November 7, 2013

WRAP Membership Meeting

Denver, CO

Tom MooreWRAP Air Quality Program ManagerWESTAR Council

Regional Technical Analysis and Planning Support

WRAP working as regional technical center Interconnected series of regional technical projects

Management of ongoing emissions and modeling studies Reviewed / coordinated with federal agencies, states, locals, tribes

Coordinated through WESTAR Planning and Technical Committees to identify needs and SIP applications Reporting of results to federal agencies providing grants

WRAP/EPA Western Modeling Workshop (July 8-11, Boulder)2

WRAP regional technical support – current efforts

NAAQS Implementation and MaintenanceData for future infrastructure and transport SIPs

Exceptional EventsDevelop technical support data and analysis tools

Implementation of Regional Haze SIPsReasonable Progress report – regional technical monitoring / emissions data Identify technical work needed for 2018 plans

Needs of sub-regional groups of statesMainly focused on oil and gasLimited scope support for states on specific regional haze topics

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WRAP projects completed during 2013

WRAP Region Reasonable Progress Analysis for Regional Haze (June)

Deterministic and Empirical Assessment of Smoke’s Contribution to Ozone (June)   

Oil and Gas Emissions Inventories in the Intermountain West (August)  

West-wide Jumpstart Air Quality Modeling Study (September)Williston and Great Plains Basins’ O&G 2011 and projection

year Emission Inventory (December)

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Regional Haze: Reasonable Progress Reports

Study status

Completed in June Comprehensive documentation, data, and analysis results at:

http://www.wrapair2.org/RHRPR.aspx Includes a technical paper reviewing Natural Conditions

http://www.wrapair2.org/RHRNC.aspx Technical Support System (TSS) update of data and toolsCloseout call/webinar with states, FLMs, and EPA

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Regional Haze: Reasonable Progress Report project

WRAP produced a comprehensive, regionally-consistent technical report

Regional, state, and Class I area reports Periodic technical analyses required by Regional Haze Rule Progress Reports coordinated and reviewed by WESTAR Planning

Committee

Western states are using to prepare individual SIP revisions NM, UT, WY, and CA currently developing SIP packages

Provides starting point for analysis needed for 2018 SIPs6

Fire’s Effects on Elevated Regional Ozone and PM

Deterministic & Empirical Assessment of Smoke’s Contribution to Ozone (DEASCO3)

and companion study started late 2012:

Prescribed and Other Fire Emissions: Particulate Matter Deterministic & Empirical Tagging & Assessment of Impacts on Levels (PMDETAIL)

Funding for both from FLM Joint Fire Sciences Program

Based on WRAP Fire Emissions Tracking System

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DEASCO3 project

Study statusTechnical work completed in June Project activities

19 detailed case studies completed providing structure for analysis of user-defined air quality events

Testing of web tools and data completed by staff from states, FLMs, EPA ROs

Webinar for 100+ participants held August 22nd WESTAR and other states, EPA, and FLMs http://deasco3.wraptools.org/

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DEASCO3 project - purpose

• Assess fire’s impact on elevated ozone episodes with retrospective studies

• Studies of fire and associated ozone impacts: 2002 through 2008

• Provide data and web tools for states and feds to use for:• Exceptional Events analyses• Annual Fire Planning at landscape scale for smoke management• SIP support

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Oil & Gas: Emissions Inventories and Control Analysis

Study statusTechnical work completed in August2006 or 2009 base years2015 projectionsState and EPA permit dataDetailed operator surveys for unpermitted sourcesReported and discussed on open stakeholder calls for all

interested parties

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Oil & Gas: Emissions Inventories and Control Analysis

• Key source for Ozone / PM standards, & Regional Haze• Exploration and production activity continue to increase and change

• Data in use current OAQPS national and western modeling work

• Linkages• WestJumpAQMS and 3-State Air Quality Study• EPA Oil & Gas Emissions tool for 2011 NEI – first time nationally

• Remaining project for MT-Dakotas region to be completed in December• 2011 base and projection year EIs for Williston & Montana Great Plains Basins

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West-Wide Jumpstart Air Quality Modeling Study

Study status

Technical work completed in September

Extensive modeling and source apportionment analyses

Achieved goal to provide an updated regional modeling framework to support western air quality planning

Comprehensive documentation, data, and interpretation tools at:http://www.wrapair2.org/WestJumpAQMS.aspx

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West-Wide Jumpstart Air Quality Modeling Study

Regional results - data and context for state and federal planning

Most current transport and background studies

Meteorological, emissions, air quality photochemical modelingRegionally consistent, High resolution, Comprehensive

2008 base case modeling with Ozone / PM source apportionment

All results and data in 3-State Data Warehouse14

WRAP Projects

Ongoing3-State Air Quality Study’s Data Warehouse and

Modeling Center project (ongoing)continuing Western Fire and Air Quality projects

WRAP Fire Emissions Tracking System (ongoing)Particulate Matter Deterministic & Empirical

Tagging & Assessment of Impacts on Levels  (PMDETAIL) – (completes Fall 2015)

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PMDETAIL project

Study statusTechnical Project work started Winter 2012-13 continuing

through Fall 2015

Project activities ~20 additional case studies underway, to be presented on website using

analysis tools, more documentation and next round of web tools New bottom-up fire EIs for 2009-13, photochemical modeling for

2011 Leveraged into 3-State Air Quality Study

http://www.wrapfets.org/pmdetail.cfm

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PMDETAIL project - purpose

• Assess fire’s impact on elevated PM episodes with retrospective studies

• Extends DEASCO3 project results

• Studies of fire and associated PM impacts: 2002 through 2013• Primary PM• Secondary PM• Updates to Ozone impacts for 2009-13

• Provide data and web tools for states and feds to use for:• Exceptional Events analyses• Annual Fire Planning at landscape scale for smoke management• SIP support

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Federal Leadership Forum / 3-State Air Quality Study

Status - extensive technical project work continuingOperational data warehouse, in-house modeling capability,

and data transfer for NEPA modeling studies in January 2014Ongoing work to coordinate 3-State Study done through

cooperative agreement

Next steps on project activitiesQuarterly technical workshops and bi-monthly steering

committee meetings to manage project Develop 2014-17 workplan for data warehouse operations

and studyAfter January, consider geographic/agency expansion and

outside funding 18

Federal Leadership Forum / 3-State Air Quality Study

WY, CO, UT, EPA, BLM, NPS, and USFSImplementation of 3-State and national MOUs - objectives:

Facilitate more complete and consistent air quality analysis for NEPA and other air quality decisions

Improve timeliness Reduce duplication of air quality analyses resulting in lower costs Improve collaboration

Planning for air quality impacts of energy developmentOzone focus, additional rural monitoring stations in oil & gas basins Includes data to help with wintertime ozone nonattainment areas Integrates results from WestJumpAQMS and Oil & Gas projects Data warehouse to support future air quality modeling and other analyses

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WRAP Projects

New1-hour Drill Rig NO2 Impacts Monitoring/Modeling study

(starts Nov. 2013)

PotentialRegional Modeling Framework for Regional Haze and other

western regional air quality planningNew Fire and PM Organic Aerosol study proposal to Join

Fire Sciences Program (proposal due Dec. 11th)

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