please contact dave senf, minnesota department of employment and economic development (deed) for...
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• Please contact Dave Senf, Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development (DEED) for more information or if you have any questions.
• Dave’s phone number is 651-259-7410 and his e-mail address is [email protected]
• Minnesota projections data is available at http://mn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/employment-outlook.jsp
• U.S. projections data is available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/home.htm
• All 50 state projections are available at http://www.projectionscentral.com/
Measures of Minnesota Employment
69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90 93 96 99 02 05 08 111,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
BEA EmploymentLAUS Household EmployedCES EmploymentProjections Employment
Key U.S. Economic Assumptions of 2012-2022 Projections
Labor Force Growth
Population Growth
Employment Growth
Productivity Growth
GDP Growth
2022 Unemployment Rate
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0.5
0.7
1.0
2.0
2.6
5.4
Chart Title
Annual Average Percent Change
Minnesota vs. U.S. Employment Growth and Projections
(2002- 2012 and 2012 - 2022)
Series10
2
4
6
8
10
12
2.2
10.8
1.0
7.0
10
-Year
Perc
en
t C
han
ge
U.S. 2002-2012 Minnesota
2002-2012
U.S. 2012-2022
Minnesota 2012-2022
Minnesota Employment - 2002, 2012, 2022 Projection
2002 2012 20220
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,00014,100
205,0003,083,000
3,083,000
Minnesota Population, Labor Force, and Employment Growth 2002 - 2012 and 2012 - 2022 Projections
Population Labor Force Employment0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
6.7
3.1
1.0
7.0
3.2
7.02002-2012 2012-2022
3,083,000
Minnesota Labor Force , Employment Growth, Unemployment Rate
Historical and 2012 – 2022 Projections
2,000,000
2,200,000
2,400,000
2,600,000
2,800,000
3,000,000
3,200,000
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9Unemployment RateProjection EmploymentLabor Force
Em
plo
ym
en
t an
d L
ab
or
Fo
rce
Un
em
plp
oym
en
t R
ate
3,083,000
Actual Projected
Percent Change in Minnesota and U.S. by Major Occupational Group
Farming, fishing, and forestry
Production
Sales and related
Installation, maintenance, and repair
Service
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25
U.S.Minneosta
Percent Change 2012 - 2022
3,083,000
Job Growth in Minnesota by Major Occupational Group, 2012 - 2022
Farming, fishing, and forestry
Production
Installation, maintenance, and repair
Transportation and material moving
Office and administrative support
Sales and related
Construction and extraction
Management, business, and financial
Professional and related
Service
-10,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000
-20
4,900
6,500
7,300
9,200
12,600
18,300
24,500
53,500
71,4003,083,000
Openings from Employment Growth and Replacement Needs 2012 - 2022
Farming, fishing, and forestry
Construction and extraction
Production
Sales and related
Professional and related
0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000
From Employment GrowthFrom Replacement Openings
3,083,000
4,900
29,500
34,700
47,100
53,500
97,700
100,200
110,500
185,500
238,100
Projected Fastest Growing Occupations, 2012 - 2022 (Occupations with 500 plus employment in 2012)
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors
Biochemists and Biophysicists
Nurse Practitioners
Medical Equipment Repairers
Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners
Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers
Interpreters and Translators
Helpers--Carpenters
Physician Assistants
24%25%25%25%25%26%26%26%27%
29%30%30%31%31%31%32%33%33%35%
45%3,083,000
Occupations with the Most Projected New Jobs2010 - 2020
Computer Systems Analysts
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Nursing Assistants
Social and Human Service Assistants
Customer Service Representatives
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners
Carpenters
Retail Salespersons
Home Health Aides
2,2302,2702,4602,5102,5402,7402,7402,7802,8302,8403,2203,2403,7804,0104,4905,470
6,6609,48010,130
22,600
Occupations with the Most Job Openings From Employment Growth and Replacement Needs, 2012 - 2022
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Tech-
nical and Scientific Products
Nursing Assistants
General and Operations Managers
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners
Customer Service Representatives
Waiters and Waitresses
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast
Food
0 10,000 20,000 30,000
From employment growth
From replacement needs
Occupations with the Most Projected Job Losses2012 - 2022
Prepress Technicians and Workers
Order Clerks
Editors
Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers
Information and Record Clerks, All Other
Mail Clerks and Mail Machine Operators, Except Postal Service
Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Postal Service Clerks
Printing Press Operators
Legal Secretaries
Counter Attendants, Cafeteria, Food Concession, and Coffee Shop
Reservation and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators
Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants
Cashiers
Data Entry Keyers
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Stock Clerks and Order Fillers
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
-260
-290
-300
-310
-310
-310
-320
-330
-400
-410
-610
-630
-640
-810
-820
-1,060
-1,140
-1,580
-1,930
-2,210
Percent Employment Growth by Major Sectors,Minnesota and U.S., 2012 - 2022
Federal Government
Manufacturing
Self-Employment
Natural Resources and Mining
Leisure and Hospitality
Professional and Business Services
Construction
Total, All Industries
-18.9
-7.7
-1.3
1.4
2.0
3.2
3.8
4.0
5.7
7.2
11.3
21.3
25.0
7.0
-14.5
-2.4
-4.6
4.9
5.0
10.8
4.6
10.5
9.4
9.6
19.4
27.9
28.8
10.8
US
MN
Numeric Employment Growth in Minnesota by Major Sectors, 2012-2022
Federal Government Information
ManufacturingFull-time Self-Employed Farmers/Ranchers
UtilitiesTransportation and Warehousing
MiningState Government
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and HuntingManagement of Companies and Enterprises
Real Estate and Rental and LeasingArts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Local GovernmentOther Services
Educational ServicesWholesale Trade
Non Agricultural Self-EmployedFinance and Insurance
Accommodation and Food ServicesRetail Trade
Administrative and Support ServicesProfessional, Scientific, and Technical Services
ConstructionHealth Care and Social Assistance
-5,950-4,130-4,080-2,360-1,080
4505206206402,1604,0504,2404,2905,0005,1506,1006,1508,74010,32010,820
16,97018,910
23,69093,800
Minnesota’s Fastest Growing Industries, 2012 – 2022 (Industries with 500 plus employment in 2012)
Other Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation
Residential Intellectual & Developmental Disability, Mental Health, & Substance Abuse Facilities
Other Schools and Instruction
Other Ambulatory Health Care Services
Office Administrative Services
Other General Merchandise Stores
Other Specialty Trade Contractors
Outpatient Care Centers
Veneer, Plywood, and Engineered Wood Product Manufacturing
Waste Collection
Beer, Wine, and Distilled Alcoholic Beverage Merchant Wholesalers
Foundation, Structure, and Building Exterior Contractors
Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services
Continuing Care Retirement Communities and Assisted Living Facilities for the Elderly
Other Investment Pools and Funds
Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories
Ship and Boat Building
Residential Building Construction
Individual and Family Services
Home Health Care Services
23%
24%
25%
25%
27%
28%
28%
29%
30%
30%
30%
31%
33%
33%
38%
39%
42%
43%
46%
54%
Chart Title
Minnesota Industries Adding the Most Jobs, 2012-2022
Other Specialty Trade Contractors
Other Amusement and Recreation Industries
Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services
Other Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Foundation, Structure, and Building Exterior Contractors
Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers
Residential Building Construction
Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services
Other General Merchandise Stores
Building Equipment Contractors
Self Employed Workers, Non Agricultural
Continuing Care Retirement Communities and Assisted Living Facilities for the Elderly
Computer Systems Design and Related Services
Residential Intellectual & Developmental Disability, Mental Health, & Substance Abuse Facilities
Restaurants and Other Eating Places
Employment Services
Home Health Care Services
Offices of Physicians
Private Hospital Employment
Individual and Family Services
2,800
2,900
2,900
3,000
3,500
3,700
4,000
4,700
5,700
6,200
6,200
6,400
6,600
7,900
8,400
9,300
10,500
13,700
19,100
22,000
Chart Title
Minnesota Industries with the Most Job Loss, 2012 - 2022
Office Supplies, Stationery, and Gift Stores
Electrical Equipment Manufacturing
Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods Merchant Wholesalers
Couriers
Wired Telecommunications Carriers
Grocery Stores
Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages)
Self Employed Workers, Full-time Farmers
Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing
Newspaper, Periodical, Book, and Directory Publishers
-700
-800
-800
-900
-900
-1,000
-1,000
-1,000
-1,300
-1,500
-1,600
-1,600
-1,700
-2,000
-2,400
-2,500
-3,000
-3,000
-3,200
-3,400
Chart Title