part 3 three steps towards global disaster resilience

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YOUR NATION DATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS MONITORING HAZARD MAPS INVENTORY VULNERABILITY LOCATIONR RISK ACCEPTABLE RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE PREPAREDNESS PROTECTION EARLY WARNING EM RESPONSE RECOVERY 5 PILLARS OF DISASTER RESILIENCE

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TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE: Step 1: Integrating Today’s Global Knowledge Into Global Books of Knowledge Step 2: From Today’s Books of Knowledge to Innovative Capacity Building Step 3: From Today’s Paradigm to Tomorrow’s

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Page 1: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

YOUR

NATION

YOUR

NATIONDATA BASES AND INFORMATIONDATA BASES AND INFORMATION

HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

• MONITORING• HAZARD MAPS• INVENTORY• VULNERABILITY• LOCATIONR

RISK

ACCEPTABLE RISK

UNACCEPTABLE RISK

BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE

• PREPAREDNESS• PROTECTION• EARLY WARNING• EM RESPONSE• RECOVERY

5 PILLARS OF DISASTER RESILIENCE

Page 2: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE

The Paradigm for 2014 That Makes Our Tomorrows Better

STEP 2

Page 3: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE

• Step 1: Integrating Today’s Global Knowledge Into Global Books of Knowledge

• Step 2: From Today’s Books of Knowledge to Innovative Capacity Building

• Step 3: From Today’s Paradigm to Tomorrow’s

Page 4: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

STEP 2: To Move From Today’s Books of

Knowledge to Innovative Capacity Building For Disaster Resilience

Page 5: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

LET’S REVIEW THE FACTS FROM STEP 1 FIRST

Integrating Today’s Global Knowledge Into Global Books of

Knowledge

Page 6: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 1: THE PROBLEM IS NOT A LACK OF DISASTER KNOWLEDGE

FACT 1: THE PROBLEM IS NOT A LACK OF DISASTER KNOWLEDGE

• ALL 200 NATIONS HAVE A HISTORICAL RECORD OF THEIR OWN DISASTERS

• ALL 200 NATIONS HAVE A HISTORICAL RECORD OF THEIR OWN DISASTERS

Page 7: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

THE PROBLEM IS NOT A LACK OF DISASTER KNOWLEDGE (Continued)

THE PROBLEM IS NOT A LACK OF DISASTER KNOWLEDGE (Continued)

• MANY NATIONS, BUT NOT ALL, HAVE ALSO LEARNED FROM OTHER NATION’S DISASTERS

• MANY NATIONS, BUT NOT ALL, HAVE ALSO LEARNED FROM OTHER NATION’S DISASTERS

Page 8: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 2: THE PROBLEM IS NOT KNOWING WHAT TO DO

FACT 2: THE PROBLEM IS NOT KNOWING WHAT TO DO

• ALL 200 NATIONS HAVE ADOPTED POLICIES FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

• ALL 200 NATIONS HAVE ADOPTED POLICIES FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

Page 9: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 3: THE PROBLEM IS AN IMPLEMENTATION PROBLEM FACT 3: THE PROBLEM IS AN IMPLEMENTATION PROBLEM

• KNOWING WHAT TO DO TECH-NICALLY AND HOW TO DO IT POLITICALLY ARE DIFFERENT PROCESSES

• KNOWING WHAT TO DO TECH-NICALLY AND HOW TO DO IT POLITICALLY ARE DIFFERENT PROCESSES

Page 10: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 4: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR IMPLEMENTATION

FACT 4: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR IMPLEMENTATION

• TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY ARE NEEDED FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF EACH OF THE FIVE PILLARS OF DISASTER RESILIENCE

• TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY ARE NEEDED FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF EACH OF THE FIVE PILLARS OF DISASTER RESILIENCE

Page 11: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

YOUR

NATION

YOUR

NATIONDATA BASES AND INFORMATIONDATA BASES AND INFORMATION

HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

• MONITORING• HAZARD MAPS• INVENTORY• VULNERABILITY• LOCATIONR

RISK

ACCEPTABLE RISK

UNACCEPTABLE RISK

BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE

• PREPAREDNESS• PROTECTION• EARLY WARNING• EM RESPONSE• RECOVERY

5 PILLARS OF DISASTER RESILIENCE

Page 12: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• TURKEY: PROPER PRIOR PRE-PAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• TURKEY: PROPER PRIOR PRE-PAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 13: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• HAITI: PROPER PRIOR PRE-PAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• HAITI: PROPER PRIOR PRE-PAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 14: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• KAZAKJSTAN: PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• KAZAKJSTAN: PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 15: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• RUSSIA: PROPER PRIOR PRE-PAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• RUSSIA: PROPER PRIOR PRE-PAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 16: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• RUSSIA: PROPER PRIOR PRE-PAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• RUSSIA: PROPER PRIOR PRE-PAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 17: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• THE PHILIPPINES: PROPER PRIOR PRE-PAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• THE PHILIPPINES: PROPER PRIOR PRE-PAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 18: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• THE PHILIPPINES: PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• THE PHILIPPINES: PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 19: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• BOLIVIA: PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• BOLIVIA: PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 20: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• CARIBBEAN (SAINT LUCCIA): PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• CARIBBEAN (SAINT LUCCIA): PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 21: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• ARIZONA (USA): PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• ARIZONA (USA): PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 22: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

FACT 5: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PREPAREDNESS”

• EGYPT: PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• EGYPT: PROPER PRIOR PREPAREDNESS PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 23: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

• EGYPT: PRO-TECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• EGYPT: PRO-TECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 24: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

• CHINA:PROPER PRIOR PRO-TECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• CHINA:PROPER PRIOR PRO-TECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 25: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

• ALGERIA:PROPER PRIOR PRO-TECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• ALGERIA:PROPER PRIOR PRO-TECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 26: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

• ITALY: PROPER PRIOR PRO-TECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• ITALY: PROPER PRIOR PRO-TECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 27: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

• OKLAHOMA, USA: PROPER PRIOR PROTECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• OKLAHOMA, USA: PROPER PRIOR PROTECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 28: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

FACT 6: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “PROTECTION”

• JAPAN: PROPER PRIOR PROTECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

• JAPAN: PROPER PRIOR PROTECTION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE

Page 29: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 7: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EARLY WARNING”

FACT 7: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EARLY WARNING”

• INDONESIA: PROPER PRIOR WARNING PRECEDES PEOPLE EVACUATIONS

• INDONESIA: PROPER PRIOR WARNING PRECEDES PEOPLE EVACUATIONS

Page 30: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 7: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EARLY WARNING”

FACT 7: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EARLY WARNING”

• CHILE: PROPER PRIOR WARNING PRECEDES PEOPLE EVACUATIONS

• CHILE: PROPER PRIOR WARNING PRECEDES PEOPLE EVACUATIONS

Page 31: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

• PERU: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE (SEARCH AND RESCUE)

• PERU: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE (SEARCH AND RESCUE)

Page 32: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

• JAPAN: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE

• JAPAN: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE

Page 33: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

• NORTH DAKOTA, USA: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE

• NORTH DAKOTA, USA: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE

Page 34: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

• CHINA: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE (SEARCH AND RESCUE AFTER LANDSLIDE)

• CHINA: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE (SEARCH AND RESCUE AFTER LANDSLIDE)

Page 35: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

• NEW ZEALAND: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE

• NEW ZEALAND: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE

Page 36: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

• PAKISTAN: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE

• PAKISTAN: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE

Page 37: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

• CHINA: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE (EMERGENCY HEALTH CARE)

• CHINA: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING ASSURES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE (EMERGENCY HEALTH CARE)

Page 38: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

FACT 8: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “EM. RESPONSE”

• UNITED NATIONS DISTRIBEUTING FOOD NEEDS TO BE TIMELY AND COST-EFFECTIVE DURING EM. RESPONSE

• UNITED NATIONS DISTRIBEUTING FOOD NEEDS TO BE TIMELY AND COST-EFFECTIVE DURING EM. RESPONSE

Page 39: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 9: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “RECOVERY”

FACT 9: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “RECOVERY”

• LOS ANGELES: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING PROMOTES TIMELY AND COST-EFFECTIVE RESTORATION OF SERVICES AND RECOVERY

• LOS ANGELES: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING PROMOTES TIMELY AND COST-EFFECTIVE RESTORATION OF SERVICES AND RECOVERY

Page 40: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

FACT 9: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “RECOVERY”

FACT 9: THE PROBLEM IS A LACK OF CAPACITY FOR “RECOVERY”

• VENICE: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING PROMOTES TIMELY AND COST-EFFECTIVE RESTORATION OF SERVICES AND RECOVERY

• VENICE: PROPER PRIOR PLANNING PROMOTES TIMELY AND COST-EFFECTIVE RESTORATION OF SERVICES AND RECOVERY

Page 41: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

CONCLUSION

FACT 10: DISASTER RESILIENCE REQUIRES THE

INTEGRATION OF “POLITICAL AND TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS”

FOR A COMMON AGENDA

Page 42: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

STEP 2From Today’s Books of

Knowledge to Innovative Capacity Building For Disaster Resilience

Page 43: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

THE GOAL

DEMANDS ON COMMUNITY

DEMANDS ON COMMUNITY

NO DISASTERS:

CAPABILITIES OF COMMUNITY

CAPABILITIES OF COMMUNITY

Page 44: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

REALITY

INCREASED DEMANDS ON COMMUNITY

INCREASED DEMANDS ON COMMUNITY

A DISASTER:

INSUFFICIENT CAPABILITIES OF

COMMUNITY

INSUFFICIENT CAPABILITIES OF

COMMUNITY

Page 45: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

BOOK OF

KNOWLEDGE

- Perspectives

On Science, Policy,

And EM HI-ED

Page 46: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

EVERY YEAR, EVERY NATION HAS DOZENS OF “WINDOWS OF

OPPORTUNITY” AFTER A NEW DISASTER TO USE THE UPDATED

BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE FOR INNOVATIVE CAPACITY BUILDING

Page 47: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

THE CAPACITY BUILDING PROCESS

UNDER-STANDUNDER-STAND

IDENT-IFY

IDENT-IFY

HEARHEAR

PERSON-ALIZE

PERSON-ALIZE ACTACT

PERIOD OF INTEGRATION

WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY

PERIOD OF IMPLEMENTATION

Page 48: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

THE GOAL: CREATING A COMMON AGENDA FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF

TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL SOLUTIONS

Page 49: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

HAZARDSHAZARDS

ELEMENTS OF RISK IN EVERY NATION

ELEMENTS OF RISK IN EVERY NATION

EXPOSUREEXPOSURE

VULNERABILITYVULNERABILITY LOCATIONLOCATION

RISKRISK

Page 50: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

TOWARDS INCREASED CAPACITY FOR GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE

TOWARDS INCREASED CAPACITY FOR GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE

GOAL: TO FIND THE COMMON AGENDA(CA) OF TECHNICAL

AND POLITICAL SOLUTIONS

GOAL: TO FIND THE COMMON AGENDA(CA) OF TECHNICAL

AND POLITICAL SOLUTIONS

TECHNICAL SOLUTIONSTECHNICAL SOLUTIONS

POLITICAL SOLUTIONSPOLITICAL

SOLUTIONS

CA

Page 51: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE

TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE

FACT: THE COMMON AGENDA IS BASED ON EACH NATION’S STAPLE FACTORS

FACT: THE COMMON AGENDA IS BASED ON EACH NATION’S STAPLE FACTORS

TECHNICAL SOLUTIONSTECHNICAL SOLUTIONS

POLITICAL SOLUTIONSPOLITICAL

SOLUTIONS

STAPLE FACTORSSTAPLE

FACTORS

PPTT

SSOO

CA

Page 52: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

EACH NATION’S STAPLE FACTORS WILL VARY WITH

EACH NATION’S STAPLE FACTORS WILL VARY WITH

• TIME• PLACE• CIRCUMSTANCES

• TIME• PLACE• CIRCUMSTANCES

Page 53: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

SOCIAL (ARE THE PEOPLE AWARE OF WHAT THEY NEED?)

COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY

TECHNICAL (IS THE STATE OF KNOWLEDGE AND PRACTICE BEING

APPLIED?)

ADMINISTRATIVE (WHO IS RESPONSIBLE AND ACCOUNTABLE?)

POLITICAL (ARE PUBLIC POLICIES RELEVANT IN TERMS OF THE

THREAT?)

LEGAL (ARE EXISTING LEGAL MANDATES ENFORCED?)

ECONOMIC (WILLINGNESS AND CAPACITY TO PAY FOR SAFETY?)

GOAL: COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE

SOCIAL SYSTEMS

SOCIAL SYSTEMS

STAPLE FACTORSSTAPLE FACTORS

Page 54: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

DIFFERENCES IN PERSPECTIVES OF POLITICAL AND TECHNICAL

PROFESSIONALS

DIFFERENCES IN PERSPECTIVES OF POLITICAL AND TECHNICAL

PROFESSIONALS

BASED ON “NOT WELL ADVISED,”

SZANTON (1981)

BASED ON “NOT WELL ADVISED,”

SZANTON (1981)

Page 55: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THINKING

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THINKING

• POLITICAL• THE GUIDING

PRINCIPLE FOR THE BEST POLITICAL DECISION IS TO HAVE THE “LEAST REGRETS”

• TECHNICAL• THE GUIDING

PRINCIPLE FOR THE TECHNICAL DECISION IS TO HAVE THE “BEST SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY”

Page 56: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THINKING

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THINKING

• POLITICAL• THE DESIRED

OUTCOME IS APPROVAL OF THE DECISIONMAKER’S CONSTITUENTS (ELECTORATE, STOCK HOLDERS)

• POLITICAL• THE DESIRED

OUTCOME IS APPROVAL OF THE DECISIONMAKER’S CONSTITUENTS (ELECTORATE, STOCK HOLDERS)

• TECHNICAL• THE DESIRED

OUTCOME IS RESPECT OF THE SCIENTIST’S OR ENGINEER’S PEERS

• TECHNICAL• THE DESIRED

OUTCOME IS RESPECT OF THE SCIENTIST’S OR ENGINEER’S PEERS

Page 57: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THINKING

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THINKING

• POLITICAL• THE TIME HORIZON

IS SHORT AND A SOLUTION IS WANTED NOW

• TECHNICAL• THE TIME HORIZON

IS LONG AND “THE BEST SOLUTION” TAKES A LITTLE MORE TIME

Page 58: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THINKING

POLITICAL VERSUS TECHNICAL THINKING

• POLITICAL• THE MOST VALUED

OUTCOME IS A RELIABLE SOLUTION WITH NO UNCERTAINTIES

• TECHNICAL• THE MOST VALUED

OUTCOME IS SCIENTIFIC INSIGHT WITH UNCERTAINTIES EMPHASIZED

Page 59: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

DECISIONS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

DECISIONS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

• INTEGRATE THE STAPLE FACTORS

• BALANCE THE COMMUNITY’S STAPLE FACTORS

• DETERMINE BENEFIT/COST

• INTEGRATE THE STAPLE FACTORS

• BALANCE THE COMMUNITY’S STAPLE FACTORS

• DETERMINE BENEFIT/COST

Page 60: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

BENEFITS OF A COMMON AGENDA FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

BENEFITS OF A COMMON AGENDA FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

• REDUCTION OF VULNERABILITY

• REDUCTION OF UNACCEPTABLE RISK

• REDUCTION OF VULNERABILITY

• REDUCTION OF UNACCEPTABLE RISK

• POLITICAL SUCCESS (No Regrets)

• ENHANCED DISASTER RESILIENCE

• POLITICAL SUCCESS (No Regrets)

• ENHANCED DISASTER RESILIENCE

Page 61: Part 3  Three Steps Towards Global Disaster Resilience

STEP 3From Today’s Paradigm to

Tomorrow’s

SEE NEW FILE