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    Vol. 4 | Spring 2013 Sanford Journal of Public Policy

    109

    The Lens of Law Enforcement: A GeospatialStatistical Program Evaluation of Denvers

    HALO Camera Surveillance System

    John Papazian

    John Papazian is a denizen of Denver and a proud alumnus of the MPP program

    at Duke University. He is currently studying statistics at the Institute for Advanced

    Analytics in Raleigh. He is grateful for the assistance that he received from Professor

    Philip Cook, Professor Elizabeth Frankenberg, and the staff of the Sanford Journal

    while conducting this research.

    Abstract

    The Denver Police Department has recently implemented a new high-

    tech surveillance program to prevent crime throughout the city. The High

    Activity Location Observation (HALO) cameras can transmit video to

    police headquarters in real time through an Internet-based wireless network.

    The department has installed more than 100 HALO cameras at various high

    crime areas in Denver as of 2012. This investigation attempts a program

    evaluation of the surveillance system through a geospatial statistical

    analysis of property crime. Although cameras have been installed across

    the city, this investigation focuses on cameras installed in Police District#6, which encompasses the central business district. This investigation

    establishes a statistically signicant relationship between the installation

    of the HALO cameras and a reduction of thefts from motor vehicles in

    the viewshed of the cameras in downtown Denver. The difference-in-

    difference econometric approach suggests that the relationship is causal.

    Other categories of crime also may have been reduced due to the HALO

    cameras, but the statistical evidence is not strong enough to make a causal

    claim. An alternative approach based upon kernel density estimation hot

    spot maps is also explored. Policy recommendations are developed based

    upon the empirical results of the program evaluation.

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    Introduction

    In 2009, the Denver Police Department unveiled a new video

    surveillance program, the High Activity Location Observation (HALO)

    system, to help prevent crime. These HALO cameras were an improvementover traditional closed-circuit television cameras because they incorporate

    night vision with zoom and pivot capabilities that can read a license plate

    from a block away and transmit video through a wireless network (Osher

    2010). However, the cameras cost $20,000 per unit. As of 2012, the Police

    Departmenthad installed more than 100 HALO cameras at various high

    crime areas in Denver.

    The American Civil Liberties Union has criticized these types ofcameras as ineffective in reducing crime (Biale 2008). However, no formal

    statistical analysis of the Denver HALO cameras has yet been carried out

    by the police department, the ACLU, or external researchers (Maher 2009).

    This paper evaluates the surveillance system in downtown Denver through

    a geospatial statistical analysis of property crime. The camera system was

    also designed to help prevent violent crime such as robberies. However, the

    data available on these types of crime is insufcient to draw conclusions,and therefore the focus is exclusively on property crime. The geographic

    focus is on the central area of the city encompassed by Denver Police

    District #6, where most of the HALO cameras were installed.

    I employ a difference-in-differences econometric method to analyze

    the data derived from a quasi-experiment. With this approach, I compare

    property crime incidents in treated sites (areas within the HALO camera

    viewsheds) to control sites (areas with similar characteristics but without

    HALO cameras) both before and after the intervention. This investigation

    establishes a statistically signicant relationship between the installation

    of the HALO cameras and a reduction of thefts from motor vehicles in the

    viewshed of the police cameras in downtown Denver.

    Background

    The city of Denver began experimenting with cameras in 2006 whenthe former Chief of Police, Gerald Whitman, assigned Lieutenant Ernie

    Martinez to launcha pilot video surveillance project, which later grew into

    the HALO crime prevention program (Maher 2009). The police department

    wanted to keep up with technological advances pursued by larger cities

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    such as Chicago. The departments Operations Manual states that the top

    four principle objectives of the HALO program were (1) enhancing public

    safety, (2) preventing and deterring crime, (3) reducing the fear of crime,

    and (4) identifying criminal activity (Denver Police Department 2011).The program had immediate success; the rst installed camera helped

    the police to capture gang members committing arson at the Holly Square

    Shopping Center, a strip mall in northeast Denver. Following this initial

    success, the Denver Police expanded the program. In 2008, the federal

    government granted the Denver Police $1 million to install 50 additional

    cameras to help with security while the city hosted the Democratic National

    Convention. Those cameras remained in place after the conventionconcluded (Maher 2009).

    By January 2010, Lieutenant Martinez had deployed the 81 wireless

    cameras to high crime areas as part of Phase II of the HALO program. In

    November 2010, the Colfax Business Improvement District helped nance

    the purchase of additional cameras added as part of Phase III to help prevent

    crime on Colfax Avenue, a thoroughfare notorious for prostitution and

    organized crime (Martinez interview August 8, 2011). All HALO camerasare currently monitored and controlled from police headquarters by

    uniformed ofcers. As of January 2012, the Denver Police Department has

    released the exact locations of all cameras installed (HALO Street 2012).

    Welsh and Farringtons (2009) meta-analysis suggests that cameras

    installed in city centers led to small, non-signicant reductions in crime.

    They compute an odds ratio as a comparable metric of relative effect size

    across all studies included in their meta-analysis. However, their resultsmay not apply to the more powerful wireless Avrio cameras because their

    study only analyzes the effects of traditional close circuit television (CCTV)

    cameras. Additionally, their results may not apply to locations in the United

    States. Most of their studies use data from metropolitan areas in the United

    Kingdom, which were early adopters of surveillance technology. Finally,

    many of the studies included in their meta-analysis lack a rigorous quasi-

    experimental program evaluation and only analyze crime data before and

    after the camera intervention without developing any type of control.

    One recent study suggests that cameras may have helped prevent

    crime in certain areas of Los Angeles. Cook and MacDonald (2010) analyze

    crime data in Los Angeles before and after the formation of a number of

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    Business Improvement Districts (BIDs). These BIDs raise money from

    local businesses to pay local services such as private security guards,

    trash collection, commerce promotion, and CCTV camera installation.

    The Hollywood Entertainment BID has installed eight CCTV cameras atintersections in the district. Cook and MacDonald aggregate neighborhood

    time series crime data, and then assignthe values to the corresponding

    business improvement district. Next, they use the panel data to examine the

    effects of BIDs through a difference-in-difference econometric model with

    xed effects for neighborhood and year. Their results showa statistically

    signicant effect of BIDs on crimes and arrests per year.

    Applying Cook and MacDonalds approach, this investigationevaluates the original 44 HALO cameras installed in Denver Police District

    #6 to determine whetherthe surveillance system helped to prevent property

    crime in downtown Denver.

    Data Preparation

    The city of Denver provides geospatial les on their website for

    depicting neighborhoods, police districts, streets, zoning restrictions, andcensus information. Many of the maps produced in this report are derived

    from those geospatial les (Denver Maps 2012). The Denver Police

    Department provides data on crime incidents from 2006 to the present

    on their websiteas part ofthe National Incident Based Reporting System

    (NIBRS). NIBRS lists each reported crime as a separate incident, recording

    its type, location, date, and time when the incident was rst reported by

    civilians or by ofcers (Crime Data 2012).For this investigation of the HALO cameras, I analyze Federal

    Bureau of Investigation Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Part 1 property

    crimes in central Denver. UCR Part 1 crimes are serious crimes that occur

    regularly throughout the country and include burglary, larceny, theft from

    motor vehicle, auto theft, and arson. These types of crimes are likely to be

    reported to authorities. Chris Wyckoff, the Director of the Data Analysis

    Unit for the Denver Police, reports that the online database provides useful

    information for analyzing UCR Part 1 property crime rates in different

    areas of Denver (Wyckoff interview August 16, 2011).

    Crime incident data downloaded from the Denver Police Department

    must be geocoded before it can be imported into a geographic information

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    system. Geocoding involves assigning a specic longitude and latitude to

    the address location of a criminal incident. The web application BatchGeo

    was used to perform this task. As noted, the Denver Police Departments

    website provides data on crime incidents since 2006, but the address dataare not properly cleaned for geocoding (Crime Data 2012). Therefore,

    I cleaned the raw data before geocoding. Cleaning procedures included

    spelling out common abbreviations, standardizing the entry format, and

    removing miscellaneous information.

    In order to determine consistency across the 250,000 criminal

    incidents in the database, I programmed Visual Basicscripts to parse the

    address information. Once I assigned a specic longitude and latitude toeach criminal incident, I imported the crime incident datainto the geographic

    information system ArcGIS and wrote scripts in Python to perform the

    actual spatial analysis.

    Figure 1 displays a choropleth map of property crimes across all

    neighborhoods throughout the entire cityof Denver. Figure 2 displays the

    original 44 HALO cameras in central Denver with a push pin dot for

    every incident of property crime in the time frame of 2006-2007. Althoughcameras were installed across the city, this investigation focuses only on

    cameras installed in Police District #6, which encompasses the central

    downtown area of the city.

    Methodology

    The differences-in-differences econometric approach compares

    the treatment sites against control sites before and after the 2008 cameraexpansion. Under a randomized controlled policy experiment, sites would

    be randomly assigned to receive treatment or not. The HALO intervention

    did not use such a method. The camera sites were chosen primarily because

    they were at intersections near high crime areas of the city. Moreover, it

    is likely that some businesses lobbied to have cameras installed near

    their stores. In this regard, the Denver Police surveillance program is a

    quasi-experiment. Since control sites were not determined prior to the

    intervention, the control sites must be determined in the present and then

    applied retroactively.

    I identied control sites through a Monte Carlo process, which

    selects numbers at random similar to a roulette wheel at a casino. In the

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    Figure 1: Cloropleth Map of Property Crimes across the Neighborhoods of Denver,

    Colorado, 2006-2007

    rst stage, the treatment sites are examined to determine what geographic

    characteristics they have in common. Street corners with characteristicssimilar to street corners containing HALO cameras are labeled as candidate

    control sites. These characteristics include similar zoning restrictions, low

    housing utilization, and proximity to alcohol sales. In the second stage,

    some of the candidate control sites are selected as control sites. I assigned

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    Figure 2: Map of the Original 44 HALO Cameras (Treatment Sites)

    and Locations of Property Crime Incidents, 2006-2007

    every candidate site a random number between zero and one and then

    selected the 44 sites with the highest numbers to serve as control sites. Astochastic process removes human bias and ensures that control sites are

    scattered at random, similar to darts thrown on a board. Figure 3 illustrates

    the candidate control sites that have similar geographic characteristics as

    the original 44 HALO cameras sites in Police District #6. Figure 4 plots the

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    44 control sites selected at random to match the original 44 HALO cameras

    sites in order to balance the treatment and the control.

    Control sites were selected based on three characteristics: (1) zoning

    restrictions, (2) low housing utilization, and (3) proximity to alcohol sales.The zoning restrictions in central Denver are intricate with many different

    ordinances regulating the development of land. According to the citys

    geographic records, nearly all of the original 44 HALO camera sites are

    located in the Downtown Zone. This is the area of the city where skyscrapers

    are allowed to be built. Therefore, candidate control sites are selected only

    from this zone. Furthermore, the original 44 HALO camera sites are all

    located on city blocks that are relatively unpopulated. Most of the buildingsin this area are commercial rather than residential, and they have low

    housing utilization. Therefore, the candidate control sites are restricted to

    city blocks that house less than 400 people. Finally, the original 44 HALO

    camera sites are located near bars, nightclubs, and stores selling alcohol.

    Past scholarship has demonstrated a linkage between the accessibility of

    alcohol and crime (Block and Block 1995). Therefore, the candidate control

    sites are restricted to locations that are within a half mile of a business with

    a liquor license in order to be similar to the HALO cameras sites.

    Researchers frequently model crime through a Poisson distribution.

    Discrete count data is bounded below by zero but not bounded above by

    any integer. Count data does not follow a Normal distribution because of

    the lower bound. The Denver crime data displays signs of over dispersion

    because the variance is much larger than the mean. In fact, the mean is 14.7

    criminal incidents per observation, while the variance is above 232. In other

    words, there are some street corners with very high levels of crime, whilethere are other street corners with very low levels of crime. Therefore, I

    model crime count as a negative binomial process rather than a Poisson

    process. Ordinary Least Squares requires the residuals to be normally

    distributed, which is not true in this case. Thus, I develop a generalized

    linear model to test the impact of the HALO intervention using Maximum

    Likelihood Estimation with Stata statistical software.

    As noted, I use a differences-in-differences regression model to measurethe effect of the treatment. In this model, the unit of the observation, Y, is the

    count of crime in each individual viewshed (whether real or hypothetical)

    for a period of two years. A viewshed is dened as a circular area around a

    site with a radius of 50 yards as seen in Figure 6. The HALO cameras are

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    Figure 3: Map of the Candidate Control Sites to Match Original 44 HALO Cameras

    visible from roughly half a block away, and therefore their maximum crime

    deterrence is set to a distance of 50 yards. For the treatment group, the count

    of crime in the real viewshed after a camera was installed is compared to thecount of crime in the same viewshed before any camera was installed. For

    the control group, the count of crime in a hypothetical viewshed in the post-

    period is compared to the count of crime in the same hypothetical viewshed

    in the pre-period.

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    Figure 4: Map of the 44 Control Sites to Match Original 44 HALO Camera Sites

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    Figure 5 - Histogram of Crime Incidents across all Observations

    To estimate a causal impact of HALO cameras on property crime in

    downtown Denver, I use the following equations:

    log(count of crime) = (logYit) =

    0+

    1*T

    1+

    2*A

    t+

    3*(T

    t*A

    t)

    count of crime = Yit= exp(

    0+

    1*T

    1+

    2*A

    t+

    3*(T

    t*A

    t))

    count of crime = Yit= exp(

    0)*exp(

    1*T

    1)*exp(

    2*A

    t)*exp(

    3*(T

    t*A

    t))....

    There are three key variables in this approach. The treatment dummy

    variableAit= 1 for sites that actually received a HALO camera andA

    it= 0 for

    the control sites. The time period dummy variable Tit

    = 1 for observations

    occurring after the cameras were installed and Tit= 0 in the period before

    installation. The interaction term of Tit*A

    it= 1 for observations corresponding

    to treatment areas after the intervention.

    In a negative binomial regression, the log of the outcome variable

    (the count of crime) is modeled as a linear combination of the predictor

    variables. The incident rates ratio for a predictor variable can be calculated

    by taking the exponent of its coefcient. In this sense, the incident rates

    ratio has a multiplicative effect in the y-scale of crime count (UCLA 2012).

    But, when a dummy variable is zero, the exponentiation of the coefcient

    equals one, and the predictor variable has no multiplicative effect.

    (2)

    (3)

    (1)

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    To review, the unit of observation is the count of crime in each

    individual viewshed (whether real or hypothetical) for a period of two

    years. There are 44 sites located in Denver Police District #6 that were

    eventually treated by installing HALO cameras in 2008. These sites arelisted inthe Appendix. Therefore, a count of crime was computed in each

    real viewshed after installation and in each hypothetical viewshed before

    installation for a total of 88 observations in the treatment group. There are

    44 sites located in Denver Police District #6 that have been selected to serve

    as the control. These sites were never treated with a HALO camera but

    were selected through a Monte Carlo process. A count of crime is computed

    in each hypothetical viewshed in the post-period and in each hypothetical

    viewshed in the pre-period for a total of 88 observations in the comparisongroup. Thus, a sum total of 176 observations are used in this analysis.

    Table 1: Derivation of the Difference-in-Difference Estimate (3)

    Coefficient Calculation

    0 a

    1 c - a

    2 b - a

    3 (d - b) - (c - a)

    Area 1:

    HALO Viewshed

    (Treatment)

    Area 0:

    non-HALO Sites

    (Control)

    Time Period 0:

    Before Intervention

    Jan. 2006 to Dec. 2007

    b a

    Time Period 1:

    After Intervention

    Jan. 2010 to Dec. 2011

    d c

    Dummy Variable A

    DummyVariable

    T

    Results

    To determine if the HALO intervention had an effect on reducing

    crime, I examined the coefcients for the Difference-in-Difference

    estimates (3) for each specic category of crime. I developed a separate

    econometric model for each specic category of property crime: auto theft,

    burglary, larceny, and theft from motor vehicles. All of the coefcients for

    the Difference-in-Difference estimates (3) are negative. The coefcient fortheft from motor vehicles is negative and statistically signicant even with

    robust standard errors. The percent change in the incident rate of theft from

    motor vehicles is roughly a 50% decrease in the treated area between the

    two time periods relative to the change in the control area.

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    Figure 6: Map of Crime Incidents Overlaid on Top of the Viewsheds of a Subset of the HALO

    Cameras and Control Sites

    However, none of the other coefcients is statistically signicant,which could be due to sample size. The statistically signicant coefcient

    for theft from motor vehicles gives causal evidence that the HALO cameras

    did reduce crime for that category in downtown Denver. Figure 7 displays

    time series data of all categories of property crime in the downtown area,

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    Table 2: The Difference-in-Difference Estimates (3) for Categories of Property Crime

    Note: Robust Standard Errors are listed in parentheses

    Arson is also a category of property crime. However, arson is excluded because there are very few incidents of

    arson in downtown Denver.

    Table 3: Tabulation of Property Crime Counts for All Sites Grouped Together

    Categories of Property Crime Coefcient P>|z| 95% Conf. Interval

    Auto Theft-0.272

    (0.350)0.438 -0.958 0.415

    Burglary-0.245

    (0.658)

    0.710 -1.536 1.045

    Larceny-0.242

    (0.390)0.536 -1.006 0.523

    Theft From Motor Vehicle-0.689

    (0.331)0.038 -1.339 -0.040

    Categories of

    Property CrimeTreatment

    Before

    Treatment

    After|

    %

    Change

    Control

    Before

    Control

    After

    %

    Change

    in %

    Change

    Auto Theft 87 43 -50.6% 74 48 -35.1% -15.5%

    Burglary 21 14 -33.3% 27 23 -14.8% -18.5%

    Larceny 264 353 +33.7% 158 269 +70.3% -36.6%

    Theft From

    Motor Vehicle174 106 -39.1% 178 216 +21.3% -60.4%

    while Figure 8 displays time series data for just thefts from motor vehicle

    in the downtown area. Figure 8 shows a clear divergence of the treatment

    versus the control in the period after the HALO intervention.

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    Figure 7: All Property Crime in Viewsheds of HALO Cameras vs. Control Sites in Downtown

    Denver over Time

    Figure 8: Theft from Motor Vehicles Crime in Viewsheds of HALO Cameras vs. Control

    Sites in Downtown Denver over Time

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    CountofCrimeInciden

    tsperYear

    Control

    Treatment

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    Alternative Approach

    Diffusion of the treatment effect to control intersections would

    undermine the above economic approach. Diffusion likely did not occur

    here because each control intersection is at least one block removed (~100yards) from its nearest treatment intersection, while HALO cameras are

    only visible from a distance of about 50 yards. However, criminals might

    be deterred from committing transgressions in central Denver irrespective

    if a camera is watching them. It is possible that the high concentration

    of cameras in the city center creates a halo effect, where the treatment

    diffuses throughout the entire downtown area rather than only impacts

    certain intersections. In the case of a virtuous diffusion, the result would beto reduce the estimated effect sizes because the treatment would spill over

    into the control.

    Since the econometric approach can only detect a localized effect of

    the treatment, crime density hot spot maps are created to complement the

    regressions and analyze the effect of the intervention on a larger scale. This

    approach draws insight from the environmental criminology research of

    Brantingham and Brantingham (1981) in their use of ecological principlesto model crime patterns.

    One important element in this approach is to collect data at the lowest

    geographic units of analysis. According to Weisburd et al. (2009), crime

    maps based upon high units of analysis could be misleading because of

    an ecological fallacy. For example, the choropleth map [Figure 1] of

    property crime across neighborhoods in Denver has a deceptive quality.

    There are some neighborhoods colored light gray because of relatively low

    level of property crime, which are adjacent to neighborhoods colored dark

    gray because of relatively high level of property crime. It appears that if

    one were to walk across the border that one would encounter more crime.

    However, there are likely some places in dangerous neighborhoods that

    are quite safe, while there are places in safe neighborhoods that are quite

    dangerous. Aggregating crime statistics to the neighborhood level distorts

    the truthbe cause there are places inside each neighborhood that are not

    representative of the whole.

    Unfortunately, choropleth maps at all geographic levels (counties,

    neighborhoods, census blocks) are susceptible to the ecological fallacy

    because administrative boundaries are not based upon crime patterns. The

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    Figure 9: Map of Kernel Density Estimate Hot Spots of Property Crime in Denver Before

    the Instalation of HALO Cameras (2006-2007)

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    Figure 10: Map of Kernel Density Estimate for Property Crimes in Central Denver Between

    the Two Time Periods

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    solution is to disaggregate to the lowest unit possible, which is the geo

    coded incident of a criminal activity. However, a map [Figure 2] displaying

    a plethora of push pin crime dots can make it difcult to identify high-

    crime areas because multiple crimes at one location will only show up as asingle dot. One solution is to create crime density hot spot maps.

    Crime density maps can be used as an alternative evaluation technique

    to determine if surveillance cameras have dampened the level of crime.

    Waples, Gill, and Fisher (2009) use the concept of a kernel density estimate

    in their criminology research on surveillance cameras. Crime in Denver is

    concentrated at specichotspots because a lot of crime occurs repeatedly

    at the same locations over time. Kernel density estimation (KDE) is a non-parametric procedure that can be used byArcGISto estimate the probability

    density function of a random variable (e.g. crime) over a geographic region

    (ESRI 2010). Figure 9 illustrates a kernel density estimate of property crime

    in downtown Denver before the installation of the HALO cameras (2006-

    2007).

    Waples et al (2009) use kernel density estimation to create crime

    maps before and after the intervention of police cameras to detect if the

    hotspots have moved once the cameras are installed. Then, they create

    a change detection map to capture the kernel density differences between

    the prior and the posterior maps. I replicated their technique to create maps

    [Figure 10] of the property crime in Denver before and after the installation

    of the HALO police cameras. Similar to the regression approach, the time

    period before the intervention (2006-2007) and the time period after the

    intervention (2010-2011) both constitute two years and contain the same

    calendar months. The colored areas on the change detection map [Figure10] illustrate locations where there is a statistically signicant change in the

    kernel density estimate of crime between the two periods.

    The map depicts a statistically signicant decrease in the kernel

    density estimate of property crime in the northwestern quadrant of

    downtown Denver. This is near the location where ve HALO cameras

    were installed prior to 2010. This section of the city, known as the LoDo

    district (abbreviation for Lower Downtown) is a popular nightlife areabetween two sports stadiums that historically has been plagued by a high

    level of crime. However, it would be imprudent to assign the drop in crime

    in the LoDo district solely to the HALO camera intervention. It is unwise to

    infer a causal relationship from the KDE map because there could be other

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    explanations for the drop in property crime. For example, the LoDo district

    has recently undergone signicant gentrication. Unlike the difference-

    in-difference econometric approach, the kernel density estimation change

    detection does not employ a rigorous control. Nonetheless, the map doesdelineate an interesting phenomenon that should be studied in more detail.

    Conclusion

    In retrospect, this investigation has established a statistically

    signicant relationship between the installation of the HALO cameras and

    a reduction of thefts from motor vehicles in the viewshed of the cameras

    in Denver Police District #6. The difference-in-difference econometricapproach suggests that the relationship is causal. HALO cameras may have

    reduced other categories of property crime, but the statistical evidence is

    not strong enough to make a causal claim.

    There are three potential weaknesses in my methodology. First,

    important variables were likely omitted when choosing control sites.

    Control sites were selected based on geographic characteristics they had in

    common with treatment sites: zoning restrictions, low housing utilization,and proximity to alcohol sales. These geographic characteristics are

    somewhat arbitrary, and they are based upon my personal understanding

    of downtown Denver. There are other characteristics that may have been

    more appropriate. For example, there has been considerable construction in

    downtown Denver, which alters travel patterns around the city. Ultimately,

    there is no way to select control sites that perfectly match the treatment

    sites. Although the control sites are not ideal, I believe they are sufciently

    similar to the treatment sites to test the counter factual in the context of aquasi-experiment.

    Second, my methodology assumes parallel trends. The treatment and

    control sites do not have to be identical for a differences-in-differences

    approach. But, in the absence of cameras, crime should otherwise increase

    or decrease at the same rate in the treatment sites as in the control sites.

    Unfortunately, I cannot prove that this parallel trends assumption holds

    true. HALO cameras are clustered around the 16th street mall, the DenverConvention Center, and the Civic Center Park. Those three locations have

    no perfect substitutes in the fabric of downtown Denver. However, the

    control sites are randomly scattered around the treatment sites as seen in

    Figure 4. The control sites are not placed in a suburban strip mall far away

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    from downtown. Rather, the control sites are placed as near as possible to

    the treatment sites to help ensure the assumption of parallel trends.

    Third, there may have been errors in geocoding. Since there were over

    250,000 criminal incidents in the database, I could not check every addressindividually to ensure that it was correctly plotted on the map. Instead, I

    devoted considerable resources to data cleaning and then used external

    software to assign a specic longitude and latitude to each address location

    of a criminal incident. There are possible errors in my data, where criminal

    incidents are plotted at wrong locations on the map. Any large scale error

    in geocoding would cascade into the econometric analysis and corrupt the

    statistical results. Unfortunately, there is no metric to gauge the level ofaccuracy in the geocoding. However, I used the web application BatchGeo

    to complete this process. BatchGeo is a well-respected geocoding tool that

    relies on geo spatial data from Google to plot addresses correctly onto a

    map. While it is possible that a minimal number of criminal incidents are

    plotted incorrectly, it is unlikely that the errors are large scale enough to

    dramatically alter my ndings.

    Bearing in mind these potential weaknesses in my methodology, Irecommend three strategies based upon the empirical results:

    1. An expansion of new HALO cameras into other areas of Denver

    experiencing high levels of theft from motor vehicles. Ideally, the

    number of police cameras should be increased until the marginal

    benet of crime prevention equals the marginal cost of camera

    installation. Future research could be conducted to estimate the

    full economic benets and costs of the HALO cameras.2. An upgrade of the information system to cross-reference the

    NIBRS crime incident data to actual arrests and convictions.

    Publicly available crime data on the Denver Police website does

    not link arrests and convictions to usage of the HALO cameras. It

    is important to learn if the number of arrests has increased in the

    viewshed of the cameras in order to learn their true effectiveness.

    3. An implementation of a randomized controlled experiment in thenext phase of the HALO program. Determining the control sites

    before the intervention is superior than determining the control

    sites after the intervention. This would enable researchers to be

    more condent in ascribing causality.

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    Number Location Longitude Latitude

    1 120 W 14th Ave -104.9888 39.7375

    2 12th & Chopper Circle -105.0058 39.74953 12th & Welton -104.9961 39.7408

    4 1351 Cherokee -104.9917 39.7377

    5 13th & Champa -104.9976 39.7437

    6 13th & Cherokee -104.9916 39.7369

    7 13th & Delaware -104.9929 39.7401

    8 13th & Welton -104.9949 39.7417

    9 1450 Bannock -104.9906 39.7388

    10 1450 Broadway -104.9874 39.7393

    11 14th & Bannock -104.9907 39.7397

    12 14th & Broadway -104.9874 39.7383

    13 14th & California -104.9946 39.7433

    14 14th & Champa -104.9963 39.7447

    15 14th & Cherokee -104.9916 39.7385

    16 14th & Curtis -104.9972 39.7453

    17 14th & Delaware -104.9929 39.7385

    18 14th & Larimer -104.9998 39.7473

    19 14th & Stout -104.9955 39.7440

    20 14th & Welton -104.9937 39.7427

    21 15th & California -104.9934 39.7443

    22 15th & Curtis -104.9960 39.7463

    23 15th & Market -104.9995 39.7489

    24 15th & Wazee -105.0013 39.7503

    25 15th & Welton -104.9925 39.7436

    26 16th & California -104.9922 39.7452

    27 16th & Cleveland -104.9878 39.7418

    28 16th & Curtis -104.9948 39.7472

    29 16th & Lawrence -104.9965 39.7485

    30 16th & Market -104.9983 39.7499

    31 16th & Wazee -105.0000 39.7512

    32 16th & Welton -104.9913 39.7445

    33 170 W 14th Ave -104.9898 39.7381

    34 17th & Arapahoe -104.9944 39.7488

    35 18th & Arapahoe -104.9933 39.7497

    36 19th & Market -104.9947 39.7527

    37 20th & Blake -104.9943 39.7543

    38 27th & Welton -104.9780 39.7548

    39 9th & Chopper Circle -105.0069 39.747940 Colfax & Broadway 104.9874 39.7401

    41 15th Street & Cleveland -104.9888 39.7410

    42 60 W 14th Ave -104.9886 39.7385

    43 15th Street and Colfax Avenue -104.9890 39.7401

    44 Park Avenue West & Lawrence -104.9881 39.7551

    Appendix A: List of the Original 44 HALO Cameras

    Papazian: The Lens of Law Enforcement