pete bass 2013 future focus keynote speaker (short)

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How do cuts in Leicester and Leicestershire compare to the national picture? Pete Bass, Research Associate, NCVO http://data.ncvo-vol.org.uk A more detailed version of these slides is available at: http://goo.gl/h5BlrE

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Pete Bass is a freelance researcher and National Council for Voluntary Organisations (NCVO) associate specialising in collecting and analysing data about voluntary sector funding and finance. He is also co-author of the NCVO UK Civil Society Almanac 2012 and 2013 and is currently working to produce the 2014 publication. Pete also works as a research associate for Civil Exchange working on the Big Society Audit, and the Panel on the Independence of the Voluntary Sector. This work included contributing evidence to their report 'Independence Under Threat: The Voluntary Sector in 2013'. VAL was delighted to welcome Pete as a keynote speaker at our 2013 Future Focus Conference. While the 2013 Future Focus conference is now over, VAL runs trainings and workshops year-round. If you'd like to learn more about training for your organisation, visit www.Valoneline.org.uk. This link contains the shortened version of Pete's presentation. For the full version, please return to VAL's page.

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Page 1: Pete Bass 2013 Future Focus Keynote Speaker (Short)

How do cuts in Leicester and Leicestershire compare to the

national picture?

Pete Bass, Research Associate, NCVOhttp://data.ncvo-vol.org.uk

A more detailed version of these slides is available at: http://goo.gl/h5BlrE

Page 2: Pete Bass 2013 Future Focus Keynote Speaker (Short)

How do cuts in Leicester and Leicestershire compare to the national

picture?• Cuts are difficult to measure, and comparable

data is hard to come by, and incomplete.• Nonetheless, I’m going to look at four sources of

information:– Asking local authorities through FOI requests– Local surveys by voluntary sector groups– Comparing the official figures– Evidence from annual returns submitted to the

Charity Commission register• Looking forward – how long will austerity last?

Page 3: Pete Bass 2013 Future Focus Keynote Speaker (Short)

Asking local authorities through FOI requests….

  Grants (2010/11 to 2011/12)

Contracts(2010/11 to 2011/12)

Leicester Not supplied

??

Fell from £20.9m to £20.7mA decrease of 1.1%LOWER THAN AVERAGE

Leicestershire Reduced from £1.8m to £1.6m, a 12% cutHIGHER THAN AVERAGE

Fell from fell from £19.3m to £17.6m by 8.7%LOWER THAN AVERAGE

Rest of England 197 LAs provided figures for both years, total budget reduced from £153.4m to £141.8m, a fall of 7.5%

166 LAs provided figuresContracts fell from £525.0m to £468.0m A fall of 10.8%

Source: Compact Voice, FOI requests http://www.compactvoice.org.uk/foi2012

Page 4: Pete Bass 2013 Future Focus Keynote Speaker (Short)

• VAL survey in 2011 – similar proportion of groups in the City and County reported cuts to public funding (49% and 51%) with a further 20% expecting cuts in future.

• London – (LVSC) 60% reported a reduction in their overall funding in 2012-13.

• North East (VONNE) 59% saw a decrease in funding in 2013, 79% of respondents reported some funding from public sector grants, 50% from contracts.

• Nottingham (NCVS) in 2012 69% of respondents were facing a reduced income.

Hard to compare, perhaps best we can say is that organisations in Leicester and Leicestershire seem to be facing a similar situation to those elsewhere…

Local surveys of voluntary groups….

Page 5: Pete Bass 2013 Future Focus Keynote Speaker (Short)

What do the official figures show?

• Short answer: there aren’t any figures collected at a national level about voluntary sector funding.

• Local Government Finance Statistics 2013 (DCLG) – “Grants to voluntary bodies” increased by 35% ! (but this is due to changes in accounting, and some large stock-transfers to housing associations). No figure for contracts available.

What about total council spending?• Comparing councils by DCLG ‘Spending Power’ measure

(excluding Public Health)• 2013-14 (current year) CITY +0.4%, COUNTY -2.2%, All

England -1.7%• 2014-15 Looking ahead – CITY facing -6.5%, COUNTY facing -

2.5% reduction, England -3.9%

Page 6: Pete Bass 2013 Future Focus Keynote Speaker (Short)

The Voluntary sector in Leicester, Leicestershire and the rest of England:

Cumulative growth in total income since 2000-01 (%)20

00-0

1

2001

-02

2002

-03

2003

-04

2004

-05

2005

-06

2006

-07

2007

-08

2008

-09

2009

-10

2010

-11

2011

-12

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Leicester Leicestershire Rest of England

Source: Analysis of Charity Commission register for VAL, Sep 2013NB: Indexed, Cumulative % change since 2001, adjusted for inflation using RPIX.

%

Page 7: Pete Bass 2013 Future Focus Keynote Speaker (Short)

Austerity – how far have we got to go?

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18-2,000

-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

-362-643 -672 -786 -824 -966 -1,087

-34

40 58

-96-218

-395-582

Local GovernmentCentral Government

Chan

ge fr

om 2

010/

11 (£

mill

ions

)

-1,042

-1,668

-603 -614

-882

-1,361

-396

Source: NCVO, Counting the Cuts, May 2013

Page 8: Pete Bass 2013 Future Focus Keynote Speaker (Short)

Conclusions

• In 2011/12 the total value of VCS contracts in the City fell more slowly than in the rest of England.

• In 2011/12 for Leicestershire, the decrease in the grants budget was higher, while the decrease in the grants budget was lower than average.

• Total income of the sector in both Leicester and Leicestershire seems to have grown more rapidly over the last 10 years, but subsequently contracted more sharply than the rest of the country.

• By the end of the 2013/14 financial year, around 60% of the total reduction in Local Authority spending will have occurred… so austerity is here to stay…