p4-generating options for bm
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Generating options for a new Business Model
Geoff Eagleson
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How can we generate options for a new Business Model
whether for an organisation in trouble or for one that
senses an inflection point in its performance?
Unstructured brainstorming is inadequate
Data mining is of limited value
Market Research that assesses demand for non-existent products isdubious
We know where to look:
Underexploited resources and capabilities
Untapped insight into customers
Future trends Our and others experiences.
What we need is a process it is all about framing.Source: Coyne, Clifford & Dye (2007)
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How do I generate options for a new Business Model?
BusinessModel
options
LeverageexistingR & C
Leveragemarket
intelligence
Leverageinsights aboutfuture trends
Leveragethe
experiencesof self and
others
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Generating options for a new Business Model
Road Map:
How can we facilitate option generation? By leveraging:
Existing Resources and Capabilities
Audits of Resources and Capabilities
Market intelligence
Blue Ocean; Disruptive BMs Insights about future trends
Scenario planning; Visioning; Enacting
Experiences of self and others
Reverse engineering; Intuition, Entrepreneurial approach.
Applied to the AGSM in 1988 and an organisation chosen by your residentialteam
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Generating options for a new Business Model:
Caveats
This is not a numbers game; this is Do or die.
This is more of an art than a science.
Beware of exiting your current core too soon. (Estimated to be10% of
revenue stalls by Olson et al. (2008) Reading 3). That is, make sure
that you understand the real root causes of the decline.
Personal expectations, agendas and prejudices will play an importantrole.
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Generating options for a new Business Model:
Leverage existing Resources.
Resource StrategicImportance
RelativeStrength
Sustainable Value Capture
Tangible (physical, financial, administrative, legal)
1.
2.
3.
Intangible (IP, reputation, technology, culture)
1.
2.
3.
Human (staff, customers, skills, know-how)
1.2.
3.
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VIRO: Appraising the strategic value of a Resource
Valuable?
Relevant to customer needs; contributes to differentiation or cost
advantage
Imitable?
At risk of imitation by rivals, durability, mobility, substitutability
Rare?
Are you, or can you aspire to be best in class among the competition?(Quinn & Hilmer, 1993)
Organisation? Organizational architecture, property rights, bargaining power,
complementary resources or capabilities
Source: J. Barney, 2007 - Reading 7 in SM 1
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Auditing your resources:
Questions to frame your analysis.
Identify the operational drivers through a du Pont analysis
What are your crown jewels?
What are your scarce resources?
What business are we in?
What business could we be in?
What business should we be in?
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Generating options for a new Business Model:
Leverage existing Capabilities.
Analyse the value chain. Product related; customer related;
corporate. (Zook (2007) Reading 5)
Expose the asymmetries between your organisation and the
competition. Who uses you rather than a competitor? What
capabilities allow you able to serve these customers differently? (Miller,Eisenstat & Foote (2002) Reading 6)
What is the last function you would outsource?
Think beyond functions to organisational wide capabilities.
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Capabilities Audit: Start with the Value Chain
Firm InfrastructureH uman Resource Management
Technology Development
Procurement
InboundLogistics
Operation OutboundLogistics
Marketing& Sales
Margins
Service
SupportFunctions
PrimaryFunctions
A Core Capability is a business process, strategically understood (Stalk,
Evans & Shulman, 1992)
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Functional capabilities:
FUNCTION CAPABILITY EXEMPLARS
Corporate Financial management Exxon, GEManagement Strategic control Emerson Electric
Coordinating global SBUs ABB, Shell
R&D Research capability Merck, XeroxDevelopment of innovative new products Sony, 3M, Intel
Product Design Design capability Apple, Swatch
Manufacturing Efficient volume manufacturing YKKContinuous Improvement in production ToyotaFlexibility Benetton, Nucor
Marketing Brand management Coke, Proctor &Gamble
Sales & Distribution Order processing speed & accuracy Amazon.comEfficiency and speed of distribution Federal Express
Service Customer Service Ritz Carlton
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Organisational capabilities:
Continuously innovate
Product and services (3M)
Processes (Toyota) Control
Processes (McDonalds)
Behaviour (Professional service firm)
Manage information
Producing new information (J & J)
Better analysing (Insurance) Sourcing and synthesising (Japanese trading houses)
Learning from experience (Shell)
Manage long-run structural advantages
Rivalry proposition (Oz building materials)
Customer relationships (Pharmas)
Supplier relationships (Bank insurance)
Regulation (Merck).
Renew
Engagement (Woolworths)
Development
Sources: Stukey, Doman & Thwaites, 193
Turner & Crawford, 1998S
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Generating options for a new Business Model:
Leverage market intelligence.
Leverage the asymmetries between your organisation and the
competition:
Who uses you rather than a competitor? Why? (Miller, Eisenstat & Foote(2002) Reading 6)
Use the Blue Ocean framework
Change the basis of competition
Serve those who are non-customers (Kim & Mauborgne (1995) Reading x in SM 1)
Devise a disruptive Business Model What are the barriers that constrain consumption?
Who could be customers? (Christensen, Johnson & Rigby (2002) Reading 4)
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Blue Ocean :Yellow Tails strategy canvas
Uninformed
Drinker
WineConnoisseur
Price-sensitive
Drinker
Convenient
Availability
How
Who
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What did Yellow Tail
Eliminate/Reduce/Raise/Create?
Eliminated
Enological terminology anddistinctions
Aging qualities
Above-the-line marketing
Raised
Price versus budget wines
Retail Store involvement
Reduced
Wine complexity
Wine range
Vineyard prestige
Created
Easy drinking
Ease of selection
Fun and adventure
A
New
Value
Curve
Reduce
Eliminate Create
Raise
Which factors should be
reduced well below
industry standards?
Which factors should be
createdthat the industry
has never offered?
Which factors should
be raised well above
the industrys standard?
Which of the factors
that the industry takes
for granted should beeliminated?
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Leverage market intelligence through a disruptive
Business Model. Basic assumptions:
The pace of technological progress in almost every industry outstrips the ability ofcustomers in any given tier of the market to make effective use of the improved
versions of a product. Technologies that aren't good enough to address customers'
needs at one point typically improve to provide more than enough performance for
those same customers at a later point.
Companies earn attractive profit margins when they stretch their products up-market,targeting customers in a more demanding tier who are not yet satisfied by existingofferings. A down-market move toward customers who are already satisfied by
available products yields profit margins that aren't nearly as attractive.
Innovations that help incumbent companies earn higher margins by selling betterproducts to their best customers are sustaining, not disruptive. Sustaining innovations
comprise both simple, incremental engineering improvements as well as
breakthrough leaps up the trajectory of performance improvement.
In contrast to sustaining innovations, disruptive innovations appeal to customers whoare unattractive to the incumbents. Although disruptive innovations typically involve
simple adaptations of known technologies, entrants almost always beat incumbents
at this game because established companies lack the motivation to win.
Source: Christensen, Johnson, & Rigby,(2002) Reading 4.
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The Model of Disruptive Innovation
High
Low
Performanc
e
TimeSource: Christensen and Raynor (2003)
Sustain
ingInnov
ations
Disruptive
Innova
tions
Performance that
average customers can utilize
Customers not
satisfied by current
products
Customers over
serviced by current
products
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Generating options for a new Business Model :
Leverage your experience and think like an
entrepreneur.
Source: Timmons & Spinelli (2003)
Sources of ideas for opportunities
%
Prior work 58.3 (previous role / employment,consulting project)
Network21.7
(social or business)
Thinking by analogy 11.3Partner
8.7
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But be aware of cognitive biases:
Novice entrepreneurs look for: Experienced entrepreneurs look for:
Novel ideas
Based on new technology
Superiority of product or service
Potential to change the industry
Intuitively appealing
Solving customers problems
Favourable financial returns:
positive cash flow, quick revenue
generation
Short sales cycles
Manageable risk
Potential for obtaining helpful input /collaboration from others
Source: Baron & Ensley
(2006)
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What personal attributes help an entrepreneur to
identify opportunities?
AlertnessA cognitive framework that assists entrepreneurs in being alert to
opportunities. Those who possess such a schema show a tendency to
search for and notice change and market disequilibria, to respond to
information that does not match their current schemas, and to adjust
existing schemas on the basis of such non-matching information.
20
Bisociation
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Personal attributes sought in leaders of new growth
opportunities:
GE under Jeff Immelt requires five traits in the leaders of growth:
External focus
Imagination and creativity
Decisive
Inclusive
Deep domain expertise.
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Generating options for a new Business Model :
Leverage the experiences of others.
What do all the following products have in common?
Cirque de Soleil
Spider Man movies
Roller Blades.
The question you ask determines the answer you get.
Reverse engineer and ask about a great idea: what question wouldhave enabled me to see this opportunity first?
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Generating options for a new Business Model :
Leverage insights about the future.
Possible events
What we see
Reality
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The Basic Scenario Planning Process
1. Assess the current situation
2. Gather the data
3. Identify thedriving forces
4. Generate
alternativescenarios
5. Assess theimplicationsfor yourenvironment
6. Assess the
implicationsfor your org.
7. Define strategy& plans
8. Implement &monitor
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Consider the AGSM in 1988. What options could it have
considered to proactively transform itself?
Its core business was the full-time MBA.
It had been fully funded by the Commonwealth Government but thatfunding was expected to be slowly withdrawn.
It was the first educational institution that was given the right to payabove award wages from its own income, on the condition that itinstituted a performance management system with bite.
What could it have done to protect its future? What were the options
for a new Business model apart from introducing an Open LearningProgram (the precursor to the EMBA).
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Consider the AGSM in 1988:
Six teams, six tools:
Resource audit
Capabilities audit
Blue Ocean framework
Disruptive Business Model
Leverage the experience of self and others
Scenario planning
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Choose one of the organisations represented in your
team and use a different tool from the one used earlier
to generate options for a new Business Model.
Resource audit
Capabilities audit
Blue Ocean framework
Disruptive Business Model
Leverage the experience of self and others
Scenario planning
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References
Baron & Ensley, 2006
Christensen, C.M. & Raynor, M.E. 2003, The innovators solution: creating and
sustaining successful growth, Harvard Business School Publishing, Boston,
Mass.
Coyne, K. P., Clifford, P. G. & Dye, R. 2007, Breakthrough thinking from inside thebox, Harvard Business Review, December, pp.71-78.
Stalk, G., Evans, P. & Shulman, L. E. 1992, Competing on capabilities: the newrules of corporate strategy, Harvard Business Review, March-April, pp.57-69.
Stukey, J., Doman, A. & Thwaites, R. 1993,Distinctive and leveragable
competencies, in The case for core process design, McKinsey and Company,pp. 57-75.
Timmons & Spinelli, 2003