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November 11, 2010 Tim Storey

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Page 1: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

November 11, 2010Tim Storey

Page 2: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010

Democrat-27

Split-8

Nonpartisan

Republican-14

Page 3: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

President's Party in Legislatures in Mid-Term Elections

Seats Gained/Lost

190219

221934

19582002

2010

Page 4: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Legislative Seats Held by Party 1900-2010

2010

Page 5: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Altered States 2010

Now Republican

Now Divided

Page 6: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Unaltered--Democratic since Reconstruction

Page 7: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

State Legislatures Post-Election 2010

Democrat-17

Split-6

Undecided/Nonpartisan - 2

Republican- 25

Page 8: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Party Control Shifts—2010

Alabama House & SenateColorado HouseIndiana House

Iowa HouseMaine House & Senate

Michigan HouseMinnesota House & Senate

Montana HouseNew Hampshire House & SenateNorth Carolina House & Senate

Ohio HousePennsylvania House

Wisconsin House & Senate

TiedOregon House

Republican Gains

PossibleNew York Senate (29 D – 30 R – 2 Und.)

Oregon Senate (15 D – 14 R – 1 Und.)

Washington Senate (24 D – 22 R – 3 Und.)

Page 9: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Seat Changes by Region 2008–2010

• East +229 Republican

• Midwest +211 Republican

• South +177 Republican

• West +94 Republican

Page 10: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Democratic Share of Seats in the South 1900 - 2010

46%

1900 20101958

Page 11: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Governor Party Post-Election 2010

Democratic - 20

Republican - 29

Independent - 1

New Gov. - 28

Page 12: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

State Government Post-Election 2010

Democrat-10

Split-17

Nonpartisan/Undecided

Republican-20

Page 13: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Percentage of Women Legislators 1971 to 2010

Page 14: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

32 States Under New Leadership

Page 15: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Source: RNC

Page 16: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14
Page 17: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Reapportionment 2010Esri Projections. July 1, 2010

4

Page 18: November 11, 2010 Tim Storey. State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010 Democrat-27 Split-8 Nonpartisan Republican-14

Republican Gains far Exceeded Expectations "Enthusiasm Gap"

20 chambers switch—could go to 21 or 22. 1765 New Legislators!

Above average due to the high number of Democratic incumbent losses.

About 415 Democratic incumbents lost; fewer than 10 Republican incumbents went down.

Record number of new governors -- 28

Continued fiscal constraints when legislatures meet in January

Redistricting starts next February