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Page 2: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Plan

Background

The evidence so far

Gaps in our knowledge

PiPS

Page 3: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

As survival increases so the proportion

of deaths attributed to NEC and infection

rises

The problem

Page 4: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

National data: trends

Page 5: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

US ‘linked’ data : singletons

Lucaks SL et al 2004. Peds Inf Dis J.

Page 6: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Primary cause of death

1995 2006 p RR (95% CI)

Infection 8% 16% <0.001 1.4 (1.2 – 1.6)

NEC 4% 12% <0.0001 1.7 (1.5 – 1.9)

As survival increases so the proportion

of deaths attributed to NEC and infection

rises

Source: The EPICure studies

Page 7: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Why probiotics?

Page 8: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Normal development of bowel flora

Sterile at birth …..

Healthy babies colonised rapidly by maternal faecal flora

Flora of breast fed babies dominated by Bifidobacteria

Page 9: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Benefits of the microbial-host interaction Benefit Mechanism

Maintain mucosal barrier integrity

•Reduce mucosal permeability

•Increase mucus production

•Strengthen tight junctions

•Inhibit bacterial translocation

Regulate appropriate bacterial colonisation

•Modulate microflora growth and adherence

•Produce toxins to aerobic bacteria

•Reduce intraluminal pH

•Compete with pathogens for binding sites

Activate intestinal immune defences

•Increase faecal IgA and enhance IgA response

•Produce short chain fatty acids

•Increase leucocyte phagocytosis

Modulate intestinal inflammation

•Increase T-cell &macrophage cytokine production

•Decrease production of anti-inflammatory cytokines

•Decrease proinflammatory cytokines

•Promote Th1 cytokine profile

Martin CR & Walker WA: Seminars in Perinat 2008;

Page 10: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Gut flora in preterm babies

Slower acquisition, further delayed by

antibiotics

Less diversity

Fewer commensals

More potentially pathogenic strainsGewolb IH et al Arch Dis Childh 1999

Page 11: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Probiotic

A live micro-organism which when

administered in adequate amounts confers

a health benefit on the host (World Health

Organisation, 2010)

Page 12: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Systematic reviews: Barclay AR et al., JPGN 2007

Deshpande G et al., Lancet 2007

AlFaleh KM & Bassler D, Cochrane 2008

Mihatsch., 2008

Guthmann., 2010

Deshpande G et al., Pediatrics 2010

AlFaleh et al., Cochrane 2011

Page 13: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Systematic reviews: Barclay AR et al., JPGN 2007

Deshpande G et al., Lancet 2007

AlFaleh KM & Bassler D, Cochrane 2008

Mihatsch., 2008

Guthmann., 2010

Deshpande G et al., Pediatrics 2010

AlFaleh et al., Cochrane 2011

Page 14: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Outcome: ‘Definite’ NEC

Deshpande et al. 2010

Page 15: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Outcome: Blood culture positive sepsis

Deshpande et al. 2010

Page 16: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Outcome: Death

Deshpande et al. 2010

Page 17: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Summary of outcomes

Significant reduction of ‘definite’ NEC

No effect on blood culture positive sepsis

Significant reduction ‘all cause’ mortality

No reported problems with safety

Page 18: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

A closer look at those trials designed to study clinical outcomes

Dani C et al 2002

Lin H-C et al 2005

Bin-Nun A et al 2005

Samanta M et al 2008

Lin H-C et al 2008

These studies account for 85% of the babies included in the updated systematic review

Page 19: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Characteristics of clinical studies <2008Authors

Year

Population Exclusions(other than anomalies & refusals)

Intervention Primary outcome

Incidence in comparator group

Dani et al

2002

Multicentre

<33w or<1500g

n=585

Mean wt >1300g

Death <14d Lactobacillus GG

To discharge

UTI

NEC ≥stage2

Sepsis

all after 7d

5.2%

2.8%

4.1%

Lin et al

2005

Single centre

<1500g &>7d

Lines out>24h

n=367

Mean wt c.1100g

Deaths or NEC in 1st week

L acidophilus

B infantis

To discharge

Death or NEC ≥stage 2

12.8% (powered at 23%)

Bin-Nun et al

2005

Single centre

<1500g starting milk on weekday

n=147 (3 not analysed)

Mean wt >1100g

No information

B infantisStr thermophilus

B bifidus

To 36w

Any NEC 16.4%

Page 20: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Characteristics of clinical studies <2008Authors

Year

Population Exclusions(other than anomalies & refusals)

Intervention Primary outcome

Incidence in comparator group

Dani et al

2002

Multicentre

<33w or<1500g

n=585

Mean wt >1300g

Death <14d

100/685

Lactobacillus GG

To discharge

UTI

NEC ≥stage2

Sepsis

all after 7d

5.2%

2.8%

4.1%

Lin et al

2005

Single centre

<1500g &>7d

Lines out>24h

n=367

Mean wt c.1100g

Deaths or NEC in 1st week

48/417

L acidophilus

B infantis

To discharge

Death or NEC ≥stage 2

12.8% (powered at 23%)

Bin-Nun et al

2005

Single centre

<1500g starting milk on weekday

n=147 (3 not analysed)

Mean wt >1100g

No information

B infantisStr thermophilus

B bifidus

To 36w

Any NEC 16.4%

Page 21: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Characteristics of 2 recent studies

Authors

Year

Population Exclusions(other than anomalies & refusals)

Intervention Primary outcome

Incidence in comparator group

Samanta et al

2008

Single centre

<32w &<1500g

Survived 48h

Mean wt >1100g

Deaths due to ‘other neonatal illness’:

B infantis

B bifidum

B longum

L acidophilus

To discharge

NEC ≥2

Sepsis

Death due to NEC or sepsis

15.8%

29.5%

14.7%

Lin et al 2008

Multicentre

<34w &<1500g & enterally fed

Asphyxia

Formula fed

Comg anolmaly

NBM >3w

L acidophilus

B bifidum

For 6w

Death or NEC≥2 in the 6w study period

9.2% (was powered at 25%)

Page 22: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Characteristics of 2 recent studies

Authors

Year

Population Exclusions(other than anomalies & refusals)

Intervention Primary outcome

Incidence in comparator group

Samanta et al

2008

Single centre

<32w &<1500g

Survived 48h

Mean wt >1100g

Deaths due to ‘other neonatal illness’:

88/274

B infantis

B bifidum

B longum

L acidophilus

To discharge

NEC ≥2

Sepsis

Death due to NEC or sepsis

15.8%

29.5%

14.7%

Lin et al 2008

Multicentre

<34w &<1500g & enterally fed

Asphyxia

Formula fed

Comg anolmaly

NBM >3w

137/580 , 98 of whom died

L acidophilus

B bifidum

For 6w

Death or NEC≥2 in the 6w study period

9.2% (was powered at 25%)

Page 23: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Published studies: general comments

Only 5 of 11 trials were designed to study clinical outcomes

Have only recruited babies receiving milk feeds

Not easy to separate out the smaller more immature babies

No study has undertaken stool microbiology to determine whether the babies are successfully colonised and how much cross-contamination is occurring

All use different products none of which is quality controlled

Page 24: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Safety

None of the published studies reports any complications

Published reports of lactobacilli and one case report of B breve septicaemia

Increased mortality associated with probiotic use in adults with acute pancreatitis, Besselink MGH et al., Lancet 2008.

The babies at highest risk of NEC and possibly of adverse effects have been excluded from the studies.

Page 25: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Major outstanding questions

Will probiotics reduce NEC and death in an unselected group of very preterm babies?

Why are probiotics apparently ineffective at preventing sepsis?

Is it necessary to give a multi-strain preparation to gain benefit?

Is it safe to give probiotics to the babies at highest risk of NEC?

Page 27: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Objective

To determine whether early administration

of Bifidobacterium breve strain BBG to

preterm infants reduces the incidence of

infection, necrotising enterocolitis and

death.

Page 28: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Why is PiPS different? It is statistically powered to study all three

outcomes

Uses a more stringent definition of sepsis for the primary outcome

It has few exclusions and includes babies at high risk of NEC

The intervention is started early whether or not milk feeds have been started

The intervention is a single bacterial strain manufactured to high specification and with a CTA

Stool colonisation with the probiotic bacterium and the effect on intestinal flora will be studied

Page 29: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

What will PiPS deliver?

Clarity as to whether B breve BBG prevents death, NEC and blood culture positive sepsis and whether it is safe in a high risk population of babies

Unique insight into the importance of ‘colonisation’ as opposed to simple ‘administration’ of probiotic on efficacy

Unique insight into the implications of probiotic usage on a Neonatal Unit for those babies for whom it is not prescribed

Page 30: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Trial design

Double blind placebo controlled

randomised trial

Page 31: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Primary outcomes

Any baby with an episode of blood stream infection, with any organism other than a skin commensal, diagnosed on a sample drawn more than 72h after birth and before death or discharge.

NEC, Bell stage II or III

Death before discharge

Page 32: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Secondary outcomes

A range of infective outcomes including CONs and numbers of septic screens and stool colonisation

Use of antimicrobials

Time to full feeds and growth

BPD, ROP, IVH etc.

Length of stay

Economic evaluation

Page 33: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Eligibility criteria ≤30w +6d at birth <48h after birth Written informed consent

Exclusion criteria Lethal congenital malformation known at trial entry Any known g-i malformation No realistic chance of survival Babies on antibiotics for suspected or proven infection are eligible for

recruitment

Page 34: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

InterventionsActive

Bifidobacterium breve strain BBG freeze dried with corn starch re-suspended in 3ml 1/8th strength Neocate: Iml (2.7± 0.5x109 cfu) to be given once a day starting ASAP after randomisation and continued to 36w post-menstrual age.

Placebo

Freeze dried corn starch alone prepared and administered in the same way.

Page 35: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Participating staff receive training about the

trial, making up the intervention and

completing the data collection forms

There is emphasis on avoiding cross

colonisation of the placebo group with the

administered probiotic strain

Page 36: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Clinical management

Feeding and all aspects of management,

including the decision to omit a dose of the

intervention, are at the discretion of the

local clinicians

Page 37: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Data collection

Data collection is paper based and continues till discharge from hospital

Details of microbiology samples, positive cultures and details of antibiotic sensitivities are collected directly from laboratories

Page 38: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Sample collection

2 stool samples; as close as possible to 2w post-natal and 36w post-menstrual age

These samples are posted in a special container to the microbiology laboratory at the Royal London Hospital

No other additional samples are required

Page 39: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Power calculations and statistical significance

The incidence of all 3 primary outcome measures is estimated at around 15%

A trial of 1,300 babies will have 90% power to detect a 40% reduction in relative risk from 15 to 9%. Likewise if the incidence is nearer 12% we will still have 90% power to detect a 44% RR reduction from 12 to 6.7% and from 10 to 5.6%

For the primary outcomes a 95% Confidence Interval will be calculated; because there are a number of secondary outcomes 99% will be used

Page 40: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Analyses Comparative analyses will be by Intention to Treat

The following pre-specified sub-groups will be analysed: gestation as per minimisation, male v. female, whether randomised in the first or second 24h

A secondary analysis of all clinical and microbiological outcomes will be conducted by whether the baby was colonised with B breve BBG

Logistic regression analysis will be used to study determinants of successful colonisation with B breve BBG in the active intervention group

Page 41: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Time-line

The aim is to recruit 1300 babies over

a 2.5 year period

Page 42: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Practicalities of achieving target recruitment rates

NHS R&D approval

Adequate numbers of staff on the ground with GCP training who can take consent

Approvals in ‘networked’ hospitals so that babies can continue the intervention until 36w pma after returning to the referring hospital

Page 43: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Summary

Probiotics are the current best bet for a preventive intervention against NEC and are probably safe

We do not know which organism to use and which babies to give it to

PiPS is designed to fill some of the important gaps in our current knowledge

Page 44: Plan  Background  The evidence so far  Gaps in our knowledge  PiPS

Thank you