peru z 35 36 walsh proposal

8/13/2019 Peru Z 35 36 Walsh Proposal

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Oil exploration off the coast of Peru

Block Z-35 and Z-36

Assessment of spills using M!" 3-#

model s$stem

MIKE 3FM

Proposal %$ #& 'ater and "n(ironment

Proposal no)*

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Agern All 5DK-2970 Hrsholm

Denmark

Tel !"5 "51# 9200

Fa$ !"5 "51# 9292%h&'%h&gro()*+om

,,,*%h&gro()*+om

+lient

'alsh Per, )A)

+lient.s representati(e

(.enal /on+e %e en

Pro/ect

Oil exploration off the coast of Peru

Block Z 35 and Z-36

Assessment of spills using M!" 3 # model

s$stem

Pro/ect 0o

Authors

Mads 0) Madsen

Morten 1ug%/erg

#ate

2642244

Appro(ed %$

MM M01

1e( #escription B$ +heck Appro #ate

!e$ ords

Oil spill modeling7 Peru

+lassification

Open

nternal

Proprietar$

#istri%ution 0o of copies

#&* Archi(e7 &7 MM7 M01

3

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Table of Contents

1Introduction.......................................................................................................4

2Description of the project site.........................................................................5

3Approach and Model set up.............................................................................7

4cenarios and deli!erables...........................................................................11

5Cost esti"ate and ti"e schedule..................................................................13

#$eferences.......................................................................................................14

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1 Introduction

As )ar o he En.&ronmenal Im)a+ Assessmen or a %r&ll&ng l&+en+e & &s re4(&re% omo%el )oss&le &m)a+s rom s)&lls %(r&ng %r&ll&ng e$)lora&ons an% )ro%(+&ons. The

l&+ense shall +o.er all 3# ,ells +om)r&se% 6 lo+k 8-35 an% 8-3#* The ,o lo+ks are

%&.&%e% &no a oal o 17 ones ,&h a oal o 3# )laorms or ,ells*

The )oen&al s)&lls +om)r&se h6%ro+aron arrels: %r&ll +(&ngs an% %r&ll&ng m(%*

The o+eanogra)h&+ an% h6%ro%6nam&+ +on%&&ons a he +oasal reg&on o /er( are

+om)le$* /ar&+(larl6 he e4(aor&al +(rren s6sem along he /er(.&an +oas l&ne +lose

o e4(aor &s +om)l&+ae%* In or%er o %es+r&e he asso+&ae% +&r+(la&on an% hen+e he

ae o an6 s)&lls & &s re4(&re% o se () a 3-D h6%ro%6nam&+ mo%el o he +oasal area

aro(n% lo+k 8-35 an% 8-3#* ;(se4(enl6: he assessmen o s)rea%&ng o )oen&als)&lls an% relae% )ro+esses


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2 Description of the project site

The o+eanogra)h&+ +on%&&ons &n he area are +om)l&+ae% as &ll(srae% &n F&g(re 1* The

/er(.&an ?(rren ;6sem &n he +oasal area +ons&ss o a norh,ar% lo,&ng s(ra+e+(rren kno,n as he /er(.&an ?h&lean ?osal ?(rren


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The ,arm s(ra+e la6er &s ao( 20-#0 m h&+k: ( ma6 e %ee)er %(r&ng El &o

e.ens an% s&(a&ons ,&h +oasal ra))e% long ,a.es


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3 Approach and Model set up

I &s )ro)ose% o (se he DHI MIKE 3 Fle$&le Mesh


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meas(remens < & s(+h e$&s= +om&ne% ,&h an6

lo+al &norma&onCmeas(remens &n he area

;al&n&6 J

Tem)era(re

In or%er o %es+r&e he %&eren +on%&&ons &n he

mo%el %oma&n: %(e o he (),ell&ng ee+s an% El&o e.ens: sal&n&6 an% em)era(re )ro&les or he

sele+e% 6ears ,&ll e oa&ne% rom ,ell )ro.en

+ean Mo%els s(+h as e*g* e*g* MEB?ATB

?EA mo%el* ;aell&e &mages o s(ra+e ,aer

em)era(res o e (se% or mo%el .er&&+a&on ,&ll e

+olle+e% rom A;A


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?(&ngs are re)resene% 6 +oarse maer&al ha ,&ll %e)os& 4(&+kl6 &n he area aro(n%

he %r&ll r&g* ase% on 6)&+al lo, .elo+&&es an assessmen o he hor&onal %&san+e

rom he r&g


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All hree )ro+esses s)rea%&ng: %r&&ng an% ,eaher&ngL are &n+l(%e% &n he o&l s)&ll

mo%el: ( he ,eaher&ng %es+r&)&on %oes no +ons&%er se%&mena&on an%

&o%egra%a&on* The )ro+esses are +al+(lae% ase% on he +hem&+al an% )h6s&+al

)ro)er&es or he o&l +ons&(ens se)ara&ng he o&l +om)onen &no a .ola&le an% a

hea.6 ra+&on ,&h %&eren +hem&+al an% )h6s&+al +hara+er&s&+s*

Figure ,-2 )eat*ering &rocesses included in t*e oil s&ill model

ase% on he mo%el res(ls an assessmen o he s)rea%&ng an% h&+kness o an o&l sl&+k

loa&ng on he ,aer s(ra+e ,&ll e ma%e*

In or%er o e ale o a++ess he r&sk o an o&l s)&ll rea+h&ng an6 g&.en area as a

)er+enage: a large n(mer o o&l s)&ll s+enar&os


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4 cenarios and deli!erables

A h6%ro%6nam&+ mo%el s+enar&o +om)r&s&ng lo, +on%&&ons +orres)on%&ng o a 100

%a6 )er&o% %(r&ng ;(mmer an% G&ner ,&ll e esal&she%* The res(ls ,&ll e )resene%as s&m(lae% +(rrens an% s(ra+e ,aer em)era(res an% +om)ar&sons ,&ll e ma%e

aga&ns saell&e &mages* The res(ls ,&ll )ro.&%e he )laorm or s(++ee%&ng s)&ll

s+enar&os*

In h&s +one$ & &s re4(&re% o a++ess he ollo,&ng s)&lls

D(m)&ng o %r&ll +(&ngs 5 ons &nsananeo(sl6 or 50 onnes release% o.er one

ho(r

D(m)&ng o %r&ll&ng m(% 50 arrels &nsananeo(sl6 an% 500 arrels o.er one

ho(r

A++&%enal o&l s)&ll 10 arrels o.er #0 m&n(es: 1000 arrels o.er #0 m&n(es

an% 1000 arrels o.er 10 m&n(es* In h&s +one$ & &s ass(me% ha he s)&lls

ake )la+e a he sea s(ra+e

The ollo,&ng s+enar&os an% %el&.erales are en.&sage%

;)rea%&ng o %r&ll +(&ngs aro(n% he 3# ,ells or ea+h s&m(la&on )er&o% an%

or he ,o en.&sage% s)&lls* The res(ls ,&ll e )resene% as ma)s sho,&ng

6)&+al h&+kness o +(&ngs on he sea loor a .ar&o(s %&san+es rom he ,ell


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e.els=* The s&m(la&ons ,&ll e )re)are% or hree %&eren h6%ro

meeorolog&+al e.ens ,&h&n he s(mmer an% ,&ner )er&o%s* A oal o #

s+enar&os ,&ll e +arr&e% o(* In h&s +one$ & &s ass(me% ha he ee+ o

%(m)&ng 500 arrels o.er one ho(r &s he mos +r&&+al* ne s&m(la&on o

s)&ll&ng &nsananeo(sl6 50 arrels ,&ll e +arr&e% o( &n or%er o assess herela&.e re%(+&on &n s)rea%&ng an% %e)os&&on o m(% on he seae%*

Mo%ell&ng he ae o he o&l s)&ll sl&+k or he hree


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5 Cost esti"ate and ti"e schedule

H6%ro%6nam&+ mo%ell&ng &n+l(%&ng assessmen o s)rea%&ng

o %r&ll +(&ngs or a ,&ner an% s(mmer )er&o% E@B 30*000

Mo%ell&ng he s)rea%&ng o %r&ll m(% an% assessmen o

o$&+ &m)a+ areas E@B *000

Mo%ell&ng he s)rea%&ng o o&l s)&ll an% assessmen o

&m)a+ areas E@B 15*000*

The n(mer o s+enar&os +om)r&se% 6 hese +os es&maes &s as s)e+&&e% &n ;e+&on " N

Del&.erales*

The +oss or %aa a+4(&s&&on are a%%&&onal* &ke,&se are +oss or ra.el an%

a++ommo%a&on no &n+l(%e%*

The res(ls +an e )ro.&%e% ,&h&n " monhs aer a++e)an+e rom he +l&en*

All )r&+es are e$+l(s&.e an6 Ta$ or OAT*

Option

Im)a+ assessmen or sens&&.e +oasal an% mar&ne reso(r+es E@B 15*000

The 4(oa&on &s e$+l(s&.e o OAT an% an6 oher a$es or %(&es &m)ose% o(s&%eDenmark: & a))l&+ale*

/a6men &s re4(&re% 6 a 30 a%.an+e )a6men a )ro>e+ sar* ;(se4(enl6: &n.o&+es

,&ll e s(m&e% a++or%&ng o he rela&.e ,ork )rogress an% )a6mens are %(e 20 %a6s

aer &n.o&+e %ae*

The ao.e oer &s .al&% (n&l Ma6 30* : 2010

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# $eferences

C1C /e.en /: O* E+he.&n: * /asa)era: F* ?olas: * Tam: 2005* A.erage +&r+(la&on

+6+le: an% mesos+ale %6nam&+s o he /er( ?(rren ;6sem A mo%el a))roa+h*o(rnal o eo)h6s&+al resear+h* Ool 110:

peru z 35 36 walsh proposal

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