nwfp comprehensivedevelopmentstrategy

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    2009 - 2016

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    Introduction

    Social sector

    Infrastructure Economic Growth

    Urban Devellpment

    Projections and other allied issues.

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    Planning over a longer period required for

    keeping a strategic focus

    An outcome based strategy helps in

    formulating concrete business plans Federal Government. (MTDF, PRSP, Vision

    2030)

    Many of the Provincial Government

    Departments had already worked out their

    strategies

    Need of a stand alone document which could

    spell out the provincial needs

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    The Province is passing through its most difficult oftimes and needs resources to get itself out of the

    quagmire

    International and National Development partners

    are sympathetic towards its needs

    A strong correlation between militancy and

    poverty/economic depravation

    We have a strong case and claim over the outsidesupport coming to the country.

    Perhaps we couldnt tap the earlier support

    because of an absence of a strategy like this

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    CONTEXT

    *NWFP CDS presents the Governments vision for thefuture of Province

    *Comprehensive in its:

    Scope > covering all areas of government policy.

    Depth> moving from overarching strategy to priority policies

    and programs

    Sense> an important early step in improved public sector

    planning that will link to new initiatives in transparency

    budgeting and participation

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    Presents Governments policy guidelines

    Mid term- 2-3-2 years

    Cost of conflict study

    Financial projections and use of the work onMTBF

    Short and Medium priorities

    Monitoring through the already establishedindicators, example MDGs

    Existing Strategies at the National level.

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    Gender, Environment, Governance and

    Security (cross cutting)

    Social Services

    Infrastructure

    Economic Development

    Urban Development

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    More reliable, timely and accurate information on

    financial flows through the year Improvements in internal control and audit leading to

    more reliable financial statements

    Improvements in public procurement with wider

    knowledge of procurement rules and regulations Improved monitoring and evaluation, extending from

    project-based activities to cover all government services

    Continued Institutional reforms across the board in the

    Provincial Government Human Resource Management with a modern (read

    corporate) management flavour

    Providing a legal basis for judicial, policy and

    administrative reforms

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Support to the Foreign Aid

    Wing of P&DD

    60 90 60 Technical

    Assistance

    Transparency programmes 100 120 80

    Capacity building for CDS

    implementation

    200 240 160 Local

    Consultancy

    Total 360 450 300

    (Rs Million)

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    Radical improvements in weapons, IT &communications equipment, protective equipment,forensic equipment, ammunition and armouredtransport equipment

    Upgrading police infrastructure and associatedequipment and transport, including police lines,police stations, police posts, patrolling posts,

    offices etc,

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Procurement of Arms &

    Ammunition, Security

    Equipment, Transport and

    Wireless Equipment for NWFP

    Police

    2,000 600 400 Arms & Ammunition,

    Security Equipment,

    Transport and Wireless

    Equipment

    Police infrastructure and

    equipment

    3,340 600 400 Rehabilitation of police

    posts and associated

    equipment for the posts

    Total 5,340 1200 800

    (Rs. Million)

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    Short Term

    Bigger roles for communities (PTCs)

    Ensure sufficient teachers availability

    Locate new schools only where there are majorgaps, especially for girls.

    Utilise low cost local building materials where

    possible.

    Introduce second shifts where possible.

    Greater collaboration with and regulation of the

    private sector.

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    Mid Term

    Enrolment

    Improve teaching quality through the NWFP

    Institutional Framework for TeacherDevelopment (IFTD)

    Strengthen the utilisation of the management

    information system

    Free textbook programme

    Girls stipend scheme

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Incremental teacher salaries 2,944 16,298 10,866 All items taken from

    costing work done

    by DESE on the

    basis of simulated

    model for

    projections of

    demand for

    education

    Provision of free textbooks 2,785 5,784 3,856

    Rent to communities or schools 113 454 303

    In-service training for teachers 1,272 2,371 1,580

    O&M budget through District Non-

    Salary

    171 946 631

    Girls stipend for secondary education 299 1,847 1,231

    School construction and furnishing 10,839 24,963 16,642

    Rehabilitation of schools, withcommunity contributions

    9,230 13,718 9,146

    Expand adult literacy activities 10 9 6 25% increase in

    08/09 budget

    Grants to NGO schools 20 24 16

    Total 27,683 66,414 44,277

    (Rs. Million)

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    Improve accessibility to health care.

    Improve governance, stewardship and

    management, with a focus on equitable financing

    and promoting accountability. Initiate the culture of informed decision making, by

    obtaining evidence and using it to improve policy &

    practice.

    Improve regulation and quality assurance

    Improve emergency response

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    (Rs. Million)

    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7

    Better Accessibility to Essential Minimum

    Health Package

    21,424 31,836 21,224

    Governance, Stewardship and Management 543 815 543

    Availability of skilled human resource for servicedelivery

    315 471 315

    To initiate the culture of informed decision

    making

    358 536 358

    Regulation / Quality Assurance 862 1293 862

    Emergency response 7,801 11,701 7,801

    Total 31,303 46,652 31,103

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    Scale up and streamline the existing incomesupport programmes

    Scale up child support programmes and measures

    for vulnerable children

    Improved stipends for postgraduates undertaking

    teachers duties and for senior citizens

    Grants, vocational training and micro-finance

    Shelters, centres and refuges for vulnerable groups

    Workers protection schemes

    Improved decision making

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Stipends for postgraduate and

    seniors citizens

    659 988 659 from the NWFP Social

    Protection Strategy

    Grants, training and micro-finance

    for income generation, managed by

    local cooperative groups

    10 12 8 technical assistance,

    training and loanable

    funds

    Training and grants for income

    start-up for vulnerable women

    5 6 4 technical assistance,

    training and loanable

    funds

    Expand child support schemes 10 15 10 increase 08/09 budgetby 25%

    Technical assistance for design of

    new labour protection legislation

    5 6 4 technical assistance

    (Rs. Million)

    Contd

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Expand budget for shelters,

    centres and refuges for the most

    vulnerable

    142 214 142 from the NWFP Social

    Protection Strategy

    Social Health Insurance and

    voucher schemes in target areas

    for vulnerable groups

    2,400 3,600 2,400

    Introduction of voucher schemes

    in target areas for vulnerable

    groups

    2,334 3,501 2,334

    Total 5,565 8,342 5,561

    (Rs. Million)

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    The Tameer-e-Sarhad Programme

    The Chief Ministers Programme for Poverty

    Alleviation (Renamed as Baacha Khan Poverty

    Alleviation Program) Multi-sector programs for Rural Development

    Specific programs for all those areas which

    contribute towards income generation (ex. Funds to

    areas which have Natural gas, Oil, Hydel,

    Agricultural potential)

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 NotesSocial Mobilization &

    HRD

    1,074 1,612 1,074 Capacity building of Community and

    Womens Organisations and Local

    Support Organisations and Capacity

    building of service provider at least

    30 in a union councilInvestment in Destitute 327 731 488 Income Generating grants, support in

    technical skills to siblings and

    linkages with Social Safety Nets,

    Investment in Very

    Poor

    515 1,153 769 CIF, Short term employment, Support

    in technical skills to siblings,Linkages with Social Safety Nets

    Investment in Poor 2,603 5,827 3,885 Micro Credit, self employment, small

    scale enterprise development and

    technical and vocational skills

    (Rs. Million)

    Contd

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Community Physical

    Infrastructure

    9,747 21,821 14,547 Small scale infrastructure schemes

    built and maintained by

    communities, integrated projects

    Access to Health 251 562 375 Linkages and referral to BHUs and

    Micro Insurance

    Access to Education 2,409 5,393 3,595 Improving schools facilities, teacher

    training and districts education plans

    Improvement in NRM 4,702 10,526 7,017 Improved Seeds, Fertilizers,

    trainings, equipmentsCapacity building

    support for local

    implementation

    100 120 80 training

    Total 21,728 47,745 31,830

    (Rs. Million)

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    Optimal utilization of existing capacity through rehabilitation

    and upgrading Innovative private public financing mechanisms in

    construction and maintenance

    Sustainable maintenance with a major increase in funding

    through: a road asset management system; user pays

    principle; and a road maintenance fund

    Adequate incentive-based funding for districts to maintain

    roads

    Involve communities in road development and maintenance

    Strengthen provincial and district road institutions

    Ensure effective coordination between FHA and NHA

    Longer term planning for improved regional transport links

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Increase maintenance fundsfor district and provincial

    roads

    1,891 2,400 1,600 double current budgetassuming 80% of road

    recurrent budget spent on

    district/provincial roads

    Investment in rehabilitation

    of 3905km of roads,including 66 District and 11

    Provincial roads

    5,141 7,196 4,798 important roads have been

    proposed for repair &rehabilitation on the basis of

    traffic volume & population

    served.

    Investment in improvement

    of 11 District/ Provincial

    roads and 8 new roads

    10,028 14,038 9,359 major roads have been

    proposed for improvement as

    well as new construction both

    at District & Provincial level.

    Programmes of institutional

    strengthening and promotion

    of community participation

    40 60 40 technical assistance, training,

    field expenses, grants

    Total 17,100 23,694 15,797

    (Rs. Million)

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    Upgrading capacity of integrated water resources

    management and produce a water resources

    master plan and MIS

    Promoting water conservation

    Expand large and medium water storage capacity Update the feasibility study on groundwater

    potential and regulatory mechanism

    Prepare a plan for the financial sustainability ofirrigation and drainage

    Actions to improve farmer participation and cost

    recovery in irrigation and drainage

    Contd

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    Implement the Third Flood Sector Project and the10 Year Comprehensive Flood Protection Plan

    Implement the national water quality monitoring

    programme

    Capacity building in government institutions

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Flood Protection 3,737 1,121 747 studies and construction

    Works on small dams 10,600 3,180 2,120 plans, feasibility studies,

    construction

    Irrigation works, including dams

    and canals

    1,100 13,120 8,747 studies and construction

    Capacity building for Dept

    Irrigation

    267 80 53 capacity building, training,

    procedures, logistics

    MIS, GIS and asset management

    and quality assurance system

    833 250 167 Studies

    Urgent waste managementSystems

    272 82 54 studies and construction

    Rainwater harvesting feasibility

    study

    67 20 13 Study

    Total 16,876 17,853 11,901

    (Rs. Million)

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    All new projects will be on a Build-Own-Operate-

    Transfer basis

    All projects above 5 MW will be offered for tender

    on a competitive basis.

    SHYDO will also welcome interest from privateinvestors at sites that do not yet have official

    feasibility

    A twin pricing policy for tariff determination will be

    applied including a fixed and a variable element.

    NWFP will not impose taxes or levies on power

    generation companies

    Promotion of alternative energy sources

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Construction of new hydro

    facilities

    1,904 4,838 3,226 10% of total estimated cost

    of US$ 9973m

    (Rs. Million)

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    Access to safe drinking water. Rationalization of user charges for water

    supplies.

    Stronger regulation of groundwater use.

    Promotion of collaboration with communities andpublic-private partnership.

    Finalisation of Provincial Sanitation Strategy andits implementation.

    Education and awareness through an integratedBehavioural Change Communication Plan.

    Municipal Volunteers.

    Improved local government through CommunityLed Total Sanitation (CLTS); and financialmanagement. Contd

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    Improved institutional structures for water andsanitation, including regulations, institutions,social conventions and public health attitudes.

    Improved coordination and networking amongstdepartments and with the private sector.

    Improved monitoring and evaluation to ensureresults-based municipal projects with thedevelopment of a Watsan ManagementInformation System.

    Coordination and facilitation of EmergencyPreparedness and Response (EPRP).

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Supply of water to new areas 0 0 0 done under local

    development budget

    Introduction of water user Charges 0 0 0 income to municipalities,

    used for additionalExpenditure

    Stronger regulation of groundwater

    Use

    10 12 8 TA, mobility, expenses

    Water saving measures 5 6 4 Promotion, media

    Preparation/finalisation ofProvincial Sanitation Strategy and

    of Provincial Drinking Water

    Supply Strategy

    5 0 0 technical assistance

    (Rs. Million)

    Contd

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    Selection / planning of six sites in six districts.

    Housing for All programme, to guarantee civilservants a house in retirement, with the costs of thehousing recovered through deductions from civilservants pay

    Provision of housing plots for the poor whosecertified income is less than Rs 5000 per month,through public auction.

    Acquisition of land for housing, both for government

    officials and for the poor, funded both bygovernment and by banks and IFIs

    Construction and reconstruction of flats for existingcivil service employees.

    Partnership with the banks, Development FinanceInstitutions and private developers.

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Strengthening of PHA 10 12 8 TA, capacity

    building, equipment

    Housing schemes for all government

    officials on their retirement, startingwith 6 pilot Districts

    375 2,183 1,455 improving living

    conditions forofficials

    Housing plots for the poor 0 600 400

    Acquisition of land for housing for

    civil servants and for the poor

    375 929 619 land purchase

    Construction of 216 flats at Nasapa

    Payan for civil servants in Peshawar

    200 0 0 Construction

    Reconstruction of flats at Kohat

    Road, Peshawar

    0 120 80

    Total 960 3,844 2,562

    (Rs. Million)

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    Improving extension and research services.

    Expanding the availability of certified seed to theprivate seed companies.

    Improving the efficiency of agricultural marketsand maximising incentives for farmers, withprioritised public-private investment in market,processing and storage facilities

    Strengthening the ability of government financedprocurement, storage and distribution, to provide

    timely purchase and efficient and equitabledistribution

    Increasing farmer cooperation and participationin government services

    Contd

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    Facilitating private investment in livestock, fruit,water management and dairy

    Expansion of agricultural credit, with theintroduction of the passbook system

    Diversification to higher value products, withinvestment in post-harvest handling, anddiversification into non-farm employment in ruralareas to facilitate consolidation of holdings

    Greater attention to the efficiency of water use

    Bringing cultivable waste land in to farming

    Establishment of sustainable revolving funds

    Removal of establishment charges in a phased

    manner Contd

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    Increase commercialisation of the livestock sectorthrough establishment of joint ventures with theprivate sectors and establishment of milk, meat andeggs processing industries through local and

    foreign investment Enhancing livestock productivity through improved

    breeding programme and conservation ofindigenous breeds.

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 NotesExtension, seeds, fertiliser,

    Machinery

    1,000 1,200 800 inputs and machinery

    Research 500 600 400 improved plant materials,

    seedlings

    Expanding farmer participationin extension and research

    2 3 2 additional costs to extensionservices of more visits to

    Farmers

    Revising legislation covering

    markets, input quality and

    international trade

    1 0 0 technical assistance costs on

    new legislation

    Exemption or reduction from

    taxes, affecting land tax,

    inheritance tax and Abiana

    737 1,105 737 50% reduction on 08/09

    budget levels of Rs 87m for

    agri income tax and Rs 650m

    for land tax

    (Rs. Million)

    Contd

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 NotesLivestock Commercialisation

    Board and Network

    10 15 10

    Dairy development 600 1,200 800 fodder development,

    breeding, prophylactics

    Horticulture development 600 1,200 800 planting materials, financial

    services, marketing initiatives

    Land development 5,550 1,710 1,140 levelling and drainage

    Water harvesting 500 900 600 small dams, terracing

    Total 9,500 7,933 5,289

    (Rs. Million)

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    Infrastructure improvement

    Removal of administrative barriers

    Support for promotional activities, including advice

    on succeeding in US markets Technical support to firms

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    PMO costs 20 48 32 staff, offices and expenses

    Up-gradation of existing

    Industrial Estates

    320 660 440 up-gradation, innovation and

    standardization to the level of

    ROZs on international standard

    Establishment of new

    Industrial Estates /Economic

    Zones

    1,300 1,944 1,296 development of new estates /

    ROZs / Economic Zones at

    various locations in NWFP

    Joint Venture schemes on

    Public-Private-Partnership

    Basis

    300 720 480 smooth running of manufactur-

    ing units and timely availability

    of basic facilities to Investors

    Promotional activities 1 2 2 travel, marketing

    Technical support to firms 2 2 2 technical assistance

    Establishment of

    SDAComplex

    20 48 32

    Total 1,963 3,424 2,284

    (Rs. Million)

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    Capacity building of Public and Private Sector Provision of roads and electricity in selected

    mineral bearing areas

    Improving the institutional mechanisms governing

    this sector Encouraging value addition to indigenous mineral

    commodities as substitute of import andenhancement of export value added minerals

    Incentives in obtaining foreign technical assistanceand mine machinery

    Formalisation of gemstone business and supportand training for investment in value addition of

    gemstones

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Strengthening of institutional setup

    of DGMM

    50 75 50 logistic support,

    capacity building,

    technical assistance,

    training, developingnew procedures

    Regional mineral exploration of

    NWFP to facilitate mineral

    development and private sector

    development

    150 210 140 consultancy and

    expenses for DGMM

    Staff

    Provision for construction /

    improvement of roads in mineral

    bearing areas

    600 840 560 infrastructure

    Contracting

    (Rs. Million)

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Provision for establishment of

    model ropeways in rugged terrains

    for transportation of minerals to

    road side

    50 90 60 equipment, technical

    Assistance

    Establishment of an Institute of

    Mineral Management for training of

    mineral related professionals

    150 210 140 buildings, equipment,

    staff, expenses

    Total 1000 1425 950

    (Rs. Million)

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    Coordinate with Federal level institutions involved in the

    promotion of exports and foreign investment Highlight the success of NWFP in establishing business

    registration systems that are the easiest to use inPakistan

    Simplify the administration of taxation to reduce the redtape and other obstacles from inefficient taxation

    Mobilising savings and investment within NWFP

    Develop a strong brand image for products from NWFP,

    with high quality raw materials and dynamic modernprocessing

    Build interest in the growth of manufacturing, trade andtourism businesses from all members of communities

    Improving facilities across the whole province, not just in

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Programme of more proactive

    collaboration with national bodies

    responsible for export and investment

    Promotion

    0 0 0 no additional costs

    Promoting the ease of setting upbusinesses in NWFP

    1 0 0 publicity campaigns inMedia

    Simplify the tax administration system 2 0 0 study to highlight key

    areas for simplification

    Marketing the NWFP as an excellent place

    to do business in the rest of Pakistan, inneighbouring countries and internationally

    5 3 2 marketing material,

    trade fairs, website

    Support business networks, such as

    chambers of trade, in local communities

    2 1 0 small incentives and

    expenses for events

    Total 10 4 2

    (Rs. Million)

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    Establishment of Technical Education and Vocational

    Training Board NWFP to ensure public privatepartnership

    Strengthening the Technical Education ExaminationBoard and establishing an IT Examination Board to

    award certificates and diplomas and to assure quality. Labour Market Indicators Analysis (LMIA) System to

    be placed to determine sector wise needs of training,level and modules.

    Old and obsolete machinery/equipments to bereplaced according to the market needs.

    Skills standards and curricula to be revised to ensurerelevant skill training and technical education.

    Introduce a system for capacity building of theteaching and management staff. Contd

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    Income generated schemes introduced in TEVTinstitutions to overcome financial constraint andensure 100% supply of consumable training material

    An academic audit system to ensure propermonitoring of the TEVT system.

    Extended apprenticeship training system to small andmedium enterprises.

    Expansion of Technical Education & VocationalProgramme to un covered parts of the Province

    especially rural and disadvantaged areas. Introduction of public-private partnership in TEVT

    sector.

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Expansion and restructuring of

    TEVT system

    500 1,500 1,000

    Rehabilitation and strengtheningof the existing TEVT system

    400 960 640

    Total 900 2,460 1,640

    (Rs. Million)

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    Improved spatial planning and management ofurban land

    Organisation of municipal financial systems

    Improve planning for urban transportation

    systems

    Explore options for public-private partnerships

    and community involvement

    Updating of the Peshawar Urban Plan Investments in road engineering, water supply,

    solid waste management and housing.

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    Measures Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Notes

    Water Supply 665 36 24

    Feasibility studies

    and investment

    Sewerage/ Sanitation 520 864 576

    Drainage 465 90 60

    Solid Waste Management 645 129 86

    Road/ Street 1,235 1,914 1,276

    Bus Terminal and Mass Transport 295 300 200

    Market 90 462 308

    Slaughter House 130 330 220

    Peshawar Urban Development 1,000 1,200 800

    Total 5,045 5,325 3,550

    (Rs. Million)

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    08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13

    Budget Projections

    Provincial Receipts 8,212 9,065 9,899 10,913 12,146

    Share of Federal Divisible Pool 67,016 77,548 85,904 95,611 106,917

    Transfers on Oil and Gas 4,429 3,475 3,850 4,285 4,792

    Grant in Aid 14,432 15,439 15,000 10,000 5,000

    Net Profit from Hydel 6,000 6,000 20,000 20,000 20,000

    Foreign Grants 780 1,000 1,500 1,500 1,500

    Federal Grant for PSDP 8,215 9,316 10,320 11,486 12,844

    Foreign Loans 4,183 6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000

    Total 113,267 127,842 152,472 159,795 169,199

    as % of GDP 10.6% 11.1% 12.1% 11.5% 10.9%

    (Rs million )

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    Sector Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Total %

    Governance 360 450 300 1,110 0.2%

    Security 5,340 1,200 800 7,340 1.3%

    Education 27,683 66,415 44,277 138,374 25.1%

    Health 31,300 46,649 31,099 109,048 19.8%

    Social Protection 5,565 8,342 5,561 19,468 3.5%

    Local Development 21,727 47,745 31,830 101,302 18.4%

    Access and Roads 17,100 23,695 15,796 56,591 10.3%

    Irrigation 16,876 17,853 11,902 46,631 8.5%

    Energy 1,904 4,838 3,226 9,968 1.8%

    Water and Sanitation 91 244 162 497 0.1%

    (Rs million )

    Contd

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    Sector Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Total %

    Housing 960 3,844 2,562 7,366 1.3%

    Agriculture 9,500 7,933 5,289 22,722 4.1%

    ROZs 1,963 3,425 2,283 7,671 1.4%

    Minerals 1,000 1,425 950 3,375 0.6%

    Privates Sector Development 10 4 2 16 0.0%

    Technical Education 900 2,460 1,640 5,000 0.9%

    Urban Development 5,045 5,325 3,550 13,920 2.5%

    Total 147,323 241,845 161,230 550,399 100.0%

    (Rs million )

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    Y1-Y2 Y3-Y5 Y6-Y7 Total

    Additional CDS Expenditure 147 242 161 550

    Added Revenue from GDP growth 34 86 82 202

    Added Revenue from hydel 10 15 10 35

    Foreign Grants and Loans 103 141 69 314

    in US$m 1,292 1,763 866 3,921

    (Rs bn)

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    Risks Measures to Manage Risks

    The security situation takes

    longer than expected to

    improve.

    The Comprehensive Development Strategy is designed

    to provide a rapid improvement in employment and

    living standards in NWFP as the most effective solution

    to reduce conflict. The methods used stress the

    involvement of communities in improvements in public

    services, to maximise ownership and minimise the risksof local disruption from insecurity.

    The large increase in

    government spending leads

    to blockages and delays in

    Government servicedelivery and increases the

    risks of mismanagement.

    There will be a substantial increase in spending and

    delivery of services. At the same time, the Government

    will not be able to increase employment dramatically.

    The CDS envisages that services will be outsourcedwherever possible, especially for development

    activities.

    Contd

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    Risks Measures to Manage Risks

    World food shortages inflate

    prices and create severe

    poverty.

    It will not be possible to protect NWFP from high world

    food prices. The importance of agriculture in NWFP

    means that many people will benefit from higher food

    prices. However, the urban poor will be hard hit. The

    CDS will help to counteract this as much of the benefitsof employment generation will be felt in on near towns.

    Large increase in donor

    support leads to duplication

    and inconsistency.

    The Foreign Aid Wing of P&DD will be strengthened to

    provide a central source of information to international

    partners and strong cooperation with the national

    DADPAK aid coordination activity will be maintained.

    Contd

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    Risks Measures to Manage Risks

    Climate change leads to

    increased flooding and

    drought creating hardship in

    some areas and largedisplacements of people.

    Improved disaster management capabilities will help

    manage displaced people as efficiently as possible and

    the Department of Agriculture will assist farmers with

    technologies that allow them to deal with increasedrainfall variability.

    Decentralisation and local

    solutions to social tensions

    lead to wide variations in

    the standards of living andaccess to services.

    Social services, including education, health and social

    protection, are all introducing programmes that aim to

    improve collaboration with civil society and the private

    sector to allow for diversity of service delivery whilstalso promoting consistency.

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    Indicator MDG Latest2010

    Target

    2015

    TargetPoverty rate MDG 1 39% 30% 20%

    Roads in good condition MDG 1 24% 30% 45%

    Area of land bought into cultivation (ha) MDG 1 0 20000 70000

    Literacy rate MDG 2 47% 55% 75%

    Primary net enrolment rate MDG 2 49% 60% 80%

    Ratio of girls:boys in primary school MDG 3 0.52:1 0.70:1 1:1

    Infant mortality MDG 4 6.3% 6.0% 5.5%

    Proportion of fully immunised children MDG 4 47% 60% 75%

    Maternal mortality rate per 100,000 MDG 5 275 250 200

    Contraceptive prevalence rate MDG 5 31% 45% 70%

    Access to drinking water MDG 7 71% 75% 85%

    Access to sanitation MDG 7 66% 72% 85%

    Aid as a % of GDP MDG 8 0.4% 5.0% 3.3%

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