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Annales Academie Scientiarum Fennicre Series A. I. Mathematica Volumen 13, 1988, 269-275 ON APPROXIMATION CONDITIONS OF THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE MAXIMUM SUMS OF INDEPENDENT RANDOM VARIABTES A.N. Startsev Let (,n;, i : Lr. . . ,turft ) 1 be an a^rray of row-independent random variables with E €r; : 4ai å^rrd D €oi : o2.r. We can assume, without any loss of generalitS that o26 +...+ ozno:1 for every n ) 1. Define, with an abuse of notation, to : So - 0, 51 : f €'i, tk:D"?u So : max(,9r,r,...,S"). d:l i=l We a,re interested in conditions for ^9' - Ao to converge wea,kly to some limit law; here .4, is some centering sequence. For identically distributed random variables {o; with oni : n-r ,i : L, . . . ,ft, such conditions were found by A. Wald [14], who established the following results: (i) If lim'*oo fldnt: o, 0 S 4 ( €r then for.any r > 0 "5g r(s, < o) - w"(,) = #F ""' t"i,r,-'l' .*p (- # - u) au, where, in particular Wo(r): max(0,2O(o) - 1); (ii) If limo-* n&n!: $oo, then for any c R ,Ege1S" - ndnt ( o) : iD(t) : (2tr7-r1z [' .*p1-u2 p1au. J-a Analogous results in the case of identically distributed random variables, but in a more general situation, were obtained by A.A. Borovkov [2]. K.L. Chung [3] extended the results of A. Wald to the case of nonidentically distributed random va,riables having cornmon means and variances. He obtained in addition the rate of convergence of the order n-r/26 ln n when E l€"; - a'il3 ( C <a forall i:7,...,n and n>.7.

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Annales Academie Scientiarum FennicreSeries A. I. MathematicaVolumen 13, 1988, 269-275

ON APPROXIMATION CONDITIONS OF THEDISTRIBUTION OF THE MAXIMUM SUMSOF INDEPENDENT RANDOM VARIABTES

A.N. Startsev

Let (,n;, i : Lr. . . ,turft ) 1 be an a^rray of row-independent random variableswith E €r; : 4ai å^rrd D €oi : o2.r. We can assume, without any loss of generalitSthat o26 +...+ ozno:1 for every n ) 1.

Define, with an abuse of notation,

to : So - 0, 51 : f €'i, tk:D"?u So : max(,9r,r,...,S").d:l i=l

We a,re interested in conditions for ^9' - Ao to converge wea,kly to some limit law;here .4, is some centering sequence.

For identically distributed random variables {o; with oni : n-r ,i : L, . . . ,ft,such conditions were found by A. Wald [14], who established the following results:

(i) If lim'*oo fldnt: o, 0 S 4 ( €r then for.any r > 0

"5g r(s, < o) - w"(,) = #F ""' t"i,r,-'l'

.*p (- # - u) au,

where, in particular Wo(r): max(0,2O(o) - 1);

(ii) If limo-* n&n!: $oo, then for any c € R

,Ege1S" - ndnt ( o) : iD(t) : (2tr7-r1z [' .*p1-u2 p1au.J-a

Analogous results in the case of identically distributed random variables, butin a more general situation, were obtained by A.A. Borovkov [2].

K.L. Chung [3] extended the results of A. Wald to the case of nonidenticallydistributed random va,riables having cornmon means and variances. He obtainedin addition the rate of convergence of the order n-r/26 ln n when E l€"; - a'il3 (C <a forall i:7,...,n and n>.7.

Mika
Typewritten text
doi:10.5186/aasfm.1988.1320

270 A.JV. Startsev

V.B. Nevzorov [6] obtained more general conditions for the convergence tothe normal law in the scheme €n; : €;f Bn, where B? : D!=rD {;. He provedthat the conditions

(") {€i ' ; > 1} satisfy the central limit theorem;

(b) Jg516 min(E(1,...,E€o) : *ooi

(") D€r<D<-*, B7>dk, d)0, k:!,2,...,are sufficient for the weak convergence of the random variables (i : (maxr< *<nex-EeJB;t tothenormallawl here (*:€r *€z*...*€*,lc:!,2,... .- -

In our notation the conditions (b) and (c) take the following form

lim n min eni??-+oo lSiln

tp ) Czkn-',

- *oo, o7* I Crfr-r,

0<C;<-cn, i-7r2, Ic-1t...tfrt n>1.

Nevzorov constructed examples which show that it is not possible to takeconditions (b') E(r ) Ck, C ) 0,/c > L and (c') C1k S B7 S C2lc, k) 1, 0 (Ct < Cz ( oo instead of (b) and (c), respectively.

We shall give only one of these examples since the other one is rather exotic:random variables satisfy the central limit theorem but not the Lindeberg condition.

Example. Let {7;, i > 1} be independent standa,rd normally distributedrandom variables. Define

It is easy to check that the conditions (a) and (b) are satisfied and E Cn:5n -Blogrn when n =2^rbut

P(C; < 0) * 0l O(0), as n --+ oo.

In spite of this, the convergence to the normal law takes place for n : 2* - 7.The reason for this phenomenon will be evident later.

In a recent paper V.M. Kruglov [4] obtained necessary and suffi.cient conditionsfor the convergence of the distribution of .S, to the limit laws Wo and O in thegeneral scheme of partial sums, both under moment restrictions and without them,but the convergence to the normal law under mornent restrictions is consideredonly for non-negative means.

In the present paper suffi.cient conditions for the convergence of the distribu-tion of ^9, to the normal law and to other limit laws are given in a more generalcase by the method of approximation of the Wiener process (the invariance prin-ciple). A similar approach was used by A.V. Nagaev and the author [5], [12] in

€r - {l:;tl\ fi": ,when Tn-r,2,

On approximation conditions 271,

an asymptotical analysis of mathematical models of epidemics, exactly as by A.A.Borovkov [2] in an analysis of this problem in the case of identically distributedrandom variables and by Yu. V. Prohorov [9] in an investigation of transition phe-nomena in the queueing process and then by V.B. Nevzorov [7] in a research oflimit distributions of various order statistics of successive sums of random vari-ables, but with zero means.

Let us pass to the formulation of the results obtained. It is assumed that{("i : 1 < i < r} satisfy the Lindeberg condition.

Define ,4.* = E Sk= anr*anz*..'*ank, Ic:1r...rfl, n) t.Theorem 1. Let anp 2 0, nr 1 k I n. If lim'r-oof', : 1 and if

limrr*-minr<*<rrr(A"- Ax) - {oo, tåen

jgf1S" - An <-o) = O(c) for aJl r € R.

Remark. We want to point out that, if. k: lnal, tl2 < ot < L, then underthe conditions of the previous example one has

An-Ar<-tf",Glz-6(1-o)) + -m, if a ) tlll2'

We claim that P(S" - An < o) + 0, but this follows at once from the fact thatdnn: -tf"/z + -oo. In fact,

P(.t" - An <r)S P(S"-r - Ao-r 1a !a,n): ö(o -,f"12)+o(1): o(1).

It is not difficult to show that the conditions of Theorem 1 will hold for n :2* -7.Corollary l. Let ank ) 0, k - 1,.,.,D. If there exists n1 < n such that

limo-oof,o, = 1, limo-*(An- Anr): *a, then limr--P(.tr - An < a):Q(o) for all o € R.

This statement is the same a,s the sufficiency part of Theorem 7 by Kruglov [4].Now we are going to give results where the limit law is not a normal one.

Theorem 2. II lilrr,n-omaxr<&Sn lÄ* - g(tt)l :0, where g(t) satisfres aLipsehitz condition and 9(0) : 0, then for any o € R+

"l!5r(S" ( c) = P(r?g,(rrltt) + g(t)) < a),

where w(t) stands for the standard Wiener process on [0, 1].

Corollary 2. If limn-oomaxr<*<n lAxl : 0 (i.e., S(t) = 0), then for anyc€R+

"$r1S" ( a): Wo(') = P(o?ff w(t) < a)'

272 A.N. Startsev

This result follows also from Theorem 4 by Kruglov [a] and Theorem L0 byR6nyi [10], where it is supposed that ani : 0 t i : t, . . . ,n,

Corollary 3. Let an; = Qnt o2n* : n-r, k - 1,...rn, n )- 1. Iflimr.--troo = a, lal ( oo, fåen for any a > 0

,1$ P(5" 1 x) : P(w(t) < n - at, 0 <

-!-exp{-r(lol -")} P(xa/z), (u) du,

where pc(u) : ,v@ exp(21/i-u-clu), u ) 0, g ) 0, is the density functionof the Wald distribution.

This statement follows also from Theorem 6 by Kruglov [4], where the exis-tence of the limits

Qni .. Qni

"%rSå"4: "t*'?,T"4:ois required but the explicit form of the limit law is given in the case o > 0 only. Theexplicit form of this limit law is given by Borovkov [2], bui his result was obtainedin the case of identically distributed random variables under the condition thatthe sequence o, tends to zero without cha^nge of the sign.

If. a ) 0, then we obtain the result of Wald [1a]:

f@

"l$r1s" ( o) : w"(') = lo"pp(,o121'

(u)du'

Proof of Theorem l. Define

(1) Pn(t): P(5"- An < &) = P(Sl l An- A** x, k =1,...,n),

where Sl : S* - Ax, k: 1,...,rt.Let s,(t), 0 < t < 1, be the random polygonal line constructed by using the

points (tr, Sl) and 9,(t) the polygon with vertices in the points (tp, An- Ap), k =0r1r''',n'

Then we can rewrite (1) into the form

r<1)

l,* ''

According to the invariance principle it is possible to construct s"(t) and tu(t)on the same probability space sucå that ("f. t1])

(2)

(3)

P,(r) : P(t"(t) < tn(t) * ", o < t < 1).

s"(t)-w(t)+e"(t),

On appoximation conditions 273

where the random process e'(t) satisfies the following condition

(4) 6n = sup le"(t)l å 0 as n -+ oo.0srsl

Now it is not difficult to show that (2)-( ) imply the inequality

(5) P"(t) >P(to(t) <g^(t){a+e,0<t <1)+6*,

for a,ny 6 ) 0, where 6": O(P(e' > €)).On the other hand by virtue of the central limit'theorem

(6) P,(r) < P(sl ( o) - o(s) + o(1).

After defining the following events

A:{w(t)<u*Q)+s-e, 0S t3tn,}, B- {r(t)< g,"(t)+s-e, to, <f <1}

we can rewrite (5) into the form

(7) P*(a) 2 P(B) - e(aÄ) + 6".

Lemma. If h"(t) is a non-iacreasing function for t € ("rr, 1l , limo-- rn : 7

and limrr-oo å'(1) : hs, then

Q"= P(w(t) < h"(t), ro 1t < 1) .* O(åo)' as t? + oo'

Proof of Lernma. lt is easy to see that

(s) Q" < P(w(I) < å"(1)) '-+ o(äo).

Since å,n(t) is a non-increasing function, we have

Q*> P(w(t) < å"(1), ro <t < l)(9) : P(o.P?t ,,-(') *u(t*) < h"(1)) -'-+ o(hs)'

Here we have us€d the fact that

marc ur(t) å O, ur(r") å ur(t)' as n "r oo'0St<1-rn

Clearly, (8) and (9) together give then the statement of the lemma.

274 A.lV. Startsev

We are now returning to the proof of Theorem 1, By the lemma and theconditions on g"(t) we ca.n obtain

(10) P(B): ö(' - e) + o(r).

Now we will show that P(Ä) : o(1). In fact

P(Ä) > P(w(t). o5i?., s.(t) + a - e, 0.1 < t.,)

Z P( o2a+

ur(t) . o11u<ä ,on(t)

* x - e)

(11) :t-2P(w(1) > rip?",0^(t)* a -e):1*o(1),

since mine< t<t., gn(t): mino<&<a r(An - Ar) - -.T ? : -.The statemänt of Theorem 1 follows then from (1), (6), (7), (10) and (11).

Proof of Theorem2. It is easy to see, by using the preceding arguments, thatforanye)0

P(ur(t) < s(t)* t - e-A,, 0 <f < 1) -6" < P(S" < ")< P(to(t) < sQ) * a * e*Ao, 0 < t < 1) +6,,

where An : maxr< x<,lAp - g(t*)l , 6n: O(P(e" > €)).The statement of Theorem 2 follows then from the inequality (see [8] or [9])

lp(-(r) < sQ)+ ä, 0 < r < 1) - P(w(t) < c(t), 0 < t < r)l < C h.

In order to prove Corollary 3 we remark that L. Takr{cs [13] has obtained thefollowing result (see also Borovkov [2])

p(w(t) I r - at, 0 < r < r) : t - * Ir' . (#) r3/2 dt

implying the claimed form of this probability.

Acknowledgement. The author thanks the referee whose remarks havehelped to improve this paper.

References

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t2l Bonovxov, A.A.: Stochastic proceesee in queueing theory. - Spriuger-Verlag, New York-Heidelberg-Berlin, 1976 (English translation).

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On approximation conditions 275

Cttuttc, K.L.: Äsymptotic distribution of the maximum cumulative sums of independentrandom variables. - Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 54, 1948, lL62-1I70.

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Academy of Sciences Uzbek SSRInstitute of MathematicsF. Hodj aeva 29700143 TashkentUSSR