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NITIN SPINNERS LIMITED ‘Buy Add On Dips,

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Page 1: NITIN SPINNERS LIMITED - Choicereports.choiceindia.com/Reports/FUR290120180423351.pdf• Nitin Spinners Limited(NSL) is engaged in textile business situated in Bhilwara, Rajasthan,

NITIN SPINNERS LIMITED ‘Buy

Add On Dips,

Page 2: NITIN SPINNERS LIMITED - Choicereports.choiceindia.com/Reports/FUR290120180423351.pdf• Nitin Spinners Limited(NSL) is engaged in textile business situated in Bhilwara, Rajasthan,

Shareholding Pattern Particulars Dec’17 Sept’17 June'17 Promoter 53.4% 64.3% 64.3% FPIs 1.5% 0.9 0.9 Insti. 12.6% 0.0 0.1 N. Insti. 32.5% 34.8 34.7

Relative Capital Market Strength

• Nitin Spinners Limited(NSL) is engaged in textile business situated in Bhilwara, Rajasthan, wherein, the company manufactures cotton yarn and cotton knitted fabric.

• The Company manufactures a range of yarns, including open end yarns, multifold open end yarns, ring spun combed yarns, multifold ring spun yarns, compact yarns, fancy slub yarns, core spun yarns, S and Z twist yarns, dyeable cheese cones and organic cotton yarns and blends.

• The Company offers fabrics in greige form in tubular and open width. Its product range in knitted fabrics include single jersey, pique structures, interlock structures, rib structures and three thread fleece

• The Company's products are applicable in manufacturing products, such as apparel and garments, under garments, terry towels, woven fabrics, home furnishings, carpets, denim, industrial textiles, medical textiles, mattresses stickings and socks, among others.

• The overall product range of NSL includes production of value added yarn, fabrics, yarn and others.

NITIN SPINNERS LIMITED

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Rating Matrix

CMP Rs.111.0

Rating Buy, Add on dips.

Holding Period 12 to 18months

Current Level Investment

52 week H/L Rs.145/76

Face value Rs10

Sector Textile

Category Small Cap

F&O Stock No

Source: Choice Research/ Annual reports; Financial data-Ace equity

Financial Snapshot:

Particulars (Rs. Mn) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E Revenue from operations 6164.7 7668.6 9333.7 - - EBITDA (Excl OI) 911.7 1370.2 1331.2 - - EBITDA Margin (%) 16.1% 17.9% 14.3% - PAT 409.5 441.6 571.5 - - NPM (%) 6.6% 5.8% 6.1% - - ROCE (%) 13.8% 19.3% 12.1% - - ROE (%) 24.5% 21.5% 22.3% - - P/E 3.4 6.1 10.0 - - EPS 8.9 9.6 12.5 - - EV/EBITDA 4.5 4.5 8.3 - - P/BV 0.8 1.3 2.1 - -

Company Synopsis: • The spinning capacity of NSL was increased from 1,50,096 spindles to 2,23,056

spindles, which resulted in the company’s cotton yarn manufacturing to increase from 38,000TPA to 50,000TPA. 14 machines were added in the knitting division resulting into a total of 63 machines and a production capacity of 9000TPA.

• NSL has a domestic as well as international clientele which include companies such as Raymonds, D’Décor, Birla Century, Pacific Group, Paramount Group, Eminence France etc.

• NSL exports to over 40 countries across all the continents. The exports turnover increased by 11.28% in FY17. NSL earned Rs.9,202.5mn from sales in FY17.

Outlook: • As of June 2017, the Central Government had planned to finalize and launch the

new textile policy in the comming months. The policy aims to achieve US$ 300 billion worth of textile exports by 2024-25 and create an additional 35mn jobs.

• The size of India’s textile market in 2016 was around US$ 137 billion, which is expected to touch US$ 226 billion market by 2023, growing at a CAGR of 8.7%.

• The change in the shareholding pattern of the company, with respect to the number of shares held by external institutions, reflects a positive change, showing external interests and confidence of institutions in the future of the company.

• The expansion of production capacity of NSL, could help the company to improve the production quality and quantity, ultimately leading to an increase in revenue.

• The clientele of NSL also depicts a possibility of geographic and demographic expansion in the future.

• NSL’s focus on increased production of value added yarn, which has more demand as compared to basic yarn, could help the company to improve quality and generate revenue in the future.

Valuation: We expect that the company will have an impetus leading to strong growth in the medium to long term. The company is expected to have a 30-35% growth in 12 to 18 months. Thus, on our valuation front, at CMP of Rs.111.0, the company is trading at a P/E multiple of 9.7x and EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.6x, which is at a discount as compared to the industry P/E and industry EV/EBITDA of multiple of 14.0x and 10.0x respectively. After considering all these factors and high probability of strong growth in the future we recommend a” buy, add on dips“ rating on this stock.

Particular (Rs. Mn)

Q2FY18 Q2FY17 Change (YoY)

Total Revenue 2844.4 2064.7 37.8%

EBITDA (Excl OI) 334.8 316.9 5.6%

EBITDA Margin (%)

11.8% 15.3% (2330) Bps

PAT 83.0 141.1 -41.2%

NPM (%) 2.9% 6.8% (5730) bps

Quarterly Snapshot:

0.95

1.05

1.15

1.25

1.35

1.45

1.55

1.65

1.75

1.85

16-

Jan

-17

16-

Feb

-17

16-

Mar

-17

16-

Ap

r-17

16-

May

-17

16-

Jun

-17

16-

Jul-

17

16-

Au

g-17

16-

Sep

-17

16-

Oct

-17

16-

No

v-17

16-

Dec

-17

Nitin Spinners Limited

18-Jan-2018

63.37

36.63

Revenue from exports

Revenue from domestic sales

Revenue Segmentation

Page 3: NITIN SPINNERS LIMITED - Choicereports.choiceindia.com/Reports/FUR290120180423351.pdf• Nitin Spinners Limited(NSL) is engaged in textile business situated in Bhilwara, Rajasthan,

2 Source: Choice Research/ Annual reports; Financial data-Ace equity

Particulars (Rs. Mn) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Revenue from operations 4,460.5 4,883.4 6,164.7 7,668.6 9,333.7 Gr (%) - 9.5% 26.2% 24.4% 21.7% EBITDA (Excl OI) 872.0 939.3 991.7 1,370.2 1,331.2 EBITDA Margin (%) 19.5% 19.2% 16.1% 17.9% 14.3% PAT 141.3 347.8 409.5 441.6 571.5 NPM (%) 3.2% 7.1% 6.6% 5.8% 6.1% Net Worth 1,007.9 1,315.5 1,669.9 2,056.4 2,561.7 Total Assets 3,457.2 3,539.8 6,098.9 6,350.3 9,234.5 Debt 1,791.7 1,441.2 3,475.7 2,986.2 4,968.6 Cash flow from Operations 888.9 866.2 445.0 1,003.9 591.5 D/E (x) 1.8 1.1 2.1 1.5 1.9 Current Ratio (x) 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.2 Profitablity ratios (%) ROCE (%) 22.4% 25.1% 13.8% 19.3% 12.1% ROE (%) 14.0% 26.4% 24.5% 21.5% 22.3% ROA (%) 4.09% 9.83% 6.71% 6.95% 6.19% Efficiency ratios (x) Receivable days 19.0 19.8 19.3 19.0 17.1 Inventory days 65.1 57.0 48.8 49.7 55.7 Payable days 4.5 6.9 6.7 6.2 6.6

Peer Comparison:

Financial Snapshot:

Companies CMP ROE (TTM) 12MR(%) M. Cap

(Rs. Mn) EPS

(TTM) BVPS

EBIDTA Margin (%)

NPM (%)

Ambika Cotton Mills Ltd. 1570.0 14.5% 51.1 8980.4 100.6 694.1 19.8% 10.7%

Loyal Textile Mills Ltd. 769.9 12.6% 5.3 3710.9 46.7 369.6 11.0% 2.1%

Nitin Spinners Ltd. 111.0 18.8% 44.7 5037.2 11.3 60.1 13.2% 4.7%

Sarla Performance Fibers Ltd. 65.5 11.8% 1.9 5469.3 4.3 35.9 13.3% 11.7%

Vardhaman Textiles Ltd. 1451.1 13.9% 32.5 80724.7 113.5 816.9 17.3% 10.2%

Average 793.3 14.3% 26.3 20784.5 55.3 395.3 14.9% 7.9%

Companies P/E (x) P/Bv (x) P/Sales(x

) EV/EBIDTA

(x) D/E

PAT(Rs. Mn) (TTM)

EBIDTA(Rs. Mn) (TTM)

Sales (Rs. Mn) (TTM)

Ambika Cotton Mills Ltd. 15.6 2.3 1.7 8.3 0.0 575.5 1,068.5 5,392.3

Loyal Textile Mills Ltd. 16.5 2.1 0.3 7.2 2.9 225.3 1,198.9 10,869.8

Nitin Spinners Ltd. 9.7 1.8 0.5 6.6 1.6 519.2 1,458.1 11,050.7

Sarla Performance Fibers Ltd. 15.4 1.8 1.8 18.5 0.7 355.5 403.3 3,041.8

Vardhaman Textiles Ltd. 12.8 1.8 1.3 9.3 0.4 6,311.4 10,642.2 61,626.3

Average 14.0 2.0 1.1 10.0 1.1 1,597.4 2,954.2 18,396.2

Page 4: NITIN SPINNERS LIMITED - Choicereports.choiceindia.com/Reports/FUR290120180423351.pdf• Nitin Spinners Limited(NSL) is engaged in textile business situated in Bhilwara, Rajasthan,

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Quarterly Results Update: During Q2FY18, the operating income increased from Rs.2064.7mn in Q2FY17 to Rs.2844.4mn in Q2FY18, with a 37.8% increase in YoY basis. The EBITDA increased from Rs.316.9mn in Q2FY17 to Rs.334.8mn in Q2FY18, with a 5.6% increase in YoY basis. PAT decreased from Rs.141.1mn in Q2FY17 to Rs.83mn in Q2FY18. The reason for the slight increase in EBITDA as compared to the previous quarters is due to the increase in the spinning capacity of the company. Expansion Of Spinning Capacity: The spinning capacity of the company was increased from 1,50,096 to 2,23,056, which resulted in the company’s cotton yarn manufacturing to increase from 38,000TPA to 50,000TPA. 14 machines were added in the knitting division resulting into a total of 63 machines and a production capacity of 9000TPA. Graphs Showing Increase of spindles and knitted fabric Increase In Production of Yarn over the last 5 financial years: The above expansion in capacity led to an increase in production of yarn and knitted fabric to 50,000TPA and 9000TPA respectively. The expansion also included increase in the number of rotors to 2936. The expansions could help NSL to commence the commercial production within their targeted dates.

Graph Showing Increase in production of Knitted Fabric: (Units TPA) Product Segmentation and % of revenues earned: Increase In Production Of Value Added Yarn: • The production of value added yarn as compared to

FY16 has increased by 10% which includes production of slub yarn, compact yarn, core spun yarn, organic yarn and BCI/TBC certified yarns, which command premium over basic yarn.

• As the demand of value added yarn is more than that of the basic yarn, the increasing focus on the value added yarns could help the company to generate revenues in the future by improving quality of the product.

• NSL earned revenues of Rs.9333.7mn in FY17, which grew by 22% over FY16.

• Exports accounted to over 60% of NSL’s revenues. • Due to the increase in the production of value added

products, revenues increased from 15% in FY 2013 to 41% in FY17.

• NSL earned 63.7% of the revenue form exports and 36.3% from domestic sales

Source: Choice Research/ Annual reports; Financial data-Ace equity

0

100000

200000

300000

FY16 FY17

Spindles

0

20

40

60

80

FY16 FY17

Knitted Fabric

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17

Product % in FY17

Value added yarn 24%

Fabrics 17%

Yarn 53%

Others 6%

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17

Graph Showing Increase In Production Of Yarn: (Units TPA)

Page 5: NITIN SPINNERS LIMITED - Choicereports.choiceindia.com/Reports/FUR290120180423351.pdf• Nitin Spinners Limited(NSL) is engaged in textile business situated in Bhilwara, Rajasthan,

Choice’s Rating Rationale The price target for a large cap stock represents the value the analyst expects the stock to reach over next 12 months. For a stock to be classified as Outperform, the expected return must exceed the local risk free return by at least 5% over the next 12 months. For a stock to be classified as Underperform, the stock return must be below the local risk free return by at least 5% over the next 12 months. Stocks between these bands are classified as Neutral. Don’t be an Investor by Force, Be an investor by CHOICE

• Create a Wealth Building Portfolio with the help of CHOICE Fundamental Research. • CHOICE Fundamental Research will handpick stocks for you to invest in an oversold market by helping you build positions in

heavily beaten down fundamentally strong stocks. • Opportunities to invest in fundamentally strong stocks at a low arise only 2-3 times in a full year cycle. • Investors are advised to sell the stock if the recommended upside potential achieves. • If recommended upside potential remains under-achieved, investors are advised to consider the update report on

suggested stock.

[email protected]

Fundamental Research Team

Name Designation Email id Contact No.

Sunder Sanmukhani Head-Fundamental Research [email protected] 022 - 6707 9910

Satish Kumar Research Analyst [email protected] 022 - 6707 9913

Rajnath Yadav Research Analyst [email protected] 022 - 6707 9912

Aman Lamba Research Associate [email protected] 022 - 67079917

Devanshi Shah Research Associate [email protected] 022 - 67079916

Shrey Gandhi Research Associate [email protected] 022 - 67079914

Dhvanit Wadia Research Associate [email protected] 022 - 67079915

Dhruv Thakkar Research Associate [email protected] 022-67079917

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OUR TEAM

Page 6: NITIN SPINNERS LIMITED - Choicereports.choiceindia.com/Reports/FUR290120180423351.pdf• Nitin Spinners Limited(NSL) is engaged in textile business situated in Bhilwara, Rajasthan,

Disclaimer

This is solely for information of clients of Choice Broking and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Choice Broking its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Choice Broking or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. This report is based on the fundamental analysis with a view to forecast future price. The Research analysts for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Choice Broking has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Choice Broking makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for stock market investment purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report and will remain valid till the target period. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment.

POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report) Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No.

Choice Equity Broking Pvt. Ltd. Choice House, Shree Shakambhari Corporate Park, Plt No: -156-158,

J.B. Nagar, Andheri (East), Mumbai - 400 099.

+91-022-6707 9999 +91-022-6707 9959 www.choicebroking.in

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