world sulphur outlook - fertilizer industry round table | of sulphur consumption is as sulphuric...
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The Sulphur InstituteWashington, DC, USA
World Sulphur Outlook
Donald L. MessickVice President, Agricultural Programs
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TSI’s Mission
Global advocate for sulphur
Represents all stakeholders producing, buying, selling, handling, transporting, or adding value to sulphur
Unified voice for sulphur producers, consumers, and service providers
•Promotes safe handling, transportation•Protects the environment
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All forms Sulphur Production, by TypeMillion tons sulphur equivalent
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Year
ELEMENTAL SOF PYRITES
Most growth in non-voluntary sources: elemental and smelter acid
78.373.1
51.848.8
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Gas-Recovered Sulphur Production (1000 tons)2009 2010 2015
Canada 4,412 4,150 3,600U.S.A 1,190 1,250 1,100EECA 7,655 8,455 11,600West Asia 6,894 8,230 13,290Europe 1,365 1,290 865China 80 1,070 4,000Others 928 915 915Total 22,524 24,860 35,370
Source: Fertecon, 2010
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Source: Fertecon, 2010
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Oil-Recovered Sulphur Production (1000 tons)
2009 2010 2015U.S.A 7,630 7,875 9,400Europe 3,359 3,230 4,230West Asia 1,955 1,975 2,905Asia 7,903 7,600 9,020-China 1,300 1,540 2,300-India 1,450 1,600 2,000Others 2,837 3,110 4,070Total 22,874 23,790 29,625
Source: Fertecon, 2010
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Middle East production grows by12.6 million tons, 2009-2019
0
5
10
15
20
25(m
illion
tonn
es)
Others KuwaitIran QatarSaudi Arabia UAE
•
Source: IFA, 2011; BSC, April, 2010
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West Asia States’ sulphur export availability more than doubles, 2009-2019
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
thou
sand
tons
Others Kuwait Iran Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE
Source: BSC, 2010
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North America: +1.6 million tons
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
mill
ion
tonn
es
Canada USA
• Canadian production from gas declines. All growth from oil sands, which increases from 1.6 Mt/y (2009) to 3.0 Mt/y by 2015.
•Sulphur recovery capacity at US oil refineries increases by ~ 2.5 Mt/y by 2013.
Source: BSC, 2010
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US Gulf forming plant capacity now totals >12,000 t/d.
Company Location Capacity (t/d)
Gulf Sulphur Service Donaldsonville LA 4,000
Gulf Sulphur Service Galveston TX 2,000
Martin Midstream Beaumont TX 4,000
Koch Sulfur Products Beaumont TX 345
Koch Sulfur Products Corpus Christi TX 2,000
And more plants are under study, some at inland locations
Source: ICIS, 2011
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FSU: +6.4 million tons
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
(mill
ion
tonn
es)
Russia KazakhstanTurkmenistan Uzbekistan
FSU sulphur from gas
Gas-Recovered Sulphur Production (1000 tons)
Source: IFA, 2011;BSC, April, 2010
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FSU Offshore Exports
Source: Oxbow, 2011
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Elemental Sulphur ProductionMillion tons sulphur
Source 2008 and 2009: The Sulphur InstituteSource 2010-2014: British Sulphur Consultants April 2010
15.6 15.3 15.5 16.7 17.1 17 16.9
8.4 9.1 10.2 12.7 13.3 14.3 15.38.9 8.7 10
10 10.3 11.7 12.45.95 6.2 67.2 8.7 9.6 10.4
9.8 9.5 10.311.3 12.1 12.26 12.45
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year
North America Middle East FSU East Asia Rest of World
48.651.9
• Strongest growth is in Middle East, FSU and Asia.• All growth is from involuntary production.
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Source: Fertecon, 2010
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Source: Fertecon, 2010
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93% of sulphur consumption is as sulphuric acid7% is consumed as elemental sulphurTotal world acid production in 2010: 200 million
tons, up 9% from 2009• From elemental: 122 million tons• From smelters: 64 million tons• From pyrites: 14 million tons
Sulphur Overview - UsesSulphuric Acid
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Nickel Projects Will Create New Demand
Location Sulphur Requirement(tonnes/year)
Goro, New Caledonia 460,000
Ravensthorpe, Australia 500,000
Ramu River, Papua New Guinea 360,000
Ambatovy, Madagascar 600,000
Moa, Cuba 200,000
Location Sulphur Requirement(tonnes/year)
Goro, New Caledonia 460,000
Ravensthorpe, Australia 500,000
Ramu River, Papua New Guinea 360,000
Ambatovy, Madagascar 600,000
Moa, Cuba 200,000
Source: ICIS, 2011
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Sulphur ConsumptionMillion tons sulphur equivalent
After two years of decline, fertilizer demand recovers in 2010
Industrial demand impacted by declining global economy; slight recovery in 2010
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Year
Milli
on T
ons
Sul
phur
Fertilizer Non-Fertilizer 76.470.8
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• Over 50% of world sulphur demand • Demand in 2010 increased• Maaden adding 1.5 Mt/y S demand• Fertilizer demand growth to come mostly from E.
Asia, L. America and S. Asia
Sulphur Overview - Uses Phosphate Fertilizers
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…for someone…
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Internationally Traded Sulphur - 2009
Morocco11%
Africa4%
U.S.8%
India5%
Tunisia5%
ME5%
Latin Am.8% Europe
2%
Others7%
Oceania2%
China43%
28.3 million tons
ImportsExports
Source: FRC
Iran4%
Japan5%
Saudi11%
W. Europe7%U.S.
8%
Mexico2%
Kaz+FSU11%
Russia10%
Others11%
Poland1%
Kuwait3% UAE
6%
Venz.1% Canada
20%
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China Sulphur Imports by Origin
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Mill
ion
Tons
Per
Yea
r
1995 1997 2000 2002 2005 2007 2009 2010
TotalN.AmericaE.AsiaMideast
Source: China Sulphuric Acid Industry Association
* Projection
Declining trend from N. America (22% of the total in 2010) more than offset by increases from Mideast (42% of the total); Asia and FSU account for 20% and 16%, respectively
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Sulphur: An Advantaged Element• Essential for protein in
humans, animals and plants• Valuable raw material for
making wide variety of products in everyday life
• Natural element in air, water and land
• Valuable: plant nutrient• Valuable soil amendment• Valuable component of select
construction materials
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Sulphur - fourth major plant nutrient
Required in similar amounts as P, about 20.6 million tons S in 2005.
About 10 million tons S applied as a fertilizer worldwide
Total S fertilizer market potential for 10.6 million tons S today
12.5 million tons by 2015, primarily in Asia and the Americas.
Sulphur Deficit and Requirement: Global
Plant Nutrient Sulphur Requirement and Deficit (Mt)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2010 2015Year
Milli
on T
ons
Sulp
hur
Crop RequirementFertilizer Applied
2015 Deficit = 12.5 Million Tons
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5.4
6.7
2
2.6
1.5
2.1
1.31.6
1.3 1.5
0.71
0.740.8
0.360.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Asia China India Africa NorthAmerica
LatinAmerica
WesternEurope
EasternEurope
2005 2015
Mill
ion
Tons
Per
Year
Regional Plant Nutrient Sulphur Deficit Worldwide
Asia has the largest regional deficit around the world with India and China in the lead
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Traditional S fertilizer production will not meet the increasing demand for sulphur in agriculture.
Sulphur fertilizers and their use provides potential market of 9.6 million tons of sulphur consumption annually, benefiting the industry.
Fertilizer producers need to address this market potential
Sulphur Fertilizers: New Groundfor Fertilizer Industry
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Sulphur World Symposium 2012Mark your calendars now!
The Premier Sulphur Industry Event will be in Antwerp, Belgium – April 23-25, 2012 for:
• Two days of networking with top industry players• Insightful speakers on key topics• A Sulphur Education Session for those new to
the industry
Visit www.sulphurinstitute.org for updates!
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BP Products North America, Inc.California Sulphur CompanyChemical InitiativesChemtrade AglobisCitis SAConocoPhillips CompanyCon-Sul, Inc.CoreSulphurCrescent Technology Inc.Devco USA LLCEnersul Inc.Etihad RailwayExxonMobil Oil CorporationFranz Fischer Spedition GmbHGATXH.J. Baker & Bro., Inc.Importadora Santa Alicia Ltda. (ISA)Interacid Trading S.A.Inter-ChemJupiter Sulphur L.L.C.Koch Sulfur Products Company LLC Marsulex, Inc.Martin Operating Partnership, L.P.
Mitsubishi CorporationMitsui & Co. (U.S.A.), Inc.Mosaic Fertilizer LLCOxbow CarbonPotashCorpPrimary Resources Inc.PRISM Sulphur CorporationSaeKwang Chemical Ind. Co. Ltd.Sandvik Process SystemsSavage Services CorporationSchiber Truck CompanyShell Sulphur SolutionsSino-Chem Fertilizer Company Ltd.solvadis GmbHSultran Ltd.Tasweeq – Qatar International Petroleum
Marketing Company Ltd. Tessenderlo Kerley, Inc.Transammonia, Inc.Union Tank Car CompanyUralchemValero Marketing and Supply CompanyZwaans van der Heuvel Tankvaart BV
TSI Member Companies