,751 141,213 146,855 152,680 Itezhi-tezhi 71,821 75,460 79,234 83,142 87,176 91,352 95,688 100,189 104,856 109,692 114,705 119,897 125,282 130,866 136,658 142,671 148,919 155,410 162,157 169,161 176,434 183,976 191,793 199,887 208,259 Kalomo 269,848 282,255 295,043 308,194 321,677 335,539 349,851 364,608 379,815 395,471 411,587 428,182 445,271 462,879 481,024 499,746 519,067 539,015 559,612 580,865 602,783 625,357 648,591 672,482 697,023 Kazungula 109,365 114,480 119,762 125,202 130,790 136,547 142,499 148,648 154,995 161,545 168,298 175,265 182,453 189,876 197,542 205,467 213,661 222,142 230,917 239,991 249,369 259,053 269,044 279,341 289,947 Livingstone 144,377 149,230 154,154 159,136 164,157 169,237 174,408 179,665 185,003 190,419 195,916 201,495 207,162 212,924 218,786 224,757 230,848 237,062 243,403 249,872 256,466 263,176 270,000 276,929 283,958 Mazabuka 236,103 239,813 243,426 246,921 250,275 253,518 256,695 259,800 262,823 265,763 268,619 271,396 274,098 276,735 279,310 281,840 284,327 286,779 289,198 291,578 293,915 296,200 298,423 300,581 302,662 Monze 196,572 200,308 203,991 207,600 211,112 214,557 217,971 221,347 224,680 227,964 231,198 234,387 237,537 240,653 243,737 246,801 249,852 252,896 255,931 258,953 261,960 264,940 267,889 270,797 273,658 Namwala 105,818 108,459 111,100 113,730 116,337 118,933 121,541 124,155 126,775 129,396 132,018 134,643 137,272 139,909 142,559 145,226 147,915 150,625 153,362 156,121 158,902 161,695 164,500 167,311 170,123 Siavonga 94,195 98,591 103,128 107,802 112,603 117,548 122,662 127,946 133,398 139,022 144,824 150,808 156,985 163,362 169,948 176,757 183,797 191,084 198,624 206,422 214,482 222,805 231,391 240,243 249,360 Sinazongwe 104,654 107,445 110,244 113,042 115,823 118,604 121,405 124,222 127,053 129,894 132,744 135,607 138,483 141,379 144,293 147,236 150,209 153,216 156,258 159,333 162,438 165,568 168,720 171,887 175,066

Total (Males) 809,252 834,997 861,324 888,176 915,487 943,280 971,606 1,000,446 1,029,787 1,059,629 1,089,965 1,120,832 1,152,259 1,184,303 1,216,990 1,250,401 1,284,572 1,319,554 1,355,391 1,392,087 1,429,626 1,467,979 1,507,133 1,547,078 1,587,781 Choma 124,501 127,335 130,179 133,021 135,851 138,668 141,478 144,276 147,058 149,821 152,563 155,286 157,992 160,688 163,373 166,056 168,739 171,426 174,120 176,817 179,513 182,200 184,875 187,534 190,171 Gwembe 27,203 28,525 29,899 31,324 32,798 34,324 35,905 37,541 39,231 40,979 42,783 44,648 46,574 48,565 50,624 52,756 54,963 57,249 59,616 62,069 64,606 67,230 69,939 72,735 75,618 Itezhi-tezhi 35,713 37,443 39,240 41,104 43,032 45,028 47,093 49,229 51,438 53,718 56,074 58,505 61,018 63,615 66,299 69,076 71,951 74,927 78,011 81,201 84,502 87,913 91,435 95,069 98,814 Kalomo 131,887 138,047 144,429 151,029 157,836 164,858 172,108 179,583 187,285 195,216 203,376 211,777 220,424 229,331 238,506 247,969 257,728 267,798 278,191 288,912 299,960 311,331 323,027 335,048 347,388 Kazungula 54,552 57,144 59,834 62,619 65,497 68,471 71,546 74,723 78,002 81,386 84,874 88,472 92,183 96,014 99,969 104,056 108,280 112,649 117,168 121,840 126,666 131,646 136,781 142,071 147,517 Livingstone 71,456 73,840 76,274 78,751 81,264 83,814 86,405 89,035 91,701 94,402 97,138 99,908 102,717 105,568 108,462 111,404 114,398 117,446 120,551 123,713 126,928 130,193 133,506 136,863 140,261 Mazabuka 117,828 119,676 121,497 123,282 125,022 126,717 128,373 129,985 131,549 133,066 134,532 135,952 137,326 138,660 139,957 141,223 142,461 143,673 144,862 146,026 147,161 148,263 149,326 150,351 151,331 Monze 96,732 98,653 100,572 102,477 104,359 106,220 108,064 109,887 111,686 113,460 115,205 116,925 118,622 120,299 121,957 123,603 125,238 126,866 128,487 130,100 131,701 133,285 134,850 136,392 137,907 Namwala 51,835 53,196 54,570 55,953 57,341 58,732 60,129 61,531 62,937 64,343 65,751 67,160 68,571 69,987 71,409 72,839 74,280 75,731 77,196 78,673 80,161 81,654 83,152 84,654 86,156 Siavonga 46,637 48,860 51,168 53,559 56,030 58,585 61,227 63,958 66,777 69,686 72,686 75,782 78,977 82,275 85,681 89,203 92,843 96,610 100,507 104,537 108,701 113,000 117,434 122,004 126,710 Sinazongwe 50,908 52,278 53,662 55,057 56,457 57,863 59,278 60,698 62,123 63,552 64,983 66,417 67,855 69,301 70,753 72,216 73,691 75,179 76,682 78,199 79,727 81,264 82,808 84,357 85,908

Total (Females) 833,505 859,373 885,467 911,709 937,977 964,504 991,600 1,019,250 1,047,442 1,076,165 1,105,451 1,135,328 1,165,839 1,197,030 1,228,939 1,261,648 1,295,212 1,329,688 1,365,097 1,401,436 1,438,735 1,476,961 1,516,111 1,556,152 1,597,074 Choma 129,983 132,793 135,557 138,259 140,882 143,459 146,035 148,606 151,166 153,712 156,247 158,771 161,288 163,802 166,315 168,836 171,368 173,915 176,477 179,050 181,633 184,219 186,805 189,383 191,948 Gwembe 28,317 29,676 31,074 32,512 33,983 35,498 37,068 38,693 40,376 42,116 43,914 45,775 47,701 49,695 51,760 53,900 56,119 58,423 60,813 63,291 65,860 68,521 71,274 74,120 77,062 Itezhi-tezhi 36,108 38,017 39,994 42,038 44,144 46,324 48,595 50,960 53,418 55,974 58,631 61,392 64,264 67,251 70,359 73,595 76,968 80,483 84,146 87,960 91,932 96,063 100,358 104,818 109,445 Kalomo 137,961 144,208 150,614 157,165 163,841 170,681 177,743 185,025 192,530 200,255 208,211 216,405 224,847 233,548 242,518 251,777 261,339 271,217 281,421 291,953 302,823 314,026 325,564 337,434 349,635 Kazungula 54,813 57,336 59,928 62,583 65,293 68,076 70,953 73,925 76,993 80,159 83,424 86,793 90,270 93,862 97,573 101,411 105,381 109,493 113,749 118,151 122,703 127,407 132,263 137,270 142,430 Livingstone 72,921 75,390 77,880 80,385 82,893 85,423 88,003 90,630 93,302 96,017 98,778 101,587 104,445 107,356 110,324 113,353 116,450 119,616 122,852 126,159 129,538 132,983 136,494 140,066 143,697 Mazabuka 118,275 120,137 121,929 123,639 125,253 126,801 128,322 129,815 131,274 132,697 134,087 135,444 136,772 138,075 139,353 140,617 141,866 143,106 144,336 145,552 146,754 147,937 149,097 150,230 151,331 Monze 99,840 101,655 103,419 105,123 106,753 108,337 109,907 111,460 112,994 114,504 115,993 117,462 118,915 120,354 121,780 123,198 124,614 126,030 127,444 128,853 130,259 131,655 133,039 134,405 135,751 Namwala 53,983 55,263 56,530 57,777 58,996 60,201 61,412 62,624 63,838 65,053 66,267 67,483 68,701 69,922 71,150 72,387 73,635 74,894 76,166 77,448 78,741 80,041 81,348 82,657 83,967 Siavonga 47,558 49,731 51,960 54,243 56,573 58,963 61,435 63,988 66,621 69,336 72,138 75,026 78,008 81,087 84,267 87,554 90,954 94,474 98,117 101,885 105,781 109,805 113,957 118,239 122,650 Sinazongwe 53,746 55,167 56,582 57,985 59,366 60,741 62,127 63,524 64,930 66,342 67,761 69,190 70,628 72,078 73,540 75,020 76,518 78,037 79,576 81,134 82,711 84,304 85,912 87,530 89,158

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 155

Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital Events,

Rates & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Life Expectancy at Birth (Males)Choma 56.1 56.1 56.2 56.3 56.4 56.6 56.9 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.0 62.3 Gwembe 55.5 55.6 55.7 55.7 55.8 56.1 56.4 56.7 57.0 57.3 57.6 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.8 Itezhi-tezhi 52.8 52.9 53.0 53.1 53.2 53.5 53.8 54.2 54.5 54.8 55.1 55.5 55.8 56.1 56.4 56.8 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.1 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.5 59.8 Kalomo 58.8 58.9 58.9 59.0 59.1 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.1 60.4 60.6 60.9 61.2 61.4 61.7 62.0 62.3 62.5 62.8 63.0 63.3 63.6 63.9 64.1 64.4 Kazungula 56.4 56.5 56.6 56.6 56.7 57.0 57.3 57.6 57.9 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.0 62.3 62.5 Livingstone 55.1 55.2 55.3 55.4 55.5 55.8 56.1 56.3 56.7 56.9 57.3 57.6 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.6 61.0 61.3 61.6 Mazabuka 56.1 56.1 56.2 56.3 56.4 56.6 56.9 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.1 58.4 58.7 59.0 59.3 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.0 62.3 Monze 58.2 58.2 58.3 58.4 58.4 58.7 59.0 59.2 59.5 59.8 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.0 62.2 62.5 62.8 63.1 63.3 63.6 63.9 Namwala 52.6 52.6 52.7 52.8 52.9 53.2 53.6 53.9 54.2 54.5 54.9 55.2 55.6 55.9 56.2 56.6 56.9 57.2 57.6 57.9 58.2 58.6 58.9 59.3 59.6 Siavonga 56.8 56.8 56.9 57.0 57.1 57.4 57.7 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.6 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.8 61.1 61.4 61.7 62.0 62.3 62.5 62.8 Sinazongwe 56.6 56.7 56.8 56.8 56.9 57.2 57.5 57.8 58.0 58.3 58.6 58.9 59.2 59.5 59.8 60.1 60.4 60.7 60.9 61.2 61.5 61.8 62.1 62.4 62.7 Life Expectancy at Birth (Females)Choma 63.6 63.2 62.8 62.5 62.0 62.3 62.6 62.9 63.2 63.5 63.7 64.1 64.4 64.7 65.0 65.3 65.7 66.0 66.3 66.6 67.0 67.3 67.6 67.9 68.2 Gwembe 64.3 64.0 63.6 63.2 62.8 63.1 63.4 63.7 63.9 64.2 64.5 64.8 65.1 65.4 65.7 66.0 66.3 66.7 67.0 67.3 67.6 67.9 68.2 68.5 68.8 Itezhi-tezhi 61.4 61.0 60.6 60.2 59.7 60.1 60.4 60.7 61.0 61.3 61.6 61.9 62.3 62.6 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.0 64.4 64.7 65.1 65.4 65.8 66.1 66.4 Kalomo 66.2 65.9 65.6 65.2 64.9 65.1 65.4 65.6 65.9 66.2 66.4 66.7 67.0 67.2 67.5 67.8 68.1 68.4 68.7 68.9 69.3 69.6 69.8 70.1 70.4 Kazungula 64.7 64.3 63.9 63.6 63.2 63.5 63.7 64.0 64.3 64.6 64.8 65.1 65.4 65.7 66.0 66.3 66.7 67.0 67.3 67.6 67.9 68.2 68.5 68.8 69.1 Livingstone 60.8 60.3 59.9 59.5 59.0 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.3 61.6 62.0 62.3 62.7 63.1 63.4 63.8 64.1 64.5 64.9 65.2 65.6 65.9 Mazabuka 63.5 63.1 62.7 62.4 61.9 62.3 62.5 62.8 63.1 63.4 63.7 64.0 64.3 64.6 64.9 65.2 65.6 65.9 66.2 66.5 66.9 67.2 67.5 67.8 68.1 Monze 65.6 65.2 64.9 64.5 64.2 64.4 64.7 65.0 65.2 65.5 65.7 66.0 66.3 66.6 66.9 67.2 67.5 67.8 68.1 68.4 68.7 69.0 69.3 69.6 69.8 Namwala 60.8 60.3 59.9 59.5 59.0 59.4 59.7 60.0 60.3 60.6 60.9 61.3 61.6 62.0 62.3 62.7 63.1 63.4 63.8 64.1 64.5 64.9 65.2 65.6 65.9 Siavonga 65.2 64.9 64.5 64.2 63.8 64.1 64.3 64.6 64.9 65.1 65.4 65.7 66.0 66.3 66.5 66.9 67.2 67.5 67.8 68.1 68.4 68.7 69.0 69.3 69.6 Sinazongwe 66.2 65.9 65.6 65.2 64.9 65.1 65.4 65.6 65.9 66.2 66.4 66.7 67.0 67.2 67.5 67.8 68.1 68.4 68.7 68.9 69.3 69.6 69.8 70.1 70.4 Total Fertility Rate (TFR)Choma 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 Gwembe 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 Itezhi-tezhi 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 Kalomo 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 Kazungula 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 Livingstone 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 Mazabuka 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 Monze 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.9 Namwala 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 Siavonga 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 Sinazongwe 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6

Page 169: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

156 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, CHOMA DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Choma District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 254,484 124,501 129,983 260,128 127,335 132,793 265,736 130,179 135,557 271,280 133,021 138,259 276,733 135,851 140,882 282,127 138,668 143,459 287,513 141,478 146,035 292,882 144,276 148,606 0-4 50,011 25,227 24,785 51,139 25,808 25,331 51,984 26,259 25,725 52,578 26,590 25,988 53,044 26,863 26,181 53,451 27,105 26,347 53,826 27,318 26,507 54,169 27,505 26,664 5-9 39,011 19,506 19,505 40,227 20,123 20,103 41,689 20,857 20,832 43,273 21,654 21,618 44,755 22,408 22,347 46,026 23,063 22,964 47,052 23,605 23,447 47,816 24,024 23,792

10-14 34,455 17,211 17,244 34,506 17,298 17,207 34,621 17,424 17,197 34,912 17,632 17,279 35,472 17,962 17,510 36,326 18,423 17,903 37,461 19,013 18,448 38,828 19,712 19,116 15-19 31,218 15,682 15,535 31,716 15,960 15,756 32,057 16,137 15,920 32,274 16,254 16,020 32,403 16,344 16,059 32,472 16,427 16,045 32,521 16,512 16,008 32,632 16,635 15,997 20-24 22,558 10,848 11,710 23,481 11,462 12,019 24,469 12,114 12,355 25,386 12,714 12,672 26,141 13,200 12,942 26,718 13,554 13,164 27,146 13,797 13,349 27,440 13,951 13,489 25-29 17,599 8,180 9,418 17,736 8,238 9,498 17,912 8,353 9,559 18,206 8,563 9,642 18,665 8,892 9,773 19,316 9,346 9,969 20,121 9,895 10,226 20,989 10,477 10,513 30-34 14,484 6,833 7,651 14,768 6,843 7,925 15,032 6,851 8,181 15,255 6,862 8,393 15,426 6,882 8,544 15,549 6,914 8,635 15,660 6,970 8,690 15,815 7,079 8,736 35-39 11,766 5,744 6,022 12,072 5,846 6,226 12,330 5,911 6,419 12,568 5,952 6,616 12,803 5,978 6,825 13,046 5,995 7,051 13,295 6,008 7,286 13,535 6,023 7,512 40-44 8,515 4,174 4,341 8,977 4,409 4,568 9,471 4,657 4,815 9,938 4,884 5,054 10,337 5,069 5,268 10,661 5,207 5,454 10,929 5,306 5,624 11,160 5,373 5,787 45-49 6,517 3,021 3,496 6,609 3,074 3,535 6,715 3,134 3,581 6,878 3,223 3,655 7,121 3,351 3,770 7,454 3,523 3,931 7,859 3,729 4,130 8,296 3,947 4,350 50-54 5,253 2,392 2,861 5,430 2,475 2,955 5,578 2,550 3,028 5,707 2,619 3,087 5,822 2,683 3,139 5,918 2,739 3,179 5,999 2,789 3,210 6,097 2,847 3,250 55-59 3,528 1,638 1,890 3,777 1,732 2,045 4,061 1,837 2,224 4,333 1,940 2,393 4,564 2,032 2,532 4,752 2,114 2,638 4,913 2,190 2,723 5,051 2,259 2,791 60-64 2,817 1,184 1,633 2,752 1,176 1,575 2,696 1,174 1,522 2,692 1,188 1,504 2,761 1,222 1,539 2,911 1,280 1,631 3,121 1,355 1,766 3,360 1,439 1,920 65-69 2,310 938 1,372 2,360 951 1,408 2,405 964 1,441 2,429 972 1,457 2,425 975 1,450 2,389 972 1,417 2,332 965 1,367 2,283 963 1,320 70-74 1,797 754 1,042 1,803 745 1,059 1,812 740 1,071 1,828 741 1,087 1,853 746 1,107 1,889 755 1,134 1,931 766 1,164 1,968 777 1,191 75-79 1,241 556 685 1,276 546 730 1,307 537 770 1,332 527 805 1,350 517 832 1,361 508 853 1,368 501 867 1,374 497 878 80+ 1,406 613 792 1,500 649 851 1,596 679 916 1,693 705 987 1,790 727 1,063 1,887 745 1,142 1,980 759 1,222 2,068 768 1,300

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Choma District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 298,224 147,058 151,166 303,533 149,821 153,712 329,688 163,373 166,315 355,867 176,817 179,050 382,119 190,171 191,948 0-4 54,488 27,671 26,816 54,793 27,826 26,967 56,148 28,504 27,644 58,174 29,517 28,657 60,356 30,604 29,751 5-9 48,351 24,329 24,022 48,774 24,575 24,199 50,361 25,414 24,947 51,638 26,010 25,628 53,564 26,927 26,638

10-14 40,310 20,470 19,840 41,698 21,185 20,513 45,441 23,221 22,220 46,922 24,002 22,920 48,138 24,565 23,573 15-19 32,913 16,836 16,076 33,450 17,152 16,297 39,410 20,247 19,163 43,019 22,206 20,813 44,472 22,962 21,510 20-24 27,627 14,051 13,576 27,738 14,127 13,611 28,631 14,807 13,824 33,823 17,480 16,343 36,982 19,172 17,809 25-29 21,801 11,011 10,790 22,473 11,442 11,031 23,903 12,256 11,648 24,730 12,855 11,876 29,363 15,219 14,143 30-34 16,086 7,275 8,812 16,518 7,577 8,941 20,077 9,896 10,181 21,507 10,670 10,836 22,388 11,257 11,131 35-39 13,748 6,042 7,706 13,923 6,070 7,853 15,045 6,756 8,288 18,484 8,956 9,528 19,968 9,739 10,229 40-44 11,379 5,418 5,961 11,606 5,452 6,154 12,716 5,585 7,131 13,862 6,282 7,580 17,216 8,435 8,781 45-49 8,713 4,147 4,566 9,075 4,312 4,764 10,260 4,666 5,594 11,325 4,804 6,521 12,411 5,440 6,971 50-54 6,252 2,934 3,318 6,483 3,057 3,425 8,338 3,977 4,361 9,493 4,337 5,156 10,549 4,498 6,050 55-59 5,170 2,325 2,846 5,280 2,387 2,894 5,913 2,750 3,163 7,670 3,622 4,047 8,794 3,989 4,805 60-64 3,588 1,522 2,066 3,782 1,597 2,185 4,376 1,887 2,489 4,907 2,191 2,716 6,387 2,910 3,477 65-69 2,279 974 1,305 2,337 1,002 1,335 3,202 1,311 1,891 3,697 1,549 2,148 4,137 1,800 2,337 70-74 1,987 784 1,203 1,981 786 1,195 1,901 808 1,092 2,591 1,062 1,529 2,969 1,257 1,712 75-79 1,386 497 890 1,405 500 905 1,490 524 966 1,414 536 878 1,909 701 1,208 80+ 2,147 773 1,374 2,218 775 1,443 2,476 762 1,714 2,611 737 1,875 2,516 693 1,823

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 157

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, GWEMBE DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Gwembe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 55,520 27,203 28,317 58,201 28,525 29,676 60,973 29,899 31,074 63,836 31,324 32,512 66,781 32,798 33,983 69,822 34,324 35,498 72,973 35,905 37,068 76,234 37,541 38,693 0-4 11,238 5,706 5,532 11,784 5,983 5,800 12,282 6,239 6,043 12,737 6,475 6,262 13,175 6,704 6,471 13,612 6,933 6,679 14,055 7,163 6,891 14,503 7,394 7,110 5-9 8,930 4,497 4,433 9,442 4,755 4,688 10,034 5,051 4,983 10,679 5,374 5,304 11,324 5,700 5,624 11,940 6,013 5,928 12,515 6,308 6,207 13,042 6,582 6,460

10-14 7,668 3,831 3,836 7,874 3,947 3,927 8,101 4,075 4,026 8,376 4,226 4,150 8,725 4,412 4,314 9,162 4,638 4,524 9,687 4,907 4,781 10,295 5,215 5,081 15-19 6,399 3,192 3,206 6,666 3,330 3,336 6,909 3,450 3,458 7,132 3,562 3,570 7,341 3,671 3,670 7,543 3,782 3,761 7,745 3,896 3,849 7,969 4,024 3,944 20-24 4,967 2,461 2,506 5,304 2,665 2,638 5,669 2,887 2,782 6,032 3,105 2,927 6,370 3,304 3,066 6,677 3,477 3,199 6,956 3,628 3,327 7,209 3,761 3,448 25-29 3,852 1,744 2,108 3,981 1,800 2,181 4,123 1,871 2,252 4,296 1,966 2,330 4,514 2,092 2,422 4,788 2,254 2,534 5,112 2,446 2,666 5,466 2,655 2,811 30-34 2,904 1,310 1,594 3,039 1,344 1,694 3,174 1,379 1,794 3,304 1,416 1,888 3,427 1,456 1,972 3,543 1,499 2,044 3,658 1,549 2,109 3,788 1,613 2,175 35-39 2,498 1,195 1,304 2,629 1,246 1,383 2,754 1,291 1,463 2,879 1,333 1,546 3,008 1,372 1,636 3,144 1,410 1,734 3,286 1,449 1,838 3,432 1,489 1,943 40-44 1,832 863 968 1,980 935 1,045 2,142 1,012 1,130 2,305 1,088 1,217 2,458 1,157 1,301 2,600 1,218 1,382 2,734 1,273 1,461 2,863 1,321 1,542 45-49 1,548 755 793 1,610 787 823 1,678 823 855 1,763 867 895 1,871 924 947 2,009 996 1,013 2,172 1,080 1,092 2,351 1,172 1,179 50-54 1,052 510 541 1,115 541 573 1,174 572 603 1,232 602 630 1,289 632 657 1,344 661 683 1,397 690 707 1,456 722 734 55-59 693 318 374 761 345 416 839 375 464 918 406 512 991 436 555 1,058 465 594 1,122 493 628 1,183 522 661 60-64 569 241 327 570 246 324 573 252 321 586 261 326 617 275 342 667 295 372 733 320 412 809 349 460 65-69 476 212 263 498 220 277 520 229 291 539 237 302 552 243 308 557 248 309 559 253 306 562 259 303 70-74 353 121 232 364 122 242 376 125 251 389 128 262 405 132 273 424 137 287 445 142 302 465 148 317 75-79 249 115 134 262 116 146 275 117 158 287 117 170 298 118 180 308 119 189 317 120 197 327 122 205 80+ 294 131 164 322 142 180 351 152 199 382 162 220 414 171 243 447 180 268 481 188 294 515 195 321

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Gwembe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 79,607 39,231 40,376 83,095 40,979 42,116 102,384 50,624 51,760 125,360 62,069 63,291 152,680 75,618 77,062 0-4 14,961 7,626 7,335 15,432 7,865 7,567 17,981 9,154 8,827 21,167 10,760 10,408 24,930 12,649 12,282 5-9 13,524 6,834 6,690 13,993 7,079 6,914 16,430 8,318 8,112 19,141 9,663 9,478 22,540 11,342 11,198

10-14 10,961 5,552 5,409 11,630 5,893 5,737 14,411 7,339 7,072 16,908 8,611 8,297 19,691 9,992 9,699 15-19 8,242 4,176 4,066 8,592 4,363 4,229 11,510 5,851 5,658 14,275 7,285 6,990 16,752 8,541 8,211 20-24 7,444 3,884 3,560 7,666 4,005 3,661 9,001 4,769 4,232 12,081 6,391 5,690 14,995 7,947 7,048 25-29 5,820 2,861 2,960 6,153 3,049 3,104 7,440 3,710 3,730 8,742 4,417 4,325 11,785 5,930 5,855 30-34 3,950 1,699 2,250 4,157 1,815 2,343 5,729 2,693 3,036 6,971 3,296 3,675 8,233 3,943 4,290 35-39 3,576 1,531 2,044 3,715 1,577 2,137 4,562 1,995 2,567 6,358 3,002 3,357 7,797 3,701 4,096 40-44 2,995 1,366 1,629 3,135 1,409 1,726 3,916 1,641 2,275 4,846 2,095 2,751 6,811 3,189 3,623 45-49 2,532 1,263 1,270 2,705 1,346 1,359 3,472 1,655 1,816 4,343 1,935 2,408 5,410 2,484 2,926 50-54 1,532 763 769 1,630 815 815 2,385 1,205 1,180 3,078 1,491 1,587 3,871 1,754 2,117 55-59 1,241 551 691 1,300 580 721 1,655 759 896 2,439 1,135 1,305 3,177 1,417 1,761 60-64 886 378 508 958 407 551 1,260 546 714 1,606 720 886 2,374 1,084 1,289 65-69 575 268 307 605 283 322 940 421 520 1,235 564 671 1,574 743 830 70-74 482 153 328 492 157 335 532 184 348 829 274 554 1,074 368 706 75-79 338 125 213 351 129 222 423 154 270 457 178 279 701 265 436 80+ 548 201 348 581 206 374 737 231 506 883 253 630 966 270 696

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158 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, ITEZHI-TEZHI DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Itezhi-Tezhi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 71,821 35,713 36,108 75,460 37,443 38,017 79,234 39,240 39,994 83,142 41,104 42,038 87,176 43,032 44,144 91,352 45,028 46,324 95,688 47,093 48,595 100,189 49,229 50,960 0-4 14,330 7,212 7,118 15,062 7,565 7,498 15,738 7,891 7,847 16,361 8,191 8,170 16,965 8,482 8,482 17,570 8,773 8,797 18,185 9,064 9,121 18,810 9,354 9,456 5-9 11,298 5,707 5,591 11,976 6,037 5,939 12,757 6,414 6,343 13,610 6,827 6,783 14,468 7,241 7,226 15,293 7,640 7,653 16,068 8,015 8,053 16,783 8,361 8,422

10-14 9,685 4,842 4,843 9,970 4,989 4,981 10,282 5,152 5,130 10,657 5,345 5,312 11,129 5,581 5,548 11,713 5,868 5,846 12,415 6,207 6,208 13,226 6,596 6,630 15-19 8,052 4,021 4,031 8,409 4,195 4,214 8,736 4,348 4,388 9,040 4,490 4,550 9,329 4,628 4,701 9,609 4,768 4,841 9,890 4,913 4,977 10,199 5,073 5,126 20-24 6,246 2,964 3,282 6,683 3,211 3,472 7,157 3,480 3,678 7,631 3,743 3,888 8,076 3,984 4,092 8,483 4,194 4,289 8,858 4,376 4,482 9,203 4,535 4,668 25-29 5,008 2,302 2,705 5,189 2,377 2,812 5,387 2,471 2,916 5,629 2,597 3,032 5,931 2,764 3,167 6,307 2,978 3,329 6,751 3,232 3,520 7,236 3,507 3,729 30-34 4,279 2,145 2,134 4,480 2,202 2,279 4,684 2,260 2,424 4,883 2,321 2,563 5,075 2,386 2,689 5,257 2,457 2,801 5,443 2,539 2,904 5,652 2,643 3,009 35-39 3,363 1,749 1,614 3,545 1,825 1,720 3,719 1,891 1,828 3,894 1,952 1,941 4,074 2,010 2,064 4,264 2,066 2,197 4,463 2,123 2,340 4,667 2,181 2,487 40-44 2,373 1,186 1,186 2,571 1,285 1,287 2,789 1,391 1,397 3,008 1,496 1,512 3,215 1,591 1,624 3,409 1,676 1,733 3,591 1,750 1,841 3,769 1,817 1,953 45-49 1,837 904 933 1,916 943 973 2,001 986 1,016 2,108 1,039 1,068 2,243 1,107 1,136 2,414 1,193 1,220 2,616 1,295 1,321 2,839 1,405 1,434 50-54 1,462 714 748 1,554 758 796 1,641 801 841 1,726 843 883 1,811 885 925 1,892 926 966 1,972 967 1,005 2,060 1,012 1,049 55-59 1,027 533 494 1,128 578 550 1,245 628 617 1,364 680 684 1,476 730 746 1,580 779 801 1,679 827 852 1,775 874 900 60-64 804 390 415 809 397 412 816 406 410 839 421 418 885 444 441 958 477 481 1,055 518 537 1,165 564 602 65-69 690 310 379 724 322 401 758 335 423 787 346 441 808 356 452 819 364 455 823 370 453 830 379 451 70-74 540 269 271 556 272 284 574 277 296 594 285 310 619 293 325 648 305 343 680 317 363 712 329 383 75-79 381 217 164 399 219 180 417 220 196 433 222 211 448 223 225 462 224 238 476 227 249 491 231 260 80+ 447 248 199 489 269 220 533 288 244 578 307 271 625 325 301 674 341 333 723 356 367 772 369 403

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Itezhi-Tezhi District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 104,856 51,438 53,418 109,692 53,718 55,974 136,658 66,299 70,359 169,161 81,201 87,960 208,259 98,814 109,445 0-4 19,447 9,646 9,801 20,101 9,942 10,159 23,641 11,523 12,118 28,100 13,494 14,606 33,425 15,815 17,610 5-9 17,443 8,679 8,763 18,085 8,986 9,099 21,430 10,514 10,916 25,207 12,169 13,038 29,978 14,241 15,738

10-14 14,113 7,021 7,091 15,005 7,448 7,557 18,763 9,237 9,526 22,222 10,797 11,424 26,136 12,491 13,645 15-19 10,572 5,263 5,309 11,043 5,496 5,547 14,930 7,340 7,590 18,689 9,104 9,585 22,145 10,641 11,504 20-24 9,524 4,682 4,842 9,828 4,825 5,004 11,635 5,721 5,914 15,767 7,638 8,129 19,757 9,470 10,287 25-29 7,723 3,778 3,945 8,181 4,024 4,156 9,984 4,877 5,107 11,839 5,785 6,054 16,115 7,742 8,373 30-34 5,912 2,784 3,128 6,243 2,972 3,272 8,727 4,392 4,335 10,720 5,355 5,365 12,786 6,386 6,400 35-39 4,871 2,243 2,629 5,071 2,309 2,761 6,300 2,908 3,391 8,892 4,360 4,533 11,010 5,359 5,651 40-44 3,951 1,878 2,073 4,143 1,937 2,206 5,219 2,245 2,974 6,532 2,855 3,676 9,280 4,334 4,946 45-49 3,065 1,513 1,552 3,281 1,612 1,668 4,254 1,974 2,280 5,389 2,299 3,090 6,779 2,942 3,837 50-54 2,172 1,068 1,104 2,315 1,141 1,174 3,419 1,680 1,740 4,463 2,071 2,391 5,688 2,429 3,259 55-59 1,868 922 946 1,962 971 991 2,526 1,265 1,261 3,760 1,885 1,876 4,933 2,346 2,586 60-64 1,278 611 667 1,384 657 727 1,843 878 964 2,377 1,153 1,223 3,550 1,731 1,819 65-69 852 393 459 898 414 484 1,411 613 798 1,873 819 1,054 2,408 1,076 1,332 70-74 739 341 398 758 350 408 842 407 434 1,312 605 706 1,728 810 918 75-79 508 236 272 529 244 285 643 289 354 709 335 374 1,092 495 597 80+ 820 381 439 866 391 475 1,092 435 657 1,311 476 835 1,449 506 942

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 159

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KALOMO DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kalomo District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 269,848 131,887 137,961 282,255 138,047 144,208 295,043 144,429 150,614 308,194 151,029 157,165 321,677 157,836 163,841 335,539 164,858 170,681 349,851 172,108 177,743 364,608 179,583 185,025 0-4 58,546 29,264 29,282 61,269 30,639 30,630 63,740 31,904 31,836 65,980 33,062 32,918 68,125 34,183 33,941 70,256 35,299 34,956 72,405 36,412 35,993 74,576 37,523 37,053 5-9 43,919 22,203 21,716 46,349 23,442 22,907 49,160 24,866 24,295 52,225 26,421 25,804 55,280 27,979 27,301 58,183 29,472 28,712 60,875 30,873 30,003 63,316 32,159 31,157

10-14 36,670 18,292 18,378 37,585 18,815 18,769 38,594 19,396 19,199 39,831 20,087 19,744 41,418 20,941 20,478 43,409 21,981 21,428 45,815 23,217 22,598 48,600 24,636 23,964 15-19 31,463 15,724 15,739 32,714 16,377 16,337 33,840 16,946 16,895 34,869 17,468 17,400 35,828 17,976 17,852 36,745 18,490 18,255 37,662 19,023 18,639 38,677 19,614 19,062 20-24 23,509 11,330 12,179 25,045 12,252 12,793 26,711 13,252 13,459 28,363 14,233 14,130 29,893 15,124 14,769 31,268 15,893 15,375 32,514 16,558 15,956 33,637 17,135 16,501 25-29 18,263 8,380 9,882 18,836 8,637 10,199 19,468 8,962 10,506 20,250 9,403 10,847 21,244 9,993 11,251 22,496 10,749 11,747 23,979 11,647 12,332 25,596 12,622 12,974 30-34 15,225 7,178 8,047 15,888 7,357 8,531 16,551 7,538 9,013 17,191 7,728 9,463 17,792 7,932 9,860 18,354 8,154 10,199 18,918 8,414 10,504 19,553 8,746 10,807 35-39 11,540 5,615 5,925 12,118 5,848 6,270 12,668 6,052 6,616 13,216 6,236 6,979 13,778 6,410 7,369 14,370 6,578 7,792 14,988 6,748 8,240 15,617 6,923 8,694 40-44 8,208 3,876 4,332 8,856 4,191 4,665 9,562 4,530 5,032 10,269 4,862 5,407 10,932 5,164 5,768 11,541 5,429 6,112 12,111 5,662 6,449 12,660 5,868 6,791 45-49 6,414 3,006 3,408 6,657 3,130 3,527 6,924 3,267 3,657 7,258 3,438 3,820 7,691 3,658 4,033 8,239 3,936 4,304 8,891 4,264 4,628 9,606 4,618 4,988 50-54 4,974 2,268 2,706 5,261 2,401 2,860 5,532 2,532 3,000 5,792 2,661 3,131 6,048 2,790 3,257 6,292 2,915 3,377 6,527 3,038 3,490 6,790 3,174 3,615 55-59 2,807 1,308 1,499 3,076 1,416 1,660 3,385 1,537 1,847 3,696 1,661 2,035 3,984 1,781 2,203 4,245 1,896 2,349 4,492 2,010 2,482 4,726 2,122 2,603 60-64 2,515 1,018 1,497 2,513 1,035 1,478 2,519 1,057 1,461 2,573 1,095 1,478 2,701 1,153 1,548 2,915 1,235 1,680 3,199 1,339 1,861 3,526 1,455 2,071 65-69 2,023 865 1,158 2,114 898 1,217 2,205 931 1,274 2,279 961 1,318 2,330 987 1,343 2,349 1,006 1,343 2,348 1,022 1,326 2,355 1,044 1,311 70-74 1,644 642 1,002 1,690 649 1,041 1,739 660 1,079 1,796 676 1,120 1,864 696 1,168 1,946 722 1,224 2,036 750 1,286 2,125 778 1,347 75-79 1,031 445 587 1,086 447 639 1,140 450 690 1,191 452 738 1,236 454 782 1,276 456 820 1,313 460 853 1,351 468 883 80+ 1,096 473 623 1,197 512 685 1,303 549 755 1,415 583 832 1,532 615 917 1,653 645 1,008 1,776 672 1,104 1,898 696 1,202

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kalomo District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 379,815 187,285 192,530 395,471 195,216 200,255 481,024 238,506 242,518 580,865 288,912 291,953 697,023 347,388 349,635 0-4 76,776 38,637 38,139 79,020 39,767 39,252 90,950 45,766 45,184 105,770 53,231 52,540 122,966 61,890 61,076 5-9 65,528 33,333 32,195 67,655 34,462 33,193 78,466 40,040 38,426 90,304 46,025 44,279 104,964 53,432 51,532

10-14 51,640 26,186 25,454 54,674 27,738 26,936 66,922 34,159 32,764 77,564 39,656 37,908 89,167 45,513 43,654 15-19 39,925 20,319 19,606 41,529 21,187 20,341 54,957 28,098 26,858 67,333 34,613 32,720 78,000 40,136 37,864 20-24 34,661 17,664 16,997 35,618 18,178 17,440 41,296 21,405 19,891 54,758 28,382 26,376 67,093 34,908 32,184 25-29 27,206 13,577 13,629 28,700 14,441 14,260 34,285 17,378 16,908 39,808 20,472 19,336 52,966 27,180 25,785 30-34 20,355 9,199 11,156 21,392 9,806 11,585 29,204 14,390 14,815 35,113 17,427 17,686 40,958 20,617 20,341 35-39 16,236 7,109 9,127 16,830 7,309 9,520 20,423 9,140 11,283 28,158 13,608 14,549 34,084 16,595 17,489 40-44 13,217 6,057 7,160 13,803 6,238 7,565 17,023 7,180 9,843 20,807 9,071 11,736 28,881 13,657 15,224 45-49 10,325 4,967 5,359 11,007 5,286 5,721 13,971 6,426 7,545 17,297 7,432 9,865 21,246 9,437 11,809 50-54 7,125 3,347 3,777 7,562 3,570 3,991 10,924 5,218 5,706 13,958 6,391 7,567 17,377 7,434 9,943 55-59 4,952 2,235 2,716 5,176 2,349 2,827 6,511 3,041 3,470 9,479 4,498 4,980 12,176 5,555 6,621 60-64 3,855 1,575 2,280 4,159 1,692 2,468 5,403 2,246 3,157 6,793 2,929 3,864 9,900 4,362 5,539 65-69 2,407 1,081 1,326 2,526 1,138 1,388 3,881 1,673 2,208 5,035 2,221 2,814 6,322 2,894 3,428 70-74 2,195 803 1,392 2,240 825 1,415 2,406 953 1,453 3,686 1,406 2,280 4,725 1,866 2,859 75-79 1,395 478 916 1,447 493 954 1,724 581 1,144 1,833 667 1,166 2,775 979 1,796 80+ 2,018 718 1,301 2,134 736 1,398 2,678 814 1,865 3,170 883 2,287 3,422 932 2,489

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160 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAZUNGULA DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kazungula District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 109,365 54,552 54,813 114,480 57,144 57,336 119,762 59,834 59,928 125,202 62,619 62,583 130,790 65,497 65,293 136,547 68,471 68,076 142,499 71,546 70,953 148,648 74,723 73,925 0-4 21,985 11,174 10,811 23,026 11,714 11,312 23,973 12,212 11,761 24,830 12,668 12,162 25,650 13,108 12,542 26,462 13,544 12,918 27,280 13,977 13,302 28,104 14,408 13,696 5-9 17,495 8,864 8,631 18,478 9,371 9,107 19,613 9,952 9,661 20,848 10,585 10,264 22,078 11,218 10,860 23,245 11,824 11,422 24,327 12,391 11,936 25,309 12,912 12,397

10-14 14,897 7,688 7,209 15,283 7,918 7,365 15,708 8,172 7,536 16,223 8,471 7,751 16,878 8,838 8,040 17,697 9,283 8,414 18,684 9,810 8,874 19,824 10,413 9,412 15-19 11,755 5,980 5,774 12,233 6,237 5,996 12,663 6,461 6,202 13,056 6,667 6,389 13,422 6,866 6,555 13,771 7,067 6,704 14,119 7,274 6,846 14,504 7,502 7,002 20-24 8,717 4,141 4,576 9,292 4,483 4,808 9,915 4,855 5,060 10,533 5,220 5,313 11,105 5,551 5,554 11,619 5,837 5,782 12,085 6,084 6,001 12,505 6,298 6,207 25-29 7,706 3,652 4,054 7,954 3,768 4,186 8,227 3,915 4,313 8,565 4,111 4,453 8,993 4,373 4,620 9,530 4,707 4,824 10,166 5,102 5,064 10,859 5,531 5,329 30-34 6,322 3,107 3,214 6,597 3,189 3,409 6,874 3,271 3,602 7,140 3,357 3,783 7,390 3,448 3,942 7,625 3,547 4,078 7,862 3,662 4,200 8,129 3,807 4,322 35-39 5,226 2,691 2,536 5,490 2,806 2,684 5,740 2,907 2,833 5,988 2,999 2,989 6,241 3,085 3,156 6,505 3,168 3,337 6,781 3,251 3,530 7,061 3,337 3,725 40-44 3,605 1,831 1,774 3,893 1,982 1,911 4,207 2,145 2,062 4,520 2,304 2,216 4,814 2,449 2,365 5,082 2,576 2,506 5,332 2,688 2,644 5,572 2,787 2,785 45-49 2,874 1,447 1,427 2,986 1,509 1,477 3,109 1,577 1,532 3,262 1,661 1,601 3,459 1,769 1,690 3,708 1,904 1,803 4,003 2,064 1,939 4,327 2,236 2,091 50-54 2,224 1,068 1,156 2,355 1,132 1,222 2,478 1,196 1,282 2,596 1,258 1,338 2,713 1,320 1,393 2,824 1,380 1,444 2,931 1,438 1,492 3,050 1,504 1,546 55-59 1,476 696 780 1,618 754 864 1,782 820 962 1,946 886 1,060 2,099 951 1,148 2,237 1,013 1,224 2,368 1,074 1,293 2,492 1,135 1,357 60-64 1,395 568 828 1,395 578 817 1,400 591 808 1,430 613 818 1,502 646 856 1,622 693 929 1,780 751 1,029 1,962 816 1,146 65-69 1,262 561 701 1,319 583 737 1,376 605 772 1,423 625 799 1,456 642 814 1,469 655 814 1,469 666 803 1,475 681 794 70-74 968 413 555 995 418 577 1,024 426 598 1,058 437 621 1,098 450 648 1,146 467 679 1,199 485 713 1,250 504 747 75-79 685 327 359 720 329 391 754 331 422 785 333 452 813 335 478 838 337 502 862 340 522 886 345 541 80+ 773 343 430 845 372 473 920 399 521 999 425 574 1,082 448 633 1,167 471 696 1,252 490 762 1,338 508 830

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kazungula District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 154,995 78,002 76,993 161,545 81,386 80,159 197,542 99,969 97,573 239,991 121,840 118,151 289,947 147,517 142,430 0-4 28,941 14,841 14,100 29,797 15,281 14,516 34,399 17,640 16,759 40,154 20,592 19,562 46,831 24,011 22,821 5-9 26,200 13,387 12,813 27,060 13,846 13,214 31,479 16,136 15,343 36,363 18,616 17,747 42,401 21,674 20,727

10-14 21,070 11,071 9,999 22,316 11,732 10,584 27,404 14,492 12,912 31,882 16,885 14,997 36,766 19,435 17,331 15-19 14,977 7,774 7,203 15,585 8,109 7,476 20,687 10,788 9,900 25,443 13,337 12,106 29,569 15,510 14,059 20-24 12,889 6,494 6,395 13,249 6,686 6,564 15,405 7,897 7,508 20,503 10,509 9,994 25,201 12,963 12,238 25-29 11,550 5,951 5,599 12,192 6,332 5,860 14,612 7,643 6,969 17,037 9,037 8,000 22,739 12,033 10,706 30-34 8,468 4,006 4,462 8,907 4,272 4,636 12,233 6,288 5,945 14,767 7,642 7,125 17,291 9,068 8,223 35-39 7,338 3,427 3,911 7,606 3,525 4,081 9,273 4,422 4,851 12,886 6,607 6,279 15,655 8,080 7,574 40-44 5,814 2,878 2,936 6,068 2,965 3,104 7,473 3,422 4,050 9,187 4,340 4,848 12,863 6,553 6,311 45-49 4,652 2,406 2,246 4,960 2,561 2,399 6,296 3,123 3,173 7,790 3,625 4,165 9,620 4,616 5,003 50-54 3,202 1,586 1,616 3,400 1,692 1,708 4,930 2,481 2,449 6,310 3,050 3,260 7,856 3,558 4,299 55-59 2,611 1,196 1,416 2,731 1,257 1,474 3,447 1,632 1,814 5,038 2,424 2,614 6,489 3,002 3,487 60-64 2,146 884 1,262 2,316 950 1,366 3,018 1,265 1,753 3,809 1,655 2,154 5,570 2,472 3,098 65-69 1,508 705 804 1,584 742 842 2,437 1,094 1,343 3,176 1,458 1,718 4,005 1,905 2,100 70-74 1,292 520 772 1,319 534 785 1,428 619 808 2,191 917 1,274 2,823 1,220 1,603 75-79 915 353 561 949 364 585 1,133 430 703 1,215 496 719 1,842 730 1,112 80+ 1,422 524 898 1,503 537 966 1,888 596 1,292 2,240 649 1,591 2,425 687 1,738

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 161

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LIVINGSTONE DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Livingstone District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 144,377 71,456 72,921 149,230 73,840 75,390 154,154 76,274 77,880 159,136 78,751 80,385 164,157 81,264 82,893 169,237 83,814 85,423 174,408 86,405 88,003 179,665 89,035 90,630 0-4 21,936 11,014 10,922 22,684 11,386 11,297 23,317 11,704 11,612 23,846 11,972 11,875 24,325 12,214 12,111 24,779 12,442 12,337 25,221 12,657 12,564 25,650 12,860 12,790 5-9 16,747 8,402 8,345 17,464 8,759 8,704 18,301 9,172 9,129 19,209 9,619 9,590 20,087 10,052 10,036 20,884 10,445 10,440 21,579 10,790 10,789 22,162 11,082 11,080

10-14 16,280 7,608 8,672 16,485 7,726 8,758 16,722 7,863 8,859 17,048 8,037 9,011 17,512 8,268 9,244 18,129 8,562 9,568 18,897 8,918 9,979 19,796 9,330 10,465 15-19 17,924 8,565 9,359 18,415 8,808 9,606 18,822 8,998 9,824 19,162 9,154 10,007 19,451 9,296 10,155 19,704 9,433 10,271 19,943 9,570 10,372 20,220 9,730 10,490 20-24 16,204 7,580 8,624 17,051 8,093 8,958 17,961 8,642 9,320 18,837 9,161 9,677 19,609 9,605 10,004 20,259 9,958 10,301 20,804 10,231 10,573 21,252 10,439 10,813 25-29 15,326 7,228 8,098 15,619 7,355 8,265 15,953 7,534 8,419 16,399 7,802 8,596 17,002 8,182 8,820 17,790 8,682 9,108 18,734 9,277 9,457 19,751 9,912 9,839 30-34 12,425 6,432 5,993 12,791 6,509 6,282 13,148 6,584 6,564 13,478 6,661 6,816 13,772 6,747 7,025 14,030 6,842 7,188 14,284 6,963 7,321 14,585 7,136 7,449 35-39 8,683 4,847 3,836 8,999 4,985 4,014 9,281 5,093 4,188 9,549 5,179 4,370 9,817 5,253 4,563 10,091 5,318 4,773 10,372 5,380 4,992 10,651 5,443 5,209 40-44 5,675 3,101 2,573 6,051 3,310 2,741 6,456 3,533 2,924 6,849 3,742 3,107 7,201 3,922 3,278 7,504 4,068 3,436 7,769 4,184 3,586 8,009 4,275 3,734 45-49 4,063 2,101 1,962 4,168 2,160 2,008 4,284 2,225 2,059 4,438 2,311 2,127 4,648 2,427 2,221 4,920 2,575 2,344 5,245 2,752 2,493 5,596 2,939 2,657 50-54 3,193 1,619 1,574 3,338 1,693 1,645 3,469 1,762 1,706 3,589 1,828 1,761 3,704 1,891 1,812 3,808 1,949 1,858 3,903 2,003 1,899 4,010 2,064 1,946 55-59 2,015 1,021 994 2,179 1,090 1,089 2,367 1,169 1,198 2,552 1,246 1,305 2,716 1,318 1,398 2,859 1,385 1,475 2,988 1,448 1,541 3,106 1,507 1,598 60-64 1,461 790 671 1,449 794 655 1,441 800 641 1,459 818 641 1,514 850 664 1,611 898 712 1,741 960 781 1,888 1,029 859 65-69 921 451 469 950 462 488 978 473 505 999 482 517 1,009 489 521 1,007 491 515 995 493 503 988 496 492 70-74 594 274 320 602 273 328 611 275 336 623 278 345 638 282 356 658 288 369 679 296 384 700 302 397 75-79 445 192 253 463 191 272 480 189 291 495 188 307 508 186 322 518 184 334 527 184 344 536 184 352 80+ 486 229 257 524 245 279 563 259 304 603 272 332 644 283 362 686 293 393 726 301 426 766 307 459

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Livingstone District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 185,003 91,701 93,302 190,419 94,402 96,017 218,786 108,462 110,324 249,872 123,713 126,159 283,958 140,261 143,697 0-4 26,071 13,054 13,018 26,490 13,243 13,247 28,550 14,156 14,394 31,093 15,292 15,801 33,881 16,532 17,349 5-9 22,644 11,323 11,321 23,080 11,539 11,541 25,063 12,452 12,611 27,013 13,294 13,719 29,431 14,350 15,080

10-14 20,768 9,776 10,991 21,708 10,207 11,500 24,879 11,675 13,204 27,012 12,589 14,423 29,122 13,434 15,688 15-19 20,604 9,936 10,669 21,156 10,212 10,944 26,219 12,579 13,640 30,079 14,392 15,688 32,664 15,517 17,147 20-24 21,621 10,608 11,013 21,933 10,760 11,173 23,797 11,768 12,029 29,552 14,494 15,058 33,930 16,575 17,355 25-29 20,731 10,511 10,220 21,592 11,020 10,573 24,150 12,316 11,833 26,252 13,477 12,776 32,728 16,637 16,091 30-34 15,002 7,399 7,603 15,581 7,774 7,807 20,019 10,596 9,423 22,539 11,919 10,620 24,648 13,111 11,537 35-39 10,916 5,509 5,407 11,160 5,583 5,576 12,723 6,485 6,238 16,562 8,967 7,594 18,790 10,168 8,622 40-44 8,243 4,350 3,893 8,482 4,416 4,067 9,715 4,720 4,995 11,161 5,539 5,622 14,643 7,754 6,888 45-49 5,939 3,115 2,823 6,248 3,268 2,980 7,400 3,690 3,710 8,543 3,964 4,579 9,858 4,680 5,178 50-54 4,156 2,146 2,010 4,356 2,256 2,100 5,896 3,062 2,834 7,032 3,484 3,548 8,171 3,768 4,404 55-59 3,214 1,565 1,649 3,318 1,621 1,697 3,915 1,949 1,966 5,342 2,678 2,664 6,420 3,075 3,345 60-64 2,033 1,098 935 2,163 1,162 1,001 2,642 1,433 1,209 3,132 1,736 1,396 4,295 2,404 1,891 65-69 998 506 492 1,034 525 509 1,482 717 764 1,804 884 919 2,129 1,071 1,058 70-74 714 308 406 720 311 408 730 334 396 1,044 458 586 1,259 565 694 75-79 546 185 361 560 188 372 626 206 421 625 220 405 889 300 589 80+ 802 312 491 837 315 521 980 324 656 1,086 326 760 1,102 320 781

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162 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MAZABUKA DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mazabuka District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 236,103 117,828 118,275 239,813 119,676 120,137 243,426 121,497 121,929 246,921 123,282 123,639 250,275 125,022 125,253 253,518 126,717 126,801 256,695 128,373 128,322 259,800 129,985 129,815 0-4 41,530 20,990 20,540 42,204 21,325 20,879 42,632 21,543 21,089 42,846 21,657 21,188 42,948 21,720 21,228 42,995 21,754 21,241 43,008 21,760 21,248 42,991 21,743 21,248 5-9 33,395 16,890 16,505 34,223 17,303 16,919 35,245 17,807 17,438 36,352 18,355 17,997 37,355 18,854 18,501 38,166 19,262 18,904 38,758 19,567 19,191 39,122 19,763 19,359

10-14 31,945 15,870 16,075 31,794 15,839 15,955 31,700 15,841 15,859 31,763 15,915 15,848 32,064 16,094 15,971 32,622 16,385 16,237 33,417 16,783 16,635 34,403 17,267 17,136 15-19 29,301 14,536 14,765 29,585 14,691 14,894 29,716 14,748 14,967 29,728 14,748 14,979 29,655 14,722 14,932 29,522 14,687 14,835 29,369 14,653 14,716 29,269 14,650 14,619 20-24 23,382 11,319 12,063 24,191 11,877 12,315 25,054 12,464 12,590 25,829 12,986 12,843 26,428 13,384 13,044 26,835 13,642 13,193 27,083 13,782 13,301 27,192 13,830 13,362 25-29 19,023 9,051 9,972 19,054 9,051 10,002 19,125 9,113 10,012 19,319 9,275 10,044 19,685 9,561 10,124 20,244 9,975 10,269 20,954 10,481 10,473 21,716 11,013 10,703 30-34 15,518 7,819 7,699 15,708 7,776 7,932 15,874 7,730 8,144 15,996 7,687 8,309 16,065 7,653 8,412 16,085 7,631 8,454 16,094 7,636 8,458 16,149 7,696 8,453 35-39 12,560 6,617 5,943 12,799 6,688 6,111 12,981 6,714 6,266 13,135 6,712 6,423 13,281 6,692 6,589 13,431 6,661 6,770 13,581 6,626 6,955 13,720 6,592 7,128 40-44 8,469 4,560 3,909 8,875 4,784 4,091 9,306 5,017 4,289 9,701 5,223 4,478 10,023 5,382 4,642 10,266 5,487 4,778 10,448 5,550 4,898 10,588 5,577 5,011 45-49 6,325 3,218 3,107 6,376 3,252 3,124 6,440 3,292 3,148 6,557 3,361 3,196 6,747 3,469 3,278 7,018 3,620 3,399 7,353 3,803 3,550 7,711 3,994 3,717 50-54 4,602 2,287 2,315 4,727 2,349 2,378 4,828 2,403 2,424 4,909 2,451 2,458 4,978 2,492 2,485 5,028 2,525 2,503 5,065 2,552 2,513 5,115 2,586 2,529 55-59 2,730 1,431 1,299 2,900 1,502 1,398 3,094 1,582 1,512 3,277 1,659 1,618 3,427 1,725 1,702 3,545 1,781 1,764 3,641 1,831 1,810 3,719 1,875 1,844 60-64 2,151 959 1,192 2,090 947 1,143 2,037 939 1,098 2,022 943 1,080 2,062 963 1,099 2,159 1,001 1,158 2,298 1,052 1,246 2,456 1,108 1,347 65-69 1,798 763 1,035 1,824 768 1,057 1,848 772 1,075 1,854 773 1,081 1,840 770 1,070 1,802 762 1,040 1,748 751 997 1,701 744 958 70-74 1,243 551 692 1,240 540 699 1,237 533 704 1,240 530 710 1,249 529 720 1,265 532 733 1,284 536 748 1,300 539 761 75-79 988 419 569 1,012 409 603 1,032 399 633 1,047 389 658 1,056 379 676 1,059 369 689 1,058 362 697 1,057 356 701 80+ 1,143 548 595 1,211 576 636 1,279 599 681 1,346 617 729 1,412 631 781 1,476 642 834 1,536 649 887 1,590 652 938

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mazabuka District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 262,823 131,549 131,274 265,763 133,066 132,697 279,310 139,957 139,353 291,578 146,026 145,552 302,662 151,331 151,331 0-4 42,949 21,706 21,243 42,896 21,660 21,235 42,467 21,338 21,129 42,483 21,228 21,255 42,535 21,133 21,402 5-9 39,290 19,860 19,430 39,364 19,907 19,457 39,268 19,799 19,469 38,875 19,465 19,409 38,915 19,350 19,566

10-14 35,473 17,794 17,679 36,445 18,274 18,171 38,368 19,264 19,104 38,252 19,128 19,124 37,873 18,798 19,075 15-19 29,318 14,713 14,605 29,592 14,874 14,718 33,682 16,886 16,797 35,494 17,791 17,703 35,409 17,665 17,745 20-24 27,190 13,822 13,368 27,113 13,790 13,323 27,035 13,901 13,134 30,833 15,765 15,068 32,528 16,603 15,925 25-29 22,406 11,485 10,921 22,942 11,844 11,098 23,574 12,200 11,374 23,547 12,293 11,254 26,974 13,976 12,998 30-34 16,324 7,848 8,476 16,661 8,111 8,549 19,638 10,188 9,450 20,313 10,554 9,760 20,414 10,691 9,723 35-39 13,831 6,562 7,269 13,906 6,542 7,364 14,546 7,002 7,544 17,333 8,917 8,416 18,073 9,311 8,762 40-44 10,712 5,581 5,131 10,838 5,572 5,266 11,412 5,490 5,922 12,041 5,933 6,109 14,512 7,648 6,864 45-49 8,043 4,165 3,879 8,319 4,297 4,023 9,057 4,472 4,585 9,610 4,423 5,187 10,187 4,809 5,378 50-54 5,210 2,644 2,566 5,368 2,734 2,634 6,675 3,420 3,254 7,317 3,583 3,734 7,819 3,569 4,250 55-59 3,783 1,914 1,869 3,840 1,950 1,889 4,166 2,161 2,004 5,224 2,735 2,489 5,758 2,892 2,866 60-64 2,604 1,163 1,441 2,726 1,211 1,515 3,051 1,376 1,675 3,309 1,535 1,774 4,160 1,958 2,202 65-69 1,687 746 941 1,719 762 957 2,274 959 1,315 2,539 1,088 1,450 2,745 1,214 1,530 70-74 1,303 540 764 1,292 537 754 1,201 531 669 1,579 671 909 1,749 762 987 75-79 1,059 353 706 1,067 353 714 1,096 356 740 1,002 349 653 1,310 439 871 80+ 1,637 651 986 1,677 647 1,030 1,800 613 1,187 1,828 569 1,260 1,702 514 1,188

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 163

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MONZE DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Monze District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 196,572 96,732 99,840 200,308 98,653 101,655 203,991 100,572 103,419 207,600 102,477 105,123 211,112 104,359 106,753 214,557 106,220 108,337 217,971 108,064 109,907 221,347 109,887 111,460 0-4 38,887 19,812 19,075 39,633 20,208 19,425 40,154 20,499 19,655 40,479 20,696 19,783 40,706 20,848 19,858 40,888 20,977 19,911 41,045 21,085 19,961 41,180 21,173 20,008 5-9 30,681 15,612 15,069 31,533 16,058 15,475 32,571 16,594 15,977 33,697 17,177 16,519 34,737 17,723 17,014 35,610 18,190 17,420 36,291 18,567 17,724 36,767 18,846 17,921

10-14 26,779 13,594 13,185 26,732 13,622 13,110 26,734 13,680 13,054 26,871 13,803 13,068 27,214 14,020 13,194 27,781 14,339 13,442 28,560 14,758 13,802 29,511 15,260 14,251 15-19 23,453 11,918 11,534 23,749 12,093 11,656 23,925 12,190 11,734 24,007 12,243 11,765 24,025 12,275 11,750 24,000 12,302 11,698 23,962 12,333 11,629 23,971 12,391 11,580 20-24 18,022 8,735 9,287 18,700 9,202 9,498 19,424 9,697 9,727 20,087 10,146 9,940 20,619 10,504 10,115 21,007 10,756 10,251 21,277 10,919 10,358 21,441 11,011 10,430 25-29 13,013 5,910 7,103 13,071 5,933 7,137 13,155 5,998 7,157 13,324 6,131 7,193 13,612 6,348 7,263 14,037 6,654 7,383 14,571 7,025 7,546 15,148 7,418 7,730 30-34 10,915 5,197 5,718 11,090 5,189 5,902 11,249 5,179 6,070 11,377 5,173 6,204 11,466 5,173 6,293 11,519 5,182 6,337 11,564 5,210 6,354 11,643 5,277 6,366 35-39 9,030 4,414 4,616 9,234 4,478 4,755 9,400 4,515 4,885 9,549 4,533 5,016 9,695 4,539 5,156 9,847 4,539 5,307 10,002 4,537 5,465 10,150 4,536 5,614 40-44 6,423 3,141 3,282 6,750 3,308 3,441 7,098 3,484 3,614 7,423 3,643 3,780 7,695 3,770 3,925 7,911 3,862 4,049 8,084 3,925 4,160 8,229 3,963 4,266 45-49 4,919 2,380 2,539 4,973 2,415 2,558 5,037 2,455 2,582 5,143 2,517 2,626 5,308 2,609 2,699 5,539 2,735 2,803 5,822 2,887 2,935 6,128 3,048 3,080 50-54 3,754 1,659 2,096 3,867 1,711 2,156 3,959 1,757 2,202 4,037 1,800 2,237 4,104 1,838 2,266 4,158 1,871 2,286 4,201 1,900 2,301 4,256 1,935 2,321 55-59 2,588 1,148 1,440 2,763 1,210 1,552 2,962 1,280 1,682 3,151 1,348 1,803 3,308 1,407 1,901 3,434 1,460 1,973 3,538 1,508 2,030 3,625 1,552 2,073 60-64 2,136 902 1,235 2,080 893 1,187 2,031 889 1,142 2,022 897 1,125 2,067 920 1,147 2,172 961 1,211 2,321 1,015 1,306 2,490 1,075 1,415 65-69 1,833 701 1,131 1,866 709 1,157 1,896 716 1,180 1,908 720 1,188 1,899 720 1,179 1,863 716 1,148 1,811 709 1,103 1,767 705 1,062 70-74 1,546 575 972 1,549 566 984 1,552 561 992 1,562 559 1,002 1,579 561 1,018 1,605 567 1,038 1,636 574 1,062 1,663 580 1,083 75-79 1,091 435 656 1,122 426 696 1,150 418 732 1,171 409 762 1,185 400 785 1,193 392 802 1,197 385 812 1,200 381 819 80+ 1,501 599 902 1,597 632 965 1,695 660 1,035 1,794 683 1,111 1,894 702 1,192 1,993 717 1,276 2,088 728 1,360 2,178 735 1,442

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Monze District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 224,680 111,686 112,994 227,964 113,460 114,504 243,737 121,957 121,780 258,953 130,100 128,853 273,658 137,907 135,751 0-4 41,297 21,244 20,053 41,405 21,308 20,097 41,810 21,547 20,262 42,648 22,010 20,638 43,575 22,516 21,060 5-9 37,067 19,035 18,032 37,281 19,178 18,103 37,934 19,579 18,355 38,292 19,765 18,527 39,116 20,189 18,928

10-14 30,545 15,805 14,739 31,503 16,315 15,188 33,835 17,654 16,181 34,398 17,999 16,399 34,753 18,176 16,577 15-19 24,105 12,508 11,597 24,427 12,710 11,716 28,361 14,811 13,550 30,483 16,023 14,459 31,036 16,348 14,688 20-24 21,522 11,061 10,461 21,544 11,092 10,452 21,918 11,477 10,441 25,492 13,365 12,128 27,453 14,463 12,990 25-29 15,683 7,776 7,907 16,115 8,060 8,056 16,888 8,522 8,366 17,198 8,817 8,381 20,110 10,300 9,810 30-34 11,808 5,409 6,399 12,089 5,619 6,471 14,492 7,245 7,247 15,284 7,705 7,578 15,672 8,021 7,651 35-39 10,278 4,539 5,739 10,377 4,548 5,829 11,048 4,997 6,051 13,368 6,533 6,834 14,221 7,010 7,212 40-44 8,365 3,987 4,379 8,506 4,001 4,505 9,180 4,046 5,134 9,851 4,489 5,362 12,053 5,947 6,106 45-49 6,416 3,194 3,222 6,662 3,312 3,350 7,408 3,538 3,869 8,026 3,594 4,432 8,672 4,015 4,657 50-54 4,350 1,988 2,361 4,496 2,067 2,430 5,696 2,654 3,042 6,389 2,855 3,534 6,998 2,922 4,076 55-59 3,699 1,593 2,106 3,765 1,631 2,134 4,150 1,855 2,295 5,295 2,410 2,885 5,986 2,619 3,367 60-64 2,651 1,134 1,517 2,786 1,186 1,599 3,176 1,384 1,792 3,506 1,585 1,921 4,494 2,077 2,418 65-69 1,757 711 1,046 1,796 730 1,066 2,428 943 1,485 2,757 1,099 1,658 3,033 1,260 1,773 70-74 1,673 584 1,090 1,663 584 1,079 1,563 593 970 2,102 768 1,334 2,365 897 1,468 75-79 1,207 380 828 1,220 381 839 1,276 395 881 1,185 398 787 1,578 514 1,064 80+ 2,258 738 1,520 2,328 738 1,590 2,575 717 1,858 2,680 683 1,996 2,542 634 1,907

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164 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, NAMWALA DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Namwala District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 105,818 51,835 53,983 108,459 53,196 55,263 111,100 54,570 56,530 113,730 55,953 57,777 116,337 57,341 58,996 118,933 58,732 60,201 121,541 60,129 61,412 124,155 61,531 62,624 0-4 22,992 11,630 11,362 23,572 11,937 11,635 24,025 12,185 11,840 24,365 12,380 11,986 24,651 12,550 12,101 24,913 12,709 12,204 25,164 12,856 12,307 25,404 12,995 12,409 5-9 17,130 8,587 8,543 17,710 8,888 8,822 18,402 9,242 9,160 19,153 9,627 9,526 19,865 9,997 9,868 20,489 10,326 10,163 21,009 10,608 10,401 21,417 10,838 10,579

10-14 14,197 7,110 7,087 14,255 7,169 7,085 14,340 7,245 7,095 14,500 7,356 7,144 14,774 7,519 7,255 15,175 7,740 7,435 15,696 8,018 7,679 16,320 8,344 7,976 15-19 11,716 5,841 5,875 11,934 5,964 5,971 12,094 6,049 6,045 12,209 6,113 6,095 12,292 6,169 6,123 12,354 6,222 6,132 12,410 6,278 6,132 12,491 6,349 6,142 20-24 9,545 4,652 4,893 9,963 4,931 5,032 10,411 5,228 5,183 10,833 5,505 5,327 11,188 5,736 5,452 11,469 5,911 5,558 11,689 6,039 5,649 11,853 6,130 5,722 25-29 7,218 3,290 3,928 7,292 3,323 3,969 7,383 3,381 4,003 7,523 3,478 4,046 7,733 3,624 4,109 8,024 3,822 4,201 8,381 4,062 4,320 8,768 4,317 4,451 30-34 5,890 2,720 3,169 6,022 2,733 3,289 6,148 2,745 3,402 6,257 2,759 3,498 6,345 2,777 3,568 6,414 2,799 3,615 6,478 2,833 3,646 6,562 2,888 3,674 35-39 4,697 2,281 2,415 4,832 2,329 2,502 4,948 2,363 2,585 5,057 2,387 2,670 5,166 2,406 2,760 5,279 2,421 2,858 5,396 2,436 2,960 5,510 2,451 3,059 40-44 3,326 1,583 1,743 3,516 1,678 1,838 3,719 1,778 1,941 3,913 1,871 2,042 4,081 1,949 2,133 4,222 2,009 2,213 4,342 2,055 2,287 4,448 2,089 2,359 45-49 2,375 1,115 1,260 2,415 1,138 1,276 2,460 1,164 1,296 2,527 1,201 1,325 2,623 1,253 1,370 2,754 1,323 1,431 2,912 1,405 1,507 3,084 1,493 1,591 50-54 1,906 847 1,059 1,975 879 1,096 2,034 908 1,126 2,086 936 1,150 2,134 962 1,172 2,175 986 1,189 2,211 1,008 1,204 2,254 1,033 1,222 55-59 1,222 548 675 1,313 581 732 1,415 618 797 1,515 655 860 1,600 689 911 1,671 719 952 1,732 747 985 1,786 774 1,012 60-64 1,012 437 575 991 436 555 974 437 538 976 443 532 1,004 458 546 1,061 481 580 1,140 511 629 1,231 545 686 65-69 772 332 439 790 338 452 807 343 464 817 347 470 818 350 468 808 350 459 792 349 443 779 349 429 70-74 661 289 372 665 286 379 669 285 384 677 286 391 688 289 399 703 294 409 721 299 421 736 305 432 75-79 545 284 261 558 280 278 571 277 294 580 272 308 587 268 319 592 264 328 596 261 334 599 260 339 80+ 614 288 326 656 306 351 699 321 378 743 335 408 787 346 440 830 356 474 872 364 508 912 370 542

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Namwala District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 126,775 62,937 63,838 129,396 64,343 65,053 142,559 71,409 71,150 156,121 78,673 77,448 170,123 86,156 83,967 0-4 25,638 13,126 12,512 25,870 13,254 12,616 26,996 13,876 13,121 28,455 14,665 13,789 30,014 15,512 14,502 5-9 21,728 11,020 10,708 21,994 11,178 10,816 23,127 11,814 11,313 24,122 12,340 11,782 25,438 13,033 12,406

10-14 16,999 8,700 8,299 17,645 9,042 8,603 19,583 10,129 9,455 20,572 10,685 9,887 21,457 11,156 10,301 15-19 12,640 6,452 6,188 12,890 6,600 6,290 15,466 7,963 7,503 17,175 8,913 8,262 18,052 9,402 8,650 20-24 11,973 6,199 5,774 12,063 6,258 5,804 12,685 6,704 5,981 15,246 8,078 7,168 16,951 9,038 7,913 25-29 9,136 4,556 4,580 9,449 4,754 4,695 10,233 5,204 5,030 10,770 5,571 5,199 13,001 6,729 6,272 30-34 6,695 2,980 3,715 6,896 3,116 3,780 8,527 4,160 4,367 9,290 4,578 4,712 9,830 4,927 4,903 35-39 5,615 2,469 3,146 5,705 2,491 3,215 6,275 2,833 3,442 7,845 3,833 4,012 8,615 4,252 4,363 40-44 4,551 2,115 2,436 4,658 2,137 2,522 5,202 2,237 2,964 5,763 2,569 3,194 7,267 3,518 3,749 45-49 3,250 1,575 1,675 3,396 1,644 1,752 3,906 1,819 2,087 4,378 1,911 2,466 4,879 2,208 2,671 50-54 2,319 1,068 1,250 2,412 1,118 1,294 3,158 1,486 1,671 3,658 1,654 2,004 4,132 1,750 2,382 55-59 1,834 800 1,034 1,879 825 1,054 2,140 971 1,169 2,822 1,305 1,517 3,290 1,466 1,824 60-64 1,318 579 740 1,394 610 784 1,643 736 907 1,875 872 1,003 2,483 1,182 1,301 65-69 780 355 425 803 366 436 1,117 490 627 1,313 591 722 1,496 700 796 70-74 746 309 437 746 311 436 731 327 404 1,011 438 573 1,179 529 650 75-79 606 261 344 616 264 351 664 283 380 646 295 351 883 395 489 80+ 948 374 575 981 376 605 1,107 378 729 1,182 373 809 1,154 358 796

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 165

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SIAVONGA DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Siavonga District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 94,195 46,637 47,558 98,591 48,860 49,731 103,128 51,168 51,960 107,802 53,559 54,243 112,603 56,030 56,573 117,548 58,585 58,963 122,662 61,227 61,435 127,946 63,958 63,988 0-4 18,063 9,156 8,906 18,915 9,598 9,317 19,690 10,005 9,685 20,392 10,379 10,014 21,065 10,740 10,325 21,731 11,099 10,632 22,402 11,456 10,946 23,078 11,812 11,266 5-9 14,089 7,182 6,907 14,879 7,592 7,287 15,790 8,062 7,728 16,783 8,575 8,209 17,773 9,089 8,684 18,713 9,581 9,132 19,583 10,042 9,541 20,372 10,466 9,906

10-14 12,593 6,224 6,369 12,914 6,409 6,505 13,269 6,614 6,654 13,700 6,857 6,843 14,252 7,155 7,097 14,942 7,516 7,426 15,773 7,944 7,830 16,735 8,434 8,302 15-19 10,855 5,550 5,305 11,295 5,787 5,508 11,691 5,995 5,696 12,052 6,186 5,867 12,390 6,371 6,019 12,712 6,558 6,154 13,034 6,751 6,282 13,389 6,965 6,424 20-24 8,223 3,924 4,299 8,764 4,248 4,516 9,352 4,600 4,751 9,934 4,946 4,988 10,473 5,260 5,213 10,959 5,532 5,427 11,397 5,767 5,631 11,793 5,971 5,822 25-29 7,343 3,380 3,962 7,578 3,488 4,090 7,836 3,623 4,213 8,155 3,805 4,350 8,559 4,048 4,512 9,067 4,357 4,710 9,668 4,724 4,944 10,322 5,122 5,200 30-34 5,833 2,907 2,926 6,085 2,983 3,102 6,338 3,060 3,278 6,581 3,140 3,441 6,811 3,226 3,586 7,027 3,319 3,708 7,245 3,427 3,819 7,492 3,563 3,928 35-39 4,905 2,539 2,367 5,152 2,647 2,505 5,385 2,742 2,643 5,617 2,829 2,788 5,854 2,910 2,944 6,101 2,989 3,112 6,358 3,068 3,291 6,621 3,149 3,471 40-44 3,255 1,664 1,591 3,515 1,801 1,714 3,798 1,949 1,849 4,080 2,094 1,986 4,345 2,226 2,119 4,587 2,342 2,245 4,812 2,444 2,368 5,028 2,534 2,494 45-49 2,533 1,209 1,324 2,631 1,260 1,371 2,738 1,316 1,421 2,871 1,387 1,485 3,044 1,477 1,567 3,262 1,590 1,672 3,521 1,724 1,798 3,806 1,868 1,937 50-54 1,865 895 970 1,974 949 1,026 2,077 1,001 1,076 2,176 1,054 1,123 2,274 1,106 1,168 2,367 1,156 1,211 2,457 1,205 1,251 2,556 1,260 1,296 55-59 1,250 584 667 1,370 632 738 1,509 687 822 1,648 743 905 1,777 798 980 1,895 850 1,045 2,005 901 1,104 2,110 952 1,157 60-64 967 453 514 969 461 508 974 472 502 996 489 508 1,047 515 532 1,129 553 577 1,238 599 639 1,362 652 711 65-69 784 314 469 820 326 493 855 339 517 885 350 534 904 360 544 912 367 544 911 373 537 913 382 531 70-74 647 246 401 666 249 417 685 254 432 708 260 448 735 268 468 768 278 490 804 289 515 839 300 539 75-79 461 185 276 487 187 300 512 188 325 536 189 347 557 190 367 576 191 385 594 193 401 611 196 415 80+ 529 224 305 578 243 335 630 260 369 684 277 407 742 293 449 801 307 494 860 320 540 920 332 588

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Siavonga District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 133,398 66,777 66,621 139,022 69,686 69,336 169,948 85,681 84,267 206,422 104,537 101,885 249,360 126,710 122,650 0-4 23,762 12,168 11,594 24,462 12,530 11,932 28,207 14,455 13,752 32,870 16,853 16,017 38,312 19,656 18,656 5-9 21,088 10,853 10,235 21,778 11,226 10,551 25,305 13,075 12,230 29,181 15,066 14,115 34,005 17,544 16,460

10-14 17,785 8,968 8,816 18,833 9,504 9,329 23,094 11,733 11,361 26,820 13,654 13,167 30,912 15,719 15,193 15-19 13,824 7,218 6,606 14,384 7,531 6,853 19,071 10,011 9,060 23,417 12,362 11,055 27,198 14,379 12,819 20-24 12,154 6,158 5,996 12,492 6,340 6,152 14,509 7,484 7,025 19,278 9,947 9,331 23,681 12,272 11,408 25-29 10,974 5,512 5,462 11,580 5,866 5,714 13,860 7,076 6,784 16,127 8,356 7,770 21,511 11,128 10,383 30-34 7,804 3,750 4,054 8,209 3,999 4,210 11,273 5,883 5,390 13,587 7,142 6,445 15,903 8,475 7,428 35-39 6,879 3,235 3,644 7,128 3,328 3,800 8,681 4,172 4,510 12,050 6,226 5,824 14,631 7,616 7,015 40-44 5,246 2,617 2,628 5,474 2,697 2,777 6,729 3,111 3,618 8,261 3,940 4,321 11,567 5,951 5,616 45-49 4,091 2,010 2,081 4,362 2,140 2,222 5,542 2,608 2,933 6,866 3,024 3,842 8,459 3,851 4,608 50-54 2,684 1,330 1,354 2,849 1,419 1,430 4,126 2,079 2,047 5,272 2,552 2,720 6,559 2,978 3,581 55-59 2,211 1,003 1,207 2,311 1,055 1,256 2,913 1,369 1,544 4,250 2,030 2,220 5,472 2,515 2,957 60-64 1,488 706 782 1,605 758 847 2,094 1,009 1,085 2,649 1,319 1,330 3,880 1,971 1,910 65-69 932 395 537 979 416 562 1,509 614 896 1,959 816 1,143 2,462 1,067 1,395 70-74 866 310 557 884 318 566 950 368 582 1,460 545 915 1,875 726 1,149 75-79 631 201 431 655 207 448 782 244 538 831 281 549 1,262 414 848 80+ 978 342 636 1,035 351 684 1,302 389 913 1,545 423 1,122 1,672 448 1,224

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166 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SINAZONGWE DISTRICT, Southern Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Sinazongwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 104,654 50,908 53,746 107,445 52,278 55,167 110,244 53,662 56,582 113,042 55,057 57,985 115,823 56,457 59,366 118,604 57,863 60,741 121,405 59,278 62,127 124,222 60,698 63,524 0-4 19,532 9,747 9,785 20,062 10,012 10,050 20,483 10,227 10,256 20,807 10,395 10,412 21,081 10,540 10,541 21,332 10,672 10,660 21,572 10,794 10,778 21,800 10,906 10,895 5-9 16,169 8,040 8,129 16,748 8,328 8,420 17,433 8,666 8,767 18,174 9,031 9,143 18,877 9,379 9,498 19,495 9,687 9,808 20,013 9,950 10,064 20,423 10,162 10,262

10-14 14,414 7,188 7,226 14,500 7,254 7,246 14,613 7,336 7,277 14,799 7,451 7,348 15,101 7,618 7,483 15,530 7,841 7,688 16,082 8,121 7,961 16,739 8,448 8,290 15-19 12,851 6,304 6,548 13,115 6,441 6,673 13,314 6,538 6,776 13,463 6,611 6,852 13,574 6,672 6,902 13,660 6,729 6,930 13,736 6,788 6,948 13,840 6,862 6,978 20-24 9,382 4,410 4,972 9,807 4,678 5,128 10,261 4,964 5,297 10,690 5,229 5,460 11,053 5,449 5,604 11,343 5,615 5,728 11,573 5,736 5,837 11,747 5,820 5,927 25-29 7,784 3,693 4,091 7,880 3,734 4,146 7,994 3,801 4,193 8,162 3,912 4,250 8,405 4,077 4,329 8,738 4,300 4,438 9,143 4,568 4,574 9,579 4,854 4,726 30-34 6,035 2,825 3,210 6,182 2,840 3,341 6,321 2,855 3,466 6,444 2,871 3,573 6,545 2,890 3,655 6,626 2,913 3,713 6,701 2,947 3,754 6,796 3,003 3,793 35-39 4,990 2,436 2,554 5,142 2,489 2,653 5,276 2,527 2,749 5,401 2,554 2,847 5,526 2,574 2,951 5,655 2,591 3,064 5,788 2,606 3,182 5,918 2,621 3,297 40-44 3,839 1,918 1,921 4,066 2,034 2,031 4,308 2,157 2,152 4,540 2,271 2,270 4,743 2,365 2,378 4,912 2,438 2,474 5,056 2,493 2,563 5,184 2,533 2,650 45-49 2,882 1,400 1,482 2,936 1,430 1,505 2,997 1,464 1,533 3,083 1,511 1,572 3,207 1,577 1,629 3,371 1,664 1,707 3,570 1,767 1,803 3,785 1,877 1,908 50-54 2,118 993 1,124 2,199 1,032 1,167 2,269 1,067 1,202 2,332 1,100 1,231 2,389 1,131 1,258 2,439 1,159 1,280 2,483 1,184 1,299 2,535 1,213 1,322 55-59 1,317 638 679 1,416 677 739 1,528 721 807 1,637 764 873 1,732 804 928 1,811 839 972 1,880 872 1,008 1,941 903 1,038 60-64 1,060 483 577 1,041 482 559 1,026 483 543 1,030 491 539 1,061 507 554 1,123 533 590 1,208 566 642 1,305 603 702 65-69 901 321 580 925 327 598 947 332 615 961 336 625 964 339 625 952 339 614 932 338 595 915 338 577 70-74 670 217 453 678 215 462 685 215 470 695 216 479 709 218 491 727 222 505 747 226 521 765 230 536 75-79 371 146 226 385 144 241 398 142 256 408 140 269 417 138 279 423 135 288 428 134 294 432 134 299 80+ 341 149 191 365 159 206 390 167 223 416 174 242 441 180 262 467 185 282 492 189 303 516 192 325

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Sinazongwe District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 127,053 62,123 64,930 129,894 63,552 66,342 144,293 70,753 73,540 159,333 78,199 81,134 175,066 85,908 89,158 0-4 22,022 11,010 11,011 22,241 11,113 11,127 23,307 11,620 11,687 24,706 12,289 12,417 26,206 12,990 13,215 5-9 20,739 10,327 10,412 21,011 10,470 10,540 22,186 11,052 11,134 23,274 11,552 11,722 24,683 12,193 12,490

10-14 17,451 8,805 8,647 18,130 9,146 8,984 20,204 10,233 9,971 21,343 10,802 10,541 22,385 11,271 11,114 15-19 14,017 6,970 7,047 14,306 7,127 7,179 17,236 8,587 8,649 19,246 9,619 9,627 20,340 10,140 10,200 20-24 11,877 5,882 5,995 11,976 5,936 6,040 12,636 6,351 6,286 15,273 7,657 7,616 17,070 8,562 8,508 25-29 9,994 5,119 4,874 10,347 5,340 5,007 11,255 5,838 5,418 11,915 6,254 5,661 14,460 7,548 6,911 30-34 6,942 3,097 3,845 7,158 3,238 3,920 8,891 4,317 4,574 9,743 4,754 4,989 10,367 5,113 5,254 35-39 6,037 2,639 3,398 6,141 2,661 3,481 6,787 3,023 3,764 8,527 4,092 4,435 9,417 4,537 4,880 40-44 5,307 2,564 2,743 5,436 2,589 2,846 6,087 2,708 3,379 6,792 3,111 3,681 8,630 4,258 4,372 45-49 3,992 1,979 2,013 4,175 2,065 2,110 4,820 2,281 2,539 5,432 2,399 3,033 6,094 2,770 3,324 50-54 2,610 1,254 1,356 2,719 1,312 1,407 3,577 1,742 1,835 4,164 1,940 2,224 4,727 2,052 2,675 55-59 1,996 932 1,064 2,048 961 1,087 2,347 1,130 1,217 3,117 1,520 1,596 3,650 1,707 1,943 60-64 1,399 640 759 1,481 674 806 1,754 813 941 2,017 964 1,053 2,687 1,306 1,381 65-69 917 343 573 944 354 589 1,329 473 856 1,567 571 996 1,788 677 1,111 70-74 776 232 544 777 234 543 754 246 508 1,059 330 729 1,235 398 837 75-79 438 134 304 447 135 311 485 145 340 468 151 317 649 202 447 80+ 539 194 345 559 195 364 639 196 443 690 193 496 680 185 495

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 167

Table B1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex,

RegionProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both

Sexes) 926,478 942,773 959,037 975,282 991,500 1,007,855 1,024,505 1,041,500 1,058,879 1,076,683 1,094,951 1,113,741 1,133,083 1,153,015 1,173,598 1,194,853 1,216,830 1,239,490 1,262,832 1,286,880 1,311,572 1,336,903 1,362,837 1,389,327 1,416,331 0-4 173,671 176,486 178,554 179,795 180,367 180,730 181,273 182,053 183,115 184,512 186,204 188,124 190,279 192,666 195,307 198,199 201,318 204,608 208,021 211,502 214,973 218,385 221,692 224,873 227,891 5-9 146,820 150,915 154,940 159,013 163,017 166,623 169,550 171,739 173,102 173,769 174,199 174,816 175,655 176,773 178,212 179,941 181,890 184,069 186,478 189,131 192,030 195,153 198,451 201,869 205,358

10-14 121,445 124,799 128,521 132,515 136,713 140,925 144,985 148,972 153,014 156,999 160,605 163,544 165,763 167,166 167,868 168,328 168,975 169,845 170,992 172,463 174,218 176,186 178,383 180,811 183,478 15-19 100,676 102,709 104,726 106,912 109,391 112,256 115,557 119,226 123,163 127,306 131,465 135,479 139,429 143,441 147,424 151,047 154,013 156,269 157,718 158,454 158,955 159,645 160,561 161,746 163,251 20-24 78,333 80,141 82,422 84,822 87,100 89,187 91,183 93,183 95,365 97,836 100,686 103,948 107,574 111,458 115,536 119,636 123,597 127,509 131,497 135,485 139,134 142,150 144,467 145,997 146,807 25-29 66,060 65,112 64,218 63,770 64,006 65,057 66,805 69,020 71,371 73,637 75,734 77,762 79,793 82,000 84,483 87,319 90,564 94,148 97,987 102,014 106,061 109,980 113,863 117,841 121,856 30-34 53,059 53,729 54,312 54,572 54,367 53,746 52,944 52,226 51,940 52,307 53,439 55,204 57,413 59,743 62,009 64,123 66,179 68,248 70,480 72,978 75,818 79,044 82,606 86,413 90,403 35-39 42,418 42,719 42,901 43,134 43,504 44,059 44,725 45,345 45,693 45,662 45,254 44,679 44,171 44,054 44,528 45,703 47,465 49,640 51,937 54,180 56,296 58,367 60,453 62,700 65,205 40-44 31,472 32,556 33,705 34,735 35,526 36,054 36,384 36,624 36,930 37,380 38,009 38,743 39,430 39,875 39,968 39,714 39,304 38,947 38,948 39,489 40,681 42,413 44,542 46,795 49,003 45-49 25,531 25,512 25,583 25,851 26,386 27,190 28,193 29,272 30,264 31,063 31,635 32,029 32,344 32,717 33,219 33,890 34,660 35,390 35,895 36,085 35,943 35,658 35,419 35,500 36,078 50-54 21,790 21,973 22,017 22,003 22,002 22,001 22,006 22,097 22,373 22,901 23,678 24,642 25,678 26,642 27,432 28,018 28,442 28,792 29,198 29,728 30,413 31,191 31,941 32,480 32,724 55-59 15,287 16,075 17,009 17,859 18,466 18,823 19,002 19,057 19,070 19,094 19,122 19,156 19,269 19,547 20,055 20,791 21,702 22,684 23,600 24,364 24,938 25,367 25,731 26,148 26,686 60-64 13,937 13,397 12,844 12,509 12,542 12,966 13,674 14,516 15,282 15,831 16,164 16,344 16,414 16,444 16,485 16,531 16,582 16,702 16,971 17,451 18,143 18,986 19,895 20,749 21,467 65-69 11,066 11,421 11,774 11,978 11,949 11,656 11,191 10,715 10,429 10,466 10,845 11,474 12,215 12,891 13,382 13,679 13,847 13,915 13,949 13,997 14,042 14,092 14,209 14,459 14,888 70-74 9,030 8,806 8,606 8,507 8,560 8,767 9,070 9,371 9,543 9,515 9,266 8,881 8,489 8,264 8,314 8,644 9,173 9,797 10,355 10,757 11,001 11,138 11,194 11,226 11,266 75-79 6,579 6,720 6,833 6,877 6,813 6,676 6,498 6,339 6,263 6,303 6,472 6,708 6,942 7,071 7,043 6,845 6,541 6,236 6,068 6,107 6,362 6,774 7,252 7,678 7,977 80+ 9,304 9,703 10,072 10,430 10,791 11,139 11,465 11,745 11,962 12,102 12,174 12,208 12,225 12,263 12,333 12,445 12,578 12,691 12,738 12,695 12,564 12,374 12,178 12,042 11,993

Total (Females) 479,957 488,331 496,663 504,958 513,220 521,539 529,999 538,632 547,457 556,492 565,751 575,273 585,071 595,162 605,578 616,338 627,458 638,932 650,752 662,931 675,442 688,279 701,428 714,865 728,565

0-4 85,734 87,139 88,184 88,827 89,110 89,294 89,570 89,962 90,492 91,191 92,037 92,995 94,070 95,260 96,574 98,013 99,566 101,203 102,900 104,633 106,358 108,057 109,702 111,286 112,790 5-9 72,744 74,762 76,742 78,740 80,739 82,541 84,012 85,126 85,839 86,176 86,396 86,713 87,139 87,700 88,426 89,295 90,273 91,368 92,578 93,905 95,356 96,919 98,572 100,280 102,026

10-14 60,483 62,041 63,816 65,754 67,818 69,901 71,909 73,876 75,865 77,858 79,663 81,141 82,269 83,001 83,350 83,583 83,910 84,352 84,924 85,664 86,548 87,537 88,640 89,859 91,196 15-19 51,125 51,822 52,599 53,512 54,584 55,871 57,411 59,167 61,082 63,126 65,187 67,176 69,131 71,109 73,105 74,921 76,416 77,559 78,312 78,679 78,929 79,280 79,743 80,337 81,095 20-24 42,962 43,328 43,820 44,379 44,970 45,594 46,286 47,066 47,991 49,070 50,365 51,897 53,642 55,544 57,566 59,609 61,580 63,530 65,509 67,518 69,356 70,880 72,059 72,854 73,263 25-29 36,871 36,762 36,569 36,431 36,441 36,643 37,012 37,517 38,101 38,732 39,398 40,135 40,953 41,908 43,012 44,317 45,857 47,597 49,491 51,503 53,534 55,500 57,451 59,439 61,474 30-34 28,376 29,200 30,001 30,619 30,948 31,016 30,938 30,807 30,745 30,842 31,126 31,559 32,124 32,758 33,439 34,154 34,939 35,796 36,784 37,916 39,240 40,789 42,534 44,427 46,433 35-39 22,255 22,592 22,880 23,238 23,732 24,387 25,151 25,915 26,526 26,902 27,041 27,052 27,008 27,029 27,193 27,534 28,013 28,619 29,290 30,005 30,754 31,570 32,455 33,466 34,617 40-44 16,406 17,032 17,744 18,424 19,002 19,438 19,762 20,056 20,425 20,929 21,588 22,346 23,104 23,725 24,130 24,317 24,387 24,403 24,482 24,695 25,074 25,582 26,211 26,907 27,639 45-49 13,957 13,859 13,798 13,857 14,082 14,497 15,076 15,739 16,386 16,948 17,389 17,729 18,041 18,421 18,925 19,576 20,320 21,068 21,691 22,119 22,336 22,445 22,507 22,623 22,863 50-54 12,383 12,470 12,465 12,414 12,365 12,303 12,220 12,176 12,249 12,476 12,879 13,435 14,071 14,694 15,237 15,671 16,011 16,327 16,706 17,202 17,839 18,561 19,293 19,907 20,335 55-59 8,647 9,143 9,741 10,284 10,657 10,857 10,944 10,943 10,908 10,876 10,832 10,770 10,748 10,828 11,050 11,438 11,967 12,571 13,163 13,687 14,107 14,441 14,753 15,126 15,612 60-64 8,328 7,924 7,496 7,212 7,186 7,436 7,884 8,433 8,928 9,268 9,457 9,545 9,554 9,530 9,511 9,481 9,437 9,425 9,509 9,721 10,093 10,589 11,152 11,707 12,200 65-69 6,465 6,766 7,056 7,229 7,220 7,012 6,657 6,284 6,037 6,022 6,250 6,655 7,143 7,585 7,895 8,064 8,147 8,158 8,142 8,130 8,106 8,068 8,065 8,149 8,346 70-74 5,026 4,974 4,923 4,927 5,019 5,209 5,467 5,714 5,861 5,849 5,668 5,371 5,057 4,857 4,855 5,061 5,407 5,827 6,198 6,457 6,598 6,667 6,675 6,663 6,651 75-79 3,352 3,489 3,631 3,738 3,785 3,780 3,734 3,691 3,695 3,767 3,920 4,122 4,317 4,427 4,413 4,265 4,028 3,783 3,634 3,636 3,802 4,078 4,405 4,692 4,889 80+ 4,843 5,028 5,198 5,373 5,562 5,760 5,966 6,160 6,327 6,460 6,555 6,632 6,700 6,786 6,897 7,039 7,200 7,346 7,439 7,461 7,412 7,316 7,211 7,143 7,136

Total (Males) 446,521 454,442 462,374 470,324 478,280 486,316 494,506 502,868 511,422 520,191 529,200 538,468 548,012 557,853 568,020 578,515 589,372 600,558 612,080 623,949 636,130 648,624 661,409 674,462 687,766 0-4 87,937 89,347 90,370 90,968 91,257 91,436 91,703 92,091 92,623 93,321 94,167 95,129 96,209 97,406 98,733 100,186 101,752 103,405 105,121 106,869 108,615 110,328 111,990 113,587 115,101 5-9 74,076 76,153 78,198 80,273 82,278 84,082 85,538 86,613 87,263 87,593 87,803 88,103 88,516 89,073 89,786 90,646 91,617 92,701 93,900 95,226 96,674 98,234 99,879 101,589 103,332

10-14 60,962 62,758 64,705 66,761 68,895 71,024 73,076 75,096 77,149 79,141 80,942 82,403 83,494 84,165 84,518 84,745 85,065 85,493 86,068 86,799 87,670 88,649 89,743 90,952 92,282 15-19 49,551 50,887 52,127 53,400 54,807 56,385 58,146 60,059 62,081 64,180 66,278 68,303 70,298 72,332 74,319 76,126 77,597 78,710 79,406 79,775 80,026 80,365 80,818 81,409 82,156 20-24 35,371 36,813 38,602 40,443 42,130 43,593 44,897 46,117 47,374 48,766 50,321 52,051 53,932 55,914 57,970 60,027 62,017 63,979 65,988 67,967 69,778 71,270 72,408 73,143 73,544 25-29 29,189 28,350 27,649 27,339 27,565 28,414 29,793 31,503 33,270 34,905 36,336 37,627 38,840 40,092 41,471 43,002 44,707 46,551 48,496 50,511 52,527 54,480 56,412 58,402 60,382 30-34 24,683 24,529 24,311 23,953 23,419 22,730 22,006 21,419 21,195 21,465 22,313 23,645 25,289 26,985 28,570 29,969 31,240 32,452 33,696 35,062 36,578 38,255 40,072 41,986 43,970 35-39 20,163 20,127 20,021 19,896 19,772 19,672 19,574 19,430 19,167 18,760 18,213 17,627 17,163 17,025 17,335 18,169 19,452 21,021 22,647 24,175 25,542 26,797 27,998 29,234 30,588 40-44 15,066 15,524 15,961 16,311 16,524 16,616 16,622 16,568 16,505 16,451 16,421 16,397 16,326 16,150 15,838 15,397 14,917 14,544 14,466 14,794 15,607 16,831 18,331 19,888 21,364 45-49 11,574 11,653 11,785 11,994 12,304 12,693 13,117 13,533 13,878 14,115 14,246 14,300 14,303 14,296 14,294 14,314 14,340 14,322 14,204 13,966 13,607 13,213 12,912 12,877 13,215 50-54 9,407 9,503 9,552 9,589 9,637 9,698 9,786 9,921 10,124 10,425 10,799 11,207 11,607 11,948 12,195 12,347 12,431 12,465 12,492 12,526 12,574 12,630 12,648 12,573 12,389 55-59 6,640 6,932 7,268 7,575 7,809 7,966 8,058 8,114 8,162 8,218 8,290 8,386 8,521 8,719 9,005 9,353 9,735 10,113 10,437 10,677 10,831 10,926 10,978 11,022 11,074 60-64 5,609 5,473 5,348 5,297 5,356 5,530 5,790 6,083 6,354 6,563 6,707 6,799 6,860 6,914 6,974 7,050 7,145 7,277 7,462 7,730 8,050 8,397 8,743 9,042 9,267 65-69 4,601 4,655 4,718 4,749 4,729 4,644 4,534 4,431 4,392 4,444 4,595 4,819 5,072 5,306 5,487 5,615 5,700 5,757 5,807 5,867 5,936 6,024 6,144 6,310 6,542 70-74 4,004 3,832 3,683 3,580 3,541 3,558 3,603 3,657 3,682 3,666 3,598 3,510 3,432 3,407 3,459 3,583 3,766 3,970 4,157 4,300 4,403 4,471 4,519 4,563 4,615 75-79 3,227 3,231 3,202 3,139 3,028 2,896 2,764 2,648 2,568 2,536 2,552 2,586 2,625 2,644 2,630 2,580 2,513 2,453 2,434 2,471 2,560 2,696 2,847 2,986 3,088 80+ 4,461 4,675 4,874 5,057 5,229 5,379 5,499 5,585 5,635 5,642 5,619 5,576 5,525 5,477 5,436 5,406 5,378 5,345 5,299 5,234 5,152 5,058 4,967 4,899 4,857

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168 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Total Projection Year

Vital Events and Rates 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 39,839 39,834 39,840 39,848 39,869 40,060 40,316 40,620 40,979 41,381 41,823 42,327 42,882 43,490 44,152 44,851 45,560 46,265 46,975 47,684 48,338 48,958 49,539 50,087 50,608Annual Number of Deaths 14,868 14,867 14,863 14,853 14,830 14,747 14,673 14,625 14,579 14,536 14,488 14,459 14,437 14,429 14,433 14,443 14,447 14,460 14,483 14,506 14,507 14,500 14,496 14,498 14,505Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 43.0 42.3 41.5 40.9 40.2 39.8 39.4 39.0 38.7 38.4 38.2 38.0 37.9 37.7 37.6 37.5 37.4 37.3 37.2 37.1 36.9 36.6 36.4 36.1 35.7 Crude Death Rate (CDR) 16.1 15.8 15.5 15.2 15.0 14.6 14.3 14.0 13.8 13.5 13.2 13.0 12.7 12.5 12.3 12.1 11.9 11.7 11.5 11.3 11.1 10.9 10.6 10.4 10.2 Growth Rate(%) 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes) 48.3 48.5 48.8 49.0 49.3 49.7 50.2 50.6 51.0 51.4 51.9 52.3 52.8 53.2 53.7 54.1 54.6 55.0 55.4 55.8 56.3 56.7 57.2 57.6 58.0 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males) 45.2 45.5 45.8 46.1 46.4 46.8 47.3 47.6 48.0 48.5 48.9 49.3 49.7 50.2 50.6 51.0 51.4 51.9 52.3 52.7 53.1 53.6 54.0 54.4 54.8 Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females) 51.5 51.7 51.9 52.1 52.3 52.8 53.2 53.7 54.1 54.5 55.0 55.5 55.9 56.4 56.8 57.3 57.8 58.2 58.7 59.1 59.6 60.1 60.5 61.0 61.4 Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes) 80.8 80.1 79.4 78.7 77.9 77.1 76.3 75.4 74.6 73.8 72.9 72.1 71.3 70.5 69.6 68.7 67.9 67.1 66.2 65.4 64.5 63.7 62.8 62.0 61.2 Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 86.7 86.0 85.2 84.5 83.7 83.0 82.2 81.5 80.8 80.0 79.2 78.5 77.7 77.0 76.2 75.4 74.7 73.9 73.1 72.4 71.5 70.8 70.0 69.2 68.5 Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 74.7 74.0 73.3 72.6 71.9 71.0 70.1 69.2 68.2 67.4 66.4 65.5 64.6 63.7 62.8 61.8 60.9 59.9 59.1 58.2 57.2 56.3 55.3 54.5 53.6 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & SexProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Both Sexes) 926,478 942,773 959,037 975,282 991,500 1,007,855 1,024,505 1,041,500 1,058,879 1,076,683 1,094,951 1,113,741 1,133,083 1,153,015 1,173,598 1,194,853 1,216,830 1,239,490 1,262,832 1,286,880 1,311,572 1,336,903 1,362,837 1,389,327 1,416,331

0 37,519 37,524 37,540 37,559 37,588 37,705 37,930 38,207 38,537 38,913 39,330 39,794 40,313 40,885 41,517 42,195 42,890 43,585 44,284 44,982 45,650 46,275 46,866 47,427 47,958 1 35,944 36,289 36,319 36,361 36,404 36,452 36,585 36,825 37,113 37,455 37,841 38,269 38,739 39,264 39,842 40,478 41,161 41,859 42,558 43,261 43,967 44,643 45,274 45,876 46,445 2 34,630 35,381 35,740 35,790 35,851 35,909 35,961 36,101 36,345 36,635 36,981 37,368 37,797 38,268 38,795 39,374 40,010 40,693 41,390 42,091 42,792 43,499 44,178 44,811 45,416 3 33,341 34,243 35,001 35,368 35,432 35,501 35,564 35,621 35,761 36,010 36,302 36,648 37,037 37,468 37,940 38,467 39,044 39,681 40,364 41,059 41,761 42,462 43,168 43,848 44,481 4 32,237 33,049 33,954 34,717 35,092 35,163 35,233 35,299 35,359 35,499 35,750 36,045 36,393 36,781 37,213 37,685 38,213 38,790 39,425 40,109 40,803 41,506 42,206 42,911 43,591 5 31,281 32,037 32,850 33,753 34,520 34,898 34,971 35,042 35,110 35,174 35,316 35,568 35,864 36,213 36,601 37,035 37,506 38,036 38,612 39,247 39,931 40,625 41,330 42,029 42,733 6 30,363 31,137 31,891 32,704 33,606 34,371 34,751 34,825 34,898 34,967 35,033 35,178 35,431 35,728 36,077 36,466 36,901 37,373 37,903 38,479 39,114 39,801 40,493 41,197 41,896 7 29,389 30,221 30,996 31,749 32,560 33,462 34,227 34,607 34,681 34,757 34,827 34,895 35,042 35,295 35,594 35,943 36,334 36,769 37,243 37,774 38,350 38,985 39,671 40,365 41,069 8 28,399 29,253 30,084 30,858 31,610 32,419 33,320 34,085 34,467 34,542 34,619 34,691 34,761 34,908 35,163 35,463 35,814 36,205 36,642 37,114 37,646 38,222 38,859 39,544 40,240 9 27,388 28,267 29,119 29,949 30,721 31,473 32,281 33,180 33,946 34,329 34,404 34,484 34,557 34,629 34,777 35,034 35,335 35,686 36,078 36,517 36,989 37,520 38,098 38,734 39,420

10 26,246 27,154 28,034 28,883 29,711 30,483 31,234 32,043 32,937 33,706 34,091 34,166 34,248 34,321 34,395 34,546 34,803 35,104 35,456 35,851 36,290 36,764 37,294 37,873 38,510 11 25,158 25,914 26,820 27,698 28,544 29,369 30,141 30,890 31,700 32,593 33,365 33,752 33,826 33,911 33,984 34,058 34,211 34,471 34,775 35,125 35,522 35,962 36,436 36,967 37,545 12 24,214 24,832 25,587 26,488 27,364 28,207 29,031 29,800 30,549 31,359 32,252 33,027 33,416 33,491 33,577 33,652 33,725 33,881 34,140 34,446 34,797 35,192 35,637 36,111 36,641 13 23,325 23,893 24,508 25,260 26,159 27,034 27,874 28,697 29,463 30,213 31,020 31,914 32,693 33,083 33,159 33,243 33,322 33,395 33,552 33,814 34,120 34,471 34,867 35,314 35,788 14 22,502 23,006 23,572 24,186 24,935 25,832 26,705 27,542 28,365 29,128 29,877 30,685 31,580 32,360 32,753 32,829 32,914 32,994 33,069 33,227 33,489 33,797 34,149 34,546 34,994 15 21,675 22,138 22,639 23,205 23,816 24,561 25,456 26,328 27,162 27,984 28,745 29,493 30,299 31,195 31,978 32,372 32,449 32,536 32,618 32,695 32,855 33,119 33,429 33,782 34,180 16 20,909 21,265 21,727 22,226 22,787 23,398 24,140 25,031 25,903 26,733 27,553 28,312 29,059 29,864 30,759 31,548 31,942 32,024 32,111 32,196 32,274 32,436 32,704 33,015 33,369 17 20,193 20,505 20,860 21,319 21,815 22,374 22,983 23,724 24,612 25,481 26,310 27,126 27,885 28,628 29,435 30,330 31,123 31,518 31,601 31,690 31,778 31,859 32,022 32,293 32,605 18 19,403 19,793 20,103 20,457 20,916 21,409 21,969 22,576 23,314 24,200 25,066 25,894 26,705 27,463 28,205 29,011 29,907 30,703 31,101 31,184 31,276 31,365 31,448 31,612 31,887 19 18,496 19,008 19,397 19,705 20,057 20,514 21,009 21,567 22,172 22,908 23,791 24,654 25,481 26,291 27,047 27,786 28,592 29,488 30,287 30,689 30,772 30,866 30,958 31,044 31,210 20 17,463 18,039 18,547 18,934 19,239 19,592 20,049 20,544 21,102 21,706 22,440 23,320 24,178 25,005 25,811 26,565 27,305 28,110 29,007 29,810 30,213 30,301 30,398 30,493 30,581 21 16,400 16,951 17,518 18,023 18,406 18,711 19,066 19,523 20,018 20,575 21,179 21,910 22,788 23,643 24,468 25,272 26,023 26,762 27,569 28,465 29,274 29,681 29,774 29,874 29,974 22 15,482 15,898 16,445 17,005 17,506 17,886 18,195 18,549 19,009 19,502 20,060 20,662 21,392 22,267 23,117 23,942 24,743 25,494 26,232 27,036 27,933 28,750 29,158 29,257 29,361 23 14,743 14,993 15,404 15,946 16,499 16,997 17,377 17,689 18,043 18,505 18,997 19,555 20,158 20,883 21,756 22,603 23,426 24,225 24,974 25,712 26,515 27,414 28,234 28,645 28,749 24 14,245 14,260 14,508 14,914 15,450 16,001 16,496 16,878 17,193 17,548 18,010 18,501 19,058 19,660 20,384 21,254 22,100 22,918 23,715 24,462 25,199 26,004 26,903 27,728 28,142 25 13,871 13,715 13,730 13,975 14,377 14,909 15,459 15,955 16,336 16,653 17,010 17,473 17,966 18,523 19,123 19,844 20,713 21,557 22,373 23,168 23,913 24,651 25,454 26,356 27,187 26 13,581 13,293 13,141 13,157 13,398 13,796 14,329 14,875 15,372 15,756 16,074 16,434 16,897 17,392 17,949 18,549 19,269 20,136 20,978 21,791 22,585 23,329 24,066 24,872 25,775 27 13,303 13,009 12,725 12,576 12,592 12,834 13,231 13,762 14,306 14,803 15,189 15,510 15,873 16,336 16,832 17,388 17,988 18,707 19,571 20,412 21,224 22,014 22,760 23,497 24,300 28 12,922 12,734 12,447 12,168 12,020 12,040 12,284 12,680 13,212 13,752 14,248 14,636 14,960 15,326 15,789 16,285 16,842 17,442 18,159 19,021 19,858 20,669 21,457 22,202 22,939 29 12,383 12,361 12,175 11,894 11,619 11,478 11,502 11,748 12,145 12,673 13,213 13,709 14,097 14,423 14,790 15,253 15,752 16,306 16,906 17,622 18,481 19,317 20,126 20,914 21,655 30 11,786 11,882 11,862 11,681 11,405 11,139 11,007 11,039 11,286 11,682 12,209 12,746 13,243 13,630 13,960 14,328 14,794 15,293 15,846 16,446 17,161 18,017 18,854 19,659 20,447 31 11,167 11,352 11,446 11,427 11,251 10,985 10,732 10,610 10,647 10,898 11,293 11,819 12,354 12,850 13,240 13,572 13,942 14,407 14,910 15,461 16,062 16,777 17,631 18,466 19,271 32 10,551 10,746 10,928 11,020 11,002 10,834 10,581 10,340 10,228 10,270 10,524 10,919 11,443 11,976 12,470 12,861 13,196 13,570 14,036 14,538 15,090 15,691 16,406 17,257 18,091

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 169

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & SexProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203533 10,004 10,142 10,333 10,513 10,603 10,588 10,432 10,193 9,961 9,860 9,908 10,163 10,557 11,080 11,610 12,104 12,497 12,833 13,208 13,676 14,178 14,730 15,331 16,048 16,895 34 9,551 9,607 9,743 9,931 10,106 10,200 10,192 10,044 9,818 9,597 9,505 9,557 9,816 10,207 10,729 11,258 11,750 12,145 12,480 12,857 13,327 13,829 14,384 14,983 15,699 35 9,202 9,193 9,248 9,385 9,570 9,745 9,845 9,843 9,705 9,489 9,277 9,192 9,250 9,510 9,900 10,418 10,945 11,436 11,832 12,168 12,548 13,017 13,519 14,073 14,672 36 8,892 8,883 8,876 8,932 9,068 9,252 9,431 9,536 9,541 9,413 9,205 9,002 8,924 8,985 9,248 9,635 10,150 10,674 11,163 11,560 11,897 12,277 12,747 13,247 13,802 37 8,532 8,580 8,571 8,568 8,623 8,762 8,946 9,129 9,237 9,249 9,128 8,932 8,738 8,666 8,730 8,992 9,379 9,890 10,411 10,899 11,295 11,634 12,015 12,486 12,985 38 8,133 8,227 8,276 8,269 8,267 8,323 8,467 8,653 8,838 8,952 8,968 8,855 8,667 8,482 8,415 8,483 8,746 9,131 9,639 10,157 10,645 11,040 11,379 11,760 12,232 39 7,659 7,836 7,930 7,980 7,976 7,977 8,036 8,184 8,372 8,559 8,676 8,698 8,592 8,411 8,235 8,175 8,245 8,509 8,892 9,396 9,911 10,399 10,793 11,134 11,514 40 7,176 7,408 7,582 7,675 7,724 7,724 7,733 7,794 7,943 8,134 8,322 8,442 8,469 8,372 8,199 8,028 7,975 8,046 8,310 8,694 9,195 9,705 10,191 10,586 10,927 41 6,690 6,970 7,198 7,369 7,461 7,511 7,517 7,530 7,596 7,746 7,937 8,128 8,249 8,280 8,191 8,025 7,862 7,814 7,888 8,151 8,532 9,031 9,540 10,021 10,416 42 6,212 6,495 6,770 6,994 7,162 7,255 7,307 7,319 7,336 7,405 7,557 7,748 7,942 8,066 8,099 8,015 7,859 7,701 7,659 7,735 7,997 8,379 8,873 9,380 9,859 43 5,829 6,027 6,306 6,574 6,795 6,961 7,057 7,113 7,128 7,149 7,222 7,377 7,567 7,762 7,889 7,926 7,847 7,699 7,546 7,511 7,590 7,849 8,229 8,721 9,225 44 5,565 5,656 5,849 6,123 6,384 6,603 6,770 6,868 6,927 6,946 6,971 7,048 7,203 7,395 7,590 7,720 7,761 7,687 7,545 7,398 7,367 7,449 7,709 8,087 8,576 45 5,394 5,402 5,491 5,680 5,948 6,206 6,425 6,591 6,692 6,754 6,776 6,805 6,883 7,040 7,233 7,428 7,560 7,605 7,536 7,402 7,258 7,233 7,317 7,575 7,951 46 5,256 5,237 5,245 5,333 5,520 5,783 6,038 6,257 6,424 6,527 6,590 6,617 6,648 6,729 6,885 7,079 7,277 7,410 7,457 7,395 7,265 7,125 7,105 7,190 7,448 47 5,104 5,102 5,085 5,093 5,179 5,364 5,626 5,879 6,096 6,262 6,368 6,432 6,463 6,497 6,579 6,738 6,930 7,129 7,264 7,315 7,256 7,133 6,995 6,980 7,067 48 4,962 4,955 4,952 4,937 4,946 5,031 5,214 5,473 5,725 5,941 6,108 6,216 6,281 6,313 6,351 6,434 6,596 6,787 6,986 7,124 7,175 7,123 7,006 6,872 6,858 49 4,815 4,816 4,810 4,808 4,793 4,806 4,890 5,072 5,327 5,579 5,793 5,959 6,069 6,138 6,171 6,211 6,297 6,459 6,652 6,849 6,989 7,044 6,996 6,883 6,754 50 4,660 4,672 4,675 4,670 4,668 4,654 4,668 4,753 4,934 5,187 5,435 5,648 5,813 5,924 5,993 6,031 6,071 6,158 6,321 6,513 6,712 6,851 6,909 6,864 6,755 51 4,535 4,522 4,535 4,538 4,533 4,531 4,521 4,535 4,620 4,799 5,047 5,294 5,505 5,669 5,781 5,849 5,890 5,931 6,019 6,181 6,372 6,569 6,711 6,770 6,727 52 4,414 4,399 4,388 4,400 4,404 4,400 4,398 4,391 4,405 4,491 4,669 4,913 5,158 5,367 5,530 5,642 5,710 5,752 5,794 5,883 6,045 6,235 6,432 6,573 6,635 53 4,227 4,281 4,268 4,257 4,268 4,275 4,270 4,272 4,265 4,281 4,366 4,542 4,783 5,025 5,232 5,394 5,507 5,576 5,618 5,661 5,751 5,913 6,104 6,297 6,441 54 3,954 4,099 4,151 4,138 4,129 4,141 4,149 4,146 4,149 4,143 4,161 4,245 4,419 4,657 4,896 5,102 5,264 5,375 5,446 5,490 5,533 5,623 5,785 5,976 6,166 55 3,631 3,838 3,980 4,032 4,019 4,011 4,025 4,034 4,032 4,036 4,031 4,049 4,134 4,306 4,539 4,776 4,979 5,139 5,251 5,324 5,368 5,413 5,502 5,663 5,854 56 3,276 3,528 3,731 3,871 3,922 3,910 3,902 3,916 3,927 3,928 3,930 3,928 3,946 4,030 4,200 4,431 4,665 4,865 5,023 5,136 5,206 5,254 5,299 5,388 5,548 57 2,956 3,181 3,429 3,626 3,765 3,815 3,805 3,797 3,813 3,822 3,825 3,827 3,828 3,847 3,930 4,097 4,324 4,556 4,753 4,910 5,023 5,092 5,141 5,187 5,276 58 2,743 2,867 3,088 3,331 3,524 3,660 3,709 3,701 3,695 3,711 3,722 3,727 3,729 3,731 3,750 3,831 3,998 4,222 4,451 4,644 4,801 4,913 4,982 5,033 5,080 59 2,681 2,661 2,781 2,999 3,236 3,427 3,561 3,609 3,603 3,597 3,614 3,625 3,632 3,633 3,636 3,656 3,736 3,902 4,122 4,350 4,540 4,695 4,807 4,877 4,928 60 2,716 2,593 2,572 2,691 2,903 3,135 3,321 3,454 3,502 3,496 3,491 3,509 3,520 3,529 3,530 3,533 3,554 3,634 3,796 4,012 4,237 4,425 4,578 4,688 4,759 61 2,795 2,617 2,500 2,477 2,594 2,802 3,028 3,209 3,339 3,387 3,382 3,379 3,396 3,406 3,417 3,418 3,423 3,445 3,522 3,681 3,892 4,113 4,298 4,450 4,559 62 2,853 2,696 2,522 2,408 2,387 2,499 2,703 2,925 3,101 3,227 3,276 3,271 3,269 3,287 3,297 3,310 3,311 3,314 3,336 3,414 3,572 3,777 3,994 4,176 4,327 63 2,842 2,751 2,598 2,430 2,318 2,299 2,409 2,607 2,824 2,995 3,120 3,169 3,164 3,161 3,181 3,191 3,205 3,207 3,212 3,234 3,310 3,464 3,666 3,878 4,056 64 2,731 2,740 2,652 2,503 2,340 2,231 2,213 2,321 2,516 2,726 2,895 3,016 3,065 3,061 3,060 3,079 3,089 3,102 3,105 3,110 3,132 3,207 3,359 3,557 3,766 65 2,549 2,636 2,646 2,561 2,416 2,257 2,150 2,135 2,241 2,428 2,634 2,798 2,917 2,964 2,960 2,962 2,979 2,992 3,003 3,007 3,011 3,034 3,108 3,256 3,448 66 2,347 2,462 2,546 2,556 2,474 2,333 2,179 2,076 2,060 2,162 2,346 2,548 2,707 2,822 2,868 2,863 2,864 2,882 2,893 2,906 2,909 2,912 2,936 3,006 3,152 67 2,172 2,264 2,379 2,460 2,469 2,390 2,252 2,103 2,002 1,987 2,088 2,266 2,461 2,616 2,729 2,773 2,770 2,771 2,788 2,798 2,810 2,815 2,817 2,840 2,908 68 2,038 2,095 2,184 2,296 2,375 2,384 2,308 2,173 2,030 1,932 1,915 2,015 2,187 2,378 2,528 2,638 2,683 2,676 2,679 2,696 2,705 2,716 2,722 2,724 2,746 69 1,960 1,964 2,019 2,105 2,215 2,292 2,302 2,228 2,096 1,957 1,862 1,847 1,943 2,111 2,297 2,443 2,551 2,594 2,586 2,590 2,607 2,615 2,626 2,633 2,634 70 1,908 1,870 1,874 1,927 2,010 2,116 2,191 2,201 2,129 2,003 1,870 1,779 1,764 1,857 2,018 2,197 2,337 2,441 2,483 2,477 2,479 2,496 2,504 2,515 2,521 71 1,863 1,798 1,762 1,767 1,818 1,897 1,999 2,071 2,082 2,013 1,891 1,765 1,678 1,663 1,754 1,908 2,079 2,214 2,312 2,351 2,346 2,348 2,365 2,372 2,383 72 1,827 1,756 1,695 1,661 1,666 1,715 1,790 1,888 1,958 1,967 1,902 1,787 1,665 1,581 1,569 1,656 1,802 1,967 2,095 2,190 2,227 2,223 2,225 2,242 2,247 73 1,762 1,723 1,653 1,596 1,563 1,567 1,616 1,689 1,783 1,850 1,858 1,796 1,687 1,572 1,492 1,478 1,563 1,702 1,858 1,983 2,074 2,109 2,104 2,106 2,123 74 1,670 1,659 1,622 1,556 1,503 1,472 1,474 1,522 1,591 1,682 1,745 1,754 1,695 1,591 1,481 1,405 1,392 1,473 1,607 1,756 1,875 1,962 1,996 1,991 1,992 75 1,553 1,572 1,562 1,527 1,464 1,413 1,384 1,386 1,431 1,498 1,585 1,644 1,653 1,598 1,498 1,393 1,320 1,308 1,384 1,511 1,652 1,766 1,847 1,880 1,875 76 1,427 1,463 1,481 1,471 1,438 1,378 1,328 1,300 1,303 1,345 1,407 1,489 1,546 1,554 1,500 1,405 1,306 1,238 1,226 1,297 1,416 1,548 1,655 1,732 1,762 77 1,297 1,345 1,377 1,396 1,385 1,351 1,296 1,245 1,221 1,221 1,263 1,321 1,397 1,450 1,457 1,407 1,318 1,222 1,158 1,147 1,214 1,326 1,450 1,550 1,621 78 1,190 1,221 1,266 1,294 1,311 1,301 1,269 1,218 1,167 1,145 1,144 1,184 1,238 1,310 1,360 1,366 1,317 1,235 1,145 1,082 1,071 1,135 1,240 1,357 1,452 79 1,112 1,119 1,147 1,189 1,215 1,233 1,221 1,190 1,141 1,094 1,073 1,070 1,108 1,159 1,228 1,274 1,280 1,233 1,155 1,070 1,009 999 1,060 1,159 1,267

80+ 9,304 9,703 10,072 10,430 10,791 11,139 11,465 11,745 11,962 12,102 12,174 12,208 12,225 12,263 12,333 12,445 12,578 12,691 12,738 12,695 12,564 12,374 12,178 12,042 11,993

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170 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & SexProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035Total (Males) 446,521 454,442 462,374 470,324 478,280 486,316 494,506 502,868 511,422 520,191 529,200 538,468 548,012 557,853 568,020 578,515 589,372 600,558 612,080 623,949 636,130 648,624 661,409 674,462 687,766

0 19,048 19,051 19,059 19,069 19,084 19,143 19,255 19,394 19,559 19,748 19,958 20,192 20,454 20,743 21,063 21,406 21,756 22,107 22,461 22,813 23,151 23,466 23,764 24,047 24,315 1 18,185 18,365 18,380 18,401 18,422 18,447 18,514 18,633 18,778 18,950 19,143 19,358 19,594 19,857 20,148 20,468 20,812 21,163 21,514 21,869 22,224 22,564 22,881 23,184 23,469 2 17,537 17,885 18,071 18,096 18,126 18,153 18,180 18,250 18,371 18,516 18,689 18,882 19,097 19,334 19,597 19,888 20,208 20,551 20,901 21,252 21,605 21,960 22,301 22,618 22,922 3 16,869 17,331 17,682 17,871 17,902 17,935 17,964 17,994 18,064 18,186 18,333 18,505 18,699 18,914 19,152 19,414 19,703 20,023 20,365 20,714 21,065 21,417 21,771 22,113 22,429 4 16,298 16,715 17,178 17,531 17,723 17,758 17,790 17,820 17,851 17,921 18,044 18,192 18,365 18,558 18,773 19,010 19,273 19,561 19,880 20,221 20,570 20,921 21,273 21,625 21,966 5 15,802 16,190 16,607 17,068 17,423 17,616 17,652 17,685 17,715 17,748 17,819 17,943 18,091 18,264 18,456 18,672 18,909 19,173 19,460 19,779 20,120 20,468 20,819 21,171 21,522 6 15,327 15,720 16,107 16,524 16,984 17,337 17,531 17,568 17,602 17,632 17,667 17,738 17,863 18,012 18,185 18,378 18,594 18,831 19,095 19,381 19,700 20,043 20,389 20,740 21,092 7 14,828 15,248 15,640 16,026 16,441 16,901 17,255 17,448 17,485 17,521 17,551 17,587 17,659 17,784 17,933 18,107 18,301 18,516 18,754 19,020 19,305 19,624 19,966 20,313 20,664 8 14,320 14,750 15,170 15,562 15,947 16,360 16,819 17,173 17,368 17,404 17,442 17,471 17,509 17,581 17,707 17,857 18,031 18,225 18,441 18,678 18,945 19,229 19,549 19,890 20,238 9 13,799 14,245 14,674 15,093 15,483 15,868 16,281 16,739 17,093 17,288 17,324 17,364 17,394 17,432 17,505 17,632 17,782 17,956 18,150 18,368 18,604 18,870 19,156 19,475 19,816

10 13,216 13,679 14,124 14,552 14,969 15,360 15,743 16,157 16,612 16,967 17,164 17,200 17,241 17,271 17,311 17,385 17,512 17,662 17,837 18,032 18,250 18,488 18,752 19,039 19,358 11 12,656 13,051 13,514 13,957 14,383 14,798 15,189 15,572 15,985 16,440 16,796 16,995 17,030 17,074 17,103 17,143 17,219 17,347 17,499 17,674 17,869 18,087 18,326 18,591 18,877 12 12,160 12,495 12,889 13,349 13,791 14,215 14,630 15,019 15,402 15,815 16,269 16,627 16,827 16,863 16,908 16,939 16,978 17,056 17,184 17,336 17,512 17,706 17,927 18,166 18,430 13 11,688 12,001 12,335 12,727 13,186 13,628 14,049 14,464 14,851 15,234 15,646 16,101 16,461 16,661 16,699 16,743 16,775 16,815 16,894 17,023 17,176 17,351 17,546 17,768 18,007 14 11,242 11,532 11,843 12,176 12,566 13,023 13,465 13,884 14,299 14,685 15,067 15,480 15,935 16,296 16,497 16,535 16,581 16,613 16,654 16,734 16,863 17,017 17,192 17,388 17,610 15 10,788 11,061 11,350 11,660 11,992 12,379 12,834 13,276 13,694 14,108 14,493 14,874 15,285 15,740 16,104 16,305 16,343 16,390 16,424 16,465 16,547 16,676 16,832 17,007 17,204 16 10,369 10,583 10,855 11,143 11,450 11,782 12,167 12,620 13,061 13,477 13,890 14,273 14,654 15,064 15,518 15,885 16,086 16,127 16,173 16,209 16,250 16,333 16,463 16,619 16,795 17 9,973 10,167 10,381 10,651 10,937 11,243 11,573 11,957 12,409 12,848 13,262 13,674 14,057 14,435 14,846 15,299 15,668 15,869 15,912 15,957 15,995 16,037 16,121 16,253 16,408 18 9,500 9,773 9,966 10,179 10,449 10,733 11,040 11,369 11,751 12,201 12,639 13,051 13,460 13,843 14,220 14,630 15,084 15,454 15,656 15,699 15,745 15,784 15,826 15,911 16,044 19 8,921 9,303 9,575 9,767 9,979 10,248 10,532 10,837 11,166 11,546 11,994 12,431 12,842 13,250 13,631 14,007 14,416 14,870 15,241 15,445 15,489 15,535 15,576 15,619 15,705 20 8,240 8,685 9,063 9,335 9,525 9,737 10,005 10,289 10,593 10,921 11,299 11,746 12,180 12,590 12,997 13,375 13,752 14,160 14,613 14,987 15,191 15,237 15,285 15,327 15,371 21 7,531 7,969 8,408 8,783 9,053 9,242 9,455 9,722 10,005 10,308 10,636 11,011 11,457 11,889 12,297 12,702 13,078 13,454 13,862 14,315 14,691 14,897 14,946 14,995 15,039 22 6,930 7,267 7,703 8,135 8,507 8,775 8,966 9,177 9,444 9,726 10,029 10,355 10,729 11,173 11,602 12,009 12,413 12,787 13,162 13,568 14,022 14,402 14,608 14,660 14,710 23 6,468 6,675 7,007 7,439 7,867 8,236 8,502 8,694 8,905 9,172 9,452 9,755 10,081 10,452 10,894 11,321 11,727 12,129 12,502 12,876 13,281 13,735 14,116 14,324 14,378 24 6,202 6,217 6,421 6,751 7,178 7,603 7,969 8,235 8,427 8,639 8,905 9,184 9,485 9,810 10,180 10,620 11,047 11,449 11,849 12,221 12,593 12,999 13,453 13,837 14,046 25 6,052 5,926 5,941 6,143 6,469 6,892 7,314 7,678 7,943 8,135 8,346 8,612 8,892 9,192 9,516 9,884 10,322 10,747 11,149 11,546 11,916 12,289 12,693 13,148 13,535 26 5,959 5,747 5,625 5,641 5,841 6,162 6,583 7,001 7,362 7,627 7,819 8,031 8,296 8,576 8,875 9,198 9,565 10,002 10,425 10,825 11,221 11,590 11,962 12,366 12,822 27 5,871 5,657 5,448 5,329 5,346 5,545 5,863 6,279 6,694 7,053 7,317 7,511 7,722 7,987 8,268 8,565 8,887 9,253 9,688 10,110 10,509 10,902 11,271 11,643 12,045 28 5,748 5,570 5,360 5,156 5,039 5,058 5,256 5,570 5,985 6,394 6,751 7,015 7,210 7,421 7,685 7,965 8,262 8,584 8,948 9,381 9,801 10,199 10,591 10,958 11,329 29 5,559 5,450 5,275 5,070 4,870 4,757 4,777 4,975 5,286 5,696 6,103 6,458 6,720 6,916 7,127 7,390 7,671 7,965 8,286 8,649 9,080 9,500 9,895 10,287 10,651 30 5,349 5,292 5,187 5,017 4,816 4,622 4,513 4,536 4,733 5,041 5,448 5,850 6,204 6,464 6,660 6,871 7,135 7,415 7,708 8,029 8,390 8,819 9,239 9,631 10,023 31 5,139 5,116 5,061 4,959 4,794 4,600 4,413 4,310 4,334 4,531 4,836 5,239 5,637 5,987 6,248 6,444 6,655 6,918 7,199 7,490 7,811 8,172 8,599 9,017 9,409 32 4,927 4,910 4,890 4,836 4,738 4,579 4,392 4,212 4,114 4,140 4,336 4,638 5,037 5,432 5,778 6,038 6,235 6,447 6,710 6,989 7,281 7,600 7,960 8,386 8,803 33 4,727 4,703 4,687 4,670 4,617 4,523 4,372 4,191 4,017 3,924 3,953 4,147 4,446 4,842 5,232 5,576 5,835 6,033 6,244 6,507 6,786 7,076 7,395 7,756 8,179 34 4,541 4,508 4,486 4,471 4,454 4,406 4,316 4,170 3,997 3,829 3,740 3,771 3,965 4,260 4,652 5,040 5,380 5,639 5,835 6,047 6,310 6,588 6,879 7,196 7,556 35 4,378 4,337 4,305 4,286 4,272 4,257 4,215 4,129 3,989 3,822 3,660 3,575 3,609 3,801 4,094 4,480 4,865 5,203 5,461 5,657 5,871 6,132 6,410 6,699 7,016 36 4,224 4,189 4,151 4,121 4,103 4,092 4,080 4,043 3,962 3,829 3,668 3,511 3,430 3,466 3,658 3,948 4,330 4,711 5,046 5,303 5,499 5,712 5,974 6,250 6,539 37 4,053 4,040 4,006 3,971 3,942 3,927 3,918 3,909 3,877 3,801 3,673 3,519 3,369 3,292 3,328 3,518 3,806 4,183 4,561 4,893 5,149 5,346 5,558 5,820 6,096 38 3,864 3,872 3,861 3,829 3,796 3,768 3,758 3,753 3,745 3,718 3,646 3,524 3,374 3,231 3,157 3,195 3,384 3,669 4,042 4,416 4,747 5,001 5,198 5,409 5,671 39 3,644 3,689 3,698 3,689 3,659 3,628 3,603 3,596 3,594 3,590 3,566 3,498 3,381 3,235 3,098 3,028 3,067 3,255 3,537 3,906 4,276 4,606 4,858 5,056 5,266 40 3,431 3,502 3,547 3,557 3,548 3,521 3,495 3,472 3,467 3,468 3,466 3,445 3,381 3,270 3,129 2,995 2,929 2,968 3,155 3,435 3,800 4,166 4,493 4,744 4,941 41 3,215 3,321 3,392 3,437 3,447 3,440 3,417 3,393 3,374 3,371 3,373 3,374 3,355 3,294 3,188 3,051 2,922 2,859 2,899 3,083 3,360 3,722 4,085 4,408 4,658 42 2,986 3,112 3,216 3,286 3,331 3,343 3,337 3,317 3,296 3,280 3,279 3,283 3,287 3,271 3,212 3,108 2,978 2,851 2,792 2,832 3,015 3,290 3,647 4,007 4,327 43 2,793 2,888 3,013 3,114 3,183 3,228 3,242 3,240 3,221 3,203 3,189 3,192 3,196 3,201 3,189 3,132 3,032 2,907 2,782 2,727 2,768 2,948 3,220 3,575 3,932 44 2,641 2,701 2,793 2,917 3,015 3,084 3,131 3,146 3,147 3,129 3,114 3,103 3,107 3,114 3,120 3,111 3,056 2,959 2,838 2,717 2,664 2,705 2,886 3,154 3,506 45 2,522 2,550 2,609 2,699 2,819 2,917 2,987 3,034 3,050 3,054 3,039 3,026 3,017 3,023 3,032 3,039 3,032 2,981 2,888 2,771 2,652 2,603 2,644 2,824 3,088 46 2,413 2,429 2,457 2,515 2,604 2,722 2,818 2,889 2,938 2,956 2,961 2,949 2,939 2,931 2,938 2,949 2,959 2,954 2,906 2,817 2,704 2,588 2,543 2,583 2,763 47 2,308 2,324 2,341 2,368 2,425 2,513 2,630 2,726 2,796 2,845 2,865 2,872 2,862 2,855 2,849 2,859 2,870 2,882 2,879 2,834 2,748 2,640 2,526 2,484 2,525 48 2,211 2,222 2,238 2,255 2,283 2,338 2,425 2,541 2,637 2,707 2,758 2,779 2,788 2,779 2,774 2,770 2,783 2,795 2,807 2,807 2,764 2,683 2,578 2,467 2,427 49 2,120 2,128 2,140 2,157 2,173 2,203 2,257 2,343 2,457 2,553 2,623 2,674 2,697 2,708 2,701 2,697 2,696 2,710 2,724 2,737 2,739 2,699 2,621 2,519 2,412 50 2,039 2,045 2,053 2,066 2,082 2,098 2,129 2,184 2,269 2,382 2,477 2,546 2,597 2,621 2,633 2,629 2,626 2,626 2,641 2,656 2,670 2,673 2,636 2,560 2,461 51 1,970 1,972 1,978 1,987 2,000 2,015 2,033 2,064 2,117 2,202 2,312 2,407 2,475 2,526 2,552 2,563 2,561 2,558 2,560 2,576 2,591 2,605 2,610 2,574 2,501 52 1,898 1,904 1,907 1,913 1,922 1,936 1,951 1,969 2,000 2,054 2,138 2,246 2,339 2,408 2,458 2,485 2,495 2,494 2,492 2,496 2,512 2,528 2,543 2,548 2,515 53 1,809 1,835 1,841 1,844 1,850 1,860 1,873 1,890 1,907 1,939 1,992 2,075 2,182 2,273 2,342 2,392 2,420 2,431 2,430 2,429 2,433 2,451 2,468 2,482 2,489 54 1,691 1,747 1,773 1,779 1,783 1,789 1,800 1,814 1,831 1,848 1,880 1,933 2,014 2,120 2,210 2,278 2,329 2,356 2,369 2,369 2,368 2,373 2,391 2,409 2,423 55 1,560 1,635 1,689 1,715 1,721 1,726 1,733 1,744 1,758 1,775 1,793 1,825 1,878 1,958 2,061 2,149 2,216 2,267 2,295 2,309 2,310 2,309 2,315 2,334 2,352 56 1,421 1,508 1,582 1,634 1,660 1,666 1,670 1,679 1,691 1,706 1,721 1,741 1,771 1,824 1,903 2,006 2,092 2,158 2,208 2,237 2,250 2,253 2,253 2,259 2,279 57 1,297 1,374 1,459 1,531 1,582 1,608 1,615 1,619 1,628 1,639 1,655 1,670 1,691 1,721 1,773 1,850 1,952 2,037 2,101 2,152 2,181 2,193 2,197 2,198 2,205 58 1,204 1,252 1,328 1,411 1,482 1,531 1,557 1,564 1,569 1,578 1,590 1,607 1,621 1,643 1,672 1,723 1,800 1,900 1,983 2,046 2,097 2,127 2,139 2,144 2,145

Page 184: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 171

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & SexProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203559 1,158 1,163 1,210 1,284 1,364 1,435 1,483 1,508 1,516 1,520 1,531 1,543 1,560 1,573 1,596 1,625 1,675 1,751 1,850 1,933 1,993 2,044 2,074 2,087 2,093 60 1,142 1,116 1,120 1,166 1,238 1,316 1,384 1,432 1,457 1,465 1,469 1,481 1,492 1,511 1,523 1,546 1,575 1,624 1,698 1,795 1,877 1,937 1,987 2,016 2,030 61 1,140 1,096 1,073 1,076 1,121 1,191 1,267 1,332 1,379 1,404 1,413 1,417 1,429 1,439 1,458 1,470 1,494 1,523 1,570 1,643 1,736 1,817 1,875 1,926 1,955 62 1,136 1,096 1,053 1,031 1,035 1,078 1,146 1,220 1,283 1,328 1,354 1,362 1,367 1,379 1,389 1,409 1,420 1,443 1,472 1,519 1,591 1,682 1,761 1,818 1,868 63 1,117 1,092 1,053 1,012 990 995 1,037 1,102 1,174 1,236 1,280 1,306 1,313 1,319 1,331 1,341 1,361 1,373 1,396 1,424 1,470 1,540 1,629 1,705 1,762 64 1,074 1,073 1,049 1,012 972 950 956 997 1,061 1,130 1,191 1,233 1,259 1,266 1,273 1,284 1,295 1,314 1,326 1,349 1,376 1,421 1,491 1,577 1,652 65 1,019 1,034 1,033 1,010 975 936 915 921 962 1,022 1,090 1,148 1,190 1,215 1,221 1,230 1,240 1,252 1,269 1,282 1,303 1,332 1,375 1,443 1,526 66 959 984 998 998 976 941 904 884 889 928 987 1,054 1,110 1,149 1,174 1,180 1,188 1,198 1,209 1,227 1,240 1,259 1,288 1,328 1,395 67 907 925 951 963 963 942 909 872 853 858 896 953 1,017 1,072 1,110 1,134 1,140 1,148 1,158 1,169 1,185 1,199 1,217 1,244 1,284 68 868 875 892 918 929 929 909 877 842 824 828 865 920 981 1,035 1,072 1,096 1,100 1,109 1,118 1,128 1,144 1,159 1,175 1,202 69 848 837 844 860 886 896 897 877 846 812 794 799 835 889 947 999 1,036 1,059 1,062 1,071 1,080 1,090 1,105 1,120 1,135 70 831 806 796 801 817 842 853 853 834 804 773 756 760 795 846 901 951 986 1,008 1,012 1,020 1,029 1,039 1,054 1,068 71 814 776 752 743 748 763 787 797 798 780 751 723 706 710 744 793 845 892 925 945 950 957 966 975 990 72 806 760 724 702 693 698 712 735 745 745 729 702 675 659 664 695 741 791 835 868 887 892 899 907 916 73 790 753 708 675 654 645 651 665 686 696 696 680 656 631 616 619 650 694 740 783 813 831 836 843 851 74 763 737 703 659 629 610 600 607 619 641 649 649 635 612 589 575 579 607 649 692 733 762 779 784 790 75 731 716 691 660 618 589 570 562 568 580 601 608 608 595 573 551 538 541 567 608 647 687 713 730 734 76 692 690 675 651 622 582 554 535 528 533 545 564 571 571 558 537 516 504 506 531 568 605 642 667 682 77 643 653 650 637 614 585 548 520 503 495 501 511 529 535 534 523 503 482 471 472 497 531 565 600 622 78 600 607 615 612 598 577 550 515 487 471 464 469 479 495 501 500 488 470 451 439 440 463 496 527 560 79 561 565 571 579 576 563 542 516 482 457 441 434 438 448 464 469 468 456 439 421 408 410 431 462 490

80+ 4,461 4,675 4,874 5,057 5,229 5,379 5,499 5,585 5,635 5,642 5,619 5,576 5,525 5,477 5,436 5,406 5,378 5,345 5,299 5,234 5,152 5,058 4,967 4,899 4,857

Total (Females) 479,957 488,331 496,663 504,958 513,220 521,539 529,999 538,632 547,457 556,492 565,751 575,273 585,071 595,162 605,578 616,338 627,458 638,932 650,752 662,931 675,442 688,279 701,428 714,865 728,565 0 18,471 18,473 18,481 18,490 18,504 18,562 18,675 18,813 18,978 19,165 19,372 19,602 19,859 20,142 20,454 20,789 21,134 21,478 21,823 22,169 22,499 22,809 23,102 23,380 23,643 1 17,759 17,924 17,939 17,960 17,982 18,005 18,071 18,192 18,335 18,505 18,698 18,911 19,145 19,407 19,694 20,010 20,349 20,696 21,044 21,392 21,743 22,079 22,393 22,692 22,976 2 17,093 17,496 17,669 17,694 17,725 17,756 17,781 17,851 17,974 18,119 18,292 18,486 18,700 18,934 19,198 19,486 19,802 20,142 20,489 20,839 21,187 21,539 21,877 22,193 22,494 3 16,472 16,912 17,319 17,497 17,530 17,566 17,600 17,627 17,697 17,824 17,969 18,143 18,338 18,554 18,788 19,053 19,341 19,658 19,999 20,345 20,696 21,045 21,397 21,735 22,052 4 15,939 16,334 16,776 17,186 17,369 17,405 17,443 17,479 17,508 17,578 17,706 17,853 18,028 18,223 18,440 18,675 18,940 19,229 19,545 19,888 20,233 20,585 20,933 21,286 21,625 5 15,479 15,847 16,243 16,685 17,097 17,282 17,319 17,357 17,395 17,426 17,497 17,625 17,773 17,949 18,145 18,363 18,597 18,863 19,152 19,468 19,811 20,157 20,511 20,858 21,211 6 15,036 15,417 15,784 16,180 16,622 17,034 17,220 17,257 17,296 17,335 17,366 17,440 17,568 17,716 17,892 18,088 18,307 18,542 18,808 19,098 19,414 19,758 20,104 20,457 20,804 7 14,561 14,973 15,356 15,723 16,119 16,561 16,972 17,159 17,196 17,236 17,276 17,308 17,383 17,511 17,661 17,836 18,033 18,253 18,489 18,754 19,045 19,361 19,705 20,052 20,405 8 14,079 14,503 14,914 15,296 15,663 16,059 16,501 16,912 17,099 17,138 17,177 17,220 17,252 17,327 17,456 17,606 17,783 17,980 18,201 18,436 18,701 18,993 19,310 19,654 20,002 9 13,589 14,022 14,445 14,856 15,238 15,605 16,000 16,441 16,853 17,041 17,080 17,120 17,163 17,197 17,272 17,402 17,553 17,730 17,928 18,149 18,385 18,650 18,942 19,259 19,604

10 13,030 13,475 13,910 14,331 14,742 15,123 15,491 15,886 16,325 16,739 16,927 16,966 17,007 17,050 17,084 17,161 17,291 17,442 17,619 17,819 18,040 18,276 18,542 18,834 19,152 11 12,502 12,863 13,306 13,741 14,161 14,571 14,952 15,318 15,715 16,153 16,569 16,757 16,796 16,837 16,881 16,915 16,992 17,124 17,276 17,451 17,653 17,875 18,110 18,376 18,668 12 12,054 12,337 12,698 13,139 13,573 13,992 14,401 14,781 15,147 15,544 15,983 16,400 16,589 16,628 16,669 16,713 16,747 16,825 16,956 17,110 17,285 17,486 17,710 17,945 18,211 13 11,637 11,892 12,173 12,533 12,973 13,406 13,825 14,233 14,612 14,979 15,374 15,813 16,232 16,422 16,460 16,500 16,547 16,580 16,658 16,791 16,944 17,120 17,321 17,546 17,781 14 11,260 11,474 11,729 12,010 12,369 12,809 13,240 13,658 14,066 14,443 14,810 15,205 15,645 16,064 16,256 16,294 16,333 16,381 16,415 16,493 16,626 16,780 16,957 17,158 17,384 15 10,887 11,077 11,289 11,545 11,824 12,182 12,622 13,052 13,468 13,876 14,252 14,619 15,014 15,455 15,874 16,067 16,106 16,146 16,194 16,230 16,308 16,443 16,597 16,775 16,976 16 10,540 10,682 10,872 11,083 11,337 11,616 11,973 12,411 12,842 13,256 13,663 14,039 14,405 14,800 15,241 15,663 15,856 15,897 15,938 15,987 16,024 16,103 16,241 16,396 16,574 17 10,220 10,338 10,479 10,668 10,878 11,131 11,410 11,767 12,203 12,633 13,048 13,452 13,828 14,193 14,589 15,031 15,455 15,649 15,689 15,733 15,783 15,822 15,901 16,040 16,197 18 9,903 10,020 10,137 10,278 10,467 10,676 10,929 11,207 11,563 11,999 12,427 12,843 13,245 13,620 13,985 14,381 14,823 15,249 15,445 15,485 15,531 15,581 15,622 15,701 15,843 19 9,575 9,705 9,822 9,938 10,078 10,266 10,477 10,730 11,006 11,362 11,797 12,223 12,639 13,041 13,416 13,779 14,176 14,618 15,046 15,244 15,283 15,331 15,382 15,425 15,505 20 9,223 9,354 9,484 9,599 9,714 9,855 10,044 10,255 10,509 10,785 11,141 11,574 11,998 12,415 12,814 13,190 13,553 13,950 14,394 14,823 15,022 15,064 15,113 15,166 15,210 21 8,869 8,982 9,110 9,240 9,353 9,469 9,611 9,801 10,013 10,267 10,543 10,899 11,331 11,754 12,171 12,570 12,945 13,308 13,707 14,150 14,583 14,784 14,828 14,879 14,935 22 8,552 8,631 8,742 8,870 8,999 9,111 9,229 9,372 9,565 9,776 10,031 10,307 10,663 11,094 11,515 11,933 12,330 12,707 13,070 13,468 13,911 14,348 14,550 14,597 14,651 23 8,275 8,318 8,397 8,507 8,632 8,761 8,875 8,995 9,138 9,333 9,545 9,800 10,077 10,431 10,862 11,282 11,699 12,096 12,472 12,836 13,234 13,679 14,118 14,321 14,371 24 8,043 8,043 8,087 8,163 8,272 8,398 8,527 8,643 8,766 8,909 9,105 9,317 9,573 9,850 10,204 10,634 11,053 11,469 11,866 12,241 12,606 13,005 13,450 13,891 14,096 25 7,819 7,789 7,789 7,832 7,908 8,017 8,145 8,277 8,393 8,518 8,664 8,861 9,074 9,331 9,607 9,960 10,391 10,810 11,224 11,622 11,997 12,362 12,761 13,208 13,652 26 7,622 7,546 7,516 7,516 7,557 7,634 7,746 7,874 8,010 8,129 8,255 8,403 8,601 8,816 9,074 9,351 9,704 10,134 10,553 10,966 11,364 11,739 12,104 12,506 12,953 27 7,432 7,352 7,277 7,247 7,246 7,289 7,368 7,483 7,612 7,750 7,872 7,999 8,151 8,349 8,564 8,823 9,101 9,454 9,883 10,302 10,715 11,112 11,489 11,854 12,255 28 7,174 7,164 7,087 7,012 6,981 6,982 7,028 7,110 7,227 7,358 7,497 7,621 7,750 7,905 8,104 8,320 8,580 8,858 9,211 9,640 10,057 10,470 10,866 11,244 11,610 29 6,824 6,911 6,900 6,824 6,749 6,721 6,725 6,773 6,859 6,977 7,110 7,251 7,377 7,507 7,663 7,863 8,081 8,341 8,620 8,973 9,401 9,817 10,231 10,627 11,004 30 6,437 6,590 6,675 6,664 6,589 6,517 6,494 6,503 6,553 6,641 6,761 6,896 7,039 7,166 7,300 7,457 7,659 7,878 8,138 8,417 8,771 9,198 9,615 10,028 10,424 31 6,028 6,236 6,385 6,468 6,457 6,385 6,319 6,300 6,313 6,367 6,457 6,580 6,717 6,863 6,992 7,128 7,287 7,489 7,711 7,971 8,251 8,605 9,032 9,449 9,862 32 5,624 5,836 6,038 6,184 6,264 6,255 6,189 6,128 6,114 6,130 6,188 6,281 6,406 6,544 6,692 6,823 6,961 7,123 7,326 7,549 7,809 8,091 8,446 8,871 9,288 33 5,277 5,439 5,646 5,843 5,986 6,065 6,060 6,002 5,944 5,936 5,955 6,016 6,111 6,238 6,378 6,528 6,662 6,800 6,964 7,169 7,392 7,654 7,936 8,292 8,716 34 5,010 5,099 5,257 5,460 5,652 5,794 5,876 5,874 5,821 5,768 5,765 5,786 5,851 5,947 6,077 6,218 6,370 6,506 6,645 6,810 7,017 7,241 7,505 7,787 8,143 35 4,824 4,856 4,943 5,099 5,298 5,488 5,630 5,714 5,716 5,667 5,617 5,617 5,641 5,709 5,806 5,938 6,080 6,233 6,371 6,511 6,677 6,885 7,109 7,374 7,656

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172 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table B3: Total Population by Sex and Age (Single Age) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age (Single

Years) & SexProjection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 203536 4,668 4,694 4,725 4,811 4,965 5,160 5,351 5,493 5,579 5,584 5,537 5,491 5,494 5,519 5,590 5,687 5,820 5,963 6,117 6,257 6,398 6,565 6,773 6,997 7,263 37 4,479 4,540 4,565 4,597 4,681 4,835 5,028 5,220 5,360 5,448 5,455 5,413 5,369 5,374 5,402 5,474 5,573 5,707 5,850 6,006 6,146 6,288 6,457 6,666 6,889 38 4,269 4,355 4,415 4,440 4,471 4,555 4,709 4,900 5,093 5,234 5,322 5,331 5,293 5,251 5,258 5,288 5,362 5,462 5,597 5,741 5,898 6,039 6,181 6,351 6,561 39 4,015 4,147 4,232 4,291 4,317 4,349 4,433 4,588 4,778 4,969 5,110 5,200 5,211 5,176 5,137 5,147 5,178 5,254 5,355 5,490 5,635 5,793 5,935 6,078 6,248 40 3,745 3,906 4,035 4,118 4,176 4,203 4,238 4,322 4,476 4,666 4,856 4,997 5,088 5,102 5,070 5,033 5,046 5,078 5,155 5,259 5,395 5,539 5,698 5,842 5,986 41 3,475 3,649 3,806 3,932 4,014 4,071 4,100 4,137 4,222 4,375 4,564 4,754 4,894 4,986 5,003 4,974 4,940 4,955 4,989 5,068 5,172 5,309 5,455 5,613 5,758 42 3,226 3,383 3,554 3,708 3,831 3,912 3,970 4,002 4,040 4,125 4,278 4,465 4,655 4,795 4,887 4,907 4,881 4,850 4,867 4,903 4,982 5,089 5,226 5,373 5,532 43 3,036 3,139 3,293 3,460 3,612 3,733 3,815 3,873 3,907 3,946 4,033 4,185 4,371 4,561 4,700 4,794 4,815 4,792 4,764 4,784 4,822 4,901 5,009 5,146 5,293 44 2,924 2,955 3,056 3,206 3,369 3,519 3,639 3,722 3,780 3,817 3,857 3,945 4,096 4,281 4,470 4,609 4,705 4,728 4,707 4,681 4,703 4,744 4,823 4,933 5,070 45 2,872 2,852 2,882 2,981 3,129 3,289 3,438 3,557 3,642 3,700 3,737 3,779 3,866 4,017 4,201 4,389 4,528 4,624 4,648 4,631 4,606 4,630 4,673 4,751 4,863 46 2,843 2,808 2,788 2,818 2,916 3,061 3,220 3,368 3,486 3,571 3,629 3,668 3,709 3,798 3,947 4,130 4,318 4,456 4,551 4,578 4,561 4,537 4,562 4,607 4,685 47 2,796 2,778 2,744 2,725 2,754 2,851 2,996 3,153 3,300 3,417 3,503 3,560 3,601 3,642 3,730 3,879 4,060 4,247 4,385 4,481 4,508 4,493 4,469 4,496 4,542 48 2,751 2,733 2,714 2,682 2,663 2,693 2,789 2,932 3,088 3,234 3,350 3,437 3,493 3,534 3,577 3,664 3,813 3,992 4,179 4,317 4,411 4,440 4,428 4,405 4,431 49 2,695 2,688 2,670 2,651 2,620 2,603 2,633 2,729 2,870 3,026 3,170 3,285 3,372 3,430 3,470 3,514 3,601 3,749 3,928 4,112 4,250 4,345 4,375 4,364 4,342 50 2,621 2,627 2,622 2,604 2,586 2,556 2,539 2,569 2,665 2,805 2,958 3,102 3,216 3,303 3,360 3,402 3,445 3,532 3,680 3,857 4,042 4,178 4,273 4,304 4,294 51 2,565 2,550 2,557 2,551 2,533 2,516 2,488 2,471 2,503 2,597 2,735 2,887 3,030 3,143 3,229 3,286 3,329 3,373 3,459 3,605 3,781 3,964 4,101 4,196 4,226 52 2,516 2,495 2,481 2,487 2,482 2,464 2,447 2,422 2,405 2,437 2,531 2,667 2,819 2,959 3,072 3,157 3,215 3,258 3,302 3,387 3,533 3,707 3,889 4,025 4,120 53 2,418 2,446 2,427 2,413 2,418 2,415 2,397 2,382 2,358 2,342 2,374 2,467 2,601 2,752 2,890 3,002 3,087 3,145 3,188 3,232 3,318 3,462 3,636 3,815 3,952 54 2,263 2,352 2,378 2,359 2,346 2,352 2,349 2,332 2,318 2,295 2,281 2,312 2,405 2,537 2,686 2,824 2,935 3,019 3,077 3,121 3,165 3,250 3,394 3,567 3,743 55 2,071 2,203 2,291 2,317 2,298 2,285 2,292 2,290 2,274 2,261 2,238 2,224 2,256 2,348 2,478 2,627 2,763 2,872 2,956 3,015 3,058 3,104 3,187 3,329 3,502 56 1,855 2,020 2,149 2,237 2,262 2,244 2,232 2,237 2,236 2,222 2,209 2,187 2,175 2,206 2,297 2,425 2,573 2,707 2,815 2,899 2,956 3,001 3,046 3,129 3,269 57 1,659 1,807 1,970 2,095 2,183 2,207 2,190 2,178 2,185 2,183 2,170 2,157 2,137 2,126 2,157 2,247 2,372 2,519 2,652 2,758 2,842 2,899 2,944 2,989 3,071 58 1,539 1,615 1,760 1,920 2,042 2,129 2,152 2,137 2,126 2,133 2,132 2,120 2,108 2,088 2,078 2,108 2,198 2,322 2,468 2,598 2,704 2,786 2,843 2,889 2,935 59 1,523 1,498 1,571 1,715 1,872 1,992 2,078 2,101 2,087 2,077 2,083 2,082 2,072 2,060 2,040 2,031 2,061 2,151 2,272 2,417 2,547 2,651 2,733 2,790 2,835 60 1,574 1,477 1,452 1,525 1,665 1,819 1,937 2,022 2,045 2,031 2,022 2,028 2,028 2,018 2,007 1,987 1,979 2,010 2,098 2,217 2,360 2,488 2,591 2,672 2,729 61 1,655 1,521 1,427 1,401 1,473 1,611 1,761 1,877 1,960 1,983 1,969 1,962 1,967 1,967 1,959 1,948 1,929 1,922 1,952 2,038 2,156 2,296 2,423 2,524 2,604 62 1,717 1,600 1,469 1,377 1,352 1,421 1,557 1,705 1,818 1,899 1,922 1,909 1,902 1,908 1,908 1,901 1,891 1,871 1,864 1,895 1,981 2,095 2,233 2,358 2,459 63 1,725 1,659 1,545 1,418 1,328 1,304 1,372 1,505 1,650 1,759 1,840 1,863 1,851 1,842 1,850 1,850 1,844 1,834 1,816 1,810 1,840 1,924 2,037 2,173 2,294 64 1,657 1,667 1,603 1,491 1,368 1,281 1,257 1,324 1,455 1,596 1,704 1,783 1,806 1,795 1,787 1,795 1,794 1,788 1,779 1,761 1,756 1,786 1,868 1,980 2,114 65 1,530 1,602 1,613 1,551 1,441 1,321 1,235 1,214 1,279 1,406 1,544 1,650 1,727 1,749 1,739 1,732 1,739 1,740 1,734 1,725 1,708 1,702 1,733 1,813 1,922 66 1,388 1,478 1,548 1,558 1,498 1,392 1,275 1,192 1,171 1,234 1,359 1,494 1,597 1,673 1,694 1,683 1,676 1,684 1,684 1,679 1,669 1,653 1,648 1,678 1,757 67 1,265 1,339 1,428 1,497 1,506 1,448 1,343 1,231 1,149 1,129 1,192 1,313 1,444 1,544 1,619 1,639 1,630 1,623 1,630 1,629 1,625 1,616 1,600 1,596 1,624 68 1,170 1,220 1,292 1,378 1,446 1,455 1,399 1,296 1,188 1,108 1,087 1,150 1,267 1,397 1,493 1,566 1,587 1,576 1,570 1,578 1,577 1,572 1,563 1,549 1,544 69 1,112 1,127 1,175 1,245 1,329 1,396 1,405 1,351 1,250 1,145 1,068 1,048 1,108 1,222 1,350 1,444 1,515 1,535 1,524 1,519 1,527 1,525 1,521 1,513 1,499 70 1,077 1,064 1,078 1,126 1,193 1,274 1,338 1,348 1,295 1,199 1,097 1,023 1,004 1,062 1,172 1,296 1,386 1,455 1,475 1,465 1,459 1,467 1,465 1,461 1,453 71 1,049 1,022 1,010 1,024 1,070 1,134 1,212 1,274 1,284 1,233 1,140 1,042 972 953 1,010 1,115 1,234 1,322 1,387 1,406 1,396 1,391 1,399 1,397 1,393 72 1,021 996 971 959 973 1,017 1,078 1,153 1,213 1,222 1,173 1,085 990 922 905 961 1,061 1,176 1,260 1,322 1,340 1,331 1,326 1,335 1,331 73 972 970 945 921 909 922 965 1,024 1,097 1,154 1,162 1,116 1,031 941 876 859 913 1,008 1,118 1,200 1,261 1,278 1,268 1,263 1,272 74 907 922 919 897 874 862 874 915 972 1,041 1,096 1,105 1,060 979 892 830 813 866 958 1,064 1,142 1,200 1,217 1,207 1,202 75 822 856 871 867 846 824 814 824 863 918 984 1,036 1,045 1,003 925 842 782 767 817 903 1,005 1,079 1,134 1,150 1,141 76 735 773 806 820 816 796 774 765 775 812 862 925 975 983 942 868 790 734 720 766 848 943 1,013 1,065 1,080 77 654 692 727 759 771 766 748 725 718 726 762 810 868 915 923 884 815 740 687 675 717 795 885 950 999 78 590 614 651 682 713 724 719 703 680 674 680 715 759 815 859 866 829 765 694 643 631 672 744 830 892 79 551 554 576 610 639 670 679 674 659 637 632 636 670 711 764 805 812 777 716 649 601 589 629 697 777

80+ 4,843 5,028 5,198 5,373 5,562 5,760 5,966 6,160 6,327 6,460 6,555 6,632 6,700 6,786 6,897 7,039 7,200 7,346 7,439 7,461 7,412 7,316 7,211 7,143 7,136

Table B4: Percent Annual Rate of Population Growth (Geometric) 2011-2020, by District, WESTERN PROVINCE, Zambia (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION) District Projected Annual Population Growth Rate, 2011-2020 (Geometric)

Kalabo 1.0 Kaoma 1.4 Lukulu 2.1 Mongu 0.9 Senanga 1.3 Sesheke 2.2 Shang'ombo 2.6 Western Province 1.5

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 173

Table C1: Total Population by Sex , District of Residence and Year of Projection (Single Years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Sex &

District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 926,478 942,773 959,037 975,282 991,500 1,007,855 1,024,505 1,041,500 1,058,879 1,076,683 1,094,951 1,113,741 1,133,083 1,153,015 1,173,598 1,194,853 1,216,830 1,239,490 1,262,832 1,286,880 1,311,572 1,336,903 1,362,837 1,389,327 1,416,331 Kalabo 131,758 133,373 134,958 136,515 138,043 139,564 141,100 142,658 144,241 145,854 147,502 149,192 150,926 152,708 154,545 156,437 158,391 160,400 162,462 164,577 166,738 168,942 171,183 173,453 175,747 Kaoma 194,016 197,125 200,210 203,274 206,316 209,369 212,466 215,615 218,825 222,105 225,458 228,900 232,432 236,064 239,806 243,661 247,639 251,729 255,930 260,248 264,667 269,184 273,792 278,481 283,241 Lukulu 88,629 90,744 92,877 95,027 97,192 99,391 101,638 103,939 106,299 108,721 111,213 113,776 116,420 119,146 121,962 124,873 127,882 130,990 134,196 137,503 140,905 144,405 147,998 151,682 155,449 Mongu 183,414 185,427 187,391 189,312 191,186 193,043 194,916 196,811 198,737 200,697 202,698 204,750 206,856 209,020 211,254 213,556 215,933 218,376 220,883 223,457 226,083 228,758 231,476 234,222 236,993 Senanga 129,616 131,632 133,632 135,615 137,582 139,555 141,554 143,588 145,657 147,773 149,936 152,154 154,432 156,772 159,182 161,667 164,231 166,866 169,573 172,354 175,199 178,107 181,071 184,088 187,147 Sesheke 102,506 105,070 107,656 110,268 112,903 115,583 118,325 121,135 124,020 126,982 130,030 133,172 136,410 139,755 143,212 146,784 150,482 154,301 158,244 162,313 166,505 170,819 175,253 179,799 184,456 Shang'ombo 96,539 99,402 102,313 105,271 108,278 111,350 114,506 117,754 121,100 124,551 128,114 131,797 135,607 139,550 143,637 147,875 152,272 156,828 161,544 166,428 171,475 176,688 182,064 187,602 193,298

Total (Males) 446,521 454,442 462,374 470,324 478,280 486,316 494,506 502,868 511,422 520,191 529,200 538,468 548,012 557,853 568,020 578,515 589,372 600,558 612,080 623,949 636,130 648,624 661,409 674,462 687,766 Kalabo 61,693 62,463 63,222 63,972 64,710 65,447 66,192 66,948 67,716 68,499 69,300 70,122 70,965 71,831 72,725 73,644 74,594 75,569 76,569 77,594 78,640 79,707 80,790 81,886 82,993 Kaoma 94,572 96,163 97,750 99,333 100,912 102,500 104,114 105,755 107,430 109,143 110,897 112,697 114,545 116,447 118,407 120,425 122,508 124,648 126,846 129,106 131,417 133,779 136,189 138,641 141,131 Lukulu 42,795 43,786 44,786 45,796 46,813 47,846 48,902 49,983 51,091 52,227 53,397 54,600 55,840 57,120 58,440 59,805 61,216 62,671 64,172 65,718 67,308 68,942 70,617 72,332 74,084 Mongu 88,074 88,960 89,825 90,672 91,497 92,314 93,137 93,970 94,815 95,676 96,556 97,458 98,385 99,337 100,322 101,336 102,383 103,459 104,561 105,692 106,843 108,014 109,201 110,397 111,600 Senanga 62,171 63,168 64,162 65,152 66,137 67,127 68,132 69,155 70,196 71,261 72,351 73,469 74,618 75,799 77,015 78,268 79,562 80,890 82,254 83,655 85,088 86,552 88,043 89,560 91,099 Sesheke 50,602 51,819 53,047 54,287 55,539 56,812 58,114 59,446 60,814 62,218 63,663 65,151 66,684 68,267 69,904 71,593 73,341 75,144 77,005 78,923 80,897 82,926 85,009 87,141 89,322 Shang'ombo 46,614 48,083 49,582 51,112 52,672 54,270 55,915 57,611 59,360 61,167 63,036 64,971 66,975 69,052 71,207 73,444 75,768 78,177 80,673 83,261 85,937 88,704 91,560 94,505 97,537

Total (Females) 479,957 488,331 496,663 504,958 513,220 521,539 529,999 538,632 547,457 556,492 565,751 575,273 585,071 595,162 605,578 616,338 627,458 638,932 650,752 662,931 675,442 688,279 701,428 714,865 728,565 Kalabo 70,065 70,910 71,736 72,543 73,333 74,117 74,908 75,710 76,525 77,355 78,202 79,070 79,961 80,877 81,820 82,793 83,797 84,831 85,893 86,983 88,098 89,235 90,393 91,567 92,754 Kaoma 99,444 100,962 102,460 103,941 105,404 106,869 108,352 109,860 111,395 112,962 114,561 116,203 117,887 119,617 121,399 123,236 125,131 127,081 129,084 131,142 133,250 135,405 137,603 139,840 142,110 Lukulu 45,834 46,958 48,091 49,231 50,379 51,545 52,736 53,956 55,208 56,494 57,816 59,176 60,580 62,026 63,522 65,068 66,666 68,319 70,024 71,785 73,597 75,463 77,381 79,350 81,365 Mongu 95,340 96,467 97,566 98,640 99,689 100,729 101,779 102,841 103,922 105,021 106,142 107,292 108,471 109,683 110,932 112,220 113,550 114,917 116,322 117,765 119,240 120,744 122,275 123,825 125,393 Senanga 67,445 68,464 69,470 70,463 71,445 72,428 73,422 74,433 75,461 76,512 77,585 78,685 79,814 80,973 82,167 83,399 84,669 85,976 87,319 88,699 90,111 91,555 93,028 94,528 96,048 Sesheke 51,904 53,251 54,609 55,981 57,364 58,771 60,211 61,689 63,206 64,764 66,367 68,021 69,726 71,488 73,308 75,191 77,141 79,157 81,239 83,390 85,608 87,893 90,244 92,658 95,134 Shang'ombo 49,925 51,319 52,731 54,159 55,606 57,080 58,591 60,143 61,740 63,384 65,078 66,826 68,632 70,498 72,430 74,431 76,504 78,651 80,871 83,167 85,538 87,984 90,504 93,097 95,761

Table C2: Vital Events and Rates by District and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital Events,

Rates & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Life Expectancy at Birth (Males)Kalabo 45.8 46.2 46.4 46.7 47.1 47.5 47.9 48.2 48.6 49.1 49.5 49.9 50.3 50.7 51.2 51.5 52.0 52.4 52.8 53.2 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.3Kaoma 47.4 47.7 48.0 48.3 48.6 49.0 49.4 49.7 50.1 50.5 50.9 51.3 51.7 52.1 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5Lukulu 54.8 55.0 55.2 55.5 55.7 56.0 56.3 56.6 56.9 57.2 57.5 57.9 58.2 58.5 58.8 59.1 59.4 59.8 60.1 60.4 60.7 61.0 61.3 61.6 61.9Mongu 42.2 42.6 42.9 43.2 43.6 44.0 44.5 44.9 45.3 45.8 46.2 46.7 47.2 47.6 48.1 48.5 49.0 49.5 49.9 50.4 50.8 51.3 51.7 52.2 52.6Senanga 43.8 44.1 44.4 44.7 45.1 45.5 45.9 46.3 46.7 47.2 47.6 48.1 48.5 48.9 49.4 49.8 50.3 50.7 51.1 51.6 52.0 52.5 52.9 53.3 53.7Sesheke 51.4 51.7 51.9 52.2 52.4 52.8 53.1 53.4 53.8 54.1 54.5 54.8 55.2 55.6 55.9 56.2 56.6 57.0 57.3 57.7 58.0 58.4 58.7 59.1 59.4Shang'ombo 51.6 51.9 52.1 52.3 52.6 53.0 53.3 53.6 54.0 54.3 54.6 55.0 55.4 55.7 56.1 56.4 56.8 57.1 57.5 57.8 58.2 58.5 58.9 59.2 59.5Life Expectancy at Birth (Females)Kalabo 54.3 54.4 54.6 54.8 55.0 55.4 55.9 56.3 56.7 57.1 57.5 57.9 58.4 58.8 59.2 59.6 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.3 61.7 62.2 62.6 63.0 63.4Kaoma 52.2 52.4 52.6 52.8 53.0 53.5 53.9 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.7 56.1 56.6 57.0 57.5 57.9 58.4 58.8 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.6 61.1 61.5 61.9Lukulu 58.6 58.7 58.9 59.1 59.2 59.6 60.0 60.3 60.7 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.2 62.5 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.0 64.4 64.7 65.1 65.5 65.9 66.2 66.6Mongu 48.3 48.5 48.7 48.9 49.2 49.7 50.2 50.6 51.1 51.6 52.1 52.6 53.1 53.6 54.1 54.6 55.1 55.6 56.1 56.6 57.1 57.6 58.1 58.6 59.0Senanga 49.7 49.9 50.1 50.4 50.6 51.1 51.6 52.0 52.5 52.9 53.4 53.9 54.4 54.9 55.3 55.8 56.3 56.8 57.3 57.7 58.2 58.7 59.2 59.7 60.1Sesheke 57.5 57.6 57.8 58.0 58.2 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.0 60.4 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.3 62.7 63.1 63.5 63.9 64.2 64.7 65.0 65.4 65.8Shang'ombo 58.1 58.3 58.4 58.6 58.8 59.2 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.6 61.0 61.4 61.8 62.1 62.5 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.0 64.4 64.7 65.1 65.5 65.9 66.2Total Fertility Rate (TFR)Kalabo 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 Kaoma 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 Lukulu 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 Mongu 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 Senanga 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 Sesheke 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 Shang'ombo 6.2 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7

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174 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KALABO, DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kalabo District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 131,758 61,693 70,065 133,373 62,463 70,910 134,958 63,222 71,736 136,515 63,972 72,543 138,043 64,710 73,333 139,564 65,447 74,117 141,100 66,192 74,908 142,658 66,948 75,710 0-4 25,202 12,725 12,477 25,468 12,854 12,614 25,624 12,927 12,697 25,659 12,938 12,721 25,596 12,905 12,691 25,503 12,856 12,646 25,434 12,820 12,614 25,398 12,801 12,597 5-9 20,910 10,444 10,467 21,375 10,675 10,700 21,824 10,899 10,925 22,274 11,124 11,149 22,708 11,337 11,370 23,080 11,520 11,560 23,353 11,653 11,699 23,520 11,733 11,787

10-14 17,052 8,566 8,486 17,429 8,770 8,659 17,852 8,992 8,860 18,308 9,227 9,081 18,785 9,469 9,316 19,258 9,708 9,550 19,704 9,934 9,770 20,134 10,153 9,981 15-19 14,173 6,957 7,216 14,384 7,107 7,277 14,590 7,241 7,349 14,817 7,378 7,438 15,081 7,533 7,548 15,393 7,709 7,685 15,762 7,908 7,854 16,175 8,125 8,050 20-24 11,034 4,795 6,239 11,224 4,964 6,260 11,476 5,177 6,299 11,741 5,395 6,346 11,986 5,590 6,396 12,204 5,753 6,450 12,407 5,894 6,513 12,608 6,022 6,586 25-29 8,900 3,719 5,181 8,731 3,592 5,139 8,569 3,484 5,086 8,466 3,426 5,040 8,450 3,435 5,015 8,536 3,521 5,015 8,710 3,672 5,038 8,940 3,861 5,079 30-34 7,097 3,043 4,055 7,159 3,007 4,152 7,209 2,965 4,244 7,215 2,906 4,310 7,159 2,826 4,333 7,048 2,728 4,320 6,914 2,627 4,286 6,789 2,544 4,245 35-39 5,709 2,484 3,224 5,724 2,467 3,257 5,723 2,441 3,282 5,730 2,414 3,317 5,756 2,386 3,370 5,807 2,362 3,445 5,873 2,338 3,534 5,932 2,309 3,623 40-44 4,396 1,888 2,509 4,526 1,934 2,592 4,665 1,978 2,687 4,787 2,011 2,776 4,875 2,026 2,848 4,925 2,027 2,899 4,948 2,017 2,932 4,959 1,999 2,960 45-49 3,693 1,499 2,194 3,668 1,501 2,168 3,657 1,509 2,147 3,673 1,528 2,146 3,728 1,558 2,169 3,820 1,599 2,221 3,941 1,643 2,298 4,072 1,686 2,386 50-54 3,563 1,422 2,141 3,575 1,429 2,146 3,563 1,429 2,135 3,542 1,426 2,116 3,523 1,425 2,097 3,503 1,427 2,076 3,484 1,432 2,052 3,478 1,444 2,034 55-59 2,177 901 1,276 2,279 936 1,343 2,400 976 1,424 2,508 1,012 1,496 2,581 1,038 1,543 2,618 1,054 1,564 2,629 1,060 1,569 2,623 1,062 1,561 60-64 2,191 836 1,355 2,095 812 1,283 1,997 789 1,208 1,933 777 1,156 1,928 782 1,146 1,983 803 1,180 2,081 836 1,244 2,198 874 1,324 65-69 1,655 663 992 1,700 667 1,033 1,745 673 1,072 1,766 674 1,093 1,753 667 1,086 1,701 652 1,049 1,624 633 991 1,546 616 930 70-74 1,442 588 855 1,401 559 842 1,364 535 829 1,343 517 826 1,346 509 837 1,373 508 864 1,415 512 902 1,455 517 938 75-79 1,020 480 540 1,038 478 560 1,051 471 580 1,053 459 594 1,039 441 598 1,014 419 594 982 398 584 954 379 574 80+ 1,541 682 859 1,598 711 887 1,650 737 913 1,700 761 939 1,750 783 967 1,798 801 997 1,842 815 1,027 1,878 823 1,055

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kalabo District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 144,241 67,716 76,525 145,854 68,499 77,355 154,545 72,725 81,820 164,577 77,594 86,983 175,747 82,993 92,754 0-4 25,400 12,802 12,598 25,446 12,824 12,622 26,163 13,188 12,976 27,512 13,879 13,633 28,768 14,529 14,240 5-9 23,572 11,754 11,818 23,528 11,731 11,796 23,442 11,690 11,752 24,162 12,058 12,105 25,465 12,719 12,745

10-14 20,565 10,373 10,192 20,984 10,583 10,401 21,814 10,999 10,815 21,783 10,997 10,786 22,511 11,378 11,134 15-19 16,619 8,354 8,265 17,086 8,591 8,495 19,255 9,692 9,563 20,135 10,139 9,996 20,170 10,173 9,997 20-24 12,831 6,153 6,678 13,091 6,301 6,790 15,036 7,295 7,740 17,148 8,335 8,813 18,060 8,785 9,276 25-29 9,184 4,055 5,129 9,416 4,231 5,185 10,485 4,891 5,594 12,301 5,799 6,502 14,271 6,745 7,526 30-34 6,717 2,504 4,213 6,726 2,523 4,204 7,703 3,271 4,432 8,794 3,913 4,881 10,583 4,782 5,802 35-39 5,955 2,266 3,688 5,927 2,207 3,720 5,647 1,989 3,658 6,628 2,706 3,923 7,734 3,339 4,394 40-44 4,979 1,981 2,998 5,020 1,964 3,056 5,269 1,842 3,427 5,086 1,677 3,409 6,064 2,359 3,705 45-49 4,190 1,720 2,470 4,281 1,740 2,541 4,474 1,715 2,759 4,764 1,631 3,133 4,645 1,502 3,143 50-54 3,501 1,465 2,036 3,564 1,501 2,063 4,163 1,708 2,454 4,405 1,708 2,696 4,744 1,644 3,099 55-59 2,611 1,063 1,548 2,600 1,065 1,535 2,657 1,137 1,519 3,147 1,315 1,832 3,361 1,330 2,031 60-64 2,302 908 1,394 2,373 933 1,440 2,403 966 1,438 2,471 1,043 1,428 2,959 1,218 1,741 65-69 1,496 607 889 1,493 611 882 1,860 735 1,125 1,892 766 1,125 1,954 833 1,122 70-74 1,475 518 957 1,463 513 950 1,239 472 768 1,564 571 993 1,591 598 993 75-79 938 366 572 939 360 580 1,024 363 661 862 333 529 1,097 405 691 80+ 1,904 826 1,078 1,918 823 1,095 1,911 772 1,139 1,923 724 1,199 1,770 655 1,115

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 175

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, KAOMA DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Kaoma District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 194,016 94,572 99,444 197,125 96,163 100,962 200,210 97,750 102,460 203,274 99,333 103,941 206,316 100,912 105,404 209,369 102,500 106,869 212,466 104,114 108,352 215,615 105,755 109,860 0-4 36,069 18,383 17,687 36,590 18,657 17,933 36,953 18,849 18,104 37,143 18,952 18,191 37,193 18,990 18,203 37,199 19,004 18,194 37,240 19,036 18,204 37,329 19,092 18,237 5-9 30,673 15,498 15,175 31,475 15,916 15,560 32,258 16,325 15,933 33,047 16,739 16,308 33,818 17,138 16,680 34,503 17,493 17,010 35,045 17,775 17,270 35,430 17,976 17,455

10-14 25,802 12,898 12,904 26,472 13,267 13,206 27,218 13,666 13,552 28,018 14,087 13,931 28,857 14,523 14,334 29,696 14,957 14,738 30,499 15,374 15,125 31,284 15,782 15,501 15-19 21,461 10,666 10,795 21,865 10,946 10,919 22,264 11,205 11,059 22,696 11,470 11,226 23,188 11,763 11,425 23,761 12,092 11,668 24,423 12,460 11,963 25,160 12,859 12,301 20-24 15,885 7,302 8,583 16,232 7,595 8,637 16,673 7,958 8,715 17,137 8,331 8,806 17,575 8,671 8,903 17,971 8,965 9,006 18,347 9,226 9,121 18,721 9,468 9,253 25-29 13,613 5,937 7,676 13,397 5,761 7,636 13,192 5,613 7,579 13,078 5,545 7,533 13,103 5,585 7,517 13,293 5,752 7,541 13,624 6,024 7,599 14,048 6,363 7,685 30-34 10,976 5,112 5,864 11,098 5,077 6,021 11,202 5,028 6,173 11,237 4,950 6,287 11,177 4,836 6,341 11,031 4,690 6,341 10,848 4,537 6,311 10,682 4,413 6,270 35-39 9,206 4,448 4,758 9,259 4,438 4,820 9,284 4,412 4,872 9,320 4,382 4,938 9,384 4,352 5,032 9,488 4,328 5,160 9,614 4,303 5,310 9,729 4,269 5,460 40-44 6,750 3,266 3,484 6,973 3,363 3,610 7,208 3,455 3,753 7,417 3,528 3,889 7,574 3,571 4,002 7,674 3,588 4,086 7,731 3,586 4,145 7,769 3,572 4,198 45-49 5,400 2,540 2,860 5,389 2,555 2,834 5,397 2,582 2,815 5,446 2,625 2,821 5,551 2,691 2,861 5,712 2,773 2,938 5,912 2,863 3,049 6,127 2,951 3,176 50-54 4,730 2,081 2,649 4,764 2,101 2,663 4,767 2,110 2,657 4,758 2,116 2,641 4,751 2,125 2,626 4,744 2,136 2,608 4,739 2,153 2,586 4,752 2,181 2,571 55-59 3,319 1,489 1,831 3,486 1,553 1,932 3,683 1,628 2,055 3,861 1,695 2,166 3,987 1,747 2,240 4,058 1,781 2,278 4,092 1,800 2,292 4,098 1,811 2,287 60-64 2,981 1,305 1,676 2,864 1,272 1,592 2,745 1,242 1,503 2,673 1,230 1,443 2,677 1,242 1,435 2,763 1,282 1,482 2,909 1,341 1,568 3,081 1,408 1,673 65-69 2,397 1,120 1,277 2,466 1,132 1,334 2,535 1,147 1,388 2,573 1,153 1,419 2,562 1,148 1,414 2,497 1,126 1,371 2,397 1,099 1,299 2,296 1,073 1,223 70-74 1,812 901 910 1,761 862 899 1,716 828 888 1,691 804 887 1,697 795 902 1,732 798 934 1,786 808 978 1,839 819 1,020 75-79 1,310 711 599 1,334 711 623 1,351 705 647 1,354 690 664 1,337 665 671 1,305 636 669 1,266 606 659 1,231 580 650 80+ 1,631 914 717 1,700 957 743 1,764 997 766 1,825 1,034 791 1,885 1,068 817 1,943 1,098 844 1,995 1,122 873 2,038 1,138 900

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Kaoma District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 218,825 107,430 111,395 222,105 109,143 112,962 239,806 118,407 121,399 260,248 129,106 131,142 283,241 141,131 142,110 0-4 37,474 19,177 18,297 37,685 19,296 18,389 39,478 20,266 19,212 42,275 21,750 20,525 44,983 23,199 21,784 5-9 35,643 18,087 17,556 35,711 18,132 17,578 36,251 18,454 17,797 38,051 19,411 18,640 40,807 20,864 19,943

10-14 32,075 16,197 15,879 32,851 16,596 16,255 34,794 17,617 17,177 35,381 17,962 17,420 37,207 18,936 18,271 15-19 25,950 13,281 12,669 26,779 13,717 13,062 30,749 15,805 14,944 32,744 16,861 15,882 33,379 17,238 16,141 20-24 19,129 9,717 9,412 19,594 9,994 9,600 22,940 11,818 11,122 26,645 13,769 12,876 28,557 14,787 13,770 25-29 14,498 6,713 7,785 14,929 7,035 7,895 16,963 8,306 8,657 20,273 10,042 10,231 23,935 11,901 12,034 30-34 10,606 4,363 6,243 10,662 4,414 6,248 12,541 5,847 6,694 14,629 7,132 7,497 17,935 8,880 9,055 35-39 9,784 4,208 5,576 9,759 4,116 5,643 9,426 3,788 5,638 11,404 5,256 6,148 13,608 6,609 6,999 40-44 7,820 3,555 4,265 7,901 3,540 4,361 8,362 3,391 4,971 8,175 3,147 5,028 10,064 4,511 5,553 45-49 6,322 3,023 3,299 6,475 3,071 3,404 6,848 3,091 3,756 7,336 2,999 4,337 7,235 2,814 4,421 50-54 4,805 2,223 2,582 4,911 2,287 2,624 5,832 2,659 3,173 6,256 2,712 3,544 6,799 2,659 4,139 55-59 4,096 1,821 2,275 4,096 1,832 2,264 4,276 1,998 2,277 5,148 2,357 2,791 5,574 2,428 3,146 60-64 3,237 1,469 1,768 3,347 1,516 1,831 3,460 1,603 1,858 3,642 1,766 1,877 4,426 2,101 2,324 65-69 2,235 1,063 1,172 2,241 1,074 1,167 2,832 1,320 1,512 2,942 1,403 1,539 3,112 1,554 1,558 70-74 1,868 824 1,044 1,860 820 1,040 1,623 770 854 2,074 951 1,122 2,155 1,014 1,141 75-79 1,212 562 650 1,216 555 661 1,338 573 765 1,158 535 623 1,491 664 827 80+ 2,070 1,148 922 2,088 1,148 940 2,093 1,100 993 2,116 1,053 1,063 1,974 970 1,004

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176 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, LUKULU DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Lukulu District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 88,629 42,795 45,834 90,744 43,786 46,958 92,877 44,786 48,091 95,027 45,796 49,231 97,192 46,813 50,379 99,391 47,846 51,545 101,638 48,902 52,736 103,939 49,983 53,956 0-4 17,953 9,120 8,833 18,349 9,311 9,038 18,672 9,464 9,208 18,913 9,574 9,339 19,085 9,652 9,433 19,237 9,721 9,517 19,411 9,799 9,612 19,611 9,891 9,719 5-9 14,627 7,501 7,126 15,122 7,748 7,373 15,616 7,996 7,620 16,121 8,249 7,872 16,625 8,498 8,128 17,095 8,728 8,366 17,499 8,925 8,574 17,832 9,085 8,747

10-14 11,915 6,014 5,902 12,317 6,222 6,095 12,761 6,448 6,313 13,237 6,688 6,550 13,740 6,938 6,802 14,250 7,190 7,060 14,751 7,437 7,314 15,250 7,684 7,566 15-19 9,013 4,353 4,660 9,251 4,494 4,757 9,490 4,628 4,862 9,748 4,767 4,982 10,036 4,919 5,118 10,364 5,088 5,276 10,736 5,276 5,460 11,147 5,481 5,667 20-24 7,248 3,220 4,027 7,459 3,369 4,090 7,717 3,552 4,165 7,989 3,741 4,248 8,253 3,918 4,335 8,502 4,076 4,426 8,746 4,221 4,525 8,994 4,360 4,633 25-29 6,095 2,677 3,418 6,045 2,613 3,432 5,999 2,561 3,438 5,994 2,546 3,449 6,054 2,580 3,474 6,191 2,674 3,518 6,396 2,818 3,578 6,648 2,996 3,652 30-34 4,908 2,242 2,667 5,003 2,239 2,763 5,091 2,231 2,860 5,150 2,210 2,939 5,165 2,173 2,992 5,141 2,120 3,020 5,099 2,064 3,034 5,063 2,021 3,043 35-39 3,944 1,833 2,111 3,998 1,839 2,159 4,042 1,840 2,202 4,091 1,838 2,252 4,154 1,837 2,317 4,236 1,838 2,398 4,331 1,840 2,491 4,422 1,837 2,585 40-44 2,890 1,368 1,522 3,008 1,417 1,591 3,134 1,464 1,670 3,251 1,505 1,746 3,347 1,532 1,814 3,419 1,549 1,869 3,473 1,558 1,914 3,519 1,562 1,957 45-49 2,369 1,046 1,323 2,381 1,058 1,323 2,403 1,076 1,327 2,443 1,101 1,342 2,508 1,135 1,373 2,601 1,177 1,424 2,715 1,223 1,492 2,837 1,269 1,568 50-54 1,937 841 1,095 1,965 854 1,111 1,982 863 1,119 1,994 871 1,123 2,006 880 1,127 2,020 890 1,130 2,033 903 1,130 2,055 920 1,135 55-59 1,221 569 652 1,292 597 695 1,375 630 746 1,453 660 793 1,512 684 828 1,552 702 850 1,577 714 863 1,593 723 870 60-64 1,274 500 774 1,232 490 742 1,188 482 707 1,164 480 685 1,175 488 687 1,223 506 716 1,298 533 765 1,387 563 824 65-69 1,097 434 663 1,140 441 699 1,184 449 734 1,213 455 758 1,218 455 762 1,195 450 746 1,155 441 713 1,112 434 678 70-74 729 343 385 715 330 384 702 319 383 698 312 386 707 310 396 728 314 414 757 319 438 787 326 461 75-79 570 274 296 586 276 310 600 275 325 608 271 337 607 263 344 599 253 346 587 243 344 577 234 343 80+ 839 460 379 881 484 397 921 508 413 960 530 430 999 550 449 1,037 569 468 1,074 585 488 1,106 598 508

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Lukulu District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 106,299 51,091 55,208 108,721 52,227 56,494 121,962 58,440 63,522 137,503 65,718 71,785 155,449 74,084 81,365 0-4 19,842 10,000 9,842 20,112 10,128 9,984 21,910 10,992 10,918 24,400 12,184 12,216 26,986 13,415 13,572 5-9 18,081 9,201 8,880 18,258 9,284 8,974 19,274 9,764 9,511 21,039 10,607 10,431 23,452 11,768 11,683

10-14 15,760 7,937 7,823 16,269 8,186 8,082 17,920 8,979 8,940 18,951 9,456 9,495 20,715 10,290 10,425 15-19 11,588 5,697 5,891 12,053 5,923 6,130 14,393 7,052 7,341 15,941 7,770 8,171 16,892 8,200 8,692 20-24 9,261 4,504 4,757 9,560 4,663 4,897 11,637 5,698 5,939 14,057 6,856 7,201 15,662 7,600 8,061 25-29 6,916 3,181 3,735 7,178 3,356 3,822 8,481 4,094 4,387 10,542 5,113 5,430 12,940 6,254 6,686 30-34 5,069 2,011 3,058 5,137 2,048 3,089 6,267 2,803 3,464 7,595 3,531 4,063 9,676 4,539 5,137 35-39 4,488 1,822 2,665 4,516 1,794 2,722 4,553 1,706 2,847 5,696 2,445 3,251 7,048 3,174 3,874 40-44 3,572 1,565 2,007 3,640 1,568 2,071 4,024 1,552 2,471 4,106 1,488 2,618 5,228 2,202 3,026 45-49 2,952 1,308 1,644 3,050 1,338 1,712 3,369 1,392 1,978 3,786 1,394 2,391 3,902 1,351 2,552 50-54 2,094 944 1,150 2,157 978 1,180 2,668 1,175 1,493 2,984 1,237 1,746 3,388 1,253 2,135 55-59 1,605 732 873 1,618 741 877 1,759 835 923 2,202 1,018 1,185 2,480 1,082 1,398 60-64 1,470 592 879 1,533 614 919 1,647 671 976 1,796 764 1,032 2,277 938 1,338 65-69 1,088 432 656 1,099 440 659 1,453 559 894 1,566 614 952 1,711 701 1,010 70-74 806 330 476 809 330 479 732 321 411 976 409 566 1,053 450 603 75-79 574 228 345 581 227 355 672 242 430 600 233 367 808 299 509 80+ 1,132 607 526 1,151 611 541 1,203 605 598 1,268 598 670 1,231 568 663

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 177

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, MONGU, DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Mongu District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 183,414 88,074 95,340 185,427 88,960 96,467 187,391 89,825 97,566 189,312 90,672 98,640 191,186 91,497 99,689 193,043 92,314 100,729 194,916 93,137 101,779 196,811 93,970 102,841 0-4 32,125 16,246 15,880 32,427 16,380 16,047 32,583 16,438 16,145 32,583 16,417 16,166 32,459 16,337 16,122 32,296 16,238 16,059 32,165 16,153 16,012 32,073 16,088 15,985 5-9 27,682 13,895 13,788 28,265 14,175 14,090 28,821 14,443 14,379 29,376 14,710 14,666 29,907 14,957 14,950 30,356 15,163 15,193 30,672 15,300 15,372 30,848 15,366 15,482

10-14 23,725 11,936 11,789 24,221 12,197 12,024 24,777 12,480 12,297 25,375 12,778 12,598 26,002 13,084 12,918 26,620 13,383 13,237 27,198 13,661 13,537 27,751 13,926 13,825 15-19 20,662 10,145 10,517 20,945 10,343 10,602 21,218 10,517 10,701 21,519 10,693 10,825 21,872 10,892 10,980 22,295 11,121 11,175 22,797 11,380 11,417 23,361 11,663 11,699 20-24 16,341 7,431 8,910 16,614 7,677 8,936 16,977 7,991 8,987 17,358 8,309 9,049 17,707 8,590 9,117 18,011 8,820 9,191 18,290 9,014 9,276 18,564 9,186 9,377 25-29 13,568 6,015 7,553 13,287 5,799 7,489 13,019 5,612 7,407 12,843 5,506 7,337 12,805 5,509 7,297 12,928 5,634 7,295 13,186 5,860 7,325 13,529 6,147 7,382 30-34 11,235 5,280 5,955 11,304 5,209 6,095 11,352 5,125 6,227 11,332 5,012 6,320 11,215 4,863 6,352 11,014 4,684 6,330 10,778 4,500 6,278 10,562 4,346 6,216 35-39 8,915 4,334 4,581 8,921 4,295 4,625 8,901 4,242 4,659 8,890 4,185 4,705 8,907 4,128 4,779 8,960 4,076 4,884 9,034 4,025 5,008 9,097 3,965 5,132 40-44 6,461 3,178 3,283 6,641 3,251 3,390 6,830 3,318 3,513 6,992 3,365 3,627 7,104 3,383 3,720 7,161 3,376 3,785 7,177 3,351 3,826 7,176 3,314 3,862 45-49 5,113 2,337 2,776 5,077 2,335 2,742 5,059 2,344 2,715 5,078 2,367 2,711 5,149 2,410 2,740 5,271 2,466 2,805 5,429 2,529 2,900 5,598 2,588 3,010 50-54 4,265 1,796 2,469 4,275 1,801 2,473 4,256 1,797 2,460 4,227 1,790 2,437 4,199 1,785 2,414 4,172 1,782 2,389 4,145 1,784 2,361 4,134 1,795 2,339 55-59 3,308 1,397 1,911 3,458 1,448 2,010 3,637 1,507 2,130 3,797 1,559 2,237 3,902 1,596 2,306 3,952 1,616 2,337 3,965 1,622 2,343 3,951 1,621 2,330 60-64 2,642 1,012 1,630 2,523 980 1,543 2,402 950 1,452 2,324 934 1,389 2,314 938 1,377 2,377 961 1,417 2,492 998 1,494 2,629 1,040 1,589 65-69 2,189 836 1,353 2,248 840 1,408 2,306 845 1,461 2,333 844 1,488 2,313 834 1,478 2,241 813 1,428 2,136 788 1,348 2,029 764 1,265 70-74 1,856 781 1,076 1,801 742 1,059 1,750 708 1,043 1,721 683 1,038 1,722 670 1,051 1,754 668 1,085 1,804 672 1,133 1,854 676 1,177 75-79 1,320 593 727 1,342 590 753 1,359 580 779 1,362 565 798 1,344 541 803 1,311 513 798 1,269 486 784 1,232 462 770 80+ 2,005 862 1,143 2,077 897 1,180 2,142 928 1,214 2,204 956 1,248 2,266 981 1,285 2,325 1,001 1,324 2,379 1,015 1,364 2,424 1,023 1,401

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Mongu District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 198,737 94,815 103,922 200,697 95,676 105,021 211,254 100,322 110,932 223,457 105,692 117,765 236,993 111,600 125,393 0-4 32,027 16,046 15,981 32,035 16,031 16,005 32,650 16,233 16,417 33,997 16,789 17,208 35,206 17,264 17,941 5-9 30,870 15,353 15,517 30,764 15,282 15,482 30,386 14,996 15,390 31,014 15,199 15,815 32,373 15,751 16,622

10-14 28,304 14,191 14,113 28,834 14,438 14,395 29,712 14,776 14,936 29,379 14,518 14,861 30,068 14,756 15,312 15-19 23,967 11,960 12,007 24,601 12,266 12,336 27,482 13,626 13,856 28,457 14,008 14,448 28,231 13,807 14,425 20-24 18,867 9,362 9,505 19,221 9,560 9,661 21,889 10,900 10,989 24,720 12,237 12,482 25,784 12,670 13,114 25-29 13,891 6,439 7,452 14,230 6,700 7,530 15,734 7,627 8,107 18,286 8,886 9,400 21,015 10,153 10,862 30-34 10,434 4,266 6,168 10,437 4,286 6,151 11,944 5,474 6,470 13,544 6,434 7,109 16,159 7,724 8,435 35-39 9,104 3,882 5,223 9,036 3,770 5,266 8,511 3,345 5,166 9,999 4,472 5,527 11,603 5,422 6,181 40-44 7,186 3,275 3,910 7,222 3,238 3,984 7,449 2,990 4,459 7,099 2,675 4,424 8,497 3,697 4,800 45-49 5,749 2,633 3,116 5,860 2,656 3,204 6,049 2,578 3,471 6,341 2,410 3,932 6,117 2,180 3,937 50-54 4,157 1,817 2,341 4,226 1,855 2,371 4,894 2,080 2,814 5,128 2,044 3,084 5,471 1,933 3,539 55-59 3,928 1,618 2,310 3,907 1,616 2,291 3,962 1,700 2,262 4,652 1,932 2,720 4,930 1,919 3,011 60-64 2,751 1,078 1,672 2,831 1,105 1,726 2,846 1,126 1,720 2,900 1,195 1,704 3,445 1,372 2,074 65-69 1,960 751 1,208 1,953 754 1,198 2,418 894 1,525 2,438 916 1,522 2,492 978 1,514 70-74 1,876 676 1,201 1,859 667 1,192 1,564 604 960 1,958 719 1,239 1,976 739 1,237 75-79 1,211 444 767 1,213 435 777 1,317 433 884 1,096 390 706 1,387 467 920 80+ 2,455 1,024 1,431 2,470 1,017 1,453 2,447 940 1,507 2,450 867 1,583 2,239 770 1,469

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178 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SENANGA DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Senanga District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 129,616 62,171 67,445 131,632 63,168 68,464 133,632 64,162 69,470 135,615 65,152 70,463 139,555 67,127 72,428 139,555 67,127 72,428 141,554 68,132 73,422 143,588 69,155 74,433 0-4 23,639 11,530 12,110 23,975 11,697 12,277 24,206 11,813 12,393 24,322 11,871 12,451 24,339 11,889 12,450 24,339 11,889 12,450 24,354 11,900 12,455 24,399 11,925 12,475 5-9 20,146 9,999 10,146 20,667 10,265 10,402 21,175 10,525 10,651 21,686 10,786 10,900 22,624 11,258 11,367 22,624 11,258 11,367 22,968 11,430 11,538 23,209 11,549 11,660

10-14 16,741 8,323 8,418 17,172 8,557 8,614 17,650 8,811 8,839 18,163 9,078 9,085 19,236 9,626 9,610 19,236 9,626 9,610 19,747 9,887 9,860 20,244 10,141 10,103 15-19 14,167 6,971 7,196 14,429 7,151 7,277 14,687 7,317 7,370 14,967 7,487 7,480 15,656 7,883 7,773 15,656 7,883 7,773 16,084 8,116 7,968 16,561 8,369 8,191 20-24 10,993 5,039 5,954 11,229 5,239 5,991 11,531 5,487 6,044 11,848 5,741 6,107 12,414 6,171 6,243 12,414 6,171 6,243 12,667 6,345 6,322 12,919 6,506 6,413 25-29 9,439 4,350 5,089 9,281 4,219 5,062 9,133 4,110 5,023 9,050 4,057 4,992 9,200 4,203 4,997 9,200 4,203 4,997 9,433 4,399 5,034 9,732 4,643 5,090 30-34 7,785 3,813 3,972 7,863 3,785 4,079 7,928 3,747 4,181 7,945 3,687 4,258 7,782 3,489 4,293 7,782 3,489 4,293 7,644 3,373 4,272 7,521 3,277 4,243 35-39 6,229 3,057 3,172 6,262 3,049 3,213 6,277 3,030 3,247 6,298 3,008 3,290 6,404 2,967 3,438 6,404 2,967 3,438 6,485 2,948 3,537 6,558 2,922 3,636 40-44 4,534 2,156 2,378 4,683 2,219 2,464 4,840 2,279 2,561 4,980 2,326 2,654 5,150 2,363 2,787 5,150 2,363 2,787 5,187 2,360 2,827 5,211 2,348 2,863 45-49 3,583 1,632 1,951 3,574 1,641 1,933 3,578 1,658 1,920 3,609 1,685 1,924 3,781 1,777 2,004 3,781 1,777 2,004 3,912 1,834 2,079 4,053 1,888 2,165 50-54 2,947 1,224 1,723 2,967 1,235 1,732 2,967 1,239 1,728 2,960 1,242 1,718 2,948 1,252 1,696 2,948 1,252 1,696 2,942 1,262 1,681 2,948 1,277 1,671 55-59 2,214 945 1,268 2,324 986 1,338 2,456 1,033 1,423 2,575 1,075 1,500 2,705 1,128 1,577 2,705 1,128 1,577 2,726 1,139 1,586 2,728 1,145 1,583 60-64 2,054 817 1,236 1,971 797 1,174 1,886 778 1,108 1,833 769 1,064 1,893 801 1,092 1,893 801 1,092 1,992 837 1,155 2,111 878 1,233 65-69 1,543 645 898 1,590 652 937 1,636 660 975 1,661 664 997 1,610 647 963 1,610 647 963 1,543 631 912 1,475 616 859 70-74 1,263 553 710 1,230 529 701 1,200 508 693 1,185 493 692 1,217 489 728 1,217 489 728 1,256 494 763 1,296 501 795 75-79 984 501 483 1,002 501 501 1,017 496 521 1,021 486 535 985 447 538 985 447 538 957 426 531 931 407 523 80+ 1,357 615 741 1,412 644 768 1,463 671 793 1,513 695 818 1,610 737 873 1,610 737 873 1,655 752 903 1,693 763 930

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Senanga District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 145,657 70,196 75,461 147,773 71,261 76,512 159,182 77,015 82,167 172,354 83,655 88,699 187,147 91,099 96,048 0-4 24,480 11,966 12,514 24,604 12,028 12,576 25,689 12,557 13,131 27,404 13,387 14,017 29,057 14,187 14,870 5-9 23,335 11,610 11,725 23,367 11,627 11,739 23,642 11,763 11,879 24,721 12,290 12,431 26,419 13,125 13,294

10-14 20,745 10,397 10,348 21,235 10,643 10,592 22,417 11,230 11,187 22,708 11,373 11,335 23,797 11,913 11,884 15-19 17,071 8,635 8,436 17,607 8,910 8,696 20,149 10,205 9,944 21,373 10,814 10,559 21,711 10,985 10,726 20-24 13,193 6,671 6,522 13,505 6,854 6,651 15,759 8,057 7,702 18,233 9,324 8,909 19,473 9,949 9,523 25-29 10,049 4,893 5,156 10,350 5,122 5,228 11,741 6,012 5,729 13,985 7,220 6,765 16,455 8,502 7,954 30-34 7,462 3,237 4,224 7,500 3,272 4,228 8,835 4,308 4,527 10,286 5,220 5,065 12,573 6,458 6,115 35-39 6,590 2,877 3,713 6,568 2,811 3,757 6,324 2,572 3,752 7,632 3,545 4,088 9,080 4,429 4,651 40-44 5,243 2,335 2,908 5,296 2,323 2,973 5,599 2,211 3,388 5,462 2,039 3,423 6,683 2,904 3,779 45-49 4,181 1,932 2,248 4,281 1,961 2,320 4,521 1,963 2,558 4,842 1,891 2,951 4,770 1,763 3,007 50-54 2,978 1,300 1,678 3,041 1,336 1,705 3,604 1,544 2,060 3,864 1,564 2,299 4,209 1,524 2,684 55-59 2,725 1,150 1,574 2,723 1,156 1,567 2,829 1,254 1,575 3,397 1,469 1,928 3,676 1,504 2,172 60-64 2,218 916 1,302 2,292 944 1,349 2,359 992 1,368 2,466 1,085 1,380 2,992 1,283 1,709 65-69 1,432 609 823 1,434 615 819 1,813 752 1,061 1,872 794 1,078 1,965 874 1,092 70-74 1,317 503 814 1,310 500 810 1,131 467 665 1,446 573 873 1,494 606 887 75-79 917 394 523 920 389 532 1,014 399 615 871 370 501 1,120 456 664 80+ 1,721 768 953 1,739 768 971 1,757 731 1,026 1,792 695 1,097 1,672 636 1,036

Page 192: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 179

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SESHEKE DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Sesheke District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 102,506 50,602 51,904 105,070 51,819 53,251 107,656 53,047 54,609 110,268 54,287 55,981 112,903 55,539 57,364 115,583 56,812 58,771 118,325 58,114 60,211 121,135 59,446 61,689 0-4 19,368 10,068 9,300 19,818 10,290 9,529 20,188 10,468 9,720 20,467 10,599 9,869 20,673 10,694 9,979 20,857 10,778 10,079 21,063 10,872 10,191 21,298 10,982 10,317 5-9 16,470 8,506 7,964 17,047 8,797 8,251 17,623 9,086 8,537 18,211 9,381 8,830 18,798 9,672 9,126 19,346 9,942 9,404 19,822 10,174 9,648 20,216 10,361 9,854

10-14 13,609 6,922 6,687 14,085 7,170 6,915 14,607 7,437 7,170 15,167 7,720 7,448 15,758 8,015 7,744 16,358 8,312 8,046 16,948 8,604 8,344 17,537 8,896 8,641 15-19 11,038 5,526 5,512 11,344 5,710 5,634 11,651 5,886 5,765 11,981 6,067 5,914 12,348 6,266 6,082 12,763 6,487 6,276 13,234 6,732 6,502 13,753 6,997 6,757 20-24 8,670 4,032 4,638 8,939 4,222 4,716 9,264 4,455 4,809 9,607 4,697 4,910 9,939 4,923 5,016 10,253 5,126 5,127 10,559 5,312 5,247 10,869 5,490 5,379 25-29 7,138 3,243 3,896 7,084 3,169 3,916 7,036 3,109 3,927 7,036 3,092 3,944 7,114 3,137 3,977 7,285 3,253 4,032 7,537 3,431 4,106 7,845 3,650 4,196 30-34 5,979 2,805 3,174 6,098 2,805 3,294 6,209 2,797 3,412 6,285 2,773 3,512 6,307 2,728 3,579 6,281 2,664 3,616 6,233 2,596 3,637 6,194 2,542 3,652 35-39 4,611 2,253 2,358 4,677 2,263 2,414 4,731 2,266 2,465 4,791 2,266 2,525 4,866 2,266 2,600 4,963 2,269 2,694 5,074 2,272 2,802 5,181 2,270 2,911 40-44 3,340 1,743 1,597 3,479 1,807 1,672 3,626 1,870 1,757 3,762 1,923 1,839 3,873 1,960 1,913 3,956 1,983 1,973 4,019 1,996 2,023 4,072 2,002 2,070 45-49 2,693 1,284 1,410 2,712 1,301 1,411 2,740 1,323 1,417 2,790 1,355 1,435 2,868 1,398 1,470 2,977 1,451 1,526 3,109 1,509 1,600 3,250 1,566 1,684 50-54 2,185 1,019 1,166 2,220 1,036 1,185 2,242 1,047 1,194 2,257 1,058 1,200 2,275 1,069 1,205 2,292 1,083 1,209 2,311 1,099 1,212 2,339 1,121 1,218 55-59 1,664 700 963 1,763 736 1,027 1,881 777 1,104 1,990 815 1,176 2,074 845 1,229 2,130 868 1,263 2,167 883 1,284 2,190 895 1,295 60-64 1,526 616 910 1,478 605 873 1,427 595 833 1,401 593 808 1,415 603 812 1,473 626 847 1,566 660 906 1,674 698 977 65-69 1,244 514 730 1,293 523 770 1,344 534 810 1,377 541 836 1,384 542 842 1,360 535 825 1,316 526 790 1,269 517 752 70-74 1,110 460 649 1,092 443 648 1,076 429 647 1,072 420 653 1,088 418 671 1,124 422 702 1,173 430 743 1,223 439 783 75-79 814 381 433 839 384 455 860 383 477 873 378 495 873 367 506 862 353 509 846 339 507 833 327 506 80+ 1,047 530 517 1,100 559 542 1,151 586 565 1,201 612 589 1,252 637 615 1,301 659 642 1,349 678 671 1,392 693 699

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Sesheke District Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female

Total 124,020 60,814 63,206 126,982 62,218 64,764 143,212 69,904 73,308 162,313 78,923 83,390 184,456 89,322 95,134 0-4 21,569 11,109 10,460 21,881 11,257 10,625 23,948 12,243 11,705 26,774 13,607 13,167 29,741 15,022 14,719 5-9 20,516 10,500 10,016 20,736 10,600 10,136 21,994 11,173 10,821 24,103 12,169 11,934 26,987 13,539 13,448

10-14 18,140 9,194 8,946 18,742 9,487 9,255 20,742 10,429 10,313 22,024 11,011 11,013 24,181 12,016 12,165 15-19 14,310 7,277 7,033 14,898 7,570 7,328 17,873 9,032 8,841 19,871 9,978 9,893 21,148 10,559 10,589 20-24 11,204 5,675 5,530 11,577 5,877 5,700 14,161 7,198 6,963 17,172 8,684 8,489 19,214 9,653 9,562 25-29 8,173 3,878 4,296 8,495 4,092 4,402 10,094 5,004 5,090 12,599 6,265 6,334 15,532 7,685 7,847 30-34 6,206 2,531 3,674 6,296 2,580 3,717 7,737 3,538 4,199 9,421 4,469 4,951 12,058 5,760 6,299 35-39 5,258 2,254 3,005 5,293 2,220 3,073 5,354 2,116 3,238 6,757 3,040 3,717 8,414 3,957 4,457 40-44 4,133 2,007 2,126 4,209 2,012 2,197 4,636 1,996 2,640 4,730 1,919 2,812 6,117 2,846 3,271 45-49 3,384 1,616 1,768 3,497 1,653 1,844 3,869 1,724 2,145 4,339 1,731 2,608 4,482 1,682 2,800 50-54 2,387 1,151 1,236 2,462 1,192 1,269 3,054 1,436 1,618 3,419 1,516 1,903 3,880 1,539 2,341 55-59 2,208 906 1,302 2,227 918 1,309 2,426 1,037 1,388 3,058 1,267 1,792 3,478 1,351 2,127 60-64 1,776 733 1,043 1,854 762 1,092 2,002 834 1,168 2,194 952 1,242 2,793 1,172 1,621 65-69 1,244 516 728 1,258 525 732 1,669 669 1,001 1,808 736 1,072 1,987 844 1,144 70-74 1,255 445 810 1,261 446 815 1,139 434 706 1,532 555 977 1,658 612 1,046 75-79 830 319 510 842 317 525 980 339 641 877 328 550 1,189 421 768 80+ 1,427 704 724 1,454 709 745 1,534 704 830 1,633 697 936 1,596 665 931

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180 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table C3: Total Population by Sex, Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection, 2011-2035, SHANGO'MBO DISTRICT, Western Province (MEDIUM VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex & District of Residence

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Shang'ombo District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 96,539 46,614 49,925 100,814 48,083 52,731 102,313 49,582 52,731 105,271 51,112 54,159 108,278 52,672 55,606 111,350 54,270 57,080 114,506 55,915 58,591 117,754 57,611 60,143 0-4 19,314 9,866 9,448 20,075 10,157 9,917 20,328 10,410 9,917 20,708 10,617 10,091 21,015 10,790 10,225 21,299 10,951 10,348 21,606 11,123 10,483 21,945 11,312 10,633 5-9 16,311 8,234 8,078 17,275 8,577 8,697 17,622 8,925 8,697 18,297 9,283 9,014 18,976 9,640 9,337 19,619 9,978 9,641 20,191 10,281 9,910 20,684 10,543 10,140

10-14 12,601 6,302 6,299 13,359 6,576 6,784 13,655 6,871 6,784 14,246 7,185 7,062 14,870 7,513 7,358 15,507 7,847 7,660 16,138 8,179 7,959 16,772 8,514 8,258 15-19 10,162 4,933 5,229 10,629 5,136 5,493 10,826 5,333 5,493 11,184 5,538 5,647 11,580 5,760 5,819 12,023 6,005 6,018 12,521 6,275 6,246 13,069 6,566 6,503 20-24 8,162 3,552 4,611 8,548 3,747 4,801 8,784 3,983 4,801 9,142 4,229 4,913 9,494 4,465 5,029 9,832 4,682 5,151 10,167 4,885 5,282 10,509 5,084 5,425 25-29 7,306 3,248 4,059 7,306 3,197 4,109 7,269 3,160 4,109 7,303 3,166 4,136 7,415 3,235 4,180 7,624 3,378 4,245 7,920 3,588 4,331 8,278 3,843 4,435 30-34 5,078 2,389 2,689 5,310 2,407 2,903 5,321 2,418 2,903 5,409 2,415 2,994 5,451 2,393 3,058 5,450 2,354 3,096 5,429 2,309 3,120 5,415 2,277 3,138 35-39 3,805 1,754 2,051 3,928 1,775 2,153 3,944 1,790 2,153 4,014 1,803 2,210 4,097 1,817 2,281 4,200 1,832 2,368 4,315 1,847 2,467 4,427 1,858 2,568 40-44 3,100 1,467 1,633 3,336 1,532 1,804 3,401 1,597 1,804 3,547 1,654 1,893 3,671 1,698 1,973 3,769 1,730 2,039 3,848 1,754 2,095 3,918 1,771 2,148 45-49 2,679 1,236 1,443 2,718 1,261 1,457 2,750 1,293 1,457 2,812 1,333 1,479 2,904 1,386 1,518 3,028 1,449 1,579 3,176 1,517 1,659 3,335 1,585 1,750 50-54 2,163 1,023 1,140 2,220 1,048 1,172 2,240 1,068 1,172 2,266 1,086 1,180 2,294 1,106 1,188 2,322 1,128 1,195 2,352 1,153 1,199 2,391 1,184 1,207 55-59 1,384 638 746 1,534 675 859 1,576 717 859 1,675 758 917 1,752 792 960 1,808 819 989 1,846 839 1,007 1,874 856 1,018 60-64 1,269 523 746 1,203 517 686 1,198 512 686 1,181 514 667 1,199 527 672 1,254 551 702 1,337 585 752 1,435 622 813 65-69 941 389 552 1,015 399 616 1,026 410 616 1,056 418 637 1,065 422 643 1,051 420 631 1,021 416 605 989 412 577 70-74 818 377 440 807 366 441 797 357 441 797 351 446 811 352 459 840 359 481 878 368 510 917 378 539 75-79 560 286 274 594 290 303 595 292 303 605 290 315 606 284 323 600 275 326 591 266 325 582 258 325 80+ 885 398 487 957 423 534 981 447 534 1,028 470 558 1,076 492 584 1,125 513 611 1,171 532 640 1,215 547 668

Age, Sex & District of Residence

2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Shang'ombo District Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female Total Male

Female

Total 121,100 59,360 61,740 124,551 61,167 63,384 143,637 71,207 72,430 166,651 83,261 83,390 193,298 97,537 95,761 0-4 22,323 11,522 10,801 22,748 11,757 10,991 25,469 13,253 12,216 28,440 15,273 13,167 33,149 17,485 15,665 5-9 21,084 10,758 10,326 21,406 10,937 10,469 23,223 11,946 11,276 25,426 13,492 11,934 29,856 15,566 14,290

10-14 17,425 8,860 8,565 18,084 9,206 8,878 20,469 10,488 9,981 22,495 11,482 11,013 24,999 12,993 12,006 15-19 13,658 6,877 6,781 14,282 7,203 7,079 17,523 8,907 8,616 20,097 10,204 9,893 21,720 11,196 10,524 20-24 10,878 5,291 5,587 11,288 5,518 5,770 14,115 7,004 7,111 17,251 8,762 8,489 20,057 10,099 9,958 25-29 8,660 4,111 4,549 9,040 4,369 4,670 10,985 5,537 5,448 13,522 7,187 6,334 17,708 9,143 8,565 30-34 5,446 2,283 3,164 5,548 2,342 3,206 6,984 3,329 3,654 9,312 4,361 4,951 11,418 5,828 5,590 35-39 4,513 1,857 2,656 4,564 1,842 2,721 4,713 1,820 2,893 6,428 2,711 3,717 7,720 3,659 4,061 40-44 3,997 1,787 2,210 4,092 1,805 2,288 4,629 1,855 2,774 4,661 1,849 2,812 6,349 2,845 3,504 45-49 3,487 1,647 1,840 3,619 1,697 1,923 4,090 1,833 2,257 4,517 1,909 2,608 4,927 1,923 3,004 50-54 2,451 1,224 1,227 2,540 1,277 1,263 3,218 1,593 1,625 3,648 1,744 1,903 4,233 1,836 2,397 55-59 1,898 873 1,025 1,923 890 1,033 2,148 1,043 1,105 3,112 1,320 1,792 3,187 1,460 1,727 60-64 1,528 659 870 1,601 689 912 1,767 782 985 2,168 925 1,242 2,575 1,182 1,393 65-69 974 413 560 988 424 565 1,337 559 778 1,710 638 1,072 1,665 758 907 70-74 944 386 558 952 389 563 884 393 492 1,498 521 977 1,339 596 743 75-79 582 253 328 592 254 338 697 281 417 831 282 550 884 375 509 80+ 1,252 559 693 1,282 567 715 1,387 584 804 1,535 600 936 1,512 593 919

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 181

Table A1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (LOW VARIANT PROJECTION) Projection Year

Age, Sex 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Total (Both

Sexes) 13,717,112 14,138,849 14,565,562 14,996,776 15,431,810 15,870,903 16,314,399 16,761,736 17,212,339 17,665,660 18,121,266 18,578,791 19,037,940 19,498,541 19,960,464 20,423,568 20,887,578 21,352,102 21,816,710 22,280,823 22,743,721 23,204,486 23,662,039 24,115,273 24,563,058 0-4 2,558,888 2,631,580 2,693,761 2,745,693 2,790,335 2,829,557 2,866,807 2,901,683 2,934,011 2,963,619 2,990,532 3,014,866 3,036,911 3,057,103 3,075,885 3,093,624 3,110,483 3,126,392 3,141,104 3,154,159 3,164,984 3,172,921 3,177,262 3,177,330 3,172,572 5-9 2,039,640 2,108,904 2,187,229 2,271,440 2,355,138 2,434,878 2,506,138 2,567,605 2,619,525 2,665,028 2,705,643 2,744,389 2,780,870 2,814,918 2,846,375 2,875,246 2,901,610 2,925,742 2,948,059 2,968,998 2,988,898 3,007,921 3,026,005 3,042,913 3,058,203

10-14 1,791,530 1,823,395 1,856,960 1,896,199 1,944,564 2,003,273 2,071,743 2,149,239 2,232,675 2,315,773 2,395,104 2,466,148 2,527,585 2,579,636 2,625,381 2,666,316 2,705,424 2,742,307 2,776,798 2,808,739 2,838,133 2,865,050 2,889,763 2,912,680 2,934,237 15-19 1,569,181 1,615,190 1,656,070 1,693,335 1,728,566 1,761,614 1,793,275 1,826,697 1,865,780 1,913,929 1,972,311 2,040,329 2,117,267 2,200,084 2,282,596 2,361,418 2,432,087 2,493,314 2,545,309 2,591,105 2,632,174 2,671,448 2,708,537 2,743,271 2,775,490 20-24 1,230,084 1,288,590 1,353,937 1,418,353 1,476,369 1,527,066 1,572,230 1,612,521 1,649,397 1,684,367 1,717,262 1,748,848 1,782,194 1,821,103 1,868,898 1,926,722 1,993,991 2,070,003 2,151,803 2,233,326 2,311,261 2,381,241 2,442,010 2,493,790 2,539,534 25-29 1,064,847 1,075,800 1,086,232 1,104,002 1,134,236 1,178,955 1,235,568 1,298,829 1,361,301 1,417,764 1,467,315 1,511,635 1,551,336 1,587,792 1,622,435 1,655,104 1,686,557 1,719,755 1,758,368 1,805,612 1,862,592 1,928,752 2,003,424 2,083,751 2,163,855 30-34 861,752 895,520 930,494 961,843 986,625 1,003,320 1,014,210 1,024,779 1,042,441 1,072,015 1,115,363 1,169,978 1,230,917 1,291,157 1,345,768 1,393,917 1,437,194 1,476,164 1,512,086 1,546,315 1,578,692 1,609,958 1,642,950 1,681,165 1,727,699 35-39 700,364 718,832 734,995 752,754 774,603 802,111 834,196 867,550 897,663 921,788 938,437 949,682 960,637 978,259 1,007,083 1,048,871 1,101,299 1,159,742 1,217,621 1,270,285 1,316,954 1,359,114 1,397,277 1,432,609 1,466,376 40-44 496,290 529,240 564,504 597,692 625,933 648,149 665,737 681,308 698,490 719,615 746,105 776,925 808,988 838,072 861,592 878,143 889,651 900,890 918,381 946,399 986,615 1,036,871 1,092,851 1,148,388 1,199,108 45-49 382,102 390,314 399,645 412,914 431,805 457,228 487,948 520,917 552,086 578,797 600,019 616,999 632,156 648,859 669,289 694,774 724,361 755,167 783,230 806,102 822,472 834,122 845,511 862,765 889,899 50-54 296,011 308,973 321,016 332,039 342,151 350,840 358,551 367,339 379,823 397,570 421,413 450,203 481,132 510,454 535,701 555,912 572,227 586,895 603,047 622,732 647,178 675,503 705,010 731,976 754,100 55-59 201,849 214,558 229,224 244,054 257,795 270,454 282,460 293,664 303,964 313,470 321,692 329,023 337,359 349,127 365,780 388,094 415,018 443,963 471,476 495,264 514,430 530,029 544,137 559,674 578,541 60-64 167,964 167,234 166,508 167,907 172,762 181,389 192,993 206,386 219,951 232,561 244,224 255,315 265,699 275,264 284,114 291,797 298,689 306,524 317,526 333,034 353,747 378,697 405,523 431,059 453,225 65-69 126,867 132,864 138,869 143,681 146,644 147,488 146,906 146,363 147,733 152,194 160,022 170,498 182,565 194,802 206,198 216,774 226,856 236,324 245,071 253,178 260,250 266,628 273,872 283,995 298,193 70-74 93,968 95,172 96,562 98,676 101,840 106,176 111,326 116,474 120,609 123,181 123,973 123,600 123,307 124,684 128,724 135,633 144,778 155,264 165,880 175,783 185,011 193,845 202,177 209,888 217,047 75-79 64,176 66,529 69,015 71,218 72,894 74,113 75,153 76,356 78,152 80,808 84,409 88,664 92,924 96,365 98,543 99,299 99,127 99,034 100,314 103,765 109,557 117,166 125,867 134,684 142,929 80+ 71,599 76,154 80,541 84,976 89,550 94,292 99,158 104,026 108,738 113,181 117,442 121,689 126,093 130,862 136,102 141,924 148,226 154,622 160,637 166,027 170,773 175,220 179,863 185,335 192,050

Total (Females) 6,931,121 7,144,604 7,360,290 7,577,937 7,797,205 8,018,382 8,241,811 8,467,219 8,694,327 8,922,868 9,152,636 9,383,458 9,615,194 9,847,766 10,081,116 10,315,186 10,549,851 10,784,924 11,020,199 11,255,396 11,490,162 11,724,045 11,956,513 12,187,019 12,415,002

0-4 1,270,458 1,306,349 1,336,736 1,361,964 1,383,467 1,402,469 1,420,618 1,437,701 1,453,609 1,468,219 1,481,512 1,493,523 1,504,396 1,514,346 1,523,597 1,532,331 1,540,630 1,548,459 1,555,696 1,562,113 1,567,423 1,571,301 1,573,396 1,573,373 1,570,959 5-9 1,015,149 1,049,467 1,088,751 1,131,019 1,172,956 1,212,516 1,247,543 1,277,460 1,302,620 1,324,578 1,344,340 1,363,293 1,381,230 1,398,045 1,413,623 1,427,932 1,440,989 1,452,934 1,463,971 1,474,322 1,484,156 1,493,551 1,502,477 1,510,817 1,518,351

10-14 902,217 915,762 930,020 947,378 969,872 998,240 1,032,153 1,071,024 1,112,926 1,154,606 1,194,019 1,228,993 1,258,947 1,284,220 1,306,339 1,326,296 1,345,461 1,363,626 1,380,686 1,396,527 1,411,117 1,424,467 1,436,715 1,448,065 1,458,734 15-19 798,019 819,166 838,702 856,524 872,818 887,381 900,854 915,089 932,426 954,874 983,135 1,016,871 1,055,505 1,097,141 1,138,572 1,177,778 1,212,616 1,242,519 1,267,816 1,290,011 1,310,080 1,329,372 1,347,683 1,364,901 1,380,918 20-24 655,186 678,841 704,865 730,763 754,772 776,847 797,625 816,904 834,581 850,820 865,407 878,954 893,266 910,623 932,991 961,058 994,493 1,032,730 1,073,927 1,114,936 1,153,780 1,188,359 1,218,122 1,243,394 1,265,642 25-29 568,366 578,130 586,122 595,909 609,892 628,865 651,824 677,131 702,391 725,922 747,654 768,169 787,263 804,830 821,020 835,629 849,256 863,645 881,000 903,226 930,991 963,980 1,001,646 1,042,213 1,082,620 30-34 432,207 456,550 481,917 505,001 523,670 537,128 546,603 554,522 564,251 578,048 596,633 619,018 643,657 668,277 691,280 712,608 732,813 751,693 769,130 785,267 799,906 813,629 828,110 845,454 867,502 35-39 336,164 347,076 357,392 369,540 385,022 404,706 427,740 451,832 473,893 491,925 505,129 514,612 522,642 532,396 546,007 564,165 585,950 609,905 633,884 656,365 677,290 697,177 715,830 733,133 749,216 40-44 233,821 250,343 268,611 286,235 301,653 314,161 324,527 334,400 346,057 360,921 379,785 401,829 424,910 446,116 463,566 476,492 485,925 494,002 503,722 517,111 534,831 556,014 579,290 602,618 624,556 45-49 188,482 190,611 193,221 198,093 206,335 218,550 234,095 251,327 268,018 282,705 294,708 304,720 314,284 325,541 339,834 357,918 379,033 401,164 421,561 438,434 451,051 460,375 468,418 478,034 491,139 50-54 151,999 158,495 164,162 168,950 172,943 175,831 177,888 180,421 185,100 192,963 204,573 219,312 235,650 251,501 265,490 276,980 286,618 295,854 306,700 320,431 337,756 357,963 379,151 398,718 414,972 55-59 101,776 109,211 117,913 126,573 134,269 140,996 147,082 152,423 156,969 160,804 163,622 165,673 168,173 172,680 180,173 191,175 205,118 220,572 235,594 248,890 259,858 269,106 277,991 288,404 301,546 60-64 89,262 87,823 86,294 86,165 88,388 93,212 100,078 108,114 116,128 123,280 129,566 135,279 140,318 144,630 148,288 151,011 153,037 155,493 159,820 166,932 177,309 190,417 204,934 219,056 231,588 65-69 68,617 72,269 75,848 78,551 79,935 79,775 78,522 77,215 77,184 79,282 83,723 89,998 97,323 104,635 111,179 116,960 122,237 126,917 130,947 134,383 136,975 138,946 141,322 145,419 152,065 70-74 50,290 51,357 52,434 53,866 55,862 58,545 61,711 64,813 67,165 68,385 68,293 67,289 66,269 66,379 68,343 72,326 77,874 84,314 90,734 96,493 101,612 106,314 110,513 114,146 117,260 75-79 32,285 34,155 36,115 37,886 39,309 40,390 41,278 42,189 43,401 45,087 47,336 49,978 52,572 54,548 55,598 55,588 54,846 54,104 54,303 56,031 59,419 64,088 69,486 74,872 79,718 80+ 36,823 38,999 41,187 43,520 46,042 48,770 51,670 54,654 57,608 60,449 63,201 65,947 68,789 71,858 75,216 78,939 82,955 86,993 90,708 93,924 96,608 98,986 101,429 104,402 108,216

Total (Males) 6,785,991 6,994,245 7,205,272 7,418,839 7,634,605 7,852,521 8,072,588 8,294,517 8,518,012 8,742,792 8,968,630 9,195,333 9,422,746 9,650,775 9,879,348 10,108,382 10,337,727 10,567,178 10,796,511 11,025,427 11,253,559 11,480,441 11,705,526 11,928,254 12,148,056 0-4 1,288,430 1,325,231 1,357,025 1,383,729 1,406,868 1,427,088 1,446,189 1,463,982 1,480,402 1,495,400 1,509,020 1,521,343 1,532,515 1,542,757 1,552,288 1,561,293 1,569,853 1,577,933 1,585,408 1,592,046 1,597,561 1,601,620 1,603,866 1,603,957 1,601,613 5-9 1,024,491 1,059,437 1,098,478 1,140,421 1,182,182 1,222,362 1,258,595 1,290,145 1,316,905 1,340,450 1,361,303 1,381,096 1,399,640 1,416,873 1,432,752 1,447,314 1,460,621 1,472,808 1,484,088 1,494,676 1,504,742 1,514,370 1,523,528 1,532,096 1,539,852

10-14 889,313 907,633 926,940 948,821 974,692 1,005,033 1,039,590 1,078,215 1,119,749 1,161,167 1,201,085 1,237,155 1,268,638 1,295,416 1,319,042 1,340,020 1,359,963 1,378,681 1,396,112 1,412,212 1,427,016 1,440,583 1,453,048 1,464,615 1,475,503 15-19 771,162 796,024 817,368 836,811 855,748 874,233 892,421 911,608 933,354 959,055 989,176 1,023,458 1,061,762 1,102,943 1,144,024 1,183,640 1,219,471 1,250,795 1,277,493 1,301,094 1,322,094 1,342,076 1,360,854 1,378,370 1,394,572 20-24 574,898 609,749 649,072 687,590 721,597 750,219 774,605 795,617 814,816 833,547 851,855 869,894 888,928 910,480 935,907 965,664 999,498 1,037,273 1,077,876 1,118,390 1,157,481 1,192,882 1,223,888 1,250,396 1,273,892 25-29 496,481 497,670 500,110 508,093 524,344 550,090 583,744 621,698 658,910 691,842 719,661 743,466 764,073 782,962 801,415 819,475 837,301 856,110 877,368 902,386 931,601 964,772 1,001,778 1,041,538 1,081,235 30-34 429,545 438,970 448,577 456,842 462,955 466,192 467,607 470,257 478,190 493,967 518,730 550,960 587,260 622,880 654,488 681,309 704,381 724,471 742,956 761,048 778,786 796,329 814,840 835,711 860,197 35-39 364,200 371,756 377,603 383,214 389,581 397,405 406,456 415,718 423,770 429,863 433,308 435,070 437,995 445,863 461,076 484,706 515,349 549,837 583,737 613,920 639,664 661,937 681,447 699,476 717,160 40-44 262,469 278,897 295,893 311,457 324,280 333,988 341,210 346,908 352,433 358,694 366,320 375,096 384,078 391,956 398,026 401,651 403,726 406,888 414,659 429,288 451,784 480,857 513,561 545,770 574,552 45-49 193,620 199,703 206,424 214,821 225,470 238,678 253,853 269,590 284,068 296,092 305,311 312,279 317,872 323,318 329,455 336,856 345,328 354,003 361,669 367,668 371,421 373,747 377,093 384,731 398,760 50-54 144,012 150,478 156,854 163,089 169,208 175,009 180,663 186,918 194,723 204,607 216,840 230,891 245,482 258,953 270,211 278,932 285,609 291,041 296,347 302,301 309,422 317,540 325,859 333,258 339,128 55-59 100,073 105,347 111,311 117,481 123,526 129,458 135,378 141,241 146,995 152,666 158,070 163,350 169,186 176,447 185,607 196,919 209,900 223,391 235,882 246,374 254,572 260,923 266,146 271,270 276,995 60-64 78,702 79,411 80,214 81,742 84,374 88,177 92,915 98,272 103,823 109,281 114,658 120,036 125,381 130,634 135,826 140,786 145,652 151,031 157,706 166,102 176,438 188,280 200,589 212,003 221,637 65-69 58,250 60,595 63,021 65,130 66,709 67,713 68,384 69,148 70,549 72,912 76,299 80,500 85,242 90,167 95,019 99,814 104,619 109,407 114,124 118,795 123,275 127,682 132,550 138,576 146,128 70-74 43,678 43,815 44,128 44,810 45,978 47,631 49,615 51,661 53,444 54,796 55,680 56,311 57,038 58,305 60,381 63,307 66,904 70,950 75,146 79,290 83,399 87,531 91,664 95,742 99,787 75-79 31,891 32,374 32,900 33,332 33,585 33,723 33,875 34,167 34,751 35,721 37,073 38,686 40,352 41,817 42,945 43,711 44,281 44,930 46,011 47,734 50,138 53,078 56,381 59,812 63,211 80+ 34,776 37,155 39,354 41,456 43,508 45,522 47,488 49,372 51,130 52,732 54,241 55,742 57,304 59,004 60,886 62,985 65,271 67,629 69,929 72,103 74,165 76,234 78,434 80,933 83,834

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182 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table A2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (LOW VARIANT PROJECTION)Vital Events and Rates

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 604,759 613,860 622,480 630,387 637,442 643,741 649,431 654,491 658,901 662,731 666,036 668,956 671,672 674,298 676,831 679,177 681,174 682,827 684,030 684,563 684,232 682,826 680,323 676,700 671,929

Annual Number of Deaths 185,597 189,549 193,365 197,073 200,689 202,305 203,872 205,376 206,810 208,179 209,377 210,565 211,767 213,001 214,281 215,520 216,811 218,142 219,500 220,866 222,134 223,395 224,650 225,904 227,154

Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 44.1 43.4 42.7 42.0 41.3 40.6 39.8 39.1 38.3 37.5 36.8 36.0 35.3 34.6 33.9 33.3 32.6 32.0 31.4 30.7 30.1 29.4 28.8 28.1 27.4

Crude Death Rate (CDR) 13.5 13.4 13.3 13.1 13.0 12.8 12.5 12.3 12.0 11.8 11.6 11.3 11.1 10.9 10.7 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.1 9.9 9.8 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.3

Growth Rate(%) 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes) 52.6 52.8 53.0 53.2 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.2

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males) 50.2 50.4 50.6 50.9 51.1 51.5 51.8 52.2 52.6 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.6 55.9 56.3 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.5

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females) 55.2 55.3 55.4 55.5 55.6 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.4 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.1

Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes) 75.5 75.0 74.4 73.9 73.3 72.1 70.9 69.7 68.5 67.3 66.2 65.0 63.8 62.7 61.6 60.5 59.4 58.3 57.3 56.2 55.2 54.1 53.1 52.1 51.1

Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 81.0 80.2 79.4 78.6 77.8 76.5 75.3 74.1 72.9 71.7 70.5 69.3 68.1 67.0 65.8 64.7 63.6 62.5 61.4 60.3 59.3 58.2 57.2 56.1 55.1

Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 69.9 69.6 69.3 69.0 68.8 67.5 66.3 65.2 64.0 62.9 61.7 60.6 59.4 58.3 57.3 56.2 55.1 54.0 53.0 52.0 50.9 49.9 48.9 48.0 47.0

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3

Page 196: Population and Demographic Projections 2011 - 2035 Census...Published by Central Statistical Office Nationalist Road P.O. Box 31908 Lusaka email: info@zamstats.gov.zm July, 2013 2010

Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 183

Table A1: Total Population by Sex and Age (5-year Age groups) and Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (HIGH VARIANT PROJECTION)Age, Sex

Projection Year2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Total (Both Sexes) 13,721,498 14,156,468 14,605,555 15,068,729 15,545,778 16,037,474 16,544,739 17,067,595 17,606,061 18,160,194 18,730,199 19,316,388 19,919,204 20,539,287 21,177,383 21,834,383 22,511,284 23,209,103 23,928,871 24,671,482 25,437,805 26,228,732 27,045,094 27,887,736 28,757,510

0-4 2,563,274 2,649,199 2,733,754 2,817,646 2,904,350 2,992,194 3,080,946 3,170,357 3,260,296 3,350,629 3,441,449 3,532,952 3,625,575 3,719,951 3,816,777 3,916,807 4,020,806 4,129,373 4,242,927 4,361,615 4,485,437 4,614,310 4,748,062 4,886,527 5,029,675 5-9 2,039,640 2,108,904 2,187,230 2,271,439 2,355,090 2,438,812 2,522,337 2,604,788 2,686,964 2,772,597 2,859,799 2,947,995 3,036,937 3,126,505 3,216,586 3,307,259 3,398,678 3,491,268 3,585,640 3,682,478 3,782,509 3,886,468 3,994,953 4,108,385 4,226,938

10-14 1,791,530 1,823,397 1,856,959 1,896,201 1,944,564 2,003,273 2,071,742 2,149,243 2,232,672 2,315,726 2,398,964 2,482,052 2,564,120 2,645,951 2,731,243 2,818,123 2,906,025 2,994,707 3,084,047 3,173,935 3,264,444 3,355,731 3,448,204 3,542,478 3,639,228 15-19 1,569,181 1,615,189 1,656,071 1,693,334 1,728,566 1,761,614 1,793,279 1,826,694 1,865,781 1,913,929 1,972,312 2,040,330 2,117,270 2,200,082 2,282,549 2,365,231 2,447,802 2,529,409 2,610,822 2,695,679 2,782,133 2,869,632 2,957,937 3,046,920 3,136,476 20-24 1,230,084 1,288,589 1,353,935 1,418,352 1,476,371 1,527,064 1,572,227 1,612,521 1,649,395 1,684,366 1,717,262 1,748,850 1,782,189 1,821,101 1,868,898 1,926,725 1,993,991 2,070,009 2,151,801 2,233,280 2,315,015 2,396,685 2,477,480 2,558,143 2,642,216 25-29 1,064,847 1,075,800 1,086,232 1,104,002 1,134,235 1,178,958 1,235,566 1,298,827 1,361,302 1,417,765 1,467,312 1,511,630 1,551,336 1,587,791 1,622,435 1,655,102 1,686,559 1,719,750 1,758,365 1,805,611 1,862,593 1,928,753 2,003,428 2,083,747 2,163,811 30-34 861,752 895,519 930,496 961,841 986,626 1,003,320 1,014,210 1,024,779 1,042,438 1,072,016 1,115,364 1,169,977 1,230,914 1,291,159 1,345,771 1,393,914 1,437,191 1,476,161 1,512,087 1,546,313 1,578,690 1,609,963 1,642,945 1,681,163 1,727,696 35-39 700,364 718,834 734,995 752,753 774,602 802,109 834,196 867,552 897,661 921,792 938,438 949,682 960,638 978,256 1,007,080 1,048,871 1,101,297 1,159,741 1,217,623 1,270,290 1,316,950 1,359,109 1,397,274 1,432,611 1,466,374 40-44 496,290 529,239 564,505 597,695 625,933 648,151 665,740 681,310 698,493 719,611 746,105 776,924 808,991 838,071 861,597 878,147 889,648 900,891 918,377 946,395 986,617 1,036,870 1,092,850 1,148,390 1,199,113 45-49 382,102 390,315 399,642 412,913 431,805 457,225 487,946 520,914 552,085 578,795 600,020 617,006 632,156 648,861 669,284 694,775 724,363 755,170 783,227 806,110 822,473 834,117 845,512 862,759 889,899 50-54 296,012 308,973 321,018 332,041 342,150 350,841 358,550 367,339 379,824 397,571 421,410 450,198 481,129 510,453 535,701 555,911 572,231 586,895 603,051 622,725 647,179 675,506 705,013 731,974 754,105 55-59 201,847 214,558 229,225 244,052 257,797 270,456 282,462 293,666 303,967 313,469 321,691 329,023 337,360 349,129 365,782 388,089 415,014 443,959 471,476 495,264 514,431 530,032 544,139 559,678 578,535 60-64 167,966 167,234 166,507 167,909 172,761 181,385 192,992 206,386 219,950 232,566 244,227 255,316 265,700 275,265 284,110 291,799 298,689 306,526 317,530 333,037 353,742 378,696 405,518 431,061 453,224 65-69 126,866 132,863 138,867 143,680 146,646 147,491 146,909 146,363 147,733 152,191 160,018 170,497 182,568 194,803 206,204 216,775 226,857 236,326 245,068 253,175 260,253 266,629 273,875 283,995 298,195 70-74 93,968 95,172 96,564 98,676 101,836 106,175 111,325 116,471 120,607 123,183 123,976 123,602 123,305 124,684 128,721 135,631 144,780 155,263 165,880 175,786 185,009 193,844 202,176 209,886 217,044 75-79 64,175 66,530 69,014 71,219 72,896 74,114 75,150 76,358 78,152 80,804 84,409 88,666 92,921 96,360 98,545 99,299 99,128 99,033 100,316 103,764 109,555 117,169 125,866 134,683 142,933 80+ 71,600 76,153 80,541 84,976 89,550 94,292 99,162 104,027 108,741 113,184 117,443 121,688 126,095 130,865 136,100 141,925 148,225 154,622 160,634 166,025 170,775 175,218 179,862 185,336 192,048

Total (Females) 6,933,288 7,153,316 7,380,079 7,613,555 7,853,634 8,100,871 8,355,899 8,618,736 8,889,398 9,167,920 9,454,413 9,749,041 10,052,031 10,363,707 10,684,448 11,014,707 11,354,990 11,705,809 12,067,682 12,441,060 12,826,378 13,224,082 13,634,588 14,058,318 14,495,695

0-4 1,272,625 1,315,062 1,356,526 1,397,583 1,439,917 1,482,999 1,526,654 1,570,743 1,615,183 1,659,868 1,704,810 1,750,086 1,795,908 1,842,589 1,890,482 1,939,958 1,991,397 2,045,096 2,101,263 2,159,968 2,221,209 2,284,942 2,351,083 2,419,549 2,490,326 5-9 1,015,149 1,049,467 1,088,751 1,131,018 1,172,936 1,214,475 1,255,595 1,295,935 1,336,120 1,378,003 1,420,894 1,464,397 1,508,379 1,552,764 1,597,450 1,642,443 1,687,803 1,733,734 1,780,539 1,828,566 1,878,173 1,929,726 1,983,520 2,039,763 2,098,537

10-14 902,217 915,763 930,019 947,379 969,870 998,241 1,032,152 1,071,026 1,112,924 1,154,586 1,195,944 1,236,910 1,277,126 1,317,203 1,358,981 1,401,775 1,445,192 1,489,104 1,533,432 1,578,080 1,623,047 1,668,396 1,714,324 1,761,135 1,809,174 15-19 798,019 819,165 838,703 856,523 872,818 887,381 900,857 915,086 932,427 954,870 983,136 1,016,871 1,055,506 1,097,139 1,138,552 1,179,681 1,220,445 1,260,491 1,300,420 1,342,045 1,384,690 1,427,968 1,471,750 1,515,959 1,560,502 20-24 655,186 678,841 704,864 730,764 754,775 776,845 797,622 816,907 834,579 850,821 865,409 878,956 893,262 910,624 932,987 961,061 994,492 1,032,732 1,073,926 1,114,917 1,155,654 1,196,057 1,235,795 1,275,446 1,316,779 25-29 568,366 578,129 586,122 595,908 609,891 628,868 651,824 677,128 702,393 725,925 747,650 768,165 787,265 804,828 821,022 835,629 849,258 863,640 881,000 903,221 930,993 963,979 1,001,647 1,042,211 1,082,601 30-34 432,207 456,550 481,918 504,999 523,671 537,127 546,603 554,523 564,248 578,047 596,636 619,019 643,654 668,279 691,284 712,606 732,809 751,696 769,129 785,268 799,906 813,632 828,105 845,455 867,497 35-39 336,164 347,077 357,392 369,540 385,020 404,704 427,741 451,833 473,892 491,926 505,128 514,611 522,644 532,393 546,003 564,167 585,951 609,902 633,887 656,369 677,286 697,172 715,833 733,132 749,217 40-44 233,821 250,343 268,611 286,237 301,654 314,164 324,528 334,401 346,060 360,920 379,784 401,831 424,911 446,116 463,569 476,491 485,923 494,004 503,719 517,109 534,834 556,016 579,286 602,621 624,559 45-49 188,482 190,612 193,220 198,092 206,335 218,548 234,094 251,325 268,017 282,704 294,711 304,723 314,285 325,543 339,833 357,918 379,037 401,165 421,559 438,437 451,050 460,371 468,421 478,029 491,140 50-54 152,000 158,494 164,163 168,951 172,942 175,830 177,887 180,421 185,100 192,965 204,570 219,310 235,648 251,500 265,488 276,982 286,619 295,854 306,702 320,429 337,757 357,968 379,152 398,717 414,973 55-59 101,775 109,211 117,914 126,572 134,270 140,999 147,083 152,424 156,970 160,802 163,620 165,671 168,173 172,682 180,175 191,172 205,115 220,570 235,594 248,888 259,859 269,107 277,992 288,406 301,545 60-64 89,263 87,823 86,293 86,167 88,388 93,210 100,077 108,115 116,128 123,282 129,570 135,279 140,318 144,629 148,286 151,010 153,037 155,494 159,824 166,935 177,306 190,416 204,931 219,057 231,584 65-69 68,616 72,269 75,847 78,550 79,936 79,776 78,523 77,213 77,186 79,281 83,721 89,997 97,325 104,636 111,181 116,963 122,237 126,917 130,943 134,381 136,976 138,945 141,323 145,420 152,068 70-74 50,290 51,357 52,435 53,866 55,860 58,544 61,712 64,813 67,161 68,385 68,294 67,290 66,267 66,381 68,341 72,324 77,874 84,315 90,734 96,494 101,613 106,314 110,513 114,144 117,258 75-79 32,285 34,155 36,114 37,887 39,310 40,391 41,276 42,190 43,401 45,086 47,337 49,981 52,571 54,542 55,600 55,588 54,846 54,102 54,305 56,029 59,416 64,089 69,487 74,872 79,721 80+ 36,823 38,998 41,187 43,519 46,041 48,769 51,671 54,653 57,609 60,449 63,199 65,944 68,789 71,859 75,214 78,939 82,955 86,993 90,706 93,924 96,609 98,984 101,426 104,402 108,214

Total (Males) 6,788,210 7,003,152 7,225,476 7,455,174 7,692,144 7,936,603 8,188,840 8,448,859 8,716,663 8,992,274 9,275,786 9,567,347 9,867,173 10,175,580 10,492,935 10,819,676 11,156,294 11,503,294 11,861,189 12,230,422 12,611,427 13,004,650 13,410,506 13,829,418 14,261,815 0-4 1,290,649 1,334,137 1,377,228 1,420,063 1,464,433 1,509,195 1,554,292 1,599,614 1,645,113 1,690,761 1,736,639 1,782,866 1,829,667 1,877,362 1,926,295 1,976,849 2,029,409 2,084,277 2,141,664 2,201,647 2,264,228 2,329,368 2,396,979 2,466,978 2,539,349 5-9 1,024,491 1,059,437 1,098,479 1,140,421 1,182,154 1,224,337 1,266,742 1,308,853 1,350,844 1,394,594 1,438,905 1,483,598 1,528,558 1,573,741 1,619,136 1,664,816 1,710,875 1,757,534 1,805,101 1,853,912 1,904,336 1,956,742 2,011,433 2,068,622 2,128,401

10-14 889,313 907,634 926,940 948,822 974,694 1,005,032 1,039,590 1,078,217 1,119,748 1,161,140 1,203,020 1,245,142 1,286,994 1,328,748 1,372,262 1,416,348 1,460,833 1,505,603 1,550,615 1,595,855 1,641,397 1,687,335 1,733,880 1,781,343 1,830,054 15-19 771,162 796,024 817,368 836,811 855,748 874,233 892,422 911,608 933,354 959,059 989,176 1,023,459 1,061,764 1,102,943 1,143,997 1,185,550 1,227,357 1,268,918 1,310,402 1,353,634 1,397,443 1,441,664 1,486,187 1,530,961 1,575,974 20-24 574,898 609,748 649,071 687,588 721,596 750,219 774,605 795,614 814,816 833,545 851,853 869,894 888,927 910,477 935,911 965,664 999,499 1,037,277 1,077,875 1,118,363 1,159,361 1,200,628 1,241,685 1,282,697 1,325,437 25-29 496,481 497,671 500,110 508,094 524,344 550,090 583,742 621,699 658,909 691,840 719,662 743,465 764,071 782,963 801,413 819,473 837,301 856,110 877,365 902,390 931,600 964,774 1,001,781 1,041,536 1,081,210 30-34 429,545 438,969 448,578 456,842 462,955 466,193 467,607 470,256 478,190 493,969 518,728 550,958 587,260 622,880 654,487 681,308 704,382 724,465 742,958 761,045 778,784 796,331 814,840 835,708 860,199 35-39 364,200 371,757 377,603 383,213 389,582 397,405 406,455 415,719 423,769 429,866 433,310 435,071 437,994 445,863 461,077 484,704 515,346 549,839 583,736 613,921 639,664 661,937 681,441 699,479 717,157 40-44 262,469 278,896 295,894 311,458 324,279 333,987 341,212 346,909 352,433 358,691 366,321 375,093 384,080 391,955 398,028 401,656 403,725 406,887 414,658 429,286 451,783 480,854 513,564 545,769 574,554 45-49 193,620 199,703 206,422 214,821 225,470 238,677 253,852 269,589 284,068 296,091 305,309 312,283 317,871 323,318 329,451 336,857 345,326 354,005 361,668 367,673 371,423 373,746 377,091 384,730 398,759 50-54 144,012 150,479 156,855 163,090 169,208 175,011 180,663 186,918 194,724 204,606 216,840 230,888 245,481 258,953 270,213 278,929 285,612 291,041 296,349 302,296 309,422 317,538 325,861 333,257 339,132 55-59 100,072 105,347 111,311 117,480 123,527 129,457 135,379 141,242 146,997 152,667 158,071 163,352 169,187 176,447 185,607 196,917 209,899 223,389 235,882 246,376 254,572 260,925 266,147 271,272 276,990 60-64 78,703 79,411 80,214 81,742 84,373 88,175 92,915 98,271 103,822 109,284 114,657 120,037 125,382 130,636 135,824 140,789 145,652 151,032 157,706 166,102 176,436 188,280 200,587 212,004 221,640 65-69 58,250 60,594 63,020 65,130 66,710 67,715 68,386 69,150 70,547 72,910 76,297 80,500 85,243 90,167 95,023 99,812 104,620 109,409 114,125 118,794 123,277 127,684 132,552 138,575 146,127 70-74 43,678 43,815 44,129 44,810 45,976 47,631 49,613 51,658 53,446 54,798 55,682 56,312 57,038 58,303 60,380 63,307 66,906 70,948 75,146 79,292 83,396 87,530 91,663 95,742 99,786 75-79 31,890 32,375 32,900 33,332 33,586 33,723 33,874 34,168 34,751 35,718 37,072 38,685 40,350 41,818 42,945 43,711 44,282 44,931 46,011 47,735 50,139 53,080 56,379 59,811 63,212 80+ 34,777 37,155 39,354 41,457 43,509 45,523 47,491 49,374 51,132 52,735 54,244 55,744 57,306 59,006 60,886 62,986 65,270 67,629 69,928 72,101 74,166 76,234 78,436 80,934 83,834

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184 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Table A2: Vital Events and Rates by Year of Projection (Single years), 2011-2035, Zambia (HIGH VARIANT PROJECTION)

Vital Events and Rates

Projection Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Annual Number of Births 613,883 632,725 651,714 670,615 689,282 707,813 726,372 744,946 763,515 782,171 800,992 820,166 839,949 860,531 881,966 904,425 927,983 952,729 978,596 1,005,344 1,033,029 1,061,655 1,091,240 1,121,799 1,153,333

Annual Number of Deaths 185,950 190,717 195,548 200,433 205,365 208,338 211,318 214,288 217,241 220,178 222,977 225,803 228,681 231,632 234,673 237,718 240,888 244,186 247,602 251,116 254,611 258,221 261,951 265,804 269,779

Crude Birth Rate (CBR) 44.7 44.7 44.6 44.5 44.3 44.1 43.9 43.7 43.4 43.1 42.8 42.5 42.2 41.9 41.7 41.4 41.2 41.1 40.9 40.8 40.6 40.5 40.4 40.2 40.1

Crude Death Rate (CDR) 13.6 13.5 13.4 13.3 13.2 13.0 12.8 12.6 12.3 12.1 11.9 11.7 11.5 11.3 11.1 10.9 10.7 10.5 10.4 10.2 10.0 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.4

Growth Rate(%) 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Both Sexes) 52.6 52.8 53.0 53.2 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.5 54.9 55.3 55.7 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.7 58.1 58.5 58.9 59.3 59.7 60.1 60.5 60.9 61.2

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Males) 50.2 50.4 50.6 50.9 51.1 51.5 51.8 52.2 52.6 52.9 53.3 53.7 54.1 54.4 54.8 55.2 55.6 55.9 56.3 56.6 57.0 57.4 57.8 58.1 58.5

Life Expectancy ab Birth (Females) 55.2 55.3 55.4 55.5 55.6 56.1 56.5 56.9 57.3 57.8 58.2 58.6 59.1 59.5 59.9 60.3 60.8 61.2 61.6 62.0 62.4 62.9 63.3 63.7 64.1

Infant Mortality Rate (Both Sexes) 75.5 75.0 74.4 73.9 73.3 72.1 70.9 69.7 68.5 67.3 66.2 65.0 63.8 62.7 61.6 60.5 59.4 58.3 57.3 56.2 55.2 54.1 53.1 52.1 51.1

Infant Mortality Rate (Males) 81.0 80.2 79.4 78.6 77.8 76.5 75.3 74.1 72.9 71.7 70.5 69.3 68.1 67.0 65.8 64.7 63.6 62.5 61.4 60.3 59.3 58.2 57.2 56.1 55.1

Infant Mortality Rate (Females) 69.9 69.6 69.3 69.0 68.8 67.5 66.3 65.2 64.0 62.9 61.7 60.6 59.4 58.3 57.3 56.2 55.1 54.0 53.0 52.0 50.9 49.9 48.9 48.0 47.0

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.5

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Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035 185

References

1. Zambia Ministry of Health. Health Management Information System (HMIS). Lusaka, Zambia: 2011.2. CSO. M, UNZA., TDRC., & ORC Macro Inc.,. Zambia Demographic and Health Survey, 2007. Calverton, Maryland, USA: 2009.3. CentralStatisticalOffice.NationalAccountsStatistics.Lusaka,Zambia:2010.4. CentralStatisticalOffice.ConsumerPriceStatistics.Lusaka,Zambia:2010.5. Ministry of Finance and National Planning (MoFNP). Annual Economic Report, 2010. Lusaka, Zambia: 2010.6. Government of the Republic of Zambia (GRZ). Sixth National Development Plan (SNDP), 2011-2015. Lusaka, Zambia: 2011.7. Government of the Republic of Zambia (GRZ). Vision 2030. Lusaka, Zambia: 2006.8. CentralStatisticalOffice.LivingConditionsMonitoringSurvey,2010.Lusaka,Zambia:2010.9. CentralStatisticalOffice.2010CensusofPopulationandHousing,NationalAnalyticalReport,Vol.11.Lusaka,Zambia:December2012.10. United Nations. Manuals on methods of estimating population, Manual III: Methods for Population Projections by Sex and Age. New York: 1956.11. CentralStatisticalOffice.2000CensusofPopulationandHousing:PopulationProjectionsReportLusaka,Zambia:November,2003.12. Coale AJ, Demeny PG, Vaughan B. Regional model lifetables and stable populations. New York: Academic Press; 1983.13. United Nations. Manual X: Indirect Techniques for Demographic Estimation. New York: United Nations; 1983.14. US Census Bureau. Subnational Projections Toolkit User’s Guide. Washington D.C.: US Census Bureau, 2013.15. Hajnal J. The Prospects for Population Forecasts. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 1955;Vol. 50, No. 270:pp. 309-22.16. CentralStatisticalOffice.2000CensusofPopulationandHousing:NationalAnalyticalReport,Vol.10.Lusaka,Zambia:2003.17. UNICEF. THE STATE OF THE WORLD’S CHILDREN 2008. New York: December, 2007.

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186 Zambia Population and Demographic Projections, 2011-2035

Key Persons Involved in the Production of the Report1. Editorial Team 5. Desktop Publishing TeamMr. John Kalumbi - Director Mr. Anthony M. NkoleMr. Iven Sikanyiti - Deputy Director Mr. Makoselo BowaMr. Peter Mukuka - Deputy DirectorMr. Daniel Daka - Deputy Director 6. Assistant AnalystsMr. Goodson Sinyenga-Deputy Director Mr. Oliver ChitaluMs. Nchimunya Nkombo - Census Manager Mr. Bruce SianyeukaMr. Palver Sikanyiti - Deputy Census Manager Ms. Brenda NakambaMs. Linda Chonya Mr. Ben Mwale Mr. Chibesa Musamba Mr. Michelo ChoongoMr. Anthony M. Nkole Mr. Ignatius Mwamba MwangoMs. Chola Nakazwe Daka Ms. Nasilele AmatendeMs. Etambuyu Lukonga Imwiko Ms. Mundia Muyakwa

Ms. Harriet Namukoko2. List of Analysts Mr. Mannix ChalweMr. Richard Banda - Former Census ManagerMs. Nchimunya Nkombo 7. DriversMs. Linda N. Chonya Mr.GeorgeChanda-TransportOfficerMr. Palver Sikanyiti Mr. Morris MunkondyaMr. Chibesa Musamba Mr. Leonard PhiriMr. Christopher MapomaMs. Gloria SongoloMr. Leonard KakunguMr. Gerson BandaMr. Vesper ChisumpaMr. Charles MugalaMs. Catherine Mwape

4. Tabulation ProgrammingMr. Frank KakunguMs. Catherine MwapeMr. Costain MunsakaMr. Makoselo BowaMs. Bertha NachingaMr. Tabo SimutanyiMs. Chonde NamutoweMr. Victor BwalyaMs. Hilda ChilesheMr. Chibesa Ndawa