occidental petroleum corporation• adams 4201 wa online in 2q 2015 has three month cumulative oil...
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OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORPORATION
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference CallOctober 28, 2015
2
Cautionary Statements
Forward-Looking Statements
Portions of this presentation contain forward-looking statements and involve risks and uncertainties that could materially affect expected results of operations, liquidity, cash flows and business prospects. Actual results may differ from anticipated results, sometimes materially, and reported results should not be considered an indication of future performance. Factors that could cause results to differ include, but are not limited to: global commodity pricing fluctuations; supply and demand considerations for Occidental's products; higher-than-expected costs; the regulatory approval environment; reorganization or restructuring of Occidental's operations, not successfully completing, or any material delay of, field developments, expansion projects, capital expenditures, efficiency projects, acquisitions or dispositions; uncertainties about the estimated quantities of oil and natural gas reserves; lower-than-expected production from development projects or acquisitions; exploration risks; general economic slowdowns domestically or internationally; political conditions and events; liability under environmental regulations including remedial actions; litigation; disruption or interruption of production or manufacturing or facility damage due to accidents, chemical releases, labor unrest, weather, natural disasters, cyber attacks or insurgent activity; failure of risk management; changes in law or regulations; or changes in tax rates. Words such as “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “will,” “would,” “should,” “could,” “may,” “might,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “intend,” “believe,” “expect,” “aim,” “goal,” “target,” “objective,” “likely” or similar expressions that convey the prospective nature of events or outcomes generally indicate forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Unless legally required, Occidental does not undertake any obligation to update any forward looking statements, as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Material risks that may affect Occidental’s results of operations and financial position appear in Part I, Item 1A “Risk Factors” of the 2014 Form 10-K.
Use of non-GAAP Financial Information
This presentation includes non-GAAP financial measures. You can find the reconciliations to comparable GAAP financial measures on the “Investors” section of our website.
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsHighlights
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3Q15 production increased 16% to 689,000 BOED from last year’s 595,000 BOED
39,000 BOED year over year growth in Permian Resources
50,000 BOED year over year growth from Al Hosn which reached full capacity
Capital and operating costs continued to decline with our focused development program
Continued to make progress on our efforts to optimize our portfolio through strategic review to focus on core assets in Permian Basin and Middle East
− Reached agreement for the sale of our Williston basin assets
− Evaluating positions in non-core Middle East / North Africa with objective of minimizing our exposure
Construction of the ethylene cracker on schedule for a start-up in early 2017
• Oil production growth driven by:
– Focused development program in Permian Resources
– Al Hosn
– Resilient base production
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Third Quarter 2015 EarningsProduction Growth
369 372382
401
426433 436
1Q2014
2Q2014
3Q2014
4Q2014
1Q2015
2Q2015
3Q2015
Total Oil Production(MBOD)
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings2015 Objectives – Adjust to Lower Product Prices
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CASH FLOW GROWTHCASH FLOW GROWTH
COST SAVINGSCOST SAVINGS
Permian Resources production growth
Al Hosn start-up
Improvement in price realizations
Drilling costs in Wolfcamp A in Delaware basin down over 40% Y/Y
Capital savings re-deployed into additional activity in Permian Basin
~$300 million reduction in capital spending from 2Q 2015
~$600 million of G&A savings expected from FY 2014 to FY 2016
Operating Cash Flow to cover dividend outlays and growth capital program at ~$60/bblrealized oil prices
• Reached an agreement to divest Williston basin assets; expected to close in 4th Quarter
– Due to curtailed spending and nature of unconventional assets, production declined ~25% quarter over quarter, when annualized.
– Production expected to continue to decline given very limited capital investment
• Over the past several years, our efforts at appraising and delineating our acreage in the Permian basin have provided a large inventory of future development locations that are economic at oil prices under $60 barrel.
• With ample takeaway capacity and an extensive midstream business of gathering lines, storage and gas processing, our economies of scale and deep inventory in the Permian basin make it our top priority for capital allocation for the foreseeable future.
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsPortfolio Review – Williston Basin Sale Agreement
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• Continue to pursue strategies to substantially reduce our activities and exposure to our non-core operations in Bahrain, Iraq, Libya and Yemen
• As a result of these actions and the significant decline in oil and gas futures prices, we took impairment charges in 3Q15 for our positions in Iraq and Libya.
• We will comply with our contract terms as we reduce our exposure through negotiations with our partners and host governments and expect capital investments to decline in 2016.
• These actions will improve the profitability and cash flow generation of our Middle East business as we focus on our core assets in Abu Dhabi, Qatar and Oman.
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsPortfolio Review – Non-Core Middle East
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• Capital spending declined by ~$300 million from 2Q15.
• As we capture price savings from suppliers and improve efficiencies, we are able to do more with less spending.
• We expect to exit 2015 at a quarterly spending rate of $1.1 to $1.2 billion.
• If product prices remain at current levels, our 2016 capital will be less than the current run rate.
• Expect to provide guidance on the 2016 capital program in January
2015 Capital Budget and Domestic Drilling Rigs
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Third Quarter 2015 Earnings2015 Capital Program Evolution
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15E
CapitalBudgetDomesticDrilling Rigs
Note: 1Q15 is the baseline index; subsequent quarters are a % of 1Q15
• Multiple long-term investments to drive cash flow and earnings growth
– Al Hosn
– Ethylene cracker JV
– Ingleside terminal
– Gas processing
• Capital spending will continue to decline and cash flows and earnings expected to grow as projects start-up.
• Increased flexibility on capital budget in 2016 and 2017
Committed Project Capital($ in millions)
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Third Quarter 2015 EarningsCommitted Project Capital Declining
$1,300
$800
$500
$100
2014 2015E 2016E 2017E
35 43 62 71 74
2013 2014 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15EProduction (MBOED)
Oil NGL Gas
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Permian Resources Production Growth
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• Total production grew 51% year-over-year to 116 MBOED.
– Oil production grew 72% year-over-year to 74 MBOD.
• Total production is expected to grow at a ~30% annual growth rate through 2015.
– Oil production is expected to continue to grow at rates higher than total production as we focus drilling on oil.
• Expect to exit 2015 with production of at least 120 MBOED
6475
98109
116 ~118
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15EDrilled 75 85 86 47 51 48Online 71 73 126 71 54 48
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Tota
l Wel
l Cou
ntThird Quarter 2015 EarningsPermian Resources - Activity Summary
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• Expect 4Q activity to be similar to 3Q levels with lower rig count
44 Hz 56 Hz 61 Hz36 Hz 47 Hz 67 Hz
53 Hz42 Hz 47 Hz 49 Hz 47 Hz45 Hz
$5.3
$2.9 $2.8
$5.6
$3.4 $3.3
$-
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
$12.0
2014 Current Target
GR
OSS
WEL
L C
OST
$M
M
WELL COSTDelaware Wolfcamp A 4,500‘ HZ
Drilling Completions
43
37
20 19 15
- 5
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
2014 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 Best
DRILL DAYSDelaware Wolfcamp A 4,500’ HZ
Third Quarter Earnings 2015 – Permian Resources Manufacturing Mode: Drilling / Completions
Move to Manufacturing Mode Significantly Reduced Well Cost
$10.9
$6.3 $6.1
Rig Release to Rig Release
12
946
1,310
1,528
1,270
1,711
1,790
2015 Avg.
BETTY LOU 1013H
LEIGH STATE 40#11H
Peak 24 Hour 30 Day
Well Performance: Texas Delaware – Wolfcamp A
366
327383
Boepd / 1000’
OXY Focus Acreage
13
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsDelaware Basin Recent Performance
208279
82% Oil
82% Oil
• Peck State 258 6H online December 2014 has cumulative oil production of 287 MBO (6 month cumulative oil production of 204 MBO)
• Buzzard State 9H online November 2014 has cumulative oil production of 221 MBO (6 month cumulative oil production of 154 MBO)
280
$3.7 $2.1 $2.1
$5.5
$4.5 $4.1
$-
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
$12.0
2014 Current Target
GR
OSS
WEL
L C
OST
$M
M
WELL COSTEast Midland Wolfcamp A 7,500' Hz
Drilling Completions
46
31
20 18
15
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2014 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 Best
DRILL DAYSEast Midland Wolfcamp A 7,500’ Hz
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings – Permian Resources Manufacturing Mode: Drilling / Completions
Move to Manufacturing Mode Significantly Reduced Well Cost
$9.2
$6.6 $6.2
Rig Release to Rig Release
14
938
1,237
1,495
1,165
1,611
1,698
2015 Avg.
YOUNG A2124WA
ADAMS4201WA
Peak 24 Hour 30 Day
Well Performance: Wolfcamp A
OXY Operated Acreage
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Third Quarter 2015 EarningsEast Midland Basin Recent Performance
Boepd / 1000’
178
157
260
200
140
113
90% Oil
89% Oil
• May 1102 WA online 2Q 2015 has four month cumulative oil production of 102 MBO
• Adams 4201 WA online in 2Q 2015 has three month cumulative oil production of 77 MBO• Currently producing 1,400 bopd
$13.20 $13.03
$11.39 $10.87
$-
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Surface Downhole Supports Energy Other
• Focus on reducing field
operating costs during 2015
− Downhole expense ($/boe)
reduced 33% from 4Q 2014
− Company-operated cash
operating expenses down ~18%
($/boe) from 4Q 2014
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Third Quarter 2015 Earnings – Permian Resources Cash Operating Expense Reduction
Permian Resources Opex / Boe
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Third Quarter 2015 EarningsPermian EOR
• Stable and low-decline base production at an advantaged cost
• Permian EOR business remains profitable in the current downturn
• EOR business is expected to generate free cash flow this year in the current oil price environment.
• South Hobbs:
− Started CO2 injection into Phase 1 in September (ahead of schedule)
CO2 Supply & Processing
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsUpdate on Hobbs: CO2 Flood and Expansion Areas
North Hobbs:• Phase 1 added 35 MMBOE (Injection started
in 2003)• Phase 2A Project will develop 13.7 MMBOE at
$13.82 per BOE (Injection Starts in 6/2016)• ~93% oil production
North Hobbs Oil Production
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South Hobbs:• Started CO2 injection into Phase 1 in September
(ahead of schedule)• Phase 1 & 2 will develop 28 MMBOE at $10.60
per BOE• 100% oil production
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsPermian Summary
• Continue to execute focused development strategy in Permian Resources
− Expect to drill ~50 horizontal wells in 4Q15
− Expect to exit 2015 with production of at least 120 MBOED
• EOR business is expected to generate free cash flow this year even in the current oil price environment
• Oxy is well positioned to meet the challenges of lower prices and to grow cash flows.
19
147 147 145 145 144 ~144
2013 2014 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15EProduction (MBOED)
EOR Resources
64 75 98 109 116
211 222243 254 260 ~262
~118
• Domestic oil production (Bbl/d)
• Total company production (BOED)
• Core earnings**
• Core diluted EPS**
• 3Q15 CFFO before Working Capital
• 3Q15 Capital Expenditures
• Cash balance @ 9/30/2015
Results204,000
12% year / year growth*
689,000
$24 million
$0.03
$1.2 billion
$1.2 billion
$4.3 billion
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsHighlights
20*Excludes California and Hugoton operations. **See Significant Items Affecting Earnings in the Earnings Release Attachments.
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Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Non-Core Items
Impairments ($ millions) After-TaxLibya & Iraq $1,450
Williston 500Domestic Gas Assets 600Other 50Total $2,600
• Oxy follows the Successful Efforts method of accounting where we review our proved oil and gas properties for indications of impairment whenever events or circumstances indicate that the carrying value of the oil and gas properties may not be adequately recovered, such as when there is a significant drop in the futures price curve.
• These actions will improve the profitability and cash flow generation of our oil and gas operations with a more focused business.
Non-Core Impact of Williston, Iraq & Libya($ in millions) FY 2014 YTD 2015
Brent Oil Price ($/bbl) ~$100 / bbl ~$56 / bbl
Cash Flow after Capex ~($340) ~($260)
Production (MBOED) 34 45
324
(14)45
(261)
68 162
2Q15 Sales Price Sales Volumes Lower OperatingExpenses
All Others 3Q15
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsOil & Gas Segment Pre-Tax Core Earnings
3Q15 vs. 2Q15($ in millions)
Core Results• 3Q15 $162 mm• 2Q15 $324 mm• 3Q14 $1.6 B
PRE-TAX
22
68947
658
6 (7)
(15)
2Q15 Permian Other Domestic Colombia MENA 3Q15
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsOil and Gas Total Company Production
Company-wide Oil & Gas Production (MBOED)
• Total company oil and gas production volumes averaged 689,000 BOED, an increase of 31,000 BOE in daily production from 2Q 2015.
23
315
333 (1)3 (3)
332
3Q14 2Q15 Oil NGLs Natural Gas 3Q15
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsOil and Gas Domestic Production
Domestic Oil & Gas Production (MBOED)
• Exceeded our domestic oil production growth guidance with a year over year increase of 22,000 BOD or about 12% led by our Permian Resources assets.
24Note: Excludes California and Hugoton Operations
WorldwideOil ($/bbl)
WorldwideNGLs ($/bbl)
Domestic Nat.Gas ($/mmbtu) WTI NYMEXBrent
Realized Prices Benchmark Prices
3Q15 $47.78 $14.68 $2.24 $46.43 $51.17 $2.78
WTI % 103% 32% 81%*
Brent % 93% 29%
2Q15 $54.55 $18.06 $2.09 $57.94 $63.50 $2.73WTI % 94% 31% 77%*Brent % 86% 28%
3Q14 $94.26 $38.20 $3.74 $97.17 $103.39 $4.17
WTI % 97% 39% 90%*Brent % 91% 37%
Price Sensitivity Pre-tax Income Impact (Quarter)
Oil +/- $1/bbl = +/- $30 mm
NGL +/- $1/bbl = +/- $7 mm
U.S. Nat Gas +/- $0.10/mmbtu = +/- $3 mm
25
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Oil & Gas Realized Prices
* As a % of NYMEX
136 (42)
(8)
808 174
2Q15 Sales Price Sales Volume / Mix Operations /Manufacturing *
All Others 3Q15
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsChemical Segment Core Earnings
3Q15 vs. 2Q15($ in millions) Guidance
4Q15 expected to be ~$130 mm.Core Results
• 3Q15 $174 mm• 2Q15 $136 mm• 3Q14 $140 mm
PRE-TAX
26* Lower feedstock costs
84
23
(2)
17
(91)
31
2Q15 Pipelines Marketing Gas Plants All Others 3Q15
3Q15 vs. 2Q15($ in millions)Core Results
• 3Q15 $31 mm• 2Q15 $84 mm• 3Q14 $155 mm
PRE-TAX
27
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Midstream & Marketing Segment Core Earnings
Beginning CashBalance12/31/14
CFFO BeforeWorking Capital
Change inWorking Capital
& CapitalAccruals
CapitalExpenditures
Dividends ShareRepurchases
Debt Issuance Ending CashBalance 9/30/15
YTD 2015($ in millions)
$4,300
$3,800
$7,800
3Q15LT Debt / Capital 19%
28
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsYTD 2015 Cash Flow
($4,400)
Restricted Cash
$4,000 Restricted Cash$1,765
($2,100)
($1,700)
($600)$1,500
• Expect to receive proceeds from asset sales of ~$650 million in 4Q15
• Total company capital expenditures for the 3Q15 were $1.2 billion and we expect our 4Q15 to be $1.1 to $1.2 billion.
• Oil and Gas spent $3.6 billion YTD, with Permian Resources expenditures comprising 50% of the total, and the remaining $800 million split between Chemicals and Midstream.
• Growth in operating cash flow should help us achieve our goal of being cash flow neutral after capital expenditures and dividends at ~$60 realized oil prices.
29
Third Quarter 2015 EarningsCapital Program
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15E
Permian Resources
Remaining Oil & Gas
Midstream & Chemicals
$1.7 bn
2015 Capital Budget
Midstream & Chemicals
Permian Resources
Remaining Oil & Gas
~$1.5 bn
Permian Resources
Remaining Oil & Gas
Midstream & Chemicals
~$1.2 bn
30
2014 Actual* CRC Spin-Off TargetedReductions
2016 Outlook
• Expect to continue to reduce SG&A costs
− Costs associated with exiting non-core assets
− Elimination of contract workers, replaced with own employees
− Voluntary severance program
− Fewer expat workers− Foregoing salary increases
and capped bonuses− Sale of corporate airplanes
and hangar− Closure and sale of former
California headquarters− Reduction in subscriptions
and renegotiations of contracts and licenses
Annual G&A Expense
($ in millions)
~$1,800 ~$300
~$300
~$1,200
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Targeted Overhead Reductions
* Amount prior to spin-off of CRC
• 4Q15 US Production Outlook
– Permian Resources of ~118,000 BOED
– Total Domestic of 310,000 – 320,000 BOED
– Growth in Permian with declines in Midcontinent gas production and adjusted for the sale of Williston assets
• 4Q15 International Production Outlook
– Total volumes of 365,000 – 375,000 BOED
– Assumes ~60,000 BOED from Al Hosn
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Third Quarter 2015 Earnings4Q15 Production Outlook
Oil & Gas Segment • 2015 total production is expected to be
between 660,000 – 670,000 BOED.
• Domestic 4Q15 Production
– Total production of 310,000 – 320,000 BOED, adjusted for sale of Williston
– Permian Resources production of ~118,000 BOED
• International 4Q15 Production
– Total production of 365,000 – 375,000 BOED
– Al Hosn production of ~60,000 BOED
• Exploration expense: $20 mm in 4Q15.
Price Sensitivity Pre-tax Income Impact (Quarter)
Oil +/- $1/bbl = +/- $30 mm
NGL +/- $1/bbl = +/- $7 mm
U.S. Nat Gas +/- $0.10/mcf = +/- $3 mm
DD&A – FY 2015• Oil & Gas: ~$16.00 / BOE• Chemicals and Midstream: $625 mm
Chemical Segment• ~$130 mm pre-tax income in 4Q15.
Corporate• FY 2015 Domestic tax rate: 36% • FY 2015 Int'l tax rate: 65%• Interest expense of $55 mm in 4Q15• Expect to receive $650 mm in
proceeds from asset sales in 4Q15
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Third Quarter 2015 Earnings4Q15 & FY 2015 Guidance Summary
THIRD QUARTER 2015 EARNINGS CONFERENCE CALL Q&A