part 2: cciav research perspectives in europe

09.02.2007| Folie 1

FFCUL, Lisboa

Martin König

Part 2: CCIAV research perspectives in Europe

09.02.2007| Folie 2

The scientific content

Milestone on our mutual understanding of the scientific scope of CIRCLE partner programmes

09.02.2007| Folie 3

Conclusions

different national research landscapes and geographical settings determine different scientific foci

still the majority of programmes puts emphasis on natural sciences, BUT shift is visible, most new programmes embrace socio-economic sciences

integration of adaptation measures gets more and more important

builds base for “complementarity search” leading towards joint/transnational activities

09.02.2007| Folie 4

Programme management aspects

Milestone of our common understanding of programmes/projects and their management

Universities/Research Institutes

Scientific Boards(experts-stakeholders)

Companies

Ministry/Organisa-tion proVision-AT

FIPPGC-FI

SPCC-SE

DEKLIM-DE

GICC-F

CCA-HUCOPE-SE VAHAVA-HU

NWO-NL

NRP-NL

Distribution

Final decision

month

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

GICC-F

ProVision-A

DEKLIM-DE

VAHAVA-HU

CCA-HU

FIPPGC-FI

SPCC-SE

COPE-SE Call

Evaluation

Detailed planning

Second evaluation

Decision

Decision to finalarrangements

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Conclusions

for most cases: administrative settings allow transnational cooperation

some administrative problems to be solved for joint/transnational activities: schedules of the programme (frequency of calls) common evaluation procedure mechanism on final decisions for funding handling of common budgets

BUT for most of the programmes an internationalisation via ERA-Net is most welcome, so that “hurdles” will be overcome

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Country-wise

Countries show very different approaches The classical procedure in research related to

adaptation measures should be: Starting phase of impact assessments for certain

sectors and/or regions Full national impact assessment (regularly updated) Derived from impact assessment:

adaptation strategy (top-down/bottom-up) Last step: national regionalised adaptation plan(s) for

all relevant sectors

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Israel

New national programme on climate impacts and adaptation measures in Israel just started 2006 – 2008 Budget not yet decided Inventory of areas vulnerable to climate change impacts,

adaptation measures (including practical steps) with foci on water infrastructure, coastal zone management, energy consumption and air pollution

Contact: Yeshayaho Bar-Or ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 8

Italy

The EuroMediterranean Center for Climate Change 2005/06 – open end 27m EUR (2005-2007) Climate change impacts on Italy and the Mediterranean

as a whole as well as climate modelling and capacity building around the Mediterranean

The Center will serve as national excellence center for research on climate impacts and adaptation

Several institutions (like INGV, FEEM,…)will be bunched in the Center

Contact: Sergio Castellari ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 9

Portugal

SIAM: Climate Change in Portugal – Scenarios, Impacts and Adaptation Measures That you know much better than I do ;-)

The SIAM project (co-ordinated by Filipe Santos) already issued a national impact assessment for Portugal (http://www.siam.fc.ul.pt/SIAM_Book)

Contact: Filipe Santos ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 10

France

GICC: Climate change management and related impacts 1999-2003 (phase I), 2004-2008 (phase II) Around 25m EUR Promotion and development of French scientific

research on identifying national impacts of Climate Change and associated physical mechanisms including adaptation measures

Contact: Eric Vindimian ([email protected]) and Laurence Colinet ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 11

Belgium

SPSD: Scientific Support Plan for a Sustainable Development Policy 2001 – 2005 (SPSD II) 7m EUR Global Change, Ecosystems and Biodiversity with some

regional focus on the North Sea and Antarctica (from precursor programme SPSD I); focussed on natural sciences, but with links to other areas covered by SPSD (e.g. sustainable consumption and production patterns)

Contact: Aline van der Werf ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 12

Netherlands

KvR – Klimaat voor Ruimte and NRP CC KvR is getting more and more from impacts towards adaptation

measures with a focus on land use and planning KvR is just starting now, while the former programme NRP CC

(mainly focussed on climate impacts) has been finished

Contact: Kees Dorland ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 13

Germany

DEKLIM and klimazwei DEKLIM, the large climate research programme with 39m EUR

budget has been finished more or less (with some remaining projects still running in 2006)

DEKLIM: Improving the understanding of the climate system including anthropogenic influences; Reducing uncertainties in analysis and forecasting; Developing and deriving strategies for dealing with climate change

The new national research programme (klimazwei) will go much more towards adaptation strategies

Contact: Annette Münzenberg ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 14

Norway

NORKLIMA: Climate Change and Impacts in Norway 2004 – 2011 (!) 11-12m EUR/year Climate Programme - Klimaprog, Climate Effects (KlimaEffekter)

and Polar climate research with wide range of topics and focus on vulnerability assessments; Regional impact assessments are brought out under the sub-programme RegClim

Contact: Karine Hertzberg ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 15

Sweden

Swedish Climate Modelling Resource(SCMR, former SWECLIM) and COPE SCMR: 2003 – 2005 (phase II) 9m EUR budget Main focus are climate models and climate scenarios.

But SCMR encompasses as well meteorology, hydrology and oceanography; the work is conducted in co-operation with a broad range of user and impact study areas

COPE: 2001 – 2005 Awareness on climate impacts, policy issues,

communication, legal aspects of impacts and adaptation 1.8m EUR

Contact: Marianne Lilliesköld ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 16

Finland

FINADAPT + the Academies’ project programme on climate change

Has set some important benchmarks for national adaptation strategies

Maybe one more word: No other European country has yet a national adaptation strategy. So, this is unique!

Next might be the UK

Contact: Tim Carter ([email protected]) and Heli Karjalainen ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 17

Hungary

VAHAVA and Climate Change Action (CCA) programmes 2003 – 2008 Budget flexible Impacts of and adaptation to climate change in Hungary in the

frame of sustainable development

Contact: Sugárka Kelecsényi ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 18

Austria

proVision proVision: 2004 – 2006 (option until 2013) 12m EUR (2004 – 2006) Sustainable development and global change

(about 1/3 of the programme is dedicated to climate impacts and adaptation)

StartClim Small programme with flexible budget and “research by

emergency” approach for highlighting certain climate impacts FloodRisk

Small programme with starting with first adaptation measures in the field of flood protection for the next phase (2006/07)

Contacts: Irene Gabriel ([email protected])and me ([email protected])

09.02.2007| Folie 19

CIRCLE observers (grey)

UK, Ireland, Denmark, Poland and Russian Federation act as observers within CIRCLE

Their programmes/contacts are described in the CIRCLE country report as well

It is obvious that eastern and south-eastern Europe is still some kind of white gap on our CIRCLE-landscape Due to only very few existing national programmes Due to still lacking research infrastructure Due to the fact that we received no responses in many

countries We will work on it! For most EEC countries we have

established at least some contacts

09.02.2007| Folie 20

Non-CIRCLE member Spain and new CIRCLE observer Switzerland

In Spain, the ECCE project published recently an 800 pages preliminary impact assessment for Spain (http://www.mma.es/oecc/en_impactos2.htm)

In Switzerland, the NCCR-climate programme produces very valuable output mainly on impact assessments and climate modelling, while the OCCC acts as some kind of “national IPCC” for the Swiss government

Links: http://www.nccr-climate.unibe.ch/, http://www.occc.ch/, http://www.proclim.ch/

09.02.2007| Folie 21

CCIAV-related projects in EU-FP5

Within FP5 some 44 projects in the field of climate change (impacts, vulnerability and adaptation)

Among them very important projects founding the base of our common knowledge on climate impacts in Europe and beyond(e.g. PRUDENCE, ATEAM, STARDEX,…)

But within FP5 only three projects tackling adaptation measures directly

09.02.2007| Folie 22

adaptation-related projects in EU-FP5

ATLANTIS: Atlantic sea level rise – adaptation towards worst case scenarios

DINAS-COAST: vulnerability of coastal zones on different scales including an adaptation assessment module

and

CCASHH: Climate Change and adaptation strategies for human health in Europehttp://www.euro.who.int/ccashh

09.02.2007| Folie 23

Within FP6 some 28 projects in the field of climate change (impacts, vulnerability and adaptation)

Again very important projects which improve(d) the impact assessment base on different scales and for different sectors(e.g. ENSEMBLES, EURO-LIMPACS,…)

But just one project tackling adaptation: NEWATER: adaptation of water management

of the European river catchments under uncertainty and climate change

CCIAV-related projects in EU-FP6

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Adaptation effort for EU-FP7?

Two ways:1. “Just do it”-approach with acknowledgement to uncertainties

and regular updates of the underlying impact assessments. This might be a bit risky, when certain patters switch (like e.g. gulf stream problem), but it comes in time. (like FINADAPT)

2. “be safe”-approach with putting furthermore emphasis on impact assessments and waiting until uncertainties are negligible. PROBLEM: It might become too late!

I prefer 1st approach much more, because research is obliged to deliver suggestions towards policy from rather sound existing impact assessments

And for this we urgently need transnational cooperation!

part 2: cciav research perspectives in europe

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