one-way anova one-way analysis of variance. “did you wash your hands?” a student decided to...
TRANSCRIPT
““Did you wash your hands?”Did you wash your hands?”
A student decided to investigate just A student decided to investigate just how effective washing with soap is in how effective washing with soap is in eliminating bacteria.eliminating bacteria.
She tested 4 different methods – She tested 4 different methods – washing with water only, washing washing with water only, washing with regular soap, washing with with regular soap, washing with antibacterial soap, and spraying antibacterial soap, and spraying hands with antibacterial spray.hands with antibacterial spray.
This experiment consisted of one This experiment consisted of one factor (washing method) at 4 levels.factor (washing method) at 4 levels.
““Did you wash your hands?”Did you wash your hands?”
Ho: All the group means are equal.Ho: All the group means are equal. We want to see whether differences We want to see whether differences
as large as those observed in the as large as those observed in the experiment could naturally occur experiment could naturally occur even if the groups actually have even if the groups actually have equal means.equal means.
Look at the following two sets of Look at the following two sets of boxplots. Are the means different boxplots. Are the means different enough to reject Ho?enough to reject Ho?
““Did you wash your hands?”Did you wash your hands?”
Believe it or not, the means in both Believe it or not, the means in both sets are the same. (Look carefully at sets are the same. (Look carefully at the values of the medians in the the values of the medians in the boxplots.)boxplots.)
But why do they look so different? But why do they look so different? In the 2In the 2ndnd figure, the variation figure, the variation withinwithin
each group is so small that the each group is so small that the differences differences betweenbetween the means the means stand out.stand out.
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
The one-way analysis of variance is used The one-way analysis of variance is used to test the claim that three or more to test the claim that three or more population means are equalpopulation means are equal
This is an extension of the two This is an extension of the two independent samples t-testindependent samples t-test
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
The The responseresponse variable is the variable variable is the variable you’re comparingyou’re comparing
The The factorfactor variable is the categorical variable is the categorical variable being used to define the groupsvariable being used to define the groups We will assume We will assume kk samples (groups) samples (groups)
The The one-wayone-way is because each value is is because each value is classified in exactly one wayclassified in exactly one way Examples include comparisons by gender, Examples include comparisons by gender,
race, political party, color, etc.race, political party, color, etc.
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Conditions or AssumptionsConditions or Assumptions The data are randomly sampledThe data are randomly sampled The variances of each sample are assumed The variances of each sample are assumed
equalequal The residuals are normally distributedThe residuals are normally distributed
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
The null hypothesis is that the means are all The null hypothesis is that the means are all equalequal
The alternative hypothesis is that at least one The alternative hypothesis is that at least one of the means is differentof the means is different Think about the Sesame StreetThink about the Sesame Street®® game where game where
three of these things are kind of the same, but one three of these things are kind of the same, but one of these things is not like the other. They don’t all of these things is not like the other. They don’t all have to be different, just one of them.have to be different, just one of them.
kOH μμμμ ==== . . . : 321
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
The statistics classroom is divided into The statistics classroom is divided into three rows: front, middle, and backthree rows: front, middle, and back
The instructor noticed that the further the The instructor noticed that the further the students were from him, the more likely students were from him, the more likely they were to miss class or use an instant they were to miss class or use an instant messenger during classmessenger during class
He wanted to see if the students further He wanted to see if the students further away did worse on the examsaway did worse on the exams
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
The ANOVA doesn’t test that one mean is less The ANOVA doesn’t test that one mean is less than another, only whether they’re all equal or than another, only whether they’re all equal or at least one is different.at least one is different.
BMOH μμμ ==F :
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
A random sample of the students in each A random sample of the students in each row was takenrow was taken
The score for those students on the The score for those students on the second exam was recordedsecond exam was recorded Front:Front: 82, 83, 97, 93, 55, 67, 5382, 83, 97, 93, 55, 67, 53 Middle:Middle: 83, 78, 68, 61, 77, 54, 69, 51, 6383, 78, 68, 61, 77, 54, 69, 51, 63 Back:Back: 38, 59, 55, 66, 45, 52, 52, 6138, 59, 55, 66, 45, 52, 52, 61
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
The summary statistics for the grades of each row The summary statistics for the grades of each row are shown in the table beloware shown in the table below
RowRow FrontFront MiddleMiddle BackBack
Sample sizeSample size 77 99 88
MeanMean 75.7175.71 67.1167.11 53.5053.50
St. DevSt. Dev 17.6317.63 10.9510.95 8.968.96
VarianceVariance 310.90310.90 119.86119.86 80.2980.29
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
VariationVariation Variation is the sum of the squares of the Variation is the sum of the squares of the
deviations between a value and the mean of deviations between a value and the mean of the valuethe value
Sum of Squares is abbreviated by SS and Sum of Squares is abbreviated by SS and often followed by a variable in parentheses often followed by a variable in parentheses such as SS(B) or SS(W) so we know which such as SS(B) or SS(W) so we know which sum of squares we’re talking aboutsum of squares we’re talking about
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Are all of the values identical?Are all of the values identical? No, so there is some variation in the dataNo, so there is some variation in the data This is called the total variationThis is called the total variation Denoted SS(Total) for the total Sum of Denoted SS(Total) for the total Sum of
Squares (variation)Squares (variation) Sum of Squares is another name for variationSum of Squares is another name for variation
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Are all of the sample means identical?Are all of the sample means identical? No, so there is some variation between the No, so there is some variation between the
groupsgroups This is called the This is called the between groupbetween group variation variation Sometimes called the variation due to the Sometimes called the variation due to the
factor (this is what your calculator calls it)factor (this is what your calculator calls it) Denoted SS(B) for Sum of Squares (variation) Denoted SS(B) for Sum of Squares (variation)
between the groupsbetween the groups
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Are each of the values within each group Are each of the values within each group identical?identical? No, there is some variation within the groupsNo, there is some variation within the groups This is called the This is called the within groupwithin group variation variation Sometimes called the error variation (which is Sometimes called the error variation (which is
what your calculator calls it)what your calculator calls it) Denoted SS(W) for Sum of Squares Denoted SS(W) for Sum of Squares
(variation) within the groups(variation) within the groups
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
There are two sources of variationThere are two sources of variation the variation between the groups, SS(B), or the variation between the groups, SS(B), or
the variation due to the factorthe variation due to the factor the variation within the groups, SS(W), or the the variation within the groups, SS(W), or the
variation that can’t be explained by the factor variation that can’t be explained by the factor so it’s called the error variationso it’s called the error variation
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Here is the basic one-way ANOVA tableHere is the basic one-way ANOVA table
SourceSource SSSS dfdf MSMS FF pp
BetweenBetween
WithinWithin
TotalTotal
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Grand MeanGrand Mean The grand mean is the average of all the The grand mean is the average of all the
values when the factor is ignoredvalues when the factor is ignored It is a weighted average of the individual It is a weighted average of the individual
sample meanssample means
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x =
nix ii=1
k
∑
ni
i=1
k
∑
k
kk
nnn
xnxnxnx
++++++
= . . . . . .
21
2211
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Grand Mean for our example is 65.08Grand Mean for our example is 65.08
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x =7(75.71) + 9(67.11) + 8(53.50)
7 + 9 + 8
x =1562
24x = 65.08
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Between GroupBetween Group Variation, SS(B) Variation, SS(B) The The Between GroupBetween Group Variation is the variation Variation is the variation
between each sample mean and the grand between each sample mean and the grand meanmean
Each individual variation is weighted by the Each individual variation is weighted by the sample sizesample size
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SS(B) = ni x i − x ( )2
i=1
k
∑
SS(B) = n1 x 1 − x ( )2
+ n2 x 2 − x ( )2
+ ... + nk x k − x ( )2
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
The The Between GroupBetween Group Variation for our example is Variation for our example is SS(B)=1902SS(B)=1902
(Ok, so it doesn’t really round to 1902, but if I (Ok, so it doesn’t really round to 1902, but if I hadn’t rounded everything from the beginning it hadn’t rounded everything from the beginning it would have. Bear with me.)would have. Bear with me.)
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SS(B) = 7 75.71− 65.08( )2
+ 9 67.11− 65.08( )2
+ 8 53.50 − 65.08( )2
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SS(B) =1900.8376 ≈1902
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Within Group Variation, SS(W)Within Group Variation, SS(W) The The Within GroupWithin Group Variation is the weighted total of Variation is the weighted total of
the individual variationsthe individual variations The weighting is done with the degrees of freedomThe weighting is done with the degrees of freedom The df for each sample is one less than the sample The df for each sample is one less than the sample
size for that sample.size for that sample.
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Within GroupWithin Group Variation Variation
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SS(W ) = df isi2
i=1
k
∑
SS(W ) = df1s12 + df2s2
2 + ...+ dfksk2
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
The The within groupwithin group variation for our example variation for our example is 3386is 3386
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SS(W ) = 6(310.90) + 8(119.86) + 7(80.29)
SS(W ) = 3386.31 ≈ 3386
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
After filling in the sum of squares, we have …After filling in the sum of squares, we have …
SourceSource SSSS dfdf MSMS FF pp
BetweenBetween 19021902
WithinWithin 33863386
TotalTotal 52885288
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Degrees of FreedomDegrees of Freedom The The between groupbetween group df is one less than the df is one less than the
number of groupsnumber of groups We have three groups, so df(B) = 2We have three groups, so df(B) = 2
The The within groupwithin group df is the sum of the individual df is the sum of the individual df’s of each groupdf’s of each group The sample sizes are 7, 9, and 8The sample sizes are 7, 9, and 8 df(W) = 6 + 8 + 7 = 21df(W) = 6 + 8 + 7 = 21
The The totaltotal df is one less than the sample size df is one less than the sample size df(Total) = 24 – 1 = 23df(Total) = 24 – 1 = 23
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Filling in the degrees of freedom gives this …Filling in the degrees of freedom gives this …
SourceSource SSSS dfdf MSMS FF pp
BetweenBetween 19021902 22
WithinWithin 33863386 2121
TotalTotal 52885288 2323
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
VariancesVariances The variances are also called the Mean of the The variances are also called the Mean of the
Squares and abbreviated by MS, often with an Squares and abbreviated by MS, often with an accompanying variable MS(B) or MS(W)accompanying variable MS(B) or MS(W)
They are an average squared deviation from the They are an average squared deviation from the mean and are found by dividing the variation by the mean and are found by dividing the variation by the degrees of freedomdegrees of freedom
MS = SS / dfMS = SS / df
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Variance =Variation
df
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
MS(B)MS(B) = 1902 / 2= 1902 / 2 = 951.0= 951.0 MS(W)MS(W) = 3386 / 21= 3386 / 21 = 161.2= 161.2 MS(T)MS(T) = 5288 / 23= 5288 / 23 = 229.9= 229.9
Notice that the MS(Total) is NOT the sum of Notice that the MS(Total) is NOT the sum of MS(Between) and MS(Within).MS(Between) and MS(Within).
This works for the sum of squares SS(Total), This works for the sum of squares SS(Total), but not the mean square MS(Total)but not the mean square MS(Total)
The MS(Total) isn’t usually shown, as it isn’t The MS(Total) isn’t usually shown, as it isn’t used in the analysis.used in the analysis.
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Completing the MS gives …Completing the MS gives …
SourceSource SSSS dfdf MSMS FF pp
BetweenBetween 19021902 22 951.0951.0
WithinWithin 33863386 2121 161.2161.2
TotalTotal 52885288 2323 229.9229.9
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Special VariancesSpecial Variances The MS(Within) is also known as the pooled The MS(Within) is also known as the pooled
estimate of the variance since it is a weighted estimate of the variance since it is a weighted average of the individual variancesaverage of the individual variances Sometimes abbreviated Sometimes abbreviated
The MS(Total) is the variance of the response The MS(Total) is the variance of the response variable.variable. Not technically part of ANOVA table, but useful none the Not technically part of ANOVA table, but useful none the
lessless
2ps
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
F test statisticF test statistic An F test statistic is the ratio of two sample An F test statistic is the ratio of two sample
variancesvariances The MS(B) and MS(W) are two sample The MS(B) and MS(W) are two sample
variances and that’s what we divide to find F.variances and that’s what we divide to find F. F = MS(B) / MS(W)F = MS(B) / MS(W)
For our data, F = 951.0 / 161.2 = 5.9For our data, F = 951.0 / 161.2 = 5.9
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Adding F to the table …Adding F to the table …
SourceSource SSSS dfdf MSMS FF pp
BetweenBetween 19021902 22 951.0951.0 5.95.9
WithinWithin 33863386 2121 161.2161.2
TotalTotal 52885288 2323 229.9229.9
The The FF Distribution Distribution Named for Sir Ronald Fisher.Named for Sir Ronald Fisher. The F-models depend on the two df The F-models depend on the two df
for the two groups.for the two groups.
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
The F test is a right tail testThe F test is a right tail test The F test statistic has an F distribution The F test statistic has an F distribution
with df(B) numerator df and df(W) with df(B) numerator df and df(W) denominator dfdenominator df
The p-value is the area to the right of the The p-value is the area to the right of the test statistictest statistic
P(FP(F2,212,21 > 5.9) = Fcdf(5.9,999,2,21) = .0093 > 5.9) = Fcdf(5.9,999,2,21) = .0093
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Completing the table with the p-valueCompleting the table with the p-value
SourceSource SSSS dfdf MSMS FF pp
BetweenBetween 19021902 22 951.0951.0 5.95.9 0.0090.009
WithinWithin 33863386 2121 161.2161.2
TotalTotal 52885288 2323 229.9229.9
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
The p-value is 0.009, which is less than The p-value is 0.009, which is less than the significance level of 0.05, so we reject the significance level of 0.05, so we reject the null hypothesis.the null hypothesis.
The null hypothesis is that the means of The null hypothesis is that the means of the three rows in class were the same, but the three rows in class were the same, but we reject that, so at least one row has a we reject that, so at least one row has a different mean.different mean.
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
There is enough evidence to support the There is enough evidence to support the claim that there is a difference in the mean claim that there is a difference in the mean scores of the front, middle, and back rows scores of the front, middle, and back rows in class.in class.
The ANOVA doesn’t tell which row is The ANOVA doesn’t tell which row is different, you would need to look at different, you would need to look at confidence intervals or run post hoc tests confidence intervals or run post hoc tests to determine thatto determine that
ANOVA on TI-83ANOVA on TI-83
1)1) Enter the data into LEnter the data into L11, L, L22, L, L33, etc., etc.2)2) Press Press STATSTAT and move the cursor to and move the cursor to
TESTSTESTS3)3) Select choice F:Select choice F: ANOVA(ANOVA(4)4) Type each list followed by a comma. End Type each list followed by a comma. End
with ) and press with ) and press ENTER.ENTER.
Front:Front: 82, 83, 97, 93, 55, 67, 5382, 83, 97, 93, 55, 67, 53 Middle:Middle: 83, 78, 68, 61, 77, 54, 69, 51, 6383, 78, 68, 61, 77, 54, 69, 51, 63 Back:Back: 38, 59, 55, 66, 45, 52, 52, 6138, 59, 55, 66, 45, 52, 52, 61
After You Reject HoAfter You Reject Ho
When the null hypothesis is rejected, When the null hypothesis is rejected, we may want to know where the we may want to know where the difference among the means is.difference among the means is.
The are several procedures to do this. The are several procedures to do this. Among the most commonly used tests:Among the most commonly used tests: Scheffe test – use when the samples differ Scheffe test – use when the samples differ
in sizein size Tukey test – use when the samples are Tukey test – use when the samples are
equal in sizeequal in size
Scheffe TestScheffe Test Compare the means two at a time, Compare the means two at a time,
using all possible combinations of using all possible combinations of means.means.
To find the critical value To find the critical value F’F’ for the for the Scheffe test:Scheffe test:
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One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
Summary statistics for the grades of each row:Summary statistics for the grades of each row:
RowRow FrontFront MiddleMiddle BackBack
Sample sizeSample size 77 99 88
MeanMean 75.7175.71 67.1167.11 53.5053.50
St. DevSt. Dev 17.6317.63 10.9510.95 8.968.96
VarianceVariance 310.90310.90 119.86119.86 80.2980.29
One-Way ANOVAOne-Way ANOVA
SourceSource SSSS dfdf MSMS FF pp
BetweenBetween 19021902 22 951.0951.0 5.95.9 0.0090.009
WithinWithin 33863386 2121 161.2161.2
TotalTotal 52885288 2323 229.9229.9
Scheffe TestScheffe Test
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Scheffe TestScheffe Test
Use F-Table to find the critical value (C.V.)Use F-Table to find the critical value (C.V.) alpha level = 0.05alpha level = 0.05
df(B)=2df(B)=2df(W)=21df(W)=21
F’ F’ = df(B)*(C.V.) = (2)*(3.47) = 6.94= df(B)*(C.V.) = (2)*(3.47) = 6.94
Scheffe TestScheffe Test
The only The only FF test value that is greater than test value that is greater than the critical value (6.94) is for the “front the critical value (6.94) is for the “front versus back” comparison.versus back” comparison.
Thus, the only significant difference is Thus, the only significant difference is between the mean exam score for the between the mean exam score for the front row and the mean exam score for the front row and the mean exam score for the back row.back row.