nikravesh australia long_versionkeynote2012
TRANSCRIPT
Computational Science and Engineering (CSE) @ BerkeleyThe Emergence of Computation for Interdisciplinary Large Data
inspired by Science Bounded by our imagination innovation through Technology Create Social impact
Masoud Nikravesh @ CITRIS and LBNL
CITRIS Director for CSE
Executive Director, DE-CSE @ Berkeley
http://cse.berkeley.edu/ http://cloud.citris-uc.org/
http://citris-uc.org/ http://www.lbl.gov/cs
Health, Freshwater, Food Security, Ecosystems, and Urban Metabolism
1
Outline of Talk
2
Drivers for Change: Computing and Big Data
Computational Science and Engineering
State Leadership
California – “The Golden State”
The State New Economy Model
“Sustainable California” –a return to “The Golden State”
Outline of Talk
3
Drivers for Change: Computing and Big Data
Computational Science and Engineering
State Leadership
California – “The Golden State”
The State New Economy Model
“Sustainable California” –a return to “The Golden State”
Drivers for Change
• Continued exponential increase in computational power simulation (Computing) is becoming third pillar of science, complementing theory (Analytic and Math ) and experiment (Applications)
Applications
HPC-Cloud
Computing
Analytics
Math
High performance computing
(HPC), large-scale simulations,
and scientific applications all
play a central role in CSE.
CSE
The HPC/cloud computing initiative
and next generation data center
Extreme simulation, visual-data analytics,
data-enabled scientific discovery
Applications/real‐world complex applications (scientific, engineering, social, economic,
policy) using the future multi-core parallel computing ((i.e. E-Informatics, Earthquake Early
Warning, NextGenMaps, Genome Atlas, Genetic Facebook, Genomics Browser)
HPC-Petascale and Exascale
systems are an indispensable
tool for exploring the frontiers of
science and technology for
social impact.
4
Revolution is Happening Now
Chip density is continuing increase ~2x every 2 years
Clock speed is not
Number of processor cores may double instead
There is little or no more hidden parallelism (ILP) to be found
Parallelism must be exposed to and managed by software
Source: Intel, Microsoft (Sutter) and
Stanford (Olukotun, Hammond)5
Computing Growth is Not Just an HPC Problem
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Year of Introduction
The Expectation Gap
Microprocessor Performance “Expectation Gap” over Time
(1985-2020 projected)
6
New Processors Means New Software
Exascale will have chips with thousands of tiny processor cores, and a few large ones
Architecture is an open question: sea of embedded cores with heavyweight “service” nodes
Lightweight cores are accelerators to CPUs
Autotuning eases code generation for new architectures
Interconnect
Memory
Processors
Server Processors Manycore processors
130 Megawatts 75 Megawatts
Source: Kathy Yelick,7
Interconnect
Memory
Processors
New Memory and Network Technology to Lower Energy
Memory as important as processors in energy
Latency is physics, bandwidth is money
Software managed memory or cache hybrids
Autotuning has helped with that management
Need to raise level of autotuning to higher level kernels
Usual memory + network New memory + network
25 Megawatts75 Megawatts
Source: Kathy Yelick,8
TOP500 Sites – June 2011
Today, HPC-Petascale and soon Exascale systems- is not just a tool of
choice, but it becomes an indispensable tool for frontiers of science and
technology for social impact.
Petaflop with ~1M Cores in your PC by 2025?
9
TOP10 Sites - June 2010
10
TOP10 Sites - November 2010
11
TOP10 Sites – June 2011
12
TOP500 Sites – June 2011
Today, HPC-Petascale and soon Exascale systems- is not just a tool of
choice, but it becomes an indispensable tool for frontiers of science and
technology for social impact.
Petaflop with ~1M Cores in your PC by 2025?
8-10 years
6-8 years
13
goal
usual
scaling
2005 2010 2015
2020
Energy Cost Challenge for Computing Facilities
At ~$1M per MW, energy costs are substantial
1 petaflop in 2010 will use 3 MW
1 exaflop in 2018 possible in 200 MW with “usual” scaling
1 exaflop in 2018 at 20 MW is DOE target
14
New Processor Designs are Needed to Save Energy
Server processors have been designed for performance, not energy
Graphics processors are 10-100x more efficient
Embedded processors are 100-1000x (1.25 rather than 100 watt)
Need manycore chips with thousands of cores
Cell phone processor
(0.1 Watt, 4 Gflop/s)
Server processor
(100 Watts, 50 Gflop/s)
Source: Kathy Yelick, HPC-SEG July 2011 15
Motif/Dwarf: Common Computational Methods
(Red Hot Blue Cool)
Em
be
d
SP
EC
DB
Ga
me
s
ML
HP
C
Health Image Speech Music Browser
1 Finite State Mach.
2 Combinational
3 Graph Traversal
4 Structured Grid
5 Dense Matrix
6 Sparse Matrix
7 Spectral (FFT)
8 Dynamic Prog
9 N-Body
10 MapReduce
11 Backtrack/ B&B
12 Graphical Models
13 Unstructured Grid
What do commercial and CSE applications have in common?
Source: Jim Demmel, Berkeley Parlab16
Source: Oliver Pell, HPC-SEG July 2011, Berkeley
CPU, GPU, Hybrid, FPGA?
17
x86 Multicores GPU FPGA
Numbers -Current generation: 4–6 cores/CPU x 2
CPUs/node = 8–12 cores/node
-Future generation: 16–20 cores/CPU x 4
CPUs/node = 64–80 cores/node
-512 cores/GPU (Nvidia)
-1600 cores/GPU (AMD)
-No more cores but BRAM,
--Look Up Tables, FlipFlops,
etc..
-Clock frequency is in the
order of hundreds of MHz
-Memory per card is in the
order of tens of GB
What is the
easy part?
-Well known and mature technology
-Well established development environments
-Parallelism between core and nodes
-Well known technology (for
gaming purposes)
-It is becoming reliable also
for HPC computation
-High performance-per-watt
ratio
What is
difficult to do?
-Linear speedup with increasing core numbers -CUDA: good tool but
proprietary
-OpenCL: open technology
but not yet standard and more
complex to use
-Development tools (+
profiling, debugging, etc) not
yet fully available
-Non standard development
tools (VHDL is not for
Geophysicists… but we
have MaxCompiler!)
-Data streaming technology is
different from standard
approaches
(grid/matrix)
Main
problems
-Slow memory access
-Legacy codes need to be re-engineered in
order to get the best performance
(e.g. SSE vectorization, cache blocking)
-Network connections have to be optimized for
the architecture
-Limited amount of memory
(4–6 GB) per card
-Slow communication with the
host CPU (due to PCI
Express)
-Internal bandwidth is not
always enough
-The technology is not yet
standard for HPC
-Slow communication with the
host CPU (due to PCI
Express)
Source: Carlo Tomas, HPC-SEG, July 2011, Berkeley18
A Likely Trajectory - Collision or
Convergence?
CPU
GPU
multi-threading multi-core many-core
fixed function
partially programmable
fully programmable
future
processor
by 2012
?
pro
gra
mm
abili
ty
parallelismafter Justin Rattner, Intel, ISC 2008
19
Drivers for Change
• Continued exponential increase in experimental, simulation, sensors, and social data techniques and technology in data analysis, visualization, analytics, networking, and collaboration tools are becoming essential in all data rich applications
Big
DataModel
Human
Experts- Citizen Cyber Science
Crowdsourceing
Analytic ToolsFirst Principles Hybrid Models
IBM-Watson
IBM- Cognitive Model
Boeing 747 Simulation
Protein Folding
Amazon AI-ImageIn
crea
sed
clim
ate/
envi
ronm
enta
l de
tail
Increased socio-economic detail
Tera
Peta
Peta
Exa
Socio-Economic Modeling
for Large-scale Quantitative
Climate/Environmental
Change Analysis
En Informatics
Environment-Genetic
20
World Population: Today-~6B, 2050-~9B, 2100-~10B%70 will live in Cities by 2050
By 2020: 35 trillion Gigabytes Data (Cyber-Physical world is connected through
billions to even trillions of sensors and devices)
Petaflop with ~1M Cores in your PC by 2025?
Health, Freshwater, Food Security, Ecosystems, and Urban Metabolism
21
Why BIG Data is a Big Deal?
Size of Data:
• 2010: 1.2 million Petabytes, or 1.2 Zettabytes
• 2020: 35 trillion Gigabytes (Cyber-Physical World is connected through
billions to even trillions of sensors and devices)
Type of data:
• from homogenous data to heterogeneous and multi-scale
• from physical sensor data to social-economical data
• from complete to incomplete, imprecise and uncertain
• from implementing on single-simple hardware-software
architecture to scalable parallel complex
hardware-software architectures
22
Why BIG Data is a Big Deal?
Crisis: Data storage/transfer/communication and security-
privacy doomsday forecast
Opportunities: Information gold mine
Needs: better, faster, cheaper, and scalable technologies
for storage, manipulation, communication and analysis
23
Why BIG Data is a Big Deal?
Challenge: Combine our current and to be developed
advanced-scalable* analytical tools with first principle
models and human capabilities at scale with anticipatory
capabilities to discover the un-seen phenomena and
insights and to make and deliver securely right decisions
and at the right time based on incomplete, imprecision,
and uncertain public/private data dealing with multi and
conflicting objectives and criteria.
24
Why BIG Data is a Big Deal? Crowdsourcing
Big
DataModel
Human
Experts- Citizen Cyber Science
Crowdsourceing
Analytic ToolsFirst Principles Hybrid Models
IBM-Watson
IBM- Cognitive Model
Boeing 747 Simulation
Protein Folding
Amazon AI-Image
Incre
as
ed
clim
ate
/en
vir
on
men
tal
deta
il
Increased socio-economic detail
Tera
Peta
Peta
Exa
Socio-Economic Modeling
for Large-scale Quantitative
Climate/Environmental
Change Analysis
En Informatics
Environment-Genetic
25
Distributed thinking / Human computing
Physical participation coordinated via Internet
BIG Data and Citizen Cyber Science?
What can be aggregated?
Aggregate perception, knowledge, reasoning
Visual pattern recognition
Real-world knowledge
3D spatial manipulation
Language skills
Where to get Volunteers
Tell a good story about your research
Give recognition
Make it a game
Add a social dimension26
BIG Data and Citizen Cyber science?
27
AMP: Algorithms, Machines, People
Adaptive/Active Machine Learning
and Analytics
Cloud ComputingCrowdSourcing
Massive
and
Diverse
Data
Source: M. Franklin
28
Cloud Initiative at Berkeley
~120 Faculty (CSE), ~120 Researchers (Cloud-HPC) , 22 Departments
Data Structure
Analytics
Service Delivery
29
CSE Cloud Computing Initiative
Cloud Computing are being used by a broad array of Computational Science and Engineering faculty investigators, researchers and graduate students from social scientists and economists to astrophysicist and Bioengineers. Our list of faculty includes experts from both computational science and engineering, and the cloud and HPC community. It includes ~120 faculty and over ~120 researchers/students from over 22 departments (http://cse.berkeley.edu and http://cloud.citris-uc.org/).
30
Cloud Infrastructure
Applications (scientific, engineering, social, economic/business/finance, policy)
Delivery of Services
Mobile Devices Mobile CloudSoftware and Appliances
Cluster Scheduling &
Reliability
Network Research and
Security
Supercomputer
Public Cloud
Private Cloud
Volunteering Computing
Mobile Cloud
Streaming Data
Massive Data
Extreme Simulation
Large Scale Visualization
Machine Learning
Analytics
Intelligent Dynamic Maps
Early Warning
Social Networking
Second Life
Cyber Citizen
Personalized Services
Crowd Sourcing
Cloud Initiative at Berkeley~120 Faculty (CSE), ~120 Researchers (HPC-Cloud) , 22 Departments
31
Cloud Initiative at Berkeley~120 Faculty (CSE), ~120 Researchers (HPC-Cloud) , 22 Departments
Infrastructure – Cloud Cluster and Data Centers
Delivery of Services – Mobile Cloud
Applications Scientific
Social
Economics/Business
Software and Appliances
Cluster Scheduling & Reliability
Network Research and Security
Mobile devices, Mobile Cloud, and Cloud Infrastructure
will be the device/tools of choice for delivery of services.
32
Cloud Computing Initiative
We will focus on three main areas:
Machine Learning: Provide the general public with machine learning analytics tools and algorithm runs in cloud infrastructure.
Streaming Data Analytics and Visualization: Analyses and visualization of large-scale real time data sets such as traffic information, online news sources, economics data, and scientific data such as astrophysical and Genomics data.
Scientific Applications: Benchmarking and cataloging the suitability of cloud computing for science and engineering applications, including HPC applications.
33
BIG Data and Sensors/Cyber-Physical Infrastructure
Water
Air
Energy
Earthquake
Marvell
Lab
μSensors
TinyOS
Prototyping
Devices
and
Sensors
G/H
FEEDBACK
California Independent System (Cal ISO)
Department of Water ResourcesCalifornia Department of Health and Social Services and FCC
Cyberspace
Handhelds
Laptop/PC
Clusters
IBM/ room143
Cloud
+
+
+
Analytics
Algorithms
M/C Learning/A.I.
Statistical Analysis
Social Comp
Knowledge
Insight
Large-Scale
Information
Extraction
Delivery and
Service
Back to
Handhelds
Distributed
Systems
Visualization, Analytics and Insight
Physical
World
Big Data
Streams
34
Incr
ease
d
clim
ate/
envi
ronm
enta
l de
tail
Increased socio-economic detail
Tera
Peta
Peta
Exa
Socio-Economic Modeling
for Large-scale Quantitative
Climate/Environmental
Change Analysis
En Informatics
Environment-Genetic
BIG Data and Exa-Scale Computing
35
Courtesy of U.S. Department of Energy Human Genome Program , http://www.ornl.gov/hgmis
BIG Data and DNA Computing
36
BIG Data and DNA Computing
37
BIG Data and DNA Computing
38
BIG Data and Visualization –Scientific
39
BIG Data and Visualization
40
Outline of Talk
41
Drivers for Change: Computing and Big Data
Computational Science and Engineering
State Leadership
California – “The Golden State”
The State New Economy Model
“Sustainable California” –a return to “The Golden State”
Computational Science
Nature, March 23, 2006
“An important development in
sciences is occurring at the
intersection of computer science and
the sciences that has the potential to
have a profound impact on science. It
is a leap from the application of
computing … to the integration of
computer science concepts, tools,
and theorems into the very fabric of
science.” -Science 2020 Report, March 2006
42
Nature of Work, Education and Future Society
“Creative Creators” or “Creative Servers”: Do complex task, and Enhance, Refine, and Reinvent. “T. Friedman and M. Mandelbaum” That Used to be Us”
20th Century 21th Century
Number of Jobs1-2 Jobs 10-15 Jobs
Job Requirement
Mastery of
one Field
(Single Deep Expertise)
Breadth;
Depth in several Fields
(Multiple Deep Expertise)
(Broad Knowledge)
Alternative sources of Natural Resources: Energy and Water
Technology: Nano-technology, Quantum Computers, Genetic and Biometrics, and Robotics
Services: Online Education and Services on Demand
Resources: Sensors and Devices, Big Data, Computing Power, Social Network and Computing
Charles Fadel
43
TmT m
Tm-shaped Individual and not just T or m-shaped
Single Expertise Multiple Deep Expertise
Single Deep + Multiple Expertise Hybrid (CSE)
Broad Knowledge
21st century skills: problem-solving, critical thinking,
entrepreneurship and creativity
44
Computational Science and Engineering (CSE) @ Berkeley
45
What is CSE?
CSE is a rapidly growing multidisciplinary field that encompasses real-world complex applications (scientific, engineering, social, economic, policy), computational mathematics, and computer science and engineering. High performance computing (HPC), large-scale simulations and modeling (physical, biological, economic, social, and policy processes), and scientific applications all play a central role in CSE.
Petaflop with ~1M Cores in your PC by 2025?
46
What is CSE?
Simulation of complex problems is sometimes the only feasible way to make progress if the theory is intractable and experiments are too difficult, too expensive, too dangerous, or too slow.
Through modeling and simulation of multiscale systems of systems, and through scientific discovery from large-scale heterogeneous data, CSE aims to advance solutions for a wide range of problems in the areas of nanoscience and nanotechnology, energy, climate change, engineering design, neuroscience, cognitive computing and intelligent systems, plasma physics, transportation, bioinformatics and computational biology, earthquake engineering, geophysical modeling, astrophysics, materials science, national defense, information technology for health care, engineering better search engines, socio-economic-policy modeling, and other fields that are critical to scientific, economic, and social progress.
47
CSE: Vision
To support the work of scientists and engineers as they pursue complex –simulation/modeling, as well as computational, data and visualization- intensive research to enhance scientific, technological, and economic leadership while improving our quality of life.
inspired by Science Bounded by our imagination innovation through Technology Create Social impact
Today, HPC-Petascale and soon Exascale systems- is not just a tool of
choice, but it becomes an indispensable tool for frontiers of science and
technology for social impact.
48
CSE: Mission
Conduct world-leading research in applied mathematics and computer science to provide leadership in such areas as energy, environment, health-information technology, climate, bioscience and neuroscience, and intelligent cyber-physical infrastructure to name a few.
Be at the forefront of the development and use of ultra-efficient largest-scale computer systems, focusing on discoveries and solutions that link to the evolution of the commercial market for high-performance and cloud computing and services.
Allow industry collaborators to gain experience with computational modeling / simulation and the effective use of HPC and Cloud facilities and carrying back new expertise to their institutions. This would enable the Industry partners to be “first to market” with important scientific and technological capabilities, breakthrough ideas, and new hardware-software.
Educate the next generation of interdisciplinary students and industry leaders (DE-CSE program and a new Professional Master Program (PMS) to be developed)
inspired by Science Bounded by our imagination innovation through Technology Create Social impact
Petaflop with ~1M Cores in your PC by 2025?
49
High performance computing
(HPC), large-scale simulations,
and scientific applications all
play a central role in CSE.
Applications
HPC-Cloud
Computing
Analytics
MathCSE
The HPC/cloud computing initiative
and next generation data center
Extreme simulation, visual-data analytics,
data-enabled scientific discovery
Applications/real‐world complex applications (scientific, engineering, social, economic,
policy) using the future multi-core parallel computing ((i.e. E-Informatics, Earthquake Early
Warning, NextGenMaps, Genome Atlas, Genetic Facebook, Genomics Browser)
CSEBerkeley and LBNL Partnership
HPC-Petascale and Exascale
systems are an indispensable
tool for exploring the frontiers of
science and technology for
social impact.
50
Computational Research Division
Applied Mathematics Computer Science
Computational Science
HPC architecture,
OS, and compilers
512256128
643216
842
1024
1/16 1 2 4 8 16321/81/4
1/21/32
RTM/wave eqn.
NVIDIA C2050 (Fermi)
SpMV
7pt Stencil
27pt Stencil
DGEMM
GTC/chargei
GTC/pushi
Performance
& AutotuningVisualization
and Data
Management
Cloud, grid &
distributed
computing
Mathematical
Models Adaptive Mesh
Refinement
Linear
Algebra
Libraries and
Frameworks
Interface
Methods
NanoscienceCombustion Climate Cosmology &
AstrophysicsGenomicsEnergy &
Environment
Source- LBNL & CSE51
Computational Science and Engineering (CSE) @ Berkeley
Designated Emphasis (DE) in CSE Participants
~120 Faculty (CSE), ~120 Researchers (HPC-Cloud), ~22 Departments,
, ~33 Students and growing, ~60 Courses, more being developed
http://cse.berkeley.edu/ http://cloud.citris-uc.org/
http://citris-uc.org/ http://www.lbl.gov/cs
52
Designated Emphasis (DE) in CSE
• New “graduate minor” – approved, starting July 1, 2008
• Motivation
– Widespread need to train PhD students in large scale simulation, or analysis of large data sets
– Opportunities for collaboration, across campus and at LBNL
• Graduate students participate by
– Getting accepted into existing department/program
– Taking CSE course requirements
– Qualifying examination with CSE component
– Need to sign up before quals!
– Thesis with CSE component
– Receive “PhD in X with a DE in CSE”
53
CSE Participating Departments (1/2) ( # faculty by “primary affiliation”, # courses, # Students )
•Astronomy (7,3,1)
•Bioengineering (3,1,0)
•Biostatistics (2,0,1)
•Chemical Engineering (6,0,0)
•Chemistry (8,1,0)
•Civil and Environmental Engineering (7,8,2)
•Earth and Planetary Science (6,3,4)
•EECS (19,14,4)
•IEOR (5,5,0)
•School of Information (1,0,0)
54
CSE Participating Departments (2/2) ( # faculty by “primary affiliation”, # courses, # Students )
• Integrative Biology (1,0,0)
•Materials Science and Engineering (2,1,0)
•Mathematics (15,4,0)
•Mechanical Engineering (9,6,8)
•Neuroscience (7,1,4)
•Nuclear Engineering (2,1,3)
•Physics (1,1,0)
•Political Science (2,0,1)
•Statistics (5, 11,0)
•New: Biostatistics (1), Public Health (0), Vision
Science(1), Biopyhsics(1), Business School (1)
55
Course Structure
3 kinds of students, course requirements
Applications, CS, Math
Each kind of student has 3 course requirements in other two fields
Goal: enforce cross-disciplinary training
Ex: Applications students takes courses from EECS, Math, Statistics, IEOR
We support new course development
5 courses recently created/updated
56
Educating the Workforce of the FutureChina & India:
300M Skilled worker by 2025
Eng. Ph.D Median Salary:
India: $39,200
China: $53,700
Germany: $99,400
US(CA): $125,200
Science and Engineering Graduate
US 420000, EU 470000,
China 530000 , India 690000,
Japan 350000
McKinsey report concluded that only
10% of Chinese engineers and 25%
of Indian engineers can compete in
the global outsourcing arena.
Revised by: Nikarvesh57
Annualized Job Openings vs. Annual Degrees Granted (2008-2018)
CSE educates the next generation of
interdisciplinary students and industry
leaders.
CSE Revised by: Nikarvesh58
Degree Production vs. Job Openings
Sources: Adapted from a presentation by John Sargent, Senior Policy Analyst, Department of Commerce,at the CRA Computing Research Summit, February 23, 2004. Original sources listed asNational Science Foundation/Division of Science Resources Statistics; degree data fromDepartment of Education/National Center for Education Statistics: Integrated PostsecondaryEducation Data System Completions Survey; and NSF/SRS; Survey of Earned Doctorates; andProjected Annual Average Job Openings derived from Department of Commerce (Office ofTechnology Policy) analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics 2002-2012 projections. Seehttp://www.cra.org/govaffairs/content.php?cid=22.
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
Engineering Physical Sciences Biological Sciences Computer Science
Ph.D.
Master’s
Bachelor’s
Projected job openings
CSE educates the next generation of
interdisciplinary students and industry
leaders.
CSE Revised by: Nikarvesh59
CSECenter Concepts
CDISC
ACCESSInsight
60
Open Big Data ScienceComputational Foundations and Driving Applications
CDISC – Center Concept
Open Big Data Science
APPS
CORE
LIBRARIES
ANALYTICS
MACHINE LEARNING
TRANINING &
EDUCATION
OUTREACH
Devices and Computing Environment
61
Our Center will develop a wide array of computational tools to tackle the
challenges of data-intensive scientific research across multiple scientific
disciplines.
These tools will encapsulate state of the art machine learning and statistical
modeling algorithms into broadly applicable, high-level interfaces that can
be easily used by application scientists.
Our goal is to dramatically reduce the time needed to extract knowledge
from the floods of data science is facing, thanks to workflows that permit
exploratory and collaborative research to evolve into robustly reproducible
outcomes.
CDISC: Center ConceptCenter for Data-Driven Scientific Computing
62
Our development will be driven by a collection of scientific problems that
share a common theme.
They all present major data-intensive challenges requiring significant
algorithmic breakthroughs and represent key questions within their field,
from rapid astronomical discovery of rare events to early warning
systems for natural hazards such as earthquakes or tsunamis.
Moving beyond the traditional domain of scientific computing, we will
tackle a collection of problems in social sciences and the digital
humanities, pushing the boundaries of quantitative scholarship in these
disciplines.
CDISC: Center ConceptCenter for Data-Driven Scientific Computing
63
CDISC: Center for Data-Driven Scientific Computing
Center Concept
Date-Driven Scientific Computing
APPS
CORE
LIBRARIES
ANALYTICS
MACHINE LEARNING
TRANINING &
EDUCATION
OUTREACH
Devices and Computing Environment
64
Center for Accelerating Environmental Synthesis and Solutions (ACCESS)
& Environment Quality and Security
To enable synthesis, En Informatics(En= Environmental, Ecological, Epidemiological, Economic,
Engineering, Equitable, Ethical,… )
Center Concept
Health, Freshwater, Food Security, Ecosystems, and Urban Metabolism
World Population: Today-~6B, 2050-~9B, 2100-~10B%70 will live in Cities by 2050
65
ACCESS Focus
ACCESS will focus on five major domains critical for human welfare and environmental quality: freshwater, health, ecosystems, urban metabolism, and food security; and will create and implement a synthesis process that makes research tools and understanding rapidly accessible across disciplines, and foster new ways of thinking across disciplines about critical environmental problems.
Source: Inez Fung
Center for Accelerating Environmental Synthesis and Solutions (ACCESS)
66
Berkeley ACCESS Themes
Ecosystem trajectories over the past million years and in the future -rate and nature - result principally 8000 generations of human population growth and aspirations.
Underlying ecosystem trajectories are the changing supply and demand of water and the need to harness energy to advance civilization.
Urban metabolism: Theoretical models of cities as complex socio-ecological systems with particular metabolic dynamics. Urban policy is increasingly critical to building a more sustainable future.
The increasing ease of utilizing existing resources leads to their rapid and unsustainable depletion, with many resulting intolerable impacts, including those on
Human and animal health
Food security
Source: Inez Fung
Center for Accelerating Environmental Synthesis and Solutions (ACCESS)
67
Urban Metabolism
Conceptual Frameworks for Urban Metabolism: Theoretical models of cities as complex socio-ecological systems with particular metabolic dynamics include approaches based in political economy, sociology, urban ecology and biogeochemistry, and industrial ecology – many of which remain disconnected from each other. In addition, because the inputs to urban life are globalized, the geography of consumption and production networks must be integrated into conceptual frameworks.
Data Integration: A rapidly expanding volume of geospatial data on urban stocks and flows – about people, animals, vegetation, consumer products, energy, waste, etc. – is available for synthesis and building models of the complex metabolic cycles of cities.
Policy and Activism: Urban policy is increasingly critical to building a more sustainable future, but the policy interventions and activist campaigns are piecemeal remedies rather than solutions based on an understanding of cities as complex socio-ecological systems.
Visualization and Decision-Support: Decision makers and stakeholders of many types need to visuzlize model results quickly and effectively. Generating sophisticated and insightful visualizations of urban systems is an emergent and critical field.
Source: Inez Fung68
Insight Lab
Applications
Machine Learning
Massive Scale Data
Analytics and Visualization
69
Strategic Projects/
Shared Facilities,
Resources, Expertise
TechnologyStreaming Data and
Visual Analytics
Core Group*
Core Scientific
Group*
Shared Facilities
VisLab+ Computing
Infrastructures
Delivery of Service
Mobile Devices,
Internet, and Cloud
Scie
nce
/Ap
plic
atio
ns
scie
ntific
, en
gin
ee
ring, s
ocia
l, eco
no
mic
/bu
sin
ess/fin
an
ce
ACCESS- E-informatics
Earthquake Early
Warning
Next Generation
Dynamic Maps
Genome Atlas, Genetic
Facebook, Genomics
Browser, bioinformatics,
Immune System, …
Computational
Bioscience,
Neuroscience,
Nanoscience ,
Astrophysics , …
*core group of enabling computational scientists would stand at the heart of the center, and that they would both cross-
pollinate expertise among projects and provide great leverage in winning large federally-supported projects*.
Educational, Research, and Social Impacts; IT-Enabled Disaster Resilience
Insight LabIntensive Computing, Immersive Visualization and Human Interaction
Data and Visual-enabled Scientific Discovery and Insight Accelerator
(~120 CSE Faculty, ~120 HPC-Cloud Researchers, and 22 Departments)
70
Earthquake early warning
400 seismic stations
across California
Use existing seismic stations to
• detect the beginning of earthquakes
• estimate the location and magnitude
• predict damaging ground shaking
• issue a warning to those in harms way
Seconds to tens
of seconds warning,
up to 1 minute
• people move to safe zone (under table)
• slow and stop trains (BART)
• isolate hazards (equipment, chemicals)
new science + modern communications
Allen Richard
71
Opinion Space: Crowdsourcing Insights
Scalability: N Participants, N Viewpoints
Each Viewpoint is n-Dimensional
Dim. Reduction: 2D Map of Affinity/Similarity
Insight vs. Agreement: Nonlinear Scoring
N2 Peer to Peer Reviews
Source: Ken Goldberg and Alec Ross
72
CISN
ShakeMap
Crowdsourcing + physical modeling + sensing + data assimilation
Physical modeling-based live maps, which contain real-time assessments of
situation integrating streaming dataSource: Alex Bayen
NextGenMap: The Value of Multi-disciplinary Research:
Invention, Societal-pull, Products, New Legislation
73
Real-time (machine-learned) classification of astronomical event data
data deluge requires abstracting traditional roles of scientist in discovery
working with real data now, towards a scalable framework for the Large
Synoptic Survey (LSST) era
new statistical analytics
on sparse datamachine learning with noisy
& spurious feature sets
cloud-based ML with
massive databases
Source: Josh Bloom
Berkeley Time-Series Center
74
Innovative visualizations for a topic’s
summary in news across time
Real-time summaries of topics across many news sources
Global image of news landscape
Interpretable results obtained via sparse machine learning techniques
Massive data sets requires cloud computing
Real-time image of news sources or topics
Source: Laurent El Ghaoui
StatNews: Analytics and Visualization of News Data
75
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
76
Berkeley Lab’s Major Scientific FacilitiesComplex Tools to Address Scientific Challenges
Advanced Light Source
Molecular
FoundryNational Center for Electron
Microscopy
National Energy
Research Scientific
Computing Center
88-Inch
Cyclotron
Joint Genome
Institute
Energy Sciences
Network (ESnet)
77
Computational Research Division
Applied Mathematics Computer Science
Computational Science
HPC architecture,
OS, and compilers
512256128
643216
842
1024
1/16 1 2 4 8 16321/81/4
1/21/32
RTM/wave eqn.
NVIDIA C2050 (Fermi)
SpMV
7pt Stencil
27pt Stencil
DGEMM
GTC/chargei
GTC/pushi
Performance
& AutotuningVisualization
and Data
Management
Cloud, grid &
distributed
computing
Mathematical
Models Adaptive Mesh
Refinement
Linear
Algebra
Libraries and
Frameworks
Interface
Methods
NanoscienceCombustion Climate Cosmology &
AstrophysicsGenomicsEnergy &
Environment
78
National Energy Research Scientific Computing Facility
Department of Energy Office of Science
(unclassified) Facility
• 4000 users, 500 projects
• From 48 states; 65% from universities
• 1400 refereed publications per year
Systems designed for science
• 1.3 PF Hopper system (Cray XE6)
- 4th Fastest computer in US, 8th in world
• .5 PF in Franklin (Cray XT4), Carver (IBM
iDataplex) and other clusters
79
NERSC Systems
Large-Scale Computing Systems
Franklin (NERSC-5): Cray XT4
• 9,532 compute nodes; 38,128 cores
• ~25 Tflop/s on applications; 356 Tflop/s peak
Hopper (NERSC-6): Cray XE6
• 6,384 compute nodes, 153,216 cores
• 120 Tflop/s on applications; 1.3 Pflop/s peak
HPSS Archival Storage
• 40 PB capacity
• 4 Tape libraries
• 150 TB disk cache
NERSC Global
Filesystem (NGF)
Uses IBM’s GPFS
• 1.5 PB capacity
• 5.5 GB/s of bandwidth
Clusters
140 Tflops total
Carver
• IBM iDataplex cluster
PDSF (HEP/NP)
• ~1K core cluster
Magellan Cloud testbed
• IBM iDataplex cluster
GenePool (JGI)
• ~5K core cluster
Analytics
Euclid
(512 GB shared memory)
Dirac GPU testbed (48 nodes)
80
The TOP10 of the TOP500
Rank Site Manufacturer Computer Country CoresRmax
[Pflops] [MW]
1RIKEN Advanced Institute
for Computational Science Fujitsu
K Computer
SPARC64 VIIIfx 2.0GHz,
Tofu Interconnect
Japan 548,352 8.162 9.90
2National SuperComputer
Center in TianjinNUDT
Tianhe-1A
NUDT TH MPP,
Xeon 6C, NVidia, FT-1000 8C
China 186,368 2.566 4.04
3Oak Ridge National
LaboratoryCray
Jaguar
Cray XT5, HC 2.6 GHzUSA 224,162 1.759 6.95
4National Supercomputing
Centre in ShenzhenDawning
Nebulae
TC3600 Blade, Intel X5650, NVidia
Tesla C2050 GPU
China 120,640 1.271 2.58
5GSIC, Tokyo Institute of
TechnologyNEC/HP
TSUBAME-2
HP ProLiant, Xeon 6C, NVidia,
Linux/Windows
Japan 73,278 1.192 1.40
6 DOE/NNSA/LANL/SNL CrayCielo
Cray XE6, 8C 2.4 GHzUSA 142,272 1.110 3.98
7NASA/Ames Research
Center/NASSGI
Pleiades
SGI Altix ICE 8200EX/8400EXUSA 111,104 1.088 4.10
8DOE/SC/
LBNL/NERSCCray
Hopper
Cray XE6, 6C 2.1 GHzUSA 153,408 1.054 2.91
9Commissariat a l'Energie
Atomique (CEA)Bull
Tera 100
Bull bullx super-node S6010/S6030France 138.368 1.050 4.59
10 DOE/NNSA/LANL IBMRoadrunner
BladeCenter QS22/LS21USA 122,400 1.042 2.3481
Exascale: Who Needs It?
Fusion: Simulations
of plasma properties
to ITER scale model
Combustion:
complete predictive
engine simulation
Astronomy: origins
of the universe
Sequestration:
Understanding fluid
flow & chemistry
Materials: solar panels
to database of
materials-by-design.
Climate: Resolve
clouds (1km scale) &
model mitigations
Protein structures:
From Biofuels to
Alzheimers
Every field needs more computing!
1) To quantify and reduce uncertainty in simulations
2) Analyze data from experiments and simulations
82
ESnet provides the critical network infrastructure that supports the Department of Energy’s Office of Science missions.
• ESnet directly supports the research of some 15,000 scientists, postdocsand graduate students at DOE laboratories, universities, other federal agencies, and industry worldwide
• Science is increasingly collaborative and globally distributed
• ESnet provides the reliable connection, science-driven innovation and user focus that enables scientists to collaborate, manage, and exchange data
The Energy Sciences Network
83
Prototype 100G Topology
Magellan
Magellan
Supporting Advanced Scientific Computing Research • Basic Energy Sciences •
Biological and Environmental Research • Fusion Energy Sciences • High Energy
Physics • Nuclear Physics
84
Outline of Talk
85
Drivers for Change: Computing and Big Data
Computational Science and Engineering
State Leadership
California – “The Golden State”
The State New Economy Model
“Sustainable California” –a return to “The Golden State”
“Sustainable California” –a Return to the Golden State
Health, Freshwater, Food Security, Ecosystems, and Urban Metabolism
86
“California”-The Golden State
“Silicon Valley” –The Golden High Tech Region
Top 10 Countries by GDP 2009 & 2010
Overall
Rank
Country or
U.S. State
GDP
(millions of USD)
— World 62,220,000
1 United States 14,620,000
2 People's Republic of China 5,879,100
[2]
3 Japan 5,391,000
4 Germany 3,306,000
5 France 2,555,000
6 United Kingdom 2,259,000
7 Italy 2,037,000
8 Brazil 2,024,000
California
1,911,822
9 Canada 1,564,000
10 Russia 1,477,000
Overall
Rank
Country or
U.S. State
GDP
(millions of USD)
— World 58,133,309
1 United States 14,119,000
2 Japan 5,068,996
3 People's Republic of China 4,985,461[2][3]
4 Germany 3,330,032
5 France 2,649,390[4]
6 United Kingdom 2,174,530
7 Italy 2,112,780
California 1,911,822
8 Brazil 1,573,409
9 Spain 1,460,250
10 Canada 1,336,068
2010 2009
Source: Wikipedia 87
State
Rank Company
Fortune 500
rank City
Revenues
($ millions)
1 Chevron 3 San Ramon 196,337.0
2 Hewlett-Packard 11 Palo Alto 126,033.0
3 McKesson 15 San Francisco 108,702.0
4 Wells Fargo 23 San Francisco 93,249.0
5 Apple 35 Cupertino 65,225.0
6 Intel 56 Santa Clara 43,623.0
7 Safeway 60 Pleasanton 41,050.0
8 Cisco Systems 62 San Jose 40,040.0
9 Walt Disney 65 Burbank 38,063.0
10 Northrop Grumman 72 Los Angeles 34,757.0
Top publicly traded companies in California for 2011 (over 50) according to revenues with State and U.S. rankingsA Total of $1,218,340.30 ($Millions)
Source: Fortune 500 88
“California” – The Golden StateCalifornia's economy is the ninth (eighth in 2010) largest economy in the world,
if the states of the U.S. were compared with other countries.
• California is house to top publicly traded companies in California (over 50
Fortune 500 in 2011 ) according to revenues with State and U.S. rankings
A Total of $1,218,340.30 ($Millions) in Revenue
• California is not only the house to the largest High Technology companies
but also house to the largest company in the world. Apple with Market Cap
of over $420B ranked 1st with Exxon ranked 2nd .
• California is the house to the leaders of the Internet and ICT and super-
computers
• California is the house to the largest and leading Bioscience, Life Sciences
and Biomedicine
• California is the house to the leading Nano and Sensor Technology
• California is the house to the many leading Universities and DoE Leading
National Lab in Science and Technology
The University of California is well known for developing and operating
academic research centers in cooperation with partners world-wide. UC
Berkeley has a proud reputation of solving problems of interest not only in the
state of California, but for the people of world.
89
California’s commitment to the Leadership in Science and Technology (UCOP)
In the last part of the 20th century, California created the high-tech and biotechnology innovations that formed the backbone of today's "New Economy." As we begin the 21st century, the state of California, the University of California and hundreds of the state's leading-edge businesses have joined together in an unprecedented partnership to lay the foundation for the "next New Economy.“
The Governor Gray Davis Institutes for Science and Innovation –now named for the former governor in recognition of his instrumental role in their creation – include:
Source- UCOP90
California’s commitment to the Leadership in Science and Technology (UCOP)
Taken together, these four institutes represent a billion-dollar, multidisciplinary effort that focuses public/private resources and expertise simultaneously on research areas critical to sustaining California's economic growth and its competitiveness in the global marketplace.
The new ideas and technologies developed by researchers at the institutes help expand our economy into new industries and markets - and bring the benefits of innovation more quickly into the lives of people everywhere. These institutes open the doors to new understanding, new applications and new products through essential research in biomedicine, bioengineering, nanosystems, telecommunications and information technology.
Source- UCOP91
Silicon Valley and Stanford University
“Stanford University, its affiliates, and graduates played a major
role in the development of California's electronics and high-tech
industry.[16] From the 1890s, Stanford University's leaders saw its
mission as service to the West and shaped the school accordingly.
Regionalism helped align Stanford's interests with those of the
area's high-tech firms for the first fifty years of Silicon Valley's
development.[17] “
“During the 1940s and 1950s, Frederick Terman, as Stanford's
dean of engineering and provost, encouraged faculty and
graduates to start their own companies. He is credited with
nurturing Hewlett-Packard, Varian Associates, and other high-tech
firms, until what would become Silicon Valley grew up around the
Stanford campus.”
Source: Wikipedia 92
Top Universities by Reputation 2012
93
Reputation Rank
InstitutionCountry / Region
Overall score Reputation Reputation for teaching
1 Harvard University United States 100.0 100.0 100.0
2Massachusetts Institute of
Technology United States 87.2 81.7 90.0
3 University of Cambridge United
Kingdom80.7 82.7 79.7
4 Stanford University United States 72.1 67.5 74.5
5University of California
Berkeley United States 71.6 65.0 74.8
6 University of Oxford United
Kingdom71.2
The World University Rankings 2011-2012
94
World
Rank
Institution Country /
Region
Overall
score
Teaching International
mix
Industry
income
Research Citations
1 California Institute of
Technology
United States 94.8 95.7 56 97 98.2 99.9
2 Harvard University United States 93.9 95.8 67.5 35.9 97.4 99.8
2 Stanford University United States 93.9 94.8 57.2 63.8 98.9 99.8
4 University of Oxford United
Kingdom
93.6 89.5 91.9 62.1 96.6 97.9
5 Princeton University United States 92.9 91.5 49.6 81 99.1 100
6 University of Cambridge United
Kingdom
92.4 90.5 85.3 55.5 94.2 97.3
7 Massachusetts Institute of
Technology
United States 92.3 92.7 79.2 94.4 87.4 100
8 Imperial College London United
Kingdom
90.7 88.8 92.2 93.1 88.7 93.9
9 University of Chicago United States 90.2 89.4 58.8 Data
withheld
by THE
90.8 99.4
10 University of California
Berkeley
United States 89.8
List of U.S. States by Unemployment Rate
State or DistrictUnemployment rate
(seasonally adjusted)
Monthly percent change
(=drop in unemployment)
Nevada 12.6 0.4%
California 11.1 0.2%
Rhode Island 10.8 0.3%
Mississippi 10.4 0.1%
District of Columbia 10.4 0.2%
North Carolina 9.9 0.1%
Florida 9.9 0.1%
Illinois 9.8 0.2%
Georgia 9.7 0.1%
South Carolina 9.5 0.4%
Michigan 9.3 0.5%
Kentucky 9.1 0.3%
Indiana 9.0 0.0%
New Jersey 9.0 0.1%
Oregon 8.9 0.2%
Arizona 8.7 0.0%
Tennessee 8.7 0.4%
Washington 8.5 0.2%
Idaho 8.4 0.1%
United States (mean)[5] 8.3 0.2%
Connecticut 8.2 0.2%
Alabama 8.1 0.6%
Ohio 8.1 0.4%
New York 8.0 0.0%
Missouri 8.0 0.2%
Colorado 7.9 0.1%
West Virginia 7.9 0.0%
State or DistrictUnemployment rate
(seasonally adjusted)
Monthly percent change
(=drop in unemployment)
United States (mean)[5] 8.3 0.2%
Texas 7.8 0.3%
Arkansas 7.7 0.2%
Pennsylvania 7.6 0.3%
Delaware 7.4 0.2%
Alaska 7.3 0.0%
Wisconsin 7.1 0.2%
Maine 7.0 0.0%
Massachusetts 6.8 0.2%
Louisiana 6.8 0.1%
Montana 6.8 0.3%
Maryland 6.7 0.2%
New Mexico 6.6 0.1%
Hawaii 6.6 0.1%
Kansas 6.3 0.2%
Virginia 6.2 0.0%
Oklahoma 6.1 0.0%
Utah 6.0 0.4%
Wyoming 5.8 0.0%
Minnesota 5.7 0.2%
Iowa 5.6 0.1%
Vermont 5.1 0.2%
New Hampshire 5.1 0.1%
South Dakota 4.2 0.1%
Nebraska 4.1 0.0%
North Dakota 3.3 0.1%
January 24, 2012 for December 2011
Source: Wikipedia 95
Outline of Talk
96
Drivers for Change: Computing and Big Data
Computational Science and Engineering
State Leadership
California – “The Golden State”
The State New Economy Model
“Sustainable California” –a return to “The Golden State”
The State New Economy Index*
Methodology
The State New Economy Index uses 26 indicators. These
Indicators are divided into five categories. These categories
best capture what is new about the New Economy:
1) Knowledge Jobs (5)
2) Globalization (2)
3) Economic Dynamism (3.5)
4) Transformation to a Digital Economy (3)
5) Technological Innovation Capacity (5)
97*Source: ITIF-Kauffman
Top 10 US States ranked based on “The New Economy Index”
2010
1. Massachusetts (92.6)
2. Washington (77.5)
3. Maryland (76.9)
4. New Jersey (76.9)
5. Connecticut(76.6)
6. Delaware (75.0)
7. California (74.3)
8. Virginia (73.7)
9. Colorado (72.8)
10. New York (71.3)
2008
1. Massachusetts (97)
2. Washington (81.9)
3. Maryland (80)
4. Delaware (79.3)
5. New Jersey (77)
6. Connecticut (76.1)
7. Virginia (75.6)
8. California (75)
9. New York (74.4)
10. Colorado (70.4)
2007
1. Massachusetts (96.1)
2. New Jersey (86.4)
3. Maryland (85.0)
4. Washington (84.6)
5. California (82.9)
6. Connecticut (81.8)
7. Delaware (79.6)
8. Virginia (79.5)
9. Colorado (78.3)
10. New York (77.4)
2002
1. Massachusetts (90.0)
2. Washington (86.2)
3. California (85.5)
4. Colorado (84.3)
5. Maryland (75.6)
6. New Jersey (75.1)
7. Connecticut (74.2)
8. Virginia (72.1)
9. Delaware (70.5)
10. New York (69.3)
1999
1. Massachusetts (82.3)
2. California (74.3)
3. Colorado (72.3)
4. Washington (69.0)
5. Connecticut (64.9)
6. Utah (64.0)
7. New Hampshire (62.5)
8. New Jersey (60.9)
9. Delaware (59.9)
10. Arizona (59.2)98
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ITIF-Kauffman
Ranking
26 Attributes PCA
(MNIK2012)
5 Categories PCA
(MNIK2012)
Massachusetts Massachusetts Massachusetts
Washington Washington New Jersey
Maryland Connecticut Connecticut
New Jersey Maryland Washington
Connecticut New Jersey Maryland
Delaware Virginia Delaware
California California California
Virginia Colorado Virginia
Colorado Delaware New York
New York New Hampshire Colorado
New Hampshire Minnesota New Hampshire
Utah Utah Minnesota
Minnesota New York Utah
Oregon Oregon Oregon
Illinois Illinois Illinois
Rhode Island Michigan Rhode Island
Michigan Rhode Island Texas
Texas Pennsylvania Michigan
Georgia Texas Georgia
Arizona Vermont Florida
Florida Arizona Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania Georgia Arizona
Vermont North Carolina Vermont
North Carolina Ohio North Carolina
ITIF-Kauffman
Ranking
26 Attributes PCA
(MNIK2012)
5 Categories PCA
(MNIK2012)
Ohio Idaho Kansas
Kansas Kansas Ohio
Idaho Wisconsin Nevada
Maine Florida Maine
Wisconsin Missouri Idaho
Nevada Nebraska Wisconsin
Alaska New Mexico Alaska
New Mexico Maine Missouri
Missouri Iowa Nebraska
Nebraska Alaska Hawaii
Indiana North Dakota Indiana
Montana Hawaii Iowa
North Dakota Indiana North Dakota
Iowa South Carolina New Mexico
South Carolina Nevada Tennessee
Hawaii South Dakota South Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee Montana
Oklahoma Montana Louisiana
Kentucky Oklahoma Oklahoma
Louisiana Wyoming Kentucky
South Dakota Alabama South Dakota
Wyoming Kentucky Wyoming
Alabama Louisiana Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas Arkansas
West Virginia West Virginia West Virginia
Mississippi Mississippi Mississippi
US States ranked based on “The New Economy Index”and two new PCA ranking models!??
99
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KNOWLEDGE JOBS Weight
IT Professionals
Professional and Managerial Jobs
Workforce Education
Immigration of Knowledge Workers
U.S. Migration of Knowledge Workers
Manufacturing Value-Added
Traded-Services Employment
GLOBALIZATION
Export Focus on Manufacturing and Services
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
ECONOMIC DYNAMISM
Job Churning
Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)
Entrepreneurial Activity
Inventor Patents
Fastest-Growing Firms
The State New Economy Index*
DIGITAL ECONOMY
Online Population
Digital Government
Farms and Technology
Broadband
Health IT
INNOVATION CAPACITY
High-Tech Employment
Scientists and Engineers
Patents
Industry R&D
Non-industry R&D
Green Economy
Venture Capital
100Ref.*: ITIF and Kauffman Foundation
Knowledge Job (5)
1 Massachusetts (17.39)
2 Connecticut (16.78)
3 Maryland (15.40)
4 Virginia (15.37)
5 Delaware (13.94)
6 Minnesota (13.94)
7 New Jersey (13.85)
8 Washington (13.80)
9 New York (13.66)
10 New Hampshire (12.96)
13 California (10.70)
Top 10 US States ranked based on “The New Economy Index”
Globalization (2)
1 Delaware (18.05)
2 Texas (16.39)
3 South Carolina (15.31)
4 New Jersey (14.73)
5 Connecticut (14.68)
6 Massachusetts (14.59)
7 Kentucky (14.24)
8 New York (14.21)
9 Washington (13.73)
10 North Carolina (13.61)
17 California (13.17)
Economic Dynamism (3.5)
1 Utah (14.94)
2 Colorado (13.74)
3 Georgia (13.38)
4 Massachusetts (13.30)
5 Florida (13.09)
6 Montana (12.87)
7 Arizona (12.64)
8 Nevada (12.56)
9 California (12.01)
10 Idaho (11.86)
Digital Economy (3)
1 Massachusetts (16.40)
2 Rhode Island (15.53)
3 New Jersey (15.13)
4 Maryland (14.29)
5 Connecticut (14.09)
6 California (14.07)
7 New York (14.03)
8 Oregon (13.58)
9 Washington (13.41)
10 Virginia (12.82)
Innovation Capacity (5)
1 Massachusetts (19.0)
2 Washington (17.5)
3 California (15.0)
4 Maryland (13.4)
5 Delaware (13.1)
6 Colorado (13.0)
7 New Hampshire (12.2)
8 New Jersey (12.2)
9 Virginia (12.0)
10 New Mexico (11.8)
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Projection of the cases on the factor-plane ( 1 x 3)
Cases with sum of cosine square >= 0.00
Active
AL
AK
AZ
AR
CA
CO
CT
DE
FL
GA
HI
ID
IL
IN
IAKS
KY
LA
ME
MD
MA
MI
MN MS
MO
MT
NE
NV
NH
NJ
NM
NY
NC ND
OH
OKOR
PA
RI
SCSD
TN
TX
US
UT
VT
VA
WA WVWI
WY
-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6
Factor 1: 34.46%
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Fa
cto
r 3
: 10
.00
%
AL
AK
AZ
AR
CA
CO
CT
DE
FL
GA
HI
ID
IL
IN
IAKS
KY
LA
ME
MD
MA
MI
MN MS
MO
MT
NE
NV
NH
NJ
NM
NY
NC ND
OH
OKOR
PA
RI
SCSD
TN
TX
US
UT
VT
VA
WA WVWI
WY
Top 25 States Bottom 25 States
PCA Analysis of US States Ranking: The New Economy Index (26 Indicators)
102
Outline of Talk
103
Drivers for Change: Computing and Big Data
Computational Science and Engineering
State Leadership
California – “The Golden State”
The State New Economy Model
“Sustainable California” –a return to “The Golden State”
CDISCACCESS
Insight
Incr
ease
d
clim
ate/
envi
ron
men
tal
det
ail
Increased socio-economic detail
Tera
Peta
Peta
Exa
Socio-Economic Modeling
for Large-scale Quantitative
Climate/Environmental
Change Analysis
En Informatics
Environment-Genetic
World Population: Today-~6B, 2050-~9B, 2100-~10B%70 will live in Cities by 2050
By 2020: 35 trillion Gigabytes Data (Cyber-Physical world is connected throughbillions to even trillions of sensors and devices)
Petaflop with ~1M Cores in your PC by 2025? Health, Freshwater, Food Security, Ecosystems, and Urban Metabolism
104
“Sustainable California” –a return to the Golden State
building upon massive scale datasets –
streaming and static (sensors/social-economic)
employing sophisticated analytics, with an
emphasis on modeling, simulation, and
crowdsourcing
focus on major domains critical for human
welfare and environmental quality (Environment
and Security); urban metabolism and smart
cities, food security, fresh water resources,
public health, natural disasters, energy
conservation, and ecosystem.
educating the next generation of
interdisciplinary students and industry leaders
A statewide initiative to create integrated
systems and advanced analytic tools
using advanced computational science
and engineering
105
California can improve the standard of living by applying predictive simulation systems and integrated advanced analytic tools using advanced computational science and engineering to critical problems facing the state
How can California respond to rapidly
changing environment, climate change,
socio-economic forces and
demographics?
water resources, public health, natural
disasters, energy conservation,
environment and security
Predictive simulation and advanced
analytic can be used to
understand the impacts of policy choices
understand social and economical impacts
create new technologies and industries
find more efficient solutions to California’s
pressing infrastructure problems 7
TURING’s TEST
Turing: A computer can be said to be intelligent if its
answers are indistinguishable from the answers of a
human being
??
Computer
Health, Freshwater, Food, Energy, Environment Security, Ecosystems, and Urban Metabolism
106