ngf and 2015 general elections
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Nigeria Governors' Forum and 2015 Nigeria Genera ElectionTRANSCRIPT
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NGF & 2015NGF & 2015NGF & 2015NGF & 2015ElectionsElectionsElectionsElections
The Nigeria Governors’ Forum was formed to promoteunity, good governance, better understanding and co-operation among the States and ensure a healthy andbeneficial relationship between the States and othertiers of government.
NGFNGFNGFNGF VisionVisionVisionVision:::: “An effective, proactive, inclusive, non-partisan forum which actively fosters, promotes andsustains democratic values, good governance andsustainable development in Nigeria”
NGFNGFNGFNGF MissionMissionMissionMission:::: “To provide a platform for collaborationamongst the Executive Governors on matters of publicpolicy; to promote good governance, sharing of goodpractice and to enhance cooperation at State level andwith other arms of government and society”
Being a group that operates at the second level ofgovernance, they play a vital role in strengtheningdemocracy in Nigeria. As already highlighted in theirVision and Mission, the success or failure of the NGFwould invariably affect governance and collaborationat all levels of government.
This study attempts to empirically measure therelevance of the NGF to the presidency as well aslikely derivations following the fallout of the justconcluded NGF election.
Leadership Leadership Leadership Leadership Since InceptionSince InceptionSince InceptionSince Inception
No.No.No.No. NameNameNameName GovernorGovernorGovernorGovernor TenureTenureTenureTenure
1 Alhaji (Dr.) Abdullahi Adamu Nasarawa 1999 – 2004
2 Arc. (Obong) Victor Attah Akwa Ibom 2004 – 2006
3 Mr. Lucky Igbinedion Edo 2006 – 2007
4 Dr. Abubakar Bukola Saraki Kwara 2007 – 2011
5 Rt. Hon. Rotimi Chibuike Amaechi Rivers 2011 – date
GovernorsGovernorsGovernorsGovernors
Theodore Orji
Isa Yuguda
Murtala Nyako
Abia
Abia
Abia
Abia
Adamawa
Adamawa
Adamawa
Adamawa
Akwa
Akwa
Akwa
Akwa-- -- Ib
om
Ibom
Ibom
Ibom
Godswill Akpabio Peter Obi
Anambra
Anambra
Anambra
Anambra
Bauch
iBauch
iBauch
iBauch
i
Henry Dickson
Bayelsa
Bayelsa
Bayelsa
Bayelsa
Martin Elechi
Cross R
ivers
Cross R
ivers
Cross R
ivers
Cross R
ivers
Liyel Imoke
Benue
Benue
Benue
Benue
Borno
Borno
Borno
Borno
Emmanuel UduaghanDelta
Delta
Delta
Delta
Ebonyi
Ebonyi
Ebonyi
Ebonyi
Edo
Edo
Edo
Edo
Adams Oshiomhole
Gabriel Suswam Kashim Shettima
GovernorsGovernorsGovernorsGovernors
Sullivan Chime
Mukhtar Yero
Idris Wada
Ibrahim Dankwambo
Enugu
Enugu
Enugu
Enugu
Rochas Okorocha
Sule Lamido
Jigawa
Jigawa
Jigawa
Jigawa
Kaduna
Kaduna
Kaduna
Kaduna
Rabiu Kwankwaso
Kano
Kano
Kano
Kano
Ibrahim Shema
Sa’idu Dankigari
Kebbi
Kebbi
Kebbi
Kebbi
Kogi
Kogi
Kogi
Kogi
Ibikunle Amosun
Kayode Fayemi
Kwara
Kwara
Kwara
Kwara
Abdulfatah Ahmed
Lagos
Lagos
Lagos
Lagos
Gombe
Gombe
Gombe
Gombe
Imo
Imo
Imo
Imo
Katsin
aKatsin
aKatsin
aKatsin
a
Ekiti
Ekiti
Ekiti
Ekiti
GovernorsGovernorsGovernorsGovernors
Umaru Al Makura
Rauf Aregbeshola
Aliyu Wamakko
Babangida Aliyu
Nasarawa
Nasarawa
Nasarawa
Nasarawa
Niger
Niger
Niger
Niger
Ogun
Ogun
Ogun
Ogun
Ibikunle Amosun Olusegun MimikoOndo
Ondo
Ondo
Ondo
Osu
nOsu
nOsu
nOsu
n
Abiola Ajimobi
Oyo
Oyo
Oyo
Oyo
Jonah Jang Rotimi Amaechi
Rivers
Rivers
Rivers
Rivers
Sokoto
Sokoto
Sokoto
Sokoto
Ibrahim Geidam Abdul-Aziz AbubakarTaraba
Taraba
Taraba
Taraba
Umar Garba
Plateau
Plateau
Plateau
Plateau
Zamfara
Zamfara
Zamfara
Zamfara
Yobe
Yobe
Yobe
Yobe
Governors & Political PartiesGovernors & Political PartiesGovernors & Political PartiesGovernors & Political PartiesStateStateStateState GovernorGovernorGovernorGovernor PartyPartyPartyParty
Abia Theodore Orji PDP
Adamawa Murtala Nyako PDP
Akwa Ibom Godswill Akpabio PDP
Anambra Peter Obi APGA
Bauchi Isa Yuguda PDP
Bayelsa Seriaki Dickson PDP
Benue Gabriel Suswam PDP
Borno Kashim Shettima ANPP
Cross River Liyel Imoke PDP
Delta Emmanuel Uduaghan PDP
Ebonyi Martin Elechi PDP
Edo Adams Oshiomhole ACN
Ekiti Kayode Fayemi ACN
Enugu Sullivan Chime PDP
Gombe Ibrahim Dankwambo PDP
Imo Rochas Okorocha APGA
Jigawa Sule Lamido PDP
Kaduna Mukhtar Yero PDP
StateStateStateState GovernorGovernorGovernorGovernor PartyPartyPartyParty
Kano Rabiu Kwankwaso PDP
Katsina Ibrahim Shema PDP
Kebbi Usman Dakingari PDP
Kogi Ibrahim Idris PDP
Kwara Abdulfatah Ahmed PDP
Lagos Babatunde Fashola ACN
Nasarawa Umaru Al-Makura CPC
Niger Babangida Aliyu PDP
Ogun Ibikunle Amosun ACN
Ondo Olusegun Mimiko LP
Osun Rauf Aregbesola ACN
Oyo Abiola Ajimobi ACN
Plateau Jonah Jang PDP
Rivers Rotimi Amaechi PDP
Sokoto Aliyu Wamakko PDP
Taraba Umar Garba PDP
Yobe Ibrahim Geidam ANPP
Zamfara Abdul'aziz Yari ANPP
Governors & Political PartiesGovernors & Political PartiesGovernors & Political PartiesGovernors & Political PartiesPartyPartyPartyParty StatesStatesStatesStates %%%%
PDP (People's Democratic Party) 23 63.89%
ACN (Action Congress of Nigeria) 6 16.67%
ANPP (All Nigeria People's Party) 3 8.33%
APGA (All Progressives Grand Alliance) 2 5.56%
CPC (Congress for Progressive Change) 1 2.78%
LP (Labour Party) 1 2.78%
PDP alone produced 23 (63.89%) of the 36 StateGovernors; if this also represents the true state ofelectorates in each State, the PDP would continueto rule as long as they remain united and keepmeeting the need of the Electorates.
The NGF ElectionThe NGF ElectionThe NGF ElectionThe NGF ElectionThe NGF elects their chairman every two years; andfrom all indication, no opposition party has any chanceof emerging the NGF Chairman. However, when 2 PDPgovernors are up for election, the opposition thereforebecomes the deciding factor of who wins.
In 2013 NGF Chairmanship Election; Jonah Jang(Governor of Plateau State) competed against theincumbent chairman – Rotimi Amaechi, the governor ofRivers State.
JonahJANGJonahJANGJonahJANGJonahJANG RotimiAMAECHIRotimiAMAECHIRotimiAMAECHIRotimiAMAECHI
The NGF Election ResultThe NGF Election ResultThe NGF Election ResultThe NGF Election ResultRotimi Amaechi emerged winner in the election
with 19 votes while Jonah Jang got 16.
JonahJANGJonahJANGJonahJANGJonahJANG RotimiAMAECHIRotimiAMAECHIRotimiAMAECHIRotimiAMAECHI
16 Votes16 Votes16 Votes16 Votes 19 Votes19 Votes19 Votes19 Votes
The NGF Voting DetailsThe NGF Voting DetailsThe NGF Voting DetailsThe NGF Voting Details
16 Votes16 Votes16 Votes16 Votes 19 Votes19 Votes19 Votes19 Votes35 Votes35 Votes35 Votes35 Votes
Liyel Imoke (Cross River); Segun Mimiko(Ondo); Emmanuel Uduaghan (Delta);Peter Obi (Anambra); Seriake Dickson(Bayelsa); Theodore Orji (Abia); RamalanYero (Kaduna); Ibrahim Dakwambo(Gombe); Godswill Akpabio (Akwa Ibom);Idris Wada (Kogi); Ibrahim Shema (Katsina);Isa Yuguda (Bauchi); Martin Elechi (Ebonyi);Garba Umar (Taraba); and Gabriel Suswam(Benue)
Murtala Nyako (Adamawa); Kashim Shettima(Borno); Adams Oshiomhole (Edo); KayodeFayemi (Ekiti); Rochas Okorocha (Imo); SuleLamido (Jigawa); Rabiu Kwankwaso (Kano);Usman Dakingari (Kebbi); Abdulfatah Ahmed(Kwara); Babatunde Fashola (Lagos); UmaruAl-Makura (Nasarawa); Babangida Aliyu(Niger); Ibikunle Amosun (Ogun); RaufAregbesola (Osun); Abiola Ajimobi (Oyo);Aliyu Wamakko (Sokoto); and Abdul'aziz Yari(Zamfara)
PDP = 14, APGA = 1, LP = 1
PDP = 8, ACN = 6, ANPP = 3, APGA = 1,
CPC = 1
If the status quo remains till the 2015 general elections,the PDP might need to go some extra miles to continueto hold power at the centre.
The NGF & 2015 Election ProjectionThe NGF & 2015 Election ProjectionThe NGF & 2015 Election ProjectionThe NGF & 2015 Election Projection
2011 General Election2011 General Election2011 General Election2011 General Election
The PDP won massively in most southern States, following the current state of the polity, it is debatable if this feat can be achieved again.
Jonah Jang was the preferred candidate and all PDPgovernors were supposed to vote for him, howeversome governors were not in support of thisarrangement and they decided to support RotimiAmaechi who is not in the good books of the PDPchieftains.
Despite the result; Jonah Jang declared himself thewinner, thereby forming a faction with 15 otherGovernors and Rotimi Amaechi as the chairman of theother faction with 18 Governors.
As it stands, 2 NGF Chairman existAs it stands, 2 NGF Chairman existAs it stands, 2 NGF Chairman existAs it stands, 2 NGF Chairman existJonah Jang with Jonah Jang with Jonah Jang with Jonah Jang with 15 Governors15 Governors15 Governors15 Governors
RotimiRotimiRotimiRotimi AmaechiAmaechiAmaechiAmaechiwith 18 Governorswith 18 Governorswith 18 Governorswith 18 Governors
If election among 36 Governors resulted in factions,what is the fate of a general election covering over160million electorates?
If the NGF election is a reflection of what is expectedin 2015; it is important now that democraticinstitutions speak up and condemn the undemocratichold on power by one of the factions of the NGF.
The Judiciary and the INEC need to use this as alearning curve on how disputes such as this would beresolve in a timely and democratic mannerperadventure matters such as this re-surfaces in 2015.
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Analysis by: Wale Micaiah
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b: walemicaiah.blog.com
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