petroplus ingolstadt analyst day presentation final

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Petroplus Analyst Day Ingolstadt, December 8, 2011

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Page 1: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

PetroplusAnalyst Day

Ingolstadt, December 8, 2011

Page 2: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

2

Disclaimer

While all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated herein are accurate and that the opinions contained herein are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an overview of the business of the Company. Any opinions expressed in this document are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein.

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements, which include all matters that are not historical facts. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. We caution you that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that the Company’s actual financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, and the development of the industry in which the Company operates, may differ materially from those made in or suggested by forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-looking statements.

Page 3: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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1. The Refining Market & Outlook

2. Strategy & 3YIP

3. Update on Petit Couronne

4. Fourth Quarter 2011 Update

5. 2012 Outlook

6. Liquidity

7. Capital Structure

8. The Way Forward

9. Summary

Agenda

Page 4: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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• Crude oil & differentials- Global oil demand driven by non-OECD countries

- Supply concerns driven by the turmoil in the MENA region

- Macro uncertainty in Europe resulting in volatile crude price

- Supply disruptions (e.g. Libya, Syria & the North Sea)

- Strong premiums for light sweet barrels

- Narrow differentials for sour barrels

• Product cracks- Macro uncertainty in Europe weighing on demand for and prices of petroleum products

- Weakness in gasoline & naphtha

- Strength in middle distillates

• Refining capacity - New refining capacity has come online, predominantly in Asia

- Capacity rationalization, mainly in Europe and the U.S., is accelerating due to weak margins

• Operating expenses- Increased headwinds from weaker U.S. dollar and higher variable costs (energy, catalysts)

2011 – a very difficult year for European refining

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Page 5: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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(2)

(1)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

The PMI is NOT the Petroplus Margin. Petroplus margin may be better or worse depending on location, configuration, crude diet, specialties, etc. The PMI is a daily indicator to give a “flavor” of the market conditions/trends. It consists of a basket of 4 crude oils (40% Urals, 35% Forties, 12% CPC, 13% Bonny Light) and is calculated and reported after variable costs.

European refining margins remain depressed

Source: PlattsThe data is through November 30, 2011

$2.08

USD/bbl

$1.81

2011 Quarterly average

20102011

$1.53 $1.66

5

Petroplus Market Indicator

Page 6: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

(4)

(3)

(2)

(1)

0

1

2

3

4

5

Urals Azeri Light Ekofisk CPC Forties Saharan Blend

Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010

Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4TD 2011

6

Crude differentials: Everything more expensiveSignificant increases in 2011 driven by the lost crude supply from Libya

Source: PlattsThe Q4TD data is through November 30, 2011

USD/bbl

6

Differentials to Dated Brent

Page 7: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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90

100

110

120

130

140

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov

Azeri light Diff

Ekofisk Diff

Dated Brent

7

Lost Libyan crude production……has had a major impact on crude price and light sweet differentials in 2011

Source: PlattsThe data is through November 30, 2011

7

Dat

ed B

rent

($/b

bl)

Dif

fere

ntia

ls to

Dat

ed B

rent

($/b

bl)

Libyan crude starts to return to the

market

Libyan crisis starts

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Page 8: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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(4)

(3)

(2)

(1)

0

1

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov

8

Urals has strengthened significantly in H2 2011

Sources: Platts, PIRA EnergyThe data is through November 30, 2011

Differential to Dated BrentUSD/bbl

8

• Russian crude production reached post-Soviet highs, however high domestic refinery run rates limited exports

• Linefill requirements for two new pipelines

• Reduction of Saudi Arabian supply to Europe

• Fuel oil cracks have been relatively strong, improving Urals economics

Reasons for the narrow Brent-Urals differential:

Increased supply of Saudi Arabian sour barrels to replace lost Libyan

production

Page 9: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

(20)

(15)

(10)

(5)

0

5

10

15

20

25

Naphtha Gasoline ULSD Heating Oil 3.5% Fuel oil

Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010

Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4TD 2011

9

Product cracks have recently shown strength in middle distillates & fuel oil…

…but weakness in naphtha and gasoline

Source: BloombergThe Q4TD data is through November 30, 2011

Differentials to Dated BrentUSD/bbl

9

Page 10: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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20

22

24

26

28

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

200920102011

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

200920102011

10

European market environmentmmbbls German Domestic Heating Oil Stocks

•Middle distillate cracks are at their strongest level since 2008 and are expected to stay strong through the end of 2011 due to seasonal demand

•Middle distillate inventories in the ARA have declined sharply and are at their lowest level since 2008, which should support refining margins

•German domestic heating oil stocks are about 4 mmbbls lower than last year due to delays in restocking owing to the high price environment and unseasonably warm winter weather

•Strong inland premiums due to the low water levels on the Rhine

•Naphtha is very weak but is expected to become seasonally stronger when colder weather arrives, as rising LPG prices provide an incentive for steam crackers to shift to naphtha

•Gasoline is weaker than the seasonal norm due to weak demand and as refineries have been increasing runs due to the strength in middle distillates, which has resulted in increased production of other products such as gasoline

Source: PIRA Energy

mmbbls ARA Middle Distillate Inventory

Page 11: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

Refining capacity in Europe (mmbpd)

Possible sales/closures 0.7Confirmed closures 0.9Capacity reduction/Temp shutdown 0.2

1111

The rationalization of European refining capacity continues 15 European refineries closed, up for sale or under strategic review

Several announcements have been made in recent months (0.7 mmbpd on the U.S. East coast, 0.2 mmbpd in Europe) and the low margin environment is expected to accelerate the pace of rationalization

Sources: Press, Company reports

Possible sales/closuresConfirmed closureCapacity reduction/Temporary shutdown

Page 12: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

12

Global oil demand expected to outpace new capacity

Source: Wood Mackenzie (demand data from Nov -11, supply data from Dec -11)

• Global oil demand bounced back strongly in 2010 and more than recovered the demand lost during the economic crisis• Macroeconomic uncertainty has weighed on demand for petroleum products in 2011 to date • Recent announcements are expected to reduce net refining capacity • Global GDP growth will set the pace for oil demand growth• Emerging markets are expected to drive both oil demand growth and the increase in refining capacity• Demand growth is estimated to outpace capacity additions, which should benefit refiners around the world

mmbpd

2010 2011 2012 2013

New refinery additionsNet refinery expansionsGlobal y-o-y oil demand growth

Page 13: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

13

1. The Refining Market & Outlook

2. Strategy & 3YIP

3. Update on Petit Couronne

4. Fourth Quarter 2011 Update

5. 2012 Outlook

6. Liquidity

7. Capital Structure

8. The Way Forward

9. Summary

Agenda

Page 14: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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Strategic Action Plan

1. Extract maximum value from existing portfolio of assets: 3YIP• Establish best practices in diverse portfolio• Improve competitiveness through targeted

enhancement program• Ongoing focus on Petit Couronne

2. Fix low performers / Asset management• Converted Teesside to a terminal• Sold Antwerp Processing Facility• Reichstett being converted to a terminal, with

the intention to sell the site• Further actions?

3. Pursue opportunities to upgrade portfolio• Disciplined approach• Strict criteria

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Page 15: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

Gross Margin $0.40 - $0.55 $100M

Energy Efficiency $0.10 - $0.15 $25M

OPEX $0.35 - $0.45 $80M

G&A $0.05 - $0.10 $15M

Total Improvement $0.90 - $1.25 $220M

2012 Goal ($/bbl)

2012 Goal ($M)

15

3YIP: Original Goal for 2012

Goals set up in early 2010 with 2009 as the baseline

Page 16: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

(300)

(200)

(100)

0

16

3YIP: Cash neutral or better in trough-cycle market conditions

MUSD

2009 Operating clean cash flow*

Fix low performers

Gross margin

Energy efficiency

Opex

G&A

(300) +80

+100

+25

+80

+15

Original 2012 goal: CF neutral or better at 2009

market conditions

* Operating clean cash flow is defined as clean net income/loss plus depreciation and amortization, less capital expenditures

Page 17: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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3YIP: Gross Margin Capture

• To maximize the capture of market opportunities

• Key initiatives- Business Unit Manager structure / day-to-day

optimization- Raw material diversification (widening crude &

feedstock basket)- Product value upgrade- Capacity utilization (catalyst run length

& turnaround cycle strategies)

• Original targeted 2012 improvement = $100M

Page 18: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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3YIP Status 9M 2011: Gross Margin Capture• Key accomplishments

1. Product yield upgrade- Product upgrade (e.g. increased processing

of vacuum residue)- Feedstock optimization (e.g. Ingolstadt => Cressier,

Coryton => Antwerp)- LPG recovery project (Coryton)- Improved middle distillate yield with new

catalyst strategy (Coryton, Ingolstadt)

2. Improved raw material selection- Widening crude & feedstock basket (e.g. crudes

from Canada & Bolivia) mitigating the impact ofthe Libyan crude supply disruption

- Improved crude processing constraints

• Total 9M 2011 improvement = $80M

Gross Margin Improvements

Product yield upgradeRaw material selection

Page 19: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

Q1 -09 Q2 -09 Q3 -09 Q4 -09 Q1 -10 Q2 -10 Q3 -10 Q4 -10 Q1 -11 Q2 -11 Q3 -11

PMI ($/bbl) Capture rate (%) Linear (Capture rate (%))

19

3YIP: Improved Clean Gross Margin Capture

Source: PlattsPlease note that the Teesside and Reichstett sites are excluded from the data displayed above.

$/bbl %

Page 20: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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3YIP: Energy Efficiency

• To reduce & optimize the amount of energy required to operate the refineries

• Key initiatives- Reduction of fuel gas and electricity consumption- Burning less expensive fuels - Optimize steam consumption- Increased focus on efficient furnace and boiler

operations- Optimized utilization vs. energy consumption

• Original targeted 2012 improvement = $25M

Page 21: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

85

90

95

100

105

2009 2010 9M 2011 2012 Target

21

3YIP Status 9M 2011: Energy Efficiency

• KPI: Energy Intensity Index (EII) - 2009 Baseline – 103*- 2011 YTD 9 months – 95 - 2012 Goal – 91 (targeting a 12% reduction)

• Key accomplishments- Cogen plant Antwerp (improving energy

efficiency & operational reliability) - Increased natural gas utilization &

new heat exchanger at Coryton- Initiatives to improve boiler operations,

intensified exchanger cleaning, etc.

• Total 9M 2011 improvement = $30M

Energy Intensity Index (EII®)

* Restated due to the decision to convert Reichstett to a terminal

Page 22: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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3YIP: Operating Cost Reduction

• To reduce the costs of operating the refineries

• Key initiatives- Reduce personnel expenses- Increase maintenance efficiency (both contract

labor and materials)- Optimized procurement strategy & skills - Improved fuel flexibility

• Original targeted 2012 improvement = $80M

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Page 23: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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3YIP Status 9M 2011: Operating Cost Reduction

• Key accomplishments

- Reduction in personnel expenses (e.g. Coryton pension scheme)

- Staffing level reduction – both own employees and contractors

- Maintenance contract labor efficiencies (all sites)

- Efforts to mitigate the impact of increased rare earth prices by reducing content in catalysts (Coryton, Ingolstadt, Petit Couronne)

- Procurement efforts in the areas of: - utilities- technical equipment- chemicals and additives- catalysts- refinery services

• Total 9M 2011 improvement = $50M

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Page 24: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

24

3YIP: Structural improvements have been made…9M 2009

Clean R&M EBITDA

240

+10

(5)

(15)

$M

+30

(150)

+15

260

+35

…but we have also faced sizeable new external headwinds

+65

9M 2011 Clean R&M

EBITDA

+30

+50

(35)

(20)

+10

Gross Margin Energy efficiency Opex

Please note that the Teesside and Reichstett sites are excluded from the data displayed above.

Page 25: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

EUR/USD GBP/USD CHF/USD

200920109M 2011

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov

200920102011

25

3YIP: Addressing the Headwinds

Sources: ICIS Heren, Asian Metal, ECB

• Natural gas prices have risen in 2011 due to the increase in crude price, however there is still an economic incentive to burn natural gas and recover LPGs (benefit in gross margin)

• Limited export quotas of rare earth (used in the FCC catalyst) from China since July 2010 have increased prices from below $10k/mt to $101k/mt on average in 2011 to date

• We are pursuing alternative catalysts with lower rare-earth content in order to reduce catalyst expense going forward

• The weak USD has negatively impacted operating and G&A expenses in 2011; Q4 to date the USD has strengthened slightly against our local currencies, but we remain subject to this variability

$k/mtRare Earth Prices

Foreign Exchange Impact*Natural Gas PricesGBP/th

-5%

+2%

-1%+4%

+4%

+24%

* Percentage change vs. 2009

Page 26: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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3YIP: G&A

• To reduce overhead costs

• Key initiatives- Systems enhancement- Improvement of functional work processes- Reduction of contractors and external consultants- More effective resource management

• Original targeted 2012 improvement = $15M

Page 27: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

(160)

(140)

(120)

(100)

(80)

(60)

(40)

(20)

0

3YIP: Structural improvements have been made to G&A…

27

9M 2009 G&A

(110)

+5(20) +5

$M

+10

9M 2011 G&A

(120)

(10)

* As a result of the conversion of the Teesside refinery into a terminal in 2009

…but we have also faced sizeable new external headwinds

Total 9M 2011 improvement = $20M

Page 28: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

88

90

92

94

96

98

2008 2009 2010 9M 2011

Coryton Antwerp Petit Couronne Cressier Ingolstadt

28

3YIP Operational Reliability: “The Foundation”

Mechanical availability*%

Sources: Solomon, Company data*A measure of a refinery’s reliability excluding production slowdowns and including unit outages related to non-turnaround maintenance work and annualizedturnaround maintenance

2010 Solomon survey results validate significant improvements at most of our refineries

Reliability continues to improve due to the 3YIP, with one exception

Page 29: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

Gross Margin $100M $80M $125M

Energy Efficiency $25M $30M $45M

OPEX $80M $50M $80M

G&A $15M $20M $25M

Total Improvement $220M $180M $275M

Original 2012 Goal

Improvement 9M 2011

New 2012 Goal

29

3YIP: New Goal for 2012

• Demonstrated improvement

• Further improvements to reliability and centralized procurement program will drive additional achievements

• Will it be enough?

Page 30: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

(200)

(150)

(100)

(50)

0

30

Closing the gap

MUSD

9M 2011 Operating clean

cash flow

(155)

+15

G&A*+5

Gross margin*

+45

Energy efficiency*

Opex*+30

Q4 2011 results

?

+60Remaining

gap

Organic improvements not enough in the current environment

More structural changes needed, particularly at Petit Couronne

* New 2012 goals vs. 9M 2011 improvement

Page 31: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

31

1. The Refining Market & Outlook

2. Strategy & 3YIP

3. Update on Petit Couronne

4. Fourth Quarter 2011 Update

5. 2012 Outlook

6. Liquidity

7. Capital Structure

8. The Way Forward

9. Summary

Agenda

Page 32: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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Rationale Behind the Petit Couronne Reconfiguration• The refinery

- Ongoing issues with reliability

- Complex refinery structure and operations

- High cost structure

• Base oil complex

- Weaker margins & declining demand for Group 1 base oils in Europe (-1.5% p.a.)

- High fuel & loss

- Lack of competitiveness as costs overwhelm high gross margin

- Lack of economies of scale and poor performance

• Future capex requirements

- Turnaround of the base oil complex required in 2012

- Strict allocation of capex

• Working capital

- High working capital needs despite smaller part of the refinery operations

The reconfiguration will transform the refinery into a smaller but more efficient site

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Operating and Financial Impact…

Operating impact:• Simpler, more streamlined operations

• Improved operational reliability

• Streamlined crude slate

• Reduced fuel & loss

• Lower throughput

• Lower inventories

…of the proposed reconfiguration

Financial impact:• Improved gross margin capture

• Reduction in personnel expenses (approx. 120 positions)

• Reduction in operating expenses

• Liquidation of net working capital

• Reduction of future capex

• Employee severance costs

• Asset impairment

Timelinea. Potential reconfiguration announced

b. Further studies to improve competitiveness being performed

Jan 2012

Q4 2011

Oct 20, 2011

a

H1 2012

b c d

c. Formal meetings with the Works Council start

d. Works Council required to provide their opinion about the project, following which a final decision can be made

Estimated to positively impact overall cash flow by approximately $50 million in 2012

Page 34: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

34

1. The Refining Market & Outlook

2. Strategy & 3YIP

3. Update on Petit Couronne

4. Fourth Quarter 2011 Update

5. 2012 Outlook

6. Liquidity

7. Capital Structure

8. The Way Forward

9. Summary

Agenda

Page 35: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

(7)

(6)

(5)

(4)

(3)

(2)

(1)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

PMI Naphtha Gasoline Heating Oil ULSD 3.5% Fuel Oil Urals Azeri Light Ekofisk

35

Q4 to date vs. Q3 2011 Market Environment

Sources: Platts, BloombergThe Q4TD data is through November 30, 2011

$/bb

lcha

nge

Q4

to d

ate

vs. Q

3 20

11

Product Cracks Crude differentialsMarket Indicator

Page 36: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

• Throughput

- Coryton: 140 – 150 mbpd (previously 170 – 180 mbpd)

- Total Petroplus: 460 – 510 mbpd (previously 490 – 540 mbpd)

• Financial expenses

- RCF waiver consent fee

• Cash flow

- German MOT

- New receivables securitization program

36

Q4 2011 Guidance

Page 37: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

37

1. The Refining Market & Outlook

2. Strategy & 3YIP

3. Update on Petit Couronne

4. Fourth Quarter 2011 Update

5. 2012 Outlook

6. Liquidity

7. Capital Structure

8. The Way Forward

9. Summary

Agenda

Page 38: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

38

2012 Crude market expectations

38

• The pressure on oil prices and sweet crude differentials is expected to ease as Libyan barrels continue to return to market in 2012

• Availability of heavy sour grades is expected to decrease in Europe as a result of:

• Sanctions on

- Syria

- Iran

• Saudi Arabian crude supply could mitigate these impacts

• As a result of limited sour and increased sweet crude supply, the sweet/sour spread is likely to narrow

• Further rationalization of refining capacity is expected to reduce demand for light sweet crudes

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Page 39: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

Q4 -10 Q1 -11 Q2 -11 Q3 -11 Q4 -11 Q1 -12 Q2 -12 Q3 -12 Q4 -12

Jun -11 estimate Nov -11 estimate

39

Libyan production outpaces forecast…… and is expected to ease sweet differentials

Sources: IEA, Wood Mackenzie

Libyan crude oil capacity outlookmmbpd

39

Pre-civil war destinations for Libyan crude oil

EuropeLibya

U.S.Asia

Page 40: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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Updated Outlook 2012

(1) Refining & marketing operating expenses include refining personnel, operating and other administrative expenses that pertain to the processing of crude oil and feed-/blendstocks into refined products for the five refineries.

(2) General & administrative expenses consist of non-refining personnel costs and other administrative expenses, excluding incentive compensation.(3) Subject to refining margin environment and foreign currency fluctuation.(4) Does not include the impact of the proposed reconfiguration of Petit Couronne.* Exchange rates: EUR/USD 1.30, GBP/USD 1.55, CHF/USD 1.05.

(in millions of dollars)ESTIMATED EXPENSE(4)

Group capital expenditures 335

Refining & marketing operating expenses (1) 710

General & administrative expenses (excluding incentive compensation) (2) 135

Depreciation & amortization 315

Effective interest expense on long term debt (weighted average rate on long term debt) (%) 7.2%

Group effective tax rate (3) (%) 10%

Page 41: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

41

1. The Refining Market & Outlook

2. Strategy & 3YIP

3. Update on Petit Couronne

4. Fourth Quarter 2011 Update

5. 2012 Outlook

6. Liquidity

7. Capital Structure

8. The Way Forward

9. Summary

Agenda

Page 42: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Net working capital Dated Brent

Sources: Platts, Company reportsPlease note that the Teesside, PRA/B and Reichstett sites are included in the data displayed above for the applicable periods.

42

Continued focus on working capital management…

Higher working capital burden at

year end due to the prepayment of German MOT

2008 2009 2010 2011

$M $/bbl

…has reduced the working capital burden despite higher crude price

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Page 43: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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Liquidity FundamentalsLiquidity needs

• Hydrocarbon purchases (approx. 16 mmbbls per month)

• Short-term cash borrowings (driven by periodic tax (e.g. VAT) payments)

Required amounts• Size of LC requirements depends on throughput, crude price & availability of open

credit • Short-term cash requirements primarily depend on size of tax payments

Collateral is made up of• Inventory• Accounts receivable• Cash

Our collateral fits our credit needs

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Page 44: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

1 2

2.0

1.1

1.0

1.3

$BN

44

Liquidity Management

RCF Credit Lines & Current Assets*

Committed linesUncommitted lines Trade receivables

CashInventory

* At Sept 30, 2011

Sizeable collateral available to meet liquidity requirements

0.2Why the Revolving Credit Facility (RCF)?

• Availability- traditional trade finance structure- large bank community

• Flexibility- can be used as needed for letters of

credit and short-term cash borrowings - size can be adjusted in line with

changing needs, e.g. due to change in crude price

• Pricing- cost-effective

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Page 45: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

Petroplus maintains strong, positive relationships with our RCF lenders, but all parties recognize that the current environment presents challenges to the existing structure

45

RCF considerations in the current environment

Availability

• Increasingly limited due to the European banking industry exposure to the Euro zone turmoil, limitations regarding USD funding and looming Basel III capital requirements

Flexibility

• Declining, as the banking sector has restricted capacity to increase credit lines

Pricing• Increased fees and pricing are making it less competitive

Covenant Package• Creating constraints and uncertainty

Despite good ongoing relationships with our RCF banks, we need to consider:

Page 46: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

46

Terms

• Waiver of Clean Group EBITDA to Net Interest Expense ratio

• Reset of Consolidated Tangible Net Worth to $1.0B

• Reset of Current Ratio to 1.0

• Addition of Free Cash Flow Covenant

(before working capital changes) cannot be more negative than minus $150 million for the period starting October 1, 2011 and ending March 31, 2012

Fees & Pricing

• One-time consent fee of $6.3 million plus increased usage costs (remain at levels following Q2 2011 waiver)

Period

• Valid until reporting of Q2 results in August 2012

RCF Waiver & Amendment

Waiver provides sufficient time to address the refinancing of the RCF. Expect to have new liquidity facilities in place in spring 2012.

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0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Committed lines Uncommitted lines Receivables factoring Receivablessecuritization

Type Amount ($M)** Utilization Term Maturity

RCF $1,050 LC/Cash Committed Oct 2012

RCF $1,045 LC/Cash Uncommitted Oct 2012

Receivables factoring* $280 Cash Uncommitted Evergreen

Receivables securitization* $200 Cash Uncommitted Nov 2017

Total $2,575

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Current Liquidity Facilities

47

$BN

* Receivables factoring and receivables securitization facilities are up to GBP 180M and GBP 130M respectively. ** Values at September 30, 2011, except for receivables securitization entered into in Q4 2011.

New facility in Q4 2011

Page 48: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

Basic structure

Advantages

• Monetizing some of our sizeable, very high-quality current assets

• Timing and size of cash infusion means it can be used for the Q4 2011 German MOT prepayment

• Liquidity source extending beyond the normal European banking community

• Expandable

Costs

• Minimal one-time fees, with lower pricing than cash borrowings under the current RCF

Provides liquidity onlyif commercial paper is

not sufficient

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Receivables Securitization Program

Sold toPetroplus

UK receivables BankCompany

Purchasing ReceivablesCash

Bank

Issues commercial paper backed by the

assets acquired

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Page 49: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

49

Refinance current RCF

• Implement new alternative liquidity facilities- potential crude supply arrangements

• Implement a new RCF as needed – expect facility to be- smaller size- with shorter tenure- more workable covenant package

Utilize excess collateral by expanding

• Receivables securitization program and/or

• Receivables factoring

Monetization of other assets

• Some even have zero Balance Sheet value (e.g. CO2 emission credits)

Liquidity Action Plan

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Page 50: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

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Possible crude supply agreement structure

Crude Supply Product Off-take

• Petroplus could choose a crude oil supplier to buy a refinery’s crude oil requirement. That supplier would own the crude in the refinery tanks. Title would pass to Petroplus as the crude enters the processing units

• Petroplus would own the products in the refinery tanks and would offer them as collateral to the crude supplier to secure its credit exposure

• Petroplus would continue to use its marketing organization to sell the products to its traditional customers

• 3 categories of potential CSA counterparties

− Oil majors

− Investment banks

− Large oil traders

• 2-3 year agreement possible

• Covenant-light

3rd party crude supplier

Petroplus traditional customers

Virtually no LC requirements to supply the refinery. Limited paid inventories. Receivables still available as collateral for borrowing bases or Factoring/Securitization facilities

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Page 51: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

51

1. The Refining Market & Outlook

2. Strategy & 3YIP

3. Update on Petit Couronne

4. Fourth Quarter 2011 Update

5. 2012 Outlook

6. Liquidity

7. Capital Structure

8. The Way Forward

9. Summary

Agenda

Page 52: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

600

150

600

400

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

52

Capital Structure: No Near-Term Debt Maturities

MUSD

High Yield 600M 6.75% 2014High Yield 600M 7.00% 2017High Yield 400M 9.375% 2019Convertible Bond 150M 4.00% 2015Total 1,750M 7.2%

Type Amount ($) Interest Maturity

Maturity Profile

High Yield Notes Convertible Bond

Page 53: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

53

1. The Refining Market & Outlook

2. Strategy & 3YIP

3. Update on Petit Couronne

4. Fourth Quarter 2011 Update

5. 2012 Outlook

6. Liquidity

7. Capital Structure

8. The Way Forward

9. Summary

Agenda

Page 54: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

54

Potential for growth through acquisition…

Why grow?

• Refining is our business

• Clear economies of scale in this industry

• Embedded in the company DNA

• Contrarian strategy in a weak refining environment

Any acquisition must meet strict criteria:

• Good strategic fit

• Sizeable

• Meaningfully accretive to earnings

• Lower our break-even point

• Cash flow positive

• Improve financial flexibility

• Target must be a clear survivor in our industry

…in today’s “buyer’s market”

Still considered a viable opportunity

Page 55: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

55

Navigating in rough seas

What if margins remain depressed in 2012 and Petroplus generates negative cash flowfrom operations?

- despite the expected slow recovery of refining margins

- despite the 3YIP

- despite capex and cost reductions

Petroplus will take all the steps necessary:

- to reduce the negative cash flow

- to operate a competitive portfolio of refineries

Page 56: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

56

1. The Refining Market & Outlook

2. Strategy & 3YIP

3. Update on Petit Couronne

4. Fourth Quarter 2011 Update

5. 2012 Outlook

6. Liquidity

7. Capital Structure

8. The Way Forward

9. Summary

Agenda

Page 57: PETROPLUS Ingolstadt Analyst Day Presentation Final

57

Market improvement

$1/bbl $200M $180M = EPS $1.89pre-tax after tax

Summary• Tougher market than expected in 2011 on the back of crude supply disruptions and the

Euro zone crisis

• Petroplus is more resilient to weak market conditions: improved Clean R&M EBITDA 9M 2011 vs. 2009 despite significantly weaker market

• Continue to execute on the 3YIP, but recognize that more needs to be done

• On-going review of current portfolio performance

• Petit Couronne reconfiguration

• Liquidity action plan in place to provide more stable structure

• Further actions possible

• A new cash contributor in a depressed environment still welcome

• Operational leverage to improving refining margins