pcr status update...mrc order book growth block and complex orders #daily mrc blocks : x 2.08 (+1664...

26
PCR Status Update European Stakeholder Committee January 2016

Upload: others

Post on 29-Jan-2021

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • PCR Status Update European Stakeholder Committee January 2016

  • I. PCR Communication

    PCR Euphemia Forum, 11th of January 2016 in Brussels

    II. Euphemia Performance

    III. System Upgrades

    IV. Extensions of Members / Geographic Use of PCR Assets

    V. CACM Implementation Stage

    Table of content

  • I. PCR Communication

  • • PCR organised its first Stakeholder Forum to ESC stakeholders (Associations, NRAs, TSOs, Market Participants)

    • 60 physically attended • 59 joined the live online event webcasting

    • Primary focus: Euphemia Algorithm

    PCR Euphemia Forum 11th of January 2016 in Brussels

    CHALLENGES LIMITATIONS IMPROVEMENTS

    • Increasing size of the problem

    • Increasing number of orders

    • Difficult and increasing u er of o - o vex

    requirements

    Current Euphemia limitations: • The optimality gap

    indicator has limited value due to the non-convex nature of the problem

    • Anticipated Euphemia performance: local search + multi-threading

    • Transparency: o Developing offline computation for

    improved optimality gap indicator o Opening dialogue with stakeholders to

    develop required transparency indicators

    o New products (Thermal Units Orders) to replace Orders currently in production

    Scope of the presentation:

  • • Public Documentation on Euphemia is available for downloaded here

    • The PCR Euphemia Forum Materials including:

    o The main PCR Stakeholder Forum Presentation o The additional presentation: Non-uniform pricing and thermal orders for the day-ahead and o The link to PCR Euphemia Forum recording valid until February 10th

    have been published on the websites of Power Exchanges hosting the Forum:

    Forum Materials

    OPCOM OTE TGE

    GME NordPool OMIE

    APX Group Belpex EPEXSPOT

    https://www.epexspot.com/en/market-coupling/pcrhttp://www.opcom.ro/tranzactii_produse/tranzactii_produse.php?lang=en&id=250http://www.ote-cr.cz/about-ote/OTE_news/euphemia-forum?set_language=enhttps://tge.pl/en/27/news/666/pcr-euphemia-forumhttp://www.mercatoelettrico.org/En/Mercati/MercatoElettrico/PCR2.aspxhttp://nordpoolspot.com/How-does-it-work/Integrated-Europe/Price-coupling-of-regions/https://www.apxgroup.com/services/research-projects/pcr/https://www.apxgroup.com/services/research-projects/pcr/http://belpex.be/services/research-projects/pcr-price-coupling-of-regions/http://www.epexspot.com/en/market-coupling/pcr/pcr_euphemia_forum

  • II. Euphemia Performance

  • • 54 Bidding Areas • 68 Lines

    MRC 2015

    FB

    NO4 SE1

    SE2 NO3

    NO5

    NO2 NO1 SE3

    FI EE

    ERI

    LV

    LRI LRE

    LT

    LBI LBE

    BSP

    SLOV

    MFTV NORD

    AUST SVIZ FRAN

    PLA

    SE4

    DE

    DK2

    CNOR

    CSUD FOGN

    CORS

    SARD

    COAC

    SUD BRNN

    GREC ROSN SICI PRGP

    DK1A

    DK1

    NL

    GB2

    GB1 FR

    PT ES

    MO

    BE

    FRE

    NO1A

    MALT

    The problem is solved globally : For all bidding areas, prices are calculated during the same computation

    Functionalities Hourly step and interpolated orders regular block orders Profile block orders Linked block orders Exclusive block orders Flexible block orders Curtailable block orders MIC orders Load gradients Scheduled stops PUN orders Merit orders Flow based intuitive

    PL

  • MRC Order Book Growth Block and Complex Orders

    #daily MRC Blocks : x 2.08 (+1664 block orders) Max (#daily MRC Blocks) : x 2.12 (+2462 block orders). #Complex orders stable

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    3500

    4000

    4500

    5000

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    MRC - Daily Number of Block Orders

    Nb Regular Blocks Nb Linked Blocks

    Nb Exclusive Blocks Nb Flexible Blocks

    max

    80 76 84 80 780

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    3500

    4000

    4500

    5000

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    MRC - Daily Number of Complex Orders

    Nb Complex Orders max

    In MRC, between 2011 and 2015 the number of block orders has doubled

  • MRC Order Book Growth Merit/PUN orders

    In the period of 2011 – 2015: • #Merit orders : x 1.4 • #PUN steps cagr: 81%

    0.00

    20.00

    40.00

    60.00

    80.00

    100.00

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    PUN steps/hour*

    Avg

    Max

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    30000

    35000

    40000

    45000

    Avg.2011 Max 2011 Avg.2015 Max 2015

    MRC - Number of PUN/Merit Orders*

    * Period 25/02/201X – 09/07/201X

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    05 Feb19 Feb05 Mar19 Mar02 Apr16 Apr30 Apr

    14 May28 May11 Jun25 Jun09 Jul23 Jul

    06 Aug20 Aug03 Sep17 Sep01 Oct15 Oct29 Oct12 Nov26 Nov10 Dec24 Dec07 Jan21 Jan04 Feb18 Feb04 Mar18 Mar01 Apr15 Apr29 Apr

    13 May27 May10 Jun24 Jun08 Jul22 Jul

    05 Aug19 Aug02 Sep16 Sep30 Sep14 Oct28 Oct11 Nov25 Nov09 Dec23 Dec06 Jan20 Jan

    Time (s)

    Time to first solution

    pre-GM

    E

    post-GM

    E

    PCR algorithm perform

    ance update – Time to first solution (on M

    RC scope) Statistics - PC

    R A

    lgorithmic Perform

    ance

    E9.2 E9.1

    E6.0 E7.0

    E7.0b E8.2

    E9.3

  • PCR algorithm perform

    ance update – Num

    ber of PRBs (on MRC scope)

    Statistics - PCR

    Algorithm

    ic Performance

    0 50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    05 Feb19 Feb05 Mar19 Mar02 Apr16 Apr30 Apr

    14 May28 May11 Jun25 Jun09 Jul23 Jul

    06 Aug20 Aug03 Sep17 Sep01 Oct15 Oct29 Oct12 Nov26 Nov10 Dec24 Dec07 Jan21 Jan04 Feb18 Feb04 Mar18 Mar01 Apr15 Apr29 Apr

    13 May27 May10 Jun24 Jun08 Jul22 Jul

    05 Aug19 Aug02 Sep16 Sep30 Sep14 Oct28 Oct11 Nov25 Nov09 Dec23 Dec06 Jan20 Jan

    Number of PRBs

    Num

    ber of PRBs

    pre-GM

    E

    post-GM

    E

    E9.2 E9.1

    E6.0 E7.0

    E7.0b E8.2

    E9.3

  • PCR algorithm perform

    ance update – Max

    P (on MR

    C scope)

    Statistics - PCR

    Algorithm

    ic Performance

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

    100

    05 Feb19 Feb05 Mar19 Mar02 Apr16 Apr30 Apr

    14 May28 May11 Jun25 Jun09 Jul23 Jul

    06 Aug20 Aug03 Sep17 Sep01 Oct15 Oct29 Oct12 Nov26 Nov10 Dec24 Dec07 Jan21 Jan04 Feb18 Feb04 Mar18 Mar01 Apr15 Apr29 Apr

    13 May27 May10 Jun24 Jun08 Jul22 Jul

    05 Aug19 Aug02 Sep16 Sep30 Sep14 Oct28 Oct11 Nov25 Nov09 Dec23 Dec06 Jan20 Jan

    max ΔP

    max Δ

    P

    pre-GM

    E

    post-GM

    E

    E9.2 E9.1

    E6.0 E7.0

    E7.0b E8.2

    E9.3

  • PCR algorithm perform

    ance update – PRMICs (on M

    RC

    scope) Statistics - PC

    R A

    lgorithmic Perform

    ance

    01 Apr15 Apr29 Apr

    13 May27 May10 Jun24 Jun08 Jul22 Jul

    05 Aug19 Aug

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    05 Feb19 Feb05 Mar19 Mar02 Apr16 Apr30 Apr

    14 May28 May11 Jun25 Jun09 Jul23 Jul

    06 Aug20 Aug03 Sep17 Sep01 Oct15 Oct29 Oct12 Nov26 Nov10 Dec24 Dec07 Jan21 Jan04 Feb18 Feb04 Mar18 Mar01 Apr15 Apr29 Apr

    13 May27 May10 Jun24 Jun08 Jul22 Jul

    05 Aug19 Aug02 Sep16 Sep30 Sep14 Oct28 Oct11 Nov25 Nov09 Dec23 Dec06 Jan20 Jan

    Number of PRMICs

    Num

    ber of PRMICs

    pre-GM

    E

    post-GM

    E

    E9.2 E9.1

    E6.0 E7.0

    E7.0b E8.2

    E9.3

  • PCR algorithm perform

    ance update – Max

    MIC (on M

    RC

    scope) Statistics - PC

    R A

    lgorithmic Perform

    ance

    0 5 10 15 20 25 30

    05 Feb19 Feb05 Mar19 Mar02 Apr16 Apr30 Apr

    14 May28 May11 Jun25 Jun09 Jul23 Jul

    06 Aug20 Aug03 Sep17 Sep01 Oct15 Oct29 Oct12 Nov26 Nov10 Dec24 Dec07 Jan21 Jan04 Feb18 Feb04 Mar18 Mar01 Apr15 Apr29 Apr

    13 May27 May10 Jun24 Jun08 Jul22 Jul

    05 Aug19 Aug02 Sep16 Sep30 Sep14 Oct28 Oct11 Nov25 Nov09 Dec23 Dec06 Jan20 Jan

    max ΔMIC

    max Δ

    MIC

    pre-GM

    E

    post-GM

    EE9.2 E9.1

    E6.0 E7.0

    E7.0b E8.2

    E9.3

  • In order to cope with the expending perimeter and the increasing number and complexities of the products that are used, significant performance improvements have been and are continued to be implemented within Euphemia.

    Euphemia – Main Releases

    Euphemia 6.0 Euphemia 7.0 Euphemia 7.0b Euphemia 8.2

    05/02/2014 05/03/2014 09/04/2014 18/09/2014 31/12/2014

    Euphemia 8.2 Euphemia 9.1 Euphemia 9.2 Euphemia 9.3

    01/01/2015 22/01/2015 15/05/2015 29/10/2015

    Initial Release of Euphemia

    Bug Fixes Bug Fixes Better handling of numerical difficulties

    Better handling of numerical difficulties

    PUN Search Improvement

    Branching Strategy Improvement

    PUN Search Improvement and PRB Re-insertion

    ~04/2016 ~10/2016

    Local search (PRB re-insertion) improvement

    Multi threading

    Euphemia 9.4 Euphemia 10

    2014

    2015

    2016

  • III. System Upgrades

  • • Fixing several minor bugs • Higher stability and better data handling • Improvements in messages/logs/errors • Introduction of interface changes needed for implementation of several functionalities

    requested by PXs and TSOs

    • Improving already implemented functionalities • Expected go-live in Q3 2016

    General PCR status linked to system upgrades

    • Aiming for better stability of DB due to ending support of Oracle 11.2 • To be implemented in Q1 2016

    • Upgrade to Windows 2012 servers • Introduction of new supported browsers • Improvement of the overall support of PCR processes

    Upgrade of Oracle 11.2 to Oracle 12.1

    New PMB release version 9 – no major changes

    Further development expected in 2016

  • III. Extensions of Members / Geographic Use of PCR Assets

  • (i.e. New «serviced PX» -> required signature of the Multilateral Liability Agreement-MLA) • 02.12.2015 Croatian PX CROPEX • 03.12.2015 Bulgarian PX IBEX • The Serbian PX SEEPX (only EUPHEMIA to be used) is presently completing the adherence to the

    MLA

    (i.e. Adherences to PCR Agreements) • 26.10.2015 Polish PX TGE • 30.10.2015 Romanian PX OPCOM • Total PCR Full Members: 7 contributing (paying and voting) Parties from 1st of February 2016

    New PCR Full Members

    (i.e. «Viewers» -> required signature individual NDA-Confidentiality Declaration) • 26.07.2015 Croatian PX CROPEX, with market launch on the 10.02.2016* • 12.10.2015 Bulgarian PX IBEX, go live – inclusion in PCR on the 19.01.2016* • The Serbian PX SEEPX is presently completing its associate membership *Both IBEX and CROPEX join the MRC process as PCR Serviced PXs by Nord Pool

    New PCR Associate Members

    Recent extensions of the geographic use of PCR assets

  • Implementation of PCR

    TGE APX

    EPEX

    GME

    OMIE

    OTE

    OPCOM HUPX BSP

    4MMC

    MRC

    Implementation stage: 1st of January 2016

    Independent

    Nord Pool

  • Implementation of PCR

    4MMC

    MRC Nord Pool

    IBEX

    TGE

    GME

    OMIE

    OTE

    OPCOM HUPX BSP

    Expected implementation stage: 31st of January 2016

    EPEX

    Independent

  • 4MMC

    MRC

    IBEX

    TGE

    GME

    OMIE

    OTE

    OPCOM HUPX BSP CROPEX

    Expected implementation stage: 31st of March 2016

    Independent

    EPEX

    Implementation of PCR

    Nord Pool

  • IBEX

    TGE

    GME

    OMIE

    OTE

    OPCOM HUPX BSP CROPEX

    EPEX

    Implementation of PCR

    4MMC

    MRC

    Expected implementation stage for the first semester

    Independent

    Nord Pool

    * SEEPEX – Only EUPHEMIA to be used

  • III. CACM implementation stage

  • • High level architecture and organisation • Contractual structure • Revisions to existing agreements • MCO plan content

    CACM Task Force meetings – scope of discussions:

    CACM implementation status

    • Definition of timing and resources • Identification of key deliverables

    Early implementation stage

    Range of discussed topics

  • Thank you