november 2014 debt investor update. 2 forward-looking statements statements contained in this...
TRANSCRIPT
November 2014
Debt Investor Update
2
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Statements contained in this presentation may be “forward-looking statements,” including statements describing the objectives, projections, estimates, or future predictions of the FHLBanks and Office of Finance. These statements may use forward-looking terminology, such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “could,” “estimates,” “may,” “should,” “will,” or their negatives or other variations on these terms. Investors should note that, by their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks or uncertainties. Therefore, the actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements or could affect the extent to which a particular objective, projection, estimate, or prediction is realized.
These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to, the following: changes in the general economy, employment rates, housing market activity and housing prices, and the size and volatility of the residential mortgage market; volatility of market prices, interest rates, and indices or other factors that could affect the value of investments or collateral held by the FHLBanks resulting from the effects of, and changes in, various monetary or fiscal policies and regulations, including those determined by the Federal Reserve Board and the FDIC, or a decline in liquidity in the financial markets; political events, including legislative, regulatory, judicial, or other developments that affect the FHLBanks, their members, counterparties or investors in the consolidated obligations of the FHLBanks, including changes in the FHLBank Act, housing GSE reform, Finance Agency actions or regulations that affect FHLBank operations, and regulatory oversight; competitive forces, including other sources of funding available to FHLBank members, and other entities borrowing funds in the capital markets; demand for FHLBank advances resulting from changes in FHLBank members’ deposit flows and credit demands; loss of large members and repayment of advances made to those members due to institutional failures, mergers, consolidations, or withdrawals from membership; changes in domestic and foreign investor demand for consolidated obligations or the terms of interest-rate exchange agreements and similar agreements, including changes in the relative attractiveness of consolidated obligations as compared to other investment opportunities and changes resulting from any modification of credit ratings; the availability, from acceptable counterparties, of derivative financial instruments of the types and in the quantities needed for risk management purposes; the ability to introduce new products and services and successfully manage the risks associated with those products and services, including new types of collateral used to secure advances; and the effect of new accounting guidance, including the development of supporting systems and related internal controls.
Investors are encouraged to consider these and other risks and uncertainties that are discussed in periodic combined financial reports and in reports filed by each FHLBank with the Securities and Exchange Commission. None of the FHLBanks or the Office of Finance undertakes any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances, or any other reason.
This is not an offer to sell. FHLBank debt is not an obligation of or guaranteed by the United States and may not be offered or sold in any jurisdiction requiring its registration. No recommendation is made concerning the securities described. Please refer to the offering documents before purchasing these securities.
This data has not been audited and has been prepared for informational purposes only. While it is believed to be correct, accuracy cannot be guaranteed.
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The FHLBanks maintain issuance programs designed to meet changing investor needs, and continue to obtain a majority of fundingvia reverse inquiry.
FHLBanks are High-Quality, Low-Risk Housing GSEs
Solid Asset Quality
Dynamic Capital Base
Reverse Inquiry Issuance Model
The fully-collateralized lending model has shielded the FHLBanks from sustaining any credit losses on advances for over 80 years.
The flexible capital base is designed to expand and contract in response to members’ borrowing needs.
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FHLB System Overview
HAWAII
ALASKA
Atlanta
Cincinnati
Dallas
Des Moines
Indianapolis
PittsburghSan Francisco
Seattle
U.S. Territories
PuertoRicoVirginIslands
GuamAmerican Samoa
Topeka
Chicago
Boston
New York
The 12 FHLBanks are government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) organized under an act of Congress (Federal Home Loan Bank Act of 1932)
FHLBanks serve the general public by providing readily available, low-cost funding to over 7,400 members, thereby increasing the availability of credit for residential mortgage lending and investment in housing and community development
FHLBanks fund their operations principally through the sale of debt securities through the Office of Finance
5
How the System Works
MembersInvestors
FHLBanks
Collateral
Advances
Debt Securities
Issuance Proceeds
IssuanceProceeds
All senior unsecured debt securities issued through
the Office of Finance (“Consolidated Obligations”) are the joint and several obligations of the entire FHLBank System.
Current ratings: S&P: AA+ / A-1+ / stable outlook Moody’s: Aaa / P-1 / stable outlook
Homeowners
Mortgage Lending & Community Investment
Investment Capital
Office of FinanceDealers
Debt Securities
The twelve regional FHLBanks are linked by:
A common mission to support housing A shared safety and soundness regulator
(FHFA) A shared responsibility to fully repay all
senior unsecured debt obligations
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($ in billions) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2Q14
Advances 631 479 418 426 499 537
Investments 284 330 271 266 243 263
Mortgage Loans Held for Portfolio(1) 71 61 53 50 45 43
Other 30 8 24 21 47 23
Total Assets 1,016 878 766 763 834 866
Retained Earnings 6.0 7.5 8.6 10.5 12.2 12.7
Total Capital (GAAP) 43 44 40 42.5 45 46
Regulatory Capital(2) 60 57 53 51 51 50
Regulatory Capital Ratio 5.92% 6.53% 6.91% 6.69% 6.06% 5.73%
Net Income 1.9 2.1 1.6 2.6 2.5 1.1(3)
Financial Highlights
Source: Historical Combined Financial Reports – subject to rounding
(1) MPF®/MPP
(2) The difference between total capital (GAAP) and regulatory capital relates primarily to accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), which is excluded from regulatory capital, and mandatorily redeemable capital stock, which is included in regulatory capital.
(3) YTD
7
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
A Self-Capitalizing ModelCapital Generally Tracks Advances Members are required to capitalize all
advances, typically at 4.0% to 5.0% of principal borrowed
FHLBanks typically repurchase capital stock once the associated advances have been repaid
Controlled Scalability: FHLBanks Have Ability to Hold Capital for up to 5 Years FHLBanks can manage the traditionally
variable capital base to preserve capital during periods of economic stress
Retained Earnings have grown over 300% since 2008 as the FHLBanks prudently strengthened this component of capital as a risk mitigant for both investors and members
Capital vs. Advances
Source: Historical Combined Financial Reports
FHFA regulation prohibits member stock redemption if it could result in FHLBank undercapitalization
($ in billions)
Regulatory Capital (right axis)
Retained Earnings (right axis)
Advances
8
Capital Preservation FHLBanks may voluntarily suspend or
eliminate dividends and/or early excess stock repurchases, and may increase the membership and/or activity-based stock requirements to preserve or create additional capital
FHFA-ordered prompt corrective action for undercapitalized FHLBanks may include:
Development and implementation of capital restoration plans, risk management controls, and/or placing limits on dividends and stock redemptions
Increasing capital requirements or temporary surcharges in excess of statutory or regulatory minimums
FHFA retains the ultimate authority to place any FHLBank into conservatorship, or merge FHLBanks
FHLBanks’ Joint Capital Enhancement Agreement will build retained earnings capital base
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2Q14
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
Minimum Required Regulatory Capital Ratio Ratio Excess
5.92% 5.73%
Significantly
Undercapitalized
Undercapitalized
FHFA Capital
Classifications:
6.53%6.91%
6.69%
6.06%
Regulatory Capital Ratio Reflects Successful Preservation Efforts
Critically
Undercapitalized
Source: Historical Combined Financial Reports and subject to rounding
1.73% Ratio Excess
Equates to a $15 billion Regulatory
Capital Surplus at
2Q14
Regulatory Capital Ratio
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Collateral Securing Advances
Single-family mortgage
loans54%
Commercial real estate
loans17%
HEL/HELOC9%
Multifamily mortgage
loans8%
Agency MBS/CMO
5%
CMBS1%
Agency debt1% Private-label MBS/CMO
<1%
Other 5%
Type of Collateral Securing Advances and Other Credit Products Outstanding
Source: 2Q14 Combined Financial Report
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
420
618
1,033
1,843
Advances & Other Credit Oustanding Collateral Outstanding
2.5 Collateralization Ratio
3.0 Collateralization Ratio
Total Credit Exposure vs. Collateral Outstanding
At 2Q14, 78 Borrowers had Advances Outstanding of at Least $1 Billion, Representing $361 Billion, or Approximately 68% of Total Advances
($ in billions)
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A Full Range of Debt Products
FHLBanks Use Multiple Debt Programs and Issuance Methods
Programmatic calendar issuance of liquid “benchmark” size bullets
Reverse inquiry method utilized for callables, bullets, floaters, and structured notes
Auction method used to distribute bullet (TAP) and American option callable securities
Active window program with maturity and settlement flexibility
Globals
Medium-Term Notes (MTNs)
Discount Notes
Reverse Inquiry
Auction
Auction
Window
Twice weekly offerings of 1-, 2-, 3-, and 6- month maturities
Syndication
11
Total Debt Outstanding
Source: FHLBanks Office of Finance – by settlement date – as of 10/31/14 and subject to rounding
Total Debt Outstanding Reflects Advance Demand from Members
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
631
479418 426
499545*
Globals Bullets/TAPs Floating Rate Notes Callable/Structured Discount Notes
932
692 688
767
Advances
806797
Debt Outstanding ---------------------------
Advances Outstanding
-320------------
-298
-135------------
-152
-105------------
-61
-4------------
8
79------------
73
39------------
46
YTD Net Change: ($ in billions)
($ in billions)
*At 9/30/14 – Preliminary and unaudited
12
Term Debt Issuance
Source: FHLBanks Office of Finance – by settlement date – as of 10/31/14 and subject to rounding
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
39 20 14 13 12 10.5
168
129135 129
156 149
103
8230 65
64 47
196
302 230211
109 99
Globals Bullets/TAPs FRNs Callables/Structured
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
Reverse Inquiry as a % of Total Coupon Debt Issued
Issuance Mixture Reflects Shifts in Investor Preference
($ in billions)
Issuance is Flexible, Adaptable, & Investor-Driven
Gross Issuance: 505 533 409 418 341 306
13
Short-Term Debt
Source: FHLBanks Office of Finance – by settlement date – as of 10/31/14 and subject to rounding
Short-term Coupon Debt Issuance Short-term Debt* as a % of Total Outstanding
*All outstanding debt (incl DNs) with remaining maturity ≤ 397 days
Jan-
09
Jun-
09
Nov-0
9
Apr-1
0
Sep-1
0
Feb-1
1
Jul-1
1
Dec-1
1
May
-12
Oct-1
2
Mar
-13
Aug-1
3
Jan-
14
Jun-
1440%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
FHLBank Debt has Consistently Met Investors’ Needs for Safety and Liquidity
($ in billions)
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
50
100
150
200
250
300
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
11378
10780
128 120
34 90
74
25
2727
10380
29
65
6446
Bullets w/ Orig Mty ≤ 397 days
Callables/Structured w/ Orig Mty ≤ 397 days
Floaters w/ Orig Mty ≤ 730 days
% of Total Term Issuance (right axis)
14
Global Bond Program
Maturity, size, and dealer syndicate announced exclusively on predetermined dates
Issuance calendar available at www.fhlb-of.com
FHLBanks may issue one or more new Globals and/or one or more re-openings on announcement dates, or may forego issuance
2- through 3-year maturities are a minimum of $3 billion for new issues and $1 billion for re-openings
5- through 10-year maturities are a minimum of $2 billion for new issues and $500 million for re-openings
Source: FHLBanks Office of Finance – as of 10/31/14
Mandated Global Bullet Issuance
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
14 1512
17 17 18.75
10.25 11.257 6 7.5
6
14
7
915
19.5
103
3 6 3
9
6
113
14 0.75
3
3
8 6
1
3 3
1.5
2Yr 3Yr 5Yr 7yr 10Yr 30Yr
Total Issuance----------
# of New Issues
$135.75----------
37
$95.5----------
29
$46.75----------
14
$6----------
2
$18----------
5
2-Yr 3-Yr 5-Yr 7-Yr 10-Yr
Historical Global Bullet Issuance($ in billions – includes re-openings – 2004 to present)
($ in billions – includes re-openings)
15
TAP Program
The TAP program is designed to coordinate and standardize the issuance of non-Global bullet debt
New TAP securities are created on a quarterly basis and then re-opened via daily auction throughout a 90-day cycle
TAPs typically offer liquidity-adjusted yield over comparable FHLB Globals and other agency benchmarks
TAPs are available to investors through a 20 member dealer bidding group
Source: FHLBanks Office of Finance – as of 10/31/14
Recent TAP Issuance Cycles
Aug-
Oct09
Nov09
-Jan10
Feb-
Apr10
May-Jul10
Aug-
Oct10
Nov10
-Jan11
Feb-
Apr11
May-Jul11
Aug-
Oct11
Nov11
-Jan12
Feb-
Apr12
May-Jul12
Aug-
Oct12
Nov12
-Jan13
Feb-
Apr13
May-Jul13
Aug-
Oct13
Nov13
-Jan14
Feb-
Apr14
May-Jul14
Aug-
Oct14
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
>5 Years 2 to 5 Years Up to 2 Years
($ in billions – by trade date)
16Source: FHLBanks Office of Finance – by settlement date – 11/13 thru 10/14 and subject to rounding
Callable Bond Program
Essential component of FHLBank core funding, supporting both advances and investment portfolios
Callables offer enhanced yield over comparable bullets and allow investors to express views on volatility and/or the yield curve without sacrificing credit quality or utilizing derivatives
Flexible reverse inquiry process delivers a high degree of customization
Approximately 32% of fixed rate callable issuance in 2013 was SEC Rule 2a-7 eligible; 36% YTD ‘14
<3 Months47%
3-6 Months28%
6-12 Months22%
>1 Year3%
Bermudan59%
European29%American
9%
Canary4%
Callable Issuance by Lockout
Callable Issuance by Option Type
17
Discount Note Program
Source: FHLBanks Office of Finance – by settlement date – as of 10/31/14 and subject to rounding
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
0
5
10
15
20
25
640778 755
848771
959
848416
292 244
194
173
WindowAuction
Jan-
09
Jun-
09
Oct-0
9
Feb-1
0
Jun-
10
Oct-1
0
Feb-1
1
Jul-1
1
Nov-1
1
Mar
-12
Jul-1
2
Nov-1
2
Mar
-13
Jul-1
3
Nov-1
3
Apr-1
4
Aug-1
40
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Discount Notes Outstanding Discount Note Issuance
($ in billions) ($ in billions)
WAM in Days (right axis)
Overnight Daily Average Outstanding (right axis)
1,488 1,194 1,047 1,092 965 1,132Gross DN Issuance:
18Source: FHLBanks Office of Finance – Excludes overnights – As of 9/30/14 – Reported by DN selling group members
Discount Note Investor Distribution
Asset Mgrs64%
Fi-nan-cial Cos6%
State/ Local Gov't5%
Ins/ Pension7%
Corps18%
Other<1%
Asset Mgrs72%
Fi-nan-cial Cos6%
State/ Local Gov't8%
Ins/ Pension8%
Corps6%
Asset Mgrs72%
Fi-nan-cial Cos5%
State/ Local Gov't9%
Ins/ Pension8%
Corps5% Other
1%
DN Window Trades ≥ $100 million
2012 2013 2014
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Conclusion
Self-capitalizing business model and capital preservation authority work together to provide a stable capital base
No public equity - FHLBank customers are also the owners, which fosters conservative management and a long-term view of financial performance
Fully-collateralized lending model combined with the “super lien” have shielded the FHLBanks from any credit losses on advances in the System’s 80+ year operational history
FHLBanks share joint & several liability to repay all senior debt obligations
Well Capitalized Fully Collateralized
Cooperatively Organized Joint & Several Support
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Investor Relations Contact Information
David Messerly(703) 467-3609
Denise de Bombelles(703) 467-3677
Jonathan Hartley(703) 347-4751
FHLBanks - Office of Finance
www.fhlb-of.com
1818 Library StreetSuite 200
Reston, VA 20190(703) 467-3600