opportunities for geothermal development: research...
TRANSCRIPT
ADELE MANZELLA, CNR-IGG
OPPORTUNITIES FOR
GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT:
research targets, needs and
gaps
CNR - Institute for Geosciences
and Earth Resources,
Via Moruzzi 1, 56124 Pisa, Italy
Opportunities for geothermal development
Research targets, needs and gaps
Why
Geothermal
Needs&Gaps
in Geothermal
Research
efforts
Why Geothermal Energy
What have been achieved so far? Is it the best we can do?
The resource is vast and ubiquitous
and has a corresponding large
potential for utilization.
The basis of geothermal energy is
the immense heat content of the
earth’s interior: the Earth is slowly
cooling down. Since billions of years
the heat in the Earth Crust is
constantly supplied by the decay of
natural radioactive isotopes or the
cooling of hot, shallow magmatic
bodies.
WHY GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
> 5000 °C
> 3000 °C
> 1000 °C
~ 30 °C/km
WHY GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
0 - 500 m
500 – 5000 m
More than 5000 m
Mostly for Direct uses of heat Borehole Heat Exchanger
Power generation – Heat&Power generation Conventional technologies – EGS (Engineered Geothermal Systems)
EGS – Supercritical fluids Future perspectives
Dry/hydrothermal Shallow Reservoir
Hydrothermal Systems: shallow and deep reservoir
Hot deep dry/wet rock reservoir
Depth
Depending on the depth and the physical properties of the resource, the heat&power production, the upfront cost and the appropriate utilization technology may vary.
The two main lines of geothermal
energy utilization, electric power
generation and direct use of heat,
are currently producing more than
60 TWhe with 10 GWe of installed
capacity, and about 300 TJ/yr with
30 GWth
And are constantly growing.
WHY GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Geothermal power production by region (Future trend IEA Tech. Roadmap)
Bertani, 2012
Not depending, directly or
undirectly, on sun, geothermal may
produce 24 hours per day:
a base-load energy like fossil and
nuclear sources
WHY GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Load factor for power plants of different technology
0
20
40
60
80
100
Geo
ther
mal
Nuc
lear
Con
v. T
herm
al
Bio
mas
s
Hyd
ro
Win
d
Sol
ar
Lo
ad
fa
cto
r (%
)
Power generation as well as direct
use already contribute to the
reduction of CO2 emissions.
Further deployment , depending on
future growth rates, could reduce
CO2 emission even more
significantly.
WHY GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
From IPCC, 2008
CO2 savings using geothermal water in Reykjavik (Iceland) compared to other energy sources
Wh
y ge
oth
erm
al e
ne
rgy
Power Generation Geothermal energy offers many advantages
Technology features Environment
Electricity generation
costs
Current costs
Base load
stability Maturity CO2
Footprint
(land use) CHP
potential Technical potential
Capacity
factor
Favorable Not favorable
Geothermal Conventional hydrothermal
EGS
Wind
Photovoltaic
Biomass
Small hydro
Da Bertani, 2009
Wh
y ge
oth
erm
al e
ne
rgy
Heat Generation Geothermal energy may play an important role for space conditioning and industrial processes
12,2
5,2
39
36
8
Primary Energy in Italy 2010
Renewable Electricity import
19
81
Final Energy Use in Italy 2010
Electrical Thermal
Needs and gaps
What is required for the expansion of geothermal energy, to increase the
number of projects as well as the variety of uses
The resource is vast and ubiquitous
and has a corresponding large
potential for utilization.
NEEDS&GAPS GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
> 5000 °C
> 3000 °C
> 1000 °C
~ 30 °C/km
However, only a fraction can be
used with actual technology, where
a carrier (water in the liquid phase
or steam) may "transfer" the heat
from deep hot zones to or near the
surface, thus giving rise to
geothermal resources.
Direct heat exchange is limited.
Ne
ed
s an
d G
aps
Ultimate goal Increase the share by increasing the exploitable volumes
Increase exploitable volumes
Reduce risk of not
finding permeabilit
y
Reduce costs
Thanks to the high capacity factor, the
total cost (LCOE) of geothermal power
production is comparable or cheap if
compared to those of others
renewables.
However, the capital, up-front costs
remain too high, due to the scarcity of
on-site data, the difficulty to forecast
the production prior to drill combined
with the high drilling costs.
The real geothermal potential is
scarcely known, it is seldom defined in
detail by the countries and is not
properly introduced in the Energy
Plans
NEEDS&GAPS GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
REQUIREMENTS
A comprehensive identification of resources and opportunities, as well as
an accessible collection of data and information
A clear and easy to follow regulation for authorizations in the exploration, drilling and exploitation phases of the project
The promotion and dissemination of technology, values, economics
Research and technological development
Research efforts
Targets, actual projects and actions
Tech
no
logy
& r
ese
arch
eff
ort
s Exploration and investigation technology: Improvement of the probability of finding an unknown geothermal reservoir and better characterize known reservoir, optimizing exploration and modeling of the underground prior to drill. Require also clear terminology, methodology and guidelines for the assessment of geothermal potential. It will result in an increased success rate. Drilling technology: improvements on conventional approaches to drilling such as more robust drill bits, innovative casing methods, better cementing techniques for high temperature, improved sensors, electronic capable of operating at higher temperature in downhole tools, revolutionary improvements utilizing new methods of rock penetration. It will result in reducing the drilling cost and it will allow to access deep and hot regions. Power conversion technology: improving heat-transfer performance for low temperature fluid, developing plant design with high efficiency and low parasitic losses. It will increase the available resource basis to the huge low-temperature regions, not only those having favorable geological conditions.
Tech
no
logy
& r
ese
arch
eff
ort
s Operation technology: increasing production flow rate by targeting specific zones for stimulation, improving heat-removal efficiency in fractured rock system. Refine stimulation methods (permeability enhancement) for Engineered Geothermal Systems (EGS) and reduce the risk associated with induced seismicity. It will lead to an immediate cost reduction increasing the output per well and extending reservoir operating life.
Unconventional Geothermal Systems (UGR) technology: emerging activities to harness energy from nowadays non-economic reservoir would make significant progress with qualified input from research. in particular, reservoirs with supercritical fluids (fluids in the thermodynamic area above the critical temperature and pressure) and geopressurized reservoirs (deep sedimentary basins where fluids show high pressure and are rich of chemical elements or gases). This includes, beside peculiar power conversion and reservoir technology, also Operation & Maintenance techniques in aggressive geothermal environments, since they require specific solutions for corrosion and scaling problems. It will lead to an overall increase in power production
Tech
no
logy
& r
ese
arch
eff
ort
s
Management technology: retrieve, simulate and monitor geothermally relevant reservoir parameters that influence the potential performance and long-term behavior. It includes the development of a Zero-emission technology, by mean of the total reinjection of fluid (and gases) within the reservoir without cooling and secondary effects. It will secure the sustainable production achieved by using the correct production rates, taking into account the local resource characteristics (field size, natural recharge rate, etc.), extending the reservoir operating life and producing a benefit for the environment.
www.eera-set.eu
European Energy Research
Alliance Aim: accelerate development of new energy technologies
− Harmonisation of national and EC programmes, decrease fragmentation
− Strengthen, expand and optimise research capabilities
− Draw on results from fundamental research
− Mature technologies to hand over to industry driven research (industry groupings)
Build upon well accepted Strategic Research Agenda (SRA)
Link to Industry Initiatives
Create virtual Centres of Excellence
International Collaboration
JOINT PROGRAMME on GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
www.eera-set.eu
The goal of the JPGE is to contribute to the achievement of the SET Plan objectives, streamlining and coordinating national R&D programmes, accelerating the targeted development and maturing of next generation geothermal technology in order to provide industry with all the elements required for its large-scale and cost-effective deployment. This target can be reached only through the application of new cost-effective technologies able to enhance the production of the already identified resources, to discover new untapped hydrothermal systems and to develop non hydrothermal systems.
The GEISER (Geothermal Engineering Integrating Mitigation of Induced Seismicity in Reservoirs) project started at the beginning of the year 2010, with a funding of € 5.3 Mio granted for 3.5 years Goal: to develop strategies to fulfil the task of the stimulation and improve the hydraulic properties of the geothermal reservoir without producing large earthquakes that pose a threat to buildings and disturb the public.
International Projects
• Analysis of induced seismicity • Understanding the geomechanics
and processes involved in induced seismicity
• Consequences of induced seismicity • Strategies for the mitigation of
induced seismicity
The resource assessment in the context of Geo-ELEC
Fitting to the aim of Geo-ELEC
Build resource assessment of Europe for geothermal power
Time horizons of 2020 and beyond
Build on existing methodologies
Proposed assessment methodology
Presentation on pan-european scale (WebGIS with resource potential in map
view)
International Projects
GEOTHERMAL ERA NET
The GEOTHERMAL ERA NET will Minimise the fragmentation geothermal research in Europe Build on European know-how and who-to utilize geothermal energy Contribute to a framework to realise large opportunities in the
utilization of geothermal energy through joint activities
GEOTHERMAL ENERGY offers opportunities for
Reducing greenhouse gas emissions
Reducing dependence on fossil fuels for energy use
Improving quality of life
Growing the low-Carbon technology industry and creating employment opportunities
International Collaboration
• Lay groundwork to create a European Geothermal Database
• Exchange information on the status of geothermal energy
• Recommend measures to strengthen European geothermal development meet goals set out in National Renewable Energy Action Plans and other country specific legislation and plans
• Utilize synergies at regional and pan-European level
• Achieve a critical mass to address cross-thematic research targets
• Define possible schemes and barriers for the joint activities and recommend practical solutions.
Objectives (1/2)
• Prepare and execute transnational funding activities
• Increase transnational collaboration in research training and mobility
• Gain a clear understanding of the principal stakeholders
• Communicate with principal stakeholders and enhance public awareness on the added value and benefits of geothermal scientific and policy issues.
• Prepare the ground for the future formulation of a common European action plan for geothermal energy technology research, development, deployment and innovation program.
Objectives (2/2)
Work packages
Ge
os
ys
tem
Dri
llin
g
Mate
rials
Te
ch
nic
al
Sys
tem
s
Baker Hughes
gebo
The Collaborative Research Program
gebo –
Geothermal Energy and
High-Performance Drilling
• start: February 2009, runs until 2014
• seven universities, research institutes and an industry partner (Baker Hughes) in Lower Saxony (Northern Germany)
• 32 research projects
• four focus areas: Geosystem, Drilling Technology, Materials and Technical Systems
• funded by the Ministry of Science and Culture of Lower Saxony, Germany and Baker Hughes, Celle, Germany
National Projects
National Projects
E&I technologies
TOWARD THE FUTURE
Optimised drilling engineering
process using the available
information from field measurement
Advanced volume-based visualization technology
Exploration workflow
Well design parametrization
Modelling-while-drilling,
interactive redesign and
re-engineering of the well path
Fluid circulation and temperature distribution detection
Interactive location of the optimal well
path Real-time monitoring
while drilling
SAVE BOTH SIGNIFICANT TIME AND EXPENSE IN THE
VERY COSTLY DRILLING PROCESS,
ALLOW THE MINIMUM IMPACT TO THE ENVIRONMENT
WHILE PROVIDING THE SUSTAINABILITY OF THE
ACCESSED RESOURCE
Final goal
This would
Political challenges
to invest in data collection, providing the funding
for an extensive exploration of the underground in
areas where data are few and/or potential is high
to face the risk of the first exploratory well /
insurance
Technical challenge
to create the systems and technologies that will
streamline and optimize the sophisticated and
complex workflow of a geothermal project
Logistical and organizational challenge
to create the units and the processes within the
geothermal community
and now… let’s talk about research Waiting for more opportunities
Targets, needs and gaps