ownership and fragmentation in uk manufacturing - prof. richard harris

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Ownership and fragmentation in UK manufacturing presentation by Richard Harris This work contains statistical data from ONS which is Crown copyright and reproduced with the permission of the controller of HMSO and Queen's Printer for Scotland. The use of the ONS statistical data in this work does not imply the endorsement of the ONS in relation to the interpretation or analysis of the statistical data. This work uses research datasets which may not exactly reproduce National Statistics aggregates. Source of material: Recent micro-economic trends in the manufacturing sector (submitted to Foresight project on the Future of Manufacturing by John Moffat (Durham University).

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Page 1: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

Ownership and fragmentation in UK manufacturing

presentation by Richard Harris

This work contains statistical data from ONS which is Crown copyright and reproduced with the permission of the controller of HMSO and Queen's Printer for Scotland. The use of the ONS statistical data in this work does not imply the endorsement of the ONS in relation to the interpretation or analysis of the statistical data. This work uses research datasets which may not exactly reproduce National Statistics aggregates. Source of material: Recent micro-economic trends in the manufacturing sector (submitted to Foresight project on the Future of Manufacturing by John Moffat (Durham University).

Page 2: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

Overview

• Foreign ownership of manufacturing

• Fragmentation

– Ownership structure of plants and firms

– Rise in intermediate input usage

– Relationship between manufacturing and services

Page 3: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

Rise of foreign ownership

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

£ B

illio

ns

£ B

illio

ns

UK (left axis) Foreign-owned (left axis) SE Asia (right axis)

EU (right axis) USA (right axis) Aus/Can/SA (right axis)

Real Gross Output by Country of Ownership in UK Manufacturing, 1973-2009 (2000 prices)

Page 4: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

Implication (I): R&D spending

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

£ B

illio

ns

UK Foreign

R&D expenditure (2005 prices) by ownership status in UK Manufacturing, 1997-2008

Page 5: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

£ B

illio

ns

UK-owned - UK Funding UK-owned - Foreign Funding Foreign-owned - UK Funding Foreign-owned - Foreign Funding

Sources of Funding for R&D Expenditure (2005 prices) in UK Manufacturing, 1997-2008

Page 6: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

Implication (II): Productivity growth

Page 7: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

Fragmentation – ownership structure

• Outsourcing – To plants in different locations (same firm) – To firms in different locations – To plants/firms in different sectors

• Why? – Rise of ICT combined with concentration on ‘core activities’ (economies of scope) – Lowering cost of transportation and lower costs of inputs in other locations

Page 8: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

£ B

illio

ns

Gross Output Gross Value Added Intermediate Inputs

Real Gross Output, Gross Value Added and Intermediate Inputs in UK Manufacturing, 1973-2009 (2000 prices)

Page 9: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Single-Plant Firms Multi-Plant Firms

Average plant size for multi-plant and single-plant firms UK manufacturing, 1973-2009

-

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Mill

ion

s

Single-Plant Firms Multi-Plant Firms

Single-Industry Firms Multi-Industry Firms

Employment in Multi-Plant and Single-Plant and Multi-Industry and Single-Industry Firms in UK manufacturing, 1973-2009

Page 10: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

Fragmentation – use of intermediate inputs

0.40

0.45

0.50

0.55

0.60

0.65

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Plants in Single-Plant Firms Plants in Multi-Plant Firms

Median Ratio of Intermediate Inputs to Real Gross Output in UK Manufacturing, 1973-2009

Page 11: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Percentage of Multi-Plant Firms that operated in more than industry in UK Manufacturing, 1973-2009

Page 12: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

Fragmentation – relationship between

manufacturing & services

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Mill

ion

s

Manufacturing Non-Manufacturing

Employment in UK Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing of firms operating plants in both sectors, 1997-2009

Page 13: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

1.6 1.2

5.0 7.0

3.1 1.7

10.3 9.8

27.5 23.3

11.1

5.1

7.5

10.1

11.7

13.5

2.5

2.6

19.6 25.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1997 2009

Mining & quarrying Construction Sales & repairs Wholesale

Retail Hotels & restaurants Transport & storage Business services

Recreation, cultural & sport All other services

Distribution of Employment across other sectors for Firms with Manufacturing Plants, 1997-2009

Page 14: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 ~ 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

£ B

illio

ns

Purchases of Materials & Fuel Purchases of Services

Purchase of intermediate inputs in UK manufacturing, 1973-79, 1994-2009 (2000 prices)

Page 15: Ownership and Fragmentation in UK Manufacturing - Prof. Richard Harris

Thank you