option_greeks
TRANSCRIPT
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INTRODUCTION TO OPTION GREEKS
Rates, Commodities & FX Derivative Application
Specialists
FX DERIVATIVES
Abukar Ali (2015)
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• When a bank trades a derivative, it should understand all the
risks associated with the product and hedge its position
accordingly
• Once the sale is done, the product is added to an existing
book of options, and it is the book that must be risk
managed.
• In order to see where the risks lie, the trader hedging a
derivative will need to know the sensitivity of the
derivative’s price to the various parameters that impact its
value.
• The sensitivities of an option’s price, also known as hedge
ratios, are commonly referred to as the GREEKS since
many of them are labelled and referred to by Greek letters
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BLACK-SCHOLES OPTION
PRICING FORMULA
S0 is the current spot rate
K is the strike price
N is the cumulative normal distribution function
rd is domestic risk free interest rate
rf is foreign risk free interest rate
T is the time to maturity (calculated according to the appropriate day count)
σ is the volatility of the FX rate.
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GREEKS: A “what if” approach…
Spot/StrikeTime to maturity
Volatility Rate
DELTA THETAVEGA RHO
GAMMA VOLGA
VANNA
• Delta — sensitivity of premium to changes in spot
• Gamma — sensitivity of delta to changes in spot (Change Delta/%change spot)
• Theta — sensitivity of premium to passage of time
• Vega — sensitivity of premium to changes in volatility
• Rho — sensitivity of premium to changes in the Currency 2 interest rate
• Volga — sensitivity of vega to changes in volatility
• Vanna — sensitivity of vega to changes in spot
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Blach-Scholes
Values Spot Volatility
Time to
Expiry
Interest
Rate
Option Price Delta Vega Theta Rho
Delta Gamma Vanna Charm
Gamma Speed Zomma Color
Vega Vanna Volga DvegaDtime
Partial Derivatives of the BSM Model
Vanna: partial derivative of delta wrp to volatility (DdeltaDvol)
Volga: partial derivative of vega wrp to volatility (DvegaDvol)
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Hiring a trader is a like selling volatility. If he does very well or very poorly,
you are out of a job. An old option proverb
DELTA (Aka Hedge Ratio)
• Approximately, delta can be expressed as:
(change in the option price / change in underlying exchange rate)
• Delta is the underlying a trader would hedge against a particular
option to cover the spot sensitivity.
• Example: approximate delta
• [(150.00 - 100.00) / 1000 ] / [ 1.2394 - 1.2294] = 0.5000
An option’s price sensitivity to price changes in the underlying instrument is known as its delta
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DELTA
• Consider a EUR/USD position, Call on EUR / Put on USD, Notional EUR
10,000,000. Strike = ATMF, Expiring 04/29/2012.
• Delta (spot) = 51.100%
• To hedge the risk against losses due to underlying move, the trader needs
to buy/sell equivalent of:
(51.100/100)*10,000,000 = EUR 5,110,000
Example:
A trader sells EUR PUT USD CALL , notional = EUR10,000,000 expiry in 6
Months. the traders risk is that in 6 months, the option is exercised and
there will be a payout of dollars and receipts of EUR. The trader’s hedge
against this risk would therefore be to buy USD and sell EUR, thus
hedging the delta amount because this represents the likely hood of
exercise.
Example 2 over: Trader sells 35delta Put Option, what is his initial hedge?
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DELTA
• From the above, it can be seen that hedging a short position loses money,
as the trader would be continually selling lower and buying high. However,
when the option was first sold, the trader received a premium for it. -
representing the estimated cost of hedging to the trader.
• If market volatility is higher then the trader expected, he has to hedge
more frequent and his hedging cost may exceed the premium received
from the sale of the option.
• What happens if the trader bought the option instead, delta hedges it, and
volatility is still high ?
Forward Delta Hedge Total
1.3500 35% Sell €3.5Mill -€3.5Mill
1.3000 50% Sell €1.5Mill -€5.0Mill
1.2950 57% Sell €0.7Mill -€5.7Mill
1.3600 30% Sell €2.7Mill -€3.0Mill
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Exactly the same option but this
time Volatility is set at 50%
EUR/USD, 3M, EUR=1M, STRIKE = ATMF, VOL , VOL = 12% (BID/ASK)
DELTA characteristics.
• On a call option, delta will range from 0% when OTM to 50% ATM
then to 100% when deep ITM. What about delta of a put option ?
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Conclusion
• Delta will change if any of the factors influencing the option
changes.
• Delta tend to increase as it gets closer to expiration for near
or at the money options.
• Delta is not constant; and
• Delta is subject to change given changes in implied
volatility
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One day in mid 1994, the dealing rooms in the united states were rocked
with the new of the bankruptcy of a hedge fund, costing a minimum of
$600 millions to their investors. What worried the community was that
the blown-up fund was meant to be “market neutral.” …….
In theory the fund would warehouse cheap securities, hedge them, and
achieve above-average returns for the Florida residents.
One trader was asked by his manager to explain the results. He shouted:
“That guy did not get the second derivative right.”
Taken from N.Taleb’s Dynamic Hedging book.
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GAMMA
Example:
Suppose delta changes from 45.9990% to 45.8736% and the
change in spot is equal to 0.0001, then gamma can be
approximated as: (((45.9990/100)-(45.8736/100))/(.7415-.7414)) =
12.54. Using initial value of spot of .7414, we then rescale the
gamma by this value to get a final Gamma value of : (12.54 x
0.7414) = 9.297%. This is approximately the average delta from
the two pricing.
Gamma is the rate of change in an option’s delta for a one-unit change in the underlying.
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GAMMA
• Gamma provides estimates of how much it will cost to delta hedge.
• An option’s Gamma is at its greatest when an option is ATM and decreases
as the price of the underlying moves further away from the strike price.
• Gamma is greater for short-term options then long-term options
• Gamma is positive for long options and negative for short options
BY convention, Gamma can be expressed in two ways:
• A Gamma of say 5.0 will mean that for a 1% change in the underlying price,
the delta will change by 5.00 units, that is from 50% to 55.00%; and
• A Gamma of 3% will mean for a one unit change in the underlying price, the
delta will change by 3%, for example, from 50% to 51.5%
GAMMA• Gamma - the rate of change in delta per unit change in the price of the underlying.
This rate of change of delta, given a change in spot can be as written as;
• Gamma is at its highest for vanilla options when spot trades around 50delta, the slope of the Delta change is at its steepest.
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As the time to expiration draws nearer, the gamma of at the money options increases while the
gamma of in the money and out of the money options decreases.
When volatility is low, the gamma of at the money options is high while the gamma for deeply
into or out-of-the-money options approaches 0. This phenomenon arises because when volatility
is low, the time value of such options are low but it goes up dramatically as the underlying stock
price approaches the strike price.
When volatility is high, gamma tends to be stable across all strike prices. This is due to the fact
that when volatility is high, the time value of deeply in/out-of-the-money options are already
quite substantial. Thus, the increase in the time value of these options as they go nearer the
money will be less dramatic and hence the low and stable gamma.
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I prefer the judgement of a 55-year old trader to that of a 25-year old
mathematician Alan Greenspan
THETA
The option's theta is a measurement of the option's time decay. The theta
measures the rate at which options lose their value, specifically the time value, as
the expiration date draws nearer. Generally expressed as a negative number, the
theta of an option reflects the amount by which the option's value will decrease
every day.
Example:
A call option with a current price of EUR 53,300 and a theta of EUR100 will
experience a drop in price of EUR -100 per day. So in two days' time, the price of
the option should fall to EUR 53,200.
The theta is a loss in time value of an option portfolio that results from the passage of time.
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Theta
• Long term options have theta of almost zero as they do not lose value on a
daily basis.
• Theta is higher for short dated options, especially ATM options (this is due to
the fact that such options have highest time value and thus have more
premium to lose each day)
• Theta goes up as the option near the expiration as time decay is at its
greatest during that period.
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Changes in volatility and its effects on the theta
In general, options of high volatility stocks have higher theta than low volatility
stocks. This is because the time value premium on these options are higher and
so they have more to lose per day.
Vega• Vega- the change in the option’s price for a 1% change in volatility.
•
• Vega is highest for ATM options and increases for options that have longer dated expires.
• Second order derivatives on Vega include Volga and Vanna. • Volga, is the change of Vega given a change in volatility, noticeable in a long wing position
where as volatility increase the probability of exercise increases making the options closer to ATM, increasing the Vega.
• Vanna, is the change of Vega given the change in spot, noticeable with a risk reversal as spot moves towards the Long position and away from the short position the Vega will increase and vice-versa.
• OVML Vega Chart 22
Vega• Vega does not move in a linear fashion along the curve. When the market
moves aggressively often participants look to buy back short-dated options (Gamma) first pushing up the front of curve more than the back
• Portfolio has €100m long 3month against €100m short 1 year. Clearly there is more Vega in the 1 year but Weighted Vega that takes into account the market observation of the tail wagging the dog and after we make the adjustment by time value. The Vega position is similar.
• XLTP and OVRA (Weighted Vega)23
1W 2W 3W 1M 2M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y
Imp
lied
Vo
lati
litie
s
Tenor
Current Implied Volatility Maximum Minimum
Vanna – Volga( 2nd order vega risk sensitivity )
Change in vega with respect to the
underlying spot
For simple vanillas Risk Reversals
exhibit the highest vanna
Vanna (dvega/dspot)
Spot
Spot
Profit
Vega
Long
VolatilityShort
Volatility
Volga (dvega/dvol)
Change in vega with respect to the
volatility
For simple vanillas, Butterflies
exhibit the highest volga
Normal Dist.
When volatility
increases, tail
vega risk
increases faster
In other words, the vega of low delta strikes changes
faster than ATM strikes, i.e. higher volga
Calculate change of vega for a RR by
changing spot (±1%). Vanna is the %
change of vega with respect to spot
Strike
ATM
Vo
lga
Calculate change of vega for a BF by
changing vol curve (±1%). Volga is the %
change of vega with respect to vol.