polaroid corporation 1996
DESCRIPTION
financial management caseTRANSCRIPT
Financing Policy
Case: Polaroid Corporation, 1996
Ten Years Financial Summary (US$ Millions)
1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987Selected Income Statement InformationNet Sales - US $1,019.0 $1,160.3 $1,178.8 $1,145.7 $1,113.6 $1,058.3 $1,091.8 $1,048.3 $1,009.3Net Sales - International 1,217.9 1,152.2 1,066.1 1,006.6 957.0 913.4 812.9 814.6 754.6Net Sales - Total 2,236.9 2,312.5 2,244.9 2,152.3 2,070.6 1,971.7 1,904.7 1,862.9 1,763.9Operating Expenses 2,147.7 2,112.2 2,059.5 1,938.5 1,824.0 1,687.4 1,600.5 1,689.1 1,610.1Profit from Opns. Before Restructuring Exp. 89.2 200.3 185.4 213.8 246.6 284.3 304.2 173.8 153.8Restructuring Expense 247.0 0.0 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 40.5 151.9 0.0Interest Expense 52.1 46.6 47.9 58.5 58.4 81.3 86.2 29.0 15.0Net Earnings -140.2 117.2 -51.3 99.0 683.7 151.0 145.0 -22.6 125.2Common Shares, End of Year (000s) 45,533 45,998 46,806 46,668 48,919 50,070 52,110 71,635 61,918Common Shares Repurchased (000s) 1,218 941 0 2,258 1,151 2,040 19,525 0 0Repurchase Outlay ($ millions) $40.2 $30.6 $0.0 $63.4 $30.6 $55.6 $950.6 $0.0 $0.0Common Shares Issued (000s) 753 133 138 7 0 0 0 9,717 0Earnings Per Share -$3.09 $2.49 -$1.10 $2.06 $12.54 $2.20 $1.96 -$0.34 $2.02Dividend Per Share $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60
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Ten Years Financial Summary (US$ Millions)
1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987Selected Balance Sheet InformationWorking Capital $738.5 $886.8 $833.6 $789.0 $695.3 $609.1 $642.0 $980.0 $652.6Net Property, Plant & Equipment 691.0 747.3 718.2 657.3 549.4 461.0 430.9 433.8 359.6Total Assets 2,261.8 2,316.7 2,212.3 2,008.1 1,889.3 1,701.3 1,776.7 1,957.2 1,599.4Long-Term Debt 526.7 566.0 602.3 637.4 471.8 513.8 602.2 402.3 0.0Redeemable Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 348.6 321.9 0.0 0.0Common Stockholders' Equity 717.7 864.4 767.3 808.9 772.9 207.7 148.8 1,011.5 1,048.2Addns. to Property Plant and Equip. 167.9 146.7 165.6 201.5 175.8 120.9 94.5 127.0 116.6Depreciation $132.7 $118.2 $100.3 $89.1 $85.5 $87.2 $87.4 $81.9 $75.7Book Value LT Debt/Capital 42.3% 39.6% 44.0% 44.1% 37.9% 48.0% 56.1% 28.5% 0.0%Market Value LT Debt/Capital 19.6% 27.5% 27.8% 30.5% 26.6% 25.3% 28.5% 23.4% 0.0%
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Ten Years Financial Summary (US$ Millions)
1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987Selected Valuation Information (at years' ends)Polaroid Stock Price $47.38 $32.50 $33.50 $31.13 $26.63 $23.38 $22.88 $18.38 $11.88S&P 500 Index 615.93 459.27 466.25 435.71 417.09 330.22 353.40 277.72 247.08 Polaroid Average P/E (1) 12.1 13.3 15.6 14.2 12.2 15.6 21.8 NMF 14.7S&P Industrials Average P/E (1) 15.2 15.5 18.4 19.8 19 14.4 12.6 10.8 15.3Polaroid Market/Book Ratio 3.01 1.73 2.04 1.80 1.69 5.63 8.01 1.30 0.70 Polaroid Beta 1.05 1.05 1.15 1.15 1.20 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.20Yield on 30-Year T-Bonds 6.88% 7.37% 6.59% 7.67% 8.14% 8.61% 8.45% 8.96% 8.59%Yield on 90-day T-Bills 5.49% 4.25% 3.00% 3.43% 5.38% 7.50% 8.11% 6.67% 5.78%Total Annual Return on Large Co. Stocks 33.00% 1.30% 9.90% 7.67% 30.55% -3.17% 31.49% 18.81% 5.23%
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Income Statement: Consolidated Statement of Earnings (in $ Millions)
1995 1994 1995 1994Net Sales United States $1,019.0 $1,160.3 46 50 International 1,217.9 1,152.2 54 50 Total Net Sales 2,236.9 2,312.5 100 100Cost of Goods Sold 1,298.6 1,324.2 58 57Marketing, Research, & Admin. 849.1 788.0 38 34Restructuring & Other. 247.0 0.0 11 0Total Costs 2,394.7 2,122.2 107 92Profit/(Loss) from Operations -157.8 200.3 -7 9Interest Income 8.7 9.7 0 0Other Income -0.2 -2.7 0 0Interest Expense 52.1 46.6 2 2Earnings/(Loss) Before Taxes -201.4 160.7 -9 7Tax Expense -61.2 43.5 -3 2Net Earnings/(Loss) -140.2 117.2 -6 5
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Balance Sheet (in $ Millions)1995 1994 1995 1994
AssetsCurrent Assets Cash and Cash Equivalents $73.3 $143.3 3 6 Short-Term Investments 9.8 85.6 0 4 Receivables, less allowances 550.4 541.0 24 23 Inventories 615.5 577.4 27 25 Prepaid Expenses and Other 208.5 141.4 9 6Total Current Assets 1,457.5 1,488.7 64 64 Gross Property Plant and Equipment 2,164.4 2,043.4 96 88 Less Accumulated Depreciation 1,473.4 1,296.1 65 56Net Property, Plant and Equipment 691.0 747.3 31 32Prepaid Taxes -- non-current 113.3 80.7 5 3Total Assets $2,261.8 $2,316.7 100 100
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Balance Sheet (in $ Millions)1995 1994 1995 1994
Liabilities and Stockholders' EquityCurrent Liabilities Short-Term Debt $160.4 $117.1 7 5 Current Portion of Long-Term Debt 39.7 35.9 2 2 Payables and Acrruals 274.9 275.7 12 12 Compensation & Benefits 197.4 121.4 9 5 Taxes Payable 46.6 51.8 2 2Total Current Liabilities 719.0 601.9 32 26Long-Term Debt 526.7 566.0 23 24Accrued Postretirement Benefits 257.2 247.2 11 11Accrued Postemployment Benefits 41.2 37.2 2 2Total Liabilities 1,544.1 1,452.3 68 63Preferred Stock 0.0 0.0 0 0Common Stockholders' Equity 0 0 Common Stock (1) 75.4 75.4 3 3 Additional Paid-In Capital 401.9 387.2 18 17 Retained Earnings 1,525.8 1,692.1 67 73 Less Treasury Stock, at Cost 1,205.4 1,174.5 53 51 Less Deferred Compensation 80.0 115.8 4 5 Total Common Stockholders Equity 717.7 864.4 32 37Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity $2,261.8 $2,316.7 100 1008
Financing
•5‐year $150 million• To be used for general purpose• Set to expire in 1999• 1994‐95 – no borrowing in this line
Working‐capital line of credit
• To support the firm’s foreign currency balance sheet exposure
• End 1994 – borrowings outside US were $160.4 million
• Unused borrowings under these lines of credit were $160 million
International line of credits
• $150 million, 7.25% notes due Jan 15, 1997• Issued at a discount (YTM 7.42%)
• $200 million, 8% notes were due March 15, 1999• Had been issued with a discount of YTM 8.18%
• Both issues were non‐callable
Notes
• Had been drawn in 1988• To establish PC’s leveraged ESOP• As part of leveraged recapitalization of the firm• Scheduled principal payments were made semiannually through 1997 when a final payment of $37.7 million was due
• Weighted average interest on the loan..,• 1995 – 5.2%• 1994 – 4.4%• 1993 – 3.6%
• Special tax benefits to providers of ESOP loans accounted for the unusually low interest rates
ESOP Loan
• $140 million, 8% convertibles due in 2001• Annual interest rate of 8%• Convertible to common stock at $32.50 per share• Redeemable by the company after Sept 30, 1998, or sooner if the stock prices exceeded $48.75 per share for 20 or 30 consecutive trading days
• All of the debentures were held by Corporate Partners
Convertible subordinated debentures
Optimizing Financing Mix
Approaches
Firm Value
Financial Flexibility
WACC
Constraints• Voting Control• Investment Grade Rating
• OIAOperating Income Approach
• CoCCost of Capital Approach
• APVAdjusted Present Value Approach
• RDReturn Differential Approach
• CAComparable Approach
Value1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Free Cash Flow 120.8 94.3 99.2 105.1 103.1 Ex. 6WACC 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% AssumedTerminal Growth rate 6% AssumedTerminal Value 2732.15Total Free Cash Flow 120.8 94.3 99.2 105.1 2835.25PV of FCF 110 78 75 72 1,760DCF 2,095Less: Debt 726.8Equity Value 1,368Outstanding Shares 45.5Intrinsic Value per Share 30.06Recent Share Price 47.38Premium of Price vs. Value 37%
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Market is in premium because of..,Betting on beneficial effects of a new CEOSubstantial improvements in profit marginsNotable success in emerging marketsPossibility on new products
Gets an opportunity to sell overvalued stocks
AAA AA A BBB BB BWACC (Market Weights) - Hudson 9.60% 9.41% 9.28% 9.08% 9.67% 10.13%WACC (Market Weights) - CAPM 10.58% 10.43% 10.30% 10.14% 10.11% 10.24%DCF - Hudson 2,322 2,448 2,540 2,705 2,278 2,030DCF - CAPM 1,837 1,896 1,952 2,025 2,040 1,979
Ex. 6
Without Taxes With Taxes
Value of the Firm VL = VU VL = VU + tD
WACC rWACC = rWACC = 1Cost of Equity 1
Firm Value
Firm Value = (47.38*75.4)+(726.8*40%) – Financial Distress Cost
Adjusted PV
Firm Value
Price of Underlying Asset Firm Value ($MM) 4299.252Exercise price Face value of debt ($MM) 726.8Volatility Volatility of opertaing income or share price 34.79%Life of option Term of Debt 3.62Risk free rate Should be contemporaneous with the life of option (~5 years) 6%Put Option Value Using BSM 3627.579
ValuingPutOption
Firm Value = (47.38*75.4)+(726.8*40%) – 3627.579 = 235.6
Adjusted PV
AAA AA A BBB BB BCost of Debt (pre-tax) 6.70% 6.90% 7.00% 7.40% 9.00% 10.60% Ex. 11Cost of Equity 10.25% 10.30% 10.40% 10.50% 11.75% 13.00% Ex. 11Hudson Guaranty's Estimates of Equity CostsCost of Debt (after tax of 40%) 4.02% 4.14% 4.20% 4.44% 5.40% 6.36% EstimatedCost of Equity 10.25% 10.30% 10.40% 10.50% 11.75% 13.00% Ex. 11Market/Book Ratio 3 3 3 3 3 3 Ex. 1Debt/Capital (Book) 25.90% 33.60% 39.70% 47.80% 59.40% 69.50% Ex. 9Debt/Capital (Market) 10% 14% 18% 23% 33% 43% EstimatedWeight of Debt 10% 14% 18% 23% 33% 43%Weight of Equity 90% 86% 82% 77% 67% 57%WACC (Market Weights) 9.60% 9.41% 9.28% 9.08% 9.67% 10.13% EstimatedWACC (Book Weights) 8.64% 8.23% 7.94% 7.60% 7.98% 8.39% Estimated28
WACCCost of Capital
WACCAAA AA A BBB BB B
CAPM and Levered BetasCost of Debt (pre-tax) 6.70% 6.90% 7.00% 7.40% 9.00% 10.60% Ex. 11Current Levered Beta 1.05Debt/Equity (Market) 11.65% 16.87% 21.95% 30.52% 48.77% 75.96%Recent Debt/Capital (Market) ratio 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%Recent Debt/Equity (Market) ratio 32% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32%Tax rate 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%Unlevered Beta 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88Relevered Beta 0.94 0.97 1.00 1.04 1.14 1.29Cost of Equity (Rf = 6.24%, EMRP = 5.4%) 11.34% 11.49% 11.63% 11.88% 12.40% 13.18%Cost of Debt (after 40% tax) 4.02% 4.14% 4.20% 4.44% 5.40% 6.36%Market/Book Ratio 3 3 3 3 3 3Debt/Capital(Book) 25.90% 33.60% 39.70% 47.80% 59.40% 69.50%Debt/Capital(Market) 10% 14% 18% 23% 33% 43%WACC (Market Weights) 10.58% 10.43% 10.30% 10.14% 10.11% 10.24%WACC (Book Weights) 9.44% 9.02% 8.68% 8.32% 8.24% 8.44%10-year Treasury Bond Rate 6.24% 6.24% 6.24% 6.24% 6.24% 6.24%Implied rate of beta for varios ratings 0.74 0.75 0.77 0.79 1.02 1.25 eg. (10.25%-6
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Cost of Capital
Cost of Equity
9.00%9.50%
10.00%10.50%11.00%11.50%12.00%12.50%13.00%13.50%
AAA AA A BBB BB B
Rating Category
Cos
tofE
quity
CAPM
Hudson
WACC
9.00%9.20%9.40%9.60%9.80%
10.00%10.20%10.40%10.60%10.80%
A AA A A AB BB B B
Rating Category
Cos
tofC
apita
l
CAPM -based WACCHudson's WACCs
Cost of Capital
A (20%) B (60%)
Risk for Lenders
Low* High
Owners Risk Low* High
Credit Rating High* Low
Financial Flexibility
High* Low
WACC ? ?
A B
WACC Financial Distress
Signaling Effects
Incentive Effects
Event Clientele Effects
Cost of Capital
ROE vs. Cost of Equity
Return Differential
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000PBIT 187.53104 232.5934 258.9463 274.1831 293.0259Total Capital 1796.8 1877.8 1974.6 2080.5 2197.8
AAA 25.90% 465 486 511 539 569AA 33.60% 604 631 663 699 738A 39.70% 713 745 784 826 873BBB 47.80% 859 898 944 994 1051BB 59.40% 1067 1115 1173 1236 1305B 69.50% 1249 1305 1372 1446 1527
AAA 6.70% 31 33 34 36 38AA 6.90% 42 44 46 48 51A 7% 50 52 55 58 61BBB 7.40% 64 66 70 74 78BB 9% 96 100 106 111 117B 10.60% 132 138 145 153 162AAA 156 200 225 238 255AA 146 189 213 226 242A 138 180 204 216 232BBB 124 166 189 201 215BB 91 132 153 163 176B 55 94 113 121 131
AAA 11.74% 14.37% 15.36% 15.44% 15.65%AA 12.23% 15.16% 16.26% 16.36% 16.59%A 12.70% 15.93% 17.14% 17.25% 17.50%BBB 13.22% 16.95% 18.35% 18.47% 18.77%BB 12.54% 17.34% 19.13% 19.29% 19.67%B 10.07% 16.46% 18.84% 19.05% 19.56%
AAA 11.34% 0.40% 3.03% 4.02% 4.10% 4.31%AA 11.49% 0.74% 3.67% 4.77% 4.87% 5.10%A 11.63% 1.07% 4.30% 5.50% 5.61% 5.87%BBB 11.88% 1.34% 5.07% 6.47% 6.59% 6.89%BB 12.40% 0.14% 4.94% 6.73% 6.89% 7.27%B 13.18% -3.11% 3.28% 5.66% 5.88% 6.38%
ROE
ROECost of Equity
% Spread
Debt
Debt / Capital
Cost of Debt
Interest Cost
PAT@40% Tax Rate
Comparable Approach
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BBB / Baa3
AAA AA A BBB BB B Required Ratios for Rating CategoryPretax interest coverage (x) 13.50 9.67 5.76 3.94 2.14 1.17 Ex. 9EBITDA Interest coverage (x) 17.08 12.80 8.18 6.00 3.49 2.16 Ex. 9Funds from operations/total debt (%) 98% 69% 46% 33% 18% 13% Ex. 9Free operating cash flow/total debt (%) 60% 27% 21% 7% 1% -1% Ex. 9Pretax return on permanent capital (%) 29% 21% 19% 14% 12% 9% Ex. 9Operating income/sales (%) 23% 18% 16% 14% 14% 12% Ex. 9Long-term debt/capital (%) 13% 21% 32% 43% 56% 66% Ex. 9Total debt/capitalization incl. short-term debt (%) 26% 34% 40% 48% 59% 70% Ex. 9Market/Book value of equity ratio 3 3 3 3 3 3 Ex. 1Market Value Debt/Capital 10% 14% 18% 23% 33% 43% Estimated
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Financial Flexibility
AAA AA A BBB BB B Estimate of Unused Debt CapacityLong Term Debt 527 527 527 527 527 527 Ex. 4Short Term Debt 160 160 160 160 160 160 Ex. 4Current Maturities of Long Term Debt 40 40 40 40 40 40 Ex. 4Total book value of Debt 727 727 727 727 727 727Market Value of Equity 2,158 2,158 2,158 2,158 2,158 2,158 $47.38*45.Enterprise Value 2,885 2,885 2,885 2,885 2,885 2,885Maximum Debt Implied by Rating 301 416 519 675 946 1245 EstimatedUnused Debt Capacity at Current Rating -426 -310 -208 -52 219 518 EstimatedUnused Debt Capacity until Investment Grade Rating is Lost (at BB) 645 529 427 271 0 -300 Estimated37
Financial Flexibility
AAA AA A BBB BB B Estimate of Interest CoveragePretax Cost of Debt 6.73% 6.87% 7.04% 7.40% 9.10% 10.52%
Interest Expense 20 29 37 50 86 131
Normalized 5-year EBIT 244.24 244.24 244.24 244.24 244.24 244.24Downside EBIT (2 Sigma) 150 150 150 150 150 150Coverage ratio - Normalized EBIT 12 9 7 5 3 2Coverage ratio - Downside EBIT 7 5 4 3 2 1
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If wanted to maintain financial reserves at $150 million, then PC cannot borrow much more than it is borrowing now (727 million)
Financial Flexibility
Is Recapitalization a Good Idea?
ESOP
Recapitalization
Repurchase
Long-Term Debt
Common Stockholders'
EquityCurrent BV D/C
BV D/C if $300 Million for Expansion
BV D/C if $300 Million for
RecapitalizationDifference in BV D/C
1995 526.7 717.7 42.33% 53.53% 87.54% 34.01%1994 566 864.4 39.57% 50.05% 76.61% 26.56%1993 602.3 767.3 43.98% 54.04% 84.36% 30.32%1992 637.4 808.9 44.07% 53.68% 81.78% 28.10%1991 471.8 772.9 37.90% 49.96% 81.70% 31.73%1990 513.8 207.7 48.01% 79.67% 193.07% 113.41%1989 602.2 148.8 56.13% 85.84% 200.04% 114.20%1988 402.3 1011.5 28.46% 40.98% 63.05% 22.08%1987 0 1048.2 0.00% 22.25% 40.10% 17.84%1986 0 960.1 0.00% 23.81% 45.45% 21.64%
Run out of profitable and internal investment
opportunitiesUndervalued Shares
Higher Perception on Manager Confidence of
Performance
Commitment on the part of insiders not to divert the resources of the firm to other uses