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    Generating options for a new Business Model

    Geoff Eagleson

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    How can we generate options for a new Business Model

    whether for an organisation in trouble or for one that

    senses an inflection point in its performance?

    Unstructured brainstorming is inadequate

    Data mining is of limited value

    Market Research that assesses demand for non-existent products isdubious

    We know where to look:

    Underexploited resources and capabilities

    Untapped insight into customers

    Future trends Our and others experiences.

    What we need is a process it is all about framing.Source: Coyne, Clifford & Dye (2007)

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    How do I generate options for a new Business Model?

    BusinessModel

    options

    LeverageexistingR & C

    Leveragemarket

    intelligence

    Leverageinsights aboutfuture trends

    Leveragethe

    experiencesof self and

    others

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    Generating options for a new Business Model

    Road Map:

    How can we facilitate option generation? By leveraging:

    Existing Resources and Capabilities

    Audits of Resources and Capabilities

    Market intelligence

    Blue Ocean; Disruptive BMs Insights about future trends

    Scenario planning; Visioning; Enacting

    Experiences of self and others

    Reverse engineering; Intuition, Entrepreneurial approach.

    Applied to the AGSM in 1988 and an organisation chosen by your residentialteam

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    Generating options for a new Business Model:

    Caveats

    This is not a numbers game; this is Do or die.

    This is more of an art than a science.

    Beware of exiting your current core too soon. (Estimated to be10% of

    revenue stalls by Olson et al. (2008) Reading 3). That is, make sure

    that you understand the real root causes of the decline.

    Personal expectations, agendas and prejudices will play an importantrole.

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    Generating options for a new Business Model:

    Leverage existing Resources.

    Resource StrategicImportance

    RelativeStrength

    Sustainable Value Capture

    Tangible (physical, financial, administrative, legal)

    1.

    2.

    3.

    Intangible (IP, reputation, technology, culture)

    1.

    2.

    3.

    Human (staff, customers, skills, know-how)

    1.2.

    3.

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    VIRO: Appraising the strategic value of a Resource

    Valuable?

    Relevant to customer needs; contributes to differentiation or cost

    advantage

    Imitable?

    At risk of imitation by rivals, durability, mobility, substitutability

    Rare?

    Are you, or can you aspire to be best in class among the competition?(Quinn & Hilmer, 1993)

    Organisation? Organizational architecture, property rights, bargaining power,

    complementary resources or capabilities

    Source: J. Barney, 2007 - Reading 7 in SM 1

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    Auditing your resources:

    Questions to frame your analysis.

    Identify the operational drivers through a du Pont analysis

    What are your crown jewels?

    What are your scarce resources?

    What business are we in?

    What business could we be in?

    What business should we be in?

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    Generating options for a new Business Model:

    Leverage existing Capabilities.

    Analyse the value chain. Product related; customer related;

    corporate. (Zook (2007) Reading 5)

    Expose the asymmetries between your organisation and the

    competition. Who uses you rather than a competitor? What

    capabilities allow you able to serve these customers differently? (Miller,Eisenstat & Foote (2002) Reading 6)

    What is the last function you would outsource?

    Think beyond functions to organisational wide capabilities.

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    Capabilities Audit: Start with the Value Chain

    Firm InfrastructureH uman Resource Management

    Technology Development

    Procurement

    InboundLogistics

    Operation OutboundLogistics

    Marketing& Sales

    Margins

    Service

    SupportFunctions

    PrimaryFunctions

    A Core Capability is a business process, strategically understood (Stalk,

    Evans & Shulman, 1992)

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    Functional capabilities:

    FUNCTION CAPABILITY EXEMPLARS

    Corporate Financial management Exxon, GEManagement Strategic control Emerson Electric

    Coordinating global SBUs ABB, Shell

    R&D Research capability Merck, XeroxDevelopment of innovative new products Sony, 3M, Intel

    Product Design Design capability Apple, Swatch

    Manufacturing Efficient volume manufacturing YKKContinuous Improvement in production ToyotaFlexibility Benetton, Nucor

    Marketing Brand management Coke, Proctor &Gamble

    Sales & Distribution Order processing speed & accuracy Amazon.comEfficiency and speed of distribution Federal Express

    Service Customer Service Ritz Carlton

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    Organisational capabilities:

    Continuously innovate

    Product and services (3M)

    Processes (Toyota) Control

    Processes (McDonalds)

    Behaviour (Professional service firm)

    Manage information

    Producing new information (J & J)

    Better analysing (Insurance) Sourcing and synthesising (Japanese trading houses)

    Learning from experience (Shell)

    Manage long-run structural advantages

    Rivalry proposition (Oz building materials)

    Customer relationships (Pharmas)

    Supplier relationships (Bank insurance)

    Regulation (Merck).

    Renew

    Engagement (Woolworths)

    Development

    Sources: Stukey, Doman & Thwaites, 193

    Turner & Crawford, 1998S

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    Generating options for a new Business Model:

    Leverage market intelligence.

    Leverage the asymmetries between your organisation and the

    competition:

    Who uses you rather than a competitor? Why? (Miller, Eisenstat & Foote(2002) Reading 6)

    Use the Blue Ocean framework

    Change the basis of competition

    Serve those who are non-customers (Kim & Mauborgne (1995) Reading x in SM 1)

    Devise a disruptive Business Model What are the barriers that constrain consumption?

    Who could be customers? (Christensen, Johnson & Rigby (2002) Reading 4)

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    Blue Ocean :Yellow Tails strategy canvas

    Uninformed

    Drinker

    WineConnoisseur

    Price-sensitive

    Drinker

    Convenient

    Availability

    How

    Who

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    What did Yellow Tail

    Eliminate/Reduce/Raise/Create?

    Eliminated

    Enological terminology anddistinctions

    Aging qualities

    Above-the-line marketing

    Raised

    Price versus budget wines

    Retail Store involvement

    Reduced

    Wine complexity

    Wine range

    Vineyard prestige

    Created

    Easy drinking

    Ease of selection

    Fun and adventure

    A

    New

    Value

    Curve

    Reduce

    Eliminate Create

    Raise

    Which factors should be

    reduced well below

    industry standards?

    Which factors should be

    createdthat the industry

    has never offered?

    Which factors should

    be raised well above

    the industrys standard?

    Which of the factors

    that the industry takes

    for granted should beeliminated?

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    Leverage market intelligence through a disruptive

    Business Model. Basic assumptions:

    The pace of technological progress in almost every industry outstrips the ability ofcustomers in any given tier of the market to make effective use of the improved

    versions of a product. Technologies that aren't good enough to address customers'

    needs at one point typically improve to provide more than enough performance for

    those same customers at a later point.

    Companies earn attractive profit margins when they stretch their products up-market,targeting customers in a more demanding tier who are not yet satisfied by existingofferings. A down-market move toward customers who are already satisfied by

    available products yields profit margins that aren't nearly as attractive.

    Innovations that help incumbent companies earn higher margins by selling betterproducts to their best customers are sustaining, not disruptive. Sustaining innovations

    comprise both simple, incremental engineering improvements as well as

    breakthrough leaps up the trajectory of performance improvement.

    In contrast to sustaining innovations, disruptive innovations appeal to customers whoare unattractive to the incumbents. Although disruptive innovations typically involve

    simple adaptations of known technologies, entrants almost always beat incumbents

    at this game because established companies lack the motivation to win.

    Source: Christensen, Johnson, & Rigby,(2002) Reading 4.

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    The Model of Disruptive Innovation

    High

    Low

    Performanc

    e

    TimeSource: Christensen and Raynor (2003)

    Sustain

    ingInnov

    ations

    Disruptive

    Innova

    tions

    Performance that

    average customers can utilize

    Customers not

    satisfied by current

    products

    Customers over

    serviced by current

    products

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    Generating options for a new Business Model :

    Leverage your experience and think like an

    entrepreneur.

    Source: Timmons & Spinelli (2003)

    Sources of ideas for opportunities

    %

    Prior work 58.3 (previous role / employment,consulting project)

    Network21.7

    (social or business)

    Thinking by analogy 11.3Partner

    8.7

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    But be aware of cognitive biases:

    Novice entrepreneurs look for: Experienced entrepreneurs look for:

    Novel ideas

    Based on new technology

    Superiority of product or service

    Potential to change the industry

    Intuitively appealing

    Solving customers problems

    Favourable financial returns:

    positive cash flow, quick revenue

    generation

    Short sales cycles

    Manageable risk

    Potential for obtaining helpful input /collaboration from others

    Source: Baron & Ensley

    (2006)

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    What personal attributes help an entrepreneur to

    identify opportunities?

    AlertnessA cognitive framework that assists entrepreneurs in being alert to

    opportunities. Those who possess such a schema show a tendency to

    search for and notice change and market disequilibria, to respond to

    information that does not match their current schemas, and to adjust

    existing schemas on the basis of such non-matching information.

    20

    Bisociation

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    Personal attributes sought in leaders of new growth

    opportunities:

    GE under Jeff Immelt requires five traits in the leaders of growth:

    External focus

    Imagination and creativity

    Decisive

    Inclusive

    Deep domain expertise.

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    Generating options for a new Business Model :

    Leverage the experiences of others.

    What do all the following products have in common?

    Cirque de Soleil

    Spider Man movies

    Roller Blades.

    The question you ask determines the answer you get.

    Reverse engineer and ask about a great idea: what question wouldhave enabled me to see this opportunity first?

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    Generating options for a new Business Model :

    Leverage insights about the future.

    Possible events

    What we see

    Reality

    http://www.petatv.com/tvpopup/video.asp?video=tyson_heflin&Player=wm

    http://www.petatv.com/tvpopup/video.asp?video=tyson_heflin&Player=wmhttp://www.petatv.com/tvpopup/video.asp?video=tyson_heflin&Player=wm
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    The Basic Scenario Planning Process

    1. Assess the current situation

    2. Gather the data

    3. Identify thedriving forces

    4. Generate

    alternativescenarios

    5. Assess theimplicationsfor yourenvironment

    6. Assess the

    implicationsfor your org.

    7. Define strategy& plans

    8. Implement &monitor

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    Consider the AGSM in 1988. What options could it have

    considered to proactively transform itself?

    Its core business was the full-time MBA.

    It had been fully funded by the Commonwealth Government but thatfunding was expected to be slowly withdrawn.

    It was the first educational institution that was given the right to payabove award wages from its own income, on the condition that itinstituted a performance management system with bite.

    What could it have done to protect its future? What were the options

    for a new Business model apart from introducing an Open LearningProgram (the precursor to the EMBA).

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    Consider the AGSM in 1988:

    Six teams, six tools:

    Resource audit

    Capabilities audit

    Blue Ocean framework

    Disruptive Business Model

    Leverage the experience of self and others

    Scenario planning

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    Choose one of the organisations represented in your

    team and use a different tool from the one used earlier

    to generate options for a new Business Model.

    Resource audit

    Capabilities audit

    Blue Ocean framework

    Disruptive Business Model

    Leverage the experience of self and others

    Scenario planning

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    References

    Baron & Ensley, 2006

    Christensen, C.M. & Raynor, M.E. 2003, The innovators solution: creating and

    sustaining successful growth, Harvard Business School Publishing, Boston,

    Mass.

    Coyne, K. P., Clifford, P. G. & Dye, R. 2007, Breakthrough thinking from inside thebox, Harvard Business Review, December, pp.71-78.

    Stalk, G., Evans, P. & Shulman, L. E. 1992, Competing on capabilities: the newrules of corporate strategy, Harvard Business Review, March-April, pp.57-69.

    Stukey, J., Doman, A. & Thwaites, R. 1993,Distinctive and leveragable

    competencies, in The case for core process design, McKinsey and Company,pp. 57-75.

    Timmons & Spinelli, 2003