political monitor november 2017
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1
Ipsos MORIPOLITICALMONITORNovember
2017
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2
VOTING
INTENTIONS
3Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and
always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections = 785. Margin of error is displayed at +/- 4%
Voting Intention
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTIONHEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = -2
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = -2
37%
39%
9%
4%
4%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
38%
40%
9%
4%
3%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
4Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election
2015 General Election
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May 1
5
Jun
15
Jul 15
Au
g 1
5
Sep
15
Oct
15
No
v 1
5
Dec
15
Jan
16
Feb
16
Mar
16
Ap
r 16
May 1
6
Jun
16
Jul 16
Au
g 1
6
Sep
16
Oct
16
No
v 1
6
Dec
16
Jan
17
Feb
17
Mar
17
Ap
r 17
May 1
7
Jun
17
Jul 17
Au
g 1
7
Sep
17
Oct
17
No
v 1
7
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
5Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan
04
Jul 04
Jan
05
Jul 05
Jan
06
Jul 06
Jan
07
Jul 07
Jan
08
Jul 08
Jan
09
Jul 09
Jan
10
Jul 10
Jan
11
Jul 11
Jan
12
Jul 12
Jan
13
Jul 13
Jan
14
Jul 14
Jan
15
Jul 15
Jan
16
Jul 16
Jan
17
Jul 17
2015 General Election
Miliband
elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: January ‘04 – November ‘17
2005 General Election 2010 General Election
Cameron
elected
(Dec 05)
Brown
as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 6
SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND
PARTY LEADERS
7Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Theresa May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
26%
67%
6%
32%
59%
9%
42%
49%
9%
Jeremy Corbyn The Government
-5.5%swing from October 2017
-2%swing from October 2017
-2.5%swing from October 2017
-6%swing from October 2017
-27 Net -7 Net -12 Net -41 Net
SATISFIED 32% SATISFIED 42% SATISFIED 27% SATISFIED 26%
DISSATISFIED 59% DISSATISFIED 49% DISSATISFIED 39% DISSATISFIED 67%
27%
39%
35%
Vince Cable
8Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER
/LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month.
Satisfaction with Party leaders Sept 2015 – Nov 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep
15
Oct
15
No
v 1
5
Dec
15
Jan
16
Feb
16
Mar
16
Ap
r 16
May 1
6
Ju
n 1
6
Ju
l 16
Au
g 1
6
Sep
16
Oct
16
No
v 1
6
Dec
16
Jan
17
Feb
17
Mar
17
Ap
r 17
May 1
7
Ju
n 1
7
Ju
l 17
Au
g 1
7
Sep
17
Oct
17
No
v 1
7
MAY CORBYN CABLE
32%
42%
27%
9Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers (1979-2017)
MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Net
sati
sfact
ion
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
May
Number of months after becoming Prime Minister
10Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE …
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2017)
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Hague (97-01) Ducan Smith (01-03) Howard (03-05) Cameron (05-10)
Blair (94-97) Miliband (10-15) Corbyn (15-present) Kinnock (83-92)
Foot (80-83) Smith (92-94)
Number of months after becoming Opposition Leader
Net
sati
sfact
ion
Corbyn
11Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 24th November – 28th November 2017
Theresa May (satisfaction)
32%
59%
9%
November 2017 August 2016 – November 2017
SATISFIED 32%
DISSATISFIED 59%
DON’T KNOW 9%
Net = -27
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Au
g-1
6
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
No
v-1
6
Dec-
16
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar-
17
Ap
r-17
May-1
7
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
12Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 336 Conservative supporters 18+ , 24th November – 28th November 2017
Theresa May (satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters)
59%
32%
9%
November 2017
SATISFIED 59%
DISSATISFIED 32%
DON’T KNOW 9%
Net = +27
August 2016 – November 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Au
g-1
6
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
No
v-1
6
Dec-
16
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar-
17
Ap
r-17
May-1
7
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
13Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
42%
49%
9%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep
-15
Oct
-15
No
v-1
5
Dec-
15
Jan
-16
Feb
-16
Mar-
16
Ap
rl-1
6
May-1
6
Jun
-16
Jul-
16
Au
g-1
6
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
No
v-1
6
Dec-
16
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar-
17
Ap
r-17
May-1
7
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
SATISFIED 42%
DISSATISFIED 49%
DON’T KNOW 9%
Net = -7
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 24th November – 28th November 2017
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
November 2017 September 2015 – November 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
14Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
72%
21%
7%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep
-15
Oct
-15
No
v-1
5
Dec-
15
Jan
-16
Feb
-16
Mar-
16
Ap
rl-1
6
May-1
6
Jun
-16
Jul-
16
Au
g-1
6
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
No
v-1
6
Dec-
16
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar-
17
Ap
r-17
May-1
7
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
SATISFIED 72%
DISSATISFIED 21%
DON’T KNOW 7%
Net = +51
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 348 Labour supporters 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters)
November 2017 September 2015 – November 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
15Political Monitor | November 2017 | Final | Public
27%
39%
35% SATISFIED 27%
DISSATISFIED 39%
DON’T KNOW 35%
Net = -12
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY VINCE CABLE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Vince Cable (satisfaction)
November 2017
Base: 1003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
September 2017 – November 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 16
ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM
17Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
15%
24%
58%
3%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan
-07
May-0
7Ju
l-07
Sep
-07
Dec-
07
Feb
-08
Ap
r-08
Jun
-08
Au
g-0
8O
ct-0
8D
ec-
08
Feb
-09
Ap
r-09
Jun
-09
Au
g-0
9O
ct-0
9D
ec-
09
Feb
-10
Ap
r-10
Jun
-10
Sep
-10
No
v-1
0Ja
n-1
1M
ar-
11
May-1
1Ju
l-117
Sep
-11
No
v-1
1Ja
n-1
2M
ar-
12
May-1
2Ju
l-12
Sep
-12
No
v-1
2Ja
n-1
3M
ar-
13
May-1
3Ju
l-13
Sep
-13
No
v-1
3Ja
n-1
4M
ar-
14
May-1
4Ju
l-14
Sep
-14
No
v-1
4Ja
n-1
5M
ar-
15
Ap
r-15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Dec-
15
Feb
-16
Ap
rl-1
6Ju
n-1
6A
ug
-16
Oct
-16
Dec-
16
Feb
-17
Ap
r-17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
IMPROVE 15%
STAY THE SAME 24%
GET WORSE 58%
DON’T KNOW 3%
EOI = -43
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,052 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
Economic Optimism Index
November 2017
18Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Economic Optimism at lowest point since December 2011
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
No
v 1
997
Mar
1998
Jul 1998
No
v 1
998
Mar
1999
Jul 1999
No
v 1
999
Mar
2000
Jul 2000
No
v 2
000
Mar
2001
Jul 2001
No
v 2
001
Mar
2002
Jul 2002
No
v 2
002
Mar
2003
Jul 2003
No
v 2
003
Mar
2004
Jul 2004
No
v 2
004
Mar
2005
Jul 2005
No
v 2
005
Mar
2006
Jul 2006
No
v 2
006
Mar
2007
Jul 2007
No
v 2
007
Mar
2008
Jul 2008
No
v 2
008
Mar
2009
Jul 2009
No
v 2
009
Mar
2010
Jul 2010
No
v 2
010
Mar
2011
Jul 2011
No
v 2
011
Mar
2012
Jul 2012
No
v 2
012
Mar
2013
Jul 2013
No
v 2
013
Mar
2014
Jul 2014
No
v 2
014
Mar
2015
Jul 2015
No
v 2
015
Mar
2016
Jul 2016
No
v 2
016
Mar
2017
Jul 2017
No
v 2
017
-43
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 19
Budget reaction
20Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
ON BALANCE DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENT: IN THE LONG TERM,
THIS GOVERNMENT’S POLICIES WILL IMPROVE THE STATE OF BRITAIN’S ECONOMY
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
Majority do not think the Government’s policies will be
AGREE DISAGREE
good for Britain’s economy in the long-term
41%
54%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Jul 80
Jul 81
Jul 82
Jul 83
Jul 84
Jul 85
Jul 86
Jul 87
Jul 88
Jul 89
Jul 90
Jul 91
Jul 92
Jul 93
Jul 94
Jul 95
Jul 96
Jul 97
Jul 98
Jul 99
Jul 00
Jul 01
Jul 02
Jul 03
Jul 04
Jul 05
Jul 06
Jul 07
Jul 08
Jul 09
Jul 10
Jul 11
Jul 12
Jul 13
Jul 14
Jul 15
Jul 16
Jul 17
21Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
ON BALANCE DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENT: IN THE LONG TERM,
THIS GOVERNMENT’S POLICIES WILL IMPROVE THE STATE OF PUBLIC SERVICES?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
While the public still believe the Government’s policies
AGREE DISAGREE
will be bad for public services
30%
64%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Jun
01
Oct
01
No
v 0
1
Mar
02
May 0
2
Sep
02
Dec
02
Mar
03
Jun
03
Jul 03
Sep
03
Dec
03
Mar
04
Jun
04
Sep
04
No
v 0
4
Feb
05
May 0
5
Sep
05
No
v 0
5
Mar
06
May 0
6
Sep
06
No
v 0
6
Mar
07
May 0
7
Sep
07
No
v 0
7
Mar
08
Sep
08
Jun
09
No
v 0
9
Jul 10
Oct
10
Jan
11
Oct
13
Mar
15
No
v 1
5
No
v 1
7
22Political Monitor | November 2017 | Final | Public
34%
46%
20%
CAN YOU TELL ME WHETHER YOU ARE SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY PHILLIP HAMMOND IS
DOING HIS JOB AS CHANCELLOR OF THE EXCHEQUER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
Phillip Hammond (satisfaction)
SATISFIED 34%
DISSATISFIED 46%
DON’T KNOW 20%
Net = -12
36%
45%
19%
SATISFIED 36%
DISSATISFIED 45%
DON’T KNOW 19%
Net = -11
March 2017 November 2017
23Political Monitor | November 2017 | Final | Public
66%
44%
67%
52%
45% 45%
34%
39%
44%42%
37%39%
36%37%
18%
31%
17%
24%
28%
38%
34%
52%
44%
56%
45%
42%
48%
52%
34%
41%
55%57%
48%46%
49%47%
42%
32%
28%
36%
40%
36%38%
28%27%
47%
43%44%
35%
40%
27%
39%
34%36%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Ma
r-76
Ma
r-77
Ap
r-7
8
Jul-
80
Ma
r-82
Jun
-83
Ma
r-85
Ma
r-86
Ma
r-87
Ma
r-88
Ma
r-89
Ma
r-90
Ma
r-91
Ma
r-92
Ma
r-93
De
c-9
3
De
c-9
4
No
v-9
5
De
c-9
5
No
v-9
6
De
c-9
6
Jul-
97
Fe
b-9
8
Ma
r-98
Ma
r-99
Fe
b-0
0
Ma
r-00
Jul-
00
Se
p-0
0
No
v-0
0
Ma
r-01
Ap
r-0
2
Ap
r-0
3
Ma
r-04
No
v-0
5
Fe
b-0
6
De
c-0
6
Ap
r-0
7
Ma
r-08
Ma
r-10
Jun
-10
Ma
r-11
De
c-1
1
Ap
r-1
2
Ma
r-13
Ap
r-1
4
Ma
r-15
Jul-
15
No
v-1
5
Fe
b-1
6
Ma
r-16
No
v-1
6
Ma
r-17
No
v-1
7
% s
ati
sfi
ed
CAN YOU TELL ME WHETHER YOU ARE SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY PHILLIP HAMMOND IS
DOING HIS JOB AS CHANCELLOR OF THE EXCHEQUER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Satisfaction with Chancellors since 1976
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Healey MajorHowe Lawson Lamont Clarke Brown Darling Osborne Hammond
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month
24Political Monitor | November 2017 | Final | Public
WHO DO YOU THINK WOULD MAKE THE MOST CAPABLE CHANCELLOR, THE CONSERVATIVE’S
PHILLIP HAMMOND, OR LABOUR’S JOHN MCDONNELL?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
More see Hammond than McDonnell as most capable
41
46
46
41
28
25
26
27
30
29
28
32
Osborne vs Balls (March 15)
Osborne vs McDonnell (Feb 16)
Hammond vs McDonnell (Nov 16)
Hammond vs McDonnell (Nov 17)
Hammond/Osborne McDonnell/Balls
Chancellor – although the gap has closed since last year
25Political Monitor | November 2017 | Final | Public
49%
19%
11%
21%
Hammond Gove Neither Don’t know
WHO DO YOU THINK WOULD MAKE THE MOST CAPABLE CHANCELLOR, BETWEEN THESE TWO
CONSERVATIVE’S, PHILLIP HAMMOND, OR MICHAEL GOVE?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
Hammond beats Gove as most capable chancellor
26Political Monitor | November 2017 | Final | Public
AS YOU MAY KNOW, THE GOVERNMENT ANNOUNCED ITS 2017 BUDGET THIS WEEK/LAST WEEK.
FROM WHAT YOU KNOW OR HAVE HEARD, DO YOU THINK THE BUDGET PROPOSALS ARE A GOOD
THING OR A BAD THING….?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
Public split on the budget being good or bad
41
35
38
36
For the country
For you personally
GOOD THING BAD THING
for the country and them personally
27Political Monitor | November 2017 | Final | Public
AS YOU MAY KNOW, THE GOVERNMENT ANNOUNCED ITS 2017 BUDGET THIS WEEK/ LAST WEEK.
FROM WHAT YOU KNOW OR HAVE HEARD, DO YOU THINK THE BUDGET PROPOSALS ARE A GOOD
THING OR A BAD THING….?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
Little change on budget being good personally
35%
33%
35%
45%
43%
36%
39%
40%
38%
35%
Nov-17
Mar-17
Mar-16
Jul-15
Apr-14
GOOD THING BAD THING
For you personally
from March
28Political Monitor | November 2017 | Final | Public
AS YOU MAY KNOW, THE GOVERNMENT ANNOUNCED ITS 2017 BUDGET THIS WEEK/ LAST WEEK.
FROM WHAT YOU KNOW OR HAVE HEARD, DO YOU THINK THE BUDGET PROPOSALS ARE A GOOD
THING OR A BAD THING….?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
And little change on the budget being good
GOOD THING BAD THING
For the country
41%
38%
30%
46%
48%
38%
42%
53%
44%
33%
Nov-17
Mar-17
Mar-16
Jul-15
Apr-14
for the country from March
29Political Monitor | November 2017 | Final | Public
34
68
26
41
36
42
32
42
49
40
36
27
36 35
11
16 15
25
20
29
3336
26
4245
24
34
21
26 25
4345
3533
35
47
69
39
47 4846
3537
45
4042
28
3234
23
29
2023
27
56 57
4648
52
65
37
45
25
54
33
4846
30
3841
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
% ‘
Go
od
’
For you personally For the countrySource: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
AS YOU MAY KNOW, THE GOVERNMENT ANNOUNCED ITS 2017 BUDGET THIS WEEK/ LAST WEEK.
FROM WHAT YOU KNOW OR HAVE HEARD, DO YOU THINK THE BUDGET PROPOSALS ARE A GOOD
THING OR A BAD THING….?
Budget reaction - trends
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Party Image
31Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
25%
31%
66%
37%
45%
54%
38%
64%
47%
64%
62%
22%
27%
28%
28%
32%
40%
43%
55%
58%
63%
73%
Keeps its promises
Has a good team of leaders
Concerned about people in real need in Britain
Extreme
Looks after the interests of people like me
Understands the problems facing Britain
Fit to govern
Different to the other parties
Out of date
Will promise anything to win votes
Divided
Conservative Labour
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICAL PARTIES.
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Conservatives seen as more divided than Labour
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO THE LABOUR PARTY/ THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY?
+11
-1
+11
-9
+5
-14
-13
-9
-38
-4
-3
Con party lead
Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
while gap closes on being fit to govern
32Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICAL PARTIES.
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Conservatives seen as more divided and less good
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY?
26%
47%
37%
27%
38%
48%
53%
53%
45%
65%
52%
22%
27%
28%
28%
32%
40%
43%
55%
58%
63%
73%
Keeps its promises
Has a good team of leaders
Concerned about people in real need in Britain
Extreme
Looks after the interests of people like me
Understands the problems facing Britain
Fit to govern
Different to the other parties
Out of date
Will promise anything to win votes
Divided
Nov-17 Oct-16Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
+21
-2
+13
+2
-10
-8
-6
+1
-9
-20
-4
Change since Oct 16
team of leaders compared with last year
33Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
23%
21%
38%
26%
33%
61%
41%
82%
59%
57%
56%
25%
31%
37%
38%
45%
47%
54%
62%
64%
64%
66%
Keeps its promises
Has a good team of leaders
Extreme
Fit to govern
Looks after the interests of people like me
Out of date
Understands the problems facing Britain
Divided
Different to the other parties
Will promise anything to win votes
Concerned about people in real need in Britain
Nov-17 Oct-16
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICAL PARTIES.
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Labour seen as less divided and improve on being
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO THE LABOUR PARTY?
Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
+10
+7
+5
-20
+13
-14
+12
+12
-1
+10
+2
Change since Oct 16
fit to govern from last year
34Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICAL PARTIES.
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Gap between parties closing on being fit to govern
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO THE LABOUR PARTY/CONSERVATIVE PARTY?
Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
50%
43%
38% 38%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Sep
-11
Sep
-12
Sep
-13
Sep
-14
Ap
r-15
Sep
-15
Oct
-16
No
v-1
7
Fit to govern (Conservative) Fit to govern (Labour)
35Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICAL PARTIES.
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Conservatives now seen as more divided than
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO THE LABOUR PARTY/CONSERVATIVE PARTY?
Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
49%
73%
55% 62%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Sep
-11
Sep
-12
Sep
-13
Sep
-14
Ap
r-15
Sep
-15
Oct
-16
No
v-1
7
Divided (Conservative) Divided (Labour)
Labour
36Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICAL PARTIES.
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Conservatives have lost their lead as being seen as
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO THE LABOUR PARTY/CONSERVATIVE PARTY?
Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
44%
27%34%31%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Sep
-11
Sep
-12
Sep
-13
Sep
-14
Ap
r-15
Sep
-15
Oct
-16
No
v-1
7
Has a good team of leaders (Conservative) Has a good team of leaders (Labour)
having a good team of leaders
37Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICAL PARTIES.
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Labour now lead as being the party that best
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO THE LABOUR PARTY/CONSERVATIVE?
Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
50%40%
50% 54%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Sep
-11
Sep
-12
Sep
-13
Sep
-14
Ap
r-15
Sep
-15
Oct
-16
No
v-1
7
Understands the problems facing Britain (Conservative) Understands the problems facing Britain (Labour)
N.B. ‘Extreme’ was not asked in September 2013
understands the problems facing Britain
38Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICAL PARTIES.
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Labour still seen as being seen as extreme
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO THE LABOUR PARTY/CONSERVATIVE?
Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
28% 28%
22%
37%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Sep
-11
Sep
-12
Sep
-13
Sep
-14
Ap
r-15
Sep
-15
Oct
-16
No
v-1
7
Extreme (Conservative) Extreme (Labour)
N.B. ‘Extreme’ was not asked in September 2013
39Political Monitor | November 2017| Final | Public
I AM GOING TO READ OUT SOME THINGS BOTH FAVOURABLE AND UNFAVOURABLE THAT HAVE BEEN
SAID ABOUT VARIOUS POLITICAL PARTIES.
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
The public now see Labour as the party who looks
WHICH OF THESE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK APPLY TO THE LABOUR PARTY/CONSERVATIVE?
Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 24th November – 28th November 2017
32% 32%
41%45%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Sep
-11
Sep
-12
Sep
-13
Sep
-14
Ap
r-15
Sep
-15
Oct
-16
No
v-1
7
Looks after the interests of people like me (Conservative) Looks after the interests of people like me (Labour)
N.B. ‘Extreme’ was not asked in September 2013
after the interests of people like them
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40
Ipsos MORINovember 2017 POLITICAL MONITOR