overview of other “fast diseases” in the european ......likely general directions of seasonal...
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Overview of other “FAST diseases” in the European neighbourhood -Rift Valley Fever and Bovine Ephemeral Fever
Kiril KRSTEVSKI, Short Term Professional, EuFMD
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RIFT VALLEY FEVER
Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a peracute or acute arthropod-borne, zoonotic disease of domestic ruminants.
Rift Valley fever virus (REFV)• Bunyaviridae family • Single serotype, but strains of variable
virulence exist• Transmitted by various arthropods,
Aedes and Culex mosquitoes are the most important
• Many competent vectors
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Death Rate 100%
Severe Illness Abortion Death
Severe Illness Virus in Blood
Abortion
Infection
Virus in Blood
Lambs Sheep Monkeys Horses
Calves Cattle Camels Cats
Kids Goats Rats Dogs
Humans Squirrels Monkeys
Pathogenicity of RVF in animals and humans
ANIMALS
• Hepatitis• Abortions• Death
HUMANS
• Febrile illness• Neurological disorders• Hemorrhagic fever
Egypt –
During 1977-78, the first epidemic of RVF reported in Egypt and the largest recorded thus far - associated with approximately 18,000 human cases and 598 deaths in humans (CDC, https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/00032619.htm)
Citation: Sayed-Ahmed M, Nomier Y, Shoeib S. Epidemic situation of
rift valley fever in Egypt and Saudi Arabia. J Dairy Vet Anim Res.
2015;2(3):77‒79. DOI: 10.15406/jdvar.2015.02.00034
Geographical distribution of Rift Valley fever virus
Source: AI Rolin et al 2013, The risk of Rift Valley fever virus introduction and establishment in USA and EU
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Results from recent study on Landscape suitability to RVF epidemics The risk is derived from the ecological niche of RVF outbreaks
(Walsh et al, 2017)
CONCLUSIONS:• Landscapes suitable to RVFV beyond
the range of previous occurrence (N.African and Middle East countries);
• Transmission possible if the virus is introduced
HUMAN SAMPLES from 2014
Results suggest active circulation of RVFV and evidence for human exposure
IgG antibodies (past infection) in non-febrile slaughtering workers
IgM antibodies (recent infection) in febrile patients (travel was excluded)
However, NO SEROLOGICAL EVIDENCE for RVFV presence was found in previous study - 2006!!
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The regions with seropositive people in 2014,were included in the 2006 serosurvey
2006 2014
Sporadicintroduction(s) ?
Seroconversions in Algeria also reported
Lybia… ?
CONCLUSIONS:
Risk for RVFV introductions in N.African and Middle East countries remains high and continuous, and introductions most probably do occur sporadically (animal trades; aircraft spread of infected vectors)
Sustained virus transmission and epidemics outside the endemic regions are possible if these introduction event(s) coincide with optimal conditions (ideal temperature and water conditions for vector and virus survival, e.g. Arabian peninsula epidemic)
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THE RVF THREAT TO EUROPE IS REALISTIC
The disease is close to Europe and many ecological and epidemiological processes relevant for epidemic event are still uncertain/unknown …
ARE WE PREPARED TO EARLY DETECT/CONFIRM AND TO EFFECTIVELY REACT TO A POTENTIAL RVF INCURSION?
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Concerns:• Capacities of the NRLs in Europe are most probably very variable
• No appointed EU-RL to ensure high-quality, uniform testing in Europe and support Commission risk assessment activities, in the area of laboratory analysis
NRLs in Europe – do we have:• Implemented valid testing procedures for different purposes
(case-confirmation, sero-surveys ? )
• Adequate knowledge and expertise to interpret the test results and support the decision making at national level??
• Access to sufficient quantities of specific reagents ?
BOVINE EPHEMERAL FEVER
Bovine Ephemeral fever (BEF) is economically important arthropod-borne disease that affects cattle and water buffalo
Bovine ephemeral fever virus (BEFV)\Rhabdoviridae family • Single serotype • Transmitted by arthropods: various mosquitos
and number of midges (Culicoides)• no evidence on direct transmission
Morbidity - can be very high (approaching 100%)Mortality - typically low (<1%)
- recent years several countries reported alarmingly high case-fatality rates, sometimes exceeding 20%
Source: http://www.lbn.org.au/2018/03/bovine-ephemeral-fever-three-day-sickness/
FMD? FMD? RVF?
Known geographical occurrence of BEF
Source: https://veterinaryresearch.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s13567-015-0262-4
• BEFV distribution may include neighboring countries from which there are no known formal reports of disease.
• The distribution may also vary seasonally and from year to year.
Likely general directions of seasonal spread of BEFV for S.Africa and Middle East
Pathways in the Middle East are less clear and may be complex with potential for epizootics to originate in either East Africa or West Asia. Dashed arrows indicate possible pathways in this region.
Source: https://veterinaryresearch.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s13567-015-0262-4
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THE BEF THREAT TO EUROPE IS REALISTIC
• Big epidemic recorded in Turkey 2012, with outbreaks in many regions (unlike previous Turkey epidemics)…
• Frequency of new epidemics increased over the year
• Should be differentially diagnosed with FMD and RVF
Same concerns about the rapid detection/confirmation if introduced in Europe, as for the RVF
Disease-specific expertise gained through different project exists ...
Common project objectives:Link innovative diagnostics,Risk identification and implementation surveillance strategies
MediLabSecure
EDENextVmerge
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To face the threats prepared, we need disease-specific expertise and collaboration and networking within and outside Europe
(increase and share knowledge on risk of introduction, epidemiology, diagnosis, best control practices, etc)
Roster of EUFMD –MS disease experts
(examples)• CIRAD and ANSES (France)• FLI (Germany)• CISA-INIA (Spain)• IZS G.Caporale (Italy)• TPI (UK)• Wageningen (The Netherlands)• Other relevant• Kimron Institute (Israel)• Etlik Institute (Turkey)
• Others: Morocco, Tunisia,..
Network of national experts
in the neighboring countries
(high risk countries)
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Closer and more active
collaboration with national
labs in the neighboring
countries, focused on
identified “hot-spots”
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION !