payments for environmental services · 2018. 12. 7. · payments for environmental services...

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World Bank, 1818 H Str NW, Washington DC 20433, USA; [email protected] The opinions expressed in this presentation are the author’s own and do not necessarily represent those of the World Bank Group. The materials in this presentation may be freely reproduced with appropriate credit to the author and the World Bank. Payments for Environmental Services State-of-the art review and potential for NCA Stefano Pagiola Global Platform, Environment and Natural Resources Global Practice World Bank Wealth Accounting and the Valuation of Ecosystem Services (WAVES) Eighth Annual Partnership Meeting 28-29 November 2018, Paris, France

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  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 1

    World Bank, 1818 H Str NW, Washington DC 20433, USA; [email protected] The opinions expressed in this presentation are the author’s own and do not necessarily represent those of the World Bank Group. The materials in this presentation may be freely reproduced with appropriate credit to the author and the World Bank.

    Payments for Environmental Services State-of-the art review and potential for NCA

    Stefano Pagiola Global Platform, Environment and Natural Resources Global Practice

    World Bank

    Wealth Accounting and the Valuation of Ecosystem Services (WAVES) Eighth Annual Partnership Meeting

    28-29 November 2018, Paris, France

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 2

    Climbing the ladder: from NCA to development outcomes

    A. Identifying env. problem (e.g. deforestation leading to downstream siltation) and raise awareness on how NCA can help address it

    B. Building/ analyzing accounts (e.g. land cover, ecosystem services accounts - erosion control)

    C. Using NCA to identify an answer to the original question (e.g. Payment for environmental Services - PES)

    D. Turning the NCA analysis into a policy response (e.g. decree to establish PES)

    E. Solution implemented (e.g. PES under way)

    F. Solution implemented and proven effective in mitigating natural capital/ ES mis-management (e.g. PES leads to reduced sedimentation)

    G. Intermediate Development outcome (e.g. agric. productivity improved)

    H. Ultimate develop. outcome (e.g. poverty reduced)

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 3

    Extraction of timber

    Measuring the annual flow of forest benefits

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Recreation

    $

    Biodiversity conservation

    Extraction of forest products

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 4

    Value of forests in the Mediterranean

    Mean: US$148/ha Annual flow of benefits from Mediterranean forests

    Note: Some benefits could not be measured in some countries Source: Croitoru and Merlo, 2005

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 5

    Who receives forest benefits?

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Recreation

    $

    Biodiversity conservation

    Extraction of forest products

    Extraction of forest products

    Who benefits?

    Local benefits

    Rest-of-country benefits

    Global benefits

    National benefits

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 6

    Threats to forest benefits

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Recreation

    $

    Biodiversity conservation

    Extraction of forest products

    Global benefits

    National benefits

    Insecure property rights Policy distortions Insufficient training

    Global externalities

    Externalities

    Who benefits? Threats

    Local benefits

    Rest-of-country benefits

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 7

    Conversion to alternative uses

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Recreation

    $

    Biodiversity conservation

    Extraction of forest products

    Crop cultivation,

    Pasture

    Recreation

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Biodiversity conservation

    Increased benefits to landholders

    Loss to society

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 8

    Addressing threats to forests in Costa Rica

    Clearing and use for pasture

    Sustainable forest

    management

    Sustainable forest

    management +

    Eliminating policy distortions

    Sustainable forest

    management +

    Eliminating policy distortions

    + Internalizing externalities

    1,200

    1,000

    800

    600

    400

    200

    0

    $/ha/yr How do we do this?

    Source: Based on Kishor and Constantino, 1993.

    Traditional forest

    management

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 9

    PES as a solution to externality problems

    $

    Recreation

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Biodiversity conservation

    Extraction of forest products

    Crop cultivation,

    Pasture

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Biodiversity conservation

    Recreation

    Recreation

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Biodiversity conservation

    Extraction of forest products

    PES Increased benefits to land users,

    relative to alternative

    No loss of forest value

    Cost of implementation

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 10

    Payments for Environmental Services (PES)

    Payments that are conditional on managing natural resources in ways that generate benefits for others

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 11

    Two kinds of PES programs

    Service providers Service users

    Service

    Payment

    Service providers

    Service users Service

    Payment

    Government

    User-financed PES programs:

    Government-financed PES programs:

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 12

    Hybrid PES programs

    Service providers Service users

    Service

    Payments

    Government

    Hybrid PES programs:

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 13

    Time dimension of PES

    Forest

    Non-forest

    $/ha

    0 Year

    Opportunity cost

    Forest + PES

    Payment

    Incentive to conserve disappears when payments end

    Requires long-term financing source Users (because it’s in their interest) Government (through ear-marked funding)

    Costa Rica: 3.5% of fuel tax + 25% of water fees

    Mexico: MXN300 million from water fees + annual budget contribution

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 14

    Do you need PES?

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Recreation

    $

    Biodiversity conservation

    Extraction of forest products

    Likely to have local threats

    Likely to have externality problems

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Recreation

    Biodiversity conservation

    Extraction of forest products

    Likely to have local threats

    Likely to have externality problems

    ✔️ Yes Maybe not

    Where do

    Focus on governance,

    TA for improved management,

    etc

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 15

    Some lessons from PES experience

    Understand the problems

    Justifying the program

    Target payments

    Differentiate payments

    Evaluate the impact

    NCA can help?

    ✔️

    ✔️

    ✔️

    ✔️

    ✔️

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 16

    Sub-national differences National-level averages not very useful

    Need sub-national data (ideally by watershed or ecosystem, not administrative units)

    What do we need from WAVES/NCA?

    Timber NTFP Tourism Watershed protection

    Sekong Province

    Attapeu, Champasak, and Xekong Provinces

    Average

    800

    400

    0

    $/ha/yr

    Source: Average from Groby and Strukova, 2018. Provincial values from Emerton, 2013.

    Important for Diagnosis Targeting

    Value of forests in Laos

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 17

    What do we need from WAVES/NCA?

    $

    Recreation

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Biodiversity conservation

    Extraction of forest products

    Crop cultivation,

    Pasture

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Biodiversity conservation

    Change in total value of services

    Recreation

    Changes in value of services provided by NC Observed changes over time Projected changes under alternative scenarios

    Loss of interest to water users

    For government-financed PES programs

    For user-financed PES programs

    Expected change in value of services sets maximum payment (+ transaction costs)

    Important for Diagnosis Targeting Setting payment levels

    Has to be for specific watershed

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 18

    Need for differentiated payments

    Timber NTFP Tourism Watershed protection

    Sekong Province

    Attapeu, Champasak, and Xekong Provinces

    Average

    800

    400

    0

    $/ha/yr

    Source: Average from Groby and Strukova, 2018. Provincial values from Emerton, 2013.

    Low potential maximum payment

    High potential maximum payment

    Across watersheds

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 19

    Need for differentiated payments

    HRU 18

    HRU 02

    06 09

    12

    22 03

    19

    Eros

    ion

    (t/h

    a/ye

    ar)

    0 5 10 15 20 25 Area (ha)

    130

    50

    0

    100

    SWAT estimates: Erosion in Mishquiyacu watershed, Perú

    Source: Quintero, Wunder, and Estrada, 2009

    Other

    3% of the watershed produces 26% of sediment 1% of the watershed produces 17% of sediment

    Within watersheds

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 20

    Two kinds of PES programs

    Service providers Service users

    Service

    Payment

    Service providers

    Service users Service

    Payment

    Government

    User-financed PES programs:

    Government-financed PES programs:

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 21

    National or local PES program?

    Distribution of benefits and service users $

    Recreation

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Biodiversity conservation

    Extraction of forest products

    Crop cultivation,

    Pasture

    Downstream water services

    Carbon sequestration

    Biodiversity conservation

    Change in total value of services

    Recreation

    Loss of interest to water users

    Larger share of total loss: User-financed may be better But only if have 1/few water

    users in key watersheds

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 22

    National program or decentralized local programs?

    National program Larger area Economies of scale in implementation Less efficient “one size fits all”

    Decentralized local program

    Well adapted to local conditions Smaller area Higher unit costs of implementation

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 23

    National program or decentralized local programs?

    Distribution of services

    Recreation

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Forest products

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Recreation

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Forest products

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Few areas with substantial externalities Local programs

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 24

    National program or decentralized local programs?

    Distribution of services

    Recreation

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Forest products

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Recreation

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Forest products

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Recreation

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Forest products

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Recreation

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Forest products

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Recreation

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Forest products

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Recreation

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Forest products

    Forest products

    Water

    C

    Biodi

    Recreation

    Many areas with substantial externalities National program

    National program ≠ untargeted

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 25

    NCA can…

    Help identify ecosystems at risk Help understand if responses such as PES are

    needed Help design the PES response

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 26

    World Bank support to PES

    Mexico Nicaragua

    Costa Rica Colombia

    Brazil

    Ghana

    Madagascar

    Kenya

    Albania

    Since 1998 8 completed projects 12 projects under implementation (+ carbon projects) 2 projects under preparation > USD 100 million a year > 3 million ha of forest under conservation contracts

    Honduras

    People’s Republic of China

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 27

    World Bank support to PES: Documenting lessons

    https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Stefano_Pagiola

    http://tinyurl.com/peslp

  • Pagiola, World Bank, 2018 28

    Slide Number 1Climbing the ladder:�from NCA to development outcomesMeasuring the annual flow of forest benefitsValue of forests in the MediterraneanWho receives forest benefits?Threats to forest benefitsConversion to alternative usesAddressing threats to forests in Costa RicaPES as a solution to externality problemsPayments for Environmental Services (PES)Two kinds of PES programsHybrid PES programsTime dimension of PESDo you need PES?Some lessons from PES experienceWhat do we need from WAVES/NCA?What do we need from WAVES/NCA?Need for differentiated paymentsNeed for differentiated paymentsTwo kinds of PES programsNational or local PES program?National program or decentralized local programs?National program or decentralized local programs?National program or decentralized local programs?NCA can…World Bank support to PESWorld Bank support to PES: Documenting lessonsSlide Number 28