overview of arab financial systems
TRANSCRIPT
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Credit to Small & Medium Enterprises
in the Arab financial Systems
Jacinto Soler-Matutes
Madrid, November 21, 2011
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1. Savings, credit and SME.
2. The banking system.
3. Non-bank financial institutions.
4. Capital markets.
5. The way forward.
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1. Savings, credit and SME
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Savings rates as a share of GDP (%)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Países desarrollados Países emergentes Exportadores de petróleo
1990 2000 2009
Source: McKinsey Global Institute
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Estimated savings rates as a share of GDP (%)
Source: McKinsey Global Institute
68%
12%
20%
47%
25%
28%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2030
Otros paísesemergentes
China
Paísesdesarrollados
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Current account surplus (% GDP)
Source: IMF
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Argelia Bahrain Iraq Kuwait Libia Omán Qatar Arabia
Saudita
EAU
2000-05 2010 2011
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7Source: World Bank.
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8Source: World Bank. Union of Arab Banks. OECD
Lending to SME as a share of total lending (%)
8%
2%
14%
27%
19%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
MENA GCC Non-GCC OECD Global
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2. The banking system.
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
MENA Asia Oriental Europa delEste
AméricaLatina
Asia del Sur África Sub-sahariana
Activos Créditos
Assets and deposits of the banking system (% GDP)
Source: World Bank.
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11Source: EIB.
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Share of state ownership in the banking system (%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Algeria Syria Egypt Morocco
Source: EIB.
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• Royal Bank of Scotland, Northern Rock …
• HypoBank, IKB ….
• ABN Amro, Fortis, ING, Dexia…
• CAM, Caixa Catalunya, …
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
MENA Sub-saharanAfrica
EasternEurope
LatinAmerica
East Asia South Asia
Share of state ownership in the banking system (%)
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Market Share of Top 3 banks (%)
Source: World Bank.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
África sub-sahariana
Europa delEste
MENA CCG AméricaLatina
AsiaOriental
Asia delSur
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44.903KuwaitNational Bank of Kuwait
45.528Arabia SauditaAl Rahji Bank
46.380EgiptoArab Bank of Egypt
47.040Arabia SauditaRiyad Bank
47.258QatarQatar National Bank
48.452Arabia SauditaSamba Financial Group
50.600JordaniaArab Bank
53.379EAUNational Bank of Abu Dhabi
68.654Arabia SauditaNational Commercial Bank
76.561EAUEmirates NBD
Activos (millones US$)PaísEntidad
Largest Arab banks by assets (million US$)
Source: The Banker.
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3. Non-bank financial institutions (NBFI).
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0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
CCG Europa delEste
MENA AméricaLatina
Asia delSur
AsiaOriental
África sub-sahariana
Assets of non-bank financial institutions (% GDP)
Source: World Bank.
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Assets of financial institutions (billion US$)
Source: Casa Árabe (Forthcoming).
247
1.700 1.600
2.500
63 24 47 120
-
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
50 árabesmás ricos
Grandesfortunas
Fondossoberanosárabes
Depósitosbancarios
Fondos deinversión
Fondosprivateequity(actual)
Fondosprivateequity
(previsto)
EmisionesSukuk
acumuladas
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Weaknesses of mutual funds
•Restrictions to cross-border sale of mutual funds.•Short-term focus of mutual funds in MENA•60% invest in short-term notes and instruments.•Most NBFIs controlled by banks.
39,9%
3,9%
55,7%
0,5%
Renta variable
Renta fija
Mixtos
Otros
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Private equity vs. venture capital
• Hurdles to private equity investment (e.g. company law, property rights, illiquid capital markets).
• Average private equity investment was US$ 136 million in 2010.
• Positive strong MENA focus of most PE management firms.
• Growing number of Arab PE managers, who have worked overseas.
• Only 4% of private equity assets (US$ 24 billion) fall onto the venture capital category.
• However, between 2007 and 2010, venture capital funds in MENA have increased threefold.
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4. Capital Markets.
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IPO activity in 2010
Source: Casa Árabe (Forthcoming).
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Stock market capitalization in 2011 (% GDP)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Jordan Lebanon Egypt Morocco Tunisia Syria Algeria
Source: EIB
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0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
90.000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 E
Sukuk bond emissions (million US$)
Source: Casa Árabe (Forthcoming).
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Main Sukuk markets (emissions since 2004, million US$)
Middle East; 36.184
Southeast Asia;30.445
Western countries;26.858
Source: Casa Árabe (Forthcoming).
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5. The Way Forward.
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Recommendations on the banking system
• Increase cross-border competition between market leaders.
• Improve market access for new entrants to enhance domestic competition.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
MENA GCC Non-GCC East Asia EasternEurope
LatinAmerica
Applications for bank
licenses denied (%)
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Recommendations on NBFIs
• Increase number of independent financial intermediaries.
• Promote cross-border VC funds and NBFIs.
• Private-public partnerships (PPP) in venture capital.
• PPP as opposed to direct company subsidies
• Improve legal framework for VC:– Company law
– Contract law
– Taxation
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Recommendations on Capital markets
• Boost liquidity of stock markets by improving trading rules and opening to foreign investors.
• Special market segment for SME (e.g. Nilex in Egypt).
• Achieve economies of scale in stock markets: MagrebEx.
• Economies of scale in fixed income products: Sukukmarket for Middle East.
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Recommendations on institution building
• Better human resources for SME (training programs).
• Credit “mediation” for SME (transparent accounting, professional reporting to apply for bank loan or VC).
• Civil society institutions (business associations) to interact between SME and governments.
• Redefine taxation and license systems to integrate informal SME.
• EU programs for new member countries to be extended to MEDA countries (e.g. SME Fit, BSP, JEUNE).
• Intra-Arab SME support programs (e.g. IDB, AFESD).
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