optimizing horizontal completion/frac design with data driven engineering and modeling

15
Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling Bob Shelley, P. E. StrataGen Engineering

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Page 1: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering

and Modeling

Bob Shelley, P. E. StrataGen Engineering

Page 2: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Challenges of Fractured Horizontal

Completions

Pay zone may not be completely penetrated.

Open hole logging is expensive and takes time.

Need to increase efficiency to reduce cost.

Need for optimization when permeability is unknown.

Frac cost exceeds 50% of well cost.

Complex completion methodology.

Minimal opportunity to run production logs.

Page 3: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Bakken Production

Page 4: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Bakken Development

Timeline

First Horizontal Well

Horizontal Drilling

Parshall Area Development

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

Year

Aver

age

Bes

t Mon

th O

il B

BL

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Wel

l Cou

nt

Average of Best Month Oil Total Well Count Horizontal Well Count

Highly Compartmentalized Fracturing, 20 + Fracs

Elm Coulee Development

Page 5: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Two Very Different Modeling Processes

Discrete Data Driven Make Assumptions

Apply Engineering Principles

Develop Well Model

Evaluate Well Opportunities

Gather & Integrate Data

Develop Many Models

Use Process Knowledge to Select Best Model

Evaluate Opportunities

Page 6: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Bakken Data Analysis

Page 7: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Bakken Numeric Simulator Reservoir

Modeling, SPE 133985

Vertical Vertical Fraced Horizontal

Horizontal Axial Frac Horizontal 5

Transv. Fracs

Horizontal 11 Transv. Fracs Incr

Lf

5

0.5

0.05

0.005

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Recovery at 10 Years (Cum/OOIP)

Well Type

Permeability md

Page 8: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Relationship between Mud Log Gas Shows &

Post-Frac Production for Wells w/Similar

Compl. Approach SPE 133985

Scatter Plot

I H S

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200

18000

16000

14000

12000

10000

8000

6000

4000

2000

0

Color by

Completion cat 2

No frac

Avg TG

Bes

t Mon

th O

il C

um B

BL

Page 9: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Bakken Data Driven Model

R² = 0.8919

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000

D_Peak OilR² = 0.9427

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000

D_EUR BBL

Predictors DescriptionMud Weight lb/gFraction_C1 FractionFraction_C4 FractionAverage TG Gas units, 100 units = 1% EMALateral Length MD ftNo of Fracture Treatments CountFrac Staging MethodologyPerforated Length MD ftTreatment Fluid TypeTreatment Volume GalTotal Proppant Weight lbsAverage Proppant Conductivity Avg Prop Conductivity at Closure (md-ft)OutputsPeak Oil Best Month Cumulative Oil BOEstimated Oil Recovery EUR BO w/ Qa=4 BOPDWOR Fraction

Page 10: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Predictor Significance

Ranking

Controllable Completion and Frac ParametersNon-Controllable Reservoir Related Parameters

Parameter Influence on Peak Oil Influence on Oil Recovery

Gas Index 2 24.12% 17.70%No of Fracture Treatment 14.45% 13.25%

Reservoir Index 1 6.13% 6.82%Proppant 3.86% 5.22%

Gas Index 1 -3.04% -3.50%Staging Method & Perforating 3.92% 1.73%

Treatment Type 2.31% 3.19%Lateral Length 3.15% 1.05%

Treatment Volume 2.49% 2.03%Reservoir Index 2 0.42% 0.48%

Page 11: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Truax Area New Completion A

• Well and Reservoir – 7” shoe – 11456 ft, TD – 19100 ft, Length – 7644 ft– Mud Type – Saltwater, 9.56 lb/g, vis 29.– Upper Bakken TVD – 11,323 ft.– ROP; Avg – 0.92 min/ft, Median – 0.62 min/ft.– TG; Avg – 531, Median – 513. – Alkane Fraction; C1- 0.31, C2- 0.23, C3 – 0.1, C4 – 0.36 – GR; Avg – 87, Median – 86.

• Completion and Frac– 4.5” liner with 18 swell packers. Liner top 10,374 ft.– 18 frac stages; 7 stim sleeves, 11 Plug & Perf.– 1,845,000 g X-link Fluid. – 1,548,000 lb 20/40 Ceramic.– 35 to 40 BPM.

2,876

15,319

17,108

21,983

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Model Predicted - X-Link, NoFrac Compartmentilization

Model Predicted - AsCompleted, 18 Fracs

Actual - 18 Fracs Model Predicted - 25 FracCompartments, X-Link,

Intermediate PropB

est M

onth

Oil

BB

L

Data Driven Model Predictions

530 % Increase in production for 50% increase in well cost

Page 12: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

• Well and Reservoir– 4.5” liner, Shoe – 19,795, TOL – 10,527 – Mud Type – Saltwater, 9.5 lb/g (ST 9.9 lb/g), vis 28 (ST 31)– Upper Bakken – 11,058 ft tvd– TG; Avg – 857 (ST 1005) – Alkane Fraction; C1- 0.43, C2- 0.23, C3 – 0.18, C4 – 0.16 – GR; Avg – 90 (ST 83)– Lateral Azimuth – Northwest (345 deg )

• Completion and Frac– 26 Fracs – 18 Stim Sleeve followed by 8 Plug and Perf. – Proppant Totals - 2,975,800 lb 20/40 Ceramic.– Fluid Totals - 1,547,000 gal. x-linked gel and 909,000 gal. linear gel.

15,839

21,95420,958

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Model Predicted - 18 FracTreatments

Model Predicted - AsCompleted, 26 Frac

Treatments

Actual - 26 Frac TreatmentsPe

ak O

il M

BBL

Data Driven Model Predictions

Truax Area New Completion B

38 % Increase in production for 15% increase in well cost

Page 13: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

• Well and reservoir– 7” intermediate set at – 9980 ft. Lateral TD – 17750 ft, – Mud Type – Saltwater, 9.65 lb/g, vis 29.– ROP; Avg – 0.927 min/ft, Median – 0.750 min/ft.– TG; Avg – 218, Median – 202. – Alkane Fraction; C1- 0.58, C2- 0.24, C3 – 0.09, C4 – 0.09 – GR; Avg – 92.5, Median – 93.– Lateral Azimuth – Northwest (327 Deg)

• Completion and Frac - The 4.5” liner could not be run to TD and was set at 16423 ft. TOL – 7716 ft, Cased Length – 6443 ft. – 21 Fracs – 10 Stim Sleeve, 11 P&P. – Proppant Totals - 1,411,900 lb 20/40 sand, 701,300 lb 20/40 Ceramic .– Fluid Totals - 2,130,000 gal. x-linked gel and 231,000 gal. linear gel.

5,726

11,259

6,681

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Actual Model Predicted - 21 FracTreatments

Model Predicted - 11 FracTreatments

Peak

Oil

MBB

L

Data Driven Modeling Predictions and Analysis

Wild Rose Area New Completion C

Well producing as if treated with less than 21 frac treatments

Page 14: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

B

A

C

B

A

C

Comparison of Data Driven Model

Estimated vs. Actual Production

Page 15: Optimizing Horizontal Completion/Frac Design with Data Driven Engineering and Modeling

Summary The data driven approach to completion and hydraulic fracture design can compliment a factory mode of well completion operations.

Data Driven Modeling is useful for: Determine best practices Quickly estimate production for various completion

and frac methods Estimate well potential in the case of sub optimal completion/frac Economic optimization of well completion and fracs Prospect evaluation Provide direction for engineering efforts

Data driven and discrete well modeling are not exclusive. Ideally results from the two approaches should complement and support each other.