petropavlovsk plc · mining to (1) (1) (1) 4 (1) 2015 (2) as at 31/12/2015, refractory r&r base...
TRANSCRIPT
PETROPAVLOVSK PLCInvestor Presentation (September 2016)
Cautionary and Forward-looking Statements
Some statements contained in this presentation or in documents referred to in it are or may be forwardlooking statements, including
references to guidance. Such statements reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks,
assumptions, uncertainties and other factors beyond the Company’s control that could cause actual results to differ from those
expressed in such statements. Although the Company believes that such forwardlooking statements, which speak only as of the date
of this presentation, are reasonable, no assurance can be given that they will prove to be correct. Therefore, you should not place
undue reliance on these statements.
There can be no assurance that the results and events contemplated by the forwardlooking statements contained in this presentation
will, in fact, occur. The Company will not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forwardlooking statements
to reflect events, circumstances or unanticipated events occurring after the date of this presentation, except as required by law or by
any appropriate regulatory authority. Nothing in this presentation or in documents referred to in it should be considered as a profit
forecast.
The past performance of the Company and its securities is not, and should not be relied on as, a guide to the future performance of the
Company and its securities.
This presentation does not constitute, or form part of or contain any invitation, recommendation or offer to any person to underwrite,
subscribe for, buy, sell, otherwise acquire, exchange or dispose of any shares or securities in the Company or advise persons to do so
in any jurisdiction, including, but not limited to, the Russian Federation, nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of or be relied on in
any connection with or act as an inducement to enter into any contract or commitment therefore or engage in any other investment
activity. In particular, this presentation and the information contained herein are not an offer of securities for sale in the United States.
This presentation does not constitute an advertisement of any securities in the Russian Federation.
No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information or opinions contained in this presentation or on its
completeness and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or
otherwise in connection therewith.
The development and production plans and estimates set out herein represent the current views of the Company's management. The
Company’s Board reviews the production estimates on an ongoing basis. All planning is subject, inter alia, to available funding and
capital allocation decisions.
English law and English courts will have exclusive jurisdiction over any disputes arising from or connected with this presentation.
2
Company Overview
33
Company Overview
Petropavlovsk at a Glance
Moving
75m m3 of rock per
year
Top 5Russian gold
producer
Processing over
15Mtpaof ore
annually
Underground mining to
(1)(1)
(1)
44 (1) 2015 (2) As at 31/12/2015, refractory R&R base totalled 9.31Moz (incl. 3.95Moz of JORC reserves at Malomir and Pioneer)
6Mozof gold
produced since listing in 2002
8.4Mozof Reserves
within
23.3Mozof Resources
Future production via POX to
unlock
c.4Moz of
refractory ore
mining to contribute
high margin oz from
2017
2015 TCC of
US$749/oz
(2)
Our core assets are located in the Amur region, the Russian Far East
Amur Region
55
Advantages of operating in the
Amur region
Exploration potential Lowcost hydropower Government support
Tradition of gold mining Excellent infrastructure Rich mineral R&R base
2002: Floats on AIM
Today: A regional mining champion
23 exploration, development + mining licences
4 x hard rock gold mines
In-house exploration, engineering, construction + technological support
And how we got to where we are today
1994: Company founded
1 licence: Pokrovskiy Rudnik, a greenfield site
No production
Strong team of specialists
Little cash
2 licences: 1 producing gold mine (Pokrovskiy), 1 greenfieldsite (Pioneer)
2002 gold production: 70Koz
£38m market cap(1)
c.1,200 employees
technological support
c.6.0Moz of gold produced since 2002 AIM listing
c.£250m market cap(2)
c.8,100 employees
Next phase of growth based on accretive M&A, underground mining + commissioning of Pressure Oxidation facility
(1) As at close 29 April 2002, the day on which dealing in ordinary shares commenced on the LSE’s Alternative Investment Market (AIM) (2) As at close on 10 Jan 20116 (1) As at close 29 April 2002 (2) As at close on 15 August 20166
We are a vertically integrated mining business, operating throughout the entire cycle, from initial licence acquisition to full production
Key Strengths
Experienced management
teamQuality assets
Well developed energy + transport
infrastructure
Skilled Established
77
In-house expertise,
technology, innovation
Future growth
delivered via M&A, POX,
undergroundmining
Competitive cost profile
Skilled workforce with local
knowledge + expertise
Established track record of launching
ambitious projects on
time
Impact of our cost cutting programme since 2013…
TCC/oz costs 23% Development capex 93%
US$976US$860
US$749
US$190m
US$63m
US$14m
88
SG&A costs 34% Net Debt 43%
2013 2014 2015 2013 2014 2015
US$46m
US$38m
US$30m
2013 2014 2015
US$930m
US$610m
2013 2014 2015
US$1,063m
(1) As at 1 Jan 2013 (2) As at 31 Dec 2014 and 31 Dec 2015
(1)
(2)
(2)
H1 2016 Trading Update
99
H1 2016 Trading Update
H1 2016 output impacted by regional flooding
1010
H1 2016 Update
Output lower vs. H1 2015 due to scheduled processing of lower grades + severe flooding
Production of 187.4Koz
Sales of 195.4Koz at avg. US$1,194/oz incl. hedging effect
Group’s focus remains further reduction of Net Debt
Net debt of c.US$598m(1) compared with c.US$610m as at 31 Dec 2015
Preliminary term sheets received from Sberbank + VTB incl. extended debt
1111
Preliminary term sheets received from Sberbank + VTB incl. extended debt maturity profile with significantly relaxed nearterm repayment schedule
Principal payment holidays granted April Oct 2016, negotiations ongoing
FY 2016 outlook
Targeting production at lower end of c.460 500Koz guidance, due to effects of flooding
Est. FY TCC of c.US$700/oz (preliminary H1 2016 TCC est. c.US$690/oz, 10% vs. H1 2015)
FY Net Debt target of c.US$570m
Group reiterates FY capex of c.US$60m development / maintenance + c.US$10m exploration
(1) As at 30 June 2016, preliminary unaudited figure
Future Development Strategy
Pressure Oxidation (POX)1
1212
Inorganic Growth
Underground Mining
2
3
Pressure Oxidation (POX)
1313
Pressure Oxidation (POX)
Refractory Ore Basics
Mineralised rock resistant to recovery by standard cyanidation and carbon adsorption methods
Generally contains sulphide minerals, which encapsulate gold
Crushing + Grinding
What is refractory ore? Processing options for refractory ore
particles, making it difficult for the leach solution to reach the contained gold
Oxidation of sulphide minerals is necessary to recover the gold
Roasting BIOX
Pressure oxidation
(POX)
14
Extraction of gold from refractory ore requires additional stages
A refractory ore processing hub in the Russian Far East
Annual processing capacity of up to c.500K tonnes of
flotation concentrate via 4 x autoclaves
Third party processing: option to process
refractory content from third parties, incl.
concentrate with a high carbon content
Ability to process different types of
refractory ore simultaneously
1515
Pokrovskiy will serve as a processing hub for
refractory concentrate provided by Pioneer +
Malomir mines
Developed infrastructure allows for
transportation of concentrate via road or
rail
Potential to upgradeto 6 x autoclaves
POX Processing Hub Concept
MALOMIR Flotation Plant
Recovery = 88%Recovery = 86%
PIONEER Flotation Plant
Flotation Concentrate
Flotation Concentrate
POX Plant Recovery = 93% for Malomir and 98% for Pioneer
ConcentrateRe-grinding
AutoclaveOxidation
RIP circuit Doré to Refinery
THE POKROVSKIY POX HUB
1616
JV accelerates POX development without straining the Group’s balance sheet(1)
Non-refractory JORC Reserves
Refractory JORC Reserves
4.0Moz
4.5Moz
c.50% of our Reserves are refractory…
POX Hub will enable POG to unlock value from extensive refractory reserves (at Malomir + Pioneer) without incurring additional debt
Once commissioned, POX Hub will be largest of its kind in Russia, able to process up to 500Kt of floatation concentrate p/a
4 x autoclave lines with capacity of 125Ktpa of
As at 31/12/2015 Reserves Au (Moz) Au (g/t)
Malomir
Proven 0.3 1.27
Probable 2.2 1.01
P+P 2.5 1.04
Refractory Ore
1717 Note: proposed transaction is subject to shareholder approval and other conditions (1) As at 31 Dec 2015 (2) Est. TCC of production c.US$600/oz, at current prices and FX rates
4 x autoclave lines with capacity of 125Ktpa of floatation concentrate each
Est. attributable production via POX Hub of c.200 –300Koz p/a once fully operational at TCC similar to that of Pioneer’s nonrefractory processing(2)
Sustainable production from refractory assets for at least 20 years with excellent growth potential
POX construction to resume H2 2016, with first production expected 2018 from Malomir (+ later Pioneer)
P+P 2.5 1.04
Pioneer
Proven 0.4 1.06
Probable 1.1 0.86
P+P 1.5 0.91
Total
Proven 0.8 1.14
Probable 3.2 0.96
P+P 4.0 0.99
As at 31/12/2015 Resources Au (Moz) Au (g/t)
Malomir
Measured 0.3 1.21
Indicated 3.4 0.89
M&I 3.7 0.91
Inferred 2.4 0.70
Pioneer
Measured 0.6 0.95
Indicated 1.9 0.71
M&I 2.4 0.76
Inferred 0.7 0.58
Total
Measured 0.9 1.04
Indicated 5.3 0.82
M&I 6.2 0.85
Inferred 3.2 0.67
POX JV Key Facts
GMD Gold to provide US$120m of equity financing in exchange for 51% share in JV
Concentrate to be processed on a tolling basis: each partner has title to concentrate supplied + gold produced from it
JV shall charge each partner a toll fee calculated on a full cost plus up to 5% margin basis, of which POG will receive 50% through dividends distribution
JV agreement stipulates sharing POX hub capacity between partners on 50/50 basis (250Ktpa each)
At this time, GMD Gold is only able to provide
POG share of production
Minimum additional vol of concentrate to be supplied by POG
(25% of POX capacity)
Residual capacity
covered by POG
Concentrate to be
provided by
POX Hub Capacity Allocation
1818
At this time, GMD Gold is only able to provide 50Kpta of concentrate. It has been agreed that POG shall provide concentrate amounting to minimum 25% of POX capacity (ie. 500Ktpa x 25% = minimum 125Ktpa) in addition to its share of capacity (250Ktpa)
Residual capacity to be covered by POG, thus making the total volume of concentrate supplied by POG = 250 + 125 + 75 = 450Ktpa
POX average processing cost currently est. at c.US$75/t of concentrate
TCC of gold produced at POX currently est. at c.$600/oz
JV is progressing well, circular to shareholders to be published est. Q3 2016
125Ktpa 125Ktpa 125Ktpa
50Ktpa
75Ktpa
Autoclave 1125Ktpa
Autoclave 2125Ktpa
Autoclave 3125Ktpa
Autoclave 4125Ktpa
provided by GMD Gold
Inorganic Growth
1919
(Amur Zoloto Acquisition)
Petropavlovsk + Amur Zoloto:Compelling Strategic Rationale(1)
Immediate addition of c.40Koz of production in 2016, at competitive TCC
Projected production growth uplift of c.10%
Future cash flow to assist debt reduction
Addition of higher grade R&R
Recent SRK report confirms 1.35Moz of Reserves and 1.86Moz of Resources (incl. c.1.2Moz of hard rock Reserves at avg. 1.8g/t)
New hard rock R&R +180% vs. avg. POG grade
DE
AL
IM
PA
CT
2020
New hard rock R&R +180% vs. avg. POG grade
Balance sheet optimisation
Acquisition, paid for in shares, increases Group asset base by c.US$140m
Improved financial flexibility from lenders
Operational synergies
Opportunity to decrease AZ TCC by bringing in low cost power generation from POG (electricity line extension)
Potential for production uplift via introduction of heap leach operations overseen by POG
DE
AL
IM
PA
CT
(1) Source of production, resources and reserves figures: Amur Zoloto and 2016 SRK CPR Report. Transaction subject to prospectus / shareholder approval
Acquisition has potential to complement, diversify + de-risk Petropavlovsk’s future production profile
AZ operates gold production + development assets in Russia’s Khabarovsk region
An established gold company with open-pit, underground + alluvial assets
Founded in 2010, c.300 employees, EBITDA of c.US$9m FY2015
2 x assets in production + 5 assets under development
Producing placer deposits with processing capacity of 1,000,000m3 per season (c.16Koz p/a)
High grade, non-refractory ore
Amur Zoloto at a glance(1)
2121
In production or at preproduction stage = low capex requirements
Posttax NPV of mineral assets est. at US$170m(1)
FY 2016 production target of 40Koz
Mainly from alluvial operations + Krasivoye underground deposit
2016 FY TCC est. at c.US$580/oz
Strong development programme, with medium-term growth of up to c.140Koz p/a of production based on existing R&R
Plan to increase annual production to c.140Koz p/a by 2020
(1) Source: Amur Zoloto and 2016 SRK CPR Report (1) Assuming a discount rate of 10% and a gold price of US$1,100/oz
Both businesses are well aligned, with complimentary strengths + assets
POG and AZ Assets
Malutka
Tas-Yurakh
Yubileiny
Amur ZolotoAssets
Petropavlovsk Assets
Key:
Scale
= 100km
2222
Perevalnoye
Pioneer
Pokrovskiy
Malomir
Albyn
AZ Production + Financials(1)
Gold Production (Koz) Facility Type 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 TotalPerevalnoye Open Pit + Plant 9 32 35 37 32 29 27 26 23 17 12 279
Krasivoye(Yubileiny GOK)
Underground + Plant
15 20 19 22 30 30 29 14 - - - 179
Malyutka Open Pit + HL - - - 19 35 60 65 59 63 53 15 369
GOS Tas-YurakhOpen Pit + Underground + Plant
- - - 13 25 3 - - - - - 41
Total hard rock 24 52 54 91 122 122 121 99 86 71 27 868
Alluvials 15 17 17 17 16 18 13 13 0 0 0 126
Total AZ 40 68 72 108 138 139 133 111 86 71 27 994
Capex (US$m) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total
Perevalnoye 13 19 2 - - - - - - - - 34
2323
Perevalnoye 13 19 2 - - - - - - - - 34
Krasivoye(Yubileiny GOK)
- 2 8 3 - - 2 2 - - - 20
Malyutka - - 28 6 8 1 1 2 - - - 47
GOS Tas-Yurakh - - - 4 4 - - - - - - 7
Total hard rock 13 22 38 14 13 2 3 4 - - - 107
Alluvials - - 4 2 - - - - - - - 6
Total AZ 13 22 42 16 13 2 3 4 - - - 114
0
100
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Krasivoye (Yubileiny GOK)
Perevalnoye
Alluvials
GOS Tas-Yurakh
Malyutka
(1) Source: Amur Zoloto and 2016 SRK CPR Report. Figures may not add up due to rounding
Cash-Cost Comparison
FY 2015 Petropavlovsk FY 2015 Amur Zoloto(1)
Units Pioneer Pokrovskiy Malomir Albyn Total UnitsTas-
YurakhUlakhan Buor Total
Gold sold Koz 216.3 51.6 59.8 154.2 481.9 Gold sold Koz 15.0 4.2 3.9 23.1
TCC US$m 135.3 44.9 65.3 115.2 360.7 TCC US$m 7.6 2.1 2.0 11.7
Avg. TCC US$/oz 625 871 1,092 747 749 Avg. TCC US$/oz 508 494 520 508
Impairment of ore stockpiles
US$m 9.5 (0.9) 0.3 0.3 9.2Change in finished goods, WIP, DSC
US$m 2.1 (0.9) (0.7) 0.5
Adjusted operating costs US$m 144.8 44.0 65.6 115.5 369.9 Adjusted operating costs US$m 10.5 1.4 1.5 13.4
2424
Adjusted operating costs US$m 144.8 44.0 65.6 115.5 369.9 Adjusted operating costs US$m 10.5 1.4 1.5 13.4
Central admin US$m 13.7 3.3 3.8 9.7 30.4 Central admin US$m 2.4 0.7 0.6 3.7
Capitalised stripping (end) US$m - - - 18.0 18.0 Capitalised stripping (end) US$m - - - -
Capitalised stripping (start) US$m - - - (8.4) (8.4) Capitalised stripping (start) US$m - - - -
Site restoration US$m (0.5) (0.1) (0.1) (1.1) (1.7) Site restoration US$m - - - -
Sustaining capex US$m 4.7 0.1 1.2 6.7 12.7 Sustaining capex US$m 0.4 - - -
All-in sustaining costs US$m 162.7 47.3 70.6 140.3 420.9 All-in sustaining costs US$m 12.9 2.1 2.2 17.1
AISC US$/oz 752 918 1,180 910 874 AISC US$/oz 859 497 548 740
Exploration expenditure US$m 7.1 1.0 4.2 6.6 18.9 Exploration expenditure US$m - - - -
Capital expenditure US$m 0.4 - 0.6 - 1.0 Capital expenditure US$m 0.3 0.8 1.0 2.1
Impairment of ore stockpiles
US$m 2.4 - 5.8 - 8.2 Impairment of ore stockpiles US$m - - - -
All-in costs US$m 172.6 48.3 81.2 146.9 449.0 All-in costs US$m 13.2 2.9 3.1 19.2
AIC US$/oz 798 937 1,357 953 932 AIC US$/oz 879 700 790 831
(1) Source: Amur Zoloto
Synergies
AZ asset portfolio is underdeveloped
Potential to accelerate AZ projects using POG expertise + PPE
Opportunity for regional expansion: a number of promising unlicensed areas located in region between POG / AZ
Energy costs
AZ’s operations run on diesel, Petropavlovsk primarily uses electricity (cheap + plentiful)
2525
(cheap + plentiful)
Opportunity to drive costs down by switching to electricity via extension of supply from Amur Region
Heap leach operations
Potential for further uplift in production from proposed AZ HL operations using POG expertise
Government support
State grant of funds to the Group (c.US$100m) to help develop local electricity line
“Due to poor infrastructure, the Far East region is relatively under-explored for medium to large sized gold deposits. SRK considers there is reasonable potential to find / develop medium sized deposits if good target generation techniques are
used in conjunction with AZ’s knowledge of regional geology.” (SRK Consulting, July 2016)
Key Deal Terms
Transaction financing
Via issue of 1,434,303,624 new ordinary shares in Petropavlovsk at £0.0689
per share
Aggregate value of gross consideration payable on closing c.US$144m
Upon completion Amur Zoloto will hold c.30% of the enlarged Group’s issued
2626
share capital
Shareholder approval
Deal will require approval of Petropavlovsk shareholders
Completion
Subject to regulatory approvals
Reserves & Resources
Petropavlovsk(1) Amur Zoloto(2)
Total Ore ReservesGold(Moz)
Grade
Probable (Hard Rock, Kt) 1.21 1.8 g/t
Probable (Alluvials, 000m3) 0.14 0.5 g/m3
Total (P+P) 1.35 n/m
Total Mineral ResourcesGold(Moz)
Grade
Hard Rock
Measured+Indicated (Kt) 1.56 2.3 g/t
Inferred (Kt) 0.15 4.7 g/t
Total Ore ReservesGold(Moz)
Grade(g/t)
Proven 1.2 1.03
Probable 7.2 0.96
Total (P+P) 8.4 0.97
Non-Refractory Ore Reserves
Proven 0.5 0.91
Probable 4.0 0.97
Total (P+P) 4.5 0.96
2727
Inferred (Kt) 0.15 4.7 g/t
Alluvials
Indicated (000m3) 0.15 0.6 g/m3
Inferred (000m3) - -
Measured + Indicated 1.71 n/m
Inferred 0.15 n/m
n/m = not meaningful
Refractory Ore Reserves
Proven 0.8 1.14
Probable 3.2 0.96
Total (P+P) 4.0 0.99
Total Mineral ResourcesGold(Moz)
Grade(g/t)
Measured + Indicated 15.8 0.89
Inferred 7.9 0.79
Non-refractory Mineral Resources
Measured + Indicated 9.6 0.93
Inferred 4.8 0.89
Refractory Mineral Resources
Measured + Indicated 6.2 0.85
Inferred 3.1 0.67(1) Source 2016 WAI Report. Petropavlovsk JORC R&R as at 31 Dec 2015. Resources are inclusive of Reserves and also include Resources for potential underground mining. Visokoye, a non-core asset containing 2.5Moz of JORC Resources (incl. 1.2Moz of JORC Reserves) was disposed of following preparation of the above R&R statement (2) 2016 SRK CPR Report. AZ JORC R&R as at 31 Dec 2015, all material is non-refractory
Amur Zoloto Assets / PPE(1)
Flotation Cells Gold RoomBall Mill + Classifier
2828
Crushing Section Flotation SectionYubileiny Processing Plant
Filtering Unit Milling + FlotationHydrometallurgical Section
(1) Source: Amur Zoloto
Key Management
Arsen Idrisov
Petropavlovsk Amur Zoloto
2929
Peter HambroChairman
Dr. Pavel MaslovskiyCEO
Andrey MarutaCFO
Dmitriy ChekashkinCOO
Musa BazhaevChairman, Russian Platinum
Alexander PolonyankinDeputy CEO, Strategy &
Development
Konstantin ZlotnikovDirector, Project
Management
Arsen IdrisovDeputy Chairman,Russian Platinum
Experienced management team with focus on delivery + operational excellence
Underground Mining
3030
Underground Mining
3030
Preparation work carried out to commence underground production at NE Bakhmut
Design completed for underground mine access development + initial mining
Preparation for decline portal completed (incl. access road, site levelling, power, water)
Russian underground mining contractor for mine development + ore mining
Underground mine design, NE BakhmutWork undertaken during H1 2016
3131
for mine development + ore mining appointed
Underground decline development commenced Aug 2016, first ore production est. Q1 2017
Plan to complete 29,915m3 of underground development in H2 2016 at avg. cost 13,100 RUR/m3
Exploration targeting resources for underground mining at NE Bakhmut + other Pioneer zones expected to continue simultaneously alongside mine’s development
Appendix
3232
Appendix
Our Core Assets
Pokrovskiy Pioneer
3333
AlbynMalomir
Key Mine by Mine Data(1)
Pokrovskiy Albyn
2015 production 56Koz (11% of total) 2015 production 158Koz (31% of total)
RIP processing capacity c.1.8Mtpa RIP processing capacity c.4.5Mtpa
JORC R+R ResourcesOf Which Reserves
JORC R+R ResourcesOf Which Reserves
Non-Refractory 1.4Moz 0.4Moz Non-Refractory 5.0Moz 1.4Moz
3434 (1) Data correct as at 31 Dec 2015 (2) Including c.2.0Mtpa of refractory processing on standby
Malomir Pioneer
2015 production 59Koz (12% of total) 2015 production 231Koz (46% of total)
RIP processing capacity c.4.5Mtpa(2) RIP processing capacity c.6.6Mtpa
JORC R+R ResourcesOf Which Reserves
JORC R+R ResourcesOf Which Reserves
Non-Refractory 0.8Moz 0.3Moz Non-Refractory 2.2Moz 1.1Moz
Refractory 6.2Moz 2.5Moz Refractory 3.1Moz 1.5Moz