partha dasgupta (university of cambridge) · 1 partha dasgupta (university of cambridge) sir partha...

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1 Partha Dasgupta (University of Cambridge) Sir Partha Dasgupta was born in Dhaka (at that time in India) in 1942 and graduated with a BSc in physics from the University of Delhi in 1962 before obtaining both a BA in mathematics and a PhD in economics from the University of Cambridge in 1965 and 1968 respectively. He taught at the London School of Economics between 1971 and 1984 and then moved to the University of Cambridge in 1985 as Professor of Economics. Between 1989 and 1992, he was on leave from the University of Cambridge and served as Professor of Economics, Professor of Philosophy, and Director of the Program in Ethics in Society at Stanford University. He is currently Frank Ramsey Emeritus Professor of Economics at Cambridge, Fellow of St John’s College, Cambridge, and Professorial Research Fellow at the Sustainable Consumption Institute, University of Manchester. Professor Dasgupta’s research interests include welfare and development economics, the economics of technological change, population, environmental and resource economics, the theory of games, and the economics of undernutrition. His most‐cited articles include, ‘Notes on the Measurement of Inequality’, Journal of Economic Theory (1973), co‐authored with Amartya Sen and David Starrett, ‘The Optimal Depletion of Exhaustible Resources’, Review of Economic Studies (1974), co‐authored with Geoffrey Heal, ‘Industrial Structure and The Nature of Innovative Activity’, Economic Journal (1980), co‐authored with Joseph Stiglitz, ‘The Existence of Equilibrium in Discontinuous Economic Games, I: Theory’, Review of Economic Studies (1986), co‐authored with Eric Maskin, and ‘Inequality as a Determinant of Malnutrition and Unemployment: Theory’, Economic Journal (1986), co‐authored with Debraj Ray. His books include, The Control of Resources (Harvard University Press, 1982), An Inquiry into WellBeing and Destitution (Clarendon Press, 1993), Human WellBeing and the Natural Environment (Oxford University Press, 2001; revised version, 2004), and Economics: A Very Short Introduction (Oxford University Press, 2007).

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Page 1: Partha Dasgupta (University of Cambridge) · 1 Partha Dasgupta (University of Cambridge) Sir Partha Dasgupta was born in Dhaka (at that time in India) in 1942 and graduated with a

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ParthaDasgupta(UniversityofCambridge)

SirParthaDasguptawasborninDhaka(atthattimeinIndia)in1942andgraduatedwitha

BScinphysicsfromtheUniversityofDelhiin1962beforeobtainingbothaBAin

mathematicsandaPhDineconomicsfromtheUniversityofCambridgein1965and1968

respectively.HetaughtattheLondonSchoolofEconomicsbetween1971and1984and

thenmovedtotheUniversityofCambridgein1985asProfessorofEconomics.Between

1989and1992,hewasonleavefromtheUniversityofCambridgeandservedasProfessor

ofEconomics,ProfessorofPhilosophy,andDirectorofthePrograminEthicsinSocietyat

StanfordUniversity.HeiscurrentlyFrankRamseyEmeritusProfessorofEconomicsat

Cambridge,FellowofStJohn’sCollege,Cambridge,andProfessorialResearchFellowatthe

SustainableConsumptionInstitute,UniversityofManchester.

ProfessorDasgupta’sresearchinterestsincludewelfareanddevelopmenteconomics,the

economicsoftechnologicalchange,population,environmentalandresourceeconomics,the

theoryofgames,andtheeconomicsofundernutrition.Hismost‐citedarticlesinclude,

‘NotesontheMeasurementofInequality’,JournalofEconomicTheory(1973),co‐authored

withAmartyaSenandDavidStarrett,‘TheOptimalDepletionofExhaustibleResources’,

ReviewofEconomicStudies(1974),co‐authoredwithGeoffreyHeal,‘IndustrialStructure

andTheNatureofInnovativeActivity’,EconomicJournal(1980),co‐authoredwithJoseph

Stiglitz,‘TheExistenceofEquilibriuminDiscontinuousEconomicGames,I:Theory’,Review

ofEconomicStudies(1986),co‐authoredwithEricMaskin,and‘InequalityasaDeterminant

ofMalnutritionandUnemployment:Theory’,EconomicJournal(1986),co‐authoredwith

DebrajRay.Hisbooksinclude,TheControlofResources(HarvardUniversityPress,1982),

AnInquiryintoWell‐BeingandDestitution(ClarendonPress,1993),HumanWell‐Beingand

theNaturalEnvironment(OxfordUniversityPress,2001;revisedversion,2004),and

Economics:AVeryShortIntroduction(OxfordUniversityPress,2007).

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ProfessorDasguptawaselectedaFellowoftheEconometricSocietyin1975,Fellowofthe

BritishAcademyin1989,MemberofthePontificalAcademyofSocialSciencesin1997,

MemberoftheThirdWorldAcademyofSciencesin2001,andFellowoftheRoyalSociety

in2004.HeisaForeignHonoraryMemberoftheAmericanAcademyofArtsandSciences

(1991),ForeignAssociateoftheUSNationalAcademyofSciences(2001),ForeignMember

oftheAmericanPhilosophicalSociety(2005),andForeignMemberoftheRoyalSwedish

AcademyofSciences(1991).HewasnamedKnightBachelorbyHerMajestyQueen

ElizabethIIinherBirthdayHonoursListin2002for“servicestoeconomics.”

IinterviewedSirParthaDasguptaathishotelinMontreal,Canada,wherehewasattending

theWorldCongressoftheAssociationsofEnvironmentalandResourceEconomists.Itwas

theearlyafternoonofFriday,July2,2010.

BACKGROUNDINFORMATION

Youholdbachelor’sdegreesinphysicsandmathematics.HowdidyouendupwithaPhDin

economics?

Iwasintendingtobeahigh‐energy,particlephysicist,buttwothingsmademeabandon

thatambition.Onewasthatthesubjectwasgoingthroughwhatseemedtometobean

uninspiringpatchinthemid‐‘60s,althoughthatprobablyreflectedmyownintellectual

shortcomingsmorethanthestateofthesubject.TheotherreasonwasthattheVietnam

Warwasonand,likemanyotherstudents,Iwasbotheredbyit.Myfriendsamongthe

mathematiciansatCambridgeweren’tinterestedintheWar.Aphilosopherfriendinsisted

hedidn’thaveenoughinformationtohaveaviewabouttheWar.Ifoundthattheonly

peopleincollegewithwhomIcouldhaveinformativediscussionsontheWarandits

probablecauseswereeconomists,particularlyMarxists,whoprovidedmeone

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interpretation,andpoliticalscientists,whoinsistedonanotherclassofinterpretations.

Thatwasveryeducationalforme.

InmyowncollegeatCambridge,JimMirrlees(nowSirJamesMirrlees,NobelLaureate)had

donemathasafirstdegreeandaPhDineconomics.Igottoknowhimthrougha

discussiongroupwebothbelongedto,andheencouragedmetoshifttoeconomics.And

that’swhatIdid,in1965.

Asastudent,didanyofyourprofessorsstandoutasbeingparticularlyinfluentialor

inspirational?

Thegreatestinfluencewasunquestionablymyfather,whowashoweverneverformallymy

teacher.Hewasaprofessorofeconomicsandaprofoundeducationist.Hewasalsoa

terrificfather.Ourhomewasalwaysfilledwithvisitors:hisstudents,colleagues,and

friends.Also,betweentheagesof13and15,Iwenttoaschool(nowknownasRajghat

BesantSchool,Varanasi)thatwasphenomenallygood.Icameunderthespellofseveral

remarkableteachersthere.Aboutthreemonthsago,Ivisitedthecampuswithmywife.

Wespentaweekthere.Itwasanunforgettableexperienceforusboth.

Idon’tbelievetherewasanybodyatuniversityinDelhiwhoinspiredme.ButasaPhD

studentatCambridge,JimMirrleeswasabiginfluence.Hehadenormoustechnicalabilities

andIcouldtellheaskeddeepquestions.

Whydidyoudecidetopursueanacademiccareer?

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Thatwastheinfluenceofmyfather.IassumedIwouldbeanacademicbecausethat’sthe

onlylifeIhadknownatclosequarters.Ourhomewasregularlyfilledwithvisitors,who

wereoftendistinguishedacademics.Theywereinvariablykindtome,askedmequestions

andsharedtheirideas,evenwhenIwasveryyoung.ItwasbutnaturalthatIwouldbe

attractedtoalifeofthemind.AndIwas.ButwhenImovedtoeconomicsIwasn’tsetting

outtochangetheworldorhelpthepoor,oranythingsonoble.AllIwantedtodowasto

obtainaPhDandbecomeanacademic.IbelongtoacasteinBengal,India,thatnurtures

professionals,especiallydoctorsandteachers.Myoutlookmusthavebeennarrow,itnever

occurredtometoworkintheprivatesector,sayforabusinessfirm.IfIhadjoinedthe

privatesector,myparents’friendswouldhavemerelyinferredthatIwasn’taserious

person,mostcertainlynotagoodstudent[laughs].

Inthemidtolate1960s,atleastintheUK,studentsofmathematicswhohadconvertedto

economics(thereweren’tthatmany)wereviewedwithsuspicion.Didwehavethe“horse

sense”thatwasnecessaryforeconomics,senioreconomistswouldask.Forsomeyears

afterIobtainedmyPhDIwasunsuccessfulinobtainingatenure‐trackpost.Twoofthe

chaptersinmythesiswerepublishedintheReviewofEconomicStudiesalmost

immediately,sotheymusthavebeenreasonablepiecesofwork.Buttheyweretechnical

papers.AsIhadlittleformaltrainingineconomics,Iwasalsodiffident,andthatmayhave

showed.AboutthetimeIcompletedmyPhD,thatwas1968,Iobtainedaresearch

fellowshipatCambridge,spentayearatCarnegieMellonUniversityasavisitingassistant

professor,followedbyayearasavisitingfellowattheDelhiSchoolofEconomics.Then,in

thesummerof’71,threeyearsdowntheroad,IwasappointedtoalectureshipattheLSE;

butthatwasafterfivecandidateswhohadbeenplacedabovemehaddeclinedthe

lectureship!Ifyouaskmywifeshewilltellyouthatforalongwhileafterweweremarried

shewasworriedwhetherIwouldevergetajobthatwouldenableustosettledown.

Asaresearcher,whichcolleagueshavebeenparticularlyinfluentialorinspirationalmentors?

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AtthetimeIjoinedtheLSE,ithadaphenomenaleconomicsdepartment.(Itstilldoes.)

Bauer,Gorman,Hahn,Johnson,Morishima,Sargan,andSenareaformidablelistofnames,

byanystandard.(HahnhadleftforCambridge,butvisitedforadayeverytwoweeks.)

Noneofthemwasparticularlyinterestedinmyresearchinterests,though.Maybethatwas

becauseIdidn’thaveanyparticularinterestsinthosedays.IntellectuallyIwasstillquite

rootless.Butmyseniorcolleaguesweresupportiveoftheyoung.Iwasleftalonetogeton

withmywork,which,however,wasn’tmuch.Ithinkbeingleftalonewasgoodformy

development;itmeantIdidn’tgetdepressedthatIwasn’tproducingpapersbytheweek.I

wasinfluencedmorebymycontemporaries,especiallyJosephStiglitz,whomImetway

backin’65whenIhadjustmovedtoeconomics.Hewasinspiringeventhen,brimming

withideas.ThecontrastwithmewasallthemoresharpbecauseIrarelyhadanidea.I

oweStiglitzanun‐repayabledebtbecausehemademefeelasthoughIwascontributingto

ourjointwork,evenwhileIwasunsurewhatIwasbringingtotheproverbialtable.Geoff

HealwasanothercontemporarywhoseworkandengagementIfoundexciting.We

collaboratedallthroughthe1970sindevelopingtheeconomicsofexhaustibleresources.

AmongmyseniorcolleaguesattheLSE,IsawmuchofAmartyaSen,fromwhomIlearnt

howonemightinterpreteconomicdevelopment.Hehadstyleandaflairforpolemics.I

readprettymucheverythinghewroteatthattime.Inrecentyearsourvisionsofwhat

economicsshouldbeabouthavedivergedsomewhat.Thatmaybewhywehaven’tseen

muchofeachother.AsfarasIcanjudgehefeelsdevelopmenteconomicsshouldgetcloser

tomoralphilosophyandhasinfluencedinternationalagenciesandcharitiestoadoptthat

position,whereasIamconvincedthesubject’sgreatestweaknessliesinthatit’snot

informedbythenaturalsciences,especiallyecology.Idon’tthinkthefailureofofficial

developmenteconomicstosuccessfullyaddressextremepovertyanddemographicdistress

inthepoorestcountrieshashadanythingtodowithnotknowingwhatpovertyorjustice

mean,ratheritseemstometheanswerliesinthefactthatprofessionalshaveneglectedto

uncoverthepathwaysthatdeterminethepoverty‐population‐environmentnexus.Ifyou

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readSen’sfamous1999book,DevelopmentasFreedomandhisrecentbook,TheIdeaof

Justice,andmy1993book,AnInquiryintoWell‐BeingandDestitutionandmy2001book,

HumanWell‐BeingandtheNaturalEnvironment,youwillseewhatImean.Forexample,in

hisbookonjustice,Senmakesithiscentralpoint(orsoithasbeenreadbyreviewersinUK

newspapersandliterarymagazines)tocriticizeRawls’theoryofjusticeongroundsthatthe

theorycharacterizesthejustsociety,theattainmentofwhichpresupposesawell‐ordered

society;whereasausefultheoryshouldbeabletoprovideamoralrankingofunjust

societiestoo,evendysfunctionalsocieties.Idon’tknowwhetherSen’schargeagainstRawls

willbefoundbyexpertstostick,whatIdoknowisthathisviewofwhattheoriesofjustice

shouldofferisbreadandbutterinmodernwelfareeconomics.Theideaofasocialwelfare

function,nowover70yearsold,doespreciselythat.Itranksallalternatives;itdoesn’t

merelyidentifywhat’sjudgedbythetheoryofjusticetobethebest.TheoriesoftheSecond

Best,constructedbyJamesMeadein1955,areanillustrationofwhatImean.Buteventhe

usageoftheterm“secondbest”carrieswithitthethoughtthatthesocietyunderstudyis

nearlyjust.Soitstruckmesomeyearsagothatwhatneededdoingwastoapplytheideaof

asocialwelfarefunctiontoreworkwelfareeconomicsanddevelopaunifiedtheoryof

policyevaluationthatcoversnotonlyUtopia(theideallyorderedsociety)andAgathotopia

(Meade’snameforaGoodEnoughsociety),butalsoKakotopia(thenameIgaveto

dysfunctionalsocieties).Inmy2001bookIjustmentioned,Ididthat,anditrequiredofme

tostudyanumberofsocio‐ecologicalpathwaysthatsustaindysfunctionalsocieties.It

seemstomethat’swherethehardworklies,unearthingfurtherpathwaysthatarebound

tobesitespecificandtimespecific.ButIfoundnoreferencetothatapplied‐theoreticwork

inSen’sbookonjustice.ButatthetimeIspeakof,the1970sattheLSE,Ididn’tknowmuch

aboutdevelopmenteconomics,certainlyIdidn’tknowthenthewayIwouldsubsequently

cometoframeandstudythestateofaffairscalledpoverty.

Bythemid‐1970sIhadworkedonseveralfields.OnereasonImovedfieldsthenandhave

continuedtodosoisthatIhaven’thadapropertrainingineconomics.Workingonafield

hasbeenmywayofgettingacquaintedwithit.Forexample,whenIstartedworkingon

industrialorganizationandtechnologicalchangewithStiglitz(thatwasin1975or

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thereabouts),Ihadlittlepriorknowledgeofthesubject.Ignorancemayhavebeenahelp,

though.AsIdidn’tknowtheliterature,Iwasn’tmindedtomakeanadvanceonsomeone

else’swork.StiglitzandIsimplychattedaboutwhatmightdriveanentrepreneurto

innovate.Oncewehadarrivedataformulation,Iwassufficientlyintriguedtoread

SchumpeterandScherer,whowereverymuchworthreadingofcourse;butitwasaswellI

hadn’treadthembefore.TheirstylewasverydifferentfromtheoneStiglitzandIadopted

inourattempttounderstandthecharacteroftechnologicalcompetition.

Ignorancehashelpedmyworkoverandoveragain.Forexample,evenaftercompleting

thefirstpaperGeoffHealandIwrotetogether,ontheoptimaldepletionofexhaustible

resources,Ididn’tknowofHotelling’snow‐famouspaperof1931.Inthisinstanceevenmy

coauthordidn’tknowit.WelearntofthatpaperfromRobertSolow.Myguessisthatif

we’dreadthepaperbeforestartingourwork,wewouldhavemodeledtheproblemasan

extensionofHotelling’swork,whichwasentirelyMarshallian,partialequilibrium.Heal

andIknewsomecapitalandgrowththeory,sowefounditnaturaltoembedthe

exhaustibleresourceinalargereconomy.Iliketothinkourpaperhelpedframethe

contemporaryliteratureonsustainabledevelopment.

GENERALTHOUGHTSONRESEARCH

Thereisanincreasingemphasisatmanyeconomicsdepartmentsonappliedresearch.Isthis

trueatCambridge?

YesandIamallforit.Icertainlytriedtobringmoreappliedpeopleintomydepartmentin

CambridgewhenIwasChairman.Ifeltwewereparticularlyweakthere,especiallyin

appliedmicro‐econometrics.Traditionally,theFacultyofEconomicsatCambridgehas

beenofahighlytheoreticalbent.Onereasonisthat,atleastsinceWorldWarII,therewas

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aseparatedepartmentcalledtheDepartmentofAppliedEconomics(DAE),whichhadbeen

establishedowingtoKeynes’urgings,essentiallytoadvisehimonthekindofnumerical

figuresheneededforhisownwork.IcanonlythinkCambridgewasamostpatriarchal

society(laughs).TheDAEbuiltitsreputationonitsfirstDirectorRichardStone’s

innovativeworkonconsumptionandthesocialaccountingframeworkthat’sneededto

describeaneconomy’sdoings.ItmaybethatbecausetheDAEwasinthesamebuildingas

theFacultyofEconomics,appointmentsintheeconomicsdepartment,whichdidmostof

thelecturing,weremainlyineconomictheory.WhenIwasastudent,thegreatnames

wereJoanRobinson,NicholasKaldor,andPieroSraffa,whowerealltheorists.Itmakesme

blusheventothinkofwhatRobinson,Kaldor,andSraffathoughtappliedeconomics

amountsto.Theyreallywerehard‐lineMandarins.IthinkAustinRobinsonwastheonly

appliedeconomistofnoteintheFacultywhenIwasdoingmyPhD.JamesMeadewasalso

intheFaculty,andhestraddledboththeoryandempiricalpolicywithenormous

distinction,butthepoliticsintheplaceatthattimewassovirulentthatheremainedan

outsiderevenwhileoccupyingtheProfessorshipofPoliticalEconomy.

Asyouknow,appliedeconomics(bywhichImeanappliedmicroeconomics)hasgrownby

leapsandboundsinthelast30to40years,butourdepartmentisnotyetabalancedone.

Weareprettystronginmicroeconomictheory,notsostronginappliedmicroeconomics.

Macroeconomicsremainsamysterytome.MeanwhiletheDAEhasclosed.Thequalityof

itsresearchhaddeteriorated.Likemostotherthink‐tanks,itsurvivedonsoftmoney,

whichmeantithadtochaseresearchprogramsthatotherswereinterestedin.That

doesn’tdomuchfortheuniversityitinhabits.That’snottosaytherearen’toutstanding

researchcentresbuiltonsoftmoney.TheInstituteforFiscalStudiesisexcellent,butthat’s

inLondon.

Whatdoyouseeasthevalueofpureversusappliedresearchineconomics?

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Botharevaluable.I’mnotabelieverin“relevant”theory,though.It’shardtotellin

advancewhen,ifever,goodtheorywillturnouttobeusefulinpractical,policyterms.Take

thecaseofFrankRamsey’s1928paper.Ramseyaskedhowmuchofaneconomy’snational

incomeshouldbesaved.1Itwasahighlymathematical,esotericpieceofwork.Foralong

whilethepaperlanguished,probablybecausetheworldenteredadepressionandnobody

wasinterestedinthelongrun.ButafterWorldWarII,peoplebecameinterestedinthe

long‐termdevelopmentofnations,suchasIndia,andRamsey’swastheobvioustheoretical

toolforoneclassofquestions,concerningtheoptimalmagnitudeandcompositionof

investmentactivityovertime.SoRamsey’squestionandthewayheframeditbecame

usefuleventoeconomistswithahugeinterestinpolicy,suchasJanTinbergen.Atthetime

IwasworkingonmyPhD,myteacherssuchasJoanRobinsonusedtothinkRamsey’spaper

wasabouthowmanyangelsareabletodanceontheheadofapin.Recentlythepaperhas

madeanotherreturnintheeconomicsofclimatechange.Ramsey’spapercontainstheonly

machineryavailableforthinkingaboutthelong‐termtrade‐offs.

Myfatheroncesaidthatifyouseeapieceoftheorythatlooksdirectlyapplicable,you

shouldbesuspicious.Ithinkhemeantthatifthetheoryissodesignedthatthegap

betweenitsformulationandapplicationissmall,thereshouldbeasuspicionthetheory

mayhavebeendoctoredtosuittheanswerdesiredbyitsauthorsortheirpatrons.The

advantageofmaintainingacertaindistancebetweentheoryandpolicyisthatitencourages

theauthortoseekdeepanswers,notshallowones.I’mnotsayingalltheoreticalpapers

shouldbelikethat,butit’sthemoreesoterictypeoftheoreticalworkthatgetscriticizedfor

theirlackof“relevance”.Myfatherprovidedasophisticateddefenseofpuretheory.

Howwouldyoudescribeyourownresearchagendaandhowhasitchangedovertime?

                                                            1RamseyF.P.(1928),‘AMathematicalTheoryofSaving’,EconomicJournal,Vol.38,No.152,pp.543‐559. 

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Mostofmyworkhasbeenonwhatisoftencalled“appliedtheory”.Nooneisthebestjudge

oftheirownwork,butIbelievemuchofmyworkhassprungfromthegroundup,

motivatedbysomephenomenonouttherethatdemandsaninvestigation.Ofcourse,being

atheoristbytemperamentandtraining,Iprettysoonliftthephenomenonupmanymiles,

sothatitmayevenbecomeunrecognizablebythetimeIamdonewithit,butIliketothink

it’sstilllikelytobeusefultosomeoneconcernedwiththephenomenon.

Doyouthinkitisimportanttohavebroadresearchinterests?

It’samatterofpersonaltaste,nothingmore.GerardDebreuisagoodexampleofsomeone

whodidfoundationalwork,butnevertookinterestinanythingotherthananarrowsetof

veryabstractproblems.AndWassilyLeontiefappearedtometoberatherdull(input‐

outputtables,notmuchelse),butIonlymethimwhenhewasquiteold.Debreuisone

extreme.AttheotherendisKennethArrow,whoisinterestedinahugenumberof

problemsandcanexplainwhyweshouldbeinterestedinthem.Andofcourse,hehas

writtenfundamentalpapersonprettymuchanysubjecthehastouched.In1975Icame

across,quitebychance,hisshortbookTheLimitsofOrganization,andittransformedmy

work.IhadknownArrow’sworkonsocialchoice,generalequilibrium,technicalprogress,

health,andeconomicexternalities,ofcourse,butasIreadthatlittlebookofhis,Icouldfeel

thatatlastIknewwhatbasicresearchinthesocialsciencesamountstoandhowtogo

aboutit.AmongeconomictheoristsofmygenerationJoeStiglitzhasthewidestreachin

termsofresearchinterests.Heissimplyphenomenal.

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Doyouthinkthereisanydifferenceinthetypesofworkdonebyresearchersatdifferent

stagesoftheircareersbasedontenureconcerns,publicationrequirementsorother

pressures?Shouldtherebeadifference?

Theanswertothefirstpartofthequestionis“yes.”TheAmericanPhDprogramisvery

muchlikeanapprenticeship,whichEnglandisnowmimicking.Studentstendtotaketheir

supervisors’researchlead.Thismeansthatatanearlystage,youareshapedbysomeone

else’sstyleofresearch.Andthereisnoquestionthat,intellectually,wearehistory‐

dependent.Ourcapitalstockiscreatedbythetimewe’re27or28,andittakesquitesome

timetoovercomeitandbreakoutonone’sown.

Theanswertothesecondpartofthequestionisalso“yes.”ManyyearsagoBobSolowput

itnicely.IfIrememberhimcorrectly,hesaidthereallyhardproblemsinthesocial

sciencesrelatetopolicy.Thathoweverlookseasy,whichiswhyeventaxidriverswithno

trainingineconomicsspoutonit.Solowsaidthetechnicalstuffisrelativelyeasy,although

seeminglyverydifficult.Healsosaidhelikedyoungeconomiststogettheirfingersburnt

inthetechnicalstuffandwouldn’ttrustsomeonewiththepolicystuffifheorshehadn’t

undergonethetechnicaltest.

Intheend,doyouthinktheeconomicsprofessionhashelpedtobringoutandshapeyour

researchforthebest?

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Ithinkso.Ihavebeenveryluckyandtheprofessionhasbeengoodtome;butinan

unusualway.Judgingbycitations,orratherthelackofthem,mostofmysoloworkhas

goneunnoticed,butbytheremarksmycolleaguesmake,Ihavethesensetheyapproveof

thetitlesofmypublications.RecentlyIhadtoprepareIntroductionsforapairofvolumes

ofmycollectedpapersthatOxfordUniversityPresswillbepublishing,soitmademe

reflectonwhatothersweredoingwhenIworkedonaparticularsetofproblemsandwhyI

chosetoworkonthemandhowIframedtheproblemsandwhy.Iguesssuchreflective

momentsareasignofgettingold!IndraftingtheIntroductionsitcametomethatIhavea

non‐standardwayofframingsocialproblems.Forexample,Ihavewrittenextensivelyon

thepoverty‐population‐environmentinterface.Butithasn’thadtheslightestimpacton

developmenteconomistsoronenvironmentalandresourceeconomists.Andthepaperson

populationandfertilitybehaviourhavegoneunnotedbyeconomicdemographers.Itmay

bethatIamremorselessintryingtolinkseeminglydisparatefeaturesofdailylife,and

becauseweeconomistsaretrainedtoconsiderthemonlypiecebypiece,oneatatime,my

analysesprobablyappearsalientomycolleagues.Forexample,ifI’mstudyingtheway

ruralpeopleusenaturalresources(e.g.disappearingforests),Ican’tresistmodelingsuch

otherhumanactivitiesintheworldofthepoorasreproduction.Theproblemformeisthat

thetypicalenvironmentaleconomistisunfamiliarwiththeword“poverty”,the

developmenteconomistwon’tknowhowtospell“environment”,andtheeconomic

demographerthinksfertilitydependsentirelyonthevalueoftime.SoIfaceaproblem.

WhatcontinuestosurprisemethoughisthatthisintellectualdistanceIfeelthatseparates

mefrommycolleagueshasn’tmademeanoutsider:Ihaveenjoyedmorethanmyfair

shareofhonours.

Oneadvantageofframingproblemsinaquirkyfashion,it’snotaconsciousdecisionof

course,isthatI’vebeenabletogetonwithmythinkingwithouthavingtocompetewith

others.YouwillnoticefrommyCVthatIhavemanypapersonthesamesubject.One

reasonIhavedonethisisthatwhenworkingonmyownIhaverarelyarrivedatan

understandingofthephenomenonIwasstudyinginonepaper;it’sbeenalmostalways

incremental.Discoveryformehasusuallymeantagrowingrealization,rarelyarevelation.

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IhavebeenabletoindulgeinthatslowprocessbecauseIwasawareIwouldn’tbebeaten

tothepostbysomebodyelse–nobodyelsewouldbeworkingonmyproblems,most

certainlynoonewouldhaveframedtheproblemsinthewayIdo!So,Ihavehadavery,

veryluckylife.Colleaguesseemtoapprovemywork,eventhoughmostlytheydon’tread

anyofit(laughs).

IDEAGENERATION

Wheredoyougetyourresearchideas?

Byobservation,Iguess.Ononeoccasionintheearly‐‘80s,whenpassingthroughCalcutta

onmywaytovisitmyparentsinSantiniketan,Inoticedthatthebabyofamotherbeggar

onthesidewalkwasbeingmolestedbyflies.Ithought,“That’sodd.Whyisn’tthebaby

swattingtheflies?”Thenitdawnedonmethatthebabywasconservingenergy.That

eventuallytriggeredmyjointworkwithDebrajRayonmalnutritionandthecapacityto

work.Ofcourse,hehadbeenthinkingalongsimilarlinesbeforewemetatStanford,which

ishowwecametocollaborate,butitwasacasualobservationthatledmetoseekatheory

thatwouldcoverwhatIhadobserved.WhenRayandIdiscoveredwehadbeenthinking

alongsimilarlines,weclosedthedeal,sotospeak,andproducedouranalysis.

IfyoutravelbytraininWestBengal,youwillnoticethateveryvillagehasapond,

supplyingwaterfordrinking,washing,andcultivatingrootcrops.Onseveralsuchjourneys

Iobservedthatvillagershavebuilttheirhomesveryclosetooneanotheraroundtheir

pond.Why?Oneansweristhatyouhavemorelandforcultivationifyoucrowdthehuts.

Itoccurredtomethatanotherpossibleanswerwasthatclosenesswouldenablepeopleto

observeeachother’sbehavioureasily.Weknowoftheoldadagethatinthethirdworld

there’snoprivacy.Butmaybeyoudon’tenjoyprivacybecauselifethereisbuiltonsocial

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norms.Therearefewprivatepropertyrightstothosecommons,sopresumably

communitieshavehadtodevisenormsofbehavior.Andnormsofbehaviorinvolve

sanctionsformisbehavior.Buthowdoyouknowsomebodyhasmisbehaved?Youhaveto

observeit.Thoseproblemsledmetothethennascentliteratureonsocialcapital,andI

triedtounderstandtheconceptintermsofmodernresourceallocationtheory.

Atwhatpointdoesanideabecomeaprojectthatyoudevoteresourcesto?

I’veneverhadaprojectinthesensemostpeoplemeanbyaproject.I’veneverappliedfora

researchgrant.Myguessisthatyouhavetohaveafairlywell‐definednotionofwhatyou

wanttoaccomplishwhenyouapplyforagrant.ButmostlyI’venotevenbeenableto

framethequestionIwastacklinguntillocatingtheanswer.So,bythetimeImighthave

beeninapositiontoapplyforagrant,I’dcompletedthepaperandmovedontoanewset

ofproblems,onesthatIwouldbeunabletoarticulate.Ofcourse,Ihaveenjoyedgrants

indirectly.ForseveralyearsJoeStiglitzincludedmeinhisgrantapplications,butitwashe

whohadanideaofwherewewouldbeheading.

Myresearchpracticesareveryold‐fashioned.Idoalltheancillaryworkthat’sneededtobe

doneinpreparingapaper:readingotherpeople’swork,referencing,checkingcitations,

proof‐reading,thewholeworks.EvennowIdon’tGoogleforreferences;Igotothelibrary

andbrowse.Thelatterisapleasureinitself.InthecourseofbrowsingIfrequentlyfind

veryinterestingthingstoread,materialIdidn’tknowexisted.Mybook,AnInquiryinto

Well‐BeingandDestitution,hasabout65pagesofreferences.Believeme,Iread,oratthe

veryleastglancedat,eachoftheitemsmentioned,allinlibraries.ForcertainchaptersI

usedtowalktothelibraryofAddenbrooke’sHospital(ourUniversityhospital),quitea

distancefromtheUniversityLibrary,becausethat’swhereIcouldbrowsetheliteratureon

clinicalunder‐nutrition.Indescribingmylongstandingworkhabit,Iamneither

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apologizingnorbragging.It’showIhavealwaysworked.Ihavealwaysfeltchasing

materialispartofmyjob.

IDEAEXECUTION

Whatmakesagoodtheoreticalpaper?

Itshouldhaveasurprise.

Whatmakesagoodempiricalpaper?

Goodappliedworkdoesn’tnecessarilyhavetohaveasurprisebecauseyoumaybe

engagedinrepeatingapreviousinvestigationinadifferentgeographicallocation.Thatcan

beextremelyvaluablework.Youmaydiscoversubtledifferencesfromthefindingsof

previousinvestigators,andthatmightsuggestthatthephenomenonissite‐specific,a

frequentcharacteristicofphenomenainthesocialsciencesandchallengingtothetheorist.

Oftenitmaybethatyouareinvestigatingthesamephenomenonothershaveexamined,but

youaredeployingbettertools;andsoon.Forexample,thetheoreticalmodelsKenneth

Arrow,KarlGoranMaler,andIhavebeendevelopingoverthepastfewyearsshowthat

thatwealthchangesratherthanmovementsinGDPpercapitaarethetrueindicatorsofthe

progressandregressofnations.Butthen,whatiswealth?Itmustbethevalueofall

capitalassetsofaneconomy.Doesthatincludenaturalcapital?Ofcourseitdoes.So,ifa

nationalincomeaccountantclaimsthatthesavingsratioinBrazilisnearly15%,weshould

respondbyinsistingthatthestatisticdoesn’ttakeintoaccounttheforeststhatarebeing

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razedthere.That’sdepreciationandshouldbedeductedfromsavings.Ifaccountantsbuy

theargument,theywouldrepeattheexercisebydeductingforestdepletion.Theresearch

wouldn’tbenovelintheconventionalsense,butitwouldbeilluminatinganduseful.

Whenyouhita“brickwall”onapaper,doyoucontinuetoworkontheproblemordoyoutake

abreakfromitandworkonsomethingelse?

Itakeabreakandthen,USUALLY,serendipitously,Igetananswer.EricMaskinandIonce

workedonapaperthattookustenyearstocomplete.Itwasontheexistenceof

equilibriumingamesinwhichpayofffunctionsarediscontinuities.Itwasveryesoteric

stuffingametheory(notthesortyouwouldboreyourpartnerwith),butMaskinandI

thoughtitwasimportanttodeterminewhethersuchgamespossessNashequilibria(in

mixedstrategies).Prettyquicklywemanagedtoproveanexistencetheorem,butitwas

onlyforsymmetricgames,meaningthatplayerswereassumedtobeidentical.Nowwe

couldhavetriedtopublishthatresult,infactallthethenexistingtheoreticalmodelswith

discontinuouspayofffunctionsweresymmetrical,whichisaperfectlysensiblemodeling

strategytoadoptwhentryingtocapturesomethingelseaboutthephenomenaouttherein

theworld;butMaskinandIchosenottosubmitourresultforpublication.Andthereason

wedidn’tisthatweknewwehadn’tdugdeepenough,westilldidn’tunderstandthe

underlyingstructureoftheproblem.So,wesatontheproblemforsomemoretime.Then,

inonesetofinterchangeswefoundasimpletrickthatenabledustoprovetheresultinits

generality.

Relatedtothepreviousquestion,whenitappearsthataprojectisn’tgoingtoturnoutas

hoped,doyouscrapitoraimtosendthepapertoasecond‐tierjournal?

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Ihavebeenenormouslylucky.I’verarelybeeninvolvedinapaperthathasn’teventually

beenpublished.Therehaveofcoursebeenoccasionswhenasubmissiondidn’tget

accepted,butIalwaysinterpretedrejectiontomeanIhadn’tdraftedtheworkwell.That

meantworkingontheproblemsomemoreandimprovingtheexposition.ButIdon’tthink

Ihaveentirelyabandonedanywork.AndI’vealsohadamazingluckwitheditors.Over40

yearsIhavefoundjournaleditorsalmostalwaystobefairandencouraging.Journal

editorsgenerallygetabadpress,sotherewasoneoccasionIcan’thelprecalling,to

illustratehowshrewdandfair‐mindededitorscanbe:

Inthemid1980smyfriendDebrajRayandIdevelopedatimelessgeneralequilibrium

modelinaworldwherenutritionaffectsproductivity,aprojectImentionedearlier.There

weresomeinterestingtechnicalproblemsthatthemodelthrewup(havingtodowithnon‐

convexitiesinnutrition‐to‐productivitytransformationpossibilities),anditshowed,among

otherthings,howandwhyequilibriumallocationscanviolatehorizontalequity,inthe

sensethatverysimilarpeopleendupwithvastlydifferentutilitylevels.Arrow‐Debreu

equilibria,asyouknow,satisfytheprincipleofhorizontalequity.RayandIshowedthatin

arichworldtheprinciplewouldbemaintained,butnotinapoorworld.Andweidentified

severalotherpropertiesofthemodel,eachofwhichspoketotheworldwebelievedwe

knewinIndia.Sowefeltwehadunderstoodsomethingofimportanceaboutthenatureof

poverty;andwesubmittedthepapertotheEconomicJournal.Inreturnwegotareferee’s

reportthatwas8pageslonginA4,singlespacedpaper,offeringasmanyreasonsasyou

caretonumberastowhythepapershouldberejected.Therefereebasicallyhadsatdown

andaskedhowmanyreasonshecouldthinkoffornotlikingthepaper.RayandIcouldtell

therefereewastechnicallyproficient,butwecouldalsotellthathehadlittleimagination

andsufferedfromaninabilitytodiscovergeneraltruthsfromnon‐standardmodels.Now

youwouldthinktheEditor,whowastheeconomichistorianCharlesFeinstein,wouldhave

writtentometoaskwhyIhadwastedhistimesubmittingsuchashoddypieceofwork.

Buthedidn’t.Hesmeltsomethingnotrightinthereport,therefereehadgoneforover‐kill,

sohewrotetosaythat,obviously,hecouldn’tacceptthepaperasitwasdrafted,butthathe

wouldpublishitifRayandIre‐wroteit,havingdealtwithallthereasonstherefereehad

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collatedforrecommendingrejection.RayandIdidthat,andthepaperwaspublishedin

twoinstallments.Idon’tknowifmanypeoplehavereadthepaper,butithasbeenthe

basisonwhichIhavetriedtounderstandpovertytraps.

Whatwouldyousayhasbeenthebiggestchange,inthecourseofyourcareer,inhowyour

researchfieldsconductresearch?

Peoplearealottensernowaboutresearchthantheywereinmytime.Icanseethat

amongstyoungcolleagues.Lifefortheresearcherishardertoday.Thereisfargreater

competition.Moreover,familylifehaschangedbeyondrecognition.Andremember,

economicsremainsamaleprofession.InUKeconomicsdepartments,womenaverage

round10percentofseniorappointments.Responsibilitiesathomeamongmaleshave

changedenormouslyandthataddstothepressure.IliketothinkIwasagoodfatherand

husband,butthedivisionoflaborbetweenmywifeandI,onethatwereachedwithout

thinking,wouldbeunthinkabletoday.

THEWRITINGPROCESS

Whichaspectofthewritingprocessdoyoufindmostdifficult?

Iusedtofindwritingdifficult,buthavinggainedexperienceovertheyearsIfinditmuch

easiernow.Thewordprocessorhasofcoursehelped.Ifrequentlytaketheleadinwriting

afirstdraftwhenworkingincollaboration,largelybecauseIenjoycomposingpapers.In

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theprocessofdrafting,basedonnotes,Iatlastbegintounderstandthepointofthepaper

wehavebeenworkingon(laughs).

COLLABORATION

Whenyouworkwithco‐authors,howdoyoudecidewhomtoworkwith?

IfyoulookatmyCV,youwillfindanenormousamountofcollaborativework.Swapping

ideasisalwaysgoodanditalsoencouragesfriendship.Conferencesareterrificbreeding

groundsforcollaborativeresearchandmyguessisthatsomepersonalrelationshipsdo

thendevelop.Butinmycase,thecausalchainhasbeenthereverse.Almostalwaysthe

collaborationstartsoveraconversationwithafriend,maybeoveradrink,anideacomes

up,andthenweworkonittogether.Joe(Stiglitz),Eric(Maskin),Karl‐Goran(Maler)and

Geoff(Heal)werefriendsfirst;collaborationcamelater.InthecaseofKenArrow,

collaborationbeganmanyyearsafterwefirstmet,butthat’sbecauseIusedtobeterrified

ofhim.Itwasnofaultofhis,butforalongtimeIfoundconversationswithhimanagony.

Itslowlydawnedonmethattheproblemwaswithme,thatArrowbelieveseveryoneisas

deepandquickashe.That’stheonlyintellectualerrorIhaveeverknownhimtomake,but

onceIrealizedhewouldn’tnoticemyintellectualshortcomings,Ifounditpossibleto

collaboratewithhim!It’sbeennotonlyaprivilege,butawhollypleasurableexperience.

Howdoyouinteractwithyourco‐authors(bye‐mail,phone,orface‐to‐facemeetings)?

WithMalerit’sbeenfacetofacediscussions,butthat’sbecausewehavemetfrequently

overtheyearsinconnectionwiththeteachingprogrammesheandIhelpedtoinitiatein

SouthAsiaandsub‐SaharanAfrica.WithMaskin,too,it’sneveronthephoneorbye‐mail,

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it’salwaysbeenface‐to‐face;butthat’sbecauseovertheyearsheandhiswifeGaylehave

madeitapointtostayintouchwithus,ashavemywifeCarolandIwiththem.Maskinand

Ihaveadiscussionandthenwedoourwritingseparately.We’reabouttowriteapaperon

aproblemwherewedon’tknowwhichoftwomodelsweoughttousetoillustratethe

pointwewanttomake.Hehasone,Ihaveanother.Butwewillwritedownbothmodels

andthendecidewhichbestmakesthepointswewanttomake.

WithStiglitzitusedtobewalksinOxfordorPrincetonorwhilehecookedsupper.He

wouldtalknineteentothedozen,throwingoutonemodelafteranothertocapturea

phenomenonweagreedwasworthunderstanding.WithKenArrowit’sbeenameetingor

twowherewehavediscussedaproblem,followedbye‐mailexchangesonhowbestto

modelthephenomenon,orasina5‐waypaperwehavejustcompleted(withLarry

Goulder,KevinMumford,andKirstenOleson),mostofthediscussionswereheldover

conferencecalls.

SEMINARPARTICIPATIONANDNETWORKING

Howimportantisnetworkingtosuccessinresearch?

It’sveryimportant.Itwasveryimportantevenintimeslonggone.Isolationisnevera

goodthing.IremembertalkingtoFredHoyle,thegreatastrophysicist,whocourted

notoriety.Asweallknow,heheldontothesteadystatetheoryoftheuniverse.Henever

gaveuponit,partlyIbelievebecausehechosetobeisolated.Iamtoldbyfriendswho

know,thathisbestpaperswereearlycollaborativeefforts,likehisworkonhowheavy

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elementsarecookedupinthestars.ButwhenImethim,itmusthavebeentenyearsago,

helivedoutofreachfromuniversitycampuses.Ontheoccasionwesatnexttoeachother

atdinneratStJohn’sCollege,Iaskedhimifhedidn’tfeelisolated.Andhereplied,“Oh,no,

that’stheadvantage–Idon’tgetcontaminatedbyotherpeople’sideas.”Ithoughtitwas

sadthatsuchapowerfulmindcouldbesowrong.

Towhatextentistheabsenceofdepartmentalcolleaguesworkinginone’sareaamajor

disadvantage?

Idon’tthinkit’samajordisadvantage.AsImentionedearlier,attheLSE,Iwasisolatedin

termsoftheworkIwasdoing,butIalwayshadaccesstothegreatmindsthere.

Conversationswithpowerfulminds,eveniftheydon’tworkontheproblemsyouworkon,

isalwayshelpful.Itkeepsyoualertandpreventsyoufrombecomingsloppy.Theysetthe

standard,ifyouseewhatImean.Forexample,inFrankHahn’spresenceonecouldnever

sayanythingremotelyimprecise;hewouldtellyouinaboomingvoicethatyouhad

slackenedyourintellectualmuscles,maybeeventhatyouhadbeeneducatedbeyondyour

naturallimits.Andwhowantstobetoldthatinpublic?Moreover,eventhoughmy

colleaguesattheLSE,andlateratStanford,didn’tworkonmyproblems,theywereworld

expertsintheirfieldsofexpertise.Icould,anddid,picktheirbrainsforwhattoread.

WhenIwasatStanfordin1989‐91,workingonmybookonWell‐BeingandDestitution,it’s

notthatanyofmycolleagueshadmuchinterestinthesubject,butIcouldalwayscollar

themonthecorridorforaquicktutorialonsometechnicalmatterIhadn’tunderstood,or

neededareferencetoapaperthatwouldexplainsomethingIwantedtounderstand.My

colleaguessavedmehoursofworkbytellingmewhattoreadandexplainingsomethingI

hadnotunderstood.

COMMUNICATIONOFRESEARCH

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Howdoyoufindtherightbalancebetweencommunicatingyourresearchatanearlystage

versusthe“close‐to‐finished”stage?

IthastobeaprettyfinishedpaperbeforeIputituponmywebsite.Ifyouhavethatoption,

youshouldexploitit.Inthepast,youhadtorelyonbeingpartofadiscussionpaperseries

thatwasthenmailedtoarestrictednumberofpeople.Beingabletoretrieveother

people’swritingseasilytodayisanenormousboon.

Whataretheuniquechallengestogivingaseminarandhowdoyouovercomethem?

Ihaven’tbeenworriedaboutseminars.IthinkI’mfairlyarticulate;inanycase,Ilike

teaching,andI’mgenerallynotshytotalkaboutmyownwork.Ofcourse,therehavebeen

occasionswhenaseminarhasgonebadly;butthat’sgenerallybeenbecauseIwasn’t

particularlyproudofthequalityofthepaperIwaspresenting.Ifyoudon’tfindyourown

workexciting,youraudiencewillknowthatprettyquickly,whichiswhenyoustart

wonderingwhentheseminarwillend.

Doyouhaveanyadviceforayoungscholarongivingaseminar?

Beexcitedaboutyourpaper.Ofcourse,theproblemissomewhattheotherwayin

America,wherethereisabundantself‐confidence.AndsotheadviceIwouldgivetoyoung

scholarsthereis,don’toverrateyourself.Veryoften,Ihearseminarswherethepresenter

thinkshe(it’sstillusuallya“he”)hassolvedtheworld’sgreatestproblem;worse,heoften

seemstobesellingaproduct.Overconfidenceinthequalityofyourownworkcandistort

yournotionofwhatisgenuinelyimportantwork.I’mnotsayingyoushouldbehumble,but

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it’sonethingtobeself‐confidentandateasewithyourself,it’sanothertothinkthatyouare

thegreatest.JustreadapageortwoofArrowandyouwillrealizeyouarenot.

PUBLICATION

Howdoyoudecideupontheappropriatejournaltosendyourworkto?Related,whomdoyou

viewasthereadershipofyourresearch?

Atmyage,Iwritequiteanumberofpapersthatareinvitedones.Youwriteinastyle

appropriatefortheoccasion.Butonthewhole,Ihavetendedtosendmyresearchpapers

tojournalswherethereaderismorelikelytobeinterestedinwhatIamdoing.It’sa

marriage;thereisanaturalplaceformostarticles.

Doyouthinkthatthecurrentstructureofthepublicationprocessineconomicsfacilitatesor

impedesscientificunderstandingandknowledgeproduction?

Today,thereisanobsessionwiththetopfivejournalsandIthinkit’sabsolutelydreadful.

It’sstallingprogress.Ifeelsobadforyoungscholarsbecausetheyareconvincedtheyhave

tosubmittheirworktoEconometricaortotheAmericanEconomicReview,wherethereis

morethan95percentchanceitwillberejected;thattooaftertwoyears.Itcanthenbethat

afterthreeyearsintoyourfirstjobyoustillhaven’tgotapublication.Attheendoftheday,

it’sthequalityofthepaperthatmattersratherthanwhereithasbeenpublished.The

problemis,people,especiallythoseareonappointmentsandtenurecommittees,don’t

appeartohaveconfidenceinjudgingapaperforitsquality.Sotheylookforqualitybythe

journalinwhichitwaspublished.

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Thepracticehassoannoyedme,it’snowarrivedinCambridge,thatsomeyearsagoIran

anexperimenttojudgehowtopthetop5journalsare.Asyouknow,overtheyearsthere

hasbeenabigincreaseinthenumberofeconomicsanthologies.ThepublisherEdward

Elgarhasproducedmorethan100anthologies,onvariousthemesineconomics.What

theydoistoprintabout500copiesandsellthemataveryhighpricetolibraries.Theyare

clevertocommissionwell‐knownpeopleaseditors.Thoseanthologiesareveryusefulto

universitylibrariesinpoorcountries.Theycan’taffordbooksorjournals,butatastretch

theycanaffordanthologies,whichgivestudentsandscholarstheopportunitytoreadthe

classicsintheirfield.Forteachingpurposesinathird‐worldcountry,theyareinvaluable.

WhatIdidwastoperuseadozenEdwardElgaranthologies.Afterall,ifexpertshaveedited

anthologies,theycouldbereliedupontoknowwhat’sstoodthetestoftime.Myvery

cursoryresearchsuggestedthatthemajorjournalsineconomicsareoverrated.Mostofthe

papersinthoseanthologieswerepublishedinjournalsotherthanthetop5.Thepointit

seemstomeisasimpleone.Thetop5journalspublishexcellentarticlesoncurrently

fashionabletopics.Thesignalingeffectofabilityiscertainlystrong.Butpapersthatmay

havelastingvalue,orarenovel,getcrowdedoutbygoodbutstandard‐qualitypaperson

hottopics.Isuspectsomeoftoday’sbestpapersareappearinginsecond‐tierjournals.It

wouldbeinterestingifsomeoneweretodoamorethoroughstudyofanthologiesthanI

wasabletodo.

Howwouldyoubestdescribeyourapproachtodealingwitha“reviseandresubmit”request

fromajournal?Howaboutanoutrightrejection?

I’veneverhadaquarrelwithaneditor.Therehaveofcoursebeeninstanceswheremy

submissionhasbeenrejectedandwhereIcouldhavewrittenalettershowingthatthe

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refereewasperhapsilliterate;worse,prejudiced.ButIneverfelttheneedtodothat.What

ItookawayfromarejectionwasthatI(orIandmyco‐author)hadnotdraftedthepaper

well.UsuallyIhavere‐draftedarejectedpaperandpublisheditelsewhere,sometimesina

betterjournal.

In1996,youhelpedtoestablishthejournal,EnvironmentandDevelopmentEconomics.Part

ofitspurposeistoprovideanopportunityforscholarsindevelopingcountriestopublishtheir

findingsinaninternationaljournal.Doyouthinkthereshouldbemoreexamplesofjournals

likethis?

Yes,ofcourse.Butifthejournalisgoingtobeanygood,submissionsmustgothroughthe

samescreeningprocessthatotherjournalsinsiston.Youmustn’tintroduceaffirmative

action.Howdoyouachievethat?Youneedtoensurethatthreethingshappen.First,the

editormustn’tnecessarilychuckapaperinthewayheorshewouldhaveifitwerea

standardjournal.Ifthereisasemblanceofanideainthesubmission,theeditorneedsto

besympatheticandshouldaskrefereesnotonlytoreferee,butalsotoactasmentors.

Secondly,youhavetobuildupabodyofacademicswhoarewillingtobethosementors.

Andthird,youneedfundstoenableauthorstospendtimewithoneoftheirmentorssoas

tobeabletocompletetheirpaperforpublication.

That’showit’sbeenworkingattheinterfaceofthejournalEnvironmentandDevelopment

EconomicsandtheSouthAsianNetworkforDevelopmentandEnvironmentalEconomics

(SANDEE).SANDEEhasinitsrostersuchoutstandingeconomistsasEnamulHaque,

SubhrenduPattanayak,PriyaShyamsundar,E.S.Somanathan,andJeffVincent.Theygivea

lotoftheirtimetoteachingandtrainingyoungscholarsfromBangladesh,India,Pakistan,

Nepal,andSriLanka.Karl‐GoranMalerandIhavealsobeenengagedinthatwork,aswe

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hadbeeninvolvedinobtainingthefundsforstartingSANDEE.Collectively,wehavebeen

hugelysuccessful.Journalarticles(inEnvironmentandDevelopmentEconomics;eventhe

ProceedingsoftheNationalAcademyofSciences)andcollectionsofarticlesonselected

themeshavebeenpublishedbyscholarswhoenteredtheinternationalacademic

communityfirstbyattendingSANDEEteachingandtrainingworkshops.It’sthemost

excitingventureIhaveeverbeeninvolvedin.

Butbuildingcapacityinpoorregionstakespatience,time,andagreatdealofgoodwill.

Anditrequiresacollegiateatmosphere.SANDEE’sdirector,PriyaShyamsundar,isan

outstandingenvironmentaleconomistinherownright,butisalsosimplyoutoftheworld

asaleader,mentor,andadministrator.MalerandIareinaweofher.Wedowhatevershe

asksustodo,whenever.

Perhapsthemoststrikingexampleofsuccessisthecaseofawomaneconomist,Saudamini

Das,whocamefromanout‐of‐the‐wayplaceintheintellectuallyunpromisingstateof

Orissa.Shehadabitofeconomicstraining,hadraisedafamily,andthensoughtto

understandtheroleofmangroves,whichareanimportantformofnaturalcapitalin

hurricaneriddenOrissa.SheattendedaSANDEEteachingandresearchworkshop,was

successfulinobtainingagrantfromSANDEE(wearetalkingofatmost$12,000,sothisis

researchonthecheap)andeventuallyproducedajointpaperwithhermentoratSANDEE,

JeffVincent,whoisoneofthebestmindsinenvironmentalandresourceeconomics.The

paperwaspublishedlastyearintheProceedingsoftheNationalAcademyofScience.Thisis

researchthatcamefromtheheart,toputitoneway.Dasknewthatmangrovesprotect

coastalvillagers.EveryNGOorinternationalorganizationIknowwillagreethat

mangrovesareanimportantformofnaturalcapital.Buthowimportantarethey?Dowe

haveanyquantitativefeelforhowmuchofabufferingcapacityitofferstoshorelines?Das

andVincentuseddataontheeffectoftheIndonesianTsunamioncoastalvillagestoshow

ushowtoestimatethesocialworthofmangroves.Theirsisaveryimportantpaper.

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BOOKWRITING

Youhavewrittennumerousbooks.Doyouenjoytheprocess?

Yes,Ienjoytheartofwriting,andbooksenablemetounderstandthesubjectonwhichI

hadbeenworking.AsItoldyouearlier,allofmyunderstandingisincremental;I’venever

hadaeurekamoment.Articlesareofnecessitynarrowinfocus.Ifyouwanttounderstand

acomplexphenomenon,youwanttobreakitupintosmallbitsandpublisharticleson

thosesmallbits.Puttingthemtogetherintheformofabookenablesyoutoputsthosebits

together,explorethewaytheyfeedoneother.WhenI’vefinishedwritingabook,Iknowa

lotmoreaboutthesubject.WritingsbookshasbeenawayIhavetriedtoeducatemyself.

Economistsarewritingmorebooksnowthantheydid40yearsago.That’sgoodnews.

TellmeaboutwritingAVeryShortIntroductiontoEconomics.

Thatwasacuriousexperience.Ittookmeeightyearstocompleteit,butnotforreasons

youmightthink.IsignedthecontractwithOxfordUniversityPressin1998or’99,butI

didn’tknowhowtowriteit.Iaskedseveralpeopleforadviceonhowtosqueeze

economicsinto160smallpages,buttheadviceIreceiveddidn’tmatchmytemperament.

SoIsatonthebookforseveralyears.ThedelaywassogreatthatIgotintotroublewith

thedepartmentatOxfordUniversityPressresponsiblefortheVSIseries.Theyhadhuge

expectationsfortheseries,ithadbecomeverysuccessful;theywereaimingformorethan

200titles,butsevenyearshadgonebyandtheywerestillmissingtheeconomicstitle.

Meanwhile,asIdidn’tknowhowIwasgoingtoframeeconomicsforthebook,Ididwhat

comesnaturallytome:gointodenialandcontinueworkingonotherthings.

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Thenoutoftheblue,sometimein2005,TimGowers,adistinguishedmathematicianat

Cambridge(heisaFieldsMedalist),askedmetowriteachapteronMathematicsand

EconomicReasoningforthePrincetonCompaniontoMathematicshewasediting.

Naturally,Iwasflattered;Ididn’tevendreamofsaying“no”.However,Iwasrequiredto

packmychapterinto15printedpagesofadmittedlyalargesizebook.Thatconcentrated

mymind.Ithought,“HowdoIgivetheflavortoamathematicianofwhatoursubjectin

aboutin15pages?”OnceIcrackedthatproblem,IknewitwouldbethemodelI’dusefor

Economics:VSI.Ifyoureadit,youwillseethatitreflectsalltheprejudicesandconvictions

Ihavelaidbarebeforeyouthelasttwohours.

REFEREEINGANDEDITING

Whatwouldyousayarethebenefitstorefereeing?

Youlearnsomethingnew,butI’vebeenabadrefereeallmylife.Ithinkit’sbecauseofmy

lackoftrainingineconomics.I’vebeenlearning‘onthehoof’,soIdon’thavethatmuchofa

commandovertheliteratureatanymomenttobeabletobeagoodreferee.Iamlikelyto

say,“Thisisnotaveryinterestingpaperbecauseit’sratherobvious.”Somebodyelsemight

say,“Butit’snotpublishedanywhereintheliterature.”AndI’mthenlikelytosay,“Well,

maybeit’sjustaswellit’snotinthepublishedliteraturebecauseit’ssoobvious.”Ifeel

nervousrefereeing.

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Youhaveneverbeenaneditorofajournal.Isthatforthesamereason?

IthinkmycolleaguesrealizedthatIwasn’taveryreliablerefereeaswell.I’mnot

disciplinedenoughtosayonMondaysandTuesdays,Iwillworkonthejournal,andon

Wednesdays,Iwillgetbacktoresearch.Myresearchlifecontaminateseverythingelse,

evenwhenIwaschairmanofmydepartmentatCambridge.IwasadiligentchairmanandI

hadavery,veryclearvisionofwhereIwantedtoseemyDepartmentgo.Iwasraisedinan

academichousehold,soIwasfullypreparedtobeChairinmydepartmentatCambridge.

ThatmeantIdidn’tagonizeoverdecisions.ConsequentlyIcontinuedtopublishduringmy

tenure.Iseetheworldthroughaparticularlens,andthat’sabadthingforaneditor;an

editorissupposedtoanOlympian(laughs).

TIMEMANAGEMENT

Howdoyoudivideupyourworkingdaybothintermsofquantityandtimingofdifferentkinds

ofwork?Andhowdoyoubalanceyourpersonallifeandprofessionallife?

Ihadsomevery,veryluckybreaksintermsofmygenes;Icanconcentratenomatterhow

noisyistheenvironment.AndIdon’tneedtobecomfortablewhenatwork.Forexample,

I’veneverhadastudyathome.I’veveryoftenworkedonaproblemordraftedapaper,

sittingatthediningtablewithsmallchildrenrunninground,evenoneofthemsittingon

mylap.Ifmywifewerehere,shewouldtellyouthere’sneverbeenatimeathomewhen

ourchildrenweretoldtobequietbecause“fatherisworking.”Theywerealwaysrunning

aroundorsittingonmylapwhenIwasworking.Myfamilylifeneverinterferedwithmy

researchandmyresearchcertainlyneverinterferedwithmyfamilylife.Eventoday,when

I’mwashingup,Imightbethinkingaboutaproblemwhilemywifeandourfamilyfriends

aresittingatthediningtable,chatting.

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Myofficedoorisalwaysopen,peoplearedriftinginandout,andIcanswitchonandoff.

I’mnotbraggingaboutit;it’safact.ButIamrathergratefulthatmygenesallowmetodo

that.We’reaveryclosefamily,andifanyofmychildrenwritetomeaboutanything,it’s

unthinkablethatIwouldnotrespondimmediately;itdoesn’tmatterwhatI’mdoing.My

wifeoftenasks,“Whatdoyoudoattheoffice?Doyoueverwork?”Sheasksbecauseshe

can’timaginehowIcouldbeatacademicworkandwouldneverthelessbeabletoset

everythingasidethemomentane‐mailarrivesfromoneofourchildren.Thatdoesn’t

meanIamefficientwithothermatters;I’mnot.Ifit’saninvitationtoaconference,thatwill

gointheholdbin,becausethee‐mailisimpersonal.

Doyoualsofinditeasytobalancemultipleresearchpapers?

Yes,becauseI’vegotthiswide‐ranging,interconnectedbodyofresearch.Everythingistied

upwitheverythingelse,orsoitseemstometobesointhesocialworld.

Doyouhaveasenseoftheoptimalnumberofpapersthatyoucouldbeworkingonatanyone

time?

No.I’veneverbeenabletoplanmyresearchanddon’tsupposeitwouldhavebeenagood

thingifIhad.Inthefirst20yearsofmyacademiclife,mypublicationsappearedin

bunches.Intheearly‐‘80s,Ipublishedquiteanumberofpapers,butthentherewasa

fallowperiod.OntheworkontechnologicalcompetitionthatIdidwithJoe(Stiglitz),we

produced7‐8papersoutofonemassivemanuscriptwehadcreatedforourselves.Butthat

manuscripttookacoupleofyears.Wethenproducedastringofpapersoutofthat.Iam

fromafortunategenerationintheUK.Igottenureprettyquicklyandeasily.Itdidn’t

bothermewhenIwaspublishingnothing,evenbeforereceivingtenure.

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REFLECTIONSANDTHEFUTUREOFECONOMICS

Whathavebeenthemostimportantfindingsandcontributionsinyourresearchfieldsduring

thecourseofyourcareer?

Theeconomicsofasymmetricinformationisonebigone.Therearetwostrandstothat

literature:mechanismdesignwhentheagentsareasymmetricallyinformed,andanalysis

ofmarkets.underasymmetricinformation.Butusuallywheneconomistsareaskedto

explainasymmetricinformation,theytakeexamplesfromthelatter.I’lldothesamehere.

It’snotthatpeopledidn’tknowthatinformationwasasymmetricallydistributed–of

course,theydid–butastherewasnocanonicalformulation,theprofessionwaswaitingfor

therightlanguageinwhichtotalk“information”.Justtogiveyouanideaofhowdifficult

thematterwas,inthe1960sanumberofveryfineeconomiststhoughtthewayintothe

economicsofinformationwouldrequirefirstofallameasureofinformation(e.g.the

Shannonmeasure).Butthatdidn’tseemtoleadanywhere:thesocialworldrequiresa

differenttreatmentfromtheworldofcommunication.KennethArrowwasthefirstto

realize,atleastinapublishedform,thatweshouldbypassthatobsessionandmodelan

economyinwhichdifferentpeopleknewdifferentthings.Tomymindhis1963onhealth

economicsandthemedicalprofessionistherealoriginoftheeconomicsofasymmetric

information.Ifyoureadityouwillfindithadeverything,butforalgebra,thatwasin

Akerlof’sfamous‘lemons’paper(inArrowread“quacks”forAkerlof’s“lemons”).Butit

wentbeyondthelemonsexamplebyofferinganexplanationforwhythemarketfor

medicalpractitionersnevercollapsed.Arrowsuggestedthatmedicalassociationsmonitor

qualityandthatyouneedinstitutionstocontrolquality.Atatimewhenmosteconomists

viewedsuchassociationsascreatingcartels,Arrow’sanalysismusthavebeenarevelation.

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Thepersonwhocarriedoutthebulkofthenextstageofworkonasymmetricinformation

inmarketsisJoeStiglitz.Stiglitzrelentlesslypursuedtheproblem,basicallybyre‐

constructingpricetheory.It’sinterestingthatnosinglepaperofhisonthesubjectnailed

thingsdown,it’sonlywhenyouputthemtogether(studyingmarketsforcredit,insurance,

labour,capital),thatyoubegintomakeconnectiontoanenormousnumberoffeaturesof

theworldwhichwerebeyondthereachofeconomicanalysisuntilthen.Ofcourse,Stiglitz

wasessentiallystudyingthesamemodel,butafterhavinggivenadifferentnametothe

marketbeingmodeled.ItwasveryStiglitzian(laughs).Butitwasnecessaryhediditthat

way.Hewastryingtoproduceacanonicalmodel;andhesucceeded.

Whatarethebiggestchallengesfacingyourresearchfields?

It’sbesttorespondbynotingit’snotjustmyresearchfield,butthebiggestchallengein

economics.

BringingNatureintoeconomicswillprovetobethebiggestchallenge,largelybecause

wheneverNatureismentioned,thehardboiledeconomistsays“externalities”and

suppressesayawn.Economicshasestablishedbadculturalpractices.Theprofession

doesn’trewardsomeonewhomaybedoingvitalworkestimatingthoseyawn‐generating

externalitiesin,say,asituationwhereforestsintheuplandsofawatershedarebeingcut

downanddamagingfarmersdownstream.Theprofessionrewardsempiricalworkin

sociallyacceptablefields,suchaseducation,health,labour,insurance,andvarious

industriesproducingprivategoods.Butwhenitcomestonaturalcapital,theygiveita

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thumbs‐down.It’sveryhardforempiricalenvironmentalandresourceeconomiststoget

jobsinleadingeconomicsdepartment.Thenaturalsciencesarefarmoresophisticatedin

theirappreciationofgoodappliedwork.Inthecaseofupstreamdeforestation,the

economisthastoobtaindatafromscratchbecausethegovernmentdoesn’tpublishdataon

thesubject;heorshehastocollaboratewithhydrologists,soilscientists,andagronomists

iftheyaretoestimatethe“externalities”.Iftherehasbeenarecurrentthemeinmyown

work,it’sbeentheattempttointroduceNature(naturalcapital)intoeconomicsina

seamlessway;inmanywaystore‐constructeconomics.Sustainabledevelopmentisabuzz

worldamongintellectuals.Butthatdoesn’tmakeitabogusword.Untileconomiststake

Natureseriously,wewillnotknowhowcurrentpolicywillaffectfuturepeople.Wehaveto

understandhumanity’srelationshipwithNatureatdifferentlevelsofeconomic

development.Inordertodothat,weneedtomakecontactwithneighboringdisciplines.

Theprofessionisn’tpreparedtodothatasyet.

Ifwewanttounderstand,say,povertyintheThirdWorld,weneedtoengagewith

anthropologistsandecologists,becausetheyhavegainedinsightsfromyearsofexperience.

Ihavefoundengagingwiththemvery,veryfruitful.Ifwewanttounderstandrurallife,we

needtoengagewithgeographerstoo,becausetheyhavedevelopedtoolsaboutthe

landscape.It’stakenmeyearstoappreciatehowdeeplyinterconnectedoursocialsystems

arewiththenaturalsystem,andhowwehavealsoisolatedourselvesfromNatureviathe

market.Weneedtobeconstantlyawareoftheunintendedconsequencesofthatisolation.

We’vegottoreallyengagewithawholegroupofdifferent,butrelateddisciplines.We’re

notdoingenoughofthatatthemoment,andwedon’thavethewillingness;ourentire

trainingprocessandsubsequentcareergoagainstit.Ican’thelpthinkingthatwe

economistsaremissingthemostsignificantproblemsofourtime,orforthatmatterof

anybody’stime,byavoidingthem.

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Howdidyoufeelaboutbeingawardedaknighthoodfor“servicestoeconomics”?Whatwould

yousayhasbeenyourbiggestcontributiontoeconomics?

IwastotallysurprisedonreceivingtheletterfromthePrimeMinister’sOffice,inMay2002.

IwassurprisedbecauseIhadneverconsultedforgovernments,infactIdidn’tknowany

governmentofficials.TherecommendationmusthavecomefromtheUK’sEconomicand

SocialResearchCouncil.WhenIshowedhertheletter,mywifetooksometimetodigest

thequestionIwasasked,namelywhetherIwouldacceptaknighthood.Thequestion

didn’tarise.Iwasverypleasedwiththatrecognition,itseemedtometobeanaffirmation

ofmyresearch,butithashadnoeffectonmylife.

AnInquiryintoWell‐beingandDestitution(1993)isunquestionablytheworkwithwhichI

ammostsatisfied.WorkingtowarditmademeunderstandthesocialworldinawayI

couldn’thavebyreadinganythingelse.Iwroteitovera4yearperiod,starttofinish,andit

knockedmeout.UnconsciouslyIwantedtochangethewayeconomicsisunderstood,but

ofcourseIwasn’tabouttowriteamethodologicalwork,Ifocusedonwell‐beingand

destitutionasmyobjectofstudywithwhichtore‐writeeconomics.Iwaswritingthebook

asaletter(averylongletter!)tomyfather,whoIknewwasgoingtodiesoon.Thebook

wasn’tfinishedwhenhedied,soIwroteamemoirforhimasanintroductiontothebook.

Economics:AVeryShortIntroduction(2007)resemblesthatearlierwork,butit’sawhole

lotbriefer.

Doyouhaveanyprofessionalregrets?

Idon’tthinkso,largelybecauseI’venevertakenmyprofessionallifethatseriously,qua

professionallife.Thatexplainsagooddealofmyanswerstoyourpreviousquestions.

Researchformehasneverreallybeenresearch;it’sbeenanengagementwithlife.Andmy

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workhasneverbeencompartmentalizedfromtherestofmylife.Ofcourse,ifyouaskmy

wife,shewillsay,“Therewereperiodswhenhewasimpossibletolivewith;whenIwould

talktohiminthosemoments,itwasclearhewasn’tlistening.”Butthat’sinevitable;any

personwho’sengagedinresearch,nomatterhowcompartmentalizedheorsheis,will

havemomentswhenthey’reslightlydisconnected.

I’veneverhadabigagendaandI’veneverwantedtochangetheworld.It’sbeenself‐

indulgencealltheway;I’vewantedtounderstandthesocialworld,andthewayeconomists

handleditwasn’tgoodenoughforme,whichiswhyIwasledtogeographers,

anthropologists,nutritionists,ecologists,anddevelopmentbiologists.AndI’vehad

enormoushelpfromsomeofthegreatestmindsinthosedisciplines,scientistslikePaul

Ehrlich,JackGoody,andJohnWaterlow.WheneverIhavewritten,seekingguidance,

sometimestoscholarswhomIhadnevermet,theyhaverespondedhandsomely.Andof

course,Ihavehadenormoushelpfrommyprofessionalcolleagues.Myco‐authorsin

particularhavetaughtmeagreatdeal.

Ialsodon’tthinkI’vemadeawrongmoveintermsofemployment.In1977,whenIwasat

theLSE,IturneddownaveryfineofferfromPrinceton,mainlybecauseIwashopingto

becomeaProfessorattheLSE,wheremyfatherhaddonehisPh.Dandmyfather‐in‐law

hadbeenaProfessor.Ishouldsayitwasn’tcompetitionwithmyelders,itwasamatterof

seeingthroughanintergenerationalagreement,ifyouseewhatImean;carryingthe

proverbialtorch.ForacoupleofyearsIregrettednotmovingtoPrinceton.Ialsowanted

toliveinacampusenvironment,andLondondoesn’tprovidethat.Ontheotherhand,

Londonwasexciting,andmywifeandIenjoyedanactivesociallife.But,whenin1984

Cambridgeapproachedmewiththeofferofachair,bothmywifeandIknewwewere

goingtoacceptit.ShehadgrownupinCambridgeandIhadbeenastudent.Thatwasan

easydecision.

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Doyouhaveanyprofessionalambitions?

No.ItgoeswithoutsayingIdidwanttobecomeaprofessor.OnceIbecameone,attheLSE

in1978,thatambitionwasfulfilled.Fromthenon,whatwasimportantforme,

professionallythatis,isthatIcontinuetoexplorethesocialworld.

OUPispublishingmycollectedpapersintheautumn.Abouttenyearsago,Iturneddown

theoffer,sayingIdidn’tseethepurpose.Ithoughtthatthosewhodiditdiditeitherasa

vanityprojectorbecausetheyfeltthattheircreativeperiodhadcometoanend.(Iwas

deadwrong,ofcourse.)Butthentwoyearsago,Ihadtoundergomajorsurgeryforcancer.

Iwasgiventwoweeks’noticeandwastoldtherewasabouta4percentriskoffatalityat

theoperatingtable,nottomentionthattherecouldbefurtherproblems.WhenIlearned

that,Ithought,“Well,ifI’mdead,thenit’sdead(thevolume).”Butanother(worseforme,

personally)possibilitywasthatIwouldsurvivebuttheexperiencewoulddampenmy

curiosityaboutlifeandthesocialworldroundme.Ifthatweretohappen,Ithoughtediting

mycollectedpaperswouldbenobadthing.SoIinformedOUPthatIwaswilling.They

sentmeacontractimmediately.However,withintwoweeksoftheoperation,eventhough

Icouldhardlydoanythingphysical,IfoundmyselfreadingatextbookonEarthScience.

Whilelyinginthehospital,adayfollowingmyoperation,IhadrealizedIknewlittleformal

aboutthemathematicsunderlyingplatetectonics.RecognitionthatIhadrevertedtobeing

astudentcheeredmeupnoend.However,IbegantoregretthatIsignedthatcontract!

Butadealisadeal,andIhavedonepartofmyjobproducingthetwovolumes.AsIsaid,I

wasquitewrongearlier.IenjoyedcollectingthearticlesandwritingtheIntroductions.

Howwouldyoudescribethestateofeconomicstoday?Areyouoptimisticaboutitsfuture?

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Atoneleveleconomicsisinaverygoodstatetoday.Thelast30‐40yearshasseen

extremelyfruitfulprogressinboththeoreticalandappliedwork.Beforethen,theapplied‐

theorydividewasenormous.Theoristsknewlittleaboutwhatappliedpeopledid,and

appliedeconomistscouldn’tunderstandthepointintheory.Today,mosttheoristsknow

somethingabouttheappliedworktowhichtheirtheoryrelates,andappliedeconomicshas

changedbeyondbeliefbecauseofthedevelopmentofadvancedeconometrictechniques.

Butthereisahugedownsidetothestateofaffairs.Goodpeopleusuallydogoodresearch,

buttheydon’tnecessarilyworkonthemostimportantproblems.Andeconomistscan

misreadthesocialandnaturalworldsobadlythatevengoodpeopleendupdoingflippant

research.Theprofessionevenrewardssuchwork.Ihavealreadyalludedtothefactthat

ourprofessionisdismissiveofreallyhard,empiricalworkonenvironmentalexternalities.

Letmeelaborateonit.Taketheenormousliteraturethathasbeenbuiltupoverthepast

twodecadesandmoreonendogenousgrowth.Ifindmostofitwhollyunreal.Hereisthe

presentworld,headingforapopulationofmorethan9billionbythemiddleofthecentury,

everyonewantingtoenjoythelifestyleof,ifnotDubai’sSheiks,butcertainlytheaverage

incomeofaresidentinahighmiddle‐incomecountry.Buttheenvironmental

requirementsofsuchastateofaffairswouldrequire3to4Earths.Weeconomistsdon’t

evenbegintoappreciatethatfact.Wesimplypostulatetechnologicalprogressandthink

thatNature’sconstraintscanalwaysbeovercomethrougheducationandresearch.How

havewecometosuchapass?Wehaveafterallonlyabout250yearsofexperienceofwhat

wenowcallthemodernworld,whichseemsamomentina11,000yearsofhuman

“history”.Economistsasaprofessiondon’twanttothinkaboutpopulationanditdoesn’t

wanttotakeNatureseriously.Icanonlyconcludethatwehavedetachedourselvesfrom

theworld.Noneofthatwouldmatterifweeconomistsweren’tenormouslyinfluential.

Butweare.Thelanguageweuseseepsintothejournalisticandpoliticalworld.Economic

growth,wealth,markets,andtechnologicalprogressareexpressionswehavefashioned.

Wehelpotherstogointodenialaboutpossibleadversefuturesofhumansocieties,because

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wearesmartenoughandarticulateenoughtosayknowledgeandingenuitywillsolveall

problems.Periodicallywewritetosaythat“Malthuswasafalseprophet”(aquotefroma

recentissueoftheEconomist).Andit’stheeconomicsprofessionthatidentified

“externalities”.PutallthetermsIhavejustmentionedtogetherandyougetacontradiction

intheeconomist’sfavouredmodelofthelongrun.That’snotjustironic,it’stragic.