overview of darm mikko pohjola, thl. contents overview of darm examples of oa/orm example swine...
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Overview of DARMMikko Pohjola, THL
Contents
• Overview of DARM
• Examples of OA/ORM
• Example swine flu/narcolepsy DA model
• Group feedback/discussion
Overview of DARM
Some relevant questions
• Who needs (to use, make, understand) DA & RM?
• Links of this course contents to other issues taught in environmental risk assessment?
• Are these methods useful in actual decision situations/real world?
Topics considered in DARM• Decision theory• Probability theory• Modeling• Uncertainty and model analyses• Assessment performance• Purpose of RM• Role of assessment in RM• Common views to (systematic) RM
• vs. reality?• vs. needs?
• Participatory assessment and RM• OA & ORM• Information systems/tools to support (O)RM: Opasnet
Goals/courses in ToxEn
• http://uef.fi/toxen/courses
• “…the students will have comprehensive understanding of human exposure to and health effects of environmental agents such as air pollutants, ionizing and non-ionizing radiation, environmental chemicals and noise, as well as methods needed to produce meaningful risk assessments from such information”
Your (future) jobs/roles• Environmental/health consultants• Health care professionals• Public officials• Business/industry experts• Business/industry managers• Researchers• Educators• …• Local/regional committee member• NGO / leisure time activity club members• Parents• Citizens
Examples of OA/ORM
Examples of OA/ORM cases
• Past• Health impact of radon in Europe• Building policies effects on dampness adn ashma in Europe• Health impact of urban heat island mitigation in Europe• Cost-benefit assessment on composite traffic in Helsinki• Comparative risk assessment of dioxinand fine particles• Emission assessment of small-scale energy production in
Helsinki metropolitan area• Benefit-risk assessment on farmed salmon• Benefit-risk assessment of methyl mercury and omega-3 fattu
acids in fish• Risk assessment of nitrate in drinking water• Gasbus – health impacts of Helsinki bus traffic
Examples of OA/ORM cases
• On-going• BIOHER: health impacts and costs due to PM2.5 and GHG
emissions from small heating power plants and detached houses
• CLAIH: health impacts and costs of policies to reduce GHG emissions from household heating
• Assessment of the health impacts of H1N1 vaccination
• Upcoming• URGENCHE: analysis of impact of city-level climate change
policy options in 8 cities in Europe and China• Normative policy analysis on actions to undertake after the
Fukushima nuclear accident• Benefit-risk assessment of food supplements
Example DA study model
Example DA study model
• Problem and assessment question
• Model
• Analyses
• Results & conclusions
• Relation to the argumentation example
• Relations to the DA study plans
• Future development and use of the analysis
Group feedback/discussion
Feedback / discussion
• How did it go?
• Have you learned something?
• Was it effort well spent?
• Was something too difficult or useless?
• Did (will) the course have any impact?