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Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore PRESENTED AT Kuala Lumpur Meeting on the straits of Malacca and Singapore 19 September, 2006 Kuala Lumpur Kenji NAGAMATSU Maritime Bureau Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport Past and Present Vessel Traffic through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore Trend Analysis in the Decade 1994-2004

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Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

PRESENTED AT Kuala Lumpur Meeting

on the straits of Malacca and Singapore 19 September, 2006 Kuala Lumpur

Kenji NAGAMATSUMaritime Bureau

Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport

Past and Present Vessel Traffic through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore ー Trend Analysis in the Decade 1994-2004 ー

2

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅰ Aim of Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits

(1) In 1960s, traffic volume of Japanese vessels was dominant.

(2) Recent economic growth of Asian countries changed the situation significantly, both in total traffic volume and share of user states.

(3) Estimation of traffic volume contributes to discussions about international cooperation.

(Burden-Sharing)

MLITMLIT

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

(1) Estimation of 2004 traffic volume(2) Estimation of 1994 traffic volume・ Estimate 1994 traffic volume data based on

the same method as Estimation of 2004 traffic volume ⇒Compare 2004 data with 1994 date⇒Analyze trend

(3) Forecast of the future traffic volume: scheduled to be completed early 2007 ・ Forecast of future traffic volume by simulation*This Survey is conducted by MLIT and the

Nippon Foundation.

Ⅱ Whole Picture of Survey

MLITMLIT

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅲ Method of Survey

Data for 1994 and 2004, presented by LMIU (Lloyd’s Marine Intelligence Unit)

[Estimation route](1994) The date of 440,452 vessels movements

(2004) The date of 606,911 vessels movements

(Only “Ocean Going Vessels”of 100GT or more.)

[Estimation result](1994) The date of 75,061 vessels through the Straits(2004) The date of 93,757 vessels through the Straits

[Analysis]・By Ship types

・By Flag state, Parent company’s nationality

・By Last calling port’s Nationality before entering/leaving the Straits,First calling port’s Nationality after entering/leaving the Straits

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

① Passing through the Straits② Going from westbound to ports in the Straits③ Going from ports in Straits to westbound④ Going From eastbound/southbound to ports in the Straits⑤ Going from ports in the Straits to eastbound/southbound

Ⅳ Concept of Traffic Volume through the Straits

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅴ-1(1) Number and Tonnage (D.W.) of vessels by Ship types

(1.28)(43)(33)

1.59 3,989,3212,503,7551.25 93,75575,061GRAND TOTAL

(0.12)(3)(24)

0.26 14,18053,9982.24 5,0382,245OTHERS

(1.08)(9)(9)

0.66 133,560202,5270.61 14,06423,080CARGO VESSEL

(0.93)(35)(38)

1.24 138,636111,7391.34 3,9332,935LNG/LPG

(1.16)(57)(49)

1.54 772,555503,1761.32 13,59910,280BULK CARRIER

(1.01)(13)(13)

1.48 59,77140,4681.46 4,4543,041RORO CARGO CARRIER

(1.31)(34)(26)

2.54 1,013,552399,5081.94 29,67215,295CONTAINER VESSEL

(1.23)(81)(66)

1.56 1,857,0671,192,3391.26 22,99518,185TANKER VESSEL

Rate of increase20041994Rate of increase20041994

(Average D.W.(1000M/T))

Tonnage of vessels (D.W.)(1000M/T)Number of vessels

SHIPTYPES

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅴ-1(2) Tonnage (D.W.) of vessels by Ship types

①1994 ②2004

D.W.

OTHERS0.4%LNG/LPG

3.5%BULK

CARRIER

19.4%

RORO

CARGO

CARRIER1.5%

TANKER

VESSEL

46.6%

CARGO

VESSEL

3.3%

CONTAINER

VESSEL

25.4%

D.W

OTHERS

2.2%LNG/LPG

4.5%

BULK

CARRIER

20.1%

RORO

CARGO

CARRIER

1.6%

TANKER

VESSEL

47.6%

CARGO

VESSEL

8.1%

CONTAINER

VESSEL

16.0%

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅴ-2(1) Tonnage (D.W.) of vessels by Flag State

①1994 ②2004

D.W.

Cyprus

3.7%Greece

4.4%

Bahamas

5.2%

China

7.1%

Singapore

8.5%

Norway

2.9%

Marshall Islands

3.3%

Panama

20.3%Others

25.9%

Malta

7.1%

Liberia

11.6%

D.W.

Germany

2.7%

Bahamas

3.2%

Marshall Islands

5.0%

Singapore

8.2%

China

8.4%Malta

2.4%

Cyprus

2.5%

Panama

27.8%

Others

24.9%

Greece

4.6%

Liberia

10.2%

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅴ-2(1) Tonnage (D.W.) of vessels by Flag State

100.0%3,989,321100.0%2,503,755Grand Total

0.9%36,8740.4%9,737French Southern Ter.20

1.0%38,1181.2%30,419Korea19

1.0%39,5770.5%12,819Iran18

1.3%51,3880.7%18,743Isle of Man17

1.3%53,2091.2%29,742United Kingdom16

1.6%65,7042.9%72,764Norway15

1.8%70,2441.9%48,504India14

1.9%76,2221.8%44,011Japan13

2.0%78,9791.3%31,354Malaysia12

2.0%80,9850.3%7,009Denmark11

2.4%93,7527.1%177,194Malta10

2.5%101,1453.7%93,628Cyprus9

2.7%109,0550.7%18,215Germany8

3.2%127,3145.2%129,305Bahamas7

4.6%182,7194.4%110,822Greece6

5.0%201,2273.3%81,406Marshall Islands5

8.2%328,1608.5%213,892Singapore4

8.4%334,6967.1%177,618China3

10.2%408,30311.6%291,081Liberia2

27.8%1,108,02520.3%508,420Panama1

Share(%)2004Share(%)1994

D.W.(1,000M/T)Flag StateNo.

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅴ-3(1) Tonnage (D.W.) of vessels by Parent Company’s Nationality

②2004①1994

*Parent company:・ If a vessel becomes a Total Loss, this is the company which would receive payment

from the insurers. ・ It is also referred to as the beneficial owner which is the person or company that has the

right to sell/dispose of a ship or to transfer shares in a ship.

D.W.

Korea

3.5% Norway

4.6%

Singapore

5.8%

United

Kingdom

7.1%

China

7.8%

Taiwan

2.8%

Denmark

3.2%

Japan

20.8%Others

30.5%

U.S.A.

5.8%

Greece

8.1%

D.W.

Taiwan

4.2%

Korea

4.2%

Singapore

5.2%

Germany

9.3%China

10.5%U.S.A.

2.6%

Denmark

2.9%

Japan

18.6%Others

24.5%

Norway

4.6%

Greece

13.4%

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅴ-3(2) Tonnage (D.W.) of vessels by Parent Company’s Nationality

100.0%3,989,321100.0%2,503,755Grand Total

0.9%36,7400.8%19,233Cyprus20

0.9%37,1861.4%35,431Indonesia19

1.0%38,5400.5%11,542Belgium18

1.0%41,0350.5%12,663Iran17

1.1%45,5721.2%31,126Monaco16

1.5%59,3810.3%7,292Switzerland15

1.6%64,9881.3%32,850Malaysia14

1.9%77,2461.3%32,410India13

2.1%85,2977.1%177,624United Kingdom12

2.5%100,8021.9%48,072Israel11

2.6%103,3055.8%144,819U.S.A.10

2.9%114,2823.2%79,118Denmark9

4.2%167,5012.8%69,861Taiwan8

4.2%167,6553.5%87,808Korea7

4.6%182,2574.6%114,924Norway6

5.2%207,9455.8%144,919Singapore5

9.3%371,3122.2%56,286Germany4

10.5%419,4787.8%196,134China3

13.4%535,2618.1%203,273Greece2

18.6%743,60920.8%520,414Japan1

Share(%)2004Share(%)1994

D.W.(1,000M/T)Parent CompanyNo.

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅴ-4(1) Tonnage (D.W.) of vessels by Last calling port’s Nationality before entering/passing the Straits

①1994 ②2004

D.W.

Malaysia

3.5%

Korea

4.6%

Indonesia

6.2%

U.A.E.

6.2%China

7.3%

India

2.1%

Egypt

3.5%

Singapore

31.5%

Others

17.0%

Saudi Arabia

5.9%

Japan

12.3%

D.W.

China

10.7%

U.A.E.

4.6%

Others

21.3%Singapore

29.5%

Indonesia

3.6%

India

3.3%

Japan

7.8%

Malaysia

5.9%

Saudi Arabia

5.4%Korea

4.3%Egypt

3.6%

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅴ-4(2) Tonnage (D.W.) of vessels by Last calling port’s Nationality

100.0%3,989,321100.0%2,503,755Grand Total

0.7%27,2971.0%25,526South Africa20

0.7%28,7250.7%16,779U.S.A.19

0.9%37,2740.9%21,583Sri Lanka18

1.0%39,8290.5%13,170Kuwait17

1.6%62,0000.9%21,583Brazil16

1.6%63,4652.0%50,410Oman15

1.8%71,4181.6%40,184Iran14

2.0%79,3211.6%38,957Thailand13

2.0%80,1611.6%40,371Australia12

2.3%91,4861.8%45,664Taiwan11

3.3%133,2582.1%51,795India10

3.6%142,0456.2%154,147Indonesia9

3.6%142,6903.5%86,819Egypt8

4.3%173,3734.6%114,890Korea7

4.6%182,7406.2%154,983U.A.E.6

5.4%213,6555.9%148,961Saudi Arabia5

5.9%234,6753.5%88,871Malaysia4

7.8%311,3247.3%181,646Japan3

10.7%428,44512.3%307,958China2

29.5%1,176,22831.5%787,803Singapore1

Share(%)2004Share(%)1994

D.W.(1,000M/T)Last calling port’s Nationality No.

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅴ-5(1) Tonnage (D.W.) of vessels by First calling port’s Nationality after passing/leaving the Straits

①1994 ②2004D.W.

Korea

3.7%

Saudi Arabia

3.9%

Malaysia

5.9%Japan

7.6%U.A.E.

9.1%

India

2.8%

Indonesia

3.4%

Singapore

29.9%

Others

18.7%

Egypt

4.6%

China

10.4%

D.W.

Malaysia

4.1%

Korea

4.4%

Indonesia

6.0%

China

6.4%

U.A.E.

8.7%

Taiwan

2.2%

Egypt

2.8%

Singapore

31.5%

Others

17.4%

Saudi Arabia

4.6%

Japan

12.0%

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Ⅴ-5(2) Tonnage (D.W.) of vessels by First calling port’s Nationality

100.0%3,989,321100.0%2,503,755Grand Total

0.6%24,4921.2%29,015Philippines20

0.7%28,0740.5%12,734U.S.A.19

0.9%37,5961.5%37,234Sri Lanka18

0.9%37,7610.9%22,697Oman17

1.0%37,9390.9%21,429Kuwait16

1.2%46,6061.2%30,125South Africa15

1.5%58,0151.5%38,152Iran14

1.5%61,5371.9%48,781Australia13

1.9%75,5691.4%34,838Thailand12

2.4%97,6012.2%54,585Taiwan11

2.8%110,9871.9%48,491India10

3.4%134,8296.0%149,374Indonesia9

3.7%149,1324.4%109,418Korea8

3.9%154,9264.6%114,412Saudi Arabia7

4.6%182,5512.8%69,243Egypt6

5.9%233,7254.1%102,605Malaysia5

7.6%303,41312.0%301,330Japan4

9.1%364,6318.7%217,731U.A.E.3

10.4%413,9346.4%160,338China2

29.9%1,193,88431.5%789,605Singapore1

Share(%)2004Share(%)1994

D.W.(1,000M/T)First calling port’s NationalityNo.

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

The result shows :☆ Rapid total traffic growth in decade☆ Japan obtains the benefits from passage

of the Straits☆ Wide range of countries receives the

benefit from the Straits, such as・East Asian countries,・Europe countries,・Middle Eastern oil producing countries

☆ The relative importance of Japan has been decreasing

Ⅵ Results of Survey

MLITMLIT

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

☆ Various beneficiaries of passage through the Straits☆ Steadily increase of traffic volume in the Straits

Need for enhancing measure for safe navigational and environment protection

A new framework for international cooperation( Burden sharing between littoral States, user

States and other stakeholders)

MLITMLIT

Ⅶ Conclusions

Survey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and SingaporeSurvey of Traffic Volume through the Straits of Malacca and Singapore

Thank You