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Page 1: only Sample - Innovative Learning Solutions |McGraw Hill …highered.mheducation.com/sites/dl/free/1743077238/993409/... · Sample esource Management Project Information and Communications

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Page 2: only Sample - Innovative Learning Solutions |McGraw Hill …highered.mheducation.com/sites/dl/free/1743077238/993409/... · Sample esource Management Project Information and Communications

NEIL PEARSONE W LARSON

C F GRAY

IN PRACTICE

A Complete Course for BSB41513 and BSB51413

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A Complete Course for BSB41513 and BSB51413only

A Complete Course for BSB41513 and BSB51413A Complete Course for BSB41513 and BSB51413

Page 3: only Sample - Innovative Learning Solutions |McGraw Hill …highered.mheducation.com/sites/dl/free/1743077238/993409/... · Sample esource Management Project Information and Communications

Copyright © 2013 McGraw-Hill Education (Australia) Pty Ltd

Additional owners of copyright are acknowledged on the acknowledgments page.

Every e�ort has been made to trace and acknowledge copyrighted material. �e authors and publishers tender their apologies should any infringement have occurred.

Reproduction and communication for educational purposes�e Australian Copyright Act 1968 (the Act) allows a maximum of one chapter or 10% of the pages of this work, whichever is the greater, to be reproduced and/or communicated by any educational institution for its educational purposes provided that the institution (or the body that administers it) has sent a Statutory Educational notice to Copyright Agency Limited (CAL) and been granted a licence. For details of statutory educational and other copyright licences contact: Copyright Agency Limited, Level 15, 233 Castlereagh Street, Sydney NSW 2000. Telephone: (02) 9394 7600. Website: www.copyright.com.au

Reproduction and communication for other purposesApart from any fair dealing for the purposes of study, research, criticism or review, as permitted under the Act, no part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed or transmitted in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the written permission of McGraw-Hill Education (Australia) Pty Ltd including, but not limited to, any network or other electronic storage.

Enquiries should be made to the publisher via www.mcgraw-hill.com.au or marked for the attention of the permissions editor at the address below.

National Library of Australia Cataloguing-in-Publication DataAuthor: Pearson, Neil.Title: Project management in practice: for the certi�cate IV and Diploma of Project Management in the BSB07 training package /

Neil Pearson, Erik W. Larson, Cli�ord F. Gray.ISBN: 9781743077238 (pbk.)Notes: Includes index.Subjects: Project management—Study and teaching—Handbooks, manuals, etc.Other Authors/Contributors: Larson, Erik W. Gray, Cli�ord F.Dewey Number: 658.404

Published in Australia byMcGraw-Hill Education (Australia) Pty LtdLevel 2, 82 Waterloo Road, North Ryde, NSW 2113Publisher: Norma Angeloni-TomarasDevelopment editor: Alex PayneSenior production editor: Claire LinsdellPermissions editor: Haidi BernhardtCopy editor: Julie WicksProofreader: Angela DamisIndexer: Mary CoeDesign coordinator: Dominic GiustariniCover design: Christa Mo�ttInternal design: Georgette HallTypeset in Minion Pro Regular 9.5/12 pt by SR NovaPrinted in China on 70 gsm matt art by CTPS

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Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of study, research, criticism or review, as permitted under the Act, no part of this publication

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Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of study, research, criticism or review, as permitted under the Act, no part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed or transmitted in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the written

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may be reproduced, distributed or transmitted in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the written permission of McGraw-Hill Education (Australia) Pty Ltd including, but not limited to, any network or other electronic storage.

Sample

permission of McGraw-Hill Education (Australia) Pty Ltd including, but not limited to, any network or other electronic storage.

Enquiries should be made to the publisher via www.mcgraw-hill.com.au or marked for the attention of the permissions editor at the address below.

Sample

Enquiries should be made to the publisher via www.mcgraw-hill.com.au or marked for the attention of the permissions editor at the address below.

National Library of Australia Cataloguing-in-Publication Data

Sample

National Library of Australia Cataloguing-in-Publication Data

roject management in practice: for the certi�cate IV and Diploma of Project Management in the BSB07 training package /

Sample

roject management in practice: for the certi�cate IV and Diploma of Project Management in the BSB07 training package /

Neil Pearson, Erik W. Larson, Cli�ord F. Gray.

Sample

Neil Pearson, Erik W. Larson, Cli�ord F. Gray.

roject management—Study and teaching—Handbooks, manuals, etc.

Sample

roject management—Study and teaching—Handbooks, manuals, etc.

arson, Erik W. Gray, Cli�ord F.Sample

arson, Erik W. Gray, Cli�ord F.

McGraw-Hill Education (Australia) Pty LtdSam

ple

McGraw-Hill Education (Australia) Pty Ltd

only (the Act) allows a maximum of one chapter or 10% of the pages of this work, whichever is the greater, to be

only (the Act) allows a maximum of one chapter or 10% of the pages of this work, whichever is the greater, to be

reproduced and/or communicated by any educational institution for its educational purposes provided that the institution (or the body that

onlyreproduced and/or communicated by any educational institution for its educational purposes provided that the institution (or the body that

administers it) has sent a Statutory Educational notice to Copyright Agency Limited (CAL) and been granted a licence. For details of statutory

onlyadministers it) has sent a Statutory Educational notice to Copyright Agency Limited (CAL) and been granted a licence. For details of statutory

educational and other copyright licences contact: Copyright Agency Limited, Level 15, 233 Castlereagh Street, Sydney NSW 2000. Telephone:

onlyeducational and other copyright licences contact: Copyright Agency Limited, Level 15, 233 Castlereagh Street, Sydney NSW 2000. Telephone:

Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of study, research, criticism or review, as permitted under the Act, no part of this publication only

Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of study, research, criticism or review, as permitted under the Act, no part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed or transmitted in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the written on

lymay be reproduced, distributed or transmitted in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the written permission of McGraw-Hill Education (Australia) Pty Ltd including, but not limited to, any network or other electronic storage.on

lypermission of McGraw-Hill Education (Australia) Pty Ltd including, but not limited to, any network or other electronic storage.

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iiiiii

Part 1 Setting the Scene

1 Modern Project Management 2

2 Popular Frameworks and Methodologies 17

Part 2 Positioning Projects

3 Organisational Strategy and Project Selection 46

4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures 79

Part 3 Defining and Managing Projects

5 Defining the Scope of a Project 102

6 Estimating Time, Costs and Resources 130

7 Project Time Management 153

8 Project Cost Management 212

9 Progress and Performance Measurements 227

10 Project Quality Management 267

11 Project Human Resource Management 286

12 Project Stakeholder Management 333

13 Project Information and Communications Management 345

14 Project Risk Management 364

15 Project Procurement Management 397

Part 4 Project Wrap-up

16 Project Closure 428

Bonus Online Content

Brief Contents

The following additional material is available online at www.mcgraw-hill.co.uk/textbooks/pearson:

• Project management career paths (Chapter 17)

• Case studies, Appendices, and solutions to selected chapters

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iv

Preface x

Acknowledgments xii

About the Local Author xiii

Text at a Glance xiv

Text Overview xix

PART 1 Setting the Scene

Chapter 1 Modern Project Management 2

What is a project? 5The project life cycle 7

The project manager 9

The importance of project management 10Compression of the product life cycle 10

Complexity 10

Triple bottom line (planet, people, profit) 10

Corporate downsizing 10

Increased customer focus 11

Organisational change management 11

Small projects represent big problems 11

Project management today: a holistic approach 12Alignment of projects with organisational strategy 12

Management of projects through portfolio management 13

The technical and sociocultural dimensions of implementing projects 13

Summary 15

Chapter 2 Popular Frameworks and Methodologies 17

An introduction to PRINCE2® 181. The principles 18

2. The themes 19

3. The processes 20

4. Tailoring 20

PRINCE2® around the world 21

An overview of ISO 21500:2012: guidance on project management 22

An introduction to Agile Project Management 25Traditional versus Agile methods 25

Agile Project Management 26

Agile PM in action: Scrum 29

Applying Agile PM to large projects 32

Limitations and concerns 33

A further introduction to PMBoK 35Applying the life cycle approach 35

Integrative project management 36

Governance and gates 37

PRINCE2® and PMBoK compared 40

Summary 41

Online Case: Introducing Scrum at P2P

PART 2 Positioning Projects

Chapter 3 Organisational Strategy and Project Selection 46

Why project managers need to understand strategy 47

The strategic management process: an overview 481. Define and review the organisational mission,

vision and values 49

2. Set the organisation’s strategic objectives 52

3. Analyse the strategic objectives and identify the ‘ideal’ investment mix 52

4. Implement strategies through portfolios, programs and projects 53

The need for an effective portfolio management system 53Problem 1: The implementation gap 54

Contents

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vContents

Problem 2: Organisational politics 54

Problem 3: Resource conflicts and multitasking 55

A portfolio management system 56Classification of projects 56

Selection criteria 57

Multi-criteria selection models 59

Applying a selection model 64Sources and solicitation of project proposals 65

Ranking proposals and selection of projects 66

Responsibility for prioritising 67

Managing the portfolio management system 67Senior management input 67

The priority team or portfolio management office responsibilities 67

Balancing the portfolio for risks and dependencies 68

Project Portfolio Management (PPM) 69Features of Project Portfolio Management (PPM)

systems 69

Prominent Project Portfolio Management (PPM) systems 70

Summary 71

Online Case: Hector Gaming Company

Additional exercises and solutions to selected exercises

Chapter 4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures 79

Project management structures 80Organising projects within the functional

organisation 81

Organising projects as dedicated teams 82

Organising projects within a matrix arrangement 85

Different matrix forms 85

What is the right project management structure? 88Organisational considerations 88

Project considerations 89

Organisational culture 90What is organisational culture? 90

Identifying cultural characteristics 92

Implications of organisational culture for organising projects 94

Summary 96

Online Case: ORION Systems (PART B) Rosas’s Plan

Case: Moss and McAdams Accounting Firm

PART 3 Defining and Managing Projects

Chapter 5 Defining the Scope of a Project 102

Step 1: Defining the project scope 105Typical project scope contents 105

Establishing project priorities: the triple constraints 109

Step 2: Creating the Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) 110How WBS helps the project manager 111

WBS development 112

Practice techniques used to develop the WBS 115

Step 3: Integrating the WBS with the organisation 117

Step 4: Estimating: moving towards a dra� budget and schedule 119

The scope management plan 121

Change/variation control management 121

Project scope integration 125

Summary 125

Chapter 6 Estimating Time, Costs and Resources 130

Factors influencing the quality of estimates 131Planning horizon 132

Project duration 132

People 133

Project structure and organisation 133

Padding estimates 133

Organisational culture 133

Other factors 133

What is being estimated? 134

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Contentsvi

Resources 134

Durations 134

Costs 135

Estimating guidelines for time, cost and resources 136

Top-down versus bottom-up estimating 137A hybrid approach: phase estimating 139

Methods for estimating project costs, time and resources 140Consensus methods 140

Expert judgment 140

Alternative analysis 140

Parametric estimating 141

Analogous method 141

3-point estimate 142

Vendor bid analysis 142

Estimating tools and systems 143

Function point methods for so¥ware and system projects 143

Learning curves 144

Template methods 145

Range estimating 145

Level of detail in estimating 146

Refining estimates 147

Summary 149

Online Appendix 6.1: Learning Curves for Estimating

Chapter 7 Project Time Management 153

Developing the project schedule 154

From work package to network 154

Constructing a project network 155Terminology 155

Two approaches 157

Basic rules to follow in developing project networks 157

Activity-on-Node (AON) fundamentals 157The process of building the activity-on-node

network 159

Using the forward and backward pass information 167

Level of detail for activities 167

Practical considerations 167

Extended network techniques to come closer to reality 170Laddering 170

Use of leads and lags 170

Network relationship types 171

Reducing project duration 175Rationale for reducing project duration 175

Options for accelerating project completion 176Options when resources are not constrained 176

Options when resources are constrained 177

What if cost, not time, is the issue? 179

The resource scheduling problem 180Types of resource constraints 182

Classification of a scheduling problem 183

Resource allocation methods 183Assumptions 183

Time-constrained projects: smoothing resource demand 183

Resource-constrained projects 185

The impacts of resource-constrained scheduling 189

Splitting activities 189

Benefits of scheduling resources 190

Assigning project work 190

Multi-project resource schedules 191

Using the resource schedule to develop a project cost baseline 192

Project time management integration 192

Summary 193

Online Appendix 7.1: Activity-on-arrow method

Appendix 7.2: The Critical-Chain Approach

Case: Power Train Ltd

Case: Advantage Energy Technology (AET) data centre migration

Additional exercises and solutions to selected exercises

Chapter 8 Project Cost Management 212

A project perspective of cost management 213Large capital items 213

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viiContents

Long lead-time items 214

Cost management plan 215

Simple time-phased budgeting 216Why a time-phased budget baseline is needed 216

Simple time-phased project budget structure, by category 217

Simple time-phased project budget structure, by WBS 218

More complex time-phased project budgets 220What can go wrong with cost management? 223

Project cost integration management 224

Summary 225

Chapter 9 Progress and Performance Measurements 227

Structure of a project monitoring system 228What data is collected? 228

Collecting data and analysis 228

Reports and reporting 228

Communications Management Plan 229

Types of reports 229

Controlling project costs, resources and schedules 230Step 1: Setting a baseline plan 230

Step 2: Measuring progress and performance 231

Step 3: Comparing plan against actual 231

Step 4: Taking action 231

Monitoring time performance 231Tracking Gantt chart 231

Control chart 232

Development of an earned value cost/ schedule system 234Per cent complete rule 235

What costs are included in baselines? 236

The basis of EVM 236

Developing a status report: a hypothetical example 238Assumptions 238

Baseline development 238

Development of the EVM status report 238

EVM indexes to monitor progress 244

Performance indexes 244

Project per cent complete indexes 244

Technical performance measurement 245

So¥ware for project cost/schedule systems 245

Additional earned value rules 246

Forecasting final project cost 246

Other control issues 250Scope creep 250

Baseline changes 250

The costs and problems of data acquisition 251

Further project performance considerations 252

Summary 254

Online Appendix 9.1 The application of additional

earned value rules

Appendix 9.2 Obtaining Project Performance Information from MS Project

Additional exercises and solutions to selected exercises

Chapter 10 Project Quality Management 267

Quality and project management 268

Cost of Quality 268

Planning for Quality Assurance and Quality Control 270

Carrying out Quality Control 278The Pareto chart (also known as the 80/20 rule) 278

The cause–effect diagram (fishbone or Ishikawa diagrams) 279

Run charts 280

Check sheets 281

Checklists 281

Benchmarking 281

Processes/flow charting 282

Project quality management integration 284

Summary 284

Chapter 11 Project Human Resource Management 286

Qualities of an effective project manager 287

Managing versus leading a project 290

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Contentsviii

Building and leveraging your networks 291Mapping dependencies 291

Management by wandering around (MBWA) 292

Managing upward relations 293

Leading by example 294

Ethics and project management 296

Building trust: the key to exercising influence 296

The leadership style continuum 298

The Human Resource Management Plan 300

Managing project teams 301Tuckman’s five-stage team development model 302

Situational factors affecting team development 304

Building high-performance project teams 305

Recruiting project members 306

Capturing resourcing information 307

Generational theory and project teams 310

Conducting project meetings 311The first project team meeting 311

Managing subsequent project meetings 313

Establishing a team 314Creating a shared vision 315

Managing project reward systems 316

Orchestrating the decision-making process 317

Managing conflict within the project 319Encouraging functional conflict 321

Managing dysfunctional conflict 321

Rejuvenating the project team 322

Ensuring clarity of roles and responsibilities 323

Managing virtual project teams 325

Project team pitfalls 327Groupthink 327

Bureaucratic bypass syndrome 328

Team spirit becomes team infatuation 329

Going native 329

Human resource integration management 329

Summary 330

Online Appendix 11.1 Organisational Change

Management

Case: Cerberus Corporation

Case: Kerzner Office Equipment

Chapter 12 Project Stakeholder Management 333

Identifying and managing project stakeholders 334The stakeholder matrix 336

Influence as exchange 338

Analysis of stakeholders 340

Stakeholder complexities 342

Summary 343

Chapter 13 Project Information and Communications Management 345

Communication and project management 346Communication challenges 346

Pitching your project: the big picture 347

Communication models 348Sender–receiver model 348

The SMCR model (Berlo’s model) 349

The Communications Management Plan 350

Planning, developing and tracking communications 352Developing communications 355

Project reporting 357

Project management information systems (PMIS) 358Configuration Management (CI) 359

Project knowledge management 360

Stakeholder and communication integration management 361

Summary 362

Chapter 14 Project Risk Management 364

Risk management process 365

Step 1: Establishing the risk context 368

Step 2: Risk identification 368

Step 3: Risk analysis 372A further complexity in risk analysis 374

Time: an additional factor in risk analysis 376

Probability analysis 376

Step 4: Risk evaluation 378

Step 5: Risk treatment 378

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ixContents

Threat risk response options 378

Opportunity risk explored 382

Step 6: Contingency planning 382Common methods for handling risk 385

Contingency funds and risk 387Budget reserves 388

Management reserves 388

Time buffers 388

Risk monitoring and review 389

Communication and consultation 390

Risk Management Plan 390

Risk integration management 391

Summary 392

Online Appendix 14.1 PERT and PERT simulation

Appendix 14.2 RiskAMP – Monte Carlo Simulation

Chapter 15 Project Procurement Management 397

Procurement and project management 398Identifying procurement requirements 399

Procurement Management Plan 400

Suppliers and supplier selection 400

Tenders and the tender process 401

Outsourcing project work 402Best practices in outsourcing project work 406

Well-defined requirements and procedures 407

Extensive training and team-building activities 407

Well-established conflict management processes in place 409

Frequent review and status updates 410

Co-location when needed 410

Fair and incentive-laden contracts 411

Long-term outsourcing relationships 412

Contracting and contract types 412Build, Own, Operate, Transfer (BOOT) 412

Build, Own, Operate (BOO) 413

Build, Operate, Transfer (BOT) 413

Partnerships 413

Fixed price contracts 413

Cost reimbursable contracts 414

Time and material contracts (T&M) 414

Six essential elements of a contract 414Additional contract considerations 416

The art of negotiating 4171. Separate the people from the problem 418

2. Focus on interests, not positions 418

3. Invent options for mutual gain 419

4. When possible, use objective criteria 419

Dealing with unreasonable people 420

A note on managing customer relations 420

Project procurement integration management 423

Summary 424

Online Appendix 15.1 Request for Tender (RFT)

PART 4 Project Wrap-up

Chapter 16 Project Closure 428

Types of project closure 429Normal 430

Premature 430

Phase or stage 430

Perpetual 430

Failed project 431

Changed priority 431

Wrap-up closure activities 431Creating the final report 434

Other important closure activities 435

Performance evaluation 437Post Implementation Review (PIR) 437

Team evaluation 438

Individual team member and project manager performance reviews 441

Contractor and supplier evaluation 443

Retrospectives (lessons learned) 444Why retrospectives? 444

Initiating the retrospective review 445

Use of an independent facilitator 445

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Appendix 15.1 Request for Tender (RFT)Appendix 15.1 Request for Tender (RFT)

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Contentsx

ONLINE AT www.mcgraw-hill.co.uk/textbooks/pearson:

Chapter 17 Project management career paths

Managing a retrospective 446

Overseeing a post-project retrospective 447

Utilisation of retrospectives 449

Archiving retrospectives 449

Concluding retrospective notes 450

Project celebration 450

Summary 450

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xi

Since you are reading this text, you have made a decision that learning more about project management will have a positive impact for you. You are absolutely right! Project management has become an organization-wide core competency; nearly every manager, regardless of discipline is involved in managing projects. This text is designed to provide project managers and prospective project managers with the knowledge and skills that are transferable across industries and countries.

Our motivation for writing this text was to provide students and practitioners alike with a holistic, integrative view of project management. A holistic view focuses on how projects contribute to the strategic goals of the organization. The linkages for integration include the process of selecting projects that best support the strategy of a particular organisation and that in turn can be supported by the technical and managerial processes made available by the organization to bring projects to completion. The goals for prospective project managers are to understand the role of a project in their organizations and to master the project management tools, techniques, and interpersonal skills necessary to orchestrate projects from start to finish.

The role of projects in organisations is receiving increasing attention. Projects are the major tool for implementing and achieving the strategic goals of the organisation. In the face of intense, worldwide competition, many organisations have reorganised around a philosophy of innovation, renewal, and organisational learning to survive. This philosophy suggests an organisation that is flexible and project driven. Project management has developed to the point where it is a professional discipline having its own body of knowledge and skills. Today it is nearly impossible to imagine anyone at any level in the organisation who would not benefit from some degree of expertise in the process of managing projects.

AUDIENCEThis text is written for a wide audience. Although this text is aligned to the Australian VET sector training package for the Certificate IV and Diploma in project management and the Project Management Body of Knowledge (Fourth and Fi�h editions), it covers concepts and skills that are used by managers to propose, plan, secure resources, budget, and lead project teams to successful completion. The text should prove useful to students and prospective project managers in helping them understand why organizations have developed a formal project management process to gain a competitive advantage. Readers will find the concepts and techniques discussed in enough detail to be immediately useful in any project situation. Practising project managers will find the text to be a valuable guide and reference when dealing with typical problems that arise in the course of a project.

Managers will also find the text useful in understanding the role of projects in the missions of their organizations. Facilitators of VET Training may use this text as a replacement to course notes, as the text is aligned to and covers all subject material at the Certificate IV and Diploma levels. Members of the Project Management Institute will find the text is well structured to meet the needs of those wishing to prepare for PMP (Project Management Professional) or CAPM (Certified Associate in Project Management) certification exams.

The text has in-depth coverage of the most critical topics found in PMI’s Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBoK). People at all levels in the organisation assigned to work on projects will find the text useful not only in providing them with a rationale for the use of project management tools and techniques but also because of the insights they will gain on how to enhance their contributions to project success.

Our emphasis is not only on how the management process works but, more importantly, on why it works. The concepts, principles and techniques are universally applicable. That is, the text does not specialise by industry type or sector. Instead, the text is written for the individual who will be required

Preface

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The role of projects in organisations is receiving increasing attention. Projects are the major tool for

Sample

The role of projects in organisations is receiving increasing attention. Projects are the major tool for implementing and achieving the strategic goals of the organisation. In the face of intense, worldwide

Sample

implementing and achieving the strategic goals of the organisation. In the face of intense, worldwide competition, many organisations have reorganised around a philosophy of innovation, renewal, and

Sample

competition, many organisations have reorganised around a philosophy of innovation, renewal, and organisational learning to survive. This philosophy suggests an organisation that is flexible and project

Sample

organisational learning to survive. This philosophy suggests an organisation that is flexible and project driven. Project management has developed to the point where it is a professional discipline having its own

Sample

driven. Project management has developed to the point where it is a professional discipline having its own body of knowledge and skills. Today it is nearly impossible to imagine anyone at any level in the organisation

Sample

body of knowledge and skills. Today it is nearly impossible to imagine anyone at any level in the organisation who would not benefit from some degree of expertise in the process of managing projects.

Sample

who would not benefit from some degree of expertise in the process of managing projects.

This text is written for a wide audience. Although this text is aligned to the Australian VET sector training

Sample

This text is written for a wide audience. Although this text is aligned to the Australian VET sector training package for the Certificate IV and Diploma in project management and the Project Management Body of

Sample

package for the Certificate IV and Diploma in project management and the Project Management Body of

Sample

Knowledge (Fourth and Fi�h editions), it covers concepts and skills that are used by managers to propose,

Sample

Knowledge (Fourth and Fi�h editions), it covers concepts and skills that are used by managers to propose, plan, secure resources, budget, and lead project teams to successful completion. The text should prove

Sample

plan, secure resources, budget, and lead project teams to successful completion. The text should prove useful to students and prospective project managers in helping them understand why organizations have Sam

ple

useful to students and prospective project managers in helping them understand why organizations have developed a formal project management process to gain a competitive advantage. Readers will find the Sam

ple

developed a formal project management process to gain a competitive advantage. Readers will find the Sample

concepts and techniques discussed in enough detail to be immediately useful in any project situation. Sample

concepts and techniques discussed in enough detail to be immediately useful in any project situation. Practising project managers will find the text to be a valuable guide and reference when dealing with typical Sam

ple

Practising project managers will find the text to be a valuable guide and reference when dealing with typical problems that arise in the course of a project.

Sample

problems that arise in the course of a project.

only

Our motivation for writing this text was to provide students and practitioners alike with a holistic, integrative

only

Our motivation for writing this text was to provide students and practitioners alike with a holistic, integrative view of project management. A holistic view focuses on how projects contribute to the strategic goals of

onlyview of project management. A holistic view focuses on how projects contribute to the strategic goals of

the organization. The linkages for integration include the process of selecting projects that best support

onlythe organization. The linkages for integration include the process of selecting projects that best support

the strategy of a particular organisation and that in turn can be supported by the technical and managerial

onlythe strategy of a particular organisation and that in turn can be supported by the technical and managerial

processes made available by the organization to bring projects to completion. The goals for prospective

onlyprocesses made available by the organization to bring projects to completion. The goals for prospective

project managers are to understand the role of a project in their organizations and to master the project only

project managers are to understand the role of a project in their organizations and to master the project management tools, techniques, and interpersonal skills necessary to orchestrate projects from start to finish.on

lymanagement tools, techniques, and interpersonal skills necessary to orchestrate projects from start to finish.

The role of projects in organisations is receiving increasing attention. Projects are the major tool for only

The role of projects in organisations is receiving increasing attention. Projects are the major tool for implementing and achieving the strategic goals of the organisation. In the face of intense, worldwide on

lyimplementing and achieving the strategic goals of the organisation. In the face of intense, worldwide competition, many organisations have reorganised around a philosophy of innovation, renewal, and on

lycompetition, many organisations have reorganised around a philosophy of innovation, renewal, and organisational learning to survive. This philosophy suggests an organisation that is flexible and project

only

organisational learning to survive. This philosophy suggests an organisation that is flexible and project

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Prefacexii

to manage a variety of projects in a variety of different organisational settings. In the case of some small projects, a few of the steps of the techniques can be omitted, but the conceptual framework applies to all organisations in which projects are important to survival. The approach can be used in pure project organisations such as construction, research and engineering consultancy. At the same time, this approach will benefit organisations that carry out many small projects while the daily effort of delivering products or services continues.

CONTENTIn this Australian edition of the book, we have responded to valuable feedback received from both students and teachers. As a result of this feedback, the following changes have been made to this edition:

• Restructuring of text to provide coverage of all ten areas of the fi�h edition of the Project Management Body of Knowledge (2013).

• Further recognition and explanation of other project management methodologies such as Agile, PRINCE2 and ISO21500:2012.

• Localisation of the text to the Australian marketplace, including mapping to the VET competency framework for the Certificate IV and Diploma of Project Management.

• Development of a number of additional online resources to provide students and facilitators (teachers) with a rich set of content.

• Complete update of content to bring it in line with current project management thinking.• Coverage of key project management documents (artefacts) typical of most projects managed

under a life cycle approach.• Access to a number of online project management templates to visually display the structure and

content of such project management documents.• Greater consideration of the integrative nature of project management.

Overall the text addresses the major questions and issues the authors have encountered over their 60 combined years of teaching project management and consulting with practising project managers in domestic and foreign environments.

The following questions represent the issues and problems practising project managers find consuming most of their effort:

• What is the strategic role of projects in contemporary organisations?• How are projects prioritised?• What organisational and managerial styles will improve chances of project success?• How do project managers orchestrate the complex network of relationships involving vendors,

subcontractors, project team members, senior management, functional managers, and customers that affect project success?

• What factors contribute to the development of a high-performance project team?• What project management system can be set up to gain some measure of control?• How do managers prepare for a new international project in a foreign culture?• How does one pursue a career in project management?

Project managers must deal with all these concerns to be effective. All of these issues and problems represent linkages to an integrative project management view. The chapter content of the text has been placed within an overall framework that integrates these topics in a holistic manner. Cases and snapshots are included from the experiences of practising managers. The future for project managers appears to be promising.

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elopment of a number of additional online resources to provide students and facilitators

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elopment of a number of additional online resources to provide students and facilitators

e update of content to bring it in line with current project management thinking.

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e update of content to bring it in line with current project management thinking.verage of key project management documents (artefacts) typical of most projects managed

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verage of key project management documents (artefacts) typical of most projects managed

ccess to a number of online project management templates to visually display the structure and

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ccess to a number of online project management templates to visually display the structure and

content of such project management documents.

Sample

content of such project management documents.

eater consideration of the integrative nature of project management.

Sample

eater consideration of the integrative nature of project management.

Overall the text addresses the major questions and issues the authors have encountered over their

Sample

Overall the text addresses the major questions and issues the authors have encountered over their

60 combined years of teaching project management and consulting with practising project managers in

Sample

60 combined years of teaching project management and consulting with practising project managers in domestic and foreign environments.

Sample

domestic and foreign environments.

The following questions represent the issues and problems practising project managers find consuming

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The following questions represent the issues and problems practising project managers find consuming

most of their effort:

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most of their effort:

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only

and teachers. As a result of this feedback, the following changes have been made to this edition:

only

and teachers. As a result of this feedback, the following changes have been made to this edition:

estructuring of text to provide coverage of all ten areas of the fi�h edition of the Project

onlyestructuring of text to provide coverage of all ten areas of the fi�h edition of the Project

ecognition and explanation of other project management methodologies such as Agile,

onlyecognition and explanation of other project management methodologies such as Agile,

ext to the Australian marketplace, including mapping to the VET competency

only

ext to the Australian marketplace, including mapping to the VET competency framework for the Certificate IV and Diploma of Project Management.on

lyframework for the Certificate IV and Diploma of Project Management.

elopment of a number of additional online resources to provide students and facilitators only

elopment of a number of additional online resources to provide students and facilitators

e update of content to bring it in line with current project management thinking.only

e update of content to bring it in line with current project management thinking.verage of key project management documents (artefacts) typical of most projects managed

only

verage of key project management documents (artefacts) typical of most projects managed

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xiii

No activity is carried out in isolation; to Karen for her exemplary commitment to our family; and our children for their continued inspiration to achieve.

Thanks must go to David Freeman and Peter Bail for their review of this text and their invaluable comments and suggestions.

Neil Pearson

NEIL PEARSONNEIL PEARSON (Ph.D.) is a freelance corporate educator and management consultant, trading as iStrategize Pty Ltd. Neil teaches at various universities, corporate businesses and professional training institutes, and is highly versed in a number of subjects including portfolio, program and project management, strategy, Quality, and information and knowledge management.

Neil holds a Ph.D. in a business and ICT-related discipline, having studied project management in both his bachelor and masters degrees. He additionally has a Diploma and an Advanced Diploma in Project Management, obtained through the Australian vocational education system and has facilitated many hundreds of training sessions at the vocational level (Certificate IV, Diploma and Advanced Diploma) in Australia.

Neil is a Fellow of the Australian Institute of Management (FAIM) and currently chairs the AIM (Qld & NT) Graduate School Faculty Committee, is a Blue Ocean Strategy affiliate and a Member of the Australian Institute of Project Management (AIPM). He is currently registered as a Certified Practicing Project Director (CPPD) through AIPM. Throughout his long and distinguished career in program and project management Neil has inspired and led many professional teams, working across three continents: the UK, North America and Australia. His experience includes a variety of organisations including large corporates, small to medium enterprises, educational establishments and government-related entities.

ORIGINATING AUTHOR: ERIK W. LARSONERIK W. LARSON is professor of project management at the College of Business, Oregon State University. He teaches executive, graduate, and undergraduate courses on project management, organizational behaviour, and leadership. His research and consulting activities focus on project management. He has published numerous articles on matrix management, product development, and project partnering. He has been honored with teaching awards from both the Oregon State University MBA program and the University of Oregon Executive MBA program. He has been a member of the Portland, Oregon, chapter of the Project Management Institute since 1984. He is a certified project management professional (PMP) and Scrum Master.

ORIGINATING AUTHOR: CLIFFORD F. GRAYCLIFFORD F. GRAY is professor emeritus of management at the College of Business, Oregon State University USA. His research and consulting interests have been divided between operations management and project management. He has published numerous articles and has conducted research in the International Project Management Association.

Cliff has been a member of the Project Management Institute since 1976 and was the president of Project Management International, Inc. 1977–2005. He received his B.A. in economics and management from Millikin University, M.B.A. from Indiana University, and doctorate in operations management from the College of Business, University of Oregon. He is a certified Scrum Master.

About the Authors

Acknowledgments

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(CPPD) through AIPM. Throughout his long and distinguished career in program and project management

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(CPPD) through AIPM. Throughout his long and distinguished career in program and project management Neil has inspired and led many professional teams, working across three continents: the UK, North America

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Neil has inspired and led many professional teams, working across three continents: the UK, North America and Australia. His experience includes a variety of organisations including large corporates, small to

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and Australia. His experience includes a variety of organisations including large corporates, small to medium enterprises, educational establishments and government-related entities.

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medium enterprises, educational establishments and government-related entities.

ORIGINATING AUTHOR: ERIK W. LARSON

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ORIGINATING AUTHOR: ERIK W. LARSONERIK W. LARSON is professor of project management at the College of Business, Oregon State University. He

Sample

ERIK W. LARSON is professor of project management at the College of Business, Oregon State University. He teaches executive, graduate, and undergraduate courses on project management, organizational behaviour,

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teaches executive, graduate, and undergraduate courses on project management, organizational behaviour, and leadership. His research and consulting activities focus on project management. He has published

Sample

and leadership. His research and consulting activities focus on project management. He has published

Sample

numerous articles on matrix management, product development, and project partnering. He has been

Sample

numerous articles on matrix management, product development, and project partnering. He has been honored with teaching awards from both the Oregon State University MBA program and the University of

Sample

honored with teaching awards from both the Oregon State University MBA program and the University of Oregon Executive MBA program. He has been a member of the Portland, Oregon, chapter of the Project

Sample

Oregon Executive MBA program. He has been a member of the Portland, Oregon, chapter of the Project Management Institute since 1984. He is a certified project management professional (PMP) and Scrum Master.

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Management Institute since 1984. He is a certified project management professional (PMP) and Scrum Master.

ORIGINATING AUTHOR: CLIFFORD F. GRAYSample

ORIGINATING AUTHOR: CLIFFORD F. GRAYCLIFFORD F. GRAY is professor emeritus of management at the College of Business, Oregon State University Sam

ple

CLIFFORD F. GRAY is professor emeritus of management at the College of Business, Oregon State University USA. His research and consulting interests have been divided between operations management and Sam

ple

USA. His research and consulting interests have been divided between operations management and project management. He has published numerous articles and has conducted research in the International Sam

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project management. He has published numerous articles and has conducted research in the International

only

is highly versed in a number of subjects including portfolio, program and project management, strategy,

only

is highly versed in a number of subjects including portfolio, program and project management, strategy,

Neil holds a Ph.D. in a business and ICT-related discipline, having studied project management in both

onlyNeil holds a Ph.D. in a business and ICT-related discipline, having studied project management in both

his bachelor and masters degrees. He additionally has a Diploma and an Advanced Diploma in Project

onlyhis bachelor and masters degrees. He additionally has a Diploma and an Advanced Diploma in Project

Management, obtained through the Australian vocational education system and has facilitated many hundreds

onlyManagement, obtained through the Australian vocational education system and has facilitated many hundreds

of training sessions at the vocational level (Certificate IV, Diploma and Advanced Diploma) in Australia.

onlyof training sessions at the vocational level (Certificate IV, Diploma and Advanced Diploma) in Australia.

Neil is a Fellow of the Australian Institute of Management (FAIM) and currently chairs the AIM (Qld &

onlyNeil is a Fellow of the Australian Institute of Management (FAIM) and currently chairs the AIM (Qld &

NT) Graduate School Faculty Committee, is a Blue Ocean Strategy affiliate and a Member of the Australian only

NT) Graduate School Faculty Committee, is a Blue Ocean Strategy affiliate and a Member of the Australian Institute of Project Management (AIPM). He is currently registered as a Certified Practicing Project Director on

lyInstitute of Project Management (AIPM). He is currently registered as a Certified Practicing Project Director (CPPD) through AIPM. Throughout his long and distinguished career in program and project management on

ly(CPPD) through AIPM. Throughout his long and distinguished career in program and project management Neil has inspired and led many professional teams, working across three continents: the UK, North America on

lyNeil has inspired and led many professional teams, working across three continents: the UK, North America and Australia. His experience includes a variety of organisations including large corporates, small to on

lyand Australia. His experience includes a variety of organisations including large corporates, small to

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xiv

Text at a Glance

This text is designed to provide a holistic integrative view of project management for students and practitioners. We want students to get the most from this book, and we realise that students have different learning styles and study needs. We therefore present a number of study features to appeal to a wide range of students which are designed to test their knowledge of theory and practical skills. The text also includes a variety of real-life case studies and examples to help illustrate the key topics in each chapter.

▼ Learning elements Each chapter begins with a number of learning elements that map out the important topics and learning goals to help guide students through the chapter.

▼ Research highlights These are summaries of relevant research projects and surveys relating to key topics in the text. They provide a fascinating background to the rationale behind the management and team work strategies described in this book and give an insight into the way these strategies are developed and verified.▼ Snapshots from practice A series of short case

studies illustrating real-life project management problems and creative solutions. The snapshots provide a fascinating insight into recent projects throughout Australia and internationally and give practical and entertaining examples of the key topics of the text in action.

▼ Cases Selected chapters contain in-depth case studies which are designed to immerse the student in detailed, simulated projects and get them thinking about challenges and potential solutions for each unique case. Each comes with a series of exercises and tasks for the student to complete which mimic the considerations and decisions a project manager would have to make.

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xvText at a Glance

END OF CHAPTER

IN ADDITION▼ Chapter summary Each chapter contains a summary

of the key points and topics in an easily digestible format, perfect for revision or to remind the student of the important topics in each chapter.

▼ Key terms Within each chapter key terms are highlighted the first time they appear. Key terms are defined in the text. For added reference, there is a comprehensive list of key terms at the end of each chapter.

▼ Review questions These are found at the end of each chapter and are designed to get students to reflect on the important topics in each chapter and to ensure students have understood them.

Exercises A list of exercise questions is also found in each chapter. These test students on more specific skills and knowledge that have been covered throughout the chapter. Answers to selected exercises are provided online.

Weblinks Websites mentioned throughout the text are listed at the end of each chapter as an easy reference guide for students. These sites can be explored to undertake additional research and to deepen understanding.

▼ Appendices to chapters Selected chapters have additional appendices which can be viewed on the Online Learning Centre. These offer a deeper analysis of key topics from each chapter and also hold a range of exercise questions to test students’ understanding of the topic.

Appendix 1: Solutions to exercises Provides solutions to selected technical exercises from the text.

▼ Appendix 2: Computer project exercises Computer exercises are provided on the Online Learning Centre. These are based on simplified case studies which provide students with data from real projects that has been reduced to prevent detail overload.

Pearson_Prelims.indd 15 3/29/2013 5:05:19 PM

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Want to get better grades? (Who doesn’t?)

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much more (All the resources you need to be successful are right at your fingertips)

Q Students...

A With McGraw-Hill Connect

Q Want an eBook of this text?

A This title is available as an eBook and is conveniently accessible via your computer, laptop or tablet device. Interact with your eBook with the search, highlighting and inserting note functions. For more information visit www.mcgraw-hill.com.au/vet

A Connect is available if your lecturer has elected to use Connect for your course. Ask your lecturer about access.

Q Want to access Connect?

Pearson_Prelims.indd 16 3/29/2013 5:05:20 PM

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Connect Learn Succeed

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To see how you can access these exceptional digital resources, go to www.mcgraw-hill.com.au/digital/connect

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Pearson_Prelims.indd 17 3/29/2013 5:05:21 PM

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xviiixviii

Text OverviewThis text is written to provide the reader with a comprehensive, integrative understanding of the project management process. The text focuses both on the science of project management and the art of managing projects.

CHAPTER 1 is a general introductory chapter, proving a wide background to the subject of project management. Why we do it and what it involves. Chapter 1 sets the scene for all chapters in the text and introduces the concept of using a lifecycle approach to project management.

CHAPTER 2 introduces a number of project management frameworks and methodologies. Although the bulk of this text is based on the Project Management Institute’s Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBoK), it is important for project managers to have a high level understanding of key frameworks and methodologies currently present in the marketplace; and an understanding of the key features each offers. Included in this chapter is a discussion on PRINCE2®, Agile and ISO 21500:2012 in addition to a more detailed overview of the PMI’s lifecycle approach and the PMBoK fi�h edition.

CHAPTER 3 focuses on how organisations go about evaluating and selecting projects. Special attention is devoted to the importance of linking project selection to the mission and strategic objectives of the organisation. Included in this chapter is the preparation and use of the Business Case prior to project selection and during the life of a project. The chapter also considers project prioritisation and; portfolio and program management as a backdrop to the selection of projects.

CHAPTER 4 reviews the setting within which most projects exist, that is, the organisation. The different types of project structures are introduced, ranging from functional and matrix to projectised. This is supplemented with a discussion on the influence of the organisational culture on the project environment.

CHAPTER 5 deals with defining and gaining approval for the scope of the project and the development of the project’s Work Breakdown Structure (WBS). Included in this chapter is a discussion on the importance of having a change/variation process in place from the outset of the project.

CHAPTER 6 details the challenge of formulating resource, cost and time estimates. The chapter utilises the information from the WBS to arrive at a project cost and duration. This is then further extended in CHAPTER 7 and CHAPTER 8, where a detailed review of Project Time Management and Project Cost Management is carried out.

CHAPTER 9 brings together the scope, time and cost chapters from a performance and monitoring perspective. This chapter introduces the topic of project performance reporting with a focus on Earned Value Management (EVM).

CHAPTER 10 moves onto the fourth knowledge area of PMBoK, that of project quality management. Here the importance of specifying quality is discussed (a departure from the phrase ‘fitness for purpose’); along with the discrete activities around ensuring Quality Assurance (QA) and Quality Control (QC) is adequately defined and applied in the project environment.

CHAPTER 11 takes a look of the sociocultural side of project management, covering aspects such as the role and skills of the project manager. The chapter then focuses on the core project team; it combines the latest information on team dynamics with leadership skills/techniques for developing a high-performance project team.

CHAPTER 12 takes a more in-depth look at stakeholders from the identification of stakeholders, to the analysis of the stakeholders, through to some of the complexities in managing stakeholders on a day-to-day basis.

CHAPTER 13 is concerned with planning and developing a communications strategy for the project, the increasing role and significance of stakeholder management; in addition to the identification, scheduling and development of communications across the myriad of mediums now available to the project manager. The task of managing project information systems is also considered in this chapter.

CHAPTER 14 is all about risk – beginning with the context of risk within which the organisation operates and how this influences the project environment. This is followed by an extensive discussion on the components and tools used in each part of a mature risk management standard – that of AS/NZS ISO 31000:2009 Risk management—Principles and guidelines.

Pearson_Prelims.indd 18 3/29/2013 5:05:21 PM

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reviews the setting within which most projects exist, that is, the organisation. The different types of project

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reviews the setting within which most projects exist, that is, the organisation. The different types of project structures are introduced, ranging from functional and matrix to projectised. This is supplemented with a discussion on

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structures are introduced, ranging from functional and matrix to projectised. This is supplemented with a discussion on the influence of the organisational culture on the project environment.

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the influence of the organisational culture on the project environment.

deals with defining and gaining approval for the scope of the project and the development of the project’s

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deals with defining and gaining approval for the scope of the project and the development of the project’s

Work Breakdown Structure (WBS). Included in this chapter is a discussion on the importance of having a change/

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Work Breakdown Structure (WBS). Included in this chapter is a discussion on the importance of having a change/variation process in place from the outset of the project.

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variation process in place from the outset of the project.

details the challenge of formulating resource, cost and time estimates. The chapter utilises the information

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details the challenge of formulating resource, cost and time estimates. The chapter utilises the information

from the WBS to arrive at a project cost and duration. This is then further extended in

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from the WBS to arrive at a project cost and duration. This is then further extended in

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where a detailed review of Project Time Management and Project Cost Management is carried out.

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where a detailed review of Project Time Management and Project Cost Management is carried out.

brings together the scope, time and cost chapters from a performance and monitoring perspective. This

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brings together the scope, time and cost chapters from a performance and monitoring perspective. This

chapter introduces the topic of project performance reporting with a focus on Earned Value Management (EVM).

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chapter introduces the topic of project performance reporting with a focus on Earned Value Management (EVM).

moves onto the fourth knowledge area of PMBoK, that of project quality management. Here the

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moves onto the fourth knowledge area of PMBoK, that of project quality management. Here the

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importance of specifying quality is discussed (a departure from the phrase ‘fitness for purpose’); along with the discrete Sample

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onlychapter is the preparation and use of the Business Case prior to project selection and during the life of a project. The

chapter also considers project prioritisation and; portfolio and program management as a backdrop to the selection

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lystructures are introduced, ranging from functional and matrix to projectised. This is supplemented with a discussion on

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xixText Overview

CHAPTER 15 reviews the procurement aspects of project management. Procurement activities start from the Initiation phase of the project with the identification of long-lead time items and large capital items. The Procurement Management Plan is introduced along with the different types of tenders and a typical contract negotiation process.

CHAPTER 16 brings the project life cycle to a close, with a discussion on project closure. Covering aspects of financial, human and project reporting. This chapter also takes a more in-depth look at lessons learned (or retrospectives).

Finally CHAPTER 17 (online) provides insights into project management as a career.

Note: The various websites and links used in this text (and more) have been bookmarked in the author’s social bookmarking resource located at: www.pearltrees.com/drneilpearson

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Book Chapter A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide) Fi¥h Edition

Release 1 - BSB41513 Certificate IV in Project Management Practice

Release 1 - BSB51413 Diploma of Project Management

BSBPMG521A Manage project integration (C)

BSBPMG520A Manage project governance (E)

BSBPMG417A Participate in project life cycle management processes (E)

PMBOK v5 CHAPTER 4 PROJECT INTEGRATION MANAGEMENT

Chapter 1 Modern Project Management

1.2 What is a Project?1.3 What is Project Management?1.4 Relationships Among Portfolio Management, Program

Management, Project Management, and Organisational Project Management

1.5 Relationship Between Project Management, Operations Management, and Organisational

Strategy1.6 Business Value1.7 Role of the Project Manager

BSBPMG409A Apply project scope-management techniques (C)

BSBPMG511A Manage project scope (C)

Chapter 2 Popular Frameworks and Methodologies

2.4 Project Life Cycle3.3 Initiating Process Group3.4 Planning Process Group3.5 Executing Process Group3.6 Monitoring and Controlling

Process Group3.7 Closing Process Group2.4.2 Project Phases Annex A1 The Standard for

Project Management of a Project

A1.3 Project Management Process Groups A1.4 Initiating Process Group A1.5 Planning Process Group A1.6

Executing Process Group A1.7 Monitoring and Controlling Process

Group A1.8 Closing Process Group

BSBPMG417A Apply project life cycle management processes

BSBPMG520A Manage project governance (E)

Chapter 3 Organisational Strategy and Project Selection

1.4 Relationships Among Portfolio Management, Program Management, Project Management, and Organisational Project Management

1.5 Relationship Between Project Management, Operations Management, and Organisational Strategy

1.6 Business Value

BSBPMG417A Apply project life cycle management processes

BSBPMG520A Manage project governance (E)

Chapter 4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures

1.4.4 Project Management Office2. ORGANISATIONAL INFLUENCES

AND PROJECT LIFE CYCLE2.1 Organisational Influences on Project

Management2.2 Project Stakeholders and

Governance2.3 Project Team9.1.2.1 Organisation Charts and Position

Descriptions

BSBPMG417A Apply project life cycle management processes

BSBPMG413A Apply project human resource management approaches (E)

BSBPMG520A Manage project governance (E)

BSBPMG515A Manage project human resources (C)

Chapter 5 Defining the Scope of a Project

4.1 Develop Project Charter5.1 Plan Scope Management5.2 Collect Requirements5.3 Define Scope5.4 Create WBS5.5 Validate Scope4.4.3.1 Change Requests4.5 Perform Integrated Change Control5.6 Control Scope

BSBPMG409A Apply project scope-management techniques (C)

BSBPMG511A Manage project scope (C)

PMBOK and competencies matrix

Pearson_Prelims.indd 20 3/29/2013 5:05:22 PM

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Book Chapter A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide) Fi¥h Edition

Release 1 - BSB41513 Certificate IV in Project Management Practice

Release 1 - BSB51413 Diploma of Project Management

Chapter 6 Estimating Time, Costs and Resources

6.4 Estimate Activity Resources6.5 Estimate Activity Durations7.2 Estimate Costs

BSBPMG410A Apply project time-management techniques (C)

BSBPMG412A Apply project cost-management techniques (E)

BSBPMG512A Manage project time (C)

BSBPMG514AManage project cost (C)

Chapter 7 Project Time Management

CHAPTER 6 – PROJECT TIMEMANAGEMENT

BSBPMG410A Apply project time-management techniques (C)

BSBPMG512A Manage project time (C)

Chapter 8 Project Cost Management

CHAPTER 7 – PROJECT COSTMANAGEMENT

BSBPMG412A Apply project cost-management techniques (E)

BSBPMG514A Manage project cost (C)

Chapter 9 Progress and Performance Measurements

3.6 Monitoring and Controlling Process Group

6.7 Control Schedule7.4 Control Costs8.3.1.4 Work Performance Data10.3 Control Communications

BSBPMG412A Apply project cost-management techniques (E)

BSBPMG410A Apply project time-management techniques (C)

BSBPMG512A Manage project time (C)

BSBPMG514A Manage project cost (C)

Chapter 10 Project Quality Management

CHAPTER 8 – PROJECT QUALITY MANAGEMENT

BSBPMG411A Apply project quality -management techniques (C)

BSBPMG513A Manage project quality (C)

Chapter 11 Project Human Resource Management

CHAPTER 9 – PROJECT HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT

APPENDIX X3 INTERPERSONAL SKILLS

BSBPMG413A Apply project human resource management approaches (E)

BSBPMG515A Manage project human resources (C)

Chapter 12 Project Stakeholder Management

CHAPTER 13 – PROJECT STAKEHOLDER MANAGEMENT

BSBPMG418A Apply project stakeholder engagement techniques (E)

BSBPMG519AManage project stakeholder engagement (E)

Chapter 13 Project Information and Communications Management

CHAPTER 10 – PROJECT COMMUNICATIONS

MANAGEMENT10.2.2.4 Information Management

Systems

BSBPMG414A Apply project information management and communications techniques (E)

BSBPMG516A Manage project information and communication (C)

Chapter 14 Project Risk Management

CHAPTER 11 – PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT

BSBPMG415A Apply project risk-management techniques (E)

BSBPMG517A Manage project risk (C)

Chapter 15 Project Procurement Management

CHAPTER 12 – PROJECT PROCUREMENT MANAGEMENT

BSBPMG416A Apply project procurement procedures (E)

BSBPMG518A Manage project procurement (E)

Chapter 16 Project Closure

2.4.2 Project Phases3.7 Closing Process Group4.6 Close Project or Phase9.4.2.2 Project Performance Appraisals 9.3.2.6 Recognition and Rewards12.4 Close Procurements

BSBPMG417A Apply project life cycle management processes

BSBPMG521A Manage project integration (C)

Chapter 17 Project Management Career Paths (online)

APPENDIX X3 INTERPERSONAL SKILLS

Key: (C) = Core (E) = Elective

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CHAPTER 4PROJECT ORGANISATIONAL STRUCTURES AND CULTURES

4.1 Understand the different project organisational structures that broadly define how the project fits with the organisational structures that may already exist in an organisation.

4.2 Realise the importance of an organisation’s culture and the effect it can have on the management of a project.

Learning elements

In this chapter

• Projectmanagementstructures

• Whatistherightprojectmanagementstructure?

• Organisationalculture

• Implicationsoforganisationalculturefororganisingprojects

• Summary

Introduction�e previous chapter looked at the strategic alignment of investments (portfolios, programs and projects), and the prioritisation of programs and projects within a portfolio. �e chapter closed with a resulting list of approved programs and projects to be delivered by the accountable business managers. �e question this chapter seeks to answer is what project structures and organisational cultures does the project manager have options to operate within? �is chapter examines three di�erent project management structures used by �rms to implement projects.

�ese structures typically overlay the organisational structures already in place and are referred to in project management terminology as the functional organisational structure, the dedicated project team structure and the three types of matrix structures. Although not exhaustive, these structures and their variant forms represent the major approaches for organising projects in organisations. �e advantages and disadvantages of each of these structures are discussed as well as some of the critical factors that might lead an organisation to choose one form over the others.

Pearson_Ch04.indd 79 4/1/2013 6:49:26 AM

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Whether an organisation chooses to complete projects within the traditional functional organisation or through some form of matrix arrangement is only part of the story. Anyone who has worked for more than one organisation realises that there are o�en considerable di�erences in how projects are managed within certain organisations with similar structures. For example, working in a matrix system at AT&T is di�erent from working in a matrix environment at Hewlett-Packard. Many researchers attribute these di�erences to the organisational culture at AT&T and Hewlett-Packard. A simple explanation of organisational culture is that it re�ects the ‘personality’ of an organisation.

Just as each individual has a unique personality, so each organisation has a unique culture. Toward the end of this chapter, we examine in more detail what organisational culture is and the impact that the culture of the parent organisation has on organising and managing projects.

Both the project management structure and the culture of the organisation constitute major elements of the environment in which projects are implemented. It is important for project managers and participants to know the ‘lay of the land’ so that they can avoid obstacles and take advantage of pathways to complete their projects.

Although the culture within which the project occurs is not formally documented, the project organisational structure is documented within the Scope document and/or the Human Resource Management Plan, thus providing a clear indication of how the project team is structured. �e project organisational chart will also outline the interactions in terms of resources committed and governance committees.

ProjectmanagementstructuresA project management system provides a framework for launching and implementing project activities within a parent organisation. A good system appropriately balances the needs of both the parent organisation and the project by de�ning the interface between the project and parent organisation in terms of authority, allocation of resources and eventual integration of project outcomes into mainstream operations.

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Projectcoordination

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Electronicsengineering

Softwareengineering

Mechanicalengineering

Customerservice

Domesticsales

Internationalsales

Design

Finance andadministration

ACME Services Pty LtdCEO

Figure4.1 Functional organisations

PART2Positioning Projects80

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Many business organisations have struggled with creating a system for organising projects while managing ongoing operations. One of the major reasons for this struggle is that projects contradict fundamental design principles associated with traditional organisations. Projects are unique, one-time e�orts with a distinct beginning and end. Most organisations are designed to e�ciently manage ongoing activities. E�ciency is achieved primarily by breaking down complex tasks into simpli�ed, repetitive processes, as symbolised by assembly-line production methods. Projects are not routine and therefore can be like ducks out of water in these work environments. With this in mind, we will start the discussion of project management structures.

ORgAnISIngPROjecTSWIThInTheFuncTIOnAlORgAnISATIOnOne approach to organising projects is to simply manage them within the existing functional hierarchy of the organisation. Once management decides to implement a project, the di�erent segments of the project are delegated to the respective functional units with each unit responsible for completing its segment of the project (see Figure 4.1). Coordination is maintained through normal line management channels. For example, a tool manufacturing �rm decides to di�erentiate its product line by o�ering a series of tools specially designed for le�-handed individuals. Top management decides to implement the project, and di�erent segments of the project are distributed to appropriate areas. �e industrial design department is responsible for modifying speci�cations to conform to the needs of le�-handed users. �e production department is responsible for devising the means for producing new tools according to these new design speci�cations. �e marketing department is responsible for gauging demand and price as well as identifying distribution outlets. �e overall project will be managed within the normal hierarchy, with the project being part of the working agenda of top management.

�e functional organisation is also commonly used when, given the nature of the project, one functional area plays a dominant role in completing the project or has a dominant interest in the success of the project. Under these circumstances, a high-ranking manager in that area is given the responsibility of coordinating the project. For example, the transfer of equipment and personnel to a new o�ce would be managed by a senior manager in the �rm’s facilities department. Likewise, a project involving the upgrading of the Management Information System (MIS) would be managed by the Information Systems Department. In both cases, most of the project work would be done within the speci�ed department and coordination with other departments would occur through normal channels.

�ere are advantages and disadvantages for using the existing functional organisation to administer and complete projects. �e major advantages include the following:

Manufacturing Procurement

Purchasing Receiving andinspection

Fabrication Assembly Testing Productionscheduling

Humanresources

Projectcoordination

Marketing Engineering

Electronicsengineering

Softwareengineering

Mechanicalengineering

Customerservice

Domesticsales

Internationalsales

Design

Finance andadministration

ACME Services Pty LtdCEO

81chAPTeR4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures

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1 No change to the existing functional organisational structure. Projects are completed within the basic functional structure of the organisation. �ere is no radical alteration in the design and operation of the organisation to facilitate the delivery of the project.

2 Flexibility. �ere is maximum �exibility in the use of sta�. Appropriate specialists in di�erent functional units can temporarily be assigned to work on the project and then return to their normal work. With a broad base of technical personnel available within each functional department, people can be switched among di�erent projects with relative ease.

3 In-depth expertise. If the scope of the project is narrow and the proper functional unit is assigned primary responsibility, then in-depth expertise can be brought to bear on the most crucial aspects of the project.

4 Easy post-project transition. Normal career paths within a functional division are maintained. While specialists can make signi�cant contributions to projects, their functional �eld is their professional home and the focus of their professional growth and advancement.

Just as there are advantages for organising projects within the existing functional organisation, there are also disadvantages. �ese disadvantages are particularly pronounced when the scope of the project is broad and one functional department does not take the dominant technological and managerial lead on the project:

1 Lack of focus. Each functional unit has its own core routine work to do; sometimes project responsibilities get pushed aside to meet primary operational obligations. �is di�culty is compounded when the project has di�erent priorities for di�erent units. For example, the marketing department may consider the project urgent while the operations people considered it only of secondary importance. Imagine the tension if the marketing people have to wait for the operations people to complete their segment of the project before they proceed.

2 Poor integration. �ere may be poor integration across functional units. Functional specialists tend to be concerned only with their segment of the project and not with what is best for the total project.

3 Slow. It generally takes longer to complete projects through this functional arrangement. �is is in part attributable to slow response time; project information and decisions have to be circulated through normal management channels. Furthermore, the lack of horizontal, direct communication among functional groups contributes to rework as specialists realise the implications of others’ actions a�er the fact.

4 Lack of ownership. �e motivation of people assigned to the project can be weak. �e project may be seen as an additional burden that is not directly linked to their professional development or advancement. Furthermore, because they are working on only a segment of the project, professionals do not identify with the project. Lack of ownership discourages strong commitment to project-related activities.

ORgAnISIngPROjecTSASdedIcATedTeAmSAt the other end of the structural spectrum is the creation of dedicated project teams. �ese teams operate as separate units from the rest of the parent organisation. Usually a full-time project manager is designated to pull together a core group of specialists who work full time on the project. �e project manager recruits necessary personnel from both within and outside the parent company. �e subsequent team is physically separated from the parent organisation and given marching orders to complete the project (see Figure 4.2).

�e interface between the parent organisation and the project teams will vary. In some cases, the parent organisation maintains a tight rein through �nancial controls. In other cases, �rms grant the project manager maximum freedom to get the project done as they see �t.

In the case of �rms where projects are the dominant form of business, such as a construction �rm or a consulting �rm, the entire organisation is designed to support project teams. Instead of one or two special projects, the organisation consists of sets of quasi-independent teams working on speci�c projects. �e main responsibility of traditional functional departments is to assist and support these project teams. For example, the marketing department is directed at generating new business that will lead to more projects, while the human resource department is responsible for managing a variety of personnel issues as well as recruiting and training new employees. �is type of organisation is referred to in the project management literature as a projectised organisation and is graphically portrayed in Figure 4.3. It is important to note that not all projects are dedicated project teams; personnel can work part-time on several projects.

PART2Positioning Projects82

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ACME Services Pty LtdCEO

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Figure4.3 Projectised organisational structure

As in the case of functional organisation, the dedicated project team approach has strengths and weaknesses. �e following are recognised as strengths:

1 Simple. Other than taking away resources in the form of specialists assigned to the project, the functional organisation remains intact with the project team operating independently.

2 Fast. Projects tend to get done more quickly when participants devote their full attention to the project and are not distracted by other obligations and duties. Furthermore, response time tends to be quicker

83chAPTeR4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures

Figure4.2 Dedicated project team

ACME Services Pty LtdCEO

Humanresources

Finance andadministration

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Project manager

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under this arrangement because most decisions are made within the team and are not deferred up the hierarchy.

3 Cohesive. A high level of motivation and cohesiveness o�en emerges within the project team. Participants share a common goal and personal responsibility toward the project and the team.

4 Cross-functional integration. Specialists from di�erent areas work closely together and, with proper guidance, become committed to optimising the project, not their respective areas of expertise.

In many cases, the project team approach is the optimum approach for completing a project when you view it solely from the standpoint of what is best for completing the project. Its weaknesses become more evident when the needs of the parent organisation are taken into account:

1 Expensive. Not only have you created a new management position (project manager), but resources are also assigned on a full-time basis. �is can result in duplication of e�orts across projects and a loss of economies of scale.

2 Internal strife. Sometimes dedicated project teams take on an entity of their own and a disease known as ‘projectitis’ develops. See Snapshot from practice: Projectitis: the dark side to project teams. A strong we–they divisiveness emerges between the project team and the parent organisation. �is divisiveness can undermine not only the integration of the eventual outcomes of the project into mainstream operations, but also the assimilation of project team members back into their functional units once the project is completed.

3 Limited technological expertise. Creating self-contained teams inhibits maximum technological expertise being brought to bear on problems. Technical expertise is limited somewhat to the talents and experience of the specialists assigned to the project. While nothing prevents specialists from

SNAPSHOT FROM PRACTICEProjectitis: the dark side to project teams

One of the advantages of creating dedicated project teams is that project participants from different functional areas can develop into a highly cohesive work team that is strongly committed to completing the project. While such teams o�en produce Herculean efforts in pursuit of project completion, there is a negative dimension to this commitment that is o�en referred to in the literature as projectitis. A we–they attitude can emerge between project team members and the rest of the organisation. The project team succumbs to hubris and develops a holier-than-thou attitude that antagonises the parent organisation. People not assigned to the project become jealous of the attention and prestige being showered on the project team, especially when they believe that it is their hard work that is financing the endeavour. The tendency to assign project teams exotic titles such as ‘Silver Bullets’ and ‘Tiger Teams’, as well as give them special perks, tends to intensify the gap between the project team and the parent organisation.

Such appears to have been the case with Apple’s highly successful Macintosh development team. Steve Jobs, who at the time was both the chairman of Apple and the project manager for the Mac team, pampered his team with perks including at-the-desk massages, coolers stocked with freshly squeezed orange juice, a Bosendorfer grand piano and first-class plane tickets. No other employees at Apple got to travel first class. Jobs considered his team to be the elite of Apple and had a tendency to refer to everyone else as ‘Bozos’ who ‘didn’t get it’. Engineers from the Apple II division, which was the bread and butter of Apple’s sales, became incensed with the special treatment their colleagues were getting.

One evening at Ely McFly’s, a local watering hole, the tensions between Apple II engineers seated at one table and those of a Mac team at another boiled over. Aaron Goldberg, a long-time industry consultant, watched from his barstool as the squabbling escalated. ‘The Mac guys were screaming, “We’re the future!” The Apple II guys were screaming, “We’re the money!” Then there was a geek brawl. Pocket protectors and pens were flying. I was waiting for a notebook to drop, so they would stop and pick up the papers.’

Although comical from a distance, the discord between the Apple II and Mac groups severely hampered Apple’s performance during the 1980s. John Sculley, who replaced Steve Jobs as chairman of Apple, observed that Apple had evolved into two ‘warring companies’ and referred to the street between the Apple II and Macintosh buildings as ‘the DMZ’ (demilitarised zone).Source: J. Carlton, Apple: The Inside Story of Intrigue, Egomania, and Business Blunders (New York: Random House, 1997), pp. 13–14; J. Sculley,

Odyssey: Pepsi to Apple . . . A Journey of Adventure, Ideas, and the Future (New York: Harper & Row, 1987), pp. 270–9.

PART2Positioning Projects84

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efforts in pursuit of project completion, there is a negative dimension to this commitment that is o�en referred to in the literature as efforts in pursuit of project completion, there is a negative dimension to this commitment that is o�en referred to in the literature as

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projectitis. A we–they attitude can emerge between project team members and the rest of the organisation. The project team

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projectitis. A we–they attitude can emerge between project team members and the rest of the organisation. The project team projectitis. A we–they attitude can emerge between project team members and the rest of the organisation. The project team

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and develops a holier-than-thou attitude that antagonises the parent organisation. People not assigned to the and develops a holier-than-thou attitude that antagonises the parent organisation. People not assigned to the

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project become jealous of the attention and prestige being showered on the project team, especially when they believe that it is project become jealous of the attention and prestige being showered on the project team, especially when they believe that it is their hard work that is financing the endeavour. The tendency to assign project teams exotic titles such as ‘Silver Bullets’ and ‘Tiger Sam

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Teams’, as well as give them special perks, tends to intensify the gap between the project team and the parent organisation.Teams’, as well as give them special perks, tends to intensify the gap between the project team and the parent organisation.Such appears to have been the case with Apple’s highly successful Macintosh development team. Steve Jobs, who at the time Sam

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. Sometimes dedicated project teams take on an entity of their own and a disease known as Snapshot from practice: Projectitis: the dark side to project teams

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lyand experience of the specialists assigned to the project. While nothing prevents specialists from

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consulting with others in the functional division, the we–they syndrome and the fact that such help is not formally sanctioned by the organisation discourage this from happening.

4 Di�cult post-project transition. Assigning full-time personnel to a project creates the dilemma of what to do with personnel a�er the project is completed. If other project work is not available, then the transition back to their original functional departments may be di�cult because of their prolonged absence and the need to catch up with recent developments in their functional area. For example, an employee may be ‘seconded’ to a project from the business. �e seconded person’s role may have then been back�lled with a temporary employee; when the seconded person is returned to the business careful planning with HR would be required in order that the temporary employee is released before the ‘seconded’ person is able to return to their substantive position within the business.

ORgAnISIngPROjecTSWIThInAmATRIxARRAngemenTMatrix management is a hybrid organisational form in which a horizontal project management structure is ‘overlaid’ on top of the normal functional hierarchy. In a matrix system, there are usually two chains of command, one along functional lines (reporting to the line manager) and the other along project lines (reporting to the project manager). Instead of delegating segments of a project to di�erent units or creating an autonomous team, project participants report simultaneously to both functional and project managers.

Companies apply this matrix arrangement in a variety of di�erent ways. Some organisations set up temporary matrix systems to deal with speci�c projects, while the ‘matrix’ structure may be a permanent �xture in other organisations. Let us �rst look at its general application and then proceed to a more detailed discussion of �ner points. Consider Figure 4.4. �ere are three projects currently under way: A, B and C. All three projects have a dedicated project manager reporting to the director of project management, who supervises all projects. Each project has an administrative assistant, although the one for project C is only part time.

Project A involves the design and expansion of an existing production line to accommodate new metal alloys. To accomplish this objective, project A has assigned to it 4.5 people from manufacturing and 6 people from engineering. �ese individuals are assigned to the project on a part-time or full-time basis, depending on the project’s needs during various phases of the project. Project B involves the development of a new product that requires the heavy representation of engineering, manufacturing and marketing. Project C involves forecasting changing needs of an existing customer base. While these three projects, as well as others, are being completed, the functional divisions continue performing their basic, core activities.

�e matrix structure is designed to optimally utilise resources by having individuals work on multiple projects as well as being capable of performing normal functional duties. At the same time, the matrix approach attempts to achieve greater integration by creating and legitimising the authority of a project manager. In theory, the matrix approach provides a dual focus between functional/technical expertise and project requirements that is missing in either the dedicated project team or functional approach to project management as outlined previously. �is focus can most easily be seen in the relative input of functional managers and project managers over key project decisions (see Table 4.1).

dIFFeRenTmATRIxFORmSIn practice there are three key kinds of matrix systems, depending on the relative authority of the project and functional managers. �e following is an outline of the three kinds of matrix forms:

• Weak matrix. �is form is very similar to a functional approach with the exception that there is a formally designated project manager responsible for coordinating project activities. Functional managers are responsible for managing their segment of the project. �e project manager basically acts as a sta� assistant who draws the schedules and checklists, collects information on status of work and facilitates project completion. �e project manager has indirect authority to expedite and monitor the project. Functional managers call most of the shots and decide who does what and when the work is completed.

• Balanced matrix. �is is the classic matrix in which the project manager is responsible for de�ning what needs to be accomplished while the functional managers are concerned with how it will be accomplished. More speci�cally, the project manager establishes the overall plan for completing the project, integrates the contribution of the di�erent disciplines, sets schedules and monitors progress. �e functional managers are responsible for assigning personnel and executing their segment of the project according

85chAPTeR4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures

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points. Consider Figure 4.4. �ere are three projects currently under way: A, B and C. All three projects have a

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dedicated project manager reporting to the director of project management, who supervises all projects. Each project has an administrative assistant, although the one for project C is only part time.

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project has an administrative assistant, although the one for project C is only part time.Project A involves the design and expansion of an existing production line to accommodate new metal alloys.

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engineering. �ese individuals are assigned to the project on a part-time or full-time basis, depending on the project’s needs during various phases of the project. Project B involves the development of a new product that

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project’s needs during various phases of the project. Project B involves the development of a new product that requires the heavy representation of engineering, manufacturing and marketing. Project C involves forecasting

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Table4.1 Division of project manager and functional manager responsibilities in a matrix structure

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What has to be done? Who will do the task? How will it be done?

When should the task be done? Where will the task be done? How will the project involvement impact normal functional activities?

How much money is available to do the task?

Why will the task be done? How well has the functional input been integrated?

How well has the total project been done?

Is the task satisfactorily completed?

Figure4.4 Matrix organisational structure

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to the standards and schedules set by the project manager. �e merger of ‘what and how’ requires both parties to work closely together and jointly approve technical and operational decisions.

• Strong matrix. �is form attempts to create the ‘feel’ of a project team within a matrix environment. �e project manager controls most aspects of the project, including scope trade-o�s and assignment of functional personnel. �e project manager controls when and what specialists do and has �nal say on major project decisions. �e functional manager has title over her people and is consulted on a need basis. In some situations a functional manager’s department may serve as a ‘subcontractor’ for the project, in which case they have more control over specialised work. For example, the development of a new series of laptop computers may require a team of experts from di�erent disciplines working on the basic design and performance requirements within a project matrix arrangement. Once the

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speci�cations have been determined, �nal design and production of certain components (e.g. power source) may be assigned to respective functional groups to complete.

Matrix management both in general and in its speci�c forms has unique strengths and weaknesses. �e advantages and disadvantages of matrix organisations in general are noted below, while only brie�y highlighting speci�cs concerning di�erent forms:

1 E�cient. Resources can be shared across multiple projects as well as within functional divisions. Individuals can divide their energy across multiple projects on an as-needed basis. �is reduces duplication required in a projectised structure.

2 Strong project focus. A stronger project focus is provided by having a formally designated project manager who is responsible for coordinating and integrating the contributions of di�erent units. �is helps sustain a holistic approach to problem solving that is o�en missing in the functional organisation.

3 Easier post-project transition. Because the project organisation is overlaid on the functional divisions, specialists maintain ties with their functional group, so they have a substantive role to return to once the project is complete.

4 Flexible. Matrix arrangements provide for �exible utilisation of resources and expertise within the �rm. In some cases functional units may provide individuals who are managed by the project manager. In other cases the functional manager monitors the contributions.

�e strengths of the matrix structure are considerable. Unfortunately, so are the potential weaknesses. �is is due in large part to the fact that a matrix structure is more complicated and the creation of multiple bosses represents a radical departure from the traditional hierarchical authority system.

Furthermore, one does not install a matrix structure overnight. Experts argue that it takes three to �ve years for a matrix system to fully mature. So many of the problems described below represent growing pains.

1 Dysfunctional con�ict. �e matrix approach is predicated on tension between functional managers and project managers who bring critical expertise and perspectives to the project. Such tension is viewed

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as a necessary mechanism for achieving an appropriate balance between complex technical issues and unique project requirements. While the intent is noble, the e�ect is sometimes analogous to opening Pandora’s box. Legitimate con�ict can spill over to a more personal level, resulting from con�icting agendas and accountabilities. Worthy discussions can degenerate into heated arguments that engender animosity among the managers involved.

2 In�ghting. Any situation in which equipment, resources and people are being shared across projects and functional activities lends itself to con�ict and competition for scarce resources. In�ghting can occur among project managers, who are primarily interested in what is best for their project.

3 Stressful. Matrix management violates the management principle of unity of command. Project participants have at least two bosses—their functional manager and one or more project managers. Working in a matrix environment can be extremely stressful. Imagine what it would be like to work in an environment in which you are being told to do three potentially con�icting things by three di�erent managers.

4 Slow. In theory, the presence of a project manager to coordinate the project should accelerate the completion of the project. In practice, decision-making can get bogged down as agreements have to be forged across multiple functional groups. �is is especially true for the balanced matrix.

When the three variant forms of the matrix approach are considered, we can see that advantages and disadvantages are not necessarily true for all three forms of matrix. �e strong matrix is likely to enhance project integration, diminish internal power struggles and ultimately improve control of project activities and costs. On the downside, technical quality may su�er because functional areas have less control over their contributions. Finally, projectitis may emerge as the members develop a strong team identity.

�e weak matrix is likely to improve technical quality as well as provide a better system for managing con�ict across projects because the functional manager assigns personnel to di�erent projects. �e problem is that functional control is o�en maintained at the expense of poor project integration. �e balanced matrix can achieve better balance between technical and project requirements, but it is a very delicate system to manage and is more likely to succumb to many of the problems associated with the matrix approach.

Whatistherightprojectmanagementstructure?�ere is growing empirical evidence that project success is directly linked to the amount of autonomy and authority project managers have over their projects. However, most of this research is based on what is best for managing speci�c projects. It is important to remember what was stated in the beginning of the chapter—that the best system balances the needs of the project with those of the parent organisation. So what project structure should an organisation use? �is is a complicated question with no precise answers. A number of issues need to be considered at both the organisation and project level.

ORgAnISATIOnAlcOnSIdeRATIOnSAt the organisation level, the �rst question that needs to be asked is how important is project management to the success of the �rm? What percentage of core work involves projects? If over 75 per cent of work involves projects, then an organisation should consider a fully projectised organisation. If an organisation has both operations and projects, then a matrix arrangement would appear to be appropriate. If an organisation has very few projects, then a less formal arrangement is probably all that is required. Dedicated teams could be created on an as-needed basis and the organisation could outsource project work.

A second key question is resource availability. Remember, matrix evolved out of the necessity to share resources across multiple projects and functional domains while at the same time creating legitimate project leadership. For organisations that cannot a�ord to tie up critical personnel on individual projects, a matrix system would appear to be appropriate. An alternative would be to create a dedicated team but outsource project work when resources are not available internally.

Within the context of the �rst two questions, an organisation needs to assess current practices and what changes are needed to more e�ectively manage projects. A strong project matrix is not installed overnight. �e shi� toward a greater emphasis on projects has a host of political implications that need to be worked through, requiring time and strong leadership. For example, we have observed many companies that make the transition

PART2Positioning Projects88

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from a functional organisation to a matrix organisation begin with a weak functional matrix. �is is due in part to resistance by functional and department managers toward transferring authority to project managers. With time, these matrix structures eventually evolve into a project matrix. Many organisations have created project management o�ces (PMO) (as introduced in Chapter 2) to support project management e�orts. See Snapshot from practice: Project management o�ces.

PROjecTcOnSIdeRATIOnSAt the project level, the question is how much autonomy the project needs in order to be successfully completed. Hobbs and Ménard (1993) identi�ed seven factors that should in�uence the choice of project management structure as:

1 size of project2 strategic importance3 novelty and need for innovation4 need for integration (number of departments involved)5 environmental complexity (number of external interfaces)6 budget and time constraints7 stability of resource requirements.

�e higher the levels of these seven factors, the more autonomy and authority the project manager and project team need to be successful. �is translates into using either a dedicated project team or a project matrix structure. For example, these structures should be used for large projects that are strategically critical and are new to the company, thus requiring much innovation. �ese structures would also be appropriate for complex, multidisciplinary projects that require input from many departments, as well as for projects that require constant contact with customers to

SNAPSHOT FROM PRACTICEProject management o�ces

Project management offices (PMOs) were originally developed as a response to the poor track record many companies had in completing projects on time, within budget and according to plan. They were o�en established to help matrix systems mature into more effective project delivery platforms.

Today, PMOs come in many different shapes and forms. One interesting way of classifying PMOs was set forth by Casey and Peck, who describe certain PMOs in terms of being (1) a weather station, (2) a control tower or (3) a resource pool. Each of these models performs a very different function for its organisation.

• Weather station. The primary function of the weather station PMO is to track and monitor project performance. It is typically created to satisfy top management’s need to stay on top of the portfolio of programs and projects under way in the firm. Staff provides an independent forecast of project performance. The questions answered for specific projects include:• How are our projects progressing? Which ones are on track? Which ones are not?• How are we doing in terms of cost? Which projects are over or under budget?• What are the major problems confronting projects? Are contingency plans in place? What can the organisation do to

help the project?• Control tower. The primary function of the control tower PMO is to improve project execution. It considers project

management as a profession to be protected and advanced. The PMO identifies best practices and standards for project management excellence. They work as consultants and trainers to support project managers and their teams.

• Resource pool.The goal of the resource pool PMO is to provide the organisation with a cadre of trained project managers and professionals. It operates like an academy for continually upgrading the skills of a firm’s project professionals. In addition to training, this kind of PMO also serves to elevate the stature of project management within the organisation.

Source: W. Casey and W. Peck, ‘Choosing the Right PMO Setup,’ PM Network, vol. 15, no. 2(2001), pp. 40–47. In practice your PMO may offer all

three of these functions and more.

89chAPTeR4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures

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assess their expectations. Dedicated project teams should also be used for urgent projects in which the nature of the work requires people working steadily from beginning to end.

Many �rms that are heavily involved in project management have created a �exible management system that organises projects according to project requirements. For example, Chaparral Steel, a mini-mill that produces steel bars and beams from scrap metal, classi�es projects into three categories: advanced development, platform and incremental. Advanced development projects are high-risk endeavours involving the creation of a breakthrough product or process. Platform projects are medium-risk projects involving system upgrades that yield new products and processes. Incremental projects are low-risk, short-term projects that involve minor adjustments in existing products and processes.

At any point in time, Chaparral might have 40–50 projects under way, of which only one or two are advanced, three to �ve are platform projects and the remainder are small, incremental projects. �e incremental projects are almost all done within a weak matrix with the project manager coordinating the work of functional subgroups. A strong matrix is used to complete the platform projects, while dedicated project teams are typically created to complete the advanced development projects. More and more companies are using this ‘mix and match’ approach to managing projects.

A further discussion of project organisational structures can be found in PMBoK. Refer to pages 19–26 of the ��h edition.

OrganisationalcultureSo how does the organisational culture a�ect the selection of which project organisation to apply? Let’s look at two organisations, one a long-established government department and the other a commercial organisation that prides itself on the ability to get products to market quickly.

In the �rst organisation (a long-established government organisation), people are tasked to both operational day-to-day activities (on tightly de�ned employment contracts under the auspice of an Enterprise Bargaining Agreement) and also, for a percentage of their time, to projects. As the projects cannot be organised (or funded) with dedicated project personnel, the project managers and the employees resourced to the projects come from across the business and a weak matrix organisational structure takes shape. �e managers, who are also the project managers, closely manage the workload of the employees to ensure that both the operational day-to-day activities are carried out as well as tasks allocated to the employees in respect to delivering the projects. �e arrangement works well as the department has no pressures upon it to bring products to market (although projects do have to be completed to the agreed schedule), so the daily customer facing activities can be met.

�e commercial organisation has great success in using dedicated project teams, is resourced to carry out all aspects of the project and reports to a full-time project manager who is fully engaged to deliver the project in the most e�cient manner possible. �e support functions within the business provide services to the project, such as human resource and procurement services. �e culture of the organisation is to rotate project resources around the projects and to give the project employees a choice of which projects to participate in. �is works well for the organisation, as there are more projects in the pipeline than there are people to carry out the projects. �e project employees get to choose the subject nature of the project they wish to be involved in (as opposed to being allocated on a prearranged basis) and the organisation, in most cases, �lls the project roles with employees who are interested and passionate about the project.

Gaining e�ciencies in the ‘marriage’ between the organisation’s culture, the organisational structure and the project structure is o�en a learning exercise and one structure (solution) may not �t all projects. Smaller projects could be delivered within a weak matrix structure; however, larger complex projects o�en require dedicated project structures.

WhATISORgAnISATIOnAlculTuRe?Organisational culture refers to a system of shared norms, beliefs, values and assumptions that bind people together, thereby creating shared meanings. �is system is manifested by customs and habits that exemplify the values and beliefs of the organisation. For example, egalitarianism may be expressed in the informal dress worn at a high-tech �rm. Conversely, mandated uniforms at a department store reinforce respect for the hierarchy.

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So how does the organisational culture a�ect the selection of which project organisation to apply? Let’s look at

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So how does the organisational culture a�ect the selection of which project organisation to apply? Let’s look at two organisations, one a long-established government department and the other a commercial organisation that

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two organisations, one a long-established government department and the other a commercial organisation that prides itself on the ability to get products to market quickly.

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day-to-day activities (on tightly de�ned employment contracts under the auspice of an Enterprise Bargaining

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day-to-day activities (on tightly de�ned employment contracts under the auspice of an Enterprise Bargaining Agreement) and also, for a percentage of their time, to projects. As the projects cannot be organised (or funded)

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with dedicated project personnel, the project managers and the employees resourced to the projects come from across the business and a weak matrix organisational structure takes shape. �e managers, who are also the project

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across the business and a weak matrix organisational structure takes shape. �e managers, who are also the project managers, closely manage the workload of the employees to ensure that both the operational day-to-day activities

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Culture re�ects the personality of the organisation and, similar to an individual’s personality, can enable us to predict attitudes and behaviours of employees. Culture is also one of the de�ning aspects of an organisation that sets it apart from other organisations, even in the same industry.

Research suggests that there are ten primary characteristics which, in aggregate, capture the essence of an organisation’s culture:

1 Member identity. �e degree to which employees identify with the organisation as a whole rather than with their type of job or �eld of professional expertise.

2 Team emphasis. �e degree to which work activities are organised around groups rather than individuals. 3 Management focus. �e degree to which management decisions take into account the e�ect of outcomes

on people within the organisation. 4 Unit integration. �e degree to which units [departments] within the organisation are encouraged to

operate in a coordinated or interdependent manner. 5 Control. �e degree to which rules, policies and direct supervision are used to oversee and control

employee behaviour. 6 Risk tolerance. �e degree to which employees are encouraged to be aggressive, innovative and risk seeking. 7 Reward criteria. �e degree to which rewards such as promotion and salary increases are allocated

according to employee performance rather than seniority, favouritism or other non-performance factors. 8 Con�ict tolerance. �e degree to which employees are encouraged to air con�icts and criticisms openly. 9 Means versus end orientation. �e degree to which management focuses on outcomes rather than on

techniques and processes used to achieve those results.10 Open-systems focus. �e degree to which the organisation monitors and responds to changes in the

external environment.

As shown in Figure 4.5, each of these dimensions exists on a continuum. Assessing an organisation according to these ten dimensions provides a composite picture of the organisation’s culture. �is picture becomes the basis for feelings of shared understanding that the members have about the organisation, how things are done and the way members are supposed to behave.

Culture performs several important functions in organisations. An organisation’s culture provides a sense of identity for its members. �e more clearly an organisation’s shared perceptions and values are stated, the more strongly people can identify with their organisation and feel a vital part of it. Identity generates commitment to the organisation and reasons for members to devote energy and loyalty to the organisation.

A second important function is that culture helps legitimise the management system of the organisation. Culture helps clarify authority relationships. It provides reasons why people are in a position of authority and why their authority should be respected.

Most importantly, organisational culture clari�es and reinforces standards of behaviour. Culture helps de�ne what is permissible and inappropriate behaviour. �ese standards span a wide range of behaviour from dress code and working hours to challenging the judgment of superiors and collaborating with other departments. Ultimately, culture helps create social order within an organisation. Imagine what it would be like if members didn’t share similar beliefs, values and assumptions—chaos! �e customs, norms and ideals conveyed by the culture of an organisation provide the stability and predictability in behaviour that is essential for an e�ective organisation. See Snapshot from practice: Real-life project teams for an example of this.

Although our discussion of organisational culture may appear to suggest one culture dominates the entire organisation, in reality this is rarely the case. ‘Strong’ or ‘thick’ are adjectives used to denote a culture in which the organisation’s core values and customs are widely shared within the entire organisation. Conversely, a ‘thin’ or ‘weak’ culture is one that is not widely shared or practised within a �rm.

Figure4.5 Key dimensions defining an organisation’s culture

Job

Individual

Task

Independent

Loose

Low

Performance

Low

Means

Internal

1. Member identity

2. Team emphasis

3. Management focus

4. Unit integration

5. Control

6. Risk tolerance

7. Reward criteria

8. Conflict tolerance

9. Means-ends orientation

10. Open-system focus

Organisation

Group

People

Interdependent

Tight

High

Other

High

Ends

External

91chAPTeR4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures

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. �e degree to which the organisation monitors and responds to changes in the

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. �e degree to which the organisation monitors and responds to changes in the

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Even within a strong organisational culture, there are likely to be subcultures o�en aligned within speci�c departments or specialty areas. As noted earlier in our discussion of project management structures, it is not uncommon for norms, values and customs to develop within a speci�c �eld or profession such as marketing, �nance or operations. People working in the marketing department may have a di�erent set of norms and values than those working in �nance.

Countercultures sometimes emerge within organisations that embody a di�erent set of values, beliefs and customs—o�en in direct contradiction with the culture espoused by top management. How pervasive these subcultures and countercultures are a�ect the strength of the culture of the organisation and the extent to which culture in�uences members’ actions and responses.

IdenTIFyIngculTuRAlchARAcTeRISTIcSDeciphering an organisation’s culture is a highly inter pretative, subjective process that requires assessment of both current and past history. �e student of culture cannot simply rely on what people report about their culture. �e physical environment in which people work, as well as how people act and respond to di�erent events that occur, must be examined. Figure 4.7 contains a checklist for the basic analysis of the culture of an organisation. Although by no means exhaustive, the checklist o�en yields clues about the norms, customs and values of an organisation:

SNAPSHOT FROM PRACTICEReal-life project teams

While working for Oracle Corporation®, both in the UK and the USA, the author had the opportunity to work in various areas of the business, enabling him to experience both leadership and membership of a number of different project teams. Some of the larger projects, for example back-office system consolidations, were run by a small ‘core’ team of full-time project staff, comprising the project manager, communications and change manager and business analysts. However, the majority of other employees utilised by the project were seen as transient and, typically, Subject Matter Experts (SME) were drawn in from across the business as and when needed. SMEs ranged from a variety of technical experts to local (in-country) business representatives. The SMEs retained their functional position in the organisation but also reported to the project manager in regard to assigned project activities vand tasks. This hybrid structure worked well for the organisation and the delivery of projects. The culture of the organisation was

‘empowerment’. Everyone knew what their role was, and they were suitably empowered to carry out their role. The environment was very positive and the SMEs, project managers and others involved supported each other in a collective, collaborative manner.

The author experienced a different situation at an energy utility company in Australia. There was a complex political culture with a predominantly ‘command and control’ ethos. The organisation was (outside of operations) a projectised organisation with many large and small projects being attended to in a true projectised nature. As an example of a project structure in practice, imagine a project designed to deliver changes to core aspects of the business model. Included in the scope of this project was the redesign of the following business processes: strategic planning, business planning, performance management, benefits management and portfolio/program/project management. This, as can be imagined, touched on all the senior positions and players in the organisation and was run as a full-time project with a project manager, SMEs, business analysts, a part-time organisational change manager and a full-time project administrator. The focus of the project was stakeholder management and communications. The project was well supported by other functional departments in terms of human resources, procurement and corporate communications (these functional departments supporting the day-to-day activities of the business, as well as most large or small projects).

These two examples show the range of differing cultures and project structures that can typically be found across organisations. As a project manager (contract or permanent), you have to quickly be able to adapt to the organisation’s culture and to the preferred style of project structure: functional, matrix or projectised.

Figure4.6 Real-life team projectsSource: istock

PART2Positioning Projects92

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and was run as a full-time project with a project manager, SMEs, business analysts, a part-time organisational change manager and was run as a full-time project with a project manager, SMEs, business analysts, a part-time organisational change manager and a full-time project administrator. The focus of the project was stakeholder management and communications. The project was

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and a full-time project administrator. The focus of the project was stakeholder management and communications. The project was and a full-time project administrator. The focus of the project was stakeholder management and communications. The project was well supported by other functional departments in terms of human resources, procurement and corporate communications (these

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well supported by other functional departments in terms of human resources, procurement and corporate communications (these well supported by other functional departments in terms of human resources, procurement and corporate communications (these functional departments supporting the day-to-day activities of the business, as well as most large or small projects).

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functional departments supporting the day-to-day activities of the business, as well as most large or small projects).functional departments supporting the day-to-day activities of the business, as well as most large or small projects).

These two examples show the range of differing cultures and project structures that can typically be found across organisations.

Sample

These two examples show the range of differing cultures and project structures that can typically be found across organisations. These two examples show the range of differing cultures and project structures that can typically be found across organisations.

As a project manager (contract or permanent), you have to quickly be able to adapt to the organisation’s culture and to the preferred

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As a project manager (contract or permanent), you have to quickly be able to adapt to the organisation’s culture and to the preferred As a project manager (contract or permanent), you have to quickly be able to adapt to the organisation’s culture and to the preferred style of project structure: functional, matrix or projectised.Sam

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style of project structure: functional, matrix or projectised.style of project structure: functional, matrix or projectised.

only

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from across the business as and when needed. SMEs ranged from a

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from across the business as and when needed. SMEs ranged from a from across the business as and when needed. SMEs ranged from a variety of technical experts to local (in-country) business representatives.

only

variety of technical experts to local (in-country) business representatives. variety of technical experts to local (in-country) business representatives. The SMEs retained their functional position in the organisation but also

onlyThe SMEs retained their functional position in the organisation but also The SMEs retained their functional position in the organisation but also

reported to the project manager in regard to assigned project activities

onlyreported to the project manager in regard to assigned project activities reported to the project manager in regard to assigned project activities

vand tasks. This hybrid structure worked well for the organisation and

onlyvand tasks. This hybrid structure worked well for the organisation and vand tasks. This hybrid structure worked well for the organisation and

the delivery of projects. The culture of the organisation was

onlythe delivery of projects. The culture of the organisation was the delivery of projects. The culture of the organisation was

‘empowerment’. Everyone knew what their role was, and they were suitably empowered to carry out their role. The environment was only

‘empowerment’. Everyone knew what their role was, and they were suitably empowered to carry out their role. The environment was ‘empowerment’. Everyone knew what their role was, and they were suitably empowered to carry out their role. The environment was very positive and the SMEs, project managers and others involved supported each other in a collective, collaborative manner.on

lyvery positive and the SMEs, project managers and others involved supported each other in a collective, collaborative manner.very positive and the SMEs, project managers and others involved supported each other in a collective, collaborative manner.

The author experienced a different situation at an energy utility company in Australia. There was a complex political culture with only

The author experienced a different situation at an energy utility company in Australia. There was a complex political culture with The author experienced a different situation at an energy utility company in Australia. There was a complex political culture with a predominantly ‘command and control’ ethos. The organisation was (outside of operations) a projectised organisation with many on

lya predominantly ‘command and control’ ethos. The organisation was (outside of operations) a projectised organisation with many a predominantly ‘command and control’ ethos. The organisation was (outside of operations) a projectised organisation with many large and small projects being attended to in a true projectised nature. As an example of a project structure in practice, imagine a

only

large and small projects being attended to in a true projectised nature. As an example of a project structure in practice, imagine a large and small projects being attended to in a true projectised nature. As an example of a project structure in practice, imagine a

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1 Study the physical characteristics of an organisation. What does the external architecture look like? What image does it convey? Is it unique? Are the buildings and o�ces the same quality for all employees? Or are modern buildings and fancier o�ces reserved for senior executives or managers from a speci�c department? What are the customs concerning dress? What symbols does the organisation use to signal authority and status within the organisation? �ese physical characteristics can shed light on who has real power within the organisation, the extent to which the organisation is internally di�erentiated and how formal the organisation is in its business dealings.

2 Read about the organisation. Examine annual reports, mission statements, press releases and internal newsletters. What do they describe? What principles are espoused in these documents? Do the reports emphasise the people who work for the organisation and what they do or the �nancial performance of the �rm? Each emphasis re�ects a di�erent culture. �e �rst demonstrates concern for the people who make up the company. �e second may suggest a concern for results and the bottom line.

3 Observe how people interact within the organisation. What is their pace—is it slow and methodical or urgent and spontaneous? What rituals exist within the organisation? What values do they express? Meetings can o�en yield insightful information. Who are the people at the meetings? Who does the talking? To whom do they talk? How candid is the conversation? Do people speak for the organisation or for the individual department? What is the focus of the meetings? How much time is spent on various issues? Issues that are discussed repeatedly and at length are clues about the values of the organisation’s culture.

4 Interpret stories and folklore surrounding the organisation. Look for similarities among stories told by di�erent people. �e subjects highlighted in recurring stories o�en re�ect what is important to an organisation’s culture. For example, many of the stories that are repeated at Versatec, a Xerox subsidiary that makes graphic plotters for computers, involve their �amboyant cofounder, Renn Zaphiropoulos. According to company folklore, one of the very �rst things Renn did when the company was formed was to assemble the top management team at his home. �ey then devoted the weekend to hand-making a beautiful teak conference table around which all future decisions would be made. �is table came to symbolise the importance of teamwork and maintaining high standards of performance, two essential qualities of the culture at Versatec. Try to identify who the heroes and villains are in the folklore company. What do they suggest about the culture’s ideals? Returning to the Versatec story, when the company was eventually purchased by Xerox many employees expressed concern that Versatec’s informal play hard/work hard culture would be overwhelmed by the bureaucracy at Xerox. Renn rallied the employees to superior levels of performance by arguing that if they exceeded Xerox’s expectations they would be le� alone. Autonomy has remained a �xture of Versatec’s culture long a�er Renn’s retirement.

It is also important to pay close attention to the basis for promotions and rewards. What do people see as the keys to getting ahead within the organisation? What contributes to downfalls? �ese last two questions can yield important insights into the qualities and behaviours which the organisation honours as well as the cultural taboos

nATIOnAlAuSTRAlIABAnk(nAB)

I.Physicalcharacteristics:Head Office, 8-storey modern building, located at the Docklands in Melbourne, AustraliaSmart business attire, banking formalities.II.Publicdocuments:Annual reports (financial statement), sustainability reports, investor reports, risk and capital reports.Strategy, Focus on the strong Australian franchise and manage international positions for value, Maintain balance sheet strength, Reduce complexity and cost, Enhance our reputation.III.Behaviour:Investing in the skills and capabilities of employees, Organisational Culture, Diversity and Inclusion, Talent Management, Health and Wellbeing, Learning and Development, Performance and Reward, Industrial Relations, Flexible Working.IV.Folklore:Stories, anecdotes and history evidenced.Source: National Australia Bank, Annual Review 2011

Figure4.7 Organisational culture analysis

93chAPTeR4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures

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department? What are the customs concerning dress? What symbols does the organisation use to signal

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department? What are the customs concerning dress? What symbols does the organisation use to signal authority and status within the organisation? �ese physical characteristics can shed light on who has

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authority and status within the organisation? �ese physical characteristics can shed light on who has real power within the organisation, the extent to which the organisation is internally di�erentiated and

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real power within the organisation, the extent to which the organisation is internally di�erentiated and how formal the organisation is in its business dealings.

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how formal the organisation is in its business dealings.. Examine annual reports, mission statements, press releases and internal

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. Examine annual reports, mission statements, press releases and internal

newsletters. What do they describe? What principles are espoused in these documents? Do the reports

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newsletters. What do they describe? What principles are espoused in these documents? Do the reports emphasise the people who work for the organisation and what they do or the �nancial performance of the

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emphasise the people who work for the organisation and what they do or the �nancial performance of the �rm? Each emphasis re�ects a di�erent culture. �e �rst demonstrates concern for the people who make

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�rm? Each emphasis re�ects a di�erent culture. �e �rst demonstrates concern for the people who make up the company. �e second may suggest a concern for results and the bottom line.

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up the company. �e second may suggest a concern for results and the bottom line.

bserve how people interact within the organisation

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bserve how people interact within the organisation

and spontaneous? What rituals exist within the organisation? What values do they express? Meetings can

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and spontaneous? What rituals exist within the organisation? What values do they express? Meetings can o�en yield insightful information. Who are the people at the meetings? Who does the talking? To whom

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o�en yield insightful information. Who are the people at the meetings? Who does the talking? To whom do they talk? How candid is the conversation? Do people speak for the organisation or for the individual

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do they talk? How candid is the conversation? Do people speak for the organisation or for the individual

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department? What is the focus of the meetings? How much time is spent on various issues? Issues that are Sample

department? What is the focus of the meetings? How much time is spent on various issues? Issues that are discussed repeatedly and at length are clues about the values of the organisation’s culture.Sam

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discussed repeatedly and at length are clues about the values of the organisation’s culture.nterpret stories and folklore surrounding the organisationSam

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nterpret stories and folklore surrounding the organisationdi�erent people. �e subjects highlighted in recurring stories o�en re�ect what is important to an Sam

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di�erent people. �e subjects highlighted in recurring stories o�en re�ect what is important to an organisation’s culture. For example, many of the stories that are repeated at Versatec, a Xerox subsidiary

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organisation’s culture. For example, many of the stories that are repeated at Versatec, a Xerox subsidiary

only

only. What does the external architecture look like? What

only. What does the external architecture look like? What

image does it convey? Is it unique? Are the buildings and o�ces the same quality for all employees?

onlyimage does it convey? Is it unique? Are the buildings and o�ces the same quality for all employees?

Or are modern buildings and fancier o�ces reserved for senior executives or managers from a speci�c only

Or are modern buildings and fancier o�ces reserved for senior executives or managers from a speci�c department? What are the customs concerning dress? What symbols does the organisation use to signal on

lydepartment? What are the customs concerning dress? What symbols does the organisation use to signal authority and status within the organisation? �ese physical characteristics can shed light on who has on

lyauthority and status within the organisation? �ese physical characteristics can shed light on who has real power within the organisation, the extent to which the organisation is internally di�erentiated and on

lyreal power within the organisation, the extent to which the organisation is internally di�erentiated and on

ly

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and behavioural land mines that can derail a career. For example, one project manager con�ded that a former colleague was sent to project management purgatory soon a�er publicly questioning the validity of a marketing report. From that point on, the project manager was extra careful to privately consult the marketing department whenever she had questions about their data.

With practice an observer can assess how strong the dominant culture of an organisation is and the signi�cance of subcultures and countercultures. Furthermore, learners can discern and identify where the culture of an organisation stands on the ten cultural dimensions presented earlier and, in essence, begin to build a cultural pro�le for a �rm. Based on this pro�le, conclusions can be drawn about speci�c customs and norms that need to be adhered to as well as those behaviours and actions that violate the norms of a �rm.

ImplicationsoforganisationalculturefororganisingprojectsProject managers have to be able to operate in several, potentially diverse, organisational cultures. First, they have to interact with the culture of their parent organisation as well as the subcultures of various departments (e.g. marketing, accounting). Second, they have to interact with the project’s client or customer organisations. Finally, they have to interact in varying degrees with a host of other organisations connected to the project. �ese organisations include suppliers and vendors, subcontractors, consulting �rms, government and regulatory agencies and, in many cases, community groups. Many of these organisations are likely to have very di�erent

cultures. Project managers have to be able to read and speak the culture they are working in to develop strategies, plans and responses that are likely to be understood and accepted. Still, the emphasis of this chapter is on the relationship between organisational culture and project management structure, and it is necessary to defer further discussion of these implications until Chapter 11, which focuses on leadership, team building and the human dimensions of project management.

Earlier we stated that we believe there are strong rela tionships among project management structure, organisa tional culture and successful project management. To explore these relationships further, let us return to the dimensions that can be used to characterise the culture of an organisation. When examining these dimensions we could hypothesise that certain aspects of the culture of an organisation would support successful project management while other aspects would deter or interfere with e�ective management. Figure 4.8 attempts to identify which cultural characteristics create an environment conducive to completing most complex projects involving people from di�erent disciplines.

Note that, in many cases, the ideal culture is not at either extreme. For example, a fertile project culture would likely be one in which management balances its focus on the needs of both the task and the people. An optimal culture would balance concern with output (ends) and processes to achieve those outcomes (means). In other cases, the ideal culture would be on one end of a dimension or the other. For example, because most projects require collaboration across disciplines, it would be desirable that the culture of the organisation emphasise working in teams and identifying with the organisation, not just the professional domain. Likewise it is important that the culture support a certain degree of risk taking and a tolerance for constructive con�ict.

One organisation that appears to �t this ideal pro�le is 3M. 3M has received acclaim for creating an entrepreneurial culture within a large corporate framework. �e essence of its culture is captured in phrases that have been chanted o�en by 3Mers throughout its history: ‘Encourage experimental doodling.’ ‘Hire good people and leave them alone.’ ‘If you put fences around people, you get sheep. Give people the room they need.’ Freedom and autonomy to experiment are re�ected in the ‘15 per cent rule’, which encourages technical people to spend up

Figure4.8 Cultural dimensions of an organisation supportive of project management

Job

Individual

Task

Independent

Loose

Low

Performance

Low

Means

Internal

1. Member identity

2. Team emphasis

3. People focus

4. Unit integration

5. Control

6. Risk tolerance

7. Reward criteria

8. Conflict tolerance

9. Means-ends orientation

10. Open-system focus

Organisation

Group

People

Interdependent

Tight

High

Other

High

Ends

External

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cultures. Project managers have to be able to read and speak the

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cultures. Project managers have to be able to read and speak the culture they are working in to develop strategies, plans and responses

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culture they are working in to develop strategies, plans and responses that are likely to be understood and accepted. Still, the emphasis of

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that are likely to be understood and accepted. Still, the emphasis of this chapter is on the relationship between organisational culture and

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this chapter is on the relationship between organisational culture and project management structure, and it is necessary to defer further

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project management structure, and it is necessary to defer further discussion of these implications until Chapter 11, which focuses

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discussion of these implications until Chapter 11, which focuses on leadership, team building and the human dimensions of project

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on leadership, team building and the human dimensions of project management.

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management.

Earlier we stated that we believe there are strong rela

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Earlier we stated that we believe there are strong rela

among project management structure, organisa

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among project management structure, organisasuccessful project management. To explore these relationships

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successful project management. To explore these relationships further, let us return to the dimensions that can be used to

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onlyProject managers have to be able to operate in several, potentially diverse, organisational cultures. First, they

onlyProject managers have to be able to operate in several, potentially diverse, organisational cultures. First, they

have to interact with the culture of their parent organisation as well as the subcultures of various departments

onlyhave to interact with the culture of their parent organisation as well as the subcultures of various departments

(e.g. marketing, accounting). Second, they have to interact with the project’s client or customer organisations.

only(e.g. marketing, accounting). Second, they have to interact with the project’s client or customer organisations.

Finally, they have to interact in varying degrees with a host of other organisations connected to the project.

onlyFinally, they have to interact in varying degrees with a host of other organisations connected to the project.

�ese organisations include suppliers and vendors, subcontractors, consulting �rms, government and regulatory only

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lyculture they are working in to develop strategies, plans and responses that are likely to be understood and accepted. Still, the emphasis of on

lythat are likely to be understood and accepted. Still, the emphasis of

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to 15 per cent of their time on projects of their own choosing and initiative. �is fertile culture has contributed to 3M’s branching out into more than 60 000 products and 35 separate business units. Google applies a similar scenario with the ‘Google 20’, where employees are encouraged to spend 20 per cent of paid time working on ideas that may (or may not) materialise into that next ground-breaking product for the organisation.

�e metaphor we choose to describe the relationship between organisational culture and project management is that of a riverboat trip. Culture is the river and the project is the boat. Organising and completing projects within an organisation in which the culture is conducive to project management is like paddling downstream: much less e�ort is required. In many cases, the current can be so strong that steering is all that is required. Such is the case for projects that operate in a project-friendly environment where teamwork and cross-functional cooperation are the norms, where there is a deep commitment to excellence and where healthy con�ict is voiced and dealt with quickly and e�ectively.

Conversely, trying to complete a project in a toxic culture is like paddling upstream: much more time, e�ort and attention are needed to reach the destination. �is would be the situation in cultures that discourage teamwork and cooperation, that have a low tolerance for con�ict and where getting ahead is based less on performance and more on cultivating favourable relationships with superiors. In such cases, the project manager and his or her people not only have to overcome the natural obstacles of the project but also have to overcome the prevailing negative forces inherent in the culture of the organisation.

�e implications of this metaphor are important. Greater project authority and time are necessary to complete projects that encounter a strong, negative cultural current. Conversely, less formal authority and fewer dedicated resources are needed to complete projects in which the cultural currents generate behaviour and cooperation essential to project success.

�e key issue is the degree of interdependency between the parent organisation and the project team. In cases where the prevalent organisational culture supports the behaviours essential to project completion, a weaker, more �exible project management structure can be e�ective. For example, one of the major reasons Chaparral Steel is able to use a functional matrix to successfully complete incremental projects is that its culture contains strong norms for cooperation. See the Research highlight: �e secret of success for another example of how culture supports successful project management.

When the dominant organisational culture inhibits collaboration and innovation, it is advisable to insulate the project team from the dominant culture. Here it becomes necessary to create a self-su�cient project team. If a dedicated project team is impossible because of resource constraints, then at least a project matrix should be used where the project manager has dominant control over the project. In both cases, the managerial strategy is to create a distinct team subculture in which a new set of norms, customs and values evolve that will be conducive to project completion.

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTThesecretofsuccessIn The Secret of Success: The Double Helix of Formal and Informal Structures in an R&D Laboratory, Polly Rizova revealed the results of a year-long investigation into the inner workings of a Fortune 500 R&D Lab. Through interviews with key participants and analysis of social networking data, Rizova assessed the efficacy of six high-tech development projects.

Four critical success factors emerged from her research. One element that is crucial to success is a heavy reliance on open and unrestricted patterns of communication, coupled with a low degree of formal reporting. In other words, team members freely interacted with each other regardless of title, experience or discipline. A second key is having individuals on the project who are highly respected across the laboratory for their exceptional technical skills and experience. Similarly, it is also vital to have individuals involved in the project who are highly respected for their organisational expertise and experience. Having both ‘technical stars’ and ‘organisational stars’ on the project team was essential to success. The final factor is a strong and sustained support for the project from the company’s corporate management. What’s more, her analysis revealed the interactive nature of the four conditions; namely that no one condition was likely to produce successful outcomes on its own, but only when put together in a way in which they reinforce each other. Here the culture of the laboratory was seen as the key catalyst.

continued

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�e key issue is the degree of interdependency between the parent organisation and the project team. In cases

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�e key issue is the degree of interdependency between the parent organisation and the project team. In cases where the prevalent organisational culture supports the behaviours essential to project completion, a weaker,

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where the prevalent organisational culture supports the behaviours essential to project completion, a weaker, more �exible project management structure can be e�ective. For example, one of the major reasons Chaparral

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more �exible project management structure can be e�ective. For example, one of the major reasons Chaparral Steel is able to use a functional matrix to successfully complete incremental projects is that its culture contains

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Steel is able to use a functional matrix to successfully complete incremental projects is that its culture contains

Research highlight: �e secret of success

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Research highlight: �e secret of success

supports successful project management.

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supports successful project management.

When the dominant organisational culture inhibits collaboration and innovation, it is advisable to insulate

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When the dominant organisational culture inhibits collaboration and innovation, it is advisable to insulate

the project team from the dominant culture. Here it becomes necessary to create a self-su�cient project team. If

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the project team from the dominant culture. Here it becomes necessary to create a self-su�cient project team. If a dedicated project team is impossible because of resource constraints, then at least a project matrix should be

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a dedicated project team is impossible because of resource constraints, then at least a project matrix should be

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used where the project manager has dominant control over the project. In both cases, the managerial strategy is

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used where the project manager has dominant control over the project. In both cases, the managerial strategy is to create a distinct team subculture in which a new set of norms, customs and values evolve that will be conducive

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to create a distinct team subculture in which a new set of norms, customs and values evolve that will be conducive to project completion.

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to project completion.

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and attention are needed to reach the destination. �is would be the situation in cultures that discourage teamwork

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and attention are needed to reach the destination. �is would be the situation in cultures that discourage teamwork and cooperation, that have a low tolerance for con�ict and where getting ahead is based less on performance and

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and cooperation, that have a low tolerance for con�ict and where getting ahead is based less on performance and more on cultivating favourable relationships with superiors. In such cases, the project manager and his or her

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more on cultivating favourable relationships with superiors. In such cases, the project manager and his or her people not only have to overcome the natural obstacles of the project but also have to overcome the prevailing

onlypeople not only have to overcome the natural obstacles of the project but also have to overcome the prevailing

�e implications of this metaphor are important. Greater project authority and time are necessary to complete

only�e implications of this metaphor are important. Greater project authority and time are necessary to complete

projects that encounter a strong, negative cultural current. Conversely, less formal authority and fewer dedicated

onlyprojects that encounter a strong, negative cultural current. Conversely, less formal authority and fewer dedicated

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more �exible project management structure can be e�ective. For example, one of the major reasons Chaparral

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Rizova describes a matrix system in which people work on multiple projects simultaneously but with a different wrinkle. Individuals occupy different positions and play different roles depending upon the project. For example, it is common for a senior engineer to be the manager of one project and a researcher on another that is led by his or her subordinate. In essence one must ‘boss’ his or her own boss. At first glance this formal structure should create destructive tensions. However, Rizova argues that the organisational culture of the lab is the glue that keeps things running smoothly.

She described a culture in which the social norms of cooperation, respect and civility are upheld and reproduced. It is a culture characterised by trust and a strong drive toward superior individual and organisational learning and achievement. The culture is captured in the comments of researchers:

That is one of the nicest things around here. Your opinions are listened to. Superiors consider our advice. You will find that most of the projects here are a team effort.

What I like most is the positive thinking and the ‘whatever it takes’ attitude. Personality conflicts can be devastating. Here everyone helps you and supports you. There is no ‘I’ in the word team.

Very friendly environment. . . I met new people and learned a lot from them. They do not mind sharing their expertise.

Source: Polly S. Rizova, The Secret of Success: The Double Helix of Formal and Informal Structures in an R&D Laboratory. (Stanford, CA:

Stanford University Press, 2007.)

SummaryThis chapter examined two major characteristics of the parent organisation that affect the implementation and completion of projects. The first is the formal structure of the organisation and how it chooses to organise and manage projects. Although the individual project manager may have very little say as to how the firm chooses to manage projects, he or she must be able to recognise the options available as well as the inherent strengths and weaknesses of different approaches.

Three basic project management structures were described and assessed as to their weaknesses and strengths. Only under unique circumstances can a case be made for managing a project within the normal functional hierarchy. When thinking only in terms of what is best for the project, the creation of an independent project team is clearly favoured. However, the most effective project management system appropriately balances the needs of the project with those of the parent organisation. Matrix structures emerged out of the parent organisation’s need to share personnel and resources across multiple projects and operations while creating legitimate project focus. The matrix approach is a hybrid organisational form that combines elements of both the functional and project team forms in an attempt to realise the advantages of both.

The second major characteristic of the parent organisation that was discussed in this chapter is the concept of organisational culture. Organisational culture is the pattern of beliefs and expectations shared by an organisation’s members. Culture includes the behavioural norms, customs, shared values and the ‘rules of the game’ for getting along and getting ahead within the organisation. It is important for project managers to be ‘culture sensitive’ so that they can develop appropriate strategies and responses and avoid violating key norms that would jeopardise their effectiveness within the organisation.

The interaction between project management structure and organisational culture is a complicated one. We have suggested that in certain organisations, culture encourages the implementation of projects. In this environment the project management structure used plays a less decisive role in the success of the project. Conversely, for other organisations in which the culture stresses internal competition and differentiation, just the opposite may be true. The prevailing norms, customs and attitudes inhibit effective project management, and the project management structure plays a more decisive role in the successful implementation of projects.

Continued

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his chapter examined two major characteristics of the parent organisation that affect the implementation and

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his chapter examined two major characteristics of the parent organisation that affect the implementation and

he first is the formal structure of the organisation and how it chooses to organise and

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he first is the formal structure of the organisation and how it chooses to organise and

lthough the individual project manager may have very little say as to how the firm chooses to

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lthough the individual project manager may have very little say as to how the firm chooses to

manage projects, he or she must be able to recognise the options available as well as the inherent strengths and

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manage projects, he or she must be able to recognise the options available as well as the inherent strengths and weaknesses of different approaches.

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weaknesses of different approaches.

hree basic project management structures were described and assessed as to their weaknesses and

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The Secret of Success: The Double Helix of Formal and Informal Structures in an R&D Laboratory

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At a minimum, under adverse cultural conditions, the project manager needs to have significant authority over the project team; under more extreme conditions firms should use dedicated project teams to complete critical projects. In both cases, the managerial strategy should be to insulate project work from the dominant culture so that a more positive ‘subculture’ can emerge among project participants.

The project management structure of the organisation and the culture of the organisation are major elements of the environment in which a project is initiated. Subsequent chapters will examine how project managers and professionals work within this environment to successfully complete projects.

keyTeRmSdedicated project team, 79functional structure, 82organisational culture, 90projectitis, 84projectised organisation, 82

Project Management O�ce (PMO), 89strong matrix, 88balanced matrix, 88weak matrix, 88

ReVIeWqueSTIOnS1 What are the relative advantages and disadvantages of the functional, matrix and dedicated team

approaches to managing projects?2 What distinguishes a weak matrix from a strong matrix?3 Under what conditions would it be advisable to use a strong matrix instead of a dedicated project team?4 How can project management offices (PMOs) support effective project management?5 Why is it important to assess the culture of an organisation before deciding what project management

structure should be used to complete a project?6 Other than culture, what other organisational factors should be used to determine which project

management structure should be used?7 What do you believe is more important for successfully completing a project—the formal project

management structure or the culture of the parent organisation?

exeRcISeS1 Going to university is analogous to working in a matrix environment in that most students take more than

one class and must distribute their time across multiple classes. What problems does this situation create for you? How does it affect your performance? How could the system be better managed to make your life less difficult and more productive?

2 You work for Aus Metals, which manufactures high-precision parts for the mining industry. Aus Metals has been the market leader for the past 20 years and has decided to diversify by applying its technology to develop a production line to produce a variety of widgets for Toyota, which in recent years has been investing in car production within Australia. What kind of project management structure would you recommend for this project? What information would you like to have to make this recommendation, and why?

3 You work for Portable Path. Your R&D people believe they have come up with an affordable technology that will revolutionise portable pathology and take it to the patients, rather than the pathology labs. The project has been named ‘revolve’. What kind of project management structure would you recommend for the ‘revolve’ project? What information would you like to have to make this recommendation and why?

4 This chapter discussed the role of values and beliefs in forming an organisation’s culture. The topic of organisational culture is big business on the internet. Many companies use their web pages to describe their mission, vision and corporate values and beliefs. There also are many consulting firms that advertise how they help organisations to change their culture. The purpose of this exercise is for you to obtain

chAPTeR4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures

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information pertaining to the organisational culture for two different companies. You can go about this task by simply searching on the key words ‘organisational culture’ or ‘corporate vision and values’. This search will identify numerous companies for you to use to answer the following questions. You may want to select companies that you would like to work for in the future.a What are the espoused values and beliefs of the companies?b How do you think the organisation would deliver projects within this culture?

5 Use the cultural dimensions listed in Figure 4.5 to assess the culture of your organisation.a Which dimensions were easy to evaluate and which ones were not?b How strong is the culture of your organisation?c What functions does the culture serve for your organisation?d What kind of projects are easy to implement in your organisation and why do you think this is so?e From your experience, what kind of projects would be difficult to implement given the structure and

culture of your organisation?

caseORIOnSySTemS(A)The office erupted into cheers when it was announced over the PA system that ORION had just been awarded the government contract to build the next generation of high-speed, light-rail trains. Everyone came over to shake Mike Rosas’s hand and congratulate him. It was well known that Rosas would be the project manager for this important project, which would be code named Jaguar. Once the celebration subsided, Rosas gazed out the window and thought about what he had just taken on.

The Jaguar project would be a high-profile project that would affect procurement of future contracts with the government. Increased competition had raised performance expectations regarding completion time, quality, reliability and cost. He knew that major changes in how ORION organised and managed projects would be necessary to meet the expectations of the Jaguar project.

PROjecTmAnAgemenTATORIOnORION was a division of a large aerospace company with 7000 employees. ORION evolved from a project organisation into a matrix structure to conserve costs and better utilise limited resources. At any point in time, ORION could be working on three to five large projects such as the Jaguar project and 30 to 50 smaller projects. Project managers negotiated personnel assignments with the VP of operations, who ultimately decided project assignments. It was not uncommon for an engineer to be working on two to three projects during a week.

Figure 4.9 portrays how new-product development projects were organised at ORION. Project management was limited only to the design and development of the new product. Once the final design and prototype were completed, they were turned over to

Project manager

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Figure4.9 Organisation of product development projects at ORION

PART2Positioning Projects98

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manufacturing for production and delivery to the customer. A four-person management team oversaw the completion of the project and their responsibilities are briefly described here:

• project manager—responsible for all aspects of design and development of the product• planning and control manager—responsible for building an overall project network, scheduling, managing

the budget, controlling and evaluating the design and development program, and preparing status reports

• electronics system engineer—responsible for providing technical expertise on electronic systems issues

• mechanics system engineer—responsible for providing technical expertise on mechanical system issues.

The core work was completed by 12 to 20 design teams. Each team had a leader, who was responsible for designing, developing, building and testing a specific subsystem of the product. The size of individual teams varied from 5 to 15 engineers, depending on the scope of their work. These engineers split time across multiple projects.

Design engineers ran the show at ORION, and manufacturing, marketing and other groups were expected to follow their lead. The special status of the design engineers was reinforced by the fact that they were actually paid on higher pay curves than the manufacturing engineers.

The overall product development and manufacturing process is captured in the master plan chart (Figure 4.10). New-product design and development evolved around five major reviews: system design review (SDR), preliminary design review (PDR), critical design review (CDR), test readiness review (TRR) and production readiness review (PRR).

Design and development work began within the laboratory and progressed to field tests of specific subsystems and ultimately final product prototypes. Once completed, the design and prototype were turned over to manufacturing, which began building the production line for the new product. Manufacturing also developed the necessary test equipment to confirm that manufactured components perform correctly. During this time, integrated logistical support (ILS) teams prepared product documentation, users’ manuals, maintenance programs and training programs for the customers who would be using the product. It typically takes ORION six to seven years to develop and manufacture a product such as the Jaguar.

ORION just completed a major assessment of how projects are managed. Below is a brief description of some of the major problems that were identified:

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Figure4.10 Traditional master plan at ORION

chAPTeR4 Project Organisational Structures and Cultures

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• Higher than expected production costs. Once products were developed, there was a tendency for them to be ‘thrown over the wall’ to manufacturing to produce. Very little design for manufacturability was done, and the production ramp was complicated, inefficient and stressful to the people in the plant.

• Quality concerns. Increased competition had raised customer expectations with regard to quality. Customers expected fewer defects and longer replacement schedules. ORION had a tendency to deal with quality issues a¬er the fact, initiating quality improvements a¬er the production process was set up. Not enough attention was devoted to incorporating quality considerations into the original design of products.

• Problems with customer support. User manuals and technical documentation sometimes failed to address all of a customer’s concerns, and the follow-up training was not always adequately prepared. These problems contributed to increased costs in customer service and a decline in customer satisfaction.

• Lack of strong project ownership. While everyone accepted that a matrix arrangement was the only way to accommodate all the projects at ORION, the shi¬ing back and forth of personnel across multiple projects took its toll on the progress of individual projects. Members o¬en failed to identify with individual projects and develop the sense of excitement that contributed to superior performance. The shuffling of personnel slowed down progress because additional time had to be devoted to bringing returning members up to speed on current developments.

• Scope creep. ORION was renowned for its engineering prowess. However, there was a tendency for design engineers to get so absorbed with the science of the project that they lost focus on the practical considerations. This led to costly delays and sometimes design modifications that were inconsistent with customer requirements.

Rosas was aware of these and other concerns as he sat down with his staff to figure out the best way to organise the new Jaguar project.

1 What recommendations would you make to Rosas about organising the Jaguar project, and why?2 How would you change the organisational chart and master plan to reflect these changes?

Source: Prepared by and used with permission of Shlomo Cohen

The second part of this case,ORIOn Systems (B): Rosas’s Plan, can be viewed online. Themoss andmcAdamsAccountingFirmcase,relevanttothischapter,isalsoavailableonline.

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CHAPTER 6ESTIMATING TIME, COSTS AND RESOURCES

6.1 Understand that estimating can be carried out to differing levels of detail and accuracy.

6.2 Apply any number of estimating techniques to assist in scoping and planning a project.

6.3 Understand the concept of contingency versus padding.

Learning elements

In this chapter

• Introduction

• Factorsinfluencingthequalityofestimates

• Whatisbeingestimated?

• Estimatingguidelinesfortime,costsandresources

• Top-downversusbottom-upestimating

• Methodsforestimatingprojectcosts,timesandresources

• Levelofdetailinestimating

• Refiningestimates

• Summary

IntroductionGiven the urgency to start work on a project, managers sometimes minimise or avoid the e�ort to follow through on estimating project time and cost. �is attitude is a huge and costly mistake. As discussed in the previous chapter, estimating should be a part of the scoping activities in the Initiating phase of the project. �ere are important reasons to make the e�ort and incur the cost (time) of estimating your project. Figure 6.1 summarises some key reasons.

Estimating is the process of forecasting or approximating the time and cost of completing project deliverables. Estimating processes are frequently classi�ed as top-down and bottom-up. �e time available and your role in the project o�en in�uence whether top-down or bottom-up estimates are utilised. Top-down estimates are usually applied by project managers when time is short or when in the Initiating phase of the project. Management will o�en derive estimates from analogy, group consensus or mathematical relationships. �e people who are doing the work typically perform bottom-up estimates (when time has been allowed for the extra detail to be

Pearson_Ch06.indd 130 4/2/2013 4:53:48 PM

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appropriately researched). �eir estimates are based on estimates of each element found in the work breakdown structure (WBS), usually at the lowest level (work package). Bottom-up estimating is normally carried out in the Planning phase of the project to ensure that estimates of the project are as accurate as possible.

All project stakeholders prefer accurate resource, cost and time estimates, but they also understand the inherent uncertainty in all projects and the time ‘estimating’ o�en consumes. Inaccurate estimates lead to false expectations and customer dissatisfaction. Accuracy is improved with greater e�ort, but is it worth the time and cost—estimating costs money! Project estimating becomes a trade-o�, balancing the bene�ts of better accuracy against the costs for securing increased accuracy.

Estimatesareneededto:

• supportgooddecisions

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• determinehowwelltheprojectisprogressing.

Figure6.1 Why estimating time, cost and resources is important

Cost, time and resource estimates are the lifeline for control; they serve as the standard for comparison of actual and planned costs throughout the life of the project. Project status reports depend on reliable estimates as the major input for measuring variances and taking corrective action Estimates become the planned baseline value at project execution. Ideally, the project manager, and in most cases the customer, would prefer to have a database of detailed schedule, resource and cost estimates for every work package in the project. Regrettably, such detailed data gathering is not always possible or practical and other methods are used to develop project estimates.

Project estimating is a complex process. �e quality of time, cost and resource estimates can be improved when these variables are considered in making the estimates. Estimates of resources, time and cost together allow the manager to develop a time-phased budget, which is imperative for project control. �erefore, the structure of this chapter is:

• an overview discussion on what is being estimated• a look at the estimating guidelines to remind us of some of the important ‘rules of the game’ that can

improve estimating• a discussion on estimating methods for resources, time (durations) and costs• a detailed look at some of the tools and techniques for estimating.

FactorsinfluencingthequalityofestimatesA typical statement in the �eld is the desire to ‘have a 95 per cent probability of meeting time and cost estimates’. Past experience is a good starting point for developing time and cost estimates. But past experience estimates must almost always be re�ned by other considerations to reach the 95 per cent probability level. Factors related to the

131CHAPTER6 Estimating Time, Costs and Resources

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uniqueness of the project will have a strong in�uence on the accuracy of estimates. Project, people and external factors all need to be considered to improve quality of estimates for project times and costs.

PLAnningHoRizon�e quality of the estimate depends on the planning horizon: estimates of current events are close to 100 per cent accurate but accuracy is reduced the more distant the events. �e accuracy of time and cost estimates should improve as you move from the Initiating phase to the point where individual work packages are de�ned within the Planning phase. �e estimating trumpet provides an industry standard for the expectations which not only prevail in industry, but which should also be set as expectations with executive management, sponsors, steering committees and customers. (See Figure 6.2).

PRojECTduRATionLong projects experience the most problems when estimates have been prepared months and sometimes years in advance. If these estimates do not include a stated factor for potential increases to durations, this can a�ect accuracy. Some projects have failed to consider, for example, changes to workplace health and safety legislation—this has then later extended durations of some activities and introduced new activities into the overall project. Another example could be the time required to implement a new technology project—technology projects have a habit of expanding in an increasing, non-linear fashion. Sometimes poorly written scope speci�cations for new technology result in errors in estimating time and cost. Remember that generally, long-duration projects increase the uncertainty in estimates—and careful consideration should be given to the approach of such projects; breaking into stages and/or splitting into multiple projects, where estimating is carried out for the immediate work.

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PART3Defining and Managing Projects132

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Long projects experience the most problems when estimates have been prepared months and sometimes years in advance. If these estimates do not include a stated factor for potential increases to durations, this

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years in advance. If these estimates do not include a stated factor for potential increases to durations, this can a�ect accuracy. Some projects have failed to consider, for example, changes to workplace health and

onlycan a�ect accuracy. Some projects have failed to consider, for example, changes to workplace health and

safety legislation—this has then later extended durations of some activities and introduced new activities into

onlysafety legislation—this has then later extended durations of some activities and introduced new activities into

the overall project. Another example could be the time required to implement a new technology project—

onlythe overall project. Another example could be the time required to implement a new technology project—

technology projects have a habit of expanding in an increasing, non-linear fashion. Sometimes poorly written

onlytechnology projects have a habit of expanding in an increasing, non-linear fashion. Sometimes poorly written

scope speci�cations for new technology result in errors in estimating time and cost. Remember that generally, only

scope speci�cations for new technology result in errors in estimating time and cost. Remember that generally, long-duration projects increase the uncertainty in estimates—and careful consideration should be given to on

lylong-duration projects increase the uncertainty in estimates—and careful consideration should be given to the approach of such projects; breaking into stages and/or splitting into multiple projects, where estimating on

lythe approach of such projects; breaking into stages and/or splitting into multiple projects, where estimating

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PEoPLE�e people factor can also introduce errors in estimating time and cost. For example, accuracy of estimates depends on the skills of the people making the estimates. A close match of people skills to the task will in�uence productivity and learning time. Similarly, whether members of the project team have worked together before on similar projects will in�uence the time it takes to coalesce into an e�ective team. Sometimes, factors such as sta� turnover can in�uence estimates. It should be noted that adding new people to a project increases time spent communicating. Typically, people have only �ve to six productive hours available for each working day; the other hours are taken up with indirect work, such as meetings, paperwork and answering email.

PRojECTSTRuCTuREAndoRgAniSATion�e project structure chosen to manage the project will in�uence time and cost estimates. One of the major advantages of a dedicated project team discussed in Chapter 4 is the speed gained from concentrated focus and localised project decisions. �is speed comes at an additional cost of tying up personnel full time. Conversely, projects operating in a matrix environment may reduce costs by more e�ciently sharing personnel across projects but may take longer to complete since attention is divided and coordination demands are higher.

PAddingESTiMATESIn some cases, people are inclined to pad estimates. For example, if you are asked how long it takes you to drive to the airport, you might give an average time of 30 minutes, assuming a 50 per cent chance of getting there in 30 minutes. If you are asked the fastest you could possibly get there, you might reduce the driving time to 20 minutes. Finally, if you are asked how long the drive would take if you absolutely had to be there to meet with your customer, it is likely you would increase the estimate to say 50 minutes to ensure not being late. In work situations where you are asked for resource, time and cost estimates, most of us are inclined to add a little padding to increase the probability and reduce the risk of being late. If everyone at all levels of the project adds a little padding to reduce risk, the project duration and cost are seriously overstated. �is phenomenon causes some managers or customers to call for a 10–15 per cent cut in time and/or cost for the project. Of course, the next time the game is played, the person estimating cost and/or time will pad the estimate to 20 per cent or more. Clearly, such games defeat chances for realistic estimates, which is what is needed to be competitive. As a professional of the discipline, it is the project manager’s responsibility to ensure that clear governance is established around the use of ‘padding’. Some project managers establish a clear policy of no-padding, stating that an appropriate contingency will be added to the overall project. Contingency is typically held by the sponsor or PMO and to gain access to ‘funds’ sitting in the contingency account, the project manager has to make use of the change/variation process (outlined in Chapter 5).

oRgAniSATionALCuLTuREOrganisational culture can signi�cantly in�uence project estimates. In some organisations, padding estimates is tolerated and even privately encouraged. Other organisations place a premium on accuracy and strongly discourage estimating gamesmanship. Organisations vary in the importance they attach to estimates. �e prevailing belief in some organisations is that detailed estimating takes too much time and is not worth the e�ort or that it’s impossible to predict the future. Other organisations subscribe to the belief that accurate estimates are the bedrock of e�ective project management. Organisational culture shapes every dimension of project management; estimating is not immune to this in�uence.

oTHERFACToRSFinally, non-project factors can impact time and cost estimates. For example, equipment downtime can alter  time estimates. Recognised public holidays, employees’ leave and the red tape of legal limitations can in�uence project estimates. Project priority can in�uence resource assignment and therefore can impact on time and costs.

133CHAPTER6 Estimating Time, Costs and Resources

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in 30 minutes. If you are asked the fastest you could possibly get there, you might reduce the driving time to

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in 30 minutes. If you are asked the fastest you could possibly get there, you might reduce the driving time to 20 minutes. Finally, if you are asked how long the drive would take if you absolutely had to be there to meet

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20 minutes. Finally, if you are asked how long the drive would take if you absolutely had to be there to meet with your customer, it is likely you would increase the estimate to say 50 minutes to ensure not being late. In

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with your customer, it is likely you would increase the estimate to say 50 minutes to ensure not being late. In work situations where you are asked for resource, time and cost estimates, most of us are inclined to add a little

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work situations where you are asked for resource, time and cost estimates, most of us are inclined to add a little padding to increase the probability and reduce the risk of being late. If everyone at all levels of the project adds

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padding to increase the probability and reduce the risk of being late. If everyone at all levels of the project adds a little padding to reduce risk, the project duration and cost are seriously overstated. �is phenomenon causes

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a little padding to reduce risk, the project duration and cost are seriously overstated. �is phenomenon causes some managers or customers to call for a 10–15 per cent cut in time and/or cost for the project. Of course,

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some managers or customers to call for a 10–15 per cent cut in time and/or cost for the project. Of course, the next time the game is played, the person estimating cost and/or time will pad the estimate to 20 per cent

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the next time the game is played, the person estimating cost and/or time will pad the estimate to 20 per cent or more. Clearly, such games defeat chances for realistic estimates, which is what is needed to be competitive.

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or more. Clearly, such games defeat chances for realistic estimates, which is what is needed to be competitive. As a professional of the discipline, it is the project manager’s responsibility to ensure that clear governance is

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As a professional of the discipline, it is the project manager’s responsibility to ensure that clear governance is established around the use of ‘padding’. Some project managers establish a clear policy of no-padding, stating

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established around the use of ‘padding’. Some project managers establish a clear policy of no-padding, stating

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that an appropriate contingency will be added to the overall project.

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that an appropriate contingency will be added to the overall project. sponsor or PMO and to gain access to ‘funds’ sitting in the contingency account, the project manager has to

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sponsor or PMO and to gain access to ‘funds’ sitting in the contingency account, the project manager has to make use of the change/variation process (outlined in Chapter 5).Sam

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make use of the change/variation process (outlined in Chapter 5).

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localised project decisions. �is speed comes at an additional cost of tying up personnel full time. Conversely,

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projects operating in a matrix environment may reduce costs by more e�ciently sharing personnel across projects but may take longer to complete since attention is divided and coordination demands are higher.

onlyprojects but may take longer to complete since attention is divided and coordination demands are higher.

In some cases, people are inclined to pad estimates. For example, if you are asked how long it takes you to drive

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ly20 minutes. Finally, if you are asked how long the drive would take if you absolutely had to be there to meet with your customer, it is likely you would increase the estimate to say 50 minutes to ensure not being late. In on

lywith your customer, it is likely you would increase the estimate to say 50 minutes to ensure not being late. In

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Whatisbeingestimated?Before looking into a number of estimating approaches, tools and techniques, we must �rst consider what is being estimated against each of the tasks, sub-tasks or work packages. When a project manager estimates a work package they would consider what resources are required, how long these resources are required (the duration) and the cost of these resources.

RESouRCESA resource is the generic term used in project management for any item that is consumed by the project; the range of potential resources is vast and almost impossible to document. Some common resource types that are typically allocated to a project (and the qualities of which need to be estimated) can be found in Table 6.1.

Table6.1 Typical types of resources

Humanresources(people)

Internal employees (full or part time), contractors, temps, consultants

Tools Testing equipment, compressors, laths, drills, computers, telephones, tablet computers

Plant Office facilities, warehouse (storage) space, production lines

Equipment Utes, cars, hoists, scissor li�s, trucks. More commonly an apportioned cost to the project as these o�en-expensive items will already exist in the organisation

Rawmaterial/s Concrete, fill, steel, roofing tiles, fencing panels, circuit boards, plastic pellets

Capital Funding sources, cash flow into the project and loans

Services Consultancy, maintenance, cleaning

other Paper, printers, books, insurance, training, consumables

As the project manager builds out the work packages and starts to estimate the resources required to complete each work package, the range of resource types will be re�ned. Additionally, each human resource identi�ed is o�en captured in the project resource/skills matrix for further analysis (see Chapter 11), whereas the cost information has  implications for the project budget (see Chapter 8) and the time information for the project network/schedule (see Chapter 7). �is illustrates the integrative nature of project management and the complexity of juggling the many dimensions of the project.

duRATionSOnce resources have been identi�ed against items within each work package, the required durations of the resources would also be captured (estimated). For some kinds of resources this is a relatively simple task; for example, a specialist contractor is required for ten workdays of e�ort or a cement pump is required for two weeks on site. Other costs, such as human resource costs or costs associated with equipment that is used ad hoc over an extended period of time, require a more holistic consideration. �e question driving these resources (and the duration) required, is, ‘Is it most cost e�cient to deploy the resource to only the required tasks it has been identi�ed against, or is it more e�cient to keep the resource for a longer duration, or even an entire phase of the whole project?’

For example, with plant and equipment there are costs associated with bringing the item on site, setup times, tear-down time and transport costs. Does carrying out this sequence multiple times on a project exceed the cost of retaining the equipment on site for a longer duration of time? �e same applies to human resources. If an electrical tester is required for several activities towards the end of the project, does the project manager pay a higher day rate and take the risk on obtaining availability of the resource a�er it has been released for that task, or would it be more e�cient for the project to place the resource on a short-term contract?

�e project manager will only be able to make these e�ciency decisions once estimating of resources across the whole project has taken place.

PART3Defining and Managing Projects134

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these o�en-expensive items will already exist in the organisation

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these o�en-expensive items will already exist in the organisation

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Consultancy, maintenance, cleaning

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Consultancy, maintenance, cleaning

Paper, printers, books, insurance, training, consumables

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As the project manager builds out the work packages and starts to estimate the resources required to

complete each work package, the range of resource types will be re�ned. Additionally, each human resource

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complete each work package, the range of resource types will be re�ned. Additionally, each human resource identi�ed is o�en captured in the project resource/skills matrix for further analysis (see Chapter 11), whereas

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identi�ed is o�en captured in the project resource/skills matrix for further analysis (see Chapter 11), whereas the cost information has  implications for the project budget (see Chapter 8) and the time information for the

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the cost information has  implications for the project budget (see Chapter 8) and the time information for the project network/schedule (see Chapter 7). �is illustrates the integrative nature of project management and the

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project network/schedule (see Chapter 7). �is illustrates the integrative nature of project management and the complexity of juggling the many dimensions of the project.Sam

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complexity of juggling the many dimensions of the project.

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CoSTSFrom the work packages, detailed cost estimates can be made. Typical kinds of costs found in a project include:

• direct costs – labour – materials – equipment – tools – other

• direct project overhead costs – o�ce space – ICT costs – project manager

• indirect costs—also referred to as general and administrative (G&A) or overhead costs – telephones – employer super contributions – management time, sponsor time – PMO administration.

�e total project cost estimate can be broken down in this fashion to focus the control process and improve decision making, i.e. it is clearer to see where costs are being allocated at a high level. O�en the organisations will have a structure around how the project should account for costs incurred, such as a chart of accounts or standard cost structures. �e project manager should seek advice from the �nance department about how to allocate and record costs within their project environment.

Direct costs�ese costs are clearly chargeable to a speci�c work package. Direct costs can be in�uenced by the project manager, project team and individuals implementing the work package. �ese costs represent real cash out�ows and must be paid as the project progresses; therefore, direct costs are usually separated from overhead costs. Lower-level project rollups frequently include only direct costs.

Direct project overhead costsDirect project overhead costs can be tied to project deliverables or work packages. Examples include the salary of the project manager and the temporary rental of o�ce space for the project team. Although overhead is not an immediate out-of-pocket expense, it is real and must be covered in the long run if the �rm is to remain viable. �ese rates are usually a ratio of the dollar value of the resources used—e.g. direct labour, materials, equipment. For example, a direct labour burden rate of 20 per cent would add a direct overhead charge of 20 per cent to the direct labour cost estimate. A direct charge rate of 50 per cent for materials would carry an additional 50 per cent charge to the material cost estimate. Selective direct overhead charges provide a more accurate project (job or work package) cost, rather than using a blanket overhead rate for the whole project.

Indirect costs or G&A costsIndirect costs, also referred to as general and administrative (G&A) or overhead costs, represent organisation costs that are not directly linked to a speci�c project. �ese costs are carried for the duration of the project. Examples include organisational costs across all products and projects such as advertising, accounting and senior management time above the project level. Allocation of G&A costs varies from organisation to organisation. However, G&A costs are usually allocated as a percentage of total direct cost, or a percentage of the total of a speci�c direct cost such as labour, materials or equipment.

Given the totals of direct and overhead costs for individual work packages, it is possible to cumulate the costs for any deliverable or for the entire project. A percentage can be added for pro�t if you are a contractor. A breakdown of costs for a proposed contract bid is presented in Table 6.2.

Perceptions of costs and budgets vary depending on their users. �e project manager must be very aware of these di�erences when setting up the project budget and when communicating these di�erences to others.

135CHAPTER6 Estimating Time, Costs and Resources

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decision making, i.e. it is clearer to see where costs are being allocated at a high level. O�en the organisations will

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decision making, i.e. it is clearer to see where costs are being allocated at a high level. O�en the organisations will have a structure around how the project should account for costs incurred, such as a chart of accounts or standard

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have a structure around how the project should account for costs incurred, such as a chart of accounts or standard cost structures. �e project manager should seek advice from the �nance department about how to allocate and

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cost structures. �e project manager should seek advice from the �nance department about how to allocate and

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�ese costs are clearly chargeable to a speci�c work package. Direct costs

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Direct costs

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manager, project team and individuals implementing the work package. �ese costs represent real cash out�ows and must be paid as the project progresses; therefore, direct costs are usually separated from overhead costs.

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and must be paid as the project progresses; therefore, direct costs are usually separated from overhead costs. Lower-level project rollups frequently include only direct costs.

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irect project overhead costs

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indirect costs—also referred to as general and administrative (G&A) or overhead costs

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Figure 6.3 depicts these di�erent perceptions. �e project manager can commit costs months before the resource is used. �is information is also useful to the �nancial o�cer of the organisation in forecasting future cash out�ows. �e project manager is interested in when the budgeted (planned) cost is expected to occur, and when the budgeted cost actually is

charged (earned); the respective timings of these two cost �gures are used to measure project schedule and cost variances.

From an estimating perspective, successfully capturing lessons learned about why costs have varied from what was planned (estimated) and agreed upon compared to what actually occurred forms a key take-away from this discussion. �e di�erence between planned and actual costs is revisited in Chapter 9, when the technique of Earned Value Management (EVM), otherwise known as Earned Value Analysis (EVA), is discussed.

Estimatingguidelinesfortime,costandresourcesManagers recognise time, cost and resource estimates must be accurate to propose (Initiation phase), re�ne (Planning phase) and track (Execution phase) the performance of the project. However, there is substantial evidence suggesting poor estimates are a major contributor to projects that have failed. �erefore, every e�ort should be made to see that initial estimates are as accurate as possible since the choice of no estimates leaves a great deal to luck and is not acceptable to most professional project managers. Even though a project has never been done before, a manager can follow eight guidelines to develop useful work package estimates.

1 Responsibility. At the work package level, estimates should be made by the person(s) most familiar with the task. Draw on their subject matter expertise; this is why these stakeholders are termed SMEs! Except for super-technical tasks, those responsible for getting the job done on schedule and within budget are usually �rst-line supervisors or technicians who are experienced and familiar with the type of work involved. �ese people will not have some preconceived, imposed duration for a deliverable in mind. �ey will give an estimate based on experience and best judgment. A secondary bene�t of using those responsible is the hope they will ‘buy-in’ to seeing that the estimate materialises when they implement the work package. If those involved are not consulted, it will be di�cult to hold them responsible for failure to achieve the estimated time. Finally, drawing on the expertise of team members who will be responsible helps to build communication channels early.

2 Use several people to estimate. It is well known that a cost or time estimate usually has a better chance of being reasonable and realistic when several people with relevant experience and/or knowledge of the task are consulted. True, people bring di�erent biases based on their experience, but discussion of the individual di�erences in their estimates leads to consensus and tends to eliminate extreme estimate errors.

3 Normal conditions. When task time, cost and resource estimates are determined, they are based on certain assumptions. Estimates should be based on normal conditions, e�cient methods and a normal level of resources. Normal conditions are sometimes di�cult to discern, but it is necessary to have a consensus in the organisation as to what normal conditions mean in this project. If the normal workday is eight hours,

Committed

Actual cost

Scheduled budget

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5,000

4,000

3,000

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1,000

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Figure6.3 Three views of cost

PART3Defining and Managing Projects136

Table6.2 Contract bid summary costs

Direct costs $80,000

Direct overhead $20,000

Total direct costs $100,000

G&A (20%) $20,000

Total costs $120,000

Profit (20%) $24,000

Total bid $144,000

Pearson_Ch06.indd 136 4/2/2013 4:53:51 PM

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been done before, a manager can follow eight guidelines to develop useful work package estimates.

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this discussion. �e di�erence between planned and actual costs is revisited in Chapter 9, when the technique of

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the time estimate should be based on an eight-hour day. Similarly, if the normal workday is two shi�s, the time estimate should be based on a two-shi� workday. Any time estimate should re�ect e�cient methods for the resources normally available. �e time estimate should represent the normal level of resources, people or equipment. For example, if three programmers are available for coding or two road graders are available for road construction, time and cost estimates should be based on these normal levels of resources unless it is anticipated the project will change what is currently viewed as ‘normal’. In addition, possible con�icts in demand for resources on parallel or concurrent activities should not be considered at this stage. �e need for adding resources will be examined when resource scheduling is discussed in Chapter 7.

4 Time units. Speci�c time units to use should be selected early in the Initiation phase of the project. All task time estimates need consistent time units. Estimates of time must consider whether normal time is represented by calendar days, workdays, work-weeks, person days, single shi�, hours, and so on. In practice, the use of ‘workdays’ is the dominant choice for expressing task duration. However, in projects such as a heart transplant operation, minute increments would probably be more appropriate as a time unit. One such project that used minutes as the time unit was the movement of patients from an old hospital to an elegant new hospital across town. Since there were several life-endangering moves, minutes were used to ensure patient safety so proper emergency life-support systems would be available if needed. �e point is, network analysis requires a standard unit of time. When so�ware programs allow more than one option, some notation should be made of any variance from the standard unit of time. If the standard unit of time is a �ve-day work-week and the estimated activity duration is in calendar days, it must be converted to the normal work-week.

5 Independence. Estimators should treat each task as independent of other tasks that might be integrated by the WBS. Use of �rst-line managers usually results in considering tasks independently; this is good. Top managers are prone to aggregate many tasks into one time estimate and then deductively make the individual task time estimates add to the total. If tasks are in a chain and performed by the same group or department, it is best not to ask for all the time estimates in the sequence at once to avoid the tendency for a planner or a supervisor to look at the whole path and try to adjust individual task times in the sequence to meet an arbitrarily imposed schedule or some rough ‘guesstimate’ of the total time for the whole path or segment of the project. �is tendency does not re�ect the uncertainties of individual activities and generally results in optimistic task time estimates. In summary, each task time estimate should be considered independently of other activities.

6 Contingencies. Depending on your project/organisational policy, in general work package estimates should not include allowances for contingencies. �e estimate should assume normal or average conditions even though every work package may not materialise as planned. For this reason, management (usually the sponsor) or the PMO needs to create an extra fund for contingencies that can be used to cover unforeseen events. �e concept of contingency is further discussed in Chapter 8.

7 Carrying out a risk assessment of the estimate helps to avoid surprises. It is obvious some tasks carry more time and cost risks than others. For example, a new technology usually carries more time and cost risks than a proven process. Simply identifying the degree of risk lets stakeholders consider alternative methods and alter process decisions. Refer to Chapter 14 for further discussion of project risk.

8 Cost of Quality (CoQ). Quality a�ects many areas of a project. When estimating, quality should be a factor that is considered. Quality will a�ect the choice of equipment used, the people used and ultimately a�ect what and who is used in the project. Higher-quality materials and resources in general will a�ect who and what services are considered in estimating. Usually there is a higher cost to the project in considering the use of more expensive resources. For example, an estimate which is provided by lower-cost providers will be of a lower cost than if higher-end (higher-quality) providers are used. Chapter 10 provides a more extensive discussion on quality and how it a�ects many aspects of a project.

Top-downversusbottom-upestimatingSince estimating e�orts cost money, the time and detail devoted to estimating is an important decision. Yet, when estimating is considered, you as a project manager may hear statements such as these:

• Rough order of magnitude is good enough. Spending time on detailed estimating wastes money• Time is everything; our survival depends on getting there �rst! Time and cost accuracy is not an issue

137CHAPTER6 Estimating Time, Costs and Resources

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Top managers are prone to aggregate many tasks into one time estimate and then deductively make the individual task time estimates add to the total. If tasks are in a chain and performed by the same

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the individual task time estimates add to the total. If tasks are in a chain and performed by the same group or department, it is best not to ask for all the time estimates in the sequence at once to avoid the

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group or department, it is best not to ask for all the time estimates in the sequence at once to avoid the tendency for a planner or a supervisor to look at the whole path and try to adjust individual task times

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• �e project is internal; we don’t need to worry about cost• �e project is so small; we don’t need to bother with estimates. Just do it• We were burned once; I want a detailed estimate of every task by the people responsible.

However, there are sound reasons for using top-down or bottom-up estimates. Table 6.3 depicts conditions that suggest when one approach is preferred over another.

Top-down estimates are usually derived from someone who uses his or her subject matter experience and/or personal sources of information to determine the project duration, typical resources and therefore total cost. �ese estimates are sometimes carried out at a whole-of-project level, or maybe at the �rst two levels of the WBS. �ese estimates are o�en made by managers who have very little knowledge of the processes of project management. For example, a mayor of a major city making a speech noted that a new law building would be constructed at a cost of A$23 million and would be ready for occupancy in two years. Although the mayor probably asked for an estimate from someone, the estimate could have come from a luncheon meeting with a local contractor who wrote an estimate (guesstimate) on a napkin! �is is an extreme example, but in a relative sense this scenario is frequently played out in practice. But the question is: Do these estimates represent low-cost, e�cient methods? Do the top-down estimates of project time and cost become a self-ful�lling prophecy in terms of setting time and cost parameters?

If possible and practical, you want to push the estimating process down to the work package level for bottom-up estimates, yet establish low-cost, e�cient methods for doing this. �is process can take place a�er the project has been de�ned in detail. Good sense suggests project estimates should come from the people most knowledgeable about the estimate needed. �e use of several people with relevant experience with the task can improve the time and cost estimate.

�e bottom-up approach at the work package level can serve as a check on cost elements in the WBS by rolling up the work packages and associated cost accounts to major deliverables. Similarly, resource requirements can be checked. Later, the time, resource and cost estimates from the work packages can be consolidated into project schedules, resource schedules and the project budget; all of which are used to control the project during the Execution phase. �e bottom-up approach also provides the customer with an opportunity to compare the low-cost, e�cient method with any imposed restrictions. For example, if the project completion duration is imposed at two years and your bottom-up analysis tells you the project will take two years, the client can now consider the trade-o� of the low-cost method versus compressing the project to two years or, in rare cases, cancelling the project. Similar trade-o�s can be compared for di�erent levels of resources or increases in technical performance.

�e assumption is that any movement away from the low-cost, e�cient method will increase costs, e.g. overtime. �e preferred approach in de�ning the project is to make rough top-down estimates, develop the WBS/OBS, make bottom-up estimates, develop schedules and budgets, and reconcile di�erences between top-down and bottom-up estimates. Hopefully, these steps will be done before �nal negotiation with either an internal or external customer. In conclusion, the ideal approach is for the project manager to allow enough time for both the top-down and bottom-up estimates to be worked out so a complete plan based on reliable estimates can be o�ered to the

Table6.3 Conditions for preferring top-down or bottom-up time and cost estimates

CondiTion ToP-doWnESTiMATES BoTToM-uPESTiMATES

Strategic decision making X

Cost and time important X

High uncertainty (risk) X

Internal, small project X

Fixed-price contract X

Customer wants details X

Unstable scope X

PART3Defining and Managing Projects138

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�e bottom-up approach at the work package level can serve as a check on cost elements in the WBS by

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�e bottom-up approach at the work package level can serve as a check on cost elements in the WBS by rolling up the work packages and associated cost accounts to major deliverables. Similarly, resource requirements

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rolling up the work packages and associated cost accounts to major deliverables. Similarly, resource requirements can be checked. Later, the time, resource and cost estimates from the work packages can be consolidated into

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can be checked. Later, the time, resource and cost estimates from the work packages can be consolidated into project schedules, resource schedules and the project budget; all of which are used to control the project during

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project schedules, resource schedules and the project budget; all of which are used to control the project during the Execution phase. �e bottom-up approach also provides the customer with an opportunity to compare

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the low-cost, e�cient method with any imposed restrictions. For example, if the project completion duration is imposed at two years and your bottom-up analysis tells you the project will take two years, the client can

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customer. In this way, false expectations are minimised for all stakeholders and negotiation is reduced. Review Snapshot from practice: Macmahon: Hope Downs rail project.

AHyBRidAPPRoACH:PHASEESTiMATing�e hybrid approach begins with a top-down estimate for the project (typically in the Initiation phase), and then re�nes estimates for phases of the project in the Planning phase. Some projects, by their very nature, cannot be rigorously de�ned because of the uncertainty of design or the �nal product. �ese projects are o�en found in aerospace projects, IT projects, new technology projects and construction projects where design is incomplete and the previous phase informs the next phase of the project. In these projects, phase or lifecycle estimating is frequently used.

Phase estimating is used when an unusual amount of uncertainty surrounds a project and it is impractical to estimate times and costs for the entire project. Phase estimating uses a two-estimate system over the life of the project. A detailed estimate is developed for the immediate phase and a macro estimate is made for the remaining phases of the project. Figure 6.4 depicts the phases of a project and the progression of estimates over its life.

For example, when the project need is determined, a macro estimate of the project cost and duration is made so analysis and decisions can be made. Simultaneously, a detailed estimate is made for deriving project speci�cations and a macro estimate for the remainder of the project. As the project progresses and speci�cations are solidi�ed, a detailed estimate for design is made and a macro estimate for the remainder of the project is computed. Clearly, as the project progresses through its life cycle and more information is available, the reliability of the estimates should be improving.

SNAPSHOT FROM PRACTICEMacmahon: Hope Downs rail project

Macmahon Holdings, a Perth-based mining services and construction company, announced its CEO of 12 years was stepping down, in addition to slashing its profit forecast for the current year (2012–13). Why?

‘Macmahon chairman Mr Scott-MacKenzie said the company identified a number of issues with its Hope Downs 4 rail earthworks project that resulted in delays and additional costs to meet Rio Tinto’s track laying deadlines. The A$99 million contract was scheduled for completion in August or September this year [2012], but will now cost the company about A$500 000 a day until completion, according to Mr Scott-MacKenzie. “Following the management review of the Hope Downs 4 project a number of additional issues have been identified with earthworks productivities and the order in which the work must be now performed to meet the revised program,” he said... “These issues mean that additional costs will be incurred to ensure the client’s schedule for track laying is met and that the project is substantially completed in the first half of this financial year”’ (Wilson-Chapman, 2012).

Where the failure in estimating actually occurred was not made clear, but the example demonstrates the clear costs of not attending to estimating correctly. Where do you think the process fell down?Source: Wilson-Chapman, A. (2012). Macmahon CEO gone, shares halved. News Limited. Accessed 3 October 2012, from http://m.news.com.au/

BusinessTopStories/pg/0/fi1761244.htm

Figure6.4 Phase estimating over project life cycle

Phase

1

Need1

Specifications2

Detailedestimate

Design3

Produce4

Deliver5

Detailedestimate

Detailedestimate

Detailedestimate

2

3

4

5

Macro estimate

Macro estimate

Macro estimate

Macro estimate

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ing�e hybrid approach begins with a top-down estimate for the project (typically in the Initiation phase), and then

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to estimate times and costs for the entire project. Phase estimating uses a two-estimate system over the life of the project. A detailed estimate is developed for the immediate phase and a macro estimate is made for the remaining

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project. A detailed estimate is developed for the immediate phase and a macro estimate is made for the remaining phases of the project. Figure 6.4 depicts the phases of a project and the progression of estimates over its life.

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phases of the project. Figure 6.4 depicts the phases of a project and the progression of estimates over its life.

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ly�e hybrid approach begins with a top-down estimate for the project (typically in the Initiation phase), and then

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Phase estimating is preferred by those working on projects where the �nal product is not known and the uncertainty is very large; for example, the integration of wireless phones and computers. �e commitment to cost and schedule is only necessary over the next phase of the project and commitment to unrealistic future schedules and costs based on poor information is avoided. �is progressive macro/micro method provides a stronger basis for using schedule and cost estimates to manage progress during the next phase.

Unfortunately, your customer (internal or external) will be pressing for an accurate estimate of schedule and cost the moment the decision is made to implement the project. Additionally, the customer who is paying for the project o�en perceives phase estimating as a blank cheque because costs and schedules are not �rm over most of the project life cycle. Even though the reasons for phase estimating are sound and legitimate, most customers have to be sold on its legitimacy. A major advantage for the customer is the opportunity to change features, re-evaluate or even cancel the project in each new phase. In conclusion, phase estimating is very useful in projects that possess huge uncertainties concerning the �nal nature (shape, size, features) of the project.

Methodsforestimatingprojectcosts,timeandresources�is next section reviews a number of the more common estimating tools and techniques used to carry out estimating (for costs, durations and resources). At the end of this section a table is presented which summarises which approach (top-down or bottom-up) the technique is most suited to, some techniques being equally relevant to both top-down and bottom-up approaches.

ConSEnSuSMETHodS�is method simply uses the pooled experience (of managers) to estimate the total project duration and cost. �is typically involves a meeting where experts discuss, argue and ultimately reach a decision as to their best guess estimate. Firms seeking greater rigour will use the Delphi Method to make these macro estimates. See Snapshot from practice: �e Delphi Method.

It is important to recognise that these �rst top-down estimates are only a rough cut and typically occur in the Initiation phase of the project. �e top-down estimates are helpful in initial development of a complete plan. However, such estimates are sometimes signi�cantly o� the mark because little detailed information is gathered. At this level, individual work items are not identi�ed or, in a few cases, the top-down estimates are not realistic because top management ‘wants the project’. Nevertheless, the initial top-down estimates are helpful in determining whether the project warrants more formal planning, which would include more detailed estimates. Be careful that macro estimates made by senior managers are not dictated to lower-level managers who might feel compelled to accept the estimates even if they believe resources are inadequate.

Although the authors prefer to avoid the top-down approach if possible, we have witnessed surprising accuracy in estimating project duration and cost in isolated cases. Some examples are building a manufacturing plant, building a distribution warehouse, developing air control for skyscraper buildings and road construction. However, we have also witnessed some horrendous miscalculations, usually in areas where the technology is new and unproven. Top-down methods can be useful if experience and judgment have been accurate in the past.

ExPERTjudgMEnTSimilar to the consensus approach, here Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) are drawn into the estimating process. As a SME on a particular subject area, these people bring to the project a vast ‘knowledge base’ of past experience. Using SMEs to estimate components of the project can provide years of insights and experience on the item being estimated. Expert judgment can therefore provide a very useful source of information for estimating that the project manager or others in the project team would otherwise not have access to.

ALTERnATivEAnALySiSAlternative analysis considers the di�erent alternatives that provide the same outcomes/outputs of the project. Alternative analysis can be applied at a higher-level in the project to determine which of a set of options could be

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�is method simply uses the pooled experience (of managers) to estimate the total project duration and cost. �is

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�is method simply uses the pooled experience (of managers) to estimate the total project duration and cost. �is typically involves a meeting where experts discuss, argue and ultimately reach a decision as to their best guess

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typically involves a meeting where experts discuss, argue and ultimately reach a decision as to their best guess estimate. Firms seeking greater rigour will use the

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estimate. Firms seeking greater rigour will use the Delphi

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od to make these macro estimates. See

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to make these macro estimates. See

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It is important to recognise that these �rst top-down estimates are only a rough cut and typically occur

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It is important to recognise that these �rst top-down estimates are only a rough cut and typically occur

in the Initiation phase of the project. �e top-down estimates are helpful in initial development of a complete

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in the Initiation phase of the project. �e top-down estimates are helpful in initial development of a complete plan. However, such estimates are sometimes signi�cantly o� the mark because little detailed information is

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plan. However, such estimates are sometimes signi�cantly o� the mark because little detailed information is gathered. At this level, individual work items are not identi�ed or, in a few cases, the top-down estimates are not

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gathered. At this level, individual work items are not identi�ed or, in a few cases, the top-down estimates are not realistic because top management ‘wants the project’. Nevertheless, the initial top-down estimates are helpful in

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realistic because top management ‘wants the project’. Nevertheless, the initial top-down estimates are helpful in determining whether the project warrants more formal planning, which would include more detailed estimates.

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determining whether the project warrants more formal planning, which would include more detailed estimates. Be careful that macro estimates made by senior managers are not dictated to lower-level managers who might Sam

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Be careful that macro estimates made by senior managers are not dictated to lower-level managers who might feel compelled to accept the estimates even if they believe resources are inadequate.Sam

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feel compelled to accept the estimates even if they believe resources are inadequate.Sample

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Although the authors prefer to avoid the top-down approach if possible, we have witnessed surprising accuracy in estimating project duration and cost in isolated cases. Some examples are building a manufacturing Sam

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accuracy in estimating project duration and cost in isolated cases. Some examples are building a manufacturing

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estimating (for costs, durations and resources). At the end of this section a table is presented which summarises only

estimating (for costs, durations and resources). At the end of this section a table is presented which summarises which approach (top-down or bottom-up) the technique is most suited to, some techniques being equally relevant on

lywhich approach (top-down or bottom-up) the technique is most suited to, some techniques being equally relevant

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the best choice; for example, whether an organisation buys in a so�ware package to manage payroll, employs a service company to provide the payroll processing or the project develops a customised so�ware solution in-house. Similarly, the alternative analysis might be considered in a bottom-up approach when estimating a discrete piece of work by simply asking, ‘What alternatives to achieving the same end-state exist?’ During the refurbishment of ore processing plants, the project has work packages de�ned that cover the refurbishment of a number of silos. What alternatives does the project manager have? Repair using traditional methods or cleaning down, preparing and painting or there might be alternatives in the market place that o�er other solutions to the problem.

PARAMETRiCESTiMATing‘Parametric estimating is an estimating technique in which an algorithm is used to calculate cost or duration based on historical data and project parameters. Parametric estimating uses a statistical relationship between historical data and other variables (e.g., square footage in construction) to calculate an estimate for activity parameters, such as cost, budget, and duration.’ (PMI 2013, p. 170). For example, contractors frequently use the number of square metres to estimate the cost and time to build a house; that is, a house of 50 square metres might cost $1000 per square metre (50 square metres × $1000 per square metre equals $500 000). Likewise, knowing the square metres and dollars per square metre, experience suggests it should take approximately 100 days to complete.

Just as parametric techniques such as cost per square metre can be the source of top-down estimates, the same technique can be applied to speci�c tasks at the work package level For example, as part of a Microso� O�ce conversion project, 36 di�erent computer workstations needed to be converted. Based on past conversion projects, the project manager determined that on average one person could convert three workstations per day. �erefore, the task of converting the 36 workstations would take three technicians four days [(36/3)/3]. Similarly, to estimate the wallpapering allowance on a house renovation, the contractor �gured a cost of $5 per square metre of wallpaper and $2 per metre to install it, for a total cost of $7. By measuring the length and height of all the walls she was able to calculate the total area in square metres and multiply it by $7.

AnALogouSMETHodAnalogous means similar or alike in such a way as to permit the drawing of an analogy (a similarity between like features of two things). When applied to project management, we are usually comparing the estimates of the

SNAPSHOT FROM PRACTICE�e Delphi Method

Originally developed by the RAND Corporation in 1969 for technological forecasting, the Delphi Method is a group decision process about the likelihood that certain events will occur. The Delphi Method makes use of a panel of experts familiar with the kind of project in question. The notion is that well-informed individuals, calling on their insights and experience, are better equipped to estimate project costs/times than theoretical approaches or statistical methods. Their responses to estimate questionnaires are anonymous, and they are provided with a summary of opinions.

Experts are then encouraged to reconsider and, if appropriate, change their previous estimate in light of the replies of other experts. A�er two or three rounds it is believed that the group will converge toward the ‘best’ response through this consensus process. The midpoint of responses is statistically categorised by the median score. In each succeeding round of questionnaires, the range of responses by the panelists will presumably decrease and the median will move toward what is deemed to be the ‘correct’ estimate.

One distinct advantage of the Delphi Method is that the experts never need to be brought together physically. The process also does not require complete agreement by all panelists, since the majority opinion is represented by the median. Since the responses are anonymous, the pitfalls of ego, domineering personalities and the ‘bandwagon or halo effect’ in responses are all avoided. On the other hand, future developments are not always predicted correctly by iterative consensus nor by experts, but at times by creative, ‘off the wall’ thinking.

141CHAPTER6 Estimating Time, Costs and Resources

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the best choice; for example, whether an organisation buys in a so�ware package to manage payroll, employs a

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the best choice; for example, whether an organisation buys in a so�ware package to manage payroll, employs a service company to provide the payroll processing or the project develops a customised so�ware solution in-house.

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service company to provide the payroll processing or the project develops a customised so�ware solution in-house. Similarly, the alternative analysis might be considered in a bottom-up approach when estimating a discrete piece

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Similarly, the alternative analysis might be considered in a bottom-up approach when estimating a discrete piece of work by simply asking, ‘What alternatives to achieving the same end-state exist?’ During the refurbishment of

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of work by simply asking, ‘What alternatives to achieving the same end-state exist?’ During the refurbishment of ore processing plants, the project has work packages de�ned that cover the refurbishment of a number of silos.

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ore processing plants, the project has work packages de�ned that cover the refurbishment of a number of silos. What alternatives does the project manager have? Repair using traditional methods or cleaning down, preparing

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What alternatives does the project manager have? Repair using traditional methods or cleaning down, preparing and painting or there might be alternatives in the market place that o�er other solutions to the problem.

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and painting or there might be alternatives in the market place that o�er other solutions to the problem.

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‘Parametric estimating is an estimating technique in which an algorithm is used to calculate cost or duration

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‘Parametric estimating is an estimating technique in which an algorithm is used to calculate cost or duration based on historical data and project parameters. Parametric estimating uses a statistical relationship between

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based on historical data and project parameters. Parametric estimating uses a statistical relationship between historical data and other variables (e.g., square footage in construction) to calculate an estimate for activity Sam

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historical data and other variables (e.g., square footage in construction) to calculate an estimate for activity parameters, such as cost, budget, and duration.’ (PMI 2013, p. 170). For example, contractors frequently use Sam

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parameters, such as cost, budget, and duration.’ (PMI 2013, p. 170). For example, contractors frequently use the number of square metres to estimate the cost and time to build a house; that is, a house of 50 square metres Sam

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the number of square metres to estimate the cost and time to build a house; that is, a house of 50 square metres might cost $1000 per square metre (50 square metresSam

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onlydoes not require complete agreement by all panelists, since the majority opinion is represented by the median. Since the responses does not require complete agreement by all panelists, since the majority opinion is represented by the median. Since the responses

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onlyare anonymous, the pitfalls of ego, domineering personalities and the ‘bandwagon or halo effect’ in responses are all avoided. are anonymous, the pitfalls of ego, domineering personalities and the ‘bandwagon or halo effect’ in responses are all avoided.

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onlyOn the other hand, future developments are not always predicted correctly by iterative consensus nor by experts, but at times by On the other hand, future developments are not always predicted correctly by iterative consensus nor by experts, but at times by

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project (or components of a project) with past similar projects to obtain our estimates. �e analogous method requires that good historical data is available to make comparisons against. ‘Analogous estimating is a technique for estimating the duration or cost of an activity or a project using historical data from a similar activity or project. Analogous estimating uses parameters from a previous, similar project, such as duration, budget, size, weight, and complexity, as the basis for estimating the same parameter or measure for a future project.’ (PMI 2013, p. 169). �is method is suitable for use where the current project closely follows past projects in features and costs. Analogous estimates can be made quickly with little e�ort and reasonable accuracy. �is method is very common in projects that are relatively standard but have some small variation or customisation.

3-PoinTESTiMATE�e PERT method (3-point estimate) has become a popular way to arrive at an average based on three estimates. �e PERT formula considers three estimates: the Low (optimistic), the Average (most likely) and the High (pessimistic) estimates.

�e formula for the PERT methodology is:

Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic+ +4

When applied to the same data as the range method the results can be seen in Figure 6.5. �e PERT formula typically results in a slightly higher estimate than would be achieved if the most likely option was selected. However, if all of these (typically) small increases were taken across the whole project, the result could be a noticeably higher overall project cost and/or time estimate for the project. �e challenge here is in obtaining the number of estimates required and the time involved in obtaining them. Overall, this is seen to provide a more realistic estimate.

vEndoRBidAnALySiSAgain, as with some of the other methods, the vendor bid method can be applied in both a top-down and bottom-up fashion. Although mostly used to obtain quotes for work packages in a bottom-up approach, it can also be applied to a complete branch of the WBS at a higher level (this may be relevant when a whole part of the project is to be contracted out in some form).

In this method, vendors are provided with the work package details and asked to provide details of costs and timing. Depending on which stage the project is at, this may in�uence the type of information requested. For example, during the project Initiation phase a Request for Information (RFI) or Request for Quote (RFQ) might

Figure6.5 Estimating using the PERT methodology

PART3Defining and Managing Projects142

Pearson_Ch06.indd 142 4/2/2013 4:53:55 PM

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overall project cost and/or time estimate for the project. �e challenge here is in obtaining the number of estimates

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overall project cost and/or time estimate for the project. �e challenge here is in obtaining the number of estimates required and the time involved in obtaining them. Overall, this is seen to provide a more realistic estimate.

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required and the time involved in obtaining them. Overall, this is seen to provide a more realistic estimate.

Again, as with some of the other methods, the vendor bid method can be applied in both a top-down and bottom-

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In this method, vendors are provided with the work package details and asked to provide details of costs and

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lyrequired and the time involved in obtaining them. Overall, this is seen to provide a more realistic estimate.

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be an appropriate request to vendors; however, as the project moves into the Planning phase, a Request for Tender (RFT) would be a more appropriate request. Chapter 15 Project Procurement Management covers the types of tender in detail.

ESTiMATingTooLSAndSySTEMS�e best way to improve estimates is to collect and archive data on past project estimates and actuals. Saving historical data (estimates and actuals) provides a knowledge base for improving project time, resource and cost estimating. Creating an estimating database is a ‘best practice’ among leading project management organisations. Organisations that are disciplined about their estimating approach will o�en capture large amounts of data over a long time, and use this data to produce estimates of work. Internal estimating tools typically reside within spreadsheets and databases.

For example, an energy utility company has vast amounts of historical data on completed projects, down to a work package level in the organisation. Each work package successfully captured details of the resources that were actually used, the durations and their associated costs. �is data was mined so as to inform the estimate data for standard jobs. �e standard jobs were the unit of estimating data for all initial customer requests (projects).

Externally, estimating tools may be provided by companies for their customers to use in estimating (thus saving them time and money in estimating). Such tools are o�en seen on equipment hire websites, where the customer selects the required equipment, nominates the duration of the hire period, insurance level required, delivery charges and other selections as appropriate; the estimating tool then provides a quote.

Remember two key rules in setting up estimating tools: the �rst is to ensure the data is maintained (remember the saying rubbish-in rubbish-out). �e second is to allow for variables; for example, what if (in the case of the utility company example) the geological make-up of the ground for which the quote was prepared was unknown?

FunCTionPoinTMETHodSFoRSoFTWAREAndSySTEMPRojECTSIn the so�ware industry, so�ware development projects are frequently estimated using weighted macro variables called function points or major parameters such as number of inputs, number of outputs, number of inquiries, number of data �les and number of interfaces. �ese weighted variables are adjusted for a complexity factor and added. �e total adjusted count provides the basis for estimating the labour e�ort and cost for a project (usually using a regression formula derived from data of past projects). �is latter method assumes adequate historical data by type of so�ware project for the industry—for example, MIS systems. In the US so�ware industry, one-person month represents on average �ve function points. A person working one month can generate on average (across all types of so�ware projects) about �ve function points. Of course, each organisation needs to develop its own average for its speci�c type of work. Such historical data provides a basis for estimating the project duration. Variations of this top-down approach are used by companies such as IBM, HP, AT&T, Ford Motors, GE, DuPont and many others. See Table 6.4 and Table 6.5 for a simpli�ed example of function point count methodology.

Table6.4 Simplified basic function point count process for a prospective project or deliverable

CoMPLExiTyWEigHTing

ELEMEnT LoW AvERAgE HigH ToTAL

Number of inputs _____ × 2 + _____ × 3 + _____ × 4 = _____

Number of outputs _____ × 3 + _____ × 6 + _____ × 9 = _____

Number of inquiries _____ × 2 + _____ × 4 + _____ × 6 = _____

Number of files _____ × 5 + _____ × 8 + _____ × 12 = _____

Number of interfaces _____ × 5 + _____ × 10 + _____ × 15 = _____

143CHAPTER6 Estimating Time, Costs and Resources

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the saying rubbish-in rubbish-out). �e second is to allow for variables; for example, what if (in the case of the

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the saying rubbish-in rubbish-out). �e second is to allow for variables; for example, what if (in the case of the utility company example) the geological make-up of the ground for which the quote was prepared was unknown?

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factor and added. �e total adjusted count provides the basis for estimating the labour e�ort and cost for a project (usually using a regression formula derived from data of past projects). �is latter method assumes

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Externally, estimating tools may be provided by companies for their customers to use in estimating (thus

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onlysaving them time and money in estimating). Such tools are o�en seen on equipment hire websites, where the

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delivery charges and other selections as appropriate; the estimating tool then provides a quote.Remember two key rules in setting up estimating tools: the �rst is to ensure the data is maintained (remember on

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From historical data, the organisation developed the weighting scheme for complexity found in Table 6.3. Function points are derived from multiplying the number of kinds of elements by weighted complexity.

Table 6.4 shows the data collected for a speci�c task or deliverable: Patient Admitting and Billing—the number of inputs, outputs, inquiries, �les and interfaces along with the expected complexity rating. Finally, the application of the element count is applied and the function point count total is 660. Given this count and the fact that one-person month has historically been equal to 5 function points, the job will require 132 person months (660/5 = 132). Assuming you have 10 programmers who can work on this task, the duration would be approximately 13 months. �e cost is easily derived by multiplying the labour rate per month times 132 person months. For example, if the monthly programmer rate is $4000, then the estimated cost would be $528 000 (132 × $4000). Although function point metrics are useful, their accuracy depends on adequate historical data, currency of data and relevancy of the project/deliverable to past averages.

LEARningCuRvESSome projects require that the same task, group of tasks or product be repeated several times. Managers know intuitively that the time to perform a task improves with repetition. �is phenomenon is especially true of tasks that are labour intensive. In these circumstances, the pattern of improvement phenomenon can be used to predict the reduction in time to perform the task. From empirical evidence across all industries, the pattern of this improvement has been quanti�ed in the learning curve (also known as improvement curve, experience curve and industrial progress curve), which is described by the following relationship:

Each time the output quantity doubles, the unit labour hours are reduced at a constant rate.

In practice the improvement ratio may vary from 60 per cent, representing very large improvement, to 100 per cent, representing no improvement at all. Generally, as the di�culty of the work decreases the expected improvement also decreases and the improvement ratio that is used becomes greater. One signi�cant factor to consider is the proportion of labour in the task in relation to machine-paced work. Obviously, a lower percentage of improvement can occur only in operations with high labour content. (See Appendix 6.1.)

�e main disadvantage of top-down approaches to estimating is simply that the time and cost for a speci�c task are not considered. Grouping many tasks into a common basket encourages errors of omission and the use of imposed times and costs. Micro estimating methods (bottom-up) are usually more accurate than macro methods.

Table6.5 Example of the function point count method

SoFTWAREPRojECT13:PATiEnTAdMiTTingAndBiLLing

15 Inputs Rated complexity as low (2)

5 Outputs Rated complexity as average (6)

10 Inquiries Rated complexity as average (4)

30 Files Rated complexity as high (12)

20 Interfaces Rated complexity as average (10)

APPLiCATionoFCoMPLExiTyFACToR

ELEMEnT CounT LoW AvERAgE HigH ToTAL

Inputs 15 × 2 = 30

Outputs 5 × 6 = 30

Inquiries 10 × 4 = 40

Files 30 × 12 = 360

Interfaces 20 × 10 = 200

Total 660

PART3Defining and Managing Projects144

Pearson_Ch06.indd 144 4/2/2013 4:53:55 PM

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From historical data, the organisation developed the weighting scheme for complexity found in Table 6.3.

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From historical data, the organisation developed the weighting scheme for complexity found in Table 6.3. Function points are derived from multiplying the number of kinds of elements by weighted complexity.

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Function points are derived from multiplying the number of kinds of elements by weighted complexity.

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Table 6.4 shows the data collected for a speci�c task or deliverable: Patient Admitting and Billing—the

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number of inputs, outputs, inquiries, �les and interfaces along with the expected complexity rating. Finally, the application of the element count is applied and the function point count total is 660. Given this count and

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the fact that one-person month has historically been equal to 5 function points, the job will require 132 person

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TEMPLATEMETHodSIf the project is similar to past projects, the costs from past projects can be used as a starting point for the new project. Di�erences in the new project can be noted and past times and costs adjusted to re�ect these di�erences. For example, a ship repair dry-dock �rm has a set of standard repair projects (e.g. templates for overhaul, electrical, mechanical) that are used as starting points for estimating the cost and duration of any new project. Di�erences from the appropriate standardised project are noted (for times, costs and resources) and changes are made. �is approach enables the �rm to develop a potential schedule, estimate costs and develop a budget in a very short time span. Development of such templates in a database can quickly reduce estimate errors. �ese may appear as a Bill of Material (BoM) in some organisations.

RAngEESTiMATingWhen do you use range estimating? Range estimating works best when work packages have signi�cant uncertainty associated with the time or cost to complete. If the work package is routine and carries little uncertainty, using a person most familiar with the work package is usually the best approach. �ey know from experience or know where to �nd the information to estimate work package durations and costs. However, when work packages have signi�cant uncertainty associated with the time or cost to complete, it is a prudent policy to require three time estimates—low, average and high. �e low to high give a range within which the average estimate will fall. Determining the low and high estimates for the activity is in�uenced by factors such as complexity, technology, newness and familiarity.

How do you get the estimates? Since range estimating works best for work packages that have signi�cant uncertainty, having a group determine the low, average and high cost or duration gives best results. Group estimating tends to re�ne extremes by bringing more evaluative judgments to the estimate and potential risks. �e judgment of others in a group helps to moderate extreme perceived risks associated with a time or cost estimate. Involving others in making activity estimates gains buy-in and credibility to the estimate.

Figure 6.6 presents an abridged estimating template using three time estimates for work packages developed by a cross-functional group(s) of project stakeholders. �e group estimates show the low, average and high for each work package. �e risk level column is the group’s independent assessment of the degree of con�dence that the actual time will be very close to the estimate. In a sense, this number represents the group’s evaluation of many factors (e.g. complexity, technology, experience) that might impact the average time estimate. In the PC example in Chapter 5, the group feels work packages (with the WBS IDs) 104, 108, 110, 111 and 114 have a high chance that the average time may vary from expected. Likewise, the group’s con�dence feels the risk of work packages (with the WBS IDs) 102, 105 and 112 not materialising as expected is low.

Figure6.6 Range estimating template

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LevelofdetailinestimatingTop management interests usually centre on the total project and major milestone events that mark major accomplishments, for example ‘Build Oil Platform in the North Sea’ or ‘Complete Prototype’. Middle management might centre on one segment of the project or one milestone. First-line managers’ interests may be limited to one task or work package. One of the bene�ts of WBS is the ability to aggregate activity/task information so each level of management can have the kind of information necessary to make decisions.

Getting the level of detail in the WBS to match management needs for e�ective implementation is crucial, but the delicate balance is di�cult to �nd. See Snapshot from practice: Level of detail: rule of thumb. �e level of detail in the WBS varies with the complexity of the project, the need for control, the project size, cost, duration and other factors. If the structure re�ects excessive detail, there is a tendency to break the work e�ort

Table6.6 Summary of estimating tools

METHod/TECHniquE ToP-doWn BoTToM-uP

Expert judgment Applied to the top levels of the WBS. Applied to items within each work package, to compare/validate against other methods.

Consensus methods and Delphi Applied to the top levels of the WBS. Applied to items within each work package.

Analogous estimating Applied to the top levels of the WBS. Applied to items within each work package, or at a work package level.

Parametric estimating Applied to the top levels of the WBS. Applied to items within each work package, or at a work package level.

Vendor bid analysis On a section of the WBS which may be outsourced in its entirety.

Applied to items within each work package, or at a work package level.

3-point estimate Can be applied to a section of the WBS when used in conjunction with other estimating techniques such as vendor bid analysis.

Applied to items within each work package.

Alternative analysis Applied to the approach taken to accomplish the project at higher-levels of the WBS.

Applied to items within each work package, or at a work package level.

Estimating tools and systems – Applied to items within each work package, or at a work package level.

Template methods – To well defined jobs within a work package.

Range estimating – Applied to items within each work package.

Learning curves – Applied to items within each work package, or at a work package level.

Apportion methods Across all levels in the WBS. Across all levels in the WBS.

Function point methods for so�ware and system projects

– Applied to items within each work package, or at a work package level.

How do you use the estimate? Group range estimating gives the project manager and owner an opportunity to assess the con�dence associated with project times (and/or costs). �e approach helps to reduce surprises as the project progresses. �e range estimating method also provides a basis for assessing risk, managing resources and determining the project contingency fund. Range estimating is popular in so�ware and new product projects where up-front requirements are fuzzy and not well known. Group range estimating is o�en used with phase estimating, which is discussed next.

Obtaining accurate estimates is a challenge. Committed organisations accept the challenge of coming up with meaningful estimates and invest heavily in developing their capacity to do so. Accurate estimates reduce uncertainty and support a discipline for e�ectively managing projects. See Table 6.6 for a summary of the di�erences between top-down and bottom-up estimates.

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into department assignments. �is tendency can become a barrier to success, since the emphasis will be on departmental outcomes rather than on deliverable outcomes. Excessive detail also means more work, which may not be required given the factors noted previously. Note that if the level of the WBS is increased by one, the number of cost accounts may increase geometrically. On the other hand, if the level of detail is not adequate, an organisational unit may �nd the structure falls short of meeting its needs. Fortunately, the WBS has built-in �exibility. Participating departments may expand their portion of the structure to meet their special needs. For example, the engineering department may wish to further break down work on a deliverable into smaller packages by electrical, civil and mechanical. Similarly, the marketing department may wish to break a new product promotion into TV, radio, periodicals and newspapers.

SNAPSHOT FROM PRACTICELevel of detail: rule of thumb

Practising project managers advocate keeping the level of detail to a minimum. But there are limits to this suggestion. One of the most frequent errors of new project managers is to forget that the task time estimate will be used to control schedule and cost performance. A frequent rule of thumb used by practising project managers says that task duration should not exceed five or at the most ten work days, if are the time units used for the project. Such a rule probably will result in a more detailed network, but the additional detail pays off in controlling schedule and cost as the project progresses.

Suppose the task is ‘build prototype computer-controlled conveyor belt’, the time estimate is 40 working days and the budget $300 000. It may be better to divide the task into seven or eight smaller tasks for control purposes. If one of the smaller tasks gets behind because of problems or a poor time estimate, it will be possible to take corrective action quickly and avoid delaying successive tasks and the project. If the single task of 40 working days is used, it is possible that no corrective action would be taken until day 40, since many people have a tendency to ‘wait and see’ or avoid admitting they are behind or passing on bad news; the result may mean far more than five days behind schedule.

The 5 to 10-day rule of thumb applies to cost and performance goals. If using the rule of thumb suggested above results in too many network tasks, an alternative is available, but it has conditions. The activity time can be extended beyond the 5- to 10-day rule only IF control monitoring checkpoints for segments of the task can be established so clear measures of progress can be identified by a specific percentage complete.

This information is invaluable to the control process of measuring schedule and cost performance—for example, payments for contract work are paid on ‘per cent complete’ basis. Defining a task with clear definable start and end points and intermediate points enhances the chances of early detection of problems, corrective action and on-time project completion.

RefiningestimatesAs described earlier, detailed work package estimates are aggregated and ‘rolled up’ by deliverable to estimate the total direct cost of the project. Similarly, estimated durations are entered into the project network to establish the project schedule and determine the overall duration of the project. Experience tells us that for many projects the total estimates do not materialise and the actual costs and schedule of some projects signi�cantly exceed original work package estimates. See Snapshot from practice: How do you estimate the cost of a nuclear power plant? for a dramatic example of this. In order to compensate for the problem of actual cost and schedule exceeding estimates, some project managers adjust total costs by some multiplier (i.e. total estimated costs × 1.20).

�e practice of adjusting (padding) original estimates by 20 or even 100 per cent begs the question of why, a�er investing so much time and energy on detailed estimates, could the numbers be so far o�? �ere are a number of reasons for this, most of which can be traced to the estimating process and the inherent uncertainty of predicting the future. Some of these reasons are discussed below:

• Interaction costs are hidden in estimates. According to the guidelines, each task estimate is supposed to be done independently. However, tasks are rarely completed in a vacuum. Work on one task is dependent upon prior tasks, and the hand-o�s between tasks require time and attention. For example, people working on prototype development need to interact with design engineers a�er the design is completed,

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whether to simply ask clarifying questions or to make adjustments in the original design. Similarly, the time necessary to coordinate activities is typically not re�ected in independent estimates. Coordination is re�ected in meetings and brie�ngs as well as time necessary to resolve disconnects between tasks. Time, and therefore cost, devoted to managing interactions rises exponentially as the number of people and di�erent disciplines involved increases on a project.

• Normal conditions do not apply. Estimates are supposed to be based on normal conditions. While this is a good starting point, it rarely holds true in real life. �is is especially true when it comes to the availability of resources. Resource shortages, whether in the form of people, equipment or materials, can extend original estimates. For example, under normal conditions four bulldozers are typically used to clear a certain site size in �ve days, but the availability of only three bulldozers would extend the task duration to eight days. Similarly, the decision to outsource certain tasks can increase costs as well as extend task durations since time is added to acclimatising outsiders to the particulars of the project and the culture of the organisation.

• �ings go wrong on projects. Design �aws are revealed a�er the fact, extreme weather conditions occur, accidents happen and so forth. Although you shouldn’t plan for these risks to happen when estimating a particular task, the probability and impact of such events need to be considered.

• Changes in project scope and plans. As one gets further and further into the project, a project manager obtains a better understanding of what needs to be done to accomplish the project. �is may lead to major changes in project plans and costs. Likewise, if the project is a commercial project, changes o�en have to be made midstream to respond to new demands by the customer and/or competition. Unstable project scopes are a major source of cost overruns. While every e�ort should be made up front to nail down the project scope, it is becoming increasingly di�cult to do so in our rapidly changing world.

�e reality is that for many projects not all of the information needed to make accurate estimates is available, and it is impossible to predict the future. �e dilemma is that without solid estimates, the credibility of the project plan is eroded. Deadlines become meaningless, budgets become rubbery and accountability becomes problematic.

Challenges similar to those described above will in�uence the �nal time and cost estimates. Even with the best estimating e�orts, it may be necessary to revise estimates based on relevant information prior to establishing a baseline schedule and budget.

E�ective organisations adjust estimates of speci�c tasks once risks, resources and particulars of the situation have been more clearly de�ned. �ey recognise that the rolled up estimates generated from a detailed estimate

SNAPSHOT FROM PRACTICEHow do you estimate the cost of a nuclear power plant?

O.P. Kharbanda in his book (co-authored with Jeffrey Pinto) What Made Gertie Gallop: Learning from Project Failures makes the important point that estimating is as much an art as a skill. For example, early in his career (1960s), he was involved with the fabrication of a nuclear reactor in India at a time when the local facilities were not geared for such sophisticated jobs. Having had no experience in building complex equipment with (almost) unheard of tolerances and precision, it was virtually impossible to create a reasonable advance estimate of the cost. The estimators did the best they could, then added a little more than normal margin before quoting a price to the client.

Soon a�er, Kharbanda happened to attend a week-long international nuclear power conference that included stalwarts in this field from all over the world. About midweek, he was fortunate to come face-to-face with the chief engineer of the company that had supplied the first reactor to India, identical in design to the one his company had recently bid on. This was the chance of a lifetime to finally get the inside information on accurate cost estimating. In fact, the expert confessed that his company lost ‘their shirt’ on the Indian reactor. Then in reply to the innocent question, ‘How do you estimate a nuclear reactor?’ the expert answered with cool confidence, ‘Do your normal cautious estimating, add more than normal margin and then a�er a short pause, double it!’ Kharbanda confessed that in their ignorance, they had skipped the last vital step, but this short, casual conversation proved most valuable. ‘We were forewarned, we took it seriously, and got forearmed. It saved us several millions of dollars.’

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�e reality is that for many projects not all of the information needed to make accurate estimates is available,

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based on the WBS are just the starting point. As they delve further into the project-planning process, they make appropriate revisions both in the time and cost of speci�c activities. �ey factor the �nal assignment of resources into the project budget and schedule. For example, when they realise that only three instead of four bulldozers are available to clear a site, they adjust both the time and cost of that activity. �ey adjust estimates to account for speci�c actions to mitigate potential risks on the project. For example, to reduce the chances of design code errors, they would add the cost of independent testers to the schedule and budget. Finally, organisations adjust estimates to take into account abnormal conditions. For example, if soil samples reveal excessive ground water, then they adjust foundation costs and times.

�ere will always be some mistakes, omissions and adjustments that will require additional changes in estimates. Fortunately, every project should have a change management system in place to accommodate these situations and any impact on the project baseline. �e relationship between change management and contingency funds will be discussed further in Chapter 8.

SummaryQuality, realistic and reliable resource, time and cost estimates are the bedrock of project credibility. Past experience (including lessons learned from previous projects) is one of the best starting points for estimation. The quality of estimates are influenced by other factors, such as the number of people, tools and time allowed for estimating in the project environment. The key for achieving estimates that represent realistic average resources, time and costs is to have an organisational culture that understands why errors in estimates can occur, without incrimination. The use of teams that are highly motivated can help in keeping task times and costs near the average. For this reason, it is crucial to get the team to buy into time and cost estimates.

Using top-down estimates is good for initial and strategic decision-making or in situations where the costs associated with developing better estimates have little benefit or where time is of the essence. However, in most cases the bottom-up approach to estimating is preferred and more reliable as it assesses each work package, rather than the whole project, section or deliverable of a project. Estimating time and costs for each work package facilitates development of the project schedule and a time-phased budget, which are needed to control the project as it is implemented. Using the estimating guidelines will help eliminate many common mistakes made by those unacquainted with estimating times and costs for project control. Establishing a time and cost estimating tool fits well with the learning organisation philosophy.

The level of time and cost detail should follow the old saying of ‘no more than is necessary and sufficient’. Project managers must remember to differentiate between committed outlays, actual costs and scheduled costs. It is well known that up-front efforts in clearly defining project objectives, scope and specifications vastly improve time and cost estimate accuracy.

How estimates are gathered and how they are used can affect their usefulness for planning and control. The team climate, organisational culture and organisational structure can strongly influence the importance attached to time and cost estimates and how they are used in managing projects.

This chapter has been dedicated to the concept of estimating and the associated tools and techniques available to the project manager. Estimating is carried out in relation to three key aspects:

• resources—estimation of human resources, plant, equipment, raw material/s, capital and other• time—the estimation of the duration of the individual resources committed will be required, and the

overall durations of the work packages and tasks within the WBS• costs—the estimation of the cost of resources and any other identified costs that must be considered to

ensure a full and complete project budget can be proposed for approval.

The aspects of time and cost are covered in the next two chapters of this text.

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experience (including lessons learned from previous projects) is one of the best starting points for estimation.

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experience (including lessons learned from previous projects) is one of the best starting points for estimation. he quality of estimates are influenced by other factors, such as the number of people, tools and time allowed for

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he quality of estimates are influenced by other factors, such as the number of people, tools and time allowed for he key for achieving estimates that represent realistic average resources,

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he key for achieving estimates that represent realistic average resources, time and costs is to have an organisational culture that understands why errors in estimates can occur, without

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time and costs is to have an organisational culture that understands why errors in estimates can occur, without

he use of teams that are highly motivated can help in keeping task times and costs near the

Sample

he use of teams that are highly motivated can help in keeping task times and costs near the

average. For this reason, it is crucial to get the team to buy into time and cost estimates.

Sample

average. For this reason, it is crucial to get the team to buy into time and cost estimates.

sing top-down estimates is good for initial and strategic decision-making or in situations where the costs

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sing top-down estimates is good for initial and strategic decision-making or in situations where the costs

associated with developing better estimates have little benefit or where time is of the essence. However, in

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associated with developing better estimates have little benefit or where time is of the essence. However, in most cases the bottom-up approach to estimating is preferred and more reliable as it assesses each work

Sample

most cases the bottom-up approach to estimating is preferred and more reliable as it assesses each work package, rather than the whole project, section or deliverable of a project. Estimating time and costs for each

Sample

package, rather than the whole project, section or deliverable of a project. Estimating time and costs for each work package facilitates development of the project schedule and a time-phased budget, which are needed

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work package facilitates development of the project schedule and a time-phased budget, which are needed

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to control the project as it is implemented.

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to control the project as it is implemented. U

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and cost estimating tool fits well with the learning organisation philosophy.he level of time and cost detail should follow the old saying of ‘no more than is necessary and sufficient’. Sam

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he key for achieving estimates that represent realistic average resources,

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REviEWquESTionS1 Why are accurate estimates critical to effective project management?2 How does the culture of an organisation influence the quality of estimates?3 What are the differences between bottom-up and top-down estimating approaches? Under what

conditions would you prefer one over the other?4 What is your understanding of the wider definition of resources?5 What are the major types of costs? Which costs are controllable by the project manager?6 The estimating trumpet illustrates the tolerances and expectations around levels of estimating accuracy

across the life cycle. How do the tolerances resonate with your organisation’s expectations around estimating?

EXERCISES1 Mrs Tolstoy and her husband, Serge, are planning their dream house. The lot for the house sits high

on a hill with a beautiful view of the Blue Mountains. The plans show the size of the house to be 500 square metres. The average price for a lot and house similar to this one has been $700 per square metre. Fortunately, Serge is a retired plumber and feels he can save money by installing the plumbing himself. Mrs Tolstoy feels she can take care of the interior decorating.

The following average cost information is available from a local bank that makes loans to local contractors and disperses progress payments to contractors when specific tasks are verified as complete.• 24% Excavation and framing complete• 8% Roof and fireplace complete• 3% Wiring roughed in• 6% Plumbing roughed in• 5% Siding on• 17% Windows, insulation, walls, plaster and garage complete• 9% Furnace installed• 4% Plumbing fixtures installed• 10% Exterior paint, light fixtures installed, finish hardware installed• 6% Carpet and trim installed• 4% Interior decorating• 4% Floors laid and finisheda What is the estimated cost for the Tolstoy’s house if they use contractors to complete the entire house?b Estimate what the cost of the house would be if the Tolstoys use their talents to do some of the work

themselves.

KEyTERMS3-point estimate, 142bottom-up estimates, 138contingency, 133Cost of Quality (CoQ), 137Delphi Method, 141direct costs, 135estimating tools, 140function points, 143indirect costs (G&A or overhead costs), 135

learning curve, 144padding estimates, 133PERT method, 142phase estimating, 139range estimating, 145resource types, 134template method, 145top-down estimates, 138

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2 You are about to embark on a project to introduce a project management information system that integrates the functions of scheduling, risk management, social media (blogs, forums and wikis) and additionally must allow contractors to log into the system to update work package performance status. How would the vendor bid analysis and expert judgment approaches be applied in this situation? What is the value in applying both techniques? What would be the downside of applying both techniques?

3 Refer to one of your own recent projects and review the different estimating tools and techniques outlined in this chapter. Make recommendations as to which tools and techniques might have worked better. Also, identify the estimating techniques you chose and reflect on what led you to use them. Which tools might have worked better? What recommendations would you now make to the business?

CaseSHARPPRinTing,AgThree years ago the Sharp Printing (SP) strategic management group set a goal of having a colour laser printer available for the consumer and small business market for less than $200. A few months later the senior management met off-site to discuss the new product. The results of this meeting were a set of general technical specifications along with major deliverables, a product launch date and a cost estimate based on prior experience.

Shortly aªerward, a meeting was arranged for middle management explaining the project goals, major responsibilities, the project start date and importance of meeting the product launch date within the cost estimate. Members of all departments involved attended the meeting. Excitement was high. Although everyone saw the risks as high, the promised rewards for the company and the personnel were emblazoned in their minds. A few participants questioned the legitimacy of the project duration and cost estimates. A couple of R&D people were worried about the technology required to produce the high-quality product for less than $200. But given the excitement of the moment, everyone agreed the project was worth doing and achievable. The colour laser printer project was to have the highest project priority in the company.

Lauren was selected to be the project manager. She had 15 years of experience in printer design and manufacture, which included successful management of several projects related to printers for commercial markets. Since she was one of those uncomfortable with the project cost and time estimates, she felt getting good bottom-up time and cost estimates for the deliverables was her first concern. She quickly had a meeting with the significant stakeholders to create a WBS identifying the work packages and organisational unit responsible for implementing the work packages. Lauren stressed she wanted time and cost estimates from those who would do the work or were the most knowledgeable, if possible. Getting estimates from more than one source was encouraged. Estimates were due in two weeks.

The compiled estimates were placed in the WBS/OBS. The corresponding cost estimate seemed to be in error. The cost estimate was $1 250 000 over the senior management estimate; this represents about a 20 per cent overrun! The time estimate from the developed project network was only four months over the top management time estimate. Another meeting was scheduled with the significant stakeholders to check the estimates and to brainstorm for alternative solutions; the cost and time estimates appeared to be reasonable. Some of the suggestions for the brainstorming session were:

• change scope• outsource technology design• use the project-scoring (priority) matrix to get top management to clarify their priorities• partner with another organisation or build a research consortium to share costs and to share the newly

developed technology and production methods• cancel the project• commission a break-even study for the laser printer.

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along with major deliverables, a product launch date and a cost estimate based on prior experience.

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along with major deliverables, a product launch date and a cost estimate based on prior experience.hortly aªerward, a meeting was arranged for middle management explaining the project goals, major

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responsibilities, the project start date and importance of meeting the product launch date within the cost embers of all departments involved attended the meeting. Excitement was high.

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embers of all departments involved attended the meeting. Excitement was high.

saw the risks as high, the promised rewards for the company and the personnel were emblazoned in their minds.

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saw the risks as high, the promised rewards for the company and the personnel were emblazoned in their minds.

few participants questioned the legitimacy of the project duration and cost estimates.

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few participants questioned the legitimacy of the project duration and cost estimates.

were worried about the technology required to produce the high-quality product for less than $200. But given

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were worried about the technology required to produce the high-quality product for less than $200. But given

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the excitement of the moment, everyone agreed the project was worth doing and achievable.

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the excitement of the moment, everyone agreed the project was worth doing and achievable. printer project was to have the highest project priority in the company.

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printer project was to have the highest project priority in the company.

Lauren was selected to be the project manager.

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Lauren was selected to be the project manager.

manufacture, which included successful management of several projects related to printers for commercial

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manufacture, which included successful management of several projects related to printers for commercial

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Very little in the way of concrete savings was identified, although there was consensus that time could be compressed to the market launch date, but at additional costs.

Lauren met with the marketing (Connor), production (Kim) and design (Gage) managers who yielded some ideas for cutting costs, but nothing significant enough to have a large impact. Gage remarked, ‘I wouldn’t want to be the one to deliver the message to top management that their cost estimate is $1 250 000 off! Good luck, Lauren’.

1 At this point, what would you do if you were the project manager?2 Was top management acting correctly in developing an estimate?3 What estimating techniques should be used for a mission-critical project such as this?

Anappendixwhichisrelevanttothischapter,LearningCurvesforEstimating,isavailableonline.

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