nigeria before gmb govt

15
NIGERIA, PRIOR TO GMB GOVERNMENT: INTERNATIONAL RANKINGS JUSTICE, PEACE, AND UNITY

Upload: statisense

Post on 14-Jul-2015

282 views

Category:

Government & Nonprofit


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

NIGERIA,

PRIOR TO GMB

GOVERNMENT:

INTERNATIONAL

RANKINGS

J U S T I C E , P E A C E , A N D U N I T Y

This is a compilation of different ratings by

international organizations on Nigeria in respect to

how Nigeria ranks/scores in Corruption, Governance,

Health, Economy, Democracy, Leadership, etc. in

relation with other countries of the world.

A new Government will be taking over the mantle of

leadership of the Nigerian State, this compilation is to

provide an empirical measurement of how the new

government performs as would be evidenced in

subsequent ratings of selected international

organizations in subsequent release of their reports.

PROVIDING UNBIASED & INDEPENDENT EMPIRICAL

EVIDENCE OF GOOD GOVERNANCE FOR EFFECTIVE

CITIZENS’ APPRAISAL OF GOVERNMENT’S

PERFORMANCE.

SELECTED INTERNATIONAL RATINGS

WORLD ECONOMIC FORUMThe World Economic Forum publishes the Global Competitive Index (GCI)

report that measures the set of institutions, policies, and factors that set the

sustainable current and medium-term levels of economic prosperity

12 PILLARS OF GCI 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

INSTITUTIONS 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.2 3 3.3 3.1 3INFRASTRUCTURE 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.3 2 2 2.3 2.3 2.1MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 4.8 5.6 5.7 5.4 4.3 4 5.2 5.2 4.6

HEALTH & PRIMARY EDUCATION 3.6 3.6 3.6 3 3 3.3 3.2 3 3HIGHER EDUCATION & TRAINING 2.9 3.0 3.1 3 3 3.2 3.3 3 2.9

GOODS MARKET EFFICIENCY 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.2 4 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.2LABOR MARKET EFFICIENCY 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5

FINANCIAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.4 4 3.9 4.1 4 4.1

TECHNOLOGICAL READINESS 2.5 2.6 2.9 2.9 3 3 3.1 3.1 3MARKET SIZE 4.2 4.0 4.4 4.5 4.6 4 4.6 4.7 4.7

BUSINESS SOPHISTICATION 3.9 4.0 4.2 4 3.8 4 4 3.9 3.8INNOVATION 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.9 3 3.1 3 2.8

WEF measures countries competitiveness using the 12 Pillars above. Each

Country is Ranked based on her performance against other countries,

however a better measure of a country’s performance is its Score which is

from 1 to 7, 1 being poor while 7 is best.

NIGERIA IS CURRENTLY RANKED 127 OF 144 COUNTRIES, WITH

A SCORE OF 3.4 WHICH IS LESS THAN THE AVERAGE SCORE.

WORLD ECONOMIC FORUMBased on the WEF data from 2006 to 2014, Nigeria has demonstrated

continuous improvement in MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT (5.7, in

2008), followed by MARKET SIZE (4.7, in 2013 & 2014). While the most

challenged is INSTITUTIONS, INFRASTRUCTURE, HEALTH AND PRIMARY

EDUCATION, HIGHER EDUCATION AND TRAINING, TECHNOLOGICAL

READINESS, AND INNOVATION.

THE GRANULAR DETAILS OF THESE AREAS OF

CHALLENGES CAN BE EXTRACTED FROM THE

WEF GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS REPORT.

MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT,

GOODS MARKET EFFICIENCY,

LABOR MARKET EFFICIENCY,

FINANCIAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT,

MARKET SIZE, BUSINESS

SOPHISTICATION

INSTITUTIONS, INFRASTRUCTURE,

HEALTH & PRIMARY EDUCATION,

HIGHER EDUCATION & TRAINING,

TECHNOLOGICAL READINESS,

INNOVATION

THE NEW GOVERNMENT CAN URGENTLY FOCUS ON THESE

CHALLENGING AREAS AND CONSOLIDATE ON OTHER AREAS

BY ENSURING STEADY IMPROVEMENTS.

INDEX OF ECONOMIC FREEDOMThe Index of Economic Freedom is an annual index and ranking created by

The Heritage Foundation and The Wall Street Journal in 1995 to measure the

degree of economic freedom in the world's nations. (Wikipedia)

INDEX OF ECONOMIC FREEDOM 2011 2013 2014 2015

PROPERTY RIGHTS 30 30.0 30 30.0

FREEDOM FROM CORRUPTION 25 24.0 22.7 25.0

FISCAL FREEDOM 84.4 82.6 85.0 85.2

GOVERNMENT SPENDING 73 74.6 74.5 76.1

BUSINESS FREEDOM 51.6 55.7 48.0 48.3

LABOR FREEDOM 84.5 67.2 66.4 77.7

MONETARY FREEDOM 73.5 73.3 73.1 70.4

TRADE FREEDOM 65 63.9 63.8 63.8

INVESTMENT FREEDOM 40 40.0 40 40.0

FINANCIAL FREEDOM 40 40.0 40 40.0

56.7 55.1 54.3 55.6

NIGERIA IS CURRENTLY RANKED 120 OF 178 COUNTRIES, WITH

A SCORE OF 56.7 WHICH IS AN AVERAGE SCORE.

INDEX OF ECONOMIC FREEDOM

Rule of law (property rights, freedom from corruption);

Government size (fiscal freedom, government spending);

Regulatory efficiency (business freedom, labor freedom, monetary freedom); and

Market openness (trade freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom).

Based on the available data from 2011 to 2015, Nigeria has maintained some

measure of steady balance in FISCAL FREEDOM, GOVERNMENT SPENDING,

LABOR FREEDOM, MONETARY FREEDOM, AND TRADE FREEDOM.

However, there seems to be a lull in the following areas PROPERTY RIGHT,

FREEDOM FROM CORRUPTION, INVESTMENT FREEDOM, AND FINANCIAL

FREEDOM.

THE GRANULAR DETAILS OF THESE AREAS OF

CHALLENGES CAN BE EXTRACTED FROM THE INDEX OF

ECONOMIC FREEDOM REPORT.

FISCAL FREEDOM,

GOVERNMENT SPENDING,

LABOR FREEDOM, MONETARY FREEDOM, TRADE FREEDOM

PROPERTY RIGHTS, FREEDOM

FROM CORRUPTION, BUSINESS

FREEDOM, INVESTMENT

FREEDOM, FINANCIAL

FREEDOM

HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEXThe Human Development Index (HDI) is a composite statistic of

life expectancy, education, and income indices used to rank

countries into four tiers of human development.. (Wikipedia)

HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX 2011 2012 2013 2014

LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH 51.9 52.3 52.5 52.5

MEAN YEARS OF SCHOOLING (YEAR) 5 5.2 5.2

EXPECTED YEARS OF SCHOOLING (YEAR) 8.9 9 9

GROSS NATIONAL INCOME (GNI) PER CAPITA 2,069 2,102 5,353 5,353

0.459 0.500 0.504 0.504

NIGERIA IS CURRENTLY RANKED 152 OF 187 COUNTRIES, WITH

A SCORE OF 0.504 WHICH IS AN AVERAGE SCORE.

RULE OF LAW INDEXThe World Justice Project publishes The Rule of Law Index which provides

the foundation for communities of opportunity and equity – communities

that offer sustainable economic development, accountable government, and

respect for fundamental rights. (Wikipedia)

RULE OF LAW 2010 2011 2013 2014

CONSTRAINTS ON GOVT. POWERS 0.39 0.50 0.45 0.47

ABSENCE OF CORRUPTION 0.46 0.41 0.25 0.26

OPEN GOVERNMENT 0.30 0.34 0.35 0.40

FUNDAMENTAL RIGHTS 0.42 0.49 0.45 0.42

ORDER AND SECURITY 0.36 0.54 0.47 0.36

REGULATORY ENFORCEMENT 0.51 0.46 0.42 0.40

CIVIL JUSTICE 0.59 0.57 0.53 0.50

CRIMINAL JUSTICE 0.42 0.41 0.28 0.31

Clearly, the best Nigeria has been able to achieve OPPORTUNITY and

EQUITY is in CIVIL JUSTICE and ORDER AND SECURITY. Majority of the

other measures are below the average score of 0.50.

FORTUNATELY, THE VICE–PRESIDENT-ELECT OF THE INCOMING GOVERNMENT

IS A LEGAL EXPERT AND MUCH IS EXPECTED IN THAT REGARD.

IBRAHIM INDEX OF AFRICAN GOVERNANCE

The Ibrahim Index of African Governance (IIAG) quantitatively

measures the quality of governance in African countries.

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

OVERALL SCORE 43.5 43.5 43.4 43.5 42.8 44.3 45.0 45.5 45.0 45.3 44.9 44.9 45.4 45.8

SAFETY & RULE OF LAW 44.2 42.8 42.7 43.6 38.8 43.2 43.4 44.4 44.8 44.7 44.4 41.5 39.1 38.1

RULE OF LAW 43.7 43.7 43.7 43.7 43.7 43.7 44.7 45.8 54.1 53.5 38.3 38.4 38.5 41.0

ACCOUNTABILITY 30.4 28.8 27.3 28.8 29.7 29.5 30.3 31.5 37.8 36.7 37.3 35.4 37.7 36.6

PERSONAL SAFETY 19.3 15.2 15.2 17.2 11.0 15.2 15.2 18.0 15.9 24.6 22.4 25.2 17.9 16.5

NATIONAL SECURITY 83.5 83.5 84.8 84.6 70.9 84.3 83.4 82.4 71.4 63.8 79.5 66.9 62.6 58.2

PARTICIPATION & HUMAN RIGHTS 47.2 47.1 47.1 45.6 45.7 45.9 45.4 45.4 43.2 42.6 44.6 45.8 48.5 48.9

PARTICIPATION 53.9 53.9 53.9 47.2 47.2 47.2 47.2 46.6 37.4 33.0 36.3 38.8 45.5 52.2

RIGHTS 48.5 47.7 48.0 49.7 49.8 49.6 47.4 47.5 52.0 53.7 55.8 55.7 55.0 49.0

GENDER 39.2 39.6 39.3 39.9 40.2 40.8 41.7 42.1 40.2 41.0 41.6 42.8 44.9 45.7

SUSTAINABLE ECON. OPPORTUNITY 36.4 35.1 34.6 35.0 36.0 36.2 37.7 38.6 38.1 40.5 38.5 39.7 41.0 43.3

PUBLIC MANAGEMENT 43.8 38.7 36.4 38.0 44.8 45.0 50.9 52.1 50.2 47.9 45.7 49.7 53.6 53.2

BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 39.9 39.9 39.9 39.9 36.7 37.8 39.1 41.7 41.4 45.3 42.0 41.5 42.4 44.8

INFRASTRUCTURE 15.8 15.9 16.0 16.2 16.4 16.7 16.9 15.1 16.7 17.6 16.1 17.6 18.9 19.6

RURAL SECTOR 46.1 46.1 46.1 46.1 46.1 45.5 44.1 45.6 44.0 51.3 50.3 50.1 49.1 55.6

HUMAN DEVELOPMENT 46.2 49.1 49.2 49.8 50.5 51.8 53.5 53.5 53.8 53.3 52.3 52.7 52.9 53.0

WELFARE 42.6 42.6 42.6 42.6 42.6 43.5 46.4 47.8 46.4 45.9 45.9 47.6 50.7 52.6

EDUCATION 50.4 51.1 50.9 51.3 51.7 52.1 52.5 49.8 49.8 51.7 50.8 49.4 47.7 45.8

HEALTH 45.6 53.6 54.1 55.5 57.1 59.7 61.4 62.9 65.2 62.2 60.3 61.1 60.3 60.4

THERE ARE FOUR MAIN CONCEPTUAL CATEGORIES WITH 14 INDICATORS.

SAFETY & RULE OF LAW IS THE MOST DETERIORATED CATEGORY WHICH ALSO IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE RULE OF LAW INDEX

IBRAHIM INDEX OF AFRICAN GOVERNANCE2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

RULE OF LAW 43.7 43.7 43.7 43.7 43.7 43.7 44.7 45.8 54.1 53.5 38.3 38.4 38.5 41.0

ACCOUNTABILITY 30.4 28.8 27.3 28.8 29.7 29.5 30.3 31.5 37.8 36.7 37.3 35.4 37.7 36.6

PERSONAL SAFETY 19.3 15.2 15.2 17.2 11.0 15.2 15.2 18.0 15.9 24.6 22.4 25.2 17.9 16.5

NATIONAL SECURITY 83.5 83.5 84.8 84.6 70.9 84.3 83.4 82.4 71.4 63.8 79.5 66.9 62.6 58.2

RIGHTS 48.5 47.7 48.0 49.7 49.8 49.6 47.4 47.5 52.0 53.7 55.8 55.7 55.0 49.0

BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 39.9 39.9 39.9 39.9 36.7 37.8 39.1 41.7 41.4 45.3 42.0 41.5 42.4 44.8

INFRASTRUCTURE 15.8 15.9 16.0 16.2 16.4 16.7 16.9 15.1 16.7 17.6 16.1 17.6 18.9 19.6

EDUCATION 50.4 51.1 50.9 51.3 51.7 52.1 52.5 49.8 49.8 51.7 50.8 49.4 47.7 45.8

HEALTH 45.6 53.6 54.1 55.5 57.1 59.7 61.4 62.9 65.2 62.2 60.3 61.1 60.3 60.4

The most affected indicators are INFRASTRUCTURE AND PERSONAL

SECURITY. In addition; the between 2008 and 2013, the RULE OF

LAW indicator has dropped 13points from 54 to 41. This is followed

by PERSONAL SECURITY, NATIONAL SECURITY, EDUCATION, AND

RIGHTS.

PARTICIPATION, GENDER,

PUBLIC MANAGEMENT,

INFRASTRUCTURE, RURAL

SECTOR, WELFARE

RULE OF LAW, ACCOUNTABILITY,

PERSONAL SAFETY, NATIONAL

SECURITY, RIGHTS, BUSINESS

ENVIRONMENT, INFRASTRUCTURE,

EDUCATION, HEALTH

SOCIAL PROGRESS INDEXThe Social Progress Index (SPI) measures the extent to which countries

provide for the social and environmental needs of their citizens. The SPI

measures the well-being of a society by observing social and environmental

outcomes directly rather than the economic factors. (Wikipedia)

SOCIAL PROGRESS INDEX 2013 2014BASIC HUMAN NEEDS 27.96 36.57FOUNDATIONS OF WELLBEING 37.04 58.08OPPORTUNITY 35.19 33.29

33.39 42.65

IN 2013, NIGERIA WAS RANKED 49 OF 50 COUNTRIES WITH 33.39

POINTS. IN 2014, NIGERIA IS 123 OF 132 COUNTRIES WITH 42.65 POINTS

IS NIGERIA A LAND OF REDUCING

OPPORTUNITY?

CORRUPTION PERCEPTIONS INDEXTransparency International (TI) started the Corruption

Perceptions Index (CPI) as a composite indicator used to

measure perceptions of corruption in the public sector in

different countries around the world.

ALL TIME BEST CORRUPTION PERCEPTIONS INDEX WAS

IN 2008. THIS INDEX IS REALLY GOING TO BE A

PERFORMANCE METRIC FOR THIS NEW GOVERNMENT

YEAR 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 *2012 2013 2014

RANK/TOTAL

98/99

90/90

90/91

101/102

132/133

144/146

152/159

142/163

147/179

121/180

130/180

134/178

143/182

139/176

144/177

136/174

PERCENTILE 99% 100% 99% 99% 99% 99% 96% 87% 82% 67% 72% 75% 79% 79% 81% 78%

While Nigeria was in Bottom 5% most corrupt Nations in 1998, we

have gradually moved to a better part of Bottom 22% as at 2014.

This basically mean Nigeria had 95% chance of appearing on the

list of most corrupt Nations in 1998 but now have 78% in 2014.

This gives a differential of about 17% - IMPROVEMENT.

These selected international indexes basically covers areas Citizens

would expect their governments to come up to par with other

countries as well as deliver good governance. The metrics can also

serve as a guide to how governments should operate, determine

areas needing urgent attention, and ultimately provide an objective

measure of the their performance..

Hopefully, everyone can refer to this presentation to see how well

Nigeria progresses under the leadership of General Muhammadu

Buhari of the All Progressives Congress.

REMEMBER, GOVERNMENTS

BECOME ACCOUNTABLE &

EFFECTIVE IF CITIZENS HOLD THEM

ACCOUNTABLE & RESPONSIBLE!

Analysis by: Wale Micaiah

e: [email protected]

m: 08078001800

w: www.statisense.com

w: www.walemicaiah.com

Freely share, freely use and freely

acknowledge the source – © Wale Micaiah

All data used for analysis are from

the respective international

agencies whose reports have

been used for this presentation..