orestes anastasia - low emission development strategies

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Orestes Anastasia

USAID Regional Development Mission for Asia

Asia Clean Energy Forum, Manila, June 24, 2011

Low Emission Development Strategies

Will Change the World


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Presentation Overview

What is a Low Emission Development Strategy?

LEDS components

US Government LEDS initiatives


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Origin of LEDS

A low emission development strategy is indispensable

for sustainable development

Decides that developed countries should develop low

carbon strategies or plans

Encourages developing countries to develop low

carbon development strategies or plans in the contextof sustainable development

Copenhagen Accord, December 2009

Cancun Agreements, December 2010


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What is a Low Emission Development Strategy?

Designed and implemented appropriately, a LEDS will:

Provide an integrated comprehensive pathway for long-term,sustainable development

Take into account a countrys development objectives and

unique circumstances Promote transformational development

Help a country meet international climate change commitments Help countries access financing from public and private sources

LEDS is smart development: Countries that develop and implement LEDS will be best

positioned to benefit from the new global low carbon future.

A LEDS is a country-owned national strategy for transformative,long-term, resilient economic growth that includes options forslowing the growth of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.


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What is included in a LEDS?

Typical components of a robust LEDS include:1. An outline of national development goals and key drivers of

growth

2. A summary of economic data and an national GHG emissionsinventory

3. A long-term projections of business-as-usual development andGHG emissions (may consider various development pathways)

4. Vulnerability assessments for threats to economic development,including climate change, security, etc.

5. A list of prioritized alternative actions that increase economic

growth, ensure resilience, and lower the long-term emissionstrajectory

6. Implementation and financing plans for high-priority actions(linked to national budgets)


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DevelopmentStrategy

SustainableGrowth

EnergySecurity

ClimateResilience

EconomicGrowth

Food

Security

Sustainable growth More efficient agricultural

practices can promote economicgrowth and increase foodproduction

Investments in clean energy

could protect agriculture andpromote economic growth

Climate Resilience

Are agriculture investments andpractices resilient to possiblechanges in climate?

Are energy investments resilientto climate change?

A LEDS should be comprehensive

Shown objectivesare illustrativeonly


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The LEDS process helps countries evaluate policy/program optionsbased upon relative costs and long-term economic and GHGimpactsand lead to actionablerecommendations.

GHG Emissions (Tg CO2-e) GDP ($B)

Economic growth, development, and reduced

emissions are important LEDS objectives


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Essential qualities of a LEDS

Analytically sound

Reproducible, documented, transparent, based on accepted techniques, etc.

Comprehensive

(Of) important sectors of the economy, development objectives, etc.

Forward-looking and long term

Set a vision about what to achieve and work backwards

Set targets based on what it estimates could be achieved

Actionable

Can the government, donors, IFCs, and other stakeholders readily take andimplement pieces of the strategy?

Country-owned

Can policy makers revisit the assumptions made in the strategy at will, does itfeed into the countrys decision-making and budgeting apparatus?

Support a countrys international engagement on climate?

Transformative


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US Government LEDS Initiative

Enhancing Capacity for Low Emission DevelopmentStrategies (EC-LEDS) worldwide initiative

Asia Region: Low Emissions Asian Development (LEAD) Program

Country programs

US Government Partners: USAID (lead)

US Department of State

US Environmental Protection Agency

US Department of Energy

US Department of Agriculture (Forest Service)


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The USG EC-LEDS Program

Objective: To support developing country efforts topursue long-term, transformative development andaccelerate sustainable economic growth while slowingthe growth of GHG emissions

Approach: Leverage experience and expertise of USGovernment agencies and others to:

Enhance partner country capacity through targeted

technical assistance Develop a shared global knowledge base on LEDS


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Enhancing Capacity for Low Emission

Development Strategies (EC-LEDS)

Provides targeted technical assistance for LEDSdevelopment and implementation:

Enhance and strengthen existing strategies, plans, systems,and processes that support development of a LEDS

Strengthen human and institutional capacity, provide and adapt

analytic tools and practices Assist with the implementation of actionable projects and

programs articulated in a countrys LEDS

Builds a shared, international knowledge base onLEDS:

Donor coordination, outreach, best practices, and tools


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End Results

Cross-sectoral, robust analyses of GHG mitigationoptions

Improved ability of countries to perform analyses: GHGaccounting, GHG and economic modeling, cost benefitanalysis, etc.

Improved government capacity to develop, implement,and update its LEDS

Strategies and plans describing concrete mitigationactivities

Realistic, implementable actions; prioritized, actionable,financeable mitigation actions developed with financingplans linked to national budgets

National-level LEDSs under development or already in

place, with key components being implemented


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Example Interim Product: Marginal AbatementCost Curve to analyze costs and benefits and

inform establishment of goals

Example Product: Graphical

representation of economy-wideemission reduction goals

Source: Project Catalyst, Low Carbon Growth Plans Advancing Good Practice (2009).


14/17Source: Davidson, Ogunlade et al, The Development and Climate Nexus: The Case of Sub-Saharan Africa (2003). Climate Policy 3S1.

Example Product: Indicators to measure LEDS

contribution to MDGs


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Technical analysis and

stakeholder review

Multiple deploymentscenarios fortechnologies andclimate measures

Likelihood for eachscenario to achievegoals

Elaborated deploymentpathways (sectoral andcross-sector)

Stakeholder review ofpotential deploymentscenarios

Selection of deploymentpathways (includingspecific deployment

goals)

Product

Sectoral and economy wide pathways for deployment

of technologies and practices to achieve goals

Example USG Technical Support

Energy and economic modeling support (NationalLabs), technology characterization data analysis

(DOE), lifecycle assessment (EPA and Labs)

Example InputsExample Inputs: Outputs from previous stage, market

statistics and projections, emission factors

Example Product: Pathways Analysis


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Source: Energy Map for India Technology Vision 2030(2008). TERI. url:http://www.norwayemb.org.in/NR/rdonlyres/CD92416E5AB445C18701D0B932F07075/95330/OslopresentationLigia28May.pdf

Example Product: Potential Technology

Deployment Pathways


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Thank you!

Orestes Anastasia - [email protected] Ram-Indra - [email protected] Regional Development Mission for Asia

Bangkok, Thailandhttp://asia.usaid.gov

More information on LEDS:http://en.openei.org/wiki/LEDS
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://asia.usaid.gov/http://en.openei.org/wiki/LEDShttp://en.openei.org/wiki/LEDShttp://asia.usaid.gov/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]

orestes anastasia - low emission development strategies

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