noaa/oar contributions to natural disaster reductions and risk assessments john gaynor office of...
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![Page 1: NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments John Gaynor Office of Weather and Air Quality Research And USWRP Interagency](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022082817/56649d9f5503460f94a89ea7/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
John Gaynor
Office of Weather and Air Quality Research And
USWRP Interagency Program Office
Silver Spring, MD
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NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
Background
NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
Background
• Research applied to NOAA’s environmental forecasting and understanding mission.
• Research to improve forecasts of hazardous weather including hurricanes, tornados, heavy (flood producing) precipitation.
• Much of research under the USWRP (NOAA, NSF, NASA, DoD) directed toward forecast improvements in:– Hurricane landfall track and intensity
– Hurricane inland precipitation
– Precipitation leading to floods
• Effects of storm surges and high winds.
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NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk AssessmentsBackground (Cont.)
NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk AssessmentsBackground (Cont.)
• Research and modeling leading to volcanic and wildfire plume forecasting.
• Seasonal and interannual forecasts of extreme weather events.
• Forecasts of geomagnetic storms.
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NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
Severe Weather
NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
Severe Weather
• Public education and outreach from NSSL on tornado, lightning and severe storm safety.
• Severe winter California coastal storm and coastal flooding potential information and education to:– Emergency managers
– Water managers
– Fishing industry
– Weather Service Forecast Offices
– Media
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NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
Hurricanes and Severe East Coast Storms
NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
Hurricanes and Severe East Coast Storms
• Provision of short-term forecasts of hurricane surface winds at landfall and surface analysis soon after landfall for:– Emergency managers
– Insurance industry
– General public/media
• Informal public education and awareness campaign of hurricane threat (Florida).
• Research by Sea Grant on optimum beach and building design and construction to minimize storm surge or tide beach erosion and building damage. Partnering with state and local building authorities.
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NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
Climate and Space Weather
NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
Climate and Space Weather
• Advising western water managers on seasonal precipitation outlooks.
• Providing geomagnetic storm forecasts and forecast interpretation to vulnerable utility and communications companies.
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NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
Needs
NOAA/OAR Contributions to Natural Disaster Reductions and Risk Assessments
Needs
NOAA Research needs assistance with interfacing and partnering with hazards practitioners to transition research
results into the operations/service community.