omnichannel banking and financial inclusion: thoughts and ...€¦ · from multi-channel. high...
TRANSCRIPT
VI Latin American Financial Inclusion Congress
Febraban-Felaban
São Paulo, 19 August 2014
Omnichannel banking and financial inclusion: thoughts and metrics
David Tuesta
Financial Inclusion-Chief Economist
Page 1
Contents
1. Our starting point
2. Financial inclusion and the role of omnichannel banking
3. Access channels, use and financial inclusion: some metrics
4. From omnichannel banking to digital banking: future transformations
5. Conclusions
Page 2
Omnichannel banking
• This involves being close to the financial customer at all times and in all
places for whatever the customer needs, whenever they need it
• Any kind of intermediation possible, whatever the channel
• Implies multiplying the value of both traditional and new channels. The jump
from multi-channel. High leverage of technology
• Different channels: branches, correspondents, ATMs, Internet, mobile phone
transactions, telephone banking, Smartphones, diverse mobile devices and
future technologies
• A way of fostering financial inclusion?
Page 3
Omnichannel banking and technological
development
• The transfer to omnichannel banking has been heavily reliant on
technological progress and digital change
• Greater storage capacity, speed, new platforms and new technologies
• Gradual regulatory adaptation
• Improves the financial customer experience
• Note: The technology underpinning omnichannel banking also gives scope
for non-banking, digital players to enter banking
• New channels and the option of incorporating the non-banked
Page 4
Financial inclusion, technology and
omnichannel banking
• An important factor if households and companies are to continue sustained
growth : better and more timely risk and resource management
• Financial exclusion, which is of particular concern in emerging markets, is a
result of issues relating to use, access and the barriers to participating in the
formal financial system
• Technology means financial services can be offered at a lower cost, with the
potential to be everywhere and be better adapted to the customer’s needs
Page 5
Financial inclusion, technology and
omnichannel banking
• Lack of access to financial services can lead to the vicious circle of poverty
and greater inequality (Banerjee & Newman, 1993; Galor & Zeira, 1993;
Aghion & Bolton, 1997; Beck Demirguc-Kunt & Levine, 2007)
• Providing access to financial instruments increases saving (Aportela, 1999;
Ashraf et al., 2010), productive investment (Dupas & Robinson, 2009),
consumption (Dupas & Robinson, 2009; Ashraf et al., 2010b) and women’s
empowerment (Ashraf et al., 2010)
• Access to credit and to insurance has positive effects but the empirical
evidence is less robust (Karlan & Morduch, 2010; Banerjee et al., 2010;
Roodman , 2012)
Page 6
Contents
1. Our starting point
2. Financial inclusion and the role of omnichannel banking
3. Access channels, use and financial inclusion: some metrics
4. From omnichannel banking to digital banking: future transformations
5. Conclusions
Page 7
Towards financial inclusion and the role of
omnichannel banking
Barrie
rs
(by
inc
om
e, c
ultu
ral, tru
st, c
os
t-
rela
ted
, ge
og
rap
hic
al)
Consumer protection
Financial infrastructure -
omnichannel banking
Financial
Education Use
Access
Competition
Facilitating
instruments
Regulation
Financial
Inclusion
Results
Page 8
Omnichannel banking: issues to bear in mind
• Omnichannel banking particularly affects access to the financial system, but
that does not necessarily lead to greater use of, or interaction with, this
system
• The financial and technological landscape and its applications in omnichannel
banking are a necessary but not a sufficient condition for increasing the use
of formal financial services: other factors must be considered when designing
policies to improve financial inclusion
• Instruments that might support greater financial inclusion have to overcome
the barriers excluding participation in the financial system; these tend to be
country-specific
Page 9
Contents
1. Our starting point
2. Financial inclusion and the role of omnichannel banking
3. Access channels, use and financial inclusion: some metrics
4. From omnichannel banking to digital banking: future transformations
5. Conclusions
Page 10
Access and use: bank branches
Argentina
Australia Austria
Bolivia Brazil
Chile Colombia
Croatia Czech Republic
Dominican Rep.
El Salvador
Finland France
Honduras
Ireland
Italy
Japan
Kenya
Mexico
Mongolia
Nicaragua Paraguay
Peru
Portugal
Romania
Slovak Republic
South Africa
Spain Thailand
United States
Uruguay
Venezuela, RB
Zambia
0,00
0,10
0,20
0,30
0,40
0,50
0,60
0,70
0,80
0,90
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Usag
e:
% o
f ad
ult
po
pu
lati
on
Access: number of bank branches per 100,000 people
Bank branches
Page 11
Access and use: ATMs
Argentina
Australia
Austria
Bolivia
Brazil
Bulgaria
Canada
Chile
Colombia
Costa Rica
Croatia
Dominican Rep. El Salvador
Finland
Honduras
Ireland
Japan
Kenya
Korea, Rep. Latvia
Mexico
Mozambique
Paraguay Peru
Portugal Slovak Republic
South Africa
Spain
United States
Uruguay
Zambia
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Usag
e:
% o
f ad
ult
po
pu
lati
on
Access: number of ATMs por 100,000 people
ATMs
Page 12
Access and use: mobile phones
Albania
Argentina
Bolivia
Brazil
Burundi
Chad
Chile Colombia
Congo, Dem. Rep.
Dominican Rep
Gabon
Kenya
Lesotho
Macedonia, FYR
Madagascar
Mexico Moldova
Nicaragua
Paraguay Peru
Philippines South Africa
Swaziland Tanzania
Uruguay Zambia
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%
Usag
e:
% o
f ad
ult
po
pu
lati
on
Access: % mobile penetration
Mobile phones
Page 13
Access and use: correspondents
Page 14
How to measure financial inclusion? What factors
affect it? What part do access channels play?
• Despite the importance of financial inclusion, little is known about how to
measure it, about policies to promote it (Demirguc-Kunt et al., 2008) and its
determinants from a micro-economic point of view (Allen, Demirguc-Kunt,
Klapper & Martinez Peria, 2012)
• Existing studies lean heavily on macroeconomic data (Beck, Demirguc-Kunt,
& Martinez Peria, 2007; Honohan, 2008; Kendall, Mylenko & Ponce, 2010).
This makes it difficult to analyse to what extent specific features determine
financial inclusion
• How much weight do the different factors facilitating greater financial inclusion
have? How does inclusion interact with other factors? Developing a Financial
Inclusion Index
Page 15
Building a financial inclusion index
• Defining a complete set of measurements for financial inclusion with a multi-
dimensional approach (access, usage and barriers)
• Harmonised financial inclusion index that can be compared between
countries and time periods, allowing differing levels of aggregation
• Useful guideline for policymakers, governments, financial institutions and
international bodies interested in tracking financial inclusion or in designing
policies
Page 16
Financial Inclusion Index (FII)
• We define an inclusive financial system as one which maximises usage and
access, while also minimising involuntary financial exclusion
• The minimisation of perceived barriers is measured by the reduction of the
obstacles faced by individuals not participating in the formal financial system
• The level of financial inclusion is determined by three dimensions: usage,
access and barriers
• The three dimensions are, in their turn, determined by several indicators
• The FII we have built covers 82 countries and aggregates information from a
total of 11 indicators
• Methodology : Two-step PCA
Page 17
Financial Inclusion Index
• First step: estimating the three dimensions: usage, access and barriers
𝑌𝑖𝑢 = 𝛽1𝑎𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑖 + 𝛽2𝑠𝑎𝑣𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠𝑖 + 𝛽3𝑙𝑜𝑎𝑛𝑖 + 𝑢𝑖
𝑌𝑖𝑎 = 𝛾1𝐴𝑇𝑀𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑖 + 𝛾2𝑏𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑐ℎ𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑖 + 𝛾3𝑙𝑜𝑎𝑛𝐴𝑇𝑀𝑘𝑚2𝑖 + 𝛾4𝑙𝑜𝑎𝑛𝑏𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑐ℎ𝑘𝑚2𝑖 + 𝑣𝑖
𝑌𝑖𝑏 = 𝜃1𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑖 + 𝜃2𝑎𝑓𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑑𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦𝑖 + 𝜃3𝑑𝑜𝑐𝑢𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠𝑖 + 𝜃4𝑡𝑟𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑖 + 𝜀𝑖
i : denotes country and (𝑌𝑖𝑢, 𝑌𝑖
𝑎 , 𝑌𝑖𝑏) is a vector which contains the dimensions,
where the superscripts u, a and b denote each dimension
• Second step: estimating the weights of the dimensions and the overall FI
index
Page 18
Financial Inclusion Index
Page 19
Financial Inclusion Index
Page 20
Contents
1. Our starting point
2. Financial inclusion and the role of omnichannel banking
3. Access channels, use and financial inclusion: some metrics
4. From omnichannel banking to digital banking: future
transformations
5. Conclusions
Page 21
With the digital era, financial services provision is extending beyond the classic
financial institutions. There are several vectors of change :
1. Moore’s Law and cost-reductions in “doing banking”
2. Demographic shifts and digital natives
3. The learning curve of digital players transforming industries as they go
4. The incentives of high financial transaction costs and the development of financial
services by non-banking digital players
5. Fixed cost barriers crashing down
6. Asymmetric regulation/supervision
7. The technological legacy of banking
The digital era: beyond omnichannel banking
Page 22
• The consumer experience is now exposed not only to what is offered by the
supervised financial institution, but also to new digital alternatives from non-
banking players. Financial education is key in this context
• Payment systems, electronic money and facilitators
– Telecoms companies
– Pure digital: PayPal (USD350mn transactions/day), Dwolla (USD35mn), AliPay
(USD400mn/day), Square (USD14bn/year), Venmo, LevelUp, Simple, among
others
• Loans
– Lending Club (USD5bn P2P/ 3% NPL), Zopa (GBP500mn/0.5% NPL), Lenddo
(loans of USD400 to USD800 in emerging markets)
The digital era: beyond omnichannel banking
Page 23
Contents
1. Our starting point
2. Financial inclusion and the role of omnichannel banking
3. Access channels, use and financial inclusion: some metrics
4. From omnichannel banking to digital banking: future transformations
5. Conclusions
Page 24
Conclusions
• The transfer of the traditional financial system to omnichannel banking is based
on technological progress, which have brought improved customer experiences
(higher aggregate value)
• Omnichannel banking, with the development of its customer service channels, is a
necessary but not a sufficient condition for driving financial inclusion. Greater
access will not inevitably bring with it greater use. There are other important
issues
• We are developing a global FII to make a multi-dimensional approach to the
measurement of financial inclusion
• Financial inclusion requires effort to improve use and access and reduce the
barriers limiting participation in the formal financial system
• Omnichannel banking can be understood as a transition phase from the traditional
financial system to the next, truly digital experience, with new players on the
global stage
Thank you very much
Page 26
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Page 28
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Page 31
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Mobile phone use in financial transactions, % of adult population
Channels, access and use
Page 32
0,000
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Correspondents per 100,000 inhabitants
Channels, access and use
Page 33
0%
5%
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Use of correspondents, % of adult population
Channels, access and use
Page 34
FII correlations
Page 35
FII correlations
Page 36
FII correlations