numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells stefan kinne, mpi-m, hamburg [email protected]...

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Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg [email protected] DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact of clouds

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Page 1: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol

modells

Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg

[email protected]

DATA in global modeling

aerosol climatologies&

impact of clouds

Page 2: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

MODELING needs DATA

data to initialize modeling

data to evaluate modeling

INPUT MODEL OUTPUT

DATADATA

Page 3: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

MODELING needs DATA

data to initialize modeling AEROSOL REPRESENTATION

data to evaluate modeling

INPUT MODEL OUTPUT

EM

DATA

Page 4: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

aerosol – complexity to modeling

aerosol (‘small atmos.particles’)

many sources short lifetime diff. magnitudes in size changing over time

aerosol cloudsaerosol chemistryaerosol biosphereaerosol aerosol

ocean

desertindustry cities

volcano forest

rapidatmospheric

‘cycling’

highly variablein space and time !

Page 5: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

modeling shortcut needs for radiative transfer simulation

single scattering properties at all model spect.bands aerosol optical depth attentuation (scatter +absorption) single scattering albedo scattered fraction asymmetry-factor scattering behavior

concept improve ensemble average ‘ssp’ monthly fields

from global modeling* with quality local stats *** median of 20 global models (with detailed aerosol

modules) participating in AeroCom excercises **AERONET: global sun-/sky- photometer network

extend data spectrally with ‘smart’ assumptions samples at 0.55m (visible) and 11.2m (IR-window)

adopt vertical distribution from global modeling

Page 6: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

aerosol opt. properties AOD aerosol optical depth annual fields SSA single scattering albedo (…of monthly data) ASY asymmetry-factor

h h h h

Page 7: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

natural and anthropogenic previous fields are based on yr 2000 emissions

AOD can be split into those of coarse sizes (> 1m) and those of accumulation mode sizes (< 1m) assuming a bi-modal size-distribution shape use the AOD spectral dependence (by pre-defining a fine

mode Angstrom parameter as function of low cloud cover)

coarse mode AOD is assumed to be all natural no anthropogenic IR effect (anthropogenic dust neglected) distinction between SEASALT and DUST via visible SSA

accumulation mode AOD is partly natural and partly anthropogenic AOD fraction estimates are derived from comparisons of

simulationed accumulation mode AODs with yr1750 and yr 2000 emissions (AeroCom excercises)

Page 8: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

annual fields ofmonthly data

Page 9: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

summary what these data can do for you

simple method to include aerosol in simulations not just amount … but also size and absorption monthly (seasonal) variations are considered typical environmental conditions are considered separation into natural and anthrop. components

what these data can NOT do no interaction with simulated dynamics

humidity, clouds … no response to unusual emissions

surface wind speed anomaly scaling ?

where to get the data contact [email protected] anonymous ftp ftp-projects.zmaw.de

Page 10: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

MODELING needs DATA

data to initialize modeling

data to evaluate modeling CLOUD IMPACT on broadband radiative fluxes

INPUT MODEL OUTPUT

DATA

Page 11: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

model - validationtesting the impact (on the radiative budget) of CLOUDS

major impact, highly variable the main modulators of climate

how well are clouds simulated in ECHAM5 ?

no atmosphere

Page 12: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

validation approach

global modeling is ‘tuned’ to the ToA impact

how well is the surface impact simulated? reductions to the solar down flux (opt.depth info) increases to the IR down flux (altitude/cover info)

‘participants’ SRB / ISCCP cloud climatology products (1984-2004)

(cloud data based on satellite observations)

cloud climatologies applied in RT modeling TOVS, HIRS, MODIS, ISCCP

IPCC (1980-2000) (20 models … including ECHAM5)

focus: (monthly) statistics of 1984-1995 average

Page 13: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

ECHAM5 - IPCC

Sdt solar dn all-sky flux at top-of-atmosphere Sut solar up all-sky flux at top-of-atmosphere Sds solar dn all-sky flux at surface Lds longwave dn all-sky flux at surface

Page 14: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

ECHAM5 - IPCC

cloud effect = ‘all-sky flux’ minus ‘clear-sky flux’ on surface fluxes

solar (shortwave) dn all-sky flux at surface ’Sds’ minus ’sds’ IR (longwave) dn all-sky flux at surface ’Lds’ minus ‘lds’

solar IR

Page 15: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

‘data-tied’ Cloud Effect References

SRB surface radiation budget (GEWEX)

ISCCP intern. satellite cloud climatology project

NO certain reference !

all-sky all-sky

all-sky

Page 16: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

SRB ECHAM5ISCCP

12 year average (1984 -1995)

Page 17: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

ECHAM5 solar diff. to SRB

Page 18: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

IR monthly diff. to SRB

Page 19: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

initial assessment deviations of cloud-effect at surface

SOLAR info on cloud optical depth more negative more cloud opt. depth / cover

IR info on altitude of lower clouds more negative higher clouds or less opt.depth /cover

MPI has overall higher cloud optical depth esp. May-August

higher opt. depth: at high-latitudes in (NH) summer lower opt. depth: off-coastal stratus, ITCZ,

Asia

overall higher altitude / lower fract of low clouds e.g.: less re- radiation to surface in (sub-) tropics despite more re- radiation to surf. at high latitudes

Page 20: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

final thoughts

useful data are collected on an opportunity basis e.g. http://disc.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/techlab/giovanni/

near-term focus on Calipso / A-train data clues for parameterization in global modeling

data quality must be explored (are data useful ?)

e.g. are the satellite cloud climatology products of SRB and ISCCP consistent ?

support by institute and MPG is appreciated !

Page 21: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

EXTRAS

Page 22: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

cloud effect - solar dn ECHAM5

Page 23: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

cloud effect - IR dn ECHAM5

Page 24: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact
Page 25: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

LOGO 1

COSMOS

Page 26: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

LOGO 2

CO MO

S

Page 27: Numerical diffusion in sectional aerosol modells Stefan Kinne, MPI-M, Hamburg stefan.kinne@zmaw.de DATA in global modeling aerosol climatologies & impact

LOGO 3

COS MOS