our community, our future, our choice...source: new mexico birth certificate database, bureau of...
TRANSCRIPT
Our Community, Our Future, Our Choice A Presentation Prepared For
The Rotary Club of
Albuquerque
January 31, 2013
Prepared By
Kathie Winograd, Central New Mexico Community College
Peter Winograd, UNM Center For Education Policy
Research
2 2
New Mexico Has A Storied History
3 3
We Are Blessed In So Many Ways
4
We Look Now Like The Nation May Look In The Future
5
But Our State Faces So Many Challenges
6
And Our Future Is In Doubt
New Mexico is ranked 49th in the country for overall risks to children.
The
Challenges
Are Daunting
Nationally
8
Two Important Comprehensive Indices
9
Two of the most respected and reliable measures of the success and well-being of children and their familes come from the Annie E. Casey Foundation and Education Week’s Annual Quality Counts Reports:
• KIDS Count – Overall Rank. This index is a combination of 16 key indicators including: economic well-being indicators (children in poverty, children whose parents lack secure employment,
children living in households with a high housing cost burden, teens not in school and not working);
education indicators (children not attending preschool, fourth graders not proficient in reading, eighth graders not proficient in math, high school students not graduating on time);
health indicators (low-birthweight babies, children without health insurance, child and teen deaths, teens who abuse alcohol or drugs);
family and community indicators (children in single-parent families, children in families where the household head lacks a high school diploma, children living in high-poverty areas, teen births).
• Education Week - Chances For Success. This index is a combination of: early foundations (family income, parental education, parental employment, linguistic integration);
school years (preschool enrollment, kindergarten enrollment, 4th grade reading, 8th grade mathematics, high school graduation, young adult [18-24] education);
adult outcomes (adult educational attainment, annual income, steady employment).
Source: Annie E. Casey Foundation, http://www.aecf.org/MajorInitiatives/KIDSCOUNT.aspx; Education Week, Quality Counts, http://www.edweek.org/ew/qc/index.html.
New Mexico’s Overall Ranking On KIDS COUNT Is Among the Worst in the Nation
10 Source: KIDS COUNT, http://datacenter.kidscount.org/data/bystate/StateLanding.aspx?state=NM.
2012 KIDS COUNT Overall Rank is based on measures of Economic Well-Being, Education, Health, and Family and Community Indicators.
Overall Rank 2012
48 - 50 26 - 47 4 - 25 1 - 3
30
24
New Mexico Children’s Chances for Success are Among the Worst in the Nation
11 Source: EPE Research Center, Quality Counts.
2012 Quality Counts Children’s Chances For Success Index is based on measures of Family Status, Progress Through School, and Adult Outcomes.
D+ to D C+ to C- B+ to B- A to A-
Our College Graduation Rates are Among the Worst in the Nation
12
Source: NCHEMS Information Center for Higher Education Policymaking and Analysis.
The 2009 six-year graduation rates of bachelor degree students by state for the entering cohort of 2003. The average college graduation rate for the U.S. is 55.5%.
26.9% - 40%
40.1% - 55.4% (Below nat'l avg.)
55.5% - 60.2% (Above nat'l avg.)
60.3% - 69.2%
Teen Births per 1000, 2009
13
Data from Annie E. Casey Foundation website: http://datacenter.kidscount.org/data/ for 2009.
Teen Births per 1000
16 - 28
28.01 - 41
41.01 - 53
53.01 - 64
53.01 - 64
45
41
In New Mexico
14
Teen Birth Rate - Girls Age 15-17, by County 2008-2010
15
Source: New Mexico Birth Certificate Database, Bureau of Vital Records and Health Statistics, New Mexico Department of Health.
Teen pregnancy and childbearing is closely linked to a host of other critical social issues, including poverty and income disparity, overall child well-being, out-of-wedlock births, and education. The average teen birth rate for the U.S. is 20.1 per thousand. The average teen birth rate for New Mexico is 33.1 per thousand.
Births per 1000
20.10 and under per 1000 (below nat'l avg.)
20.11 - 33.10 (above nat'l avg.)
Greater than 33.1 per 1000 (above state and nat'l avg.)
Greater than 65.50 per 1000 (above state and nat'l avg.)
Research has shown a link between parental education levels and child outcomes such as educational experience, attainment, and academic achievement.
Percentage of Birth Mothers Without a High School Diploma, by New Mexico School District
Legend
Percent of BirthMothers Without A High School Diploma
No Data
1.0% - 17.65%
17.66% - 27.29%
27.3% - 38.3%
38.31% - 50.37%
Source: New Mexico Birth Certificate Database, Bureau of Vital Records and Health Statistics, New Mexico Department of Health, Years 2003-2007, GeoSpatial analysis at school district level by NMCDC..
16
These data are for All Students By District. The Statewide average for All Students, All Schools, Scoring Proficient and Above was 52.4%. Districts with less than 10 students tested are not reported.
Source: New Mexico Public Education Department, NMSBA Proficiencies By Grade, All Students, School Year 2011-2012.
0% - 20%
20% - 40%
40% - 60%
60% - 80%
80% - 100%
Data Not Available
Data Not Available
17
Percentage of 3rd Grade Students Proficient and Above on the 2012 New Mexico Standards Based Assessments in Reading
34
31
36 35 34 36
40
35 34
12 13
9
18
24
15 13
17
12
15 14 15 13 14
16 14 15
8 6 5 6 6
8
13
10 12
39
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1992 1994 1998 2002 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
White
African American
Hispanic
Native American
Asian/PacificIslander
Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 1992-2011. Asian/Pacific Islander is not reported in all years because NAEP reporting standards have not been met. African American data is not reported in all years because NAEP reporting standards have not been met. 18
Percentage of NM 4th Grade Students Scoring At or Above Proficient in Reading, by Race/Ethnicity
APS Four and Five Year Cohort Graduation Rates
PED Calculated Rates with Shared Accountability
APS Four and Five Year Cohort Graduation Rates
PED Calculated Rates with Shared Accountability
4-Year High School Graduation Rate, All Students, By District, Class of 2011
21 Source: NM Public Education Department, 4-Year Cohort High School Graduation Rate, Class of 2011.
4-Year High School Graduation Rates, Class of 2011 By District For All Students
22
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
CLA
YTO
N
DES
MO
INES
DO
RA
MO
SQU
ERO
WA
GO
N M
OU
ND
ELID
A
CH
AM
A
SAN
JO
N
TEXI
CO
QU
EMA
DO
FT S
UM
NER
AN
IMA
S
DEX
TER
JAL
LOV
ING
GR
AD
Y
LOR
DSB
UR
G
CA
RR
IZO
ZO
TATU
M
RES
ERV
E
FLO
YD
TULA
RO
SA
MO
UN
TAIN
AIR
RO
Y
CO
RO
NA
CA
PIT
AN
LOS
ALA
MO
S
QU
ESTA
CLO
UD
CR
OFT
JEM
EZ V
ALL
EY
CO
BR
E C
ON
S
PEN
ASC
O
MEL
RO
SE
SPR
ING
ER
RU
IDO
SO
ALA
MO
GO
RD
O
CIM
AR
RO
N
GA
DSD
EN
JEM
EZ M
OU
NTA
IN
HA
GER
MA
N
MES
A V
ISTA
LOV
ING
TON
SAN
TA R
OSA
PO
RTA
LES
MO
RA
ZUN
I
AR
TESI
A
PEC
OS
LOG
AN
SILV
ER
PO
JOA
QU
E
CA
RLS
BA
D
EUN
ICE
WES
T LA
S V
EGA
S
SOC
OR
RO
TUC
UM
CA
RI
LAS
VEG
AS
CIT
Y
RA
TON
VA
UG
HN
RIO
RA
NC
HO
CLO
VIS
MA
XWEL
L
RO
SWEL
L
TRU
TH O
R C
ON
S
HO
ND
O
LAS
CR
UC
ES
MO
RIA
RTY
GR
AN
TS-C
IBO
LA
MA
GD
ALE
NA
ESTA
NC
IA
TAO
S
CU
BA
BEL
EN
LOS
LUN
AS
BLO
OM
FIEL
D
FAR
MIN
GTO
N
GA
LLU
P
AZT
EC
LAK
E A
RTH
UR
HO
BB
S
DU
LCE
ALB
UQ
UER
QU
E
HA
TCH
CEN
TRA
L C
ON
S.
DEM
ING
BER
NA
LILL
O
SAN
TA F
E
HO
USE
ESP
AN
OLA
New Mexico’s Average Graduation Rate for All Students is 63.0%
63.0%
Albuquerque
Source: NM Public Education Department 4-Year Graduation Rates
Three-Year Graduation Rates, All New Mexico Community Colleges
23
20%
12%
16% 14%
23%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
White/White non-Hispanic
Black or AfricanAmerican/Black non-
Hispanic
Hispanic orLatino/Hispanic
Asian/NativeHawaiian/OtherPacific Islander
American Indian orAlaska Native
Source: IPEDS National Data Center Profile For New Mexico, 2009
Six-Year Graduation Rates, All New Mexico Universities
24
44%
33% 35%
48%
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
White/White non-Hispanic
Black or AfricanAmerican/Black non-
Hispanic
Hispanic orLatino/Hispanic
Asian/NativeHawaiian/OtherPacific Islander
American Indian orAlaska Native
Source: IPEDS National Data Center Profile For New Mexico, 2009
25
Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey 2010, 5-Year Estimates.
Percentage of 16-19 Year Olds Not in School or Labor Force
The Lumina Foundation
Estimates That 58% Of Jobs
Will Require A College
Degree By 2018
26 Source: http://www.luminafoundation.org/state/new_mexico
Percentage of Working-Age Adults, 25-64, With an Associate's, Bachelor’s, or Graduate Degree, 2010
27 Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey 2010.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Los
Ala
mo
s
San
ta F
e
Ber
nal
illo
San
do
val
Tao
s
Gra
nt
Lin
coln
Do
ña
An
a
De
Bac
a
Cat
ron
San
Mig
uel
Ote
ro
Ro
ose
velt
Soco
rro
Cu
rry
Co
lfax
Har
din
g
San
Ju
an
Mo
ra
Edd
y
Rio
Arr
iba
Val
enci
a
Ch
aves
Sier
ra
Qu
ay
Hid
algo
Un
ion
Torr
ance Lea
Cib
ola
McK
inle
y
Gu
adal
up
e
Lun
a
National Average = 38.38
New Mexico Average = 33.08%
The Education-Jobs Gap In Selected Metropolitan Statistical Areas, 2012
28
-0.8%
2.2%
3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 3.9%
5.0% 5.4%
6.4% 6.8%
7.5% 8.1%
13.3%
14.2%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
The education-jobs gap is the percent of job openings where the demand for education exceeds supply. Madison, WI is ranked best in the study; McAllen, TX is ranked worst.
Source: Rothwell, J. (August, 2012) Education, Job Openings, and Unemployment in Metropolitan America Brookings. www.brookings.edu/metro.
The Financial Benefits Of Educational Attainment
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2006-2010
$19,492 $16,841
$27,281 $24,658
$33,593
$29,720
$48,485
$42,203
$63,612
$53,693
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
United States New Mexico
Less than high school graduate High school graduate
Some college or associate's degree Bachelor's Degree
Graduate or professional degree
29
In Albuquerque
30
31
# School # School # School # School
1 A MONTOYA 23 BARCELONA 45 JOHN BAKER 67 ADOBE ACRES
2 EUGENE FIELD 24 PAJARITO 46 SY JACKSON 68 NAVAJO
3 GOVERNOR BENT 25 ALAMOSA 47 MITCHELL 69 VENTANA RANCH
4 COMANCHE 26 KIT CARSON 48 SAN ANTONITO 70 BANDELIER
5 SOMBRA DEL MONTE 27 CHAPARRAL 49 GEORGIA O'KEEFFE 71 CORRALES
6 ARMIJO 28 LOS RANCHOS 50 ATRISCO 72 SEVEN BAR
7 REGINALD CHAVEZ 29 DURANES 51 APACHE 73 MARIE HUGHES
8 HODGIN 30 GRIEGOS 52 DENNIS CHAVEZ 74 SIERRA VISTA
9 LAVALAND 31 MACARTHUR 53 PETROGLYPH 75 DOLORES GONZALES
10 CHAMIZA 32 LA LUZ 54 ALVARADO 76 LEW WALLACE
11 CHELWOOD 33 EAST SAN JOSE 55 COCHITI 77 MCCOLLUM
12 INEZ 34 MOUNTAIN VIEW 56 LONGFELLOW 78 ACOMA
13 EMERSON 35 WHERRY 57 MONTEZUMA 79 ONATE
14 MARK TWAIN 36 KIRTLAND 58 LOS PADILLAS 80 COLLET PARK
15 BELLEHAVEN 37 WHITTIER 59 DOUBLE EAGLE 81 TIERRA ANTIGUA
16 VALLE VISTA 38 MONTE VISTA 60 MISSION AVENUE 82 SUNSET VIEW
17 HUBERT HUMPHREY 39 ZIA 61 LOWELL 83 SUSIE R. MARMON
18 LA MESA 40 BEL AIR 62 MARY ANN BINFORD 84 PAINTED SKY
19 HAWTHORNE 41 OSUNA 63 EG ROSS 85 HELEN CORDERO
20 SANDIA BASE 42 ARROYO DEL OSO 64 ALAMEDA 86 CARLOS REY
21 MANZANO MESA 43 ZUNI 65 EUBANK 87 EDWARD GONZALES
22 TOMASITA 44 MATHESON PARK 66 NORTH STAR 88 RUDOLFO ANAYA
Elementary School Map Reference Guide (1 of 2) (See Map Next Slide)
Elementary School Map Reference Guide (2 of 2) (See Legend Previous Slide)
32
Teen Birth Rate, Ages 15-19
33
Source: New Mexico Community Data Collaborative. The rates shown here reflects the average number of children
per 1000 women born to teen mothers (ages 15-19) between 2001 and 2005. Rates are reported by census tract; high
school boundaries are overlaid to provide perspective. In 2005, the statewide teen birth rate was 62 per 1000, and the
nationwide rate was 40 per 1000 (Kids Count Data Center, http://datacenter.kidscount.org).
The data point in each
census tract
represents the
number of live births
to teen women per
1000 teen women,
over the period 2001-
2005.
For example, the
census tract in the
center with a teen
birth rate of 106.4
means that there were
106 live births to teen
women for every 1000
teen women who live
in the census tract.
Percentage of 4th Grade Students Proficient or Advanced in Reading
34 Source: Standards Based Assessment, 2010-2011, NM Public Education Department.
Elementary School Student Mobility Rate
35
Source: “Statistical Peers for Benchmarking,” 2010-2011 School Year, Albuquerque Public Schools. Student mobility
refers to “students changing schools for reasons other than grade promotion” and is operationally defined as the number
of students who either enrolled or withdrew during the given school year divided by total school enrollment.
Percentage of APS Students Proficient in Reading, By Grade Level and Subgroup
36 Source: Standards Based Assessment, 2010-2011, NM Public Education Department.
Early Warning Indicator: Percentage of Students Entering 9th Grade with One or More F grades
and 5 or More Absences in 8th Grade Core Courses
37 Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, School Max, 2011-2012 School Year. Data provided by APS RDA Department. Analysis performed by CEPR.
Percentage of Students Attending New Mexico Colleges Who Took Remedial Courses, 2000-2009,
By Sending High School
38
Source: “Ready For College? A Report on New Mexico’s High School Graduates Who Take Remedial Courses In
College,” June 2010, New Mexico Office of Education Accountability. Data were unavailable for Volcano Vista &
Atrisco Heritage Academy.
CNM Success Rate by Sending High School
39
Source: CNM Office of Institutional Research, Fall 2006 Cohort. The success rate measures each cohort of new
students taking nine or more credit hours who are successful after three years. Success is defined as earning a degree,
earning a certificate, or transferring. (Data for students from Atrisco Heritage Academy and Volcano Vista were
unavailable.)
UNM Six-Year Graduation Rate, by Sending High School
40
Source: UNM Office of Institutional Research. The six-year graduation rate is the percentage of first-time, full-time,
degree seeking students each Fall semester who graduate with a Bachelors degree or PharmD degree, or who are
enrolled in the fourth fall of the PharmD Program within six years (this is the definition of Graduation Rate as reported to
the Federal Department of Education IPEDS system). The data reported here are for the 2004 student cohort.
Percentage of Elementary School Students Who Are Habitually Truant In 2011-2012
41 Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, RDA Department, 2011-2012 School Year. A student is identified
as a Habitual Truant when the student has accumulated 10 or more days of unexcused absences.
Percentage of Middle School Students Who Are Habitually Truant In 2011-2012
42 Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, RDA Department, 2011-2012 School Year. A student is identified
as a Habitual Truant when the student has accumulated 10 or more days of unexcused absences.
Percentage of High School Students Who Are Habitually Truant In 2011-2012
43 Source: Albuquerque Public Schools, RDA Department, 2011-2012 School Year. A student is identified
as a Habitual Truant when the student has accumulated 10 or more days of unexcused absences.
44
Percent
Students Who
Have
Considered Or
Tried Suicide
Percent
Students
Habitually
Truant
Correlation = .602
Significance = .000**
N = 27 APS Middle Schools
Percent of
Students Who
Have Used
Cocaine
Percent
Students
Habitually
Truant
Correlation = .473
Significance = .013*
N = 27 APS Middle Schools
Percent of
Students
Who Have
Had Sex
Percent
Students
Habitually
Truant
Correlation = .655
Significance = .000**
N = 27 APS Middle Schools
The Relationship Between Habitual Truancy And Risk Behaviors
Percentage of High School Students Who Reported Using Heroin, Cocaine, or Meth at Least Once in their Lives
45
Source: APS and state high school data taken from New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009. Students
were asked the following three questions: “During your life, how many times have you used any form of cocaine,
including powder, crack, or freebase?” “During your life, how many times have you used heroin (also called smack,
junk, or China White)?” “During your life, how many times have you used methamphetamines (also called speed,
crystal, crank, or ice)?” The percentages reported here reflect respondents who reported using the given drug one or
more times. National data taken from High School Youth Risk Behavior Survey, 2009, Centers for Disease Control &
Prevention.
3%
5% 4%
7%
5%
9%
4%
6%
7%
4%
9%
7% 7% 7%
9%
3%
13%
15%
19%
14%
17%
11%
13% 13%
16%
13%
14%
13%
11%
16%
4%
6%
5%
9%
8%
11%
7% 7%
8%
7%
9% 9%
7%
8%
10%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
Heroin Cocaine Methamphetamine
Percentage of Students Who Actually Attempted Suicide
46
Source: New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009. Students were asked, “During the past 12 months, how
many times did you actually attempt suicide?” The percentage reported here reflects respondents who answered one or
more times.
Percentage of Students Who Report Not Having a Parent or Adult at Home
Who is Interested in Their School Work
47
Source: New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009. Students were asked to comment on the statement, “In
my home, there is a parent or some other adult who is interested in my school work.” The percentage reported here
reflects respondents who answered, “Not true at all.”
Key Outcomes of High School Students Experiencing High & Low Levels of Caring and Supportive Relationships With
Parents, New Mexico, 2009
18.3% 19.7%
21.4%
3.5% 4.9%
30.7%
25.3%
34.8% 34.3%
40.5%
10.9%
24.3%
53.4%
36.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
CigaretteSmokers
BingeDrinkers
MarijuanaUsers
CocaineUsers
Suicide (past12 months)
PhysicalFight
Overweightor Obese
Students Experiencing High Levels of Care Students Experiencing Low Levels of Care
Source: New Mexico Epidemiology, 2010. (http://nmhealth.org/erd/HealthData/pdf/ER%20YRRS%20092410.pdf).
National data taken from High School Youth Risk Behavior Survey, 2009, Centers for Disease Control & Prevention. 48
Percentage of Middle School Students Who Have Had Sexual Intercourse
49
Source: New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009. Students were asked, “During your life, with how many people have you had sexual intercourse?” The percentage reported here reflects respondents who answered one or more people.
Percentage of High School Students Who Have Had Sexual Intercourse
50
Source: New Mexico Youth Risk and Resiliency Survey, 2009. Students were asked, “During your life, with how many
people have you had sexual intercourse?” The percentage reported here reflects respondents who answered one or
more people.
Teen Birth Rate, Ages 15-19
51
Source: New Mexico Community Data Collaborative. The rates shown here reflects the average number of children
per 1000 women born to teen mothers (ages 15-19) between 2001 and 2005. Rates are reported by census tract; high
school boundaries are overlaid to provide perspective. In 2005, the statewide teen birth rate was 62 per 1000, and the
nationwide rate was 40 per 1000 (Kids Count Data Center, http://datacenter.kidscount.org).
The data point in each
census tract
represents the
number of live births
to teen women per
1000 teen women,
over the period 2001-
2005.
For example, the
census tract in the
center with a teen
birth rate of 106.4
means that there were
106 live births to teen
women for every 1000
teen women who live
in the census tract.
Capacity of 4- and 5-Star Licensed Child Care Centers
52 Source: New Mexico Community Data Collaborative, December 2010. Enrollment data are reported by program site.
Elementary school boundaries are overlaid to provide perspective.
Above
national
average
The Past Is Prologue
53
54
The Predictions For New Mexico’s Future Are Bleak
Source: Kelly, P. (2005). NCHEMS and Lumina.
As America Becomes More Diverse: the Impact of
State Higher Education Inequality.
http://www.higheredinfo.org/raceethnicity/
55
But We Can Envision The Future We Want
Source: Kelly, P. (2005). NCHEMS
and Lumina. As America Becomes
More Diverse: the Impact of State
Higher Education Inequality.
http://www.higheredinfo.org/raceeth
nicity/
We Can Face The Daunting Challenges Together
56
It Is Harder For Americans To Rise From The Lower Rungs Of The Economic Ladder
The Education Gap Is Growing Between The Rich And The Poor
We Can Make The Choice To Come Together As A Community
57
CNM
And What We Are All
Hearing About Higher
Education
59
“DREAMers,
MOOCs, and Charter Schools:
The Coming Year in Education”
“The Real College Crisis
Isn’t High Costs, It’s Low Information”
“Why Are College
Textbooks So Absurdly Expensive”
60
“How the Deal on the Fiscal Cliff Affects Financial Aid”
“Do We Spend Too Much on Education?”
“College Doesn’t Create Success”
“Investing In A Better Life”
“Is It a Priority to Teach the Poor?”
“Preparing for Work”
“Spend Smarter, Not Less”
“For Poor, Leap to College Often Ends in a Hard Fall”
61
“Because of residency rules, many vets face bewilderment using GI Bill at public institutions”
“The Dangers of ‘Outsourcing’ Public Education”
“An F for Effort on Holding Down Tuition”
“Prices Spike at Public Universities”
“College Presidents Urge Gun Control”
“Day Care in High Schools”
62
“Higher Education Could Be Facing Crisis Without Reevaluating Debt, Policies”
“Education Costs Widening Mobility Gap”
“Saving US Higher Education Looks a Taxing Proposition”
“Measuring Learning Outcomes in Higher Education: Motivation Matters”
“Higher Education: Is It Worth the Price You Pay”
“Higher Education a Commodity?”
“Deans List: Hiring Spree Fattens College Bureaucracy-And Tuition”
“Surge in Cost of Higher Education”
63
“Life Inside the Higher Education Bubble”
“Higher Education Institutions Are In
Deep Financial Trouble”
“We’re In A Bubble And It’s Not The Internet. It’s Higher Education”
“Whither Higher Education”
Are We Listening? • New Mexico’s students face significant challenges that
hamper educational success
• Education should be an equalizer, but having an opportunity for education is not always enough: family issues, a lack of sense of belonging, and not enough money can affect the outcome
• The education gap is growing between the rich and the poor and it is harder for Americans to rise from the lower rungs of the economic ladder
• A focus on skills increasingly links higher education with employment and economic recovery
• Higher education must be more flexible and respond more quickly to change
• Students need education to be “faster, better and cheaper”
64
Why CNM Is Important To
Our Community,
Our Future
40,000+ students
29 yrs average age
67% Part-time
57% minorities
By 2020, 61% of
jobs will require a certificate or college degree.
.
Only 32% of the
population in NM has an Associates Degree
or higher.
The impact of an education at CNM extends beyond graduation and
retention figures.
Higher education nurtures family, community, and
business...and our economy.
Getting an associate’s degree
makes you 12% more likely to volunteer in the community.
“Our volunteers make us great and we deeply appreciate their
commitment.”
Ed Rivera President & CEO
United Way of Central New Mexico
A CNM graduate is up to
19% more likely to vote.
Source: Education Pays, 2010. College Board Trend in
Higher Education Series
Our democracy benefits too…
Higher education improves everything from obesity to school readiness and family health.
A degree from CNM can transform generations.
CNM students are less likely to use public assistance.
Source: Education Pays, 2010. The College Board.
38%
18% 18% 20%
8% 8%
16%
7% 6%
14%
5% 4%
Medicaid School Lunch Food Stamps
Not a High School Graduate High School Graduate
Some College, No Degree Associate Degree
Preschool children of CNM graduates are more likely to:
Source: Education Pays 2010, The College Board
Recognize all letters
Count to 20
Write their first name
Be read to everyday
My household income is
40% higher thanks
to an associate’s degree
from CNM.
That means an additional $384 million
for NM by 2020.
Source: Trends in College Pricing, 2011. The College Board.
And, CNM students graduate with
less debt. 78% of CNM students graduate
with no student loan debt – 16% better than the national
average
What is CNM’s ROI?
Your public investment in CNM multiplies
returns.
Source: 2005 CC Benefits Economic Impact Study
$1
$15
Facing The Challenges at CNM
Graduation
972 Certificates and 1,357
Associates Degrees
5,398 Certificates and 3,009 Associates Degrees
2011-2012
2007-2008
8,407 Total Awards in 2011-2012
Increase NM’s Graduates
Partner With The United Way’s Education Initiative to Promote an Increase in Higher Education Degrees throughout Central New Mexico
$24.7 million in
Medicaid savings
$7.3 million in
Corrections savings
If just CNM meets our 2020 goal to increase the number of degrees by an
additional 2,565 it will result in:
Dual Credit Enrollment
660
1,388
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Fall 2007 Fall 2011
Dual CreditStudentsEnrolled in OneDual CreditCourse
+50 % Increase
Transfer and Swirl
About 3,000 Students
About 2,000 Students
Things Are Not Always As They Seem:
We Are Listening
Central New Mexico Education Support Initiative
85
Why We’re Here Today
86
• High-quality education, from pre-school through college, is essential to the health, safety, and economic prosperity of our Central New Mexico community.
• But too many students don’t graduate from high school, and even fewer graduate with a college credential or degree.
• There is a growing sense across our community that the status quo can no longer be allowed to stand.
• No one can solve these challenges alone.
• We need strong leaders like you to help rally your institutions and the community at large around an ambitious agenda for educational and community change.
• The challenges are immense, but they are not insurmountable if we can find new ways to align our efforts and collaborate more effectively to improve student success.
Percentage of the Population Under 18 Years of Age in Central New Mexico
87 Source: U.S. Census 2010. In New Mexico, 25.2% of the population is under 18 years old, and in the United States, 24% of the population is under 18 years old. Percentages are reported by census tract
UWCNM serves four counties: Bernalillo, Sandoval, Torrance, and Valencia. These four counties are home to 218,422 children under 18 years of age, or 42% of all children and youth living in New Mexico in 2010. (The map to the left shows the percentage of each county’s total population under 18 years of age.) The region is also home to 887,077 people of all age groups, which is about 43% of New Mexico’s total population.
School District Enrollment in Central New Mexico
88 Source: NM Public Education Department, School Year 2011-12.
The four counties in UWCNM’s Service Area include 12 school districts. These 12 districts served about 133,046 students during the 2011-12 school year. This is about 39% of New Mexico’s 337,225 students.
How Do We Compare to Other Communities? Percentage of the Population, 25-64 Years of Age,
With an Associate's Degree or Higher
89 Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey 2010, 5-Year Estimates.
20.9%
27.8%
29.6%
35.2%
35.3%
35.4%
38.0%
38.6%
40.2%
40.3%
43.6%
46.1%
47.3%
48.1%
52.5%
54.3%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX Metro Area
El Paso, TX Metro Area
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV Metro Area
Reno-Sparks, NV Metro Area
Tulsa, OK Metro Area
Oklahoma City, OK Metro Area
Albuquerque, NM Metro Area
Tucson, AZ Metro Area
Ogden-Clearfield, UT Metro Area
Salt Lake City, UT Metro Area
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA Metro Area
Colorado Springs, CO Metro Area
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX Metro Area
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA Metro Area
Raleigh-Cary, NC Metro Area
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA Metro Area
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
500000
550000
2010 (38%) 2011 (39%) 2012 (40%) 2013 (42%) 2014 (44%) 2015 (45%) 2016 (46%) 2017 (47%) 2018 (48%) 2019 (49%) 2020 (50%)
Educational Attainment Target By Year
Total Projected Population, All Levels of Attainment Projected Population, 50% Attainment in 2020 Projected Population, 38% Attainment in 2020
Goal: 60,410 New Degrees by 2020
How Many New Degrees Would We Add by Increasing Degree Attainment to 50% in 2020?
90 Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey 2010, 5-Year Estimates. The data represent the four counties in Central NM.
The blue bars show the projected number of individuals with an AA or higher as the rate of educational attainment increases to 50%.
The purple bars show the total projected population in Central NM from 2010 to 2020.
The green bars show the projected number of individuals with an AA or higher, assuming the current rate of educational attainment (38%) does not change.
“Education is the
most powerful
weapon which you
can use to change
the world.”
92 92
THE CHALLENGES WE NEED TO FACE WILL TAKE THE ENTIRE COMMUNITY
