nyseia presentation in buffalo dec. 15, 2010

8/8/2019 NYSEIA Presentation in Buffalo Dec. 15, 2010

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Accelerating Solar Energy

ecem er ,

Cornell ILR


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Kamen Family Home Binghamton, NY


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Trees - each70 years old

ta ,

driveway &surrounded

e ouse


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Force III - 3 rd longest Tornado in recorded history

,


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Before

After


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I d put my money on the sun

.

What a source of power!

I hope we don t have to wait till

before we tackle that.

omas son9


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Available Energy Sources

Natural Gas 1,8

215totalSOLAR 10

WIND 1,2

Waves11,32570per year

Petroleum 1,823,000 per

yearOTEC1,4

3 11 per year

0.2 2

Uranium 1,9

total

2 6 per yearBiomass 1,5

World energy use16 TWyrper year

90300Total

HYDRO 1,6

COAL 1,8

900Total

reserve

TIDES 1

0.3 per year

Geothermal 1,70.3 2 per year

http://www.asrc.cestm.albany.edu/perez/ R. Perez et al.


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urgeonrc eco c an

11


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Populist Republican Congressman

Its

amazing

how

innocent

&

ignorant .

They are very well represented in Con ress

12


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C Changes

Installation Contractors5000

MWs

PV

+

2000

MWs

Solar

Thermal

ManufacturersService Providers

NYS Assemblyman & Senators

Public Service Commission

Environmental Organizations

Confidential and Proprietary, 2006 Navigant Consulting, Inc.Do not distribute or copy

Sheetmetal WorkersPlumbers & Pipefitters


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+ new o s n

Sunwize Solar Applicancesan s nergyGlobe Specialty Metals

Precision Flow

g ng, ven a on, LEDs)

Net Zero EnergySpectrawatt

SolarTech RenewablesWidetronix


Perreca Electric


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Solar in NY State

NY State boasts a solid foundation of

solar installations upon which

.


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NYS Office of General Service (OGS)a orrec ona ac y

2010 Best NYS Government Solar Project

Silicon Solar

Solar Thermal

48 SunMaxx 30Evacuated Tube

Lifetime Savings: 160,000 gal OIL


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United States General Services Agency (GSA)aco . av s e era u ng e era aza

2010 Best Federal Government PV Project in NYS

Mercury Solar

/ConEd SolutionsPV

11 KW

NYC Building Integrated

Lifetime Savings: ,


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Fort Drumes e era overnmen

Solar Thermal Project in NYS

SolarWall by Conserval

Solar ThermalAir Heating

4 MWs Solar Thermal

Lifetime Savings: 8.7 Million Therms


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NY Institute of Technologyec r c arpor arg ng a on

2010 PV Innovation

EmPower

10 KW

Lifetime Savings: 220,000 KWh


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The Wild Centers a ura s ory useum o e ron ac s

2010 Solar Thermal Innovation

CSA Architects

54,000 ft 2

building

Wood Pellets +Solar Thermal


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Smithtown Schoolses oo oun ro ec

LIPA

PV

110 KW

Lifetime Savings: 2.4 Million KWh


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Town of Esopuses roun oun ro ec

PV

Lifetime Savings: 2.1 Million KWh


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Rockland County CoCompost Facility

14,100 Gallons Oil / Year

$1.00/Gallon ears


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Ronnybrook Farm Dairyes roun oun o ar erma ro ec

EarthKindSolar

Solar Thermalo a er

30 Flat PlateCollectors

Lifetime Savings: 50,000 Gallons Oil


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Hudson Valley Clean EnergyRhinebeck

Net Zero Commercial Building

Energy

PV Geothermal Solar Thermal

Net Zero Energy

Zero Fossil Fuels


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Hamptons Green Alliance (HGA) HouseSouthampton

Net Zero Residential Building

PV Geothermal Solar Thermal

Hot Water

Net Zero EnergyNet Zero CarbonZero Fossil Fuels


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Solar PVHISTORICAL APPROXIMATIONS

PV 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

NYSERDA & LIPA per Year 1 3 6 12 22

CUMULATIVE: 1 4 10 22 44

r Geo Bal + $30M/ Yr

ARRA $16MLIPA $23M +


50 MWs

NYPA 100 MWs


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Solar PVTotal Annual $ $ / Watt Total Watts Installed $ $ NYS Market

NYSERDA 25 000 000 1.75 14 285 714 5.00 71 428 571 LIPA 23,390,000$ 1.75$ 13,365,714 5.50$ 73,511,429$ Geo Balance 30,000,000$ 1.00$ 30,000,000 5.00$ 150,000,000$

, , , ,

~57 MWs / Year

$300 Millon Industry


+ s

+ NYPA 100 MWs


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Genesis of the DOE initiative:

30


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NYS Electricity Prices

pay for Electricity Today?

Statewide Average: 16 cents / kwh


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Solar Electric (PV Photovoltaics)

Average Family Net Zero (9 KW)

Installed Price:

$50,000

S l l i ( h l i )


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20 Year Generation:

@ 10,000

kwh/year

= ~200,000

KWhs

or

25 Cents

per

KWh

for 20 Years

BEFORE Tax Credits


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WITH

Residential 30% Federal Tax Credit+

NYS $5,000 Tax Credit

=

cen s w or 20 years


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Solar Thermal

Solar Thermal Energy

to pre heat Hot Water & Space Heat e ore us ng oss ue s .

o ar ea o a er

is generally

ess expens ve

than PVwith 4 times the Carbon Offset

Th S l H O i


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The Solar Heat Opportunity

New York City has the densest concentration of

emissions are

from

buildings.

Even in NYC more than HALF the energy is

higher everywhere else.

In an average NYS residence: 1/3 of the fuel is for

S l H t W t


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Solar Hot Water

20 Year Generation

= ~3,000 Gallons of Oil


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Solar Hot Water

WITH

Residential 30% Federal Tax Credit+

NYS Tax Credit

=

. a on or 20 years


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Solar THERMAL

2006 2007 2008 2009

NYSERDA & LIPA er Year 0.5 0.5 1 5

HISTORICAL APPROXIMATIONS

CUMULATIVE: 0.5 1 2 7

ANNUAL % GROWTH RATE 100% 400%

2,000 MW Solar THERMAL Goal: by 2020

NYSERDA & LIPA per Year 8 12 19 31 48 76 119 188 295 465 731

Confidential and

Proprietary,

2006 Navigant Consulting, Inc.Do not distribute or copy

CUMULATIVE: 15 27 47 77 126 201 321 509 804 1,269 2,000

ANNUAL % GROWTH RATE 57% 57% 57% 57% 57% 57% 57% 57% 57% 57


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NYSEIA 2020 Solar Thermal Goals

Increase the total amount of installed NYS ST ca acit from 8 MW to 2000MW

Annual Installations: : ys ems2020: 83,000 Systems

Increase market to $600 million annuallyTotal ST Pro ected Sales 20102020: 2.6B


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Car

Confidential and

Proprietary,



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ec r c y

Car

Confidential and

Proprietary,



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ec r c y

TelephoneCar

Confidential and

Proprietary,



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ec r c y

Color TV

TelephoneCar

Confidential and

Proprietary,



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Microwaveec r c y

Color TV

TelephoneCar

Confidential and

Proprietary,



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DVD

Players

Digital Cameras

Camera Phones

Personal Computers

DVD Recorders

Home Networks

Video Games

e Phone

MP 3 Players

Confidential and

Proprietary,



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1,600

1,200

1,400

800

1,000 750 MWs by 2015, 2000 by 2020, 5000 by 2025

Consistent Growth to 2000 MWs by 2020

400

600 Staggered Growth Scenario 25%, 30%, 40%

Staggered Growth Scenario 40%, 30%, 20%

200 Staggered Growth Scenario Goals: 500 MWs, 2000 MWs, 5000 MWs


2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025


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Utilities LIPA NYPA TOTAL

258

,

MWs

2013 77 119 119 315 2014 103 134 134 372

2015 155 155 155 464 2016 222 181 181 583 2017 310 206 206 722 2018 439 232 232 903

619 284 284 , 2020 877 335 335 1,548 2021 1,187 387 387 1,961


,

2023 1,858 619 619 3,096 2024

2,374 800 8003,973

2025 3,096 1,032 1,032 5,160


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Cumulative Economic Im acts throu h 2025

New Jobs 22,198Economic Output $20 billion

Average Residential Rate Impact:


39 per month


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Poster at Jon Stewart Rally for Sanity

em.50

ACORE 2010 Conference


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ACORE 2010 Conference

avy ce m ra

Dennis McGinn(Retired)

obs

National Securit51


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omas . rum y, Vice President,

Lockheed Martin

omm menExecution

Long Term Market Signals

52


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NYSEIAS 2011 Goals

Create fully funded 5,000MV PV programnsure success o ncen ve rogram or e ec r c

hot water

users

$4.3M

per

year

thru

2015

Build su ort for 2 000 MVs of ST focusin on oil and natural gas programs

Grow NYSEIAs

membership,

expand

legislative

and

regulatory impact

Governor Elect Cuomo supports Solar Energy

nyseia presentation in buffalo dec. 15, 2010

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