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Optical Systems, Inc.
Rating: Speculative Buy
Market Data July 8, 2008
Symbol OPSY
Exchange OTCPK Current Price $0.16
Price Target $0.50
Rating Speculative Buy
Outstanding Shares 94.6 million
Market Cap. $15.1 million
Average Volume NA
Source: Yahoo Finance, Analyst estimates
Company Overview
Optical Systems Inc. (OPSY), through its wholly owned subsidiary, Automotive Software
Designers, Inc., provides front office software Save-A-Deal for automotive dealerships
nationwide. in the US.OPSYs save-a-deal software has been shown to significantly improve
dealer efficiency by automating workflow within a dealership, eliminating manual forms and
reducing the time needed to desk and finance a deal. T T he Company further differentiates its
software from industry competitors products by providing (unlike other players) also provides
value- added services such as management management consulting, network support and
business development call centerancy and call center services to its clients. At present, OPSY has21 franchised automotive dealerships using its front office software. In June 2008, Recently, the
Company announced the opening of a business development call center which will further
support its save-a-deal customers. Iintegrated with OPSYs sales information system the
business development call center will help auto dealers convert more leads into showroom sales
by promptly responding to customer enquiries. its software Save-A-Deal with business
development call center to enable its clients convert more leads into showroom sales. Currently,
the Company has a client base of 21 automotive dealers using its software products across the
US.
The Recently, the Company has installed completed installation of its save-a-deal software at
Frank Kent Honda, one of the oldest and largest Honda dealers in Teas. Hiley Mazda This and
other dealer relationships are enhancing the Companys visibility and multiplying its sales
opportunities. , the largest automotive dealer in North Texas. This is expected to give a further
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boost to the Companys earnings visibility. More recently, OPSY announced a marketing
partnership with Also, to enhance its marketing efforts the Company entered into a marketing
partnership deal with Alphatrade.com, a media and marketing company, where Alphatrade
will assist OPSY with digital marketing, media and networking. The Company has raised $2.4
million in capital since its inception and is contemplating a $2 million strategic financing
arrangement with potential partners. plans to These funds would be used for marketing
purposes and expanding the Companys customer base. undertake a private placement of its
common stock to raise funds for future expansion.
In November 2007, tThe Company, formerly known as Optical Systems Holdings, acquired 100%
of the issued and outstanding stock of Automotive Software Designers, Inc (ADS), which owned
the save-a-deal software. Prior to closing this deal, ADSs owner B.J. Grisaffi acquired a majority
stake in OPSY. Mr. Grisaffi has more than 30 years of automotive dealership and relatedexperience and currently serves as OPSYs President, CEO and a director. on November 19,
2007.TheIn addition, two prominent directors have been added in 2008. Keith Orr, a legendary
figure in the automotive industry and CEO/co-owner of Orr Automotive, recently joined
OPSYs board. So has William Mokry, an automotive industry veteran who held executive
management positions with two major U.S. auto manufacturers. Mr. Mokry currently owns and
manages a multi-location sub-prime automobile sales and finance company.
Mmanagement believes that the new business development call center the Company opened
last month significantly enhances the value proposition OPSY offers customers since it frees
dealership sales professionals to focus on selling and closing car sales, rather than chasing down
leads. The save-a-deal business development call center is unique in that it is staffed by trained
vehicle sales professionals and not the more typical low-skill call center workers. Preliminary
results suggest that save-a-deal dealerships utilizing the services of the business development
call center can expect to more than double closing rates for their stores. Companys strong
network of dealers in Texas and other states, and a strong product portfolio would enable it to
cater to the varied needs of automobile dealers. The Companys shares are traded under the
symbol OPSY in Pink Sheets.
Investment Highlights
Auto dealerships seek competitive advantages through better sales tools
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The Company serves a competitive, highly fragmented automotive dealership market consisting
of some 21,800 franchised dealers nationwide and tens of thousands of independent dealers.
Intense competition for customers has given car buyers strong bargaining power. As a result,
industry profit margins are under pressure. Unable to boost prices on most vehicle models,
dealers are focusing instead on maintaining margins through greater efficiency. OPSYs save-a-
deal front office software enables dealers to significantly improve efficiency by automating
workflow, eliminating paper forms and streamlining deal financing.
Dealers desperate for sales follow-up tools
OPSY is addressing an unmet market need by developing call centers that provide customer
follow-up calls for save-a-deal dealers. The ability to offer this highly profitable service is a
natural offshoot of the save-a-deal package since the system requires the dealers sales associate
to acquire a customers information at the point of sale. Auto dealerships are in desperate need
of efficient, reliable sales follow-up tools and the Companys call centers are uniquely positioned
to fill that need.
OPSYs integrated software is supported by valued-added services Wide range of product
offerings
The Companys save-a-deal software combines sales prospecting, CRM, deal desking and
inventory management functionalities in one integrated tool. OPSY also offers its dealer
customers value-added services such as management consulting, networking solutions and
business development call center support. offers a wide range of services through its product
Save-A-Deal. These include Internet CRM, desking, inventory management, report generation
for the management, and DMS integration with inventory and finalized deals. Recently, the
Company integrated its Save-A-Deal software with its business development call center to
enable automotive dealers to convert more leads into showroom sales by responding promptly
to customer inquiries.The Companys feature-rich Besides, the Company provides value added
services such as management consulting and network solutions to the automsoftware and
related services differentiates OPSYs product from the competition. Other software vendors
serving this niche market offer software limited to only one particular application such as otive
dealers across the US. The wide range of products and services provided by the Company gives
an edge over other players which provide solitary products with particular type of features such
as desking, or inventory management or Internet CRM.
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Strong demand from competitive automotive dealer market
The Company serves a very competitive and highly fragmented automotive retail industry
which comprises of about 21,800 franchised dealers. A large number of players and strong
bargaining power of buyers has resulted in competitive margin pressures. Since the dealers havevery little influence on the pricing front, they look for achieving higher cost efficiency to
improve margins. Besides, the increase in vehicle population, consolidation in the dealer
segment, and increased insurance & finance related services have necessitated automation in
day to day operations. Integrated software helps to streamline operations and improve
efficiencies and also offers a better return on investment (ROI) to the customers.
Installed dealership base and new marketing partnership Strategic deals to boost revenue
The Company has installed its save-a-deal software at 21 dealerships nationwide and recently
completed a the software installation at of the Save-A-Deal software solution system at Frank
Kent Honda, one of the Hiley Mazda of Arlington, the oldest and largest Honda dealerships in
Texas. largest automotive dealer in North Texas. The Company plans to further boost its brand
visibility and sales prospects through a marketing partnership with has also entered into a deal
with Aalphatrade.com. This , a marketing company is known for its ability to tailor its programs
to target specific demographics in a cost-effective manner. Brand awareness in the automotive
industry is essential to OPSYs long-term success; Alphatrade is designing a marketing program
specifically tailored to achieving this objective. that helps in brand building, promotions and
networking opportunities. Such new customer acquisitions and marketing efforts would
generate revenues for the Company in the near term.
OPSY anticipates rRobust revenue growth and profitability in anticipated for 2008
With all the The Company has finished the development work on of its principal software
package essentially completed, the Companys 2008 R&D spending requirements are minimal
and OPSY is free to redirect its resources towards marketing and sales. Management targets 50%
quarter-over-quarter growth over the next several quarters and estimates 2008 revenues will fall
in a $0.7 million range. High gross margins on both software and business development call
center sales (i.e. 95% margins) enabled OPSY to turn profitable in the first quarter of 2008 and
we anticipate the Company will report a modest net profit for full-year 2008. product, and
research and development expenditure is expected to be very minimal. The expenditures during
the current year are expected to be directed more towards actual results. The Company expects
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to post a staggering revenue growth of 1,057.20% to $700,000 compared to $60,491 recorded a
year ago. Additionally, a strong net margin of 95% in the software and business development
industry is expected to ensure robust growth for the Company.
Experienced management team directs OPSYsto steer Companys future growth
Company President/ and CEO, Mr. B.J. Grisaffi, has more than 30 years of experience managing
in management of automobile dealerships. He, along with his team, pioneered the sSave-aA-
dDeal program and led the development of the software. . Mr. Keith Orr, who recently joined
the Company as a director, of the Company, is a legendary figure name in the automotive bile
industry He was the CEO and majority owner of Orr Automotive Group. and brings to
OPSYhas substantial experience in marketing, sales, product development and dealership
management experience. In July, William Mokry, an automotive industry veteran who held
executive management positions with two major U.S. auto manufacturers, was added to the
board. Mr. Mokry currently owns and manages a multi-location, sub-prime automobile sales
and finance company. The industry veterans would leverage their knowledge to foster growth
for the Company and increase its market share.
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Automotive Dealership Market Retail Industry growing need for
automated operations
Automotive retail industry - A Hhighly fragmented and competitive market industry
The vast mMajority ofthe new car sales in the automotive retail sales in the U.S.are is generated
by some 21,800 franchised automotive dealerships nationwide which have combined annual
revenues of approximately $675billion. The industry is highly fragmented, with the top
dealerships automotive retail industry is highly fragmented with the top public players
accounting for less than 10% of industry revenues. However, the automotive dealership industry
has begun to consolidate in recent years due to declining new vehicle sales, competition from
on-line sources, Moreover, the industry has seen consolidation in the past few yand other
competitive challenges which have resulted in ears. Increased competition and businessconsolidation have resulted in pricing and margin pressures. Unable to raise vehicle prices, car
Given the fragmented and competitive nature of the industry, the dealers are focusing instead
on do not enjoy significant pricing advantage, and therefore need to focus on improving
efficiencies as a means for boosting profits. This scenario is creating demand for This will
generate demand for integrated software products that can help to improve front office process
efficiency. Vendors of value-added software and services such as ies. This provides tremendous
opportunity for Optical Systems, Inc. are uniquely well-positioned to address the evolving
needs of this niche market. to market and sell its product and services in this market.
Exhibit 1: State-by-state breakdown of auto dealerships Fragmented US Automotive Dealer Industry
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Alabama345
Arizona 256
Montana 132
Washi ngton 383
Oregon 274
Idaho 123
Nevada 118
Utah 153
New Mexico 140
Colo rado 284
California1,594
Texas 1,346
Oklah oma 299
Kansas 258
Wyoming 70
North Dakota96
Arkansas267
Nebraska 213
South Dakota
117
Minnesota38
Iowa369
Missouri494
Louisiana337
Mississippi242
Tennessee
420
Kentucky
298
Wisconsin597
Michigan759
Illinois934
Indiana521
Ohio958 West
Virginia169
Pennsylvania1,161
New York1,112
Virginia551
North Carolina692
Georgia603
SouthCarolina
326
Florida948
Maine144
Vermont97
New Hampshire 169
Massachusetts 478
Maryland 358
Rhode Island 63
New Jersey 574
Delaware 65
Conn ecticut 320
Alaska 38
Hawaii 66
D.C. 1
Source: NADA
Exhibit 2: BreakdownNumber ofU.S. auto dealerships, by volume of new-unit sales
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
0-149 150-399 400-749 750+
Numberofdealerships
1988 1998 2008
Source: NADA Industry Analysis Division
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More Growing number of vehicles on the road today than ever beforeand increased product
offerings
The number of vehicles operating in operation in the United States grew to was more than 248
million in as ofJune, 2007. The number of vehicles on the road increased 2% annually between2000 and 2007. had increased at an average rate of 2 percent (2002-2007). Although the new
vehicles registrations have declined modestly in recent years, the used car market remains
robust, providing automotive dealers with ions have gone down marginally in the recent years,
the second-hand vehicles market provides ample opportunities for increasing sales volume In
addition to selling cars, most dealers now generate significant incremental profits from selling
insurance and financing services to their customers. y for autoThe increasing complexity of
automotive dealership operations has created the need for software tools that can streamline
and automate several processes. motive car dealers to increase their volume of sales. Besides, carsales, automotive retailers also provide insurance and financial services to their customers.
Increased nature of operations increases the demand for automated streamlined operations.
Exhibit 3: Total Vehicles in operation by year
180
200
220
240
260
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Million
s
Source: The Polk Co. & NADA
Exhibit 4: Aftermarket income (As % of new- and used-vehicle department gross profit)
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0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Finance and insurance Service contract and other
Source: NADA Industry Analysis Division
Margin gains targeted through Lower profit calls for efficiencies
The Iintense competition among in the automotive dealers market has led to declining a fall in
industry profits. The profitability of s for new vehicles sales hasve been adversely severely
impacted by lower sales volume, large inventories, generous consumer incentives, and higher
floor plan and energy costs. In the last During the last two years, net profits on for new vehicle
sales have fallen s gone below the breakeven level for most automotive dealers. As a result,
automotive dealerships must now rely on used car sales to generate more of their profits.
AltThough net profits on for used car sales have declined marginally in recent years, these sales
remain has shown a marginal decline for automotive dealers, it is still very attractive compared
to new car sales. NADA (National Automobile Dealers Association) claims that despite lower
profits, dealer the gross dealership industry margins have remainedbeen relatively stable; it is
only , while net profit margins that have declined. To improve net profit margins, the
automotive dealers are seeking way to reduce look for reducing overhead and automate
processes, expenditure by installing software and other efficiencyt software tools that can
provide a rapid return on investment. products that could generate improved ROI.
Exhibit 5: New-vehicle department net profit Exhibit 6: Used-vehicle department net profit
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-50
0
50
100
150
200
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
'000s$
0
40
80
120
160
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
'000s$
Source: NADA Industry Analysis Division
Clutteredof software competitive landscapeproviders with diverse offerings to the
automotive dealers
Many vendors have developed software with applications for automotive dealerships; product
offerings range from The market for software solutions in the US automotive retail industry
comprises of various players providing diverse offerings, starting from pure CRM- related
software to Internet-based applications and database management services. This niche software
market is characterized by e industry is pronrapidly e to changing software technology needs,
continuous innovations and a growing emphasis on ease of use. Factors that determine the most
successful software vendors are the size of the ease of operations. The highly competitive and
fragmented industry comprises of players focusing purely on automotive software and other
software providers. Increasing installed customer base, hassle- free usage, strongbranding and
increased product functionalityofferings. will be some of the key success factors.
OPSY offers the industrys most complete end-to-end software solutions for car sales and
dealership front office operations. The Company further differentiates its product with value-
added services such as ptical Systems Inc. expects to grow on the back of exhaustive offerings of
its premier software Save-A-deal. Additionally, the Company, unlike other software providers,
offers services such as management consulting, networking solutions and business developmentcall center services for save-a-deal dealershipsto the automotive dealers.
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Exhibit 7: OPSY cCompetitive advantage of Optical Systems, Inc.
Source: Company Reports
Product Strategy - One stop shop for a wide range of product offerings
OPSY has developed a The Company offers superior qsoftware solution that provides a broad
range of functionalities. uality products wThe Company markets the industrys only ith a wide
variety of features. This makes Optical Systems the only integrated lead sourcing, Internet CRM,
desking and inventory management tool. service provider.In addition to feature-rich software,
OPSY supports its save-a-deal customers with The Company also provides business
development call center, solutions, management consulting service and network solution
services. s to its customers, unlike the other software providers, which have limited OPSYs
President/offerings. Company CEO Mr. B.J. Grisaffi, and new directors Mr. Keith Orr, and
William Mokry haveing extensive dealership management backgrounds and have imparted
Optical
Systems, Inc
Software Management Network Call Center
The Reynolds& Reynolds
Software Professional IT Solutions
AutomaticData
BusinessOutsourcing
DealerstrackHoldings Inc.
Software
CobaltInternet
Advertising and
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their accumulated wisdom in the Companys experience in the automotive dealership industry,
impart the much required guidance in developing a feature-rich software product.
Save-a-deal softwareOptical Systems Inc. Portfolio
The Companys save-a-deal software offers customers the following: portfolio includes front
office software Save-A-Deal with various features catering to the needs of individual clients. It
also provides various services such as management consulting service and network solutions to
its clients. In June 2008, the Company integrated its Save-A-Deal software with its business
development call center. This move was aimed at enabling automotive dealers to convert more
leads into showroom sales by responding promptly to customer inquiries.
The Company offers the following products and services:
-Document and source all sales prospects from the Internet, telephone, walk-in traffic and
appointments;
- Facilitate, control and monitor follow-up with the CRM tool;
- Control and monitor the sales process with a customized desk dealing tool;
-Control new and used vehicle inventories with inventory management tools.
Exhibit 8: Products and services
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Source: Company Reports
The front office software Save-A-Deal is the Companys premier product and encompasses
features such as deal desking, Internet CRM capabilities, drivers license scanner, inventorymanagement, and finance department menu.
The Company also provides management consulting tofor dealerships on a weekly basis,
drawing on the experience of . The Company uses personnel who have held positions such as
worked at various levels (such as General Manager, Sales Manager and Finance and Insurance ,
F&I Manager.) for this service. Recognizing the industrys desperate need for customer follow-
up calls, OPSYently, the Company has integrated its sSave-aA-dDeal software with a the
business development call center that will o enable automotive dealers to convert more leads
into showroom sales.
The Company also provides network services that help to automotive dealers to solve their
complex ITnetwork problems. Few dealerships have the in-house This helps the dealers as they
dont have the technical expertise to address network issues. solve such problems.
Optical Systems Inc. Products and Services
Products Services
Save-A-Deal Software
Deal Deskings SalesDepartmentOne Piece
FinanceDepartment
Menu
InventoryManagement
BusinessDevelopment
CenterSolutions
Save-A-DealReports
Internet CRMCapabilities
DriversLicense
Scanner
DMSIntegration
ManagementConsulting
NetworkSolutions
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Business Strategy
The Companys has a sound business strategy that encompasses every all aspect of its
operationss of the business from product development and positioning to marketing, brand
building and creation and marketing plans to funding strategiesy.
Call center solution enhancess for customer acquisition and retention
OPSY is enhancing its value proposition to automotive dealerships by leveraging the customer
leads gathered through the front office software with business development call centers which
ptical System, Inc. helps its customers to convert more leads into showroom sales. Preliminary
results indicate that dealers using the support services of the business development call center
can expect to more than double closing rates for their stores. The Company provides call center
frees dealership sales personnel from mundane, low value tasks such as solutions such as
handling incoming preliminary sales inquiries, making outbound follow up sales calls to
customers and qualified prospects, and calling\emailing prospective Internet leads. The
Company staffs its call center with trained vehicle sales personnel instead of the inexperienced,
low skill workers typically associated with call center operations. resses on making quality calls
to the customers and provides rigorous industry training to its business development executives
to acquire the requisite skills.
Management consulting services and network services furtherto enhance offerings
OPSY makes mThe Company provides mananagement consulting services available to its auto
to tdealer customers and also he automotive dealers in the United States through its panel of
expert personnel. Also, the Company caters to its customers needs for technical expertise to
solve complex network issues. The Company uuses its contacts with senior network engineers to
assist customers in solve complex network issues. of the dealers.
Plans to shift from R&D to revenue generation
With product development essentially complete, OPSY is shifting its focus from research and
development to product sales and marketing. Management targets growth averaging 50% per
quarter over the next several quarters and shifting its marketing plan into high gear with
Alphatrades helpLast year, the Company invested in its R&D activities to develop the product,
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and will now shift its focus to cash on the product sales. The first quarter ended March 2008 has
shown a remarkable revenue growth at $134,680, as compared to the 2007 revenues of $60,491.
The Company plans to lower its R&D expenditure in 2008.
Creating brand awareness with the help of alphatrade .com
The Company recognizes that is trying to generate brand awareness of its product within the
automotive marketplaceindustry is essential for its longer-term success. Accordingly, OPSY is
partnering with which is essential for its commercial success. The Company has recently tied up
withmarketing guru Alphatrade to create and roll out a highly targeted and effective marketing
campaign. Trade which is developing a marketing plan for the Company to build brand
awareness among the automotive retailers.
Plans to raise funds via an equity private placement
The Company currently has 21 franchised dealers using its save-a-deal software and is
discussing a strategic financing arrangement with potential partners which could raise $2.0
million in additional capital and fund further expansion of its marketing efforts and customer
base. has recently added a new software developer as part of its expansion plans. The Company
plans to raise fund through private placement for its future expansion.
Exhibit 9: Business Strategy
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Source: Beacon Equity Research
Competitive Analysis
OPSYs closest direct competitor, DealerTrack Holdings, generates annual sales approaching
$250 million. DealerTrack Holdings and other competitors are described below:
DealerTtrack Holdings Inc
DealerTtrack Holdings provides on- demand software and data solutions for to U.S. the
automotive dealerships. retail industry in the US. It is a public limited company. The company
utilizes the Internet to link automotive dealers with banks, finance companies, credit unions and
other financing sources, and also other service and information providers, such as the major
credit reporting agencies. As of December 31, 2007, DealerTrack Holdings had the Company has
a network ofmore than 22,000 automotive dealers (approximately 90% of all franchised dealers)
in its network and,over more than 450 financing sources as well as other and a number of other
service and information providers. to the automotive retail industry in the US. The company is
headquartered in Lake Success, New York and primarily operates in the U.S. and Canada.
Business
Strateg
Creatingbrand
awareness
Raisingfunds viaprivate
placement
Call cCenter&consultancysservices forcustomeracquisition
Shiftfrom
R&D torevenueenerati
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Automatic Data Processing
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP), is primarily engaged in providesing computerized
transaction processing, data communication and information services. It is a public limited
company providing business outsourcing solutions. ADP also provides payroll processing(including full departmental outsourcing) and human resource administration services in
Canada and Europe. It also offers wage and tax collection, and remittance services in Canada.
ADP was incorporated in 1961, and is headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey. It primarily
operates primarily in the U.S. and has 46,000 employees.
The Reynolds and Reynolds Company
Reynolds and Reynolds Company is an integrated solutions provider to automotive retailers.
The cCompany provides a range of services such as information technology, software solutions
and professional services to the retail automotive segment. ItThe company also offers its
products and services for to original equipment manufacturers. It is a private The company
operatinges primarily in the U.S. and Canada and employings about 4,300 people.
Cobalt Group
The Cobalt Group (Cobalt) provides Internet advertising and marketing services such as lead
management, inventory marketing, image marketing advanced vehicle research, pre-owned
marketing and Spanish-language marketing to automobile dealers and manufacturers. The
company's marketing services enable auto manufacturers and dealers in the automotive retail
market to build brands through marketing and Internet advertising primarily through the
Internet. Privately-owned Cobalt is a privately held company. It works with more than 27
manufacturers and 12,000 franchised dealers across throughout the U.S.
Financial Analysis
Financial Record
OPSY had sales totaling For the year 2007, the Company had sales of$60,491 in 2007. The , as the
Company became active in November only since October 2007 when it acquired Automotive
Software Designers, Inc. For the quarter ending March 2008, the Company posted revenues of
$134,680. The management expects the full year revenue for 2008 to reach a staggering $700,000
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backed by its expansion plans and existing contracts. Sale of software would account for a lions
share with anticipated revenues of $550,000, while the balance $150,000 would be generated
from business development.
Total Ooperating expenses totaled incurred in 2007 were $157,013 in 2007, with pPayroll andrelated fringe costs accounting for about 59.0% of the total , and administrative expenses and
selling & marketing expenses constituting 24.6% and 14.3%, respectively. The Company plans to
increase sales and marketing expenditures in 2008 as its focus shifts from expects its
administrative cost to constitute over 90% of the total operating expenses in 2008 as its shifts its
focus more towards actual revenue generation than on research and development to revenue
generation.
OPSYThe Company recorded a net loss of $109,522 in 2007. Net income turned positive in the
first quarter of 2008 as a result of revenue growth that allowed for improved absorption of
overhead costs. on account of high operating expenses and lower revenues. However, the
Company posted a net income of $7,940 for the quarter ended March 2008, with an increase in
revenues and decline in operating expenses.
Exhibit 10: Selected financial data from income statement data
First quarterended March
31, 2008*
Year ended
December 31,2007
Revenue $134,680 $60,491
Total OperatingExpenses
$127,190$157,013
Operating IncomeGrossProfit
$7,940134,680 (109,522)$60,491
Net Income / (Loss) $7,940 ($109,522)
EBITDA ($10,546) ($106,047)
Source: Company Reports, Pink Sheets
* Quarter ending March 31, 2008
Liquidity and capital requirements
As of March 31, 2008, the Company had cash and equivalents of $124,475 and no long-term
liabilities. However, OPSY had a working capital deficit (excluding cash) of assets worth $714,137
and current liabilities of $90,211. The Company had enough short term liquidity in the form of
cash and cash equivalents which stood at $124,475. The Company also had a working capital
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(excluding cash) deficit of approximately $11,484. The Company will likely need to raise
additional external financing to fund its 2008/09 business plan and is contemplating a $2
million strategic financing arrangement.
Exhibit 11: Selected financial data from balance sheet data
March 31,2008
Cash & cash equivalents $124,475
Net working capital( excluding cash)
($11,484)
Total assets $ 714,137
Total long term liabilities N/A
Total current liabilities $90,211
Stock holders Equity( deficit )
$633,868
Source: Company 10-QReports, Pink Sheets
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Revenue Future Outlook
With development work on its software product essential completed, OPSY is switching its
focus to revenue generation. The Company is already off to a strong start in 2008, recording first
quarter sales of $134,680 and a modest first quarter net profit. Optical Systems Inc. hasdifferentiated itself in a widely cluttered industry by offering quality products and services to
the consumers. Its unique offerings in the form of being the only integrated Internet, desking
and inventory management service provider has helped the Company to creaManagement is
targeting 50% quarter-over-quarter sales growth for the next several quarters. We expect OPSY
to generate 2008 revenues in a $0.7-0.9 million range, which will consist of $0.2-0.4 million in
business development call center sales and around $0.5 million in software sales. te a niche p
osition in the market. The Company expects to grow rapidly through its existing contracts and
by implementing its expansion plans.
The Companys principal competitor, DealerTrack Holdings, produces annual revenues in a
$250 million range supplying a limited software product to around 90% of the nations franchise
auto dealers. Simply capturing 10% of that market creates a $25 million market opportunity for
OPSY. Going forward, we anticipate growth in OPSYs revenues to around $3.5 million in 2009
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and $7 million in 2010, with sales rising to $17.5 million by 2012. Recurring revenues from the
business development call centers provides a powerful tool for leverage software sales.
Reflecting its high gross margins and lean operating structure, we expect OPSY to remain
solidly profitable for full-year 2008 and beyond.
Valuation Analysis
OPSYs competitors were recently trading at Price/Sales multiples averaging around 2.6 times
revenues and forward Price/Sales multiples averaging about 2.5 times revenues. Because of its
higher projected revenue growth and recurring revenues from call center operations, we believe
OPSY shares warrant a premium multiple relative to DealerTrack Holdings. We value OPSY
shares at a 3.0 times forward Price/Sales multiple. Optical Systems, Inc. provides front officesoftware solutions to the automotive dealers in the United States. The Company has created a
niche position in the market by emerging as the only integrated Internet, desking and inventory
management service provider. The companies mentioned below as the peer group companies of
Optical Systems, Inc, such as Dealertrack Holdings Inc and Automatic Data Processing Inc have
more diversified products in their portfolio. However, one or all of their segmental businesses
compete directly with Optical Systems, Inc.
Valuation Analysis
Exhibit 12: Peer group
CompanyName
TickerSymb
ol
SharePrice
($)
Market Cap.
($Million
)
PE P/S
20072
0082
0092
0072
0082
009
DealertrackDealerTrack
HoldingsInc TRAK
$14.7407
628599.78
21.713.79
35.4
11.44
12.0
10.05
2.328
2.503
2.
41.73
AutomaticDataProcessingInc ADP
$42.6410
2,2131,825.40 19.40
19.117.4
7
17.715.3
62.54
92.63
1
2.52.12
Averagefor the
20.516.6
27.2
14.912.7
2.439
2.617
2.51.
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PeerAvgGroup
014.45
1 93
OpticalSystems,Inc
OPSY$0.16
5154.19 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Source: Reuters (Share price as on Julyne 92, 2008)
By multiplying our $17.5 million 2012 revenue estimate by a 3.0 times forward Price/sales
multiple, we derive a $52.5 million market capitalization target for OPSY shares. We assume 10%
share dilution resulting from the proposed strategic financing and divide the market
capitalization target by 105 million fully diluted shares outstanding to derive our $0.50 price
target. Accordingly, we are initiating coverage of Optical Systems, Inc. with a Speculative Buy
rating and a $0.50 price target. With its feature-rich software and value-added call center
services, we think OPSY is well-positioned to rapidly garner share in the automotive dealer
software market. We caution investors, however, that OPSY must confront and overcome many
obstacles in achieving its market penetration goals. Some of the principal risks faced by the
Company are discussed below.
Risk Factors
Reliance on automotive industry
The Companys software and services address the specific needs of automotive dealerships. At
present, OPSY is entirely dependent on automotive dealers for product sales. The U.S. economic
slowdown has created a difficult sales environment for automotive dealer and high crude oil
prices are adversely impacting sales of gas-guzzling vehicle models.
Technology risks
The Company also faces risks related to technology innovation. Its product may become
outdated and the possibility exists that a competitor may introduce more feature-rich software.
OPSYs ability to adapt to changing technology and the evolving needs of its market niche will
determine the Companys future growth.
Brand loyalty
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DealerTrack Holdings has relationships with nearly 90% of automotive dealerships. Although
OPSY offers a more feature rich product as well as valued-added services, customers may be
hesitant to switch vendors and brand loyalty to DealerTrack Holdings may limit OPSYs ability
to garner market share.
Lack of financing
The Company has a working capital deficit and will likely need to raise additional third party
financing to implement its 2008/09 business plan. A $2.0 million strategic financing is
contemplated; however, there is no guarantee that OPSY will be able to raise the necessary
capital. An equity sale dilutes the ownership interests of existing shareholders while debt
financing increases the Companys finance risk and debt servicing requirements.
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Management
Mr. B. J. Grisaffi, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. B. J. Grisaffi has more than 30 years experience managing , Chairman and Chief ExecutiveOfficer, of the company has focused on management of automobile dealerships. He and his
team for more than 30 years. Mr. Grisaffi and his team pioneered the sSave-aA-dDeal program,
introducing the which is the only integrated automotive dealership front office software
available in the market Internet, desking and inventory management services provider in the
industrytoday. Mr. Grisaffi was the owner of Automotive Software Designers and acquired a
majority stake in OPSYthe Company before the two companies were merged. it acquired
Automotive Software Designers, Inc. He currently serves as Later, he was appointed Director
and President, CEO and a director of the merged business. of the Company.
Keith Orr, Director
Keith Orr, Director of the Company, is a legendary figure in the automotive bile industry. He
was the CEO and the majority owner of the Orr Automotive Group. Mr. Orrs experience
encompasses senior roles in variety of fields such as marketing, sales, product development and
dealership management. Mr. Orr holds a Bbachelors degree in Bbusiness Mmanagement from
the University of Texas at Arlington.
William Mokry, Director
Mr. Mokry joined OPSYs board of directors in July 2008. This automotive industry veteran has
held senior executive positions with two major U.S. auto manufacturers as well as ownership
intererts in retail dealerships. He currently owns and manages a multi-location, , sub-prime auto
sales and finance company. Risk Analysis
Overdependence on automotive industry
The Company is completely dependent on automotive dealers for its business. As the US
economy witnesses a slump, the monetary policies are expected to be tightened. This is expected
to adversely affect the automotive industry in the country. Furthermore, rising crude oil prices
are also expected to affect the automotive sector, and therefore the car dealers.
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Technology risks
The Company also faces risks related to technology innovation, which may make its product
outdated. The Companys ability to adjust to changes and use innovative ideas to improve its
product and services will also determine its growth.
Brand loyalty
In view of the competitive market environment, it has become imperative for companies to
develop brand loyalty among its customers. However, the brand loyalty of the consumers
towards existing competitors may act as a major hurdle for the Company to achieve success.
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Economic slowdown
Economic slowdown in the US, its only market, also acts as a major threat to the growth plans of
the Company.